Evaluation of prognostic values of inflammation-based makers in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

A Diagnostic Nomogram for Predicting Hypercapnic Respiratory Failure in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Purpose

To develop and validate a nomogram for assessing the risk of developing hypercapnic respiratory failure (HRF) in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD).

Patients and Methods

From January 2019 to August 2023, a total of 334 AECOPD patients were enrolled in this research. We employed the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate logistic regression to determine independent predictors and develop a nomogram. This nomogram was appraised by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test (HL test), decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC). The enhanced bootstrap method was used for internal validation.

Results

Sex, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), hematocrit (HCT), and activities of daily living (ADL) were independent predictors of HRF in AECOPD patients. The developed nomogram based on the above predictors showed good performance. The AUCs for the training, internal, and external validation cohorts were 0.841, 0.884, and 0.852, respectively. The calibration curves and HL test showed excellent concordance. The DCA and CIC showed excellent clinical usefulness. Finally, a dynamic nomogram was developed (https://a18895635453.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/).

Conclusion

This nomogram based on sex, PNI, HCT, and ADL demonstrated high accuracy and clinical value in predicting HRF. It is a less expensive and more accessible approach to assess the risk of developing HRF in AECOPD patients, which is more suitable for primary hospitals, especially in developing countries with high COPD-related morbidity and mortality.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in end-stage liver disease: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is commonly utilized as a prognostic indicator in end-stage liver disease (ESLD), encompassing conditions like liver failure and decompensated cirrhosis. Nevertheless, some studies have contested the prognostic value of NLR in ESLD.

AIM

To investigate the ability of NLR to predict ESLD.

METHODS

Databases, such as Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Weipu, and Wanfang, were comprehensively searched to identify studies published before October 2022 assessing the prognostic ability of NLR to predict mortality in patients with ESLD. Effect sizes were calculated using comprehensive meta-analysis software and SATAT 15.1.

RESULTS

A total of thirty studies involving patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) were included in the evaluation. Among the pooled results of eight studies, it was observed that the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (random-effects model: standardized mean difference = 1.02, 95% confidence interval = 0.67-1.37). Additionally, twenty-seven studies examined the associations between NLR and mortality in ESLD patients, reporting either hazard ratios (HR) or odds ratios (OR). The combined findings indicated a link between NLR and ESLD mortality (random-effects model; univariate HR = 1.07, 95%CI = 1.05-1.09; multivariate HR = 1.07, 95%CI = 1.07-1.09; univariate OR = 1.29, 95%CI = 1.18-1.39; multivariate OR = 1.29, 95%CI = 1.09-1.49). Furthermore, subgroup and meta-regression analyses revealed regional variations in the impact of NLR on ESLD mortality, with Asian studies demonstrating a more pronounced effect.

CONCLUSION

Increased NLR in patients with ESLD is associated with a higher risk of mortality, particularly in Asian patients. NLR is a useful prognostic biomarker in patients with ESLD.

Predictive effect of systemic immune inflammatory index combined with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio on prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

OBJECTIVE

To explore the predictive effect of systemic immune inflammatory index (SII) combined with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of 160 patients diagnosed with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-ACLF in Hunan Provincial People's Hospital from June 2022 to June 2023. The patients were divided into a survival group and a death group based on their survival status within 90 days after admission. General data, laboratory indicators, and complications were recorded. The risk factors affecting prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients and the correlation between NLR, SII, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were analyzed, and the predictive effect of NLR and SII on prognosis was evaluated.

RESULTS

Compared to the survival group, the age, MELD score, and incidence of infection of the death group were higher, and the expression levels of total bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, serum creatinine, white blood count, neutrophil, NLR, SII, and international normalized ratio were increased, while the expression levels of alanine aminotransferase, platelets and lymphocytes were decreased (all P<0.05). NLR, SII and MELD score were all risk factors affecting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients (all P<0.001). There was a positive correlation between NLR, SII and MELD score (P<0.001). SII combined with NLR showed good performance in predicting the prognosis within 90 days after admission in ACLF patients.

CONCLUSION

SII combined with NLR has a good prognostic effect on ACLF patients.

Mean platelet volume and mortality in patients with alcohol use disorder

Several recent studies have pointed out the relationship of platelet size with increased mortality or adverse clinical course. Most studies show that increased mean platelet volume (MPV) may be associated with a deleterious outcome in different settings such as sepsis or neoplasia, whereas other researchers have found the opposite. In inflammatory conditions there is an altered secretion of several cytokines, some of them exerting a marked influence on platelet biogenesis and/or on platelet activation and aggregation. Alcohol use disorder is a chronic situation characterized by a protracted low-grade inflammation. In this study we analyze the relationship between proinflammatory cytokines and MPV and their relationships with mortality in patients with alcohol abuse. We determined serum levels of tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, interleukin (IL)-6 and IL-8 and routine laboratory variables among 184 patients with alcohol use disorder admitted to our hospital and followed-up for a median of 42 months. We found that MPV was inversely related to TNF-α (ρ=-0.34), and directly to IL-8 (ρ=0.32, p<0.001 in both cases) and to IL-6 (ρ=0.15; p = 0.046). Reduced MPV was related both with short-term (<6 months) and long-term mortality. Conclusion: These results suggest that inflammatory cytokines are strongly related to MPV. A low MPV is associated with a poor prognosis among patients with alcohol use disorder.

The value of NLR versus MLR in the short-term prognostic assessment of HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammation is associated with the development and progression of hepatitis B-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF). The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reported to be a prognostic biomarker in patients with HBV-ACLF. However, the role of the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) as a prognostic inflammatory biomarker in multiple diseases is rarely mentioned in HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

We included a total of 347 patients with HBV-ACLF who met the definition of the Chinese Guidelines for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Liver Failure (2018 edition). Among them, 275 cases were included retrospectively, and 72 cases were collected prospectively. Clinical characteristics and laboratory examination data were collected from medical records within 24 h after diagnosis to calculate MLR and NLR levels, and lymphocyte subpopulation counts were collected in prospectively included patients.

RESULTS

Of the 347 patients with HBV-ACLF, 128 patients in the non-surviving group had a mean age of 48.87 ± 12.89 years; 219 patients in the survival group had a mean age of 44.80 ± 11.80 years and a combined 90-day mortality rate of 36.9%. The median MLR was higher in the non-survivors than in the survivors (0.690 vs 0.497, P < 0.001). MLR values were significantly associated with 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF (OR 6.738; 95% CI 3.188-14.240, P < 0.001). The AUC for the predictive power of the combined MLR and NLR analysis for HBV-ACLF was 0.694, and the calculated MLR threshold was 4.495. In addition, in the analysis of peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets in HBV-ACLF, a significant decrease in the number of circulating lymphocytes was found in HBV-ACLF patients in the non-surviving group (P < 0.001), with a predominant decrease in the number of CD8 + T cells and no significant difference in the number of CD4 + T cells, B cells or NK cells.

CONCLUSION

Increased MLR values are associated with 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF, and the MLR may serve as a potential prognostic indicator for patients with HBV-ACLF. Decreased CD8 + T-cell counts may be associated with poor survival in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Trends of Chronic Liver Disease in a Tertiary Care Centre in the Eastern Part of India: A Retrospective Study

AIM OF THE STUDY

To assess the relationship between the severity of liver cirrhosis and its outcomes based on laboratory parameters, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, and upper gastrointestinal (UGI) endoscopy findings.

BACKGROUND

 Cirrhosis is the end stage of chronic liver disease (CLD) and is characterised by progressive liver fibrosis and distortion of the liver architecture. It is a major cause of morbidity and mortality all over the world. Cirrhosis is compensated in the initial stages and later progresses to the decompensated stage with various complications. The CTP scoring system predicts mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study was done in the Department of Medicine and Gastroenterology of Tata Main Hospital (TMH), Jamshedpur, Jharkhand, India. It was conducted over a period of two years between 1 January 2019 and 31 December 2020, on 150 confirmed cases of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

The most common age group was 41-60 years (86, 57.33%) and the mean age ± standard deviation (SD) for all patients was 49.82 ± 11.63 years. In a total of 150 CLD cases, males were 96 (64%). The most common cause of CLD was alcohol (76, 50.67%). Based on presenting symptoms, most CLD patients presented with generalized weakness (144, 96.00%). The most common signs were icterus (68, 45.33%) and ascites (44, 29.33%). Most patients belonged to CTP class A (77, 51.33%), followed by CTP class B (44, 29.33%) and class C (29, 19.34%). The most common UGI endoscopy finding was portal hypertensive gastropathy (mild or severe) (135, 75%). Total deaths were 24 (16.00%), with 17 deaths (70.83%) in patients belonging to CTP class C.

CONCLUSION

CLD is a common entity in eastern India with male preponderance and affects mostly people of the middle age group. Alcohol intake is a major cause of CLD, followed by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and chronic hepatitis B and C. A significant rise in morbidity and mortality due to alcoholic liver disease (ALD) was observed in the study and needs urgent social and medical intervention. The incidence of ALD in our study was 50.67%.

The Role of Red Cell Distribution Width as a Prognostic Marker in Chronic Liver Disease: A Literature Review

Liver disease is one of the leading public health problems faced by healthcare practitioners regularly. As such, there has been a search for an inexpensive, readily available, non-invasive marker to aid in monitoring and prognosticating hepatic disorders. Recently, red blood cell distribution width (RDW) has been found to be associated with various inflammatory conditions with implications for its use as a potential marker for assessing disease progression and prognosis in multiple conditions. Multiple factors effect red blood cell production whereby a dysfunction in any process can lead to anisocytosis. Furthermore, a chronic inflammatory state leads to increased oxidative stress and produces inflammatory cytokines causing dysregulation and increased intracellular uptake and use of both iron and vitamin B12, which leads to a reduction in erythropoiesis causing an increase in RDW. This literature review reviews in-depth pathophysiology that may lead to an increase in RDW and its potential correlation with chronic liver diseases, including hepatitis B, hepatitis C, hepatitis E, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma. In our review, we examine the use of RDW as a prognostic and predictive marker for hepatic injury and chronic liver disease.

The Inhibition of Bruton Tyrosine Kinase Alleviates Acute Liver Failure via Downregulation of NLRP3 Inflammasome

There is no effective treatment for acute liver failure (ALF) except for an artificial liver support system (ALSS) and liver transplant. Bruton tyrosine kinase (Btk) plays important immunoregulatory roles in the inflammatory diseases, but its possible function in ALF remains to be characterized. In this study, we detected the phosphorylation level of Btk in ALF mouse liver and analyzed the protective effects of Btk inhibitor on survival rate and liver damage in ALF mouse models. We measured the expression levels of various inflammatory cytokines in the ALF mouse liver and primary human monocytes. In addition, we examined the expression of the NLRP3 inflammasome in mouse models with or without Btk inhibition. Clinically, we observed the dynamic changes of Btk expression in PBMCs of ALSS-treated patients. Our results showed that Btk was upregulated significantly in the experimental ALF mouse models and that Btk inhibition alleviated liver injury and reduced the mortality in these models. The protective effect of Btk inhibitors on ALF mice partially depended on the suppression of NLRP3 inflammasome signaling. Clinical investigations revealed that the dynamic changes of Btk expression in PBMCs could predict the effect of ALSS treatment. Our work shows that Btk inhibition is an effective therapeutic strategy for ALF. Moreover, Btk is a useful indicator to predict the therapeutic effect of ALSS on liver failure, which might have great value in clinical practice.

The impact of hepatotoxic drugs on the outcome of patients with acute deterioration of hepatitis B virus-related chronic disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Hepatotoxic drugs can worsen outcomes in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), whereas this negative effect in acute deterioration of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related CLD (HBV-CLD) is rarely reported. We aimed to assess the impact of hepatotoxic drugs on the outcome of patients with acute deterioration of HBV-CLD.

METHODS

This retrospective study included consecutive patients admitted to three medical centers in eastern China from 2015 to 2020 for HBV-related severe liver injury (HBV-SLI) or acute decompensation of cirrhosis (HBV-AD). The prevalence of hepatotoxic drugs and their impact on organ failure, the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), and 90-day survival were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 335 patients with HBV flare (median age, 44 years; 85.7% male; 38.2% HBV-SLI and 61.8% HBV-AD) were included. Of them, 72 (21.5%) received hepatotoxic drugs, with herbs (44.4%) being the most common form. Patients in the drugs group had a significantly higher prevalence of all types of organ failure except respiratory failure. The multivariate logistic model showed that hepatotoxic drugs raised the risk of developing ACLF by 7.66-fold. ACLF occurrence was the strongest risk factor for 90-day mortality with a hazard ratio of 5.54 in the Cox regression analysis. In contrast, the hepatitis B envelope antigen status and HBV DNA levels had weak associations with the development of organ failure and ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatotoxic drugs are closely associated with the development of organ failure and ACLF, and contribute to reduced 90-day survival rates among patients with acute deterioration of HBV-CLD.

Evaluation of prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure or severe liver injury from chronic HBV infection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with bacterial infection and poor outcome. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to assess bacterial infection and immune dysfunction in numerous diseases. We aimed to evaluate NLR as a prognostic biomarker and to explore its combination with accepted prognostic models in ACLF patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with ACLF or severe liver injury from chronic HBV infection admitted to three tertiary academic hospitals in China from 2013 to 2019. Baseline NLR was correlated with ACLF grade, bacterial infection, survival and accepted ACLF scores.

RESULTS

Baseline NLR values were significantly increased in nonsurvivors and patients with bacterial infection at or after admission and were unaffected by cirrhotic status in 412 transplant-free patients included in three cohorts. Compared with accepted scores, NLR showed moderate accuracy in predicting 28-day mortality and high accuracy in predicting 90-day mortality. Three levels of mortality risk were graded on the basis of NLR values (<3.10, 3.10-4.79 and >4.79), and NLR >4.79 was associated with 53.2-60.0% 28-day and 75.0-80.0% 90-day mortality in these cohorts. Multivariate analyses indicated that NLR retained statistical significance independently of CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs). NLR-based CLIF-C ACLF score was primarily developed and showed excellent performance in predicting 28/90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR is a dependable biomarker for bacterial infection assessment and short-term mortality prediction in ACLF patients and can be used jointly with CLIF-C OFs to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction in patients with the disease. NLR-based CLIF-C ACLF model needs further validation.

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor is associated with short-term mortality and enhanced reactive oxygen species production in acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a comprehensive syndrome characterized by an acute deterioration of liver function and high short-term mortality rates in patients with chronic liver disease. Whether plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is a suitable biomarker for the prognosis of patients with ACLF remains unknown.

METHOD

A prospective cohort of 282 patients with ACLF from three hospitals in China was included. 88.4% of the group was hepatitis B virus-related ACLF (HBV-related ACLF). Cox regression was used to assess the impact of plasma suPAR and other factors on 30- and 90-day mortality. Reactive oxygen species (ROS) production were detected to explore the role of suPAR in regulating neutrophil function in HBV-related ACLF.

RESULT

There was no difference in plasma suPAR levels between HBV-related and non-HBV-related ACLF. Patients with clinical complications had higher suPAR levels than those without these complications. A significant correlation was also found between suPAR and prognostic scores, infection indicators and inflammatory cytokines. Cox's regression multivariate analysis identified suPAR ≥ 14.7 ng/mL as a predictor for both day 30 and 90 mortality (Area under the ROC curve: 0.751 and 0.742 respectively), independent of the MELD and SOFA scores in patients with ACLF. Moreover, we firstly discovered suPAR enhanced neutrophil ROS production under E.coli stimulation in patients with HBV-related ACLF.

CONCLUSIONS

suPAR was a useful independent biomarker of short-term outcomes in patients with ACLF and might play a key role in the pathogenesis. Trial registration CNT, NCT02965560.

Red blood cell distribution width as a prognostic biomarker for viral infections: prospects and challenges

Viral diseases remain a significant global health threat, and therefore prioritization of limited healthcare resources is required to effectively manage dangerous viral disease outbreaks. In a pandemic of a newly emerged virus that is yet to be well understood, a noninvasive host-derived prognostic biomarker is invaluable for risk prediction. Red blood cell distribution width (RDW), an index of red blood cell size disorder (anisocytosis), is a potential predictive biomarker for severity of many diseases. In view of the need to prioritize resources during response to outbreaks, this review highlights the prospects and challenges of RDW as a prognostic biomarker for viral infections, with a focus on hepatitis and COVID-19, and provides an outlook to improve the prognostic performance of RDW for risk prediction in viral diseases.

Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Marker of High Meld Patients Is Associated With Early Mortality After Liver Transplantation

The scarcity of deceased donor livers has led to allocation of grafts to only the most seriously ill patients with a high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, which has resulted in a high mortality rate after deceased donor liver transplantation (DDLT). The aim of this study is to identify risk factors for posttransplant mortality and thereby reduce futile outcomes in DDLT. Between 2013 and 2019, 57 recipients with MELD scores ≥30 underwent DDLT in our center. We retrieved data and identified the risk factors for 90-day posttransplant mortality. The perioperative clinical and laboratory parameters of patients who did or did not survive for 90 days were subjected to logistic regression analysis. Twelve patients died within 90 days. Results of univariate analysis indicated that the differences in patient survival were determined by the amount of intraoperative platelets transfused, the presence of posttransplant septicemia, and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) at the time of listing with MELD scores ≥30. Multivariate analysis revealed that an SII ≥870 (× 10⁹/L) and posttransplant septicemia were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality. Twenty-two patients had SIIs ≥870, and 13 of these patients had posttransplant septicemia. Of the 13 patients, 90-day mortality occurred in 10 cases. However, in 35 patients with SIIs <870, 90-day mortality due to posttransplant septicemia was recorded only in 1 patient. In conclusion, a preoperative SII ≥870 in a patient with a high MELD score may be a significant risk factor for early posttransplant mortality. Because posttransplant septicemia in patients with high SIIs can lead to fatality, a more intensive effort to prevent infection is needed for patients undergoing DDLT carrying such risk factors to avoid futile liver transplantation.

A neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio-based prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background

Although the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) research consortium (AARC) ACLF score is easy to use in patients with hepatitis b virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF), serum lactate is not routinely tested in primary hospitals, and its value may be affected by some interference factors. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to assess the status of bacterial infection (BI) or outcomes in patients with various diseases. We developed an NLR-based AARC ACLF score and compared it with the existing model.

Methods

A total of 494 HBV-ACLF patients, enrolled in four tertiary academic hospitals in China with 90-day follow-up, were analysed. Prognostic performance of baseline NLR and lactate were compared between cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic subgroups via the receiver operating curve and Kaplan–Meier analyses. A modified AARC ACLF (mAARC ACLF) score using NLR as a replacement for lactate was developed (n = 290) and validated (n = 204).

Results

There were significantly higher baseline values of NLR in non-survivors, patients with admission BI, and those with higher grades of ACLF compared with the control groups. Compared with lactate, NLR better reflected BI status in the cirrhotic subgroup, and was more significantly correlated with CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, and the AARC score. NLR was an independent predictor of 90-day mortality, and was categorized into three risk grades (< 3.10, 3.10–4.78, and > 4.78) with 90-day cumulative mortalities of 8%, 21.2%, and 77.5% in the derivation cohort, respectively. The mAARC ACLF score, using the three grades of NLR instead of corresponding levels of lactate, was superior to the other four scores in predicting 90-day mortality in the derivation (AUROC 0.906, 95% CI 0.872–0.940, average P < 0.001) and validation cohorts (AUROC 0.913, 95% CI 0.876–0.950, average P < 0.01), with a considerable performance in predicting 28-day mortality in the two cohorts.

Conclusions

The prognostic value of NLR is superior to that of lactate in predicting short-term mortality risk in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients with HBV-ACLF. NLR can be incorporated into the AARC ACLF scoring system for improving its prognostic accuracy and facilitating the management guidance in patients with HBV-ACLF in primary hospitals.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-021-02007-w.

Peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in inflammatory bowel disease and disease activity: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a valuable predictor of clinical disease activity in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the clinical significance of peripheral blood NLR in IBD patients.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted by searching PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Chinese databases from inception to May 10, 2021. We used the standard mean difference (SMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) to estimate the pooled effect and subgroup analysis to investigate heterogeneity.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies including 2185 IBD patients and 993 healthy controls (HCs) were enrolled in this study. The peripheral blood NLR values were significantly higher in 1,092 IBD patients than in 933 HCs (SMD = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.05-2.02, P < 0.001) and in 1,269 patients with active IBD than in 1,056 patients with remissive IBD (SMD = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.06-2.05, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis of the major subtypes of IBD revealed significantly elevated peripheral blood NLR values in patients with active ulcerative colitis (UC) compared to HCs (SMD = 2.04), remissive UC than HCs (SMD = 0.63), and active UC than in those with remissive UC (SMD = 1.32) (P < 0.05). Both Crohn's disease (CD) patients and active CD patients had significantly elevated peripheral blood NLR values than HCs with the SMD of 0.52 and 3.53 (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Peripheral blood NLR could serve as a valuable biomarker for predicting disease severity in IBD patients.

Venous thromboembolism and COVID-19: a single center experience from an academic tertiary referral hospital of Northern Italy

Preliminary evidence supports the notion that COVID-19 patients may have an increased susceptibility to develop venous thromboembolism (VTE). However, the magnitude of this association still needs to be defined. Furthermore, clinical predictors of thrombogenesis, and the relationship with the inflammatory status are currently unknown. On this basis, we conducted a retrospective, observational study on 259 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to an academic tertiary referral hospital in Northern Italy between March 19th and April 6th, 2020. Records of COVID-19 patients with a definite VTE event were reviewed for demographic information, co-morbidities, risk factors for VTE, laboratory tests, and anticoagulation treatment. Twenty-five cases among 259 COVID-19 patients developed VTE (9.6%), all of them having a Padua score > 4, although being under standard anticoagulation prophylaxis since hospital admission. In the VTE subcohort, we found a significant positive correlation between platelet count (PLT) and either C reactive protein (CRP) (p < 0.0001) or lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (p = 0.0013), while a significant inverse correlation was observed between PLT and mean platelet volume (p < 0.0001). Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio significantly correlated with CRP (p < 0.0001). The majority of VTE patients was male and younger compared to non-VTE patients (p = 0.002 and p = 0.005, respectively). No significant difference was found in D-dimer levels between VTE and non VTE patients, while significantly higher levels of LDH (p = 0.04) and IL-6 (p = 0.04) were observed in VTE patients in comparison to non-VTE patients. In conclusion, our findings showed a quite high prevalence of VTE in COVID-19 patients. Raised inflammatory indexes and increased serum levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines should raise the clinical suspicion of VTE.

Characteristics of Peripheral Lymphocyte Subsets in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure Associated With Hepatitis B

Background and Aims: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a rare, but dramatic clinical syndrome. There is substantial evidence suggesting that immunity-mediated inflammation plays an important role in HBV-ACLF. Our aim was to characterize the proportion and cell counts of peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients caused by HBV infection.

Methods: One hundred and seventeen patients were enrolled in this study, including those with HBV-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF; n = 70), and HBV related non-ACLF patients (HBV non-ACLF; n = 47). Demographics, clinical and laboratory data at hospital admission were retrospectively analyzed. The percentage and cell count of peripheral lymphocyte subsets were evaluated by flow cytometry. Comparison analysis was performed by t-test or non-parametric Mann–Whitney U-test. Actuarial probabilities of death were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

Results: Both circulating lymphocyte count and lymphocyte percentage were significantly reduced in patients with HBV-ACLF (P < 0.001). The CD8⁺ T cell, CD4⁺ T cell, and CD16⁺CD56⁺ NK cell counts were significantly decreased in HBV-ACLF. Consistently, flow cytometric analysis showed that CD8⁺ T cell counts were significantly decreased in non-survivors, while no significant differences were found in CD4⁺ T cell, CD19⁺ B cell, or CD56⁺CD16⁺ NK cell counts. Furthermore, the group with the lower CD8⁺ T cell count displayed a significantly higher mortality rate compared with the group with the higher CD8⁺ T cell count.

Conclusions: The abnormal prevalence of lymphocyte subsets may be important in the pathogenesis of HBV-ACLF. The decrease in CD8⁺ T cell counts may be related to poor survival in HBV-ACLF patients.

Predictive Value of Inflammation Biomarkers in Patients with Portal Vein Thrombosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To investigate the usefulness of inflammation biomarkers to serve as a predictors of portal vein thrombosis (PVT) postoperatively (post) in patients with portal hypertension after splenectomy and periesophagogastric devascularization.

METHODS

A total of 177 liver cirrhosis patients were recruited from January 2013 to December 2017. They were divided into a PVT group (n=71) and a non-PVT group (n=106), according to ultrasound examination findings at 7-day post. Inflammation biomarkers involving platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), red blood cell distribution width-to-platelet ratio(RPR), mean platelet volume-to-platelet ratio (MPR) preoperatively (pre) and at 1, 3, 7-days post were recorded.

RESULTS

The univariate logistic regression analysis indicated that PLR (pre) (odds ratio (OR)=3.963, 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.070-7.587, p<0.000), MLR (pre) (OR=2.760, 95% CI=1.386-5.497, p=0.004), PLR (post-day 7) (OR=3.345, 95% CI=1.767-6.332, p=0.000) were significantly associated with the presence of PVT. The multivariate logistic regression analysis results indicated that PLR (pre) (OR=3.037, 95% CI=1.463-6.305, p=0.003), MLR (pre) (OR=2.188, 95% CI=1.003-4.772, p=0.049), PLR(post-day 7) (OR=2.166, 95% CI=1.053-4.454, p=0.036) were independent factors for predicting PVT.

CONCLUSIONS

The PLR (pre), MLR (pre), and PLR (post-day 7) are predictors of portal vein thrombosis post in patients with portal hypertension after splenectomy and periesophagogastric devascularization.

Evaluation of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with keratoconus

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the monocyte-to-HDL-cholesterol ratio (MHR), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), eosinophil-to-lymphocytes ratio (ELR), platelet distribution width (PDW), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), mean platelet volume (MPV), MPV to platelet count ratio (MPV/PC), and RDW to platelet ratio (RPR) that are accepted as inflammatory markers in patients with keratoconus.

METHODS

In this study, 43 patients with keratoconus and 43 healthy individuals as the control group were retrospectively evaluated. High density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), lymphocyte, neutrophil, eosinophil, monocyte, platelet, MPV, PDW, and RDW values were obtained with complete blood count performed on the peripheral blood samples.

RESULTS

Absolute monocyte (593 ± 182 vs 492 ± 177; p < 0.05) and neutrophil (4860 ± 1553 vs 3954 ± 1297; p < 0.01) counts were statistically significantly higher in the keratoconus groups compared to the control group. MHR (13.18 ± 5.02 vs 9.88 ± 4.45; p < 0.01) and NLR (2.30 ± 0.87 vs 1.77 ± 0.61; p < 0.01) were statistically significantly higher and LMR (4.07 ± 1.67 vs 5.18 ± 2.06; p < 0.01) was significantly lower in the keratoconus group. As a result of univariate logistic regression analysis, it was observed that MHR and NLR were statistically significant relationship with keratoconus (p = 0.02 and p = 0.021) (Odds ratio = 5.41 (95% CI: 1.169-6.669) and Odds ratio:5.28 (95% CI: 1.024-6.321); respectively). No statistically significant difference was found between the groups in terms of PLR, ELR, RDW, MPV, PDW, MPV/PC, and RPR. Adjusting for age and gender, multivariate regression analysis revealed that MHR was the most significant parameter to demonstrate relationship with keratoconus (p = 0.025) (Odds ratio = 4.99 (95% CI: 1.019-6.332)).

CONCLUSION

MHR and NLR values considered as inflammatory markers were statistically significantly higher and LMR value was significantly lower in the keratoconus group. Among these values, MHR was the most reliable parameter.

The dynamic of platelet count as a novel and valuable predictor for 90-day survival of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is extremely poor due to multiple organ dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic risk factors and create a 90-day prognostic predictive model for the patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected to study the prognostic risk factors. Univariate and multivariate analysis and stepwise Logistic regression were performed to develop the predictive model. External validation was performed to verify the model.

RESULTS

A total of 333 HBV-ACLF patients and 86 HBV-non-ACLF patients were included in this study. Age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin (TBIL), platelet (PLT), and international normalized ratio (INR) were found to be independent risk factors for poor outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients. The formula identified for the linear predictor (LP) of the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients is thus: LP_ACLF=-5.04-0.056×age-0.002×AFP-0.010×PLT+0.002×TBIL+0.877×INR. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.7835 (95% CI 0.7248-0.8423).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model with good calibration and discrimination for 90-day survival of HBV-ACLF patients, including 5 variables, namely age, AFP, PLT, TBIL, and INR was established. Platelet count was a sensitive and dynamic variable for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.

Do initial hematologic indices predict the severity of COVID-19 patients?

Background/aim

In this study, we aimed to evaluate the initial hematological findings analyzed on admission in confirmed COVID-19 patients who were transferred to the intensive care unit (ICU), to predict possible hematological indices.

Materials and methods

Initial neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), red cell distribution width to platelet ratio (RPR), mean platelet volume to platelet ratio, and lymphocyte multiplied by platelet count (LYM × PLT), of 695 patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were investigated and comparisons were made between the mild/moderate and severe groups.

Results

The proportion of COVID-19 cases admitted to the ICU was 3.9%. The median age of patients admitted to the ICU was significantly higher than those who were not; [68.5 (interquartile range (IQR); 21.5] years vs. 41.0 (IQR; 15.7) years; P < 0.001.Severe cases had higher NLR (6.6 vs. 2.4; P < 0.001), and MLR (0.40 vs. 0.28; P = 0.004) and lower PLR (180.0 vs. 129.0; P < 0.001) compared to that of mild or moderate patients. Among all of the parameters, the ROC curve of NLR gave us the best ability to distinguish serious patients at an early stage (AUC = 0. 819, 95% confidence interval 0.729–0.910; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

These data showed that age, initial NLR, PLR, and LYM × PLT were associated with the severity of COVID-19 disease and patients’ need for the ICU. Therefore, initial hemogram parameters may be essential to predict the prognosis of COVID-19 patients.

Plateletcrit and Mean Platelet Volume in the Evaluation of Alcoholic Liver Cirrhosis and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Patients

Platelet (PLT) indices have been proposed as potential markers in the assessment of liver fibrosis and exacerbation of liver failure. The aim of our study was to verify mean platelet volume (MPV), platelet distribution width (PDW), and plateletcrit (PCT) in alcohol-related liver cirrhosis (ALC) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients. One hundred forty-two patients with ALC, 92 with NAFLD, and 68 in control group were enrolled in this study. Hematological indices (MPV, PCT, and PDW) and serological (indirect and direct) markers of liver fibrosis (AAR, APRI, FIB-4, GPR, PICP, PIIINP, TGF-α, PDGF-AB, laminin) were measured in each participant. MELD score in ALC patients and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) together with BARD score in the NAFLD group were also obtained. Results were compared between research and control groups. Then, a correlation between evaluated indices was performed in study groups. Receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs) and area under the curve (AUC) values were applied to assess the diagnostic accuracy of measured indices. Significant increase in PDW and decrease in PCT in comparison to controls were noted in examined ALC (60.4% vs. 51.2% and 0.1% vs. 0.21%, respectively, p < 0.0001) and NAFLD (54.75% vs. 51.2% and 0.19 vs. 0.21%, respectively, p < 0.01) patients. Decreased level of MPV was observed in NAFLD group (7.85 fl vs. 8.90 fl, p < 0.0001). Additionally, PCT correlated with NFS (p < 0.0001). Evaluated PLT indices correlated with MELD score (MPV and PDW, p < 0.001; PCT, p < 0.05). They correlated with indirect and direct markers of liver fibrosis in the whole research group, too. PCT was the parameter with the greatest diagnostic accuracy in ALC patients (AUC = 0,839 for cutoff < 0.17%); in NAFLD group, it was MPV (AUC = 0,808 for cutoff < 7.9 fl). PCT in ALC and MPV in NAFLD can be perceived as potential diagnostic markers.

Meta-analysis of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratios in Henoch-Schonlein purpura and its complications

OBJECTIVE

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) are associated with the severity of Henoch-Schonlein purpura (HSP). Therefore, we conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the clinical significance of NLR and PLR in HSP and its complications.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted by searching the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, VIP, and SinoMed databases from their inception to September 31, 2020. We used the standard mean difference (SMD) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) to estimate the pooled effect and used subgroup analysis to investigate heterogeneity.

RESULTS

A total of 1,691 HSP patients and 563 healthy controls (HCs) from 15 studies were included in the analysis. The NLR value was significantly higher in 431 HSP patients with gastrointestinal complications (HSP-GCs) than that in 833 HSP patients without GCs (SMD = 1.09, 95% CI: 0.62-1.57, P < 0.001); in 83 HSP adult patients with renal involvement (HSP-RI) than that in 131 adult HSP patients without RI (SMD = 0.33, 95% CI: 0.05-0.60, P = 0.021); and in 831 HSP patients than that in 563 HCs (SMD = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.51-0.89, P < 0.001). The PLR was significantly higher in 417 HSP patients than that in 264 HCs (SMD = 0.39, 95% CI: 0.06-0.71, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

NLR could serve as a useful biomarker to predict GCs and RI in patients with HSP. However, further well-designed and large cohort studies are warranted to confirm these findings.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Patients with cirrhosis hospitalized in the intensive care unit (ICU) have a high risk for acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and short-term mortality. A major factor in the pathogenesis of ACLF is systemic inflammation, the assessment of which includes the use of surrogate markers, such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). This study aimed to assess the accuracy of NLR in predicting the outcome of patients with cirrhosis and ACLF hospitalized in the ICU.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study on patients with cirrhosis with acute decompensation hospitalized in the ICU of a Romanian tertiary care center. ACLF was defined according to the CANONIC criteria, and NLR was calculated by dividing the absolute neutrophil count by the absolute lymphocyte count.

RESULTS

A total of 70 patients were included, of whom 70% were men with a mean age of 62±6.2 years. ACLF was diagnosed in 58 (82.9%) patients who presented with higher in-hospital mortality rates than patients without ACLF (84.5% vs. 33.3%, p=0.001). The mean NLR value was 11.7±9.5, higher in non-survivors than in survivors (12.6±9.8 vs. 8.6±7.8, p=0.170). NLR had a poor accuracy in predicting the outcome in patients without ACLF (area under the curve [AUC]=0.611) but a better accuracy in patients with ACLF (AUC=0.776). Patients with cirrhosis and a high NLR had higher levels of bilirubin; higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh score; and higher incidence of ascites, coagulation, and circulatory failure, presenting a poor outcome. Receiver operating characteristic analysis showed a good accuracy for predicting mortality for the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (AUC= 0.864) and NLR (AUC=0.732).

CONCLUSION

NLR is a promising and cost-effective method for the prediction of a poor outcome in critically ill patients with cirrhosis hospitalized in the ICU and shows greater accuracy in those with ACLF.

A novel predictive model based on inflammatory markers to assess the prognosis of patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Systemic inflammatory response is closely related to the development and prognosis of liver failure. This study aimed to establish a new model combing the inflammatory markers including neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) with several hematological testing indicators to assess the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).

Methods

A derivation cohort with 421 patients and a validation cohort with 156 patients were recruited from three hospitals. Retrospectively collecting their clinical data and laboratory testing indicators. Medcalc-15.10 software was employed for data analyses.

Results

Multivariate analysis indicated that RDW, NLR, INR, TBIL and Cr were risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. The risk assessment model is COX_RNTIC = 0.053 × RDW + 0.027 × NLR + 0.003 × TBIL+ 0.317 × INR + 0.003 × Cr (RNTIC) with a cut-off value of 3.08 (sensitivity: 77.89%, specificity: 86.04%). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) of the RNTIC was 0.873 [95% CI(0.837–0.903)], better than the predictive value of MELD score [0.732, 95% CI(0.687–0.774)], MELD-Na [0.714, 95% CI(0.668–0.757)], CTP[0.703, 95% CI(0.657–0.747)]. In the validation cohort, RNTIC also performed a better prediction value than MELD score, MELD-Na and CTP with the AUC of [0.845, 95% CI(0.778–0.898)], [0.768, 95% CI (0.694–0.832)], [0.759, 95% CI(0.684–0.824)] and [0.718, 95% CI(0.641–0.787)] respectively.

Conclusions

The inflammatory markers RDW and NLR could be used as independent predictors of 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. Compared with MELD score, MELD-Na and CTP, RNTIC had a more powerful predictive value for prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF.

Corticosteroid improves liver function but does not curb the clinical progression of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic pre-liver failure

Background: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic pre liver failure (HBV pre-ACLF) has the potential for progression to HBV ACLF. Whether corticosteroid is useful for HBV pre-ACLF remains heterogeneous. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of short-term (5 days) and low-dose dexamethasone (5mg/d) toward HBV pre-ACLF.Design and methods: One hundred twenty-one patients with HBV pre-ACLF were randomly divided into two groups: medical comprehensive treatment (MCT) group and corticosteroid treatment (CT) group. Laboratory measurements at admission and 7 days post-admission were compared between the two groups, respectively. Hospitalization periods and clinical progression were also monitored and compared between the two groups.Results: Higher than normal levels of ALT, AST, TBIL, DBIL, TBA and GLO were observed at 7 days after admission in patients in the MCT group than in CT group (p < 0.001).Patients in the CT group had shorter inpatient days than the MCT group (p = 0.002).During hospitalization and treatment, the incidence of HBV ACLF was not substantially different between the two groups (14.8% vs. 8.3%, p = 0.271).Conclusions: Corticosteroid is effective at improving the liver function and decreasing hospitalization periods of patients with HBV pre-ACLF but does not prevent HBV pre-ACLF from progressing to HBVACLF.

Haematologic indices in hepatitis B virus-related liver disease

Several markers and prognostic scores have been identified for predicting the development and progression of liver disease; among them, haematological parameters (the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), red cell distribution width (RDW), RDW to platelet ratio (RPR), mean platelet volume (MPV), and mean corpuscular volume (MCV)) have recently gained significant interest. Compared with traditional prognostic factors, haematological indices are easy to obtain and relatively inexpensive. There is growing evidence that these haematological indices play a key role in HBV-related liver diseases and has been proposed as a predictive marker of adverse outcomes in these patients. This article focuses on discussing the diagnostic and prognostic value of the haematological indices in patients with HBV-related liver diseases.

Characteristics, Risk Factors, and Adverse Outcomes of Hyperkalemia in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Patients

Background

Hyperkalemia is a serious complication in cirrhotic patients. However, the clinical characteristics, risk factors, and its impact on the outcomes in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients remain unclear.

Methods

We retrospectively recruited 650 ACLF patients in this study. The risk factors associated with hyperkalemia and its relationship with 90-day mortality were analyzed using multivariable regression models.

Results

Among 650 patients with ACLF, 12.2% (79/650) had hyperkalemia during hospitalization. Higher admission serum potassium levels and the presence of acute kidney injury (AKI) were independent risk factors for hyperkalemia. The prevalence rates of hyperkalemia in patients with and without AKI were 23.6% and 4.6%, respectively (P<0.001). Hyperkalemia was a predictor of mortality in AKI and non-AKI patients. The 90-day mortality rates in non-AKI patients with and without hyperkalemia were 44.4% and 24.7%, respectively (P<0.001), and in AKI patients with and without hyperkalemia were 80.3% and 56.6%, respectively (P<0.001). Hepatic encephalopathy (HE), gastrointestinal bleeding, AKI, hyperkalemia, elevated total bilirubin (TBIL) and international normalized ratio (INR) values, and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) scores were independent risk factors for predicting the 90-day mortality in ACLF patients.

Conclusions

Hyperkalemia increases the 90-day mortality in ACLF patients; hyperkalemia is associated with AKI. Patients with both AKI and hyperkalemia had the worst outcome.