A Serosurvey of Tick-Borne Encephalitis Virus in Sweden: Different Populations and Geographical Locations

Seroprevalence of tick-borne encephalitis virus and vaccination coverage of tick-borne encephalitis, Sweden, 2018 to 2019

BackgroundIn Sweden, information on seroprevalence of tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV) in the population, including vaccination coverage and infection, is scattered. This is largely due to the absence of a national tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) vaccination registry, scarcity of previous serological studies and use of serological methods not distinguishing between antibodies induced by vaccination and infection. Furthermore, the number of notified TBE cases in Sweden has continued to increase in recent years despite increased vaccination.AimThe aim was to estimate the TBEV seroprevalence in Sweden.MethodsIn 2018 and 2019, 2,700 serum samples from blood donors in nine Swedish regions were analysed using a serological method that can distinguish antibodies induced by vaccination from antibodies elicited by infection. The regions were chosen to reflect differences in notified TBE incidence.ResultsThe overall seroprevalence varied from 9.7% (95% confidence interval (CI): 6.6-13.6%) to 64.0% (95% CI: 58.3-69.4%) between regions. The proportion of vaccinated individuals ranged from 8.7% (95% CI: 5.8-12.6) to 57.0% (95% CI: 51.2-62.6) and of infected from 1.0% (95% CI: 0.2-3.0) to 7.0% (95% CI: 4.5-10.7). Thus, more than 160,000 and 1,600,000 individuals could have been infected by TBEV and vaccinated against TBE, respectively. The mean manifestation index was 3.1%.ConclusionA difference was observed between low- and high-incidence TBE regions, on the overall TBEV seroprevalence and when separated into vaccinated and infected individuals. The estimated incidence and manifestation index argue that a large proportion of TBEV infections are not diagnosed.

Prevalence of tick-borne encephalitis virus in questing Ixodes ricinus nymphs in southern Scandinavia and the possible influence of meteorological factors

Ixodes ricinus ticks are Scandinavia's main vector for tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), which infects many people annually. The aims of the present study were (i) to obtain information on the TBEV prevalence in host-seeking I. ricinus collected within the Øresund-Kattegat-Skagerrak (ØKS) region, which lies in southern Norway, southern Sweden and Denmark; (ii) to analyse whether there are potential spatial patterns in the TBEV prevalence; and (iii) to understand the relationship between TBEV prevalence and meteorological factors in southern Scandinavia. Tick nymphs were collected in 2016, in southern Scandinavia, and screened for TBEV, using pools of 10 nymphs, with RT real-time PCR, and positive samples were confirmed with pyrosequencing. Spatial autocorrelation and cluster analysis was performed with Global Moran's I and SatScan to test for spatial patterns and potential local clusters of the TBEV pool prevalence at each of the 50 sites. A climatic analysis was made to correlate parameters such as minimum, mean and maximum temperature, relative humidity and saturation deficit with TBEV pool prevalence. The climatic data were acquired from the nearest meteorological stations for 2015 and 2016. This study confirms the presence of TBEV in 12 out of 30 locations in Denmark, where six were from Jutland, three from Zealand and two from Bornholm and Falster counties. In total, five out of nine sites were positive from southern Sweden. TBEV prevalence of 0.7%, 0.5% and 0.5%, in nymphs, was found at three sites along the Oslofjord (two sites) and northern Skåne region (one site), indicating a potential concern for public health. We report an overall estimated TBEV prevalence of 0.1% in questing I. ricinus nymphs in southern Scandinavia with a region-specific prevalence of 0.1% in Denmark, 0.2% in southern Sweden and 0.1% in southeastern Norway. No evidence of a spatial pattern or local clusters was found in the study region. We found a strong correlation between TBEV prevalence in ticks and relative humidity in Sweden and Norway, which might suggest that humidity has a role in maintaining TBEV prevalence in ticks. TBEV is an emerging tick-borne pathogen in southern Scandinavia, and we recommend further studies to understand the TBEV transmission potential with changing climate in Scandinavia.

Powassan Virus Encephalitis

Powassan virus is an increasingly recognized cause of severe encephalitis that is transmitted by Ixodes ticks. Given the nonspecific clinical, laboratory, and imaging features of Powassan virus disease, providers should consider it in patients with compatible exposures and request appropriate testing.

Global magnitude of encephalitis burden and its evolving pattern over the past 30 years

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to estimate the spatiotemporal patterns of the encephalitis burden along with its attributable risk factors at the national, regional, and global levels, which may be helpful in guiding targeted prevention and treatment programs.

METHODS

Based on available data sources, the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of encephalitis in 204 countries and regions from 1990 to 2019 were reconstructed by the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 using the Cause of Death Ensemble model, spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, and DisMod-MR 2.1. We conducted a systematic analysis on the epidemiological characteristics of encephalitis in detail by gender, region, and age over the past three decades.

RESULTS

Globally, 1,444,720 incident cases, 89,900 deaths, and 4.80 million DALYs related to encephalitis were estimated in 2019. The age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) decreased from 23.17 and 2.18 to 19.33 and 1.19 per 100,000 person-years over the past 30 years, respectively. However, beginning in 2011-2013, the burden of encephalitis has shown an inflection point, with a further decline of the ASRs ceasing. Lower socio-demographic index (SDI) regions in South Asia, Western and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest burden of encephalitis in 2019. During the past three decades, most countries of South Asia achieved significant control of the burden. In contrast, developed countries with a higher SDI have shown a notable increase in ASMR and age-standardized DALYs rate. Children and older adults have always been high-risk groups for encephalitis.

CONCLUSION

Although the global burden of encephalitis has decreased in the past 30 years, a further decline stopped from 2011-2013. The diverse burden in different regions calls for differentiated management, and the persistent high burden in some low-SDI regions and the increased burden in developed countries with higher SDIs deserve more attention.

ABBREVIATIONS

ASDR: age-standardized DALY rate, ASIR: age-standardized incidence rate, ASMR: age-standardized mortality rate, ASR: age-standardized rate, CI: confidence interval, DALY: disability-adjusted life-year, EAPC: estimated annual percentage change, GBD: Global Burden of Disease Study, HAP: household air pollution from solid fuels, HSE: herpes simplex encephalitis, HSV: herpes simplex virus, ICD: International Classification of Diseases, JE: Japanese encephalitis, PCR: polymerase chain reaction, SDI: socio-demographic index, TBE: tick-borne encephalitis, UI: uncertainty interval.