Epidemiologic analysis of endemic cholera in urban East Pakistan, 1964-1966

Mechanisms of cholera transmission via environment in India and Bangladesh: state of the science review

OBJECTIVES

Cholera has a long history in India and Bangladesh, the region where six out of the past seven global pandemics have been seeded. The changing climate and growing population have led to global cholera cases remaining high despite a consistent improvement in the access to clean water and sanitation. We aim to provide a holistic overview of variables influencing environmental cholera transmission within the context of India and Bangladesh, with a focus on the mechanisms by which they act.

CONTENT

We identified 56 relevant texts (Bangladesh n = 40, India n = 7, Other n = 5). The results of the review found that cholera transmission is associated with several socio-economic and environmental factors, each associated variable is suggested to have at least one mediating mechanism. Increases in ambient temperature and coastal sea surface temperature support cholera transmission via increases in plankton and a preference of Vibrio cholerae for warmer waters. Increased rainfall can potentially support or reduce transmission via several mechanisms.

SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK

Common issues in the literature are co-variance of seasonal factors, limited access to high quality cholera data, high research bias towards research in Dhaka and Matlab (Bangladesh). A specific and detailed understanding of the relationship between SST and cholera incidence remains unclear.

Wastewater based environmental surveillance of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae in Pakistan

BACKGROUND

Pakistan has been experiencing intervals of sporadic cases and localized outbreaks in the last two decades. No proper study has been carried out in order to find out the environmental burden of toxigenic V. cholerae as well as how temporal and environmental factors associated in driving cholera across the country.

METHODS

We tested waste water samples from designated national environment surveillance sites in Pakistan with RT-PCR assay. Multistage sampling technique were utilized for samples collection and for effective sample processing Bag-Mediated Filtration system, were employed. Results were analysed by district and month wise to understand the geographic distribution and identify the seasonal pattern of V. cholera detection in Pakistan.

RESULTS

Between May 2019, and February 2020, we obtained and screened 160 samples in 12 districts across Pakistan. Out of 16 sentinel environmental surveillance sites, 15 sites showed positive results against cholera toxigenic gene with mostly lower CT value (mean, 34±2) and have significant difference (p < 0.05). The highest number of positive samples were collected from Sindh in month of November, then in June it is circulating in different districts of Pakistan including four Provinces respectively.

CONCLUSION

V. cholera detection do not follow a clear seasonal pattern. However, the poor sanitation problems or temperature and rainfall may potentially influence the frequency and duration of cholera across the country. Occurrence of toxigenic V. cholerae in the environment samples showed that cholera is endemic, which is an alarming for a potential future cholera outbreaks in the country.

Cholera outbreaks in the classical biotype era

In the Indian subcontinent description of a disease resembling cholera has been mentioned in Sushruta Samita, estimated to have been written between ~400 and 500 BC. It is however not clear whether the disease known today as cholera caused by Vibrio cholerae Vibrio cholerae O1 is the evolutionary progression of the ancient disease. The modern history of cholera began in 1817 when an explosive epidemic broke out in the Ganges River Delta region of Bengal. This was the first of the seven recorded cholera pandemics cholera pandemics that affected nearly the entire world and caused hundreds of thousands of deaths. The bacterium responsible for this human disease was first recognised during the fifth pandemic and was named V. cholerae which was grouped as O1, and was further differentiated into Classical and El Tor biotypes. It is now known that the fifth and the sixth pandemics were caused by the V. cholerae O1 of the Classical biotype Classical biotype and the seventh by the El Tor biotype El Tor biotype . The El Tor biotype of V. cholerae, which originated in Indonesia Indonesia and shortly thereafter began to spread in the early 1960s. Within the span of 50 years the El Tor biotype had invaded nearly the entire world, completely displacing the Classical biotype from all the countries except Bangladesh. What prompted the earlier pandemics to begin is not clearly understood, nor do we know how and why they ended. The success of the seventh pandemic clone over the pre-existing sixth pandemic strain remains largely an unsolved mystery. Why classical biotype eventually disappeared from the world remains to be explained. For nearly three decades (1963-1991) during the Seventh cholera pandemic seventh pandemic, cholera in Bangladesh has recorded a unique history of co-existence of Classical and El Tor biotypes of V. cholerae O1 as epidemic and endemic strain. This long co-existence has provided us with great opportunity to improve our understanding of the disease itself and answer some important questions.

Seasonality of cholera from 1974 to 2005: a review of global patterns

Background

The seasonality of cholera is described in various study areas throughout the world. However, no study examines how temporal cycles of the disease vary around the world or reviews its hypothesized causes. This paper reviews the literature on the seasonality of cholera and describes its temporal cycles by compiling and analyzing 32 years of global cholera data. This paper also provides a detailed literature review on regional patterns and environmental and climatic drivers of cholera patterns.

Data, Methods, and Results

Cholera data are compiled from 1974 to 2005 from the World Health Organization Weekly Epidemiological Reports, a database that includes all reported cholera cases in 140 countries. The data are analyzed to measure whether season, latitude, and their interaction are significantly associated with the country-level number of outbreaks in each of the 12 preceding months using separate negative binomial regression models for northern, southern, and combined hemispheres. Likelihood ratios tests are used to determine the model of best fit. The results suggest that cholera outbreaks demonstrate seasonal patterns in higher absolute latitudes, but closer to the equator, cholera outbreaks do not follow a clear seasonal pattern.

Conclusion

The findings suggest that environmental and climatic factors partially control the temporal variability of cholera. These results also indirectly contribute to the growing debate about the effects of climate change and global warming. As climate change threatens to increase global temperature, resulting rises in sea levels and temperatures may influence the temporal fluctuations of cholera, potentially increasing the frequency and duration of cholera outbreaks.

Epidemiology, genetics, and ecology of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae

Cholera caused by toxigenic Vibrio cholerae is a major public health problem confronting developing countries, where outbreaks occur in a regular seasonal pattern and are particularly associated with poverty and poor sanitation. The disease is characterized by a devastating watery diarrhea which leads to rapid dehydration, and death occurs in 50 to 70% of untreated patients. Cholera is a waterborne disease, and the importance of water ecology is suggested by the close association of V. cholerae with surface water and the population interacting with the water. Cholera toxin (CT), which is responsible for the profuse diarrhea, is encoded by a lysogenic bacteriophage designated CTXPhi. Although the mechanism by which CT causes diarrhea is known, it is not clear why V. cholerae should infect and elaborate the lethal toxin in the host. Molecular epidemiological surveillance has revealed clonal diversity among toxigenic V. cholerae strains and a continual emergence of new epidemic clones. In view of lysogenic conversion by CTXPhi as a possible mechanism of origination of new toxigenic clones of V. cholerae, it appears that the continual emergence of new toxigenic strains and their selective enrichment during cholera outbreaks constitute an essential component of the natural ecosystem for the evolution of epidemic V. cholerae strains and genetic elements that mediate the transfer of virulence genes. The ecosystem comprising V. cholerae, CTXPhi, the aquatic environment, and the mammalian host offers an understanding of the complex relationship between pathogenesis and the natural selection of a pathogen.

The prevalence and genetics of resistance to commonly used antimicrobial agents in faecal Enterobacteriaceae from children in Bangladesh

The present study was undertaken to investigate the occurrence of antibiotic resistance in enteric flora in 64 children in rural Bangladesh over a 12-month period. The antibiotic resistance pattern of the isolates varied throughout the year and multiple resistance was highest during the post monsoon period. Seventy-three percent of children had isolates resistant to more than three antibiotics throughout the year. Resistance to streptomycin was highest (78%), followed closely by ampicillin (72%). Of 82 multiply resistant isolates, plasmid DNA was demonstrated in 75%. Plasmid sizes ranged between 3.7 and 110 MDa, the commonest plasmids were of 70, 98 and 110 MDa. Complete or partial resistance was transferred by conjugation from 52% of the isolates, most frequently by single plasmids. The commonest plasmid incompatibility group was F11-A (46%) followed by incompatibility group P (22%). Plasmids of molecular weight 98 MDa most often hybridized with F11-A probes and those of 110 MDa with H11 probes. Plasmids from 10 transconjugants were digested with restriction enzymes and digest patterns demonstrated the presence of common plasmids. The findings show that there is a diverse, and mobile, genetic pool of resistance genes in this rural community. This genetic reservoir is potentially transferable to enteric pathogens, with major implications for public health and diarrhoeal disease control.

Increased toxin production by Vibrio cholerae O1 during survival with a green alga, Rhizoclonium fontanum, in an artificial aquatic environment

In the aquatic environment, the physiological state of Vibrio cholerae can be affected by various environmental conditions (e.g., sunlight, pH, temperature, competition with other bacteria for nutrients, etc.). The effect of these factors on the toxigenicity of V. cholerae was investigated. Toxin production by 5 toxigenic strains of V. cholerae incubated in laboratory microcosms containing Rhizoclonium fontanum was tested at different time intervals. The microcosms were exposed to sunlight, and the V. cholerae were in competition for nutrients with the resident bacterial flora of R. fontanum. The increase or decrease in toxin production by V. cholerae recovered at different time intervals was measured by ELISA and compared with the parent strains. Results of the study demonstrated an increase in toxin production by V. cholerae O1 during survival with R. fontanum. It is concluded that various environmental conditions in the aquatic environment affect toxin production by V. cholerae.

Effects of microcosm salinity and organic substrate concentration on production of Vibrio cholerae enterotoxin

The effects of aquatic processes on production of cholera toxin by Vibrio cholerae were studied with seawater microcosms. Several salinity and organic nutrient concentrations were employed. At 10 g of organic nutrient per liter of seawater, toxin production increased as the salinity was increased. At lower organic nutrient concentrations, toxin production was markedly enhanced when the salinity was 20 and 25%. Toxin concentration increased with salinity, independent of cell concentration and toxin stability. From the results obtained in this study, it is concluded that physical and chemical parameters of the aquatic environment affect not only the physiological state of V. cholerae, but also its potential pathogenicity.

Medical care utilization prior to death in cholera outbreaks in rural Bangladesh

This paper describes the use-pattern of medical care prior to death caused by cholera outbreaks in rural Bangladesh. In nine rural communities 92 acute diarrhoeal deaths were recorded. These mainly occurred within 24 hours or less of diarrhoea onset, and were time-clustered. An on-the-spot stool culture survey of active cases confirmed cholera cases. In 50% of deaths, diarrhoea onset occurred between midnight and 9 am. Fifty-one percent of the fatalities had been treated earlier by village practitioners, another 20% had been attended by qualified doctors, and 8% had had no medical care. Oral rehydration therapy alone had been used in 29 cases, but 26 died within 24 hours. Of 43 persons who received intravenous therapy, oral rehydration and antibiotics, 21 (45%) died within 24 hours and 12 (28%) after 48 hours. Seventeen deceased had received no rehydration therapy. Early and adequate fluid therapy is required for optimal rehydration. Training of community people and health personnel, along with resources mobilization, will save lives by preventing unnecessary dehydration deaths.

Response of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae 01 to physico-chemical stresses in aquatic environments

The survival and growth of toxigenic Vibrio cholerae 01 in water under various conditions of salinity, pH, temperature and cation composition and concentration were studied in an extensive series of laboratory experiments. Inter- and intra-strain variation in stress response (of 01 and non-01 strains) and the ability of V. cholerae to adapt to stressful environments were also studied. Toxigenic V. cholerae 01 were able to survive for at least 70 days at 25 degrees C in solutions of sea salt. The optimal salt concentration was 2.0% though all solutions in the range 0.25-3.0% gave good support. Substrains with enhanced capacity to persist at sub-optimal salinity (0.1%) were demonstrated. A great degree of inter-strain variation in stress response at low salinity (0.05%) was found among 59 strains, and this variation was unrelated to serogroup (01 or non-01), source (clinical or environmental) or country of origin (Tanzania or Bangladesh). At optimal salinity, inter-strain variation was less and 18 out of 20 strains remained viable at high concentrations for at least 40 months at 25 degrees C. V. cholerae 01 could not survive beyond 45 days at 4 degrees C and optimal salinity, either with or without nutrients. The optimal pH range for survival at 25 degrees C was 7.0-8.5 at optimal salinity, and 7.5-9.0 at low salinity. V. cholerae 01 require Na+ for survival in the absence of nutrients, and for enhanced growth in their presence. The presence of Ca2+ or Mg2+, in addition to Na+, further enhanced survival. These, and other results reported in this paper, suggest that toxigenic V. cholerae 01 are able to survive for extended periods in warm water containing no nutrients but having a salinity of 0.25-3.0% and a pH of around 8.0. With added nutrients and under the same conditions, rapid growth is possible. The implications of these findings for the identification of putative aquatic reservoirs of V. cholerae 01, and for the epidemiology of cholera, are considerable.

Foodborne transmission of cholera in Micronesian households

During a cholera epidemic in Truk (Micronesia), in a survey of 1 village, transmission of Vibrio cholerae O1 in the 28 households with illness appeared to be through food contaminated in the home. Households in which the index case was a foodhandler had significantly higher attack rates than households in which the index case was not a foodhandler. Members of households with illness were significantly more likely to become ill if they had eaten food prepared by a foodhandler who had recently been ill. A matched-pair case-control study on several adjacent islands confirmed this relation. Those who had tended an ill person were not at increased risk of cholera in either study. This study suggests that in this outbreak, foodborne transmission of V cholerae O1 was more important than contact spread.