Interpretation of biopsies of "normal" urothelium in patients with superficial bladder cancer. MRC Superficial Bladder Cancer Sub Group

DaBlaCa-11: Photodynamic Diagnosis in Flexible Cystoscopy-A Randomized Study With Focus on Recurrence

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether photodynamic diagnosis (PDD) in addition to flexible cystoscopy in the outpatient clinic can reduce risk of tumor recurrence in patients with previous nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer. PDD is an optical technique that enhances the visibility of pathologic tissue and helps guidance tumor resection.

METHODS

From February 2016 to December 2017, 699 patients from 3 urologic departments in Denmark were enrolled in a randomized controlled trial. Four months after transurethral resection of bladder tumor patients were randomized 1:1 to either an intervention group (hexaminolevulinate was instilled in the bladder before flexible cystoscopy with PDD video cystoscope) or a control group (white light flexible cystoscope), only. Primary endpoint was tumor recurrence within 8 months from the randomization. Secondary outcomes were numbers of procedures in general anesthesia, time to the first recurrence, differences in tumor size, risk of tumor progression, and identification of carcinoma in situ.

RESULTS

A total of 351 patients were allocated to the intervention group (flexible PDD), and 348 to the control group (flexible white light). Throughout the following 8 months after randomization, only 117 patients in the intervention group had at least 1 tumor recurrence compared to 143 patients in the control group (P = .049). Odds ratio of 0.67 (P = .02, 95% CI: 0.48-0.95) correlates with a tumor reduction of 33% in favor of the intervention group.

CONCLUSION

Use of PDD in a routine surveillance cystoscopy first time after transurethral resection of bladder tumor for nonmuscle invasive bladder cancer reduces subsequent risk of tumor recurrence compared to WL cystoscopy alone.

Clinical usefulness of random biopsies in diagnosis and treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer: Systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

This systematic review of the literature has been focused on determining the clinical usefulness of random bladder biopsies (RB) in the diagnosis of carcinoma in situ. A meta-analysis was performed to establish the clinic and pathological factors associated to positive biopsies.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic review was performed using Pubmed/Medline database according to the PRISMA guidelines. Thirty-seven articles were included, recruiting a total of 12,657 patients, 10,975 were submitted to RB.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

The overall incidence of positive RB was 21.91%. Significant differences were found in the incidence of positive RB when patients were stratified according to urine cytology result, tumor multiplicity, tumor appearance, stage and grade. The results of the meta-analysis revealed that the presence of positive cytology, tumor multiplicity, non-papillary appearance tumors, stage T1 and histological grades G2 and G3 represent the risk factors to predict abnormalities in RB.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of positive RB in patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer was 21.91%. The maximum usefulness of RB was observed when these are performed in a standardized way. The results of the meta-analysis showed that besides positive cytology and non-papillary appearance tumors, tumor multiplicity and histological grades G2 and G3 represent risk factors associated to positive RB, suggesting that the use of RB might be extensive to the intermediate risk group of the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC).

Quality of diagnostic staging in patients with bladder cancer: a process-outcomes link

BACKGROUND

Muscle sampling is often used as a surrogate for staging quality in patients with bladder cancer. The association of staging quality at diagnosis and survival was examined among patients with bladder cancer.

METHODS

The clinical records of all individuals within the Los Angeles Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry with an incident diagnosis of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer in 2004-2005 were reviewed. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, staging quality (presence of muscle in the specimen and mention of muscle in the pathology report), and vital status were recorded. With mixed-effects and competing-risks regression analyses, the association of patient and tumor characteristics with staging quality and cancer-specific survival was quantified.

RESULTS

The sample included 1865 patients, 335 urologists, and 27 pathologists. Muscle was reported to be present in 972 (52.1%), was reported to be absent in 564 (30.2%), and was not mentioned in 329 (17.7%) of the initial pathology reports. The presence of muscle did not differ according to the grade or depth of invasion. Mortality was associated with staging quality (P < .05). Among patients with high-grade disease, the 5-year cancer-specific mortality rates were 7.6%, 12.1%, and 18.8% when muscle was present, absent, and not mentioned, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The omission of muscle in the specimen or its mention in the pathology report in nearly half of all diagnostic resections was associated with increased mortality, particularly in patients with high-grade disease. Because urologists cannot reliably discern between high- and low-grade or Ta and T1 disease, it is contended that patients with bladder cancer should undergo adequate muscle sampling at the time of endoscopic resection.

Multiple biopsies of normal-looking urothelium in patients with superficial bladder cancer: Are they necessary?

BACKGROUND

The objective of the study presented here was to assess the usefulness and indications of multiple biopsies of normal-appearing urothelium in patients with superficial bladder cancer.

METHODS

Between December 1996 and December 2002, multiple biopsies of normal-appearing bladder mucosa were performed in 100 patients with superficial bladder transitional cell carcinoma. Biopsy specimens were taken from seven different sites in females and nine different sites in males.

RESULTS

In eight of 100 patients, bladder cancers were detected in the biopsy specimens. Three cases were Ta and five were Tis. All of the five patients with carcinoma in situ (CIS) in their biopsy specimens had multiple papillary broad-base tumors and positive urinary cytology. The detection ratio of CIS in patients with these findings was 17.9% (5/28). No concomitant CIS was detected in the 72 patients who had a solitary tumor, pedunculated tumor(s), or negative urinary cytology.

CONCLUSION

Multiple mucosal biopsies of normal-appearing urothelium are not necessary for all patients with superficial bladder cancer. They are, however, necessary for patients with multiple papillary broad-base tumors and positive urinary cytology.

The significance of random bladder biopsies in superficial bladder cancer

INTRODUCTION

Today, there is no consensus about taking random bladder biopsies during transurethral resection of superficial bladder tumors for staging and to determine the urothelial abnormalities like dysplasia and carcinoma in situ. The aim of our study was to evaluate the results and indications of random bladder biopsies for primary superficial bladder cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Random bladder biopsies were taken from 84 patients with primary superficial bladder cancer after transurethral resection. 40 patients had Ta and 44 had T1 tumor. The random biopsies were taken from right and left bladder walls, anterior and posterior walls, dome, trigone and prostatic urethra. The incidence of urothelial abnormalities were evaluated according to the stage and grade of the tumor.

RESULTS

None of the patients had carcinoma in situ or dysplasia with Ta tumor. In T1 group, 4 patients (9.1%) had carcinoma in situ and 3 patients (6.8%) had dysplasia. There was a statistically significant difference with regard to urothelial abnormalities between groups Ta and T1. The same difference was also seen between low and high grade tumors.

CONCLUSION

In our study, only 7/84 (8.3%) of patients with primary superficial bladder cancer had urothelial abnormalities like carcinoma in situ or dysplasia. All of these pathologies were seen in T1 tumors. According to our results, we believe that random biopsies are not useful in superficial bladder cancers to detect urothelial abnormalities and also do not help for the planning of further treatment.

Identification of genes up-regulated in urothelial tumors: the 67-kd laminin receptor and tumor-associated trypsin inhibitor

Studies investigating changes in gene expression in urothelial carcinoma have generally compared tumors of different stages and grades but comparisons between low-grade, noninvasive tumors and normal urothelium are needed to identify genes involved in early tumor development. We isolated the urothelium from a low-grade tumor and corresponding normal mucosa by laser capture microdissection on frozen sections. The RNA extracted was amplified to generate suppressive subtractive cDNA libraries. Random sequencing of cDNA clones identified approximately 100 unique species. Of these 83% were known genes, 15% had homology to genes with an unknown function in humans, and 2% did not show homology to any published gene sequence. Two of the known genes, the 67-kd laminin receptor (67LR) and tumor-associated trypsin inhibitor (TATI), had previously been associated with metastatic progression in many tumor types, although 67LR has not been investigated in urothelial tumors. Immunolabeling of the original tissue with antibodies against these two genes confirmed overexpression, validating our strategy: 67LR was not expressed in the normal urothelium but was present in the tumor, whereas TATI expression was confined to umbrella cells in the normal urothelium, but extended to all cell layers in the tumor. We investigated both markers further in a separate series of tumors of different stages and grades. TATI was more consistently overexpressed than 67LR in all tumor grades and stages. Levels of secreted TATI were significantly higher in urine samples from patients with tumors compared to controls. Our strategy, combining laser capture microdissection and cDNA library construction, has identified genes that may be involved in the early phases of urothelial tumor development rather than with disease progression, highlighting the importance of comparing tumor with normal rather than just tumors of different stages and grades.

Significance of random bladder biopsies in superficial bladder cancer

OBJECTIVES

We investigated to what extent biopsies of normal-appearing urothelium taken from patients with superficial bladder cancer (Ta, T1, Tis) showed malignant disease and whether those findings had impact on therapeutical decisions.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

1033 consecutive patients presenting with Ta, T1 or Tis (carcinoma in situ) superficial bladder tumors at increased risk for recurrence underwent multiple random biopsies from normal-appearing urothelium during transurethral resection (TUR). Patients with small, primary, singular tumors (smaller or equal to 1cm) were excluded from random biopsies.

RESULTS

No tumor was found in the random biopsies of 905 patients (87.6%). 128 patients (12.4%) showed urothelial bladder cancer in their random biopsies (Tis: 74, Ta: 41, T1: 12, T2: 1). In 14 patients, where transurethral resection of the primary tumor revealed no signs of malignancy, urothelial bladder cancer was detected in the random biopsy material: Ta 8 patients, Tis 5 patients and T1 one patient. 21 patients with Ta tumors and 29 patients with T1 disease showed concomitant Tis. Upstaging of the primary, resected tumor by histological examination of the random biopsy material occurred in 75 patients (7%). Altogether, due to the random biopsy results therapy was altered in 70 patients (6.8%) of our series: It changed intravesical chemotherapy to BCG in 45, provoked a second TUR in 48 and cystectomy in 15 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

While the clinical significance of random biopsies is still controversial, random biopsy results had strong impact on therapeutical decisions in our series. Regarding random bladder biopsies a simple tool for the urologist to identify high risk groups of patients, we recommend them as part of the routine management of superficial bladder cancer.

Hexyl aminolevulinate fluorescence cystoscopy: new diagnostic tool for photodiagnosis of superficial bladder cancer--a multicenter study

PURPOSE

We examined the sensitivity and specificity of Hexvix (PhotoCure ASA, Oslo, Norway) hexyl aminolevulinate (HAL) fluorescence cystoscopy in patients with superficial bladder cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 52 patients (38 men and 14 women) with a mean age of 72 years were investigated. HAL hydrochloride (100 mg dissolved in 50 ml phosphate buffer solution) (8 mM) was instilled into the bladder 1 hour prior to the endoscopic procedure. Cystoscopy was performed with the Storz D-light (Karl Storz, Tuttlingen, Germany) system, allowing inspection of the bladder wall under white and blue light (380 to 450 nm).

RESULTS

A total of 422 biopsies obtained in fluorescing (165) and nonfluorescing (257) areas, including 5 random biopsies per patient, were analyzed to provide the best reference for the calculation of sensitivity and specificity. There were a total of 143 histologically verified tumors in 45 patients, including carcinoma in situ (CIS), Ta or T1 lesions. A total of 43 patients were diagnosed by fluorescence cystoscopy compared with 33 diagnosed by white light for 96% and 73% per-patient sensitivity, respectively. HAL cystoscopy was found particularly useful for finding CIS tumors. Of 13 patients with CIS tumors all except 1 were diagnosed or confirmed by HAL cystoscopy. HAL cystoscopy was well tolerated with no definite drug related adverse events reported, including effects on standard blood parameters.

CONCLUSIONS

HAL fluorescence cystoscopy is a new, sensitive, promising diagnostic procedure that showed improved detection of bladder tumors, in particular CIS. The procedure is well tolerated and can easily be implemented in current clinical practice.

Renal interstitial fibrosis and urothelial carcinoma associated with the use of a Chinese herb (Aristolochia fangchi)

A new renal disease called 'Chinese-herb nephropathy' (CHN) has been reported to occur in women who have ingested slimming pills containing powdered extracts of the Chinese herb Stephania tetrandra (ST). Moderate to end-stage renal disease developed, requiring renal replacement therapy by dialysis or transplantation. Phytochemical analyses of the pills revealed the presence of aristolochic acids (AA) instead of tetrandrine, suggesting the substitution of ST (Han fang ji) by Aristolochia fangchi containing nephrotoxic and carcinogenic AA. A typical histological feature of CHN is a progressive interstitial fibrosis leading to a severe atrophy of the proximal tubules, as documented by the urinary excretion rates of markers of tubular integrity (reduction of neutral endopeptidase enzymuria and high levels of microproteinurias). Removal of the native kidneys and ureters in end-stage CHN patients provided a high prevalence of urothelial carcinoma (46%). Tissue samples contained AA-related DNA adducts, which are not only specific markers of prior exposure to AA but are also directly involved in tumorigenesis. Exposure to Aristolochia species (spp.) is associated with the development of renal interstitial fibrosis (CHN) and urothelial cancer in humans. Health professionals should be aware that in traditional Chinese medicine, Aristolochia spp. are considered interchangeable with certain other herbal ingredients and are also sometimes mistaken for ST, Akebia, Asarum, Clematis spp. and Cocculus spp. in herbal remedies.

Urothelial carcinoma associated with the use of a Chinese herb (Aristolochia fangchi)

BACKGROUND

Chinese-herb nephropathy is a progressive form of renal fibrosis that develops in some patients who take weight-reducing pills containing Chinese herbs. Because of a manufacturing error, one of the herbs in these pills (Stephania tetrandra) was inadvertently replaced by Aristolochia fangchi, which is nephrotoxic and carcinogenic.

METHODS

The diagnosis of a neoplastic lesion in the native urinary tract of a renal-transplant recipient who had Chinese-herb nephropathy prompted us to propose regular cystoscopic examinations and the prophylactic removal of the native kidneys and ureters in all our patients with end-stage Chinese-herb nephropathy who were being treated with either transplantation or dialysis. Surgical specimens were examined histologically and analyzed for the presence of DNA adducts formed by aristolochic acid. All prescriptions written for Chinese-herb weight-reducing compounds during the period of exposure (1990 to 1992) in these patients were obtained, and the cumulative doses were calculated.

RESULTS

Among 39 patients who agreed to undergo prophylactic surgery, there were 18 cases of urothelial carcinoma (prevalence, 46 percent; 95 percent confidence interval, 29 to 62 percent): 17 cases of carcinoma of the ureter, renal pelvis, or both and 1 papillary bladder tumor. Nineteen of the remaining patients had mild-to-moderate urothelial dysplasia, and two had normal urothelium. All tissue samples analyzed contained aristolochic acid-related DNA adducts. The cumulative dose of aristolochia was a significant risk factor for urothelial carcinoma, with total doses of more than 200 g associated with a higher risk of urothelial carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of urothelial carcinoma among patients with end-stage Chinese-herb nephropathy (caused by aristolochia species) is a high.

Principles and pitfalls of diagnostic test development: implications for spectroscopic tissue diagnosis

Diagnostic spectroscopy has the potential to supplant the time-honored "gold standard" of light microscopy and herald an era of in vivo tissue diagnosis. However, the lessons in disease diagnosis learned by pathologists over the years should not be forgotten. This discussion will focus on the basis principles and pitfalls of diagnostic test development, and how they apply to optical spectroscopy tissue diagnosis.

Natural history of urothelial dysplasia of the bladder

Urothelial dysplasia is the putative precursor of urothelial carcinoma in situ (CIS) and invasive urothelial carcinoma of the urinary tract. Urothelial dysplasia is frequently identified in patients with urothelial CIS and cancer. However, very little is known about the clinical presentation and natural history of urothelial dysplasia in the absence of urothelial CIS or invasive cancer. The authors studied 36 patients with isolated urothelial dysplasia at the Mayo Clinic between 1969 and 1984. None of these patients had previous or concurrent urothelial CIS or invasive cancer, and none received treatment for dysplasia. The histopathologic features of urothelial dysplasia were examined, and long-term clinical follow-up was obtained. Progression was defined as the development of urothelial CIS or carcinoma. The male-to-female ratio was 2.6:1, and the mean patient age at the time of diagnosis was 60 years (range 25-79). Urothelial dysplasia has a predilection for the posterior wall. Eleven patients had urinary irritative symptoms, 10 had hematuria, 3 had both irritative symptoms and hematuria, and 12 were found to have dysplasia incidentally. The mean follow-up was 8.2 years (range 0.1-25.5). Seven (19%) of 36 patients developed biopsy-proven progression, including 4 with CIS and 3 with invasive cancer, and 1 of them died of bladder cancer. The intervals from diagnosis to progression ranged from 6 months to 8 years (mean 2.5 years). One of the remaining 29 patients had positive cytologic results 2.5 years after the initial diagnosis of dysplasia. The authors conclude that urothelial dysplasia is a significant risk for the development of CIS and invasive urothelial carcinoma, and patients with urothelial dysplasia should be followed up closely.

Predictive value of DNA ploidy in bladder cancer treated with preoperative radiation therapy and cystectomy

The predictive value of flow cytometric DNA analysis of cells from bladder washings was evaluated in 43 patients with muscle-invasive or recurrent superficial bladder cancer treated with preoperative radiotherapy and cystectomy. There was no correlation between ploidy status of the primary tumour and survival, neither was there any correlation between ploidy and the occurrence of residual tumour in the cystectomy specimens. Patients without residual tumours in the cystectomy specimen had significantly longer survival time than those with residual tumours. Concomitant carcinoma in situ was correlated with better survival, which is surprising, considering the malignant potential of this lesion. In this study DNA ploidy did not predict tumour response to radiotherapy nor was it of any prognostic significance.

T1G3 bladder carcinoma: Can we still judge them as superficial tumours?

— T1G3 bladder carcinomas are classified as superficial tumours and treatment results are included in low stage tumour groups. A review of survival rates shows that there is a high risk of progression, about 50–78%. Among other things this is due to some commonly-accepted factors. The grade is by now considered the most significant prognostic factor. It is easy in this stage for clinical understaging to occur and cases of N + are to be found in all early cystectomies. Another important factor is the differing interpretations by pathologists of the pT category and grade. With conservative treatment there is a progression of 50% after radiotherapy, 40% after endoscopic surgery and 40% after cytotoxic chemotherapy. Better results with BCG immunotherapy are reported with 10–19% progression; however, there is no significant follow-up yet in these cases and they often refer to all superficial tumours including T1G3 which taken singly have clearly worse percentages of recurrence and progression. Best survival rates are achieved with early cystectomy (76–95% at 5 years). These data advise considering T1G3 carcinomas clinically like invasive tumours and early cystectomy as the best therapy, while the risks of delaying cystectomy should be fully assessed.

The influence of review pathology on study outcome of a randomized multicentre superficial bladder cancer trial. Members of the Dutch South East Cooperative Urological Group

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether differences between local and review pathology in a multicentre study influence the results of treatment and results from prognostic factor analysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A randomized multicentre study in superficial bladder cancer is reported, in which the influence of local and review pathology on the study outcome was investigated.

RESULTS

The conformity between local and review pathology of the pT category was 79.3%, of the grade 70.2%, and the combination of both 59.7%. In local pathology, undergrading was more frequent than overgrading and overstaging more frequent than understaging. However, the risks of recurrent disease in the separate stage and grade groups remained the same after correcting the pathology result. A prognostic factor analysis with regard to the risk of recurrent disease was carried out. The Cox hazard ratios of tumour localization, multiplicity, patient age (significant factors), tumour grade, size, history and gender (not significant) remained almost the same after correction for review pathology. Only the prognostic relevance of tumour stage increased after pathology correction.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that, although review pathology caused considerable changes in the pathology results, this did not change the results of treatment, and hardly altered the results of a prognostic factor analysis in this randomized study.

Should random urothelial biopsies be taken from patients with primary superficial bladder cancer? A decision analysis. Members of the Dutch South-East Co-Operative Urological Group

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate whether it is worthwhile to implement routine random biopsies from the normal-looking urothelium in the management of patients with primary superficial bladder cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Two hypothetical management policies were compared, one of which incorporated random biopsies as an additional prognostic test. In the 'no-biopsy policy', all patients were treated with transurethral resection (TUR) alone, except for patients with a pT1G3 tumour who were treated with adjuvant prophylactic intravesical therapy. In the 'biopsy policy', the choice of treatment was influenced by the presence or absence of dysplastic urothelium in random biopsy specimens, except in patients with a pT1G3 tumour who received adjuvant treatment, irrespective of the result of random biopsies. Decision analysis was used to compare the outcome of these hypothetical policies with respect to the expected 3-year risks of recurrence and progression. Baseline data used in the analysis originated from a large unselected case series, prospectively documented in the Netherlands.

RESULTS

The 'biopsy policy' resulted in a 3 year risk of recurrence and a 3 year risk of progression of 52% and 11%, respectively. These 3 year risks were almost identical to the 'no-biopsy policy': 54% and 11%, respectively. In a sensitivity-analysis, the expected 3 year risks of recurrence as well as the expected 3 year risks of progression were found to remain similar with both policies, even with quite extreme assumptions favouring the 'biopsy policy'.

CONCLUSION

In view of the expected small difference in disease outcome between the two management policies, taking random biopsies of normal-looking urothelium at the time of the TUR has no practical value.

Proposal for changes in cystoscopic follow up of patients with bladder cancer and adjuvant intravesical chemotherapy

A famous surgeon observed that the most important instrument for the management of superficial bladder cancer was a typewriter because it facilitated the organisation of the regular follow up examinations that are so important in controlling this disease. Cystoscopic follow up must be lifelong, and the cost, in the broadest sense, to both patient and health service is considerable. A recent study has suggested that the conventional frequency of bladder examinations may not be necessary and that most patients could be spared many cystoscopies. Instillation of cytotoxic drugs in the bladder has been shown to reduce the recurrence of tumours destroyed endoscopically and the development of new tumours elsewhere in the bladder. Because intravesical instillations are inconvenient, expensive, and may be toxic they have been reserved for patients thought to be at greatest risk of recurrence. However, two clinical trials have shown that a single cytotoxic instillation may be beneficial for low risk patients. If this is verified in everyday practice, the routine use of intravesical chemotherapy for all patients at the time of initial treatment could reduce the need for cystoscopies even further. Such changes should improve the quality of life of the 7000 new patients with superficial bladder cancer each year in England and Wales and allow savings to be made in the NHS.

Dysplasia in normal-looking urothelium increases the risk of tumour progression in primary superficial bladder cancer

Random urothelium biopsies were taken at initial endoscopic surgery from 1001 patients with primary superficial bladder cancer. The clinical course of all the patients was assessed prospectively. Actuarial risks of recurrence and disease progression were determined for prognostic characteristics and comparisons were made using log-rank tests. The independent prognostic significance of concomitant intra-aurothelial dysplastic changes was examined with Cox's regression analyses. The 3-year risk of recurrence in patients with dysplasia and carcinoma in situ (CIS) in macroscopically normal-looking urothelium was only slightly higher than the risk in patients without dysplastic changes (56, 58 and 51%, respectively; P = 0.25). Concomitant dysplasia or CIS significantly increased the 3-year risk of disease progression (17 and 31%, respectively, versus 7%; P < 0.001). After adjustment for the effects of age, tumour stage, grade, size and multicentricity, the result of random biopsies had no prognostic significance regarding the risk of recurrence, but the detection of dysplasia or CIS increased the risk of progression by approximately 80%. This result suggests that random urothelium biopsies may be useful as an additional guide in defining therapy in primary superficial bladder cancer.

Prospective randomized study of prophylaxis of superficial bladder cancer with epirubicin: the role of a central pathology laboratory. Nara Uro-oncology Research Group. (NUORG)

The preliminary results of a multi-institutional prospective randomized study of the prophylaxis of superficial bladder cancer using epirubicin (protocol NUORG SBT-003) are reported. The subjects were 129 patients with untreated superficial bladder cancer (< or = T1b, < or = G2) who were randomized into 2 groups: a transurethral resection (TUR)-alone group (63 patients) and a TUR + intravesical epirubicin (20 mg/40 ml, 30 times/2 years) group (66 patients). The nonrecurrence rate observed in the epirubicin group was significantly higher than that seen in the control group. To unify the pathological diagnosis, a central pathology laboratory (CPL) was set up for extramural review. The correspondence of the pathological diagnosis of TUR-Bt specimens between the CPL and the local pathology laboratory (LPL) was 70.5% in grading and 51.9% in staging. There was a tendency for overdiagnosis by the LPL for both the grade and the stage of tumors. However, differing interpretations by pathologists seem to exert little influence on the nonrecurrence rate at interim analysis. Further observation will be necessary to clarify the prophylactic efficacy of low-dose, long-term periodic intravesical epirubicin instillation and the influence of the disagreement in pathological findings between the CPL and the LPL on the analysis of the results.

Pathology review in cancer research

Pathology observer agreement studies are clearly important in the development of new pathology assessments and in the quality control of those assessments in common use. Setting up such studies, and reporting and interpreting their results requires careful thought and statistical expertise. Investigators are advised to seek collaboration with a statistician before embarking on these studies. Pathology reference panel reviews in multicentre studies are useful for checking eligibility when there is a high level of disagreement on the eligibility criterion between local pathologists and the reference panel members, but good agreement between members of the panel. However, such situations are uncommon.

Predictability of recurrent and progressive disease in individual patients with primary superficial bladder cancer

The ultimate goal of prognostic assessment is optimization of individual counseling. Often, however, studies on prognostic factors focus on discriminating between high risk and low risk subgroups without considering the relevance of 1 or more factors for predicting disease outcome in individual patients. We quantified the accuracy of prediction of future recurrences and disease progression in individual patients with primary superficial bladder cancer. The study cohort consisted of 1,674 patients who were followed prospectively between 1983 and 1991 in the Netherlands. By analyzing half of the patients with proportional hazards regression, we computed relative risks of recurrence and progression. A prognostic index score based on these relative risks was then applied to the other half of the patients to determine whether group outcome could be predicted accurately. To assess the accuracy of prediction in individuals we used a method similar to the construction of receiver operating characteristic curves in diagnostic test assessment. The 3-year risk of first recurrence was 55% (95% confidence interval 51 to 59%). The 3-year risk of first progressive disease was 10% (95% confidence interval 8 to 12%). For the risk of first recurrence, tumor stage, tumor extent and multicentricity had statistically significant prognostic ability. Prognostic factors for the risk of disease progression were tumor stage, grade, multicentricity and the result of random biopsies from cystoscopically normal-appearing urothelium. For patients with a prognostic index score that suggested a low risk for recurrent and progressive disease the predicted 3-year risk of first recurrence was still 44% but the predicted 3-year risk of progression was only 3%. For patients with a prognostic index score that suggested a high risk the predicted risks were 74% and 22%, respectively. These predicted risks appeared to be fairly accurate when applied to the other half of our case series. However, in any 2 patients chosen at random the chance that the patient with the worst predicted prognosis would have a shorter recurrence-free and progression-free followup was calculated to be only 58% and 67%, respectively. Although the available prognostic factors in superficial bladder cancer may be useful to identify high risk and low risk subgroups, predictability in individuals is highly inaccurate. More relevant prognostic factors are needed to decrease current overtreatment and undertreatment rates, and to improve the followup policy.

The clinical epidemiology of superficial bladder cancer. Dutch South-East Cooperative Urological Group

Even though the majority of patients with bladder malignancies initially present with low stage disease, the clinical epidemiology of these so-called superficial bladder tumours is not well known. In this paper, disease characteristics at initial presentation and during follow-up are described in 1,745 primary cases documented prospectively in the Netherlands. The risk of recurrent disease after primary treatment is very high: in 60% of cases, at least one recurrence is diagnosed within 5 years (95% CI: 58-62%). In patients with a small solitary pTa grade 1 tumour, the 3-year recurrence risk is 37%. In patients with multiple large high grade pT1 tumours, this risk is as high as 77%, despite a significant beneficial effect of adjuvant intravesical chemotherapy. The actuarial risk of disease progression is 10.2% after 3 years (95% CI: 8.6-11.8%). This risk of progression depends on the patient's age at diagnosis, tumour stage, grade, multiplicity and the presence of dysplasia or CIS in random urothelium biopsies. The use of intravesical instillations with chemotherapy or BCG vaccine after TUR does not prevent progressive disease, although this finding is difficult to interpret from a non-randomised study. The 5-year relative survival in patients with superficial TCC of the bladder is 86% (95% CI: 84-88%).

The design of observer agreement studies with binary assessments

We discuss the design of observer agreement studies with binary assessments, with particular emphasis on the need for adequate sample size and the use of replicate observations. First, we present a method and tables for determining the sample size required for ensuring a desired precision for the estimate of the probability of disagreement between two observers. Second, for studies including replicate observations, we present a statistical model that allows estimation of the magnitude of within- and between-observer variation. We then derive sample sizes guaranteeing a specified precision for these estimates, present tables of these sample sizes and give examples of their use.

Prognostic significance of mucosal aneuploidy in stage Ta/T1 grade 3 carcinoma of the bladder

In a prospective series of 71 patients with newly detected grade 3, stages Ta and T1 bladder carcinoma tumor characteristics, including the results of deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) analysis as well as morphological and DNA characteristics of the grossly normal urothelium, were investigated and related to progression-free survival. The mean duration of followup was 57 months, with a minimum of 24 months. Of the 71 patients 24 underwent primary cystectomy, and 47 were conservatively treated with transurethral resection alone, or followed by instillation therapy or irradiation therapy. Of the cystectomy and conservatively treated patients 2 (8%) and 16 (34%), respectively, died of bladder carcinoma. Among the 47 conservatively treated patients tumor progression could not be predicted by the initial characteristics of tumor stage, papillary or nonpapillary growth, tumor multiplicity, tumor size, existence of 1 or multiple aneuploid cell populations, S phase value, carcinoma in situ and atypia or aneuploidy in the mucosal biopsies. Neither was progression predicted by the recurrence rate during year 1 of observation. However, a change to or persistent mucosal aneuploidy and a change to or persistent morphological abnormality of the mucosa during year 1 of observation were predictive for tumor progression (p = 0.001 and 0.045, respectively). When compared in stepwise regression analysis (Cox's proportional hazard model), DNA aneuploidy in the mucosa at 12 months after diagnosis was a highly significant predictor, whereas morphology added no further prognostic information. Therefore, progression is related to gross chromosomal abnormalities of the mucosa. High risk patients can be identified by evaluation of the grossly normal mucosa, which should be done as part of the initial diagnosis and during followup in conservatively treated patients with stages Ta and T1, grade 3 bladder carcinoma.

Natural history of early bladder cancer

Non-invasive transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) occurs as two distinct growth patterns, papillary and non-papillary (flat), which display significant differences in biologic potential. Papillary carcinoma usually presents as a low-grade lesion which frequently recurs multiple times prior to invasion; conversely, non-papillary (flat) carcinoma in situ is usually high-grade at presentation (carcinoma in situ) and frequently associated with invasion. These lesions may occur together, although papillary cancer is more easily visualized cystoscopically due to its exophytic growth; flat carcinoma in situ is often cystoscopically invisible. This report reviews existing data concerning the prognostic value of pathologic grading and staging of non-invasive and early invasive TCC. Emphasis is placed on those studies reporting surgical treatment rather than other forms of treatment.