Frail geriatric patients with acute calculous cholecystitis: Operative versus nonoperative management?

Interhospital variation in the nonoperative management of acute cholecystitis

BACKGROUND

Cholecystectomy remains the standard management for acute cholecystitis. Given that rates of nonoperative management have increased, we hypothesize the existence of significant hospital-level variability in operative rates. Thus, we characterized patients who were managed nonoperatively at normal and lower operative hospitals (>90th percentile).

METHODS

All adult admissions for acute cholecystitis were queried using the 2016-2019 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Centers were ranked by nonoperative rate using multi-level, mixed effects modeling. Hospitals in the top decile of nonoperative rate (>9.4%) were classified as Low Operative Hospitals (LOH; others:nLOH). Separate regression models were created to determine factors associated with nonoperative management at LOH and nLOH.

RESULTS

Of an estimated 418,545 patients, 9.9% were managed at 880 LOH. Multilevel modeling demonstrated that 20.6% of the variability was due to hospital factors alone. After adjustment, older age (Adjusted Odds Ratio [AOR] 1.02/year, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.01-1.02) and public insurance (Medicare AOR 1.31, CI 1.21-1.43 and Medicaid AOR 1.43, CI 1.31-1.57; reference: Private Insurance) were associated with nonoperative management at LOH. These were similar at nLOH. At LOH, SNH status (AOR 1.17, CI 1.07-1.28) and small institution size (AOR 1.20, CI 1.09-1.34) were associated with increased odds of nonoperative management.

CONCLUSION

We noted a significant variability in the interhospital variation of the nonoperative management of acute cholecystitis. Nevertheless, comparable clinical and socioeconomic factors contribute to nonoperative management at both LOH and non-LOH. Directed strategies to address persistent non-clinical disparities are necessary to minimize deviation from standard protocol and ensure equitable care.

There Is No Such Thing as Too Soon: Long-Term Outcomes of Early Cholecystectomy for Frail Geriatric Patients with Acute Biliary Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Early cholecystectomy (CCY) for acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) is recommended but there is a paucity of data assessing this approach in frail geriatric patients. This study compares outcomes of frail geriatric ABP patients undergoing index admission CCY vs nonoperative management (NOM) with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP).

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of the Nationwide Readmissions Database (2017). All frail geriatric (65 years or older) patients with ABP were included. Patients were grouped by treatment at index admission: CCY vs NOM with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. Propensity score matching was performed in a 1:2 ratio. Primary outcomes were 6-month readmissions, mortality, and length of stay. Secondary outcomes were 6-month failure of NOM defined as readmission for recurrent ABP, unplanned pancreas-related procedures, or unplanned CCY. Subanalysis was performed to compare outcomes of unplanned CCY vs early CCY.

RESULTS

A total of 29,130 frail geriatric patients with ABP were identified and 7,941 were matched (CCY 5,294; NOM 2,647). Patients in the CCY group had lower 6-month rates of readmission for pancreas-related complications, unplanned readmissions for pancreas-related procedures, overall readmissions, and mortality, as well as fewer hospitalized days (p < 0.05). NOM failed in 12% of patients and 7% of NOM patients were readmitted within 6 months to undergo CCY, of which 56% were unplanned. Patients who underwent unplanned CCY had higher complication rates and hospital costs, longer hospital lengths of stay, and increased mortality compared with early CCY (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

For frail geriatric patients with ABP, early CCY was associated with lower 6-month rates of complications, readmissions, mortality, and fewer hospitalized days. NOM was unsuccessful in nearly 1 of 7 within 6 months; of these, one-third required unplanned CCY. Early CCY should be prioritized for frail geriatric ABP patients when feasible.

The Conditional Effects of Multimorbidity on Operative Versus Nonoperative Management of Emergency General Surgery Conditions: A Retrospective Observational Study Using an Instrumental Variable Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To understand how multimorbidity impacts operative versus nonoperative management of emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions.

BACKGROUND

EGS is a heterogenous field, encompassing operative and nonoperative treatment options. Decision-making is particularly complex for older patients with multimorbidity.

METHODS

Using an instrumental variable approach with near-far matching, this national, retrospective observational cohort study of Medicare beneficiaries examines the conditional effects of multimorbidity, defined using qualifying comorbidity sets, on operative versus nonoperative management of EGS conditions.

RESULTS

Of 507,667 patients with EGS conditions, 155,493 (30.6%) received an operation. Overall, 278,836 (54.9%) were multimorbid. After adjustment, multimorbidity significantly increased the risk of in-hospital mortality associated with operative management for general abdominal patients (+9.8%; P = 0.002) and upper gastrointestinal patients (+19.9%, P < 0.001) and the risk of 30-day mortality (+27.7%, P < 0.001) and nonroutine discharge (+21.8%, P = 0.007) associated with operative management for upper gastrointestinal patients. Regardless of multimorbidity status, operative management was associated with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality among colorectal patients (multimorbid: + 12%, P < 0.001; nonmultimorbid: +4%, P = 0.003), higher risk of nonroutine discharge among colorectal (multimorbid: +42.3%, P < 0.001; nonmultimorbid: +55.1%, P < 0.001) and intestinal obstruction patients (multimorbid: +14.6%, P = 0.001; nonmultimorbid: +14.8%, P = 0.001), and lower risk of nonroutine discharge (multimorbid: -11.5%, P < 0.001; nonmultimorbid: -11.9%, P < 0.001) and 30-day readmissions (multimorbid: -8.2%, P = 0.002; nonmultimorbid: -9.7%, P < 0.001) among hepatobiliary patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The effects of multimorbidity on operative versus nonoperative management varied by EGS condition category. Physicians and patients should have honest conversations about the expected risks and benefits of treatment options, and future investigations should aim to understand the optimal management of multimorbid EGS patients.

Decreased Emergency Cholecystectomy and Case Fatality Rate, Not Explained by Expansion of Medicaid

INTRODUCTION

Population data on longitudinal trends for cholecystectomies and their outcomes are scarce. We evaluated the incidence and case fatality rate of emergency and ambulatory cholecystectomies in New Jersey (NJ) and whether the Medicaid expansion changed trends.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective population cohort design was used to study the incidence of cholecystectomies and their case fatality rate from 2009 to 2018. Using linear and logistic regression we explored the trends of incidence and the odds of case fatality after versus before the January 1, 2014 Medicaid expansion.

RESULTS

Overall, 93,423 emergency cholecystectomies were performed, with 644 fatalities; 87,239 ambulatory cholecystectomies were performed, with fewer than 10 fatalities. The 2009 to 2018 annual incidence of emergency cholecystectomies dropped markedly from 114.8 to 77.5 per 100,000 NJ population (P < 0.0001); ambulatory cholecystectomies increased from 93.5 to 95.6 per 100,000 (P = 0.053). The incidence of emergency cholecystectomies dropped more after than before Medicaid expansion (P < 0.0001). The odds ratio for case fatality among those undergoing emergency cholecystectomies after versus before expansion was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.72-0.99). This decrease in case fatality, apparent only in those over age 65, was not explained by the addition of Medicaid.

CONCLUSIONS

A marked decrease in the incidence of emergency cholecystectomies occurred after Medicaid expansion, which was not accounted for by a minimal increase in the incidence of ambulatory cholecystectomies. Case fatality from emergency cholecystectomy decreased over time due to factors other than Medicaid. Further work is needed to reconcile these findings with the previously reported lack of decrease in overall gallstone disease mortality in NJ.

Ten-Year Trends of Persistent Mortality With Gallstone Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Study in New Jersey

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Recent trends in mortality with gallstone disease remain scarce in the United States. Yet multiple changes in clinical management, such as rates of endoscopy, cholecystectomy, and cholecystostomy, and insurance access at the state level, may have occurred. Thus, we evaluated recent secular trends of mortality with gallstone disease in New Jersey.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective, cohort study of mortality from 2009 to 2018 using the National Center for Health Statistics, Restricted Mortality Files. The primary outcome was any death with an International Classifications of Disease, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis code of gallstone disease in New Jersey. Simple linear regression was used to model trends of incidence of death.

RESULTS

1580 deaths with diagnosed gallstone disease (dGD) occurred from 2009 to 2018. The annual trend of incidence of death was flat over 10 years. The incidence of death with dGD relative to all death changed only from 0.21% to 0.20% over 10 years. These findings were consistent also in 18 of 20 subgroup combinations, although the trend of death with dGD in Latinos 65 years or older increased [slope estimate 0.93, 95% confidence limit 0.42-1.43, P = .003].

CONCLUSION

The rate of death with dGD showed little change over the recent 10 years in New Jersey. This needs to be reproduced in other states and nationally. A closer examination of the changes in clinical care and insurance access is needed to help understand why they did not result in a positive change in this avoidable cause of death.

What If We Do Not Operate? Outcomes of Nonoperatively Managed Emergency General Surgery Patients

INTRODUCTION

Although two-thirds of patients with emergency general surgery (EGS) conditions are managed nonoperatively, their long-term outcomes are not well described. We describe outcomes of nonoperative management in a cohort of older EGS patients and estimate the projected risk of operative management using the NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied single-center inpatients aged 65 y and more with an EGS consult who did not undergo an operation (January 2019-December 2020). For each patient, we recorded the surgeon's recommendation as either an operation was "Not Needed" (medical management preferred) or "Not Recommended" (risk outweighed benefits). Our main outcome of interest was mortality at 30 d and 1 y. Our secondary outcome of interest was SRC-projected 30-day postoperative mortality risk (median % [interquartile range]), calculated using hypothetical low-risk and high-risk operations.

RESULTS

We included 204 patients (60% female, median age 75 y), for whom an operation was "Not Needed" in 81% and "Not Recommended" in 19%. In this cohort, 11% died at 30 d and 23% died at 1 y. Mortality was higher for the "Not Recommended" cohort (37% versus 5% at 30 d and 53% versus 16% at 1 y, P < 0.05). The SRC-projected 30-day postoperative mortality risk was 3.7% (1.3-8.7) for low-risk and 5.8% (2-11.8) for high-risk operations.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonoperative management in older EGS patients is associated with very high risk of short-term and long-term mortality, particularly if a surgeon advised that risks of surgery outweighed benefits. The SRC may underestimate risk in the highest-risk patients.

Emergency readmissions following geriatric ground-level falls: How does frailty factor in?

BACKGROUND

Ground-level falls (GLFs) in older adults are increasing as life expectancy increases, and more patients are being discharged to skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) for continuity of care. However, GLF patients are not a homogenous cohort, and the role of frailty remains to be assessed. Thus, the aim of this study is to examine the impact of frailty on the in-hospital and 30-day outcomes of GLF patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a cohort analysis from the Nationwide Readmissions Database 2017. Geriatric (age ≥65 years) trauma patients presenting following GLFs were identified and grouped based on their frailty status. The associations between frailty and 30-day mortality and emergency readmission were examined by multivariate regression analyses adjusting for patient demographics and injury characteristics.

RESULTS

A total of 100,850 geriatric GLF patients were identified (frail: 41% vs. non-frail: 59%). Frail GLF patients were younger (81[74-87] vs. 83[76-89] years; p<0.001) and less severely injured-Injury Severity Score [ISS] (4[1-9] vs. 5[2-9]; p<0.001). Frail patients had a higher index mortality (2.9% vs. 1.9%; p<0.001) and higher 30-day readmissions (14.0% vs. 9.8%; p<0.001). Readmission mortality was also higher in the frail group (15.2% vs. 10.9%; p<0.001), with 75.2% of those patients readmitted from an SNF. On multivariate analysis, frailty was associated with 30-day mortality (OR 1.75; p<0.001) and 30-day readmission (OR 1.49; p<0.001).

CONCLUSION

Frail geriatric patients are at 75% higher odds of mortality and 49% higher odds of readmission following GLFs. Of those readmitted on an emergency basis, more than one in seven patients died, 75% of whom were readmitted from an SNF. This underscores the need for optimization plans that extend to the post-discharge period to reduce readmissions and subsequent high-impact consequences.

Frailty assessment as independent prognostic factor for patients ≥65 years undergoing urgent cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis

BACKGROUND

To evaluate, in a prospective observational cohort study of adults ≥65 years old, the frailty status at the emergency department (ED) admission for the in-hospital death risk stratification of patients needing urgent cholecystectomy.

METHODS

Clinical variables and frailty status assessed in the ED were evaluated for the association with major complications and the need for open surgery. The parameters evaluated were frailty, comorbidities, physiological parameters, surgical approach, and laboratory values at admission. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for poor outcomes.

RESULTS

The study enrolled 358 patients aged ≥65 years [median age 74 years]; 190 males (53.1%)]. Overall, 259 patients (72.4%) were classified as non-frail, and 99 (27.6%) as frail. The covariate-adjusted analysis revealed that frailty (P< 0.001), and open surgery (P = 0.015) were independent predictors of major complications. Frailty, peritonitis, constipation at ED admission, and Charlson Comorbidity Index ≥ 4 were associated with higher odds of open surgical approach (2.06 [1.23 - 3.45], 2.49 [1.13 - 5.48], 11.59 [2.26 - 59.55], 2.45 [1.49 - 4.02]; respectively).

DISCUSSION

In patients aged ≥65 years undergoing urgent cholecystectomy, the evaluation of functional status in the ED could predict the risk of open surgical approach and major complications. Frail patients have an increased risk both for major complications and need for "open" surgical approach.