Effect of allopurinol on all-cause mortality in adults with incident gout: propensity score-matched landmark analysis

Comorbidities in osteoarthritis (ComOA): a combined cross-sectional, case-control and cohort study using large electronic health records in four European countries

INTRODUCTION

Osteoarthritis (OA) is one of the leading chronic conditions in the older population. People with OA are more likely to have one or more other chronic conditions than those without. However, the temporal associations, clusters of the comorbidities, role of analgesics and the causality and variation between populations are yet to be investigated. This paper describes the protocol of a multinational study in four European countries (UK, Netherlands, Sweden and Spain) exploring comorbidities in people with OA.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This multinational study will investigate (1) the temporal associations of 61 identified comorbidities with OA, (2) the clusters and trajectories of comorbidities in people with OA, (3) the role of analgesics on incidence of comorbidities in people with OA, (4) the potential biomarkers and causality between OA and the comorbidities, and (5) variations between countries.A combined case-control and cohort study will be conducted to find the temporal association of OA with the comorbidities using the national or regional health databases. Latent class analysis will be performed to identify the clusters at baseline and joint latent class analysis will be used to examine trajectories during the follow-up. A cohort study will be undertaken to evaluate the role of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), opioids and paracetamol on the incidence of comorbidities. Mendelian randomisation will be performed to investigate the potential biomarkers for causality between OA and the comorbidities using the UK Biobank and the Rotterdam Study databases. Finally, a meta-analyses will be used to examine the variations and pool the results from different countries.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Research ethics was obtained according to each database requirement. Results will be disseminated through the FOREUM website, scientific meetings, publications and in partnership with patient organisations.

Allopurinol Initiation and All-Cause Mortality Among Patients With Gout and Concurrent Chronic Kidney Disease : A Population-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Two recent randomized clinical trials of escalating doses of allopurinol for the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) reported no benefits but potentially increased risk for death. Whether the risk could occur in patients with gout and concurrent CKD remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relation of allopurinol initiation, allopurinol dose escalation, and achieving target serum urate (SU) level after allopurinol initiation to all-cause mortality in patients with both gout and CKD.

DESIGN

Cohort study.

SETTING

The Health Improvement Network U.K. primary care database (2000 to 2019).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients aged 40 years or older who had gout and concurrent moderate-to-severe CKD.

MEASUREMENTS

The association between allopurinol initiation and all-cause mortality over 5-year follow-up in propensity score (PS)-matched cohorts was examined. Analysis of hypothetical trials were emulated: achieving target SU level (<0.36 mmol/L) versus not achieving target SU level and dose escalation versus no dose escalation for mortality over 5-year follow-up in allopurinol initiators.

RESULTS

Mortality was 4.9 and 5.8 per 100 person-years in 5277 allopurinol initiators and 5277 PS-matched noninitiators, respectively (hazard ratio [HR], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.77 to 0.93]). In the target trial emulation analysis, the HR of mortality for the achieving target SU level group compared with the not achieving target SU level group was 0.87 (CI, 0.75 to 1.01); the HR of mortality for allopurinol in the dose escalation group versus the no dose escalation group was 0.88 (CI, 0.73 to 1.07).

LIMITATION

Residual confounding cannot be ruled out.

CONCLUSION

In this population-based data, neither allopurinol initiation, nor achieving target SU level with allopurinol, nor allopurinol dose escalation was associated with increased mortality in patients with gout and concurrent CKD.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Project Program of National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders.

Variation in methods, results and reporting in electronic health record-based studies evaluating routine care in gout: A systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review examining the variation in methods, results, reporting and risk of bias in electronic health record (EHR)-based studies evaluating management of a common musculoskeletal disease, gout.

METHODS

Two reviewers systematically searched MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, CINAHL, PubMed, EMBASE and Google Scholar for all EHR-based studies published by February 2019 investigating gout pharmacological treatment. Information was extracted on study design, eligibility criteria, definitions, medication usage, effectiveness and safety data, comprehensiveness of reporting (RECORD), and Cochrane risk of bias (registered PROSPERO CRD42017065195).

RESULTS

We screened 5,603 titles/abstracts, 613 full-texts and selected 75 studies including 1.9M gout patients. Gout diagnosis was defined in 26 ways across the studies, most commonly using a single diagnostic code (n = 31, 41.3%). 48.4% did not specify a disease-free period before 'incident' diagnosis. Medication use was suboptimal and varied with disease definition while results regarding effectiveness and safety were broadly similar across studies despite variability in inclusion criteria. Comprehensiveness of reporting was variable, ranging from 73% (55/75) appropriately discussing the limitations of EHR data use, to 5% (4/75) reporting on key data cleaning steps. Risk of bias was generally low.

CONCLUSION

The wide variation in case definitions and medication-related analysis among EHR-based studies has implications for reported medication use. This is amplified by variable reporting comprehensiveness and the limited consideration of EHR-relevant biases (e.g. data adequacy) in study assessment tools. We recommend accounting for these biases and performing a sensitivity analysis on case definitions, and suggest changes to assessment tools to foster this.

Failure to reach uric acid target of <0.36 mmol/L in hyperuricaemia of gout is associated with elevated total and cardiovascular mortality

Objective

To determine the impact of achieving serum uric acid (sUA) of <0.36 mmol/L on overall and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in patients with gout.

Methods

Prospective cohort of patients with gout recruited from 1992 to 2017. Exposure was defined as the average sUA recorded during the first year of follow-up, dichotomised as ≤ or >0.36 mmol/L. Bivariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to determine mortality risks, expressed HRs and 95% CIs.

Results

Of 1193 patients, 92% were men with a mean age of 60 years, 6.8 years' disease duration, an average of three to four flares in the previous year, a mean sUA of 9.1 mg/dL at baseline and a mean follow-up 48 months; and 158 died. Crude mortality rates were significantly higher for an sUA of ≥0.36 mmol/L, 80.9 per 1000 patient-years (95% CI 59.4 to 110.3), than for an sUA of <0.36 mmol/L, 25.7 per 1000 patient-years (95% CI 21.3 to 30.9). After adjustment for age, sex, CV risk factors, previous CV events, observation period and baseline sUA concentration, an sUA of ≥0.36 mmol/L was associated with elevated overall mortality (HR=2.33, 95% CI 1.60 to 3.41) and CV mortality (HR=2.05, 95% CI 1.21 to 3.45).

Conclusions

Failure to reach a target sUA level of 0.36 mmol/L in patients with hyperuricaemia of gout is an independent predictor of overall and CV-related mortality. Targeting sUA levels of <0.36 mmol/L should be a principal goal in these high-risk patients in order to reduce CV events and to extend patient survival.

Risk of fragility fracture among patients with gout and the effect of urate-lowering therapy

BACKGROUND

Previous studies that quantified the risk of fracture among patients with gout and assessed the potential effect of urate-lowering therapy have provided conflicting results. Our study aims to provide better estimates of risk by minimizing the effect of selection bias and confounding on the observed association.

METHODS

We used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, which records primary care consultations of patients from across the United Kingdom. We identified patients with incident gout from 1990 to 2004 and followed them up until 2015. Each patient with gout was individually matched to 4 controls on age, sex and general practice. We calculated absolute rate of fracture and hazard ratios (HRs) using Cox regression models. Among patients with gout, we assessed the impact of urate-lowering therapy on fracture, and used landmark analysis and propensity score matching to account for immortal time bias and confounding by indication.

RESULTS

We identified 31 781 patients with incident gout matched to 122 961 controls. The absolute rate of fracture was similar in both cases and controls (absolute rate = 53 and 55 per 10 000 person-years, respectively) corresponding to an HR of 0.97 (95% confidence interval 0.92-1.02). Our finding remained unchanged when we stratified our analysis by age and sex. We did not observe statistically significant differences in the risk of fracture among those prescribed urate-lowering therapy within 1 and 3 years after gout diagnosis.

INTERPRETATION

Overall, gout was not associated with an increased risk of fracture. Urate-lowering drugs prescribed early during the course of disease had neither adverse nor beneficial effect on the long-term risk of fracture.

Urate-lowering treatment and risk of total joint replacement in patients with gout

Objectives

To examine whether gout is an independent risk factor for total joint replacement (TJR) and whether urate-lowering treatment (ULT) reduces this risk.

Methods

Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance database and the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink, 74 560 Taiwan patients and 34 505 UK patients with incident gout were identified and age and sex matched to people without gout. Cox proportional hazards models and condition logistic regression were used to examine the risk of TJR in gout patients and the association between cumulative defined daily dose (cDDD) of ULT and TJR.

Results

The prevalence rates of TJR in the patients at the time of diagnosis of gout and in people without gout were 1.16% vs 0.82% in Taiwan and 2.61% vs 1.76% in the UK. After a gout diagnosis, the incidence of TJR was higher in the patients with gout compared with those without (3.23 vs 1.91 cases/1000 person-years in Taiwan and 6.87 vs 4.61 cases/1000 person-years in the UK), with adjusted HRs of 1.56 (95% CI 1.45, 1.68) in Taiwan and 1.14 (1.05, 1.22) in the UK. Compared with patients with gout with <28 cDDD ULT, the adjusted ORs for TJR were 0.89 (95% CI 0.77, 1.03) for 28-90 cDDD, 1.03 (0.85, 1.24) for 90-180 cDDD and 1.12 (0.94, 1.34) for >180 cDDD ULT in Taiwan. In the UK, the respective ORs were 1.09 (0.83, 1.42), 0.93 (0.68, 1.27) and 1.08 (0.94, 1.24).

Conclusion

This population-based study provides evidence from two nation populations that gout confers significant TJR risk, which was not reduced by current ULT.

Venous thromboembolism in patients with gout and the impact of hospital admission, disease duration and urate-lowering therapy

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammatory diseases have been associated with increased risk of venous thromboembolism. We aimed to quantify the risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with gout, the most common inflammatory arthritis, and to assess how disease duration, hospital admission and urate-lowering therapy affect this risk.

METHODS

We used data from the population-representative, England-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to Hospital Episode Statistics, to identify incident gout cases between 1998 and 2017. We matched cases individually to 1 control without gout on age, gender, general practice and follow-up time. We calculated absolute and relative risks of venous thromboembolism, stratified by age, gender and hospital admission. Among those with gout, we assessed the risk of venous thromboembolism by exposure to urate-lowering therapy.

RESULTS

We identified 62 234 patients with incident gout matched to 62 234 controls. Gout was associated with higher risk of venous thromboembolism compared with controls (absolute rate 37.3 [95% confidence interval (CI) 35.5-39.3] v. 27.0 [95% CI 25.5-28.9] per 10 000 person-years, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.25, 95% CI 1.15-1.35). The excess risk in patients with gout, which was sustained up to a decade after diagnosis, was present during the time outside hospital stay (adjusted HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.18-1.42), but not during it (adjusted HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.83-1.24). The risk of venous thromboembolism was similar among patients prescribed versus not prescribed urate-lowering therapy (incidence rate ratio 1.04, 95% CI 0.89-1.23).

INTERPRETATION

Gout was associated with higher risk of venous thromboembolism, particularly when the patient was not in hospital and regardless of exposure to urate-lowering therapy. Although the observed excess risk may not be sufficient to warrant preventive intervention, clinical vigilance may be required when caring for these patients.

Risk of chronic kidney disease in patients with gout and the impact of urate lowering therapy: a population-based cohort study

Background

An association between gout and renal disease is well-recognised but few studies have examined whether gout is a risk factor for subsequent chronic kidney disease (CKD). Additionally, the impact of urate-lowering therapy (ULT) on development of CKD in gout is unclear. The objective of this study was to quantify the risk of CKD stage ≥ 3 in people with gout and the impact of ULT.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). Patients with incident gout were identified from general practice medical records between 1998 and 2016 and randomly matched 1:1 to patients without a diagnosis of gout based on age, gender, available follow-up time and practice. Primary outcome was development of CKD stage ≥ 3 based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or recorded diagnosis. Absolute rates (ARs) and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using Cox regression models. Risk of developing CKD was assessed among those prescribed ULT within 1 and 3 years of gout diagnosis.

Results

Patients with incident gout (n = 41,446) were matched to patients without gout. Development of CKD stage ≥ 3 was greater in the exposed group than in the unexposed group (AR 28.6 versus 15.8 per 10,000 person-years). Gout was associated with an increased risk of incident CKD (adjusted HR 1.78 95% CI 1.70 to 1.85). Those exposed to ULT had a greater risk of incident CKD, but following adjustment this was attenuated to non-significance in all analyses (except on 3-year analysis of women (adjusted HR 1.31 95% CI 1.09 to 1.59)).

Conclusions

This study has demonstrated gout to be a risk factor for incident CKD stage ≥ 3. Further research examining the mechanisms by which gout may increase risk of CKD and whether optimal use of ULT can reduce the risk or progression of CKD in gout is suggested.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13075-018-1746-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of nurse-led care involving education and engagement of patients and a treat-to-target urate-lowering strategy versus usual care for gout: a randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

In the UK, gout management is suboptimum, with only 40% of patients receiving urate-lowering therapy, usually without titration to achieve a target serum urate concentration. Nurses successfully manage many diseases in primary care. We compared nurse-led gout care to usual care led by general practitioners (GPs) for people in the community.

METHODS

Research nurses were trained in best practice management of gout, including providing individualised information and engaging patients in shared decision making. Adults who had experienced a gout flare in the previous 12 months were randomly assigned 1:1 to receive nurse-led care or continue with GP-led usual care. We assessed patients at baseline and after 1 and 2 years. The primary outcome was the percentage of participants who achieved serum urate concentrations less than 360 μmol/L (6 mg/dL) at 2 years. Secondary outcomes were flare frequency in year 2, presence of tophi, quality of life, and cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs were calculated based on intention to treat with multiple imputation. This study is registered with www.ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01477346.

FINDINGS

517 patients were enrolled, of whom 255 were assigned nurse-led care and 262 usual care. Nurse-led care was associated with high uptake of and adherence to urate-lowering therapy. More patients receiving nurse-led care had serum urate concentrations less than 360 μmol/L at 2 years than those receiving usual care (95% vs 30%, RR 3·18, 95% CI 2·42-4·18, p<0·0001). At 2 years all secondary outcomes favoured the nurse-led group. The cost per QALY gained for the nurse-led intervention was £5066 at 2 years.

INTERPRETATION

Nurse-led gout care is efficacious and cost-effective compared with usual care. Our findings illustrate the benefits of educating and engaging patients in gout management and reaffirm the importance of a treat-to-target urate-lowering treatment strategy to improve patient-centred outcomes.

FUNDING

Arthritis Research UK.

Xanthine oxidase inhibitors for prevention of cardiovascular events: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Xanthine oxidase inhibitors (XOI), classified as purine-like (allopurinol and oxypurinol) and non-purine (febuxostat and topiroxostat) XOI, present antioxidant properties by reducing the production of reactive oxygen species derived from purine metabolism. Oxidative stress is an important factor related to endothelial dysfunction and ischemia-reperfusion injury, and may be implicated in the pathogenesis of heart failure, hypertension, and ischemic heart disease. However, there is contradictory evidence regarding the possible cardiovascular (CV) protective effect exerted by XOI. Our objective is to compare the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), mortality, total (TCE) and specific CV events in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) testing XOI against placebo or no treatment.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Central, Lilacs databases were searched from inception to Dec 30 2016, along with hand searching. RCTs including exclusively adult individuals, lasting ≥ 4 weeks, with no language restriction, were eligible. Independent paired researchers selected studies and extracted data. Considering the expected rarity of events, Peto and DerSimonian/Laird odds ratios (OR), the latter in case of heterogeneity, were used for analysis. Random-effects meta-regression was used to explore heterogeneity.

RESULTS

The analysis of MACE included 81 articles (10,684 patients, 6434 patient-years). XOI did not significantly reduce risk of MACE (ORP = 0.71, 95% CI 0.46-1.09) and death (0.89, 0.59-1.33), but reduced risk of TCE (0.60, 0.44-0.82; serious TCE: 0.64, 0.46 to 0.89), and hypertension (0.54, 0.37 to 0.80). There was protection for MACE in patients with previous ischemic events (0.42, 0.23-0.76). Allopurinol protected for myocardial infarction (0.38, 0.17-0.83), hypertension (0.32, 0.18-0.58), TCE (0.48, 0.31 to 0.75, I2 = 55%) and serious TCE (0.56, 0.36 to 0.86, I2 = 44%). Meta-regression associated increasing dose of allopurinol with higher risk of TCE and serious TCE (P < 0.05). Accordingly, lower doses (≤ 300 mg/day) of allopurinol reduced the risk of TCE, unlike higher doses. Non-purine-like XOI did not significantly reduce or increase the risk of adverse CV events, but confidence intervals were wide. Quality of evidence was generally low to moderate.

CONCLUSIONS

Purine-like XOI may reduce the incidence of adverse CV outcomes. However, higher doses of allopurinol (> 300 mg/day) may be associated with loss of CV protection.

Gout and subsequent erectile dysfunction: a population-based cohort study from England

Background

An association has been suggested between gout and erectile dysfunction (ED), however studies quantifying the risk of ED amongst gout patients are lacking. We aimed to precisely determine the population-level absolute and relative rate of ED reporting among men with gout over a decade in England.

Methods

We utilised the UK-based Clinical Practice Research Datalink to identify 9653 men with incident gout age- and practice-matched to 38,218 controls. Absolute and relative rates of incident ED were calculated using Cox regression models. Absolute rates within specific time periods before and after gout diagnosis were compared to control using a Poisson regression model.

Results

Overall, the absolute rate of ED post-gout diagnosis was 193 (95% confidence interval (CI): 184–202) per 10,000 person-years. This corresponded to a 31% (hazard ratio (HR): 1.31 95%CI: 1.24–1.40) increased relative risk and 0.6% excess absolute risk compared to those without gout. We did not observe statistically significant differences in the risk of ED among those prescribed ULT within 1 and 3 years after gout diagnosis. Compared to those unexposed, the risk of ED was also high in the year before gout diagnosis (relative rate = 1.63 95%CI 1.27–2.08). Similar findings were also observed for severe ED warranting pharmacological intervention.

Conclusions

We have shown a statistically significant increased risk of ED among men with gout. Our findings will have important implications in planning a multidisciplinary approach to managing patients with gout.

Predictors of Mortality in People with Recent-onset Gout: A Prospective Observational Study

OBJECTIVE

To determine mortality rates and predictors of death at baseline in people with a recent onset of gout.

METHODS

People with gout disease duration < 10 years were recruited from primary and secondary care settings. Comprehensive clinical assessment was completed at baseline. Participants were prospectively followed for at least 1 year. Information about death was systematically collected from primary and secondary health records. Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) were calculated and risk factors for mortality were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard regression models.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) followup duration was 5.1 (1.6) years (a total 1511 patient-yrs accrued). Of the 295 participants, 43 (14.6%) had died at the time of censorship (SMR 1.96, 95% CI 1.44-2.62). In the reduced Cox proportional hazards model, these factors were independently associated with an increased risk of death from all causes: older age (70-80 yrs: HR 9.96, 95% CI 3.30-30.03; 80-91 yrs: HR 9.39, 95% CI 2.68-32.89), Māori or Pacific ethnicity (HR 2.48, 95% CI 1.17-5.29), loop diuretic use (HR 3.99, 95% CI 2.15-7.40), serum creatinine (per 10 µmol/l change; HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00-1.07), and the presence of subcutaneous tophi (HR 2.85, 95% CI 1.49-5.44). The presence of subcutaneous tophi was the only baseline variable independently associated with both cardiovascular (CV) cause of death (HR 3.13, 95% CI 1.38-7.10) and non-CV cause of death (HR 3.48, 95% CI 1.25-9.63).

CONCLUSION

People with gout disease duration < 10 years have an increased risk of death. The presence of subcutaneous tophi at baseline is an independent predictor of mortality, from both CV and non-CV causes.