Age and sex differences in the incidence of esophageal adenocarcinoma: results from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Registry (1973-2008)

Clinical characteristics, prognosis, and nomogram for upper esophageal cancer: a SEER database analysis

Upper esophageal cancer (ESCA) is a distinct subtype of ESCA that accounts for < 10% of ESCA cases. However, its unique clinical characteristics remain unclear, and without specialized prognostic model. We aimed to clarify its unique clinical characteristics and develop a specialized prognostic model. Data for a total of 1371 upper ESCA cases and 15,434 cases of ESCA at other segments were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Compared with that of patients with ESCA at other segments, a greater proportion of patients with upper ESCA were older and female; had an abnormal marital status; had tumors at the T4 stage, N0 stage, and M0 stage; and had squamous cell carcinoma and differentiation grade II. Moreover, the prognosis of upper ESCA was significantly poorer, and the constituent ratio stratified by the above characteristics from 2004 to 2015 showed no significant changes of average annual percent change (AAPC). Cox regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors. Age, sex, marital status, histologic type, grade, and T, N and M stage were included in the development of the nomogram. The C-indexes of the training cohort and validation cohort were 0.64 (95% CI 0.62-0.66) and 0.62 (95% CI 0.58-0.64), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) results confirmed the good performance of the upper ESCA model. The C-index, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), net reclassification improvement (NRI), time-dependent AUC, and DCA and survival analysis results confirmed that the upper ESCA model performed better than the TNM model in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA. Finally, compared with the total ESCA model, which is based on a total of 16,805 ESCA cases, the upper ESCA model showed better performance in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA. In conclusion, we outlined the unique clinical characteristics of upper ESCA and developed a specialized prognostic model that exhibited better performance in predicting the prognosis of upper ESCA than did the TNM model and total ESCA model.

Community assembly modeling of microbial evolution within Barrett's esophagus and esophageal adenocarcinoma

Mathematical modeling of somatic evolution, a process impacting both host cells and microbial communities in the human body, can capture important dynamics driving carcinogenesis. Here we considered models for esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), a cancer that has dramatically increased in incidence over the past few decades in Western populations, with high case fatality rates due to late-stage diagnoses. Despite advancements in genomic analyses of the precursor Barrett's esophagus (BE), prevention of late-stage EAC remains a significant clinical challenge. Previous microbiome studies in BE and EAC have focused on quantifying static microbial abundance differences rather than evolutionary dynamics. Using whole genome sequencing data from esophageal tissues, we first applied a robust bioinformatics pipeline to extract non-host DNA reads, mapped these putative reads to microbial taxa, and retained those taxa with high genomic coverage. When applying mathematical models of microbial evolution to sequential stages of progression to EAC, we observed evidence of neutral dynamics in community assembly within normal esophageal tissue and BE, but not EAC. In a case-control study of BE patients who progressed to EAC cancer outcomes (CO) versus those who had non-cancer outcomes (NCO) during follow-up (mean=10.5 years), we found that Helicobacter pylori deviated significantly from the neutral expectation in BE NCO, suggesting that factors related to H. pylori or H. pylori infection itself may influence EAC risk. Additionally, simulations incorporating selection recapitulated non-neutral behaviors observed in the datasets. Formally modeling dynamics during progression holds promise in clinical applications by offering a deeper understanding of microbial involvement in cancer development.

Sex Differences in Clinical Features and Survival Outcomes of Esophageal Cancer: A Comparative Study in the Korean Population

PURPOSE

Esophageal cancer is a predominantly male disease. However, the sex differences associated with esophageal cancer have not been thoroughly investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the differences between esophageal cancer in males and females in the Korean population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We assessed patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer between 2005 and 2015 at a tertiary referral center. The clinical features of patients, histopathologic characteristics of tumors, and treatment and survival outcomes were compared between male and female patients.

RESULTS

We enrolled 2,068 patients, comprising 1,924 (93.0%) males and 144 (7.0%) females. The median age at diagnosis was younger for females than males (65 vs. 63 years, p=0.004). Squamous cell carcinoma was the predominant pathological type (99.0% in males and 93.1% in females); however, the proportion of adenocarcinoma cases was higher in females than males (0.8% vs. 5.6%, p<0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated favorable overall survival for female patients (hazard ratio [HR], 0.685; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.548-0.857) and patients with high body mass index (≥25 kg/m², HR, 0.432; 95% CI, 0.355-0.526), and in early tumor stage (Stage 4, HR, 12.684; 95% CI, 7.451-21.591). The 5-year overall survival (44.8% vs. 53.5%, p=0.016) and recurrence-free survival rates (74.0% vs. 84.3%, p=0.036) were higher in females than in males.

CONCLUSIONS

We found significant sex differences in esophageal cancer among the Korean population, with female patients demonstrating distinct clinical characteristics and more favorable survival outcomes compared to male patients. These findings underscore the importance of considering sex-specific factors in the management and prognosis of esophageal cancer.

Intricate roles of estrogen and estrogen receptors in digestive system cancers: a systematic review

Gender disparities are evident across different types of digestive system cancers, which are typically characterized by a lower incidence and mortality rate in females compared to males. This finding suggests a potential protective role of female steroid hormones, particularly estrogen, in the development of these cancers. Estrogen is a well-known sex hormone that not only regulates the reproductive system but also exerts diverse effects on non-reproductive organs mediated through interactions with estrogen receptors (ERs), including the classic (ERα and ERβ) and non-traditional ERs [G protein-coupled estrogen receptor (GPER)]. Recent advances have contributed to our comprehension of the mechanisms underlying ERs in digestive system cancers. In this comprehensive review we summarize the current understanding of the intricate roles played by estrogen and ERs in the major types of digestive system cancers, including hepatocellular, pancreatic, esophageal, gastric, and colorectal carcinoma. Furthermore, we discuss the potential molecular mechanisms underlying ERα, ERβ, and GPER effects, and propose perspectives on innovative therapies and preventive measures targeting the pathways regulated by estrogen and ERs. The roles of estrogen and ERs in digestive system cancers are complicated and depend on the cell type and tissue involved. Additionally, deciphering the intricate roles of estrogen, ERs, and the associated signaling pathways may guide the discovery of novel and tailored therapeutic and preventive strategies for digestive system cancers, eventually improving the care and clinical outcomes for the substantial number of individuals worldwide affected by these malignancies.

Survival outcomes in early-onset oesophageal adenocarcinoma patients: A systematic review and meta-analyses

BACKGROUND

The incidence of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) has been reported to be increasing in many countries. Alongside this trend, an increase in incidence of early-onset OAC, defined as OAC in adults aged under 50 years, has been observed. It is unclear whether survival outcomes for early-onset OAC patients differ from older age groups.

AIM

To investigate survival outcomes in early-onset OAC patients.

METHODS

Ovid Medline and Embase were searched from inception to January 2022 for relevant studies relating to early-onset OAC and survival outcomes. Results regarding the overall five-year survival and risk of death of younger and older patients with OAC were extracted and pooled using meta-analyses to produce pooled estimates and 95%CIs where possible.

RESULTS

Eleven studies which compared survival of early-onset OAC, defined as age at diagnosis of < 50 years, with older patients were included. A narrative review of median and mean survival demonstrated conflicting results, with studies showing early-onset OAC patients having both better and worse outcomes compared to older age groups. A meta-analysis of five-year survival demonstrated similar outcomes across age groups, with 22%-25% of patients in the young, middle and older age groups alive after five years. A meta-analysis of four studies demonstrated that early-onset OAC patients did not have a significantly increased risk of death compared to middle-aged patients (hazard ratio 1.12, 95%CI: 0.85-1.47).

CONCLUSION

Results suggest that early-onset OAC patients do not have a significantly different survival compared to older patients, but further population-based research, taking into account stage and treatment, is required.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for esophageal cancer patients based on SEER Asian population

This study aims to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting overall survival (OS) in Asian patients with Esophageal Cancer (EC). Data from Asian EC patients were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression was used for initial variable selection, followed by multivariate Cox regression analysis to identify independent prognostic factors. A nomogram was subsequently constructed based on these factors. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves, while the clinical utility of the nomogram was assessed through decision curve analysis (DCA). The LASSO regression and multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age, sex, marital status, tumor size, M stage, surgery, and chemotherapy as independent prognostic factors. The ROC curve results demonstrated that the area under the curve (AUC) values for predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS in the training cohort were 0.770, 0.756, and 0.783, respectively. In the validation cohort, the AUC values were 0.814, 0.763, and 0.771, respectively. Calibration curves indicated a high concordance between predicted and actual OS. The DCA demonstrated that the nomogram has significant clinical applicability. This nomogram provides reliable predictions and valuable guidance for personalized survival estimates and high-risk patient identification.

[Gender medicine in diseases of the upper gastrointestinal tract]

Benign and malignant diseases of the upper gastrointestinal tract show gender-specific differences. The frequent gastroesophageal reflux disease is a prime example: men have an erosive reflux disease more often than women and are also younger at the time of onset. The rate of progression to a metaplastic Barrett's esophagus is also higher in men. In the case of achalasia, there are indications that surgical treatment by laparoscopic Heller's myotomy and semifundoplication 180° according to Dor leads to a markedly better improvement in the symptoms in women compared to men, although they showed a more pronounced dilation of the tubular esophagus. The female hormone status influences the localization and histopathology of adenocarcinoma of the esophagogastric junction and gastric carcinoma. Premenopausal and postmenopausal carcinomas differ significantly in women. In addition, high microsatellite instability (MSI high) is more frequent in women and is associated with a generally significantly better prognosis. The MSI high gastric carcinomas of women show better survival than MSI high carcinomas of men. The future inclusion of gender-specific aspects in studies of the upper gastrointestinal tract is desirable in order to generate adequate data and to enable differentiated treatment stratification in the future.

Rural Women Have a Prolonged Recovery Process after Esophagectomy

BACKGROUND

Gender and geographic access to care play a large role in health disparities in esophageal cancer care. The aim of our study was to evaluate disparities in peri-operative outcomes for patients undergoing esophagectomy based on gender and geographic location.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of prospectively collected data from patients who underwent esophagectomy from 2003 to 2022 was identified and analyzed based on gender and county, which were aggregated into existing state-level "metropolitan" versus "rural" designations. The demographics, pre-operative treatment, surgical complications, post-operative outcomes, and length of stay (LOS) of each group were analyzed using chi-squared, paired t-tests and single-factor ANOVA.

RESULTS

Of the 1545 patients, men (83.6%) and women (16.4%) experienced similar rates of post-operative complications, but women experienced significantly longer hospital (p = 0.002) and ICU (p = 0.03) LOSs as compared with their male counterparts, with no differences in 30-day mortality. When separated by geographic criteria, rural women were further outliers, with significantly longer hospital LOSs (p < 0.001) and higher rates of ICU admission (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Rural female patients undergoing esophagectomy were more likely to have a longer inpatient recovery process compared with their female metropolitan or male counterparts, suggesting a need for more targeted interventions in this population.

Sex differences in cancer incidence among solid organ transplant recipients

BACKGROUND

Males have 2-3-fold greater risk of cancer than females at most shared anatomic sites, possibly reflecting enhanced immune surveillance against cancer in females. We examined whether these sex differences remained among immunocompromised adults.

METHODS

Using the Transplant Cancer Match (TCM) study, we estimated the male-to-female incidence rate ratio in TCM (M:F IRRTransplant) for 15 cancer sites diagnosed between 1995 and 2017 using Poisson regression. Male to female IRRs in the general population (M:F IRRGP) were calculated using expected cancer counts from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, standardized to the transplant population on age, race and ethnicity, and diagnosis year. Male to female IRRs were compared using a chi-square test.

RESULTS

Among 343 802 solid organ transplants, 211 206 (61.4%) were among men and 132 596 (38.6%) among women. An excess cancer incidence in males was seen in transplant recipients, but the sex difference was attenuated for cancers of the lip (M:F IRRTransplant: 1.81 vs M:F IRRGP: 3.96; P < .0001), stomach (1.51 vs 2.09; P = .002), colorectum (0.98 vs 1.43; P < .0001), liver (2.39 vs 3.44; P = .002), kidney (1.67 vs 2.24; P < .0001), bladder (2.02 vs 4.19; P < .0001), Kaposi sarcoma (1.79 vs 3.26; P = .0009), and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (1.34 vs 1.64; P < .0001). The M:F IRRTransplant was not statistically different from the M:F IRRGP for other cancer sites.

CONCLUSIONS

Although male solid organ transplant recipients have higher cancer incidence than female recipients, the attenuation in the male to female ratio for many cancers studied relative to the general population might suggest the importance of immunosurveillance, with some loss of advantage in female recipients due to immunosuppression after transplantation.

Disparities in esophageal cancer incidence and esophageal adenocarcinoma mortality in the United States over the last 25-40 years

BACKGROUND

Esophageal carcinoma presents as 2 types, esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with the frequency of both changing in the United States (US).

AIM

To investigate EAC/ESCC incidence time trends among the 3 main US racial groups and investigate trends in US EAC survival by ethnicity.

METHODS

Twenty-five years (1992-2016) of data from SEER 13 program was analyzed to compare incidence trends in EAC and ESCC between non-Hispanic whites (nHW), non-Hispanic Blacks (nHB) and Hispanics (Hisp) using SEERStat^®. In addition, SEER 18 data, from 1975-2015, on EAC in the US was analyzed to evaluate racial disparities in incidence and survival using SEERStat^® and Ederer II method.

RESULTS

In the 3 major US ethnic groups, age-adjusted incidence of ESCC has declined while EAC has continued to rise from 1992-2016. Of note, in Hisp, the EAC incidence rate increased while ESCC decreased from 1992 to 2016, resulting in EAC as the predominant esophageal cancer subtype in this group since 2011, joining nHW. Furthermore, although ESCC remains the predominant tumor in nHB, the difference between ESCC and EAC has narrowed dramatically over 25 years. EAC survival probabilities were worse in all minority groups compared to nHw.

CONCLUSION

Hisp have joined nHW as US ethnic groups more likely to have EAC than ESCC. Of note, EAC incidence in nHB is increasing at the highest rate nationally. Despite lower EAC incidence in all minority groups compared to nHW, these populations have decreased survival compared to nHW.

Comparison of TNM AJCC/UICC 8th with JES 11th staging systems for prognostic prediction in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy in China

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to compare the prognostic prediction performances of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) 8th staging system and the Japan Esophageal Society (JES) 11th staging system for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy.

METHODS

In total, 574 patients were enrolled and categorized according to the tumor, node metastasis (TNM) AJCC/UICC 8th and JES 11th editions. Survival rates and disease-free survival were computed using the Kaplan-Meier technique. The log-rank test was used for survival difference analysis.

RESULTS

(1) The 8th AJCC/UICC N staging exhibited significant stratification for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). JES 11th showed significant OS stratification, but PFS was not well-stratified for N2-N4. (2) Both staging systems demonstrated significant stratification for OS and PFS. (3) AJCC/UICC 8th TNM staging yielded significantly well-stratified OS and PFS in the differing staging group. JES 11th failed to stratify OS and PFS for stages III and IVA. (4) AJCC/UICC 8th TNM stratified OS and PFS significantly well for lower and middle region tumors, whereas JES 11th inadequately stratified stages III and IVA. (5) Significant multivariable analysis results indicated that AJCC/UICC 8th independently predicted poor OS and PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

In Chinese patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent radical (chemo) radiotherapy, the AJCC/UICC 8th edition exhibited superior prognostic prediction capabilities compared with the JES 11th edition.

Increased Variation in Esophageal Cancer Treatment and Geographic Healthcare Disparity in Michigan

BACKGROUND

Regional variation in complex healthcare is shown to negatively impact health outcomes. We sought to characterize geographic variance in esophageal cancer operation in Michigan.

STUDY DESIGN

Data for patients with locoregional esophageal cancer from the Michigan Cancer Surveillance Program from 2000 to 2013 was analyzed. We reviewed the incidence of esophageal cancer by county and region, and those with locoregional disease receiving an esophagectomy. Counties were aggregated into existing state-level "urban vs rural" designations, regions were aggregated using the Michigan Economic Recovery Council designations, and data was analyzed with ANOVA, F-test, and chi-square test.

RESULTS

Of the 8,664 patients with locoregional disease, 2,370 (27.4%) were treated with operation. Men were significantly more likely to receive esophagectomy than women (p < 0.001). Likewise, White, insured, and rural patients were more likely than non-White (p < 0.001), non-insured (p = 0.004), and urban patients (p < 0.001), respectively. There were 8 regions and 83 counties, with 61 considered rural and 22 urban. Region 1 (Detroit metro area, southeast) comprises the largest urban and suburban populations; with 4 major hospital systems it was considered the baseline standard for access to care. Regions 2 (west; p = 0.011), 3 (southwest; p = 0.024), 4 (east central; p = 0.012), 6 (northern Lower Peninsula; p = 0.008), and 8 (Upper Peninsula; p < 0.001) all had statistically significant greater variance in annual rates of operation compared with region 1. Region 8 had the largest variance and was the most rural and furthest from region 1. The variance in operation rate between urban and rural differed significantly (p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

A significant increase in variation of care was found in rural vs urban counties, as well as in regions distant to larger hospital systems. Those of male sex, White race, rural residence, and those with health insurance were significantly more likely to receive operation.

Low-grade dysplasia in Barrett's esophagus: A problematic diagnosis

Although low-grade dysplasia (LGD) in Barrett's esophagus (BE) is a histopathological diagnosis based on different histological abnormalities, it is still problematic for different reasons. Patients without confirmed diagnosis of LGD undergo unnecessary and intensified follow-up where the risk of progression is low in the majority of cases. In contrast, the presence of confirmed LGD indicates a high risk of progression. In this article we try to address these reasons focusing on re-confirmation of LGD diagnosis, interobserver agreement, and persistent confirmed LGD. The progression risk of LGD to high-grade dysplasia and esophageal adenocarcinoma will also be reviewed.

Burden of esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2019 in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index: A comparison with global data

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to describe the trends in incidence, mortality, and burden of esophageal cancer (EC) in Asia from 2010 through 2019 and compare with other global continental data.

METHODS

We collected EC data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study from 2010 to 2019 in 49 countries and territories in Asia based on the sociodemographic index (SDI). For all locations, annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were extracted to investigate the EC incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). The ASR relative difference (%) between years and the male/female (M/F) ratio were calculated. Data are reported in values and 95% uncertainty interval (UI).

RESULTS

In 2019, more than 70% of EC new cases, deaths, prevalence, and DALYs occurred in Asian countries. From 2010 to 2019, incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, and DALY number of EC increased over 1.10-, 1.07-, 1.14-, and 1.03-fold, in Asia. During this period, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (DALYs ASR) of EC decreased by 18, 21, 14, and 22%, respectively. The rate of decline in Asia is higher than in the world and other continents. In 2019, age-specific incidence, death, prevalence, and DALY cases of EC cancer peaked at 65-74, 70-74, 65-69, and 65-69 years, respectively. In 2019, the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR of EC were observed in East Asian countries, while having the highest decreasing trend. In 2019, among high SDI Asian countries, Taiwan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR, and the United Arab Emirates had the highest ASDR. Among high-middle SDIs, Kazakhstan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, ASDR, and DALYs ASR; among middle SDIs, China had the highest ASIR, ASDR, and ASPR, and Viet Nam had the highest DALYs ASR; among low-middle SDIs, Mongolia had the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALY ASR of EC cancer. Among low SDI Asian countries, Pakistan had the highest ASIR and ASPR, and DALY ASR for EC cancer. For four indicators, in most countries, the ratio of men was higher than women, and in some countries, this ratio reached more than 10 times.

CONCLUSION

Although the rate of decline in incidence, death, prevalence and burden of EC in Asia was higher than in other areas in the last 10 years, more than 70% of these amounts occur in Asia. Therefore, it appears that adopting appropriate strategies in the field of identifying and controlling modifiable risk factors for EC, implementing screening programs, and timely diagnosis and treatment will help in reducing the burden of this disease in Asian countries.

Current status and temporal trend in incidence, death, and burden of esophageal cancer from 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the world's most unknown and deadly cancers. This study aimed to provide updated epidemiological indicators and the recent trend of EC by age group, gender, and geographical region in the world.

METHODS

Annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of epidemiological indicators of EC were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2019 in 204 countries and territories based on the sociodemographic index (SDI). Relative difference (%), average annual percentage change (AAPC), and the male/female ratio were calculated. Data are reported in values and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

EC age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) decreased by 19%, age-standardized death rates (ASDR) decreased by 25%, and disability-adjusted life-years ASR (DALYs ASR) decreased by 30% from 1990 to 2019. The higher number of EC cases was in men aged 50 to 69 years and in women aged over 70. From 1990 to 2019, Middle SDI countries experienced a decline in the ASIR and ASDR of EC. The High SDI countries had an increasing ASDR trend. In World Bank High-Income countries, the ASIR of EC has remained unchanged and decreased in other regions. The Asia continent has the highest rate of incidence, mortality, and burden of EC and the highest rate of reduction. East Asia, Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa respectively have the highest ASIR of EC. Central Asia has experienced the greatest decrease in the ASIR and ASDR of EC, the countries of Central Europe had a steady ASIR and High-Income North America had an increasing trend in ASIR and ASDR. The burden of EC shows a decreasing trend worldwide. Central and East Asia regions have the highest rate and the highest increase in the burden of EC.

CONCLUSION

Based on great variation in the geographical distribution of epidemiological indicators of EC, investigating the reasons for this diversity requires more studies to be conducted in the field of prevention, distribution of risk factors, and implementation of screening methods with high cost-effectiveness, and access to treatment methods. The provision of regional solutions may be more effective than global strategies.

Short-term and long-term effect of nutrition intervention in the Linxian Dysplasia Nutrition Intervention Trial and the reason for disappearance of the intervention effect: A cohort study

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to determine the short-term and long-term effects of a nutrition intervention in using 37 years of follow-up data.

METHODS

The Linxian Dysplasia Population Nutrition Intervention Trial was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial with 7 years of intervention and 30 years of follow-up. The Cox proportional hazard model was used for analyses. Subgroup analyses were conducted in age and sex subgroups, and the 30 years of follow-up were divided into two 15-year early and late periods.

RESULTS

The results at 37 years did not indicate any effects on mortality from cancers or other diseases. In the first 15 years, the intervention decreased the overall risk of gastric cancer deaths in all participants (hazard ratio [HR], 0.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.58-1.00) and in the subgroup participants younger than 55 years (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.43-0.96). In addition, in the group younger than 55 years (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.35-0.96), the intervention decreased the risk of death from other diseases; and, in the group aged 55 years and older (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.58-0.98), the intervention reduced the risk of death from heart disease. There were no significant results in the later 15 years, which indicated the disappearance of the intervention effect. Comparing demographic characteristics between those who died during the two periods, the participants who died later included more women, had a higher education level, had a lower smoking rate, were younger, and also more had a mild degree of esophageal dysplasia, representing a better lifestyle and health condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term follow-up indicated no effect of nutrition on deaths in a population with esophageal squamous dysplasia, further supporting the significance of continuous nutritional intervention for cancer protection. The pattern of protective effect of a nutrition intervention on gastric cancer in patients with esophageal squamous dysplasia was similar to that in the general population. Participants who died in the later period had more protective factors than those who died in the earlier period, contributing to the obvious effect of the intervention in early stage disease.

Prognosis prediction in esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma: a competing risk analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to construct and validate a competing risk nomogram model to predict 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) for patients with esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma (ESRCC) between 2010 and 2015 were abstracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We performed the competing risk model to select significant variables to build a competing risk nomogram, which was used to estimate 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS probability. The C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, Brier score, and decision curve analysis were performed in the internal validation.

RESULTS

A total of 564 patients with esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma fulfilled the eligibility criteria. The competing risk nomogram identified 4 prognostic variables, involving the gender, lung metastases, liver metastases, and receiving surgery. The C indexes of nomogram were 0.61, 0.75, and 0.70, respectively for 5-year, 3-year, and 1-year CSS prediction. The calibration plots displayed high consistency. The Brier scores and decision curve analysis respectively favored good prediction ability and clinical utility of the nomogram.

CONCLUSIONS

A competing risk nomogram for esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma was successfully constructed and internally validated. This model is expected to predict 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS, and help oncologists and pathologists in clinical decision making and health care management for esophageal signet-ring-cell carcinoma patients.

Female Sex but Not Oestrogen Receptor Expression Predicts Survival in Advanced Gastroesophageal Adenocarcinoma-A Post-hoc Analysis of the GO2 Trial

Gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma is a disease of older adults that is associated with a very poor prognosis. It is less common and has better outcomes in females. The reason for this is unknown but may relate to signalling via the main oestrogen receptors (ER) α and β. In this study, we sought to investigate this using the GO2 clinical trial patient cohort. GO2 recruited older and/or frail patients with advanced gastroesophageal cancer. Immunohistochemistry was performed on tumour samples from 194 patients. The median age of the population was 76 years (range 52-90), and 25.3% were female. Only one (0.5%) tumour sample was positive for ERα, compared to 70.6% for ERβ expression. There was no survival impact according to ERβ expression level. Female sex and younger age were associated with lower ERβ expression. Female sex was also associated with improved overall survival. To our knowledge, this is the largest study worldwide of ER expression in a cohort of patients with advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma. It is also unique, given the age of the population. We have demonstrated that female sex is associated with better survival outcomes with palliative chemotherapy but that this does not appear to be related to ER IHC expression. The differing ER expression according to age supports the concept of a different disease biology with age.

Clinical-Pathological Characteristics of Adenosquamous Esophageal Carcinoma: A Propensity-Score-Matching Study

There are few studies on esophageal adenosquamous carcinoma (ADSC). Our study intended to investigate the clinical and survival features of ADSC. We included esophageal cancer (EC) data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database to explore clinical and survival traits. Propensity score matching (PSM), the multivariate Cox regression model, and survival curves were used in this study. A total of 137 patients with ADSC were included in our analysis. The proportion of ADSC within the EC cohort declined from 2004 to 2018. Besides, results indicated no significant difference in survival between ADSC and SCC groups (PSM-adjusted HR = 1.249, P = 0.127). However, the survival rate of the ADSC group was significantly worse than that of the ADC group (PSM-adjusted HR = 1.497, P = 0.007). For the ADSC group, combined treatment with surgery had a higher survival rate than other treatment methods (all P < 0.001). Surgical resection, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy were independent protective prognostic factors (all P < 0.05). The proportion of ADSC has been declining from 2004 to 2018. The prognosis of ADSC is not significantly different from that of SCC but is worse than that of ADC. Surgery, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy could improve the prognosis of patients. Comprehensive treatment with surgery as the main treatment is more beneficial for some patients.

Early-Onset Cancers in Adults: A Review of Epidemiology, Supportive Care Needs and Future Research Priorities

Rising incidence of specific types of early-age onset cancers in adults aged 18-49 years has been reported in high-income countries. In this review, we summarise the epidemiology of early-onset cancers using exemplar data from a high-income UK region, discuss supportive care needs for young patients and outline future research directions. The incidence rate of early-onset cancers increased by 20.5% from 1993 to 2019 in Northern Ireland. Differences in types of cancer were observed between sexes and across age groups of 18-29, 30-39 and 40-49 years. One and five-year net survival was mostly better in 18-29-year-olds for all cancers combined compared to older age groups for both sexes, but there were variations in specific cancer types. Poorer survival was observed for patients with brain/central nervous system, connective and soft tissue or lung cancers. Patients with early-onset cancers face unique supportive care needs and require holistic care. The impact of cancer treatment on fertility and fertility preservation treatments is an important consideration. Social media can be used for patient support, information, fundraising, advocacy work and recruitment to research studies. We also outline suggested future research priorities for early-onset cancers, spanning prevention, diagnosis, treatment and supportive care needs.

Age-Related Sex Disparities in Esophageal Cancer Survival: A Population-Based Study in the United States

Background

The association between sex and the survival of patients with esophageal cancer (EC) remains controversial. We sought to systematically investigate sex-based disparities in EC survival using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry data from the United States.

Methods

Patients with EC diagnosed from 2004 to 2015 registered in the SEER database were selected. The association between sex and cancer-specific survival (CSS) was evaluated using survival analysis. The Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) approach was applied to reduce the observed bias between males and females. Subgroup analyses were used to investigate the robustness of the sex-based disparity and to explore potential interaction effects with other variables.

Results

Overall, 29,312 eligible EC patients were analyzed, of whom 5,781 were females, and 23,531 were males. Females had higher crude CSS compared to males (10-year CSS: 24.5 vs. 21.3%; P < 0.001). Similar results were obtained after adjusting for selection bias using the IPW approach and multivariate regression. Subgroup analyses confirmed the relative robustness of sex as a prognostic factor. However, significant interactions were observed between sex and other variables, such as age, race, tumor grade, histology, and treatment modality. In particular, there was no survival advantage for premenopausal females compared to their male counterparts, but the association between sex and EC survival was prominent in 46-55-year-old patients.

Conclusions

Female EC patients had better long-term survival than males. The association between sex and EC survival vary according to age, race, tumor grade, histology, and treatment modality. Sex-based disparity in EC-specific survival was age-related in the United States population.

How much progress have we made?: a 20-year experience regarding esophageal stents for the palliation of malignant dysphagia

Esophageal stents are widely used for the palliation of malignant esophageal obstruction. Advances in technology have made esophageal stenting technically feasible and widespread for such obstruction, but complications remain frequent. We present outcomes of a large cohort undergoing esophageal stent placement for malignant esophageal obstruction at a tertiary care cancer center. Patients who underwent placement of esophageal stents for malignancy-related esophageal obstruction between 1 January 2001 and 31 July 2020 were identified. Exclusion criteria included stents placed for benign stricture, fistulae, obstruction of proximal esophagus (proximal to 24 cm from incisors), or post-surgical indications. Patient charts were reviewed for demographics, procedure and stent characteristics, complications, and follow-up. A total of 242 patients underwent stent placement (median age: 64 years, 79.8% male). The majority, 204 (84.3%), had esophageal cancer. During the last two decades, there has been an increasing trend in the number of esophageal stents placed. Though plastic stents were previously used, these are no longer utilized. Complications are frequent and include early complications of pain in 68 (28.1%) and migration in 21 (8.7%) and delayed complications of recurrent symptoms of dysphagia in 46 (19.0%) and migration in 26 (10.7%). Over the study period, there has not been a significant improvement in the rate of complications. During follow-up, 92 (38%) patients required other enteral nutrition modalities after esophageal stent placement. No patient, treatment, or stent characteristics were significantly associated with stent complication or outcome. Esophageal stent placement is an increasingly popular method for palliation of malignant dysphagia. However, complications, particularly pain, migration, and recurrent symptoms of dysphagia are common. Almost 40% of patients may also require other methods of enteral access after esophageal stent placement. Given the high complication rates and suboptimal outcomes, removable stents should be considered as first-line in the case of poor palliative response.

Gender differences in Barrett's esophagus and progression of disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

It is known that Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma occur more commonly in men. What is unknown are the prevalence of BE and rates of neoplastic progression in women. Our aim was to determine the prevalence of Barrett's and its progression to esophageal cancer in women through systematic review and meta-analysis. A comprehensive search was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar. Studies were included that reported prevalence rates of BE or progression rates to neoplastic disease stratified by gender. Barrett's was defined by updated criteria as salmon-colored mucosa ≥1 cm proximal to the gastroesophageal junction. Pooled rates and odds ratios (ORs) at 95% confidence interval (CI) of the prevalence of BE and its progression to neoplastic disease were calculated. Ten studies with 19,337 patients (50.6% women) reported on prevalence and six studies with 5137 patients (24.3% women) reported on neoplastic progression of disease between genders. The rate of BE in women was 1.29% ([95% CI: 0.76-2.19], I2 = 91%) compared to men at 4.66% ([95% CI: 3.31-6.53], I2 = 89%); OR: 0.33 ([95% CI: 0.27-0.42], I2 = 0%). The rate of annual progression of Barrett's to high-grade dysplasia or adenocarcinoma was 0.62% ([95% CI: 0.22-1.75]) in women compared to 1.54% ([95% CI: 0.83-2.81], I2 = 96%) in men; OR: 0.44 ([95% CI: 0.30-0.65], I2 = 22%). This study demonstrates a 70% lower rate of prevalence and a 60% lower rate of neoplastic progression of Barrett's in women. Future BE guidelines should tailor screening and surveillance practices by gender.

Sex differences in esophageal cancer overall and by histological subtype

Esophageal cancer is the seventh most common type of cancer in the world, the sixth leading cause of cancer-related death and its incidence is expected to rise 140% in the world in a period of 10 years until 2025. The overall incidence is higher in males, while data about prognosis and survival are not well established yet. The goal of this study was to carry out a comprehensive analysis of differences between sexes and other covariates in patients diagnosed with primary esophageal cancer. Data from 2005 to 2020 were obtained from the University Hospitals (UH) Seidman Cancer Center and from 2005 to 2018 from SEER. Patients were categorized according to histological subtype and divided according to sex. Pearson Chi-square test was used to compare variables of interest by sex and the influence of sex on survival was assessed by Kaplan Meier, log rank tests and Cox proportional hazards regression models. A total of 1205 patients were used for analysis. Sex differences in all types were found for age at diagnosis, histology, smoking status and prescriptions of NSAIDs and in SCC for age at diagnosis and alcoholism. Survival analysis didn't showed differences between males and females on univariable and multivariable models. Males have a higher incidence of Esophageal Cancer and its two main subtypes but none of the comprehensive set of variables analyzed showed to be strongly or unique correlated with this sex difference in incidence nor are they associated with a sex difference in survival.

Investigating Trends of Incidence Rates of Esophageal Cancer Divided by Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Adenocarcinoma in Southern Iran: a 10-Year Experience

BACKGROUND

Gastrointestinal cancers account for a significant number of deaths and new cancer cases worldwide. Our aim is to investigate stratum-specific incidence trends of esophageal cancer in southern Iran considering age, gender, and morphological (adenocarcinoma/squamous cell carcinoma) subtypes.

METHOD

We used data on esophageal cancer incidence in the catchment area of Shiraz Population-Based Cancer Registry. New cancer cases with ICD-O-3 codes of C15.0 to C15.9 were retrieved and prepared. New annual cases were counted for categories defied based on age group, gender, and morphology. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) and its 95% CI was estimated for each trend using joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

The total number of esophageal cancer was higher in males than females. It is an increasing rate in esophageal adenocarcinoma in females and this increase was more prominent in older ages. Also, our study showed that SCC has a decreasing trend in females and a steady trend in males.

DISCUSSION

Taken together, the increasing trend in adenocarcinoma in females in our study can be related to the increasing rate of obesity and smoking in females in recent years in our region. The incidence trend of different morphologic types of esophageal cancer is changing. This can be a consequence of alterations in the incidence trend of different risk factors. It is necessary to conduct more studies evaluating these risk factors.

Exercise-based dysphagia rehabilitation for adults with oesophageal cancer: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Dysphagia is prevalent in oesophageal cancer with significant clinical and psychosocial complications. The purpose of this study was i) to examine the impact of exercise-based dysphagia rehabilitation on clinical and quality of life outcomes in this population and ii) to identify key rehabilitation components that may inform future research in this area.

METHODS

Randomised control trials (RCT), non-RCTs, cohort studies and case series were included. 10 databases (CINAHL Complete, MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, CENTRAL, and ProQuest Dissertations and Theses, OpenGrey, PROSPERO, RIAN and SpeechBITE), 3 clinical trial registries, and relevant conference abstracts were searched in November 2020. Two independent authors assessed articles for eligibility before completing data extraction, quality assessment using ROBINS-I and Downs and Black Checklist, followed by descriptive data analysis. The primary outcomes included oral intake, respiratory status and quality of life. All comparable outcomes were combined and discussed throughout the manuscript as primary and secondary outcomes.

RESULTS

Three single centre non-randomised control studies involving 311 participants were included. A meta-analysis could not be completed due to study heterogeneity. SLT-led post-operative dysphagia intervention led to significantly earlier start to oral intake and reduced length of post-operative hospital stay. No studies found a reduction in aspiration pneumonia rates, and no studies included patient reported or quality of life outcomes. Of the reported secondary outcomes, swallow prehabilitation resulted in significantly improved swallow efficiency following oesophageal surgery compared to the control group, and rehabilitation following surgery resulted in significantly reduced vallecular and pyriform sinus residue. The three studies were found to have 'serious' to 'critical' risk of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review highlights a low-volume of low-quality evidence to support exercise-based dysphagia rehabilitation in adults undergoing surgery for oesophageal cancer. As dysphagia is a common symptom impacting quality of life throughout survivorship, findings will guide future research to determine if swallowing rehabilitation should be included in enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) programmes. This review is limited by the inclusion of non-randomised control trials and the reliance on Japanese interpretation which may have resulted in bias. The reviewed studies were all of weak design with limited data reported.

Demographic and lifestyle risk factors for gastroesophageal reflux disease and Barrett's esophagus in Australia

We examined demographic and lifestyle risk factors for incidence of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and Barrett's esophagus (BE) in an Australian cohort of 20,975 participants aged 40-63 at recruitment (1990-1994). Information on GERD and BE was collected between 2007 and 2010. GERD symptoms were defined as self-reported heartburn or acid regurgitation. BE was defined as endoscopically confirmed columnar-lined esophagus. Risk factors for developing GERD symptoms, BE diagnosis, age at symptom onset, and age at BE diagnosis were quantified using regression. During a mean follow-up of 15.8 years, risk of GERD symptoms was 7.5% (n = 1,318) for daily, 7.5% (n = 1,333) for 2-6 days/week, and 4.3% (n = 751) for 1 day/week. There were 210 (1.0%) endoscopically diagnosed BE cases, of whom 141 had histologically confirmed esophageal intestinal metaplasia. Female sex, younger age, lower socioeconomic position (SEP) and educational attainment, and former smoking were associated with higher GERD risk. Male sex and smoking were associated with earlier GERD symptom onset. Men, older participants, those with higher SEP, and former smokers were at higher BE risk. There was some evidence higher SEP was associated with earlier BE diagnosis. GERD and BE had different demographic risk factors but shared similar lifestyle factors. Earlier GERD symptom onset for men and smokers might have contributed to higher BE risk. The SEP patterns observed for GERD and BE suggest potential inequity in access to care. These findings would be important in the development of clinical risk prediction models for early detection of BE.

OUP accepted manuscript

Background

Accumulating evidence suggests a survival benefit after curative oesophageal cancer surgery in women compared with men. The aim of this study was to explore sex disparities in survival after surgery with curative intent in patients with oesophageal cancer.

Methods

This was a population-based cohort study, including all patients with oesophageal or gastric cancer who underwent surgery with a curative intent between 2006 and 2017 in Sweden. Female versus male mortality rate ratio (MRR) and excess mortality rate ratio (EMRR) were used as measures of survival. Two different parametric models were designed to account for potential confounders. Patients with gastric cancer were used as a comparison group as no differences in survival between sexes were expected among these patients.

Results

A total of 1301 patients underwent resection for oesophageal adenocarcinoma and 305 patients for oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Women had a lower EMRR (0.76, 95 per cent c.i. 0.58 to 1.01, P = 0.056; 0.52, 95 per cent c.i. 0.32 to 0.84, P = 0.007 respectively) in both histological subtypes. The effect was more profound in early clinical stages, in patients receiving neoadjuvant treatment, and without postoperative complications. No sex-related difference was observed in survival of patients with gastric cancer.

Conclusions

Women undergoing resection for oesophageal carcinoma have better survival compared with men.

Trends of Esophageal Cancer Incidence and Mortality and Its Influencing Factors in China

Purpose

To explore the esophageal cancer (EC) incidence and mortality trends and risk factors in China during 2005–2015.

Materials and Methods

The data were stratified by area (urban, rural), gender (male, female), and age groups (0 ~, 5 ~, …, 85 ~). The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and mortality rate (ASMR), age-specific incidence and mortality were calculated to describe the trends, which were analyzed by Joinpoint software, negative binomial regression model, and age-period-cohort model.

Results

Trends in EC ASIR decreased markedly during 2010–2015 (APC=−6.14%, P<0.05), and the average annual percent change (AAPC) value was −8.07% (95% confidence interval (CI): −9.98~−6.12) for rural areas during 2005–2015. The ASMR was on a fast-downward trend after 2011 (APC=−6.67%, P<0.05), with AAPC values of −1.34% (95% CI: −2.56~−0.19) for males, −3.39% (95% CI: −5.65, −1.07) for females, and −9.67% (95% CI: −10.56~−8.77) for rural areas during 2005–2015. The age-specific incidence and mortality increased with age. The risk of EC for males was 3.1675 times higher than females (P<0.001), and for urban areas, it was 0.58 times larger than rural (P<0.001). The age and period effects presented an increasing trend, with a decreasing trend for the cohort effects in incidence and mortality risk. Later birth cohorts presented lower risks than previous birth cohorts.

Conclusion

ASIR and ASMR in China are higher in males than females, and higher in rural than urban areas, which have decreased during 2005–2015, especially in rural areas. The incidence increased with age up to the peak age group of 75. Area, gender, and age were independent risk factors for EC incidence.

Efficacy and Safety of Programmed Cell Death 1 Inhibitor Monotherapy Versus Chemotherapy as Second-Line Treatment for Advanced Esophageal Cancer: A Meta-analysis and Systematic Review

PURPOSE

With programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) inhibitors approved for second-line treatment of advanced esophageal cancer, immunotherapy and chemotherapy have gradually become the main treatments for second-line treatment of patients with advanced esophageal cancer (AEC). This meta-analysis and systematic review were conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of PD-1 inhibitors monotherapy versus chemotherapy in second-line treatment of AEC.

METHODS

Eligible randomized controlled trials were searched in PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library and abstracts presented at the American Society of Clinical Oncology or European Society of Medical Oncology were reviewed to assess the efficacy and tolerability of PD-1/programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitors relative to chemotherapy for AEC from January 2016 to October 2020. Patients diagnosed with AEC and progressing after first-line therapy were included in this study. Hazard ratios (HRs) of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS), risk ratios (RRs) of objective response rate (ORR), and the odds ratios (ORs) of adverse effects (AEs) were calculated.

FINDINGS

The study included 4 randomized controlled trials with 1683 patients. The results indicated that PD-1 inhibitors prolonged the OS (HR = 0.79; 95% CI, 0.71-0.88; P < 0.01) and improved the ORR (RR = 3.00; 95% CI, 2.36-3.82; P = 0.01) but did not improve the PFS (HR = 0.96; 95% CI, 0.76-1.20; P = 0.692) compared with chemotherapy in the second-line treatment of AEC. PD-1 inhibitors alone were associated with a lower incidence of all treatment-related AEs (OR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.09-0.89; P = 0.03) and grade 3 to 5 treatment-related AEs (OR = 0.26; 95% CI, 0.16-0.44; P < 0.01) versus chemotherapy. PD-1 inhibitors prolonged OS mainly in the following patient groups: male, age <65 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 1, or PD-L1 tumor proportion score ≥10%. Asian patients had a longer OS than non-Asian patients (P = 0.01).

IMPLICATIONS

The available evidence indicates that the efficacy and tolerability of PD-1 inhibitors were better than chemotherapy in the second-line treatment of AEC, and the benefiting population of these patients was limited to males, those <65 years of age, those with a Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 1, or those with a PD-L1 tumor proportion score ≥10%. Notably, Asian patients receiving immune monotherapy had longer OS than non-Asian patients.

Machine Learning for Future Subtyping of the Tumor Microenvironment of Gastro-Esophageal Adenocarcinomas

Tumor progression involves an intricate interplay between malignant cells and their surrounding tumor microenvironment (TME) at specific sites. The TME is dynamic and is composed of stromal, parenchymal, and immune cells, which mediate cancer progression and therapy resistance. Evidence from preclinical and clinical studies revealed that TME targeting and reprogramming can be a promising approach to achieve anti-tumor effects in several cancers, including in GEA. Thus, it is of great interest to use modern technology to understand the relevant components of programming the TME. Here, we discuss the approach of machine learning, which recently gained increasing interest recently because of its ability to measure tumor parameters at the cellular level, reveal global features of relevance, and generate prognostic models. In this review, we discuss the relevant stromal composition of the TME in GEAs and discuss how they could be integrated. We also review the current progress in the application of machine learning in different medical disciplines that are relevant for the management and study of GEA.

Gender differences in Damp-Heat Syndrome: A review

Gender differences have important biological significance for medical research. In this study, a bias towards males was identified in animal experiments of Damp-Heat Syndrome in traditional Chinese medicine, as was first proposed by a data mining method. Combined with the correlation between Damp-Heat Syndrome in traditional Chinese medicine and Gender differences, it was considered that Gender-related factors have a significant influence on the development of Damp-Heat Syndrome in traditional Chinese medicine. However, most traditional Chinese medicine studies ignore the key significance of Gender-related factors. This study emphasises that the development of modern traditional Chinese medicine research needs to pay full attention to the biological significance of Gender-related factors and to apply this concept to the research on the Gender equivalence strategy in basic research and the practice of personalised medical diagnosis and clinical treatment.

Disparities of birth cohort effects on pancreatic cancer incidence between the United States and urban China

Background

Pancreatic cancer has been associated with lifestyle factors, but few comparative studies were conducted among countries of different culture and lifestyle habits. This study compared the trends of pancreatic cancer incidence and birth cohort effects in the United States and urban China and explored the potential discrepancies of risk patterns.

Materials and methods

Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) were calculated using data from national or regional cancer registries of the United States and two large cities of China (Shanghai, Hong Kong). The temporal trends of incidence were assessed by joinpoint regression. The effects of birth cohort and calendar period were identified through age–period–cohort modeling.

Results

The ASIR in the United States from 1976 to 2015 was 8.26/100 000, which was higher than that in Hong Kong (4.29/100 000) and Shanghai of China (6.63/100 000). Shanghai had lower incidence (4.41/100 000) in 1976-1980 but increased annually by 1.38% in males and 1.67% in females, with a sharper upward trend than the United States and Hong Kong. Males had higher risks than females, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.34, 1.44, and 1.37 in the United States, Hong Kong, and Shanghai, respectively. A significant and prominent increase in incidence rate was observed among successive generations in China particularly for Shanghai, but such a pattern was not apparent in the United States.

Conclusions

The differences in pancreatic cancer incidence by sex may be multi-factorial involving known risk factors like tobacco smoking and alcohol consumption. The significant birth cohort effects among recent and early generations in the Shanghai population were in line with a society in socioeconomic transition and adoption of Western lifestyle mainly including consumption of calorie-rich foods and physical inactivity. Differences in these risk patterns will have implications on health care efforts and policies for cancer control.

•

The ASIR of pancreatic cancer in the U.S. is higher than that in urban China.

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Higher risk of pancreatic cancer was observed in the youth of urban China, but this pattern was not prominent in the U.S.

•

The disparities of birth cohort effects are consistent with a society in socioeconomic transition.

Oestrogen receptors: A potential therapeutic target in oesophageal adenocarcinoma?

Oesophageal cancer is the seventh most common cancer in the world and adenocarcinoma is the dominant subtype in Western industrialised nations. The global 5-year relative survival rate for oesophageal adenocarcinoma is 12%. Chemotherapy is a standard treatment offered to patients with both resectable and unresectable disease. However, there are only a few established chemotherapeutic drug options and progress in this area is limited. Recent efforts have focused on targeted molecular therapies. Epidemiological evidence points towards hormonal influences on disease development, particularly sex hormones. Several research studies have demonstrated oestrogen receptor (ER) expression in oesophageal adenocarcinoma tissue, making them a possible option for targeting with ER modulating agents. ERs are also present in laboratory models of the disease and experiments in ER-positive cell lines suggest that ER modulator therapy may be effective. A deeper understanding of the roles of ERα and ERβ in this disease would be valuable for future translation into clinical practice. In this review, we discuss the association between oestrogens and the development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma and the potential to modulate ER signalling networks for therapeutic benefit.

Low Risk of Progression of Barrett's Esophagus to Neoplasia in Women

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Men are at a higher risk for Barrett's esophagus (BE) and esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), but little is known about BE progression to dysplasia and EAC in women. We performed a retrospective, multicenter cohort study to assess risk of BE progression to dysplasia and EAC in women compared with men. We also investigated comorbidities, medication use, and endoscopic features that contribute to sex differences in risk of BE progression.

METHODS

We collected data from large cohort of patients with BE seen at 6 centers in the United States and Europe, followed for a median 5.7 years. We obtained demographic information (age, sex, ethnicity), clinical history (tobacco use, body mass index, comorbidities), endoscopy results (procedure date, BE segment length), and histopathology findings. Neoplasia was graded as low-grade dysplasia, high-grade dysplasia (HGD), or EAC. Rates of disease progression between women and men were compared using χ2 analysis and the Student t test. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess the association between sex and disease progression after adjusting for possible confounding variables.

RESULTS

Of the total 4263 patients in the cohort, 2145 met the inclusion criteria, including 324 (15%) women. There was a total of 34 (1.6%) incident EACs, with an overall annual incidence of 0.3% (95% confidence interval: 0.2%-0.4%). We found significant differences between women and men in annual incidence rates of EAC (0.05% for women vs. 0.3% in men; P=0.04) and in the combined endpoint of HGD or EAC (0.1% for women vs. 1.1% for men; P<0.001). Female gender was an independent predictor for reduced progression to HGD or EAC when rates of progression were adjusted for body mass index, smoking history, race, use of aspirin, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, proton-pump inhibitors, or statins, hypertriglyceridemia, BE length, and histology findings at baseline (hazard ratio: 0.11; 95% confidence interval: 0.03-0.45; P=0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

In a multicenter study of men versus women with BE, we found a significantly lower risk of disease progression to cancer and HGD in women. The extremely low risk of EAC in women with BE (0.05%/y) indicates that surveillance endoscopy may not be necessary for this subgroup of patients with BE.

Clinical, epidemiological, and diagnostic characteristics of esophageal carcinoma in a Pakistani population

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer ranks eighth among the most prevalent cancers globally and is the sixth leading cause of mortality from malignancy worldwide; it is the 7th most prevalent malignancy in males and the 6th most prevalent malignancy in females. In Pakistan, the incidence is 4.1 per 100 000 with the province of Baluchistan having the greatest incidence.

OBJECTIVE

Report trends and characteristics of esophageal cancer in Pakistan over the past 10 years.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional, retrospective review of medical records.

SETTING

Tertiary care hospital.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study included all patients admitted with a diagnosis of esophageal carcinoma with a mass lesion or luminal narrowing. The records were for the period from January 2011 to September 2020.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Gender, histopathological types/differentiation along with clinical/laboratory findings.

SAMPLE SIZE

1009 with a mean (standard deviation) age of 49.3 (14.2) and a median (interquartile range of 50 (22) years (443 males and 566 females with age of 51.0 [20] years and 47.9 [23.8] years, respectively). The male-to-female ratio was 1:1.2.

RESULTS

Most patients (82.7%) had squamous cell carcinomas with a male-to-female ratio of 1:2; the remainder had adenocarcinomas with a male-to-female ratio of 4:1 (P<.001). Dysphagia, weight loss, and vomiting were the most prevalent symptoms. More adenocarcinoma masses were located distally compared with squamous cell carcinomas (P=.030), lesions were most likely to be ulcerated (P=.910). Luminal narrowing was slightly more frequent in squamous cell carcinoma (P=.215), thickening was more prominently circumferential in the adenocarcinomas. In squamous cell carcinoma, the most common variant was moderately differentiated while moderate to poorly differentiated variants were more common in adenocarcinoma. In the survival analysis, squamous cell carcinoma (P=.014 vs adenocarcinoma), particularly the well-differentiated type (P=.018 vs other variants), projected a better prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Our study reports the most recent trends of esophageal carcinoma in this region.

LIMITATIONS

Lack of metastatic workup, TNM staging, and mode of treatment, along with the overlapping pattern of histological variants.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

None.

The expanding role of CDR1-AS in the regulation and development of cancer and human diseases

CircRNAs are a superabundant and highly conserved group of noncoding RNAs (ncRNAs) that are characterized by their high stability and integrity compared with linear forms of ncRNAs. Recently, their critical role in gene expression regulation has been shown; thus, it is not far-fetched to believe that their abnormal expression can be a cause of different kinds of diseases such as cancer, neurodegenerative, and autoimmune diseases. They can have a function in variety of biological processes such as microRNA (miRNA) sponging, interacting with RNA-binding proteins, or even an ability to translate to proteins. A huge challenge in finding diagnostic biomarkers is finding noninvasive biomarkers that can be detected in human fluids, especially blood samples. CircRNAs are becoming candidate biomarkers for diagnosis and prognosis of these diseases through their ability to transverse from the blood-brain barrier and their broad presence in circulating exosomes. The circRNA for miRNA-7 (ciRS-7) is newly recognized, and acknowledged to being related to human pathology and cancer progression. In this review, we first briefly summarize the latest studies about their characteristics, biogenesis, and their mechanisms of action in the regulation and development of human diseases. Finally, we provide a list of diseases that are linked to one member of this novel class of ncRNAs called ciRS-7.

LYMPHOPARIETAL INDEX IN ESOPHAGEAL CANCER IS STRONGER THAN TNM STAGING IN LONG-TERM SURVIVAL PROGNOSIS IN A LATIN-AMERICAN COUNTRY

BACKGROUND

The identification of prognostic factors of esophageal cancer has allowed to predict the evolution of patients.

AIM

Assess different prognostic factors of long-term survival of esophageal cancer and evaluate a new prognostic factor of long-term survival called lymphoparietal index (N+/T).

METHOD

Prospective study of the Universidad de Chile Clinical Hospital, between January 2004 and December 2013. Included all esophageal cancer surgeries with curative intent and cervical anastomosis. Exclusion criteria included: stage 4 cancers, R1 resections, palliative procedures and emergency surgeries.

RESULTS

Fifty-eight patients were included, 62.1% were men, the average age was 63.3 years. A total of 48.3% were squamous, 88% were advanced cancers, the average lymph node harvest was 17.1. Post-operative surgical morbidity was 75%, with a 17.2% of reoperations and 3.4% of mortality. The average overall survival was 41.3 months, the 3-year survival was 31%. Multivariate analysis of the prognostic factors showed that significant variables were anterior mediastinal ascent (p=0.01, OR: 6.7 [1.43-31.6]), anastomotic fistula (p=0.03, OR: 0.21 [0.05-0.87]), N classification (p=0.02, OR: 3.8 [1.16-12.73]), TNM stage (p=0.04, OR: 2.8 [1.01-9.26]), and lymphoparietal index (p=0.04, RR: 3.9 [1.01-15.17]. The ROC curves of lymphoparietal index, N classification and TNM stage have areas under the curve of 0.71, 0.63 and 0.64 respectively, with significant statistical difference (p=0.01).

CONCLUSION

The independent prognostic factors of long-term survival in esophageal cancer are anterior mediastinal ascent, anastomotic fistula, N classification, TNM stage and lymphoparietal index. In esophageal cancer the new lymphoparietal index is stronger than TNM stage in long-term survival prognosis.

Incidence, Survival and Prognostic Factors of Oesophagogastric Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Oesophagogastric cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide due to its aggressive nature. Despite the high mortality rate, there is limited information regarding this cancer in Brunei.

AIM

To estimate the incidence and survival duration of oesophagogastric cancer patients, to identify prognostic factors of oesophagogastric cancer and associated factors for late-stage oesophagogastric cancer detection.

METHODS

A retrospective study on all oesophagogastric cancer patients registered in the population-based national cancer registry in Brunei from January 2010 to December 2018. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard regression survival analyses and multiple logistic regression were applied.

RESULTS

Sixty-eight oesophagogastric cancer patients' data were retrieved from the registry. The incidence was 2.75 cases per 100,000 adults per year. Median survival time was 1.18 years (95% CI: 0.77, 1.80) and the 3-year survival rate was 26.3%. Age (61-70 years) (adjusted HR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.17, 0.89; p = 0.025) and those who have undergone chemotherapy (adj. HR = 0.40; 95% CI: 0.18, 0.90; p = 0.026) have a significantly lower mortality risk. Obesity (adj. HR = 11.94; 95% CI: 1.94, 73.36; p = 0.007), and stage 4 (advanced stage) cancer (adj. HR=4.11; 95% CI: 1.97, 8.58; p< 0.001) have a significantly higher mortality risk. Females have 3-time odds (adj. OR = 3.05; 95% CI: 1.09, 9.02; p = 0.038) of presenting with stage 4 cancer. Smokers have 13-time odds (Adj. OR=12.99; 95% CI: 1.92, 262.0; p = 0.025) of presenting with stage 4 cancer.

CONCLUSION

Prognosis of oesophagogastric cancer remains poor. Addressing late detection and improve endoscopic surveillance and awareness of symptoms may help improve prognosis and mortality.

Sex-specific prognostic effect of CD66b-positive tumor-infiltrating neutrophils (TANs) in gastric and esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) have recently been identified as a relevant component of the tumor microenvironment (TME) in solid tumors. Within the TME TANs mediate either tumor-promoting or tumor-inhibiting activities. So far, their prognostic relevance remains to be determined. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic relevance of TANs in different molecular subtypes of gastric and esophageal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

We analyzed a total of 1118 Caucasian patients divided into gastric adenocarcinoma (n = 458) and esophageal adenocarcinoma cohort (n = 660) of primarily resected and neoadjuvant-treated individuals. The amount of CD66b + TANs in the tumor stroma was determined using quantitative image analysis and correlated to both molecular, as well as clinical data.

RESULTS

An accumulation of TANs in the tumor stroma of gastric carcinomas was associated to a significant favorable prognosis (p = 0.026). A subgroup analysis showed that this effect was primarily related to the molecular chromosomal instable subtype (CIN) of gastric carcinomas (p = 0.010). This was only observed in female patients (p = 0.014) but not in male patients (p = 0.315). The same sex-specific effect could be confirmed in adenocarcinomas of the esophagus (p = 0.027), as well as in female individuals after receiving neoadjuvant therapy (p = 0.034).

CONCLUSIONS

Together, we show a sex-specific prognostic effect of TANs in gastric cancer within a Caucasian cohort. For the first time, we showed that this sex-specific prognostic effect of TANs can also be seen in esophageal cancer.

Clinical and pathological predictors of failure of endoscopic therapy for Barrett's related high-grade dysplasia and early esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Multimodal endoscopic treatment for Barrett's esophagus (BE) related high-grade dysplasia (HGD) and early esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) is safe and effective. However, there is a paucity of data to predict the response to endoscopic treatment. This study aimed to identify predictors of failure to achieve complete eradication of neoplasia (CE-N) and complete eradication of intestinal metaplasia (CE-IM).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data of all HGD/EAC cases treated endoscopically at a tertiary referral center. Only patients with confirmed HGD/EAC from initial endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR) were included. Potential predictive variables including clinical characteristics, endoscopic features, and index histologic parameters of the EMR specimens were evaluated using multivariate Cox regression.

RESULTS

A total of 457 patients were diagnosed with HGD/EAC by initial EMR from January 2008 to January 2019. Of these, 366 patients who underwent subsequent endoscopic treatment with or without RFA were included. Cumulative incidence rates at 3 years for CE-N and CE-IM were 91.4% (95% CI 87.8-94.2%) and 66.8% (95% CI 61.2-72.3%), respectively during a median follow-up period of 35 months. BE segment of 3-10 cm (HR 0.45; 95% CI 0.36-0.57) and > 10 cm (HR 0.25; 95% CI 0.15-0.40) were independent clinical predictors associated with failure to achieve CE-N. With respect to CE-IM, increasing age (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.78-1.00) was another predictor along with BE segment of 3-10 cm (HR 0.37; 95% CI 0.28-0.49) and > 10 cm (HR 0.15; 95% CI 0.07-0.30). Lymphovascular invasion increased the risk of CE-N and CE-IM failure in EAC cases.

CONCLUSION

Failure to achieve CE-N and CE-IM is associated with long-segment BE and other clinical variables. Patients with these predictors should be considered for a more intensive endoscopic treatment approach at expert centers.

Consistent Estimation of Generalized Linear Models with High Dimensional Predictors via Stepwise Regression

Predictive models play a central role in decision making. Penalized regression approaches, such as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), have been widely used to construct predictive models and explain the impacts of the selected predictors, but the estimates are typically biased. Moreover, when data are ultrahigh-dimensional, penalized regression is usable only after applying variable screening methods to downsize variables. We propose a stepwise procedure for fitting generalized linear models with ultrahigh dimensional predictors. Our procedure can provide a final model; control both false negatives and false positives; and yield consistent estimates, which are useful to gauge the actual effect size of risk factors. Simulations and applications to two clinical studies verify the utility of the method.

Unique Considerations for Females Undergoing Esophagectomy

OBJECTIVE

To improve understanding of sex differences in clinicopathologic characteristics, treatment and outcomes between male and female patients undergoing esophagectomy for esophageal cancer.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Esophageal cancer is a male predominant disease, and sex has not been considered in previous studies as an important factor in diagnosis or management. Sex differences in demographics, clinicopathologic characteristics, and postoperative outcomes remain largely undefined.

METHODS

Retrospective review of 1958 patients (21% female) with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy at a single institution between 1995 and 2017.

RESULTS

Most patients had adenocarcinoma (83%); however, the rate of squamous cell carcinoma was significantly higher in females (35% vs 11%, respectively; P < .0001). Females had a lower rate of smoking (62 vs 73%) and heavy alcohol use (12 vs 19%) but a higher rate of previous mediastinal radiation (8.4 vs 1.8%) (P < 0.001). Postoperative mortality and overall survival (OS) were similar between sexes. However, subanalysis of patients with locoregional disease (clinical stage II/III) demonstrated that females received neoadjuvant therapy less frequently than males and had worse OS (median OS 2.56 yrs vs 2.08; P = 0.034). This difference remained significant on adjusted analysis (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.06-1.46).

CONCLUSIONS

Female patients had higher incidence of squamous cell carcinoma despite lower prevalence of behavioral risk factors. Among patients with locoregional disease, undertreatment in females may reflect treatment bias and history of previous mediastinal radiation. Esophageal cancer in females should be considered a unique entity as compared with the presentation and treatment of males.

Cardiotoxicity of radiation therapy in esophageal cancer

With a development of radiotherapeutic techniques, availability of radiotherapy data on cardiotoxicity, and slowly improving esophageal cancer outcomes, an increasing emphasis is placed on the heart protection in radiation treated esophageal cancer patients. Radiation induced heart complications encompass mainly pericardial disease, cardiomyopathy, coronary artery atherosclerosis, valvular heart disease, and arrhythmias. The most frequent toxicity is pericardial effusion which is usually asymptomatic in the majority of patients. The use of modern radiotherapy techniques is expected to reduce the risk of cardiotoxicity, although this expectation has to be confirmed by clinical data.

Pathologically Complete Response after Triple Therapy in Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer in a Hereditary Hemorrhagic Telangiectasia Patient

Hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia (HHT) is a disorder characterized by vascular manifestations including mucocutaneous and visceral telangiectasias and arteriovenous malformations. Herein we present the case of a relatively young patient with HHT with an incidentally discovered locally advanced esophageal cancer on endoscopic screening and pathologically complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. This case highlights an unusual tumor response to chemoradiation in locally advanced esophageal cancer, and the surveillance care of HHT patients.

Risk Factors for Progression of Barrett's Esophagus to High Grade Dysplasia and Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Barrett's esophagus (BE) is the only known precursor to esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Methods of identifying BE patients at high risk for progression to high-grade dysplasia (HGD) or EAC are needed to improve outcomes and identify who will benefit most from intensive surveillance or ablative therapy. Clinical predictors of BE progression to HGD or EAC are poorly understood, with multiple contradictory studies. We performed a retrospective study which included 460 patients at Johns Hopkins Hospital who underwent at least 2 upper endoscopies 6 months apart showing biopsy-documented BE between 1992 and 2013. Patients with EAC or HGD at the initial endoscopy were excluded. Demographic, clinicopathological, and endoscopic data were collected. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses with time to progression to HGD and EAC were performed. Among 460 patients included in the study, 132 BE patients developed HGD and 62 developed EAC. Significant EAC risk factors included age, abdominal obesity, caffeine intake, and the presence of HGD. Risk factors for HGD or EAC included age, caffeine intake, and low-grade dysplasia while colonic adenomas trended towards significance. Notably, a history of statin or SSRI usage reduced the risk of EAC or HGD by 49% or 61%, respectively. Our study validated several known and identified several novel risk factors, including a history of colonic adenomas or caffeine usage. Low-grade dysplasia was a risk factor for progression but various endoscopic characteristics were not, suggesting that screening strategies should focus on histology instead. We identified SSRIs as a new potentially chemoprotective medication.