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Subfertility among HIV-affected couples in a safer conception cohort in South Africa. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2019; 221:48.e1-48.e18. [PMID: 30807762 PMCID: PMC6592765 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajog.2019.02.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2018] [Revised: 02/15/2019] [Accepted: 02/19/2019] [Indexed: 01/23/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Subfertility among couples affected by HIV has an impact on the well-being of couples who desire to have children and may prolong HIV exposure. Subfertility in the antiretroviral therapy era and its determinants have not yet been well characterized. OBJECTIVE The objective of the study was to investigate the burden and determinants of subfertility among HIV-affected couples seeking safer conception services in South Africa. STUDY DESIGN Nonpregnant women and male partners in HIV seroconcordant or HIV discordant relationships desiring a child were enrolled in the Sakh'umndeni safer conception cohort at Witkoppen Clinic in Johannesburg between July 2013 and April 2017. Clients were followed up prospectively through pregnancy (if they conceived) or until 6 months of attempted conception, after which they were referred for infertility services. Subfertility was defined as not having conceived within 6 months of attempted conception. Robust Poisson regression was used to assess the association between baseline characteristics and subfertility outcomes; inverse probability weighting was used to account for missing data from women lost to safer conception care before 6 months of attempted conception. RESULTS Among 334 couples enrolled, 65% experienced subfertility (inverse probability weighting weighted, 95% confidence interval, 0.59-0.73), of which 33% were primary subfertility and 67% secondary subfertility. Compared with HIV-negative women, HIV-positive women not on antiretroviral therapy had a 2-fold increased risk of subfertility (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 2.00; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-3.34). Infertility risk was attenuated in women on antiretroviral therapy but remained elevated, even after ≥2 years on antiretroviral therapy (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 1.63; 95% confidence interval, 0.98-2.69). Other factors associated with subfertility were female age (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 1.03, 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.05 per year), male HIV-positive status (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 1.31; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.68), male smoking (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 1.29; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.60), and trying to conceive for ≥1 year (weighted and adjusted risk ratio, 1.38; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.68). CONCLUSION Two in 3 HIV-affected couples experienced subfertility. HIV-positive women were at increased risk of subfertility, even when on antiretroviral therapy. Both male and female HIV status were associated with subfertility. Subfertility is an underrecognized reproductive health problem in resource-limited settings and may contribute to prolonged HIV exposure and transmission within couples. Low-cost approaches for screening and treating subfertility in this population are needed.
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Relative patterns of sexual activity and fertility among HIV positive and negative women-Evidence from 46 DHS. PLoS One 2018; 13:e0204584. [PMID: 30332414 PMCID: PMC6192566 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0204584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/15/2018] [Accepted: 09/11/2018] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives Projections of fertility of HIV positive women as ART scales up are needed to plan prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) services. We describe differences in exposure to pregnancy between HIV positive and HIV negative women by age, region and national ART coverage to evaluate the extent to which behavioural differences explain lower fertility among HIV positive women and assess whether exposure to pregnancy has changed with antiretroviral treatment (ART) scale-up. Methods We analysed 46 nationally representative household surveys in sub-Saharan Africa conducted between 2003 and 2015 to estimate risk of exposure to recent sex and pregnancy of HIV positive and HIV negative women by age using a log binomial model. We tested for regional and urban/rural differences and associations with national ART coverage. We estimated an adjusted fertility rate ratio of HIV positive to HIV negative women adjusting for differences in exposure to pregnancy. Results Exposure to pregnancy differs significantly between HIV positive and negative women by age, modified by region. Younger HIV positive women have a higher exposure to pregnancy than HIV negative women and the opposite is true at older ages. The switch occurs at 25–29 for rural women and 30–34 for urban women. There was no evidence that exposure to pregnancy of HIV positive women have changed as national ART coverage increased. The inferred rate of fecundity of HIV positive women when adjusted for differences in exposure to pregnancy were lower than unadjusted fertility rate ratios in women aged 20–29 and 20–24 in urban and rural areas respectively varying between 0.6 and 0.9 over regions. Discussion The direct effects of HIV on fertility are broadly similar across ages, while the dramatic age gradient that has frequently been observed is largely attributable to variation in relative sexual exposure by age.
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Abstract
Introduction: HIV reduces fertility through biological and social pathways, and antiretroviral treatment (ART) can ameliorate these effects. In northern Malawi, ART has been available since 2007 and lifelong ART is offered to all pregnant or breastfeeding HIV-positive women. Methods: Using data from the Karonga Health and Demographic Surveillance Site in Malawi from 2005 to 2014, we used total and age-specific fertility rates and Cox regression to assess associations between HIV and ART use and fertility. We also assessed temporal trends in in utero and breastfeeding HIV and ART exposure among live births. Results: From 2005 to 2014, there were 13,583 live births during approximately 78,000 person years of follow-up of women aged 15–49 years. The total fertility rate in HIV-negative women decreased from 6.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 5.5 to 6.8] in 2005–2006 to 5.1 (4.8–5.5) in 2011–2014. In HIV-positive women, the total fertility rate was more stable, although lower, at 4.4 (3.2–6.1) in 2011–2014. In 2011–2014, compared with HIV-negative women, the adjusted (age, marital status, and education) hazard ratio was 0.7 (95% CI: 0.6 to 0.9) and 0.8 (95% CI: 0.6 to 1.0) for women on ART for at least 9 months and not (yet) on ART, respectively. The crude fertility rate increased with duration on ART up to 3 years before declining. The proportion of HIV-exposed infants decreased, but the proportion of ART-exposed infants increased from 2.4% in 2007–2010 to 3.5% in 2011–2014. Conclusions: Fertility rates in HIV-positive women are stable in the context of generally decreasing fertility. Despite a decrease in HIV-exposed infants, there has been an increase in ART-exposed infants.
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Does nonlocal women's attendance at antenatal clinics distort HIV prevalence surveillance estimates in pregnant women in Zimbabwe? AIDS 2017; 31 Suppl 1:S95-S102. [PMID: 28296805 PMCID: PMC5677598 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000001337] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The objective was to assess whether HIV prevalence measured among women attending antenatal clinics (ANCs) are representative of prevalence in the local area, or whether estimates may be biased by some women's choice to attend ANCs away from their residential location. We tested the hypothesis that HIV prevalence in towns and periurban areas is underestimated in ANC sentinel surveillance data in Zimbabwe. METHODS National unlinked anonymous HIV surveillance was conducted at 19 ANCs in Zimbabwe in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2004, 2006, 2009, and 2012. This data was used to compare HIV prevalence and nonlocal attendance levels at ANCs at city, town, periurban, and rural clinics in aggregate and also for individual ANCs. RESULTS In 2000, HIV prevalence at town ANCs (36.6%, 95% CI 34.4-38.9%) slightly underestimated prevalence among urban women attending these clinics (40.7%, 95% CI 37.6-43.9%). However, there was no distortion in HIV prevalence at either the aggregate clinic location or at individual clinics in more recent surveillance rounds. HIV prevalence was consistently higher in towns and periurban areas than in rural areas. Nonlocal attendance was high at town (26-39%) and periurban (53-95%) ANCs but low at city clinics (<10%). However, rural women attending ANCs in towns and periurban areas had higher HIV prevalence than rural women attending rural clinics, and were younger, more likely to be single, and less likely to be housewives. CONCLUSIONS In Zimbabwe, HIV prevalence among ANC attendees provides reliable estimates of HIV prevalence in pregnant women in the local area.
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Transition to Parenthood and HIV Infection in Rural Zimbabwe. PLoS One 2016; 11:e0163730. [PMID: 27684998 PMCID: PMC5042509 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0163730] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2016] [Accepted: 09/13/2016] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The relationship between the risk of acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and people's choices about life course events describing the transition to parenthood-sexual debut, union (in the form of marriage, cohabitation, or long-term relationship), and parenthood-is still unclear. A crucial role in shaping this relationship may be played by the sequence of these events and by their timing. This suggests the opportunity to focus on the life courses in their entirety rather than on the specific events, thus adopting a holistic approach that regards each individual's life course trajectory as a whole. METHODS We summarise the individual life courses describing the transition to parenthood using ordered sequences of the three considered events. We aim to (i) investigate the association between the sequences and HIV infection, and (ii) understand how these sequences interact with known mechanisms for HIV transmission, such as the length of sexual exposure and the experience of non-regular sexual partnerships. For this purpose, we use data from a general population cohort study run in Manicaland (Zimbabwe), a Sub-Saharan African area characterised by high HIV prevalence. RESULTS For both genders, individuals who experienced either premarital or delayed childbearing have higher HIV risk compared to individuals following more standard transitions. This can be explained by the interplay of the sequences with known HIV proximate determinants, e.g., a longer exposure to sexual activity and higher rates of premarital sex. Moreover, we found that people in the younger birth cohorts experience more normative and safer sequences. CONCLUSIONS The shift of younger generations towards more normative transitions to parenthood is a sign of behaviour change that might have contributed to the observed reduction in HIV prevalence in the area. On the other hand, for people with less normative transitions, targeted strategies are essential for HIV prevention.
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Estimating the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility among Malawian women using demographic and health survey data. AJAR-AFRICAN JOURNAL OF AIDS RESEARCH 2015. [DOI: 10.2989/16085906.2015.1093512] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
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HIV-1 seroprevalence among pregnant women in rural Uganda: a longitudinal study over fifteen years. Gynecol Obstet Invest 2013; 75:169-74. [PMID: 23486005 DOI: 10.1159/000346175] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2012] [Accepted: 11/28/2012] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In order to determine the development of the prevalence of HIV infection in rural Western Uganda, data of epidemiological studies conducted in 2001 and 2007 were compared to study data from 1993. METHODS In 2001 (n = 466) and in 2007 (n = 486), one group each of clinically healthy pregnant women of a local prenatal care department were enrolled in the study and anonymously screened for HIV-1. For both groups, informed consent was obtained prior to enrolment. Testing for HIV was done by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and confirmed by Western blot. In addition, age and antibodies against syphilis were determined as risk factors of HIV infection. RESULTS The seroprevalence of HIV-1 infection did not decrease significantly over this time period, dropping from 28.3 to 25.1% between 2001 and 2007, but the prevalence of syphilis antibodies decreased from 27.9 to 11.1%. The data of 2001 and 2007 were compared to a third cohort from 1993, in which 21.5% of pregnant women were HIV-1-positive and 31.1% were Treponema pallidum hemagglutination assay (TPHA)-positive. CONCLUSION The current prevalence of HIV-1 infection in Uganda is still high and there is a need for further promotion of HIV prevention and control services.
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Hysterosalpingographic Tubal Abnormalities in Retroviral (HIV) Positive and Negative Infertile Females. J Clin Diagn Res 2013; 7:35-8. [PMID: 23450063 PMCID: PMC3576745 DOI: 10.7860/jcdr/2012/4938.2664] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2012] [Accepted: 11/21/2012] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND HIV and infertility are associated in several ways and the improved treatment options which are available for HIV patients have improved their health, increased their reproductive years and subsequently, their desire to procreate. OBJECTIVE The objective was to compare the findings on hysterosalpingography in HIV positive and negative infertile females. STUDY DESIGN All the 5250 patients who were referred to the radiodiagnosis unit of the centre in 2011, were counselled about the study, but only the two thousand and two hundred females who gave their consents had their retroviral status determined and were included in this study. Their sociodemographic histories were acquired with the aid of a structured questionnaire and their hysterosalpingography studies were reported by a radiologist. RESULTS Most of the patients (54.5%) were within the age group of 31-40 years, they were mainly nullparous (76.8%) and a past history of induced abortions was statistically significant in the HIV positive patients compared to HIV negative patients. Also, the uterine synechiae were significantly higher in the HIV positive than the HIV negative patients (26.5% and 9.6% respectively). Tubal abnormalities were seen in 52% and 26% of the positive and negative individuals respectively, with hydrosalpinges being the commonest pathology in the HIV positive patients and distal occlusion being the commonest in the HIV negative patients. CONCLUSION Tubal infertility is the commonest cause of the infertility in the HIV positive individuals and the commonest tubal pathology is hydrosalpinges as compared to distal tubal occlusion in the HIV negative patients .There is a need to not only research further into the treatment and other options for the patients with tubal infertility, but also to make them available and affordable to provide succour to this group of patients, no matter what their retroviral status is.
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Endometrial histopathology in patients with laparoscopic proven salpingitis and HIV-1 infection. Infect Dis Obstet Gynecol 2011; 2011:407057. [PMID: 21941427 PMCID: PMC3177090 DOI: 10.1155/2011/407057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2011] [Revised: 06/06/2011] [Accepted: 06/08/2011] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Study Objective. To identify sensitive and specific histological criteria for endometritis in women with laparoscopically-confirmed acute salpingitis. Methods. Women, age 18–40 years of age presenting with complaints of lower abdominal pain ≤2 weeks and no antibiotics use in past two weeks, were enrolled. They underwent clinical examination, screening for HIV; other sexually transmitted infections plus endometrial biopsy sampling for histopathology. Diagnostic laparoscopy confirmed the diagnosis of acute salpingitis. Controls were women undergoing tubal ligation and HIV-1 infected women asymptomatic for genital tract infection. Results. Of 125 women with laparoscopically-confirmed salpingitis, 38% were HIV-1 seropositive. Nineteen HIV-1 negative controls were recruited. For the diagnosis of endometritis, ≥1 plasma cells (PC) and ≥3 polymorphonuclear lymphocytes (PMN) per HPF in the endometrium had a sensitivity of 74% for HIV-1-seropositive, 63% for HIV-1-seronegative women with a specificity of 75% and positive predictive value of 85% regardless of HIV-1-infection for predicting moderate to severe salpingitis. For HIV-1-seronegative women with mild salpingitis, ≥1 PC and ≥3 PMN had a sensitivity of 16% and a PPV of 57%. Conclusion. Endometrial histology, did not perform well as a surrogate marker for moderate to severe salpingitis, and failed as a surrogate marker for mild salpingitis.
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Fertility among HIV-infected Indian women: the biological effect and its implications. J Biosoc Sci 2010; 43:19-29. [PMID: 20937166 DOI: 10.1017/s0021932010000568] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
In India, nearly one million women of childbearing age are infected with HIV. This study sought to examine the biological effect of HIV on the fertility of HIV-infected Indian women. This is relevant for the provision of pregnancy-related counselling and care to the infected women, and for estimating the HIV prevalence among women and children. The study used retrospectively collected data from the National Family Health Survey (2005-2006) and applied a matched case control study design to compare the effect of HIV on conception, pregnancy rates and pregnancy outcomes among HIV-infected (N=69) and HIV-non-infected (N=345) women, both unaware of their HIV status. Pregnancy rates and pregnancy outcomes were compared through non-parametric statistical tests, whereas the effect of HIV on fecundity was studied by analysing the interval between last two pregnancies using Cox regression. The pregnancy rate was observed to be lower among HIV-infected than HIV-non-infected women (RR=0.77). The difference, however, was not statistically significant (p=0.064). There was also no statistically significant difference in the interval between last two pregnancies (p=0.898). Significantly higher number of pregnancies among HIV-infected women resulted in termination because of miscarriage or stillbirths (p=0.004). Therefore, while providing clinical care and counselling to infected women, the possibility of adverse pregnancy outcomes should be considered. Due to the higher rate of adverse pregnancy outcomes, attendance of HIV-infected women at antenatal clinics might be greater, which could lead to overestimation of HIV prevalence derived from antenatal care surveillance sites.
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"What worked?": the evidence challenges in determining the causes of HIV prevalence decline. AIDS EDUCATION AND PREVENTION : OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE INTERNATIONAL SOCIETY FOR AIDS EDUCATION 2008; 20:275-283. [PMID: 18558824 DOI: 10.1521/aeap.2008.20.3.275] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
It seems natural to ask "what worked" when looking at nations achieving HIV prevalence declines. Yet this seemingly benign question is fraught with complexity and often poorly understood. This article presents a framework to comprehend the areas in which evidence is needed to assess the policy causes of HIV success. To truly explain what national policies "worked," in addition to HIV prevalence data, evidence or estimates are needed on HIV incidence trends, associated behavior changes, implemented interventions promoting those changes, and policies driving those interventions. Rarely, however, are there conclusive data for these components, as illustrated by the continuing debates around "what worked" in Uganda's HIV success. Unfortunately, within such debates, the understanding of the nature of the evidence requirements is often lost. Only by understanding the nature of the evidence, and how pieces of evidence fit together, can we truly reach evidence-based agreement and draw appropriate lessons of "what worked" in any case of HIV/AIDS prevention.
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Reproductive Choice for Women and Men Living with HIV: Contraception, Abortion and Fertility. REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH MATTERS 2007; 15:46-66. [PMID: 17531748 DOI: 10.1016/s0968-8080(07)29031-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
From a policy and programmatic point of view, this paper reviews the literature on the fertility-related needs of women and men living with HIV and how the entry points represented by family planning, sexually transmitted infection and HIV-related services can ensure access to contraception, abortion and fertility services for women and men living with HIV. Most contraceptive methods are safe and effective for HIV positive women and men. The existing range of contraceptive options should be available to people living with HIV, along with more information about and access to emergency contraception. Potential drug interaction must be considered between hormonal contraception and treatment for tuberculosis and certain antiretroviral drugs. Couples living with HIV who wish to use a permanent contraceptive method should have access to female sterilisation and vasectomy in an informed manner, free of coercion. How to promote condoms and dual protection and how to make them acceptable in long term-relationships remains a challenge. Both surgical and medical abortion are safe for women living with HIV. To reduce risk of vertical transmission of HIV and in cases of infertility, people with HIV should have access to sperm washing and other assisted conception methods, if these are available. Simple and cost-effective procedures to reduce risk of vertical transmission should be part of counselling for women and men living with HIV who intend to have children. Support for the reproductive rights of people with HIV is a priority. More operations research on best practices is needed.
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Antenatal clinic-based HIV prevalence in Zambia: declining trends but sharp local contrasts in young women. Trop Med Int Health 2006; 11:917-28. [PMID: 16772014 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2006.01629.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To describe regional variation in human immunodefffeciency virus (HIV) prevalence trends in the period 1994-2002 and to assess the effects on prevalence trends of residence, educational level and age, and potential interaction between these variables. METHODS The data were from the national HIV sentinel surveillance system comprising information collected using interviews and unlinked anonymous testing of blood among pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in 22 sites in 1994, 1998 and 2002. RESULTS There was a decline in HIV prevalence in the age group 15-24 years in the period 1994-2002 both in rural (by 11%) and urban (by 26%) areas. The decline was strongest among highly educated women. However, this overall decline masked striking differences at community (site) levels with clearly declining epidemics in many sites contrasted by increasing epidemics in some and stability in others. Urban/rural residence, age, educational attainment, marital status and parity were factors closely associated with HIV infection. Having born many children was associated with lower risk of being infected by HIV, even in the age group 15-24. CONCLUSIONS The HIV prevalence decline in young women is likely to reflect a drop in incidence during the period. However, there were sharp geographical contrasts in trends. Such local contrasts probably indicate differences in effectiveness of preventive interventions. Understanding factors and mechanisms explaining the differences will be of critical importance to better guide preventive interventions.
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Differences in fertility by HIV serostatus and adjusted HIV prevalence data from an antenatal clinic in northern Uganda. Trop Med Int Health 2006; 11:182-7. [PMID: 16451342 DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2005.01554.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To estimate differences in fertility by HIV serostatus and to validate an adjustment method for estimating the HIV prevalence in the general female population using data from an antenatal clinic. METHODS We used Cox regression models to retrospectively estimate the age-specific relative fertility (RF) of HIV-positive compared to HIV-negative women among 3314 antenatal clinic attenders in northern Uganda. RF and the age distribution of women in the general female population were used to extrapolate the antenatal clinic-based HIV prevalence. This procedure was indirectly validated by comparing the adjusted estimate with those based on standard adjustment factors derived from general female populations in Uganda and Tanzania. RESULTS HIV-positive women reported a lower fertility than HIV-negative women [age-adjusted RF=0.83, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75-0.93]. Except for girls aged 15-19 (RF=0.96, 95% CI: 0.74-1.24) HIV-positive women in all age groups were less fertile (20-24 year: RF=0.83, 95% CI: 0.67-1.01; 25-29 years: RF=0.79, 95% CI: 0.62-1.00; 30-49 year: RF=0.79, 95% CI: 0.65-0.96]. Adjusting the antenatal clinic-based HIV prevalence (11.6%) for these differences yields a higher estimate (13.8%) that is lower than those based on standard adjustment factors derived from general female populations (from 14.6% to 17.7%). CONCLUSIONS The age-specific pattern of differential fertility by HIV serostatus derived from antenatal clinic data is consistent with findings from population-based studies conducted in Africa. However, differences in fertility between HIV positive and HIV-negative clients underestimate those in the general female population yielding inaccurate estimates when used to extrapolate the HIV prevalence.
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Estimating incidence of HIV infection in childbearing age African women using serial prevalence data from antenatal clinics. Stat Med 2006; 26:320-35. [PMID: 16625518 DOI: 10.1002/sim.2540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
Ades and Medley provided the first flexible method for estimating age- and time-specific HIV incidence using HIV prevalence data collected among pregnant women and adjusting for the effect of differential selection between infected and uninfected women. This paper extends the approach proposed by these authors. We used a parametric model that allows the relative inclusion rate to depend on both age, calendar time, and duration of HIV infection. We developed a two dimensional penalized log-likelihood approach for estimating time- and age-specific incidence using a binomial likelihood function and a quadratic roughness penalty which allows smoothing over both age and time. Identifiability of the model parameters and effect of sample size are studied through simulations. The method is illustrated using prenatal HIV testing data recorded from 1995 to 2002 in Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire, to estimate the HIV annual incidence rate among women aged 12-40 year old, from the beginning of the epidemic to 2002. We show that estimated incidence rates are highly dependent on hypotheses made to model the relative inclusion rate. Despite this dependency, the application of the method leads to new and accurate findings on HIV incidence qualitative features in Abidjan. We highlight the relevance of such a method in monitoring the dynamics of HIV epidemic in Africa which is essential for planning vaccine trials and future treatment needs, and for assessment of prevention policy.
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Methods to estimate the number of orphans as a result of AIDS and other causes in Sub-Saharan Africa. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2005; 39:365-75. [PMID: 15980700 DOI: 10.1097/01.qai.0000156393.80809.fd] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To derive methods to estimate and project the fraction of children orphaned by AIDS and other causes. METHODS HIV/AIDS affects orphan numbers through increased adult and child mortality and reduced fertility of HIV-positive women. We extend an epidemiologic and demographic model used previously to estimate maternal orphans to paternal orphans. We account for the impact of HIV/AIDS on child survival by modeling the HIV status of the partners of men who die of AIDS or other causes based on data on the concordance of heterosexual partners. Subsequently, the proportion of orphans whose parents have both died is predicted by a regression model fitted to orphanhood data from 34 national demographic and health surveys (DHSs). The approach is illustrated with an application to Tanzania and compared with DHS estimates for the years 1992 and 1999. RESULTS Projections of the number and age distribution of orphans using these methods agree with survey data for Tanzania. They show the rise in orphanhood over the last decade that has resulted from the HIV epidemic. CONCLUSIONS The methods allow estimation of the numbers of children whose mother, father, or both parents have died for countries with generalized heterosexual HIV epidemics. These methods have been used to produce orphan estimates for high-prevalence countries published by Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS, World Health Organization, United Nations Children's Fund, and US Agency for International Development in 2002 and 2004.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Since 2001, French law has permitted the use of assisted reproductive technology in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 infected women under strict conditions. This report describes a preliminary series of seropositive women who underwent assisted reproduction treatment at our facility. To minimize contamination of culture media, equipment, and therefore of male gametes and embryos, we chose to perform ICSI in all cases. The outcome of ICSI was compared with the outcome in an age-matched group of non-HIV-1-infected women. Since several previous reports have indicated that HIV infection may be associated with a decrease in spontaneous fertility, our goal was also to assess the fertility status of the HIV-1-infected women entering our ICSI programme. METHODS The French law governing the use of assisted reproduction protocols in HIV-1-infected women was strictly applied. The inclusion criteria were absence of ongoing disease, CD4((+)) count >200 cells/mm(3), and stable HIV-1 RNA level. Since mean age at the time of ICSI was higher in HIV-1-infected women than in the overall group of non-HIV-infected women, we compared outcome data in HIV-1-infected women (group I) to a group of non-HIV-1-infected women matched with regard to age and follicle retrieval period (group II) as well as to the overall group of women who underwent ICSI at our institution (group III). RESULTS A total of 66 ovarian stimulations was performed in 29 HIV-1-infected-infected women. The percentage of cancelled cycles was higher in infected women than in matched controls (15.2 versus 4.9%, P < 0.05). The duration of ovarian stimulation (13.3 versus 11.7 days, P < 0.05) and amount of recombinant FSH injected (2898 versus 2429 IU, P < 0.001) were also higher in infected women. The number of retrieved oocytes, mature oocytes, and embryos obtained as well as embryo quality was similar in all groups. The fertilization rate was higher in infected women than in matched controls (67 versus 60%, P < 0.01). The pregnancy rate was not significantly different between groups I and II (16.1 versus 19.6%) in spite of the fact that the number of embryos transferred was purposefully restricted in the HIV-1-infected group to minimize multiple pregnancy (2.0 versus 2.4, not significant). CONCLUSION The results of this preliminary series of ICSI cycles in HIV-1-infected women indicate that optimal ovarian stimulation is slightly more difficult to achieve than in matched seronegative women. However, when criteria for oocyte retrieval were fulfilled, ICSI results were similar to those of age-matched controls.
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Abstract
The HIV/AIDS epidemic is one of the major factors affecting women's health, with 20 million women living with HIV and more than two million pregnancies in HIV-positive women each year. Most HIV infections in women are in resource-constrained settings where the risk of maternal morbidity and mortality is also unacceptably high, and where most of the 529,000 deaths from complications of pregnancy, childbirth and abortion occur annually. There is increasing evidence that HIV/AIDS-related maternal deaths are escalating considerably, and AIDS has overtaken direct obstetric causes as the leading cause of maternal mortality in some areas of high HIV prevalence. As the availability of antiretroviral treatment becomes more widespread, pregnant women who qualify for antiretroviral treatment should be considered as a priority group for access to treatment. Successful strategies to reduce mother-to-child transmission of HIV are in place in developed countries but much less available in the rest of the world. A more comprehensive approach is needed. The current focus on preventing new infections in children must be broadened to include appropriate care for pregnant women and the prevention of new infections in women and men.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Demand for assisted conception amongst HIV-infected couples is rising in parallel with increased efficacy of antiretroviral medication which has improved life expectancy and reduced vertical transmission risk. There are no published data on welfare of the child assessment in HIV positive couples undergoing assisted conception. METHODS We assessed welfare of the child in 131 (i.e. total number seen, not treated) couples, where one or both partners were infected with HIV and referred to the infertility clinic at Chelsea and Westminster Hospital since 1999. In total, 59 couples received sperm washing treatment (male partner infected) resulting in 17 healthy babies, and 14 couples were treated in the female positive programme (5 concordant and 9 discordant for HIV) resulting in three healthy babies. RESULTS Issues surrounding welfare of the child were commonly encountered in this series and were significant enough to withhold treatment in five cases. Many were relationship issues surrounding acquisition of infection, fear of infection in the negative partner or child (n = 1), poor prognosis (multiple drug resistance) (n=3) or disability related to infection (n = 1). CONCLUSIONS Welfare of the child in HIV infected couples must be carefully considered in specialist centres with experienced counsellors. Issues surrounding treatment are complex and require close liaison with HIV specialists and involvement of the couple.
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Abstract
UNAIDS/WHO estimates that 42 million people are living with HIV/AIDS worldwide and 50% of all adults with HIV infection are women predominantly infected via heterosexual transmission. Women with HIV infection, like other women, may wish to plan pregnancy, limit their family, or avoid pregnancy. Health professionals should enable these reproductive choices by counselling and appropriate contraception provision at the time of HIV diagnosis and during follow up. The aim of this article is to present a global overview of contraception choice for women living with HIV infection including effects on sexual transmission risk.
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES To examine new evidence from studies on the estimates of the fertility rate ratio comparing HIV-infected and uninfected women, of the population change in total fertility attributable to HIV, and to review the evidence of changes in fertility in HIV-uninfected women. DESIGN A review and analysis of data from the many individual studies that have examined the associations between HIV/AIDS and fertility. METHODS Data from sub-Saharan Africa were collected from published studies, personal communications and the Demographic and Health Surveys. A mathematical model was used to demonstrate the impact of the HIV/AIDS epidemic on the number of births in Uganda. RESULTS Fertility was lower among HIV-infected women than HIV-uninfected women, with the exception of those aged 15-19 years, in whom the selective pressure of sexual debut on pregnancy and HIV infection led to higher fertility rates among the HIV infected. This fertility differential resulted in a population-attributable decline in total fertility of 0.37% (95% confidence interval 0.30%, 0.44%) for each percentage point of HIV prevalence. The evidence for fertility changes in HIV-uninfected women was ambiguous. An estimated reduction of 700 000 births occurred in Uganda, as a result of the reduced fertility in HIV-infected women and premature mortality among reproductive age women. CONCLUSION Large fertility differentials existed between HIV-infected and uninfected women, with substantial variation by age. The extent to which these could be attributed to the direct impact of the epidemic on both infected and uninfected women, as opposed to pre-existing differences in their fertility, merits further study.
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES To estimate the association between HIV disease progression and the incidence of recognized pregnancy; to estimate the risk of subsequent fetal loss. METHODS A total of 191 women (92 HIV seropositive and 99 HIV seronegative at enrolment) aged 15-49 years in an HIV clinical cohort were invited to attend routine clinic visits every 3 months. Information on HIV progression collected at the visit was related to whether there was a pregnancy beginning in the following 3 months. Visits were excluded where the woman was already pregnant, lactating, using modern contraceptives or if there was inadequate follow-up. RESULTS There were 2524 eligible visits and 216 recognized pregnancies. The reported frequency of sexual intercourse diminished with advancing HIV disease. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for pregnancy when the woman was in WHO stage 1 compared with HIV seronegatives was 0.58 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.36-0.93]; stage 2, 0.47 (95% CI, 0.25-0.91); stage 3, 0.43 (95% CI, 0.25-0.74); and stage 4, (AIDS) 0.14 (95% CI, 0.02-1.09). The findings were similar for CD4 cell count, time from seroconversion and time before AIDS. There was an increase in fetal loss from the early stages of HIV infection (adjusted OR for stage 1, 5.38; 95% CI, 1.57-18.44), there were very few recognized pregnancies in the advanced stages. CONCLUSIONS Fertility is reduced from the earliest asymptomatic stage of HIV infection resulting from both a reduced incidence of recognized pregnancy and increased fetal loss. The greatest reduction in fertility was observed following progression to AIDS when there was a very low incidence of recognized pregnancies.
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Pregnant or positive: adolescent childbearing and HIV risk in KwaZulu Natal, South Africa. REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH MATTERS 2004; 11:122-33. [PMID: 14708403 DOI: 10.1016/s0968-8080(03)02298-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
In communities where early age of childbearing is common and HIV prevalence is high, adolescents may place themselves at risk of HIV because positive or ambivalent attitudes towards pregnancy reduce their motivation to abstain from sex, have sex less often or use condoms. In this study, we analyse cross-sectional survey data from KwaZulu Natal, South Africa, to explore whether an association exists between the desire for pregnancy and perceptions of HIV risk among 1,426 adolescents in 110 local communities. Our findings suggest that some adolescents, girls more than boys, were more concerned about a pregnancy if they lived in environments where youth were perceived to be at high risk of HIV infection. The probability that pregnancy was considered a problem by boys was positively correlated with the proportion of adult community members who thought youth were at risk of acquiring HIV, and for girls by the proportion of peers in the community who thought youth were at risk of HIV. We also found that becoming pregnant would be a bigger problem for the African girls than the white and Indian girls. The analysis suggests that for some adolescents, in addition to effects on educational and employment opportunities, the danger of HIV infection is becoming part of the calculus of the desirability of a pregnancy.
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The contribution of sexual and reproductive health services to the fight against HIV/AIDS: a review. REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH MATTERS 2004; 11:51-73. [PMID: 14708398 DOI: 10.1016/s0968-8080(03)22101-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Approximately 80% of HIV cases are transmitted sexually and a further 10% perinatally or during breastfeeding. Hence, the health sector has looked to sexual and reproductive health programmes for leadership and guidance in providing information and counselling to prevent these forms of transmission, and more recently to undertake some aspects of treatment. This paper reviews and assesses the contributions made to date by sexual and reproductive health services to HIV/AIDS prevention and treatment, mainly by services for family planning, sexually transmitted infections and antenatal and delivery care. It also describes other sexual and reproductive health problems experienced by HIV-positive women, such as the need for abortion services, infertility services and cervical cancer screening and treatment. This paper shows that sexual and reproductive health programmes can make an important contribution to HIV prevention and treatment, and that STI control is important both for sexual and reproductive health and HIV/AIDS control. It concludes that more integrated programmes of sexual and reproductive health care and STI/HIV/AIDS control should be developed which jointly offer certain services, expand outreach to new population groups, and create well-functioning referral links to optimize the outreach and impact of what are to date essentially vertical programmes.
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Epidemiologic Modeling to Evaluate Prevention of Mother???Infant HIV Transmission in Ontario. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2003; 34:221-30. [PMID: 14526212 DOI: 10.1097/00126334-200310010-00013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To evaluate the impact of the Ontario HIV screening program to reduce mother-infant HIV transmission, this study estimated the proportion of preventable transmissions that were prevented. METHODS Using an iterative spreadsheet model, incidences of HIV infection, AIDS, and AIDS mortality in Ontario women were estimated by exposure category. The number of HIV-infected infants born to HIV-infected mothers was then estimated from conception and abortion rates of HIV-infected women of childbearing age and surveillance data. Finally, the proportion of HIV-infected mothers who received antiretroviral prophylaxis (ARP) was assessed. RESULTS HIV prevalence in 2001 among women of childbearing age was 1.05 per 1000. From 1984-2001, 764 infants were born to HIV-infected mothers and 180 were infected. From mid-1994-2001, 214 (39%) of the estimated 544 HIV-infected mothers were diagnosed; almost all received ARP. Of 118 preventable infections among infants born in this period, 39 (33%) were prevented. In 2001, only 46% of preventable infections were prevented and 11 preventable transmissions occurred. CONCLUSIONS HIV prevalence among women in Ontario increased >4-fold from 1990 to 2001. Fewer than half of HIV-infected mothers received ARP and preventable HIV infections continue to occur. Measures to further increase uptake of prenatal HIV screening must be instituted.
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Evaluating two adjustment methods to extrapolate HIV prevalence from pregnant women to the general female population in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2003; 17:399-405. [PMID: 12556694 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-200302140-00014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate two methods for estimating HIV prevalence among the general female population of reproductive age by adjusting data observed among antenatal clinic (ANC) attendees. METHODS We adjusted the HIV prevalence among ANC attendees in Fort Portal (Uganda; 1994-1995), Mwanza municipality (Tanzania; 1990-1991), rural Mwanza (Tanzania; 1991-1993), Mposhi district (Zambia; 1994), Chelston (Lusaka, Zambia; 1994, 1996 and 1998) and Ndola (Zambia; 1998), using firstly a method that accounts for differences in age-specific fertility by HIV serostatus and secondly a method that accounts for differences in HIV prevalence by fertility risk category and parity. RESULTS The non-adjusted HIV prevalence among ANC attendees underestimates the prevalence among the general female population by 8.0% in Chelston in 1998 and by between 20.7% and 31.9% in all other cases. The adjusted prevalence obtained using the first method underestimates the prevalence among the general female population by about 0.5% in Fort Portal and Mposhi; it overestimates that observed in Chelston in 1994 and 1996 by about 3.5%, and that observed in Ndola, urban Mwanza and rural Mwanza, by 6.5%, 10.6% and 12.8%, respectively. The second method (applied for only four sites) provides an overestimate of 7.0% in Chelston in 1994 and an underestimate of 3.8% and 2.1% in Ndola and rural Mwanza, respectively. Both adjustment methods overestimate the 1998 prevalence in Chelston, producing less accurate estimates than the non-adjusted data. CONCLUSIONS The HIV prevalence among women in the general population could be estimated fairly accurately by these methods in settings with mature epidemics.
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Abstract
The first reported cases of HIV-1 infection in South Africa occurred in 1982. Two distinct HIV-1 epidemic patterns were recognized. Initially the infection was prevalent in white males who had sex with males. The HIV-1 clade B was associated with this group. By 1989, the second epidemic was recognized primarily in the black population. Infections in this case were mainly heterosexual in origin. The HIV-1 clade involved was mainly C. The national HIV-1 sero-prevalence in antenatal attendees was less than 1% in 1990 and by 1994 this figure had risen to 7.5%. The most recent antenatal surveillance for HIV-1 sero-prevalence in 1999 revealed the following. The national prevalence rate for 1999 was 22.4% compared with the 1998 rate of 22.8%. The data highlighted the profound effect the epidemic had and will have on the disease burden in South Africa and by extension on the social and economic fronts. This view was emphasised by the impact HIV-1 infection had on tuberculosis. For example, sentinel surveys have attributed 44% of tuberculosis cases to HIV-1 infection. Moreover, the high prevalence of sexually transmitted infections will certainly exacerbate the HIV-1 epidemic.
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How well do antenatal clinic (ANC) attendees represent the general population? A comparison of HIV prevalence from ANC sentinel surveillance sites with a population-based survey of women aged 15–49 in Cambodia. Int J Epidemiol 2002. [DOI: 10.1093/intjepid/31.2.449] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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Pregnancy and birth rates among HIV-infected women in the United States: the confounding effects of illicit drug use. AIDS 2002; 16:471-9. [PMID: 11834960 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-200202150-00020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the effect of HIV infection on pregnancy and birth rates and assess the potentially confounding effect of illicit drug use. DESIGN A retrospective record review of matched cohorts examining pregnancy outcomes for HIV-positive women and two HIV-negative comparison groups (one matched by drug use). METHODS Ninety HIV-positive women who gave birth in a US city between 1989 and 1993 were matched to HIV-negative women by race, age, parity and date of index birth (group 1, N = 180) and also by the type of illicit drug used (group 2, N = 90). Data were abstracted on tubal ligations and pregnancies occurring before April 1996. RESULTS A total of 63% of HIV-positive women used cocaine during the index pregnancy and 26% also used opiates. HIV-positive women had fewer tubal ligations than group 1 (38.9% versus 51.1%, P = 0.058), but there was no difference when matching included drug use (38.9% in group 2). HIV infection was associated with a decrease in the number of pregnancies; this decrease was most marked when matching included drug use (18.0 versus 32.1 pregnancies per 100 woman-years,P < 0.01). There were no significant differences in spontaneous or therapeutic terminations. Poisson regression analysis demonstrated that HIV infection and older age were associated with fewer pregnancies, and cocaine use with an increased pregnancy rate. CONCLUSION This study confirms that HIV infection is associated with a decrease in the number of pregnancies, but also illustrates the confounding effects of illicit drug use among women in the United States.
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Factors influencing the difference in HIV prevalence between antenatal clinic and general population in sub-Saharan Africa. AIDS 2001; 15:1717-25. [PMID: 11546948 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-200109070-00016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To compare HIV prevalence in antenatal clinics (ANC) and the general population, and to identify factors determining the differences that were found. DESIGN Cross-sectional surveys in the general population and in ANC in three cities. METHODS HIV prevalence measured in adults in the community was compared with that measured by sentinel surveillance in ANC in Yaoundé, Cameroon, Kisumu, Kenya, and Ndola, Zambia. RESULTS In Yaoundé and Ndola, the HIV prevalence in ANC attenders was lower than that in women in the population overall, and for age groups over 20 years. In Kisumu, the HIV prevalence in ANC attenders was similar to that in women in the population at all ages. The only factors identified that influenced the results were age, marital status, parity, schooling, and contraceptive use. The HIV prevalence in women in ANC was similar to that in the combined male and female population aged 15-40 years in Yaoundé and Ndola, but overestimated it in Kisumu. In Yaoundé and Ndola, the overall HIV prevalence in men was approximated by using the age of the father of the child reported by ANC attenders, but this method overestimated the HIV prevalence in Kisumu, and did not give good age-specific estimates. CONCLUSION Few factors influenced the difference in HIV prevalence between ANC and the population, which could aid the development of adjustment procedures to estimate population HIV prevalence. However, the differences between cities were considerable, making standard adjustments difficult. The method of estimating male HIV prevalence should be tested in other sites.
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[Medically assisted reproduction and the desire for a child by HIV infected couples: has the time for a change in attitude come?]]. GYNECOLOGIE, OBSTETRIQUE & FERTILITE 2001; 29:339-48. [PMID: 11406929 DOI: 10.1016/s1297-9589(01)00143-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Today, in developed countries, many HIV-infected people remain in good health thanks to antiviral medication. A growing number of them want to have children. Medical possibilities for preventing contamination of the partners of seropositive men through assisted reproduction and of children thanks to antiviral medicines during pregnancy are summarized. These changes result in ethical considerations which lead the authors to question the conventional systematic medical advise against pregnancy and has encouraged them to assist reproduction for a number of these couples. Today, the balance between the importance of the message of prevention and the benefit for patients of being assisted in their desire for a child has tilted towards medical intervention. It would seem legitimate today to intervene in the most favourable situations rather than see these couples take the risk of spontaneous conception outside health care structures. This implies to adapt medical structure (separate laboratory, appropriate procedure, precise protocols). This approach, which is coherent from the scientific point of view, respects both the autonomy of people carrying HIV as well as the essential interest for the child, in "being" born uninfected and also has the enormous advantage of allowing access to parenthood without destroying the consistency of the message of prevention of sexual contamination.
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Decreased fertility among HIV-1-infected women attending antenatal clinics in three African cities. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2000; 25:345-52. [PMID: 11114835 DOI: 10.1097/00042560-200012010-00008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Population HIV prevalence estimates rely heavily on sentinel surveillance in antenatal clinics (ANCs), but because HIV reduces fertility, these estimates are biased. To aid interpretation of such data, we estimated HIV-associated fertility reduction among pregnant women in ANCs in Yaoundé (Cameroon), Kisumu (Kenya), and Ndola (Zambia). Data collection followed existing HIV sentinel surveillance procedures as far as possible. HIV prevalence among the women was 5.5% in Yaoundé, 30.6% in Kisumu, and 27.3% in Ndola. The birth interval was prolonged in HIV-positive multiparous women compared with HIV-negative multiparous women in all three sites: adjusted hazard ratios of pregnancy were 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.62-1.1) in Yaoundé, 0.82 (95% CI: 0.70-0.96) in Kisumu, and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.61-0.90) in Ndola, implying estimated reductions in the risk of pregnancy in HIV-positive women of between 16% and 26%. For primiparous women, the interval between sexual debut and birth was longer in HIV-positive women than in HIV-negative women in all sites, although the association was lost in Ndola after adjusting for age and other factors. Consistent results in different study sites help in the development of standard methods for improving ANC-based surveillance estimates of HIV prevalence. These may be easier to devise for multiparous women than for primiparous women.
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Decreased Fertility Among HIV-1–Infected Women Attending Antenatal Clinics in Three African Cities. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr 2000. [DOI: 10.1097/00126334-200012010-00008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES To find a simple and robust method for adjusting ante-natal clinic data on HIV prevalence to represent prevalence in the general female population in the same age range, allowing for fertility differences by HIV status. BACKGROUND HIV prevalence comparisons for pregnant women and women in the general community show that prevalence in the latter is significantly higher than in the former. An adjustment procedure is needed that is specific for the demographic and epidemiological circumstances of a particular population, making maximum use of data that can easily be collected in ante-natal clinics or are widely available from secondary sources. METHODS Birth interval length data are used to allow for subfertility among HIV-positive women. To allow for infertility, relative HIV prevalence ratios for fertile and infertile women obtained in community surveys in populations with similar levels of contraception use are applied to demographic survey data that describe the structure of the population not at risk of child-bearing. RESULTS For populations with low contraception use, the procedure yields estimates of general female HIV prevalence of 35-65% higher than the observed ante-natal prevalence, depending on population structure. Results were verified using general population prevalence data collected in Kisesa (Tanzania) and Masaka (Uganda). For high contraception use populations, adjusted values range from 15% higher to 5% lower, but only limited verification has been possible so far. CONCLUSIONS The procedure is suitable for estimating general female HIV prevalence in low contraception use populations, but the high contraception variant needs further testing before it can be applied widely.
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