Prevalence and incidence rates of atrial fibrillation in Norway 2004-2014

Quality of care among patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation in Greenland

This cross-sectional study sought to assess the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis in Greenland among various age groups and examine the corresponding quality of care. We collected data from Greenland's electronic medical records and evaluated the quality of care using six internationally recommended indicators, which are: percentage of AF patients with an assessment of smoking status within the previous year, an assessment of body mass index within the previous year, assessment of blood pressure within the previous year, measurement of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), treatment with an anticoagulant and percentage of patients with a measurement of serum-creatinine. We found the prevalence of AF among patients aged 20 years or older in Greenland to be 1.75% (95% CI 1.62-1.88). We found an increasing prevalence of AF with age and a greater proportion of men than women until the age of 74 years. Our study suggests that the associated quality of care could be higher as the requirement of only one of the six quality indicators was met. A lack of registration may partly explain this, and initiatives to improve the quality of care are recommended.

Digital recruitment and compliance to treatment recommendations in the Norwegian Atrial Fibrillation self-screening pilot study

Aims

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent, undiagnosed in approximately one-third of cases, and is associated with severe complications. Guidelines recommend screening individuals at increased risk of stroke. This report evaluated the digital recruitment procedure and compliance with the follow-up recommendations in participants with screen-detected AF in the Norwegian Atrial Fibrillation self-screening pilot study.

Methods and results

Norwegians ≥65 years were invited through Facebooks posts, web pages, and newspapers to participate in the study. Targeted Facebook posts promoted over 11 days reached 84 208 users and 10 582 visitors to the study homepage. This accounted for 51% of the total homepage visitors (n = 20 704). A total of 2118 (10%) of the homepage visitors provided digital consent to participate after they met the inclusion criteria. The mean (standard deviation) age of the participants was 70 (4) years, and the majority [n = 1569 (74%)] were women. A total of 1849 (87%) participants completed the electrocardiogram self-screening test, identifying AF in 41 (2.2%) individuals. Of these, 39 (95%) participants consulted a general practitioner, and 34 (83%) participants initiated anticoagulation therapy.

Conclusion

Digital recruitment and inclusion in digital AF screening with a high rate of initiation of anticoagulation therapy in AF positive screening cases are feasible. However, digital recruitment and inclusion may introduce selection bias with regard to age and gender. Larger studies are needed to determine the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a fully digital AF screening.

Trial registration

Clinical trials: NCT04700865.

Impact of diagnosis-to-ablation time on clinical outcomes in patients with early-onset atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Evidence was lacking for the early choice of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) among patients with early-onset atrial fibrillation (AF).

HYPOTHESIS

This study aimed to explore whether earlier RFA was associated with better clinical outcomes among early-onset AF patients.

METHODS

Patients, who were diagnosed with AF before 45 years and underwent their first RFA procedures at baseline of the China Atrial Fibrillation registry, were enrolled and divided into four diagnosis-to-ablation time (DAT) groups: DAT ≤ 1 year, 1 year < DAT ≤ 3 years, 3 years < DAT ≤ 6 years, and DAT > 6 years. Another group of nonablation patients, who were newly diagnosed with AF and younger than 45 years, were also included. Adjusted associations of groups with composite cardiovascular events (cardiovascular death, embolism, major hemorrhages, or cardiac rehospitalization) or recurrent AF were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among 1694 patients who underwent their first RFA at enrollment, incidences of composite cardiovascular outcomes were increasing with extension of DAT (DAT ≤ 1 year: 6.1/100 person-years, 1 year < DAT ≤ 3 years: 7.9/100 person-years, 3 years < DAT ≤ 6 years: 7.6/100 person-years, DAT > 6 years: 10.5/100 person-years; p < .001). In comparison with DAT > 6 years group, the DAT ≤ 1 year group was associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio, HR [95% confidence interval, CI] = 0.64 [0.47-0.87], p = .005) and AF recurrence (adjusted HR [95% CI] = 0.70 [0.57-0.88], p = .002). Associations remained similar after stratified by AF types. Compared to nonablation group (n = 413), DAT ≤ 1year patients tended to show lower cardiovascular risk (adjusted HR [95% CI] = 0.78 [0.58-1.05], p = .099) and lower risk of recurrent AF (adjusted HR [95% CI] = 0.46 [0.38-0.55], p < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

A shorter DAT was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular events and recurrent AF for early-onset AF patients.

Stroke and bleeding risk in atrial fibrillation with CHA2DS2-VASC risk score of one: the Norwegian AFNOR study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The benefit of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy in atrial fibrillation (AF) and intermediate stroke risk is debated. In a nationwide Norwegian cohort with a non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of one, this study aimed to investigate (i) stroke and bleeding risk in AF patients with and without OAC treatment, and (ii) the risk of stroke in non-anticoagulated individuals with and without AF.

METHODS

A total of 1 118 762 individuals including 34 460 AF patients were followed during 2011-18 until ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, increased CHA2DS2-VASc score, or study end. One-year incidence rates (IRs) were calculated as events per 100 person-years (%/py). Cox regression models provided adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs [95% confidence intervals]).

RESULTS

Among AF patients, the ischaemic stroke IR was 0.51%/py in OAC users and 1.05%/py in non-users (aHR 0.47 [0.37-0.59]). Intracranial haemorrhage IR was 0.28%/py in OAC users and 0.19%/py in non-users (aHR 1.23 [0.88-1.72]). Oral anticoagulant use was associated with an increased risk of major bleeding (aHR 1.37 [1.16-1.63]) but lower risk of the combined outcome of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding, and mortality (aHR 0.57 [0.51-0.63]). Non-anticoagulated individuals with AF had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to non-AF individuals with the same risk profile (aHR 2.47 [2.17-2.81]).

CONCLUSIONS

In AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke, OAC use was associated with overall favourable clinical outcomes. Non-anticoagulated AF patients had higher risk of ischaemic stroke compared to the general population without AF with the same risk profile.

Ten-year trends in incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation and flutter in Denmark according to demographics, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence (2009-2018)

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation is the most common cardiac arrhythmia and a major global health burden. Updated trends in the epidemiology of atrial fibrillation or flutter (AF) are needed.

METHODS

Using the Danish Heart Statistics, we investigated nationwide trends 2009-2018 in incidence rate and prevalence of AF according to age as well as age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence (ASP) of AF according to sex, ethnicity, educational level, and area of residence. Comparing year 2018 to 2009, we calculated stratum-specific ASIR ratios (ASIRR) and changes in ASP.

RESULTS

During 2009-2015 the ASIR for AF increased for both men and women, followed by a decline from 2015-2018. Overall, this resulted in a 9% increase among men (ASIRR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.06-1.12), but no change among women (ASIRR: 1.00, 95% CI: 0.97-1.04). The ASP increased by 29% among men and 26% among women. An increase in ASIR was observed in all ethnic groups except men of Far Eastern ethnicity. Lower educational level was associated with greater increases in both ASIR and ASP. ASIR and ASP differed slightly between the Danish regions but increased in all of them.

CONCLUSIONS

During 2009-2018 the incidence and prevalence of AF in Denmark increased although the increase in incidence was transient among women. Factors associated with higher incidence were male sex, higher age, Danish and Western ethnicity as well as Middle Eastern/North African ethnicity among women, and lower educational level. Within Denmark, we observed only minor regional differences in AF incidence and prevalence.

Hypothetical interventions and risk of atrial fibrillation by sex and education: application of the parametric g-formula in the Tromsø Study

AIMS

To use the parametric g-formula to estimate the long-term risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) by sex and education under hypothetical interventions on six modifiable risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We estimated the risk reduction under hypothetical risk reduction strategies for smoking, physical activity, alcohol intake, body mass index, systolic, and diastolic blood pressure in 14 923 women and men (baseline mean age 45.8 years in women and 47.8 years in men) from the population-based Tromsø Study with a maximum of 22 years of follow-up (1994-2016). The estimated risk of AF under no intervention was 6.15% in women and 13.0% in men. This cumulative risk was reduced by 41% (95% confidence interval 17%, 61%) in women and 14% (-7%, 30%) in men under joint interventions on all risk factors. The most effective intervention was lowering body mass index to ≤ 25 kg/m2, leading to a 16% (4%, 25%) lower risk in women and a 14% (6%, 23%) lower risk in men. We found significant sex-differences in the relative risk reduction by sufficient physical activity, leading to a 7% (-4%, 18%) lower risk in women and an 8% (-2%, -13%) increased risk in men. We found no association between the level of education and differences in risk reduction by any of the interventions.

CONCLUSION

The population burden of AF could be reduced by modifying lifestyle risk factors. Namely, these modifications could have prevented 41% of AF cases in women and 14% of AF cases in men in the municipality of Tromsø, Norway during a maximum 22-year follow-up period.

Association of Atrial Fibrillation With Stroke and Dementia Accounting for Left Atrial Function and Size

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with higher risks of ischemic stroke (IS) and dementia. Whether alterations in left atrial (LA) function or size-atrial myopathy-confound these associations remains unknown.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to examine the association of prevalent and incident AF with ischemic stroke and dementia in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study, adjusting for LA function and size.

METHODS

Participants at visit 5 (2011-2013) with echocardiographic LA function (reservoir, conduit, contractile strain, and emptying fraction) and size (maximal, minimal volume index) data, and without prevalent stroke or dementia were followed through 2019. For analysis, we used time-varying Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 5,458 participants (1,193 with AF, mean age of 76 years) in the stroke analysis and 5,461 participants (1,205 with AF, mean age of 75 years) in the dementia analysis, 209 participants developed ischemic stroke, and 773 developed dementia over 7.1 years (median). In a demographic and risk factor-adjusted model, AF was significantly associated with ischemic stroke (HR, 1.63; 95% CI: 1.11-2.37) and dementia (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.13-1.70). After additionally adjusting for LA reservoir strain, these associations were attenuated and no longer statistically significant (stroke [HR: 1.33, 95% CI: 0.88-2.00], dementia [HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.92-1.43]). Associations with ischemic stroke and dementia were also attenuated and not statistically significant after adjustment for LA contractile strain, emptying fraction, and minimal volume index.

CONCLUSIONS

AF-ischemic stroke and AF-dementia associations were not statistically significant after adjusting for measures of atrial myopathy. This proof-of-concept analysis does not support AF as an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke and dementia.

Fully digital self-screening for atrial fibrillation with patch electrocardiogram

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia worldwide. The AF is associated with severe mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs, and guidelines recommend screening people at risk. However, screening methods and organization still need to be clarified. The current study aimed to assess the feasibility of a fully digital self-screening procedure and to assess the prevalence of undetected AF using a continuous patch electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring system.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Individuals ≥65 years old with at least one additional risk factor for stroke from the general population of Norway were invited to a fully digital continuous self-screening for AF using a patch ECG device (ECG247 Smart Heart Sensor). Participants self-reported clinical characteristics and usability online, and all participants received digital feedback of their results. A total of 2118 individuals with a mean CHA2DS2-VASc risk score of 2.6 (0.9) were enrolled in the study [74% women; mean age 70.1 years (4.2)]. Of these, 1849 (87.3%) participants completed the ECG self-screening test, while 215 (10.2%) did not try to start the test and 54 (2.5%) failed to start the test. The system usability score was 84.5. The mean ECG monitoring time was 153 h (87). Atrial fibrillation was detected in 41 (2.2%) individuals.

CONCLUSION

This fully digitalized self-screening procedure for AF demonstrated excellent feasibility. The number needed to screen was 45 to detect one unrecognized case of AF in subjects at risk for stroke. Randomized studies with long-term follow-up are needed to assess whether self-screening for AF can reduce the incidence of AF-related complications.

CLINICAL TRIALS

NCT04700865.

Time Trends in Patient Characteristics, Anticoagulation Treatment, and Prognosis of Incident Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation in the Netherlands

Importance

The temporal trend in adverse events regarding stroke prevention for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in the direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) era was rarely investigated comprehensively, especially taking into account potential changes in patient characteristics and anticoagulation treatment.

Objective

To investigate time trends in patient characteristics, anticoagulation treatment, and prognosis of patients with incident NVAF in the Netherlands.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort study assessed patients with incident NVAF initially recognized within a hospitalization between 2014 and 2018, using data from Statistics Netherlands. Participants were followed-up for 1 year from the hospital admission at which the incident NVAF diagnosis was made or until death, whichever occurred first. Data were analyzed from January 15, 2021, to March 8, 2023.

Exposure

Calendar year of the incident NVAF diagnosis, according to which the participants were categorized into 5 cohorts.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcomes of interest were baseline patient characteristics, anticoagulation treatment, and occurrence of ischemic stroke or major bleeding within the 1-year follow-up after incident NVAF.

Results

Between 2014 and 2018, 301 301 patients (mean [SD] age, 74.2 [11.9] years; 169 748 [56.3%] male patients) experienced incident NVAF in the Netherlands, each of whom was categorized into 1 of 5 cohorts by calendar year. Baseline patient characteristics were broadly the same between cohorts with a mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years [doubled], diabetes, stroke [doubled], vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category [female]) score of 2.9 (1.7). The median (IQR) proportion of days covered by OACs (ie, vitamin K antagonists or DOACs) within the 1-year follow-up increased from 56.99% (0%-86.30%) to 75.62% (0%-94.52%), and DOACs increased from 5102 patients (13.5%) to 32 314 patients (72.0%) among those who received OACs, gradually replacing VKAs as the first choice of OACs. Over the course of the study, there were statistically significant decreases in the 1-year cumulative incidence of ischemic stroke (from 1.63% [95% CI, 1.52%-1.73%] to 1.39% [95% CI, 1.30%-1.48%) and major bleeding (from 2.50% [95% CI, 2.37%-2.63%] to 2.07% [95% CI, 1.96%-2.19%]), and the association was consistent after adjusting for baseline patient characteristics and excluding those with preexisting chronic anticoagulation.

Conclusions and Relevance

This cohort study of patients with incident NVAF diagnosed between 2014 and 2018 in the Netherlands found similar baseline characteristics, increased OAC use with DOACs being favored over time, and improved 1-year prognosis. Comorbidity burden, potential underuse of anticoagulation medications, and specific subgroups of patients with NVAF remain directions for future investigations and further improvement.

Prediction of incident atrial fibrillation with cardiac biomarkers and left atrial volumes

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation is a common arrhythmia associated with risk of stroke, heart failure and death. We aimed to elucidate the associations of cardiac biomarkers, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and risk of prevalent and incident atrial fibrillation in the general population.

METHODS

We assessed cardiac troponin T (cTnT), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15), maximum (LAVi_max) and minimum (LAVi_min) indexed left atrial volumes and left atrial emptying fraction (LAEF) in subjects born in 1950 participating in the prospective observational cohort, Akershus Cardiac Examination 1950 Study. The Cohorts for Heart and Ageing Research in Genomic Epidemiology for Atrial Fibrillation risk score and sex was used to adjust for residual risk of atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

Out of 3487 subjects, 157 (4.5%) had prevalent and 123 (3.5%) had incident atrial fibrillation. Echocardiographic left atrial volumes and cardiac biomarkers associated with prevalent atrial fibrillation, but GDF-15 was non-significant in adjusted analysis. Incident atrial fibrillation was predicted by LAVi_max (adjusted HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.30 to 1.75), LAVi_min (adjusted HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.72), LAEF (adjusted HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.48) and NT-proBNP (adjusted HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.85). cTnT and NT-proBNP provided incremental prognostic information to left atrial volumes, but GDF-15 demonstrated no prognostic value for incident atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS

In the general population, echocardiographic left atrial volumetric indices and NT-proBNP, but not cTnT and GDF-15, associate with prevalent atrial fibrillation and with risk of incident atrial fibrillation. cTnT and NT-proBNP provide incremental prognostic information to echocardiography.

Comprehensive nationwide incidence and prevalence trends of atrial fibrillation in Finland

Objective

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a worldwide healthcare challenge owing to population ageing. In this study, we assessed the current trends in the incidence and prevalence of AF for the first time in an unselected, nationwide population.

Methods

In the Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation study, we gathered comprehensive data including all primary, secondary and tertiary healthcare visits and drug reimbursement from national healthcare registers to identify all patients with incident AF between 2004 and 2018 in Finland. Incident AF was defined as new-onset AF occurring after 2007. Time trends for the incidence and prevalence of AF were calculated and stratified by sex and age.

Results

A total of 411 387 patients with AF diagnosis were documented in Finland during 2004–2018. In 2018, the incidence and prevalence of AF in the total Finnish population were 469/100 000 and 4.1%, respectively. The incidence of new-onset AF in the adult population (≥20 years) increased from 471/100 000 in 2007 to 604/100 000 in 2018, but the age-adjusted incidence remained stable. The prevalence of AF increased in the adult population from 2.5% to 5.2%, and was higher in men than in women (5.9% vs 4.6%, p<0.001). The incidence and prevalence of AF increased with age and were 3194/100 000 and 23.4% in patients older than 75 years.

Conclusions

Based on comprehensive nationwide data including primary care, we observed an increasing incidence and prevalence of AF over time. This increase was strongly age-dependent with the age-standardised incidence remaining stable during 2007–2018.

Trial registration number

NCT04645537.

Risk of atrial fibrillation and stroke among older men exposed to prolonged endurance sport practice: a 10-year follow-up. The Birkebeiner Ageing Study and the Tromsø Study

Aims

Endurance sport practice is associated with a high prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), which increases the risk of stroke in the general population. However, stroke risk in endurance athletes with AF is sparsely investigated. Most studies have been limited by design and are largely restricted to younger and middle-aged populations. Thus, we aimed to investigate AF and stroke risk in older athletes exposed to prolonged endurance training.

Method

During a 10-year period, 505 male athletes aged ≥65 years frequently participating in a long-distance ski race were compared with 1867 men of the same age from the general population. The main exposure was endurance sport practice with self-reported AF and stroke as outcomes. Stroke risk was further examined by joint modelling of AF and endurance practice. Statistical analysis was conducted with a modified Poisson model.

Results

Athletes (median age: 68, range: 65–90) participated in a long-distance ski race over a median of 14 years (range: 1–53). Prevalence (28.5% vs 17.8%) and adjusted risk of AF (risk ratio (RR): 1.88, 95% CI: 1.49 to 2.37) were higher in athletes compared with non-athletes, whereas the prevalence (5.4% vs 9.7%) and risk of stroke were lower (RR: 0.60, 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.95). Compared with athletes without AF, risk of stroke was twofold in athletes (RR: 2.38, 95% CI: 1.08 to 5.24) and nearly fourfold in non-athletes (RR: 3.87, 95% CI: 1.98 to 7.57) with AF.

Conclusion

Although older male endurance athletes experienced an increased risk of AF, the long-term risk of stroke was substantially reduced compared with non-athletes.

Prevalence and Incidence Rates of Atrial Fibrillation in Denmark 2004–2018

Purpose

To estimate the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Denmark during 2004–2018 and to investigate whether methodological choices influence these estimates.

Patients and Methods

A register-based cohort study was conducted of all individuals aged ≥18 years in Denmark 2004–2018. The cumulative prevalence of AF at the end of the study period was calculated as the number of AF cases alive with at least one inpatient or two outpatient diagnoses during 1994–2018 divided by the number of Danish residents in 2018. Incidence rates were calculated as the number of annual AF cases with no previous diagnosis in the past 10 years (ie, a 10-year washout period) divided by the person-time contributed by the population free of AF on 1 January in the same calendar year. Furthermore, the influence of varying case definitions was investigated.

Results

The cumulative prevalence of AF was 3.0% in 2018. The incidence rate increased from 391 to 481 per 100,000 person-years (PYs) from 2004 to 2015 (1.7% average annual increase) after which it declined to 367 per 100,000 PYs in 2018 (8.5% average annual decrease). This pattern was observed in both sexes irrespective of age. Methodological choices, particularly the case definition’s strictness and the length of the washout period, had a substantial influence on the reported estimates.

Conclusion

The cumulative prevalence of AF is currently around 3.0% in the Danish population, but the incidence has declined since 2015. As these estimates are influenced by methodological choices, future studies should strive for precise reporting of study methodology.

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Ten year age- and sex-specific temporal trends in incidence and prevalence of heart failure in Västra Götaland, Sweden

AIM

Heart failure (HF) is predominantly a disorder of the elderly. During the last decades, cardiovascular primary and secondary prevention and life expectancy have improved. Accordingly, trends in incidence and prevalence of HF are dynamic and may differ over time by age and gender. We aim to investigate the overall and age-specific and sex-specific trends, in incidence, prevalence, and the proportion with co-morbidities of HF over a 10 year period in Region Västra Götaland, Sweden.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The VEGA database is an administrative database of all patients managed in hospital and/or in primary care (private and public) living in Region Västra Götaland. All patients with a main or contributory diagnosis of HF (I50) aged 18 years or older between 2008 and 2017 were included. Incidence and prevalence of HF were calculated based on the entire adult population of Region Västra Götaland. The adult population in Region Västra Götaland increased by 8% from 2008 (n = 1 234 609) to 2017 (n = 1 338 906). Half the population was female and 69% < 60 years of age, both constant over time. In total, 62 228 incident cases of HF were identified. In 2008, we identified 6464 cases, mean age 78.7 (11.5) years, and 49.8% (n = 3222) men, while in 2017, 5727 cases were identified, mean age 78.3 (11.8) years, and 52.5% (n = 3006) men. The overall yearly incidence rate of HF decreased by 3%, RR 0.97 (95% CI 0.96-0.97) per year, P < 0.0001, mainly driven by the age categories >75 years. A constantly higher incidence of HF was seen for men compared with women in all age categories, RR 1.46 (95% CI 1.44-1.49), P < 0.0001. During the same period, we observed a steady increase in overall prevalence from 1.8% for women and 2.0% for men in 2008, to 2.4% in women and 2.8% in men in 2017, particularly in those >85 years of age who had a prevalence of 16.5% (men) and 14.6% (women) in 2008 and 23.5% (men) and 21.5% (women) in 2017. The overall 1 year mortality rate was 22.7%. When adjusted for age, women had a lower risk for death by 13% compared with men [hazard ratio 0.87 (95% CI 0.84-0.90, P < 0.0001)].

CONCLUSION

We saw a decrease in overall incidence, but incidence of HF remains high, particularly in the oldest age groups. Prevalence of HF keeps increasing particularly in those aged >85 years. Our findings emphasize the need for implementation of effective preventive strategies for HF.

Population Attributable Risks of Potential Modifiable Factors for Atrial Fibrillation in China: A National Survey

Background

There is an association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and overall mortality as well as mobility. It is not known, however, what the preventable burden of AF in China is. This study aims to identify what proportion of the burden of AF may be avoided by modifiable risk factors.

Methods

As part of the China National Stroke Screening and Prevention Project, 726,451 adults aged ≥40 years were enrolled in a representative cross-sectional study. The following seven factors have been categorized as modifiable risk factors for AF: body mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia. In order to calculate population-attributable risks (PARs), odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for selected risk factors.

Results

The crude ORs increased with age (ORs ranged from 1.92 to 4.02). A total of 18,736 cases of prevalent AF have been identified. The overall prevalence of AF was 2.6%. The crude ORs increased with age (ORs range 1.92–4.03). The adjusted ORs and the corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) for these seven modifiable factors were 1.16 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.12–1.19), 1.56 (95% CI: 1.49–1.62), 2.15 (95% CI: 2.02–2.28), 2.07 (95% CI: 2.01–2.14), 2.71 (95% CI: 2.62–2.79), 2.10 (95% CI: 2.02–2.19), 2.52 (95% CI: 2.44–2.60), and 3.32 (95% CI: 3.18–3.48), respectively. Accordingly, 59.3% of all cases of AF could be explained by having these modifiable risk factors, among which hypertension accounted for the greatest share.

Conclusion

In China, hypertension is the leading preventable cause of AF, and more than half of these cases can be prevented through improving those modifiable risk factors.

Association between complete right bundle branch block and atrial fibrillation development

Background

Complete right bundle branch block (CRBBB) is an important predictor of atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after pulmonary vein isolation. However, the association between CRBBB and AF development remains unclear.

Methods

We performed a retrospective study of 2639 patients (male, n = 1549; female, n = 1090; mean age, 58 ± 13 years). CRBBB was defined as a late R (R′) wave in lead V₁ or V₂ with a slurred S wave in lead I and/or lead V₆ with a prolonged QRS duration (≥120 ms).

Results

Among the 2639 patients, CRBBB was detected in 40 patients (1.5%), and the prevalence of AF was 7.4% (196/2639). The proportion of patients with AF and CRBBB was higher than the proportion of patients with AF without CRBBB (22.5% vs. 7.2%; p = 0.001). In the forward multivariate logistic analysis, CRBBB (odds ratio [OR], 3.329; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.350–8.211; p = 0.009), complete left bundle branch block (OR, 2.209; 95% CI, 1.238–3.940; p = 0.007), age (OR, 1.020; 95% CI, 1.005–1.035; p = 0.009), valvular heart disease (OR, 2.332; 95% CI, 1.531–3.552; p < 0.001), left atrial diameter (OR, 1.133; 95% CI, 1.104–1.163; p < 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR, 1.023; 95% CI, 1.006–1.041; p = 0.007), and class I or III anti‐arrhythmic drug use (OR, 10.534; 95% CI, 7.090–15.651; p < 0.001) were associated with AF.

Conclusion

Complete right bundle branch block was significantly associated with AF development in hospitalized patients with cardiovascular diseases.

The nationwide Finnish anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (FinACAF): study rationale, design, and patient characteristics

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of ischemic stroke and the number of AF patients is increasing. Thus, up-to-date multifaceted data about the characteristics of AF patients, their treatments, and outcomes are urgently needed. The Finnish anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (FinACAF) study has collected comprehensive data on all Finnish AF patients from 1st January 2004 to 31st December 2018. The aim of this paper is to describe the study rationale, the process of integrating data from the applied resources and to define the study cohort. Using national unique personal identification number, individual patient data is linked from nationwide health care registries (primary, secondary, and tertiary care), drug purchases, education, and socio-economic status as well as places of domicile, incomes, and taxes. Six regional laboratory databases (~ 282,000, 77% of the patients) are also included. The study cohort comprises of a total of 411,000 patients. Since the introduction of the national primary care register in 2012, 9% of all AF patients were identified outside hospital care registers. The prevalence of AF in Finland—4.1% of whole population—is for the first time now established. The FinACAF study allows a unique possibility to investigate the epidemiology and socio-medico-economic impact of AF as well as the cost effectiveness of different AF management strategies in a completely unselected, nationwide population. This article provides the rationale and design of the study together with a summary of the characteristics of the cohort.

Association of Depression With Atrial Fibrillation in South Korean Adults

IMPORTANCE

The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in people with depression is not fully known. Depression is associated with sympathetic activation and emotional stress, which might increase the risk of new-onset AF.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence of new-onset AF in those with and without depression using data from a nationwide health care database.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study obtained data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database and enrolled people who underwent a nationwide health checkup in 2009. People younger than 20 years and those with a history of heart valve surgery, previous diagnosis of mitral stenosis, or who were diagnosed with AF between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2008 were excluded. The risk of new-onset AF (occurring between 2009 and 2018) was compared in people who were and were not diagnosed with depression within a year before the 2009 nationwide health checkup. Data were analyzed between August 1, 2020 and October 31, 2020.

EXPOSURE

Previous diagnosis of depression.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cumulative incidence and risk of new-onset AF between 2009 and 2018 in participants with and without depression. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to assess incidence of AF, and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to calculate adjusted and unadjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs.

RESULTS

A total of 5 031 222 individuals with a mean (SD) age of 46.99 (14.06) years (2 771 785 men [55.1%]) were included in the analysis; of these individuals, 148 882 (3.0%) had a diagnosis of depression in the year before the 2009 health checkup and 4 882 340 (97%) did not. People with depression vs those without depression were older (aged 56.7 vs 46.7 years) and more likely to be women (96 472 [64.8%] vs 2 162 965 [44.3%]). Prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and heart failure was higher in the depression group. The cumulative incidence of new-onset AF was significantly higher in people with depression vs without depression in the Kaplan-Meier analysis and showed steady divergence throughout 10 years of follow-up (cumulative incidence, 4.44% vs 1.92%; log-rank P < .001). After adjusting for covariates, depression was associated with a 25.1% increased risk of new-onset AF (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.22-1.29; P < .001). People with recurrent episodes of depression showed even higher risk of new-onset AF (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.27-1.37; P < .001). Young age and female sex had significant interactions with depression, which suggests that young people and women with depression may have an increased risk of new-onset AF.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study found that depression was associated with a significantly increased cumulative incidence and risk of new-onset AF. Recurrent episodes of depression were associated with even higher risk. These findings suggest the need for adequate screening for AF in people with depression, particularly in younger people and women.

Atrial fibrillation is associated with increased risk of lethal ventricular arrhythmias

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with various major adverse cardiac events such as ischemic stroke, heart failure, and increased overall mortality. However, its association with lethal ventricular arrhythmias such as ventricular tachycardia (VT), ventricular flutter (VFL), and ventricular fibrillation (VF) is controversial. We conducted this study to determine whether AF can increase the risk of VT, VFL, and VF. We utilized the Korean National Health Insurance Service database for this nationwide population-based study. This study enrolled people who underwent a nationwide health screen in 2009 for whom clinical follow-up data were available until December 2018. Primary outcome endpoint was the occurrence of VT, VFL, or VF in people who were and were not diagnosed with new-onset AF in 2009. We analyzed a total of 9,751,705 people. In 2009, 12,689 people were diagnosed with new-onset AF (AF group). The incidence (events per 1000 person-years of follow-up) of VT, VFL, and VF was 2.472 and 0.282 in the AF and non-AF groups, respectively. After adjustment for covariates, new-onset AF was associated with 4.6-fold increased risk (p < 0.001) of VT, VFL, and VF over 10 years of follow-up. The risk of VT, VFL, and VF was even higher if identification of AF was based on intensified criteria (≥ 2 outpatient records or ≥ 1 inpatient record; hazard ratio = 5.221; p < 0.001). In conclusion, the incidence of VT, VFL, and VF was significantly increased in people with new-onset AF. The potential risk of suffering lethal ventricular arrhythmia in people with AF should be considered in clinical practice.

Mitochondrial Dysfunction in Atrial Fibrillation-Mechanisms and Pharmacological Interventions

Despite the enormous progress in the treatment of atrial fibrillation, mainly with the use of invasive techniques, many questions remain unanswered regarding the pathomechanism of the arrhythmia and its prevention methods. The development of atrial fibrillation requires functional changes in the myocardium that result from disturbed ionic fluxes and altered electrophysiology of the cardiomyocyte. Electrical instability and electrical remodeling underlying the arrhythmia may result from a cellular energy deficit and oxidative stress, which are caused by mitochondrial dysfunction. The significance of mitochondrial dysfunction in the pathogenesis of atrial fibrillation remains not fully elucidated; however, it is emphasized by the reduction of atrial fibrillation burden after therapeutic interventions improving the mitochondrial welfare. This review summarizes the mechanisms of mitochondrial dysfunction related to atrial fibrillation and current pharmacological treatment options targeting mitochondria to prevent or improve the outcome of atrial fibrillation.

Biomarkers of ageing and cardiac remodeling are associated with atrial fibrillation

Objectives. Ageing is one of the strongest risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF), and additional risk factors are also closely related to ageing. Remodeling is part of the pathophysiology of AF, and a possible common denominator of ageing and other AF risk factors. The aim of this study was to investigate any association between the presence of AF and the ageing biomarkers, leukocyte telomere length (LTL) and sirtuin-1 (SIRT-1), and the cardiac remodeling biomarkers Galectin-3 and sST2 in elderly myocardial infarction (MI) patients. Design. Patients were included after admission for MI. Diagnosis of AF was retrieved from medical records and classified as either history of AF before MI or new onset from admission to study inclusion. SIRT-1, sST2 and Galectin-3 were analyzed by ELISAs and LTL by qPCR. Results. In total, 299 patients were included, median age 75 years, 70.2% male. A history of AF was recorded in 38 patients and 30 patients experienced new onset AF. Higher levels of SIRT-1 were associated with lower risk of having a history of AF (OR = 0.46 (95% CI 0.26, 0.81), p = 0.007), whereas higher sST2 levels were associated with higher risk of AF (OR = 4.13 (95% CI 1.69, 10.13), p = 0.002). Results remained significant after adjustment for other AF risk factors. No significant associations with AF were found for Galectin-3 or LTL. None of the biomarkers associated with new onset AF. Conclusion. In elderly patients with MI, higher ST2 and lower SIRT-2 levels were associated with higher prevalence of AF, possibly reflecting both ageing and the remodeling phenomena in AF. Clinical trials registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01841944).

Examining the lower range of the association between alcohol intake and risk of incident hospitalization with atrial fibrillation

Background

Evidence is sparse on the association between alcohol intakes in the lower range and risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to investigate self-reported low and moderate alcohol intakes and subsequent risk of incident AF among current drinkers.

Methods

Norwegian population-based health examination surveys assessing self-reported daily alcohol intake (mean grams per day) were linked to health and population registers. Hazard ratios (HR) (95% confidence interval) for time to incident (first) hospitalization with AF by alcohol intake level were assessed by Cox regression, with adjustment for educational level and cardiovascular risk factors except blood pressure.

Results

The study population included 234,392 participants (49% men). Incident hospitalization with AF was identified in 5043 (2.2%) persons during a mean follow-up of 9 years. Compared to a very low alcohol intake of <1 unit weekly, a moderate consumption in the range of 1 to <2 units daily increased the risk of incident AF by 18% (HR 1.18 [1.06-1.32]). The average risk of incident AF increased by 9% per daily alcohol unit of 12 g (HR 1.09 [1.03, 1.14]). In sex-stratified analyses significant associations were found in men only.

Conclusions

We found that less than two alcohol units/day significantly increased the risk of incident AF, however, in men only. Reduction of even a moderate alcohol intake may thus reduce the risk of AF at the population level.