Germline mutation in BRCA1 or BRCA2 and ten-year survival for women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer

Clinical and Immunologic Features of Germline Pathogenic Variant-Positive Patients with Melanoma

PURPOSE

Malignant melanoma represents the most lethal skin cancer with germline predispositions thought to comprise 10% to 15% of all melanoma cases. No studies to date examine the immunologic features that may differentiate survival differences between germline pathogenic variant (gPV)-positive patients with melanoma from gPV-negative patients with melanoma.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Adult patients with melanoma and clinical characteristics suggesting hereditary predisposition to cancer were prospectively recruited to undergo germline testing and flow cytometric analysis of peripheral immune suppressor cells.

RESULTS

In this cohort, gPV-positive patients (n = 72) had a significantly improved melanoma-specific survival (MSS) compared with gPV-negative patients (n = 411; HRadj, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.13-0.82; P = 0.01). These survival improvements among gPV-positive patients were most apparent among cutaneous melanoma subtypes (HRadj, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.016-0.86; P = 0.03) and numerically improved in later-stage (IIB-IV) patients (HRadj, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.10-1.11; P = 0.06). Further, gPV-positive patients had a significantly lower level of total circulating PMN-MDSC compared with gPV-negative patients (P = 0.01), which was most apparent in those diagnosed with later stages (IIB-IV) of melanoma (P = 0.009). Finally, a significant upregulation of inflammatory transcriptome signatures in later-stage gPV-positive patients (n = 21) was observed in comparison with gPV-negative patients (n = 173) in the cutaneous melanoma cohort (SKCM) of The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA).

CONCLUSIONS

gPV-positive patients with melanoma exhibit improved MSS in addition to reduced peripheral PMN-MDSC and an enhanced inflammatory microenvironment.

Counselling Framework for Germline BRCA1/2 and PALB2 Carriers Considering Risk-Reducing Mastectomy

Female BRCA1/2 and PALB2 germline pathogenic variant carriers have an increased lifetime risk of breast cancer and may wish to consider risk-reducing mastectomy (RRM) for surgical prevention. Quantifying the residual lifetime risk and absolute benefit from RRM requires careful consideration of a patient's age, pathogenic variant, and their personal history of breast or ovarian cancer. Historically, patients have been counselled that RRM does not necessarily prolong survival relative to high-risk surveillance, although recent studies suggest a possible survival benefit of RRM in BRCA1 carriers. The uptake of RRM has increased dramatically over the last several decades yet varies according to sociodemographic factors and geographic region. The increased adoption of nipple-sparing mastectomy techniques, ability to avoid axillary staging, and availability of reconstructive options for most germline pathogenic variant carriers has helped to minimize the morbidity of RRM. Preoperative discussions should include evidence regarding postmastectomy sensation, the potential for supplemental surgery, pregnancy-related chest wall changes, and the need for continued clinical surveillance. Approaches that include sensation preservation and robotic nipple-sparing mastectomy are an area of evolving research that may be more widely adopted in the future.

Small-scale mutations are infrequent as mechanisms of resistance in post-PARP inhibitor tumour samples in high grade serous ovarian cancer

While the introduction of poly-(ADP)-ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors in homologous recombination DNA repair (HR) deficient high grade serous ovarian, fallopian tube and primary peritoneal cancers (HGSC) has improved patient survival, resistance to PARP inhibitors frequently occurs. Preclinical and translational studies have identified multiple mechanisms of resistance; here we examined tumour samples collected from 26 women following treatment with PARP inhibitors as part of standard of care or their enrolment in clinical trials. Twenty-one had a germline or somatic BRCA1/2 mutation. We performed targeted sequencing of 63 genes involved in DNA repair processes or implicated in ovarian cancer resistance. We found that just three individuals had a small-scale mutation as a definitive resistance mechanism detected, having reversion mutations, while six had potential mechanisms of resistance detected, with alterations related to BRCA1 function and mutations in SHLD2. This study indicates that mutations in genes related to DNA repair are detected in a minority of HGSC patients as genetic mechanisms of resistance. Future research into resistance in HGSC should focus on copy number, transcriptional and epigenetic aberrations, and the contribution of the tumour microenvironment.

Concurrent RB1 loss and BRCA-deficiency predicts enhanced immunological response and long-term survival in tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma

Background

Somatic loss of the tumour suppressor RB1 is a common event in tubo-ovarian high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC), which frequently co-occurs with alterations in homologous recombination DNA repair genes including BRCA1 and BRCA2 (BRCA). We examined whether tumour expression of RB1 was associated with survival across ovarian cancer histotypes (HGSC, endometrioid (ENOC), clear cell (CCOC), mucinous (MOC), low-grade serous carcinoma (LGSC)), and how co-occurrence of germline BRCA pathogenic variants and RB1 loss influences long-term survival in a large series of HGSC.

Patients and methods

RB1 protein expression patterns were classified by immunohistochemistry in epithelial ovarian carcinomas of 7436 patients from 20 studies participating in the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium and assessed for associations with overall survival (OS), accounting for patient age at diagnosis and FIGO stage. We examined RB1 expression and germline BRCA status in a subset of 1134 HGSC, and related genotype to survival, tumour infiltrating CD8+ lymphocyte counts and transcriptomic subtypes. Using CRISPR-Cas9, we deleted RB1 in HGSC cell lines with and without BRCA1 mutations to model co-loss with treatment response. We also performed genomic analyses on 126 primary HGSC to explore the molecular characteristics of concurrent homologous recombination deficiency and RB1 loss.

Results

RB1 protein loss was most frequent in HGSC (16.4%) and was highly correlated with RB1 mRNA expression. RB1 loss was associated with longer OS in HGSC (hazard ratio [HR] 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-0.83, P = 6.8 ×10-7), but with poorer prognosis in ENOC (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.17-4.03, P = 0.0140). Germline BRCA mutations and RB1 loss co-occurred in HGSC (P < 0.0001). Patients with both RB1 loss and germline BRCA mutations had a superior OS (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.25-0.58, P = 5.2 ×10-6) compared to patients with either alteration alone, and their median OS was three times longer than non-carriers whose tumours retained RB1 expression (9.3 years vs. 3.1 years). Enhanced sensitivity to cisplatin (P < 0.01) and paclitaxel (P < 0.05) was seen in BRCA1 mutated cell lines with RB1 knockout. Among 126 patients with whole-genome and transcriptome sequence data, combined RB1 loss and genomic evidence of homologous recombination deficiency was correlated with transcriptional markers of enhanced interferon response, cell cycle deregulation, and reduced epithelial-mesenchymal transition in primary HGSC. CD8+ lymphocytes were most prevalent in BRCA-deficient HGSC with co-loss of RB1.

Conclusions

Co-occurrence of RB1 loss and BRCA mutation was associated with exceptionally long survival in patients with HGSC, potentially due to better treatment response and immune stimulation.

Germline Mutations in 12 Genes and Risk of Ovarian Cancer in Three Population-Based Cohorts

BACKGROUND

With the widespread use of multigene panel genetic testing, population-based studies are necessary to accurately assess penetrance in unselected individuals. We evaluated the prevalence of germline pathogenic or likely pathogenic variants (mutations) in 12 cancer-predisposition genes and associations with ovarian cancer risk in three population-based prospective studies [Nurses' Health Study (NHS), NHSII, Cancer Prevention Study II].

METHODS

We included women with epithelial ovarian or peritoneal cancer (n = 776) and controls who were alive and had at least one intact ovary at the time of the matched case diagnosis (n = 1,509). Germline DNA was sequenced for mutations in 12 genes. Conditional logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for ovarian cancer risk by mutation status.

RESULTS

The mutation frequency across all 12 genes was 11.2% in cases and 3.3% in controls (P < 0.0001). BRCA1 and BRCA2 were the most frequently mutated (3.5% and 3.8% of cases and 0.3% and 0.5% of controls, respectively) and were associated with increased ovarian cancer risk [OR, BRCA1 = 12.38; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.72-32.45; OR, BRCA2 = 9.18; 95% CI = 3.98-21.15]. Mutation frequencies for the other genes were ≤1.0% and only PALB2 was significantly associated with risk (OR = 5.79; 95% CI = 1.09-30.83). There was no difference in survival for women with a BRCA germline mutation versus no mutation.

CONCLUSIONS

Further research is needed to better understand the role of other mutations in ovarian cancer among unselected populations.

IMPACT

Our data support guidelines for germline genetic testing for BRCA1 and BRCA2 among women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer; testing for PALB2 may be warranted.

Primary tumor type prediction based on US nationwide genomic profiling data in 13,522 patients

Timely and accurate primary tumor diagnosis is critical, and misdiagnoses and delays may cause undue health and economic burden. To predict primary tumor types based on genomics data from a de-identified US nationwide clinico-genomic database (CGDB), the XGBoost-based Clinico-Genomic Machine Learning Model (XC-GeM) was developed to predict 13 primary tumor types based on data from 12,060 patients in the CGDB, derived from routine clinical comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) testing and chart-confirmed electronic health records (EHRs). The SHapley Additive exPlanations method was used to interpret model predictions. XC-GeM reached an outstanding area under the curve (AUC) of 0.965 and Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) of 0.742 in the holdout validation dataset. In the independent validation cohort of 955 patients, XC-GeM reached 0.954 AUC and 0.733 MCC and made correct predictions in 77% of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), 86% of colorectal cancer, and 84% of breast cancer patients. Top predictors for the overall model (e.g. tumor mutational burden (TMB), gender, and KRAS alteration), and for specific tumor types (e.g., TMB and EGFR alteration for NSCLC) were supported by published studies. XC-GeM also achieved an excellent AUC of 0.880 and positive MCC of 0.540 in 507 patients with missing primary diagnosis. XC-GeM is the first algorithm to predict primary tumor type using US nationwide data from routine CGP testing and chart-confirmed EHRs, showing promising performance. It may enhance the accuracy and efficiency of cancer diagnoses, enabling more timely treatment choices and potentially leading to better outcomes.

The Prognostic Significance of Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes, PD-L1, BRCA Mutation Status and Tumor Mutational Burden in Early-Stage High-Grade Serous Ovarian Carcinoma-A Study by the Spanish Group for Ovarian Cancer Research (GEICO)

Early stages are under-represented in studies on the molecular and immune features of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC), and specific studies focused on early-stage HGSOC are required for a better prognostic stratification and to personalize chemotherapy. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic significance of CD8+ and CD4+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), tumoral cell PD-L1 expression, BRCA mutational status and tumor mutation burden (TMB) in early-stage HGSOC. A retrospective study was performed on stage I and II HGSOC from the Molecular Reclassification of Early Stages of Ovarian Cancer (RECLAMO) cohort from the Spanish Group of Ovarian Cancer Research (GEICO). Centralized histological typing was performed based on morphological and immunohistochemical features. Intraepithelial (i) and stromal (s) CD8+ and CD4+ T cells and PD-L1 were evaluated on tissue microarrays by immunohistochemistry. BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation status and TMB were analyzed in tumor DNA using next-generation sequencing. The study included 124 tumors. High iCD8+ (>20 TILs/core), low/intermediate CD4+ (<20 TILs/core) and high CD8+/CD4+ ratio (>35/core) were associated with favorable outcomes. Tumor cell PD-L1 expression (TPS ≥ 1) was present in only 8% of tumors. In total, 11 (16%) and 6 (9%) out of 69 HGSOC tested carried pathogenic or likely pathogenic BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations, respectively. Median TMB of 40 tumors analyzed was 5.04 mutations/Mb and only 6 tumors had 10 or more mutations/Mb. BRCA status and TMB were not associated with TILs or prognosis. When compared with studies on advanced HGSOC, our results suggested that prognostic variables differed according to stage and that more studies focused on early stages of HGSOC are needed to better stratify these tumors.

Multiparameter single-cell proteomic technologies give new insights into the biology of ovarian tumors

High-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) is the most lethal gynecological malignancy. Its diagnosis at advanced stage compounded with its excessive genomic and cellular heterogeneity make curative treatment challenging. Two critical therapeutic challenges to overcome are carboplatin resistance and lack of response to immunotherapy. Carboplatin resistance results from diverse cell autonomous mechanisms which operate in different combinations within and across tumors. The lack of response to immunotherapy is highly likely to be related to an immunosuppressive HGSOC tumor microenvironment which overrides any clinical benefit. Results from a number of studies, mainly using transcriptomics, indicate that the immune tumor microenvironment (iTME) plays a role in carboplatin response. However, in patients receiving treatment, the exact mechanistic details are unclear. During the past decade, multiplex single-cell proteomic technologies have come to the forefront of biomedical research. Mass cytometry or cytometry by time-of-flight, measures up to 60 parameters in single cells that are in suspension. Multiplex cellular imaging technologies allow simultaneous measurement of up to 60 proteins in single cells with spatial resolution and interrogation of cell-cell interactions. This review suggests that functional interplay between cell autonomous responses to carboplatin and the HGSOC immune tumor microenvironment could be clarified through the application of multiplex single-cell proteomic technologies. We conclude that for better clinical care, multiplex single-cell proteomic technologies could be an integral component of multimodal biomarker development that also includes genomics and radiomics. Collection of matched samples from patients before and on treatment will be critical to the success of these efforts.

The genomic and immune landscape of long-term survivors of high-grade serous ovarian cancer

Fewer than half of all patients with advanced-stage high-grade serous ovarian cancers (HGSCs) survive more than five years after diagnosis, but those who have an exceptionally long survival could provide insights into tumor biology and therapeutic approaches. We analyzed 60 patients with advanced-stage HGSC who survived more than 10 years after diagnosis using whole-genome sequencing, transcriptome and methylome profiling of their primary tumor samples, comparing this data to 66 short- or moderate-term survivors. Tumors of long-term survivors were more likely to have multiple alterations in genes associated with DNA repair and more frequent somatic variants resulting in an increased predicted neoantigen load. Patients clustered into survival groups based on genomic and immune cell signatures, including three subsets of patients with BRCA1 alterations with distinctly different outcomes. Specific combinations of germline and somatic gene alterations, tumor cell phenotypes and differential immune responses appear to contribute to long-term survival in HGSC.

The avoiding late diagnosis of ovarian cancer (ALDO) project; a pilot national surveillance programme for women with pathogenic germline variants inBRCA1andBRCA2

Background

Our study aimed to establish ‘real-world’ performance and cost-effectiveness of ovarian cancer (OC) surveillance in women with pathogenic germlineBRCA1/2variants who defer risk-reducing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO).

Methods

Our study recruited 875 femaleBRCA1/2-heterozygotes at 13 UK centres and via an online media campaign, with 767 undergoing at least one 4-monthly surveillance test with the Risk of Ovarian Cancer Algorithm (ROCA) test. Surveillance performance was calculated with modelling of occult cancers detected at RRSO. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated using Markov population cohort simulation.

Results

Our study identified 8 OCs during 1277 women screen years: 2 occult OCs at RRSO (both stage 1a), and 6 screen-detected; 3 of 6 (50%) were ≤stage 3a and 5 of 6 (83%) were completely surgically cytoreduced. Modelled sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value (PPV) and Negative Predictive Value (NPV) for OC were 87.5% (95% CI, 47.3 to 99.7), 99.9% (99.9–100), 75% (34.9–96.8) and 99.9% (99.9–100), respectively. The predicted number of quality-adjusted life years (QALY) gained by surveillance was 0.179 with an ICER cost-saving of -£102,496/QALY.

Conclusion

OC surveillance for women deferring RRSO in a ‘real-world’ setting is feasible and demonstrates similar performance to research trials; it down-stages OC, leading to a high complete cytoreduction rate and is cost-saving in the UK National Health Service (NHS) setting. While RRSO remains recommended management, ROCA-based surveillance may be considered for femaleBRCA-heterozygotes who are deferring such surgery.

Germline BRCA mutation carriers are more likely to undergo cytoreductive surgery for relapsed, platinum sensitive, ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

BRCA mutations have been associated with improved outcomes in ovarian cancer patients. This study's objective was to compare the secondary cytoreduction surgery (SCS) rates among ovarian cancer patients by BRCA mutation status.

METHODS

The study was retrospective and included platinum sensitive recurrent high grade serous ovarian cancer patients from one Canadian center and two Israeli centers from January 1999 to December 2018. Demographic and genetic data, tumor characteristics, patterns of recurrence and surgical and medical treatments were obtained from electronic charts. Patients were grouped according to BRCA mutation status. Logistic regression analyses were used to explore potential prognostic factors of secondary cytoreduction.

RESULTS

147 patients were enrolled, including 97 from Canada and 50 from Israel. Forty-seven patients (32%) had a BRCA mutation, including 39 (26.5%) germline mutations and 8 (5.5%) somatic mutations. Thirty-one patients (21.1%) underwent SCS. The rate of SCS was 33.3% among the germline BRCA mutation carriers and 15.7% among patients without germline BRCA mutation (p = 0.026). Predictors of secondary cytoreduction included germline BRCA mutation (OR = 2.5, p = 0.03), time to recurrence (OR = 1.004 per month, p < 0.001), absence of lymphatic recurrence (OR = 3.08, p = 0.013), three or fewer lesions at recurrence (OR = 36.74, p < 0.001) and absence of ascites (OR = 9.1, p = 0.034). After adjusting for the number of lesions at recurrence, no other variable remained a significant predictor.

CONCLUSION

Germline BRCA mutation carriers are more likely to undergo secondary cytoreduction. This may be mediated in part by lower volume disease at recurrence. This observation should be considered when planning surveillance for these patients after first-line treatment.

Progression-free survival and overall survival after BRCA1/2-associated epithelial ovarian cancer: A matched cohort study

Introduction

Germline BRCA1/2-associated epithelial ovarian cancer has been associated with better progression-free survival and overall survival than sporadic epithelial ovarian cancer, but conclusive data are lacking.

Methods

We matched 389 BRCA1-associated and 123 BRCA2-associated epithelial ovarian cancer patients 1:1 to sporadic epithelial ovarian cancer patients on year of birth, year of diagnosis, and FIGO stage (< = IIA/> = IIB). Germline DNA test was performed before or after epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosis. All patients received chemotherapy. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations between mutation status (BRCA1 or BRCA2 versus sporadic) and progression-free survival and overall survival. To investigate whether DNA testing after epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosis resulted in survival bias, we performed additional analyses limited to BRCA1/2-associated epithelial ovarian cancer patients with a DNA test result before cancer diagnosis (n = 73 BRCA1; n = 9 BRCA2) and their matched sporadic controls.

Results

The median follow-up was 4.4 years (range 0.1–30.1). During the first three years after epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosis, progression-free survival was better for BRCA1 (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.74–1.04) and BRCA2 (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.41–0.81) patients than for sporadic patients. Overall survival was better during the first six years after epithelial ovarian cancer for BRCA1 (HR 0.7, 95% CI 0.58–0.84) and BRCA2 (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.29–0.59) patients. After surviving these years, survival benefits disappeared or were in favor of the sporadic patients.

Conclusion

For epithelial ovarian cancer patients who received chemotherapy, we confirmed survival benefit for BRCA1 and BRCA2 germline pathogenic variant carriers. This may indicate higher sensitivity to chemotherapy, both in first line treatment and in the recurrent setting. The observed benefit appears to be limited to a relatively short period after epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosis.

Impact of germline mutations in cancer-predisposing genes on long-term survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

Several clinical and tumour factors impact on ovarian cancer survival. It is important to evaluate if germline mutations impact long-term outcomes among patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

METHODS

We followed 1422 Ontario women with ovarian cancer. Clinical information was obtained from medical records and vital status was determined by registry linkage. Germline genetic testing was performed for 12 susceptibility genes. We estimated 20-year cancer-specific survival according to various factors.

RESULTS

Twenty-year survival was inferior for women with serous cancers vs. other types (22.3% vs. 68.6%; P < 0.0001). Of the 1422 patients, 248 (17.4%) carried a germline mutation; 119 BRCA1; 75 BRCA2; 7 in a mismatch repair (MMR) gene and 47 in one of seven other genes. Among serous patients, 20-year survival was 28.9% for similar for women with a BRCA1 (28.9%), BRCA2 (21.2%) or no mutation (21.6%). Among endometrioid patients, 20-year survival was poor for women with a BRCA vs. no mutation (47.3% vs. 70.4%; P = 0.004). Six of the seven MMR mutation carriers are currently alive, while all three PALB2 mutation carriers died within 3 years of diagnosis. Among women with Stage III/IV serous cancers, 20-year survival was 9.4% for those with vs. 46.5% for those with no residual disease (HR = 2.91; 95% CI 2.12-4.09, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The most important predictor of long-term survival was no residual disease post surgery. BRCA mutation status was not predictive of long-term survival while those with MMR mutations had excellent survival. Larger studies on PALB2 carriers are needed.

The Homologous Recombination Deficiency Scar in Advanced Cancer: Agnostic Targeting of Damaged DNA Repair

Simple Summary

Tumor-suppressor genes are involved in DNA break repair through the homologous recombination system and are widely known for their role in hereditary cancer. Beyond breast and ovarian cancer, prostate and pancreatic cancer also have targetable homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) beyond the well-known BRCA1 and BRCA2 with relevance that exceeds diagnostic purposes. In this review, we aim to summarize the roles of HRD across tumor types and the treatment landscape to guide the targeting of damaged DNA repair based on the cancer’s genetic features.

Abstract

BRCA1 and BRCA2 are the most recognized tumor-suppressor genes involved in double-strand DNA break repair through the homologous recombination (HR) system. Widely known for its role in hereditary cancer, HR deficiency (HRD) has turned out to be critical beyond breast and ovarian cancer: for prostate and pancreatic cancer also. The relevance for the identification of these patients exceeds diagnostic purposes, since results published from clinical trials with poly-ADP ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors (PARPi) have shown how this type of targeted therapy can modify the long-term evolution of patients with HRD. Somatic aberrations in other HRD pathway genes, but also indirect genomic instability as a sign of this DNA repair impairment (known as HRD scar), have been reported to be relevant events that lead to more frequently than expected HR loss of function in several tumor types, and should therefore be included in the current diagnostic and therapeutic algorithm. However, the optimal strategy to identify HRD and potential PARPi responders in cancer remains undefined. In this review, we summarize the role and prevalence of HRD across tumor types and the current treatment landscape to guide the agnostic targeting of damaged DNA repair. We also discuss the challenge of testing patients and provide a special insight for new strategies to select patients who benefit from PARPi due to HRD scarring.

Association of BRCA1/2 mutations with prognosis and surgical cytoreduction outcomes in ovarian cancer patients: An updated meta-analysis

AIM

This meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the impact of BRCA mutations on survival outcomes of ovarian cancer patients and assess whether the BRCA status was an independent predictor of complete cytoreduction.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Cochrane, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases for studies that evaluated the associations among BRCA mutations, ovarian cancer survival and surgical cytoreduction before August 2021 based on specific inclusion and exclusion criteria.

RESULTS

We identified 61 articles that compared the clinical features, survival outcomes, and optimal surgical cytoreduction rates between BRCA-positive patients and BRCA-negative patients. The results showed that BRCA mutation carriers were diagnosed with ovarian cancer at a younger age than the age at which nonmutation carriers were diagnosed. In addition, BRCA mutation carriers were more likely to be in the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage III-IV, and the pathological grade was commonly grade 3. The pathological type of BRCA mutation carriers was more likely to be high-grade serous carcinoma. Patients with BRCA mutations had higher response rates to platinum-based chemotherapy than the noncarriers. However, patients in both groups had equivalent rates of surgical cytoreduction, and BRCA-positive patients had longer overall survival (OS) time (HR = 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59, 0.73; p < 0.001) and longer progression-free survival (PFS) (HR = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.63, 0.82; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

BRCA mutations appear to be associated with improved OS and PFS in patients with ovarian cancer. However, we did not find any difference in the surgical resection rate between participants in the two groups.

Germline BRCA variants, lifestyle and ovarian cancer survival

OBJECTIVE

Women with ovarian cancer who have a pathogenic germline variant in BRCA1 or BRCA2 (BRCA) have been shown to have better 5-year survival after diagnosis than women who are BRCA-wildtype (non-carriers). Modifiable lifestyle factors, including smoking, physical activity and body mass index (BMI) have previously been associated with ovarian cancer survival; however, it is unknown whether these associations differ by germline BRCA status.

METHODS

We investigated measures of lifestyle prior to diagnosis in two cohorts of Australian women with invasive epithelial ovarian cancer, using Cox proportional hazards regression to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

In the combined studies (n = 1923), there was little association between physical activity, BMI or alcohol intake and survival, and no difference by BRCA status. However, the association between current smoking status before diagnosis and poorer survival was stronger for BRCA variant carriers (HR 1.98; 95% CI 1.20-3.27) than non-carriers (HR 1.18; 95% CI 0.96-1.46; p-interaction 0.02). We saw a similar differential association with smoking when we pooled results from two additional cohorts from the USA and UK (n = 2120). Combining the results from all four studies gave a pooled-HR of 1.94 (95% CI 1.28-2.94) for current smoking among BRCA variant carriers compared to 1.08 (0.90-1.29) for non-carriers.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the adverse effect of smoking on survival may be stronger for women with a BRCA variant than those without. Thus, while smoking cessation may improve outcomes for all women with ovarian cancer, it might provide a greater benefit for BRCA variant carriers.

Germline mutations in Chinese ovarian cancer with or without breast cancer

BACKGROUND

Ovarian and breast cancers are known to have significant genetic components. Considering the differences in the mutation spectrum across ethnicity, it is important to identify hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) genes mutation in Chinese for clinical management.

METHODS

Two cohorts of 451 patients with ovarian cancer only (OV) and 93 patients with both breast and ovarian (BROV) cancers were initially screened for BRCA1, BRCA2, TP53, and PTEN. 109 OV and 43 BROV patients with extensive clinical risk and were being tested negative, were then further characterized by 30-gene panel analysis.

RESULTS

Pathogenic BRCA1/2 variants were identified in 45 OV patients and 33 BROV patients, giving a prevalence of 10% and 35.5%, respectively. After the extended screening, mutations in other HBOC genes were identified in an additional 12.8% (14/109) of the OV cohort and 14% (6/43) in the BROV cohort. The most commonly mutated genes in the OV cohort were MSH2 (4.6%) while in the BROV cohort were MSH2 (4.7%) and PALB2 (4.7%). With this extended multigene testing strategy, pathogenic mutations were detected in 12.8% of OV patients (BRCAs: 10%; additional genes: 12.8%) and 40.9% (BRCAs: 35.5%; additional genes: 14%) of BROV patients.

CONCLUSION

Extended characterization of the contributions of HBOC genes to OV and BROV patients has significant impacts on further management in patients and their families, expanding the screening net for more asymptomatic individuals.

Predicting Response to Anthracyclines in Ovarian Cancer

(1) Background: Anthracyclines are intriguing drugs, representing one of the cornerstones of both first and subsequent-lines of chemotherapy in ovarian cancer (OC). Their efficacy and mechanisms of action are related to the hot topics of OC clinical research, such as BRCA status and immunotherapy. Prediction of response to anthracyclines is challenging and no markers can predict certain therapeutic success. The current narrative review provides a summary of the clinical and biological mechanisms involved in the response to anthracyclines. (2) Methods: A MEDLINE search of the literature was performed, focusing on papers published in the last two decades. (3) Results and Conclusions: BRCA mutated tumors seem to show a higher response to anthracyclines compared to sporadic tumors and the severity of hand–foot syndrome and mucositis may be a predictive marker of PLD efficacy. CA125 can be a misleading marker of clinical response during treatment with anthracyclines, the response of which also appears to depend on OC histology. Immunochemistry, in particular HER-2 expression, could be of some help in predicting the response to such drugs, and high levels of mutated p53 appear after exposure to anthracyclines and impair their antitumor effect. Finally, organoids from OC are promising for drug testing and prediction of response to chemotherapy.

Violations of proportional hazard assumption in Cox regression model of transcriptomic data in TCGA pan-cancer cohorts

Background

Cox proportional hazard regression (CPH) model relies on the proportional hazard (PH) assumption: the hazard of variables is independent of time. CPH has been widely used to identify prognostic markers of the transcriptome. However, the comprehensive investigation on PH assumption in transcriptomic data has lacked.

Results

The whole transcriptomic data of the 9,056 patients from 32 cohorts of The Cancer Genome Atlas and the 3 lung cancer cohorts from Gene Expression Omnibus were collected to construct CPH model for each gene separately for fitting the overall survival. An average of 8.5% gene CPH models violated the PH assumption in TCGA pan-cancer cohorts. In the gene interaction networks, both hub and non-hub genes in CPH models were likely to have non-proportional hazards. Violations of PH assumption for the same gene models were not consistent in 5 non-small cell lung cancer datasets (all kappa coefficients < 0.2), indicating that the non-proportionality of gene CPH models depended on the datasets. Furthermore, the introduction of log(t) or sqrt(t) time-functions into CPH improved the performance of gene models on overall survival fitting in most tumors. The time-dependent CPH changed the significance of log hazard ratio of the 31.9% gene variables.

Conclusions

Our analysis resulted that non-proportional hazards should not be ignored in transcriptomic data. Introducing time interaction term ameliorated performance and interpretability of non-proportional hazards of transcriptome data in CPH.

Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes in Advanced KRAS-Mutated NSCLC: A Multicenter Collaboration in Asia (ATORG-005)

Introduction

Whereas interpatient heterogeneity in clinical characteristics and treatment outcomes of NSCLC harboring a KRAS mutation is recognized, the characterization of these patients in Asia has been limited.

Methods

A multicenter, retrospective cohort study was conducted in eight academic centers across Asia. Patients diagnosed with advanced NSCLC harboring a KRAS mutation and who had received at least one line of anticancer therapy between January 2014 and December 2018 were included. Modified time to next treatment (TTNT) was adopted as a proxy for progression-free survival.

Results

A total of 216 patients were analyzed. The median age at diagnosis of advanced NSCLC was 63.3 years, 70.8% were men and 89.8% had adenocarcinoma. KRAS G12D was the most common subtype (25.5%), followed by G12C (24.5%), and G12V (19.4%) The proportion of current or former smokers was 65.7% in the overall population, with 86.8% in G12C and 58.9% in non-G12C subgroups. For all treatments combined for the total population, the first-line duration of therapy, modified TTNT, and TTNT were 4.5 (95% confidence interval: 3.4–5.9), 6.2 (4.9–8.8), and 9.5 (7.1–11.4) months, respectively. The median overall survival for the total population was 10.3 (6.9–12.4) months and was prolonged in patients ever treated with immunotherapy (14.6 [8.6–19.1] versus 7.0 [5.9–10.6] mo, hazard ratio = 0.54, p < 0.001), with left truncation to account for the time of KRAS testing.

Conclusions

Whereas treatment outcomes with conventional anticancer therapy are reasonable and immunotherapy looks promising, the unmet need remains high for patients with KRAS-mutated NSCLC in Asia, underscoring the need for novel therapeutic approaches.

Olaparib as first line in BRCA-mutated advanced ovarian carcinoma: Is it cost-effective in Spain?

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the cost-effectiveness of olaparib after being funded by the Spanish National Health Service (SNHS) as first-line monotherapy maintenance treatment in patients with advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC) and BRCA mutations in Spain.

METHODS

A semi-Markov model with one-month cycles was adapted to the Spanish healthcare setting, using the perspective of the SNHS, and a time horizon of 50 years. Two scenarios were compared: receiving olaparib vs. no maintenance treatment. The model comprised four health states and included the clinical results of the SOLO1 study, along with the direct healthcare costs associated with the use of first-line and subsequent treatment resources (2020 €). A discount rate of 3% was applied for future cost and quality-of-life outcomes. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was also carried out and a cost-effectiveness threshold of €25,000 per quality adjusted life year (QALY) was considered.

RESULTS

The introduction of olaparib as a first-line maintenance treatment for advanced HGSOC patients with BRCA mutations implied a cost of €131,614.98 compared to €102,369.54 without olaparib (difference: €29,245.44), with an improvement of 2.00 QALYs (5.56 and 3.57, respectively). Therefore, olaparib is cost-effective for advanced HGSOC patients with BRCA mutations, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of €14,653.2/QALY. The results from the PSA showed that 92.1% of the simulations fell below the €25,000/QALY threshold. The model showed that olaparib could improve the overall survival by 2 years, vs. no maintenance treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Olaparib as first-line maintenance treatment is cost-effective in advanced HGSOC patients with BRCA mutations in Spain.

Prevalence and clinical characterization of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations in Korean patients with epithelial ovarian cancer

This study was performed to investigate the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and treatment response according to BRCA1 and BRCA2 (BRCA) mutations in Korean patients with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC). Two‐hundred and ninety‐eight Korean women diagnosed with high‐grade serous and/or endometrioid EOC from 2010 to 2015 were tested for germline and 86 specimens for somatic BRCA mutations, regardless of the family history. Clinical characteristics including survival outcomes were compared in patients with and without BRCA mutations (NCT02963688). A total of 43 different germline BRCA mutations were identified in 78 patients among 298 patients (26.2%). Somatic BRCA mutations were identified in 11 (12.8%) patients among patients without germline BRCA mutations. Haplotype analysis demonstrated no founder mutations in our Korean patient cohort. Insignificant differences in age at diagnosis, primary site, and residual disease after surgery were observed between patients with and without BRCA mutations. In multivariate analysis for overall survival (OS), the presence of BRCA mutation was significantly associated with OS (P = .049) in addition to platinum sensitivity (P < .001), indicating it is an independent prognostic factor for survival regardless of platinum sensitivity to first‐line chemotherapy. In addition, a higher response rate to subsequent chemotherapy after recurrence was observed in EOC patients with BRCA mutations resulting in better OS. In the current study, the prevalence of BRCA mutations in Korean patients with EOC was higher than previously reported in other ethnic groups. We demonstrated characteristics and treatment response in Korean EOC patients with BRCA mutations. These findings may provide valuable information to be considered in future clinical trials including Asian patients.

Clinical outcome in patients with primary epithelial ovarian cancer and germline BRCA1/2-mutation - real life data

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the clinical impact of germline (g)BRCA1/2-mutation on initial disease presentation, surgical implications, surgical morbidity and survival in patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) undergoing debulking surgery (DS).

METHODS

Data of all consecutive EOC patients with stage III/IV, high-grade serous disease and known gBRCA1/2 status (gBRCA; non-gBRCA), who underwent DS at our department between 01/2011 and 06/2019 were analyzed. Associations between gBRCA-status and severe postoperative complications and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

gBRCA-status was determined in 50.1% (612/1221) of all patients. gBRCA was present in 21.9% (134/612). Significant differences were observed in terms of median age (p = 0.001) and histology (high-grade serous histology gBRCA: 98.5%, non-gBRCA 76.2%; p < 0.001). gBRCA-status had no impact on intraoperative disease presentation, surgical complexity or complete resection rate (gBRCA: 74.4%, non-gBRCA: 69.0%; p = 0.274). gBRCA-status was not predictive for severe postoperative complication (gBRCA: 12.0%, non-gBRCA: 19.1%; p = 0.082). Median PFS and OS was 31/22 and 71/53 months in patients with/without gBRCA-mutation, respectively. gBRCA was a significant prognostic factor for PFS (HR 0.57 p < 0.001) and for OS (HR 0.64, p = 0.048) after adjusting for established prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

gBRCA-status had no impact on initial disease presentation, surgical results or postoperative complications. gBRCA patients have a significantly longer PFS but the impact on the long term prognosis is unclear. Complete resection remains the most important prognostic factor in patients with EOC independent of gBRCA-status.

Leveraging Genomics, Transcriptomics, and Epigenomics to Understand the Biology and Chemoresistance of Ovarian Cancer

Ovarian cancer is a major cause of fatality due to a gynecological malignancy. This lethality is largely due to the unspecific clinical manifestations of ovarian cancer, which lead to late detection and to high resistance to conventional therapies based on platinum. In recent years, we have advanced our understanding of the mechanisms provoking tumor relapse, and the advent of so-called omics technologies has provided exceptional tools to evaluate molecular mechanisms leading to therapy resistance in ovarian cancer. Here, we review the contribution of genomics, transcriptomics, and epigenomics techniques to our knowledge about the biology and molecular features of ovarian cancers, with a focus on therapy resistance. The use of these technologies to identify molecular markers and mechanisms leading to chemoresistance in these tumors is discussed, as well as potential further applications.

Association of Genetic Testing Results with Mortality Among Women with Breast Cancer or Ovarian Cancer

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer and ovarian cancer patients increasingly undergo germline genetic testing. However, little is known about cancer-specific mortality among carriers of a pathogenic variant (PV) in BRCA1/2 or other genes in a population-based setting.

METHODS

Georgia and California Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) registry records were linked to clinical genetic testing results. Women were included who had stages I-IV breast cancer or ovarian cancer diagnosed in 2013-2017; received chemotherapy; and linked to genetic testing results. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of genetic results with cancer-specific mortality.

RESULTS

22,495 breast and 4,320 ovarian cancer patients were analyzed, with a median follow-up of 41 months. PVs were present in 12.7% of breast cancer patients with estrogen and/or progesterone receptor-positive, HER2-negative cancer, 9.8% with HER2-positive cancer, 16.8% with triple-negative breast cancer and 17.2% with ovarian cancer. Among triple-negative breast cancer patients, cancer-specific mortality was lower with BRCA1 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.35-0.69) and BRCA2 PVs (HR = 0.60, 95% CI = 0.41-0.89), and equivalent with PVs in other genes (HR = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.37-1.13), versus non-carriers. Among ovarian cancer patients, cancer-specific mortality was lower with PVs in BRCA2 (HR = 0.35, 95% CI = 0.25-0.49) and genes other than BRCA1/2 (HR = 0.47, 95% CI = 0.32-0.69). No PV was associated with higher cancer-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Among breast cancer and ovarian cancer patients treated with chemotherapy in the community, BRCA1/2 and other gene PV carriers had equivalent or lower short-term cancer-specific mortality than non-carriers. These results may reassure newly diagnosed patients and longer follow-up is ongoing.

BRCA1 Promoter Methylation and Clinical Outcomes in Ovarian Cancer: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

BRCA1 methylation has been associated with homologous recombination deficiency, a biomarker of platinum sensitivity. Studies evaluating BRCA1-methylated tubal and ovarian cancer (OC) do not consistently support improved survival following platinum chemotherapy. We examine the characteristics of BRCA1-methylated OC in a meta-analysis of individual participant data.

METHODS

Data of 2636 participants across 15 studies were analyzed. BRCA1-methylated tumors were defined according to their original study. Associations between BRCA1 methylation and clinicopathological characteristics were evaluated. The effects of methylation on overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were examined using mixed-effects models. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

RESULTS

430 (16.3%) tumors were BRCA1-methylated. BRCA1 methylation was associated with younger age and advanced-stage, high-grade serous OC. There were no survival differences between BRCA1-methylated and non-BRCA1-methylated OC (median PFS = 20.0 vs 18.5 months, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.16; P = .98; median OS = 46.6 vs 48.0 months, HR = 1.02, 95% CI = 0.87 to 1.18; P = .96). Where BRCA1/2 mutations were evaluated (n = 1248), BRCA1 methylation displayed no survival advantage over BRCA1/2-intact (BRCA1/2 wild-type non-BRCA1-methylated) OC. Studies used different methods to define BRCA1 methylation. Where BRCA1 methylation was determined using methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction and gel electrophoresis (n = 834), it was associated with improved survival (PFS: HR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.66 to 0.97; P = .02; OS: HR = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.63 to 1.00; P = .05) on mixed-effects modeling.

CONCLUSION

BRCA1-methylated OC displays similar clinicopathological features to BRCA1-mutated OC but is not associated with survival. Heterogeneity within BRCA1 methylation assays influences associations. Refining these assays may better identify cases with silenced BRCA1 function and improved patient outcomes.

Characteristics and outcome of BRCA mutated epithelial ovarian cancer patients in Italy: A retrospective multicenter study (MITO 21)

OBJECTIVE

Around 15% of epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) patients (pts) harbor a germline BRCA1 or 2 mutation, showing different features than BRCA wild-type pts. The clinical and pathological features of an Italian BRCA mutated EOC cohort were described.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed clinical, pathological and mutational data from a cohort of Italian BRCA mutated EOC pts. treated in 15 MITO centers between 1995 and 2017.

RESULTS

Three-hundred thirty-one pts. were recorded. Two-hundred forty (72%) and 91 (27.5%) pts. harbored a BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation, respectively. Median age at diagnosis was 52 years. The most frequent diagnosis was a high grade serous FIGO III or IV EOC and platinum doublet in first-line was administered to almost all pts. Fifty-three % of them had no residual disease (R = 0) at surgery. Median progression-free-survival (mPFS) after first-line chemotherapy was 29 months. Expected percentage of pts. alive at 5 years was 72.5% (CI 60.2-80.8%) and R = 0 predicted a significantly longer overall survival (OS). Sixty-six pts. (19,9%) had both an EOC and a breast cancer (BC) diagnosis. The first diagnosis was BC in 81,8% of cases with a mean interval between the two diagnoses (IBTDs) of 132.4 months. Mutational data show that the founder mutation c.5266dupC in BRCA1 was the most frequently recorded.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the largest Italian BRCA mutEOC cohort. The only predictor of longer OS was R = 0. EOC pts. that developed subsequently a BC are long-term survivors.

Whole-exome sequencing reveals potential germline and somatic mutations in 60 malignant ovarian germ cell tumors†

Malignant ovarian germ cell tumors (MOGCTs) are rare and heterogeneous ovary tumors. We aimed to identify potential germline mutations and somatic mutations in MOGCTs by whole-exome sequencing. The peripheral blood and tumor samples from these patients were used to identify germline mutations and somatic mutations, respectively. For those genes with copy number alterations (deletion and duplication region), functional annotation was performed. Immunohistochemistry was performed to evaluate the expression of mutated genes corresponding to CNA deletion region and duplication region. In peripheral blood, copy number loss and gain were mostly found in yolk sac tumors (YSTs). Moreover, POU5F1 was the most significant mutated gene with mutation frequency >10% in both CNA deletion and duplication region. In addition, strong cytoplasm staining of POU5F1 (corresponding to CNA deletion region and duplication region) was found in two YST and nuclear staining in two dysgerminomas tumor samples. Genes corresponding to CNA deletion region were significantly enriched in the signaling pathway of regulating pluripotency of stem cells. In addition, genes corresponding to CNA duplication region were significantly enriched in the signaling pathways of RIG-I (DExD/H-box helicase 58)-like receptor, Toll-like receptor and nuclear factor (NF)-kappa. Keratin 4 (KRT4), ribosomal protein L14 (RPL14), proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 6 (PCSK6), poly(A)-binding protein cytoplasmic 3 (PABPC3), and sterile alpha and TIR motif containing 1 (SARM1) mutations were detected in both peripheral blood and tumor samples. Identification of potential germline mutations and somatic mutations in MOGCTs may provide a new field in understanding the genetic feature of the rare biological tumor type in the ovary.

BRCA1 Expression by Immunohistochemistry and Prognosis in Ovarian Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Homologous recombination deficiencies are associated with increased platinum sensitivity and potential response to poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors in epithelial ovarian cancer. As an alternative to germline testing or somatic tumor sequencing, BRCA1 deficiency can be detected by immunohistochemistry and might predict homologous recombination deficiencies.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the association between BRCA1 expression by immunohistochemistry and the prognosis of patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses statement. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Scopus databases through July 2019. Reference lists of selected articles were screened for further studies. We conducted qualitative synthesis and meta-analyses of hazard ratios for overall survival and progression-free survival.

RESULTS

Of 41 studies of BRCA1 expression using immunohistochemistry, 18 evaluated the association of BRCA1 expression with patient survival (2738 cases). The loss of BRCA1 expression was associated with improved overall survival (hazard ratio = 0.67, 95% confidence interval 0.57-0.77) and progression-free survival (hazard ratio = 0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.58-0.84).

CONCLUSIONS

Negative BRCA1 expression assessed by immunohistochemistry was associated with a better prognosis in epithelial ovarian cancer.

Germline and tumor BRCA1/2 mutations in Chinese high grade serous ovarian cancer patients

Background

Studies on the prevalence of BRCA1/2 mutations in ovarian cancer mainly focused on germline single-nucleotide variant (SNV)/insertion/deletion (indel). The status of large genomic rearrangement (LRG) and somatic mutation were poorly investigated.

Methods

Paired blood and tumor DNA from an unselected cohort of 115 Chinese high grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) patients were collected and analyzed for BRCA1/2 SNV and indel by NGS. BRCA1/2 LRG was detected by MLPA. Clinicopathological characteristics including age at diagnosis, FIGO stage, family history and follow-up data were collected for further analysis.

Results

A total of 115 HGSOC patients were screened. Among them, 30 (26.1%) had germline BRCA1/2 mutations, including 19 (16.5%) SNV/indels, 5 (4.3%) LGRs in BRCA1, and 6 (5.2%) SNV/indels in BRCA2. Ten (8.7%) had somatic BRCA1/2 mutations, including 5 (4.3%) in BRCA1 and 5 (4.3%) in BRCA2. The entire tumor BRCA1/2 mutation frequency was 34.8%. No patients were found with two or more deleterious BRCA1/2 mutations. The proportion of germline (66.7%) and tumor (75%) mutation carriers was significantly increased for patients with family history when compared with those without (P<0.05). Patients with germline BRCA1/2 mutation appeared to be younger than non-carriers (mean age, 50.9 vs. 54.4 years, P=0.004) and somatic mutation carriers (mean age, 50.9 vs. 58.7 years, P=0.009). No significant association was found between BRCA1/2 status and clinicopathological characteristics including stage and family history of other cancer than breast and ovarian cancer. In univariate and Cox regression analysis, patients with tumor BRCA1/2 mutations had significant improvements than non-carriers in overall survival in the first two years after surgery (P<0.05). No significant impacts were found between various mutation status in PFS.

Conclusions

There is a high germline and tumor BRCA1/2 mutation incidences in Chinese HGSOC patients. Germline mutations were associated with family history and age at diagnosis, whereas somatic mutations were not. In our study, tumor BRCA1/2 mutations showed a time-depended improved survival outcome. A larger cohort should be examined to clarify the relation between BRCA1/2 mutation and survival outcomes.

Recurrent Mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, RAD51C, PALB2 and CHEK2 in Polish Patients with Ovarian Cancer

The aim of the study was to analyze the frequency and magnitude of association of 21 recurrent founder germline mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, PALB2, RAD51C, and CHEK2 genes with ovarian cancer risk among unselected patients in Poland. We genotyped 21 recurrent germline mutations in BRCA1 (9 mutations), BRCA2 (4 mutations), RAD51C (3 mutations), PALB2 (2 mutations), and CHEK2 (3 mutations) among 2270 Polish ovarian cancer patients and 1743 healthy controls, and assessed the odds ratios (OR) for developing ovarian cancer for each gene. Mutations were detected in 369 out of 2095 (17.6%) unselected ovarian cancer cases and 117 out of 1743 (6.7%) unaffected controls. The ovarian cancer risk was associated with mutations in BRCA1 (OR = 40.79, 95% CI: 18.67-114.78; p = 0.29 × 10^-15), in BRCA2 (OR = 25.98; 95% CI: 1.55-434.8; p = 0.001), in RAD51C (OR = 6.28; 95% CI 1.77-39.9; p = 0.02), and in PALB2 (OR 3.34; 95% CI: 1.06-14.68; p = 0.06). There was no association found for CHEK2. We found that pathogenic mutations in BRCA1, BRCA2, RAD51C or PALB2 are responsible for 12.5% of unselected cases of ovarian cancer. We recommend that all women with ovarian cancer in Poland and first-degree female relatives should be tested for this panel of 18 mutations.

BRCA1/2 status and chemotherapy response score to tailor ovarian cancer surgery

In advanced ovarian cancer (AOC) the complete eradication of all macroscopic disease at primary debulking surgery (PDS) is associated with the best outcome. If this cannot be achieved, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) followed by interval debulking surgery (IDS) can make complete cytoreduction possible while reducing postoperative morbidity. It is still debated if PDS and NACT- IDS are associated with similar survival and if they provide different outcomes when optimal cytoreduction is achieved. For a tailored surgical planning, accurate prediction of tumor's resectability, assessment of patient's performance status and in-depth knowledge of tumor biology are required. Both BRCA1/2 status and the "chemotherapy response score" are reliable markers of chemosensitivity and may thus improve our way to triage patients to PDS or NACT-IDS; furthermore, they could be used to modulate our surgical approach and define appropriate subgroups of patients for whom new therapies should be tested.

Impact of young age on platinum response in women with epithelial ovarian cancer: Results of a large single-institution registry

OBJECTIVE

In young women, EOC is a rare disease with an uncertain genetic and biological substrate.

METHODS

We report a long follow-up of EOC patients treated at Gustave Roussy between 1990 and 2009. We matched young patients aged ≤30 years to randomly selected older patients aged ≥40 years according to known prognostic factors (i.e. FIGO stage, histology and surgical residual disease) and the date of diagnosis with a threshold at the year 2000 to balance the treatment procedures.

RESULTS

EOC was diagnosed in 68 patients aged ≤30 years matched with 111 patients aged ≥40 years. Low-grade (LG) (i.e. serous and endometrioid) (52%, n = 35) and mucinous (i.e. 23%, n = 16 infiltrative and 12% n = 8 expansile) tumors are prevalent. High-grade (HG) tumors are rare (7%, n = 5). Early stage diseases (53%, n = 36 FIGO I/II) are predominant. Response to platinum based chemotherapy is observed to be inferior in young patients as compared to matched older patients (ORR, 29 vs 84% p = 0.0002). For HG tumors the PFS is of 0% at 5 and 10 years in younger as compared to 30% in older patients. No difference in PFS (median 4.9 vs 9.8 ms, p = 0.58) and OS (not reached vs 15.3 ms, p = 0.47) is found overall among younger and older patients respectively. The median follow-up was 72 months (range, 11-288 months). No genetic abnormalities were found.

CONCLUSIONS

Young EOC patients are most often diagnosed at an early FIGO stage with LG serous or mucinous histology. Tumors are significantly more resistant to platinum-based chemotherapy in younger patients.

Prognostic gene expression signature for high-grade serous ovarian cancer

BACKGROUND

Median overall survival (OS) for women with high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC) is ∼4 years, yet survival varies widely between patients. There are no well-established, gene expression signatures associated with prognosis. The aim of this study was to develop a robust prognostic signature for OS in patients with HGSOC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Expression of 513 genes, selected from a meta-analysis of 1455 tumours and other candidates, was measured using NanoString technology from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumour tissue collected from 3769 women with HGSOC from multiple studies. Elastic net regularization for survival analysis was applied to develop a prognostic model for 5-year OS, trained on 2702 tumours from 15 studies and evaluated on an independent set of 1067 tumours from six studies.

RESULTS

Expression levels of 276 genes were associated with OS (false discovery rate < 0.05) in covariate-adjusted single-gene analyses. The top five genes were TAP1, ZFHX4, CXCL9, FBN1 and PTGER3 (P < 0.001). The best performing prognostic signature included 101 genes enriched in pathways with treatment implications. Each gain of one standard deviation in the gene expression score conferred a greater than twofold increase in risk of death [hazard ratio (HR) 2.35, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.02-2.71; P < 0.001]. Median survival [HR (95% CI)] by gene expression score quintile was 9.5 (8.3 to -), 5.4 (4.6-7.0), 3.8 (3.3-4.6), 3.2 (2.9-3.7) and 2.3 (2.1-2.6) years.

CONCLUSION

The OTTA-SPOT (Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis consortium - Stratified Prognosis of Ovarian Tumours) gene expression signature may improve risk stratification in clinical trials by identifying patients who are least likely to achieve 5-year survival. The identified novel genes associated with the outcome may also yield opportunities for the development of targeted therapeutic approaches.

Lessons learned from understanding chemotherapy resistance in epithelial tubo-ovarian carcinoma from BRCA1and BRCA2mutation carriers

BRCA1 and BRCA2 are multi-functional proteins and key factors for maintaining genomic stability through their roles in DNA double strand break repair by homologous recombination, rescuing stalled or damaged DNA replication forks, and regulation of cell cycle DNA damage checkpoints. Impairment of any of these critical roles results in genomic instability, a phenotypic hallmark of many cancers including breast and epithelial ovarian carcinomas (EOC). Damaging, usually loss of function germline and somatic variants in BRCA1 and BRCA2, are important drivers of the development, progression, and management of high-grade serous tubo-ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC). However, mutations in these genes render patients particularly sensitive to platinum-based chemotherapy, and to the more innovative targeted therapies with poly-(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitors (PARPis) that are targeted to BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers. Here, we reviewed the literature on the responsiveness of BRCA1/2-associated HGSOC to platinum-based chemotherapy and PARPis, and propose mechanisms underlying the frequent development of resistance to these therapeutic agents.

Decreased lncRNA, TINCR, promotes growth of colorectal carcinoma through upregulating microRNA-31

Abnormal expression in terminal differentiation-induced noncoding RNA (TINCR), a long non-coding RNA (lncRNA), has been reported in different human cancers, including colorectal carcinoma (CRC). Moreover, the molecular mechanisms that underlie the effects of TINCR on CRC remain unclear. Here, by a set of bioinformatics studies, we found that microRNA-31 (miR-31), the oncogenic miRNA that robustly upregulates in CRC, was a sponge miRNA for TINCR. TINCR and miR-31 levels were inversely correlated in both CRC tissues and CRC cell lines. Luciferase reporter assay revealed a specific binding site on TINCR for miR-31. Suppression of TINCR promoted CRC cell growth and migration in vitro, while overexpression of TINCR inhibited CRC cell growth and migration in vitro. TINCR depletion increased tumor xenograft growth in vivo, while TINCR overexpression inhibited it. Together, our study suggests that re-expressing TINCR may suppress invasive outgrowth of CRC through miR-31.

Five-year survival decreases over time in patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer: a systemic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Short-term survival rates of patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer have been previously shown to be longer than those of non-carriers. We aimed to study the long-term survival rates of these patients and investigate whether the 5-year advantage decreases over time.

Methods

A systematic review of the literature was conducted according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyzes (PRISMA) statement. The study protocol can be assessed at PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews (http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, registration number CRD42019137455). We considered for inclusion studies providing Kaplan–Meier survival curves up to and including 10 years, comparing patients with ovarian cancer with and without BRCA mutations. Our main outcome was the conditional probability of surviving an additional 5 years.

Results

A total of 13 references comprising 4565 patients was analyzed, of which 1131 BRCA1/2-mutated carriers and 3434 non-carriers were included. The expected higher 5-year survival rate in BRCA-mutated patients was observed (risk difference (RD)=14.9%, p=0.0002, risk ratio (RR)=1.36, p=0.001). Ten-year survival rates were comparatively less improved in BRCA-mutated patients (RD=8.6%, p=0.042, RR=1.25, p=0.12). After already surviving 5 years, no advantage in probability of further surviving 5 additional years was observed for the BRCA-mutated group (RD=2.9%, p=0.71, RR=0.97, p=0.78).

Conclusion

Our results provide insight into long-term survival rates and prognosis in patients with BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer which suggest that, despite the improved 5-year prognosis, the conditional probability of surviving an additional 5 years does not show the same advantage. The relatively low long-term advantage highlights the significance of epithelial ovarian cancer recurrence prevention. In the era of poly adenosine ribose inhibitors, future studies should explore the adequate follow-up and the benefit of a longer maintenance treatment phase, aiming to prolong the long-term survival of BRCA-mutated patients.

Genetic testing for epithelial ovarian cancer

As the treatment of epithelial ovarian cancer (OC) moves further into personalised medicine, the importance of determining the presence or absence of inherited mutations in cancer susceptibility genes has grown. It is now becoming routine to test for germline mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes, which are responsible for a significant proportion of hereditary epithelial OC and are established predictive biomarkers of potential benefit from poly ADP ribose polymerase (PARP) inhibitors. The identification of patients with hereditary OC allows the patient to benefit from personalised treatment, while allowing family members to undergo cascade testing, where identification of unaffected carriers can allow early detection, risk-reduction or prevention for both breast and OC, and ultimately improve long-term outcomes. Other susceptibility genes, include the Lynch Syndrome (mismatch repair) genes and several other genes involved in the homologous recombination pathway (HRD genes), are implicated in OC genesis, and are also becoming of increasing interest as therapeutic options grow for these patients. This review will highlight the importance of the early detection of a germline gene pathogenic variant, which informs on the clinical course of disease in a particular patient, and therefore, guides therapeutic management including risk reducing and personalised treatment.

Oncologist-led BRCA 'mainstreaming' in the ovarian cancer clinic: A study of 255 patients and its impact on their management

Although guidelines recommend BRCA testing for all women with non-mucinous epithelial ovarian cancer, there is significant variability in access to testing across the UK. A germline BRCA mutation (BRCAm) in ovarian cancer patients provides prognostic and predictive information and influences clinical management, such as the use of PARP inhibitors, which have demonstrated a progression-free survival benefit in the BRCAm cohort. Additionally, the finding of a BRCAm has significant implications for patients and their families in terms of cancer risk and prevention. We studied the impact of a newly-formed, oncologist-led 'mainstreaming' germline BRCA testing pathway in 255 ovarian cancer patients at Imperial College NHS Trust. Prior to the establishment of 'mainstreaming', uptake of germline BRCA testing was 14% with a mean turnaround time of 148.2 calendar days. The 'mainstreaming' approach led to a 95% uptake of germline BRCA testing and a mean turnaround time of 20.6 days. Thirty-four (13.33%) BRCAm patients were identified. At the time of data collection nine BRCAm patients had received a PARP inhibitor off-trial, three had entered a PARP inhibitor trial and 5 were receiving platinum-based chemotherapy with a plan to receive PARP inhibitor maintenance. This study provides further evidence of the impact of oncologist-led 'mainstreaming' programs.

Nonlinear and time-dependent effects of sparsely measured continuous time-varying covariates in time-to-event analysis

Many flexible extensions of the Cox proportional hazards model incorporate time-dependent (TD) and/or nonlinear (NL) effects of time-invariant covariates. In contrast, little attention has been given to the assessment of such effects for continuous time-varying covariates (TVCs). We propose a flexible regression B-spline-based model for TD and NL effects of a TVC. To account for sparse TVC measurements, we added to this model the effect of time elapsed since last observation (TEL), which acts as an effect modifier. TD, NL, and TEL effects are estimated with the iterative alternative conditional estimation algorithm. Furthermore, a simulation extrapolation (SIMEX)-like procedure was adapted to correct the estimated effects for random measurement errors in the observed TVC values. In simulations, TD and NL estimates were unbiased if the TVC was measured with a high frequency. With sparse measurements, the strength of the effects was underestimated but the TEL estimate helped reduce the bias, whereas SIMEX helped further to correct for bias toward the null due to "white noise" measurement errors. We reassessed the effects of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and total cholesterol, measured at two-year intervals, on cardiovascular risks in women participating in the Framingham Heart Study. Accounting for TD effects of SBP, cholesterol and age, the NL effect of cholesterol, and the TEL effect of SBP improved substantially the model's fit to data. Flexible estimates yielded clinically important insights regarding the role of these risk factors. These results illustrate the advantages of flexible modeling of TVC effects.

A protein-centric approach for exome variant aggregation enables sensitive association analysis with clinical outcomes

Somatic mutations are early drivers of tumorigenesis and tumor progression. However, the mutations typically occur at variable positions across different individuals, resulting in the data being too sparse to test meaningful associations between variants and phenotypes. To overcome this challenge, we devised a novel approach called Gene-to-Protein-to-Disease (GPD) which accumulates variants into new sequence units as the degree of genetic assault on structural or functional units of each protein. The variant frequencies in the sequence units were highly reproducible between two large cancer cohorts. Survival analysis identified 232 sequence units in which somatic mutations had deleterious effects on overall survival, including consensus driver mutations obtained from multiple calling algorithms. By contrast, around 76% of the survival predictive units had been undetected by conventional gene-level analysis. We demonstrate the ability of these signatures to separate patient groups according to overall survival, therefore, providing novel prognostic tools for various cancers. GPD also identified sequence units with somatic mutations whose impact on survival was modified by the occupancy of germline variants in the surrounding regions. The findings indicate that a patient's genetic predisposition interacts with the effect of somatic mutations on survival outcomes in some cancers.

Predictors of survival trajectories among women with epithelial ovarian cancer

OBJECTIVE

Although ovarian cancer is a deadly disease, approximately a third of women survive ≥9 years after diagnosis. The factors associated with achieving long-term survival are not well understood. In this study, data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program were used to determine predictors of survival trajectories among women with epithelial ovarian cancer and across histotype (high-grade serous carcinoma (HGSC) and non-HGSC).

METHODS

Data on 35,868 women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer in 2004-2016 were extracted from SEER. Extended Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate overall and histotype-specific associations between patient and tumor characteristics and all-cause mortality within each survival time (t) interval (t < 3, 3 ≤ t < 6, 6 ≤ t < 9, and 9 ≤ t < 13 years).

RESULTS

Age at diagnosis, marital status, race/ethnicity, stage, and surgery were more strongly associated with mortality in the short-term survival period, and these associations waned with increasing survival time. Exceptions to this pattern were age >70 years at diagnosis, where a high risk of mortality was observed in both the t < 3 and t ≥ 9 year time periods, and non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islanders, where a more pronounced inverse association with mortality was observed in t ≥ 9 years after diagnosis. Similar associations were observed for HGSC, although the waning effect was not apparent for most characteristics. Mortality associations for non-HGSC were more pronounced for stage and race/ethnicity, primarily for non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islanders.

CONCLUSIONS

Most patient and tumor characteristics were more strongly associated with mortality in the years following diagnosis, but have declining impact with increasing survival time. Given this waning effect, it is critical to identify factors impacting risk of mortality as ovarian cancer patients advance through the survival trajectory.

Peritoneal cancer after bilateral mastectomy, hysterectomy, and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy with a poor prognosis: A case report and review of the literature

BACKGROUND

Primary peritoneal cancer (PPC) patients with BRCA mutations have a good prognosis; however, for patients with BRCA mutations who are diagnosed with PPC after prophylactic salpingo-oophorectomy (PSO), the prognosis is poor, and survival information is scarce.

CASE SUMMARY

We treated a 56-year-old woman with PPC after bilateral mastectomy, hysterectomy, and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy. This patient had primary drug resistance and died 12 mo after the diagnosis of PPC. The genetic test performed on this patient indicated the presence of a germline BRCA1 mutation. We searched the PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases and extracted studies of patients with BRCA mutations who developed PPC after PSO. After a detailed literature search, we found 30 cases, 7 of which had a history of breast cancer, 14 of which had no history of breast cancer, and 9 of which had an unknown history. The average age of PSO patients was 48.86 years old (range, 31-64 years). The average time interval between the diagnosis of PPC and preventive surgery was 61.03 mo (range, 12-292 mo). The 2-year survival rate for this patient population was 78.26% (18/23), the 3-year survival rate was 50.00% (9/18), and the 5-year survival rate was 6.25% (1/16).

CONCLUSION

Patients with BRCA mutations who are diagnosed with PPC after preventative surgery have a poor prognosis. Prevention measures and treatments for these patients need more attention.

High EMSY expression defines a BRCA-like subgroup of high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma with prolonged survival and hypersensitivity to platinum

BACKGROUND

Approximately half of high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas (HGSOCs) demonstrate homologous recombination repair (HR) pathway defects, resulting in a distinct clinical phenotype comprising hypersensitivity to platinum, superior clinical outcome, and greater sensitivity to poly(adenosine diphosphate-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitors. EMSY, which is known to be amplified in breast and ovarian cancers, encodes a protein reported to bind and inactivate BRCA2. Thus, EMSY overexpression may mimic BRCA2 mutation, resulting in HR deficiency. However, to our knowledge, the phenotypic consequences of EMSY overexpression in HGSOC patients has not been explored.

METHODS

Here we investigate the impact of EMSY expression on clinical outcome and sensitivity to platinum-based chemotherapy using available data from transcriptomically characterized HGSOC cohorts.

RESULTS

High EMSY expression was associated with better clinical outcome in a cohort of 265 patients with HGSOC from Edinburgh (overall survival multivariable hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.38-0.88; P = .011] and progression-free survival multivariable hazard ratio, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.40-0.96; P = .030]). Superior outcome also was demonstrated in the Medical Research Council ICON7 clinical trial and multiple publicly available data sets. Patients within the Edinburgh cohort who had high EMSY expression were found to demonstrate greater rates of complete response to multiple platinum-containing chemotherapy regimens (radiological complete response rate of 44.4% vs 12.5% at second exposure; P = .035) and corresponding prolonged time to disease progression (median, 151.5 days vs 60.5 days after third platinum exposure; P = .004).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with HGSOCs demonstrating high EMSY expression appear to experience prolonged survival and greater platinum sensitivity, reminiscent of BRCA-mutant cases. These data are consistent with the notion that EMSY overexpression may render HGSOCs HR deficient.

BRCA mutation frequency and clinical features of ovarian cancer patients: A report from a Chinese study group

AIM

Subjects with germline BRCA1/2 mutations (gBRCAm) have an increased risk of developing breast cancer and ovarian cancer. At present, knowledge of BRCA1/2 mutation frequency in Chinese patients with ovarian cancer is still insufficient, and the detailed clinical information of these patients is poorly understood.

METHODS

A total of 547 unselected ovarian cancer patients were enrolled, and their gBRCAm status was detected. Clinical characteristics including age, personal and family history, histopathologic diagnosis, carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA-125) level, ascites, Federation International of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, residual lesions, platinum sensitivity, recurrence interval and survival information were collected. Accurate assessments of disease response were based on the RECIST standard or CA-125 level.

RESULTS

In 547 patients with ovarian cancer, we detected 129 (23.6%) patients with pathogenic mutations, 84 patients with BRCA1 mutations (15.4%) and 45 patients with BRCA2 mutations (8.2%). Twenty-five novel mutations were identified, and the mutation of BRCA1, c.5470_5477del8, was the most common mutation in this study. BRCA1/2 mutations were significantly associated with age; personal and family history; FIGO stage; secondary recurrence interval; sensitivity to platinum in 1st, 2nd and 3rd line treatment; and response to doxorubicin liposomes. Patients with BRCA1/2 mutations showed significant advantages in 3- and 5-year survival rates but no advantage in long-term survival.

CONCLUSION

BRCA1/2 mutation prevalence in Chinese ovarian cancer patients is higher than the international rate. We recommend BRCA1/2 testing for patients with family histories and personal histories of malignancy and genetic counseling for cancer in healthy people with high-risk family histories.

Patients with BRCA mutated ovarian cancer may have fewer circulating MDSC and more peripheral CD8+ T cells compared with women with BRCA wild-type disease during the early disease course

Immunosuppressive myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs) and regulatory T cells (Tregs) are associated with immunologic tolerance and poor prognosis in ovarian cancer (OvCa). We hypothesized that women with germline BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation-associated (gBRCAm) OvCa would have fewer circulating immunosuppressive immune cells compared to those with BRCA wild-type (BRCAwt) disease during their early disease course (<5 years post-diagnosis) where gBRCAm is a favorable prognostic factor. We collected and viably froze peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from patients with recurrent OvCa olaparib clinical trials (NCT01445418/NCT01237067). Immune subset analyses were performed using flow cytometry for Tregs, exhausted CD8⁺ T cells, monocytes and MDSCs. Functional marker expression, including cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated protein 4 (CTLA-4), T cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain 3 (TIM-3) and programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) was evaluated. Data were analyzed using FlowJo. Pretreatment PBMCs were collected from 41 patients (16 gBRCAm/25 BRCAwt). The percentage of MDSCs among viable CD45⁺ PBMC was lower in gBRCAm OvCa compared with BRCAwt OvCa (median 0.565 vs. 0.93%, P=0.0086) but this difference was not seen in those women >5 years post-diagnosis. CD8⁺ T cells among viable CD45⁺ PBMCs and CTLA-4⁺/CD8⁺ T cells were higher in gBRCAm carriers than patients with BRCAwt, in particular for those <5 years post-diagnosis (median 20.4 vs. 9.78%, P=0.031 and median MFI 0.19 vs. 0.22, P=0.0074, respectively). TIM-3 expression on Tregs was associated with poor progression-free survival, independent of gBRCAm status (P<0.001). Our pilot data suggested that patients with gBRCAm OvCa may have fewer circulating MDSCs but higher CD8⁺ T cells in PBMCs during their early disease course. This may contribute to the observed survival benefit for these women in their first post-diagnosis decade.

A Microsimulation Model for Evaluating the Effectiveness of Cancer Risk Management for BRCA Pathogenic Variant Carriers: miBRovaCAre

OBJECTIVES

To develop a validated model for evaluating the real-world effectiveness of long-term clinical management strategies for women with germline BRCA1 or BRCA2 pathogenic variants.

METHODS

A microsimulation model was developed that included a BRCA-specific natural history for breast and ovarian cancer, a clinical framework for carrier follow-up, and cancer risk management strategies (breast screening, risk-reducing mastectomy, and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy). Adherence rates and outcomes for breast screening and risk-reducing surgery were obtained from BRCA carriers seen through a familial cancer service in Melbourne, Australia. The model was assessed for internal and external validity. The model was used to compare women perfectly adhering to screening recommendations versus actual adherence of the clinical cohort.

RESULTS

The model accurately predicted cancer incidence, pathology, and mortality. Using actual adherence for breast screening resulted in additional breast cancer deaths (per 1000 women: BRCA1, 2.7; BRCA2, 1.6) compared with perfect screening adherence. This decreased average life expectancy by 0.30 life-years for BRCA1 and 0.07 life-years for BRCA2. When carriers had access to risk-reducing mastectomy, the benefit from improved screening adherence was not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed model is a good descriptor of BRCA carriers' lifetime trajectory and its modification by use of risk management strategies alone or in combination. Evaluations of breast screening in BRCA carriers may overestimate the benefits of screening programs unless adherence is considered. By incorporating real-world clinical practice and patient behavior, this model can assist in developing clinical services and improving clinical outcomes for carriers.