Mortality after surgery in patients with liver cirrhosis: comparison of Child-Turcotte-Pugh, MELD and MELDNa score

Risk factors for postoperative morbidity after ventral hernia repair in patients with liver cirrhosis. A single tertiary center cohort

<b>Introduction:</b> Ventral hernias are common among patients with liver cirrhosis.<b>Aim:</b> The aim of our work was to evaluate potential risk factors for major postoperative morbidity after ventral hernia repair in cirrhotic patients.<b>Material and methods:</b> A retrospective cohort study was performed in 45 consecutive cirrhotic patients that underwent ventral hernia repair between 2005 and 2022. Major morbidity was defined as Clavien-Dindo ≥ IIIa at 30 days postoperatively. Uni- and multivariate analysis was performed to identify risk factors for major postoperative complications.<b>Results:</b> In our cohort, we observed an overall postoperative 30-day morbidity rate of 53.33% (n = 24), with 40% (n = 18) of cases classified as Clavien-Dindo IIIa or above. Elevated serum creatinine level preoperatively was identified as a statistically significant risk factor, both in the uni- as well as the multivariate analysis for major morbidity (OR = 31.08; 95%CI [29.51-32.65]; P = 0.028).<b>Conclusions:</b> Increased creatinine levels were found to be a significant modifiable factor for major morbidity after ventral hernia repair in cases with cirrhosis. This finding underlines the impact of preoperative medical management of cirrhotic patients on postoperative outcome in this patient population.

Colorectal Anastomosis Versus Colostomy Creation in High MELD Patients: An ACS-NSQIP Analysis

BACKGROUND

Liver failure patients are at increased risk of surgical complications. The decision to perform a colonic anastomosis vs a colostomy in urgent colorectal surgery remains unclear.

METHODS

The ACS-NSQIP database was queried for patients undergoing nonelective colorectal surgery between 2016 and 2018. MELD score was calculated and stratified into 3 groups. Subgroup analysis of the high-MELD group was performed.

RESULTS

Higher MELD scores were associated with significantly higher mortality. Colostomy formation was consistent between intermediate and high-MELD groups. In high-MELD patients, colonic anastomosis was associated with higher mortality than those receiving colostomy (41.1% vs 28.4%, P < .001). Patients receiving colostomy had higher rates of wound complications, but lower rates of return to OR and non-wound complications. Regression analysis revealed that colostomy formation remained an independent predictor of survival (mortality OR = .594, P < .001).

DISCUSSION

High-MELD patients undergoing nonelective colorectal surgery have increased risk of complications such as mortality. Patients in this group receiving an anastomosis have increased complications and mortality, and may benefit from colostomy formation.

Surgical Considerations in Portal Hypertension

This review provides an in-depth exploration of portal hypertension (PH) and its implications in various surgical procedures. The prevalence of clinically significant PH is 50% to 60% in compensated cirrhosis and 100% in decompensated cirrhosis. The feasibility and safety of hepatic and nonhepatic surgical procedures in patients with PH has been shown. Adequate preoperative risk assessment and optimization of PH are integral parts of patient assessment. The occurrence of adverse outcomes after surgery has decreased over time in this specific population, due to the development of techniques and improved perioperative multidisciplinary care.

Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria for the diagnosis of malnutrition and prediction of mortality in patients awaiting liver transplant: A validation study

OBJECTIVES

The Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) is a framework aiming to standardize malnutrition diagnosis. However, it still needs to be validated, in particular for patients with chronic liver disease. This study aimed to validate the GLIM criteria in patients with liver cirrhosis awaiting liver transplant (LTx).

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study carried out with adult patients on the waiting list for LTx, consecutively evaluated between 2006 and 2021. The phenotypic criteria were unintentional weight loss, low body mass index, and reduced muscle mass (midarm muscle circumference [MAMC]). The etiologic criteria were high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELD adjusted for serum sodium (MELD-Na) scores, the Child-Pugh score, low serum albumin, and low food intake and/or assimilation. Forty-three GLIM combinations were tested. Sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), positive and negative predictive values, and machine learning (ML) techniques were used. Survival analysis with Cox regression was carried out.

RESULTS

A total of 419 patients with advanced liver cirrhosis were included (median age, 52.0 y [46-59 y]; 69.2% male; 68.8% malnourished according to the Subjective Global Assessment [SGA]). The prevalence of malnutrition by the GLIM criteria ranged from 3.1% to 58.2%, and five combinations had SE or SP >80%. The MAMC as a phenotypic criterion with MELD and MELD-Na as etiologic criteria were predictors of mortality. The MAMC and the presence of any phenotypic criteria associated with liver disease parameters and low food intake or assimilation were associated with malnutrition prediction in ML analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The MAMC and liver disease parameters were associated with malnutrition diagnosis by SGA and were also predictors of 1-y mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis awaiting LTx.

Management of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Decompensated Cirrhotic Patients: A Comprehensive Overview

Primary liver cancer is the sixth most common cancer and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for 75% of primary liver cancer cases, mostly on the basis of cirrhosis. However, the data and therapeutic options for the treatment of HCC in patients with decompensated cirrhosis are rather limited. This patient category is often considered to be in a terminal stage without the possibility of a specific treatment except liver transplantation, which is restricted by several criteria and liver donor shortages. Systemic treatments may provide a solution for patients with Child Pugh class B or C since they are less invasive. Although most of the existing trials have excluded patients with decompensated cirrhosis, there are increasing data from real-life settings that show acceptable tolerability and satisfying efficacy in terms of response. The data on the administration of locoregional treatments in such patients are also limited, but the overall survival seems to be potentially prolonged when patients are carefully selected, and close adverse event monitoring is applied. The aim of this review is to analyze the existing data regarding the administration of treatments in decompensated patients with HCC, evaluate the effect of therapy on overall survival and highlight the potential risks in terms of tolerability.

Umbilical hernia repair in patients with cirrhosis: who, when and how to treat

PURPOSE

Hernia management in patients with cirrhosis is a challenging problem, where indication, timing and type of surgery have been a subject of debate. Given the high risk of morbidity and mortality following surgery, together with increased risk of recurrence, a wait and see approach was often advocated in the past.

METHODS

The purpose of this review was to provide an overview of crucial elements in the treatment of patients with cirrhosis and umbilical hernia.

RESULTS

Perioperative ascites control is regarded as the major factor in timing of hernia repair and is considered the most important factor governing outcome. This can be accomplished by either medical treatment, ascites drainage prior to surgery or reduction of portal hypertension by means of a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). The high incidence of perioperative complications and inferior outcomes of emergency surgery strongly favor elective surgery, instead of a "wait and see" approach, allowing for adequate patient selection, scheduled timing of elective surgery and dedicated perioperative care. The Child-Pugh-Turcotte and MELD score remain strong prognostic parameters and furthermore aid in identifying patients who fulfill criteria for liver transplantation. Such patients should be evaluated for early listing as potential candidates for transplantation and simultaneous hernia repair, especially in case of umbilical vein recanalization and uncontrolled refractory preoperative ascites. Considering surgical techniques, low-quality evidence suggests mesh implantation might reduce hernia recurrence without dramatically increasing morbidity, at least in elective circumstances.

CONCLUSION

Preventing emergency surgery and optimizing perioperative care are crucial factors in reducing morbidity and mortality in patients with umbilical hernia and cirrhosis.

Different combinations of the GLIM criteria for patients awaiting a liver transplant: Poor performance for malnutrition diagnosis but a potentially useful prognostic tool

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Studies using the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria for patients with liver cirrhosis are limited. This study aimed to assess the impact of malnutrition according to the GLIM criteria on the outcomes of patients awaiting a liver transplant (LTx) and compare these criteria with Subjective Global Assessment (SGA).

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included adult patients awaiting LTx. Patient clinical data, nutritional status according to various tools including SGA, and resting energy expenditure were assessed. The distinct phenotypic and etiologic criteria provided 36 different GLIM combinations. The GLIM criteria and SGA were compared using the kappa coefficient. The variables associated with mortality before and after the LTx and with a longer length of stay (LOS) after LTx (≥18 days) were assessed by Cox regression and logistic regression analyses, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 152 patients were included [median age 52.0 (interquartile range: 46.5-59.5) years; 66.4% men; 63.2% malnourished according to SGA]. The prevalence of malnutrition according to the GLIM criteria ranged from 0.7% to 30.9%. The majority of the GLIM combinations exhibited poor agreement with SGA. Independent predictors of mortality before and after LTx were presence of ascites or edema (p = 0.011; HR:2.58; CI95%:1.24-5.36), GLIM 32 (PA-phase angle + MELD) (p = 0.026; HR:2.08; CI95%:1.09-3.97), GLIM 33 (PA + MELD-Na≥12) (p = 0.018; HR:2.17; CI95%:1.14-4.13), and GLIM 34 (PA + Child-Pugh) (p = 0.043; HR:1.96; CI95%:1.02-3.77). Malnutrition according to GLIM 28 (handgrip strength + Child-Pugh) was independently associated with a longer LOS (p = 0.029; OR:7.21; CI95%:1.22-42.50).

CONCLUSION

The majority of GLIM combinations had poor agreement with SGA, and 4 of the 36 GLIM combinations were independently associated with adverse outcomes.

Portal decompression with transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt prior to nonhepatic surgery: a single-center case series

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cirrhosis increases perioperative and postoperative mortality in nonhepatic surgery. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPSS), by reducing portal pressure, may reduce intraoperative bleeding and postoperative decompensation. We report our experience of prophylactic TIPSS in nonhepatic surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent prophylactic TIPSS before nonhepatic surgery were identified from database with retrospective data collection via an e-patient record system. Primary outcome was discharged without hepatic decompensation after a planned surgery.

RESULTS

Twenty-one patients [age (median, range): 55, 33-76 years, Child's score: 6, 5-9] who underwent prophylactic TIPSS before nonhepatic surgery over a period of 9 years were included. All patients underwent successful TIPSS with a reduction in portal pressure gradient from 21.5 (11-35) to 16 (7-25) mmHg (P < 0.001). Immediate post-TIPSS complications were seen in 7 (33%) patients including hepatic encephalopathy in four. Eighteen patients (86%) underwent planned surgical intervention. Significant postoperative complications included hepatic encephalopathy (3), sepsis (2) and bleed (1). Two patients died postoperatively with multi-organ failure. The primary outcome was achieved in 12 (57%) patients. Post-TIPSS portal pressure gradient was significantly higher in patients with the adverse primary outcome. Over a follow-up period of 11 (1-78) months; 1-, 6- and 12-months' survival was 90, 80 and 76%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Prophylactic TIPSS is associated with complications in up to one-third of patients, with 57% achieving the primary outcome. Careful patient selection in a multidisciplinary team setting is essential. Multicentre studies are necessary before the universal recommendation of prophylactic TIPSS.

Liver Kidney Crosstalk: Hepatorenal Syndrome

The dying liver causes the suffocation of the kidneys, which is a simplified way of describing the pathophysiology of hepatorenal syndrome (HRS). HRS is characterized by reversible functional renal impairment due to reduced blood supply and glomerular filtration rate, secondary to increased vasodilators. Over the years, HRS has gained much attention and focus among hepatologists and nephrologists. HRS is a diagnosis of exclusion, and in some cases, it carries a poor prognosis. Different classifications have emerged to better understand, diagnose, and promptly treat this condition. This targeted review aims to provide substantial insight into the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and management of HRS, shed light on the various milestones of this condition, and add to our current understanding.

Pleural Interventions in the Management of Hepatic Hydrothorax

Hepatic hydrothorax can be present in 5% to 15% of patients with underlying cirrhosis and portal hypertension, often reflecting advanced liver disease. Its impact can be variable, because patients may have small pleural effusions and minimal pulmonary symptoms or massive pleural effusions and respiratory failure. Management of hepatic hydrothorax can be difficult because these patients often have a number of comorbidities and potential for complications. Minimal high-quality data are available for guidance specifically related to hepatic hydrothorax, potentially resulting in pulmonary or critical care physician struggling for best management options. We therefore provide a Case-based presentation with management options based on currently available data and opinion. We discuss the role of pleural interventions, including thoracentesis, tube thoracostomy, indwelling tunneled pleural catheter, pleurodesis, and surgical interventions. In general, we recommend that management be conducted within a multidisciplinary team including pulmonology, hepatology, and transplant surgery. Patients with refractory hepatic hydrothorax that are not transplant candidates should be managed with palliative intent; we suggest indwelling tunneled pleural catheter placement unless otherwise contraindicated. For patients with unclear or incomplete hepatology treatment plans or those unable to undergo more definitive procedures, we recommend serial thoracentesis. In patients who are transplant candidates, we often consider serial thoracentesis as a standard treatment, while also evaluating the role indwelling tunneled pleural catheter placement may play within the course of disease and transplant evaluation.

Sarco-Model: A score to predict the dropout risk in the perspective of organ allocation in patients awaiting liver transplantation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sarcopenia in liver transplantation (LT) cirrhotic candidates has been connected with higher dropouts and graft losses after transplant. The study aims to create an 'urgency' model combining sarcopenia and Model for End-stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELDNa) to predict the risk of dropout and identify an appropriate threshold of post-LT futility.

METHODS

A total of 1087 adult cirrhotic patients were listed for a first LT during January 2012 to December 2018. The study population was split into a training (n = 855) and a validation set (n = 232).

RESULTS

Using a competing-risk analysis of cause-specific hazards, we created the Sarco-Model2 . According to the model, one extra point of MELDNa was added for each 0.5 cm2 /m2 reduction of total psoas area (TPA) < 6.0 cm2 /m2 . At external validation, the Sarco-Model2 showed the best diagnostic ability for predicting the risk of 3-month dropout in patients with MELDNa < 20 (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.93; P = .003). Using the net reclassification improvement, 14.3% of dropped-out patients were correctly reclassified using the Sarco-Model2 . As for the futility threshold, transplanted patients with TPA < 6.0 cm2 /m2 and MELDNa 35-40 (n = 16/833, 1.9%) had the worse results (6-month graft loss = 25.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

In sarcopenic patients with MELDNa < 20, the 'urgency' Sarco-Model2 should be used to prioritize the list, while MELDNa value should be preferred in patients with MELDNa ≥ 20. The Sarco-Model2 played a role in more than 30% of the cases in the investigated allocation scenario. In sarcopenic patients with a MELDNa value of 35-40, 'futile' transplantation should be considered.

Frailty Is a Risk Factor for Postoperative Mortality in Patients With Cirrhosis Undergoing Diverse Major Surgeries

With a rising burden of cirrhosis surgeries, understanding risk factors for postoperative mortality is more salient than ever. The role of baseline frailty has not been assessed in this context. We evaluated the association between patient frailty and postoperative risk among diverse patients with cirrhosis and determined if frailty improves prognostication of cirrhosis surgical risk scores. This was a retrospective cohort study of U.S. veterans with cirrhosis identified between 2008 and 2016 who underwent nontransplant major surgery. Frailty was ascertained using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the impact of patient frailty on postoperative mortality. Logistic regression was used to identify incremental changes in discrimination for postoperative mortality when frailty was added to the risk prediction models, including the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), MELD-sodium (MELD-Na), Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), Mayo Risk Score (MRS), and Veterans Outcomes and Costs Associated With Liver Disease (VOCAL)-Penn. A total of 804 cirrhosis surgeries were identified. The majority of patients (48.5%) had high-risk frailty at baseline (HFRS >15). In adjusted Cox regression models, categories of increasing frailty scores were associated with poorer postoperative survival. For example, intermediate-risk frailty (HFRS 5-15) conferred a 1.77-fold increased hazard relative to low-risk frailty (HFRS, <5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-2.95; P = 0.03). High-risk frailty demonstrated a similarly increased hazard (hazard ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.05-2.88; P = 0.03), suggesting a threshold effect of frailty on postoperative mortality. The incorporation of frailty improved discrimination of MELD, MELD-Na, and CTP for postoperative mortality, but did not do so for the MRS or VOCAL-Penn score. Patient frailty was an additional important predictor of cirrhosis surgical risk. The incorporation of preoperative frailty assessments may help to risk stratify patients, especially in settings where the MELD-Na and CTP are commonly applied.

Predictive value of insulin-like growth factor 1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh score for mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have used a modified version of the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score to include insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) concentrations, denoted the Insulin-like Growth Factor 1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh (IGF-CTP) system. We evaluated the predictive power of IGF-CTP for 1-year mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DC).

METHODS

A total of 386 patients with DC were retrospectively analyzed. Comparison of distribution of patients with decompensated cirrhosis according to Insulin-like Growth Factor-1-Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Child-Turcotte-Pugh scores were performed. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for IGF-CTP, CTP and the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores were evaluated to compare predictive value. Univariate and multivariate analyses were carried out to determine potential risk factors for 1-y mortality.

RESULTS

During the 1-y follow-up, 94 patients died. Significantly more patients (both surviving and non-surviving) were classified as IGF-CTP stage C than CTP stage C. The AUROC of IGF-CTP was significantly higher than that of CTP and MELD in the training and validation cohorts. Multivariate analysis indicated IGF-CTP score and IGF-1 to be independently associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

The IGF-CTP score is independently associated with mortality for patients with DC, and offers more accurate prediction of 1-y mortality than either CTP or MELD score for these patients.

Pharmacological treatment of hepatorenal syndrome: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Observational studies suggest that hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) patients who receive pharmacological therapy before orthotopic liver transplantation display a post-transplant outcome similar to those without HRS. The aim of this study was to comprehensively compare and rank the pharmacological therapies for HRS.

METHODS

We reviewed PubMed, Elsevier, Medline, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) for studies that were published between 1 January 1999 and 24 February 2018. The primary endpoint was reversal of HRS. The secondary endpoints were the changes in serum creatinine (Scr) and serum sodium. We evaluated the different therapeutic strategies using network meta-analysis on the basis of Bayesian methodology.

RESULTS

The study included 24 articles with 1,419 participants evaluating seven different therapeutic strategies for HRS. The most effective treatments to induce reversal of HRS were terlipressin plus albumin, noradrenaline plus albumin, and terlipressin, which had a surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) of 0.086, 0.151, and 0.451, respectively. The top two treatments for decreasing Scr were dopamine plus furosemide plus albumin (rank probability: 0.620) and terlipressin plus albumin (rank probability: 0.570). For increasing serum sodium, the optimal treatment was octreotide plus midodrine plus albumin (rank probability: 0.800), followed by terlipressin plus albumin (rank probability: 0.544).

CONCLUSIONS

Terlipressin plus albumin and dopamine plus furosemide plus albumin should be prioritized for decreasing Scr in HRS, and octreotide plus midodrine plus albumin was the most effective at increasing serum sodium. Terlipressin plus albumin showed a comprehensive effect in both decreasing Scr and increasing serum sodium.

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium as a Predictor of Surgical Risk in Cirrhotic Patients With Ascites

BACKGROUND

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELD-Na) incorporates hyponatremia into the MELD score and has been shown to correlate with surgical outcomes. The pathophysiology of hyponatremia parallels that of ascites, which purports greater surgical risk. This study investigates whether MELD-Na accurately predicts morbidity and mortality in patients with ascites undergoing general surgery procedures.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2005-2014) to examine the adjusted risk of morbidity and mortality of cirrhotic patients with and without ascites undergoing inguinal or ventral hernia repair, cholecystectomy, and lysis of adhesions for bowel obstruction. Patients were stratified by the MELD-Na score and ascites. Outcomes were compared between patients with and without ascites for each stratum using low MELD-Na and no ascites group as a reference.

RESULTS

A total of 30,391 patients were analyzed. Within each MELD-Na stratum, patients with ascites had an increased risk of complications compared with the reference group (low MELD-Na and no ascites): low MELD-Na with ascites odds ratio (OR) 4.33 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.96-9.59), moderate MELD-Na no ascites OR 1.70 (95% CI 1.52-1.9), moderate MELD-Na with ascites OR 3.69 (95% CI 2.49-5.46), high MELD-Na no ascites OR 3.51 (95% CI 3.07-4.01), and high MELD-Na ascites OR 7.18 (95% CI 5.33-9.67). Similarly, mortality risk was increased in patients with ascites compared with the reference: moderate MELD-Na no ascites OR 3.55 (95% CI 2.22-5.67), moderate MELD-Na ascites OR 13.80 (95% CI 5.65-33.71), high MELD-Na no ascites OR 8.34 (95% CI 5.15-13.51), and high MELD-Na ascites OR 43.97 (95% CI 23.76-81.39).

CONCLUSIONS

MELD-Na underestimates morbidity and mortality risk for general surgery patients with ascites.

Original Study: Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt as a Bridge to Abdominal Surgery in Cirrhotic Patients

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has been suggested to reduce portal hypertension-associated complications in cirrhotic patients undergoing abdominal surgery. The aim of this study was to compare postoperative outcome in cirrhotic patients with and without specific preoperative TIPS placement, following elective extrahepatic abdominal surgery.

METHODS

Patients were retrospectively included from 2005 to 2016 in four centers. Patients who underwent preoperative TIPS (n = 66) were compared to cirrhotic control patients without TIPS (n = 68). Postoperative outcome was analyzed using propensity score with inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, colorectal surgery accounted for 54% of all surgical procedure. TIPS patients had a higher initial Child-Pugh score (6[5-12] vs. 6[5-9], p = 0.043) and received more beta-blockers (65% vs. 22%, p < 0.001). In TIPS group, 56 (85%) patients managed to undergo planned surgery. Preoperative TIPS was associated with less postoperative ascites (hazard ratio = 0.330 [0.140-0.780]). Severe postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo > 2) and 90-day mortality were similar between TIPS and no-TIPS groups (18% vs. 23%, p = 0.392, and 7.5% vs. 7.8%, p = 0.644, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative TIPS placement yielded an 85% operability rate with satisfying postoperative outcomes. No significant differences were found between TIPS and no-TIPS groups in terms of severe postoperative complications and mortality, although TIPS patients probably had worse initial portal hypertension.

The prognostic role of hepatic venous pressure gradient in cirrhotic patients undergoing elective extrahepatic surgery

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Surgery in cirrhosis is associated with a high morbidity and mortality. Retrospectively reported prognostic factors include emergency procedures, liver function (MELD/Child-Pugh scores) and portal hypertension (assessed by indirect markers). This study assessed the prognostic role of hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) and other variables in elective extrahepatic surgery in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

A total of 140 patients with cirrhosis (Child-Pugh A/B/C: 59/37/4%), who were due to have elective extrahepatic surgery (121 abdominal; 9 cardiovascular/thoracic; 10 orthopedic and others), were prospectively included in 4 centers (2002-2011). Hepatic and systemic hemodynamics (HVPG, indocyanine green clearance, pulmonary artery catheterization) were assessed prior to surgery, and clinical and laboratory data were collected. Patients were followed-up for 1 year and mortality, transplantation, morbidity and post-surgical decompensation were studied.

RESULTS

Ninety-day and 1-year mortality rates were 8% and 17%, respectively. Variables independently associated with 1-year mortality were ASA class (American Society of Anesthesiologists), high-risk surgery (defined as open abdominal and cardiovascular/thoracic) and HVPG. These variables closely predicted 90-, 180- and 365-day mortality (C-statistic >0.8). HVPG values >16 mmHg were independently associated with mortality and values ≥20 mmHg identified a subgroup at very high risk of death (44%). Twenty-four patients presented persistent or de novo decompensation at 3 months. Low body mass index, Child-Pugh class and high-risk surgery were associated with death or decompensation. No patient with HVPG <10 mmHg or indocyanine green clearance >0.63 developed decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

ASA class, HVPG and high-risk surgery were prognostic factors of 1-year mortality in cirrhotic patients undergoing elective extrahepatic surgery. HVPG values >16 mmHg, especially ≥20 mmHg, were associated with a high risk of post-surgical mortality.

LAY SUMMARY

The hepatic venous pressure gradient is associated with outcomes in patients with cirrhosis undergoing elective extrahepatic surgery. It enables a better stratification of risk in these patients and provides the foundations for potential interventions to improve post-surgical outcomes.

Anesthesia for a long-term anorexic patient with end-stage liver cirrhosis : A Case Report

Recent advancements in intensive care have increased the number of severe anorexia nervosa patients presenting for surgery. We provided anesthesia to a patient who had a 22-year history of anorexia with life-threatening cirrhosis. Although surgery should be avoided in patients with end-stage cirrhosis, she was in the best preoperative optimized condition compared to her condition over the past few years. Potential complications are heart failure easily caused by deterioration of cirrhosis, lethal arrhythmias related to electrolyte disturbances and increased myocardial sensitivity to drugs, and refeeding syndrome in the postoperative period. The several rare events that we experienced are worth reporting. J. Med. Invest. 66 : 337-339, August, 2019.

Prognosis of surgical hernia repair in cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites

BACKGROUND

Abdominal wall hernias are common in patients with ascites. Elective surgical repair is recommended for the treatment of abdominal wall hernias. However, surgical hernia repair in cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites is controversial. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the outcomes of elective surgical hernia repair in patients with liver cirrhosis with and without refractory ascites.

METHOD

From January 2005 to June 2018, we retrospectively reviewed the records of consecutive patients with liver cirrhosis who underwent a surgical hernia repair.

RESULTS

This study included 107 patients; 31 patients (29.0%) had refractory ascites. Preoperatively, cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites had a higher median model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score (13.0 vs 11.0, P = 0.001) than those without refractory ascites. The 30-day mortality rate (3.2% vs 0%, P = 0.64) and the risk of recurrence (hazard ratio 0.410; 95% CI 0.050-3.220; P = 0.39) did not differ significantly between cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites and cirrhotic patients without refractory ascites. Among cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites, albumin (P = 0.23), bilirubin (P = 0.37), creatinine (P = 0.97), and sodium levels (P = 0.35) did not change significantly after surgery.

CONCLUSION

In advanced liver cirrhosis patients with refractory ascites, hernias can be safely treated with elective surgical repair. Mortality rate within 30 days did not differ by the presence or absence of refractory ascites. Elective hernia repair might be beneficial for treatment of abdominal wall hernia in cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites.

Outcomes of pancreatoduodenectomy in the cirrhotic patient: risk stratification and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis increases the risk of perioperative mortality in gastrointestinal surgery. Though cirrhosis is sometimes considered a contraindication to pancreatoduodenectomy (PD), few data are available in this patient population. The aim of the present study is to identify predictors of outcome in cirrhotic patients undergoing PD.

METHODS

Patients undergoing PD with biopsy-proved cirrhosis were evaluated. Primary endpoints were morbidity and mortality. Child score, MELD score, and radiographic evidence of portal hypertension (pHTN) were assessed for accuracy in preoperative risk stratification. A systematic review of the literature with meta-analysis was also performed to query morbidity and mortality of patients with cirrhosis reported to undergo PD.

RESULTS

Between 2005 and 2015, 36 cirrhotic patients underwent PD; three year follow-up was complete. Median Child score was 6 (range 5-10); median MELD score was 9 (range 7-18). Perioperative (90-day) mortality was 6/36. Median survival was 37 months (range 0.2-116). MELD ≥ 10 was associated with increased mortality (4/13 vs. 2/13, p = 0.004). Irrespective of Child or MELD score, those with pHTN had poor outcomes including significantly greater intraoperative blood loss, increased incidence of major complication, and length of stay. Postoperative mortality was significantly higher with pHTN (3/16 vs. 1/13, p = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

Pancreatoduodenectomy may be considered in carefully selected cirrhotic patients. MELD ≥ 10 predicts increased risk of postoperative mortality. Specific attention should be afforded to patients with preoperative radiographic evidence of portal hypertension as this group experiences poor outcomes irrespective of MELD or Child score.

Non-Hepatic Abdominal Surgery in Patients with Cirrhotic Liver Disease

Cirrhotic liver disease is an important cause of peri-operative morbidity and mortality in general surgical patients. Early recognition and optimization of liver dysfunction is imperative before any elective surgery. Patients with MELD <12 or classified as Child A have a higher morbidity and mortality than matched controls without liver dysfunction, but are generally safe for elective procedures with appropriate patient education. Patients with MELD >20 or classified as Child C should undergo transplantation before any elective procedure given mortality exceeds 40%. Laparoscopic procedures are feasible and safe in cirrhotic patients.

MELD-Na Score as a Predictor of Anastomotic Leak in Elective Colorectal Surgery

BACKGROUND

For cirrhotic patients awaiting liver transplantation, the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELD-Na) model is extensively studied. Because of the simplicity of the scoring system, there has been interest in applying MELD-Na to predict patient outcomes in the noncirrhotic surgical patient, and MELD-Na has been shown to predict postoperative morbidity and mortality after elective colectomy. Our aim was to identify the utility of MELD-Na to predict anastomotic leak in elective colorectal cases.

METHODS

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted colectomy database was queried (2012-2014) for all elective colorectal procedures in patients without ascites. Leak rates were compared by MELD-Na score using chi-square tests and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

We identified 44,540 elective colorectal cases (mean age, 60.5 y ± 14.4, mean body mass index 28.8 ± 6.6 kg/m², 52% female), of which 70% were colon resections and 30% involved partial rectal resections (low anterior resections). Laparoscopic approach accounted for 64.72% while 35.3% were open. The overall complication and mortality rates were 21% and 0.7%, respectively, with a total anastomotic leak rate of 3.4%. Overall, 98% had a preoperative MELD-Na score between 10 and 20. Incremental increases in MELD-Na score (10-14, 15-19, and ≥20) were associated with an increased leak rate, specifically in partial rectal resections (3.9% versus 5.1% versus 10.7% P <0.028). MELD-Na score ≥20 had an increased leak rate when compared with those with MELD-Na 10-14 (odds ratio [OR] 1.627; 95% confidence interval [CI] [1.015, 2.607]). An MELD-Na score increase from 10-14 to 15-19 increases overall mortality (OR 5.22; 95% CI [3.55, 7.671]). In all elective colorectal procedures, for every one-point increase in MELD-Na score, anastomotic leak (OR 1.04 95% CI [1.006, 1.07]), mortality (OR 1.24; 95% CI, [1.20, 1.27]), and overall complications (OR 1.10; 95% CI [1.09, 1.12]) increased. MELD-Na was an independent predictor of anastomotic leak in partial rectal resections, when controlling for gender, steroid use, smoking, approach, operative time, preoperative chemotherapy, and Crohn's disease (OR 1.06, 95% CI [1.002, 1.122]).

CONCLUSIONS

MELD-Na is an independent predictor of anastomotic leak in partial rectal resections. Anastomotic leak risk increases with increasing MELD-Na in elective colorectal resections, as does 30-d mortality and overall complication rate. As MELD-Na score increases to more than 20, restorative partial rectal resection has a 10% rate of anastomotic leak.

Comparing Child-Pugh, MELD, and FIB-4 to Predict Clinical Outcomes in Hepatitis C Virus-Infected Persons: Results From ERCHIVES

Background

Identifying hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive persons at high risk of early complications can help prioritize treatment decisions. We conducted this study to compare Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CP), MELD, and FIB-4 scores for predicting clinical outcomes and to identify those at low risk of complications.

Methods

Within electronically retrieved cohort of HCV-infected veterans, we identified HCV-positive persons and excluded those with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), prevalent hepatic decompensation (HD), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and those treated for HCV. We calculated incidence rates for HD, HCC, and all-cause mortality at 1, 3, and 5 years after HCV diagnosis. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, we determined the optimal cut-off values for each score for these outcomes.

Results

Among 21 116 persons evaluated, 89.7% were CP Class-A, 79.9% had MELD<9, and 43.4% had FIB-4<1.45. AUROC for HD at 1, 3, and 5 years was higher for FIB-4 (0.84-0.86) compared with MELD (0.70-0.76) (P < .001). AUROC for HCC at 1, 3, and 5 years was 0.81-0.82 for FIB-4 but 0.61-0.68 for CP and MELD scores. (P < .001) AUROC for all-cause mortality at 3 and 5 years was 0.65-0.68. The optimal cut-off scores to identify persons at low risk of complications were as follows: CP <5; MELD <8; FIB-4 <3 for HD and HCC, and <2 for all-cause mortality, below which <1.5% developed HD and HCC and ≤2.5% died at 3 years.

Conclusions

FIB-4 score is a better predictor of HD and HCC in HCV-positive persons. A score of <3 is associated with a low risk of HD and HCC 1 and 3 years after HCV diagnosis.

Perioperative management of liver surgery-review on pathophysiology of liver disease and liver failure

An increasing number of patients present for liver surgery. Given the complex pathophysiological changes in chronic liver disease (CLD), it is pivotal to understand the fundamentals of chronic and acute liver failure. This review will give an overview on related organ dysfunction as well as recommendations for perioperative management and treatment of liver failure-related symptoms.

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium Score: The Evolution in the Prioritization of Liver Transplantation

The adoption of the model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) score as surrogate marker of liver disease severity has been the greatest change in liver allocation. Since its implementation, waiting time has lost significance. The MELD score calculation was later modified to reflect the contribution of hyponatremia in the estimation of mortality risk. However, the MELD score does not capture accurately the risk of mortality of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Therefore the arbitrary assignment of MELD points has been used for HCC patients. The current allocation system still prioritizes transplantation in HCC patients.

Primary Malignancy is an Independent Determinant of Morbidity and Mortality after Liver Resection

Although outcomes after liver resection have improved, there remains considerable perioperative morbidity and mortality with these procedures. Studies suggest a primary liver cancer diagnosis is associated with poorer outcomes, but the extent to which this is attributable to a higher degree of hepatic dysfunction is unclear. To better delineate this, we performed a matched pair analysis of primary versus metastatic malignancies using a national database. The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2005–2013) was analyzed to select elective liver resections. Diagnoses were sorted as follows: 1) primary liver cancers and 2) metastatic neoplasms. A literature review identified factors known to impact hepatectomy outcomes; these variables were evaluated by a univariate analysis. The most predictive factors were used to create similar groups from each diagnosis category via propensity matching. Multivariate regression was used to validate results in the wider study population. Outcomes were compared using chi-squared test and Fisher exact test. Matched groups of 4838 patients were similar by all variables, including indicators of liver function. A number of major complications were significantly more prevalent with a primary diagnosis; overall major morbidity rates in the metastatic and primary groups were 29.3 versus 41.6 per cent, respectively. The mortality rate for primary neoplasms was 4.6 per cent (vs 1.6%); this represents a risk of death nearly three-times greater (95% confidence interval = 2.20–3.81, P < 0.0001) in cancers of hepatic origin. Hepatectomy carries substantially higher perioperative risk when performed for primary liver cancers, independent of hepatic function and resection extent. This knowledge will help to improve treatment planning, patient education, and resource allocation in oncologic liver resection.

Use of Population-based Data to Demonstrate How Waitlist-based Metrics Overestimate Geographic Disparities in Access to Liver Transplant Care

Liver allocation policies are evaluated by how they impact waitlisted patients, without considering broader outcomes for all patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) not on the waitlist. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using two nationally representative databases: HealthCore (2006-2014) and five-state Medicaid (California, Florida, New York, Ohio and Pennsylvania; 2002-2009). United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) linkages enabled ascertainment of waitlist- and transplant-related outcomes. We included patients aged 18-75 with ESLD (decompensated cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma) using validated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9)-based algorithms. Among 16 824 ESLD HealthCore patients, 3-year incidences of waitlisting and transplantation were 15.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] : 15.0-16.6%) and 8.1% (7.5-8.8%), respectively. Among 67 706 ESLD Medicaid patients, 3-year incidences of waitlisting and transplantation were 10.0% (9.7-10.4%) and 6.7% (6.5-7.0%), respectively. In HealthCore, the absolute ranges in states' waitlist mortality and transplant rates were larger than corresponding ranges among all ESLD patients (waitlist mortality: 13.6-38.5%, ESLD 3-year mortality: 48.9-62.0%; waitlist transplant rates: 36.3-72.7%, ESLD transplant rates: 4.8-13.4%). States' waitlist mortality and ESLD population mortality were not positively correlated: ρ = -0.06, p-value = 0.83 (HealthCore); ρ = -0.87, p-value = 0.05 (Medicaid). Waitlist and ESLD transplant rates were weakly positively correlated in Medicaid (ρ = 0.36, p-value = 0.55) but were positively correlated in HealthCore (ρ = 0.73, p-value = 0.001). Compared to population-based metrics, waitlist-based metrics overestimate geographic disparities in access to liver transplantation.

The utility of the MELD score in predicting mortality following liver resection for metastasis

BACKGROUND

The MELD score has been demonstrated to be predictive of hepatectomy outcomes in mixed patient samples of primary and secondary liver cancers. Because MELD is a measure of hepatic dysfunction, prior conclusions may rely on the high prevalence of cirrhosis observed with primary lesions. This study aims to evaluate MELD score as a predictor of mortality and develop a risk prediction model for patients specifically undergoing hepatic metastasectomy.

METHODS

ACS-NSQIP 2005-2013 was analyzed to select patients who had undergone liver resections for metastases. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis determined the MELD score most associated with 30-day mortality. A literature review identified variables that impact hepatectomy outcomes. Significant factors were included in a multivariable analysis (MVA). A risk calculator was derived from the final multivariable model.

RESULTS

Among the 14,919 patients assessed, the mortality rate was 2.7%, and the median MELD was 7.3 (range = 34.4). A MELD of 7.24 was identified by ROC (sensitivity = 81%, specificity = 51%, c-statistic = 0.71). Of all patients above this threshold, 4.4% died at 30 days vs. 1.1% in the group ≤7.24. This faction represented 50.1% of the population but accounted for 80.3% of all deaths (p < 0.001). The MVA revealed mortality to be increased 2.6-times (OR = 2.55, 95%CI 1.69-3.84, p < 0.001). A risk calculator was successfully developed and validated.

CONCLUSIONS

MELD>7.24 is an important predictor of death following hepatectomy for metastasis and may prompt a detailed assessment with the provided risk calculator. Attention to MELD in the preoperative setting will improve treatment planning and patient education prior to oncologic liver resection.

Child-Pugh Versus MELD Score for the Assessment of Prognosis in Liver Cirrhosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

Child-Pugh and MELD scores have been widely used for the assessment of prognosis in liver cirrhosis. A systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare the discriminative ability of Child-Pugh versus MELD score to assess the prognosis of cirrhotic patients.PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched. The statistical results were summarized from every individual study. The summary areas under receiver operating characteristic curves, sensitivities, specificities, positive and negative likelihood ratios, and diagnostic odds ratios were also calculated.Of the 1095 papers initially identified, 119 were eligible for the systematic review. Study population was heterogeneous among studies. They included 269 comparisons, of which 44 favored MELD score, 16 favored Child-Pugh score, 99 did not find any significant difference between them, and 110 did not report the statistical significance. Forty-two papers were further included in the meta-analysis. In patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure, Child-Pugh score had a higher sensitivity and a lower specificity than MELD score. In patients admitted to ICU, MELD score had a smaller negative likelihood ratio and a higher sensitivity than Child-Pugh score. In patients undergoing surgery, Child-Pugh score had a higher specificity than MELD score. In other subgroup analyses, Child-Pugh and MELD scores had statistically similar discriminative abilities or could not be compared due to the presence of significant diagnostic threshold effects.Although Child-Pugh and MELD scores had similar prognostic values in most of cases, their benefits might be heterogeneous in some specific conditions. The indications for Child-Pugh and MELD scores should be further identified.

Increased Risks of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis and Interstitial Lung Disease in Primary Biliary Cirrhosis Patients With Concomitant Sjögren Syndrome

The incidence of Sjögren syndrome (SS) in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) patients is high. The influence of SS on the clinical outcomes of PBC patients, however, remains unclear. Our study retrospectively collected data on PBC-only patients and PBC patients with concomitant SS (PBC-SS) to compare the clinical differences of long-term outcomes between them.A total of 183 patients were diagnosed with PBC from January 1999 to December 2014 at our hospital. Of these, the authors excluded patients with diabetes, hypertension, advanced liver cirrhosis at initial diagnosis of PBC (Child-Turcotte-Pugh classification score of ≥7) and other liver diseases (ie, alcoholic liver disease, alpha-antitrypsin deficiency, viral hepatitis, and primary sclerosing cholangitis), and autoimmune diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis. Of the remaining 125 patients, 77 (61.6%) were PBC-only and 48 (38.4%) were PBC-SS patients.The mean follow-up duration was 8.76 years. During the observation period, the incidence of interstitial lung disease was higher in the PBC-SS group than in the PBC-only group (P = 0.005). The occurrence of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis was significantly different in PBC-SS patients than in PBC-only patients (P = 0.002). The overall survival was lower in PBC-SS patients than in PBC-only patients (P = 0.033). Although the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma, end-stage renal disease, variceal bleeding, and hypothyroidism were all higher in the PBC-SS group than in the PBC-only group, the differences were not significant.Our study suggests that PBC-SS patients have a higher risk of developing interstitial lung disease and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis and have a poor prognosis. Aggressive surveillance of thyroid and pulmonary functions should therefore be performed in these patients.

Relationship and interaction between serum sodium concentration and portal hemodynamics in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

To examine the relationship between hyponatremia and portal hemodynamics and their effect on the prognosis of cirrhosis.

METHODS

Portal hemodynamic parameters measured by Doppler ultrasound and serum sodium concentrations were examined in 153 cirrhosis patients (mean age 62.2 ± 12.0 years; median observation period, 34.1 m).

RESULTS

Study participants included 16 patients with hyponatremia (Na < 135 mEq/L), who showed a significantly greater frequency of possessing a splenorenal shunt (SRS; P = 0.0068), and 137 patients without hyponatremia. Serum sodium concentrations were significantly lower in patients with SRS than in those without (P = 0.0193). An increased prothrombin time-international normalized ratio was a significant predictive factor for developing hyponatremia a year later (8/96; Hazard ratio 14.415; P = 0.028). The cumulative survival rate was significantly lower in patients with hyponatremia (46.7% at 1 and 3 years) than in those without (91.8% at 1 year, 76.8% at 3 years; P < 0.001). The cumulative survival rate was significantly lower in patients who had developed hyponatremia after 1 year (100% at 1 year, 62.5% at 3 years) than those who had not (100% at 1 year, 89.0% at 3 years; P < 0.001). The cumulative survival rate was significantly worse in patients with both hyponatremia and SRS (20% at 1 year).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a close linkage between the serum sodium concentration and portal hemodynamic abnormality, presence of SRS, and their interaction may negatively influence the prognoses in cirrhosis.

Managing complications in cirrhotic patients

Liver cirrhosis is a serious and potentially life-threatening condition. This life-threatening condition usually arises from complications of cirrhosis. While variceal bleeding is the most acute and probably best studied, several other complications of liver cirrhosis are more insidious in their onset but nevertheless more important for the long-term management and outcome of these patients. This review summarizes the topics discussed during the UEG-EASL Hepatology postgraduate course of the United European Gastroenterology Week 2013 and discusses emergency surgical conditions in cirrhotic patients, the management of hepatic encephalopathy, ascites and hepatorenal syndrome, coagulation disorders, and liver cancer.

Monitoring and managing hepatic disease in anaesthesia

Patients with liver disease have multisystem organ dysfunction that leads to physiological perturbations ranging from hyperbilirubinaemia of no clinical consequence to severe coagulopathy and metabolic disarray. Patient-specific risk factors, clinical scoring systems, and surgical procedures stratify perioperative risk for these patients. The anaesthetic management of patients with hepatic dysfunction involves consideration of impaired drug metabolism, hyperdynamic circulation, perioperative hypoxaemia, bleeding, thrombosis, and hepatic encephalopathy.

Risk assessment in patients undergoing liver resection

BACKGROUND

Liver resection is still a risky procedure with high morbidity and mortality. It is significant to predict the morbidity and mortality with some models after liver resection.

DATA SOURCES

The MEDLINE/PubMed, Web of Science, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Library databases were searched using the terms "hepatectomy" and "risk assessment" for relevant studies before August 2012. Papers published in English were included.

RESULTS

Thirty-four original papers were included finally. Some models, such as MELD, APACHE II, E-PASS, or POSSUM, widely used in other populations, are useful to predict the morbidity and mortality after liver resection. Some special models for liver resection are used to predict outcomes after liver resection, such as mortality, liver dysfunction, transfusion, or acute renal failure. However, there is no good scoring system to predict or classify surgical complications because of shortage of internal or external validation.

CONCLUSION

It is important to validate the models for the major complications after liver resection with further internal or external databases.

The Effect of Balloon-Occluded Transvenous Obliteration of Gastric Varices and Gastrorenal Shunts on the Hepatic Synthetic Function

Purpose:

To evaluate the effect of balloon-occluded transvenous obliteration (BRTO) on the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the Child-Pugh (C-P) score and their individual components.

Methods:

A retrospective review of patients undergoing only BRTO without transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was performed (08, 2007 to 06, 2010). Pre- and post-BRTO MELD and C-P scores were calculated. The post-BRTO MELD and C-P score samplings were categorized as (1) immediate (within 14 days), (2) early (14-90 days), and (3) delayed (90-180 days) post-BRTO. The C-P and MELD scores and their individual components before and after (various sample intervals) were compared.

Results:

A total of 29 consecutive successful BRTO procedures were found and assessed. In all, 26 had immediate post-BRTO sampling (average 1.8 days after BRTO), 13 (57%) had an early post-BRTO sampling (average 47 days from BRTO), and 10 (38%) had a delayed post-BRTO sampling (average 121 days from BRTO). The bilirubin rises significantly ( P = .007) within days after BRTO, but synthetic function improves significantly between 1.5 and 4.0 months post-BRTO (international normalized ration: P = .02, bilirubin: P = .027, and albumin: P = .012). However, 31% (N = 8/ 26) of the patients had worsening ascites with or without hydrothorax. The MELD score significantly improved circa 4 months post-BRTO (from 14.1 to 10.7, P = .0008). However, the C-P score did not change significantly (from 7.6 to 6.7, P = .063).

Conclusion:

The BRTO has a positive effect on the hepatic synthetic function. However, there is a high incidence of post-BRTO ascites (31% of the patients). As a result, the MELD score appears to be a more sensitive gauge for hepatic synthetic function compared to the C-P score for patients undergoing BRTO.

Model for End-stage Liver Disease

Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, initially developed to predict survival following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was subsequently found to be accurate predictor of mortality amongst patents with end-stage liver disease. Since 2002, MELD score using 3 objective variables (serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, and institutional normalized ratio) has been used worldwide for listing and transplanting patients with end-stage liver disease allowing transplanting sicker patients first irrespective of the wait time on the list. MELD score has also been shown to be accurate predictor of survival amongst patients with alcoholic hepatitis, following variceal hemorrhage, infections in cirrhosis, after surgery in patients with cirrhosis including liver resection, trauma, and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS). Although, MELD score is closest to the ideal score, there are some limitations including its inaccuracy in predicting survival in 15-20% cases. Over the last decade, many efforts have been made to further improve and refine MELD score. Until, a better score is developed, liver allocation would continue based on the currently used MELD score.

Clinical applications of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) in hepatic medicine

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score incorporates serum bilirubin, creatinine, and the international normalized ratio (INR) into a formula that provides a continuous variable that is a very accurate predictor of 90-day mortality in patients with cirrhosis. It is currently utilized in the United States to prioritize deceased donor organ allocation for patients listed for liver transplantation. The MELD score is superior to other prognostic models in patients with end-stage liver disease, such as the Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, since it uses only objective criteria, and its implementation in 2002 led to a sharp reduction in the number of people waiting for liver transplant and reduced mortality on the waiting list without affecting posttransplant survival. Although mainly adopted for use in patients waiting for liver transplant, the MELD score has also proved to be an effective predictor of outcome in other situations, such as patients with cirrhosis going for surgery and patients with fulminant hepatic failure or alcoholic hepatitis. Several variations of the original MELD score, involving the addition of serum sodium or looking at the change in MELD over time, have been examined, and these may slightly improve its accuracy. The MELD score does have limitations in situations where the INR or creatinine may be elevated due to reasons other than liver disease, and its implementation for organ allocation purposes does not take into consideration several conditions that benefit from liver transplantation. The application of the MELD score in prioritizing patients for liver transplantation has been successful, but further studies and legislation are required to ensure a fair and equitable system.

Anesthetic considerations for the patient with liver disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

An increasing number of patients requiring surgery are presenting with chronic or end stage liver disease. The management of these patients demands anesthesiologists with in-depth knowledge of the consequences of hepatic dysfunction, the effects on other organs, the risk of surgery, and the impact of anesthesia.

RECENT FINDINGS

Chronic or end stage liver disease is associated with an increased risk of perioperative morbidity and mortality. It is essential to preoperatively assess possible hepatic encephalopathy, pleural effusions, hepatopulmonary syndrome, hepatopulmonary hypertension, hepatorenal syndrome, cirrhotic cardiomyopathy, and coagulation disorders. The application of two scoring systems, that is, Child-Turcotte-Pugh and model for end stage liver disease, helps to estimate the risk of surgery. The use of propofol is superior to benzodiazepines as intravenous narcotics. Although enflurane and halothane are discouraged for maintenance of anesthesia, all modern volatile anesthetics appear comparable with respect to outcome. Fentanyl, sufentanil, and remifentanil as opioids and cis-atracurium for relaxation may be the best choices in liver insufficency. Regional anesthesia is valuable for postoperative pain management.

SUMMARY

Current studies have employed different anesthetic approaches in the preoperative and intraoperative management in order to improve outcomes of patients with liver disease.

Different models in predicting the short-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Effective assessing the prognosis of patients with end-stage liver disease is always challenging. This study aimed to investigate the accuracy of different models in predicting short-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated survival of a cohort of patients with at least 3-month follow up. The receiver-operating-characteristic curves (ROC) were drawn for Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) classification, King's College Hospital (KCH) criteria, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD combined with serum sodium (Na) concentration (MELDNa), integrated MELD (iMELD) and logistic regression model (LRM).

RESULTS

Of the 273 eligible patients, 152 patients (55.7%) died within 3-month follow up. In cirrhotic patients (n = 101), the AUCs of LRM (0.851), MELDNa (0.849), iMELD (0.845) and MELD (0.840) were all significantly higher than those of KCH criteria (0.642) and CTP (0.625) (all p < 0.05), while the differences among LRM, MELD, MELDNa and iMELD were not significant, and the most predictive cutoff value was 0.5176 for LRM, 30 for MELDNa, 47.87 for iMELD and 29 for MELD, respectively. In non-cirrhotic patients (n = 172), the AUC of LRM (0.897) was significantly higher than that of MELDNa (0.776), iMELD (0.768), MELD (0.758), KCH criteria (0.647) and CTP (0.629), respectively (all p < 0.05), and the most predictive cutoff value for LRM was -0.3264.

CONCLUSIONS

LRM, MELD, MELDNa and iMELD are with similar accuracy in predicting the shortterm prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients with liver cirrhosis, while LRM is superior to MELD, MELDNa and iMELD in predicting the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients without liver cirrhosis.

Clinical outcomes of oncologic gastrointestinal resections in patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Cirrhosis is a risk factor for postoperative morbidity and mortality after general surgical procedures. However, the impact of cirrhosis on outcomes of surgical resection for gastrointestinal (GI) malignancies has not been described. The authors' objective was to characterize early postoperative and transitional outcomes in cirrhotic patients undergoing GI cancer surgery.

METHODS

Query of the National Inpatient Sample Database (2005-2008) identified 106,729 patients who underwent resection for GI malignancy; 1479 (1.4%) had cirrhosis. The association of cirrhosis with postoperative outcomes was examined. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included length-of-stay (LOS) and discharge to long-term care facility (LTCF).

RESULTS

Cirrhotic patients had higher risk of in-hospital mortality (8.9% vs 2.8%, P < .001), longer LOS (11.5 ± 0.26 vs 10.0 ± 0.03 days, P < .001), and higher rate of discharge to LTCF (19.0% vs 15.7%, P < .001). Mortality was highest in patients with moderate to severe liver dysfunction (21.5% vs 6.5%, P < .001). On multivariate analysis, cirrhosis was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR], 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.5-3.7) and nonhome discharge (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-2.0). In cirrhotic patients, moderate to severe liver dysfunction was the only independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (OR, 4.03; 95% CI, 2.7-5.9), but did not predict discharge disposition.

CONCLUSIONS

Resection of GI malignancy in cirrhotics is associated with poor early postoperative and transitional outcomes, with severity of liver disease being the primary determinant of postoperative mortality. These data suggest that GI cancer operations can be performed safely in well-selected cirrhotic patients with mild liver dysfunction.

In-hospital mortality among a cohort of cirrhotic patients admitted to a tertiary hospital

BACKGROUND/AIM

To determine the mortality rate in a cohort of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and examine their resuscitation status at admission.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective chart review was conducted of patients with cirrhosis who were admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2009.

RESULTS

We reviewed 226 cirrhotic patients during the study period. The hospital mortality rate was 35%. A univariate analysis revealed that worse outcomes were seen in patients with advanced age or who had worse child-turcotte-pugh (CPT) scores, worse model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores, low albumin and high serum creatinine. Using a multivariate analysis, we found that advanced age (P=0.004) and high MELD (P=0.001) scores were independent risk factors for the mortality of cirrhotic patients. The end-of-life decision were made in 34% of cirrhotic patients, and the majority of deceased patients were "no resuscitation" status (90% vs. 4%, P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The relatively high mortality in cirrhotic patients admitted for care in a tertiary hospital, Saudi Arabia was comparable to that reported in the literature. Furthermore, end-of-life discussions should be addressed early in the hospitalization of cirrhotic patients.