Race-Specific Predictors of Mortality in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Differential Impacts of Intraventricular Hemorrhage and Age Among Blacks and Whites

Association of Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status With Withdrawal of Life-Sustaining Therapies After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Mortality after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is common. Neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) is an important social determinant of health (SDoH) that can affect clinical outcome. We hypothesize that SDoH, including nSES, contribute to differences in withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies (WLSTs) and mortality in patients with ICH.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study of patients with ICH at 3 tertiary care hospitals between January 2017 and December 2022 identified through the Get with the Guidelines Database. We collected data on age, clinical severity, race/ethnicity, median household income, insurance, marital status, religion, mortality before discharge, and WLST from the electronic medical record. We assessed for associations between SDoH and WLST, mortality, and poor discharge mRS using Mann-Whitney U tests and χ2 tests. We performed multivariable analysis using backward stepwise logistic regression.

RESULTS

We identified 868 patients (median age 67 [interquartile range (IQR) 55-78] years; 43% female) with ICH. Of them, 16% were Black non-Hispanic, 17% were Asian, and 15% were of Hispanic ethnicity; 50% were on Medicare and 22% on Medicaid, and the median (IQR) household income was $81,857 ($58,669-$122,078). Mortality occurred in 17% of patients, and of them, 84% of patients had WLST. Patients from zip codes with higher median household incomes had higher incidence of WLST and mortality (p < 0.01). Black non-Hispanic race was associated with lower WLST and discharge mortality (p ≤ 0.01 for both). In multivariable analysis adjusting for age and clinical severity scores, patients who lived in zip codes with high-income levels were more likely to have WLST (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.88; 95% CI 1.29-2.74) and mortality before discharge (aOR 1.5; 95% CI 1.06-2.13).

DISCUSSION

SDoH, including nSES, are associated with WLST after ICH. This has important implications for the care and management of patients with ICH.

An artificial intelligence-based prognostic prediction model for hemorrhagic stroke

PURPOSE

The prognosis following a hemorrhagic stroke is usually extremely poor. Rating scales have been developed to predict the outcomes of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). To date, however, the prognostic prediction models have not included the full range of relevant imaging features. We constructed a clinic-imaging fusion model based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) to predict the short-term prognosis of ICH patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a multi-center retrospective study, which included 1990 patients with ICH. Two CNN-based deep learning models were constructed to predict the neurofunctional outcomes at discharge; these were validated using a nested 5-fold cross-validation approach. The models' predictive efficiency was compared with the original ICH scale and the ICH grading scale. Poor neurological outcome was defined as a Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score of 1-3.

RESULTS

The training and test sets included 1599 and 391 patients, respectively. For the test set, the clinic-imaging fusion model had the highest area under the curve (AUC = 0.903), followed by the imaging-based model (AUC = 0.886), the ICH scale (AUC = 0.777), and finally the ICH grading scale (AUC = 0.747).

CONCLUSION

The CNN prognostic prediction model based on neuroimaging features was more effective than the ICH scales in predicting the neurological outcomes of ICH patients at discharge. The CNN model's predictive efficiency slightly improved when clinical data were included.

Red Cell Microparticles Suppress Hematoma Growth Following Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Chronic Nicotine-Exposed Rats

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is a disabling stroke sub-type, and tobacco use is a prominent risk factor for sICH. We showed that chronic nicotine exposure enhances bleeding post-sICH. Reduction of hematoma growth is a promising effective therapy for sICH in smoking subjects. Red-blood-cell-derived microparticles (RMPs) are hemostatic agents that limit hematoma expansion following sICH in naïve rats. Considering the importance of testing the efficacy of experimental drugs in animal models with a risk factor for a disease, we tested RMP efficacy and the therapeutic time window in limiting hematoma growth post-sICH in rats exposed to nicotine. Young rats were chronically treated with nicotine using osmotic pumps. sICH was induced in rats using an injection of collagenase in the right striatum. Vehicle/RMPs were administered intravenously. Hematoma volume and neurological impairment were quantified ≈24 h after sICH. Hematoma volumes in male and female nicotine-exposed rats that were treated with RMPs at 2 h post-sICH were significantly lower by 26 and 31% when compared to their respective control groups. RMP therapy was able to limit hematoma volume when administered up to 4.5 h post-sICH in animals of both sexes. Therefore, RMPs may limit hematoma growth in sICH patients exposed to tobacco use.

Chronic Nicotine Exposure Increases Hematoma Expansion Following Collagenase-Induced Intracerebral Hemorrhage in Rats

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is a deadly stroke subtype, and tobacco use increases sICH risk. However epidemiological studies show that, there are no confirmatory studies showing the effect of tobacco use on sICH outcome. Therefore, we evaluated the effect of chronic nicotine exposure (as a surrogate for tobacco use) on outcomes following sICH. Young male and female rats were randomly assigned to either nicotine (4.5 mg/kg b.w. per day) or vehicle (saline) treatment (2–3 weeks) groups. sICH was induced by injecting collagenase into the right striatum. Neurological score and hematoma volume were determined 24 h post-sICH. The hematoma volumes in nicotine-treated male and female rats were significantly higher by 42% and 48% when compared to vehicle-treated male and female rats, respectively. Neurological deficits measured in terms of neurological score for the nicotine-treated male and female groups were significantly higher when compared to the respective vehicle-treated male and female groups. Our results show that chronic nicotine exposure increases hematoma volume post-sICH in rats of both sexes. Identifying the mechanism of nicotine-dependent increase in hematoma growth post-sICH will be crucial to understanding the detrimental effect of tobacco use on the severity of bleeding following intracerebral hemorrhage.

Novel Score for Stratifying Risk of Critical Care Needs in Patients With Intracerebral Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

To develop a risk prediction score identifying patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) at low risk for critical care.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of 451 patients with ICH between 2010 and 2018. The sample was randomly divided into a development and a validation cohort. Logistic regression was used to develop a risk score by weighting independent predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) needs according to strength of association. The risk score was tested in the validation cohort and externally validated in a dataset from another institution.

RESULTS

The rate of ICU interventions was 80.3%. Systolic blood pressure (SBP), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), and ICH volume were independent predictors of critical care, resulting in the following point assignments for the Intensive Care Triaging in Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage (INTRINSIC) score: SBP 160 to 190 mm Hg (1 point), SBP >190 mm Hg (3 points); GCS 8 to 13 (1 point), GCS <8 (3 points); ICH volume 16 to 40 cm3 (1 point), ICH volume >40 cm3 (2 points); and presence of IVH (1 point), with values ranging between 0 and 9. Among patients with a score of 0 and no ICU needs during their emergency department stay, 93.6% remained without critical care needs. In an external validation cohort of patients with ICH, the INTRINSIC score achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.823 (95% confidence interval 0.782-0.863). A score <2 predicted the absence of critical care needs with 48.5% sensitivity and 88.5% specificity, and a score <3 predicted the absence of critical care needs with 61.7% sensitivity and 83.0% specificity.

CONCLUSION

The INTRINSIC score identifies patients with ICH who are at low risk for critical care interventions.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class II evidence that the INTRINSIC score identifies patients with ICH at low risk for critical care interventions.

Race and in-hospital mortality after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in the Stroke Belt: Secondary analysis of a case-control study

Background and Purpose:

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for around 10% of stroke, but carries 50% of stroke mortality. ICH characteristics and prognostic factors specific to the Stroke Belt are not well defined by race.

Methods:

Records of patients admitted to the University of Alabama Hospital with ICH from 2017 to 2019 were reviewed. We examined the association of demographics; clinical and radiographic features including stroke severity, hematoma volume, and ICH score; and transfer status with in-hospital mortality and discharge functional status for a biracial population including Black and White patients. Independent predictors of in-hospital mortality and functional outcome were examined using logistic regression.

Results:

Among the 275 ICH cases included in this biracial analysis, Black patients (n = 114) compared to White patients (n = 161) were younger (60.6 vs. 71.4 years, P < 0.0001), more often urban (81% vs. 64%, P < 0.01), more likely to have a history of hypertension (87% vs. 71%, P < 0.01), less often transferred (44% vs. 74%, P < 0.01), and had smaller median initial hematoma volumes (9.1 vs. 12.6 mL, P = 0.041). On multivariable analysis, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) for White patients (OR 13.0, P < 0.0001), hyperlipidemia for Black patients (OR 13.9, P = 0.019), and ICH volume for either race (Black patients: OR 1.05, P = 0.03 and White patients: OR 1.04, P < 0.01) were independent predictors of in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions:

Hypertension is more prevalent among Black ICH patients in the Stroke Belt. The addition of hyperlipidemia to the ICH score model improved the prediction of mortality for Black ICH patients. No differences in in-hospital mortality or poor functional outcome were observed by race.

Tobacco Use: A Major Risk Factor of Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) is one of the deadliest subtypes of stroke, and no treatment is currently available. One of the major risk factors is tobacco use. In this article, we review literature on how tobacco use affects the risk of sICH and also summarize the known effects of tobacco use on outcomes following sICH. Several studies demonstrate that the risk of sICH is higher in current cigarette smokers compared to non-smokers. The literature also establishes that cigarette smoking not only increases the risk of sICH but also increases hematoma growth, results in worse outcomes, and increases the risk of death from sICH. This review also discusses potential mechanisms activated by tobacco use which result in an increase in risk and severity of sICH. Exploring the underlying mechanisms may help alleviate the risk of sICH in tobacco users as well as may help better manage tobacco user sICH patients.

Natural History of Infratentorial Intracerebral Hemorrhages: Two Subgroups with Distinct Presentations and Outcomes

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Infratentorial intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with worse prognosis than supratentorial ICH; however, infratentorial ICH is often excluded or underrepresented in clinical trials of ICH. We sought to evaluate the natural history of infratentorial ICH stratified by brainstem or cerebellar location using a prospective observational study inclusive of all spontaneous ICH.

METHODS

Using a prospective, single center cohort of patients with spontaneous ICH between 2008-2019, we conducted a descriptive analysis of baseline demographics, severity of injury scores, and long-term functional outcomes of infratentorial ICH stratified by cerebellar or brainstem location.

RESULTS

Infratentorial ICH occurred in 82 (13%) of 632 patients in our ICH cohort. Among infratentorial ICH, cerebellar ICH occurred in 45 (55%) and brainstem ICH occurred in 37 (45%). Compared to cerebellar ICH, patients with brainstem ICH had significantly worse severity of injury scores, including lower admission Glasgow Coma Scale (median 14 [7.0 - 15.0] versus 4 [3.0 - 8.0], respectively; P < 0.001) and higher ICH Score (median 2 [1.0 - 3.0] versus 3 [2.75 - 4.0], respectively; P =  0.02). Patients with cerebellar ICH were more likely to be discharged home or to acute rehabilitation (OR 4.8, 95% CI 1.8 - 12.8) but there was no difference in in-hospital mortality (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.1 - 1.1, P =  0.08) or cause of death (P =  0.5). Modified Rankin Scale scores at 3 months were significantly better in patients with cerebellar ICH compared to brainstem ICH (median 3.5 [1.8 - 6.0] versus median 6 [5.0 - 6.0], P =  0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Location of infratentorial ICH is an important determinant of admission severity and clinical outcome in unselected patients with ICH. Patients with cerebellar ICH have less severe symptoms at presentation and more favorable functional outcomes compared to patients with brainstem ICH.

[Factors associated with lack of hospital care in deaths from cerebrovascular disease, São Paulo, Brazil: a comparative analysis of 1996-1998 and 2013-2015]

The objective was to assess sociodemographic and clinical factors related to the lack of hospital care in deaths from ischemic and hemorrhagic cerebrovascular disease (CVD) in the state of São Paulo, Brazil, in 1996-1998 and 2013-2015. The study used data on deaths from the Mortality Information System. Poisson regression was used to analyze the association between lack of hospital care and the study variables. Of the 127,319 individuals that died of CVD in the two three-years periods, 19,362 (15.2%) had failed to receive hospital care. Lack of hospital care in deaths from CVD remained practically unchanged in relation to sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, except for distributions by sex. The more recent three-year period showed higher risk of death from CVD without hospital care among Asian-descendant individuals (RR = 1.48), while lower risk of death from CVD without hospital care in the more recent period was associated with black color (RR = 0.85), brown color (RR = 0.86), married individuals (RR = 0.70), those living in the capital city of São Paulo (RR = 0.92), those who received medical care (RR = 0.17), and those with hemorrhagic CVD (RR = 0.47). In addition, lack of hospital care in deaths from hemorrhagic CVD was lower among married individuals (RR = 0.67), those living in the capital city of São Paulo (RR = 0.74), and those who received medical care (RR = 0.08). Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics were associated with the lack of hospital care in deaths from ischemic and hemorrhagic CVD, suggesting that there are differences in care for CVD patients.

Assessment and Comparison of the Four Most Extensively Validated Prognostic Scales for Intracerebral Hemorrhage: Systematic Review with Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a devastating disorder, responsible for 10% of all strokes. Several prognostic scores have been developed for this population to predict mortality and functional outcome. The aim of this study was to determine the four most frequently validated and most widely used scores, assess their discrimination for both outcomes by means of a systematic review with meta-analysis, and compare them using meta-regression.

METHODS

PubMed, ISI Web of Knowledge, Scopus, and CENTRAL were searched for studies validating the ICH score, ICH-GS, modified ICH, and the FUNC score in ICH patients. C-statistic was chosen as the measure of discrimination. For each score and outcome, C-statistics were aggregated at four different time points using random effect models, and heterogeneity was evaluated using the I² statistic. Score comparison was undertaken by pooling all C-statistics at different time points using robust variance estimation (RVE) and performing meta-regression, with the score used as the independent variable.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were found validating the original ICH score, 14 studies were found validating the ICH-GS, eight studies were found validating the FUNC score, and five studies were found validating the modified ICH score. Most studies attempted outcome prediction at 3 months or earlier. Pooled C-statistics ranged from 0.76 for FUNC functional outcome prediction at discharge to 0.85 for ICH-GS mortality prediction at 3 months, but heterogeneity was high across studies. RVE showed the ICH score retained the highest discrimination for mortality (c = 0.84), whereas the modified ICH score retained the highest discrimination for functional outcome (c = 0.80), but these differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The ICH score is the most extensively validated score in ICH patients and, in the absence of superior prediction by other scores, should preferably be used. Further studies are needed to validate prognostic scores at longer follow-ups and assess the reasons for heterogeneity in discrimination.

Minority Patients are Less Likely to Undergo Withdrawal of Care After Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Prior studies of patients in the intensive care unit have suggested racial/ethnic variation in end-of-life decision making. We sought to evaluate whether race/ethnicity modifies the implementation of comfort measures only status (CMOs) in patients with spontaneous, non-traumatic intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

We analyzed data from the Ethnic/Racial Variations of Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ERICH) study, a prospective cohort study specifically designed to enroll equal numbers of white, black, and Hispanic subjects. ICH patients aged ≥ 18 years were enrolled in ERICH at 42 hospitals in the USA from 2010 to 2015. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were implemented to evaluate the association between race/ethnicity and CMOs after adjustment for potential confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 2705 ICH cases (912 black, 893 Hispanic, 900 white) were included in this study (mean age 62 [SD 14], female sex 1119 [41%]). CMOs patients comprised 276 (10%) of the entire cohort; of these, 64 (7%) were black, 79 (9%) Hispanic, and 133 (15%) white (univariate p < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, compared to whites, blacks were half as likely to be made CMOs (OR 0.50, 95% CI 0.34-0.75; p = 0.001), and no statistically significant difference was observed for Hispanics. All three racial/ethnic groups had similar mortality rates at discharge (whites 12%, blacks 9%, and Hispanics 10%; p = 0.108). Other factors independently associated with CMOs included age (p < 0.001), premorbid modified Rankin Scale (p < 0.001), dementia (p = 0.008), admission Glasgow Coma Scale (p = 0.009), hematoma volume (p < 0.001), intraventricular hematoma volume (p < 0.001), lobar (p = 0.032) and brainstem (p < 0.001) location and endotracheal intubation (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In ICH, black patients are less likely than white patients to have CMOs. However, in-hospital mortality is similar across all racial/ethnic groups. Further investigation is warranted to better understand the causes and implications of racial disparities in CMO decisions.

Permanent CSF shunting after intraventricular hemorrhage in the CLEAR III trial

OBJECTIVE

To study factors associated with permanent CSF diversion and the relationship between shunting and functional outcomes in spontaneous intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH).

METHODS

Clot Lysis Evaluation of Accelerated Resolution of Intraventricular Hemorrhage (CLEAR III), a randomized, multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, was conducted to determine if pragmatically employed external ventricular drainage (EVD) plus intraventricular alteplase improved outcome, in comparison to EVD plus saline. Outcome measures were predictors of shunting and blinded assessment of mortality and modified Rankin Scale at 180 days.

RESULTS

Among the 500 patients with IVH, CSF shunting was performed in 90 (18%) patients at a median of 18 (interquartile range [IQR] 13-30) days. Patient demographics and IVH characteristics were similar among patients with and without shunts. In the multivariate analysis, black race (odds ratio [OR] 1.98; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.18-3.34), duration of EVD (OR 1.10; CI 1.05-1.15), placement of more than one EVD (OR 1.93; CI 1.13-3.31), daily drainage CSF per 10 mL (OR 1.07; CI 1.04-1.10), and intracranial pressure >30 mm Hg (OR 1.70; CI 1.09-2.88) were associated with higher odds of permanent CSF shunting. Patients who had CSF shunts had similar odds of 180-day mortality, while survivors with shunts had increased odds of poor functional outcome, compared to survivors without shunts.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with spontaneous IVH requiring emergency CSF diversion, those with early elevated intracranial pressure, high CSF output, and placement of more than one EVD are at increased odds of permanent ventricular shunting. Administration of intraventricular alteplase, early radiographic findings, and CSF measures were not useful predictors of permanent CSF diversion.

Prognostic Significance of Intraventricular Hemorrhage in Vascular Structural Abnormality-Related Intracerebral Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) in patients with vascular structural abnormality-related intracerebral hemorrhage (VSARICH) is poorly understood.

METHOD

We prospectively included consecutive patients diagnosed with VSARICH. Imaging of initial brain computed tomography (CT) scans within 48 hours of symptom onset was analyzed. The presence and severity of IVH were recorded. Severity of IVH was measured using the modified Graeb (mGraeb) score. Baseline characteristics and 3-month outcomes were compared between the IVH and non-IVH groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine the independent association between IVH and 3-month outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 132 VSARICH patients were included for analysis, and 71 (53.8%) of them had IVH on initial CT imaging. IVH patients had a median mGraeb score of 15 (6-21), and compared to non-IVH patients, they had shorter delay to first CT scan and higher stroke severity on admission (all P ≤ .005). At 3 months, IVH patients had higher death rates (30.3% versus 7.0%; P = .001) and poor outcome rates (48.5% versus 21.1%; P = .002) than non-IVH patients. After multivariate analysis, IVH severity was associated with 3-month death (Model 1 OR 1.112, 95% CI [1.027-1.204], P = .009; Model 2 OR 1.110, 95% CI [1.027-1.200], P = .009) and poor outcome (Model 2 OR 1.053, 95% CI [1.001-1.108], P = .047), although no independent association between IVH presence and outcomes was observed.

CONCLUSION

IVH severity measured by mGraeb score independently predicts death and poor functional outcome in patients with VSARICH.