C-reactive protein, severity of pneumonia and mortality in elderly, hospitalised patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Prognostic factors influencing survival in nonagenarian patients admitted to the emergency department: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

The number of nonagenarians presenting to emergency departments (EDs) worldwide is rapidly increasing. These demographic faces unique challenges, including atypical clinical presentations, frailty, and a high burden of comorbidities. Despite their vulnerability, limited data exist on factors influencing survival in this group. This study aimed to identify prognostic factors affecting survival among nonagenarian patients admitted to the ED, focusing on clinical, biochemical, and treatment variables.

METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted, analyzing data on demographics, comorbidities, medication use, laboratory values, and hospital stay length for nonagenarian patients admitted to the ED at Göztepe Prof. Dr. Süleyman Yalçın City Hospital from 2020 to 2023. Survival analysis utilized Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression methods, with statistical significance set at p < 0.05.

RESULTS

Among 316 patients (mean age 91.61 ± 1.76 years; 72.2% female), the mortality rate was 17.7%. The most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (76.8%) and heart failure (35.9%). Cardiac failure and treatment with beta-blockers were strong independent predictors of poor survival. Biochemical markers linked to increased mortality included low albumin (HR 0.353, p < 0.001), low total protein (HR 0.933, p = 0.004), elevated CRP/albumin ratio (HR 1.016, p = 0.001), and high neutrophil/albumin ratio (HR 1.002, p = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

Nonagenarians admitted to the ED exhibit high comorbidity prevalence and mortality rates. Inflammation and malnutrition biomarkers, particularly the CRP/albumin ratio and total protein, are significant prognostic factors. Tailored management strategies focusing on these parameters could improve outcomes for this high-risk group. Further multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings and develop evidence-based care protocols.

Risk factors for mortality and implications on therapy for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteraemia

BACKGROUND

Stenotrophomonas maltophilia is an important nosocomial pathogen. Bacteraemia is associated with significant morbidity, despite antibiotic therapy. Optimal treatment strategies for Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteraemia remain ill-defined. Thus, we retrospectively examined the clinical presentation, microbiological characteristics, treatment options to identify risk factors for mortality.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective single-centre analysis of Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteraemia from 1 Jan 2012-30 Jun 2024. Data on the clinical presentation, source of infection, microbiological characteristics, treatment strategies and clinical outcomes were tabulated. Risk factors for in-hospital all-cause mortality were identified by appropriate univariate and multivariable analyses.

RESULTS

There were 197 bacteraemia episodes. In-hospital mortality was 41.6 % (n = 82), and did not change significantly over the years. Patients who died were more likely to have prior carbapenem exposure (81.7 % vs 53.0 %, p < 0.001), presentation in an intensive care (ICU) setting (73.2 % vs 15.7 %, p < 0.001), and had a longer duration of fever (8.5 ± 2.5 vs 3.0 ± 3.8 days, p < 0.001). Microbiological isolation from additional sites other than the blood (e.g. sputum culture positivity) also correlated with mortality (39.0 % vs 7.8 %, p < 0.001). Over time, proportion of isolates resistant to fluoroquinolones increased. An initial antimicrobial choice containing trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole appeared to be more likely to be associated with survival. Only 13 patients (6.6 %) received dual antibiotics initially, so it was unclear if this was associated with better outcomes. On multivariable analysis, ICU onset, elevated C-reactive protein, longer duration of fever and an absence of intervention for source control remained independently associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Source control of infection may be critical in improving survival in Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteraemia. Future prospective studies should validate important risk factors for mortality and define optimal antimicrobial treatment strategies.

Dynamic Trends of Albumin-to-C-Reactive Protein Ratio: A Prognostic Indicator in Elderly Patients with Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Background

The prognostic significance of dynamic changes in the albumin-to-C-reactive protein ratio (ACR) in elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) has not been fully elucidated. This study aims to evaluate the utility of ACR as a dynamic biomarker for predicting 28-day mortality and enhancing risk stratification in this high-risk population.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 437 elderly CAP patients (≥65 years). Serum albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels were measured at admission (T0), 24 hours (T1), and 3 days (T2) post-admission. ACR was calculated for each time point, and its prognostic value was assessed using advanced statistical methods.

Results

The 28-day mortality rate was 16.7%. ACR levels were consistently lower in non-survivors across all time points (P < 0.001). RCS analysis revealed a nonlinear relationship between ACR and mortality risk. Time-varying ROC analysis demonstrated that ACR consistently outperformed CRP in predicting mortality, with superior area under the curve (AUC) values at all time points. Random-effects modeling indicated minimal inter-individual variability in ACR (random effects variance: 0.030; standard deviation: 0.175). Time-varying Cox regression confirmed a strong negative association between dynamic ACR changes and mortality risk, with a C-statistic of 0.833 (P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Dynamic monitoring of ACR is a robust and clinically applicable tool for predicting short-term mortality in elderly CAP patients. By integrating markers of inflammation and nutritional status, ACR facilitates early identification of high-risk patients and supports personalized treatment strategies. These findings highlight the potential of ACR as a novel biomarker for improving clinical outcomes in this vulnerable population.

Age- and sex-related differences in community-acquired pneumonia at presentation to the emergency department: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE

Because of its associated high morbidity and mortality, early identification and treatment of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) are essential.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate age- and sex-related differences in clinical symptoms, radiologic findings and outcomes in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with CAP.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Patients admitted to one Swiss ED with radiologically confirmed CAP between 1 January 2017 and 31 December 2018.

OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS

Primary aim was to evaluate differences in clinical and radiologic presentation of men vs. women and patients >65 years vs. <65 years with CAP. Secondary outcomes were age- and sex-related differences in terms of Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) risk class, need for ICU referral, mechanical ventilation, in-hospital mortality, 30-day readmission and 180-day pneumonia recurrence.

MAIN RESULTS

In total 467 patients with CAP were included. 211 were women (45%). 317 were ≥65 years (68%), of which 145 were women (46%). Older patients less commonly reported chest pain (13 vs. 27%; effect size 14%; 95% CI, 0.07-0.23), fever (39 vs. 53%, effect size 14%; 95% CI, 0.05-0.24), chills (6 vs. 20%; effect size 14%; 95% CI, 0.08-0.0.214), cough (44 vs. 57%; effect size 13%; 95% CI, 0.03-0.22), headache (5 vs. 15%, effect size 10%, 95% CI, 0.04-0.17) and myalgias (5 vs. 19%; effect size 14%; 95% CI, 0.07-0.21). However, 85% of patients with no symptoms were ≥65 years. PSI was lower in women [95 (SD 31) vs. 104 (SD 31); 95% CI, -14.44 to 2.35] and sputum was more common in men (32 vs. 22%; effect size 10%; 95% CI, -0.18 to -0.02). Raw mortality was higher in elderly patients [14 vs. 3%; odds ratio (OR), 4.67; 95% CI, 1.81-12.05], whereas it was similar in men and women (11 vs. 10%; OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.67-2.23).

CONCLUSION

Patients, less than 65 years with CAP presenting to the ED had significantly more typical symptoms such as chest pain, fever, chills, cough, headache and myalgias than those being above 65 years. No relevant differences between men and women were found in clinical presentation, except for PSI on admission, and radiologic findings and neither age nor sex was a predictor for mortality in CAP.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting 28-Day Mortality on Admission in Elderly Patients with Severe Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Introduction

There were few studies on the mortality of severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) in elderly people. Early prediction of 28-day mortality of hospitalized patients will help in the clinical management of elderly patients (age ≥65 years) with SCAP, but a prediction model that is reliable and valid is still lacking.

Methods

The 292 elderly patients with SCAP met the criteria defined by the American Thoracic Society from 33 hospitals in China. Clinical parameters were analyzed by the use of univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis. A nomogram to predict the 28-day mortality in elderly patients with SCAP was constructed and evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and internally verified using the Bootstrap method.

Results

A total of 292 elderly patients (227 surviving and 65 died within 28 days) were included in the analysis. Age, Glasgow score, blood platelet, and blood urea nitrogen values were found to be significantly associated with 28-day mortality in elderly patients with SCAP. The AUC of the nomogram was 0.713 and the calibration curve for 28-day mortality also showed high coherence between the predicted and actual probability of mortality.

Conclusion

This study provides a nomogram containing age, Glasgow score, blood platelet, and blood urea nitrogen values that can be conveniently used to predict 28-day mortality in elderly patients with SCAP. This model has the potential to assist clinicians in evaluating prognosis of patients with SCAP.

Intensive care of geriatric patients-a thin line between under- and overtreatment

Demographic developments are leading to an ever-increasing proportion of elderly and aged patients in hospitals at all levels of care, and even more patients from these age groups are to be expected in the future. Based on the projected population development, e.g., in Norway, an increase in intensive care beds of between 26 and 37% is expected by 2025. This poses special challenges for the treatment and management of geriatric intensive care patients. The acute illness is not the only decisive factor, but rather the existing multimorbidity and functional limitations of this vulnerable patient group must likewise be taken into account. Age per se is not the sole determinant of prognosis in critical patients, even though mortality increases with age.

Predictors of mortality and disability in stroke-associated pneumonia

Whilst stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is common and associated with poor outcomes, less is known about the determinants of these adverse clinical outcomes in SAP. To identify the factors that influence mortality and morbidity in SAP. Data for patients with SAP (n = 854) were extracted from a regional Hospital Stroke Register in Norfolk, UK (2003–2015). SAP was defined as pneumonia occurring within 7 days of admission by the treating clinicians. Mutlivariable regression models were constructed to assess factors influencing survival and the level of disability at discharge using modified Rankin Scale [mRS]. Mean (SD) age was 83.0 (8.7) years and ischaemic stroke occurred in 727 (85.0%). Mortality was 19.0% at 30 days and 44.0% at 6 months. Stroke severity assessment using National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale was not recorded in the data set although Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project was Classification. In the multivariable analyses, 30-day mortality was independently associated with age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01–1.07, p = 0.01), haemorrhagic stroke (2.27, 1.07–4.78, p = 0.03) and pre-stroke disability (mRS 4–5 v 0–1: 6.45, 3.12–13.35, p < 0.001). 6-month mortality was independently associated with age (< 0.001), pre-stroke disability (p < 0.001) and certain comorbidities, including the following: dementia (6.53, 4.73–9.03, p < 0.001), lung cancer (2.07, 1.14–3.77, p = 0.017) and previous transient ischemic attack (1.94, 1.12–3.36, p = 0.019). Disability defined by mRS at discharge was independently associated with age (1.10, 1.05–1.16, p < 0.001) and plasma C-reactive protein (1.02, 1.01–1.03, p = 0.012). We have identified non-modifiable determinants of poor prognosis in patients with SAP. Further studies are required to identify modifiable factors which may guide areas for intervention to improve the prognosis in SAP in these patients.

Burden of infections on older patients presenting to general practice: a registry-based study

BACKGROUND

Estimates on the incidence rates of infections are needed to assess the burden of disease in the community.

OBJECTIVE

To assess incidence rates of potentially serious infections in patients aged 65 years and over presenting to Flemish general practice from 2000 to 2015, and to describe patient characteristics.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study, based on data provided by the Intego morbidity registry of the KU Leuven, which includes the electronic medical records of 111 general practitioners. Incidence rates were calculated taking person-time at risk into account, and longitudinal trends from 2000 to 2015 were analysed using autoregressive time-series analyses.

RESULTS

On average, a person aged 65 years or older has an 8.0% risk of getting a potentially serious infection each year. Acute cystitis was the most often occurring potentially serious infection [39.8/1000 person-years; 95% confidence interval (CI): 39.4-40.2], followed by influenza like illness (ILI, 24.3/1000 person-years; 95% CI: 24.0-24.6) and pneumonia (9.7/1000 person-years; 95% CI: 9.5-9.9). The incidence rates of pneumonia were higher in older age groups and in men, whereas they were markedly lower for ILI at older ages, in both genders. From 2000 to 2015, overall incidence rates decreased significantly for ILI, while they increased in women for pneumonia, acute cystitis and pyelonephritis. Common chronic comorbidities were non-insulin dependent diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma, heart failure and chronic renal insufficiency.

CONCLUSIONS

Potentially serious infections are quite common in an older patient population presenting to primary care. They are accompanied by several chronic comorbidities, which may differ by infection type.

The role of qSOFA score and biomarkers in assessing severity of community-acquired pneumonia in adults

Introduction: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the primary cause of severe sepsis. Severity assessment scores have been created, in order to help physicians decide the proper management of CAP. The purpose of this study was to examine the correlations between different CAP severity scores, including qSOFA, several biomarkers and their predictive value in the 30 day follow-up period, regarding adverse outcome.

Materials and methods: One hundred and thirty nine adult patients with CAP, admitted in the Teaching Hospital of Infectious Diseases, Cluj-Napoca, Romania from December 2015 to February 2017, were enrolled in this study. Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), CURB-65, SMART-COP and the qSOFA scores were calculated at admittance. Also, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT) and albumin levels were used to determine severity.

Results: The mean PSI of all patients was 93.30±41.135 points, for CURB-65 it was 1.91±0.928 points, for SMART-COP it was 1.69±1.937 points. The mean qSOFA was 1.06±0.522 points, 21 (14.9%) were at high risk of in-hospital mortality. In the group of patients with qSOFA of ≥2, all pneumonia severity scores and all biomarkers tested were higher than those with scores <2. We found significant correlations between biomarkers and severity scores, but none regarding adverse outcome.

Conclusion: The qSOFA score is easier to use and it is able to accurately evaluate the severity of CAP, similar to other scores. Biomarkers are useful in determining the severity of the CAP. Several studies are needed to assess the prediction of these biomarkers and severity scores in pneumonia regarding adverse outcome.

Risk factors for death in tuberculosis patients requiring ICU care

The prognostic factor for in-hospital mortality in tuberculosis (TB) patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) care remains unclear. Therefore, a retrospective study was conducted aiming to estimate the in-hospital mortality rate and the risk factors for mortality in a high-burden setting. All patients with culture-confirmed TB that were admitted to the ICU of the hospital between March 2012 and April 2019 were identified retrospectively. Data, such as demographic characteristics, comorbidities, laboratory measures and mortality, were obtained from medical records. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to identify prognostic factors that influence in-hospital mortality. A total of 82 ICU patients with confirmed TB were included in the analysis, and 22 deaths were observed during the hospital stay, 21 patients died in the ICU. In the multivariable model adjusted for sex and age, the levels of serum albumin and white blood cell (WBC) count were significantly associated with mortality in TB patients requiring ICU care (all P < 0.01), the hazard ratios were 0.8 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.7–0.9) per 1 g/l and 1.1 (95% CI: 1.0–1.2) per 1 × 10⁹/l, respectively. In conclusion, in-hospital mortality remains high in TB patients requiring ICU care. Low serum albumin level and high WBC count significantly impact the risk of mortality in these TB patients in China.

Diagnostic performance of initial blood urea nitrogen combined with D-dimer levels for predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients

The crude mortality rate in critical pneumonia cases with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) reaches 49%. This study aimed to test whether levels of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) in combination with D-dimer were predictors of in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients. The clinical characteristics of 305 COVID-19 patients were analysed and were compared between the survivor and non-survivor groups. Of the 305 patients, 85 (27.9%) died and 220 (72.1%) were discharged from hospital. Compared with discharged cases, non-survivor cases were older and their BUN and D-dimer levels were significantly higher (P < 0.0001). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariable Cox regression analyses identified BUN and D-dimer levels as independent risk factors for poor prognosis. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that elevated levels of BUN and D-dimer were associated with increased mortality (log-rank, P < 0.0001). The area under the curve for BUN combined with D-dimer was 0.94 (95% CI 0.90-0.97), with a sensitivity of 85% and specificity of 91%. Based on BUN and D-dimer levels on admission, a nomogram model was developed that showed good discrimination, with a concordance index of 0.94. Together, initial BUN and D-dimer levels were associated with mortality in COVID-19 patients. The combination of BUN ≥ 4.6 mmol/L and D-dimer ≥ 0.845 μg/mL appears to identify patients at high risk of in-hospital mortality, therefore it may prove to be a powerful risk assessment tool for severe COVID-19 patients.

Admission IL-32 concentration predicts severity and mortality of severe community-acquired pneumonia independently of etiology

BACKGROUND

Severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP) is a critical disorder with high morbidity and mortality, usually manifested as acute respiratory failure and septic shock generally caused by exaggerated systemic inflammation. Interleukin-32 (IL-32), a pro-inflammatory cytokine, has been reported involved in various infectious diseases. We investigated the efficacy of the plasma IL-32 as a biomarker for evaluating the severity and clinical outcomes in SCAP patients.

METHODS

A total of 124 adult immunocompetent SCAP patients and 87 healthy controls were enrolled in this observational, prospective cohort study.

RESULTS

We found that PBMCs IL-32 mRNA and plasma IL-32 concentrations on admission of SCAP patients were significantly higher than healthy controls. Plasma IL-32 concentrations closely correlated with increasing severity scores, the need for vasopressor support or invasive mechanical ventilation but not with the etiology. The area under the curve (AUC) for predicting 30-day mortality using IL-32 was 0.812, is superior to WBCs and CRP. Incorporation of IL-32 with the severity scores were shown to improve the prognostic accuracy considerably. Furthermore, the 30-day cumulative survival rate in high IL-32 concentration group was significantly lower than that in the low concentration group. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, higher IL-32 concentration and higher PSI score were recognized as the independent risk factors for survival, and the relative risks were 2.568 and 3.362, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Admission IL-32 concentration closely related to the severity and mortality of SCAP, and it may be served as a potential biomarker to help clinical judgment and management.

Clinical Value of Presepsin in Comparison to hsCRP as a Monitoring and Early Prognostic Marker for Sepsis in Critically Ill Patients

Background and objectives: Sepsis carries a poor prognosis for critically ill patients, even withintensive management. We aimed to determined early predictors of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality and to monitor levels of presepsin and high sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP) during admission relative to the applied treatment and the development of complications. Materials and Methods: An observational study was conducted on 68 intensive care unit (ICU) patients with sepsis. Blood samples from each patient were collected at admission (day 0) for measuring presepsin, hsCRP, biochemical examination, complete blood picture and microbiological culture and at the third day (day 3) for measuring presepsin and hsCRP. Predictors of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality were assessed using regression analysis. Predictive abilities of presepsin and hsCRP were compared using the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to estimate the overall survival rate. Results: Results showed that the sepsis-related in-hospital mortality was 64.6%. The day 0 presepsin and SOFA scores were associated with this mortality. Presepsin levels were significantly higher at days 0 and 3 in non-survivors vs. survivors (p = 0.03 and p < 0.001 respectively) and it decreased over the three days in survivors. Presepsin had a higher prognostic accuracy than hsCRP at all the evaluated times. Conclusions: Overall, in comparison with hsCRP, presepsin was an early predictor of sepsis-related in-hospital mortality in ICU patients. Changes in presepsin concentrations over time may be useful for sepsis monitoring, which in turn could be useful for stratifying high-risk patients on ICU admission that benefit from intensive treatment.

Poverty as an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in community-acquired pneumonia: A study in a developing country population

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is one of the most severe lower respiratory tract infections with a high in-hospital mortality. The aim of this study was to investigate the socioeconomic and medical risk factors affecting the prognosis of acute pneumonia. The results of this study can mention the value of socioeconomic backgrounds like poverty and illiteracy in clinical practice, even in a well-known biological phenomenon (eg acute pneumonia).

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, all admitted patients to a tertiary teaching hospital with a diagnosis of community acquired pneumonia in a 12-month period were enrolled. Socioeconomic and demographic characteristics, underlying conditions, clinical manifestations and para-clinical test results at admission registered prospectively. A logistic regression model was conducted using in-hospital mortality as the dependent variable.

RESULTS

A total of 621 patients was included in this study. Among them, 47 patients (7.6%) died during the hospitalisation period. In multiple logistic regression analysis, pleural effusion, a higher CURB-65 score, hyponatremia, hyperglycaemia and poverty (being in the lower economic class) were identified as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality in community-acquired pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

Numerous factors can influence the prognosis of CAP. In addition to the CURB-65 score and some other medical risk factors, socioeconomic backgrounds can also affect the early outcome in CAP. In this study, being in the lower economic class (as an indicator of poverty) is interpreted as an independent risk factor for a poor prognosis in CAP.

Characteristics and Management of Community-Acquired Pneumonia in the Era of Global Aging

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) can occur at any time of life, but its incidence and risk of death are linked to increasing age. CAP in the elderly is a major health problem associated with high rates of readmission, morbidity, and mortality. Since the clinical presentation of pneumonia in the elderly may be atypical, clinicians should suspect pneumonia in older patients presenting symptoms such as falls and altered mental status, fatigue, lethargy, delirium, anorexia, in order to avoid the complications associated with delayed diagnosis and therapy. Streptococcus pneumoniae remains the most frequently reported pathogen in this population. However, particular attention should be paid to patients with risk factors for multidrug resistant pathogens, because a large proportion of elderly persons present multimorbidity. Vaccination is one of the most important preventive approaches for CAP in the elderly. In addition, lifestyle-tailored interventions for different modifiable risk factors will help to reduce the risk of pneumonia in elderly persons. Surveillance of etiological pathogens may improve vaccination policies in this population.

Effects of age, comorbidity and adherence to current antimicrobial guidelines on mortality in hospitalized elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Limited information exists on the clinical characteristics predictive of mortality in patients aged ≥65 years in many countries. The impact of adherence to current antimicrobial guidelines on the mortality of hospitalized elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) has never been assessed.

METHODS

A total of 3131 patients aged ≥65 years were enrolled from a multi-center, retrospective, observational study initiated by the CAP-China network. Risk factors for death were screened with multivariable logistic regression analysis, with emphasis on the evaluation of age, comorbidities and antimicrobial treatment regimen with regard to the current Chinese CAP guidelines.

RESULTS

The mean age of the study population was 77.4 ± 7.4 years. Overall in-hospital and 60-day mortality were 5.7% and 7.6%, respectively; these rates were three-fold higher in those aged ≥85 years than in the 65-74 group (11.9% versus 3.2% for in-hospital mortality and 14.1% versus 4.7% for 60-day mortality, respectively). The mortality was significantly higher among patients with comorbidities compared with those who were otherwise healthy. According to the 2016 Chinese CAP guidelines, 62.1% of patients (1907/3073) received non-adherent treatment. For general-ward patients without risk factors for Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) infection (n = 2258), 52.3% (1094/2090) were over-treated, characterized by monotherapy with an anti-pseudomonal β-lactam or combination with fluoroquinolone + β-lactam; while 71.4% of intensive care unit (ICU) patients (120/168) were undertreated, without coverage of atypical bacteria. Among patients with risk factors for PA infection (n = 815), 22.9% (165/722) of those in the general ward and 74.2% of those in the ICU (69/93) were undertreated, using regimens without anti-pseudomonal activity. The independent predictors of 60-day mortality were age, long-term bedridden status, congestive heart failure, CURB-65, glucose, heart rate, arterial oxygen saturation (SaO2) and albumin levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Overtreatment in general-ward patients and undertreatment in ICU patients were critical problems. Compliance with Chinese guidelines will require fundamental changes in standard-of-care treatment patterns. The data included herein may facilitate early identification of patients at increased risk of mortality.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT02489578 ).

Bacterial Pneumonia in Older Adults

The incidence of pneumonia increases with age, and is particularly high in patients who reside in long-term care facilities (LTCFs). Mortality rates for pneumonia in older adults are high and have not decreased in the last decade. Atypical symptoms and exacerbation of underlying illnesses should trigger clinical suspicion of pneumonia. Risk factors for multidrug-resistant organisms are more common in older adults, particularly among LTCF residents, and should be considered when making empiric treatment decisions. Monitoring of clinical stability and underlying comorbid conditions, potential drug-drug interactions, and drug-related adverse events are important factors in managing elderly patients with pneumonia.

A structured training program for health workers in intravenous treatment with fluids and antibiotics in nursing homes: A modified stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial to reduce hospital admissions

Objectives

Hospitalization is potentially detrimental to nursing home patients and resource demanding for the specialist health care. This study assessed if a brief training program in administrating intravenous fluids and antibiotics in nursing homes could reduce hospital transfers and ensure high quality care locally.

Design

A pragmatic and modified cluster randomized stepped-wedge trial with randomization on nursing home level.

Participants

330 cases in 296 nursing home residents from 30 nursing homes were included. Cases were patients provided intravenous antibiotics or intravenous fluids, in nursing home or hospital. Primary outcome was localization of treatment, secondary outcomes were number of days treated, days of hospitalization among admitted patients, type of antibiotics used and 30-day mortality.

Intervention

The nursing homes sequentially received a one-day educational program for the health workers including theory and practical training in intravenous treatment of dehydration and infection, run by two skilled nurses. After completing the training program, the nursing homes had competence to provide intravenous treatment locally.

Results

The intervention had a highly significant effect on treatment in nursing homes (OR 8.35, 2.08 to 33.6; P<0.01, or RR 2.23, 1.48 to 2.56). The number treated in nursing homes was stable over time; the number treated in hospital gradually decreased (chi square for trend P< 0.001).

Among patients receiving intravenous antibiotics in the nursing homes, 50 (46%) died within 30 days, compared to 30 (36%) treated in the hospital (P = 0.19). Among patients receiving intravenous fluids locally, 21 (19%) died within 30 days, compared to 2 (8%) in the hospital group (P = 0.34). Mortality was associated with reduced consciousness and elevated c-reactive protein.

Conclusions

A brief educational program delivered to nursing home personnel was feasible and effective in reducing acute hospital admissions from nursing homes for treatment of dehydration and infections.

A new method to predict hospital mortality in severe community acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The aim of this study is to develop a new method that is able to accurately predict the 28day hospital mortality in patients with severe community acquired pneumonia (SCAP) at an early stage.

METHODS

We selected 37,348 SCAP patients in ICU from 173 hospitals during 2011.1-2013.12. The predictive factors for 28day hospital mortality were evaluated retrospectively. All cases underwent intensive care, blood routine, blood biochemical tests and arterial blood gas analysis. Under the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis, a new clinical scoring system was developed for early prediction in SCAP patients. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to calculate the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A novel clinical model named CLCGH scoring system, including Serum creatinine (Cr) >259.5μmol/L, leukocyte (WBC)>17.35×10⁹/L, C-reactive protein (CRP)>189.4μg/mL, GCS≤9 and serum HCO₃^-≤17.65mmol/L, was carried out and each index was an independent factor for hospital mortality in SCAP. In validation cohort, the AUC of the new scoring system was 0.889 for prediction of hospital mortality, which was similar to SOFA score 0.877, APACHEII score 0.864, and was better than the PSI score 0.761 and CURB-65 score 0.767.

CONCLUSIONS

The new scoring system CLCGH is an efficient, accurate and objective method to predicate the early hospital mortality among SCAP patients.

A novel biochemical marker for community-acquired pneumonia: Ischemia-modified albumin

INTRODUCTION

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a frequent cause of hospitalization and a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Early diagnosis and the initiation of appropriate antibiotic therapy are essential to reduce pneumonia-related morbidity and mortality. CRP is a well-established biomarker in many clinical settings, but has been traditionally considered not specific enough to be a useful guide in the diagnostic process of pneumonia. There is still a need for more specific and practical markers in CAP for diagnosis. The aim of this study was to investigate the diagnostic value of ischemia-modified albumin (IMA) levels in the diagnosis of CAP in the Emergency Department.

METHODS

The study included 81 patients admitted with CAP and 81 control patients. Initial hour levels of IMA and CRP were measured. The IMA mean levels were compared between the study and control group. Correlation analyses were performed to investigate the association of serum IMA levels with CRP.

RESULTS

Mean levels of IMA were 0.532±0.117IU/ml in the study group and 0.345±0.082IU/ml in the control group. IMA levels were significantly higher in the study group compared to the control group. The IMA level of 0.442IU/ml had sensitivity of 75.3% and specificity of 91.3% and was positively correlated with CRP levels (r=0.506; p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

Blood IMA levels significantly increase in adult patients presenting with CAP. IMA may be considered as a novel biomarker in the diagnosis of CAP.

The Utility of Acute-Phase Proteins in the Assessment of Treatment Response in Dogs With Bacterial Pneumonia

Background

Acute‐phase proteins (APPs) are sensitive markers of inflammation, and serum C‐reactive protein (CRP) recently has been shown to be a useful diagnostic marker in dogs with bacterial pneumonia (BP). In humans with community‐acquired pneumonia, APPs also have great utility as follow‐up markers aiding in the assessment of treatment response.

Objectives

The aim of our study was to investigate the applicability of APPs as markers of treatment response in dogs with BP.

Animals

Nineteen dogs diagnosed with BP and 64 healthy dogs.

Methods

The study was conducted as a prospective longitudinal observational study. Serum CRP, serum amyloid A (SAA), and haptoglobin concentrations were followed during a natural course of BP. Normalization of serum CRP was used to guide the duration of antibiotic treatment (treatment was stopped 5–7 days after CRP normalized) in 8 of 17 dogs surviving to discharge; 9 of 17 dogs were treated according to conventional recommendations.

Results

All measured APPs initially were significantly increased, but the magnitude of increase was not correlated to disease severity. C‐reactive protein and SAA concentrations decreased rapidly after initiation of antimicrobial treatment. When normalization of serum CRP was used to guide the duration of antibiotic treatment, treatment duration was significantly (P = .015) decreased without increasing the number of relapses.

Conclusions and Clinical Importance

Serum CRP and SAA reflected the recovery process well and therefore may be used as markers of treatment response. According to the results, the normalization of serum CRP may be used to guide the duration of antibiotic treatment in dogs with BP.

Plasma levels of soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 as a biomarker for disease severity of patients with community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is characterized as an acute inflammation of the lung associated with the activation of macrophages and neutrophils. Intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) is an essential adhesion molecule involved in immune cell recruitment in lung inflammation. We investigated whether ICAM-1 is a useful biomarker for assessing the disease severity of hospitalized adult patients with CAP.

METHODS

Plasma soluble ICAM-1 (sICAM-1) levels were measured in 78 patients with CAP and 69 healthy controls by using a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The pneumonia severity index scores were used to determine CAP severity in patients upon initial hospitalization.

RESULTS

The sICAM-1 and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels decreased significantly in patients with CAP after antibiotic treatment. The plasma concentration of sICAM-1 alone, but not CRP, was correlated with CAP severity according to the pneumonia severity index scores (r=0.431, p<0.001). The sICAM-1 levels in patients with CAP with high mortality risk were significantly higher than those in patients with CAP with medium or low mortality risk. Moreover, the sICAM-1 level showed a significant correlation with the length of hospital stay (r=0.488, p<0.001). Mechanistic investigations found that bacterial lipopolysaccharide induced upregulation of ICAM-1 expression through the c-Jun N-terminal kinase pathway in RAW264.7 macrophages.

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma sICAM-1 levels may play a role in the diagnosis and clinical assessment of CAP severity.

A New Prognosis Score to Predict Mortality After Acute Pneumonia in Very Elderly Patients

OBJECTIVES

Acute pneumonia (AP) induces an excess of mortality among the elderly. We evaluated the value of a new predictive biomarker index compared to usual prognosis scores for predicting in-hospital and 1-year mortalities in elderly inpatients with AP.

DESIGN

Retrospective study in 6 clinical departments of a university hospital.

SETTING

Burgundy university hospital (France).

PARTICIPANTS

All patients aged 75 and over with AP and hospitalized between January 1 and June 30, 2013, in the departments of medicine (5) and intensive care (1) of our university hospital.

MEASUREMENTS

A new index, which we named UBMo, was created by multiplying the uremia (U in the formula) by the N-terminal-pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) plasmatic rate (B), divided by the monocyte count (Mo).

RESULTS

Among the 217 patients included, there were 138 community-acquired pneumonia, 56 nursing home-acquired pneumonia, and 23 hospital-acquired pneumonia. In-hospital and 1-year mortality rates were respectively 19.8% and 43.8%. In multivariate analysis, Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), unlike CURB-65 (confusion, urea >7 mmol/L, respiratory rate ≥30 breaths/min, blood pressure <90 mmHg systolic or ≤60 mmHg diastolic, age ≥65) score, was associated with in-hospital and 1-year mortalities. UBMo index performed better than PSI and CURB-65 scores in predicting both in-hospital and 1-year mortalities. For in-hospital mortality, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) were 0.89 (95% CI = 0.84-0.94), 0.72 (95% CI = 0.65-0.80), and 0.63 (95% CI = 0.54-0.72), respectively, for the 3 scores. For 1-year mortality, the AUCs were 0.93 (95% CI = 0.89-0.98), 0.66 (95% CI = 0.59-0.74), and 0.58 (95% CI = 0.50-0.66), respectively, for the 3 scores. The cut point for the UBMo index of 20,000 × 10^-9 ng·mmol/L had a sensitivity of 93.1% and 80.9% and a specificity of 76.3% and 95.8%, respectively, for in-hospital and 1-year mortalities.

CONCLUSION

If confirmed by prospective studies, the UBMo index appears very efficient in identifying patients at high risk of in-hospital and 1-year mortalities after an AP.

Plasma Monocyte Chemoattractant Protein-1 Level as a Predictor of the Severity of Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1 increases in the serum of immunocompetent patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). However, the correlation between the circulating level of MCP-1 and severity of CAP remains unclear. This study investigated differential changes in the plasma MCP-1 levels of patients with CAP before and after an antibiotic treatment and further analyzes the association between the CAP severity and MCP-1 levels. We measured the plasma MCP-1 levels of 137 patients with CAP and 74 healthy controls by using a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Upon initial hospitalization, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II); confusion, urea level, respiratory rate, blood pressure, and age of >64 years (CURB-65); and pneumonia severity index (PSI) scores were determined for assessing the CAP severity in these patients. The antibiotic treatment reduced the number of white blood cells (WBCs) and neutrophils as well as the level of C-reactive protein (CRP) and MCP-1. The plasma MCP-1 level, but not the CRP level or WBC count, correlated with the CAP severity according to the PSI (r = 0.509, p < 0.001), CURB-65 (r = 0.468, p < 0.001), and APACHE II (r = 0.360, p < 0.001) scores. We concluded that MCP-1 levels act in the development of CAP and are involved in the severity of CAP.

Utility of Plasma Osteopontin Levels in Management of Community-Acquired Pneumonia

Osteopontin (OPN) is an essential cytokine involved in immune cell recruitment and an important regulator of inflammation. The purpose of this study was to examine differences in OPN plasma levels between before and after antibiotic treatment in hospitalized adult patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). OPN levels were measured in 93 patients with CAP and 54 healthy controls using a commercial enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The CURB-65, Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores were used to determine the CAP severity in patients upon initial hospitalization. A decline in the number of white blood cells (WBCs) and neutrophils, and decreases in the levels of OPN and C-reactive protein (CRP) were observed after antibiotic treatment. Only the plasma level of OPN, but not CRP, was correlated with the severity of CAP based on the PSI (r = 0.514, p < 0.001), CURB-65 (r = 0.396, p < 0.001), and APACHE II scores (r = 0.473, p < 0.001). The OPN level also showed a significant correlation with the length of hospital stay (r = 0.210, p = 0.044). In conclusion, plasma level of OPN may act as diagnostic adjuvant biomarkers for CAP and further play a role in clinical assessment of the severity of CAP, which could potentially guide the development of treatment strategies.

The C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio as an Independent Predictor of Mortality in Patients with Severe Sepsis or Septic Shock Treated with Early Goal-Directed Therapy

Background

Sepsis, including severe sepsis and septic shock, is a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) are considered as good diagnostic markers for sepsis. Thus, initial CRP and albumin levels were combined to ascertain their value as an independent predictor of 180-day mortality in patients with severe sepsis and septic shock.

Materials and Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 670 patients (>18 years old) who were admitted to the emergency department and who had received a standardized resuscitation algorithm (early goal-directed therapy) for severe sepsis and septic shock, from November 2007 to February 2013, at a tertiary hospital in Seoul, Korea. The outcome measured was 180-day all-cause mortality. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the independent risk factors for mortality. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was conducted to compare the predictive accuracy of the CRP/albumin ratio at admission.

Results

The 180-day mortality was 28.35% (190/670). Based on the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, age, the CRP/albumin ratio at admission (adjusted HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03–1.10, p<0.001), lactate level at admission (adjusted HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.05–1.14, p<0.001), and the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score at admission (adjusted HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07–1.18, p<0.001) were independent predictors of 180-day mortality. The area under the curve of CRP alone and the CRP/albumin ratio at admission for 180-day mortality were 0.5620 (P<0.001) and 0.6211 (P<0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

The CRP/albumin ratio was an independent predictor of mortality in patients with severe sepsis or septic shock.

Increased Severity and Mortality of CAP in COPD: Results from the German Competence Network, CAPNETZ

Background:Mortality of community acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains high despite significant research efforts. Knowledge about comorbidities including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) might help to improve management and ultimately, survival. The impact of COPD on CAP severity and mortality remains a point of discussion. Objectives:Assess the prevalence and clinical characteristics of COPD in the observational German Competence Network for CAP, CAPNETZ, and to study the impact of COPD on CAP severity and mortality. Methods:1307 consecutive patients with CAP (57.0% males, age 59.0±18.5), classified as CAP-only (n=1043; 78.0%) and CAP-COPD (n=264; 20.2%) were followed up for 180 days. Associations between CAP, COPD and mortality were evaluated by univariate/multivariate and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. Results:CAP-COPD patients were older, more often males, current/former smokers, with higher confusion-urea-respiratory rate-blood pressure, (CURB) scores. Length of hospital stay, urea, glucose and leucocytes plasma levels, and arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO2) were significantly increased in CAP-COPD. Thirty, 90- and 180-day mortality rates were significantly increased in CAP-COPD (p=0.046, odds ratio [OR]=2.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.015-6.037; p=0.003, OR=2.80, 95%CI 1.430-5.468; p=0.001, OR=2.57, 95%CI 1.462-4.498; respectively). Intensive care unit (ICU)-admission and age, but not COPD, were identified as independent predictors of short- and long-term mortality. Conclusion:Severity as well as mortality was significantly higher in COPD patients with CAP. To improve CAP management with the aim to decrease its still-too-high mortality, underlying comorbidities, particularly COPD, need to be assessed.

Guía de consenso para el abordaje de la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad en el paciente anciano

La incidencia de la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad se incrementa con la edad y se asocia a una elevada morbimortalidad debido a los cambios fisiológicos asociados al envejecimiento y a una mayor presencia de enfermedades crónicas. Debido a la importancia que tiene desde un punto de epidemiológico y pronóstico, y a la enorme heterogeneidad descrita en el manejo clínico, creemos que existía la necesidad de realizar un documento de consenso específico para este perfil de paciente. El propósito de este fue realizar una revisión de las evidencias en relación con los factores de riesgo para la etiología, la presentación clínica, el manejo y el tratamiento de la neumonía adquirida en la comunidad en los ancianos con el fin de elaborar una serie de recomendaciones específicas basadas en el análisis crítico de la literatura. Este documento es fruto de la colaboración de diferentes especialistas en representación de la Sociedad Española de Medicina de Urgencias y Emergencias (SEMES), Sociedad Española de Geriatría y Gerontología (SEGG), Sociedad Española de Quimioterapia (SEQ), Sociedad Española de Medicina Interna (SEMI), Sociedad Española de Neumología y Cirugía Torácica (SEPAR), Sociedad Española de Hospitalización a Domicilio (SEHAD) y Sociedad Española de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología Clínica (SEIMC).

Elevated plasma stromal-cell-derived factor-1 protein levels correlate with severity in patients with community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate differential changes in plasma levels of stromal-cell-derived factor-1 (SDF-1) before and after antibiotic treatment in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and observe the association between the severity of CAP and the plasma SDF-1 level.

METHODS

We gathered blood specimens from 61 adult CAP patients before and after antibiotic treatment and from 60 healthy controls to measure the plasma concentrations of SDF-1 by using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.

RESULTS

The plasma SDF-1 concentration was elevated significantly in patients with CAP before receiving treatment compared with the controls and decreased significantly after the patients received treatment. Leukocyte (WBC) and neutrophil counts and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels decreased significantly after antibiotic treatment. Moreover, differences in the plasma concentration of SDF-1 were significantly correlated with PSI, CURB-65, and APACHE II scores (r = 0.389, P = 0.002, and n = 61; r = 0.449, P < 0.001, and n = 61; and r = 0.363, P = 0.004, and n = 61, resp.).

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated plasma SDF-1 concentration can be used as a biological marker for the early diagnosis of CAP and for the early detection of its severity.

Management of community-acquired pneumonia in older adults

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is an increasing problem among the elderly. Multiple factors related to ageing, such as comorbidities, nutritional status and swallowing dysfunction have been implicated in the increased incidence of CAP in the older population. Moreover, mortality in patients with CAP rises dramatically with increasing age. Streptococcus pneumoniae is still the most common pathogen among the elderly, although CAP may also be caused by drug-resistant microorganisms and aspiration pneumonia. Furthermore, in the elderly CAP has a different clinical presentation, often lacking the typical acute symptoms observed in younger adults, due to the lower local and systemic inflammatory response. Several independent prognostic factors for mortality in the elderly have been identified, including factors related to pneumonia severity, inadequate response to infection, and low functional status. CAP scores and biomarkers have lower prognostic value in the elderly, and so there is a need to find new scales or to set new cut-off points for current scores in this population. Adherence to the current guidelines for CAP has a significant beneficial impact on clinical outcomes in elderly patients. Particular attention should also be paid to nutritional status, fluid administration, functional status, and comorbidity stabilizing therapy in this group of frail patients. This article presents an up-to-date review of the main aspects of CAP in elderly patients, including epidemiology, causative organisms, clinical features, and prognosis, and assesses key points for best practices for the management of the disease.

Soluble thrombomodulin to evaluate the severity and outcome of community-acquired pneumonia

This study aims to investigate the role of soluble thrombomodulin (sTM) in the evaluation of the severity and outcome of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in the emergency department (ED) and compare sTM with two biomarkers-procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP)-and two scoring systems-the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and CURB65 score. Patients with CAP were consecutively enrolled in the ED of an urban university hospital. sTM, PCT, and CRP levels were measured on enrollment. In addition, the PSI and CURB65 scores were calculated. For all patients, a 30-day follow-up was performed. A total of 573 patients with CAP were enrolled in this study. sTM, PCT, and CRP levels increased with the aggravation of the disease severity as assessed by the PSI and CURB65 score (all P <0.01). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sTM and the PSI were independent predictors of 30-day mortality, and the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the accuracy of sTM in the prediction of 30-day mortality was comparable with the PSI (P >0.05) and better than PCT, CRP, and the CURB65 score (P all <0.05). Furthermore, a combination of sTM and scoring systems can enhance the predictive accuracy of 30-day mortality. sTM is useful in the evaluation of the severity and outcome of CAP in the ED. A well-designed, multi-center study will be needed to further investigate the value of sTM in CAP.

Serum mannose-binding lectin and C-reactive protein are potential biomarkers for patients with community-acquired pneumonia

AIM

The aim of this study was to identify whether mannose-binding lectin (MBL) and C-reactive protein (CRP) may be used as clinical biomarkers for predicting outcome of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) by tracking serum MBL and CRP level changes during a time course.

METHODS

One hundred four patients with CAP and 100 healthy individuals were enrolled in this study. The patients were further divided into Survivor and Death groups based on 30-day mortality. The MBL and CRP levels in these patients at pre- and post-treatments at days 4 and 7 were determined using an immunoturbidimetric assay and an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

Compared to the control group, the MBL and CRP levels in the CAP group were significantly higher. CRP levels in the CAP group significantly reduced within 1 week following anti-infection and other supporting therapies including anti-phlegm and liquidation. MBL levels were significantly higher in the Survivor group than in the Death group (p<0.05). On the contrary, CRP levels were significantly higher in the Death group than in the Survivor group (p<0.05). There was a negative correlation between the serum MBL and CRP levels in all patients following the treatments.

CONCLUSION

Both the MBL and CRP can serve as inflammatory markers in predicting the outcome of patients with CAP.

Prediction of prognosis by markers in community-acquired pneumonia

Early identification of patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) at risk of poor outcome is critical for defining site of care and may impact on hospital resource consumption and prognosis. The Pneumonia Severity Index and CURB-65 are clinical rules that accurately identify individuals at risk of death. However, these scores have some limitations. Therefore in recent years, increasing attention has been being paid to research on biomarkers, since they have the potential to resolve fundamental issues regarding prognostic prediction that cannot be readily addressed using CAP-specific scores. Nevertheless, the use of biomarkers in this context needs to be validated in prospective trials so as to elucidate how they can best be applied in practice. This review examines the usefulness of biomarkers, whether used alone or in conjunction with other clinical severity of illness scores, for identifying CAP patients at risk of short- and long-term mortality and for predicting both the need for intensive care unit admission and the potential for treatment failure.

External validation of the CURSI criteria (confusion, urea, respiratory rate and shock index) in adults hospitalised for community-acquired pneumonia

Background

For patients hospitalised due to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), mortality risk is usually estimated with prognostic scores such as CRB-65 or CURB-65. For elderly patients, a new score referred to as CURSI has been proposed which uses shock index (SI) instead of the blood pressure (B) and age (65) criteria. The new score has not been externally validated to date.

Methods

We used data from a hospital-based CAP registry to compare the ability of CURSI, CURB-65 and CRB-65 to predict mortality at day 30 after hospital admission. Patients were stratified by score points as well as score-point-based risk categories, and mortality for each group was assessed. To compare test performance, receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed, and the areas under the curve (AUROC) were calculated with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

We analysed 553 inpatients (45% females, median age 78 years) hospitalised between 2005 and 2009 for CAP. Overall, mortality at day 30 was 11% (59/553). The study sample was characterised by advanced comorbidity (chronic heart failure: 22%, chronic kidney failure: 27%) and functional impairment (nursing home residency: 26%, dementia: 31%). All risk scores were significantly associated with 30-day mortality. The AUROC values with 95% CI using score points for risk prediction were as follows: 0.63 [0.56-0.71] for CRB-65, 0.68 [0.61-0.75] for CURB-65 and 0.68 [0.61-0.75] for CURSI. The CURSI-defined low-risk group (0 or 1 score point) had a higher mortality (8%) than the low-risk groups defined by CURB-65 and CRB-65 (4% and 3%, respectively). Lowering the cut-off for the CURSI-defined low-risk group (0 point only) would lower the mortality to 4%, making it comparable to the CURB-65-defined low-risk group.

Conclusions

In our study, the CURSI-defined low-risk group had a higher 30-day mortality than the low-risk groups defined by CURB-65 and CRB-65. Lowering the cut-off value for the CURSI low-risk group would result in a mortality comparable to the CURB-65-defined low risk group. Even then, however, CURSI does not perform better than the established risk scores.

Impact of serum C-reactive protein measurements in the first 2 days on the 30-day mortality in hospitalized patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia: a cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The purpose of the study is to evaluate the impact of daily consecutive measurements of C-reactive protein (CRP) in the initial 2 days of hospitalization on the 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

METHODS

We used 4 different thresholds of fractional decrease (FD) in CRP at the second day of admission (CRP2) of 25%, 30%, 40%, and 60%. In addition, we studied the association of each of these thresholds with the 30-day all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

The mean age was 64 ± 20; males, 59%. The 30-day mortality rate was 18% (20/111). The mean serum CRP levels at the first day of all study group and CRP2 were 203 ± 98 vs 146 ± 92 mg/L, respectively, P = .05. The mean FD in CRP2 levels among the survivors was 33 %, whereas among the nonsurvivors, was 7%, P < .001. Multiple regression analysis revealed that FD less than 25% in CRP2 was associated with 30-day all-cause mortality, odds ratio of 3.07 (95% confidence interval, 2.84-5.03), P = .002, compared with those with FD more than 25% in CRP2.

CONCLUSIONS

Fractional decrease less than 25% in CRP levels at the second day was significantly associated with 30-day all-cause mortality in hospitalized patients with severe CAP.

Blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio independently predicts mortality and severity of community-acquired pneumonia

Background

Early studies of community-acquired pneumonia showed that nonsurvivors had higher blood urea nitrogen levels and lower serum albumin levels than survivors. Therefore, elevation of the blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin (B/A) ratio may identify patients with community-acquired pneumonia who are becoming critically ill. This study investigated the correlation between commonly used laboratory markers, in particular the B/A ratio, and clinical outcomes of community-acquired pneumonia.

Methods

This observational study was performed in consecutive patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to our hospital over a period of one year. Blood counts, commonly used laboratory markers, microbiological tests, and calculation of Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) and CURB-65 were done on admission. The endpoints were mortality within 28 days of admission and requirement for intensive care.

Results

One hundred and seventy-five patients with community-acquired pneumonia were enrolled. Nineteen patients died within 28 days of admission and 29 patients required intensive care. Using multivariate analysis, independent factors associated with mortality were the requirement for intensive care (odds ratio [OR] 14.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.73–60.03, P < 0.001), PSI class (OR 3.55, 95% CI 1.08–11.66, P = 0.037), and B/A ratio (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.01–1.20, P = 0.037). Similarly, independent factors associated with need for intensive care were PSI class (OR 5.35, 95% CI 1.90–15.06, P = 0.002), CURB-65 (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.26–4.45, P = 0.007), and B/A ratio (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.09–1.47, P = 0.002).

Conclusion

The B/A ratio is a simple but independent predictor of mortality and severity of community-acquired pneumonia.

[Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), CURB-65, and mortality in hospitalized elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia]

BACKGROUND

Aspiration pneumonia is associated with a high morbidity and mortality in elderly patients. In order to provide risk-adapted medical care, it is necessary to establish valid prognostic tools for these patients.

OBJECTIVE

The value of two well-established scores to assess prognosis in community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), i.e., CURB-65 and the Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), was evaluated in elderly patients hospitalized for aspiration pneumonia.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 209 patients hospitalized with aspiration pneumonia between 2001 and 2005 in a single center were evaluated using PSI and CURB-65. For comparison of morbidity and mortality, an equally large group of inpatients with CAP was analyzed.

RESULTS

The mean age of patients with aspiration pneumonia was 76.7 ± 13.4 years, and 104 (49.8 %) were female. Patients with aspiration pneumonia more frequently showed a history of cancer, hypotension, and hyponatriemia on admission. Mortality was clearly higher in comparison to patients with CAP (39.2% vs. 16.3%). The Odds Ratio (OR) for mortality was 1.03 (95% CI 0.59; 1.79) for a CURB-65 score of 3-5 points compared to 0-2 points. In cases of CAP, OR showed a statistically significant increase of risk (OR 2.50; 95% CI 1.04; 6.06), for CURB-65 scores of 3-5 points vs. 0-2 points). In aspiration pneumonia, the PSI showed a trend towards increasing mortality within higher risk class.

CONCLUSIONS

In geriatric patients hospitalized with aspiration pneumonia, CURB-65 and PSI have no prognostic value.

Guidelines for the management of adult lower respiratory tract infections--summary

This document is an update of Guidelines published in 2005 and now includes scientific publications through to May 2010. It provides evidence-based recommendations for the most common management questions occurring in routine clinical practice in the management of adult patients with LRTI. Topics include management outside hospital, management inside hospital (including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD), acute exacerbations of bronchiectasis) and prevention. The target audience for the Guideline is thus all those whose routine practice includes the management of adult LRTI.

Predictors of in-hospital mortality of older patients admitted for community-acquired pneumonia

BACKGROUND

there were a few studies on the case mortality of pneumonia in older people, of which results were conflicting.

OBJECTIVES

this study aimed to identify risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality in older patients admitted for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

DESIGN

a prospective cohort study.

SETTING

hospital sample.

SUBJECTS

during the 1-year study period (from October 2009 to September 2010), 488 older patients aged 65 or above were recruited.

METHODS

demographic characteristics, medical illnesses (Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI)), premorbid functional status (Katz's index) and baseline blood tests were recorded. The outcome was in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

in this cohort of patients, the mean age was 81.0 years (±7.9) and 282 (57.8%) were male. Nursing home residents accounted for 23.8% (116/488) of study subjects. The median CCI was 2 (inter-quartile range (IQR): 1-3); 60 (12.3%) patients succumbed during hospital stay. Logistic regression showed that comorbidities, mid-arm circumference, serum albumin level and severity of pneumonia (Confusion, blood Urea nitrogen, Respiratory rate and low Blood pressure (CURB) score) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality of pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

in keeping with previous studies, CURB score and comorbidities were the most significant independent predictors of mortality of CAP in older patients. Our study concluded that nutritional status was also an important factor affecting their survival. This study failed to demonstrate functional status as a predictor of mortality due to limitation of Katz's index.

Guidelines for the management of adult lower respiratory tract infections--full version

This document is an update of Guidelines published in 2005 and now includes scientific publications through to May 2010. It provides evidence-based recommendations for the most common management questions occurring in routine clinical practice in the management of adult patients with LRTI. Topics include management outside hospital, management inside hospital (including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD), acute exacerbations of bronchiectasis) and prevention. Background sections and graded evidence tables are also included. The target audience for the Guideline is thus all those whose routine practice includes the management of adult LRTI.

Proinflammatory cytokines, sickness behavior, and Alzheimer disease

BACKGROUND

In Alzheimer disease (AD), systemic inflammation is known to give rise to a delirium. However, systemic inflammation also gives rise to other centrally mediated symptoms in the absence of a delirium, a concept known as sickness behavior. Systemic inflammation is characterized by the systemic production of the proinflammatory cytokines tumor necrosis factor-α (TNFα) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) that mediate immune to brain communication and the development of sickness behavior.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if raised serum TNFα or IL-6 are associated with the presence of sickness behavior symptoms, independent of the development of delirium, in a prospective cohort study of subjects with AD.

METHODS

A total of 300 subjects with mild to severe AD were cognitively assessed at baseline and a blood sample taken for inflammatory markers. Cognitive assessments, including assessments to detect the development of a delirium, and blood samples were repeated at 2, 4, and 6 months. The development of neuropsychiatric symptoms in the subject with AD over the 6-month follow-up period was assessed independently by carer interview at 2, 4, and 6 months.

RESULTS

Raised serum TNFα and IL-6, but not CRP, were associated with an approximately 2-fold increased frequency of neuropsychiatric symptoms characteristic of sickness behavior. These relationships are independent of the development of delirium.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased serum proinflammatory cytokines are associated with the presence of symptoms characteristic of sickness behavior, which are common neuropsychiatric features found in AD. This association was independent of the presence of delirium.

Albumin and C-reactive protein have prognostic significance in patients with community-acquired pneumonia

PURPOSE

This study aims to determine the association of commonly used biochemical markers, such as albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP), with mortality and the prognostic performance of these markers combined with the pneumonia severity index (PSI) for mortality and adverse outcomes in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The data were gathered prospectively for patients hospitalized with CAP via the emergency department. Laboratory values, including CRP and albumin, clinical variables, and the PSI were measured. Primary outcomes were 28-day mortality and survival times. Secondary outcome was admission to the intensive care unit, vasopressor use, or the need for mechanical ventilation during the hospital stay.

RESULTS

A total of 424 patients were included. The 28-day mortality was 13.7%. C-reactive protein and albumin were significantly different between survivors and nonsurvivors. In logistic regression analysis, CRP and albumin were independently associated with 28-day mortality (P < .05). Receiver operating characteristic curves showed improved mortality prediction by adding CRP or albumin to the PSI scale. The Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that high serum albumin (≥3.3 mg/dL) had a hazard ratio of 0.5 (95% confidence interval, 0.3-0.9), and high CRP (≥14.3 mg/dL) had a hazard ratio of 2.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.1-3.4). For predicting secondary outcome, adding albumin to PSI increased areas under the curve significantly, but CRP did not.

CONCLUSION

Albumin and CRP were associated with 28-day mortality in hospitalized patients with CAP, and these markers increased prognostic performance when combined with the PSI scale.