Prediction of Cardiovascular Parameters With Supervised Machine Learning From Singapore "I" Vessel Assessment and OCT-Angiography: A Pilot Study

Retinal Microvascular Characteristics-Novel Risk Stratification in Cardiovascular Diseases

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are responsible for 32.4% of all deaths across the European Union (EU), and several CVD risk scores have been developed, with variable results. Retinal microvascular changes have been proposed as potential biomarkers for cardiovascular risk, especially in coronary heart diseases (CHDs). This study aims to identify the retinal microvascular features associated with CHDs and evaluate their potential use in a CHD screening algorithm in conjunction with traditional risk factors. Methods: We performed a two-center cross-sectional study on 120 adult participants-36 patients previously diagnosed with severe CHDs and scheduled for coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CHD group) and 84 healthy controls. A brief medical history and a clinical profile were available for all cases. All patients benefited from optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA), the use of which allowed several parameters to be quantified for the foveal avascular zone and superficial and deep capillary plexuses. We evaluated the precision of several classification models in identifying patients with CHDs based on traditional risk factors and OCTA characteristics: a conventional logistic regression model and four machine learning algorithms: k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), Naive Bayes, Support Vector Machine (SVM) and supervised logistic regression. Results: Conventional multiple logistic regression had a classification accuracy of 78.7% based on traditional risk factors and retinal microvascular features, while machine learning algorithms had higher accuracies: 81% for K-NN and supervised logistic regression, 85.71% for Naive Bayes and 86% for SVM. Conclusions: Novel risk scores developed using machine learning algorithms and based on traditional risk factors and retinal microvascular characteristics could improve the identification of patients with CHDs.

Fractal analysis of healthy and diseased vasculature in pediatric Moyamoya disease

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Fractal dimension is an objective metric for the notion of structural complexity. We sought to investigate differences in structural complexity between healthy and affected territories of cerebral vasculature in moyamoya, as well as associated scalp vasculature and native transdural collaterals in patients with moyamoya by comparing their respective fractal dimensions.

METHODS

Our cohort consisted of 15 transdural collaterals from 12 patients with unilateral anterior circulation moyamoya. Frames of distal arterial vasculature from internal and external carotid angiograms were selected then automatically segmented and also manually annotated by a cerebrovascular surgeon. In the affected hemisphere, the region with transdural collateral supply was compared to the contralateral region. The resulting skeletonized angiograms were analyzed for their fractal dimensions.

RESULTS

We found the average fractal dimension (Df) of the moyamoya-side ICA was 1.82 with slightly different means for the anteroposterial (AP) and lateral views (mean  =  1.82; mean  =  1.81). The overall mean for healthy cerebral vasculature was also found to be 1.82 (AP: mean  =  1.83; lateral: mean  =  1.81). Mean Df of native transdural collaterals was found to be 1.82 (AP: mean  =  1.83; lateral: mean  =  1.81). The mean Df difference between autosegmented and manually segmented images was 0.013.

CONCLUSION

In accordance with the clinical understanding of moyamoya disease, the distal arterial structural complexity is not affected in moyamoya, and is maintained by transdural collaterals formed by vasculogenesis. Autosegmentation of cerebral vasculature is also shown to be accurate when compared to manual segmentation.

Deep-learning prediction of cardiovascular outcomes from routine retinal images in individuals with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Prior studies have demonstrated an association between retinal vascular features and cardiovascular disease (CVD), however most studies have only evaluated a few simple parameters at a time. Our aim was to determine whether a deep-learning artificial intelligence (AI) model could be used to predict CVD outcomes from routinely obtained diabetic retinal screening photographs and to compare its performance to a traditional clinical CVD risk score.

METHODS

We included 6127 individuals with type 2 diabetes without myocardial infarction or stroke prior to study entry. The cohort was divided into training (70%), validation (10%) and testing (20%) cohorts. Clinical 10-year CVD risk was calculated using the pooled cohort equation (PCE) risk score. A polygenic risk score (PRS) for coronary heart disease was also obtained. Retinal images were analysed using an EfficientNet-B2 network to predict 10-year CVD risk. The primary outcome was time to first major adverse CV event (MACE) including CV death, myocardial infarction or stroke.

RESULTS

1241 individuals were included in the test cohort (mean PCE 10-year CVD risk 35%). There was a strong correlation between retinal predicted CVD risk and the PCE risk score (r = 0.66) but not the polygenic risk score (r = 0.05). There were 288 MACE events. Higher retina-predicted risk was significantly associated with increased 10-year risk of MACE (HR 1.05 per 1% increase; 95% CI 1.04-1.06, p < 0.001) and remained so after adjustment for the PCE and polygenic risk score (HR 1.03; 95% CI 1.02-1.04, p < 0.001). The retinal risk score had similar performance to the PCE (both AUC 0.697) and when combined with the PCE and polygenic risk score had significantly improved performance compared to the PCE alone (AUC 0.728). An increase in retinal-predicted risk within 3 years was associated with subsequent increased MACE likelihood.

CONCLUSIONS

A deep-learning AI model could accurately predict MACE from routine retinal screening photographs with a comparable performance to traditional clinical risk assessment in a diabetic cohort. Combining the AI-derived retinal risk prediction with a coronary heart disease polygenic risk score improved risk prediction. AI retinal assessment might allow a one-stop CVD risk assessment at routine retinal screening.

Artificial intelligence-based prediction of neurocardiovascular risk score from retinal swept-source optical coherence tomography-angiography

The recent rise of artificial intelligence represents a revolutionary way of improving current medical practices, including cardiovascular (CV) assessment scores. Retinal vascular alterations may reflect systemic processes such as the presence of CV risk factors. The value of swept-source retinal optical coherence tomography-angiography (SS OCT-A) imaging is significantly enhanced by image analysis tools that provide rapid and accurate quantification of vascular features. We report on the interest of using machine-learning (ML) and deep-learning (DL) models for CV assessment from SS OCT-A microvasculature imaging. We assessed the accuracy of ML and DL algorithms in predicting the CHA2DS2-VASc neurocardiovascular score based on SS OCT-A retinal images of patients from the open-source RASTA dataset. The ML and DL models were trained on data from 491 patients. The ML models tested here achieved good performance with area under the curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.71 to 0.96. According to a classification into two neurocardiovascular risk groups, the EfficientNetV2-B3, a well suited DL model for retinal OCT-A images, predicted risk correctly in 68% of cases, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of approximately 0.697. Our models enable a confident prediction of the CHA2DS2-VASc score from SS OCT-A imaging, which could be a useful tool contributing to the assessment of neurocardiovascular profiles in the future.

A Multi-Stage Approach for Cardiovascular Risk Assessment from Retinal Images Using an Amalgamation of Deep Learning and Computer Vision Techniques

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Early detection and effective risk assessment are crucial for implementing preventive measures and improving patient outcomes for CVDs. This work presents a novel approach to CVD risk assessment using fundus images, leveraging the inherent connection between retinal microvascular changes and systemic vascular health. This study aims to develop a predictive model for the early detection of CVDs by evaluating retinal vascular parameters. This methodology integrates both handcrafted features derived through mathematical computation and retinal vascular patterns extracted by artificial intelligence (AI) models. By combining these approaches, we seek to enhance the accuracy and reliability of CVD risk prediction in individuals. The methodology integrates state-of-the-art computer vision algorithms and AI techniques in a multi-stage architecture to extract relevant features from retinal fundus images. These features encompass a range of vascular parameters, including vessel caliber, tortuosity, and branching patterns. Additionally, a deep learning (DL)-based binary classification model is incorporated to enhance predictive accuracy. A dataset comprising fundus images and comprehensive metadata from the clinical trials conducted is utilized for training and validation. The proposed approach demonstrates promising results in the early prediction of CVD risk factors. The interpretability of the approach is enhanced through visualization techniques that highlight the regions of interest within the fundus images that are contributing to the risk predictions. Furthermore, the validation conducted in the clinical trials and the performance analysis of the proposed approach shows the potential to provide early and accurate predictions. The proposed system not only aids in risk stratification but also serves as a valuable tool for identifying vascular abnormalities that may precede overt cardiovascular events. The approach has achieved an accuracy of 85% and the findings of this study underscore the feasibility and efficacy of leveraging fundus images for cardiovascular risk assessment. As a non-invasive and cost-effective modality, fundus image analysis presents a scalable solution for population-wide screening programs. This research contributes to the evolving landscape of precision medicine by providing an innovative tool for proactive cardiovascular health management. Future work will focus on refining the solution's robustness, exploring additional risk factors, and validating its performance in additional and diverse clinical settings.

Correlation Between Coronary and Retinal Microangiopathy in Patients With STEMI

Purpose

To investigate the morphological and functional correlation between microvascular retinal changes in optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) and the microvascular coronary circulation in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) coronary heart disease (CHD).

Methods

A total of 330 eyes from 165 participants (88 cases and 77 controls) were enrolled and imaged. Superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and deep capillary plexus (DCP) vascular density was measured in the central (1 mm) and perifoveal (1-3 mm) areas and in the superficial foveal avascular zone (FAZ) and choriocapillaris (3 mm). These parameters were then correlated to the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and the number of affected coronary arteries.

Results

Decreased vessel densities in the SCP and DCP and choriocapillaris were positively correlated to the LVEF values (P = 0.006, P = 0.026, and P = 0.002, respectively). No statistically significant correlation between the SCP and DCP central area or FAZ area was found. Regarding the number of affected vessels, significant negative correlations were revealed for the SCP and DCP central vessel densities (P < 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively) and the SCP perifoveal vascular density (P = 0.009).

Conclusions

OCTA vascular indices are significantly correlated with morphological and functional parameters in patients with STEMI CHD. SCP vascular density especially seems to be a promising biomarker for the extent of both macrovascular damage (number of affected coronary arteries) and microvascular damage, as mirrored in the decreased LVEF at admission.

Translational Relevance

OCTA vascular indices offer a valuable insight into the microvascular status of coronary circulation.

Using Artificial Intelligence to Analyse the Retinal Vascular Network: The Future of Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Based on Oculomics? A Narrative Review

The healthcare burden of cardiovascular diseases remains a major issue worldwide. Understanding the underlying mechanisms and improving identification of people with a higher risk profile of systemic vascular disease through noninvasive examinations is crucial. In ophthalmology, retinal vascular network imaging is simple and noninvasive and can provide in vivo information of the microstructure and vascular health. For more than 10 years, different research teams have been working on developing software to enable automatic analysis of the retinal vascular network from different imaging techniques (retinal fundus photographs, OCT angiography, adaptive optics, etc.) and to provide a description of the geometric characteristics of its arterial and venous components. Thus, the structure of retinal vessels could be considered a witness of the systemic vascular status. A new approach called "oculomics" using retinal image datasets and artificial intelligence algorithms recently increased the interest in retinal microvascular biomarkers. Despite the large volume of associated research, the role of retinal biomarkers in the screening, monitoring, or prediction of systemic vascular disease remains uncertain. A PubMed search was conducted until August 2022 and yielded relevant peer-reviewed articles based on a set of inclusion criteria. This literature review is intended to summarize the state of the art in oculomics and cardiovascular disease research.

Validation of a deep-learning-based retinal biomarker (Reti-CVD) in the prediction of cardiovascular disease: data from UK Biobank

BACKGROUND

Currently in the United Kingdom, cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment is based on the QRISK3 score, in which 10% 10-year CVD risk indicates clinical intervention. However, this benchmark has limited efficacy in clinical practice and the need for a more simple, non-invasive risk stratification tool is necessary. Retinal photography is becoming increasingly acceptable as a non-invasive imaging tool for CVD. Previously, we developed a novel CVD risk stratification system based on retinal photographs predicting future CVD risk. This study aims to further validate our biomarker, Reti-CVD, (1) to detect risk group of ≥ 10% in 10-year CVD risk and (2) enhance risk assessment in individuals with QRISK3 of 7.5-10% (termed as borderline-QRISK3 group) using the UK Biobank.

METHODS

Reti-CVD scores were calculated and stratified into three risk groups based on optimized cut-off values from the UK Biobank. We used Cox proportional-hazards models to evaluate the ability of Reti-CVD to predict CVD events in the general population. C-statistics was used to assess the prognostic value of adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3 in borderline-QRISK3 group and three vulnerable subgroups.

RESULTS

Among 48,260 participants with no history of CVD, 6.3% had CVD events during the 11-year follow-up. Reti-CVD was associated with an increased risk of CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-1.52) with a 13.1% (95% CI, 11.7-14.6%) 10-year CVD risk in Reti-CVD-high-risk group. The 10-year CVD risk of the borderline-QRISK3 group was greater than 10% in Reti-CVD-high-risk group (11.5% in non-statin cohort [n = 45,473], 11.5% in stage 1 hypertension cohort [n = 11,966], and 14.2% in middle-aged cohort [n = 38,941]). C statistics increased by 0.014 (0.010-0.017) in non-statin cohort, 0.013 (0.007-0.019) in stage 1 hypertension cohort, and 0.023 (0.018-0.029) in middle-aged cohort for CVD event prediction after adding Reti-CVD to QRISK3.

CONCLUSIONS

Reti-CVD has the potential to identify individuals with ≥ 10% 10-year CVD risk who are likely to benefit from earlier preventative CVD interventions. For borderline-QRISK3 individuals with 10-year CVD risk between 7.5 and 10%, Reti-CVD could be used as a risk enhancer tool to help improve discernment accuracy, especially in adult groups that may be pre-disposed to CVD.

Characterization of the Retinal Microvasculature and FAZ Changes in Ischemic Stroke and Its Different Types

Purpose

This study aimed to assess morphological changes in the retinal microvasculature and foveal avascular zone (FAZ) in patients with ischemic stroke and its different subtypes.

Methods

Thirty-three patients with ischemic stroke (14 with nonlacunar infarction and 19 with lacunar infarction) and 27 control participants were enrolled in this study. Based on optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA), three vascular parameters, including vascular area density, vascular fractal dimension (VFD), and vascular orientation distribution (VOD), and four FAZ-related parameters, including FAZ area, FAZ axis ratio (FAR), FAZ circularity (FC), and FAZ roundness, in the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and deep capillary plexus (DCP) were extracted and analyzed.

Results

Logistic regression results showed that worse best-corrected visual acuity (odds ratio [OR], 0.21), higher FAR (OR, 2.77) and lower FC (OR, 0.36) of the DCP were associated with ischemic stroke. Furthermore, lower VOD of the SCP was significantly associated with lacunar infarction compared with nonlacunar infarction.

Conclusions

Our study shows that the FAR and FC of the DCP may be potential biomarkers of ischemic stroke. Moreover, we demonstrated that OCT showed specific damage patterns in retinal microvascular and macular morphology in different subtypes of ischemic stroke.

Translational Relevance

This work lays the foundation for the pathophysiological characteristics of cerebrovascular diseases assisted by retinal imaging and artificial intelligence.

Artificial intelligence in retinal imaging for cardiovascular disease prediction: current trends and future directions

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Retinal microvasculature assessment has shown promise to enhance cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk stratification. Integrating artificial intelligence into retinal microvasculature analysis may increase the screening capacity of CVD risks compared with risk score calculation through blood-taking. This review summarizes recent advancements in artificial intelligence based retinal photograph analysis for CVD prediction, and suggests challenges and future prospects for translation into a clinical setting.

RECENT FINDINGS

Artificial intelligence based retinal microvasculature analyses potentially predict CVD risk factors (e.g. blood pressure, diabetes), direct CVD events (e.g. CVD mortality), retinal features (e.g. retinal vessel calibre) and CVD biomarkers (e.g. coronary artery calcium score). However, challenges such as handling photographs with concurrent retinal diseases, limited diverse data from other populations or clinical settings, insufficient interpretability and generalizability, concerns on cost-effectiveness and social acceptance may impede the dissemination of these artificial intelligence algorithms into clinical practice.

SUMMARY

Artificial intelligence based retinal microvasculature analysis may supplement existing CVD risk stratification approach. Although technical and socioeconomic challenges remain, we envision artificial intelligence based microvasculature analysis to have major clinical and research impacts in the future, through screening for high-risk individuals especially in less-developed areas and identifying new retinal biomarkers for CVD research.

Retinal Microvascular Changes in Familial Hypercholesterolemia: Analysis with Swept-Source Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography

Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is a common but underdiagnosed genetic disorder affecting cholesterol metabolism, leading to atherosclerotic disease. The relationship between retinal microvascular changes and the presence of atheroma in patients with FH (FH group), and in comparison to volunteers without FH (CT group), needs further investigation. This cross-sectional study was conducted in a university hospital between October 1, 2020 and May 31, 2021. Cardiovascular data, including the Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) score, were recorded for FH patients. Macula angiograms were acquired using swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography (SS OCT-A) to analyze both the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) and deep capillary plexus (DCP). A total of 162 eyes of 83 patients were enrolled in the FH group and 121 eyes of 78 volunteers in the CT group. A statistically significant association was found between the CAC score and both vessel density (β = −0.002 [95% CI, −0.004; −0.0005], p = 0.010) and vessel length (β = −0.00005 [95% CI, −0.00008; −0.00001], p = 0.010) in the DCP. The FH group had a significantly lower foveal avascular zone circularity index than the CT group in multivariate analysis (0.67 ± 0.16 in the FH group vs. 0.72 ± 0.10 in the CT group, β = 0.04 [95% CI, 0.002; 0.07], p = 0.037). Retinal microvascularization is altered in FH and retinal vascular densities are modified according to the CAC score.