Entry criteria and baseline characteristics predict outcome in acute stroke trials

Influence of Oxidative Stress and Inflammation on Nutritional Status and Neural Plasticity: New Perspectives on Post-Stroke Neurorehabilitative Outcome

Beyond brain deficits caused by strokes, the effectiveness of neurorehabilitation is strongly influenced by the baseline clinical features of stroke patients, including a patient's current nutritional status. Malnutrition, either as a pre-stroke existing condition or occurring because of ischemic injury, predisposes patients to poor rehabilitation outcomes. On the other hand, a proper nutritional status compliant with the specific needs required by the process of brain recovery plays a key role in post-stroke rehabilitative outcome favoring neuroplasticity mechanisms. Oxidative stress and inflammation play a role in stroke-associated malnutrition, as well as in the cascade of ischemic events in the brain area, where ischemic damage leads to neuronal death and brain infarction, and, via cell-to-cell signaling, the alteration of neuroplasticity processes underlying functional recovery induced by multidisciplinary rehabilitative treatment. Nutrition strategies based on food components with oxidative and anti-inflammatory properties may help to reverse or stop malnutrition and may be a prerequisite for supporting the ability of neuronal plasticity to result in satisfactory rehabilitative outcome in stroke patients. To expand nutritional recommendations for functional rehabilitation recovery, studies considering the evolution of nutritional status changes in post-stroke patients over time are required. The assessment of nutritional status must be included as a routine tool in rehabilitation settings for the integrated care of stroke-patients.

Thrombolysis experience in Costa Rica compared against individual patient data from two randomized controlled trials

OBJECTIVES

We sought to compare thrombolysis outcomes from the Costa Rican Stroke Registry Program (CRSRP) with published individual patient data from NINDS and CLOTBUST-ER trials using matching and outcome modeling from randomized clinical trials (RCTs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective observational study matching subjects on baseline characteristics, from the CRSRP, the control arm of CLOTBUST-ER, and the interventional arm of NINDS trials. Day 7-10/discharge modified Rankin Score (mRS), and early mortality was compared between matched subjects. A mortality model derived from RCTs was developed, and outcomes were compared at similar baseline NIHSS scores. CRSRP symptomatic hemorrhage (SICH) rate was compared with an Ibero-American cohort (IAC).

RESULTS

Of 540 CRSRP patients, 351 received rt-PA under 3 hours and were matched with NINDS subjects yielding 292 pairs; 161 CRSRP subjects treated within 4.5 hours were matched with CLOTBUST-ER subjects resulting in 151 pairs. The proportion of patients achieving excellent outcomes (mRS 0-1) did not differ between CRSRP and either NINDS or CLOTBUST-ER (CRSRP vs NINDS: 36.6% vs 32.9%, p=0.3; CRSRP vs CLOTBUST-ER: 26.5% vs 24.5%, p=0.8). Mortality was higher for CRSRP vs CLOTBUST-ER (7.3% vs 0.7%, p=0.006), but not vs NINDS (6.5% vs 4.5%, p=0.4). A pooled mortality model derived from 15 RCTs representing 4410 patients (R²=0.39) showed CRSRP and NINDS within expected mortality, while CLOTBUST-ER showed lower than expected mortality. CRSRP SICH rate equaled IAC (5.7% vs 5.7%; p=0.9).

CONCLUSIONS

Functional outcomes and SICH of thrombolysed Costa Rican patients compared favorably with published datasets, with a potential increase in early mortality.

Carotid intima media thickness measurements coupled with stroke severity strongly predict short-term outcome in patients with acute ischemic stroke: a machine learning study

Acute ischemic stroke (IS) is one of the leading causes of morbidity, functional disability and mortality worldwide. The objective was to evaluate IS risk factors and imaging variables as predictors of short-term disability and mortality in IS. Consecutive 106 IS patients were enrolled. We examined the accuracy of IS severity using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid stenosis (both assessed using ultrasonography with doppler) predicting IS outcome assessed with the modified Rankin scale (mRS) three months after hospital admission. Poor prognosis (mRS ≥ 3) at three months was predicted by carotid stenosis (≥ 50%), type 2 diabetes mellitus and NIHSS with an accuracy of 85.2% (sensitivity: 90.2%; specificity: 81.8%). The mRS score at three months was strongly predicted by NIHSS (β = 0.709, p < 0.001). Short-term mortality was strongly predicted using a neural network model with cIMT (≥ 1.0 mm versus < 1.0 mm), NIHSS and age, yielding an area under the receiving operator characteristic curve of 0.977 and an accuracy of 94.7% (sensitivity: 100.0%; specificity: 90.9%). High NIHSS (≥ 15) and cIMT (≥ 1.0 mm) increased the probability of dying with hazard ratios of 7.62 and 3.23, respectively. Baseline NIHSS was significantly predicted by the combined effects of age, large artery atherosclerosis stroke, sex, cIMT, body mass index, and smoking. In conclusion, high values of cIMT and NIHSS at admission strongly predict short-term functional impairment as well as mortality three months after IS, underscoring the importance of those measurements to predict clinical IS outcome.

Pooled analysis suggests benefit of catheter-based hematoma removal for intracerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To develop models of outcome for intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) to identify promising and futile interventions based on their early phase results without need for correction for baseline imbalances.

METHODS

We developed a pooled outcome model from the control arms of randomized control trials and tested different interventions against the model at comparable baseline conditions. Eligible clinical trials and large case series were identified from multiple library databases. Models based on baseline factors reported in the control arms were tested for the ability to predict functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score) and mortality. Interventions were grouped into blood pressure control, fibrinolytic-assisted hematoma evacuation, hemostatic medications, and neuroprotective agents. Statistical intervals around the model were generated at the p = 0.1 level to screen how each trial's outcome compared to expected outcome.

RESULTS

Fourteen control arms with 3,386 patients were used to develop 7 alternate models for functional outcome. The model incorporating baseline NIH Stroke Scale, age, and hematoma volume yielded the best fit (adjusted R ² = 0.89). All early phase treatments that eventually resulted in negative late phase trials were identified as negative by this method. Early phase fibrinolytic-assisted hematoma evacuation studies showed the most promise trending toward improved functional outcome with no suggestion of an increase in mortality, supporting its further study.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully developed an outcome model for ICH that identified interventions destined to be negative while identifying a promising one. Such an approach may assist in prioritizing resources prior to multicenter trial.

Impact of white matter hyperintensities on the prognosis of cryptogenic stroke patients

Background

To our knowledge, little is known regarding whether white matter hyperintensities (WMH) affect the prognosis of cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients. Understanding this association may be helpful with expecting the prognosis of CS patients.

Methods

This retrospective observational study enrolled consecutive CS patients who underwent brain MRI and comprehensive cardiac evaluation. Severe WMH was defined as Fazekas’ score ≥3. We defined poor functional outcome as modified Rankin Scale score ≥3 at 3 months. Long-term mortality and causes of death were identified using national death certificates and assessed by Kaplan-Meier method and regression analysis model.

Results

Among 2732 patients with first-ever ischemic stroke, 599 (21.9%) patients were classified as having CS. After exclusions, 235 patients were enrolled and followed up for a median of 7.7 years (IQR, 6.7–9.0). Severe WMH were found in 81 (34.5%) patients. After adjustments, severe WMH were an independent predictor for poor functional outcomes at 3 months (OR 5.25, 95% CI, 2.07–13.31). Subgroup analysis showed that severe WMH were an independent predictor for long-term mortality only in younger patients (age < 65) (HR 3.11, 95% CI, 1.29–7.50), but not in older patients (HR 1.19, 95% CI, 0.63–2.23).

Conclusions

Severe WMH were independently associated with short-term functional outcomes in CS patients and independently associated with long-term mortality in younger CS patients. Grading WMH is of value in predicting prognosis of CS patients with young age.

Durability of the beneficial effect of MLC601 (NeuroAiD™) on functional recovery among stroke patients from the Philippines in the CHIMES and CHIMES-E studies

Background and Aim A pre-specified country analysis of subjects from the Philippines in the CHInese Medicine NeuroAiD Efficacy on Stroke recovery (CHIMES) Study showed significantly improved functional and neurological outcomes on MLC601 at month (M) 3. We aimed to assess these effects on long-term functional recovery in the Filipino cohort. Methods The CHIMES-E (extension) Study evaluated subjects who completed three months of randomized placebo-controlled treatment in CHIMES up to two years. Blinding of treatment allocation was maintained and all subjects received standard stroke care and rehabilitation. Modified Rankin Score (mRS) and Barthel Index (BI) were assessed in-person at M3 and by telephone at M6, M12, M18, M24. Odds ratios (OR) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for functional recovery using ordinal analysis of mRS and for achieving functional independence (mRS 0-1 or BI ≥ 95) at each time point were calculated, adjusting for age, sex, baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), onset-to-treatment time (OTT) and pre-stroke mRS. Results The 378 subjects (MLC601 192, placebo 186) included in CHIMES-E from the Philippines (mean age 60.2 ± 11.1) had more women ( p < 0.001), worse baseline NIHSS ( p < 0.001) and longer onset to treatment time ( p = 0.002) compared to other countries. Baseline characteristics were similar between treatment groups. The treatment effect of MLC601 seen at M3 peaked at M6 with OR for mRS shift of 1.53 (95% CI 1.05-2.22), mRS dichotomy 0-1 of 1.77 (95% CI 1.10-2.83), and BI ≥ 95 of 1.87 (95% CI 1.16-3.02). The beneficial effect persisted up to M24. Conclusion The beneficial effect of MLC601 seen at M3 in the Filipino cohort is durable up to two years after stroke.

Embracing Biological and Methodological Variance in a New Approach to Pre-Clinical Stroke Testing

High-profile failures in stroke clinical trials have discouraged clinical translation of neuroprotectants. While there are several plausible explanations for these failures, we believe that the fundamental problem is the way clinical and pre-clinical studies are designed and analyzed for heterogeneous disorders such as stroke due to innate biological and methodological variability that current methods cannot capture. Recent efforts to address pre-clinical rigor and design, while important, are unable to account for variability present even in genetically homogenous rodents. Indeed, efforts to minimize variability may lessen the clinical relevance of pre-clinical models. We propose a new approach that recognizes the important role of baseline stroke severity and other factors in influencing outcome. Analogous to clinical trials, we propose reporting baseline factors that influence outcome and then adapting for the pre-clinical setting a method developed for clinical trial analysis where the influence of baseline factors is mathematically modeled and the variance quantified. A new therapy's effectiveness is then evaluated relative to the pooled outcome variance at its own baseline conditions. In this way, an objective threshold for robustness can be established that must be overcome to suggest its effectiveness when expanded to broader populations outside of the controlled environment of the PI's laboratory. The method is model neutral and subsumes sources of variance as reflected in baseline factors such as initial stroke severity. We propose that this new approach deserves consideration for providing an objective method to select agents worthy of the commitment of time and resources in translation to clinical trials.

Metabolic syndrome increases oxidative stress but does not influence disability and short-time outcome in acute ischemic stroke patients

Oxidative stress has been implicated in the pathophysiology of cardiovascular disease and MetS and it may be one of molecular mechanisms involved in stroke. The aims of the present study were to verify differences in oxidative stress markers in acute ischemic stroke patients with and without MetS and to verify whether MetS influences disability and short time outcome of the patients. 148 patients with acute ischemic stroke were divided in two groups: with MetS (n = 92) and without MetS (n = 56). The modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was used for measuring the functional disability after 3-month follow-up. The study assessed the metabolic profile and oxidative stress markers. Stroke patients with MetS had higher levels of lipid hydroperoxides (p < 0.0001) and advanced oxidation protein products (AOPP, p = 0.0302) than those without MetS. Hydroperoxides were directly and independently associated with MetS (OR: 1.000, 95 % IC = 1.000-1.000, p = 0.005). Linear regression demonstrated that AOPP levels (R(2) = 0.281, p < 0.0001) and oxidative stress index (OSI, R(2) = 0.223, p < 0.0001) were directly associated with triglycerides levels and hydroperoxides levels was also directly associated with glucose levels (R(2) = 0.080, p = 0.013. The mRS and short-come outcome did not differ after 3 months in both groups. In conclusion, an increase in oxidative stress markers was shown in acute ischemic stroke patients with MetS and this elevation seems to be involved mainly with changes in lipid profile, but the presence of MetS did not influence short-time disability and survival of the acute ischemic stroke patients.

An Outcome Model for Intravenous rt-PA in Acute Ischemic Stroke

Most early phase trials in stroke and brain trauma have failed in phase 3, including efforts to improve acute ischemic stroke outcomes beyond that achieved by intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) (IVT). With the exception of more recent stent retriever trials, most subsequent phase 3 trials failed. We previously showed that baseline imbalances, non-linear relationships of these factors to outcome, and unrepresentative control populations invalidate traditional statistical analysis in early trials of heterogeneous diseases such as stroke. We developed an alternative approach using a pooled outcome model derived from control arms of randomized clinical trial (RCTs). This model then permits comparing treatment trials to an expected outcome of a pooled population. Here, we hypothesized we could develop such a model for IVT and tested it against outcomes without IVT. We surveyed literature for all trials involving one arm with IVT reporting baseline National Institute Stroke Scale (NIHSS), age, and outcome. A non-linear fit was performed including multi-dimensional statistical intervals (±95 %) permitting visual comparison of outcomes at their own baselines. We compared models derived from non-IVT control arms. Models from 24 IVT RCTs representing 3195 subjects were successfully generated for functional outcome, modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-2 (r(2) = 0. 83, p < 0.001), and mortality (r(2) = 0.54; p = 0.001). We confirmed better outcomes compared to no IVT and mixed use IVT models across the range of baseline factors. It was possible to generate an expected outcome model for IVT from existing literature. We confirmed benefit compared to placebo. This model should be useful to compare to new agents without the need for statistical manipulation.

Improving early clinical trial phase identification of promising therapeutics

This review addresses decision-making underlying the frequent failure to confirm early-phase positive trial results and how to prioritize which early agents to transition to late phase. While unexpected toxicity is sometimes responsible for late-phase failures, lack of efficacy is also frequently found. In stroke as in other conditions, early trials often demonstrate imbalances in factors influencing outcome. Other issues complicate early trial analysis, including unequally distributed noise inherent in outcome measures and variations in natural history among studies. We contend that statistical approaches to correct for imbalances and noise, while likely valid for homogeneous conditions, appear unable to accommodate disease complexity and have failed to correctly identify effective agents. While blinding and randomization are important to reduce selection bias, these methods appear insufficient to insure valid conclusions. We found potential sources of analytical errors in nearly 90% of a sample of early stroke trials. To address these issues, we recommend changes in early-phase analysis and reporting: (1) restrict use of statistical correction to studies where the underlying assumptions are validated, (2) select dichotomous over continuous outcomes for small samples, (3) consider pooled samples to model natural history to detect early therapeutic signals and increase the likelihood of replication in larger samples, (4) report subgroup baseline conditions, (5) consider post hoc methods to restrict analysis to subjects with an appropriate match, and (6) increase the strength of effect threshold given these cumulative sources of noise and potential errors. More attention to these issues should lead to better decision-making regarding selection of agents to proceed to pivotal trials.

Neural function, injury, and stroke subtype predict treatment gains after stroke

OBJECTIVE

This study was undertaken to better understand the high variability in response seen when treating human subjects with restorative therapies poststroke. Preclinical studies suggest that neural function, neural injury, and clinical status each influence treatment gains; therefore, the current study hypothesized that a multivariate approach incorporating these 3 measures would have the greatest predictive value.

METHODS

Patients 3 to 6 months poststroke underwent a battery of assessments before receiving 3 weeks of standardized upper extremity robotic therapy. Candidate predictors included measures of brain injury (including to gray and white matter), neural function (cortical function and cortical connectivity), and clinical status (demographics/medical history, cognitive/mood, and impairment).

RESULTS

Among all 29 patients, predictors of treatment gains identified measures of brain injury (smaller corticospinal tract [CST] injury), cortical function (greater ipsilesional motor cortex [M1] activation), and cortical connectivity (greater interhemispheric M1-M1 connectivity). Multivariate modeling found that best prediction was achieved using both CST injury and M1-M1 connectivity (r(2) = 0.44, p = 0.002), a result confirmed using Lasso regression. A threshold was defined whereby no subject with >63% CST injury achieved clinically significant gains. Results differed according to stroke subtype; gains in patients with lacunar stroke were best predicted by a measure of intrahemispheric connectivity.

INTERPRETATION

Response to a restorative therapy after stroke is best predicted by a model that includes measures of both neural injury and function. Neuroimaging measures were the best predictors and may have an ascendant role in clinical decision making for poststroke rehabilitation, which remains largely reliant on behavioral assessments. Results differed across stroke subtypes, suggesting the utility of lesion-specific strategies.

Factors affecting clinical outcome in large-vessel occlusive ischemic strokes

Clinical outcome after large-vessel occlusive strokes depends on admitting clinical condition, successful recanalization, and robust collateral circulation. However, predicting successful recanalization and quantifying collateral status in the acute setting remain elusive. Successful recanalization has many predictive factors. Strong evidence supports increasing clot length being associated with poor recanalization. Current imaging techniques completed in the acute setting suggest that clot length can be estimated with a clot burden score. In vitro evidence suggests that clots with more red blood cells and less thrombin lyse more easily after systemic fibrinolysis. Clinical correlations with clot composition have been mixed, although one study suggested that clot composition could be predicted with computed tomography and correlate with successful recanalization. Finally, overwhelming proof shows that robust collateral circulation correlates with improved clinical outcome. Imaging modalities in the acute setting remain promising, with studies suggesting that collaterals can be quantified with computed tomography angiography and perfusion studies. Patients with large-vessel occlusive strokes have variable clinical responses to fibrinolysis and thrombectomy. Independent predictive variables that can possibly alter clinical outcome appear to be successful recanalization and robust collateral circulation. Future studies that allow for better prediction of successful recanalization and quantification of collateral status may help clinical decision-making when evaluating large-vessel occlusions.

The BRAINS Study: Safety, Tolerability, and Dose-finding of Repinotan in Acute Stroke

Background and Purpose:

Repinotan is a potent, serotonin (5-HT1A) full receptor agonist that interferes with ischemia-mediated neuronal cell death in animal models. This double-blind, placebo-controlled phase II study examined the safety, tolerability, and dose of repinotan in patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Methods:

Patients with acute hemispheric ischemia and a National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale of 4 to 25 were randomized to placebo or repinotan 0.5, 1.25, or 2.5 mg/day (d) given by continuous intravenous infusion for 72 hours. Treatment was started within six hours of symptom onset. Evaluations were performed at four weeks and three months.

Results:

Among 240 patients in the safety analysis, repinotan was well-tolerated, with adverse events appearing more frequently in the highest dose group (2.5 mg/d). The most common adverse event was headache (21.3% to 35% with repinotan and 24.1% with placebo). Most (75%) adverse events were of mild or moderate severity. The most common severe adverse events were neurological worsening, cerebral hemorrhage, and brain edema. The number of deaths and serious adverse events were similar among placebo and repinotan groups. Compared to the placebo group, the proportion of patients with good outcomes at three months was greatest in the group receiving repinotan 1.25 mg/d, although the difference was not statistically significant.

Conclusion:

This study indicates that the incidence of adverse events was comparable with all doses of repinotan and placebo, and no safety issues were observed. A trend toward better tolerability with evidence of efficacy was observed with the repinotan 1.25 mg/d dose.

Conclusion:

Dans cette Étude, l’incidence des incidents thÉrapeutiques Était comparable quelle que soit la dose de repinotan par rapport au placebo et aucun problème reliÉ à la sÉcuritÉ du produit n’a ÉtÉ observÉ. On a observÉ l’efficacitÉ du repinotan à la dose de 1,25 mg/j. et une tendance à une meilleure tolÉrance du mÉdicament.

Baseline characteristics and treatment response of patients from the Philippines in the CHIMES study

BACKGROUND

The CHIMES Study compared MLC601 with placebo in patients with ischemic stroke of intermediate severity in the preceding 72 h. Sites from the Philippines randomized 504 of 1099 (46%) patients in the study. We aimed to define the patient characteristics and treatment responses in this subgroup to better plan future trials.

METHODS

The CHIMES dataset was used to compare the baseline characteristics, time from stroke onset to study treatment initiation, and treatment responses to MLC601 between patients recruited from Philippines and the rest of the cohort. Treatment effect was analyzed using end-points at month 3 as described in the primary publication, that is, modified Rankin Score, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and Barthel Index.

RESULTS

The Philippine cohort was younger, had more women, worse baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, and longer time delay from stroke onset to study treatment compared with the rest of the cohort. Age (P = 0·003), baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (P < 0·001), and stroke onset to study treatment initiation (P = 0·016) were predictors of modified Rankin Score at three-months. Primary analysis of modified Rankin Score shift was in favor of MLC601 (adjusted odds ratio 1·41, 95% confidence interval 1·01-1·96). Secondary analyses were likewise in favor of MLC601 for modified Rankin Score dichotomy 0-1, improvement in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (total and motor scores), and Barthel Index.

CONCLUSIONS

The treatment effects in the Philippine cohort were in favor of MLC601. This may be due to inclusion of more patients with predictors of poorer outcome.

Influence of racial differences on outcomes after thrombolytic therapy in acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

The National Institutes of Neurological Disorders and Stroke and the European Co-operative Acute Stroke III trials enrolled a largely Caucasian population, but the results are often extrapolated onto non-Caucasians. A limited number of nonrandomized studies have proposed that non-Caucasian patients show differential response to tissue plasminogen activator.

AIMS AND/OR HYPOTHESIS

We examined if non-Caucasian patients of mixed national origin within the Virtual International Stroke Trials Archives neuroprotection trials responded differently to tissue plasminogen activator compared with Caucasians.

METHODS

We matched patients within each race-subtype for age, baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scales, and diabetes status, and excluded outliers. We tested for an interaction of race ethnicity with tissue plasminogen activator on predicting outcomes at α = 0·05. We compared 90-day ordinal outcome (modified Rankin Scale; primary analysis) and dichotomized outcomes (modified Rankin Scale 0-1; modified Rankin Scale 0-2; survival) within individual race ethnicity.

RESULTS

One thousand nine hundred forty-six thrombolysed patients (125 Blacks, 39 Asians, and 1821 Caucasians) were matched with 1946 non-thrombolysed patients in each race ethnicity group. Postmatching, there were no imbalances in baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scales and age between the groups (P > 0·05). The interaction of tissue plasminogen activator with race ethnicity was nonsignificant in ordinal (P = 0·4) and in dichotomized outcome models (P > 0·05). Ordinal odds for improved outcomes were 1·5 for all patients (P < 0·05). Ordinal odds for Caucasians were 1·5 (P < 0·05); for Blacks, 2·1 (P < 0·05); and for Asians, 1·2 (P > 0·05; 1·6 after 1:2 matching with nonthrombolysed, because of small numbers). Dichotomized functional outcomes improved after thrombolysis overall, in Caucasians, in Blacks (modified Rankin Scale 0-2 only), and in Asians (after 1:2 matching; P > 0·05). Odds for survival were consistent across all groups.

CONCLUSIONS

These results do not suggest a differential response to tissue plasminogen activator based on race ethnicity. Among Asians, data were particularly sparse, and results should be interpreted with caution.

A Pilot Trial of Low-Dose Intravenous Abciximab and Unfractionated Heparin for Acute Ischemic Stroke: Translating GP IIb/IIIa Receptor Inhibition to Clinical Practice

Thrombolysis remains a mainstay in the treatment of ischemic stroke. While not usually considered in the spectrum of clot lysis, experimental data show that inhibition of the platelet glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa receptor can reduce as well as reverse thrombus formation and improve microvascular flow in stroke models. However, a recent clinical trial of GP IIb/IIIa inhibition in stroke did not demonstrate clinical benefit and was associated with increased hemorrhage. Based on an understanding of the relationship between GP IIb/IIIa receptor inhibition, efficacy and hemorrhage, we hypothesized that a lower dose of abciximab would achieve a favorable range of platelet inhibition and potentially good clinical outcomes. Forty-four patients with suspected large vessel occlusion, who were not eligible for rt-PA were offered treatment with approximately 30% lower total dose of intravenous abciximab if within 6 h for anterior circulation or 24 h for posterior circulation stroke (later modified to 12 h). Concomitant anticoagulation, usually with unfractionated heparin was employed. The extent of platelet inhibition was measured in 21 patients. Hemorrhage rate and 90-day functional outcomes and mortality were obtained. A matching algorithm involving finding the nearest neighbor from individual subjects in the control arm of the NINDS rt-PA database was used to compare outcomes at similar baseline characteristics and gender. Mean platelet inhibition was 92.1 ± 6.7% vs inhibition reported with percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) of 96 ± 10; p = 0.08. Successful matching to NINDS controls was accomplished: after outlier elimination, median and mean NIHSS of the abciximab subjects compared to NINDS controls was 16.5 vs 15.5 (p = 0.92) and 16.3 vs 16.0 (p = 0.86). Mean age was 67.2 vs 67.1 (p = 0.97). Mean glucose was 141 vs 142 (p = 0.92). There was one symptomatic hemorrhage; minor hemorrhages occurred in 9%. The percent of patients who achieved an mRS 0-2 or died in the treated vs matched NINDS control patients was 63 vs 38 (p = .02) and 23 vs 23 (p = 1.0). Our pilot results indicated that a lower dose of abciximab results in platelet inhibition similar to that achieved in the coronary vascular bed during PCI. Comparison to matched historical controls suggests that this lower dose in combination therapy may be safe and effective therapy for thrombotic stroke and a randomized trial is warranted.

Evidence for high translational potential of mesenchymal stromal cell therapy to improve recovery from ischemic stroke

Although ischemic stroke is a major cause of morbidity and mortality, current therapies benefit only a small proportion of patients. Transplantation of mesenchymal stromal cells (MSC, also known as mesenchymal stem cells or multipotent stromal cells) has attracted attention as a regenerative therapy for numerous diseases, including stroke. Mesenchymal stromal cells may aid in reducing the long-term impact of stroke via multiple mechanisms that include induction of angiogenesis, promotion of neurogenesis, prevention of apoptosis, and immunomodulation. In this review, we discuss the clinical rationale of MSC for stroke therapy in the context of their emerging utility in other diseases, and their recent clinical approval for treatment of graft-versus-host disease. An analysis of preclinical studies examining the effects of MSC therapy after ischemic stroke indicates near-universal agreement that MSC have significant favorable effect on stroke recovery, across a range of doses and treatment time windows. These results are interpreted in the context of completed and ongoing human clinical trials, which provide support for MSC as a safe and potentially efficacious therapy for stroke recovery in humans. Finally, we consider principles of brain repair and manufacturing considerations that will be useful for effective translation of MSC from the bench to the bedside for stroke recovery.

Explicit consideration of baseline factors to assess recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator response with respect to race and sex

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Sex and race reportedly influence outcome after recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator (rtPA). It is, however, unclear whether baseline imbalances (eg, stroke severity) or lack of response to thrombolysis is responsible. We applied balancing methods to test the hypothesis that race and sex influence outcome after rtPA independent of baseline conditions.

METHODS

We mapped group outcomes from the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) dataset based on race and sex onto a surrogate-control function to assess differences from expected outcomes at their respective National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and age. Outcomes were also compared for subjects matched individually on key baseline factors using NINDS and 2 recent datasets from southeastern United States.

RESULTS

At similar National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and age, 90-day good outcomes (modified Rankin Score, 0-2) in NINDS were similarly improved after rtPA for white men and women. There was a strong trend for improvement in black men. Conversely, black women treated with rtPA showed response rates no different from the controls. After baseline matching, there were nonsignificant trends in outcomes except for significantly fewer good outcomes in black versus matched white women (37% versus 63%; P=0.027). Pooling the 3 datasets showed a similar trend for poorer short-term outcome for black women (P=0.054; modified Rankin Score, 0-1).

CONCLUSIONS

Matching for key baseline factors indicated that race and sex influence outcome most strikingly in black women who demonstrated poorest outcomes after rtPA. This finding supports the hypothesis that poor response to rtPA, rather than differences in baseline conditions, contributes to the worse outcome. This finding requires prospective confirmation.

SPIRIT 2013 explanation and elaboration: guidance for protocols of clinical trials

High quality protocols facilitate proper conduct, reporting, and external review of clinical trials. However, the completeness of trial protocols is often inadequate. To help improve the content and quality of protocols, an international group of stakeholders developed the SPIRIT 2013 Statement (Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials). The SPIRIT Statement provides guidance in the form of a checklist of recommended items to include in a clinical trial protocol. This SPIRIT 2013 Explanation and Elaboration paper provides important information to promote full understanding of the checklist recommendations. For each checklist item, we provide a rationale and detailed description; a model example from an actual protocol; and relevant references supporting its importance. We strongly recommend that this explanatory paper be used in conjunction with the SPIRIT Statement. A website of resources is also available (www.spirit-statement.org). The SPIRIT 2013 Explanation and Elaboration paper, together with the Statement, should help with the drafting of trial protocols. Complete documentation of key trial elements can facilitate transparency and protocol review for the benefit of all stakeholders.

Critical role of neuronal pentraxin 1 in mitochondria-mediated hypoxic-ischemic neuronal injury

Developing brain is highly susceptible to hypoxic-ischemic (HI) injury leading to severe neurological disabilities in surviving infants and children. Previously, we have reported induction of neuronal pentraxin 1 (NP1), a novel neuronal protein of long-pentraxin family, following HI neuronal injury. Here, we investigated how this specific signal is propagated to cause the HI neuronal death. We used wild-type (WT) and NP1 knockout (NP1-KO) mouse hippocampal cultures, modeled in vitro following exposure to oxygen glucose deprivation (OGD), and in vivo neonatal (P9-10) mouse model of HI brain injury. Our results show induction of NP1 in primary hippocampal neurons following OGD exposure (4-8 h) and in the ipsilateral hippocampal CA1 and CA3 regions at 24-48 h post-HI compared to the contralateral side. We also found increased PTEN activity concurrent with OGD time-dependent (4-8 h) dephosphorylation of Akt (Ser473) and GSK-3β (Ser9). OGD also caused a time-dependent decrease in the phosphorylation of Bad (Ser136), and Bax protein levels. Immunofluorescence staining and subcellular fractionation analyses revealed increased mitochondrial translocation of Bad and Bax proteins from cytoplasm following OGD (4 h) and simultaneously increased release of Cyt C from mitochondria followed by activation of caspase-3. NP1 protein was immunoprecipitated with Bad and Bax proteins; OGD caused increased interactions of NP1 with Bad and Bax, thereby, facilitating their mitochondrial translocation and dissipation of mitochondrial membrane potential (ΔΨ(m)). This NP1 induction preceded the increased mitochondrial release of cytochrome C (Cyt C) into the cytosol, activation of caspase-3 and OGD time-dependent cell death in WT primary hippocampal neurons. In contrast, in NP1-KO neurons there was no translocation of Bad and Bax from cytosol to the mitochondria, and no evidence of ΔΨ(m) loss, increased Cyt C release and caspase-3 activation following OGD; which resulted in significantly reduced neuronal death. Our results indicate a regulatory role of NP1 in Bad/Bax-dependent mitochondrial release of Cyt C and caspase-3 activation. Together our findings demonstrate a novel mechanism by which NP1 regulates mitochondria-driven hippocampal cell death; suggesting NP1 as a potential therapeutic target against HI brain injury in neonates.

Plasticity of adult sensorimotor system in severe brain infarcts: challenges and opportunities

Functional reorganization forms the critical mechanism for the recovery of function after brain damage. These processes are driven by inherent changes within the central nervous system (CNS) triggered by the insult and further depend on the neural input the recovering system is processing. Therefore these processes interact with not only the interventions a patient receives, but also the activities and behaviors a patient engages in. In recent years, a wide range of research programs has addressed the association between functional reorganization and the spontaneous and treatment-induced recovery. The bulk of this work has focused on upper-limb and hand function, and today there are new treatments available that capitalize on the neuroplasticity of the brain. However, this is only true for patients with mild to moderated impairments; for those with very limited hand function, the basic understanding is much poorer and directly translates into limited treatment opportunities for these patients. The present paper aims to highlight the knowledge gap on severe stroke with a brief summary of the literature followed by a discussion of the challenges involved in the study and treatment of severe stroke and poor long-term outcome.

Early recognition of poor prognosis in Guillain-Barre syndrome

BACKGROUND

Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) has a highly diverse clinical course and outcome, yet patients are treated with a standard therapy. Patients with poor prognosis may benefit from additional treatment, provided they can be identified early, when nerve degeneration is potentially reversible and treatment is most effective. We developed a clinical prognostic model for early prediction of outcome in GBS, applicable for clinical practice and future therapeutic trials.

METHODS

Data collected prospectively from a derivation cohort of 397 patients with GBS were used to identify risk factors of being unable to walk at 4 weeks, 3 months, and 6 months. Potential predictors of poor outcome (unable to walk unaided) were considered in univariable and multivariable logistic regression models. The clinical model was based on the multivariable logistic regression coefficients of selected predictors and externally validated in an independent cohort of 158 patients with GBS.

RESULTS

High age, preceding diarrhea, and low Medical Research Council sumscore at hospital admission and at 1 week were independently associated with being unable to walk at 4 weeks, 3 months, and 6 months (all p 0.05-0.001). The model can be used at hospital admission and at day 7 of admission, the latter having a better predictive ability for the 3 endpoints; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) is 0.84-0.87 and at admission the AUC is 0.73-0.77. The model proved to be valid in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

A clinical prediction model applicable early in the course of disease accurately predicts the first 6 months outcome in GBS.

Factors associated with functional outcomes of patients with cerebral embolism due to nonvalvular atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to identify factors associated with the functional outcomes of patients with cerebral embolism due to nonvalvular atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

We retrospectively investigated the short-term functional outcomes of 134 patients diagnosed with cardiogenic cerebral embolism due to nonvalvular atrial fibrillation during the period of May 2006 to August 2008. Functional state was evaluated using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) on admission and at discharge.

RESULTS

A good functional outcome (mRS ≤2) at discharge was significantly associated with low mRS on admission (OR: 0.07; CI: 0.03-0.18; p<0.001), and a low C-reactive protein (CRP) level (OR: 0.19; CI: 0.04-0.89; p<0.05). Functional improvement during admission was positively associated with the presence of dyslipidemia (OR: 2.74; CI: 1.11-6.76; p<0.05), whereas high diastolic blood pressure (OR: 0.95; CI: 0.90-0.99; p<0.05) and a high blood sugar level (OR: 0.98; CI: 0.97-0.99; p<0.05) on admission were inversely associated with functional improvement. Furthermore, no relationship existed between mRS on admission and functional improvement during hospitalization.

CONCLUSION

The results suggest that a good functional state at discharge was associated with a good functional state on admission as well as a low serum CRP level. On the other hand, functional improvement was associated with the presence of dyslipidemia, low diastolic blood pressure, and low blood sugar level on admission.

Graphic reanalysis of the two NINDS-tPA trials confirms substantial treatment benefit

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Multiple statistical analyses of the 2 NINDS-tPA trials have confirmed study findings of benefit of fibrinolytic therapy. A recent graphic analysis departed from best practices in the visual display of quantitative information by failing to take into account the skewed functional importance of NIH Stroke Scale raw scores and by scaling change axes at up to 20 times the range achievable by individual patients.

METHODS

Using the publicly available datasets of the 2 NINDS-tPA trials, we generated a variety of figures appropriate to the characteristics of acute stroke trial data.

RESULTS

A diverse array of figures all visually delineated substantial benefits of fibrinolytic therapy, including: bar charts of normalized gain and loss; stacked bar, bar, and matrix plots of clinically relevant ordinal ranks; a time series stacked line plot of continuous scale disability weights; and line plot, bubble chart, and person icon array graphs of joint outcome table analysis. The achievable change figure showed substantially greater improvement among tPA than placebo patients, median 66.7% (interquartile range, 0 to 92.0) versus 50.0% (interquartile range, -7.1 to 80.0), P=0.003.

CONCLUSIONS

On average, under 3 hour patients treated with tPA recovered two-thirds while placebo patients improved only half of the way toward fully normal. Graphical analyses of the 2 NINDS-tPA trials, when performed according to best practices, is a useful means of conveying details about patient response to therapy not fully delineated by summary statistics, and confirms a valuable treatment benefit of under 3 hour fibrinolytic therapy in acute stroke.

Intravenous rt-PA versus endovascular therapy for acute ischemic stroke

The influence of baseline stroke severity on outcome makes comparisons between nonrandomized studies of intravenous and intra-arterial (IA) therapy problematic. Using pooled data from the placebo arms of randomized trials in acute ischemic stroke, we derived predictive functions for outcome. We then compared the outcomes from published trials to these functions. Net benefit was calculated by comparison of the individual study with the predicted outcome based on the therapeutic time window. Similar net benefit for IA therapy and intravenous therapy was found at 3 hours and 6 hours; a slight advantage for IA therapy was mitigated by an increase in mortality at 6 hours and by publication bias. No net benefit for IA therapy was shown in the time window greater than 6 hours. Conclusive evidence for the superiority of either therapy awaits prospective randomized trials.

The beta-hCG+erythropoietin in acute stroke (BETAS) study: a 3-center, single-dose, open-label, noncontrolled, phase IIa safety trial

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Animal data suggest the use of beta-human chorionic gonadotropin followed by erythropoietin to promote brain repair after stroke. The current study directly translated these results by evaluating safety of this sequential growth factor therapy through a 3-center, single-dose, open-label, noncontrolled, Phase IIa trial.

METHODS

Patients with ischemic stroke 24 to 48 hours old and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score of 6 to 24 started a 9-day course of beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (once daily on Days 1, 3, and 5 of study participation) followed by erythropoietin (once daily on Days 7, 8, and 9 of study participation). This study also evaluated performance of serially measured domain-specific end points.

RESULTS

A total of 15 patients were enrolled. Two deaths occurred, neither related to study medications. No safety concerns were noted among clinical or laboratory measures, including screening for deep vein thrombosis and serial measures of serum hemoglobin. In several instances, domain-specific end points provided greater insight into impairments as compared with global outcome measures.

CONCLUSIONS

Results support the safety of this sequential, 2-growth factor therapy initiated 24 to 48 hours after stroke onset.

Better infrastructure for critical care trials: nomenclature, etymology, and informatics

OBJECTIVE

The goals of this review article are to review the importance and value of standardized definitions in clinical research, as well as to propose the necessary tools and infrastructure needed to advance nosology and medial taxonomy to improve the quality of clinical trials in the field of critical care.

DATA SOURCES

We searched MEDLINE for relevant articles, reviewed those selected and their reference lists, and consulted personal files for relevant information.

DATA SYNTHESIS

When the pathobiology of diseases is well understood, standard disease definitions can be extremely specific and precise; however, when the pathobiology of the disease is less well understood or more complex, biological markers may not be diagnostically useful or even available. In these cases, syndromic definitions effectively classify and group illnesses with similar symptoms and clinical signs. There is no clear gold standard for the diagnosis of many clinical entities in the intensive care unit, including notably both acute respiratory distress syndrome and sepsis. There are several types of consensus methods that can be used to explicate the judgmental approach that is often needed in these cases, including interactive or consensus groups, the nominal group technique, and the Delphi technique. Ideally, the definition development process will create clear and unambiguous language in which each definition accurately reflects the current understanding of the disease state.

CONCLUSIONS

The development, implementation, evaluation, revision, and reevaluation of standardized definitions are keys for advancing the quality of clinical trials in the critical care arena.

Repairing the human brain after stroke. II. Restorative therapies

Spontaneous behavioral recovery is usually limited after stroke, making stroke a leading source of disability. A number of therapies in development aim to improve patient outcomes not by acutely salvaging threatened tissue, but instead by promoting repair and restoration of function in the subacute or chronic phase after stroke. Examples include small molecules, growth factors, cell-based therapies, electromagnetic stimulation, device-based strategies, and task-oriented and repetitive training-based interventions. Stage of development across therapies varies widely, from preclinical to late-phase clinical trials. The optimal methods to prescribe such therapies require further studies, for example, to best identify appropriate patients or to guide features of dosing. Likely, anatomic, functional, and behavioral measures of brain state, as well as measures of injury, will each be useful in this regard. Considerations for clinical trials of restorative therapies are provided, emphasizing both similarities and points of divergence with acute stroke clinical trial design.

Repairing the human brain after stroke: I. Mechanisms of spontaneous recovery

Stroke remains a leading cause of adult disability. Some degree of spontaneous behavioral recovery is usually seen in the weeks after stroke onset. Variability in recovery is substantial across human patients. Some principles have emerged; for example, recovery occurs slowest in those destined to have less successful outcomes. Animal studies have extended these observations, providing insight into a broad range of underlying molecular and physiological events. Brain mapping studies in human patients have provided observations at the systems level that often parallel findings in animals. In general, the best outcomes are associated with the greatest return toward the normal state of brain functional organization. Reorganization of surviving central nervous system elements supports behavioral recovery, for example, through changes in interhemispheric lateralization, activity of association cortices linked to injured zones, and organization of cortical representational maps. A number of factors influence events supporting stroke recovery, such as demographics, behavioral experience, and perhaps genetics. Such measures gain importance when viewed as covariates in therapeutic trials of restorative agents that target stroke recovery.

Neurologic and non-neurologic predictors of mortality in ischemic stroke patients admitted to the intensive care unit

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

Patients with severe strokes may have different associated medical comorbidities from those with mild strokes. This study evaluated the neurologic and non-neurologic medical predictors of mortality in patients with severe cerebral infarction in the acute stage.

METHODS

Patients admitted to a neurologic intensive care unit (ICU) due to cerebral infarction were included. Neurologic and non-neurologic predictors for in-unit mortality were determined by logistic regression analyses. Two models using (A) neurologic factors and (B) combined neurologic and non-neurologic factors as mortality predictors were developed. The performance of the models in predicting overall, neurologic and non-neurologic mortalities was compared by areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUC) of the derived regressive equations.

RESULTS

Of 231 patients with cerebral infarction admitted to the ICU, 34 (14.7%) died during ICU stay. Conscious state and acute physiologic abnormalities were significant predictors of mortality. The length of ICU stay in patients with non-neurologic mortality was longer than in those with neurologic mortality (p = 0.044). The AUC of Model B was larger than that of Model A in predicting overall (0.768 +/- 0.045 vs. 0.863 +/- 0.033, p = 0.005) and non-neurologic mortalities (0.570 +/- 0.073 vs. 0.707 +/- 0.074, p = 0.009), while there was no difference in predicting death from neurologic causes (0.858 +/- 0.044 vs. 0.880 +/- 0.032, p = 0.217).

CONCLUSION

Impaired consciousness and acute physiologic abnormalities are independent predictors of mortality for severe ischemic stroke during the acute stage. Neurologic factors predict early mortality from intrinsic cerebral dysfunction, while non-neurologic factors, especially the associated physiologic abnormalities, predict late mortality from medical complications.

Long-term domain-specific improvement following poor grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

While efforts have been made to document short-term outcomes following poor grade aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), no data exist concerning the degree of delayed improvement in neurological function. Here we assess cognitive function, level of independence, and quality of life (QoL) over 12 months following poor grade aSAH.

METHODS

Data on definitively treated poor grade patients (Hunt and Hess grade IV or V) surviving 12 months post-aSAH were obtained through a prospectively maintained SAH database. Demographic information, medical history, and clinical course were analyzed. Health outcomes assessments completed by surviving patients at discharge (DC), three months (3 M) and 12 months (12 M) follow-up, including the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICS), Barthel Index (BI), and Sickness Impact Profile (SIP), were used to evaluate cognitive function, level of independence, and QoL.

FINDINGS

Fifty-six poor grade patients underwent aneurysm-securing intervention and survived at least 12 months post-aSAH. Thirty-five (63%) surviving patients underwent health outcomes assessments at DC, 3 M and 12 M post-aSAH. A majority of patients had improved scores on the TICS (DC to 3 M: 91%; 3 M to 12 M: 82%), BI (DC to 3 M: 96%; 3 M to 12 M: 92%), and SIP (3 M to 12 M: 80%) following aSAH. Using paired-sample analyses, significant improvement on each test was observed.

CONCLUSION

A substantial portion of patients experience cognitive recovery, increased independence, and improved QoL following poor grade aSAH. Delayed follow-up assessments are necessary when evaluating functional recovery in this population. These findings have the potential to impact poor grade aSAH management and prognosis.

Critical Postcraniotomy Cerebrospinal Fluid Hypovolemia

OBJECTIVE:

Critical cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) hypovolemia may cause acute postoperative clinical deterioration in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients after craniotomy for microsurgical aneurysm clipping. We sought to identify risk factors for critical CSF hypovolemia and determine this syndrome's effect on clinical outcome.

METHODS:

Between April 2001 and June 2004 at Columbia University Medical Center, 16 aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients were diagnosed with postoperative critical CSF hypovolemia, whereas 151 patients who underwent craniotomy for clipping were not. The demographics, as well as the presenting radiographic and clinical characteristics, of these groups were evaluated. In addition, a 2:1 matched case-control comparison of patients with and without critical CSF hypovolemia was completed using clinical data, operative variables, and outcome data. Outcome analysis was performed with a battery of tests designed to assess global outcome, cognitive function, independence, and quality of life.

RESULTS:

There was no difference in clinical grade, Fisher score, age, and sex distribution between patients diagnosed with critical CSF hypovolemia and the general aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage population at Columbia University Medical Center. Subsequent 2:1 matched case-control comparison demonstrated a higher incidence of global cerebral edema on admission computed tomographic scans (75 versus 31%; P &lt; 0.01) and a significantly longer operative time for patients with critical CSF hypovolemia (5 h 18 min versus 4 h 22 min; P &lt; 0.03). No significant differences were observed between groups in outcome assessments at the time of hospital discharge or the 3-month follow-up examination.

CONCLUSION:

Risk factors associated with an increased incidence of critical CSF hypovolemia after aneurysm surgery include the presence of global cerebral edema on admission head computed tomographic scans and prolonged operative time. In such patients, heightened suspicion of CSF hypovolemia is crucial because rapid and appropriate management obviates excess morbidity and mortality.

Stroke recovery and its imaging

Functional imaging of stroke recovery is a unique source of information that might be useful in the development of restorative treatments. Several features of brain function change spontaneously after stroke. Current studies define many of the most common events. Key challenges for the future are to develop standardized approaches to help address certain questions, determine the psychometric qualities of these measures, and define the clinical usefulness of these methods.

Blood pressure, nimodipine, and outcome of ischemic stroke

OBJECTIVES

The reduction of blood pressure (BP) caused by nimodipine has been proposed as an explanation for the poor results in ischemic stroke trials. We evaluated further the relationships between BP, nimodipine, and outcome of ischemic stroke, and also searched for other possible explaining mechanisms.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

All 350 participants of an earlier placebo controlled trial on oral nimodipine were included in this study. Among other variables, the admission BP, and the change of BP during the first day were noted. The 3 week and 3 month functional outcome was assessed with a modified Rankin grading.

RESULTS

The severity of stroke was the utmost important predictor of outcome. Visible cerebral infarction on computed tomography (CT) was associated with severe stroke and an early commencement (within 24 h of stroke onset) of nimodipine treatment. In the nimodipine arm, high initial systolic and diastolic BP measured < or =24 h of stroke onset were independent predictors of good functional outcome (Rankin grades 1 and 2), whereas BP change was not. The survivors in the nimodipine arm with mild to moderately severe stroke had higher initial BP than the deceased ones, in severe strokes the situation was the opposite.

CONCLUSIONS

Stroke severity, visible cerebral infarcts on CT, and early commencement of nimodipine treatment were associated. Overall, high initial systolic and diastolic BP predicted a good functional outcome in patients on nimodipine. In severe strokes, the combination of nimodipine and high initial BP was associated with increased risk of death.