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Zhang R, Yin M, Jiang A, Zhang S, Xu X, Liu L. Automated machine learning for early prediction of acute kidney injury in acute pancreatitis. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2024; 24:16. [PMID: 38212745 PMCID: PMC10785491 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-024-02414-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2023] [Accepted: 01/01/2024] [Indexed: 01/13/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute kidney injury (AKI) represents a frequent and grave complication associated with acute pancreatitis (AP), substantially elevating both mortality rates and the financial burden of hospitalization. The aim of our study is to construct a predictive model utilizing automated machine learning (AutoML) algorithms for the early prediction of AKI in patients with AP. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed patients who were diagnosed with AP in our hospital from January 2017 to December 2021. These patients were randomly allocated into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. To develop predictive models for each set, we employed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm along with AutoML. A nomogram was developed based on multivariate logistic regression analysis outcomes. The model's efficacy was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Additionally, the performance of the model constructed via AutoML was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA), feature importance, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) plots, and locally interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME). RESULTS This study incorporated a total of 437 patients who met the inclusion criteria. Out of these, 313 were assigned to the training cohort and 124 to the validation cohort. In the training and validation cohorts, AKI occurred in 68 (21.7%) and 29(23.4%) patients, respectively. Comparative analysis revealed that the AutoML models exhibited enhanced performance over traditional logistic regression (LR). Furthermore, the deep learning (DL) model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy, evidenced by an area under the ROC curve of 0.963 in the training set and 0.830 in the validation set, surpassing other comparative models. The key variables identified as significant in the DL model within the training dataset included creatinine (Cr), urea (Urea), international normalized ratio (INR), etiology, smoking, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), hypertension, prothrombin time (PT), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and diabetes. CONCLUSION The AutoML model, utilizing DL algorithm, offers considerable clinical significance in the early detection of AKI among patients with AP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rufa Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 1 Shuyuan Street, 215500, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Minyue Yin
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Anqi Jiang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 1 Shuyuan Street, 215500, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Shihou Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 1 Shuyuan Street, 215500, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China
| | - Xiaodan Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 1 Shuyuan Street, 215500, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Luojie Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changshu Hospital Affiliated to Soochow University, Changshu NO.1 People's Hospital, No. 1 Shuyuan Street, 215500, Suzhou, Jiangsu, China.
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Wang N, Han F, Pan J, Yao G, Wang Y, Xu S, Xiao W, Ding Y, Xu C. Serum Cys C predicts acute kidney injury in patients with acute pancreatitis: A retrospective study. Arab J Gastroenterol 2023; 24:238-244. [PMID: 37989670 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajg.2023.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2022] [Revised: 04/23/2023] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 11/23/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS We investigated the value of the serum cystatin C level as a potential predictor of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). PATIENTS AND METHODS We retrospectively examined patients diagnosed with AP between January 2013 and December 2018. Patients were categorized into two groups based on their serum cystatin C levels after admission: the normal (n-Cys C group) and high serum cystatin C levels groups (h-Cys C group). Patients in the h-Cys C group demonstrated serum cystatin C levels ≥1.05 mg/L. Demographic parameters, laboratory data, and AP severity were compared between the two groups. Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate the efficacy of serum cystatin C in predicting persistent AKI. RESULTS A total of 379 patients with AP were enrolled: 319 in the n-Cys C group and 60 in the h-Cys C group. Serum cystatin C levels were significantly higher in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) compared to moderate acute pancreatitis (MAP) (P< 0.05). The h-Cys C group had a higher BISAP score (P < 0.001). Incidences of organ failure and SAP were significantly higher in the h-Cys C group (P < 0.05). ROC analysis indicated that a serum cystatin C cutoff point of 1.055 mg/L optimally predicted persistent AKI (AUC = 0.711). For internal validation, we selected 545 AP patients, treated at our center from 2019 to 2022, including 54 AKI patients. ROC analysis in this validation group yielded a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 90.9% (AUC = 0.916, 95% CI: 0.894-0.937). CONCLUSION Elevated serum cystatin C levels are sensitive indicators of adverse AKI prognosis in AP patients. The cystatin C level at admission can reflect a patient's initial renal function status.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ningzhi Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu 215006, China; Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Fei Han
- Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Jiajia Pan
- Intensive Care Unit, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Guanghuai Yao
- Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Yao Wang
- Department of Nephrology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Songxin Xu
- Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Weiming Xiao
- Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Yanbing Ding
- Pancreatic Center, Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China.
| | - Chunfang Xu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu 215006, China.
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Kilic G, Kilic GE, Ozkahraman A, Konur S, Dertli R, Kayar Y. Course of Acute Pancreatitis Patients with Renal Failure According to Balthazar Classification. Niger J Clin Pract 2023; 26:680-685. [PMID: 37470639 DOI: 10.4103/njcp.njcp_728_22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/21/2023]
Abstract
Background and Aim There are criteria that include many organ systems to predict the prognosis in acute pancreatitis (AP) patients. In this study, we aimed to show how the course of the disease changes according to the Balthazar classification in AP patients presenting with renal failure. Methods and Materials Our study included 352 patients who were admitted to the Emergency Service of our hospital and were diagnosed and hospitalized with AP. According to the Balthazar score, patients with scores of 0-2, 4-6, and 8-10 were evaluated as mild, moderate, and severe AP, respectively. Demographic data (age, gender) of all patients were documented. The etiology of AP was determined in all patients. Biliary, drug/toxic, alcohol, infections, hyperlipidemia, post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), genetics, hypercalcemia, structural anomalies, and malignancy were evaluated as the etiology. Those without any underlying pathology were evaluated as idiopathic AP. The patients were divided into two groups as those with and without renal insufficiency. All patients underwent helical computed tomography (section 64, Aquilion; Toshiba Medical Systems, Tokyo) within the first 12 hours and between days 3 and 7. Pancreas, peripancreatic and extrapancreatic findings, and complications were examined. "The Statistical Package for the Social Sciences 19.0 (SPSS Armonk, NY: IBM Corp.)" was used for all analyses. Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and histograms were used to determine whether there was a normal distribution. The non-parametric data of the groups were compared using the Mann-Whitney U test and the parametric data using the ındependent t test. Chi-square test was used to test categorical data. Cases with P < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. Results : While 22 (6.2%) patients had renal insufficiency, 332 (95.8%) patients did not have renal insufficiency. In the evaluation made in terms of AP severity; according to Balthazar classification at admission, there was no difference in mild and moderate pancreatitis for kidney insufficiency in both groups, but it was significantly higher in the group with severe pancreatitis [2 (9.1%) versus 1 (0.3%), P < 0.001]. In the evaluation made after 72 hours; renal failure was significantly lower in the group with mild pancreatitis [11 (50.0%) versus 245 (73.8%), P: 0.016] and severe renal failure was significantly higher in severe pancreatitis [7 (31.8%) versus 13 (%) 3.9), P < 0.001]. Conclusions Early intensive care unit admission and close follow-up and early treatment in AP patients change the course of the disease. In our study, we showed that serum creatinine level is an important parameter in the course of AP and has a predictive value for the course of the disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- G Kilic
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Division of Gastroenterology, Van, Turkey
| | - G E Kilic
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey
| | - A Ozkahraman
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey
| | - S Konur
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey
| | - R Dertli
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Division of Gastroenterology, Van, Turkey
| | - Y Kayar
- Department of Internal Medicine, Van Education and Research Hospital, Division of Gastroenterology, Van, Turkey
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Tu J, Hu L, Mohammed KJ, Le BN, Chen P, Ali E, Ali HE, Sun L. Application of logistic regression, support vector machine and random forest on the effects of titanium dioxide nanoparticles using macroalgae in treatment of certain risk factors associated with kidney injuries. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 220:115167. [PMID: 36584853 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.115167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2022] [Revised: 12/16/2022] [Accepted: 12/25/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
The use of titanium dioxide (TiO2) nanoparticles in many biological and technical domains is on the rise. There hasn't been much research on the toxicity of titanium dioxide nanoparticles in biological systems, despite their ubiquitous usage. In the current investigation, samples were exposed to various dosages of TiO2 nanoparticles for 4 days, 1 month, and 2 months following treatment. ICP-AES was used to dose TiO2 into the tissues, and the results showed that the kidney had a significant TiO2 buildup. On the other hand, apoptosis of renal tubular cells is one of the most frequent cellular processes contributing to kidney disease (KD). Nevertheless, the impact of macroalgal seaweed extract on KD remains undetermined. In this work, machine learning (ML) approaches have been applied to develop prediction algorithms for acute kidney injury (AKI) by use of titanium dioxide and macroalgae in hospitalized patients. Fifty patients with (AKI) and 50 patients (non-AKI group) have been admitted and considered. Regarding demographic data, and laboratory test data as input parameters, support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) are utilized to build models of AKI prediction and compared to the predictive performance of logistic regression (LR). Due to its strong antioxidant and anti-inflammatory powers, the current research ruled out the potential of using G. oblongata red macro algae as a source for a variety of products for medicinal uses. Despite a high and fast processing of algorithms, logistic regression showed lower overfitting in comparison to SVM, and Random Forest. The dataset is subjected to algorithms, and the categorization of potential risk variables yields the best results. AKI samples showed significant organ defects than non-AKI ones. Multivariate LR indicated that lymphocyte, and myoglobin (MB) ≥ 1000 ng/ml were independent risk parameters for AKI samples. Also, GCS score (95% CI 1.4-8.3 P = 0.014) were the risk parameters for 60-day mortality in samples with AKI. Also, 90-day mortality in AKI patients was significantly high (P < 0.0001). In compared to the control group, there were no appreciable changes in the kidney/body weight ratio or body weight increases. Total thiol levels in kidney homogenate significantly decreased, and histopathological analysis confirmed these biochemical alterations. According to the results, oral TiO2 NP treatment may cause kidney damage in experimental samples.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianxin Tu
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Lingzhen Hu
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Khidhair Jasim Mohammed
- Air Conditioning and Refrigeration Techniques Engineering Department, Al-Mustaqbal University College, Babylon 51001, Iraq
| | - Binh Nguyen Le
- Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, VietNam; School of Engineering & Technology, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, VietNam.
| | - Peirong Chen
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China
| | - Elimam Ali
- Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj, 11942, Saudi Arabia
| | - H Elhosiny Ali
- Advanced Functional Materials & Optoelectronic Laboratory (AFMOL), Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, King Khalid University, P.O. Box 9004, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia; Research Center for Advanced Materials Science (RCAMS), King Khalid University, P.O. Box 9004, Abha 61413, Saudi Arabia; Physics Department, Faculty of Science, Zagazig University, Zagazig 44519, Egypt
| | - Li Sun
- Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou 325000, China.
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Pancreatic ductal anatomy: more than meets the eye. Surg Radiol Anat 2022; 44:1231-1238. [DOI: 10.1007/s00276-022-03002-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2021] [Accepted: 08/01/2022] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Acute Pancreatitis in Childhood: A 10-Year Experience From A Thai University Surgical Center. Pancreas 2022; 51:808-813. [PMID: 36395407 PMCID: PMC9722370 DOI: 10.1097/mpa.0000000000002109] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This study aimed to describe etiology, management, and health outcomes of children developing acute pancreatitis at a tertiary Thailand pediatric surgery center. METHODS Medical case records of all index cases during 2006-2016 were analyzed and reported. RESULTS There were 42 male and 37 female patients, with a mean (standard deviation) age of 10.4 (4.5) years, included in the study. Medications were the commonest etiology for 39.3% of acute pancreatitis attacks, 11.4% for biliary tract disease cases, and 8% for postinterventional studies. In 30% of cases, no cause(s) was defined. Sixty-two patients (78.5%) had elevated serum lipase on hospital admission, whereas only 30.4% showed a raised amylase. Hospital stay was 15 days (interquartile range, 6-27 days). Two major complications in the series were pseudocysts (8.8%) and necrotizing pancreatitis (7.6%). Etiological factors and/or antibiotics were not directly linked to any specific complications. Seventeen children (22.8%) had 1 recurrent episode of acute pancreatitis documented. Mortality rate in index cases was 28%, with a higher percentage harboring a preexisting illness (34.4% vs 5.6%; P = 0.01) and in male than in female patients (41% vs 14%; P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Deaths from pediatric acute pancreatitis are more prevalent in male individuals and those with a preexisting illness. Targeted strategies aimed at "highest-risk" patients may potentially offset mortality.
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Characteristics and clinical outcomes of patients over 80 years of age with acute pancreatitis. Eur Geriatr Med 2022; 13:1013-1022. [PMID: 35246826 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-022-00631-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2021] [Accepted: 02/16/2022] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In this study, we aimed to compare differences in disease course, etiology of acute pancreatitis admission to the intensive care unit, in-hospital mortality, disease severity, and local and systemic complications between patients aged ≥ 80 years (octogenarians) and patients aged between 65 and 79 years (non-octogenarians), all of whom were being followed with the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. METHODS Patients aged 65 years and older with a diagnosis of acute biliary pancreatitis were included in the study. Clinical findings, routine laboratory test results, and imaging findings of all patients were reviewed retrospectively via the hospital's records system. RESULTS Of a total of 402 enrolled patients, 238 (59.2%) were female. Mean age was 77.1 ± 7.37 years. Pancreatitis after endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography was detected more frequently among octogenarians than non-octogenarians (12.9% versus 5.3%, respectively; p = 0.007). Levels of blood urea nitrogen, creatinine, and total bilirubin were higher among octogenarians, while lymphocyte, calcium, and albumin levels were lower. The frequency of patients without local complications was higher among octogenarians than non-octogenarians (75.5% versus 63.6%, respectively; p = 0.013). Necrosis was less frequent in the octogenarian group than the non-octogenarian group (2.6% versus 8.9%, respectively; p = 0.012). Mild acute pancreatitis was higher in the octogenarian group, while moderate acute pancreatitis was higher in the non-octogenarian group (p = 0.028 and p = 0.012, respectively). CONCLUSION The frequencies of prolonged hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, and in-hospital mortality were similar in the octogenarian and non-octogenarian groups. In terms of disease severity, mild acute pancreatitis was higher in the octogenarian group, while moderate acute pancreatitis was higher in the non-octogenarian group.
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Selvanathan DK, Johnson PG, Thanikachalam DK, Rajendran P, Gopalakrishnan N. Acute Kidney Injury Complicating Severe Acute Pancreatitis: Clinical Profile and Factors Predicting Mortality. Indian J Nephrol 2022; 32:460-466. [PMID: 36568598 PMCID: PMC9775600 DOI: 10.4103/ijn.ijn_476_20] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2020] [Revised: 02/03/2021] [Accepted: 08/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Acute kidney injury (AKI) frequently complicates severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) among the critically ill. We studied clinical profile and risk factors predicting mortality in SAP-AKI. Materials and Methods We conducted a prospective observational study of 68 patients with SAP-AKI from September 2015 to September 2019. Patient data and outcomes grouped as survivors and deceased were analyzed. Results SAP-AKI constituted 2.14% (68 of 3,169) of all AKIs with 1.5%, 20.6%, and 77.9% in Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) Stages I, II and III respectively. The mean age was 39.93 ± 11.79 years with males 65 (95.6%). The causes of acute pancreatitis were alcohol addiction 59 (86.8%), highly active antiretroviral therapy 1 (1.4%), hypercalcemia 1 (1.4%), IgG4-related disease 1 (1.4%), and unidentified 6 (8.8%). Complications were volume overload, shock, respiratory failure, and necrotizing pancreatitis in 21 (30.9%), 10 (14.7%), 6 (8.8%), and 14 (20.5%), respectively. Kidney replacement therapy done in 40 (58%), with intermittent hemodialysis 36 (53%) and acute intermittent peritoneal dialysis 4 (6%). The overall mortality was 23 (33.8%), three progressed to chronic kidney disease (thrombotic microangiopathy 2; biopsy inconclusive 1). In 45 survivors, AKI recovered in 22.7 ± 9.6 days. Death occurred within first 6 days. The risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality was necrotizing pancreatitis (odds ratio [OR] = 5.143; 95% confidence interval 1.472-17.972; P = 0.01), circulatory failure (OR = 6.125; P = 0.016), peak creatinine >3 mg/dL (OR = 7.118; P = 0.068), Bedside Index of Severity for Acute Pancreatitis score >3 (OR = 8.472; P = 0.001), need for kidney replacement therapy (OR = 3.764; P = 0.024), KDIGO III (OR = 9.935; P = 0.03). Conclusions Alcohol addiction was the commonest cause of severe acute pancreatitis. The overall mortality was 33.8%. Necrotizing pancreatitis, circulatory failure, peak creatinine >3 mg/dL, BISAPs >3, KDIGO III, and the need for kidney replacement therapy were independent risk factors for mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deepak Kumar Selvanathan
- Institute of Nephrology, Madras Medical College, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India,Address for correspondence: Dr. Deepak Kumar Selvanathan, Institute of Nephrology, Madras Medical College, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India. E-mail:
| | | | | | - Padmaraj Rajendran
- Institute of Nephrology, Madras Medical College, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India
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Knudsen JS, Heide-Jørgensen U, Mortensen FV, Sørensen HT, Ehrenstein V. Acute pancreatitis: 31-Year trends in incidence and mortality - A Danish population-based cohort study. Pancreatology 2020; 20:1332-1339. [PMID: 32958367 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2020.09.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2020] [Revised: 08/25/2020] [Accepted: 09/09/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Objectives: Increasing incidence rates and declining mortality rates have made acute pancreatitis a common cause of hospitalization. We aimed to examine 31-year trends in first-time hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, the subsequent short-term and long-term mortality, and the prognostic impacts of age, sex, and comorbidity. METHODS In this nationwide Danish population-based cohort study of 47,711 incident cases, we computed the annual sex-specific age-standardized incidence rates of acute pancreatitis for 1988-2018. Among patients with incident hospitalization for acute pancreatitis, we computed sex-specific 30-day and 31-365-day mortality rates, stratified them, and performed proportional-hazards regression to estimate mortality rate ratios adjusted for sex, age, and comorbidity, measured by Charlson Comorbidity Index categories. RESULTS From 1988 to 2018, the standardized incidence rate of acute pancreatitis per 100,000 person-years increased by 29% for men (28.8-37.0%) and by 148% for women (15.7-38.9%). Among patients with pancreatitis, the 30-day mortality declined from 10.0% in those diagnosed in 1988-1992 to 6.3% for those diagnosed in 2013-2017. The corresponding 31-365 day mortality increased from 5.5% to 6.0%. In comparing periods 1988-1992 and 2013-17, the adjusted 30-day mortality rate ratio was 0.36 (95% confidence interval: 0.32-0.41) and the adjusted 31-365 day mortality rate ratio was 0.64 (95% confidence interval: 0.56-0.74). Comorbidity was a strong predictor of mortality among patients with pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS Over the 31 years of observations, annual rates of acute pancreatitis more than doubled among women, converging with those among men. The comorbidity burden was a strong prognostic factor for short and long-term mortality. Treatments for acute pancreatitis should focus on existing comorbidities.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Uffe Heide-Jørgensen
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | | | - Henrik Toft Sørensen
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Vera Ehrenstein
- Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
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Qu C, Gao L, Yu XQ, Wei M, Fang GQ, He J, Cao LX, Ke L, Tong ZH, Li WQ. Machine Learning Models of Acute Kidney Injury Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis Patients. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2020; 2020:3431290. [PMID: 33061958 PMCID: PMC7542489 DOI: 10.1155/2020/3431290] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2020] [Revised: 08/19/2020] [Accepted: 09/06/2020] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background. Acute kidney injury (AKI) has long been recognized as a common and important complication of acute pancreatitis (AP). In the study, machine learning (ML) techniques were used to establish predictive models for AKI in AP patients during hospitalization. This is a retrospective review of prospectively collected data of AP patients admitted within one week after the onset of abdominal pain to our department from January 2014 to January 2019. Eighty patients developed AKI after admission (AKI group) and 254 patients did not (non-AKI group) in the hospital. With the provision of additional information such as demographic characteristics or laboratory data, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), classification and regression tree (CART), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) were used to build models of AKI prediction and compared to the predictive performance of the classic model using logistic regression (LR). XGBoost performed best in predicting AKI with an AUC of 91.93% among the machine learning models. The AUC of logistic regression analysis was 87.28%. Present findings suggest that compared to the classical logistic regression model, machine learning models using features that can be easily obtained at admission had a better performance in predicting AKI in the AP patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheng Qu
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Lin Gao
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Xian-qiang Yu
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Clinical Medical College of Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Mei Wei
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Guo-quan Fang
- Electrical Engineering School of Southeast University, China
| | - Jianing He
- Institute for Hospital Management of Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China
| | - Long-xiang Cao
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Lu Ke
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Zhi-hui Tong
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
| | - Wei-qin Li
- Surgical Intensive Care Unit (SICU), Department of General Surgery, Jinling Hospital, Medical School of Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
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Koziel D, Gluszek-Osuch M, Suliga E, Zak M, Gluszek S. Elderly persons with acute pancreatitis - specifics of the clinical course of the disease. Clin Interv Aging 2018; 14:33-41. [PMID: 30613137 PMCID: PMC6306050 DOI: 10.2147/cia.s188520] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background As may readily be inferred from clinical observations, there is an increasing prevalence of severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in the elderly, even though the precise nature of the relationship between a patient's age and severity of the disease has not been unequivocally determined to date. This study aimed therefore to investigate the incidence, clinical course, and mortality rate among the elderly patients suffering from acute pancreatitis (AP), as compared to younger ones. Methods A prospective study, lasting a single calendar year, covered patients with AP successively admitted to hospitals. The final assessment comprised 963 patients. The patients were subsequently divided into three groups corresponding to the three grades of disease severity, based on the Revised Atlanta Classification for Acute Pancreatitis. The actual cause of the disease, its clinical course, results of radiological ultrasonography, computed tomography, and laboratory tests, as well as the duration of hospital stay were assessed in due consideration of patients' age (groups aged 65-79 years and ≥80 years vs <65 years). Results Cholelithiasis was determined as the main cause of AP among the older patients (54.08% and 58.12% vs 22.46%; P<0.000). Among the oldest patients (≥80 years), its course was often significantly more severe, in comparison with the ones under 65 years of age: 14.53% vs 6.31% (P<0.00); a phenomenon not observed in the age range 65-79 years, nor among the younger patients (7.69% vs 6.31%; P>0.05). Moderate AP occurred significantly more often in the younger patients compared to those aged ≥80 years (16% vs 8.55%; P<0.00), although without any significant differences observed between the group aged 65-79 years and the younger patients (13.27% vs 8.55%). SAP more frequently ended in death among the oldest patients - 11.97% vs 2.31% (P<0.000) than in the group aged 65-79 years (4.59%), as compared to the younger groups (P>0.05). Conclusion An appreciably higher susceptibility of older patients aged ≥80 years to AP, with cholelithiasis being the main cause that results in high mortality rate, is presently acknowledged a serious diagnostic and therapeutic management challenge to a national healthcare system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dorota Koziel
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, The Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland,
| | - Martyna Gluszek-Osuch
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, The Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland,
| | - Edyta Suliga
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, The Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland,
| | - Marek Zak
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, The Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland,
| | - Stanislaw Gluszek
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, The Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland, .,Clinic General Oncological and Endocrinological Surgery, Regional Hospital, Kielce, Poland
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Devani K, Charilaou P, Radadiya D, Brahmbhatt B, Young M, Reddy C. Acute pancreatitis: Trends in outcomes and the role of acute kidney injury in mortality- A propensity-matched analysis. Pancreatology 2018; 18:870-877. [PMID: 30337224 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2018.10.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/05/2018] [Revised: 10/01/2018] [Accepted: 10/04/2018] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To assess national trends of AP (acute pancreatitis) admissions, outcomes, prevalence of AKI (acute kidney injury) in AP, and impact of AKI on inpatient mortality. METHODS We queried the Nationwide Inpatient Sample database from 2003 to 2012 to identify AP admissions using ICD-9-CM codes. After excluding patients with missing information on age, gender, and inpatient mortality, we used ICD-9-CM codes to identify complications of AP, specifically AKI. We examined trends with survey-weighted multivariable regressions and analyzed predictors of AKI and inpatient mortality by multivariate logistic regression. Additionally, both AKI and non-AKI groups were propensity-matched and regressed against mortality. RESULTS A total of 3,466,493 patients (1.13% of all discharges) were hospitalized with AP, of which 7.9% had AKI. AP admissions increased (1.02%→1.26%) with rise in concomitant AKI cases (4.1%→11.7%) from year 2003-2012. Mortality rate decreased (1.8%→1.1%) in the AP patients with a substantial decline noted in AKI subgroup (17.4%→6.4%) during study period. Length of stay (LOS) and cost of hospitalization decreased (6.1→5.2 days and $13,654 to $10,895, respectively) in AKI subgroup. Complications such as AKI (OR: 6.08, p < 0.001), septic shock (OR: 46.52, p < 0.001), and acute respiratory failure (OR: 22.72, p < 0.001) were associated with higher mortality. AKI, after propensity matching, was linked to 3-fold increased mortality (propensity-matched OR: 3.20, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION Mortality, LOS, and cost of hospitalization in AP has decreased during the study period, although hospitalization and AKI prevalence has increased. AKI is independently associated with higher mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kalpit Devani
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN, USA.
| | - Paris Charilaou
- Saint Peter's University Hospital/Rutgers, Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, NJ, USA
| | - Dhruvil Radadiya
- Department of Internal Medicine, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN, USA
| | | | - Mark Young
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN, USA
| | - Chakradhar Reddy
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, East Tennessee State University, Johnson City, TN, USA
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Baseline Serum Cystatin C Is a Potential Predictor for Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis. DISEASE MARKERS 2018; 2018:8431219. [PMID: 30581500 PMCID: PMC6276423 DOI: 10.1155/2018/8431219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2018] [Revised: 09/04/2018] [Accepted: 09/20/2018] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
Aims The study is aimed at studying the incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI) and exploring the potential predictor for AKI in patients with acute pancreatitis. Methods A retrospective study adopting a stratified cohort sampling design was performed in a cohort of patients (n = 237) diagnosed with acute pancreatitis without any renal injury. The following information including age, gender, serum creatinine, serum urea nitrogen, serum uric acid, serum cystatin C, fasting serum glucose, serum amylase, serum lipase, serum choline esterase, total protein, albumin, globulin, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, total bile acids, glutamic-pyruvic transaminase, glutamic-oxaloacetic transaminase, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase, and alkaline phosphatase were collected from each patient when they were diagnosed with acute pancreatitis. Student t-test was conducted to figure out the difference between patients with and without AKI. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used for investigating the predictors for AKI in patients with acute pancreatitis. Results 18 (7.6%) patients in total had developed AKI among the study group. Compared with patients without AKI (1.01 ± 0.26 mg/L), the level of baseline serum cystatin C (CYS-C) was significantly higher in patients with AKI (3.64 ± 2.17 mg/L, P < 0.001). Baseline serum CYS-C (OR = 203.594, P < 0.001) was the independent and significant predictor for AKI in patients with acute pancreatitis. AKI in patients with acute pancreatitis could be identified with a sensitivity of 88.9% at specificity of 100% (AUC = 0.948, 95% CI 0.879–1.000) by baseline serum CYS-C (cut-off value = 1.865 mg/L). Conclusions Baseline serum CYS-C shall be adopted to predict the potential risk of AKI in patients with acute pancreatitis.
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Analysis of Factors Associated with the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis according to Etiology. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2017; 2017:1219464. [PMID: 29362560 PMCID: PMC5738578 DOI: 10.1155/2017/1219464] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2017] [Revised: 10/28/2017] [Accepted: 11/14/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The objective of this study was to determine the factors associated with severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) according to two major etiologies: alcohol and gallstones. Methods We reviewed the medical records of consecutive patients who were admitted with AP between January 2003 and January 2013. A total of 905 patients with AP (660 alcohol-induced, 245 gallstone-induced) were enrolled. Among them, severe AP (SAP) occurred in 72 patients (53 alcohol-induced, 19 gallstone-induced). Contributing factors between patients with and without SAP were analyzed according to the etiology. Results Multivariate analysis demonstrated that current smoking, pancreatic necrosis, and bacteremia were associated with AP severity in both alcohol- and gallstone-induced AP. Pancreatic fluid collection was significantly associated with alcohol-induced SAP (p = 0.04), whereas dyslipidemia was significantly associated with gallstone-induced SAP (p = 0.01). Body mass index was significantly correlated with the Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis score in both alcohol- and gallstone-induced AP (p = 0.03 and 0.01, resp.). Conclusions Current smoking, pancreatic necrosis, and bacteremia can aggravate the clinical course of AP. Pancreatic fluid collection and dyslipidemia were associated with AP severity according to the different etiologies. Obesity may also be associated with AP severity in both etiologies.
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Mechanism of Increased Intestinal Permeability in Acute Pancreatitis: Alteration in Tight Junction Proteins. J Clin Gastroenterol 2017; 51:461-466. [PMID: 27466164 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000000612] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Intestinal permeability (IP) has been shown to be increased in acute pancreatitis (AP) and is considered to be responsible for development of septic complications. However, the mechanism of increase in IP is not well studied. We studied whether alteration in tight junction proteins (TJP) has any role in altered IP in patients with AP. MATERIALS AND METHODS This is a prospective study conducted at a tertiary care referral center. Twenty consecutive moderate and severe AP patients fulfilling the study criteria were included along with 20 controls that underwent gastroduodenoscopy for dyspepsia. IP was measured with lactulose mannitol (LM) ratio and TJP were studied by measuring expression of claudin-2 and claudin-4 in duodenal biopsy samples. Statistical analysis was done with STATA 13.0. RESULTS IP as depicted by LM ratio was significantly higher in AP patients as compared with controls (4.659±10.4 vs. 0.101±0.297; P<0.001). Claudin-4 expression was reduced in duodenal biopsies in AP patients (P<0.001 for crypt intercellular junction and P=0.007 for crypt cytoplasm). However, LM ratio was not associated with either mortality (P=0.12) or development of infected pancreatic necrosis (P=0.3). CONCLUSIONS IP is increased in AP. Alteration in TJP in the form of reduced claudin-4 expressions could be the possible mechanism for increased IP.
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A Study on the Etiology, Severity, and Mortality of 3260 Patients With Acute Pancreatitis According to the Revised Atlanta Classification in Jiangxi, China Over an 8-Year Period. Pancreas 2017; 46:504-509. [PMID: 28196012 DOI: 10.1097/mpa.0000000000000776] [Citation(s) in RCA: 122] [Impact Index Per Article: 17.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Currently, the epidemiology of acute pancreatitis (AP) according to the Atlanta classification 2012 is rare. Thus, we aim to evaluate the etiology, severity, and mortality of AP according to Atlanta classification 2012 in Jiangxi, China. METHODS We analyzed 3260 hospitalized patients between 2005 and 2012 from AP database. The severity was classified by the Atlanta classification 2012. RESULTS 3260 patients were admitted. Cholelithiasis (58.7%), hyperlipidemia (14.3%), and alcohol (4.5%) were the top 3 etiologies. Besides, in 16.7% of patients, the etiology still unexplained. 1238 patients (38.0%) were categorized as mild, 1551 (47.6%) as moderate, and 471 (14.4%) as severe acute pancreatitis. Hyperlipidemia and alcohol were the more common cause in men, especially the younger and middle aged, whereas cholelithiasis were the more common cause in women, especially the elderly. The overall mortality of AP was 1.2% and 8.5% in severe acute pancreatitis. Meanwhile, both severe idiopathic and hyperlipidemic pancreatitis had significantly higher mortality rate than severe biliary pancreatitis. CONCLUSIONS Cholelithiasis was the main etiology in Jiangxi, China, and hyperlipidemia ranked second. There were different etiological proportion according to age, sex, and severity. Furthermore, the higher mortality rate occurred in severe idiopathic and hyperlipidemic pancreatitis, although there was no clear association between mortality and age.
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18
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Jin Z, Xu L, Wang X, Yang D. Risk Factors for Worsening of Acute Pancreatitis in Patients Admitted with Mild Acute Pancreatitis. Med Sci Monit 2017; 23:1026-1032. [PMID: 28238002 PMCID: PMC5340223 DOI: 10.12659/msm.900383] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The aim of the present study was to investigate risk factors for developing more severe pancreatitis, including moderately severe (MSAP) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP), in patients admitted with mild acute pancreatitis (MAP). Material/Methods Patients admitted with MAP to our hospital from March 2013 to May 2016 were included and prospectively evaluated. Possible risk factors for developing MSAP or SAP were age, blood glucose level on admission, etiology, sex, Ranson score, amylase level, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) scores, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, serum calcium level, visceral fat area (VFA), body mass index (BMI), whether this was the first episode of AP, and method of administration of octreotide. The effects of variables for developing MSAP or SAP were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models. Mortality, hospital duration, and rate of ICU transfer of patients were compared between patients who developed MSAP or SAP and patients who did not. Results A total of 602 patients admitted with MAP were recruited into this study (256 men and 346 women). Seventy-four patients (12.3%) developed MSAP or SAP. According to univariate logistic regression analyses, the results indicated that there were 5 significant differences between patients who developed MSAP or SAP and those who did not: VFA (>100 cm2) (p=0.003), BMI (≥25 kg/m2) (p=0.001), Ranson score(p=0.004), APACHE-II (≥5) (p=0.001), and blood glucose level on admission (>11.1 mmol/L) (p=0.040). Further multivariate logistic regression analyses revealed that BMI (≥25 kg/m2) (p=0.005), APACHE-II (≥5) (p=0.001), and blood glucose level on admission (>11.1 mmol/L) (p=0.004) were independent risk factors for developing MSAP or SAP in patients admitted with MAP. Moreover, patients who developed MSAP or SAP had a mortality rate of 5.4%. Conclusions Significant risk factors for developing MSAP or SAP in patients admitted with MAP included BMI (≥25 kg/m2), APACHE-II (≥5), and blood glucose level on admission (>11.1 mmol/L). These factors should be used in the prediction of more severe pancreatitis in patients admitted with MAP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhouxiang Jin
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China (mainland).,Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China (mainland)
| | - Lubai Xu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China (mainland)
| | - Xiangyu Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang, China (mainland)
| | - Dinghua Yang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China (mainland)
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Umapathy C, Raina A, Saligram S, Tang G, Papachristou GI, Rabinovitz M, Chennat J, Zeh H, Zureikat AH, Hogg ME, Lee KK, Saul MI, Whitcomb DC, Slivka A, Yadav D. Natural History After Acute Necrotizing Pancreatitis: a Large US Tertiary Care Experience. J Gastrointest Surg 2016; 20:1844-1853. [PMID: 27619808 DOI: 10.1007/s11605-016-3264-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2016] [Accepted: 08/24/2016] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Most studies of acute necrotizing pancreatitis (ANP) focus on short-term outcomes. We evaluated long-term survival and outcomes following ANP. METHODS Patients treated for ANP at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center from 2001 to 2008 were studied. Data on presentation and course during initial hospitalization and follow-up (median 34 months) was extracted. RESULTS Mean age of patients (n = 167) was 53 ± 16 years; 70 % were male, 94 % white, 71 % transfers, 52 % biliary etiology, and 78 % had first-attack of acute pancreatitis. Majority had severe disease with high Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) score (median 11), length of stay (median 26 days), intensive care unit (ICU) admission (87 %), presence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) (90 %), persistent organ failure (60 %), and infected necrosis (50 %). Intervention was needed in 74 %. Eighteen (10.8 %) patients died during index hospitalization, 9 (5.4 %) during the first year, and 13 (7.8 %) after 1 year. Median survival was significantly shorter when compared with age- and sex-matched US general population (9.1 vs. 26.1 years, p < 0.001). Increasing age (HR 1.05), persistent organ failure (HR 4.5), and >50 % necrosis (HR 3.8) were independent predictors of death at 1 year. In eligible patients, new-onset diabetes, oral pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy, and disability were noted in 45, 25, and 53 %, respectively. CONCLUSION ANP significantly impacts long-term survival. A high proportion of patients develop functional derangement and disability following ANP.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Amit Raina
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC, USA
| | - Shreyas Saligram
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Motility, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Gong Tang
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Georgios I Papachristou
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Mordechai Rabinovitz
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Jennifer Chennat
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Herbert Zeh
- Division of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Amer H Zureikat
- Division of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Melissa E Hogg
- Division of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Kenneth K Lee
- Division of Surgical Oncology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Melissa I Saul
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - David C Whitcomb
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Adam Slivka
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA
| | - Dhiraj Yadav
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, 200 Lothrop Street, M-2, C-Wing, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213, USA.
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Losurdo G, Iannone A, Principi M, Barone M, Ranaldo N, Ierardi E, Di Leo A. Acute pancreatitis in elderly patients: A retrospective evaluation at hospital admission. Eur J Intern Med 2016; 30:88-93. [PMID: 26806437 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejim.2016.01.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/06/2015] [Revised: 01/08/2016] [Accepted: 01/09/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Acute pancreatitis (AP) in elderly may have an aggressive course due to co-morbidity high rate and severe presentation. We retrospectively evaluated AP severity and its underlying factors in a group of elderly patients compared with an adult population sample. METHODS Forty-two elderly patients (65-102years) and 48 controls (19-64years) admitted at our Unit for biliary or alcoholic AP were retrospectively enrolled. AP severity was evaluated by the Atlanta classification and Ransom score. Laboratory investigations and demographic data were collected. Comparison between the two groups was performed by t-test, ANOVA or Fisher's exact test. A multinomial logistic regression was used to determine factors affecting AP severity. RESULTS Elderly patients showed more severe Atlanta (1.81±0.75 vs 1.29±0.46; p=0.007) and higher Ransom (2.52±1.57 vs 0.75±0.73; p<0.0001) scores. No death was observed. Elderly patients consumed more drugs than controls, had higher rates of cardiovascular, pulmonary and renal co-morbidity, showed higher creatinine (1.09±0.41 vs 0.81±0.18; p=0.004) and lower calcium levels (8.43±0.48 vs 8.88±0.44; p=0.002). We observed only one case of fluid necrosis in an old patient. Non-necrotic fluid collections were more common in the elderly (40.5% vs 12.5%; p=0.003). At multivariate analysis, AP severity was influenced by white blood cell-count (WBC: OR=1.94; p=0.048), aspartate-transaminase-levels (AST: OR=1.97; p=0.02), serum lactate-dehydrogenase (LDH: OR=1.07; p=0.047) and Ransom score (OR=70.4; p=0.036) in elderly, while only Ransom score correlated in controls (OR=66.04; p<0.001). The etiology (biliary/alcoholic) did not influence the severity. CONCLUSIONS Elderly patients usually undergo a severe AP course, but without increase of mortality. High WBC, LDH, AST and Ransom score at the onset may predict AP severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giuseppe Losurdo
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Andrea Iannone
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Mariabeatrice Principi
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Michele Barone
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Nunzio Ranaldo
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Enzo Ierardi
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy.
| | - Alfredo Di Leo
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Emergency and Organ Transplantation, AOU Policlinico, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
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Zhou J, Li Y, Tang Y, Liu F, Yu S, Zhang L, Zeng X, Zhao Y, Fu P. Effect of acute kidney injury on mortality and hospital stay in patient with severe acute pancreatitis. Nephrology (Carlton) 2016; 20:485-91. [PMID: 25726708 DOI: 10.1111/nep.12439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/22/2015] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
AIM Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is believed to be a major risk factor leading to acute kidney injury (AKI) among critically ill patients, but little is known about SAP-induced AKI. We study the incidence of AKI defined by the Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria and the risk factors associated with outcomes among SAP-induced AKI patients. METHOD We conducted a multicenter retrospective study of critically ill SAP-induced AKI patients during the period August 2009 to June 2013. Data on enrolled patients were retrieved from electronic records. Univariate and multiple regression analyses were performed. RESULTS Among a total of 414 SAP patients admitted to intensive care units(ICU), 287 (69.3%) developed AKI during their ICU stay, with 16.7%, 18.4%, and 34.3% classified as AKI stage I,II, and III, respectively. SAP-induced AKI patients experienced a significantly higher ICU mortality than those without AKI. The risk factors associated with ICU mortality among SAP-induced AKI patients included ACS (odds ratio (OR) 10.58), RRT (OR 3.31), sepsis (OR 2.46), CTSI (OR 3.01), APACHE II score (OR 1.82), AKI III (OR 1.38), ICU-length-of-stay (OR 1.04), and multi-organ failure. CONCLUSIONS The paper represents the first attempt to investigate the etiology and epidemiology of AKI following SAP under the AKIN criteria among critically ill patients. Several independent risk factors were found to be associated with ICU mortality for AKI patients. The findings may pinpoint crucial therapeutic measures for preventing AKI among a vulnerable population and for more effective management of SAP-induced AKI to improve the quality of intensive care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiaojiao Zhou
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Yi Li
- Kidney Epidemiology and Cost Center, Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Yi Tang
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Fang Liu
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Shaobin Yu
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Ling Zhang
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Xiaoxi Zeng
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Yuliang Zhao
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Ping Fu
- Division of Nephrology, Kidney Research Institute, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
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The Role of Eugenol in the Prevention of Acute Pancreatitis-Induced Acute Kidney Injury: Experimental Study. HPB SURGERY : A WORLD JOURNAL OF HEPATIC, PANCREATIC AND BILIARY SURGERY 2016; 2016:3203147. [PMID: 26884642 PMCID: PMC4739212 DOI: 10.1155/2016/3203147] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2015] [Revised: 11/09/2015] [Accepted: 11/30/2015] [Indexed: 01/15/2023]
Abstract
Aim. Acute pancreatitis is an inflammatory intra-abdominal disease, which takes a severe form in 15–20% of patients and can result in high mortality especially when complicated by acute renal failure. The aim of this study is to assess the possible reduction in the extent of acute kidney injury after administration of eugenol in an experimental model of acute pancreatitis. Materials and Methods. 106 male Wistar rats weighing 220–350 g were divided into 3 groups: (1) Sham, with sham surgery; (2) Control, with induction of acute pancreatitis, through ligation of the biliopancreatic duct; and (3) Eugenol, with induction of acute pancreatitis and eugenol administration at a dose of 15 mg/kg. Serum urea and creatinine, histopathological changes, TNF-α, IL-6, and MPO activity in the kidneys were evaluated at predetermined time intervals. Results. The group that was administered eugenol showed milder histopathological changes than the Control group, TNF-α activity was milder in the Eugenol group, and there was no difference in activity for MPO and IL-6. Serum urea and creatinine levels were lower in the Eugenol group than in the Control group. Conclusions. Eugenol administration was protective for the kidneys in an experimental model of acute pancreatitis in rats.
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Guo Q, Li M, Chen Y, Hu W. Determinant-based classification and revision of the Atlanta classification, which one should we choose to categorize acute pancreatitis? Pancreatology 2015; 15:331-6. [PMID: 26045244 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2015.05.467] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2015] [Revised: 05/05/2015] [Accepted: 05/18/2015] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Two new systems of acute pancreatitis (AP) severity classification, namely, the determinant-based classification (DBC) and the revision of the Atlanta classification (RAC), were recently published. Information is lacking on the differences between the two systems. METHODS We analyzed data from adult patients with AP (973 episodes), admitted to West China Hospital from July 2012 through March 2013. We validated and compared the DBC and RAC systems by investigating the discordances between the RAC and DBC. RESULTS Using the RAC system, 66%, 27%, and 7% of the patients were categorized as mild, moderately severe, and severe, respectively. Using the DBC system, 83%, 7%, 7%, and 2% patients were determined to have mild, moderate, severe, and critical AP, respectively. The mortality and ICU admission rates were similar between the subgroups of the severe category under the RAC system. The severe and critical categories had similar mortality rates [35% (7/20) vs. 29% (20/70), P = 0.59] based on DBC. A subgroup of severe category of DBC (IPN and no persistent OF) had significantly lower mortality rate than the other two subgroups of severe category of DBC (SPN and persistent OF; persistent OF and no PN) [0% (0/18) vs. 29% (10/34) vs. 56% (10/18), P < 0.05]. CONCLUSION Some subgroups of severe categories under the DBC system did not accurately reflected clinical outcomes. RAC seemed to be a better choice to guide the selection of patient populations for clinical research and provide a more accurate description of AP classification in the clinical setting than DBC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiang Guo
- Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Mao Li
- Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Yang Chen
- Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Weiming Hu
- Pancreatic Surgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan Province, China.
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Inhibition of glycogen synthase kinase-3β attenuates acute kidney injury in sodium taurocholate‑induced severe acute pancreatitis in rats. Mol Med Rep 2014; 10:3185-92. [PMID: 25323773 DOI: 10.3892/mmr.2014.2650] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2013] [Accepted: 06/11/2014] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
The aim of the present study was to investigate the efficacy of 4‑benzyl‑2‑methyl‑1,2,4‑thiadiazolidine‑3,5‑dione (TDZD‑8), the selective inhibitor of glycogen synthase kinase‑3β (GSK‑3β), on the development of acute kidney injury in an experimental model of sodium taurocholate‑induced severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in rats. The serum amylase, lipase, interleukin‑1β and interleukin‑6 levels, and the pancreatic pathological score were examined to determine the magnitude of pancreatitis injury. The serum creatinine and blood urea nitrogen levels, myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity and renal histological grading were measured to assess the magnitude of SAP‑induced acute kidney injury. The activation of nuclear factor‑κB (NF‑κB) was examined using an immunohistochemistry assay. The expression of GSK‑3β, phospho‑GSK‑3β (Ser9), tumour necrosis factor‑α (TNF‑α), intercellular adhesion molecule‑1 (ICAM‑1) and inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) protein in the kidney was characterised using western blot analysis. TDZD‑8 attenuated (i) serum amylase, lipase and renal dysfunction; (ii) the serum concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines; (iii) pancreatic and renal pathological injury; (iv) renal MPO activity and (v) NF‑κB activation and TNF‑α, ICAM‑1 and iNOS protein expression in the kidney. The results obtained in the present study suggest that the inhibition of GSK‑3β attenuates renal disorders associated with SAP through the inhibition of NF‑κB activation and the downregulation of the expression of proinflammatory cytokines, TNF‑α, ICAM‑1 and iNOS in rats. Blocking GSK‑3β protein kinase activity may be a novel approach to the treatment of this inflammatory condition.
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Zhang XH, Li ML, Wang B, Guo MX, Zhu RM. Caspase-1 inhibition alleviates acute renal injury in rats with severe acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol 2014; 20:10457-10463. [PMID: 25132762 PMCID: PMC4130853 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v20.i30.10457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/28/2013] [Revised: 11/04/2013] [Accepted: 05/29/2014] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM: To assess the effect of inhibition of caspase-1 on acute renal injury in rats with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).
METHODS: Forty-two Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into three groups: healthy controls (HC, n = 6), SAP rats treated with saline (SAP-S, n = 18), or SAP rats treated with a caspase-1/interleukin (IL)-1β-converting-enzyme (ICE) inhibitor (SAP-I-ICE, n = 18). SAP was induced by retrograde infusion of 5% sodium taurocholate into the bile-pancreatic duct. HC rats were subjected to identical treatment and surgical procedures without sodium taurocholate. Rats received an intraperitoneal injection of isotonic saline (SAP-S) or the inhibitor (SAP-ICE-I) at 2 and 12 h after induction of acute pancreatitis. Surviving rats were sacrificed at different time points after SAP induction; all samples were obtained and stored for subsequent analyses. The levels of blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and creatinine (Cr) were measured using automatic methods, and serum IL-1β concentrations were measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Intrarenal expression of IL-1β, IL-18 and caspase-1 mRNAs was detected by RT-PCR. IL-1β protein expression and the pathologic changes in kidney tissues were observed by microscopy after immunohistochemical or hematoxylin and eosin staining, respectively.
RESULTS: The serum levels of BUN and Cr in the SAP-S group were 12.48 ± 2.30 mmol/L and 82.83 ± 13.89 μmol/L at 6 h, 23.53 ± 2.58 mmol/L and 123.67 ± 17.67 μmol/L at 12 h, and 23.60 ± 3.33 mmol/L and 125.33 ± 21.09 μmol/L at 18 h, respectively. All were significantly increased compared to HC rats (P < 0.01 for all). Levels in SAP-ICE-I rats were significantly decreased compared to SAP-S rats both at 12 and 18 h (P < 0.01 for all). Serum IL-1β levels in the SAP-S group were 276.77 ± 44.92 pg/mL at 6 h, 308.99 ± 34.95 pg/mL at 12 h, and 311.60 ± 46.51 pg/mL at 18 h; all significantly higher than those in the HC and SAP-ICE-I groups (P < 0.01 for all). Intrarenal expression of IL-1β mRNA was weak in HC rats, but increased significantly in SAP-S rats (P < 0.01). ICE inhibition significantly decreased the expression of IL-1β and IL-18 mRNAs (P < 0.05 for all vs SAP-S), whereas caspase-1 mRNA expression was not significantly different. Weak IL-1β immunostaining was observed in HC animals, and marked staining was found in the SAP-S group mainly in renal tubular epithelial cells. IL-1β immunostaining was significantly descended in SAP-ICE-I rats compared to SAP-S rats (P < 0.05). Caspase-1 inhibition had no effect on the severity of kidney tissue destruction.
CONCLUSION: The expression of caspase-1-activated cytokines IL-1β and IL-18 plays a pivotal role in acute renal injury in rats with experimental SAP. Caspase-1 inhibition improves renal function effectively.
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE The objective of this study was to evaluate whether an uncontrolled activation of mast cells and macrophages through protease-activated receptor-2 (PAR-2) during acute pancreatitis could develop lung injury. METHODS Pancreatitis was induced in rats by intraductal infusion of sodium taurocholate. In a group of animals, PAR-2 antagonist or trypsin (TRP) inhibitor was intravenously administered before the pancreatitis induction. In additional groups, the animals were treated with PAR-2-activating peptide or pancreatic TRP. The myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity was measured to evaluate the progression of inflammation. RESULTS Plasma from the animals with pancreatitis and pancreatic TRP induced the secretion of mast cells and alveolar macrophages as well as increased the density of PAR-2 in the plasma membrane. The treatment of alveolar macrophages with TRP, tryptase, as well as PAR-1- and PAR-2-activating peptide led to an increase in calcium-triggered exocytosis. Similar results were obtained in acinar cells. The intravenous injection of PAR-2-activating peptide and TRP induced an increase in MPO activity in the lung. The intravenous injection of PAR-2 antagonist or TRP inhibitor before the pancreatitis induction could prevent the increase in MPO activity in the pancreas and the lung. CONCLUSIONS The TRP generated during acute pancreatitis could be involved in the progression of lung injury through the activation of PAR-2 in alveolar macrophages.
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Senapati D, Debata PK, Jenasamant SS, Nayak AK, Gowda S M, Swain NN. A prospective study of the Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score in acute pancreatitis: an Indian perspective. Pancreatology 2014; 14:335-9. [PMID: 25278302 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2014.07.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2014] [Revised: 05/30/2014] [Accepted: 07/14/2014] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION A simple and easily applicable system for stratifying patients with acute pancreatitis is lacking. The aim of our study was to evaluate the ability of BISAP score to predict mortality in acute pancreatitis patients from our institution and to predict which patients are at risk for development of organ failure, persistent organ failure and pancreatic necrosis. METHODS All patients with acute pancreatitis were included in the study. BISAP score was calculated within 24 h of admission. A Contrast CT was used to differentiate interstitial from necrotizing pancreatitis within seven days of hospitalization whereas Marshall Scoring System was used to characterize organ failure. RESULTS Among 246 patients M:F = 153:93, most common aetiology among men was alcoholism and among women was gallstone disease. 207 patients had no organ failure and remaining 39 developed organ failure. 17 patients had persistent organ failure, 16 of those with BISAP score ≥3. 13 patients in our study died, out of which 12 patients had BISAP score ≥3. We also found that a BISAP score of ≥3 had a sensitivity of 92%, specificity of 76%, a positive predictive value of 17%, and a negative predictive value of 99% for mortality. DISCUSSION The BISAP score is a simple and accurate method for the early identification of patients at increased risk for in hospital mortality and morbidity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Debadutta Senapati
- Department of General Surgery, SCB Medical College, Cuttack, Odisha, 753007, India.
| | | | | | - Anil Kumar Nayak
- Department of General Surgery, SCB Medical College, Cuttack, Odisha, 753007, India
| | - Manoj Gowda S
- Department of General Surgery, SCB Medical College, Cuttack, Odisha, 753007, India
| | - Narendra Nath Swain
- Department of General Surgery, SCB Medical College, Cuttack, Odisha, 753007, India
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Guo Q, Li A, Xia Q, Liu X, Tian B, Mai G, Huang Z, Chen G, Tang W, Jin X, Chen W, Lu H, Ke N, Zhang Z, Hu W. The role of organ failure and infection in necrotizing pancreatitis: a prospective study. Ann Surg 2014; 259:1201-7. [PMID: 24169172 DOI: 10.1097/sla.0000000000000264] [Citation(s) in RCA: 98] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To clarify the roles of organ failure and infection in the outcome of necrotizing pancreatitis. BACKGROUND Results of previous cohort studies that focused on the roles of infection and organ failure in acute pancreatitis are controversial. METHODS In this study, we collected the medical records of 447 patients with necrotizing pancreatitis from January 2009 to June 2012. Data associated with organ failure and infection were analyzed. RESULTS The overall mortality rate was 13% (58/447). Intervention was performed in 223 of 447 patients. Among these 223 patients, 134 were confirmed to be with infected necrosis by a positive culture. The mortality rate was 15% (13/89) in the sterile necrosis group and 18% (24/134) in the infected necrosis group (P = 0.52). A multivariate analysis of death predictors indicated that bacteremia (odds ratio [OR] = 2.76, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-5.46, P < 0.001), age (OR = 1.07, 95% CI, 1.03-1.11, P < 0.001), American Society of Anesthesiologists class (OR = 3.56, 95% CI, 1.65-7.18, P = 0.001), persistent organ failure in the first week (OR = 16.72, 95% CI, 7.04-32.56, P < 0.001), and pancreatic necrosis (OR = 1.73, 95% CI, 1.14-2.98, P = 0.008) were significant factors. CONCLUSIONS Among patients with necrotizing pancreatitis, the effects of organ failure on mortality are more critical than those of infection. Bacteremia, age, American Society of Anesthesiologists class, persistent organ failure in the first week, and pancreatic necrosis were identified as the predictors of mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiang Guo
- *Hepato-Bilio-Pancreatic Surgery †Department of Integrated Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine ‡Intensive Care Unit §Department of Radiology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan Province, China
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Zhang J, Shahbaz M, Fang R, Liang B, Gao C, Gao H, Ijaz M, Peng C, Wang B, Niu Z, Niu J. Comparison of the BISAP scores for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis in Chinese patients according to the latest Atlanta classification. JOURNAL OF HEPATO-BILIARY-PANCREATIC SCIENCES 2014; 21:689-694. [PMID: 24850587 DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.118] [Citation(s) in RCA: 41] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/01/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) is a new, convenient, prognostic multifactor scoring system. As there were no studies designed to validate this system according to the latest Atlanta classification in China and more data are needed before clinical application, we compared BISAP, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and Ranson scoring systems in predicting the severity, pancreatic necrosis and mortality of acute pancreatitis (AP) using the latest 2012 Atlanta classification in a tertiary care center in China. METHODS The medical records of all patients with AP admitted to our hospitals between January 2010 and June 2013 were reviewed retrospectively. Severe AP was defined as the persistence of organ failure for more than 48 h. The capacity of the BISAP, APACHE II and Ranson's score system to predict severity, pancreatic necrosis and mortality was evaluated using linear-by-linear association. The predictive accuracy of the BISAP, APACHE II and Ranson's score was measured as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS Of 155 patients enrolled in the study, 16.7% were classified as having severe AP, and six (3.2%) died. There were statistically significant trends for increasing severity (P < 0.001), PNec (P < 0.001) and mortality (P < 0.001) with increasing BISAP. The AUC for severity predicted by BISAP was 0.793 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.700-0.886), APACHE II 0.836 (95% CI 0.744-0.928) and by Ranson score was 0.903 (95% CI 0.814-0.992). The AUC for PNec predicted by BISAP was 0.834 (95% CI 0.739-0.929), APACHE II 0.801 (95% CI 0.691-0.910) and by Ranson score was 0.840 (95% CI 0.741-0.939). The AUC for mortality predicted by BISAP was 0.791 (95% CI 0.593-0.989), APACHE II 0.812 (95% CI 0.717-0.906) and by Ranson score was 0.904 (95% CI 0.829-0.979). CONCLUSIONS BISAP score may be a valuable source for risk stratification and prognostic prediction in Chinese patients with AP. A prospective and multicenter validation study is required to confirm our results and further our recognition of BISAP scores in AP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jia Zhang
- Department of Emergency Surgery, Affiliated Provincial Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China
| | - Muhammad Shahbaz
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Ruliang Fang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Benjia Liang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Chao Gao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Huijie Gao
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Muhammad Ijaz
- Department of Pharmacology, University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Cheng Peng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Ben Wang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Zhengchuan Niu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
| | - Jun Niu
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Qilu Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, 250012, China
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES Early, efficient, and accurate evaluation for organ failure is an important step for improving outcome in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). We aim to develop a method that can early, efficiently, and accurately evaluate the in-hospital organ failure in patients with SAP. METHODS Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, the associative factors for in-hospital organ failure were evaluated retrospectively from conventional data obtained from 393 patients with SAP from 2000 to 2012. In classification and regression tree analysis, a new clinical scoring system was developed for the evaluation of in-hospital organ failure in SAP. We also compared the accuracy of our new scoring system with multiple organ dysfunction score and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Examination II score by the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS Laboratory results revealed serum calcium level greater than or equal to 1.84 mmol/L, serum creatinine level greater than or equal to 110 µmol/L, age greater than or equal to 72 years, activated partial thromboplastin time less than or equal to 30.95 seconds, and Balthazar computed tomography score greater than or equal to 7 (CCAAB) score system, each contributed 1 point for the prediction of organ failure. The area under the curve of the CCAAB score system was similar to multiple organ dysfunction scores and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Examination II scores. CONCLUSIONS The new scoring system CCAAB is an efficient and accurate method for the early evaluation of patients with SAP for in-hospital organ failure.
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Turner RC, McDermott R. Clinical predictors of severe acute pancreatitis: value-adding the view from the end of the bed. ANZ J Surg 2013; 84:672-6. [PMID: 24103042 DOI: 10.1111/ans.12390] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/12/2013] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Research into clinical determinants of severe acute pancreatitis remains important for therapeutic and preventive purposes. To contribute to prognostication, this study aimed to define clinical risk factors for the development of severe acute pancreatitis. METHODS Study design was a prospective cohort study, using multiple logistic regression. From March 2004 to July 2007, 153 cases of acute pancreatitis were recruited in a regional Australian hospital. Data were collected regarding demographic and clinical characteristics. The outcome measure was severe acute pancreatitis, as defined by composite consensus criteria. RESULTS After adjustment for potential confounders, there was a significant positive association with waist circumference and a negative association with current smoking status. CONCLUSION The study confirms other work suggesting central adiposity as a risk factor for severe acute pancreatitis. The finding of a possible protective effect for smoking may be physiologically plausible but merits further confirmatory research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard C Turner
- School of Medicine, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia
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Yang LJ, Wan R, Shen JQ, Shen J, Wang XP. Effect of L-cysteine on remote organ injury in rats with severe acute pancreatitis induced by bile-pancreatic duct obstruction. Hepatobiliary Pancreat Dis Int 2013; 12:428-35. [PMID: 23924502 DOI: 10.1016/s1499-3872(13)60067-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Remote organ failure occurs in cases of acute pancreatitis (AP); however, the reports on AP induced by pancreatic duct obstruction are rare. In this study we determined the effect of L-cysteine on pancreaticobiliary inflammation and remote organ damage in rats after pancreaticobiliary duct ligation (PBDL). METHODS AP was induced by PBDL in rats with 5/0 silk. Sixty rats were randomly divided into 4 groups. Groups A and B were sham-operated groups that received injections of saline or L-cysteine (10 mg/kg) intraperitoneally (15 rats in each group). Groups C and D were PBDL groups that received injections of saline or L-cysteine (10 mg/kg) intraperitoneally (15 rats in each group). The tissue samples of the pancreas and remote organs such as the lung, liver, intestine and kidney were subsequently examined for pathological changes under a light microscope. The samples were also stored for the determination of malondialdehyde and glutathione levels. Blood urea nitrogen (BUN), plasma amylase, ALT and AST levels were determined spectrophotometrically using an automated analyzer. Also, we evaluated the effect of L-cysteine on remote organ injury in rats with AP induced by retrograde infusion of 3.5% sodium taurocholate (NaTc) into the bile-pancreatic duct. RESULTS Varying degrees of injury in the pancreas, lung, liver, intestine and kidney were observed in the rats 24 hours after PBDL. The severity of injury to the lung, liver and intestine was attenuated, while injury status was not changed significantly in the pancreas and kidney after L-cysteine treatment. Oxidative stress was also affected by L-cysteine in PBDL-treated rats. The concentration of tissue malondialdehyde decreased in the pancreas and remote organs of PBDL and L-cysteine administrated rats, and the concentration of glutathione increased more significantly than that of the model control group. However, L-cysteine administration reduced the severity of injury in remote organs but not in the pancreas in rats with NaTc-induced AP. CONCLUSION L-cysteine treatment attenuated multiple organ damage at an early stage of AP in rats and modulated the oxidant/antioxidant imbalance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li-Juan Yang
- Department of Gastroenterology, and Shanghai Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Diseases, Shanghai First People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200080, China
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Scoring of human acute pancreatitis: state of the art. Langenbecks Arch Surg 2013; 398:789-97. [PMID: 23680979 DOI: 10.1007/s00423-013-1087-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/29/2013] [Accepted: 05/01/2013] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis remains as one of the most difficult and challenging digestive disorder to predict in terms of clinical course and outcome. Every case has an individual course and therefore acute pancreatitis remains challenging and fascinating. Due to this variability, many different scoring systems have evolved during the last decades. Every scoring system has advantages and disadvantages. Not every scoring system is capable of assessing the clinical time course of the disease, some are only suitable for the time of initial presentation. AIM This paper will give an overview on the development of different widely used scoring systems and their performance in assessing severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis. CONCLUSION Severity assessment means objective quantification of overall severity of illness. Early and reliable stratification of severity is required to decide best treatment of the individual patient, preparation for possible evolving complications or for referral to specialist centers. No single scoring system is able to cover the entire range of problems associated with treatment and assessment of acute pancreatitis. In our clinical experience, we recommend hematocrit upon admission, daily sequential organ failure assessment score and procalcitonin, C-reactive protein on day 3 and CT severity index beyond the first week. These scoring tools together with close clinical follow-up of the patient ultimately lead to an optimized treatment of this challenging disease.
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Experimental acute pancreatitis induces mitochondrial dysfunction in rat pancreas, kidney and lungs but not in liver. Pancreatology 2013; 13:216-24. [PMID: 23719591 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2013.04.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2012] [Revised: 03/26/2013] [Accepted: 04/01/2013] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS Excessive systemic inflammatory response syndrome during severe acute pancreatitis (AP) leads to multiple organ dysfunction syndrome, which is the main cause of death and may be associated with primary mitochondrial disturbances. The aim of our study was to evaluate the role of mitochondria during experimental AP in pancreas and vital organs like kidney, lungs and liver within the first 48 h. METHODS AP was induced in 39 male Wistar rats by intraductal application of sodium taurocholate (5%, 1.75 ml/kg). Animals were divided into groups reflecting the time from induction of the AP till collection of tissues (control and 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 48 h). Mitochondria were isolated by differential centrifugation and mitochondrial respiration rates were measured oxygraphically. RESULTS (1) Mitochondria in pancreas are affected within the first 6 h after onset of AP, (2) kidney mitochondria are affected 24 h after onset of AP, (3) lungs mitochondria are affected within 48 h after onset of AP whereas (4) liver mitochondria remain well preserved within the first 48 h. Severe AP-induced decrease in the oxidative phosphorylation of pancreas, kidney and lungs mitochondria was more pronounced with Complex I-linked (glutamate/malate) than with Complex II-linked (succinate) substrates and was associated with inhibition of Complex I. CONCLUSION Our data show that the disturbances of mitochondrial energy metabolism in pancreas, kidney and lungs may play an important role in the development and progression of AP as a systemic disease.
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Abstract
OBJECTIVES It is well established that acute pancreatitis (AP) often causes diabetes mellitus. However, whether pre-existing diabetes is associated with the development of AP remains unknown. To clarify the association of pre-existing diabetes and the development of AP, we carried out a meta-analysis of observational studies. METHODS A computerized literature search was performed in MEDLINE (from 1 January 1966) and EMBASE (from 1 January 1974), through 31 January 2012. We also searched the reference lists of relevant articles. Summary relative risks with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed using Cochran's Q statistic and the I 2. RESULTS A total of seven articles (10 523 incident cases of AP) were included in this meta-analysis. Analysis of seven studies indicated that, compared with nondiabetic individuals, diabetic individuals had a 92% increased risk of development of AP (95% CI 1.50-2.47). There was significant evidence of heterogeneity among these studies (P heterogeneity<0.001, I 2=93.0%). These increased risks were independent of alcohol use, gallstones, and hyperlipidemia. CONCLUSION Although the current evidence supports a positive link between pre-existing diabetes and an increased risk of development of AP, additional studies, with a perfect design, are required before definitive conclusions can be drawn.
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Singh RK, Poddar B, Baronia AK, Azim A, Gurjar M, Singhal S, Srivastava S, Saigal S. Audit of patients with severe acute pancreatitis admitted to an intensive care unit. Indian J Gastroenterol 2012; 31:243-52. [PMID: 22932963 DOI: 10.1007/s12664-012-0205-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2011] [Accepted: 05/31/2012] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is a disease with high morbidity and mortality. We undertook a study of patients with SAP admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a tertiary referral hospital. METHODS Between 2002 and 2007, 50 patients with SAP were admitted in our intensive care unit (ICU). Data were collected from their medical records and their clinical profile, course and outcome were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were categorized into survivor and nonsurvivor groups, and were further classified based on interventions such as percutaneous drainage and surgical necrosectomy. RESULTS SAP contributed 5 % of total ICU admissions during the study period. Median age of survivors (n = 20) was 34 against 44 years in nonsurvivors (n = 30). Median Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score in nonsurvivors was 16.5 (8-32) vs. 12.5 (5-20) in survivors (p = 0.002). Patients with APACHE II score ≥12 had mortality >80 % compared to 23 % with score <12 (p < 0.001). Median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores on admission and on days 3, 7, 14, and 21 were significantly higher in nonsurvivors compared to survivors (p < 0.05). Mean (SD) intraabdominal pressure was 23 (3.37) mmHg in nonsurvivors vs. 19.05 (2.51) in survivors (p < 0.05). Patients with renal failure had significant mortality (p < 0.001). Length of ICU stay, requirement for vasopressor, total parenteral nutrition, and the amount of blood and blood product transfusions differed significantly between patients with and without intervention. CONCLUSIONS APACHE II and SOFA scores and other clinical data correlated with outcome in SAP admitted to ICU.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ratender Kumar Singh
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, 226 014, India.
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Shen HN, Lu CL, Li CY. The effect of gastrointestinal bleeding on outcomes of patients with acute pancreatitis: a national population-based study. Pancreatology 2012; 12:331-6. [PMID: 22898634 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2012.07.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2012] [Revised: 06/24/2012] [Accepted: 07/01/2012] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To investigate the adverse effect of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP), accounting for the status of organ failure (OF). METHODS We analyzed 107,349 patients with first-attack AP from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database between 2000 and 2009. Patients were categorized into four groups according to the status of GIB and OF, the effect of which was assessed using multivariable analyses with generalized estimating equations models. Primary outcomes were 14-day and hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes were septic complication and prolonged hospital stay (>18 days). RESULTS The covariate-adjusted odds ratio for 14-day mortality, hospital mortality, septic complication, and prolonged stay all significantly increased at 4.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.80-5.63), 4.22 (95% CI 3.66-4.87), 3.52 (95% CI 3.03-4.08), and 1.27 (95% CI 1.20-1.35), respectively for the patients with OF only (n = 88,561). The corresponding figures for the patients with GIB only (n = 5184) were lower but still significant at 1.44 (95% CI 1.09-1.91), 1.42 (95% CI 1.15-1.75), 1.54 (95% CI 1.19-2.00), and 1.38 (95% CI 1.28-1.48). The co-existence of GIB in patients with OF (n = 1663) showed little additional risk of all adverse outcomes. Results of sensitivity analyses (enrolling only patients with principal diagnosis of AP) showed similar findings except that septic complication was not seen for GIB only. CONCLUSIONS OF poses greater adverse effects than GIB on outcomes of AP patients. Nevertheless, GIB still modestly increased the risks of prolonged stay and death in AP patients without OF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hsiu-Nien Shen
- Department of Intensive Care Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, No. 901 Chung-Hwa Road, Yong-Kang Dist., Tainan City, Taiwan.
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Bausch D, Wellner U, Kahl S, Kuesters S, Richter-Schrag HJ, Utzolino S, Hopt UT, Keck T, Fischer A. Minimally invasive operations for acute necrotizing pancreatitis: comparison of minimally invasive retroperitoneal necrosectomy with endoscopic transgastric necrosectomy. Surgery 2012; 152:S128-34. [PMID: 22770962 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2012.05.021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2012] [Accepted: 05/11/2012] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A "step-up" approach is currently the treatment of choice for acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Our aim was to evaluate the outcome of minimally invasive retroperitoneal necrosectomy (MINE) and endoscopic transgastric necrosectomy (ETG) and to compare it to open necrosectomy (ONE). METHODS Patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to our institution from 1998 to 2010 (n = 334) were identified. From these, patients who underwent either ONE, MINE, or ETG were selected for further analysis. Statistical analysis employed 2-sided Fisher's exact test and Mann-Whitney U-test. RESULTS From 2002 to 2010, 32 patients with acute necrotizing pancreatitis were treated by minimally invasive procedures including MINE (n = 14) and ETG (n = 18) or with the classic technique of ONE (n = 30). Time from onset of symptoms to intervention was less for ONE than for MINE or ETG (median, 11 vs 39 vs 54 days; P < .05). The rate of critically ill patients with sepsis or septic shock was greatest in ONE (93%) and MINE (71%) compared with ETG (17%; P < .05). Problems after ONE and MINE were ongoing sepsis (ONE 73% vs MINE 29% vs ETG 11%) and bleeding requiring intervention (ONE 26% vs MINE 21% vs ETG 17%). A specific complication of ETG was gastric perforation into the peritoneal cavity during the procedure (28%), requiring immediate open pseudocystogastrostomy. Laparotomy was necessary in 21% after MINE and 28% after ETG owing to specific complications or persistent infected necrosis. Overall mortality was greatest after ONE (ONE 63% vs MINE 21% vs ETG 6%; P < .05). CONCLUSION Morbidity and mortality remains high in acute necrotizing pancreatitis. Operative procedures should be delayed as long as possible to decrease morbidity and mortality. Minimally invasive procedures can avoid laparotomy, but also introduce specific complications requiring immediate or secondary open operative treatment. Minimally invasive procedures require unique expertise and therefore should only be performed at specialized centers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dirk Bausch
- Department of General and Visceral Surgery, Universitätsklinikum Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the role of sphingosine kinase 1 (SphK1)/sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) signaling in inflammatory response in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). BACKGROUND SAP is an acute inflammatory process of the pancreas, which may lead to systemic inflammatory response syndrome and multiorgan dysfunction syndrome. SphK1 and its product S1P have been implicated in inflammatory response and various immune cell functions. However, the potential role for SphK1/S1P in inflammatory response in SAP is still unclear. METHODS Twenty-two patients with SAP were enrolled in this study. SphK1 expression on peripheral neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes was evaluated by flow cytometry. SphK enzymatic activity in neutrophils and lymphocytes was measured using a radiometric assay. The expression of S1P1 and S1P3 mRNA was determined by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The serum levels of tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1 (IL-1β), and IL-6 were measured by ELISA. RESULTS The expression of SphK1 and SphK activity were markedly increased in peripheral immune cells in the early stage of SAP and then reduced in the restoration stage in the patients. Moreover, we found that the level of S1P3 mRNA in peripheral neutrophils and lymphocytes of SAP patients was significantly elevated in the early stage as compared with the healthy volunteers, and it reduced in the restoration period. SphK1 expression on human peripheral neutrophils, monocytes, and CD4(+) T lymphocytes were positively correlated with the APACHE (Acute Physiological and Chronic Health Evaluation) II scores in patients with SAP. The levels of serum proinflammatory cytokines including TNF-α, IL-1β, and IL-6 showed similar shifts with intracellular SphK1 expression in SAP patients. CONCLUSIONS The authors identified a link between the SphK1 expression on peripheral immune cells and the severity of SAP. Observations showed a possible immunomodulating role for SphK1/S1P signaling in inflammatory response in SAP, suggesting that regulation of SphK1/S1P pathway may represent novel targets in the treatment of SAP.
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Case matched comparison study of the necrosectomy by retroperitoneal approach with transperitoneal approach for necrotizing pancreatitis in patients with CT severity score of 7 and above. Int J Surg 2012; 10:587-92. [DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2012.09.027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2012] [Revised: 09/01/2012] [Accepted: 09/11/2012] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE BMI has been indicated to be associated with prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP). However, the relationship between BMI and the risk of AP development is still unresolved. We examined this association by conducting a detailed meta-analysis. We also assessed its prognostic role by including more researches. METHODS Studies were identified by searching MEDLINE and EMBASE through March 31, 2011. There were two end points in this meta-analysis: the risk of AP development and the outcome of AP (including severity, local complications, systemic complications, and mortality). Summary relative risks (SRRs) with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a random-effects model. RESULTS Compared with normal weight individuals, obese individuals (BMI>30 kg/m²) had an increased risk of AP development (SRRs 1.34, 95% CI: 1.07-1.68), with significant heterogeneity among these studies (P=0.002, I²=77.2%). In addition, compared with nonobese patients, obese patients developed significantly more severe AP (SRRs 1.82, 95% CI: 1.44-2.30), systemic complications (SRRs 1.71, 95% CI: 1.17-2.50), local complications (SRRs 2.32, 95%CI: 1.79-3.00), and mortality (SRRs 2.21, 95% CI: 1.28-3.83). There was no heterogeneity among these studies. CONCLUSION Findings from this meta-analysis indicated that obesity is not only associated with an increased risk of AP development, but it is also a poor prognostic factor for AP.
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Abstract
INTRODUCTION Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common illness with varied mortality and morbidity. Patients with AP complicated with acute renal failure (ARF) have higher mortality than patients with AP alone. Although ARF has been proposed as a leading mortality cause for AP patients admitted to the ICU, few studies have directly analyzed the relationship between AP and ARF. METHODS We performed a retrospective study using the population-based database from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). In the period from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2005, every patient with AP admitted to the ICU was included and assessed for the presence of ARF and mortality risk. RESULTS In year 2005, there were a total of 221,101 admissions to the ICU. There were 1,734 patients with AP, of which 261 (15.05%) patients also had a diagnosis of ARF. Compared to sepsis and other critical illness, patients with AP had a higher risk of having a diagnosis of ARF, and patients with both diagnoses had a higher mortality rate in the same ICU hospitalization. CONCLUSION AP is associated with a higher risk of ARF, and, when both conditions exist, a higher risk of mortality is present.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hung-Yuan Lin
- National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taiwan, Republic of China
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Nøjgaard C, Matzen P, Bendtsen F, Andersen JR, Christensen E, Becker U. Factors associated with long-term mortality in acute pancreatitis. Scand J Gastroenterol 2011; 46:495-502. [PMID: 21091094 DOI: 10.3109/00365521.2010.537686] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Knowledge of the long-term prognosis of acute pancreatitis (AP) is limited. The aims were to investigate: (1) prognostic factors associated with long-term mortality in patients with AP; (2) whether or not the level of serum (S-)amylase at admission had an impact on the prognosis; (3) causes of death in these patients. METHODS During 1977-1982, patients who were admitted to the five main hospitals in Copenhagen with a diagnosis of AP or chronic pancreatitis (CP) were included in a prospective cohort, the Copenhagen Pancreatitis Study (CPS); in 2008, they were followed up by linkage to the Danish Registries. The analyzed subcohort consisted of 352 patients with probable AP (n = 54) or definite AP (n = 298). RESULTS Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that significant factors associated with mortality were age, alcohol, and diabetes, whereas female gender, co-living and employment were associated with better survival. The S-amylase level had no impact on mortality. The most frequent causes of death were cardiovascular diseases, digestive diseases, and malignancies. CONCLUSIONS Age, alcohol and diabetes had a significant impact on survival whereas the S-amylase level did not.
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Affiliation(s)
- Camilla Nøjgaard
- Department of Gastroenterology, Hvidovre Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
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Andersson E, Axelsson J, Eckerwall G, Ansari D, Andersson R. Tissue factor in predicted severe acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol 2010; 16:6128-34. [PMID: 21182229 PMCID: PMC3012584 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v16.i48.6128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM: To study tissue factor (TF) in acute pancreatitis and evaluate the role of TF as a predictive marker of severity.
METHODS: Forty-nine consecutive patients admitted to Lund University Hospital, fulfilling the criteria of predicted severe acute pancreatitis (AP), were recruited prospectively between 2002 and 2004. Blood samples for TF analyses were drawn at inclusion in the study and 12 h, 1 d and 3 d later.
RESULTS: Twenty-seven patients developed mild AP, and 22 patients severe AP. At inclusion in the study, the groups were comparable with respect to gender, aetiology, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score, and duration of pain. At inclusion in the study and at 12 h, TF was higher in the severe AP group (P = 0.035 and P = 0.049, respectively). After 1 and 3 d, no differences in TF levels were noted. Interleukin (IL)-6 was significantly higher in the severe AP group at all of the studied time points. C-reactive protein (CRP) was significantly higher in the AP group at 1 and 3 d. In receiver operating characteristic-curves, the area under the curve (AUC) for TF was 0.679 (P = 0.035) at inclusion in the study, and a cut off level for TF of 40 pg/mL showed a sensitivity of 71% and a specificity of 67%, whereas corresponding AUC for IL-6 was 0.775, P = 0.001, and for CRP was 0.653. IL-6 showed better AUC-values than TF at all time points studied.
CONCLUSION: TF-levels are raised early in severe AP. TF as an early predictive marker of severe AP is superior to CRP, but inferior to IL-6.
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Yegneswaran B, Kostis JB, Pitchumoni CS. Cardiovascular manifestations of acute pancreatitis. J Crit Care 2010; 26:225.e11-8. [PMID: 21185146 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2010.10.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2010] [Revised: 10/13/2010] [Accepted: 10/17/2010] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an acute inflammatory process of the pancreas that is associated with variable involvement of pancreatic/peripancreatic tissue and one or more organ systems in varying degrees. Among the multiple organ system dysfunctions in severe AP, cardiovascular and/or pulmonary manifestations are frequent. The cardiovascular system may be affected alone or with other organ systems in all stages of AP. Abnormalities of cardiac rhythm, contractility, and vasomotor tone of peripheral vessels are common cardiovascular manifestations. The pathogenetic factors of cardiac manifestations include hypovolemia and metabolic disturbances (eg, hyperkalemia, hypomagnesemia, and hypophosphatemia). Clinically, patients present with hypotension, tachycardia, and signs of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (high cardiac index, significant pulmonary shunting, decreased systemic vascular resistance, and decreased myocardial contractility). Approximately 50% of patients with AP have electrocardiographic changes, most commonly T-wave flattening and ST-segment depression. Many of the cardiac manifestations in AP are reversible with appropriate management. In AP, early onset of either multi-organ dysfunction or a sustained single-organ dysfunction is associated with poor outcome. This review highlights cardiac manifestations of AP relevant to clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Balaji Yegneswaran
- Department of Internal Medicine, Drexel University College of Medicine/Saint Peter's University Hospital, New Brunswick, NJ 08901, USA
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de-Madaria E, Soler-Sala G, Lopez-Font I, Zapater P, Martínez J, Gómez-Escolar L, Sánchez-Fortún C, Sempere L, Pérez-López J, Lluís F, Pérez-Mateo M. Update of the Atlanta Classification of severity of acute pancreatitis: should a moderate category be included? Pancreatology 2010; 10:613-9. [PMID: 21042037 DOI: 10.1159/000308795] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2009] [Accepted: 03/13/2010] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Persistent and multiple organ failure (POF and MOF) are predictive of death in acute pancreatitis (AP). Local complications without organ failure are associated with morbidity but a low risk of mortality. AIM To design a three-category classification of AP severity and to compare it with the Atlanta Classification (AC) in terms of morbidity and mortality. METHOD Severe AP was defined as death, POF (>48 h) or MOF. Moderate AP was defined as the presence of acute collections and/or pancreatic necrosis. Mild AP was defined by exclusion. We compared this classification with AC in 144 episodes of AP. RESULTS In the three-category classification, severe AP was associated with significantly more frequent intensive care unit admission, invasive treatment and mortality than moderate and mild AP (p < 0.01). Severe AP patients required longer hospital stay and more nutritional support than mild AP patients (p < 0.01). Patients with moderate AP had significantly longer hospital stay and more need for nutritional support than patients with mild AP (p < 0.01). Five patients died, all of them with MOF and/or POF. CONCLUSIONS A three-category classification distinguishes three homogeneous groups of severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- E de-Madaria
- Unidad de Gastroenterología, Hospital General Universitario de Alicante, Alicante, España.
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Petrov MS, Shanbhag S, Chakraborty M, Phillips ARJ, Windsor JA. Organ failure and infection of pancreatic necrosis as determinants of mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. Gastroenterology 2010; 139:813-20. [PMID: 20540942 DOI: 10.1053/j.gastro.2010.06.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 513] [Impact Index Per Article: 36.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2010] [Revised: 05/19/2010] [Accepted: 06/03/2010] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS There is no consistency between the individual studies in the literature on whether organ failure (OF) or infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is the main determinant of severity in acute pancreatitis. We aimed to statistically aggregate the available data and determine the pooled influence of OF and IPN on mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis. METHODS The search for relevant observational studies was undertaken in the MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus electronic databases, as well as in the proceedings of major gastroenterology meetings. The summary estimates are presented as relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS Fourteen studies comprising 1478 patients with acute pancreatitis were meta-analyzed. A total of 600 patients developed OF and 179 of them died (mortality, 30%); 314 patients developed IPN and 102 of them died (mortality, 32%). In a stratified analysis, patients with OF and IPN had a significantly higher risk of death in comparison with patients with OF and no IPN (RR = 1.94; 95% CI: 1.32-2.85; P = .0007) and in comparison with patients with IPN and no OF (RR = 2.65; 95% CI: 1.30-5.40; P = .0007). CONCLUSIONS In patients with acute pancreatitis, the absolute influence of OF and IPN on mortality is comparable and thus the presence of either indicates severe disease. The relative risk of mortality doubles when OF and IPN are both present and indicates extremely severe disease or critical acute pancreatitis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maxim S Petrov
- Department of Surgery, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
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Wang X, Cui Z, Li H, Saleen AF, Zhang D, Miao B, Cui Y, Zhao E, Li Z, Cui N. Nosocomial mortality and early prediction of patients with severe acute pancreatitis. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2010; 25:1386-93. [PMID: 20659228 DOI: 10.1111/j.1440-1746.2010.06376.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS The aim of this study is to analyze factors (especially serum total cholesterol) that can enable early prediction of in-hospital mortality of patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). METHODS Predictive factors (especially serum total cholesterol) for in-hospital mortality were evaluated retrospectively from the clinical data obtained from 338 SAP patients in our hospital from January 1999 to January 2008, who underwent intensive care, blood routine, blood biochemical tests and even computed tomography at the time of admission. RESULTS This analysis revealed that within 24 h after admission, serum total cholesterol (TC) was a mortality-reduced factor when it is between 4.37 mmol/L and 5.23 mmol/L (P < 0.05). Evaluated TC was accompanied by decreased C-reactive protein (CRP). CRP > 170 mg/L and albumin (ALB) < 30 g/L increased the fatal outcome (P < 0.05). Low albumin was a stronger predictor than CRP. CONCLUSIONS Within 24 h after admission, moderate elevation of TC level seemed to increase the resistance to inflammation and hence improved the survival rate in patients with SAP, and reduced the in-hospital mortality. Inflammatory reaction (with or without infection), hypoalbuminemia and TC were prognostic factors for in-hospital mortality; both high levels of CRP and low ALB levels were associated with in-hospital mortality in patients with SAP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Wang
- Department of Tianjin, Medical University, Tianjin, China
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Dambrauskas Z, Gulbinas A, Pundzius J, Barauskas G. Value of the different prognostic systems and biological markers for predicting severity and progression of acute pancreatitis. Scand J Gastroenterol 2010; 45:959-70. [PMID: 20367283 DOI: 10.3109/00365521003770244] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Several tools have been developed for severity stratification in acute pancreatitis (AP). They include single biochemical markers and complex scoring systems, all of which aim at an early detection of severe AP to optimize monitoring and treatment of these patients. The aim of this study was to reassess and compare the value of some known and newly-introduced prognostic markers in the clinical context. MATERIAL AND METHODS We have conducted a prospective observational study. One hundred and eight patients with a diagnosis of AP and onset of the disease within last 72 h were included in this study. Clinical data and expression results of some serum biochemical markers were used for statistical analysis. The diagnostic performance of scores predicting severity and progression of AP, cut-off values, specificity, and sensitivity were established using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS Among single biochemical markers, C-reactive protein remains the most useful. Despite its delayed increase, it is accurate, cheap, and widely available. Interleukin-6 and macrophage migration inhibitory factor seem to be new promising parameters for use in clinical routine. Pancreas specific scores (Imrie-Glasgow, pancreatitis outcome prediction) and scores assessing organ dysfunction (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, multiple organ dysfunction score, and Marshall score) remain of value in determining the severity, complications, and possible outcome of AP. CONCLUSIONS Indication, timing, and consequences of the methods applied need to be carefully considered and incorporated into clinical assessments. Currently, there is no single prognostic marker that would cover the whole range of problems associated with the treatment of AP. The prediction of severity and progression of AP can be achieved using a series of accurate methods. The decision to undertake interventional or surgical treatment is the most complex task requiring both clinical judgment and meticulous monitoring of the patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zilvinas Dambrauskas
- Laboratory for Research of Digestive System, Institute for Biomedical Research, Kaunas University of Medicine, Kaunas, Lithuania.
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Lopez-Font I, Gea-Sorlí S, de-Madaria E, Gutiérrez LM, Pérez-Mateo M, Closa D. Pancreatic and pulmonary mast cells activation during experimental acute pancreatitis. World J Gastroenterol 2010; 16:3411-7. [PMID: 20632444 PMCID: PMC2904888 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v16.i27.3411] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM: To study the activation of pancreatic and pulmonary mast cells and the effect of mast cell inhibition on the activation of peritoneal and alveolar macrophages during acute pancreatitis.
METHODS: Pancreatitis was induced by intraductal infusion of 5% sodium taurodeoxycholate in rats. The mast cell inhibitor cromolyn was administered intraperitoneally (i.p.) 30 min before pancreatitis induction. The pancreatic and pulmonary tissue damage was evaluated histologically and mast cells and their state of activation were evaluated. Peritoneal and alveolar macrophages were obtained and the expression of tumor necrosis factor α was determined. Myeloperoxidase activity was measured to evaluate the effect of mast cell inhibition on the progression of the inflammatory process. Finally, the effect of plasma on cultured mast cells or macrophages was evaluated in vitro.
RESULTS: The mast cell stabilizer significantly reduced inflammation in the pancreas and lung and the activation of alveolar macrophages but had no effect on peritoneal macrophages. Mast cell degranulation was observed in the pancreas during pancreatitis but no changes were observed in the lung. Plasma from rats with pancreatitis could activate alveolar macrophages but did not induce degranulation of mast cells in vitro.
CONCLUSION: Pancreatic mast cells play an important role in triggering the local and systemic inflammatory response in the early stages of acute pancreatitis. In contrast, lung mast cells are not directly involved in the inflammatory response related to pancreatic damage.
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