Age and Sex Estimation Using Artificial Intelligence From Standard 12-Lead ECGs

AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score for predicting decompensation and liver outcomes

Background & Aims

Accurate prediction of disease severity and prognosis are challenging in patients with cirrhosis. We evaluated whether the deep learning-based AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score could detect hepatic decompensation and predict clinical outcomes in cirrhosis.

Methods

We analyzed 2,166 ECGs from 472 patients in a retrospective Mayo Clinic cohort, 420 patients in a prospective Mayo transplant cohort, and 341 patients in an external validation cohort from Hospital Clínic de Barcelona. The ACE score's performance was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic analysis for decompensation detection and competing risks Cox regression for outcome prediction.

Results

The ACE score showed high accuracy in detecting hepatic decompensation (area under the curve 0.933, 95% CI: 0.923-0.942) with 88.0% sensitivity and 84.3% specificity at an optimal threshold of 0.25. In multivariable analysis, each 0.1-point increase in ACE score was independently associated with increased risk of liver-related death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58, p <0.001). Adding ACE to model for end-stage liver disease-sodium significantly improved prediction of adverse outcomes across all cohorts (c-statistics: retrospective cohort 0.903 vs. 0.844; prospective cohort 0.779 vs. 0.735; external validation 0.744 vs. 0.732; all p <0.001).

Conclusions

The ACE score accurately identifies hepatic decompensation and independently predicts liver-related outcomes in cirrhosis. This non-invasive tool enhances current prognostic models and may improve risk stratification in cirrhosis management.

Impact and implications

This study demonstrates the potential of artificial intelligence to enhance prognostication in liver disease, addressing the critical need for improved risk stratification in cirrhosis management. The AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score, derived from widely available ECGs, shows promise as a non-invasive tool for detecting hepatic decompensation and predicting liver-related outcomes, which could significantly impact clinical decision-making and resource allocation in hepatology. These findings are particularly important for hepatologists, transplant surgeons, and patients with cirrhosis, as they offer a novel approach to complement existing prognostic models such as model for end-stage liver disease-sodium. In practical terms, the ACE score could be integrated into routine clinical assessments to provide more accurate risk predictions, potentially improving the timing of interventions, optimizing transplant listing decisions, and ultimately enhancing patient outcomes. However, further validation in diverse populations and integration with other established predictors is necessary before widespread clinical implementation.

Evaluating the feasibility of 12-lead electrocardiogram reconstruction from limited leads using deep learning

BACKGROUND

Wearables with integrated electrocardiogram (ECG) acquisition have made single-lead ECGs widely accessible to patients and consumers. However, the 12-lead ECG remains the gold standard for most clinical cardiac assessments. In this study, we developed a neural network to reconstruct 12-lead ECGs from single-lead and dual-lead ECGs, and evaluated the mathematical accuracy.

METHODS

We used lead I or leads I and II from 9514 individuals from the Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt (PTB-XL) cohort and a generative adversarial network, with the aim of recreating the missing leads from the 12-lead ECG. ECGs were divided into training, validation, and testing (10%). Original and recreated leads were measured with a commercially available algorithm. Differences in means and variances were assessed with Student's t-tests and F-tests, respectively. Calibration and bias were assessed with Bland-Altman plots. Inter-lead correlations were compared in original and recreated ECGs.

RESULTS

The variability of precordial ECG amplitudes is significantly reduced in recreated ECGs compared to real ECGs (all p < 0.05), indicating regression-to-the-mean. Amplitude averages are recreated with bias (p < 0.05 for most leads). Reconstruction errors depend on the real amplitudes, suggesting regression-to-the-mean (R2 between target and error in R-peak amplitude in lead V3: 0.92). The relations between lead markers have a similar slope but are much stronger due to reduced variance (R-peak amplitude R2 between leads I and V3, real ECGs: 0.04, recreated ECGs: 0.49). Using two leads does not significantly improve 12-lead recreation.

CONCLUSIONS

AI-based 12-lead ECG reconstruction results in a regression-to-the-mean effect rather than personalized output, rendering it unsuitable for clinical use.

Precision medicine in the management of cardiac arrhythmias

Precision medicine in cardiac electrophysiology tailors diagnosis, treatment, and prevention by integrating genetic, environmental, and lifestyle factors. Unlike traditional, generalized strategies, precision medicine focuses on individual patient characteristics to enhance care. Significant progress has been made, especially in managing channelopathies, where genetic insights now already drive personalized therapies. Identifying specific mutations has clarified molecular mechanisms and enabled targeted interventions, improving outcomes in conditions such as long QT syndrome. The integration of big data from clinical records, omics datasets, and biosignals from devices such as cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) or wearables may be on the verge of revolutionizing the diagnosis of cardiac arrhythmias once again. Progress is also expected in the field of human-induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs) and in silico modeling, which may overcome the limitations of traditional expression systems for the functional evaluation of patient-specific mutations. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and polygenic risk scores (PRS) provide deeper insights into complex arrhythmogenic disorders, aiding in risk stratification and targeted treatment strategies. Finally, emerging technologies such as CRISPR/Cas9 promise gene editing for inherited and acquired arrhythmias. In summary, precision medicine offers the potential for individualized treatment of cardiac arrhythmias.

A Pilot Study of the Home-Based 12-Lead Electrocardiogram in Clinical Practice

Telehealth consultation with a physician can be an attractive option for eligible patients. In this pilot study, we evaluate the feasibility and efficiency of an FDA approved 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) device, Smeartheart, that can be used remotely in the patients' home before telehealth appointments with a cardiac electrophysiologist. We scheduled a phone call with 10 patients who used this device as part of their care. Eight patients were able to obtain a diagnostic quality ECG. Telephone call appointments with ECG technicians took a median of 51 minutes, and it took patients an average of 2.2 attempts to record a usable ECG. We also identified barriers to the use of the Smartheart device, including internet accessibility, training material, patient functional status, and motion artifact that may inform more widespread study and utilization of remote-recorded 12-lead ECGs. We conclude that the Smartheart device may have clinical use with remote use in routine clinical care, although the best use of this technology requires further study.

Deep learning-based analysis of 12-lead electrocardiograms in school-age children: a proof of concept study

Introduction

The diagnostic performance of automated analysis of electrocardiograms for screening children with pediatric heart diseases at risk of sudden cardiac death is unknown. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a deep learning-based model for automated analysis of ECGs in children.

Methods

Wave data of 12-lead electrocardiograms were transformed into a tensor sizing 2 × 12 × 400 using signal processing methods. A deep learning-based model to classify abnormal electrocardiograms based on age, sex, and the transformed wave data was developed using electrocardiograms performed in patients at the age of 6-18 years during 2003-2006 at a tertiary referral hospital in Japan. Eighty-three percent of the patients were assigned to a training group, and 17% to a test group. The diagnostic performance of the model and a conventional algorithm (ECAPS12C, Nihon Kohden, Japan) for classifying abnormal electrocardiograms were evaluated using the cross-tabulation, McNemar's test, and decision curve analysis.

Results

We included 1,842 ECGs performed in 1,062 patients in this study, and 310 electrocardiograms performed in 177 patients were included in the test group. The specificity of the deep learning-based model for detecting abnormal electrocardiograms was not significantly different from that of the conventional algorithm. For detecting electrocardiograms with ST-T abnormality, complete right bundle branch block, QRS axis abnormality, left ventricular hypertrophy, incomplete right bundle branch block, WPW syndrome, supraventricular tachyarrhythmia, and Brugada-type electrocardiograms, the specificity of the deep learning-based model was higher than that of the conventional algorithm at the same sensitivity.

Conclusions

The present new deep learning-based method of screening for abnormal electrocardiograms in children showed at least a similar diagnostic performance compared to that of a conventional algorithm. Further studies are warranted to develop an automated analysis of electrocardiograms in school-age children.

Role of Biological Age in the Determination of Long-Term Cause-Specific Death Following Percutaneous Coronary Interventions

BACKGROUND

We tested whether biologic age, as estimated by deficits, functional impairments, or Age-Gap or their combination, provide improved estimation of cause-specific death as compared with chronological age.

METHODS

Cardiovascular and noncardiovascular deficits, functional impairments, and Age-Gap were prospectively collected in 535 patients aged ≥55 years undergoing percutaneous coronary interventions between August 1, 2014, and March 31, 2018. Age-Gap was calculated as the difference between chronological age and age estimated by artificial intelligence ECG using a convolutional neural network. The full biological age model included deficits, functional impairments, and Age-Gap >2 SD. A multivariable reduced model with the least number of variables was also created to provide a comparable C index to the full model.

RESULTS

The average chronological age was 72.1±9.5 years, and there were 68% of men. During a median follow-up of 2.61 years, 124 (23%) patients died. There was a modest correlation between Age-Gap and biological age (r=0.28 [95% CI, 0.20-0.35]; P<0.001). When modeled with chronologic age as a covariate, Age-Gap predicted all-cause (hazard ratio [HR], 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04-1.10]; P<0.001) and cardiovascular (HR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.04-1.11]; P<0.001) mortality. As compared with chronological age, the full biological age model noted significant improvement in the prediction of long-term overall (95% CI, 0.65-0.78), cardiovascular (95% CI, 0.69-0.77), and noncardiovascular (95% CI, 0.55-0.86) mortality. In the reduced models, most prognostic information for noncardiovascular mortality (C index: 0.79) was obtained by subjective difficulty in performing tasks, whereas the deficit-based estimation predicted cardiovascular mortality (C index: 0.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Estimated biological age from deficits and functional impairments was superior to chronological age in predicting long-term cause-specific mortality following percutaneous coronary interventions.

Artificial intelligence-derived electrocardiographic aging and risk of atrial fibrillation: a multi-national study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms in 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) provides promising age prediction methods. This study investigated whether the discrepancy between ECG-derived AI-predicted age (AI-ECG age) and chronological age, termed electrocardiographic aging (ECG aging), is associated with atrial fibrillation (AF) risk.

METHODS

An AI-ECG age prediction model was developed using a large-scale dataset (1 533 042 ECGs from 689 639 participants) and validated with six independent and multi-national datasets (737 133 ECGs from 330 794 participants). The AI-ECG age gap was calculated across two South Korean cohorts [mean (standard deviation) follow-up: 4.1 (4.3) years for 111 483 participants and 6.1 (3.8) years for 37 517 participants], one UK cohort [3.0 (1.6) years; 40 973 participants], and one US cohort [12.9 (8.6) years; 90 639 participants]. Participants were classified into two groups: normal group (age gap < 7 years) and ECG-aged group (age gap ≥ 7 years). The predictive capability of ECG aging for new- and early-onset AF risk was assessed.

RESULTS

The mean AI-ECG ages were 51.9 (16.2), 47.4 (12.5), 68.4 (7.8), and 56.7 (14.6) years with age gaps of .0 (6.8), -.1 (6.0), 4.7 (8.7), and -1.4 (8.9) years in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. In the ECG-aged group, increased risks of new-onset AF were observed with hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 2.50 (2.24-2.78), 1.89 (1.46-2.43), 1.90 (1.55-2.33), and 1.76 (1.67-1.86) in the two South Korean, UK, and US cohorts, respectively. For early-onset AF, odds ratios were 2.89 (2.47-3.37), 1.94 (1.39-2.70), 1.58 (1.06-2.35), and 1.79 (1.62-1.97) in these cohorts compared with the normal group.

CONCLUSIONS

The AI-derived ECG aging was associated with the risk of new- and early-onset AF, suggesting its potential utility to identify individuals for AF prevention across diverse populations.

Performance of AI-Enabled Electrocardiogram in the Prediction of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Accessible noninvasive screening tools for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) are needed. We aim to explore the performance of a deep learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) model in distinguishing the presence of MASLD using 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG).

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of adults diagnosed with MASLD in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 1996 and 2019. Both cases and controls had ECGs performed within 6 years before and 1 year after study entry. An AI-based ECG model using a convolutional neural network was trained, validated, and tested in 70%, 10%, and 20% of the cohort, respectively. External validation was performed in an independent cohort from Mayo Clinic Enterprise. The primary outcome was the performance of ECG to identify MASLD, alone or when added to clinical parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 3468 MASLD cases and 25,407 controls were identified. The AI-ECG model predicted the presence of MASLD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.69 (original cohort) and 0.62 (validation cohort). The performance was similar or superior to age- and sex-adjusted models using body mass index (AUC, 0.71), presence of diabetes, hypertension or hyperlipidemia (AUC, 0.68), or diabetes alone (AUC, 0.66). The model combining ECG, age, sex, body mass index, diabetes, and alanine aminotransferase had the highest AUC: 0.76 (original) and 0.72 (validation).

CONCLUSIONS

This is a proof-of-concept study that an AI-based ECG model can detect MASLD with a comparable or superior performance as compared with the models using a single clinical parameter but not superior to the combination of clinical parameters. ECG can serve as another screening tool for MASLD in the nonhepatology space.

Role of Artificial Intelligence in Congenital Heart Disease and Interventions

Artificial intelligence has promising impact on patients with congenital heart disease, a vulnerable population with life-long health care needs and, often, a substantially higher risk of death than the general population. This review explores the role artificial intelligence has had on cardiac imaging, electrophysiology, interventional procedures, and intensive care monitoring as it relates to children and adults with congenital heart disease. Machine learning and deep learning algorithms have enhanced not only imaging segmentation and processing but also diagnostic accuracy namely reducing interobserver variability. This has a meaningful impact in complex congenital heart disease improving anatomic diagnosis, assessment of cardiac function, and predicting long-term outcomes. Image processing has benefited procedural planning for interventional cardiology, allowing for a higher quality and density of information to be extracted from the same imaging modalities. In electrophysiology, deep learning models have enhanced the diagnostic potential of electrocardiograms, detecting subtle yet meaningful variation in signals that enable early diagnosis of cardiac dysfunction, risk stratification of mortality, and more accurate diagnosis and prediction of arrhythmias. In the congenital heart disease population, this has the potential for meaningful prolongation of life. Postoperative care in the cardiac intensive care unit is a data-rich environment that is often overwhelming. Detection of subtle data trends in this environment for early detection of morbidity is a ripe avenue for artificial intelligence algorithms to be used. Examples like early detection of catheter-induced thrombosis have already been published. Despite their great promise, artificial intelligence algorithms are still limited by hurdles such as data standardization, algorithm validation, drift, and explainability.

Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography for the identification of a sex-related cardiovascular risk continuum: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Females are typically underserved in cardiovascular medicine. The use of sex as a dichotomous variable for risk stratification fails to capture the heterogeneity of risk within each sex. We aimed to develop an artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) model to investigate sex-specific cardiovascular risk.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we trained a convolutional neural network to classify sex using the 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG). The Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (BIDMC) secondary care dataset, comprising data from individuals who had clinically indicated ECGs performed in a hospital setting in Boston, MA, USA collected between May, 2000, and March, 2023, was the derivation cohort (1 163 401 ECGs). 50% of this dataset was used for model training, 10% for validation, and 40% for testing. External validation was performed using the UK Biobank cohort, comprising data from volunteers aged 40-69 years at the time of enrolment in 2006-10 (42 386 ECGs). We examined the difference between AI-ECG-predicted sex (continuous) and biological sex (dichotomous), termed sex discordance score.

FINDINGS

AI-ECG accurately identified sex (area under the receiver operating characteristic 0·943 [95% CI 0·942-0·943] for BIDMC and 0·971 [0·969-0·972] for the UK Biobank). In BIDMC outpatients with normal ECGs, an increased sex discordance score was associated with covariate-adjusted increased risk of cardiovascular death in females (hazard ratio [HR] 1·78 [95% CI 1·18-2·70], p=0·006) but not males (1·00 [0·63-1·58], p=0·996). In the UK Biobank cohort, the same pattern was seen (HR 1·33 [95% CI 1·06-1·68] for females, p=0·015; 0·98 [0·80-1·20] for males, p=0·854). Females with a higher sex discordance score were more likely to have future heart failure or myocardial infarction in the BIDMC cohort and had more male cardiac (increased left ventricular mass and chamber volumes) and non-cardiac phenotypes (increased muscle mass and reduced body fat percentage) in both cohorts.

INTERPRETATION

Sex discordance score is a novel AI-ECG biomarker capable of identifying females with disproportionately elevated cardiovascular risk. AI-ECG has the potential to identify female patients who could benefit from enhanced risk factor modification or surveillance.

FUNDING

British Heart Foundation.

Deep learning and electrocardiography: systematic review of current techniques in cardiovascular disease diagnosis and management

This paper reviews the recent advancements in the application of deep learning combined with electrocardiography (ECG) within the domain of cardiovascular diseases, systematically examining 198 high-quality publications. Through meticulous categorization and hierarchical segmentation, it provides an exhaustive depiction of the current landscape across various cardiovascular ailments. Our study aspires to furnish interested readers with a comprehensive guide, thereby igniting enthusiasm for further, in-depth exploration and research in this realm.

A low-cost PPG sensor-based empirical study on healthy aging based on changes in PPG morphology

Objective. We study the changes in morphology of the photoplethysmography (PPG) signals-acquired from a select group of South Asian origin-through a low-cost PPG sensor, and correlate it with healthy aging which allows us to reliably estimate the vascular age and chronological age of a healthy person as well as the age group he/she belongs to.Approach. Raw infrared PPG data is collected from the finger-tip of 173 apparently healthy subjects, aged 3-61 years, via a non-invasive low-cost MAX30102 PPG sensor. In addition, the following metadata is recorded for each subject: age, gender, height, weight, family history of cardiac disease, smoking history, vitals (heart rate and SpO2). The raw PPG data is conditioned and 62 features are then extracted based upon the first four PPG derivatives. Then, correlation-based feature-ranking is performed which retains 26 most important features. Finally, the feature set is fed to three machine learning classifiers, i.e. logistic regression, random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and two shallow neural networks: a feedforward neural network and a convolutional neural network.Main results. For the age group classification problem, the ensemble method XGboost stands out with an accuracy of 99% for both binary classification (3-20 years vs. 20+ years) and three-class classification (3-18 years, 18-23 years, 23+ years). For the vascular/chronological age prediction problem, the ensemble random forest method stands out with a mean absolute error of 6.97 years.Significance. The results demonstrate that PPG is indeed a promising (i.e. low-cost, non-invasive) biomarker to study the healthy aging phenomenon.

Reclassification of the conventional risk assessment for aging-related diseases by electrocardiogram-enabled biological age

An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model has been developed in a healthy adult population to predict ECG biological age (ECG-BA). This ECG-BA exhibited a robust correlation with chronological age (CA) in healthy adults and additionally significantly enhanced the prediction of aging-related diseases' onset in adults with subclinical diseases. The model showed particularly strong predictive power for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular diseases such as stroke, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial occlusive disease, myocardial infarction, Alzheimer's disease, osteoarthritis, and cancers. When combined with CA, ECG-BA improved diagnostic accuracy and risk classification by 21% over using CA alone, notably offering the greatest improvements in cancer prediction. The net reclassification improvement significantly reduced misclassification rates for disease onset predictions. This comprehensive study validates ECG-BA as an effective supplement to CA, advancing the precision of risk assessments for aging-related conditions and suggesting broad implications for enhancing preventive healthcare strategies, potentially leading to better patient outcomes.

Digital health in cardiovascular medicine: An overview of key applications and clinical impact by the Portuguese Society of Cardiology Study Group on Digital Health

Digital health interventions including telehealth, mobile health, artificial intelligence, big data, robotics, extended reality, computational and high-fidelity bench simulations are an integral part of the path toward precision medicine. Current applications encompass risk factor modification, chronic disease management, clinical decision support, diagnostics interpretation, preprocedural planning, evidence generation, education, and training. Despite the acknowledged potential, their development and implementation have faced several challenges and constraints, meaning few digital health tools have reached daily clinical practice. As a result, the Portuguese Society of Cardiology Study Group on Digital Health set out to outline the main digital health applications, address some of the roadblocks hampering large-scale deployment, and discuss future directions in support of cardiovascular health at large.

Deep Learning Applications in 12-lead Electrocardiogram and Echocardiogram

Artificial intelligence (AI), empowered by advances in deep learning technology, has demonstrated its capabilities in the medical field to automate tedious tasks that are otherwise performed by humans or to detect or predict diseases with higher accuracy compared with experts. Given the ability to take complex multidimensional data as input, AI models have primarily been applied to complex medical imaging and time-series data. Another prominent strength of AI applications is its large scalability. The field of cardiovascular medicine uses various noninvasive and accessible metrics that produce a large amount of complex multidimensional data, such as electrocardiograms (ECGs) and echocardiograms. AI models can increase the utility of such modalities. Simple automation of conventional tasks using AI models provides significant opportunities for cost reduction and capacity expansion. The ability to improve disease detection or prediction at scale may provide novel opportunities for disease screening, enabling early intervention in asymptomatic patients. For example, AI-enabled pipelines can accurately identify cardiomyopathies and congenital heart diseases from a single ECG or echocardiogram recording. The detection of these diseases using the conventional approach usually requires complicated diagnostic strategies or expensive tests. Therefore, underdiagnosis is a huge problem. Using AI models to screen these diseases will provide opportunities for reducing missed cases. The utility of AI models in the medical field is not limited to the development of clinically useful models. Recent research has shown the promise of AI models in mechanism research by combining them with genetic and structural analyses. In this review, we provide an update on the current achievements of the innovative AI application for ECG and echocardiogram and provide insights into the future direction of AI in cardiovascular care and research settings.

Unsupervised deep learning of electrocardiograms enables scalable human disease profiling

The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is inexpensive and widely available. Whether conditions across the human disease landscape can be detected using the ECG is unclear. We developed a deep learning denoising autoencoder and systematically evaluated associations between ECG encodings and ~1,600 Phecode-based diseases in three datasets separate from model development, and meta-analyzed the results. The latent space ECG model identified associations with 645 prevalent and 606 incident Phecodes. Associations were most enriched in the circulatory (n = 140, 82% of category-specific Phecodes), respiratory (n = 53, 62%) and endocrine/metabolic (n = 73, 45%) categories, with additional associations across the phenome. The strongest ECG association was with hypertension (p < 2.2×10-308). The ECG latent space model demonstrated more associations than models using standard ECG intervals, and offered favorable discrimination of prevalent disease compared to models comprising age, sex, and race. We further demonstrate how latent space models can be used to generate disease-specific ECG waveforms and facilitate individual disease profiling.

Artificial intelligence evaluation of electrocardiographic characteristics and interval changes in transgender patients on gender-affirming hormone therapy

Aims

Gender-affirming hormone therapy (GAHT) is used by some transgender individuals (TG), who comprise 1.4% of US population. However, the effects of GAHT on electrocardiogram (ECG) remain unknown. The objective is to assess the effects of GAHT on ECG changes in TG.

Methods and results

Twelve-lead ECGs of TG on GAHT at the Mayo Clinic were inspected using a validated artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm. The algorithm assigns a patient's ECG male pattern probability on a scale of 0 (female) to 1 (male). In the primary analysis, done separately for transgender women (TGW) and transgender men (TGM), 12-lead ECGs were used to estimate the male pattern probability before and after GAHT. In a subanalysis, only patients with both pre- and post-GAHT EGCs were included. Further, the autopopulated PR, QRS, and QTc intervals were compared before and after GAHT. Among TGW (n = 86), the probability (mean ± SD) of an ECG male pattern was 0.84 ± 0.25 in the pre-GAHT group, and it was lowered to 0.59 ± 0.36 in the post-GAHT group (n = 173, P < 7.8 × 10-10). Conversely, among TGM, male pattern probability was 0.16 ± 0.28 (n = 47) in the pre-GAHT group, and it was higher at 0.41 ± 0.38 in the post-GAHT group (n = 53, P < 2.4×10-4). The trend persisted in the subanalysis. Furthermore, both the PR (P = 5.68 × 10-4) and QTc intervals (P = 6.65×10-6) prolonged among TGW. Among TGM, the QTc interval shortened (P = 4.8 × 10-2).

Conclusion

Among TG, GAHT is associated with ECG changes trending towards gender congruence, as determined by the AI algorithm and ECG intervals. Prospective studies are warranted to understand GAHT effects on cardiac structure and function.

Artificial intelligence (ChatGPT) ready to evaluate ECG in real life? Not yet!

Objective

This study aims at evaluating if ChatGPT-based artificial intelligence (AI) models are effective in interpreting electrocardiograms (ECGs) and determine their accuracy as compared to those of cardiologists. The purpose is therefore to explore if ChatGPT can be employed for clinical setting, particularly where there are no available cardiologists.

Methods

A total of 107 ECG cases classified according to difficulty (simple, intermediate, complex) were analyzed using three AI models (GPT-ECGReader, GPT-ECGAnalyzer, GPT-ECGInterpreter) and compared with the performance of two cardiologists. The statistical analysis was conducted using chi-square and Fisher exact tests using scikit-learn library in Python 3.8.

Results

Cardiologists demonstrated superior accuracy (92.52%) compared to ChatGPT-based models (GPT-ECGReader: 57.94%, GPT-ECGInterpreter: 62.62%, GPT-ECGAnalyzer: 62.62%). Statistically significant differences were observed between cardiologists and AI models (p < 0.05). ChatGPT models exhibited enhanced performance with female patients; however, the differences found were not statistically significant. Cardiologists significantly outperformed AI models across all difficulty levels. When it comes to diagnosing patients with arrhythmia (A) and cardiac structural disease ECG patterns, cardiologists gave the best results though there was no statistical difference between them and AI models in diagnosing people with normal (N) ECG patterns.

Conclusions

ChatGPT-based models have potential in ECG interpretation; however, they currently lack adequate reliability beyond oversight from a doctor. Additionally, further studies that would improve the accuracy of these models, especially in intricate diagnoses are needed.

Advanced electrocardiography heart age: a prognostic, explainable machine learning approach applicable to sinus and non-sinus rhythms

Aims

An explainable advanced electrocardiography (A-ECG) Heart Age gap is the difference between A-ECG Heart Age and chronological age. This gap is an estimate of accelerated cardiovascular aging expressed in years of healthy human aging, and can intuitively communicate cardiovascular risk to the general population. However, existing A-ECG Heart Age requires sinus rhythm. We aim to develop and prognostically validate a revised, explainable A-ECG Heart Age applicable to both sinus and non-sinus rhythms.

Methods and results

An A-ECG Heart Age excluding P-wave measures was derived from the 10-s 12-lead ECG in a derivation cohort using multivariable regression machine learning with Bayesian 5-min 12-lead A-ECG Heart Age as reference. The Heart Age was externally validated in a separate cohort of patients referred for cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging by describing its association with heart failure hospitalization or death using Cox regression, and its association with comorbidities. In the derivation cohort (n = 2771), A-ECG Heart Age agreed with the 5-min Heart Age (R 2 = 0.91, bias 0.0 ± 6.7 years), and increased with increasing comorbidity. In the validation cohort [n = 731, mean age 54 ± 15 years, 43% female, n = 139 events over 5.7 (4.8-6.7) years follow-up], increased A-ECG Heart Age gap (≥10 years) associated with events [hazard ratio, HR (95% confidence interval, CI) 2.04 (1.38-3.00), C-statistic 0.58 (0.54-0.62)], and the presence of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolaemia, and heart failure (P ≤ 0.009 for all).

Conclusion

An explainable A-ECG Heart Age gap applicable to both sinus and non-sinus rhythm associates with cardiovascular risk, cardiovascular morbidity, and survival.

Electrocardiogram-Based Deep Learning to Predict Mortality in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) analysis shows promise to predict mortality in adults with acquired cardiovascular diseases. However, its application to the growing repaired tetralogy of Fallot (rTOF) population remains unexplored.

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to develop and externally validate an AI-ECG model to predict 5-year mortality in rTOF.

METHODS

A convolutional neural network was trained on electrocardiograms (ECGs) obtained at Boston Children's Hospital and tested on Boston (internal testing) and Toronto (external validation) INDICATOR (International Multicenter TOF Registry) cohorts to predict 5-year mortality. Model performance was evaluated on single ECGs per patient using area under the receiver operating (AUROC) and precision recall (AUPRC) curves.

RESULTS

The internal testing and external validation cohorts comprised of 1,054 patients (13,077 ECGs at median age 17.8 [Q1-Q3: 7.9-30.5] years; 54% male; 6.1% mortality) and 335 patients (5,014 ECGs at median age 38.3 [Q1-Q3: 29.1-48.7] years; 57% male; 8.4% mortality), respectively. Model performance was similar during internal testing (AUROC 0.83, AUPRC 0.18) and external validation (AUROC 0.81, AUPRC 0.21). AI-ECG performed similarly to the biventricular global function index (an imaging biomarker) and outperformed QRS duration. AI-ECG 5-year mortality prediction, but not QRS duration, was a significant independent predictor when added into a Cox regression model with biventricular global function index to predict shorter time-to-death on internal and external cohorts. Saliency mapping identified QRS fragmentation, wide and low amplitude QRS complexes, and flattened T waves as high-risk features.

CONCLUSIONS

This externally validated AI-ECG model may complement imaging biomarkers to improve risk stratification in patients with rTOF.

Detection of Right and Left Ventricular Dysfunction in Pediatric Patients Using Artificial Intelligence-Enabled ECGs

BACKGROUND

Early detection of left and right ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD and RVSD respectively) in children can lead to intervention to reduce morbidity and death. Existing artificial intelligence algorithms can identify LVSD and RVSD in adults using a 12-lead ECG; however, its efficacy in children is uncertain. We aimed to develop novel artificial intelligence-enabled ECG algorithms for LVSD and RVSD detection in pediatric patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We identified 10 142 unique pediatric patients (age≤18) with a 10-second, 12-lead surface ECG within 14 days of a transthoracic echocardiogram, performed between 2002 and 2022. LVSD was defined quantitatively by left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). RVSD was defined semiquantitatively. Novel pediatric models for LVEF ≤35% and LVEF <50% achieved excellent test areas under the curve of 0.93 (95% CI, 0.89-0.98) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.94) respectively. The model to detect LVEF <50% had a sensitivity of 0.85, specificity of 0.80, positive predictive value of 0.095, and negative predictive value of 0.995. In comparison, the previously validated adult data-derived model for LVEF <35% achieved an area under the curve of 0.87 (95% CI, 0.84-0.90) for LVEF ≤35% in children. A novel pediatric model for any RVSD detection reached a test area under the curve of 0.90 (0.87-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

An artificial intelligence-enabled ECG demonstrates accurate detection of both LVSD and RVSD in pediatric patients. While adult-trained models offer good performance, improvements are seen when training pediatric-specific models.

Development of Clinically Validated Artificial Intelligence Model for Detecting ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Although the importance of primary percutaneous coronary intervention has been emphasized for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), the appropriateness of the cardiac catheterization laboratory activation remains suboptimal. This study aimed to develop a precise artificial intelligence (AI) model for the diagnosis of STEMI and accurate cardiac catheterization laboratory activation.

METHODS

We used electrocardiography (ECG) waveform data from a prospective percutaneous coronary intervention registry in Korea in this study. Two independent board-certified cardiologists established a criterion standard (STEMI or Not STEMI) for each ECG based on corresponding coronary angiography data. We developed a deep ensemble model by combining 5 convolutional neural networks. In addition, we performed clinical validation based on a symptom-based ECG data set, comparisons with clinical physicians, and external validation.

RESULTS

We used 18,697 ECGs for the model development data set, and 1,745 (9.3%) were STEMI. The AI model achieved an accuracy of 92.1%, sensitivity of 95.4%, and specificity of 91.8 %. The performances of the AI model were well balanced and outstanding in the clinical validation, comparison with clinical physicians, and the external validation.

CONCLUSION

The deep ensemble AI model showed a well-balanced and outstanding performance. As visualized with gradient-weighted class activation mapping, the AI model has a reasonable explainability. Further studies with prospective validation regarding clinical benefit in a real-world setting should be warranted.

Development and validation of a machine learning model to predict myocardial blood flow and clinical outcomes from patients' electrocardiograms

We develop a machine learning (ML) model using electrocardiography (ECG) to predict myocardial blood flow reserve (MFR) and assess its prognostic value for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). Using 3,639 ECG-positron emission tomography (PET) and 17,649 ECG-single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) data pairs, the ML model is trained with a swarm intelligence approach and support vector regression (SVR). The model achieves a receiver-operator curve (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83, with a sensitivity and specificity of 0.75. An ECG-MFR value below 2 is significantly associated with MACE, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.85 and 3.70 in the discovery and validation phases, respectively. The model's C-statistic is 0.76, with a net reclassification improvement (NRI) of 0.35. Validated in an independent cohort, the ML model using ECG data offers superior MACE prediction compared to baseline clinical models, highlighting its potential for risk stratification in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) using the accessible 12-lead ECG.

Advancing Fairness in Cardiac Care: Strategies for Mitigating Bias in Artificial Intelligence Models Within Cardiology

In the dynamic field of medical artificial intelligence (AI), cardiology stands out as a key area for its technological advancements and clinical application. In this review we explore the complex issue of data bias, specifically addressing those encountered during the development and implementation of AI tools in cardiology. We dissect the origins and effects of these biases, which challenge their reliability and widespread applicability in health care. Using a case study, we highlight the complexities involved in addressing these biases from a clinical viewpoint. The goal of this review is to equip researchers and clinicians with the practical knowledge needed to identify, understand, and mitigate these biases, advocating for the creation of AI solutions that are not just technologically sound, but also fair and effective for all patients.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Electrocardiogram-Based Models for Rapid Clinical Applications

Leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) for the analysis of electrocardiograms (ECGs) has the potential to transform diagnosis and estimate the prognosis of not only cardiac but, increasingly, noncardiac conditions. In this review, we summarize clinical studies and AI-enhanced ECG-based clinical applications in the early detection, diagnosis, and estimating prognosis of cardiovascular diseases in the past 5 years (2019-2023). With advancements in deep learning and the rapid increased use of ECG technologies, a large number of clinical studies have been published. However, most of these studies are single-centre, retrospective, proof-of-concept studies that lack external validation. Prospective studies that progress from development toward deployment in clinical settings account for < 15% of the studies. Successful implementations of ECG-based AI applications that have received approval from the Food and Drug Administration have been developed through commercial collaborations, with approximately half of them being for mobile or wearable devices. The field is in its early stages, and overcoming several obstacles is essential, such as prospective validation in multicentre large data sets, addressing technical issues, bias, privacy, data security, model generalizability, and global scalability. This review concludes with a discussion of these challenges and potential solutions. By providing a holistic view of the state of AI in ECG analysis, this review aims to set a foundation for future research directions, emphasizing the need for comprehensive, clinically integrated, and globally deployable AI solutions in cardiovascular disease management.

Artificial intelligence guided screening for cardiomyopathies in an obstetric population: a pragmatic randomized clinical trial

Nigeria has the highest reported incidence of peripartum cardiomyopathy worldwide. This open-label, pragmatic clinical trial randomized pregnant and postpartum women to usual care or artificial intelligence (AI)-guided screening to assess its impact on the diagnosis left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) in the perinatal period. The study intervention included digital stethoscope recordings with point of-care AI predictions and a 12-lead electrocardiogram with asynchronous AI predictions for LVSD. The primary end point was identification of LVSD during the study period. In the intervention arm, the primary end point was defined as the number of identified participants with LVSD as determined by a positive AI screen, confirmed by echocardiography. In the control arm, this was the number of participants with clinical recognition and documentation of LVSD on echocardiography in keeping with current standard of care. Participants in the intervention arm had a confirmatory echocardiogram at baseline for AI model validation. A total of 1,232 (616 in each arm) participants were randomized and 1,195 participants (587 intervention arm and 608 control arm) completed the baseline visit at 6 hospitals in Nigeria between August 2022 and September 2023 with follow-up through May 2024. Using the AI-enabled digital stethoscope, the primary study end point was met with detection of 24 out of 587 (4.1%) versus 12 out of 608 (2.0%) patients with LVSD (intervention versus control odds ratio 2.12, 95% CI 1.05-4.27; P = 0.032). With the 12-lead AI-electrocardiogram model, the primary end point was detected in 20 out of 587 (3.4%) versus 12 out of 608 (2.0%) patients (odds ratio 1.75, 95% CI 0.85-3.62; P = 0.125). A similar direction of effect was observed in prespecified subgroup analysis. There were no serious adverse events related to study participation. In pregnant and postpartum women, AI-guided screening using a digital stethoscope improved the diagnosis of pregnancy-related cardiomyopathy. ClinicalTrials.gov registration: NCT05438576.

Applying Artificial Intelligence for Phenotyping of Inherited Arrhythmia Syndromes

Inherited arrhythmia disorders account for a significant proportion of sudden cardiac death, particularly among young individuals. Recent advances in our understanding of these syndromes have improved patient diagnosis and care, yet certain clinical gaps remain, particularly within case ascertainment, access to genetic testing, and risk stratification. Artificial intelligence (AI), specifically machine learning and its subset deep learning, present promising solutions to these challenges. The capacity of AI to process vast amounts of patient data and identify disease patterns differentiates them from traditional methods, which are time- and resource-intensive. To date, AI models have shown immense potential in condition detection (including asymptomatic/concealed disease) and genotype and phenotype identification, exceeding expert cardiologists in these tasks. Additionally, they have exhibited applicability for general population screening, improving case ascertainment in a set of conditions that are often asymptomatic such as left ventricular dysfunction. Third, models have shown the ability to improve testing protocols; through model identification of disease and genotype, specific clinical testing (eg, drug challenges or further diagnostic imaging) can be avoided, reducing health care expenses, speeding diagnosis, and possibly allowing for more incremental or targeted genetic testing approaches. These significant benefits warrant continued investigation of AI, particularly regarding the development and implementation of clinically applicable screening tools. In this review we summarize key developments in AI, including studies in long QT syndrome, Brugada syndrome, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathies, and provide direction for effective future AI implementation in clinical practice.

Deep residual 2D convolutional neural network for cardiovascular disease classification

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues to be a major global health concern, underscoring the need for advancements in medical care. The use of electrocardiograms (ECGs) is crucial for diagnosing cardiac conditions. However, the reliance on professional expertise for manual ECG interpretation poses challenges for expanding accessible healthcare, particularly in community hospitals. To address this, there is a growing interest in leveraging automated and AI-driven ECG analysis systems, which can enhance diagnostic accuracy and efficiency, making quality cardiac care more accessible to a broader population. In this study, we implemented a novel deep two-dimensional convolutional neural network (2D-CNN) on a dataset of PTB-XL for cardiac disorder detection. The studies were performed on 2, 5, and 23 classes of cardiovascular diseases. The our network in classifying healthy/sick patients achived an AUC of 95% and an average accuracy of 87.85%. In 5-classes classification, our model achieved an AUC of 93.46% with an average accuracy of 89.87%. In a more complex scenario involving classification into 23 different classes, the model achieved an AUC of 92.18% and an accuracy of 96.88%. According to the experimental results, our model obtained the best classification result compared to the other methods based on the same public dataset. This indicates that our method can aid healthcare professionals in the clinical analysis of ECGs, offering valuable assistance in diagnosing CVD and contributing to the advancement of computer-aided diagnosis technology.

Artificial intelligence estimated electrocardiographic age as a recurrence predictor after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation

The application of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms to 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) provides promising age prediction models. We explored whether the gap between the pre-procedural AI-ECG age and chronological age can predict atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after catheter ablation. We validated a pre-trained residual network-based model for age prediction on four multinational datasets. Then we estimated AI-ECG age using a pre-procedural sinus rhythm ECG among individuals on anti-arrhythmic drugs who underwent de-novo AF catheter ablation from two independent AF ablation cohorts. We categorized the AI-ECG age gap based on the mean absolute error of the AI-ECG age gap obtained from four model validation datasets; aged-ECG (≥10 years) and normal ECG age (<10 years) groups. In the two AF ablation cohorts, aged-ECG was associated with a significantly increased risk of AF recurrence compared to the normal ECG age group. These associations were independent of chronological age or left atrial diameter. In summary, a pre-procedural AI-ECG age has a prognostic value for AF recurrence after catheter ablation.

Association Between Social Isolation With Age-Gap Determined by Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiography

Background

Loneliness and social isolation are associated with poor health outcomes such as an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases.

Objectives

The authors aimed to explore the association between social isolation with biological aging which was determined by artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiography (AI-ECG) as well as the risk of all-cause mortality.

Methods

The study included adults aged ≥18 years seen at Mayo Clinic from 2019 to 2022 who respond to a survey for social isolation assessment and had a 12-lead ECG within 1 year of completing the questionnaire. Biological age was determined from ECGs using a previously developed and validated convolutional neural network (AI-ECG age). Age-Gap was defined as AI-ECG age minus chronological age, where positive values reflect an older-than-expected age. The status of social isolation was measured by the previously validated multiple-choice questions based on Social Network Index (SNI) with score ranges between 0 (most isolated) and 4 (least isolated).

Results

A total of 280,324 subjects were included (chronological age 59.8 ± 16.4 years, 50.9% female). The mean Age-Gap was -0.2 ± 9.16 years. A higher SNI was associated with a lower Age-Gap (β of SNI = 4 was -0.11; 95% CI: -0.22 to -0.01; P < 0.001, adjusted to covariates). Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed the association between social connection and all-cause mortality (HR for SNI = 4, 0.47; 95% CI: 0.43-0.5; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

Social isolation is associated with accelerating biological aging and all-cause mortality independent of conventional cardiovascular risk factors. This observation underscores the need to address social connection as a health care determinant.

Electrocardiography-based Artificial Intelligence Algorithms Aid in Prediction of Long-term Mortality After Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Predicting long-term mortality postkidney transplantation (KT) using baseline clinical data presents significant challenges. This study aims to evaluate the predictive power of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled analysis of preoperative electrocardiograms (ECGs) in forecasting long-term mortality following KT.

METHODS

We analyzed preoperative ECGs from KT recipients at three Mayo Clinic sites (Minnesota, Florida, and Arizona) between January 1, 2006, and July 30, 2021. The study involved 6 validated AI algorithms, each trained to predict future development of atrial fibrillation, aortic stenosis, low ejection fraction, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, amyloid heart disease, and biological age. These algorithms' outputs based on a single preoperative ECG were correlated with patient mortality data.

RESULTS

Among 6504 KT recipients included in the study, 1764 (27.1%) died within a median follow-up of 5.7 y (interquartile range: 3.00-9.29 y). All AI-ECG algorithms were independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality ( P < 0.001). Notably, few patients had a clinical cardiac diagnosis at the time of transplant, indicating that AI-ECG scores were predictive even in asymptomatic patients. When adjusted for multiple clinical factors such as recipient age, diabetes, and pretransplant dialysis, AI algorithms for atrial fibrillation and aortic stenosis remained independently associated with long-term mortality. These algorithms also improved the C-statistic for predicting overall (C = 0.74) and cardiac-related deaths (C = 0.751).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that AI-enabled preoperative ECG analysis can be a valuable tool in predicting long-term mortality following KT and could aid in identifying patients who may benefit from enhanced cardiac monitoring because of increased risk.

An artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram algorithm for the prediction of left atrial low-voltage areas in persistent atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to construct an artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) algorithm that can accurately predict the presence of left atrial low-voltage areas (LVAs) in patients with persistent atrial fibrillation.

METHODS

The study included 587 patients with persistent atrial fibrillation who underwent catheter ablation procedures between March 2012 and December 2023 and 942 scanned images of 12-lead ECGs obtained before the ablation procedures were performed. Artificial intelligence-based algorithms were used to construct models for predicting the presence of LVAs. The DR-FLASH and APPLE clinical scores for LVA prediction were calculated. We used a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis to evaluate model performance.

RESULTS

The data obtained from the participants were split into training (n = 469), validation (n = 58), and test sets (n = 60). LVAs were detected in 53.7% of all participants. Using ECG alone, the deep learning algorithm achieved an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.752, outperforming both the DR-FLASH score (AUROC = 0.610) and the APPLE score (AUROC = 0.510). The random forest classification model, which integrated a probabilistic deep learning model and clinical features, showed a maximum AUROC of 0.759. Moreover, the ECG-based deep learning algorithm for predicting extensive LVAs achieved an AUROC of 0.775, with a sensitivity of 0.816 and a specificity of 0.896. The random forest classification model for predicting extensive LVAs achieved an AUROC of 0.897, with a sensitivity of 0.862, and a specificity of 0.935.

CONCLUSION

The deep learning model based exclusively on ECG data and the machine learning model that combined a probabilistic deep learning model and clinical features both predicted the presence of LVAs with a higher degree of accuracy than the DR-FLASH and the APPLE risk scores.

Electrocardiogram Signal Analysis With a Machine Learning Model Predicts the Presence of Pulmonary Embolism With Accuracy Dependent on Embolism Burden

Objective

To develop an artificial intelligence deep neural network (AI-DNN) algorithm to analyze 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) for detection of acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and PE categories.

Patients and Methods

A cohort of patients seen between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2020, from across the Mayo Clinic Enterprise with computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA) and ECG performed ±6 hours was identified. Natural language processing algorithms were applied to radiology reports to determine the diagnosis of acute PE, acute right ventricular strain pulmonary embolism (RVSPE), saddle pulmonary embolism (SADPE), or no PE. Diagnostic performance parameters of the AI-DNN reported were area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV).

Results

A cohort of patients with CTPA report and ECG consisted of 79,894 patients including 7423 (9.3%) with acute PE, among whom 1138 patients had RVSPE or SADPE. Artificial intelligence deep neural network predicted acute PE with a modest accuracy of AUROC of 0.69 (95% CI, 0.68-0.71), sensitivity of 63.5%, specificity of 64.7%, PPV of 15.6%, and NPV of 94.5%. The AI-DNN prediction using the same algorithm for RVSPE or SADPE was higher (AUROC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.81-0.86) with a sensitivity of 80.8%, specificity of 64.7.8%, PPV of 3.5%, and NPV of 99.5%.

Conclusion

An AI-based analysis of 12-lead ECG shows modest detection power for acute PE in patients who underwent CTPA, with higher accuracy for high-risk PE. Moreover, with the high NPV, it has the clinical potential to exclude high-risk PE quickly and correctly.

Age prediction from 12-lead electrocardiograms using deep learning: a comparison of four models on a contemporary, freely available dataset

Objective.The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is routine in clinical use and deep learning approaches have been shown to have the identify features not immediately apparent to human interpreters including age and sex. Several models have been published but no direct comparisons exist.Approach.We implemented three previously published models and one unpublished model to predict age and sex from a 12-lead ECG and then compared their performance on an open-access data set.Main results.All models converged and were evaluated on the holdout set. The best preforming age prediction model had a hold-out set mean absolute error of 8.06 years. The best preforming sex prediction model had a hold-out set area under the receiver operating curve of 0.92.Significance.We compared performance of four models on an open-access dataset.

Innovative approaches to atrial fibrillation prediction: should polygenic scores and machine learning be implemented in clinical practice?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) prediction and screening are of important clinical interest because of the potential to prevent serious adverse events. Devices capable of detecting short episodes of arrhythmia are now widely available. Although it has recently been suggested that some high-risk patients with AF detected on implantable devices may benefit from anticoagulation, long-term management remains challenging in lower-risk patients and in those with AF detected on monitors or wearable devices as the development of clinically meaningful arrhythmia burden in this group remains unknown. Identification and prediction of clinically relevant AF is therefore of unprecedented importance to the cardiologic community. Family history and underlying genetic markers are important risk factors for AF. Recent studies suggest a good predictive ability of polygenic risk scores, with a possible additive value to clinical AF prediction scores. Artificial intelligence, enabled by the exponentially increasing computing power and digital data sets, has gained traction in the past decade and is of increasing interest in AF prediction using a single or multiple lead sinus rhythm electrocardiogram. Integrating these novel approaches could help predict AF substrate severity, thereby potentially improving the effectiveness of AF screening and personalizing the management of patients presenting with conditions such as embolic stroke of undetermined source or subclinical AF. This review presents current evidence surrounding deep learning and polygenic risk scores in the prediction of incident AF and provides a futuristic outlook on possible ways of implementing these modalities into clinical practice, while considering current limitations and required areas of improvement.

Artificial Intelligence Assessment of Biological Age From Transthoracic Echocardiography: Discrepancies with Chronologic Age Predict Significant Excess Mortality

BACKGROUND

Age and sex can be estimated using artificial intelligence on the basis of various sources. The aims of this study were to test whether convolutional neural networks could be trained to estimate age and predict sex using standard transthoracic echocardiography and to evaluate the prognostic implications.

METHODS

The algorithm was trained on 76,342 patients, validated in 22,825 patients, and tested in 20,960 patients. It was then externally validated using data from a different hospital (n = 556). Finally, a prospective cohort of handheld point-of-care ultrasound devices (n = 319; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT05455541) was used to confirm the findings. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the association between age estimation and chronologic age with overall survival.

RESULTS

The mean absolute error in age estimation was 4.9 years, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.922. The probabilistic value of sex had an overall accuracy of 96.1% and an area under the curve of 0.993. External validation and prospective study cohorts yielded consistent results. Finally, survival analysis demonstrated that age prediction ≥5 years vs chronologic age was associated with an independent 34% increased risk for death during follow-up (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Applying artificial intelligence to standard transthoracic echocardiography allows the prediction of sex and the estimation of age. Machine-based estimation is an independent predictor of overall survival and, with further evaluation, can be used for risk stratification and estimation of biological age.

Age Prediction From 12-lead Electrocardiograms Using Deep Learning: A Comparison of Four Models on a Contemporary, Freely Available Dataset

Objective

The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is routine in clinical use and deep learning approaches have been shown to have the identify features not immediately apparent to human interpreters including age and sex. Several models have been published but no direct comparisons exist.

Approach

We implemented three previously published models and one unpublished model to predict age and sex from a 12-lead ECG and then compared their performance on an open-access data set.

Main results

All models converged and were evaluated on the holdout set. The best preforming age prediction model had a hold-out set mean absolute error of 8.06 years. The best preforming sex prediction model had a hold-out set area under the receiver operating curve of 0.92.

Significance

We compared performance of four models on an open-access dataset.

Enhancing ECG-based heart age: impact of acquisition parameters and generalization strategies for varying signal morphologies and corruptions

Electrocardiogram (ECG) is a non-invasive approach to capture the overall electrical activity produced by the contraction and relaxation of the cardiac muscles. It has been established in the literature that the difference between ECG-derived age and chronological age represents a general measure of cardiovascular health. Elevated ECG-derived age strongly correlates with cardiovascular conditions (e.g., atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease). However, the neural networks for ECG age estimation are yet to be thoroughly evaluated from the perspective of ECG acquisition parameters. Additionally, deep learning systems for ECG analysis encounter challenges in generalizing across diverse ECG morphologies in various ethnic groups and are susceptible to errors with signals that exhibit random or systematic distortions To address these challenges, we perform a comprehensive empirical study to determine the threshold for the sampling rate and duration of ECG signals while considering their impact on the computational cost of the neural networks. To tackle the concern of ECG waveform variability in different populations, we evaluate the feasibility of utilizing pre-trained and fine-tuned networks to estimate ECG age in different ethnic groups. Additionally, we empirically demonstrate that finetuning is an environmentally sustainable way to train neural networks, and it significantly decreases the ECG instances required (by more than 100 × ) for attaining performance similar to the networks trained from random weight initialization on a complete dataset. Finally, we systematically evaluate augmentation schemes for ECG signals in the context of age estimation and introduce a random cropping scheme that provides best-in-class performance while using shorter-duration ECG signals. The results also show that random cropping enables the networks to perform well with systematic and random ECG signal corruptions.

Transforming Cardiovascular Care With Artificial Intelligence: From Discovery to Practice: JACC State-of-the-Art Review

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform every facet of cardiovascular practice and research. The exponential rise in technology powered by AI is defining new frontiers in cardiovascular care, with innovations that span novel diagnostic modalities, new digital native biomarkers of disease, and high-performing tools evaluating care quality and prognosticating clinical outcomes. These digital innovations promise expanded access to cardiovascular screening and monitoring, especially among those without access to high-quality, specialized care historically. Moreover, AI is propelling biological and clinical discoveries that will make future cardiovascular care more personalized, precise, and effective. The review brings together these diverse AI innovations, highlighting developments in multimodal cardiovascular AI across clinical practice and biomedical discovery, and envisioning this new future backed by contemporary science and emerging discoveries. Finally, we define the critical path and the safeguards essential to realizing this AI-enabled future that helps achieve optimal cardiovascular health and outcomes for all.

Pediatric sex estimation using AI-enabled ECG analysis: influence of pubertal development

AI-enabled ECGs have previously been shown to accurately predict patient sex in adults and correlate with sex hormone levels. We aimed to test the ability of AI-enabled ECGs to predict sex in the pediatric population and study the influence of pubertal development. AI-enabled ECG models were created using a convolutional neural network trained on pediatric 10-second, 12-lead ECGs. The first model was trained de novo using pediatric data. The second model used transfer learning from a previously validated adult data-derived algorithm. We analyzed the first ECG from 90,133 unique pediatric patients (aged ≤18 years) recorded between 1987-2022, and divided the cohort into training, validation, and testing datasets. Subgroup analysis was performed on prepubertal (0-7 years), peripubertal (8-14 years), and postpubertal (15-18 years) patients. The cohort was 46.7% male, with 21,678 prepubertal, 26,740 peripubertal, and 41,715 postpubertal children. The de novo pediatric model demonstrated 81% accuracy and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91. Model sensitivity was 0.79, specificity was 0.83, positive predicted value was 0.84, and the negative predicted value was 0.78, for the entire test cohort. The model's discriminatory ability was highest in postpubertal (AUC = 0.98), lower in the peripubertal age group (AUC = 0.91), and poor in the prepubertal age group (AUC = 0.67). There was no significant performance difference observed between the transfer learning and de novo models. AI-enabled interpretation of ECG can estimate sex in peripubertal and postpubertal children with high accuracy.

Prospects for artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram as a unified screening tool for cardiac and non-cardiac conditions: an explorative study in emergency care

Aims

Current deep learning algorithms for automatic ECG analysis have shown notable accuracy but are typically narrowly focused on singular diagnostic conditions. This exploratory study aims to investigate the capability of a single deep learning model to predict a diverse range of both cardiac and non-cardiac discharge diagnoses based on a single ECG collected in the emergency department.

Methods and results

In this study, we assess the performance of a model trained to predict a broad spectrum of diagnoses. We find that the model can reliably predict 253 ICD codes (81 cardiac and 172 non-cardiac) in the sense of exceeding an AUROC score of 0.8 in a statistically significant manner.

Conclusion

The model demonstrates proficiency in handling a wide array of cardiac and non-cardiac diagnostic scenarios, indicating its potential as a comprehensive screening tool for diverse medical encounters.

BioAgeNet: An Age-Informed Convolutional Autoencoder for ECG Clustering Indicating Health

Biological Age (BA) indicates the authentic ageing progression of an individual in relation to their quality of life. The noninvasive identification of BA is crucial in predicting longevity and early age-related diseases and enabling personalized healthcare. Potential biomarkers of BA are vague and need attention. The ageing process stands out as a prominent risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. Consequently, an Electrocardiogram (ECG), the most popular and easily accessible signal, is explored to analyze the effect of age. Numerous studies have delved into supervised deep-learning approaches for ECG analysis, particularly in predicting age. These studies rely on regression-based methods and necessitate additional analysis for extracting health-related insights, such as the correlation of error between Chronological Age and AI-predicted Age with mortality. Moreover, as the shortage of cardiologists' annotated data is apparent, we propose an Age-Informed Convolutional Autoencoder that clusters ECG deep features associated with age to assess the quality of life possessed at the current age. We also proposed a three-step training strategy combining model training and deep ECG features clustering with a controlled initialization. We find that a combination of age and ECG reveals the heart's BA and is a contributing biomarker for estimating the overall BA of the body. This approach marks substantial progress in analyzing age-related impacts on ECG. It provides new perspectives on different cardiovascular disorders and can potentially transform personalized healthcare in the future.