Validation of a Deficit-Accumulation Frailty Index in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly Study and Its Predictive Capacity for Disability-Free Survival

Associations Between MASLD, Ultra-Processed Food and a Mediterranean Dietary Pattern in Older Adults

Background/Objectives: Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) is the most common liver disease worldwide, affecting 38% of the adult population globally. Methods: We examined the impact of the Mediterranean Diet and Ultra Processed Food (UPF) intake on the risk of prevalent MASLD in older adults. Results: Our major findings include that increased adherence to a Mediterranean Dietary pattern was associated with a decreased risk of MASLD. Additionally, we found that high UPF intake was associated with an increased risk of MASLD. Furthermore, our study found that even with a high UPF intake, the risk of MASLD decreased if the individual also had a higher Mediterranean Diet intake compared to a lower Mediterranean Diet intake. Conclusions: These results are of particular importance in older people, given the known links between MASLD, metabolic comorbidities and frailty. Public health messaging should focus on promoting Mediterranean dietary habits, and ways to help older people achieve this given the social and economic barriers they may face.

Frailty incidence by diabetes treatment regimens in older adults with diabetes mellitus in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly Study

Diabetes mellitus is a major risk factor for frailty in older adults, and studies suggest that frailty risk may differ by diabetes treatment regimen. To investigate the association between diabetes medication use and frailty, we conducted an observational cohort analysis of older adults with diabetes enrolled in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study. Diabetes at baseline (N = 2045) was defined as self-reported diabetes, fasting blood glucose levels > 125 mg/dL, or use of diabetes medication. Diabetes medication exposure at baseline was categorized as use of metformin only (monotherapy) (N = 545), metformin combined with other diabetes medications (N = 420), other diabetes medications only (N = 200), or no diabetes medications (N = 880). Frailty was defined using a modified Fried frailty phenotype (presence of ≥ 3 of 5 criteria) and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI, score > 0.21/1.00). Mixed effects ordinal logistic regression models revealed the odds of frailty at baseline were highest for the other diabetes medications only group, but this difference remained consistent over follow-up. After adjustment for covariates, including baseline pre-frailty, no differences in the rates of Fried or FI frailty were observed among the diabetes medication exposure groups. These findings suggest that diabetes medication exposure in older adults with diabetes does not directly impact frailty risk.

Protective role of parenthood on age-related brain function in mid- to late-life

The experience of human parenthood is near ubiquitous and can profoundly alter one's body, mind, and environment. However, we know very little about the long-term neural effects of parenthood for parents themselves, or the implications of pregnancy and caregiving experience on the aging adult brain. Here, we investigate the link between the number of children parented and age on brain function in 19,964 females and 17,607 males from the UK Biobank. In both females and males, parenthood was positively correlated with functional connectivity, such that higher number of children parented was associated with higher connectivity, particularly within the somato/motor network. Critically, the spatial topography of parenthood-linked effects was inversely correlated with the impact of age on functional connectivity across the brain for both females and males, such that the connections that were positively correlated with number of children were negatively correlated with age. This result suggests that a higher number of children is associated with patterns of brain function in the opposite direction to age-related alterations. Overall, these results indicate that the changes accompanying parenthood may confer benefits to brain health across the lifespan, altering aging trajectories, consistent with animal models of parenthood and preliminary findings of "younger-looking" brain structure in human parents. Observing this effect in both females and males implicates the caregiving environment, rather than pregnancy alone, and highlights the importance of future work to disentangle the underlying mechanisms related to the direct impact of caregiving, the indirect impact of the environment, and the result of covarying sociodemographic factors.

Frailty trajectories after a cardiovascular event among community-dwelling older people

AIMS

Individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) are more likely to become frail. However, no study has determined whether an incident CVD event alters frailty trajectories in older individuals. This study aims to determine the extent to which an incident CVD event modifies frailty trajectories and to identify factors that influence those changes.

METHODS

19,111 individuals (56.4%, women) ≥aged 65 years, who had no prior CVD event or other major health conditions at baseline, were followed for up to 11 years. Frailty was measured annually using the 64-item deficit-accumulation frailty index (FI) and Fried phenotype (Fried). Incident CVD events, including stroke, myocardial infarction and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), were adjudicated by international experts. Linear mixed models were used to measure frailty changes.

RESULTS

Over a median 8.3-year follow-up, frailty trajectories increased over time and 1934 incident CVD events occurred. Following a CVD event, individuals had a short-term increase in both FI (adjusted-betas: 3.65; 95%CI, 3.34 to 3.96) and Fried (adjusted-beta: 0.32; 95%CI, 0.26 to 0.38). Afterwards, only FI continued to increase over time (adjusted-beta: 0.41, 95%CI, 0.21 to 0.62). Among the CVD events, HHF and stroke were associated with the greatest increase in frailty. Of the factors examined, being >80 years, women, living alone, or residing in regional/remote areas were associated with greater frailty burden.

CONCLUSION

Our findings provide evidence that incident CVD event increases frailty burden, highlighting the need for targeted intervention to minimise frailty-related clinical complications for those most at risk.

Cardiometabolic Trajectories Preceding Dementia in Community-Dwelling Older Individuals

Importance

Poor cardiometabolic health is a risk factor associated with cognitive impairment in later life, but it remains unclear whether cardiometabolic trajectories can serve as early markers associated with dementia.

Objective

To compare cardiometabolic trajectories that precede dementia diagnosis with those among individuals without dementia.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This case-control study analyzed a sample drawn from community-dwelling participants in the Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study. Recruitment through primary care physicians occurred between March 2010 and December 2014, with participants followed up for a maximum of 11 years. Dementia cases were matched on sociodemographic characteristics and time of diagnosis to dementia-free controls. Data analysis was performed between February and June 2024.

Exposures

Body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, glucose levels, high- and low-density lipoprotein (HDL and LDL) and total cholesterol levels, and triglyceride levels were measured repeatedly between 2010 and 2022.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Dementia (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders [Fourth Edition] criteria) was adjudicated by an international expert panel.

Results

Among 5390 participants (mean [SD] age, 76.9 [4.8] years; 2915 women [54.1%]), there were 2655 individuals (49.3%) with less than 12 years of education. The study included 1078 dementia cases and 4312 controls. Up to a decade before diagnosis, dementia cases compared with controls had lower BMI for all years from -7 years (marginal estimate, 27.52 [95% CI, 27.24 to 27.79] vs 28.00 [95% CI, 27.86 to 28.14]; contrast P = 002) to 0 years (marginal estimate, 26.09 [95% CI, 25.81 to 26.36] vs 27.22 [95% CI, 27.09 to 27.36]; contrast P < .001) and lower waist circumference for all years from -10 years (marginal estimate, 95.45 cm [95% CI, 94.33 to 96.57 cm] vs 97.35 cm [95% CI, 96.79 to 97.92 cm]; contrast P = .003) to 0 years (marginal estimate, 93.90 [95% CI, 93.15 cm to 94.64 cm] vs 96.67 cm [95% CI, 96.30 to 97.05 cm]; contrast P < .001); cases also had a faster decline in BMI (linear change β, -0.13 [95% CI, -0.19 to -0.08]) and waist circumference (linear change β, -0.30 cm [95% CI, -0.51 to -0.08 cm]). Compared with controls, cases generally had higher HDL levels, in particular from 5 years (marginal estimate, 62.57 mg/dL [95% CI, 61.59 to 63.56 mg/dL] vs 60.84 mg/dL [95% CI, 60.35 to 61.34 mg/dL]; contrast P = .002) to 3 years (marginal estimate, 62.78 mg/dL [95% CI, 61.82 to 63.74 mg/dL] vs 61.08 mg/dL [95% CI, 60.60 to 61.56 mg/dL]; contrast P = .002) before dementia but with a decline in levels just before diagnosis (linear change β, -0.47 mg/dL [95% CI, -0.86 to -0.07 mg/dL]). Dementia cases had lower systolic blood pressure and triglyceride levels in the decade before diagnosis and higher LDL and total cholesterol levels, but these were not significantly different from controls.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study of older individuals, decline in BMI, waist circumference, and HDL occurred up to a decade before dementia diagnosis. These findings provide insights into cardiometabolic changes preceding dementia and the potential for early monitoring and intervention.

Association Between Albuminuria and Glomerular Filtration Rate With Incident Frailty

Introduction

The association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria with incident frailty in generally healthy older individuals is unclear. We investigated whether baseline eGFR or urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (UACR) are associated with incident frailty and assessed them using 2 separate methods: a modified Fried frailty phenotype (FP), and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI).

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized trial cohort, which enrolled independent, healthy, older adults aged ≥65 years in Australia and the USA. Time to incident frailty was analyzed using discrete time survival analysis.

Results

In total, 16,965 participants were included using the FP, mean age was 75.0 ± 4.5 years, median baseline eGFR was 78.6 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (interquartile range [IQR]: 67.6-89.5), and the median UACR was 0.80 mg/mmol (0.50-1.50). Data to generate the FI outcomes were available for 12,272 participants. The relationships between eGFR and both incident FP and FI were nonlinear, such that an eGFR < 30 or ≥ 95 ml/min per 1.73 m2 was significantly associated with an increased risk of incident frailty. For every doubling of baseline UACR, risk of incident frailty increased by 4% using the FP (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.07) and the FI (HR: 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.07).

Conclusion

In older, generally healthy adults, both low and high eGFRs were associated with increased risk of incident frailty. Doubling of UACR, even at low levels, was independently associated with incident frailty.

Egg Consumption and Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study of Australian Community-Dwelling Older Adults

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Egg consumption in adults has been linked with a modestly increased risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. However, evidence on adults aged 65 y+ is limited. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between egg intake and mortality in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 8756 adults aged 70+ years, participants in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) Longitudinal Study of Older Persons, self-reported the frequency of their total egg intake: never/infrequently (rarely/never, 1-2 times/month), weekly (1-6 times/week), and daily (daily/several times per day). All-cause and cause-specific (cardiovascular disease [CVD] and cancer) mortality was established from at least two sources: medical records, death notices, next of kin, or death registry linkage. The association between egg intake and mortality was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, adjusted for socio-demographic, health-related, and clinical factors and overall dietary quality.

RESULTS

Over the median 5.9-year follow-up period, a total of 1034 all-cause deaths (11.8%) were documented. A 29% lower risk of CVD mortality (HR (95% CI): 0.71 [0.54-0.92]) and a 17% (HR (95% CI): 0.83 [0.71-0.96]) lower risk of all-cause mortality were observed among those who consumed eggs weekly, compared to those who consumed eggs never/infrequently; no statistically significant association was observed for weekly consumption and cancer mortality. In contrast, compared to those that never or infrequently consumed eggs, daily consumption had slightly higher odds of mortality, though these results did not reach statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

The consumption of eggs 1-6 times per week was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality in community-dwelling adults aged 70 years and over. These findings may be important to inform the development of evidence-based guidelines for egg consumption.

Associations Between Deficit Accumulation Frailty and Baseline Markers of Lifestyle in the U.S. POINTER Trial

BACKGROUND

Multidomain lifestyle interventions may have the potential to slow biological aging as captured by deficit accumulation frailty indices. We describe the distribution and composition of the 49-component frailty index developed by the U.S. POINTER clinical trial team of investigators and assess its cross-sectional associations with sociodemographic factors and markers chosen to be representative of behaviors targeted by the trial's multidomain interventions.

METHODS

We draw baseline data from the 2 111 volunteers enrolled in U.S. POINTER who were ages 60-79 years and at increased risk for cognitive decline. Frailty components were grouped into 9 domains. Associations that frailty index scores and their domains had with behavioral markers were described with correlations and canonical correlation.

RESULTS

The 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles of the frailty index score distribution were 0.153, 0.189, and 0.235. Higher frailty scores tended to occur among individuals who were older, male, and living in areas of greater deprivation (all p < .001). They were also associated with poorer self-reported diet, less physical activity, and higher Framingham risk scores (all p < .001). Associations were diffusely distributed among the frailty component domains, indicating that no individual domain was dominating associations.

CONCLUSIONS

The U.S. POINTER deficit accumulation frailty index had expected relationships with sociodemographic factors and sensitivity to the behaviors targeted by the trial's interventions. Our analysis supports its use as a secondary outcome to assess whether the multidomain interventions differentially impact an established marker of biological aging. ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03688126.

Nut consumption and disability-free survival in community-dwelling older adults: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The relationship between nut intake and disability-free survival (healthy lifespan) in later life is unclear. The objective was to evaluate the association between nut intake and disability-free survival in a cohort of adults aged ≥70 years, and whether this varied according to overall diet quality.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study involved 9916 participants from the ASPREE Longitudinal Study of Older Persons. Participants completed a 49-item Food Frequency questionnaire from which frequency of nut intake was obtained and were asked to categories usual intake as no/infrequent [never/rarely, 1-2 times/month], weekly [1-2 times/week, often 3-6 times/week] or daily [every day or several times a day]. The outcome measured was a composite of first-event mortality, onset of dementia, or persistent physical disability. Cox proportional hazards regression models, adjusted for socio-demographic factors, health-related and clinical covariates and overall dietary quality were conducted to examine the association between varying levels of nut intake and disability-free survival.

RESULTS

Over a mean of 3.9 years of follow-up, the risk of reaching the DFS endpoint were 23% lower (HR 0.77 [0.61-0.98]) for those who consumed nuts daily, when compared to those with no/infrequent nut consumption. Subgroup analysis demonstrated a significant association between daily nut consumption and healthy lifespan among individuals in the second dietary quality tertile (HR 0.71[0.51-0.98]).

CONCLUSION

For community-dwelling adults aged 70 years and over with sub-optimal diets, daily nut consumption is associated with the promotion of healthy lifespan (disability-free survival).

Serum Transaminases and Older Adults: Distribution and Associations With All-Cause Mortality

BACKGROUND

Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) are commonly ordered tests in general medical practice. However, their distribution and significance in older adults are understudied. As such, we aimed to evaluate sex-stratified distribution of both ALT and AST in older adults (≥70 years) and assess for associations with mortality.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomized, placebo-controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin for initially relatively healthy older persons. Univariate analysis and multiple logistic regression were used to explore baseline characteristics. Cox regression and restricted cubic splines were used to examine links between transaminase levels and mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 11 853 participants with ALT and AST levels, 1 054 (8.9%) deaths were recorded over a median of 6.4 (interquartile range [IQR] 5.4-7.6) years. For ALT, the lowest quintiles for males and females were 6-15 and 5-13 U/L, respectively; for AST, the lowest quintiles were 8-18 and 7-17 U/L, respectively. On both univariate and models adjusted for covariates including age, body mass index, frailty, diabetes, and kidney disease, males and females in the lowest quintile of ALT had an increased hazard of mortality (aHR 1.51 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.14-1.99] and aHR 1.39 [95% CI 1.03-1.88], respectively). For the lowest quintile of AST, only males were at increased risk (aHR 1.33 [95% CI 1.04-1.70]). Associations remained significant when removing outliers.

CONCLUSIONS

Low ALT levels independently confer an increased hazard of mortality for older males and females; low AST only affected older male survival. Further evaluation of mechanisms would be worthwhile, and re-evaluating the lower limit of normal for ALT in older adults should be considered.

The prevalence of frailty among patients with metabolic syndrome: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Growing evidence shows that metabolic syndrome and frailty are significantly associated. Screening and assessing frailty in patients with metabolic syndrome is important to help improve their clinical outcomes and quality of life. Therefore, understanding the prevalence of frailty in patients with metabolic syndrome is the first critical step, however, the prevalence reported in the literature varies widely.

AIM

To pool the overall prevalence of frailty among patients with metabolic syndrome.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

The Cochrane Library, PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, APA PsycINFO, Scopus, CINAHL Complete, CNKI, Wan Fang, SinoMed, and VIP databases were searched from the inception to March 6, 2024. Statistical analysis was performed using STATA15 software. The prevalence was pooled using the random-effects model. The sources of heterogeneity were investigated by using meta-regression and subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 22 original studies published between 2007 and 2023 were included in this systematic review and meta-analysis, involving 19,921 metabolic syndrome patients. The prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty among patients with metabolic syndrome was 20% (95% CI: 16% to 25%, I2 = 99.44%) and 45% (95% CI: 36% to 53%, I2 = 99.20%). Subgroup analyses revealed differences in prevalence by frailty instruments, geographic regions, study settings, publication years, study quality, study design, and different components of metabolic syndrome.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review and meta-analysis showed the high prevalence of frailty and pre-frailty in patients with metabolic syndrome. In the future, more high-quality longitudinal studies and exploration of other potential demographic characteristics that may influence frailty are needed to understand more information on frailty in patients with metabolic syndrome.

Mediterranean Diet and Ultra-Processed Food Intake in Older Australian Adults-Associations with Frailty and Cardiometabolic Conditions

Dietary patterns contribute to overall health and diseases of ageing but are understudied in older adults. As such, we first aimed to develop dietary indices to quantify Mediterranean Diet Score (MDS) utilisation and Ultra-processed Food (UPF) intake in a well-characterised cohort of relatively healthy community-dwelling older Australian adults. Second, we aimed to understand the relationship between these scores and the association of these scores with prevalent cardiometabolic disease and frailty. Our major findings are that in this population of older adults, (a) pre-frailty and frailty are associated with reduced MDS and increased UPF intake; (b) adherence to MDS eating patterns does not preclude relatively high intake of UPF (and vice versa); and (c) high utilisation of an MDS eating pattern does not prevent an increased risk of frailty with higher UPF intakes. As such, the Mediterranean Diet pattern should be encouraged in older adults to potentially reduce the risk of frailty, while the impact of UPF intake should be further explored given the convenience these foods provide to a population whose access to unprocessed food may be limited due to socioeconomic, health, and lifestyle factors.

Epigenetic age acceleration and the risk of frailty, and persistent activities of daily living (ADL) disability

BACKGROUND

Epigenetic ageing is among the most promising ageing biomarkers and may be a useful marker of physical function decline, beyond chronological age. This study investigated whether epigenetic age acceleration (AA) is associated with the change in frailty scores over 7 years and the 7-year risk of incident frailty and persistent Activities of Daily Living (ADL) disability among 560 Australians (50.7% females) aged ≥70 years.

METHODS

Seven AA indices, including GrimAge, GrimAge2, FitAge and DunedinPACE, were estimated from baseline peripheral-blood DNA-methylation. Frailty was assessed using both the 67-item deficit-accumulation frailty index (FI) and Fried phenotype (Fried). Persistent ADL disability was defined as loss of ability to perform one or more basic ADLs for at least 6 months. Linear mixed models and Cox proportional-hazard regression models were used as appropriate.

RESULTS

Accelerated GrimAge, GrimAge2, FitAge and DunedinPACE at baseline were associated with increasing FI scores per year (adjusted-Beta ranged from 0.0015 to 0.0021, P < 0.05), and accelerated GrimAge and GrimAge2 were associated with an increased risk of incident FI-defined frailty (adjusted-HRs 1.43 and 1.39, respectively, P < 0.05). The association between DunedinPACE and the change in FI scores was stronger in females (adjusted-Beta 0.0029, P 0.001 than in males (adjusted-Beta 0.0002, P 0.81). DunedinPACE, but not the other AA measures, was also associated with worsening Fried scores (adjusted-Beta 0.0175, P 0.04). No associations were observed with persistent ADL disability.

CONCLUSION

Epigenetic AA in later life is associated with increasing frailty scores per year and the risk of incident FI-defined frailty.

Sex differences in biological aging and the association with clinical measures in older adults

Females live longer than males, and there are sex disparities in physical health and disease incidence. However, sex differences in biological aging have not been consistently reported and may differ depending on the measure used. This study aimed to determine the correlations between epigenetic age acceleration (AA), and other markers of biological aging, separately in males and females. We additionally explored the extent to which these AA measures differed according to socioeconomic characteristics, clinical markers, and diseases. Epigenetic clocks (HorvathAge, HannumAge, PhenoAge, GrimAge, GrimAge2, and DunedinPACE) were estimated in blood from 560 relatively healthy Australians aged ≥ 70 years (females, 50.7%) enrolled in the ASPREE study. A system-wide deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) composed of 67 health-related measures was generated. Brain age and subsequently brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD) were estimated from neuroimaging. Females had significantly reduced AA than males, but higher FI, and there was no difference in brain-PAD. FI had the strongest correlation with DunedinPACE (range r: 0.21 to 0.24 in both sexes). Brain-PAD was not correlated with any biological aging measures. Significant correlations between AA and sociodemographic characteristics and health markers were more commonly found in females (e.g., for DunedinPACE and systolic blood pressure r = 0.2, p < 0.001) than in males. GrimAA and Grim2AA were significantly associated with obesity and depression in females, while in males, hypertension, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease were associated with these clocks, as well as DunedinPACE. Our findings highlight the importance of considering sex differences when investigating the link between biological age and clinical measures.

Association of CT-Derived Skeletal Muscle and Adipose Tissue Metrics with Frailty in Older Adults

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Tools are needed for frailty screening of older adults. Opportunistic analysis of body composition could play a role. We aim to determine whether computed tomography (CT)-derived measurements of muscle and adipose tissue are associated with frailty.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Outpatients aged ≥ 55 years consecutively imaged with contrast-enhanced abdominopelvic CT over a 3-month interval were included. Frailty was determined from the electronic health record using a previously validated electronic frailty index (eFI). CT images at the level of the L3 vertebra were automatically segmented to derive muscle metrics (skeletal muscle area [SMA], skeletal muscle density [SMD], intermuscular adipose tissue [IMAT]) and adipose tissue metrics (visceral adipose tissue [VAT], subcutaneous adipose tissue [SAT]). Distributions of demographic and CT-derived variables were compared between sexes. Sex-specific associations of muscle and adipose tissue metrics with eFI were characterized by linear regressions adjusted for age, race, ethnicity, duration between imaging and eFI measurements, and imaging parameters.

RESULTS

The cohort comprised 886 patients (449 women, 437 men, mean age 67.9 years), of whom 382 (43%) met the criteria for pre-frailty (ie, 0.10 < eFI ≤ 0.21) and 138 (16%) for frailty (eFI > 0.21). In men, 1 standard deviation changes in SMD (β = -0.01, 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.02 to -0.001, P = .02) and VAT area (β = 0.008, 95% CI, 0.0005-0.02, P = .04), but not SMA, IMAT, or SAT, were associated with higher frailty. In women, none of the CT-derived muscle or adipose tissue metrics were associated with frailty.

CONCLUSION

We observed a positive association between frailty and CT-derived biomarkers of myosteatosis and visceral adiposity in a sex-dependent manner.

Long-term blood pressure variability and frailty risk in older adults

INTRODUCTION

In healthy older adults, the relationship between long-term, visit-to-visit variability in blood pressure (BP) and frailty is uncertain.

METHODS

Secondary analysis of blood pressure variability (BPV) and incident frailty in >13 000 participants ≥65-70 years enrolled in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial and its observational follow-up (ASPREE-XT). Participants were without dementia, physical disability, or cardiovascular disease at baseline. BPV was estimated using standard deviation of mean BP from three annual visits (baseline through the second annual follow-up). Frailty was defined using Fried phenotype and a frailty deficit accumulation index (FDAI). Participants with frailty during the BPV estimation period were excluded from the main analysis. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression evaluated the association between BPV and incident frailty, and linear mixed models for change in frailty scores, through a maximum of 9 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

Participants in the highest systolic BPV tertile were at higher risk of frailty compared to those in the lowest (referent) tertile of systolic BPV [Fried hazard ratio (HR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.31; FDAI HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.07-1.30]. Findings were consistent when adjusted for multiple covariates and when stratified by antihypertensive use. Linear mixed models showed that higher systolic BPV was associated with increasing frailty score over time. Diastolic BPV was not consistently associated.

CONCLUSIONS

High systolic BPV, independent of mean BP, is associated with increased risk of frailty in healthy older adults. Variability of BP across visits, even in healthy older adults, can convey important risk information beyond mean BP.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01038583 and ISRCTN83772183.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in older adults is associated with frailty and social disadvantage

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is growing rapidly, as is the number of older adults globally. However, relatively few studies have been performed evaluating the prevalence and risk factors for MASLD in older adults. As such, we aimed to identify the prevalence of MASLD in older adults, as well as sociodemographic, clinical, functional and biochemical associations.

METHODS

The study population included older adults without a history of cardiovascular disease, dementia or independence-limiting functional impairment who had participated in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) randomised trial. MASLD was defined using the Fatty Liver Index (FLI). Associations were identified using Poisson regression with robust variance for FLI ≥ 60 vs FLI < 30.

RESULTS

9097 Australian participants aged ≥70 years had complete biochemical and anthropometric data to identify MASLD. The study population had a mean age of 75.1 ± 4.3 years and was 45.0% male. Almost one-third (33.0%) had prevalent MASLD, and the prevalence decreased with increasing age (adjusted RR [aRR] 0.96, 95% CI: 0.96-0.97). MASLD was also negatively associated with social advantage (aRR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.90-0.99) and exercise tolerance and was positively associated with diabetes mellitus (aRR: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.16-1.29), hypertension (aRR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.22-1.41), male sex (aRR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.57-1.74), pre-frailty (aRR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.82-2.12) and frailty (aRR: 2.36, 95% CI: 2.16-2.56). MASLD and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) results were 100% concordant.

CONCLUSION

This study in a large cohort of relatively healthy community-dwelling older adults shows that MASLD is common, decreases with age and is associated with poorer metabolic health, social disadvantage and frailty.

Expanded statistical analysis plan for legacy and long-term effects of aspirin in the ASPREE-XT observational follow-up study of participants in the ASPREE randomized trial

The ASPREE randomized controlled trial (2010-2017) of 19,114 community-dwelling older adults without cardiovascular disease and significant disability compared daily 100mg aspirin to placebo. A total of 16,317 (93%) of 17,546 surviving and non-withdrawn participants agreed to continue regular study follow-up visits in the post-trial phase, named ASPREE-XT (2017-2024). We present a statistical analysis plan to underpin three main papers to report aspirin effects through to the fourth post-trial ASPREE-XT study visit with focus areas of: (1) death, dementia, and disability, (2) CVD events and bleeding, and (3) cancer. The focus of the plan is to estimate long-term (entire timespan of RCT plus post-trial) and legacy (post-trial period only) effects of aspirin in the setting of primary prevention for older individuals. Preliminary insights to these effects are presented that are based on data that has been reported to the study's observational study monitoring board however formal data lock is not expected until October 2023.

The association of allopurinol with persistent physical disability and frailty in a large community based older cohort

BACKGROUND

The protective effects of allopurinol on physical function in older adults are not well understood, despite its potential to improve functional gains and reduce sarcopenia. This study aims to determine the association between allopurinol, persistent physical disability, and frailty in older gout patients.

METHODS

This analysis used data from a randomized trial in an older cohort, ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE). ASPREE recruited 19,114 participants aged ≥65 years without prior cardiovascular events, dementia, or independence-limiting physical disability at trial enrolment. This analysis examined the association of baseline and time-varying allopurinol use with persistent physical disability and new-onset frailty in participants with gout at baseline (self-report or use of any anti-gout medications). Frailty was measured using the Fried frailty phenotype (score ≥3/5) and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) (score >0.21/1.0). Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models were used for main analyses.

RESULTS

This analysis included 1155 gout participants, with 630 taking allopurinol at baseline and 525 not. During a median follow-up of 5.7 years, 113 new allopurinol users were identified. Compared with nonusers, baseline allopurinol use was associated with a significant risk reduction of persistent physical disability (Adjusted HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.23-0.92, p = 0.03). The strength of the association was modestly attenuated in the time-varying analysis (Adjusted HR 0.56, 0.29-1.08, p = 0.08). No significant associations with frailty measures were observed for either baseline allopurinol use (Fried frailty: Adjusted HR 0.83, 0.62-1.12; FI: Adjusted HR 0.96, 0.74-1.24) or time-varying allopurinol use (Fried frailty: Adjusted HR 0.92, 0.69-1.24; FI: Adjusted HR 1.02, 0.78-1.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Allopurinol use in older adults with gout is associated with a reduced risk of persistent physical disability but not associated with risk of frailty.

Prediction of adverse health outcomes using an electronic frailty index among nonfrail and prefrail community elders

BACKGROUND

Early recognition of older people at risk of undesirable clinical outcomes is vital in preventing future disabling conditions. Here, we report the prognostic performance of an electronic frailty index (eFI) in comparison with traditional tools among nonfrail and prefrail community-dwelling older adults. The study is to investigate the predictive utility of a deficit-accumulation eFI in community elders without overt frailty.

METHODS

Participants aged 65-80 years with a Clinical Frailty Scale of 1-3 points were recruited and followed for 2 years. The eFI score and Fried's frailty scale were determined by using a semiautomated platform of self-reported questionnaires and objective measurements which yielded cumulative deficits and physical phenotypes from 80 items of risk variables. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to analyze the severity of frailty in relation to adverse outcomes of falls, emergency room (ER) visits and hospitalizations during 2 years' follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 427 older adults were evaluated and dichotomized by the median FI score. Two hundred and sixty (60.9%) and 167 (39.1%) elders were stratified into the low- (eFI ≤ 0.075) and the high-risk (eFI > 0.075) groups, respectively. During the follow-up, 77 (47.0%) individuals developed adverse events in the high-risk group, compared with 79 (30.5%) in the low-risk group (x2, p = 0.0006). In multivariable models adjusted for age and sex, the increased risk of all three events combined in the high- vs. low-risk group remained significant (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 3.08, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.87-5.07). For individual adverse event, the aHRs were 2.20 (CI: 1.44-3.36) for falls; 1.67 (CI: 1.03-2.70) for ER visits; and 2.84 (CI: 1.73-4.67) for hospitalizations. Compared with the traditional tools, the eFI stratification (high- vs. low-risk) showed better predictive performance than either CFS rating (managing well vs. fit to very fit; not discriminative in hospitalizations) or Fried's scale (prefrail to frail vs. nonfrail; not discriminative in ER visits).

CONCLUSION

The eFI system is a useful frailty tool which effectively predicts the risk of adverse healthcare outcomes in nonfrail and/or prefrail older adults over a period of 2 years.

The association between frailty and incident cardiovascular disease events in community-dwelling healthy older adults

Study objective

This study examined the association between frailty and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and CVD-related mortality.

Design

Longitudinal cohort study.

Setting

The ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial in Australia and the United States.

Participants

19,114 community-dwelling older adults (median age 74.0 years; 56.4 % females).

Interventions

Pre-frailty and frailty were assessed using a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI) at baseline.

Main outcome measures

CVD was defined as a composite of CVD death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure; MACE included all except heart failure. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze the association between frailty and CVD outcomes over a median follow-up of 4.7 years.

Results

Baseline pre-frail and frail groups had a higher risk of incident CVD events (Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.31; 95 % Confidence Interval (CI): 1.14-1.50 for pre-frail and HR: 1.63; 95 % CI: 1.15-2.32 for frail) and MACE (pre-frail HR: 1.26; 95 % CI: 1.08-1.47 and frail HR: 1.51; 95 % CI: 1.00-2.29) than non-frail participants according to Fried phenotype after adjusting for traditional CVD risk factors. Effect sizes were similar or larger when frailty was assessed with FI; similar results for men and women.

Conclusion

Frailty increases the likelihood of developing CVD, including MACE, in community-dwelling older men and women without prior CVD events. Screening for frailty using Fried or FI method could help identify community-dwelling older adults without prior CVD events who are more likely to develop CVD, including MACE, and may facilitate targeted preventive measures to reduce their risk.

Development and validation of a physical frailty phenotype index-based model to estimate the frailty index

BACKGROUND

The conventional count-based physical frailty phenotype (PFP) dichotomizes its criterion predictors-an approach that creates information loss and depends on the availability of population-derived cut-points. This study proposes an alternative approach to computing the PFP by developing and validating a model that uses PFP components to predict the frailty index (FI) in community-dwelling older adults, without the need for predictor dichotomization.

METHODS

A sample of 998 community-dwelling older adults (mean [SD], 68 [7] years) participated in this prospective cohort study. Participants completed a multi-domain geriatric screen and a physical fitness assessment from which the count-based PFP and the 36-item FI were computed. One-year prospective falls and hospitalization rates were also measured. Bayesian beta regression analysis, allowing for nonlinear effects of the non-dichotomized PFP criterion predictors, was used to develop a model for FI ("model-based PFP"). Approximate leave-one-out (LOO) cross-validation was used to examine model overfitting.

RESULTS

The model-based PFP showed good calibration with the FI, and it had better out-of-sample predictive performance than the count-based PFP (LOO-R2, 0.35 vs 0.22). In clinical terms, the improvement in prediction (i) translated to improved classification agreement with the FI (Cohen's kw, 0.47 vs 0.36) and (ii) resulted primarily in a 23% (95%CI, 18-28%) net increase in FI-defined "prefrail/frail" participants correctly classified. The model-based PFP showed stronger prognostic performance for predicting falls and hospitalization than did the count-based PFP.

CONCLUSION

The developed model-based PFP predicted FI and clinical outcomes more strongly than did the count-based PFP in community-dwelling older adults. By not requiring predictor cut-points, the model-based PFP potentially facilitates usage and feasibility. Future validation studies should aim to obtain clear evidence on the benefits of this approach.

The Association between Frailty and Dementia-Free and Physical Disability-Free Survival in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

INTRODUCTION

Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome that adversely impacts health outcomes. This study examined correlates of physical frailty in healthy community-dwelling older adults and studied the effect of frailty on disability-free survival (DFS), defined as survival free of independence-limiting physical disability or dementia.

METHODS

This is a post hoc analysis of 19,114 community-dwelling older adults (median age: 74.0 years, interquartile range or IQR: 6.1 years) from Australia and the USA enrolled in the "ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE)" clinical trial. Frailty was assessed using a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation frailty index (FI) utilizing a ratio score derived from 66 items. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the correlates of frailty and Cox regression to analyze the association between frailty and DFS (and its components).

RESULTS

At study enrollment, 39.0% were prefrail, and 2.2% of participants were frail, according to Fried phenotype. Older age, higher waist circumference, lower education, ethnoracial origin, current smoking, depression, and polypharmacy were associated with prefrailty and frailty according to Fried phenotype and FI. Fried phenotype defined prefrailty and frailty predicted reduced DFS (prefrail: HR: 1.67; 95% CI: 1.50-1.86 and frail: HR: 2.80; 95% CI: 2.27-3.46), affecting each component of DFS including dementia, physical disability, and mortality. Effect sizes were larger, according to FI.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed that prefrailty is common in community-dwelling older adults initially free of cardiovascular disease, dementia, or independence-limiting physical disability. Prefrailty and frailty significantly reduced disability-free survival. Addressing modifiable correlates, like depression and polypharmacy, might reduce the adverse impact of frailty on dementia-free and physical disability-free survival.

Health-related heterogeneity in brain aging and associations with longitudinal change in cognitive function

Introduction

Neuroimaging-based 'brain age' can identify individuals with 'advanced' or 'resilient' brain aging. Brain-predicted age difference (brain-PAD) is predictive of cognitive and physical health outcomes. However, it is unknown how individual health and lifestyle factors may modify the relationship between brain-PAD and future cognitive or functional performance. We aimed to identify health-related subgroups of older individuals with resilient or advanced brain-PAD, and determine if membership in these subgroups is differentially associated with changes in cognition and frailty over three to five years.

Methods

Brain-PAD was predicted from T1-weighted images acquired from 326 community-dwelling older adults (73.8 ± 3.6 years, 42.3% female), recruited from the larger ASPREE (ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly) trial. Participants were grouped as having resilient (n=159) or advanced (n=167) brain-PAD, and latent class analysis (LCA) was performed using a set of cognitive, lifestyle, and health measures. We examined associations of class membership with longitudinal change in cognitive function and frailty deficit accumulation index (FI) using linear mixed models adjusted for age, sex and education.

Results

Subgroups of resilient and advanced brain aging were comparable in all characteristics before LCA. Two typically similar latent classes were identified for both subgroups of brain agers: class 1 were characterized by low prevalence of obesity and better physical health and class 2 by poor cardiometabolic, physical and cognitive health. Among resilient brain agers, class 1 was associated with a decrease in cognition, and class 2 with an increase over 5 years, though was a small effect that was equivalent to a 0.04 standard deviation difference per year. No significant class distinctions were evident with FI. For advanced brain agers, there was no evidence of an association between class membership and changes in cognition or FI.

Conclusion

These results demonstrate that the relationship between brain age and cognitive trajectories may be influenced by other health-related factors. In particular, people with age-resilient brains had different trajectories of cognitive change depending on their cognitive and physical health status at baseline. Future predictive models of aging outcomes will likely be aided by considering the mediating or synergistic influence of multiple lifestyle and health indices alongside brain age.

The Association between Metabolic Syndrome, Frailty and Disability-Free Survival in Healthy Community-dwelling Older Adults

OBJECTIVES

To examine the association between metabolic syndrome (MetS) and frailty, and determine whether co-existent MetS and frailty affect disability-free survival (DFS), assessed through a composite of death, dementia or physical disability.

DESIGN

Longitudinal study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Community-dwelling older adults from Australia and the United States (n=18,264) from "ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly" (ASPREE) study.

MEASUREMENTS

MetS was defined according to American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinical Practice Guidelines (2018). A modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI) were used to assess frailty. Association between MetS and frailty was examined using multinomial logistic regression. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between MetS, frailty and DFS over a median follow-up of 4.7 years.

RESULTS

Among 18,264 participants, 49.9% met the criteria for MetS at baseline. Participants with Mets were more likely to be pre-frail [Relative Risk Ratio (RRR): 1.22; 95%Confidence Interval (CI): 1.14, 1.30)] or frail (RRR: 1.66; 95%CI: 1.32, 2.08) than those without MetS. MetS alone did not shorten DFS while pre-frailty or frailty alone did [Hazard Ratio (HR): 1.68; 95%CI: 1.45, 1.94; HR: 2.65; 95%CI:1.92, 3.66, respectively]. Co-existent MetS with pre-frailty/frailty did not change the risk of shortened DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

MetS was associated with pre-frailty or frailty in community-dwelling older individuals. Pre-frailty or frailty increased the risk of reduced DFS but presence of MetS did not change this risk. Assessment of frailty may be more important than MetS in predicting survival free of dementia or physical disability.

Which anticoagulant is safest for frail elderly patients with nonvalvular A-fib?

In a retrospective study comparing direct oral anticoagulants vs warfarin in this population, apixaban's adverse event rate was lower regardless of frailty status.

Efficacy and Safety of Dapagliflozin According to Frailty in Patients With Heart Failure: A Prespecified Analysis of the DELIVER Trial

BACKGROUND

Frailty is increasing in prevalence. Because patients with frailty are often perceived to have a less favorable risk/benefit profile, they may be less likely to receive new pharmacologic treatments. We investigated the efficacy and tolerability of dapagliflozin according to frailty status in patients with heart failure with mildly reduced or preserved ejection fraction randomized in DELIVER (Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients With Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure).

METHODS

Frailty was measured using the Rockwood cumulative deficit approach. The primary end point was time to a first worsening heart failure event or cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

Of the 6263 patients randomized, a frailty index (FI) was calculable in 6258. In total, 2354 (37.6%) patients had class 1 frailty (FI ≤0.210; ie, not frail), 2413 (38.6%) had class 2 frailty (FI 0.211-0.310; ie, more frail), and 1491 (23.8%) had class 3 frailty (FI ≥0.311; ie, most frail). Greater frailty was associated with a higher rate of the primary end point (per 100 person-years): FI class 1, 6.3 (95% CI 5.7-7.1); class 2, 8.3 (7.5-9.1); and class 3, 13.4 (12.1-14.7; P<0.001). The effect of dapagliflozin (as a hazard ratio) on the primary end point from FI class 1 to 3 was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.68-1.06), 0.89 (0.74-1.08), and 0.74 (0.61-0.91), respectively (Pinteraction=0.40). Although patients with a greater degree of frailty had worse Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores at baseline, their improvement with dapagliflozin was greater than it was in patients with less frailty: placebo-corrected improvement in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Overall Summary Score at 4 months in FI class 1 was 0.3 (95% CI, -0.9 to 1.4); in class 2, 1.5 (0.3-2.7); and in class 3, 3.4 (1.7-5.1; Pinteraction=0.021). Adverse reactions and treatment discontinuation, although more frequent in patients with a greater degree of frailty, were not more common with dapagliflozin than with placebo irrespective of frailty class.

CONCLUSIONS

In DELIVER, frailty was common and associated with worse outcomes. The benefit of dapagliflozin was consistent across the range of frailty studied. The improvement in health-related quality of life with dapagliflozin occurred early and was greater in patients with a higher level of frailty.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; Unique identifier: NCT03619213.

The Effect of Low-Dose Aspirin on Frailty Phenotype and Frailty Index in Community-Dwelling Older Adults in the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly Study

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with chronic inflammation, which may be modified by aspirin. The purpose of this study was to determine whether low-dose aspirin reduces incident frailty in healthy older adult participants of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial.

METHODS

In the United States and Australia, 19 114 community-dwelling individuals aged ≥70 and older (U.S. minorities ≥65 years) and free of overt cardiovascular disease, persistent physical disability, and dementia were enrolled in ASPREE, a double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of 100-mg daily aspirin versus placebo. Frailty, a prespecified study end point, was defined according to a modified Fried frailty definition (Fried frailty) and the frailty index based on the deficit accumulation model (frailty index). Competing risk Cox proportional hazard models were used to compare time to incident frailty by aspirin versus placebo. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to include frailty data with and without imputation of missing data.

RESULTS

Over a median 4.7 years, 2 252 participants developed incident Fried frailty, and 4 451 had incident frailty according to the frailty index. Compared with placebo, aspirin treatment did not alter the risk of incident frailty (Fried frailty hazard ratio [HR]: 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-1.13; frailty index HR: 1.03, 95% CI 0.97-1.09). The proportion of individuals classified as frail, and the trajectory in continuous frailty scores over time, were not different between the aspirin and placebo treatment groups. The results were consistent across a series of subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Low-dose aspirin use in healthy older adults when initiated in older ages does not reduce risk of incident frailty or the trajectory of frailty.

Sacubitril/Valsartan and Frailty in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

Frailty is an increasingly common problem, and frail patients are less likely to receive new pharmacologic therapies because the risk-benefit profile is perceived to be less favorable than in nonfrail patients.

OBJECTIVES

This study investigated the efficacy of sacubitril/valsartan according to frailty status in 4,796 patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction randomized in the PARAGON-HF (Prospective Comparison of ARNI With ARB Global Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction) trial.

METHODS

Frailty was measured by using the Rockwood cumulative deficit approach. The primary endpoint was total heart failure hospitalizations or cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

A frailty index (FI) was calculable in 4,795 patients. In total, 45.2% had class 1 frailty (FI ≤0.210, not frail), 43.5% had class 2 frailty (FI 0.211-0.310, more frail), and 11.4% had class 3 frailty (FI ≥0.311, most frail). There was a graded relationship between FI class and the primary endpoint, with a significantly higher risk associated with greater frailty (class 1: reference; class 2 rate ratio: 2.19 [95% CI: 1.85-2.60]; class 3 rate ratio: 3.29 [95% CI: 2.65-4.09]). The effect of sacubitril/valsartan vs valsartan on the primary endpoint from lowest to highest FI class (as a rate ratio) was: 0.98 [95% CI: 0.76-1.27], 0.92 [95% CI: 0.76-1.12], and 0.69 [95% CI: 0.51-0.95]), respectively (P_interaction = 0.23). When FI was examined as a continuous variable, the interaction with treatment was significant for the primary outcome (P_interaction = 0.002) and total heart failure hospitalizations (P_interaction < 0.001), with those most frail deriving greater benefit.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty was common in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and associated with worse outcomes. Compared with valsartan, sacubitril/valsartan seemed to show a greater reduction in the primary endpoint with increasing frailty, although this was not significant when FI was examined as a categorical variable. (Prospective Comparison of ARNI With ARB Global Outcomes in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction [PARAGON-HF]; NCT01920711).

The association between polypharmacy, frailty and disability-free survival in community-dwelling healthy older individuals

OBJECTIVES

Polypharmacy and frailty are two common geriatric conditions. In community-dwelling healthy older adults, we examined whether polypharmacy is associated with frailty and affects disability-free survival (DFS), assessed as a composite of death, dementia, or persistent physical disability.

METHODS

We included 19,114 participants (median age 74.0 years, IQR: 6.1 years) from ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) clinical trial. Frailty was assessed by a modified Fried phenotype and a deficit accumulation Frailty Index (FI). Polypharmacy was defined as concomitant use of five or more prescription medications. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the cross-sectional association between polypharmacy and frailty at base line, and Cox regression to determine the effect of polypharmacy and frailty on DFS over five years.

RESULTS

Individuals with polypharmacy (vs. <5 medications) were 55% more likely to be pre-frail (Relative Risk Ratio or RRR: 1.55; 95%Confidence Interval or CI:1.44, 1.68) and three times more likely to be frail (RRR: 3.34; 95%CI:2.64, 4.22) according to Fried phenotype. Frailty alone was associated with double risk of the composite outcome (Hazard ratio or HR: 2.16; 95%CI: 1.56, 2.99), but frail individuals using polypharmacy had a four-fold risk (HR: 4.24; 95%CI: 3.28, 5.47). Effect sizes were larger when frailty was assessed using the FI.

CONCLUSION

Polypharmacy was significantly associated with pre-frailty and frailty at baseline. Polypharmacy-exposed frailty increased the risk of reducing disability-free survival among older adults. Addressing polypharmacy in older people could ameliorate the impact of frailty on individuals' functional status, cognition and survival.

Cognitive Trajectories in Community-Dwelling Older Adults and Incident Dementia, Disability and Death: A 10-Year Longitudinal Study

Objective

The inter-individual variability in cognitive changes may be early indicators of major health events. We aimed to determine whether late-life cognitive trajectories were associated with incident dementia, persistent physical disability and all-cause mortality.

Methods

Data came from a cohort of older community-dwelling individuals aged 70 years or above in Australia and the United States. Global cognition, verbal fluency, episodic memory and psychomotor speed were assessed regularly at up to seven waves between 2010 and 2017. Dementia, disability in activities of daily living, and death were adjudicated between 2017 and 2020. Latent classes of cognitive trajectories over seven years were determined using group-based trajectory modeling. Multivariable logistic regression was used for the prospective associations between cognitive trajectories and these outcomes.

Results

Cognitive trajectories were defined for 16,174 participants (mean age: 78.9 years; 56.7% female) who were alive and without incident dementia or disability by 2017, among which 14,655 participants were included in the association analysis. Between three and five trajectory classes were identified depending on the cognitive test. Cognitive trajectories were strongly associated with the risk of dementia. For example, compared to those in the highest-functioning trajectory, the worst performers of episodic memory had a 37-fold increased risk of dementia (95% CI: 17.23–82.64). The lowest trajectories of both global cognition and episodic memory also predicted increased mortality risk (OR: 1.80, 95% CI: 1.28–2.52; OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.09–2.36, respectively), while only slow psychomotor speed was marginally associated with physical disability (OR: 2.39, 95% CI: 0.99–5.77).

Conclusions

In older individuals, cognitive trajectories appear to be early indicators of clinically relevant health outcomes. Systematic cognitive assessments as part of routine geriatric evaluation may facilitate early identification and interventions for those individuals at highest risk.

The future of frailty: Opportunity is knocking

This editorial comments on the article by Cooper et al. in this issue.