Hypocalcemia in patients with acute pancreatitis: a putative role for systemic endotoxin exposure

Identifying novel acute pancreatitis sub-phenotypes using total serum calcium trajectories

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) has heterogeneous clinical features, and identifying clinically relevant sub-phenotypes is useful. We aimed to identify novel sub-phenotypes in hospitalized AP patients using longitudinal total serum calcium (TSC) trajectories.

METHODS

AP patients had at least two TSC measurements during the first 24 h of hospitalization in the US-based critical care database (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) and MIMIC-IV were included. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify calcium trajectory phenotypes, and patient characteristics and treatment outcomes were compared between the phenotypes.

RESULTS

A total of 4518 admissions were included in the analysis. Four TSC trajectory groups were identified: "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" (n = 65; 1.4% of the cohort); "Moderately low TSC" (n = 559; 12.4%); "Stable normal-calcium" (n = 3875; 85.8%); and "Fluctuating high TSC" (n = 19; 0.4%). The "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" had the lowest initial, maximum, minimum, and mean TSC, and highest SOFA score, creatinine and glucose level. In contrast, the "Stable normal-calcium" had the fewest ICU admission, antibiotic use, intubation and renal replace treatment. In adjusted analysis, significantly higher in-hospital mortality was noted among "Very low TSC, slow resolvers" (odds ratio [OR], 7.2; 95% CI, 3.7 to 14.0), "moderately low TSC" (OR, 5.0; 95% CI, 3.8 to 6.7), and "Fluctuating high TSC" (OR, 5.6; 95% CI, 1.5 to 20.6) compared with the "Stable normal-calcium" group.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified four novel sub-phenotypes of patients with AP, with significant variability in clinical outcomes. Not only the absolute TSC levels but also their trajectories were significantly associated with in-hospital mortality.

The Potential Role of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)-Sodium Score in Predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

Background and aim Acute pancreatitis is a common inflammation of the pancreas which can be severe and even potentially mortal. High rates of mortality showed the importance of immediate identification of patients at high risk and led the clinicians to refer to various scoring systems. Our aim was to investigate a clinical predictive model using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-sodium) scoring system, adapting it to acute pancreatitis patients referring to the systemic inflammatory nature of the disease and potential multi-organ failures in severe form. Methods Our multicenter study was designed retrospectively. The medical records were reviewed for the period of two years. Demographics, biochemical results, MELD-sodium scores and mortality rates were analysed. Results MELD-sodium score was found to be statistically correlated with both mortality and the severity of pancreatitis (p<0.001) and significant difference between both mild and severe (p<0.001), moderate and severe groups (p<0.001). Mortality was found to be significantly higher in patients with MELD-Na score when the cut-off value was accepted as '≥11'. Conclusion We found that MELD-sodium score was significantly associated with both severity of disease and mortality rates and also significantly effective between both mild/severe and moderate/severe groups which may be a guide for future multi-center reviews with larger patient and control groups, which can define the potential role of this non-invasive and easy-to-use predictive model in acute pancreatitis patients.

A Rapid Prognostic Score Based on Bedside Arterial Blood Gas Analysis (ABG) Established for Predicting 60-Day Adverse Outcomes in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis in the Emergency Department

Objective

To establish a rapid and concise prognosis scoring system for pancreatitis in the emergency department based on bedside arterial blood gas analysis (ABG).

Methods

A single-center, retrospective cohort study was used to establish the new scoring system, and a validation group was used to verify it. The primary endpoint was 60-day death, and secondary endpoints were 28-day death, admission to the intensive care unit (AICU), requirement for mechanical ventilation (MV) and persistent organ failure (POF). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves was drawn to validate the predictive value of the new scoring system. The performance of the new scoring system was compared with that of conventional predictive scoring.

Results

443 patients were in the derivation group and 217 patients in the validation group, of which 27 and 25 died during follow-up. A total of 443 patients in the derivation group, 27 of whom died during the follow-up period. Multivariate regression analysis showed that mental status, hematocrit (HCT), base excess (BE) and Serum ionic calcium (Ca²⁺) were independent risk factors for 60-day mortality of pancreatitis, and they were used to create a new scoring system (MHBC). In the derivation and validation, the ability of MHBC (AUC= 0.922, 0.773, respectively) to predict 60-day mortality from pancreatitis was no less than that of APACHE II (AUC= 0.838, 0.748, respectively) and BISAP (AUC= 0.791, 0.750, respectively), while, MHBC is more quickly and concisely than APACHE II and BISAP. Compared with MHBC less than or equal to 2, when MHBC is greater than 2, the 28-day mortality, 60-day mortality and the incidence of AICU, MV and POF increased significantly (P <0.001).

Conclusion

The MHBC can quickly and concisely evaluate the 60-day mortality, 28-day mortality, and the incidence of AICU, MV and POF of patients with acute pancreatitis in the emergency department.

Effect of Admission Serum Calcium Levels and Length of Stay in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis: Data from the MIMIC-III Database

Objective. We retrospectively investigated the effect of admission serum calcium levels on length of stay (LOS) in patients hospitalized with acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods. Clinical data for 3156 patients diagnosed with AP were obtained from the Multiparametric Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. Restricted cubic spline curve (RCS) functions of dose-response analysis curves and logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the relationship between admission serum calcium levels and the LOS. Results. All patients were divided into 2 groups (<8.5 mg/dl group and ≥8.5 mg/dl group) based on RCS analysis. RCS showed a significant nonlinear negative correlation between blood calcium levels and the LOS ( $p<0.001$ ). In addition, compared with patients with blood calcium <8.5 mg/dl, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that patients with blood calcium ≥8.5 mg/dl had a reduced risk of the LOS >2 days (aOR = 0.653; 95% CI 0.507–0.842; $p=0.001$ ), a reduced risk of the LOS >5 days (aOR = 0.589; 95% CI 0.503–0.689; $p<0.001$ ), and a reduced risk of the LOS >7 days (aOR = 0.515; 95% CI 0.437–0.609; $p<0.001$ ). And similar results were found in the subgroup analysis. Conclusion. Our findings suggest that low blood calcium increases the LOS in patients with AP. More attention is needed for patients with combined low blood calcium levels (<8.5 mg/dl) in hospitalized AP patients.

Serum magnesium level as a predictor of acute kidney injury in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Decreased serum magnesium (Mg²⁺) is commonly seen in critically ill patients. Hypomagnesemia is significantly more frequent in patients with severe acute pancreatitis. Acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) is associated with an extremely high mortality. The association underlying serum Mg²⁺ and AKI in AP has not been elucidated.

AIM

To explore the association between serum Mg²⁺ on admission and AKI in patients with AP.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study was conducted in a cohort of patients (n = 233) with AP without any renal injury before admission to our center from August 2015 to February 2019. Demographic characteristics on admission, severity score, laboratory values and in-hospital mortality were compared between patients with and without AKI.

RESULTS

A total of 233 patients were included for analysis, including 85 with AKI. Compared to patients without AKI, serum Mg²⁺ level was significantly lower in patients with AKI at admission [OR = 6.070, 95%CI: 3.374-10.921, P < 0.001]. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that lower serum Mg²⁺ was an independent risk factor for AKI [OR = 8.47, 95%CI: 3.02-23.72, P < 0.001].

CONCLUSION

Our analysis indicates that serum Mg²⁺ level at admission is independently associated with the development of AKI in patients with AP and may be a potential prognostic factor.

Effects of Potential Micro- and Macro-nutrients in Combatting COVID-19

Purpose of Review

Gain insight on the effect of some recently studied nutrients and nutritional markers on the COVID-19 disease course.

Recent Findings

In vitro studies indicate that SCFAs do not interfere with SARS-CoV-2 infectivity. Observational studies indicate that eating processed or red meat three or more times per week had overall higher risk of pneumonia. Studies suggest that markers of regular outdoor physical activity (high HDL, lack of vitamin D deficiency, lack of obesity, etc.) prevent severe complications of COVID-19.

Summary

Although no definitive nutrients were found to significantly alter the COVID-19 disease course, some therapeutic candidates such as calcium, vitamin D, and albumin were surmised. Other nutrients that modulate serum lipid levels, cytokine levels, and albumin levels may hold promise for prevention of morbid or fatal outcomes related to COVID-19, as does the reduction of red or processed meat consumption.

Serum calcium as a biomarker of clinical severity and prognosis in patients with coronavirus disease 2019

The aim of this study was to investigate the correlations between serum calcium and clinical outcomes in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In this retrospective study, serum calcium levels, hormone levels and clinical laboratory parameters on admission were recorded. The clinical outcome variables were also recorded. From February 10 to February 28, 2020, 241 patients were enrolled. Of these patients, 180 (74.7%) had hypocalcemia on admission. The median serum calcium levels were 2.12 (IQR, 2.04-2.20) mmol/L, median parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels were 55.27 (IQR, 42.73-73.15) pg/mL, and median 25-hydroxy-vitamin D (VD) levels were 10.20 (IQR, 8.20-12.65) ng/mL. The serum calcium levels were significantly positively correlated with VD levels (P =0.004) but negatively correlated with PTH levels (P =0.048). Patients with lower serum calcium levels (especially ≤2.0 mmol/L) had worse clinical parameters, higher incidences of organ injury and septic shock, and higher 28-day mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome, septic shock, and 28-day mortality were 0.923 (P <0.001), 0.905 (P =0.001), and 0.929 (P <0.001), respectively. In conclusion, serum calcium was associated with the clinical severity and prognosis of patients with COVID-19. Hypocalcemia may be associated with imbalanced VD and PTH levels.

Prediction of Severity of Acute Pancreatitis Using Total Serum Calcium and Albumin-Corrected Calcium: A Prospective Study in Tertiary Center Hospital in Nepal

Introduction

Total calcium (TC) and albumin-corrected calcium (ACC) are easily accessible AP severity tests in the Primary Health Care Center of Nepal. The aim of the study was to evaluate TC and ACC as prognostic severity markers in acute pancreatitis (AP).

Methods

All patients admitted in Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital with the diagnosis of AP were studied prospectively over a period of one year from January 2015 to January 2016. TC and ACC were measured in the first 24 hours of admission in each patient. The modified Marshall score was determined at admission and at 48 hours and at any point of time during admission as per the need of the patient. Severity of acute pancreatitis was defined as per the Revised Atlanta Classification 2012.

Results

80 patients of AP were included in the study. Among them, 14% were categorized as having severe AP. The mean total calcium was 8.22, 7.51, and 6.98 for mild, moderate, and severe AP, respectively, which was significant at 0.001.

Conclusion

TC and ACC, measured within the first 24 hours, are useful severity predictors in acute pancreatitis.

Serum calcium as an indicator of persistent organ failure in acute pancreatitis

AIM

Decreased level of serum calcium was commonly seen in critical illness. Hypocalcemia was significantly more frequent in patients with severe form of acute pancreatitis (AP), and a negative correlation was observed between endotoxemia and serum calcium in AP. AP patients with persistent organ failure (POF) show an extremely high mortality. The association underlying calcium and POF in AP has not been characterized.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients who presented within 72hours from symptom onset of AP at our center between January 2014 and May 2015. Demographic parameters on admission, organ failure assessment, laboratory data and in-hospital mortality were compared between patients with and without POF. Uni-and multi-variate logistic regression analyses were utilized to evaluated the predictive ability of serum calcium.

RESULTS

A total of 128 consecutive AP patients, including 29 with POF, were included. Compared to patients without POF, patients with POF showed a significantly lower value of serum calcium on admission (2.11±0.46 vs. 1.55±0.36mmol/L, P<0.001). After multivariate logistic analysis, serum calcium remained an independent risk factor for POF (Hazard ratio 0.21, 95% confident interval: 0.08-0.58; P=0.002). A calcium value of 1.97mmol/L predicted POF with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.888, a sensitivity with 89.7% and specificity with 74.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that serum calcium on admission is independently associated with POF in AP and may serve as a potential prognostic factor.

Hypocalcemia in acute pancreatitis revisited

Hypocalcemia is a frequent finding in acute pancreatitis. Severe hypocalcemia can present with neurological as well as cardiovascular manifestations. Correction of hypocalcemia by parenteral calcium infusion remains a controversial topic as intracellular calcium overload is the central mechanism of acinar cell injury in pancreatitis. The current article deals with the art and science of calcium correction in pancreatitis patients.

Meta-analysis of gut barrier dysfunction in patients with acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The gut is implicated in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis but there is discrepancy between individual studies regarding the prevalence of gut barrier dysfunction in patients with acute pancreatitis. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of gut barrier dysfunction in acute pancreatitis, the effect of different co-variables, and changes in gut barrier function associated with the use of various therapeutic modalities.

METHODS

A literature search was performed using PRISMA and MOOSE guidelines. Summary estimates were presented as pooled prevalence of gut barrier dysfunction and the associated 95 per cent c.i.

RESULTS

A total of 44 prospective clinical studies were included in the systematic review, of which 18 studies were subjected to meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence of gut barrier dysfunction was 59 (95 per cent c.i. 48 to 70) per cent; the prevalence was not significantly affected by disease severity, timing of assessment after hospital admission or type of test used, but showed a statistically significant association with age. Overall, nine of 13 randomized clinical trials reported a significant improvement in gut barrier function following intervention compared with the control group, but only three of six studies that used standard enteral nutrition reported a statistically significant improvement in gut barrier function after intervention.

CONCLUSION

Gut barrier dysfunction is present in three of five patients with acute pancreatitis, and the prevalence is affected by patient age but not by disease severity. Clinical studies are needed to evaluate the effect of enteral nutrition on gut function in acute pancreatitis.

[Total serum calcium and corrected calcium as severity predictors in acute pancreatitis]

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate total serum calcium (TC) and albumin-corrected calcium (ACC) as prognostic severity factors in acute pancreatitis (AP).

METHODS

Ninety-six patients were included in the study. They were diagnosed with AP and admitted to the Hospital Regional de Veracruz within the time frame of January 2010 to December 2012. AP severity was determined through the updated Atlanta Classification (2013). TC and ACC values were measured in the first 24hours of admittance and the percentages of sensitivity (S), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (LR+), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-) were calculated through ROC curves and contingency tables.

RESULTS

In accordance with the updated Atlanta Classification, 70 patients presented with mild AP, 17 with moderately severe AP, and 9 with severe AP. Of the patient total, 61.5% were women, and 69.8% presented with biliary etiology. The maximum TC cut-off point was 7.5mg/dL, with values of S, 67%; Sp, 82%; PPV, 27%, and NPV, 96%. The maximum ACC cut-off point was 7.5mg/dL, with values of S, 67%; Sp, 90%; PPV, 40%; NPV, 96%. Both had values similar to those of the Ranson and APACHE II prognostic scales.

CONCLUSIONS

TC and ACC, measured within the first 24hours, are useful severity predictors in acute pancreatitis, with sensitivity and predictive values comparable or superior to those of the conventional prognostic scales.

Acute pancreatitis and hyperparathyroidism: a case series

Primary hyperparathyroidism is a rare cause of acute pancreatitis. Five consecutive patients with acute or recurrent acute pancreatitis and primary hyperparathyroidism were included. All patients had elevated serum calcium on admission and high levels of circulating parathyroid hormone. Both ultrasonography and Sestamibi scan was used to localize parathyroid adenoma. Except for one, all patients underwent parathyroidectomy and postoperative histology was consistent with parathyroid adenoma. One patient died while on treatment. Metabolic causes of acute pancreatitits, though uncommon, are important as early recognition helps management and prevents recurrence.

Hypocalcemia in the critically ill patient

Hypocalcemia is common in the critically ill patient. In this population, however, the diagnosis of hypocalcemia is complicated by limitations in the interpretation of the total plasma calcium concentration. These limitations are principally the result of the effects of hypoalbuminemia and disorders of acid-base balance on the total calcium concentration. Thus, measurement of ionized calcium can be critical in determining an individual's true serum calcium status. In this review, we first describe the regulation of normal calcium metabolism and then focus on the various etiologies of hypocalcemia, including congenital and acquired disorders of parathyroid hormone and vitamin D, which are encountered in the neonatal, pediatric, and adult critical care settings. The approach to the treatment of hypocalcemia and the current consensus on treatment of hypocalcemia in the critically ill patient is also presented.

Ionized calcium concentration and outcome in critical illness

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of abnormalities of ionized calcium levels with mortality in a heterogeneous cohort of critically ill patients.

DESIGN

Retrospective, combined clinical and biochemical study.

SETTING

Four combined medical/surgical intensive care units.

PATIENTS

Cohort of 7,024 adult critically ill patients.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We studied 177,578 ionized calcium measurements, from 7024 patients, with a mean value of 1.11 mmol/L (ionized calcium measured every 4.5 hrs on average). The unadjusted lowest and highest ionized calcium reported during intensive care unit stay were significantly different between intensive care unit survivors and nonsurvivors (p < .001). If hypocalcemia occurred at least once during the intensive care unit stay, the probability of intensive care unit mortality increased by 46%, 108%, and 150% for ionized calcium levels <1.15, 0.90, and 0.80 mmol/L, respectively. If hypercalcemia occurred at least once during the intensive care unit stay, the probability of intensive care unit mortality increased by 100%, 162%, and 190% for ionized calcium levels >1.25, 1.35, and 1.45 mmol/L, respectively. Similar trends were seen for hospital mortality. However, from multivariate logistic regression analysis, only an ionized calcium <0.8 mmol/L or an ionized calcium >1.4 mmol/L were independently associated with intensive care unit and hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Within a broad range of values, ionized calcium concentration has no independent association with hospital or intensive care unit mortality. Only extreme abnormalities of ionized calcium concentrations are independent predictors of mortality.

Association between acute pancreatitis and peptic ulcer disease

AIM: To evaluate the relationship between peptic ulcer disease (PUD) and acute pancreatitis.

METHODS: A cohort of 78 patients with acute pancreatitis were included in this study. The presence of PUD and the Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) status were assessed by an endoscopic method. The severity of acute pancreatitis was assessed using Ranson’s score, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, computed tomography severity index and the clinical data during hospitalization, all of which were compared between the patients with and without PUD. The risk factors for PUD were also evaluated.

RESULTS: Among 78 patients, 41 patients (52.6%) with acute pancreatitis suffered from PUD, but only 13 (31.7%) patients with PUD were infected by H. pylori. On univariate analysis, male gender, an etiology of alcohol-induced pancreatitis, a history of smoking or alcohol consumption, elevated triglyceride and C-reactive protein levels, and high APACHE II score were significantly associated with PUD. However, on multivariate logistic regression analysis, the APACHE II score (odds ratio: 7.69; 95% confidence interval: 1.78-33.33; P < 0.01) was found to be the only independent risk factor for PUD.

CONCLUSION: Patients with acute pancreatitis are liable to suffer from PUD. PUD is associated with severe acute pancreatitis according to the APACHE II score, and treatment for PUD should be considered for patients with severe acute pancreatitis.

Early changes in blood urea nitrogen predict mortality in acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Routine laboratory tests that reflect intravascular volume status can play an important role in the early assessment of acute pancreatitis (AP). The objective of this study was to evaluate accuracy of serial blood urea nitrogen (BUN) versus serial hemoglobin (Hgb) measurement for prediction of in-hospital mortality in AP.

METHODS

We performed an observational cohort study on data from 69 US hospitals from January 2003 to December 2006. Repeated measures analysis was used to examine the relationship between early trends in BUN and Hgb with respect to mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was used to evaluate the impact of admission BUN, change in BUN, admission Hgb, and change in Hgb on mortality. Time-specific receiver operating characteristic curves and multivariable logistic regression compared accuracy of BUN, Hgb, and additional routine laboratory tests.

RESULTS

BUN levels were persistently higher among nonsurvivors than survivors during the first 48 hours of hospitalization (F-test; P < .0001). No such relationship existed for Hgb (F-test; P = .33). For every 5-mg/dl increase in BUN during the first 24 hours, the age- and gender-adjusted odds ratio for mortality increased by 2.2 (95% confidence limits, 1.8, 2.7). Of the 6 routine laboratory tests examined, BUN yielded the highest area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) for predicting mortality at admission (AUC = 0.79), 24 hours (AUC = 0.89), and 48 hours (AUC = 0.90). Combining admission BUN and change in BUN at 24 hours produced an AUC of 0.91 for mortality.

CONCLUSION

In a large, hospital-based cohort study, we identified serial BUN measurement as the most valuable single routine laboratory test for predicting mortality in AP.

Acute pancreatitis: etiology, clinical presentation, diagnosis, and therapy

Acute pancreatitis is a relatively common disease that affects about 300,000 patients per annum in America with a mortality of about 7%. About 75% of pancreatitis is caused by gallstones or alcohol. Other important causes include hypertriglyceridemia, medication toxicity, trauma from endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, hypercalcemia, abdominal trauma, various infections, autoimmune, ischemia, and hereditary causes. In about 15% of cases the cause remains unknown after thorough investigation. This article discusses the causes, diagnosis, imaging findings, therapy, and complications of acute pancreatitis.

[Tetany]

The hallmark of acute hypocalcemia (ionized calcium <0.75 mmol/l) is tetany, which is characterized by neuromuscular irritability. The symptoms may be mild with circumoral numbness, paresthesias of hands and feet, and muscular cramps or severe with laryngospasm, focal or generalized tonic muscle cramps, or seizures. Myocardial dysfunction and prolongation of QT interval also may occur. Most often, acute hypocalcemia occurs after thyroid or parathyroid surgery. Rarer cases are intravascular binding of ionized calcium by phosphate, citrate, or drugs such as foscarnet or bisphosphonates. The most appropriate treatment is intravenous calcium, in the form of 100-200 mg of elemental calcium. Thereafter, the therapy depends on the underlying disease. In most cases vitamin D has to be added to calcium substitution. In cases of hypomagnesemia, magnesium and not calcium has to be substituted. It has not yet been proven in clinical trials whether substitution of magnesium and/or calcium influences the clinical outcome in patients with severe sepsis or pancreatitis who show both hypomagnesemia and hypocalcemia.