Natural History of Small Unruptured Anterior Circulation Aneurysms

Role of Statins in the Clinical and Radiologic Outcomes of Patients with Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Undergoing Microsurgery or Endovascular Treatment: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The impact of statin pretreatment on outcomes for patients undergoing endovascular treatment of intracranial aneurysms remains uncertain. We aimed to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis evaluating the efficacy and safety of statins in this population.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases from inception to August 1, 2024. This study compares the outcomes between statin users and nonusers undergoing endovascular aneurysm treatment.

RESULTS

Eight studies with 5862 patients were included. Complete occlusion rates after endovascular aneurysm treatment were similar between statin users and nonusers (pooled odds ratio [OR], 0.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-1.23). Statin use was associated with a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke (pooled OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.03-2.19, P = 0.03). No differences were seen in neurologic mortality (pooled OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.21-2.57; P = 0.63), all-cause mortality (pooled OR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.16-2.90, P = 0.61), or retreatment rates (pooled OR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.35-1.66; P = 0.49). Statin therapy was associated with decreased hemorrhagic complication (pooled OR, 0.45; 95% CI, 0.24-0.85; P = 0.01) but did not affect thrombosis risk (pooled OR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.68-2.40; P = 0.45) and statin use decreased in-stent stenosis (OR, 2.31, 95% CI, 1.51-3.52; P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Statin pretreatment may decrease the risk of hemorrhagic complications and in-stent stenosis after endovascular aneurysm therapy but does not improve angiographic occlusion. An increased hazard of ischemic events was found. Further data are needed to validate these findings and clarify the role of statins in patients with aneurysms undergoing endovascular procedures.

Preventive clipping versus coiling in unruptured intracranial aneurysms: A comprehensive meta-analysis and systematic review to explore safety and efficacy

BACKGROUND

Surgical clipping and endovascular coiling are both effective in preventing aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, but the choice between these interventions remains controversial, leading to treatment disparities across medical centers.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted, including relevant two-arm clinical trials up to September 2023, sourced from Scopus, PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library. Our primary outcomes were complete occlusion rates during mid-term and long-term follow-ups. Standard mean differences and risk ratios were used to analyze variations in outcomes. Python meta-analysis with sensitivity testing and regional subgroup analysis was used to resolve heterogeneity.

RESULTS

The analysis included 139,485 participants. Clipping demonstrated significantly higher complete occlusion rates in midterm follow-up (RR = 0.83, 95% CI [0.75, 0.91], p = 0.0001) but was associated with a higher risk of procedural complications such as bleeding and ischemic stroke. Coiling showed a higher risk of retreatment (RR = 3.46, 95% CI [1.21, 9.86], p = 0.02), yet it had lower procedural complications (RR = 0.54, 95% CI [0.38, 0.78], p < 0.0009), shorter hospital stays (MD 4.36, 95% CI [2.96, 5.77], p = 0.0001), and better post-procedural outcomes as indicated by lower modified Rankin Scale scores (RR = 0.73, 95% CI [0.55, 0.97], p = 0.03). Long-term occlusion rates were comparable between the two methods.

CONCLUSION

While clipping achieves higher mid-term occlusion rates, coiling is associated with fewer complication rates, shorter hospital stays, and potentially better long-term outcomes. Treatment decisions should be individualized, considering patient-specific characteristics and procedural feasibility.

Artificial intelligence applied to development of predictive stability model for intracranial aneurysms

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop multiple machine learning models to predict the risk of early intracranial aneurysms (IAs) rupture, evaluate and compare the performance of predictive models.

METHODS

Information related to patients diagnosed with IA by CT angiography and clinicians in Central hospital of Dalian University of Technology from January 2010 to June 2022 was collected, including clinical characteristics, blood indicators and IA morphological parameters. IA with rupture or maximum growth ≥ 0.5 mm within 1 month of first diagnosis was considered unstable. The relevant factors affecting IA stability were screened and predictive models were developed based on the above three levels, including random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under curve (AUC) value were used to evaluate the predictive models.

RESULTS

A total of 989 IA patients were included in the study, including 561 stable patients and 428 unstable patients. For RF models, the training set showed that sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and the AUC values were 72.8-83.7%, 76.9-86.9%, 75.1-84.1% and 0.748 (0.719-0.778)-0.839 (0.814-0.864), respectively; after test set validation, the results were 71.9-78.8%, 75.0-84.0%, 73.6-81.1% and 0.734 (0.688-0.781)-0.809 (0.768-0.850), respectively. For SVM models, the training set were 66.0-80.2%, 76.5-85.5%, 71.7-82.3%, 0.712 (0.682-0.743)-0.913 (0.884-0.924), respectively; the test set were 44.2-78.3%, 63.4-84.4%, 57.9-80.9%, 0.699 (0.651-0.747)-0.806 (0.765-0.848), respectively. For ANN models, the training set were 66.8-83.0%, 75.3-82.3%, 71.6-82.1%, 0.783 (0.757-0.808)-0.897 (0.879-0.914); the test set were 63.1-76.3%, 65.5-84.0%, 64.4-80.6%, 0.680 (0.593-0.694)-0.860 (0.821-0.899). The results of variable importance showed that age, white blood cell count (WBC) and uric acid (UA) played an important role in predicting the stability of IA.

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive stability models of IA based on three artificial intelligence methods shows good clinical application. Age, WBC and UA played an important role in predicting the IA stability, and were potentially important predictors.

Decision-Making for Preventive Interventions in Asymptomatic Patients

The decision to treat an incidental finding in an asymptomatic patient results from careful risk-benefit consideration and is often challenging. One of the main aspects is after how many years the group who underwent the intervention and faced the immediate treatment complications will gain a treatment benefit over the conservatively managed group, which maintains a lower but ongoing risk. We identify a common error in decision-making. We illustrate how a risk-based approach using the classical break-even point at the Kaplan-Meier curves can be misleading and advocate for using an outcome-based approach, counting the cumulative number of lost quality-adjusted life years instead. In clinical practice, we often add together the yearly risk of the natural course up to the time point where the number equals the risk of the intervention and assume that the patient will benefit from an intervention beyond this point in time. It corresponds to the crossing of the Kaplan-Meier curves. However, because treatment-related poor outcome occurs at the time of the intervention, while the poor outcome in the conservative group occurs over a given time period, the true benefit of retaining more quality-adjusted life years in the interventional group emerges at a much later time. To avoid overtreatment of patients with asymptomatic diseases, decision-making should be outcome-based with counting the cumulative loss of quality-adjusted life years, rather than risk-based, comparing the interventional risk with the ongoing yearly risk of the natural course.

Prediction of small intracranial aneurysm rupture status based on combined Clinical-Radiomics model

BACKGROUND

Accumulating small unruptured intracranial aneurysms are detected due to the improved quality and higher frequency of cranial imaging, but treatment remains controversial. While surgery or endovascular treatment is effective for small aneurysms with a high risk of rupture, such interventions are unnecessary for aneurysms with a low risk of rupture. Consequently, it is imperative to accurately identify small aneurysms with a low risk of rupture. The purpose of this study was to develop a clinically practical model to predict small aneurysm ruptures based on a radiomics signature and clinical risk factors.

METHODS

A total of 293 patients having an aneurysm with a diameter of less than 5 mm, including 199 patients (67.9 %) with a ruptured aneurysm and 94 patients (32.1 %) without a ruptured aneurysm, were included in this study. Digital subtraction angiography or surgical treatment was required in all cases. Data on the clinical risk factors and the features on computed tomography angiography images associated with the aneurysm rupture status were collected simultaneously. We developed a clinical-radiomics model to predict aneurysm rupture status using multivariate logistic regression analysis. The combined clinical-radiomics model was constructed by nomogram analysis. The diagnostic performance, clinical utility, and model calibration were evaluated by operating characteristic curve analysis, decision curve analysis, and calibration analysis.

RESULTS

A combined clinical-radiomics model (Area Under Curve [AUC], 0.85; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.757-0.947) showed effective performance in the operating characteristic curve analysis. In the validation cohort, the performance of the combined model was better than that of the radiomics model (AUC, 0.75; 95 % CI, 0.645-0.865; Delong's test p-value = 0.01) and the clinical model (AUC, 0.74; 95 % CI, 0.625-0.851; Delong's test p-value <0.01) alone. The results of the decision curve, nomogram, and calibration analyses demonstrated the clinical utility and good fitness of the combined model.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated the effectiveness of a clinical-radiomics model for predicting rupture status in small aneurysms.

Sex differences in patients with and without high-risk factors associated with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Controversy remains regarding the appropriate screening for intracranial aneurysms or for the treatment of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) for patients without known high-risk factors for rupture. This study aimed to assess how sex affects both aSAH presentation and outcomes for aSAH treatment.

METHOD

A retrospective cohort study was conducted of all patients treated at a single institution for an aSAH during a 12-year period (August 1, 2007-July 31, 2019). An analysis of women with and without high-risk factors was performed, including a propensity adjustment for a poor neurologic outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score > 2) at follow-up.

RESULTS

Data from 1014 patients were analyzed (69% [n = 703] women). Women were significantly older than men (mean ± SD, 56.6 ± 14.1 years vs 53.4 ± 14.2 years, p < 0.001). A significantly lower percentage of women than men had a history of tobacco use (36.6% [n = 257] vs 46% [n = 143], p = 0.005). A significantly higher percentage of women than men had no high-risk factors for aSAH (10% [n = 70] vs 5% [n = 16], p = 0.01). The percentage of women with an mRS score > 2 at the last follow-up was significantly lower among those without high-risk factors (34%, 24/70) versus those with high-risk factors (53%, 334/633) (p = 0.004). Subsequent propensity-adjusted analysis (adjusted for age, Hunt and Hess grade, and Fisher grade) found no statistically significant difference in the odds of a poor outcome for women with or without high-risk factors for aSAH (OR = 0.7, 95% CI = 0.4-1.2, p = 0.18).

CONCLUSIONS

A higher percentage of women versus men with aSAH had no known high-risk factors for rupture, supporting more aggressive screening and management of women with unruptured aneurysms.

Predictors for Rupture of Small (<7mm) Intracranial Aneurysms: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Identifying predictors for rupture of small intracranial aneurysms (sIAs) have become a growing topic in the literature given the relative paucity of data on their natural history. The authors performed a meta-analysis to identify reliable predictors.

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were used to systematically extract references which involved at least 10 IAs <7mm which including a control group experiencing no rupture. All potential predictors reported in the literature were evaluated in the meta-analysis.

RESULTS

Fifteen studies yielding 4,739 sIAs were included in the meta-analysis. Four studies were prospective and 11 were retrospective. Univariate analysis identified 7 predictors which contradicted or are absent in the current scoring systems, while allowing to perform subgroup analysis for further reliability: patient age (MD -1.97, 95%CI -3.47-0.48; P = 0.01), the size ratio (MD 0.40, 95%CI 0.26-0.53; P < 0.00001), the aspect ratio (MD 0.16, 95%CI 0.11-0.22; P < 0.00001), bifurcation point (OR 3.76, 95%CI 2.41-5.85; P < 0.00001), irregularity (OR 2.95, 95%CI 1.91-4.55; P < 0.00001), the pressure loss coefficient (MD -0.32, 95%CI -0.52-0.11; P = 0.002), wall sheer stress (Pa) (MD -0.16, 95%CI -0.28-0.03; P = 0.01). All morphology related predictors listed above have been confirmed as independent predictors via multivariable analysis among the individual studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Morphology related predictors are superior to the classic patient demographic predictors present in most scoring systems. Given that morphology predictors take time to measure, our findings may be of great interest to developers seeking to incorporate artificial intelligence into the treatment decision-making process.

Risk factors for the rupture of intracranial aneurysms: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose

The study aimed to identify potential risk factors for aneurysm rupture by performing a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Materials and methods

We systematically searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library electronic databases for eligible studies from their inception until June 2023.

Results

Eighteen studies involving 17,069 patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) and 2,699 aneurysm ruptures were selected for the meta-analysis. Hyperlipidemia [odds ratio (OR): 0.47; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.39-0.56; p < 0.001] and a family history of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.71-0.91; p = 0.001) were associated with a reduced risk of aneurysm rupture. In contrast, a large-size aneurysm (OR: 4.49; 95% CI: 2.46-8.17; p < 0.001), ACA (OR: 3.34; 95% CI: 1.94-5.76; p < 0.001), MCA (OR: 2.16; 95% CI: 1.73-2.69; p < 0.001), and VABA (OR: 2.20; 95% CI: 1.24-3.91; p = 0.007) were associated with an increased risk of aneurysm rupture. Furthermore, the risk of aneurysm rupture was not affected by age, sex, current smoking, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, a history of SAH, and multiple aneurysms.

Conclusion

This study identified the predictors of aneurysm rupture in patients with UIAs, including hyperlipidemia, a family history of SAH, a large-size aneurysm, ACA, MCA, and VABA; patients at high risk for aneurysm rupture should be carefully monitored.

Systematic Review Registration

Our study was registered in the INPLASY platform (INPLASY202360062).

Morphological Factors affecting Coil-Only Embolization of Small Unruptured Aneurysms

Objective When small unruptured aneurysms (SUA) are embolized by coils, manipulation of the microcatheter and coil is limited because of their small size. Previous studies suggested that the morphology of the artery and aneurysm is important. In the present study, we clarified the morphological factors affecting coil-only embolization of SUA.

Patients and Methods We retrospectively identified 17 patients who underwent embolization for unruptured aneurysm with a maximum diameter less than 5 mm. We investigated the following: (1) the relationships among dome/neck ratio (D/N), height/neck ratio (H/N), height/dome ratio (H/D), projection of aneurysm-parent artery, and adverse events, (2) immediate and late occlusion, and (3) number of coils.

Results (1) Adverse events developed in three cases in which the H/D was smaller than 1 (p < 0.02). There was a significant difference in the rate of adverse events by projection of the aneurysm-parent artery (p < 0.03), (2) Occlusion rate: Immediately after coil embolization, 71% (12/17) were neck remnant; however, 88% (15/17) of SUA became complete occlusion in the follow-up term, and (3) 1.5 ± 0.6 coils were used.

Conclusion To achieve successful coil-only embolization in SUAs, it is important to select aneurysms for which the projection of the parent artery is suitable for embolizing and the H/D ratio is larger than 1. In SUAs, occlusion develops naturally after coil embolization.

Prospective study on embolization of intracranial aneurysms with the pipeline device (PREMIER study): 3-year results with the application of a flow diverter specific occlusion classification

BACKGROUND

The pipeline embolization device (PED; Medtronic) has presented as a safe and efficacious treatment for small- and medium-sized intracranial aneurysms. Independently adjudicated long-term results of the device in treating these lesions are still indeterminate. We present 3-year results, with additional application of a flow diverter specific occlusion scale.

METHODS

PREMIER (prospective study on embolization of intracranial aneurysms with pipeline embolization device) is a prospective, single-arm trial. Inclusion criteria were patients with unruptured wide-necked intracranial aneurysms ≤12 mm. Primary effectiveness (complete aneurysm occlusion) and safety (major neurologic event) endpoints were independently monitored and adjudicated.

RESULTS

As per the protocol, of 141 patients treated with a PED, 25 (17.7%) required angiographic follow-up after the first year due to incomplete aneurysm occlusion. According to the Core Radiology Laboratory review, three (12%) of these patients progressed to complete occlusion, with an overall rate of complete aneurysm occlusion at 3 years of 83.3% (115/138). Further angiographic evaluation using the modified Cekirge-Saatci classification demonstrated that complete occlusion, neck residual, or aneurysm size reduction occurred in 97.1%. The overall combined safety endpoint at 3 years was 2.8% (4/141), with only one non-debilitating major event occurring after the first year. There was one case of aneurysm recurrence but no cases of delayed rupture in this series.

CONCLUSIONS

The PED device presents as a safe and effective modality in treating small- and medium-sized intracranial aneurysms. The application of a flow diverter specific occlusion classification attested the long-term durability with higher rate of successful aneurysm occlusion and no documented aneurysm rupture.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02186561.

Experimental Induction of Intracranial Aneurysms in Rats: A New Model Utilizing a Genetic Modification within the EDNRA Gene

The rupture of an intracranial aneurysm (IA) leads to life-threatening subarachnoid hemorrhage. Aside from well-established risk factors, recently published genome-wide association studies of IA revealed the strong association of a common variant near the endothelin receptor type A (EDNRA) gene with IA risk. However, the role of EDNRA in the pathogenesis of IA remains unclear. The aim of this study was to investigate the influence of a genetic modification within the EDNRA gene on IA pathogenesis in a novel in vivo model. Adult wild-type Sprague–Dawley rats (WT rats) and genetically modified rats (EDNRA rats) were used for the induction of IA using arterial hypertension (HT). Animals were stratified into four groups: WT rats without (WT_CTL) and with induction of HT (WT + HT), as well as EDNRA rats without (EDNRA_CTL) and with induction of HT (EDNRA + HT). Blood pressure (BP) was observed for 12 weeks. After the observation period, cerebral arteries were analyzed for morphological (i.e., aneurysmal) changes as well as histological and functional changes by immunofluorescence and functional investigation. In the groups of rats with induction of HT, BP was higher in EDNRA + HT compared with that in WT + HT. No IAs were observed in WT_CTL and EDNRA_CTL but were found in WT + HT and EDNRA + HT. There was no histological difference in the immunofluorescence of EDNRA between all groups. Contractility and potency of endothelin-1 differed between the groups in functional investigation. In summary, we created a new model that is suitable for further studies for better understanding of the role of EDNRA in IA pathogenesis.

European Stroke Organisation (ESO) guidelines on management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIA) occur in around 3% of the population. Important management questions concern if and how to perform preventive UIA occlusion; if, how and when to perform follow up imaging and non-interventional means to reduce the risk of rupture. Using the Standard Operational Procedure of ESO we prepared guidelines according to GRADE methodology. Since no completed randomised trials exist, we used interim analyses of trials, and meta-analyses of observational and case-control studies to provide recommendations to guide UIA management. All recommendations were based on very low evidence. We suggest preventive occlusion if the estimated 5-year rupture risk exceeds the risk of preventive treatment. In general, we cannot recommend endovascular over microsurgical treatment, but suggest flow diverting stents as option only when there are no other low-risk options for UIA repair. To detect UIA recurrence we suggest radiological follow up after occlusion. In patients who are initially observed, we suggest radiological monitoring to detect future UIA growth, smoking cessation, treatment of hypertension, but not treatment with statins or acetylsalicylic acid with the indication to reduce the risk of aneurysm rupture. Additionally, we formulated 15 expert-consensus statements. All experts suggest to assess UIA patients within a multidisciplinary setting (neurosurgery, neuroradiology and neurology) at centres consulting >100 UIA patients per year, to use a shared decision-making process based on the team recommendation and patient preferences, and to repair UIA only in centres performing the proposed treatment in >30 patients with (ruptured or unruptured) aneurysms per year per neurosurgeon or neurointerventionalist. These UIA guidelines provide contemporary recommendations and consensus statement on important aspects of UIA management until more robust data come available.

Predicting the rupture status of small middle cerebral artery aneurysms using random forest modeling

Objective

Small intracranial aneurysms are increasingly being detected; however, a prediction model for their rupture is rare. Random forest modeling was used to predict the rupture status of small middle cerebral artery (MCA) aneurysms with morphological features.

Methods

From January 2009 to June 2020, we retrospectively reviewed patients with small MCA aneurysms (<7 mm). The aneurysms were randomly split into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) cohorts. Additional independent datasets were used for the external validation of 78 small MCA aneurysms from another four hospitals. Aneurysm morphology was determined using computed tomography angiography (CTA). Prediction models were developed using the random forest and multivariate logistic regression.

Results

A total of 426 consecutive patients with 454 small MCA aneurysms (<7 mm) were included. A multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that size ratio (SR), aspect ratio (AR), and daughter dome were associated with aneurysm rupture, whereas aneurysm angle and multiplicity were inversely associated with aneurysm rupture. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) of random forest models using the five independent risk factors in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts were 0.922, 0.889, and 0.92, respectively. The random forest model outperformed the logistic regression model (p = 0.048). A nomogram was developed to assess the rupture of small MCA aneurysms.

Conclusion

Random forest modeling is a good tool for evaluating the rupture status of small MCA aneurysms and may be considered for the management of small aneurysms.

Aneurysm size and blood pressure severity in patients with intracranial aneurysms and sleep apnea

STUDY OBJECTIVES

Obstructive sleep apnea is a risk factor for hypertension. Hypertension is associated with aneurysm formation, growth, and rupture of intracranial aneurysm (IA). Retrospectively, symptoms of obstructive sleep apnea are more prevalent in patients with IAs. Studies investigating the prevalence and effect of objectively measured sleep apnea in these patients are sparse. We report on the baseline data of an ongoing prospective study. We cross-sectionally analyzed whether obstructive sleep apnea was associated with larger IAs and increased need for antihypertensive medications in a population of patients with unruptured IA.

METHODS

130 adult (≥ 18 years) patients with unruptured IAs were recruited. Patients with ischemic stroke or intracranial hemorrhage within 3 months prior to screening were excluded. We assessed obstructive sleep apnea by full-night respiratory polygraphy. Aneurysm size and antihypertensive medication-as a surrogate parameter for the severity of hypertension-were compared between patients with and without obstructive sleep apnea (apnea-hypopnea index >5 events/h). Aneurysm growth and rupture rate were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

101 patients completed the study protocol. Obstructive sleep apnea was diagnosed in 68.0% (17) of male and 34.2% (26) of female participants and associated with more severe hypertension (1.536 ± 0.2 vs 0.74 ± 0.1 drugs; P = .01) and larger aneurysms (6.9 ± 1.0 vs 3.8 ± 0.5 mm; P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with obstructive sleep apnea had more antihypertensive medication and larger IAs, probably due to accelerated aneurysm growth. Sleep apnea should be considered in patients with IAs. More research is needed to investigate the effects of sleep apnea on IAs and aneurysm outcome.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; Name: Incidence and Effects of Sleep Apnea on Intracerebral Aneurysms-IESA Study; URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02880059; Identifier: NCT02880059.

CITATION

Zaremba S, Albus L, Hadjiathanasiou A, Vatter H, Wüllner U, Güresir E. Aneurysm size and blood pressure severity in patients with intracranial aneurysms and sleep apnea. J Clin Sleep Med. 2022;18(6):1539-1545.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage during the Shutdown for COVID-19

The aim was to evaluate hospitalization rates for aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) within an interdisciplinary multicenter neurovascular network (NVN) during the shutdown for the COVID-19 pandemic along with its modifiable risk factors. In this multicenter study, admission rates for SAH were compared for the period of the shutdown for the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany (calendar weeks (cw) 12 to 16, 2020), the periods before (cw 6–11) and after the shutdown (cw 17–21 and 22–26, 2020), as well as with the corresponding cw in the years 2015–2019. Data on all-cause and pre-hospital mortality within the area of the NVN were retrieved from the Department of Health, and the responsible emergency medical services. Data on known triggers for systemic inflammation, e.g., respiratory viruses and air pollution, were analyzed. Hospitalizations for SAH decreased during the shutdown period to one-tenth within the multicenter NVN. There was a substantial decrease in acute respiratory illness rates, and of air pollution during the shutdown period. The implementation of public health measures, e.g., contact restrictions and increased personal hygiene during the shutdown, might positively influence modifiable risk factors, e.g., systemic inflammation, leading to a decrease in the incidence of SAH.

A Meta-Analysis of Rupture Risk for Intracranial Aneurysms 10 mm or Less in Size Selected for Conservative Management Without Repair

BACKGROUND

Small unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are considered to have low risk of rupture. The proportion of UIAs measuring 10 mm or less in size that rupture when selected for conservative management without repair is not well known. The aim of this study is to determine the proportion of UIAs that rupture by size threshold from ≤10 to ≤3 mm when selected for management without repair and to determine the level of precision and sources of heterogeneity in the rupture risk estimate.

METHODS

This study was prospectively registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) (CRD42019121522). The Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science Core Collection, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials were searched (inception to August 2020). Studies with longitudinal follow-up of patients with UIAs ( ≤10 mm to ≤3 mm) without endovascular or neurosurgical repair were eligible. We included studies, which provided details of aneurysm size and in which UIA rupture was reported as an outcome. The primary outcome of the pooled proportion of UIA rupture during follow-up was synthesized with random-effects meta-analysis; heterogeneity was explored using meta-regression.

RESULTS

A total of 31 studies that included 13,800 UIAs ≤10 mm in size were eligible for data synthesis. The pooled proportion of ≤10 mm UIAs that ruptured when managed without repair was 1.1% (95% CI 0.8-1.5; I 2 = 52.9%) over 3.7 years. Findings were consistent in sensitivity analyses at all the size stratified thresholds including ≤5 and ≤3 mm; rupture occurred in 1.0% (95% CI 0.8-1.3; I 2 = 0%) of 7,280 ≤5 mm UIAs and 0.8% (95% CI 0.4-1.5; I 2 = 0%) of 1,228 ≤3 mm UIAs managed without repair. In higher quality studies with lower risk of bias, rupture occurred in 1.8% (95% CI 1.5-2.0; I 2 = 0%) over 3.9 years. In meta-regression, aneurysm size, shape, anatomical location, and exposure to prior subarachnoid hemorrhage were not identified as sources of heterogeneity.

CONCLUSION

For every 1,000 UIAs that are 10 mm or less in size and selected for conservative management without repair, between 8 and 15 UIAs are estimated to rupture over 3.7 years. When stratified by size, these pooled rupture risk estimates are consistent and clinically applicable for ≤5 mm UIAs selected for management without repair.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier: CRD42019121522.

Sex Difference and Rupture Rate of Intracranial Aneurysms: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

Background and Purpose:

In previous studies, women had a higher risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms than men, but female sex was not an independent risk factor. This may be explained by a higher prevalence of patient- or aneurysm-related risk factors for rupture in women than in men or by insufficient power of previous studies. We assessed sex differences in rupture rate taking into account other patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture.

Methods:

We searched Embase and Pubmed for articles published until December 1, 2020. Cohorts with available individual patient data were included in our meta-analysis. We compared rupture rates of women versus men using a Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for the PHASES score (Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of Aneurysm, Earlier Subarachnoid Hemorrhage From Another Aneurysm, Site of Aneurysm), smoking, and a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Results:

We pooled individual patient data from 9 cohorts totaling 9940 patients (6555 women, 66%) with 12 193 unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and 24 357 person-years follow-up. Rupture occurred in 163 women (rupture rate 1.04%/person-years [95% CI, 0.89–1.21]) and 63 men (rupture rate 0.74%/person-years [95% CI, 0.58–0.94]). Women were older (61.9 versus 59.5 years), were less often smokers (20% versus 44%), more often had internal carotid artery aneurysms (24% versus 17%), and larger sized aneurysms (≥7 mm, 24% versus 23%) than men. The unadjusted women-to-men hazard ratio was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.07–1.93) and the adjusted women/men ratio was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02–1.90).

Conclusions:

Women have a higher risk of aneurysmal rupture than men and this sex difference is not explained by differences in patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture. Future studies should focus on the factors explaining the higher risk of aneurysmal rupture in women.

Results of watchful waiting of unruptured intracranial aneurysms in a Western patient population: a single-center cohort

BACKGROUND

The natural history of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) in Western populations is still debated, especially for those <7 mm. Reporting data of a large single-center cohort managed with watchful waiting is therefore interesting.

METHODS

From January 2011 to June 2019, 662 UIAs were followed up by yearly MR angiography. Morphologically stable UIAs were managed conservatively while unstable UIAs were offered treatment. The patients' clinical and radiological data were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

UIAs were ≤4 mm in 60%, 4.1-7.0 mm in 33%, and >7 mm in 7%. They were located on the anterior circulation in 90% of cases. The mean follow-up duration was 51.32 months for a total of 2831 aneurysm-years. During follow-up, 37 UIAs (5.5%) were treated because of an increase in size, and 8 UIAs were treated because of patient decision. Three aneurysms ruptured during follow-up for an annual risk of rupture of 0.1% (95% CI 0% to 0.24%). No risk factors for rupture were identified. The three ruptured cases made an excellent recovery. During follow-up, annual mortality from unrelated causes was 0.8% (95% CI 0.51% to 1.18%).

CONCLUSIONS

This single-center cohort evaluated our watchful waiting policy applied in two-thirds of all incidental UIAs. Morphological change of UIAs during follow-up led to treatment in 5.5% of cases. With such a management paradigm, we found a low rupture rate in these selected UIAs and the mortality was unrelated to aneurysms.

Small ruptured cerebral aneurysms-do they rupture on formation or not?

PURPOSE

Of patients presenting with subarachnoid haemorrhage, most are due to rupture of a small aneurysm. It has been postulated that in most cases, these aneurysms form and rupture rapidly over a short period of time of days to weeks. We evaluated the hypothesis that such aneurysms therefore should never be discoverable as a pre-existing condition on medical imaging studies.

METHODS

All patients presenting with subarachnoid haemorrhage due to a small cerebral aneurysm over an 11-year period were reviewed for prior imaging studies capable of detecting small aneurysms. In the subgroup that had such imaging studies, these were reviewed for the presence or absence of the index aneurysm.

RESULTS

Of 851 patients presenting with subarachnoid haemorrhage over an 11-year period, 35 had prior imaging studies capable of detecting small aneurysms. In 18 out of these 35 (51%) patients, the index aneurysm was identified as a small unruptured aneurysm on these prior studies. The median time between prior imaging and aneurysm rupture was 31 months.

CONCLUSION

The theory that nearly all cases of subarachnoid haemorrhage due to small aneurysms occur as a result of aneurysm formation, and rupture over a short time period is incorrect. Our findings indicate that at least half of all subarachnoid haemorrhage cases arise from the population harbouring small aneurysms as a pre-existing condition.

Endovascular Management of Distal Anterior Cerebral Artery Aneurysms: A Multicenter Retrospective Review

INTRODUCTION

Distal anterior cerebral artery aneurysms (DACAA) are a rare and difficult entity to manage. Endovascular treatment has evolved for safe and durable treatment of these lesions. The objective of this study is to report the safety, efficacy, and outcomes of endovascular treatment of DACAA.

METHODS

A retrospective review of DACAA endovascularly treated at 5 different institutions was performed. Data included demographics, rupture status, radiographic features, endovascular technique, complication rates, and long-term angiographic and clinical outcomes. A primary endpoint was a good clinical outcome (modified Rankin scale 0-2). Secondary endpoints included complications and radiographic occlusion at follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 84 patients were reviewed. The mean age was 56, and 64 (71.4%) were female. Fifty-two (61.9%) aneurysms were ruptured. A good functional outcome was achieved in 59 patients (85.5%). Sixty (71.4%) aneurysms were treated with primary coiling, and the remaining 24 were treated with flow diversion. Adequate occlusion was achieved in 41 (95.3%) aneurysms treated with coiling, and 17 (89.5%) with flow diversion. There were total 11 (13%) complications. In the flow diversion category, there were 2, both related to femoral access. In the coiling category, there were 9: 5 thromboembolic, 3 ruptures, and 1 related to femoral access.

CONCLUSION

Endovascular treatment, and in particular, flow diversion for DACAA, is safe, feasible, and associated with good long-term angiographic and clinical outcomes.

Multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)

Patient care in a neurointensive care unit (neuro-ICU) is challenging. Multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs) are increasingly common in the routine clinical practice. We evaluated the impact of infection with MDROs on outcomes in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). A single-center retrospective analysis of SAH cases involving patients treated in the neuro-ICU was performed. The outcome was assessed 6 months after SAH using the modified Rankin Scale [mRS, favorable (0–2) and unfavorable (3–6)]. Data were compared by matched-pair analysis. Patient characteristics were well matched in the MDRO (n = 61) and control (n = 61) groups. In this center, one nurse was assigned to a two-bed room. If a MDRO was detected, the patient was isolated, and the nurse was assigned to the patient infected with the MDRO. In the MDRO group, 29 patients (48%) had a favorable outcome, while 25 patients (41%) in the control group had a favorable outcome; the difference was not significant (p > 0.05). Independent prognostic factors for unfavorable outcomes were worse status at admission (OR = 3.1), concomitant intracerebral hematoma (ICH) (OR = 3.7), and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) (OR = 6.8). Infection with MRDOs did not have a negative impact on the outcome in SAH patients. Slightly better outcomes were observed in SAH patients infected with MDROs, suggesting the benefit of individual care.

Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Small Intracranial Aneurysm Rupture Status Using CTA-Derived Hemodynamics: A Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Small intracranial aneurysms are being increasingly detected while the rupture risk is not well-understood. We aimed to develop rupture-risk models of small aneurysms by combining clinical, morphologic, and hemodynamic information based on machine learning techniques and to test the models in external validation datasets.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2016, five hundred four consecutive patients with only small aneurysms (<5 mm) detected by CTA and invasive cerebral angiography (or surgery) were retrospectively enrolled and randomly split into training (81%) and internal validation (19%) sets to derive and validate the proposed machine learning models (support vector machine, random forest, logistic regression, and multilayer perceptron). Hemodynamic parameters were obtained using computational fluid dynamics simulation. External validation was performed in other hospitals to test the models.

RESULTS

The support vector machine performed the best with areas under the curve of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.85-0.92) and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.74-0.98) in the training and internal validation datasets, respectively. Feature ranks suggested hemodynamic parameters, including stable flow pattern, concentrated inflow streams, and a small (<50%) flow-impingement zone, and the oscillatory shear index coefficient of variation, were the best predictors of aneurysm rupture. The support vector machine showed an area under the curve of 0.82 (95% CI, 0.69-0.94) in the external validation dataset, and no significant difference was found for the areas under the curve between internal and external validation datasets (P = .21).

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that machine learning had a good performance in predicting the rupture status of small aneurysms in both internal and external datasets. Aneurysm hemodynamic parameters were regarded as the most important predictors.

Risk of Rupture of Small Intracranial Aneurysms (≤5 mm) Among the Chinese Population

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop a model to predict the risk of small intracranial aneurysm (SIA; ≤5 mm) rupture among Chinese adults and to compare the score predicted by our model with the PHASES (population, hypertension, age, size, earlier subarachnoid hemorrhage, aneurysm site) score.

METHODS

From August 2011 to June 2015, 366 patients with 394 SIAs were retrospectively evaluated and followed up for ≥5 years. The clinical characteristics of the patients were reviewed from their medical records, and the SIA features were evaluated from the imaging studies. The independent risk factors for SIA rupture were studied using multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. The diagnostic value of the PHASES score for the prediction of SIA rupture was also calculated.

RESULTS

Six SIAs in 6 different patients had ruptured during a mean follow-up of 6.4 years. An irregular shape (odds ratio [OR], 31.464), a high aspect ratio (OR, 40.573), and a high size ratio (OR, 20.541) increased the risk of rupture. The predictive score incorporated these three factors. The threshold was 1.5, and the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.986, 100%, and 94.6%, respectively. For the PHASES score, the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.702, 83.3%, and 62.1%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

An irregular shape, a high aspect ratio, and a high size ratio were associated with SIA rupture in the Chinese population. Our predictive score is of great value in predicting the risk of SIA rupture.

Aging Changes of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A 35-year, Hospital-Based Study

BACKGROUND

The etiology and background factors which cause decreases in the size of ruptured intracranial aneurysms remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To clarify the age- and sex-related differences in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) based on a 35-year-old hospital database and demographic data.

METHODS

A database of patients admitted to our hospital with aneurysmal SAH from 1983 to 2017 was split into 5-year intervals and analyzed. Demographic data of the general population were also analyzed for reference.

RESULTS

Altogether, 1,523 aneurysmal SAH events were enrolled in the analysis. Age (p<0.001), proportion of elderly patients ≥ 65 years old (p<0.001), female sex (p=0.005), very small aneurysms less than 5 mm (p<0.001), and the yearly-averaged number of fatal events showed increasing trends. The proportion of aneurysm size of 10 mm or more (p = 0.011) and the yearly-averaged population of Shimane prefecture (p < 0.001) showed declining trends. In the subgroup analyses, the proportion of very small aneurysms was found to increase significantly in the non-elderly male and elderly female subgroups. The proportion of large aneurysms (10 mm or more) decreased in the non-elderly subgroup (p<0.05). As for the elderly subgroups, the yearly-averaged number of events did not show a significant tendency, although the yearly-averaged population of Shimane prefecture showed an increasing trend.

CONCLUSION

We found an increasing trend in the prevalence of very small aneurysms in elderly females. Recent aging may contribute to this trend. The number of aneurysmal SAH events was confirmed to not increase, despite the increased aging population of Shimane prefecture.

Radiological surveillance of small unruptured intracranial aneurysms: a systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression of 8428 aneurysms

With the widespread use of imaging techniques, the possibility that an asymptomatic unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) is detected has increased significantly. There is no established consensus regarding follow-up, duration, and frequency of such imaging surveillance. The objectives of this study include assessing the growth rate and rupture risk of small (less than 7mm) UIAs, identifying associated risk factors and providing an aneurysm surveillance protocol in appropriately selected patients. Systematic searches of Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Central were undertaken from database inception to March 2020 for published studies reporting the growth and rupture risks of small UIAs. Twenty-one studies reporting 8428 small UIAs were included in our meta-analysis. The pooled mean age was 61 years (95% CI: 55-67). The mean follow-up period for growth and rupture ranged from 11 to 108 months, with the pooled mean follow-up period across 14 studies being 42 months (95% CI: 33-51). Pooled overall growth rate was 6.0% (95% CI: 3.8-8.7). Pooled growth rates for aneurysms < 5mm and < 3 mm were 5.2% (95% CI: 3.0-7.9) and 0.8% (95% CI: 0.0-6.1), respectively. Pooled overall rupture rate was 0.4% (95% CI: 0.2-0.7). From the meta-regression analysis, having multiple aneurysms, smoking, hypertension, and personal history of SAH did not significantly predict growth, and a personal history of SAH, smoking, hypertension, and multiple aneurysms were not statistically significant predictors of rupture. Our findings suggest that small UIAs have low growth and rupture rates and very small UIAs have little or no risk for rupture. In the setting of incidental small UIAs, patients with multiple and/or posterior circulation aneurysms require more regular radiological monitoring.

Safety of Aspirin Use in Patients With Stroke and Small Unruptured Aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

We initiated a multicenter, prospective cohort study to test the hypothesis that aspirin is safe for patients with ischemic cerebrovascular disease (ICVD) harboring unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) <7 mm.

METHODS

This prospective, multicenter cohort study consecutively enrolled 1,866 eligible patients with ICVD harboring UIAs <7 mm in diameter from 4 hospitals between January 2016 and August 2019. Baseline and follow-up patient information, including the use of aspirin, was recorded. The primary endpoint was aneurysm rupture.

RESULTS

After a total of 4,411.4 person-years, 643 (37.2%) patients continuously received aspirin treatment. Of all included patients, rupture occurred in 12 (0.7%). The incidence rate for rupture (IRR) was 0.27 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15-0.48) per 100 person-years. The IRRs were 0.39 (95% CI 0.21-0.72) and 0.06 (95% CI 0.010-0.45) per 100 person-years for the nonaspirin and aspirin groups, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, uncontrolled hypertension and UIAs 5 to <7 mm were associated with a high rate of aneurysm rupture, whereas aspirin use was associated with a low rate of aneurysm rupture. Compared with other groups, the high-risk group (UIAs 5 to <7 mm with concurrent uncontrolled hypertension) without aspirin had higher IRRs.

CONCLUSION

Aspirin is a safe treatment for patients with concurrent small UIAs and ICVD. Patients who are not taking aspirin in the high-risk group warrant intensive surveillance.

CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER

NCT02846259.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that for patients harboring UIAs <7 mm with ICVD, aspirin does not increase the risk of aneurysm rupture.

Poor blood pressure control following subarachnoid hemorrhage in patients with sleep apnea

RATIONALE

Retrospective studies indicate that obstructive sleep apnea occurs often after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. We aim to investigate if obstructive sleep apnea is associated with impaired blood pressure control early after subarachnoid hemorrhage.

METHODS

Patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage were recruited and screened for sleep apnea using cardiorespiratory polygraphy within 48 h after intensive care unit admission, and 6 months after hospital discharge at home. Blood pressure was continuously measured using intra-arterial catheter within the first 24 h after admission. Time between hospital admission and first blood pressure below 140 mmHg, and time with elevated blood pressure within the first 24 h after admission were compared between patients with and without obstructive sleep apnea.

RESULTS

Of 60 patients, 55 successfully completed the study. Obstructive sleep apnea (AHI > 5/h) was diagnosed in 32% of men and 24% of women. While the time to reach a blood pressure of 140 mmHg did not differ (60.0 ± 26.2 min vs. 49.7 ± 16.4 min; p = 0.74), obstructive sleep apnea patients spent more time with blood pressure above 140 mmHg (292.0 ± 114.0 vs. 96.9 ± 28.3 min per 24 h; p = 0.025, CI 95 -363.6 to -26.5) within the observational period. Only AHI and diagnosed hypertension were significant predictors for elevated blood pressure (R² 0.42; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

Obstructive sleep apnea is associated in our study with poor blood pressure control early after subarachnoid hemorrhage. These patients may need advanced management for blood pressure including management for OSA following subarachnoid hemorrhage. Screening for sleep apnea in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage is recommended.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClincalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02724215, registered on March 31, 2016.

Four-Dimensional Magnetic Resonance Imaging Assessment of Intracranial Aneurysms: A State-of-the-Art Review

Treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms can reduce the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage and its associated morbidity and mortality. However, current methods to predict the risk of rupture and optimize treatment strategies for intracranial aneurysms are limited. Assessment of intra-aneurysmal flow using 4-dimensional magnetic resonance imaging (4D MRI) is a novel tool that could be used to guide therapy. A systematic search of the literature was performed to provide a state-of-the-art review on 4D MRI assessment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. A total of 18 studies were available for review. Eccentric flow on 4D MRI is associated with a greater aspect ratio and peak wall shear stress (WSS). WSS, vorticity, and peak velocity are greater in saccular than fusiform aneurysms. Unstable aneurysms are associated with greater WSS, peak wall stress, and flow jet angle and may exhibit wall enhancement. In comparison to computational fluid dynamics (CFD), 4D MRI has a lower spatial resolution and reports lower WSS and velocity magnitudes, but these parameters equalize when spatial resolution is matched. 4D MRI demonstrates the intra-aneurysmal hemodynamic changes associated with flow diversion, including significantly decreased flow velocity. Thus, 4D MRI is a novel, noninvasive imaging tool used for the evaluation of hemodynamics within intracranial aneurysms. Hemodynamic indices derived from 4D MRI appear to correlate well with the simulated (CFD) values and may be used to measure the success of endovascular therapies and risk factors for aneurysm growth and rupture.

Clinical relevance of short-term follow-up of unruptured intracranial aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms are common incidental findings on brain imaging. Short-term follow-up for conservatively treated aneurysms is routinely performed in most cerebrovascular centers, although its clinical relevance remains unclear. In this study, the authors assessed the extent of growth as well as the rupture risk during short-term follow-up of conservatively treated unruptured intracranial aneurysms. In addition, the influence of patient-specific and aneurysm-specific factors on growth and rupture risk was investigated.

METHODS

The authors queried their prospective institutional neurovascular registry to identify patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms and short-term follow-up imaging, defined as follow-up MRA and/or CTA within 3 months to 2 years after initial diagnosis. Medical records and questionnaires were used to acquire baseline information. The authors measured aneurysm size at baseline and at follow-up to detect growth. Rupture was defined as a CT scan-proven and/or CSF-proven subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

RESULTS

A total of 206 consecutive patients with 267 conservatively managed unruptured aneurysms underwent short-term follow-up at the authors' center. Seven aneurysms (2.6%) enlarged during a median follow-up duration of 1 year (range 0.3-2.0 years). One aneurysm (0.4%) ruptured 10 months after initial discovery. Statistically significant risk factors for growth or rupture were autosomal-dominant polycystic kidney disease (RR 8.3, 95% CI 2.0-34.7), aspect ratio > 1.6 or size ratio > 3 (RR 10.8, 95% CI 2.2-52.2), and initial size ≥ 7 mm (RR 10.7, 95% CI 2.7-42.8).

CONCLUSIONS

Significant growth of unruptured intracranial aneurysms may occur in a small proportion of patients during short-term follow-up. As aneurysm growth is associated with an increased risk of rupture, the authors advocate that short-term follow-up is clinically relevant and has an important role in reducing the risk of a potential SAH.

Multiple aneurysms in subarachnoid hemorrhage - identification of the ruptured aneurysm, when the bleeding pattern is not self-explanatory - development of a novel prediction score

BACKGROUND

In aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and multiple intracranial aneurysms (MIAs) identification of the bleeding source cannot always be assessed according to the hemorrhage pattern. Therefore, we developed a statistical model for the prediction of the ruptured aneurysm in patients with SAH and multiple potential bleeding sources at the time of ictus.

METHODS

Between 2012 and 2015, 252 patients harboring 619 aneurysms were admitted to the authors' institution. Patients were followed prospectively. Aneurysm and patient characteristics, as well as radiological findings were entered into a computerized database. Gradient boosting techniques were used to derive the statistical model for the prediction of the ruptured aneurysm. Based on the statistical prediction model, a scoring system was produced for the use in the clinical setting. The aneurysm with the highest score poses the highest possibility of being the bleeding source. The prediction score was then prospectively applied to 34 patients suffering from SAH and harboring MIAs.

RESULTS

According to the statistical prediction model the main factors affecting the rupture in patients harboring multiple aneurysms were: 1) aneurysm size, 2) aneurysm location and 3) aneurysm shape. The prediction score identified correctly the ruptured aneurysm in all the patients that were used in the prospective validation. Even in the five most debatable and challenging cases assessed in the period of prospective validation, for which the score was designed for, the ruptured aneurysm was predicted correctly.

CONCLUSIONS

This new and simple prediction score might provide additional support for neurovascular teams for treatment decision in SAH patients harboring multiple aneurysms. In a small prospective sample, the prediction score performed with high accuracy but larger cohorts for external validation are warranted.

Rupture risk of small unruptured cerebral aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

The annual rupture rate of small (3-4 mm) unruptured cerebral aneurysms (UCAs) is 0.36% per year, however, the proportion of small ruptured aneurysms < 5 mm is 35%. This discrepancy is explained by the hypothesis that most acute subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is from recently formed, unscreened aneurysms, but this hypothesis is without definitive proof. The authors aimed to clarify the actual number of screened, ruptured small aneurysms and risk factors for rupture.

METHODS

The Unruptured Cerebral Aneurysm Study Japan, a project of the Japan Neurosurgical Society, was designed to clarify the natural course of UCAs. From January 2001 through March 2004, 6697 UCAs among 5720 patients were prospectively registered. At registration, 2839 patients (49.6%) had 3132 (46.8%) small UCAs of 3-4 mm. The registered, treated, and rupture numbers of these small aneurysms and the annual rupture rate were investigated. The rate was assessed per aneurysm. The characteristics of patients and aneurysms were compared to those of larger unruptured aneurysms (≥ 5 mm). Cumulative rates of SAH were estimated per aneurysm. Risk factors underwent univariate and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Treatment and rupture numbers of small UCAs were 1132 (37.1% of all treated aneurysms) and 23 (20.7% of all ruptured aneurysms), respectively. The registered, treated, rupture number, and annual rupture rates were 1658 (24.8%), 495 (16.2%), 11 (9.9%), and 0.30%, respectively, among 3-mm aneurysms, and 1474 (22.0%), 637 (20.9%), 12 (10.8%), and 0.45%, respectively, among 4-mm aneurysms. Multivariate risk-factor analysis revealed that a screening brain checkup (hazard ratio [HR] 4.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-14.4), history of SAH (HR 10.8, 95% CI 2.3-51.1), uncontrolled hypertension (HR 5.2, 95% CI 1.8-15.3), and location on the anterior communicating artery (ACoA; HR 5.0, 95% CI 1.6-15.5) were independent predictors of rupture.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the annual rupture rate of small aneurysms was low, the actual number of ruptures was not low. Small aneurysms that ruptured during follow-up could be detected, screened, and managed based on each risk factor. Possible selection criteria for treating small UCAs include a history of SAH, uncontrolled hypertension, location on the ACoA, and young patients. Further large prospective and longitudinal trials are needed.Clinical trial registration no.: C000000418 (https://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr).

Management of Tiny Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Comparative Effectiveness Analysis

Importance

Unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are relatively common in the general population and are being increasingly diagnosed; a significant proportion are tiny (≤3 mm) aneurysms. There is significant heterogeneity in practice and lack of clear guidelines on the management of incidental, tiny UIAs. It is important to quantify the implications of different management strategies in terms of health benefits to patients.

Objective

To evaluate the effectiveness of routine treatment (aneurysm coiling) vs 3 strategies for imaging surveillance compared with no preventive treatment or routine follow-up of tiny UIAs.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A decision-analytic model-based comparative effectiveness analysis was conducted from May 1 to June 30, 2017, using inputs from the medical literature. PubMed searches were performed to identify relevant literature for all key model inputs, each of which was derived from the clinical study with the most robust data and greatest applicability. Analysis included 10 000 iterations simulating adult patients with incidental detections of UIAs 3 mm or smaller and no history of subarachnoid hemorrhage.

Interventions

The following 5 management strategies for tiny UIAs were evaluated: annual magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) screening, biennial MRA screening, MRA screening every 5 years, aneurysm coiling and follow-up, and no treatment or preventive follow-up.

Main Outcomes and Measures

A Markov decision model for lifetime rupture was constructed from a societal perspective per 10 000 patients with incidental, tiny UIAs. Outcomes were assessed in terms of quality-adjusted life-years. Probabilistic, 1-way, and 2-way sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results

In this analysis of 10 000 iterations simulating adult patients with a mean age of 50 years, the base-case calculation shows that the management strategy of no treatment or preventive follow-up has the highest health benefit (mean [SD] quality-adjusted life-years, 19.40 [0.31]). Among the management strategies that incorporate follow-up imaging, MRA every 5 years is the best strategy with the next highest effectiveness (mean [SD] quality-adjusted life-years, 18.05 [0.62]). The conclusion remains robust in probabilistic and 1-way sensitivity analyses. No routine follow-up remains the optimal strategy when the annual growth rate and risk of rupture of growing aneurysms are varied. When the annual risk of rupture of nongrowing UIAs is less than 1.7% (0.23% in base case scenario), no follow-up is the optimal strategy. If annual risk of rupture is more than 1.7%, coiling should be performed directly.

Conclusions and Relevance

Given the current literature, no preventive treatment or imaging follow-up is the most effective strategy in patients with aneurysms that are 3 mm or smaller, resulting in better health outcomes. More aggressive imaging surveillance for aneurysm growth or preventive treatment should be reserved for patients with a high risk of rupture. Given these findings, it is important to critically evaluate the appropriateness of current clinical practices, and potentially determine specific guidelines to reflect the most effective management strategy for patients with incidental, tiny UIAs.

Characteristics of Cerebral Aneurysms in Japan

The characteristics of cerebral aneurysms in Japan differ from other countries in the higher incidence of unruptured cerebral aneurysm detected by brain check-up screening, higher rupture rate of unruptured cerebral aneurysm, higher incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage, and superior outcome after subarachnoid hemorrhage based on meta-analysis. Head shape, genetic features, environmental factors, demographics, and medical system in Japan are also different from other countries. Unruptured cerebral aneurysms are 2.8 times more likely to rupture in Japanese than western aneurysms, resulting in the highest incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage in the world. The exact and specific mechanisms of de novo, growth, and rupture of cerebral aneurysms have not been elucidated. Investigations will contribute to the understanding of cerebral aneurysms and subarachnoid hemorrhage worldwide. Some features of cerebral aneurysm in Japan are discussed for possible research guidance in the elucidation of the predominance of subarachnoid hemorrhage in Japan.

Small Aneurysms Should Be Clipped?

Background:

Cerebral aneurysm prevalence may vary from 0.4% to 10%. The decision to treat or not incidental aneurysms remains controversial, especially when the lesions are small (<5 mm). Many recent publications are demonstrating that these lesions often bleed.

Methods:

We reviewed admitted patients with angiographic studies submitted to intracranial aneurysm surgical treatment from April 2012 to July 2013 in the Neurosurgery Department of São Paulo Medical School University (15 months), to define the rate and risk of bleeding. In addition, we proceeded literature review with collected 357 papers (past 5 years) which were selected 50 that were focused on our research. Clinical patients’ status at the time of discharge was evaluated with the modified Rankin scale.

Results:

A series of 118 cases of surgically clipped aneurysms was analyzed: 73.7% woman; Ruptured (61 cases, 51%); middle cerebral artery (51 cases, 43%) was the more common aneurysm. Small size (<5 mm) was 25 cases (21%); that 2 died (16%), 3 (25%) with severe disability,restricted to bed and dependent on nursing care; blood pressure was the main risk factors (56%); and an aneurysm <2 mm (100%) was ruptured.

Conclusion:

The number of small aneurysms in our series was significant (25 cases, 21%), and its rate of bleeding was high (25 cases, 48%), resulting in death and disability in a significant number of cases. Our tendency is for surgical treatment when it is associated with risk factors.

Small ruptured intracranial aneurysms: the risk of massive bleeding and rebleeding

OBJECTIVE

The risk of hemorrhagic events in small ruptured aneurysms remains unclear. Due to less arterial wall, small ruptured aneurysms may be correlated with massive bleeding and rebleeding. Therefore, it may contribute to treatment to evaluate the amount of bleeding and the risk of rebleeding in small ruptured aneurysms.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of all consecutive patients with intracranial aneurysms admitted to our hospital from February 2013 to December 2017 was carried out. Ruptured aneurysms were divided into small ruptured aneurysm (0-5 mm) group and large ruptured aneurysm (5 mm) group for analysis. The difference of bleeding volume, rebleeding and clinical outcome were analyzed between the two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 738 patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) were included in this study and small ruptured aneurysms accounted for 49.2% of all ruptured aneurysms. Univariate analysis showed that the amount of bleeding (14.5 ± 7.1 vs. 14.4 ± 7.3; P = 0.867), rebleeding (8.3% vs. 10.9%; P = 0.261) and poor outcome (29.6% vs. 23.1%; P = 0.055) were similar between the two groups. Multivariable analysis showed that hypertension was obviously associated with the amount of bleeding (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 3.25 [1.81-4.69]; P < 0.001) and rebleeding (aOR, 3.31 [1.10-9.99]; P = 0.034) in small ruptured aneurysms, and its effect on rebleeding of small ruptured aneurysms is greater than that of large ruptured aneurysms.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of hemorrhagic events in small ruptured aneurysms is similar to that in large ruptured aneurysms, especially those patients with small ruptured aneurysms that complicated with hypertension are at an increased risk of massive SAH and rebleeding.

Management of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Survey of Neuroradiologists

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The long-term history and management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms is not well understood. Our aim was to determine current practice patterns in the management of unruptured intracranial aneurysms, especially regarding imaging surveillance for conservatively managed aneurysms of this type.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

An on-line survey was designed to examine physician practice and preference regarding the management of small unruptured intracranial aneurysms (≤7 mm in diameter). The survey was circulated to members of the American Society of Neuroradiology. Participation was voluntary, and all responses were anonymous.

RESULTS

A total of 227 individual survey responses were obtained and included in the analysis with 54.6% (124/227) from diagnostic neuroradiologists (practicing >50% neuroradiology) and one-third (29%) from neurointerventional radiologists. One hundred seventy-three of 227 responded that routine, periodic imaging surveillance would be appropriate for conservatively managed unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and 84% of respondents recommended surveillance frequency of at least once a year. Fifty-nine percent favored indefinite, life-long follow-up for small unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and a similar number of respondents favored noncontrast MR angiography for aneurysm follow-up. Significant heterogeneity was found in size measurements used to assess aneurysms and criteria used to define growth on surveillance imaging.

CONCLUSIONS

The natural history of intracranial aneurysms is not well-understood. A large proportion of incidentally detected, unruptured aneurysms are small (<7 mm). The survey results show significant heterogeneity in practice even among neuroradiologists and underlies the need to standardize imaging practice. Further studies are needed to assess the optimal frequency and duration of surveillance imaging for unruptured intracranial aneurysms. The criteria used to measure aneurysms and define growth on imaging also need to be standardized.

Growth and Rupture Risk of Small Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

Small unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are increasingly diagnosed. Management depends on growth and rupture risks, which may vary by aneurysm size.

PURPOSE

To summarize evidence about the growth and rupture risk of UIAs 7 mm and smaller and to explore differences in growth and rupture risks of very small (≤3 mm) and small (≤5 mm) aneurysms.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, and the Cochrane Library from inception to 2017 (with no language restrictions).

STUDY SELECTION

Published case series and observational studies that reported natural history data on UIAs 7 mm and smaller.

DATA EXTRACTION

2 reviewers abstracted study information, evaluated study quality, and graded strength of evidence.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Of 26 studies, 5, 10, and 8 described the growth rate of aneurysms 3 mm and smaller, 5 mm and smaller, and 7 mm and smaller, respectively, whereas rupture rates were reported in 7, 11, and 13 studies for aneurysms 3 mm and smaller, 5 mm and smaller, and 7 mm and smaller, respectively. The annualized growth rate was less than 3% in all but 1 study for all 3 size categories. The annualized rupture rate was 0%, less than 0.5%, and less than 1% for the 3 size categories, respectively. Strength of evidence was very low quality for growth rates and low quality for rupture rates.

LIMITATION

Heterogeneous definitions of growth; heterogeneous and selective treatment and follow-up methods, particularly in high-risk patients.

CONCLUSION

Poor-quality evidence suggests that small UIAs have low growth and rupture rates and very small UIAs have little or no risk for rupture.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

None.

Surgical Informed Consent Process in Neurosurgery

The doctrine of informed consent, as opposed to medical paternalism, is intended to facilitate patient autonomy by allowing patient participation in the medical decision-making process. However, regrettably, the surgical informed consent (SIC) process is invariably underestimated and reduced to a documentary procedure to protect physicians from legal liability. Moreover, residents are rarely trained in the clinical and communicative skills required for the SIC process. Accordingly, to increase professional awareness of the SIC process, a brief history and introduction to the current elements of SIC, the obstacles to patient autonomy and SIC, benefits and drawbacks of SIC, planning of an optimal SIC process, and its application to cases of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm are all presented. Optimal informed consent process can provide patients with a good comprehension of their disease and treatment, augmented autonomy, a strong therapeutic alliance with their doctors, and psychological defenses for coping with stressful surgical circumstances.

Educational and interactive informed consent process for treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms

OBJECTIVE

For patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs), the information transfer that precedes informed consent needs to be in-depth and detailed, as most patients with a UIA have no symptoms, yet the risks related to treatment are relatively high. Thus, in this study an educational and interactive program was proposed for patients with UIAs to improve the informed consent process and assess the level of comprehension.

METHODS

A total of 110 patients with UIAs underwent the proposed educational and interactive informed consent (EIIC) process and were enrolled in this study. The EIIC process combines patient education using information booklets, a cartoon book, a video, an initial physician-patient interview, answering a questionnaire, a second physician-patient interview based on the questionnaire results, and finally consent. After the first physician-patient interview that provides the patient with specific information, including his or her angiographic characteristics, medical condition, and recommended treatment, the patient is requested to answer a questionnaire composed of 3 parts: demographic information, including the patient's age, sex, and years of education; 13 medical questions to assess the patient's knowledge about his or her UIA; and an evaluation of the usefulness of the educational resources. The control group consisted of 65 patients from 3 other tertiary university hospitals where the EIIC process was not used.

RESULTS

The questionnaire scores of the EIIC group ranged from 7 to 13 (mean ± SD: 11.9 ± 1.3) and were significantly higher than those for the controls (10.2 ± 1.9, p < 0.001). The better comprehension of the patients in the EIIC group was remarkable as they were significantly older than those in the control group (62.7 ± 8.3 years vs 55.9 ± 10.5 years, respectively; p < 0.001). For both the EIIC group and the control group, a Pearson correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation (r = 0.232 for the EIIC group, r = 0.603 for controls) between the years of education and the questionnaire score (p = 0.015 for the EIIC group, p < 0.001 for the controls), whereas no correlation was found between the patient age and the questionnaire score. For the EIIC group, the verbal information from the attending physician was selected by 90 patients (81.8%) as the most useful and informative educational method, while the most effective reinforcement of this verbal communication was the video (n = 86; 78.2%), information booklets (n = 16; 14.5%), the Internet (n = 7; 6.4%), and the cartoon book (n = 1; 0.9%).

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed standardized EIIC process resulted in good patient comprehension about UIAs. The verbal information from the attending physician was the most informative, and the video was the most effective reinforcement of the verbal communication. The patient level of comprehension was shown to be correlated with years of education.

Bifurcation Location Is Significantly Associated with Rupture of Small Intracranial Aneurysms (<5 mm)

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Patients with small (<5 mm) unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) are at risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage, but risk assessment of these patients remains controversial in daily clinical practice. We aimed to identify the risk factors of aneurysmal rupture in these patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients with small UIAs who were admitted to our center between February 2009 and December 2014. The enrolled patients were divided into ruptured and unruptured groups. The risk factors for aneurysmal rupture were determined using multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 548 patients with 618 small intracranial aneurysms (267 ruptured and 351 unruptured) were included. Univariate analysis showed that rupture of small aneurysms was related to sex, age, smoking, hypertension, aspect ratio, size ratio, irregular shape, aneurysm width, height, and neck diameter, and location at bifurcation or posterior circulation. Multivariate logistic regression showed that rupture was associated with bifurcation location (odds ratio [OR], 5.409; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.656-8.001; P < 0.001), size ratio (OR, 3.092; 95% CI, 2.002-4.774; P < 0.001), location (OR, 2.624; 95% CI, 1.428-4.824; P = 0.002), hypertension (OR, 1.698; 95% CI, 1.1140-2.527; P = 0.009), and age at diagnosis of UIA (OR, 1.826; 95% CI, 1.225-2.723; P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that 70.4% of small ruptured intracranial aneurysms (<5 mm) were located at parent artery bifurcations and that bifurcation location was a significant independent factor for the risk of rupture of small UIAs (<5 mm). Prophylactic treatment should be recommended for small UIAs in this location.