Effect of inhalation injury, burn size, and age on mortality: a study of 1447 consecutive burn patients

Better among the two for Burn Mortality Prediction in Developing Nations: Revised Baux or Modified Abbreviated Burn Severity Index?

Background

Burns is one of the leading causes of mortality in developing countries like India. Most of the major burns requiring hospital care are not triaged adequately for the use of medical resources. An efficient mortality predicting scale would not only help in better care to those who will benefit the most but also make it easy to explain to patient's attendants. Among the various tools, revised Baux (rBaux) and modified Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) are two most commonly used scales in developed nations. We proposed this study to analyze the reliability of these two scoring scales in our burn population.

Aim

This study aimed to retrospectively study the two scoring systems and analyze them for their reliability in predicting mortality compared to actual observed mortality in each case.

Materials and Methods

This study was conducted on all burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit of our hospital. Data on their demographic profile, total burn surface area, thickness of burns, inhalational injury, and other comorbidities were collected from files. rBaux and modified ABSI (mABSI) were calculated. The end result in the form of survival or nonsurvival was also recorded. Appropriate statistical analysis using Mann-Whitney U-test, Chi-square test, and receiver operator characteristic curve was done to look for a better scoring system out of the two.

Results

A total of 504 patients were included in the study, out of which 337 were survivors. Female gender was not a risk factor for mortality in our study. The median rBaux score in the survivor group was 100 (80-110) and in nonsurvivor group was 111 (103-123). The median mABSI score in the survivor group was 8 (7-9) and in nonsurvivor group was 10 (9-11). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve shows mABSI having better specificity for predicting mortality. rBAUX, though more sensitive, overestimates mortality than actual observed mortality.

Conclusion

mABSI predicts mortality better than rBaux. A multicentric prospective study is recommended for mABSI to be used as a standard mortality predictor in burns in India.

Predictors and Impact of Pneumonia on Adverse Outcomes in Inhalation Injury Patients

Inhalation injury (II) is the third mortality prognostic factor for burn injury following age and burn size. II can lead to pulmonary complications such as pneumonia and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS); all of which have been hypothesized to increase morbidity and mortality in II. Herein, we aimed to identify variables associated with the risk of developing pneumonia and to determine the impact of pneumonia on selected II outcomes. De-identified data from the Prospective Inhalation Study titled Inhalation Injury Scoring System to Predict Inhalation Injury Severity (ISIS) were used. II was confirmed by fiberoptic bronchoscopy. Demographics, injury, and hospital course information were recorded. P < .05 was considered significant. One hundred subjects were included. On univariate analysis, pneumonia was associated with burn severity, race, and receipt of colloid during the first 24 hours. Patients who developed pneumonia spent more time on a ventilator, had longer hospitalizations (LOS) and were more likely to need a tracheostomy. On multivariate analysis, total number of ventilator days was associated with pneumonia (Odd ratio (OR) = 1.122 [1.048-1.200], P = .001). Both pneumonia and receipt of colloid were predictive of increased ventilator days (OR = 2.545 [1.363-4.753], P < .001 and OR = 2.809 [1.548-5.098], P < .001, respectively). Pneumonia was not an independent predictor of LOS, ARDS, or mortality. Pneumonia remains a high-risk complication associated with two times more ventilator days in II. Future research should focus on prevention of pneumonia and the relationship between colloid fluids and pneumonia and early ventilator liberation in II patients.

Impact of elevated body mass index on burn injury-associated mortality in a representative US sample

BACKGROUND

The impact of obesity on burn-related mortality is inconsistent and incongruent; despite being a risk factor for numerous comorbidities that would be expected to increase complications and worsen outcomes, there is evidence of a survival advantage for patients with high body mass index-the so-called obesity paradox. We used a national data set to explore further the relationship between body mass index and burn-related mortality.

METHODS

Deidentified data from patients with second and third-degree burns between 2014 and 2018 were obtained from the Cerner Health Facts Database. Univariate and multivariate regression models were created to identify potential factors related to burn-related mortality. A restricted cubic spline model was built to assess the nonlinear association between body mass index and burn-related mortality. All statistical analyses were conducted using R (R Foundation for Statistical Computing).

RESULTS

The study included 9,405 adult burn patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that age (odds ratio = 2.189 [1.771, 2.706], P < .001), total burn surface area (odds ratio = 1.824 [1.605, 2.074], P < .001), full-thickness burns (odds ratio = 1.992 [1.322, 3.001], P < .001), and comorbidities (odds ratio = 2.03 [1.367, 3.014], P < .001) were associated with increased mortality. Sensitivity analysis showed similar results. However, a restricted cubic spline indicated a U-shaped relation between body mass index and burn-related mortality. The nadir of body mass index was 28.92 kg/m², with the lowest mortality. This association persisted even after controlling for age, total burn surface area, full-thickness burns, and comorbidities, which all remained significant.

CONCLUSION

This study confirms a U-shaped association between body mass index and burn-related mortality along with age, total burn surface area, full-thickness burns, and comorbidities as risk factors.

The BUrn Mortality Prediction (BUMP) Score - An improved mortality prediction score based on data of the German burn registry

BACKGROUND

Burn injuries constitute the fourth most common injuries globally. Patient outcomes must be currently assessed to provide appropriate patient care with high quality standards. However, existing mortality prediction scoring methods have been shown to lack accuracy in current burn patient populations. Therefore, this study aimed to validate existing scores using current patient data and assess whether new prediction parameters can provide better accuracy.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the patient data from the German Burn Registry between 2016 and 2019 was performed to evaluate all Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) score parameters. All patients over 16 years of age who received intensive care were included. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression analysis were used to identify novel prediction parameters based on the parameters documented at admission and establish a new prediction score, the BUrn Mortality Prediction (BUMP) score. The quality of the new score was subsequently compared to that of the original ABSI, modified ABSI, Galeiras, Revised Baux score and TIMM. The new prediction score was then validated using patient data collected in the German Burn Registry in 2020.

RESULTS

In total, 7276 patients were included. Age; the presence of at least two comorbidities; burn injuries caused by work-related accidents, traffic accidents and suicide attempts; total burn surface area; inhalation trauma and full-thickness burns were identified as independent significant predictors of mortality (p < 0.001). Additionally, we evaluated new age groups to improve prediction accuracy. The number of comorbidities (p < 0.001) and the aetiology (burns occurring at work [p = 0.028], burns caused by traffic accidents [p < 0.001] or burns due to attempted suicide [p < 0.001]) had a significant influence on mortality. The BUMP score, which was developed based on these parameters, showed the best fitness and showed more accurate mortality prediction than all the above-mentioned scores (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.947 [0.939-0.954] compared to 0.926 [0.915-0.936], 0.928 [0.918-0.939], 0.937 [0.928-0.947], 0.939 [0.930-0.948], 0.940 [0.932-0.949] respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

A novel score (BUMP score) was developed for the purpose of external quality assessment of burn centres participating in the German burn registry, where observed and expected outcomes are compared on a hospital level, and for scientifically applications. The clinical impact of this score and its generalisability to other patient populations needs to be evaluated.

Survival and analysis of prognostic factors for severe burn patients with inhalation injury: based on the respiratory SOFA score

BACKGROUND

It is important to determine the severity of inhalation injury in severely burned patients. The oxygenation index PaO₂/FiO₂(PF) ratio is a key clinical indicator of inhalation injury. Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) is developed to assess the acute incidence of critical illness in the population. We hope to provide an assessment of survival or prognostic factor for severely burned patients with inhalation injury based on the respiratory SOFA score.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of all admissions to Department of Burn and Plastic Surgery at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from July 2010 to March 2021. Data was analyzed using Cox regression models to determine significant predictors of mortality. Survival analysis with time to death event was performed using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve with the log-rank test. All potential risk factors were considered independent variables, while survival was considered the risk dependent variable.

RESULTS

One hundred eighteen severe burn patients with inhalation injury who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were admitted, including men accounted for 76.3%. The mean age and length of stay were 45.9 (14.8) years and 44.3 (38.4) days. Flame burns are the main etiology of burn (74.6%). Patients with the respiratory SOFA score greater than 2 have undergone mechanical ventilation. Univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis identified age, total body surface area burned (TBSA), ICU admission and the respiratory SOFA score as significant factors on survival. Cox regression analysis showed that TBSA and the respiratory SOFA score were associated with patient survival (p < 0.001). In some patients with severe burns and inhalation damage, the survival probability drops to less than 10% (TBSA greater than 80%: 8.9% and respiratory SOFA score greater than 2: 5.6%). This study statistically found that the TBSA with the respiratory SOFA score model (AUROC: 0.955) and the rBaux score (AUROC: 0.927) had similar predictive value (p = 0.175).

CONCLUSION

The study indicates that a high respiratory system SOFA score was identified as a strong and independent predictor of severely burned patients with inhalation injury during hospitalization. When combined with TBSA, the respiratory SOFA scores can dynamically assess the severity of the patient's lung injury and improve the predictive level.

Risk Models to Predict Mortality in Burn Patients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The predictive capability of various risk assessment models (RAMs) in evaluating the risk of mortality in burn patients is not well established. It is also unclear which RAM provides the highest discriminative ability and presents the highest clinical utility. We pooled all available studies to establish this validity and compare the predictive capability of the various RAMs.

Methods

We reviewed PubMed, MEDLINE, and Embase from their inception up until December 2021 for studies evaluating risk of mortality in burn patients as stratified by RAMs. Data were pooled using random-effect models and presented as area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve.

Results

Thirty-four studies, comprising of a total of 98,610 patients, were included in our analysis. Most studies were found to have a low risk of bias and a good measure of applicability. Nine RAMs were evaluated. We discovered that the classic Baux; the revised Baux; and the Fatality by Longevity, APACHE II score, Measured Extent of burn, and Sex (FLAMES) scores presented with the highest discriminative power with there being no significant difference between the results presented by them [AUROCs (95% CI), 0.92 (0.90-0.95), 0.92 (0.90-0.93), 0.94 (0.91-0.97), respectively, with P < 0.00001 for all].

Conclusions

Many RAMs exist with no consensus on the optimal model to utilize and assess risk of mortality for burn patients. This study is the first systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the current RAMs' discriminative ability to predict mortality in patients with burn injuries. This meta-analysis demonstrated that RAMs designed for assessing mortality in individuals with burns have acceptable to great discriminative capacity, with the classic Baux, revised Baux, and FLAMES demonstrating superior discriminative performance in predicting death. FLAMES exhibited the highest discriminative ability among the RAMs studied.

Nutritional Support with Omega-3 Fatty Acids in Burn Patients: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials

Background: In burn patients, the profound effect of nutritional support on improved wound healing and a reduced rate of hospitalization and mortality has been documented. Fish oil as a primary source of omega-3 fatty acids in nutritional support may attenuate the inflammatory response and enhance immune function; however, unclear effects on the improvement of clinical outcomes in burn patients remain. Methods: The systematic literature review was conducted by searching the electronic databases: Cochrane Library, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Scopus to assess the randomized controlled trials of nutritional support with omega-3 fatty acids compared to control diets in patients that presented with burns from any causes. Results: Seven trials were included in this meta-analysis. We found no significant differences in length of stay (LOS) (p = 0.59), mortality (p = 0.86), ventilation days (p = 0.16), gastrointestinal complications—e.g., constipation and diarrhea (p = 0.73)—or infectious complications—e.g., pneumonia and sepsis (p = 0.22)—between the omega-3-fatty-acid-receiving group and the control/other diets group. Conclusions: We did not find a benefit of omega-3 support in reducing the various complications, mortality and LOS in burn patients. Further studies are necessary to find the effect of nutritional support with omega-3 fatty acids over low-fat diets in this population.

Prediction of Mortality in Acute Thermal Burn Patients Using the Abbreviated Burn Severity Index Score: A Single-Center Experience

Background

Burn injuries are highly variable and dynamic. The outcome of patients is influenced by various factors and requires prompt therapeutic interventions, including fluid resuscitation, for a favorable result. Although having varying shortcomings, many scoring indexes are developed and validated in Western countries to predict mortality in a burn patient. The Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) estimates survival expectancy in a burn patient via various negative prognostic factors. This study describes the pattern of burn injuries to validate the ABSI as an outcome predictor in burnt patients.

Methodology

From January to December 2018, 100 patients participated in this observational research conducted in the Department of Surgery at Mahatma Gandhi Hospital’s Burn Ward, a part of Dr. Sampurnanand Medical College, Jodhpur. Risk factors for death from a burn were patients’ age and gender, the depth of the burn, the inhalation burn, and the total burned body surface area (TBSA). The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was used to determine how well it could predict burn deaths.

Results

This study included 100 patients (69 men and 31 women, with a ratio of 2.22:1). In total, 73 patients survived, and 27 died (a mortality rate of 27%). The fatality rate increased with increased burn surface area, reaching 100% in patients with >80% burns (p < 0.0001). Additionally, those with an ABSI of >11 expressed 100% mortality rate (p < 0.0001).

Conclusions

In this study, older age, high burned surface area, concomitant inhalational burns, full-thickness burns, and a higher ABSI were found to be significant predictors of mortality.

Assessing Factor V Antigen and Degradation Products in Burn and Trauma Patients

INTRODUCTION

Proposed mechanisms of acute traumatic coagulopathy (ATC) include decreased clotting potential due to factor consumption and proteolytic inactivation of factor V (FV) and activated factor V (FVa) by activated protein C (aPC). The role of FV/FVa depletion or inactivation in burn-induced coagulopathy is not well characterized. This study evaluates FV dynamics following burn and nonburn trauma.

METHODS

Burn and trauma patients were prospectively enrolled. Western blotting was performed on admission plasma to quantitate levels of FV antigen and to assess for aPC or other proteolytically derived FV/FVa degradation products. Statistical analysis was performed with Spearman's, Chi-square, Mann-Whitney U test, and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Burn (n = 60) and trauma (n = 136) cohorts showed similar degrees of FV consumption with median FV levels of 76% versus 73% (P = 0.65) of normal, respectively. Percent total body surface area (TBSA) was not correlated with FV, nor were significant differences in median FV levels observed between low and high TBSA groups. The injury severity score (ISS) in trauma patients was inversely correlated with FV (ρ = -0.26; P = 0.01) and ISS ≥ 25 was associated with a lower FV antigen level (64% versus. 93%; P = 0.009). The proportion of samples showing proteolysis-derived FV was greater in trauma than burn patients (42% versus. 16%; P = 0.0006).

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing traumatic injury severity is associated with decreased FV antigen levels, and a greater proportion of trauma patient samples exhibit proteolytically degraded FV fragments. These associations are not present in burns, suggesting that mechanisms underlying FV depletion in burn and nonburn trauma are not identical.

Coagulopathies in Intensive Care Medicine: Balancing Act between Thrombosis and Bleeding

Patient Blood Management advocates an individualized treatment approach, tailored to each patient's needs, in order to reduce unnecessary exposure to allogeneic blood products. The optimization of hemostasis and minimization of blood loss is of high importance when it comes to critical care patients, as coagulopathies are a common phenomenon among them and may significantly impact morbidity and mortality. Treating coagulopathies is complex as thrombotic and hemorrhagic conditions may coexist and the medications at hand to modulate hemostasis can be powerful. The cornerstones of coagulation management are an appropriate patient evaluation, including the individual risk of bleeding weighed against the risk of thrombosis, a proper diagnostic work-up of the coagulopathy's etiology, treatment with targeted therapies, and transfusion of blood product components when clinically indicated in a goal-directed manner. In this article, we will outline various reasons for coagulopathy in critical care patients to highlight the aspects that need special consideration. The treatment options outlined in this article include anticoagulation, anticoagulant reversal, clotting factor concentrates, antifibrinolytic agents, desmopressin, fresh frozen plasma, and platelets. This article outlines concepts with the aim of the minimization of complications associated with coagulopathies in critically ill patients. Hereditary coagulopathies will be omitted in this review.

The Outcomes of Inhalation Injuries in Lesser Burns: Still a Deadly Injury

BACKGROUND

Although it has been widely proposed that inhalation injuries worsen burn outcomes, large-scale studies have yet to demonstrate the exact relationship. This study proposes inhalation injuries as an independent risk factor that worsens burn outcomes.

METHODS

A retrospective review of the American Burn Association Registry from 2002 to 2011 was conducted. Inclusion criteria included burn patients with a total body surface area (TBSA) of less than 15% and adequate data recording of the inhalation injury within the registry. Patients were stratified into 2 groups: inhalation injuries (group 1) vs non-inhalation injuries (group 2). Outcome measures included in-hospital mortality rate, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) LOS, and days on a ventilator.

RESULTS

A total of 93781 burn patients met the inclusion criteria. There were 4204 patients in group 1 and 89577 patients in group 2. There was no statistically significant difference between the 2 groups in terms of TBSA, with 3.50% in group 1 and 3.58% in group 2. There was a significantly higher ICU LOS at 8.55 days in group 1 compared to 6.27 days in group 2. There was a significantly higher hospital LOS at 11.48 days in group 1 compared to 6.27 days in group 2. The in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in group 1 at 8.54% vs group 2 at 1.42%.

CONCLUSION

The presence of inhalation injury may be a predictor of increased mortality and poor outcome in burn patients, even in those with small sized burns.

Clinical outcome and comparison of burn injury scoring systems in burn patient in Indonesia

Introduction

The purpose of this study was to explore and compare the performance of four burn injury scoring systems in Indonesia. In a retrospective study, data of all burn patients admitted to the emergency centre (EC) were collected. The following clinical outcome and four burn injury scoring systems were used to assess each patient: Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI), Belgian Outcome in Burn Injury (BOBI), the Ryan model, and revised Baux Score.

Methods

From April 2017 to April 2018, clinical outcome and burn injury score for every admitted patient were calculated to evaluate burn prognosis. Demographic information, ABSI score, full-thickness total body surface area (TBSA), overall TBSA, hospital stay, and inhalation injury were noted for analysis. Discriminative ability and goodness-of-fit of the prediction models were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and Hosmer–Lemeshow tests.

Results

We included 72 patients (mean age: 40.79 ± 16.30 years, average TBSA: 23.59% ± 24.84). Only 1 (1.4%) of them was diagnosed with inhalation injury. Mortality rate was 25%. Deceased patients had significantly higher mean age, %TBSA, and number of inhalation injuries. The ABSI model with sensitivity was 81.6, specificity was 92.5, accuracy was 87.3 and under the Receiver Operator Characteristics curve (AUC) was 0.93 (SE = 0.03).

Conclusions

The best estimation of predicted mortality was obtained with the ABSI model.

Sensing Inhalation Injury-Associated Changes in Airway Wall Compliance by Anatomic Optical Coherence Elastography

Quantitative methods for assessing the severity of inhalation (burn) injury are needed to aid in treatment decisions. We hypothesize that it is possible to assess the severity of injuries on the basis of differences in the compliance of the airway wall. Here, we demonstrate the use of a custom-built, endoscopic, anatomic optical coherence elastography (aOCE) system to measure airway wall compliance. The method was first validated using airway phantoms, then performed on ex vivo porcine tracheas under varying degrees of inhalation (steam) injury. A negative correlation between aOCE-derived compliance and severity of steam injuries is found, and spatially-resolved compliance maps reveal regional heterogeneity in airway properties.

Nonmedical Factors Influencing Early Deaths in Burns: A Study of the National Burn Repository

It is well-established that survival in burn injury is primarily dependent on three factors: age, percent total-body surface area burned (%TBSA), and inhalation injury. However, it is clear that in other (nonburn) conditions, nonmedical factors may influence mortality. Even in severe burns, patients undergoing resuscitation may survive for a period of time before succumbing to infection or other complications. In some cases, though, families in conjunction with caregivers may choose to withdraw care and not resuscitate patients with large burns. We wanted to investigate whether any nonmedical socioeconomic factors influenced the rate of early deaths in burn patients. The National Burn Repository (NBR) was used to identify patients that died in the first 72 hours after injury and those that survived more than 72 hours. Both univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to examine factors including age, gender, race, comorbidities, burn size, inhalation injury, and insurance type, and determine their influence on deaths within 72 hours. A total of 133,889 burn patients were identified, 1362 of which died in the first 72 hours. As expected, the Baux score (age plus burn size), and inhalation injury predicted early deaths. Interestingly, on multivariate analysis, patients with Medicare (p = .002), self-pay patients (p < .001), and those covered by automobile policies (p = .045) were significantly more likely to die early than those with commercial insurance. Medicaid patients were more likely to die early, but not significantly (p = .188). Worker's compensation patients were more likely to survive the first 72 hours compared with patients with commercial insurance (p < .001). Men were more likely to survive the early period than women (p = .043). On analysis by race, only Hispanic patients significantly differed from white patients, and Hispanics were more likely to survive the first 72 hours (p = .028). Traditional medical factors are major factors in early burn deaths. However, these results show that nonmedical socioeconomic factors including race, gender, and especially insurance status influence early burn deaths as well.

The analysis and accuracy of mortality prediction scores in burn patients admitted to the intensive care burn unit (ICBU)

Background

To date, multiple scoring systems have been utilised in predicting outcomes in burn patients. The aim of this study is to determine the accuracy of three established scoring systems used for burn patients admitted to the intensive care unit and to determine the risk factors associated with poor outcomes.

Methods

A total of 211 patients who were admitted to the ICBU in a tertiary care centre in Kuwait from January 2017 to December 2019 were analysed retrospectively. Data were collected using patient medical records. The FLAMES, BOBI and revised Baux scores were calculated, and the survivor and non-survivor scores of patients were analysed to determine the sensitivity, specificity and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics (AUROC) of the different scoring modalities.

Results

The majority of the analysed population were male patients (165/211) and the most common mechanism of burns was flame burns (166/211). Most of the patients admitted to the ICBU survived (188/211). Female gender was associated with a higher mortality rate, whilst inhalational injury and co-morbidities were not associated with a higher mortality rate. The revised Baux score had a sensitivity value of 96% and 90% specificity. The BOBI score had a sensitivity of 91% and 76% specificity. The FLAMES score had a sensitivity of 96% and the highest specificity of 99%. All 3 scores had AUC values exceeding 90%.

Conclusion

Statistically, FLAMES score had the highest accuracy of predicting outcomes in burn patients, however all three scores demonstrated acceptable predictive rates when it comes to practical application, permitting the use of either one of the studied scores with satisfactory prognostic outcomes.

Hydroxocobalamin interference in routine laboratory tests: Development of a protocol for identifying samples and reporting results from patients treated with CyanokitTM

OBJECTIVES

Hydroxocobalamin (OHCob) is an antidote for cyanide poisoning in patients rescued from house fires and is known to cause interference with certain laboratory tests. Consensus is lacking on the extent of this interference and on how to handle these samples. The objectives of this study were to characterize OHCob interference across a wide range of laboratory tests and to develop protocols for identifying and reporting these samples.

DESIGNS & METHODS

Patient plasma samples (n = 5) were spiked with OHCob (1.5 mg/mL) and compared to controls without this drug. A series of analytes were measured using chemistry, urinalysis, coagulation, hematology, and blood gas instruments. Dose-response testing was performed on a subset of assays that showed interferences ≥10%.

RESULTS

Of the 77 analytes evaluated, 27 (35%) showed interference from OHCob, with chemistry and coagulation analytes showing the greatest effects. Of those affected, 22 analytes had a positive interference, whereas 5 analytes had negative interference. Dose-response studies showed dose-dependent increases and/or decreases consistent with initial spiking studies. Although red in colour, plasma samples with OHCob did not trigger hemolysis index flags, necessitating a special sample identification and reporting protocol.

CONCLUSION

OHCob had significant effects on several analytes across different instruments. These findings led to the development of special sample handling and reporting protocols to identify OHCob samples and ensure only accurate results are released. It is vital for emergency departments to document and notify their laboratories whenever blood samples from these patients are drawn.

A case series of concomitant burn and COVID-19

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Heightened inflammation and acute lung injury in major burn and COVID-19.

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Baseline comorbidities and possible worsening consequence.

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Medical management in concomitant burn and SARS-CoV-2 infection.

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Multidisciplinary approaches to manage coexisting diseases.

Background

The recently emerged severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) disease (COVID-19) has become a human pandemic. Heightened inflammation, vascular hyperpermeability, acute lung injury, coagulopathy, and cardiovascular abnormalities are among the SARS-CoV-2 infection-related complications. Major burn is also associated with metabolic derangements, vascular leak, and hemodynamic instability. Burn patients are at high risk for infections and developing sepsis. COVID-19 in burn victims might worsen the clinical outcome and make their medical management challenging.

Result

Here, we present four cases of concomitant burn and COVID-19 with different degrees of complications. They had no (three out of four) or multiple (one out of four) baseline comorbidities and all were admitted to hospital for further management. Three out of four cases demonstrated acute respiratory failure and were intubated (no longer than 7 days). It seems that one of them had COVID-19 on arrival, the other apparently contracted at outside hospital, and the last two infected during the index hospitalization.

Conclusion

Concomitant severe burn and COVID-19 might complicate the clinical presentation and hospital course. Such combination was associated with poor outcome in a case with baseline comorbidities, beyond what was expected from the severity of burn injury. However, a more comprehensive study with larger sample size is required to make a valid conclusion. With an ongoing COVID-19 global pandemic, SARS-CoV-2 infection might be a concurrent disease with other illnesses or traumas such as burn. This dictate multidisciplinary approaches to risk stratify, screen, assess, and manage coexisting diseases. Additionally, appropriate preparations and careful precautions need to be executed in burn units to prevent COVID-19 exposure and transmission to limit potential adverse outcomes.

Candidemia in pediatric burn patients: Risk factors and outcomes in a retrospective cohort study

Background and Purpose :

Despite advances in burn care and management, infections are still a major contributor to morbidity and mortality rates in patients with burn injuries. Regarding this, the present study was conducted to investigate the prevalence and importance of candidemia in pediatric burn patients.

Materials and Methods:

Blood samples were collected from the patients and cultured in an automated blood culture system. Candida species were identified using specific culture media. The relationship between candidemia and possible risk factors was evaluated and compared to a control group.

Results:

A total of 71 patients with the mean age of 4.52±3.63 years were included in the study. Blood cultures showed candidemia in 19 (27%) patients. Based on the results, C. albicans was the most common fungus among patients with and without candidemia. The results of statistical analysis also showed that candidemia was significantly correlated with total body surface area (TBSA), mechanical ventilation, duration of total parenteral nutrition, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, presence of neutropenia, and R-Baux score (all P≤0.001). In this regard, TBSA, length of ICU stay, R-Baux score, and Candida score were identified as the determinant factors for mortality due to candidemia.

Conclusion:

Candidemia increases the mortality and morbidity rates associated with burn injuries. Prompt diagnostic and prevention measures can reduce the unfortunate outcomes via controlling the possible risk factors.

Respiratory Management in Smoke Inhalation Injury

Smoke inhalation injury (SII) is a major morbidity and cause of mortality in patients with burns. Damage caused by inhalation of thermal or chemical irritants, including toxic fumes and chemicals, leads to respiratory cilia and epithelial cell injuries, which turn to severe bronchospasm and alveolar damage and results in acute respiratory distress syndrome. Respiratory management plays a vital role in the treatment of SII. In this review, we provide an overview of SII with emphasis on respiratory management, including aerosol therapy, bronchial hygiene therapy, advanced ventilation modes, and heated humidified high-flow nasal cannula. In summary, the information may be helpful for further improvements in outcomes.

Validation of four burn-specific prognostic models in a cohort of 9625 cases, and a novel model for prediction of mortality in burn patients

BACKGROUND

Survival after burn injury has steadily improved in recent decades. The models for assessing the severity of burn injury and predicting burn-associated mortality have been used for over 20 years. The predictive accuracy of these models should be reconsidered now.

METHOD

In this retrospective study on all burn patients (n = 9625) admitted to the Burn Department, Southwest Hospital between 2008 and 2017, we compared the predictive performance of the four burn-severity models (Abbreviated Burn Severity Index, Ryan score, revised Baux score and Belgian Outcome of Burn Injury) by area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. We developed a new model with the data from 2008 to 2012 (5006 patients) by logistic regression, data from 2013 to 2017 (4619 patients) were used for validation.

RESULT

The overall mortality rate of the burn patients was 1.14%. The four previously validated burn models showed good discrimination power of death risk (AUC > 0.890) but poor fitness to the observed mortality rate (p < 0.001). Risk factors associated with mortality included sex, age, total burn area, full thickness burn area, and inhalation injury. The new logistic model was devised with high sensitivity and specificity (0.913 and 0.806, respectively) and an AUC of 0.940. The new model also had good fitness to the observed mortality of burn patients (p = 0.588).

CONCLUSION

The four widely used burn models have poor accuracy in predicting burn-associated mortality, and an accurate new model was developed based on simple and objective clinical characteristics of burn patients at admission.

Modified abbreviated burn severity index as a predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with inhalation injury: development and validation using independent cohorts

PURPOSE

The ability to accurately evaluate the severity of inhalation injury can help to optimize patient care. However, there is no accepted severity grading system, especially for inhalation injury.

METHODS

We screened a multicenter burn registry and included adult patients who required oxygen treatment or mechanical ventilation. After the patient data were divided into development and validation cohorts, missing values were replaced with multiple imputation. Twelve potential predictors were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression to identify prognostic variables for in-hospital mortality and scores were assigned to each predictor based on odds ratios to develop the Modified Abbreviated Burn Severity Index, mABSI. The mABSI was validated using c-statistics and calibration curves.

RESULTS

We randomly assigned 1377 and 919 patients to the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Age, self-inflicted injury, cutaneous burn area, and mechanical ventilation requirement were identified as independent predictors, and the mABSI (1-17 scale) was, thus, developed. The mABSI has a high discriminatory power (c-statistic = 0.94; 95% CI 0.92-0.97), and both estimated and observed in-hospital mortalities increased from 1% at score ≤ 5 to almost 100% at score ≥ 14 with linear calibration plots.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated the mABSI which accurately predicts in-hospital mortality.

The Effect of a Pulmonary Rehabilitation on Lung Function and Exercise Capacity in Patients with Burn: A Prospective Randomized Single-Blind Study

We performed pulmonary function (PF) tests and factors affecting PF evaluation in 120 patients with inhalation injury to evaluate the effects of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) in burn patients with inhalation injury. Patients were randomized into pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) group and conventional rehabilitation (CON) group. PF tests, including forced vital capacity (FVC), 1-s forced expiratory volume FEV1), maximum voluntary ventilation (MVV), and respiratory muscles strength (maximal expiratory pressure (MEP) and maximal inspiratory pressure (MIP)), were measured by mouth pressure meter in the sitting position. Diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLco) was determined by the single-breath carbon monoxide technique. Peak cough flow (PCF) was measured by a peak flow meter. Diaphragmatic mobility (DM) was evaluated on anteroposterior fluoroscopy. All evaluations were performed in all groups at baseline and after 12 weeks. There were no differences in evaluations between the PR group and CON group before the intervention. There were significant improvements in the PCF and MIP (%) changes, taken before and after rehabilitation in the PR group, compared with the changes in the CON group (p = 0.01, and p = 0.04). There were no significant changes in the other parameters in the PR group compared with the changes in the CON group (p > 0.05). There were significant differences in DLco (%), MIP, MIP (%), and DM between the PR group and the CON group (p = 0.02, p = 0.005, and p = 0.001) after 12 weeks of rehabilitation. There were no differences between the PR group and CON group after 12 weeks rehabilitation in the other parameters (p > 0.05). PR for patients with major burns and smoke inhalation induced improved PCF, MIP, MIP (%), DLco (%), and DM. These results show that PR should be a fundamental component of the treatment program for patients with burns.

Self-immolation Suicide in Greece: A Forensic Psychiatric Autopsy Study between 2011 and 2019

Self-immolation is a rare suicide method in the developed countries of the western world (0.06-1%); however, it has relatively higher prevalence rates in the developing countries of Asia and Africa (6-57%). The present study aims to examine self-immolation suicides within the Greek mainland (Attiki, Thrace, and Peloponnese) over a period of 9 years (2011-2019) in order to investigate the phenomenon in the Greek population forensically, identify the characteristics and motivations of suicide victims, explore its associations to socio-cultural or psychiatric factors, and describe a fatal case of suicide by self-immolation that was partially recorded on camera. The medical files (autopsy reports) of cases performed at the Departments of Forensic Medicine of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Democritus University of Thrace, and the Forensic Service of Messinia-Peloponnese were retrospectively examined yielding 19 cases of suicides by self-immolation. A 3.7% prevalence of suicide by self-immolation among suicide fatalities within the Greek population was estimated. A distinctive feature of the Greek population regarding self-immolation was disclosed that it is being practiced predominantly by the elderly (mean age 2-3.5 decades higher than other countries). The phenomenon correlated strongly with poorly controlled mental disorders (mostly affective and adjustment disorders). Unlike other countries, there was no significant association with domestic or sexual violence, social or political protest, or religious issues. Therefore, the suicide victims preferred secluded or private outdoor locations (not public). Findings deriving from the examined variables localize Greek population culturally between the Western European and Asian African countries, but with its own idiosyncrasies.

Epidemiology and Outcome Analysis of Burns During Explosion Accident at a Major Center in Southwestern China From 2002 to 2016

Explosions always lead to serious public health, social, and economic problems. We investigated the epidemiology, outcomes, and costs of burn patients caused by explosion accident in Southwest China to explore more effective prevention and treatment strategies. This retrospective study included 497 inpatients with burns during explosion accident admitted to the Institute of Burn Research of Army Medical University from 2002 to 2016. A total of 497 cases (77.78% males) were found, accounting for 2.37% of the total burn patients. The average age was 34.38 ± 15.02 years. The most common etiology was gas explosions (51.51%). Most of the cases were caused by work-related activities. The average TBSA was 31.30 ± 28.32%. The median length of stay (LOS) was 31 days. The LOS was correlated with TBSA, full-thickness burns, older age, number of operations and outcome. The major factors determining the cost were larger TBSA, full-thickness burns, and higher cure rate. The mortality was 6.44%. Larger TBSA and older age were the most important risk factors for the mortality. This study suggested that special attention should be paid to prevent burns during explosion accident in adult males with occupational exposure. In the future, more effective and practical strategies for preventing and treating burns during explosion accident based on related risk factors should be implemented.

Sex dimorphism in pediatric burn mortality in Malawi: A propensity matched analysis

INTRODUCTION

There is increasing evidence that sex differences may influence pathophysiology after thermal injury and affect clinical outcomes. This study aimed to assess the relationships between sex, thermal injury, and inpatient mortality in a pediatric burn cohort in a resource-limited setting.

METHOD

This is a retrospective analysis of data collected from the Kamuzu Central Hospital Burns Unit, in Lilongwe, Malawi, from May 2011 to December 2019 on all pediatric patients (≤12 years). We performed a bivariate analysis by sex comparing demographics, burn characteristics, surgical intervention, and mortality. Standardized estimates were adjusted using the inverse probability of treatment weights to account for confounding. Following weighting, odds of mortality based on sex were obtained via logistic regression modeling.

RESULTS

A total of 1904 children were admitted with a male preponderance (n = 1065, 55.9 %). Overall, the median age was 3 years (IQR1-4). Females had a higher percent total body surface area (%TBSA) burn than males, 15 % vs. 13 % (p = 0.03), respectively. Flame burns were more frequent in females compared to males, 32 % and 23 %, respectively (p < 0.001). There were higher rates of surgical intervention in females than males (20.9 % vs. 16.7 %, p = 0.02). The propensity score weighted logistic regression predicting mortality revealed no difference in the odds of mortality based on sex (OR 1.12, 95 % CI 0.82-1.52, p = 0.5).

CONCLUSION

We show males are just as likely to die from burns compared to females with similar injuries in this propensity-matched analysis. A lack of difference in mortality may be attributable to the similarities in the hormonal profile in the prepubescent child.

Effect of comorbidities on clinical outcome of patients with burn injury - An analysis of the German Burn Registry

BACKGROUND

Severe burn injuries are associated with high morbidity and mortality. Well-implemented scoring systems for patients with major burns exist in the literature. A major disadvantage of these scores is the partial non-consideration of patient-related comorbidities. Published data on this matter is limited to small study cohorts and/or single center studies. Further, the effect of comorbidities on clinical outcome of patients with severe burn injuries has not yet been examined nationwide in a large cohort in Germany. Hence, the aim of this study was to examine the influence of comorbidities on clinical outcome of these patients based on data from the national registry.

METHODS

Anonymized data from a total of 3455 patients with documented burns of 1% or more Total Burn Surface Area (TBSA) and over 16 years of age included in the German Burn Registry between 2017 and 2018 were analyzed retrospectively. Data included burn extent, body weight, age, burn depth, inhalation injury, comorbidities, mortality, number of operations and length of hospital stay (LOS).

RESULTS

In the logistic regression analysis age (OR 1.07 [1.06-1.09], p < 0.001), TBSA (OR 1.09 [1.08-1.11], p < 0.001), IHT (OR 2.15 [1.44-3.20], p < 0001), third degree burn (OR 2.08 [1.39-3.11], p < 0.001), Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) (OR 2.45 [1.38-4.35], p = 0.002) and renal insufficiency (OR 2.02 [1.13-3.59], p = 0.017) influenced mortality significantly. If a patient had more than one comorbidity, mortality was higher and in-hospital length of stay (LOS) longer. Renal insufficiency was significantly (p < 0.001) associated with the most prolonged LOS by 11.44 days. TBSA (p < 0.001), Abbreviated Burn Severity Index (ABSI) > 3 (p < 0.001) and IHT (p = 0.001) correlated with the amount of required surgeries and significantly predicted the need for intubation. Patients with arrhythmia significantly required more surgeries (p = 0.041), whereas patients with COPD required significantly less surgical interventions (p = 0.013).

CONCLUSION

Preexisting comorbidities have a significant impact on the clinical outcome of patients with severe burn injuries. Further investigation is warranted in order to supplement existing prognostic scores with new mortality-associated parameters.

Assessing the NephroCheck® Test System in Predicting the Risk of Death or Dialysis in Burn Patients

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with high mortality in burn patients. Urinary biomarkers can aid in the prediction of AKI and its consequences, such as death and the need for renal replacement therapy (RRT). The purpose of this study was to investigate a novel methodology for detecting urinary biomarkers, the NephroCheck® Test System, and assess its ability to predict death or the need for RRT in burn patients. Burn patients admitted to the United States Army Institute of Surgical Research (USAISR) burn intensive care unit were prospectively enrolled between March 2016 and April 2018. A urine sample was obtained from all study participants using the NephroCheck® system. Patient and injury characteristics were gathered, and descriptive statistics were calculated and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using these data. Of the 69 patients in this study, 15 patients (21.7%) attained the composite outcome of death or needing RRT within 30 days of urine collection. NephroCheck® scores were higher for patients with the composite outcome, with P = 0.06 for centrifuged scores and P = 0.04 for noncentrifuged scores. Centrifuged and noncentrifuged scores were in high agreement and correlation (R2 = 0.97, P < 0.0001). Noncentrifuged scores were significant in the unadjusted analysis, but they were not significant in the adjusted analysis. Although these scores had a lower sensitivity and negative predictive value compared with other parameters, they had the second highest specificity and positive predictive value. NephroCheck® scores were higher in burn patients with the composite outcome of death or needing RRT, and they demonstrated comparable sensitivity and specificity to creatinine and TBSA.

Variation in documented inhalation injury rates following burn injury in Australia and New Zealand

INTRODUCTION

The negative impact of inhalation injuries on in-hospital outcomes for burn patients is well known, but the burns community is yet to form a consensus on diagnostic criteria and clinical definitions. The diagnosis of inhalation injuries is consequently highly subjective. This study aimed to assess the variation in the rate of documented inhalation injury for adult patients in Australian and New Zealand burn units.

METHODS

Data for sequential admissions collected from eight adult burn centres across Australia and New Zealand between July 2009 and June 2016 were extracted from the Burns Registry of Australia and New Zealand (BRANZ). Inhalation injury was classified in two ways: (i) a field in the BRANZ data dictionary, and (ii) through a series of International Classification of Disease 10th Revision Australian Modification (ICD-10-AM) codes. Variation in inhalation injury prevalence was assessed using descriptive statistics, funnel plots, logistic regression, and predicted probabilities.

RESULTS

There were 11,206 admissions to BRANZ sites over the study period. Inhalation injury prevalence was the highest at Site D (13.1% for the BRANZ field and 11.8% for the ICD-10-AM codes), but there was significant variation between the contributing sites and the inhalation injury classification methods.

CONCLUSION

There is significant variation in the prevalence of documented inhalation injury among Australian and New Zealand burns units. The variation in the prevalence of documented inhalation injury across Australian and New Zealand sites reinforces the need for a consensus definition in the diagnosis of these injuries. Further work is required to improve data quality and reconcile the differences between clinical and ICD-10-AM coding prevalence before changes in clinical practice can be recommended from these data.

Actionable, Revised (v.3), and Amplified American Burn Association Triage Tables for Mass Casualties: A Civilian Defense Guideline

Burn care remains among the most complex of the time-sensitive treatment interventions in medicine today. An enormous quantity of specialized resources are required to support the critical and complex modalities needed to meet the conventional standard of care for each patient with a critical burn injury. Because of these dependencies, a sudden surge of patients with critical burn injuries requiring immediate and prolonged care following a burn mass casualty incident (BMCI) will place immense stress on healthcare system assets, including supplies, space, and an experienced workforce (staff). Therefore, careful planning to maximize the efficient mobilization and rational use of burn care resources is essential to limit morbidity and mortality following a BMCI. The U.S. burn care profession is represented by the American Burn Association (ABA). This paper has been written by clinical experts and led by the ABA to provide further clarity regarding the capacity of the American healthcare system to absorb a surge of burn-injured patients. Furthermore, this paper intends to offer responders and clinicians evidence-based tools to guide their response and care efforts to maximize burn care capabilities based on realistic assumptions when confronted with a BMCI. This effort also aims to align recommendations in part with those of the Committee on Crisis Standards of Care for the Institute of Medicine, National Academies of Sciences. Their publication guided the work in this report, identified here as "conventional, contingency, and crisis standards of care." This paper also includes an update to the burn Triage Tables- Seriously Resource-Strained Situations (v.2).

Prevalence and prognostic impact of inhalation injury among burn patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The objective of our study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis aimed at assessing the prevalence of inhalation injury in burn patients and its prognostic value in relation to in-hospital mortality.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed and EMBASE databases for noninterventional studies published between 1990 and 2018 investigating in-hospital mortality predictors among burn patients.The primary meta-analysis evaluated the association between inhalation injury and mortality. A secondary meta-analysis determined the global estimate of the prevalence of inhalation injury and the rate of mortality. Random effects models were used, and univariate meta-regressions were used to assess sources of heterogeneity. This study is registered in the PROSPERO database with code CRD42019127356.

FINDINGS

Fifty-four studies including a total of 408,157 patients were selected for the analysis. A pooled inhalation prevalence of 15.7% (95% confidence interval, 13.4%-18.3%) was calculated.The summarized odds ratio of in-hospital mortality secondary to an inhalation injury was 3.2 (95% confidence interval, 2.5-4.3). A significantly higher odd of mortality was found among the studies that included all hospitalized burn patients, those that included a lower proportion of male patients, those with a lower mean total body surface area, and those with a lower prevalence of inhalation injury.

CONCLUSION

Despite our study's limitations due to the high risk of bias and the interstudy heterogeneity of some of our analyses, our results revealed a wide range of prevalence rates of inhalation injury and a significant association between this entity and in-hospital mortality in burn patients. However, this association is not significant if adjusted for disease severity.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Systematic review/meta-analysis, level III.

Incidence and Prognostic Value of Acute Coagulopathy After Extensive Severe Burns

Acute burn-induced coagulopathy (ABIC) occurs after severe burns. However, the incidence, prognostic value, and clinical significance of ABIC after an extensive severe burn remain inconclusive due to wide variances in burn severity and coagulation profile evaluation timings in previous studies. This retrospective study explored the incidence and clinical and prognostic significance of early phase ABIC in 129 adult patients with extensive burns (&gt;50% total body surface area [TBSA]) admitted to the burn centers of two hospitals within 10 hours postburn injury during 2009–2017. Demographics (age and sex) and clinical data (burn severity, vital signs, prehospital fluid replacement volume, hemodynamic parameters, coagulation profile, blood gas, and blood biochemical indicators) were collected upon admission. The incidence of ABIC in patients with severe burns and its relationship with their survival and clinical significance were analyzed. The average postburn interval was 5.7 ± 2.7 hours, and the incidence of ABIC was 31% (40/129). A logistic regression analysis identified ABIC as an independent predictor of 4-week severe mortality due to severe burn. The incidence of ABIC was significantly associated with the total burn area, lactic acid levels upon admission, and postburn admission interval, but not with the prehospital fluid replacement volume. In conclusion, approximately 30% of patients with severe burns developed ABIC within 10 hours postburn, and this condition strongly predicts 4-week mortality. Although burn severity and tissue ischemia/hypoxia are main risk factors for ABIC, the pathogenesis is not fully understood and should be explored in future studies.

A novel scale for predicting delayed intubation in patients with inhalation injury

BACKGROUND

Strategies to predict delayed airway obstruction in patients with inhalation injury have not been extensively studied. This study aimed to develop a novel scale, predicting the need for Delayed Intubation after inhalation injury (PDI) score.

METHODS

We retrospectively identified patients with inhalation injury at four tertiary care centers in Japan between 2012 and 2018. We included patients aged 15 or older and excluded those intubated within 30 min after hospital arrival. Predictors for delayed intubation were identified with univariate analyses and scored on the basis of odds ratios. The PDI score was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve and compared with other scaling systems for burn injuries.

RESULTS

Data from 158 patients were analyzed; of these patients, 18 (11.4%) were intubated during the delayed phase. Signs of respiratory distress, facial burn, and pharyngolaryngeal swelling observed on laryngoscopy, were identified as predictors for delayed intubation. The discriminatory power of the PDI (AUROC curve = 0.90; 95% confidence interval, 0.83 to 0.97; p < 0.01) was higher than that of the other scaling systems.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a novel scale for predicting delayed intubation in inhalation injury. The score should be further validated with other population.

Quantifying the effects of wound healing risk and potential on clinical measurements and outcomes of severely burned patients: A data-driven approach

INTRODUCTION

Given recent advances in computational power, the goal of this study was to quantify the effects of wound healing risk and potential on clinical measurements and outcomes of severely burned patients, with the hope of providing more insight on factors that affect wound healing.

METHODS

This retrospective study involved patients who had at least 10% TBSA% "burned" and three burn mappings each. To model risk to wounds, we defined the variable θ, a hypothetical threshold for TBSA% "open wound" used to demarcate "low-risk" from "high-risk" patients. Low-risk patients denoted those patients whose actual TBSA% "open wound" ≤θ, whereas high-risk patients denoted those patients whose actual TBSA% "open wound" >θ. To consider all possibilities of risk, 100 sub analyses were performed by (1) varying θ from 100% to 1% in decrements of 1%, (2) grouping all patients as either "low-risk" or "high-risk" for each θ, and (3) comparing all means and deviations of variables and outcomes between the two groups for each θ. Hence, this study employed a data-driven approach to capture trends in clinical measurements and outcomes. Plots and tables were also obtained.

RESULTS

For 303 patients, median age and weight were 43 [29-59] years and 85 [72-99]kg, respectively. Mean TBSA% "burned" was 25 [17-39] %, with a full-thickness burn of 4 [0-15] %. Average crystalloid volumes were 4.25±2.27mL/kg/TBSA% "burned" in the first 24h. Importantly, for high-risk patients, decreasing θ was matched by significant increases in PaO2-FiO2 ratio, platelet count, Glasgow coma score (GCS), and MAP. On the other hand, increasing their risk θ was also matched by significant increases in creatinine, bilirubin, lactate, blood, estimated blood loss, and 24-h and total fluid volumes. As expected, for low-risk patients, clinical measurements were more stable, despite decreasing or increasing θ. At a θ of 80%, statistical tests indicated much disparity between high-risk and low-risk patients for TBSA% "burned", full thickness burn, bilirubin (1.66±1.16mg/dL versus 0.83±0.65mg/dL, p=0.005), GCS (7±2 versus 12±3, p<0.001), MAP (42±22mm Hg versus 59±22mm Hg, p=0.004), 24-h blood, estimated blood loss, 24-h fluid, total fluid, and ICU length of stay (81±113 days versus 24±27 days, p=0.002). These differences were all statistically significant and remained significant down to θ=10%.

CONCLUSION

Wound healing risk and potential may be forecasted by many different clinical measurements and outcomes and has many implications on multi-organ function. Future work will be needed to further explain and understand these effects, in order to facilitate development of new predictive models for wound healing.

Plasma protein C levels are directly associated with better outcomes in patients with severe burns

Protein C circulates in human plasma to regulate inflammation and coagulation. It has shown a crucial role in wound healing in animals, and low plasma levels predict the presence of a wound in diabetic patients. However, no detailed study has measured protein C levels in patients with severe burns over the course of a hospital admission. A severe burn is associated with dysfunction of inflammation and coagulation as well as a significant risk of morbidity and mortality. The current methods of burn assessment have shortcomings in reliability and have limited prognostic value. The discovery of a biomarker that estimates burn severity and predicts clinical events with greater accuracy than current methods may improve management, resource allocation and patient counseling. This is the first study to assess the potential role of protein C as a biomarker of burn severity. We measured the plasma protein C levels of 86 patients immediately following a severe burn, then every three days over the first three weeks of a hospital admission. We also analysed the relationships between burn characteristics, blood test results including plasma protein C levels and clinical events. We used a primary composite outcome of increased support utilisation defined as: a mean intravenous fluid administration volume of five litres or more per day over the first 72 h of admission, a length of stay in the intensive care unit of more than four days, or greater than four surgical procedures during admission. The hypothesis was that low protein C levels would be negatively associated with increased support utilisation. At presentation to hospital after a severe burn, the mean plasma protein C level was 76 ± 20% with a range of 34-130% compared to the normal range of 70-180%. The initial low can be plausibly explained by impaired synthesis, increased degradation and excessive consumption of protein C following a burn. Levels increased gradually over six days then remained at a steady-state until the end of the inpatient study period, day 21. A multivariable regression model (Nagelkerke's R² = 0.83) showed that the plasma protein C level on admission contributed the most to the ability of the model to predict increased support utilisation (OR = 0.825 (95% CI = 0.698-0.977), P = 0.025), followed by burn size (OR = 1.252 (95% CI = 1.025-1.530), P = 0.027), burn depth (partial thickness was used as the reference, full thickness OR = 80.499 (1.569-4129.248), P = 0.029), and neutrophil count on admission (OR = 1.532 (95% CI = 0.950-2.473), P = 0.08). Together, these four variables predicted increased support utilisation with 93.2% accuracy, 83.3% sensitivity and 97.6% specificity. However if protein C values were disregarded, only 49.5% of the variance was explained, with 82% accuracy, 63% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity. Thus, protein C may be a useful biomarker of burn severity and study replication will enable validation of these novel findings.

Using competing risk and multistate model to estimate the impact of nosocomial infection on length of stay and mortality in burn patients in Southeast China

OBJECTIVE

Due to the defects in skin barrier function and immune response, burn patients who survive the acute phase of a burn injury are at a high risk of nosocomial infection (NI). The aim of this study is to evaluate the impacts of NI on length of stay (LOS) and hospital mortality in burn patients using a multistate model.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A retrospective observational study was conducted in burn unit and intensive care unit in the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.

PARTICIPANTS

Data were obtained from 1143 records of patients admitted with burn between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2016.

METHODS

Risk factors for NIs were determined by binary logistic regression. The extended Cox model with time-varying covariates was used to determine the impact of NIs on hospital mortality, and cumulative incidence functions were calculated. Multiple linear regression analysis was applied to detect the variables associated with LOS. Using a multistate model, the extra LOS due to NI were determined.

RESULTS

15.8% of total burn patients suffered from NIs and incidence density of NIs was 9.6 per 1000 patient-days. NIs significantly increased the rate of death (HR 4.266, 95% CI 2.218 to 8.208, p=0.000). The cumulative probability of death for patients with NI was greater that for those without NI. The extra LOS due to NIs was 17.68 days (95% CI 11.31 to 24.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Using appropriate statistical methods, the present study further illustrated that NIs were associated with the increased cumulative incidence of burn death and increased LOS in burn patients.

Survival analysis and mortality predictors of hospitalized severe burn victims in a Malaysian burns intensive care unit

Background

Prognostic measures to determine burn mortality are essential in evaluating the severity of individual burn victims. This is an important process of triaging patients with high risk of mortality that may be nursed in the acute care setting. Malaysian burn research is lacking with only one publication identified which describes the epidemiology of burn victims. Therefore, the objective of this study was to go one step further and identify the predictors of burn mortality from a Malaysian burns intensive care unit (BICU) which may be used to triage patients at higher risk of death.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study of all admissions to Hospital Sultan Ismail’s BICU from January 2010 till October 2015. Admission criteria were in accordance with the American Burn Association guidelines, and risk factors of interest were recorded. Data was analyzed using simple logistic regression to determine significant predictors of mortality. Survival analysis with time to death event was performed using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve with log-rank test.

Results

Through the 6-year period, 393 patients were admitted with a male preponderance of 73.8%. The mean age and length of stay were 35.6 (±15.72) years and 15.3 (±18.91) days. There were 48 mortalities with an overall mortality rate of 12.2%. Significant risk factors identified on simple logistic regression were total body surface area (TBSA) > 20% (p < 0.001), inhalation injury (p < 0.001) and presence of early systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) (p < 0.001). Survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed similar results with TBSA > 20%, presence of SIRS, mechanical ventilation and inhalation injury which were associated with poorer survival (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The predictors of mortality identified in a Malaysian BICU were TBSA > 20%, early SIRS, mechanical ventilation and inhalation injury which were associated with poorer survival outcome. The immunological response differs from individual patients and influenced by the severity of burn injury. Early SIRS on admission is an important predictor of death and may represent the severity of burn injury. Patients who required mechanical ventilation were associated with mortality and it is likely related to the severity of pulmonary insults sustained by individual patients. This data is important for outcome prognostication and mortality risk counselling in severely burned patients.

Quantifying the impact of inhalational burns: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

Inhalational injury is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in burns patients. This study aims to analyse the clinical outcomes, complications and bacteriology of inhalational burn patients.

METHODS

A prospective study was done on consecutive admissions to Burn Department, Singapore General Hospital over 15 months from January 2015 to March 2016. Presence of inhalational injury, demographics, complications and outcomes was recorded. Diagnosis of inhalational injury was based on history, symptoms and nasoendoscopy. Diagnosis of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), acute kidney injury (AKI) and infective complications were according to the Berlin criteria, acute kidney injury network (AKIN) classification stage 2 and above and the American Burns Association guidelines.

RESULTS

Thirty-five patients (17.3%) had inhalational burns out of 202 patients (63.4% male, 57.4% Chinese population). The average age was 43 ± 16.7 years (range 16-86), and percentage of total body surface area (%TBSA) was 12.1 ± 18.0 (range 0-88). In patients with inhalational injury, age was 38.9 ± 17.2 years and %TBSA was 30.3 ± 32.3. In patients without inhalational injury, age was 44.1 ± 12.8  years and %TBSA was 8.3 ± 9.59. Compared to patients with cutaneous injury alone, patients with inhalational burns had more surgeries (3 ± 7.07 vs 1 ± 1.54, p = 0.003), increased length of stay (21 days vs 8 days, p = 0.004) and higher in-hospital mortality rate (17.1% vs 0.6%, p < 0.001). Incidence of ARDS and AKI was 48.6% and 37.1%, respectively, compared to 0.6% and 1.2% in the patients without inhalational injury (p < 0.001). Patients with inhalational injury had increased incidence of bacteraemia (31.4% vs 2.4%, p < 0.001), pneumonia (37.1% vs 1.2%, p < 0.001) and burn wound infection (51.4% vs 25.1%, p = 0.004). Inhalational injury predicted AKI with an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 17.43 (95% confidence interval (CI) 3.07-98.87, p < 0.001); ARDS, OR = 106.71 (95% CI 12.73-894.53, p < 0.001) and pneumonia, OR = 13.87 (95% CI 2.32-82.94, p = 0.004). Acinetobacter baumannii was the most frequently cultured bacteria in sputum, blood and tissue cultures with inhalational injury. Gram-negative bacteria were predominantly cultured from tissue in patients with inhalational injury, whereas gram-positive bacteria were predominantly cultured from tissue in patients without inhalational injury.

CONCLUSIONS

Inhalational injury accompanying burns significantly increases the length of stay, mortality and complications including AKI, ARDS, infection and sepsis.

Safety of Nebulized Epinephrine in Smoke Inhalation Injury

This pilot study was conducted to profile safety of nebulized racemic epinephrine when used as a therapy for smoke inhalation injury in severely burned children. We enrolled 16 patients who were 7 to 19 years of age ([mean ± SD], 12 ± 4 years) with burns covering more than 30% of the TBSA (55 ± 17%) and smoke inhalation injury, as diagnosed by bronchoscopy at burn center admission. Patients were randomized to receive either standard of care (n = 8), which consisted of nebulized acetylcysteine, nebulized heparin, and nebulized albuterol, or to receive standard of care plus nebulized epinephrine (n = 8). Primary endpoints were death, chest pain, and adverse changes in cardiopulmonary hemodynamics (arrhythmia, arterial blood pressure, electrocardiographic [ST segment] changes, and peak inspiratory pressure). Additional endpoints included total days on ventilator, pulmonary function, and physiological cardiopulmonary measurements at intensive care unit discharge. No adverse events were observed during or after the nebulization of epinephrine, and no deaths were reported that were attributable to the administration of nebulized epinephrine. The groups did not significantly differ with regard to age, sex, burn size, days on ventilator, pulmonary function, or cardiopulmonary fitness. Results of this pilot trial indicate epinephrine to be safe when administered to pediatric burn patients with smoke inhalation injury. Current data warrant future efficacy studies with a greater number of patients.

Predictors of Early Onset Multiple Organ Dysfunction in Major Burn Patients with Ventilator Support: Experience from A Mass Casualty Explosion

Organ dysfunction is common in patients with major burns and associated with poor outcomes. The risk factors for early onset multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) in major burn patients with invasive ventilator support has rarely been evaluated before. In this study, major burn patients with invasive ventilator support from 499 victims suffered in a mass casualty color dust explosion were retrospectively enrolled. The development of early MODS that occurred within 5 days after burn injury was determined and the risk factors associated with early MODS were analyzed. A total of 88 patients from five medical centers were included. Their mean total body surface area (TBSA) was 60.9 ± 15.8%, and 45 (51.1%) patients had early MODS. Hematologic failure was the most common organ failure (68.6%), followed by respiratory failure (48.9%). Independent clinical factors associated with early MODS included TBSA ≥55% (OR: 3.83; 95% CI: 1.29-11.37) and serum albumin level <2.1 g/dL upon admission (OR: 3.43; 95% CI: 1.01-11.57). Patients with early MODS had prolonged ventilator dependence and longer ICU admission than those without early MODS. Our results showed that early MODS in major burn patients with invasive ventilator support is very common and can be predicted early on admission.

Albumin in Burn Shock Resuscitation: A Meta-Analysis of Controlled Clinical Studies

Critical appraisal of outcomes after burn shock resuscitation with albumin has previously been restricted to small relatively old randomized trials, some with high risk of bias. Extensive recent data from nonrandomized studies assessing the use of albumin can potentially reduce bias and add precision. The objective of this meta-analysis was to determine the effect of burn shock resuscitation with albumin on mortality and morbidity in adult patients. Randomized and nonrandomized controlled clinical studies evaluating mortality and morbidity in adult patients receiving albumin for burn shock resuscitation were identified by multiple methods, including computer database searches and examination of journal contents and reference lists. Extracted data were quantitatively combined by random-effects meta-analysis. Four randomized and four nonrandomized studies with 688 total adult patients were included. Treatment effects did not differ significantly between the included randomized and nonrandomized studies. Albumin infusion during the first 24 hours showed no significant overall effect on mortality. However, significant statistical heterogeneity was present, which could be abolished by excluding two studies at high risk of bias. After those exclusions, albumin infusion was associated with reduced mortality. The pooled odds ratio was 0.34 with a 95% confidence interval of 0.19 to 0.58 (P < .001). Albumin administration was also accompanied by decreased occurrence of compartment syndrome (pooled odds ratio, 0.19; 95% confidence interval, 0.07–0.50; P < .001). This meta-analysis suggests that albumin can improve outcomes of burn shock resuscitation. However, the scope and quality of current evidence are limited, and additional trials are needed.

Unplanned readmission after hospital discharge in burn patients in Iran

INTRODUCTION

Burns are considered as one of the most serious health problems throughout the world. They may lead to adverse consequences and outcomes. One of these outcomes is unplanned readmission. Unplanned readmission has been commonly used as a quality indicator by hospitals and governments. This study aimed to determine the predictors of unplanned readmission in patients with burns hospitalized in a burn center in the North of Iran (Guilan province, Rasht).

METHODS

This retrospective analytic study has been done on the medical records of hospitalized patients with burns in Velayat Sub-Specialty Burn and Plastic Surgery Center, Rasht, Iran during 2008-2013. In general, 703 medical records have been reviewed but statistical analysis was performed on 626 medical records. All data were entered in SPSS (version 16) and analyzed by descriptive and inferential statistics.

RESULTS

Among 626 patients with burns, the overall readmission rate was 5.1%. Predictors of readmission included total body surface area (OR 1.030, CI 1.011-1.049), hypertension (OR 2.923, CI 1.089-7.845) and skin graft (OR 7.045, CI 2.718-18.258).

CONCLUSION

Considering the outcome, predictors following burn have a crucial role in the allocation of treatment cost for patients with burns and they can be used as one of the quality indicators for health care providers and governments.

Impact of Real-Time Therapeutic Drug Monitoring on the Prescription of Antibiotics in Burn Patients Requiring Admission to the Intensive Care Unit

As pharmacokinetics after burn trauma are difficult to predict, we conducted a 3-year prospective, monocentric, randomized, controlled trial to determine the extent of under- and overdosing of antibiotics and further evaluate the impact of systematic therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) with same-day real-time dose adaptation to reach and maintain antibiotic concentrations within the therapeutic range. Forty-five consecutive burn patients treated with antibiotics were prospectively screened. Forty fulfilled the inclusion criteria; after one patient refused to participate and one withdrew consent, 19 were randomly assigned to an intervention group (patients with real-time antibiotic concentration determination and subsequent adaptations) and 19 were randomly assigned to a standard-of-care group (patients with antibiotic administration at the physician's discretion without real-time TDM). Seventy-three infection episodes were analyzed. Before the intervention, only 46/82 (56%) initial trough concentrations fell within the range. There was no difference between groups in the initial trough concentrations (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.39 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.81 to 2.39], P = 0.227) or the time to reach the target. However, thanks to real-time dose adjustments, the trough concentrations of the intervention group remained more within the predefined range (57/77 [74.0%] versus 48/85 [56.5%]; adjusted odd ratio [OR] = 2.34 [95% CI, 1.17 to 4.81], P = 0.018), more days were spent within the target range (193 days/297 days on antibiotics [65.0%] versus 171 days/311 days in antibiotics [55.0%]; adjusted OR = 1.64 [95% CI, 1.16 to 2.32], P = 0.005), and fewer results were below the target trough concentrations (25/118 [21.2%] versus 44/126 [34.9%]; adjusted OR = 0.47 [95% CI, 0.26 to 0.87], P = 0.015). No difference in infection outcomes was observed between the study groups. Systematic TDM with same-day real-time dose adaptation was effective in reaching and maintaining therapeutic antibiotic concentrations in infected burn patients, which prevented both over- and underdosing. A larger multicentric study is needed to further evaluate the impact of this strategy on infection outcomes and the emergence of antibiotic resistance during long-term burn treatment. (This study was registered with the ClinicalTrials.gov platform under registration no. NCT01965340 on 27 September 2013.).