A chart of failure risk for noninvasive ventilation in patients with COPD exacerbation

Extracorporeal Carbon Dioxide Removal to Avoid Invasive Ventilation During Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: VENT-AVOID Trial - A Randomized Clinical Trial

Rationale: It is unclear whether extracorporeal CO2 removal (ECCO2R) can reduce the rate of intubation or the total time on invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in adults experiencing an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Objectives: To determine whether ECCO2R increases the number of ventilator-free days within the first 5 days postrandomization (VFD-5) in exacerbation of COPD in patients who are either failing noninvasive ventilation (NIV) or who are failing to wean from IMV. Methods: This randomized clinical trial was conducted in 41 U.S. institutions (2018-2022) (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT03255057). Subjects were randomized to receive either standard care with venovenous ECCO2R (NIV stratum: n = 26; IMV stratum: n = 32) or standard care alone (NIV stratum: n = 22; IMV stratum: n = 33). Measurements and Main Results: The trial was stopped early because of slow enrollment and enrolled 113 subjects of the planned sample size of 180. There was no significant difference in the median VFD-5 between the arms controlled by strata (P = 0.36). In the NIV stratum, the median VFD-5 for both arms was 5 days (median shift = 0.0; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.0-0.0). In the IMV stratum, the median VFD-5 in the standard care and ECCO2R arms were 0.25 and 2 days, respectively; median shift = 0.00 (95% confidence interval: 0.00-1.25). In the NIV stratum, all-cause in-hospital mortality was significantly higher in the ECCO2R arm (22% vs. 0%, P = 0.02) with no difference in the IMV stratum (17% vs. 15%, P = 0.73). Conclusions: In subjects with exacerbation of COPD, the use of ECCO2R compared with standard care did not improve VFD-5. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT03255057).

Respiratory Infection Triggering Severe Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background

Data are scarce on respiratory infections during severe acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study aimed to investigate respiratory infection patterns in the intensive care unit (ICU) and identify variables associated with infection type and patient outcome.

Methods

A retrospective, single-centre cohort study. All patients admitted (2015-2021) to our ICU for severe acute exacerbation of COPD were included. Logistic multivariable regression analysis was performed to predict factors associated with infection and assess the association between infection and outcome.

Results

We included 473 patients: 288 (60.9%) had respiratory infection and 139 (29.4%) required invasive mechanical ventilation. Eighty-nine (30.9%) had viral, 81 (28.1%) bacterial, 34 (11.8%) mixed, and 84 (29.2%) undocumented infections. Forty-seven (9.9%) patients died in the ICU and 67 (14.2%) in hospital. Factors associated with respiratory infection were temperature (odds ratio [+1°C]=1.43, P=0.008) and blood neutrophils (1.07, P=0.002). Male sex (2.21, P=0.02) and blood neutrophils were associated with bacterial infection (1.06, P=0.04). In a multivariable analysis, pneumonia (cause-specific hazard=1.75, P=0.005), respiratory rate (1.17, P=0.04), arterial partial pressure of carbon-dioxide (1.08, P=0.04), and lactate (1.14, P=0.02) were associated with the need for invasive MV. Age (1.03, P=0.03), immunodeficiency (1.96, P=0.02), and altered performance status (1.78, P=0.002) were associated with hospital mortality.

Conclusions

Respiratory infections, 39.9% of which were bacterial, were the main cause of severe acute exacerbation of COPD. Body temperature and blood neutrophils were single markers of infection. Pneumonia was associated with the need for invasive mechanical ventilation but not with hospital mortality, as opposed to age, immunodeficiency, and altered performance status.

[Non-invasive Mechanical Ventilation in Acute Respiratory Failure. Clinical Practice Guidelines - on behalf of the German Society of Pneumology and Ventilatory Medicine]

The guideline update outlines the advantages as well as the limitations of NIV in the treatment of acute respiratory failure in daily clinical practice and in different indications.Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) has a high value in therapy of hypercapnic acute respiratory failure, as it significantly reduces the length of ICU stay and hospitalization as well as mortality.Patients with cardiopulmonary edema and acute respiratory failure should be treated with continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) and oxygen in addition to necessary cardiological interventions. This should be done already prehospital and in the emergency department.In case of other forms of acute hypoxaemic respiratory failure with only mild or moderately disturbed gas exchange (PaO2/FiO2 > 150 mmHg) there is no significant advantage or disadvantage compared to high flow nasal oxygen (HFNO). In severe forms of ARDS NIV is associated with high rates of treatment failure and mortality, especially in cases with NIV-failure and delayed intubation.NIV should be used for preoxygenation before intubation. In patients at risk, NIV is recommended to reduce extubation failure. In the weaning process from invasive ventilation NIV essentially reduces the risk of reintubation in hypercapnic patients. NIV is regarded useful within palliative care for reduction of dyspnea and improving quality of life, but here in concurrence to HFNO, which is regarded as more comfortable. Meanwhile NIV is also recommended in prehospital setting, especially in hypercapnic respiratory failure and pulmonary edema.With appropriate monitoring in an intensive care unit NIV can also be successfully applied in pediatric patients with acute respiratory insufficiency.

Long-Term Mortality following Acute Noninvasive Ventilation for Obesity-Related Respiratory Failure: A Retrospective Single-Centre Study

Introduction

Determinants of long-term mortality following acute hypercapnic respiratory failure have been extensively studied in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. However, respiratory failure due to obesity has not been studied to the same extent. This retrospective survey aims to identify whether admission pH is associated with long-term mortality in patients requiring acute noninvasive ventilation (NIV) for obesity-related respiratory failure (ORRF).

Methods

Records from April 2013 to March 2020 were accessed from a NIV quality database at an acute teaching hospital. Adults with hypercapnic ORRF requiring acute NIV were included. pH data were grouped by threshold (pH≤ and >7.25) and correlated with time from presentation to death; multivariable analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards.

Results

A total of 277 acute NIV episodes were included. Two-year mortality was similar for patients in both pH categories. Univariable analysis identified pH ≤ 7.25 to increase risk of two-year mortality by 43%. However, multivariable analysis identified that pH was not a significant determinant of long-term mortality, although male sex, older age, and higher admission pCO2 increased the risk of death at two years by 76%, 3% per year of age, and 16% per 1 kPa of pCO2 increase, respectively.

Conclusion

Severity of hypercapnia on admission, male sex, and older age are associated with worse two-year mortality in patients requiring acute NIV for ORRF. There is scope for further analyses including investigating the role of domiciliary NIV in ORRF patients.

Reinforcement Learning Model for Managing Noninvasive Ventilation Switching Policy

Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has been recognized as a first-line treatment for respiratory failure in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and hypercapnia respiratory failure, which can reduce mortality and burden of intubation. However, during the long-term NIV process, failure to respond to NIV may cause overtreatment or delayed intubation, which is associated with increased mortality or costs. Optimal strategies for switching regime in the course of NIV treatment remain to be explored.For the goal of reducing 28-day mortality of the patients undergoing NIV, Double Dueling Deep Q Network (D3QN) of offline-reinforcement learning algorithm was adopted to develop an optimal regime model for making treatment decisions of discontinuing ventilation, continuing NIV, or intubation. The model was trained and tested using the data from Multi-Parameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) and evaluated by the practical strategies. Furthermore, the applicability of the model in majority disease subgroups (Catalogued by International Classification of Diseases, ICD) was investigated. Compared with physician's strategies, the proposed model achieved a higher expected return score (4.25 vs. 2.68) and its recommended treatments reduced the expected mortality from 27.82% to 25.44% in all NIV cases. In particular, for these patients finally received intubation in practice, if the model also supported the regime, it would warn of switching to intubation 13.36 hours earlier than clinicians (8.64 vs. 22 hours after the NIV treatment), granting a 21.7% reduction in estimated mortality. In addition, the model was applicable across various disease groups with distinguished achievement in dealing with respiratory disorders. The proposed model is promising to dynamically provide personalized optimal NIV switching regime for patients undergoing NIV with the potential of improving treatment outcomes.

Prediction of noninvasive ventilation failure using the ROX index in patients with de novo acute respiratory failure

BACKGROUND

The ratio of SpO₂/FiO₂ to respiratory rate (ROX) index is commonly used to predict the failure of high-flow nasal cannula. However, its predictive power for noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure is unclear.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study, intended to update risk scoring. Patients with de novo acute respiratory failure were enrolled, but hypercapnic patients were excluded. The ROX index was calculated before treatment and after 1-2, 12, and 24 h NIV. Differences in predictive power for NIV failure using the ROX index, PaO₂/FiO₂, and PaO₂/FiO₂/respiratory rate were tested.

RESULTS

A total of 1286 patients with de novo acute respiratory failure were enrolled. Of these, 568 (44%) experienced NIV failure. Patients with NIV failure had a lower ROX index than those with NIV success. The rates of NIV failure were 92.3%, 70.5%, 55.3%, 41.1%, 35.1%, and 29.5% in patients with ROX index values calculated before NIV of ≤ 2, 2-4, 4-6, 6-8, 8-10, and > 10, respectively. Similar results were found when the ROX index was assessed after 1-2, 12, and 24 h NIV. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.64 (95% CI 0.61-0.67) when the ROX index was used to predict NIV failure before NIV. It increased to 0.71 (95% CI 0.68-0.74), 0.74 (0.71-0.77), and 0.77 (0.74-0.80) after 1-2, 12, and 24 h NIV, respectively. The predictive power for NIV failure was similar for the ROX index and for the PaO₂/FiO₂. Likewise, no difference was found between the ROX index and the PaO₂/FiO₂/respiratory rate, except at the time point of 1-2 h NIV.

CONCLUSIONS

The ROX index has moderate predictive power for NIV failure in patients with de novo acute respiratory failure.

An updated HACOR score for predicting the failure of noninvasive ventilation: a multicenter prospective observational study

Background

Heart rate, acidosis, consciousness, oxygenation, and respiratory rate (HACOR) have been used to predict noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure. However, the HACOR score fails to consider baseline data. Here, we aimed to update the HACOR score to take into account baseline data and test its predictive power for NIV failure primarily after 1–2 h of NIV.

Methods

A multicenter prospective observational study was performed in 18 hospitals in China and Turkey. Patients who received NIV because of hypoxemic respiratory failure were enrolled. In Chongqing, China, 1451 patients were enrolled in the training cohort. Outside of Chongqing, another 728 patients were enrolled in the external validation cohort.

Results

Before NIV, the presence of pneumonia, cardiogenic pulmonary edema, pulmonary ARDS, immunosuppression, or septic shock and the SOFA score were strongly associated with NIV failure. These six variables as baseline data were added to the original HACOR score. The AUCs for predicting NIV failure were 0.85 (95% CI 0.84–0.87) and 0.78 (0.75–0.81) tested with the updated HACOR score assessed after 1–2 h of NIV in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. A higher AUC was observed when it was tested with the updated HACOR score compared to the original HACOR score in the training cohort (0.85 vs. 0.80, 0.86 vs. 0.81, and 0.85 vs. 0.82 after 1–2, 12, and 24 h of NIV, respectively; all p values < 0.01). Similar results were found in the validation cohort (0.78 vs. 0.71, 0.79 vs. 0.74, and 0.81 vs. 0.76, respectively; all p values < 0.01). When 7, 10.5, and 14 points of the updated HACOR score were used as cutoff values, the probability of NIV failure was 25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively. Among patients with updated HACOR scores of ≤ 7, 7.5–10.5, 11–14, and > 14 after 1–2 h of NIV, the rate of NIV failure was 12.4%, 38.2%, 67.1%, and 83.7%, respectively.

Conclusions

The updated HACOR score has high predictive power for NIV failure in patients with hypoxemic respiratory failure. It can be used to help in decision-making when NIV is used.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-022-04060-7.

Deciding When to Intubate a COVID-19 Patient

Background

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is one of the most significant challenges for healthcare providers, particularly in the critical care setting. The timing of intubation in COVID-19 patients seems to be challenging. Therefore, we aimed to investigate how it may have a survival benefit, and we determined which clinical characteristics were associated with outcomes.

Methods

This cross-sectional study was conducted in the Imam Khomeini Hospital Complex. We randomly selected patients admitted to intensive care units and, based on intubation status, categorized them into three subgroups (early, late, and not intubated). Early intubation is defined as intubation within 48 hours of ICU admission, and late intubation is defined as intubation after 48 hours of ICU admission.

Results

Early-intubated patients were more likely to have dyspnea than late-intubated patients, and late-intubated patients had a higher mean heart rate than early-intubated patients. The neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio was significantly (P < 0.05) lower in not-intubated patients than in other patients. There was no difference in NLR between early- and late-intubated patients. Mean serum creatine phosphokinase and troponin I levels were higher in late-intubated patients than in early- and not-intubated patients. Early-intubated patients had a lower ROX index than late-intubated patients. Patients with higher scores of APACHE 2, respiratory rates, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were more likely to be intubated. Increasing APACHE and SOFA scores were associated with decreased odds of survival.

Conclusions

There were no statistically significant differences in total mortality between early- and late-intubated patients. APACHE 2 scores, NLR, RR, and history of ischemic heart disease are some of the appropriate predictors of intubation. Higher respiratory rates (tachypnea) can be an indicator of early intubation. The ROX index is one of the most sensitive and capable tools for predicting intubation. Intubation status is a potent predictor of in-hospital mortality.

Physiological effects of high-intensity versus low-intensity noninvasive positive pressure ventilation in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a randomised controlled trial

Background

High-intensity noninvasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) is a novel ventilatory approach to maximally decreasing elevated arterial carbon dioxide tension (PaCO₂) toward normocapnia with stepwise up-titration of pressure support. We tested whether high-intensity NPPV is more effective than low-intensity NPPV at decreasing PaCO₂, reducing inspiratory effort, alleviating dyspnoea, improving consciousness, and improving NPPV tolerance in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD).

Methods

In this physiological, randomised controlled trial, we assigned 24 AECOPD patients to undergo either high-intensity NPPV (n = 12) or low-intensity NPPV (n = 12). The primary outcome was PaCO₂ 24 h after randomisation. Secondary outcomes included gas exchange other than PaCO₂ 24 h after randomisation, inspiratory effort, dyspnoea, consciousness, NPPV tolerance, patient–ventilator asynchrony, cardiac function, ventilator-induced lung injury (VILI), and NPPV-related adverse events.

Results

Inspiratory positive airway pressure 24 h after randomisation was significantly higher (28.0 [26.0–28.0] vs. 15.5 [15.0–17.5] cmH₂O; p = 0.000) and NPPV duration within the first 24 h was significantly longer (21.8 ± 2.1 vs. 15.3 ± 4.7 h; p = 0.001) in the high-intensity NPPV group. PaCO₂ 24 h after randomisation decreased to 54.0 ± 11.6 mmHg in the high-intensity NPPV group but only decreased to 67.4 ± 10.6 mmHg in the low-intensity NPPV group (p = 0.008). Inspiratory oesophageal pressure swing, oesophageal pressure–time product (PTPes)/breath, PTPes/min, and PTPes/L were significantly lower in the high-intensity group. Accessory muscle use and dyspnoea score 24 h after randomisation were also significantly lower in that group. No significant between-groups differences were observed in consciousness, NPPV tolerance, patient–ventilator asynchrony, cardiac function, VILI, or NPPV-related adverse events.

Conclusions

High-intensity NPPV is more effective than low-intensity NPPV at decreasing elevated PaCO₂, reducing inspiratory effort, and alleviating dyspnoea in AECOPD patients.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04044625; registered 5 August 2019).

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13613-022-01018-4.

["B problems" in non-traumatic resuscitation room management]

In the primary survey of resuscitation room management in critically ill nontrauma patients, the ABCDE (airway, breathing, circulation, disability, exposure) approach is used for immediate recognition and treatment of life-threatening conditions. "B problems" are associated with respiratory failure and require immediate treatment. The pathogenesis is diverse, especially in the nontrauma resuscitation room. Clinical examination, emergency sonography and knowledge of oxygenation techniques and ventilation are important components of diagnosis and therapy. Standardized procedures and regular training in the emergency room are of fundamental importance.

Treatment of acute respiratory failure: noninvasive mechanical ventilation

Background: Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has been an important strategy to support patients with respiratory failure, while preventing complications assorted with invasive mechanical ventilation. Physicians need to be aware of the various roles of NIV and the challenges encountered in clinical practice.Current Concepts: Traditionally, the application of NIV has been well-known to be associated with reduced mortality in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or acute pulmonary edema and those suffering from acute respiratory failure. However, despite some positive results of NIV treatment in patients with de novo hypoxemic respiratory failure such as acute pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome, NIV failure (or delayed intubation) can have deleterious effects on patients outcomes. Besides, the aggravation of lung injury should also be taken into consideration when applied to patients exhibiting high respiratory drive. Nonetheless, NIV has potential for wide applications in various clinical situations such as facilitation of ventilator weaning, post-operative respiratory failure, or palliative treatment.Discussion and Conclusion: In addition to the strong evidence in patients with acute respiratory failure due to COPD or acute pulmonary edema, the NIV treatment can be potentially used for various clinical conditions. However, compared to European countries, the prevalence of NIV use continues to remain lower in South Korea. Nevertheless, when applied in appropriately selected patients in a timely manner, NIV treatment can be associated with improved patient outcomes.

Efficacy prediction of noninvasive ventilation failure based on the stacking ensemble algorithm and autoencoder

Background

Early prediction of noninvasive ventilation failure is of great significance for critically ill ICU patients to escalate or change treatment. Because clinically collected data are highly time-series correlated and have imbalanced classes, it is difficult to accurately predict the efficacy of noninvasive ventilation for severe patients. This paper aims to precisely predict the failure probability of noninvasive ventilation before or in the early stage (1–2 h) of using it on patients and to explain the correlation of the predicted results.

Methods

In this paper, we proposed a SMSN model (stacking and modified SMOTE algorithm of prediction of noninvasive ventilation failure). In the feature generation stage, we used an autoencoder algorithm based on long short-term memory (LSTM) to automatically extract time series features. In the modelling stage, we adopted a modified SMOTE algorithm to address imbalanced classes, and three classifiers (logistic regression, random forests, and Catboost) were combined with the stacking ensemble algorithm to achieve high prediction accuracy.

Results

Data from 2495 patients were used to train the SMSN model. Among them, 80% of 2495 patients (1996 patients) were randomly selected as the training set, and 20% of these patients (499 patients) were chosen as the testing set. The F1 of the proposed SMSN model was 79.4%, and the accuracy was 88.2%. Compared with the traditional logistic regression algorithm, the F1 and accuracy were improved by 4.7% and 1.3%, respectively.

Conclusions

Through SHAP analysis, oxygenation index, pH and H1FIO₂ collected after 1 h of noninvasive ventilation were the most relevant features affecting the prediction.

Nasal high-flow compared to non-invasive ventilation in treatment of acute acidotic hypercapnic exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease-protocol for a randomized controlled noninferiority trial (ELVIS)

Background

Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) have a major negative impact on health status, rates of hospitalization, readmission, disease progression and mortality. Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is the standard therapy for hypercapnic acidotic respiratory failure in AECOPD. Despite its beneficial effects, NIV is often poorly tolerated (11–34 % failure rate). An increasing number of studies have documented a beneficial effect of nasal high-flow (NHF) in acute hypercapnia. We designed a prospective, randomized, multi-centre, open label, non-inferiority trial to compare treatment failure in nasal NHF vs NIV in patients with acidotic hypercapnic AECOPD.

Methods

The study will be conducted in about 35 sites in Germany. Patients with hypercapnic AECOPD with respiratory acidosis (pH < 7.35) will be randomized 1:1 to NIV or NHF. The primary outcome is the combined endpoint of intubation, treatment failure or death at 72 h. The switch from one to the other device marks a device failure but acts as a rescue treatment in absence of intubation criteria. A sample size of 720 was calculated to have 80% power for showing that NHF is non-inferior to NIV with a margin of 8 percentage points. Linear regression will be used for the confirmatory analysis.

Discussion

If NHF is shown to be non-inferior to NIV in acidotic hypercapnic AECOPD, it could become an important alternative treatment.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04881409, Registered on May 11, 2021

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-021-05978-z.

Extracorporeal CO2 removal in acute exacerbation of COPD unresponsive to non-invasive ventilation

Background

The gold-standard treatment for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ae-COPD) is non-invasive ventilation (NIV). However, NIV failures may be observed, and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) is required. Extracorporeal CO₂ removal (ECCO₂R) devices can be an alternative to intubation. The aim of the study was to assess ECCO₂R effectiveness and safety.

Methods

Patients with consecutive ae-COPD who experienced NIV failure were retrospectively assessed over two periods of time: before and after ECCO₂R device implementation in our ICU in 2015 (Xenios AG).

Results

Both groups (ECCO₂R: n=26, control group: n=25) were comparable at baseline, except for BMI, which was significantly higher in the ECCO₂R group (30 kg/m² vs 25 kg/m²). pH and PaCO₂ significantly improved in both groups. The mean time on ECCO₂R was 5.4 days versus 27 days for IMV in the control group. Four patients required IMV in the ECCO₂R group, of whom three received IMV after ECCO₂R weaning. Seven major bleeding events were observed with ECCO₂R, but only three led to premature discontinuation of ECCO₂R. Eight cases of ventilator-associated pneumonia were observed in the control group. Mean time spent in the ICU and mean hospital stay in the ECCO₂R and control groups were, respectively, 18 vs 30 days, 29 vs 49 days, and the 90-day mortality rates were 15% vs 28%.

Conclusions

ECCO₂R was associated with significant improvement of pH and PaCO₂ in patients with ae-COPD failing NIV therapy. It also led to avoiding intubation in 85% of cases, with low complication rates.

Trial registration number

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04882410. Date of registration 12 May 2021, retrospectively registered.

https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04882410.

Extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal for treatment of exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ORION): study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

Background

Hypercapnic exacerbations are severe complications of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), characterized by negative impact on prognosis, quality of life and healthcare costs. The present standard of care for acute exacerbations of COPD is non-invasive ventilation; when it fails, the use of invasive mechanical ventilation is inevitable, but is associated with extremely poor prognosis. Extracorporeal circuits designed to remove CO₂ (ECCO₂R) may enhance the efficacy of NIV to remove CO₂ and avoid the worsening of respiratory acidosis, which inevitably leads to failure of non-invasive ventilation. Although the use of ECCO₂R for acute exacerbations of COPD is steadily increasing, solid evidence on its efficacy and safety is scarce, thus the need for a randomized controlled trial.

Methods

multicenter randomized controlled unblinded clinical trial including 284 (142 per arm) patients with acute hypercapnic respiratory failure caused by exacerbation of COPD, requiring respiratory support with NIV. The primary outcome is event free survival at 28 days, a composite outcome defined by survival in absence of prolonged mechanical ventilation, severe hypoxemia, septic shock and second episode of COPD exacerbation. Secondary outcomes are incidence of endotracheal intubation and tracheostomy, intensive care and hospital length-of-stay and 90-day mortality.

Discussion

Acute exacerbations of COPD represent a significant burden in terms of prognosis, quality of life and healthcare costs. Lack definite evidence despite increasing use of ECCO₂R justifies a randomized trial to evaluate whether patients with acute hypercapnic acidosis not responsive to NIV should undergo invasive mechanical ventilation (with all serious related risks) or be treated with ECCO₂R to avoid invasive ventilation but be exposed to possible adverse events of ECCO₂R. Owing to its pragmatic nature, sample size and composite primary outcome, this trial aims at providing valuable answers to relevant questions for clinical treatment of acute exacerbations of COPD.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04582799. Registered 12 October 2020, .

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13063-021-05692-w.

Comparing effectiveness of intelligent volume-assured pressure support (iVAPS) vs bi-level positive airway pressure spontaneous/timed (BPAP S/T) for hypercapnic respiratory failure in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Intelligent volume-assured pressure support (iVAPS) is a relatively new hybrid mode of non-invasive ventilation (NIV). There is still limited evidence for iVAPS. The aim of this study was to compare the effectiveness of iVAPS to that of bi-level positive airway pressure spontaneous/timed (BPAP S/T) in patients with acute hypercapnic respiratory failure or acute-on-chronic hypercapnic respiratory failure caused by acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) in the emergency department.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This was an observational, retrospective study. Eighty-two patients with hypercapnic respiratory failure caused by AECOPD, who were admitted to our emergency department, were analysed. Arterial blood gas (ABG) parameters, length of hospital stay and rate of intensive care unit (ICU) admission were compared between iVAPS and BPAP S/T.

RESULTS

A total of 82 patients (26 females, 56 males, mean age 68.26 ± 11.63 years) who were treated with iVAPS (N = 26) or BPAP S/T (N = 56) were enrolled. There were no significant differences between two modes with respect to demographics such as age, gender, presence of comorbidity, usage of long-term oxygen therapy or NIV, and the baseline ABG parameters. The presence of pneumonia was significantly higher in BPAP S/T (P = .01). The rate of ICU admission was 26.9% in iVAPS vs 25% in BPAP S/T. The mean length of hospital stay was 11.5 ± 12.3 days in iVAPS and 9.7 ± 7.4 days in BPAP S/T (P = .53). The mean values of ABG parameters at the 1st and 24th hours of NIV therapy did not differ in both groups.

CONCLUSION

Both modes were similarly effective in the management of appropriately selected patients with hypercapnic respiratory failure caused by AECOPD. Hence, we underline that NIV mode selection in the emergency department should be performed in line with experiences of clinicians/institutions and accessibility of ventilator devices/modes.

[Factors predicting the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)]

Introduction

the use of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) in acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) constitutes a negative turning point in the progression of the disease. The purpose of this study is to determine factors predicting the need for IMV in AECOPD.

Methods

we conducted a retrospective study by reviewing the medical records of patients with AECOPD hospitalized in our Department over a 18-year period (2000-2017). We compared 2 groups: G1: patients with AECOPD undergoing at least one IMV and G2: patients who had never undergone IMV following AECOPD.

Results

the study included 1152 patients with COPD: 133 in the G1 group (11.5%), and 1019 in the G2 group (88.5%). G1 patients were more symptomatic (p < 0.001), with more severe bronchial obstruction (p < 0.001). G1 patients had more exacerbations (p < 0.001), more hospitalizations and a higher need for non-invasive ventilation (NIV) (p < 0.001). Similarly, G1 patients more often developed chronic respiratory failure (p < 0.001) and had significantly lower survival rates. Independent risk factors associated with IMV were hypercapnia and decreased pH (in patients with severe AECOPD), a history of NIV, and chronic respiratory failure (CRF).

Conclusion

respiratory function impairment, the severity of exacerbation and the need for NIV in a previous episode are factors predicting the need for IMV and poor outcomes.

Dynamic prediction of late noninvasive ventilation failure in intensive care unit using a time adaptive machine model

BACKGROUND

Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure is strongly associated with poor prognosis. Nowadays, plenty of mature studies have been proposed to predict early NIV failure (within 48 hours of NIV), however, the prediction for late NIV failure (after 48 hours of NIV) lacks sufficient research. Late NIV failure delays intubation resulting in the increasing mortality of the patients. Therefore, it is of great significance to expeditiously predict the late NIV failure. In order to dynamically predict late NIV failure, we proposed a Time Updated Light Gradient Boosting Machine (TULightGBM) model.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In this work, 5653 patients undergoing NIV over 48 hours were extracted from the database of Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅲ (MIMIC-Ⅲ) for model construction. The TULightGBM model consists of a series of sub-models which learn clinical information from updating data within 48 hours of NIV and integrates the outputs of the sub-models by the dynamic attention mechanism to predict late NIV failure. The performance of the proposed TULightGBM model was assessed by comparison with common models of logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), LightGBM, eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), artificial neural network (ANN), and long short-term memory (LSTM).

RESULTS

The TULightGBM model yielded prediction results at 8, 16, 24, 36, and 48 hours after the start of the NIV with dynamic AUC values of 0.8323, 0.8435, 0.8576, 0.8886, and 0.9123, respectively. Furthermore, the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of the TULightGBM model were 0.8207, 0.8164, and 0.8184, respectively. The proposed model achieved superior performance over other tested models.

CONCLUSIONS

The TULightGBM model is able to dynamically predict the late NIV failure with high accuracy and offer potential decision support for clinical practice.

Duration of noninvasive ventilation is not a predictor of clinical outcomes in patients with acute exacerbation of COPD and respiratory failure

Purpose

Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a major cause of mortality and morbidity. Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) is proven to be effective in the majority of patients with acute exacerbation COPD (AECOPD) complicated with respiratory failure. NIV could be lifesaving but also can delay mechanical ventilation if its efficacy is not assessed in a timely manner. In this study, we analyzed potential predictors of NIV failure in AECOPD in a tertiary medical intensive care unit (MICU). In particular, we wondered whether duration of NIV among those who eventually failed was associated with poor outcomes.

Methods

A retrospective review of consecutive patients with a primary diagnosis of AECOPD requiring NIV admitted to the MICU was conducted for the period between 2012 and 2017. Baseline data included demographics, APACHE III score, albumin level, blood lactate, and blood gas elements. Additional chart review was performed to collect NIV setting parameters on presentation to the MICU. Clinical outcome variables collected included outcome and duration of NIV, duration of invasive mechanical ventilation, MICU length of stay, hospital length of stay, and in-hospital mortality. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to determine independent variables associated with clinical outcomes.

Results

There were 370 patients who met the inclusion criteria; 53.2% were male. Mean age was 64.7 ± 11.2 years old. Mean baseline FEV₁ was 34 ±17% of predicted. Patients had mean pH of 7.20 ± 0.54 and P_aCO₂ of 70.3 ± 28.7 on presentation; 323 patients (87.3%) were successfully weaned off NIV; 47 patients (12.7%) failed NIV and required invasive mechanical ventilation. APACHE III score was higher among patients who failed NIV (68.3±18.9 versus 48.8± 15.2, P < 0.001). In the subset of 47 patients who failed NIV requiring intubation, duration of NIV was 25.0 ± 58.8 h. Multivariate regression analysis yielded a model consisting of APACHE III score and body mass index as predictive variables for NIV failure (C-statistic = 0.809). Duration of NIV was not associated with worse clinical outcomes among patients who failed NIV.

Conclusions

NIV is successful in preventing invasive mechanical ventilation in majority of patients with acute respiratory failure due to COPD. Patients with worse clinical status at presentation are more likely to fail NIV and require mechanical ventilation. In the subgroup of patients who failed NIV, duration of NIV prior to intubation was not associated with poor clinical outcomes.

The Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score: prediction of in-hospital mortality in exacerbations of COPD requiring assisted ventilation

Introduction

Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) complicated by acute (acidaemic) hypercapnic respiratory failure (AHRF) requiring ventilation are common. When applied appropriately, ventilation substantially reduces mortality. Despite this, there is evidence of poor practice and prognostic pessimism. A clinical prediction tool could improve decision making regarding ventilation, but none is routinely used.

Methods

Consecutive patients admitted with AECOPD and AHRF treated with assisted ventilation (principally noninvasive ventilation) were identified in two hospitals serving differing populations. Known and potential prognostic indices were identified a priori. A prediction tool for in-hospital death was derived using multivariable regression analysis. Prospective, external validation was performed in a temporally separate, geographically diverse 10-centre study. The trial methodology adhered to TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) recommendations.

Results

Derivation cohort: n=489, in-hospital mortality 25.4%; validation cohort: n=733, in-hospital mortality 20.1%. Using six simple categorised variables (extended Medical Research Council Dyspnoea score 1–4/5a/5b, time from admission to acidaemia >12 h, pH <7.25, presence of atrial fibrillation, Glasgow coma scale ≤14 and chest radiograph consolidation), a simple scoring system with strong prediction of in-hospital mortality is achieved. The resultant Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score had area under the receiver operating curve of 0.79 and offers good calibration and discrimination across stratified risk groups in its validation cohort.

Discussion

The NIVO score outperformed pre-specified comparator scores. It is validated in a generalisable cohort and works despite the heterogeneity inherent to both this patient group and this intervention. Potential applications include informing discussions with patients and their families, aiding treatment escalation decisions, challenging pessimism and comparing risk-adjusted outcomes across centres.

The NIVO score was created to predict in-hospital mortality in exacerbations of COPD requiring assisted ventilation. Prospective validation under real-world conditions in 10 UK hospitals shows it easily outperforms existing alternative scores.https://bit.ly/3oKMZdI

High flow nasal oxygen for acute type two respiratory failure: a systematic review

Background: Acute type two respiratory failure (AT2RF) is characterized by high carbon dioxide levels (PaCO 2 >6kPa). Non-invasive ventilation (NIV), the current standard of care, has a high failure rate. High flow nasal therapy (HFNT) has potential additional benefits such as CO 2 clearance, the ability to communicate and comfort. The primary aim of this systematic review is to determine whether HFNT in AT2RF improves 1) PaCO 2, 2) clinical and patient-centred outcomes and 3) to assess potential harms. Methods: We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE and CENTRAL  (January 1999-January 2021). Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies comparing HFNT with low flow nasal oxygen (LFO) or NIV were included. Two authors independently assessed studies for eligibility, data extraction and risk of bias. We used Cochrane risk of bias tool for RCTs and Ottawa-Newcastle scale for cohort studies. Results: From 727 publications reviewed, four RCTs and one cohort study (n=425) were included. In three trials of HFNT vs NIV, comparing PaCO 2 (kPa) at last follow-up time point, there was a significant reduction at four hours (1 RCT; HFNT median 6.7, IQR 5.6 - 7.7 vs NIV median 7.6, IQR 6.3 - 9.3) and no significant difference at  24-hours or five days. Comparing HFNT with LFO, there was no significant difference at 30-minutes. There was no difference in intubation or mortality. Conclusions: This review identified a small number of studies with low to very low certainty of evidence. A reduction of PaCO 2 at an early time point of four hours post-intervention was demonstrated in one small RCT. Significant limitations of the included studies were lack of adequately powered outcomes and clinically relevant time-points and small sample size. Accordingly, systematic review cannot recommend the use of HFNT as the initial management strategy for AT2RF and trials adequately powered to detect clinical and patient-relevant outcomes are urgently warranted.

High flow nasal oxygen for acute type two respiratory failure: a systematic review

Background: Acute type two respiratory failure (AT2RF) is characterized by high carbon dioxide levels (PaCO 2 >6kPa). Non-invasive ventilation (NIV), the current standard of care, has a high failure rate. High flow nasal therapy (HFNT) has potential additional benefits such as CO 2 clearance, the ability to communicate and comfort. The primary aim of this systematic review is to determine whether HFNT in AT2RF improves 1) PaCO 2, 2) clinical and patient-centred outcomes and 3) to assess potential harms. Methods: We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE and CENTRAL  (January 1999-January 2021). Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies comparing HFNT with low flow nasal oxygen (LFO) or NIV were included. Two authors independently assessed studies for eligibility, data extraction and risk of bias. We used Cochrane risk of bias tool for RCTs and Ottawa-Newcastle scale for cohort studies. Results: From 727 publications reviewed, four RCTs and one cohort study (n=425) were included. In three trials of HFNT vs NIV, comparing PaCO 2 (kPa) at last follow-up time point, there was a significant reduction at four hours (1 RCT; HFNT median 6.7, IQR 5.6 - 7.7 vs NIV median 7.6, IQR 6.3 - 9.3) and no significant difference at  24-hours or five days. Comparing HFNT with LFO, there was no significant difference at 30-minutes. There was no difference in intubation or mortality. Conclusions: This review identified a small number of studies with low to very low certainty of evidence. A reduction of PaCO 2 at an early time point of four hours post-intervention was demonstrated in one small RCT. Significant limitations of the included studies were lack of adequately powered outcomes and clinically relevant time-points and small sample size. Accordingly, systematic review cannot recommend the use of HFNT as the initial management strategy for AT2RF and trials adequately powered to detect clinical and patient-relevant outcomes are urgently warranted.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation fundamentals: Diagnosis, treatment, prevention and disease impact

In chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), exacerbations (ECOPD), characterized by an acute deterioration in respiratory symptoms, are fundamental events impacting negatively upon disease progression, comorbidities, wellbeing and mortality. ECOPD also represent the largest component of the socioeconomic burden of COPD. ECOPDs are currently defined as acute worsening of respiratory symptoms that require additional therapy. Definitions that require worsening of dyspnoea and sputum volume/purulence assume that acute infections, especially respiratory viral infections, and/or exposure to pollutants are the main cause of ECOPD. But other factors may contribute to ECOPD, such as the exacerbation of other respiratory diseases and non-respiratory diseases (e.g., heart failure, thromboembolism). The complexity of worsening dyspnoea has suggested a need to improve the definition of ECOPD using objective measurements such as blood counts and C-reactive protein to improve accuracy of diagnosis and a personalized approach to management. There are three time points when we can intervene to improve outcomes: acutely, to attenuate the length and severity of an established exacerbation; in the aftermath, to prevent early recurrence and readmission, which are common, and in the long-term, establishing preventative measures that reduce the risk of future events. Acute management includes interventions such as corticosteroids or antibiotics and measures to support the respiratory system, including non-invasive ventilation (NIV). Current therapies are broad and better understanding of clinical phenotypes and biomarkers may help to establish a more tailored approach, for example in relation to antibiotic prescription. Other unmet needs include effective treatment for viruses, which commonly cause exacerbations. Preventing early recurrence and readmission to hospital is important and the benefits of interventions such as antibiotics or anti-inflammatories in this period are not established. Domiciliary NIV in those patients who are persistently hypercapnic following discharge and pulmonary rehabilitation can have a positive impact. For long-term prevention, inhaled therapy is key. Dual bronchodilators reduce exacerbation frequency but in patients with continuing exacerbations, triple therapy should be considered, especially if blood eosinophils are elevated. Other options include phosphodiesterase inhibitors and macrolide antibiotics. ECOPD are a key component of the assessment of COPD severity and future outcomes (quality of life, hospitalisations, health care resource utilization, mortality) and are a central component in pharmacological management decisions. Targeted therapies directed towards specific pathways of inflammation are being explored in exacerbation prevention, and this is a promising avenue for future research.

A scoring system derived from electronic health records to identify patients at high risk for noninvasive ventilation failure

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a clinical risk prediction score for noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure defined as intubation after a trial of NIV in non-surgical patients.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of a multihospital electronic health record database.

PATIENTS

Non-surgical adult patients receiving NIV as the first method of ventilation within two days of hospitalization.

MEASUREMENT

Primary outcome was intubation after a trial of NIV. We used a non-random split of the cohort based on year of admission for model development and validation. We included subjects admitted in years 2010-2014 to develop a risk prediction model and built a parsimonious risk scoring model using multivariable logistic regression. We validated the model in the cohort of subjects hospitalized in 2015 and 2016.

MAIN RESULTS

Of all the 47,749 patients started on NIV, 11.7% were intubated. Compared with NIV success, those who were intubated had worse mortality (25.2% vs. 8.9%). Strongest independent predictors for intubation were organ failure, principal diagnosis group (substance abuse/psychosis, neurological conditions, pneumonia, and sepsis), use of invasive ventilation in the prior year, low body mass index, and tachypnea. The c-statistic was 0.81, 0.80 and 0.81 respectively, in the derivation, validation and full cohorts. We constructed three risk categories of the scoring system built on the full cohort; the median and interquartile range of risk of intubation was: 2.3% [1.9%-2.8%] for low risk group; 9.3% [6.3%-13.5%] for intermediate risk category; and 35.7% [31.0%-45.8%] for high risk category.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients started on NIV, we found that in addition to factors known to be associated with intubation, neurological, substance abuse, or psychiatric diagnoses were highly predictive for intubation. The prognostic score that we have developed may provide quantitative guidance for decision-making in patients who are started on NIV.

Predictors for long-term mortality in COPD patients requiring non-invasive positive pressure ventilation for the treatment of acute respiratory failure

INTRODUCTION

The effectiveness of non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) in the management of COPD patients suffering from acute respiratory failure (ARF) as a consequence of exacerbation of the disease, is well established. However, data on long-term outcomes and their predictors, including the individual response to NIV, are scarce.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate predictors for short- and long-term mortality in this study population.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed including all patients admitted to the Medium Respiratory Care Unit of Maastricht University Medical Center in Maastricht, the Netherlands, with hospitalized exacerbation of COPD (H-ECOPD) with ARF requiring NIV for the first time between January 2009 and December 2011. An extensive number of potential predictors of outcomes, including the response to NIV, were determined on admission and during hospitalization. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Seventy-eight consecutive patients with moderate to severe COPD (mean age 71.0 ± 10.7 years; 48.7% males) were included; In-hospital, 1-year and 2-year mortality rates were 14.1%, 43.6% and 56.4%, respectively. Independent risk factors for 2-year mortality were: advanced age (odds ratio(OR) 1.025; confidence interval (CI) 1.002-1.049; P = 0.037), prolonged NIV use more than 8 days (OR:1.054;CI:1.006-1.104; P = 0.027) and no successful response to NIV (OR:2.392;CI:1.297-4.413; P = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Patients with an H-ECOPD requiring NIV for the first time, constitute a severely ill patient group with high in-hospital and 2-year mortality. This study identified advanced age, NIV use more than 8 days and unsuccessful response to NIV as clinical important independent predictors for long-term mortality.

Risk Factors Associated with Late Failure of Noninvasive Ventilation in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Background

Risk factors for noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure after initial success are not fully clear in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

Methods

Patients who received NIV beyond 48 h due to acute exacerbation of COPD were enrolled. However, we excluded those whose pH was higher than 7.35 or PaCO₂ was less than 45 mmHg which was measured before NIV. Late failure of NIV was defined as patients required intubation or died during NIV after initial success.

Results

We enrolled 291 patients in this study. Of them, 48 (16%) patients experienced late NIV failure (45 received intubation and 3 died during NIV). The median time from initiation of NIV to intubation was 4.8 days (IQR: 3.4–8.1). Compared with the data collected at initiation of NIV, the heart rate, respiratory rate, pH, and PaCO₂ significantly improved after 1–2 h of NIV both in the NIV success and late failure of NIV groups. Nosocomial pneumonia (odds ratio (OR) = 75, 95% confidence interval (CI): 11–537), heart rate at initiation of NIV (1.04, 1.01–1.06 beat per min), and pH at 1–2 h of NIV (2.06, 1.41–3.00 per decrease of 0.05 from 7.35) were independent risk factors for late failure of NIV. In addition, the Glasgow coma scale (OR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.34–0.73 per one unit increase) and PaO₂/FiO₂ (0.992, 0.986–0.998 per one unit increase) were independent protective factors for late failure of NIV. In addition, patients with late failure of NIV had longer ICU stay (median 9.5 vs. 6.6 days) and higher hospital mortality (92% vs. 3%) compared with those with NIV success.

Conclusions

Nosocomial pneumonia; heart rate at initiation of NIV; and consciousness, acidosis, and oxygenation at 1–2 h of NIV were associated with late failure of NIV in patients with COPD exacerbation. And, late failure of NIV was associated with increased hospital mortality.

Early detection of non-invasive ventilation failure among acute respiratory failure patients in the emergency department

Background

Non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) has become an alternative to an invasive artificial airway for the management of acute respiratory failure (ARF). NIV failure causes delayed intubation, which eventually has been associated with increased morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to develop the clinical scoring system of NIV failure in ARF patients.

Methods

This study was a diagnostic, retrospectively cross-sectional, and exploratory model at the Emergency Medicine Department in Ramathibodi Hospital between February 2017 and December 2017. We included all of the acute respiratory failure patients aged > 18 years and received non-invasive ventilation (NIV). Clinical factors associated with NIV failure were recorded. The predictive model and prediction score for NIV failure were developed by multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Result

A total of 329 acute respiratory failure patients have received NIV success (N = 237) and failure (N = 92). This study showed that NIV failure was associated with heart rate >  110 bpm, systolic BP <  110 mmHg, SpO2 < 90%, arterial pH < 7.30 and serum lactate. The clinical scores were classified into three groups: low, moderate, and high.

Conclusion

We suggested that the novel clinical scoring of the NIV failure in this study may use as a good predictor for NIV failure in the emergency room.

Risk factors of unfavorable outcomes in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients treated with noninvasive ventilation for acute hypercapnic respiratory failure

BACKGROUND-AIM

Noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIV) failure rate is reported to be 5%-60% of intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Despite all precautions and well-known reasons, the risk factors of NIV failure are unclear for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) with acute respiratory failure (ARF). The aim of this study was to examine risk factors for NIV failure in COPD patients with ARF, other than well defined.

METHODS

The retrospective cohort study was done in ICU of a chest disease hospital. All consecutive COPD patients with hypercapnic ARF were enrolled in study. Demographics, comorbidities, arterial blood gases, reasons of ARF and length of ICU stay were recorded. NIV success was defined as discharge from ICU and NIV failure was defined as need for intubation or died during NIV. Patients were grouped into; NIV failure and success. The groups were compared and NIV failure risk factors were analyzed.

RESULTS

About 265 NIV success and 142 NIV failure patients were enrolled into the study. Logistic regression test showed the risk factors for NIV failure; higher APACHE-II (≥ 29) (OR:11.71, CI95%4.39-31.18, P < 0.001), culture positivity (OR:7.59, CI95%3.21-17.92, P < 0.001), sepsis (OR:6.53 CI95%3.59-11.85, P < 0.001) and pneumonia (OR:3.71 CI95%0.60-2.02, P < 0.043) significantly. COPD patients using home-based NIV had less risk for NIV failure (OR: 0.49 CI95%0.28-0.87, P < 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

APACHE II ≥ 29 score, culture positivity, sepsis and pneumonia are the risk factors for NIV failure in COPD patients with ARF. COPD patients previously on home-based NIV showed half times less risk for NIV failure.

Predictive Factors for Failure of Noninvasive Ventilation in Adult Intensive Care Unit: A Retrospective Clinical Study

Background

Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has been reported to be beneficial for patients with acute respiratory failure in intensive care unit (ICU); however, factors that influence the clinical outcome of NIV were unclarified. We aim to determine the factors that predict the failure of NIV in critically ill patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). Setting. Adult mixed ICU in a medical university affiliated hospital. Patients and Methods. A retrospective clinical study using data from critical adult patients with initial NIV admitted to ICU in the period August 2016 to November 2017. Failure of NIV was regarded as patients needing invasive ventilation. Logistic regression was employed to determine the risk factor(s) for NIV, and a predictive model for NIV outcome was set up using risk factors.

Results

Of 101 included patients, 50 were unsuccessful. Although more than 20 variables were associated with NIV failure, multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that only ideal body weight (IBW) (OR 1.110 (95%1.027-1.201), P=0.009), the maximal heart rate during NIV period (HR-MAX) (OR 1.024 (1.004-1.046), P=0.021), the minimal respiratory rate during NIV period (RR-MIN) (OR 1.198(1.051-1.365), P=0.007), and the highest body temperature during NIV period (T-MAX) (OR 1.838(1.038-3.252), P=0.037) were independent risk factors for NIV failure. We set up a predictive model based on these independent risk factors, whose area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.676-0.899, P < 0.001), and the sensitivity and specificity of model were 68.75% and 71.43%, respectively, with the optimal cut-off value of 0.4863.

Conclusion

IBW, HR-MAX, RR-MIN, and T-MAX were associated with NIV failure in patients with ARF. A predictive model based on the risk factors could help to discriminate patients who are vulnerable to NIV failure.

Noninvasive Ventilation and High-Flow Nasal Therapy Administration in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations

Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) is considered to be the standard of care for the management of acute hypercapnic respiratory failure in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation. It can be delivered safely in any dedicated setting, from emergency rooms to high dependency or intensive care units and wards. NIV helps improving dyspnea and gas exchange, reduces the need for endotracheal intubation, and morbidity and mortality rates. It is therefore recognized as the gold standard in this condition. High-flow nasal therapy helps improving ventilatory efficiency and reducing the work of breathing in patients with severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Early studies indicate that some patients with acute hypercapnic respiratory failure can be managed with high-flow nasal therapy, but more information is needed before specific recommendations for this therapy can be made. Therefore, high-flow nasal therapy use should be individualized in each particular situation and institution, taking into account resources, and local and personal experience with all respiratory support therapies.

In vitro characterization of PrismaLung+: a novel ECCO2R device

BACKGROUND

Invasive mechanical ventilation is lifesaving in the setting of severe acute respiratory failure but can cause ventilation-induced lung injury. Advances in extracorporeal CO₂ removal (ECCO₂R) technologies may facilitate more protective lung ventilation in acute respiratory distress syndrome, and enable earlier weaning and/or avoid invasive mechanical ventilation entirely in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations. We evaluated the in vitro CO₂ removal capacity of the novel PrismaLung+ ECCO₂R device compared with two existing gas exchangers.

METHODS

The in vitro CO₂ removal capacity of the PrismaLung+ (surface area 0.8 m², Baxter) was compared with the PrismaLung (surface area 0.35 m², Baxter) and A.L.ONE (surface area 1.35 m², Eurosets) devices, using a closed-loop bovine blood-perfused extracorporeal circuit. The efficacy of each device was measured at varying pCO₂ inlet (p_inCO₂) levels (45, 60, and 80 mmHg) and blood flow rates (Q_B) of 200-450 mL/min; the PrismaLung+ and A.L.ONE devices were also tested at a Q_B of 600 mL/min. The amount of CO₂ removed by each device was assessed by measurement of the CO₂ infused to maintain circuit equilibrium (CO₂ infusion method) and compared with measured CO₂ concentrations in the inlet and outlet of the CO₂ removal device (blood gas analysis method).

RESULTS

The PrismaLung+ device performed similarly to the A.L.ONE device, with both devices demonstrating CO₂ removal rates ~ 50% greater than the PrismaLung device. CO₂ removal rates were 73 ± 4.0, 44 ± 2.5, and 72 ± 1.9 mL/min, for PrismaLung+, PrismaLung, and A.L.ONE, respectively, at Q_B 300 mL/min and p_inCO₂ 45 mmHg. A Bland-Altman plot demonstrated that the CO₂ infusion method was comparable to the blood gas analysis method for calculating CO₂ removal. The resistance to blood flow across the test device, as measured by pressure drop, varied as a function of blood flow rate, and was greatest for PrismaLung and lowest for the A.L.ONE device.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed PrismaLung+ performed more effectively than PrismaLung, with performance of CO₂ removal comparable to A.L.ONE at the flow rates tested, despite the smaller membrane surface area of PrismaLung+ versus A.L.ONE. Clinical testing of PrismaLung+ is warranted to further characterize its performance.

Prehospital reversal of profound respiratory acidosis and hypercapnic coma by non-invasive ventilation: a report of two cases

BACKGROUND

In chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF), non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is generally recommended and has proven its benefits by reducing endotracheal intubation (ETI) rates, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, complications, and mortality. Choosing between immediate ETI or NIV trial is often difficult when such patients present with an altered mental status. Some guidelines recommend avoiding NIV when consciousness is impaired given the risk of aspiration, and some authors suggest that a pH < 7.25 is highly predictive of NIV failure. Though clinical response to a well-adjusted NIV treatment can be both swift and spectacular, these contraindications probably encourage physicians to proceed to immediate ETI. Some studies indeed report that NIV was not even considered in as many as 60% of patients who might have benefited from this therapy, though ETI related complications might have been avoided had NIV been successfully applied.

CASE PRESENTATION

We report two cases of ARF in COPD patients who were successfully treated by NIV in prehospital setting and avoided ETI despite contraindications (altered mental status with a Glasgow Coma Scale < 8) and failure risk factors (severe respiratory acidosis with pH < 7.25).

CONCLUSION

In COPD patients presenting ARF, NIV trial could be considered even when relative contraindications such as an altered level of consciousness or a severe respiratory acidosis are present.

Predicting and preventing hospital readmission for exacerbations of COPD

More than a third of patients hospitalised for acute exacerbation of COPD are readmitted to hospital within 90 days. Healthcare professionals and service providers are expected to collaboratively drive efforts to improve hospital readmission rates, which can be challenging due to the lack of clear consensus and guidelines on how best to predict and prevent readmissions. This review identifies these risk factors, highlighting the contribution of multimorbidity, frailty and poor socioeconomic status. Predictive models of readmission that address the multifactorial nature of readmissions and heterogeneity of the disease are reviewed, recognising that in an era of precision medicine, in-depth understanding of the intricate biological mechanisms that heighten the risk of COPD exacerbation and re-exacerbation is needed to derive modifiable biomarkers that can stratify accurately the highest risk groups for targeted treatment. We evaluate conventional and emerging strategies to reduce these potentially preventable readmissions. Here, early recognition of exacerbation symptoms and the delivery of prompt treatment can reduce risk of hospital admissions, while patient education can improve treatment adherence as a key component of self-management strategies. Care bundles are recommended to ensure high-quality care is provided consistently, but evidence for their benefit is limited to date. The search continues for interventions which are effective, sustainable and applicable to a diverse population of patients with COPD exacerbations. Further research into mechanisms that drive exacerbation and affect recovery is crucial to improve our understanding of this complex, highly prevalent disease and to advance the development of more effective treatments.

Update on extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal: a comprehensive review on principles, indications, efficiency, and complications

TECHNOLOGY

Extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal means the removal of carbon dioxide from the blood across a gas exchange membrane without substantially improving oxygenation. Carbon dioxide removal is possible with substantially less extracorporeal blood flow than needed for oxygenation. Techniques for extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal include (1) pumpless arterio-venous circuits, (2) low-flow venovenous circuits based on the technology of continuous renal replacement therapy, and (3) venovenous circuits based on extracorporeal membrane oxygenation technology.

INDICATIONS

Extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal has been shown to enable more protective ventilation in acute respiratory distress syndrome patients, even beyond the so-called "protective" level. Although experimental data suggest a benefit on ventilator induced lung injury, no hard clinical evidence with respect to improved outcome exists. In addition, extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal is a tool to avoid intubation and mechanical ventilation in patients with acute exacerbated chronic obstructive pulmonary disease failing non-invasive ventilation. This concept has been shown to be effective in 56-90% of patients. Extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal has also been used in ventilated patients with hypercapnic respiratory failure to correct acidosis, unload respiratory muscle burden, and facilitate weaning. In patients suffering from terminal fibrosis awaiting lung transplantation, extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal is able to correct acidosis and enable spontaneous breathing during bridging. Keeping these patients awake, ambulatory, and breathing spontaneously is associated with favorable outcome.

COMPLICATIONS

Complications of extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal are mostly associated with vascular access and deranged hemostasis leading to bleeding. Although the spectrum of complications may differ, no technology offers advantages with respect to rate and severity of complications. So called "high-extraction systems" working with higher blood flows and larger membranes may be more effective with respect to clinical goals.

Indications for Non-Invasive Ventilation in Respiratory Failure

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive ventilation (NIV) is increasingly being used to treat episodes of acute respiratory failure not only in critical care and respiratory wards, but also in emergency departments.

AIM

Aim of this review is to summarize the current indications for the management of NIV for respiratory failure.

METHODS

Current literature about the topic was reviewed and critically reported to describe the rationale and physiologic advantages of NIV in various situations of respiratory failure.

RESULTS

Early NIV use is commonly associated with the significant decrease in endotracheal intubation rate, the incidence of infective complications (especially ventilatory associated pneumonia), Intensive Care Units and the length of hospital stay and, in selected conditions, also in mortality rates. Severe acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (pH<7.35 and relative hypercarbia) and acute cardiogenic pulmonary oedema are the most common NIV indications; in these conditions NIV advantages are clearly documented. Not so evident are the NIV benefits in hypoxaemic respiratory failure occurring without prior chronic respiratory disease (De novo respiratory failure). One recent randomized control trial reported in hypoxaemic respiratory failure a survival benefit of high-flow nasal cannulae over standard oxygen therapy and bilevel NIV. Evidence suggests the advantages of NIV also in respiratory failure in immunocompromised patients or chest trauma patients. Use during a pandemic event has been assessed in several observational studies but remains controversial; there also is not sufficient evidence to support the use of NIV treatment in acute asthma exacerbation.

CONCLUSION

NIV eliminates morbidity related to the endotracheal tube (loss of airway defense mechanism with increased risk of pneumonia) and in selected conditions (COPD exacerbation, acute cardiogenic pulmonary edema, immunosuppressed patients with pulmonary infiltrates and hypoxia) is clearly associated with a better outcome in comparison to conventional invasive ventilation. However, NIV is associated with complications, especially minor complications related to interface. Major complications like aspiration pneumonia, barotrauma and hypotension are infrequent.

The use of non-invasive ventilation in an exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a case study

This article aims to assist nurses and other health professionals to care for patients who have type 2 respiratory failure as a result of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and who require non-invasive ventilation. It outlines findings of a case study that are commonplace in the acute medical setting and aims to highlight important factors that impact on patient care and patient outcome, and to help nursing staff to implement recommended and best practices.

Assessment of Work of Breathing in Patients with Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

The assessment of the work of breathing (WOB) of patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is difficult, particularly when the patient first presents with acute hypercapnia and respiratory acidosis. Acute exacerbations of COPD patients are in significant respiratory distress and noninvasive measurements of WOB are easier for the patient to tolerate. Given the interest in using alternative therapies to noninvasive ventilation, such as high flow nasal oxygen therapy or extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal, understanding the physiological changes are key and this includes assessment of WOB. This narrative review considers the role of three different methods of assessing WOB in patients with acute exacerbations of COPD. Esophageal pressure is a very well validated measure of WOB, however the ability of patients with acute exacerbations of COPD to tolerate esophageal tubes is poor. Noninvasive alternative measurements include parasternal electromyography (EMG) and electrical impedance tomography (EIT). EMG is easily applied and is a well validated measure of neural drive but is more likely to be degraded by the electrical environment in intensive care or high dependency. EIT is less well validated as a tool for WOB in COPD but extremely well tolerated by patients. Each of the different methods assess WOB in a different way and have different advantages and disadvantages. For research into therapies treating acute exacerbations of COPD, combinations of EIT, EMG and esophageal pressure are likely to be better than only one of these.

Breathing variability predicts the suggested need for corrective intervention due to the perceived severity of patient-ventilator asynchrony during NIV

Patient-ventilator asynchrony is associated with intolerance to noninvasive ventilation (NIV) and worsened outcomes. Our goal was to develop a tool to determine a patient needs for  intervention by a practitioner due to the presence of patient-ventilator asynchrony. We postulated that a clinician can determine when a patient needs corrective intervention due to the perceived severity of patient-ventilator asynchrony. We hypothesized a new measure, patient breathing variability, would indicate when corrective intervention is suggested by a bedside practitioner due to the perceived severity of patient-ventilator asynchrony. With IRB approval data was collected on 78 NIV patients. A panel of experts reviewed retrospective data from a development set of 10 NIV patients to categorize them into one of the three categories. The three categories were; "No to mild asynchrony-no intervention needed", "moderate asynchrony-non-emergent corrective intervention required", and "severe asynchrony-immediate intervention required". A stepwise regression with a F-test forward selection criterion was used to develop a positive linear logic model predicting the expert panel's categorizations of the need for corrective intervention. The model was incorporated into a software tool for clinical implementation. The tool was implemented prospectively on 68 NIV patients simultaneous to a bedside practitioner scoring the need for corrective intervention due to the perceived severity of patient-ventilator asynchrony. The categories from the tool and the practitioner were compared with the rate of agreement, sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operator characteristic analyses. The rate of agreement in categorizing the suggested need for clinical intervention due to the perceived presence of patient-ventilator asynchrony between the tool and experienced bedside practitioners was 95% with a Kappa score of 0.85 (p < 0.001). Further analysis found a specificity of 84% and sensitivity of 99%. The tool appears to accurately match the suggested need for corrective intervention by a bedside practitioner. Application of the tool allows for continuous, real time, and non-invasive monitoring of patients receiving NIV, and may enable early corrective interventions to ameliorate potential patient-ventilator asynchrony.

Use High-Flow Nasal Cannula for Acute Respiratory Failure Patients in the Emergency Department: A Meta-Analysis Study

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy compared with conventional oxygen therapy (COT) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) for the treatment of acute respiratory failure (ARF) in emergency departments (EDs).

Method

We comprehensively searched 3 databases (PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library) for articles published from database inception to 12 July 2019. This study included only randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that were conducted in EDs and compared HFNC therapy with COT or NIV. The primary outcome was the intubation rate. The secondary outcomes were the mortality rate, intensive care unit (ICU) admission rate, ED discharge rate, need for escalation, length of ED stay, length of hospital stay, and patient dyspnea and comfort scores.

Result

Five RCTs (n = 775) were included. There was a decreasing trend regarding the application of HFNC therapy and the intubation rate, but the difference was not statistically significant (RR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.26–1.09; p=0.08; I² = 0%). We found that compared with patients who underwent COT, those who underwent HFNC therapy had a reduced need for escalation (RR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.22–0.78; p=0.006; I² = 0%), reduced dyspnea scores (MD −0.82, 95% CI −1.45 to −0.18), and improved comfort (SMD −0.76 SD, 95% CI −1.01 to −0.51). Compared with the COT group, the HFNC therapy group had a similar mortality rate (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.79–1.99; p=0.34; I² = 0%), ICU admission rate (RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.58–2.12; p=0.76; I² = 0%), ED discharge rate (RR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.63–1.72; p=0.87; I² = 0%), length of ED stay (MD 1.66, 95% CI −0.95 to 4.27), and hospital stay (MD 0.9, 95% CI −2.06 to 3.87).

Conclusion

Administering HFNC therapy in ARF patients in EDs might decrease the intubation rate compared with COT. In addition, it can decrease the need for escalation, decrease the patient's dyspnea level, and increase the patient's comfort level compared with COT.

Prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: systematic review and critical appraisal

OBJECTIVE

To map and assess prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

DESIGN

Systematic review.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed until November 2018 and hand searched references from eligible articles.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA FOR STUDY SELECTION

Studies developing, validating, or updating a prediction model in COPD patients and focusing on any potential clinical outcome.

RESULTS

The systematic search yielded 228 eligible articles, describing the development of 408 prognostic models, the external validation of 38 models, and the validation of 20 prognostic models derived for diseases other than COPD. The 408 prognostic models were developed in three clinical settings: outpatients (n=239; 59%), patients admitted to hospital (n=155; 38%), and patients attending the emergency department (n=14; 3%). Among the 408 prognostic models, the most prevalent endpoints were mortality (n=209; 51%), risk for acute exacerbation of COPD (n=42; 10%), and risk for readmission after the index hospital admission (n=36; 9%). Overall, the most commonly used predictors were age (n=166; 41%), forced expiratory volume in one second (n=85; 21%), sex (n=74; 18%), body mass index (n=66; 16%), and smoking (n=65; 16%). Of the 408 prognostic models, 100 (25%) were internally validated and 91 (23%) examined the calibration of the developed model. For 286 (70%) models a model presentation was not available, and only 56 (14%) models were presented through the full equation. Model discrimination using the C statistic was available for 311 (76%) models. 38 models were externally validated, but in only 12 of these was the validation performed by a fully independent team. Only seven prognostic models with an overall low risk of bias according to PROBAST were identified. These models were ADO, B-AE-D, B-AE-D-C, extended ADO, updated ADO, updated BODE, and a model developed by Bertens et al. A meta-analysis of C statistics was performed for 12 prognostic models, and the summary estimates ranged from 0.611 to 0.769.

CONCLUSIONS

This study constitutes a detailed mapping and assessment of the prognostic models for outcome prediction in COPD patients. The findings indicate several methodological pitfalls in their development and a low rate of external validation. Future research should focus on the improvement of existing models through update and external validation, as well as the assessment of the safety, clinical effectiveness, and cost effectiveness of the application of these prognostic models in clinical practice through impact studies.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017069247.

Early prediction of noninvasive ventilation failure in COPD patients: derivation, internal validation, and external validation of a simple risk score

Background

Early identification of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) failure is a promising strategy for reducing mortality in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients. However, a risk-scoring system is lacking.

Methods

To develop a scale to predict NIV failure, 500 COPD patients were enrolled in a derivation cohort. Heart rate, acidosis (assessed by pH), consciousness (assessed by Glasgow coma score), oxygenation, and respiratory rate (HACOR) were entered into the scoring system. Another two groups of 323 and 395 patients were enrolled to internally and externally validate the scale, respectively. NIV failure was defined as intubation or death during NIV.

Results

Using HACOR score collected at 1–2 h of NIV to predict NIV failure, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) was 0.90, 0.89, and 0.71 for the derivation, internal-validation, and external-validation cohorts, respectively. For the prediction of early NIV failure in these three cohorts, the AUC was 0.91, 0.96, and 0.83, respectively. In all patients with HACOR score > 5, the NIV failure rate was 50.2%. In these patients, early intubation (< 48 h) was associated with decreased hospital mortality (unadjusted odds ratio = 0.15, 95% confidence interval 0.05–0.39, p < 0.01).

Conclusions

HACOR scores exhibited good predictive power for NIV failure in COPD patients, particularly for the prediction of early NIV failure (< 48 h). In high-risk patients, early intubation was associated with decreased hospital mortality.

Extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal for acute hypercapnic exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common cause of chronic respiratory failure and its course is punctuated by a series of acute exacerbations which commonly lead to hospital admission. Exacerbations are managed through the application of non-invasive ventilation and, when this fails, tracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation. The need for mechanical ventilation significantly increases the risk of death. An alternative therapy, extracorporeal carbon dioxide removal (ECCO₂R), has been shown to be efficacious in removing carbon dioxide from the blood; however, its impact on respiratory physiology and patient outcomes has not been explored.

Methods/design

A randomised controlled open label trial of patients (12 in each arm) with acute exacerbations of COPD at risk of failing conventional therapy (NIV) randomised to either remaining on NIV or having ECCO₂R added to NIV with a primary endpoint of time to cessation of NIV. The change in respiratory physiology following the application of ECCO₂R and/or NIV will be measured using electrical impedance tomography, oesophageal pressure and parasternal electromyography. Additional outcomes, including patient tolerance, outcomes, need for readmission, changes in blood gases and biochemistry and procedural complications, will be measured. Physiological changes will be compared within one patient over time and between the two groups. Healthcare costs in the UK system will also be compared between the two groups.

Discussion

COPD is a common disease and exacerbations are a leading cause of hospital admission in the UK and worldwide, with a sizeable mortality. The management of patients with COPD consumes significant hospital and financial resources. This study seeks to understand the feasibility of a novel approach to the management of patients with acute exacerbations of COPD as well as to understand the underlying physiological changes to explain why the approach does or does not assist this patient cohort. Detailed respiratory physiology has not been previously undertaken using this technique and there are no other randomised controlled trials currently in the literature.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02086084.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13063-019-3548-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.