Air pollution and emergency department visits for cardiac and respiratory conditions: a multi-city time-series analysis

Research on the cascading mechanism of "urban built environment-air pollution-respiratory diseases": a case of Wuhan city

Background

Most existing studies have only investigated the direct effects of the built environment on respiratory diseases. However, there is mounting evidence that the built environment of cities has an indirect influence on public health via influencing air pollution. Exploring the "urban built environment-air pollution-respiratory diseases" cascade mechanism is important for creating a healthy respiratory environment, which is the aim of this study.

Methods

The study gathered clinical data from 2015 to 2017 on patients with respiratory diseases from Tongji Hospital in Wuhan. Additionally, daily air pollution levels (sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), particulate matter (PM2.5, PM10), and ozone (O3)), meteorological data (average temperature and relative humidity), and data on urban built environment were gathered. We used Spearman correlation to investigate the connection between air pollution and meteorological variables; distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to investigate the short-term relationships between respiratory diseases, air pollutants, and meteorological factors; the impacts of spatial heterogeneity in the built environment on air pollution were examined using the multiscale geographically weighted regression model (MGWR).

Results

During the study period, the mean level of respiratory diseases (average age 54) was 15.97 persons per day, of which 9.519 for males (average age 57) and 6.451 for females (average age 48); the 24 h mean levels of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, SO2 and O3 were 78.056 μg/m3, 71.962 μg/m3, 54.468 μg/m3, 12.898 μg/m3, and 46.904 μg/m3, respectively; highest association was investigated between PM10 and SO2 (r = 0.762, p < 0.01), followed by NO2 and PM2.5 (r = 0.73, p < 0.01), and PM10 and PM2.5 (r = 0.704, p < 0.01). We observed a significant lag effect of NO2 on respiratory diseases, for lag 0 day and lag 1 day, a 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 concentration corresponded to 1.009% (95% CI: 1.001, 1.017%) and 1.005% (95% CI: 1.001, 1.011%) increase of respiratory diseases. The spatial distribution of NO2 was significantly influenced by high-density urban development (population density, building density, number of shopping service facilities, and construction land, the bandwidth of these four factors are 43), while green space and parks can effectively reduce air pollution (R2 = 0.649).

Conclusion

Previous studies have focused on the effects of air pollution on respiratory diseases and the effects of built environment on air pollution, while this study combines these three aspects and explores the relationship between them. Furthermore, the theory of the "built environment-air pollution-respiratory diseases" cascading mechanism is practically investigated and broken down into specific experimental steps, which has not been found in previous studies. Additionally, we observed a lag effect of NO2 on respiratory diseases and spatial heterogeneity of built environment in the distribution of NO2.

Disentangling impacts of multiple pollutants on acute cardiovascular events in New York city: A case-crossover analysis

BACKGROUND

Ambient air pollution contributes to an estimated 6.67 million deaths annually, and has been linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD), the leading cause of death. Short-term increases in air pollution have been associated with increased risk of CVD event, though relatively few studies have directly compared effects of multiple pollutants using fine-scale spatio-temporal data, thoroughly adjusting for co-pollutants and temperature, in an exhaustive citywide hospitals dataset, towards identifying key pollution sources within the urban environment to most reduce, and reduce disparities in, the leading cause of death worldwide.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to examine multiple pollutants against multiple CVD diagnoses, across lag days, in models adjusted for co-pollutants and meteorology, and inherently adjusted by design for non-time-varying individual and aggregate-level covariates, using fine-scale space-time exposure estimates, in an exhaustive dataset of emergency department visits and hospitalizations across an entire city, thereby capturing the full population-at-risk.

METHODS

We used conditional logistic regression in a case-crossover design - inherently controlling for all confounders not varying within case month - to examine associations between spatio-temporal nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3) in New York City, 2005-2011, on individual risk of acute CVD event (n = 837,523), by sub-diagnosis [ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), stroke, ischemic stroke, acute myocardial infarction].

RESULTS

We found significant same-day associations between NO2 and risk of overall CVD, IHD, and HF - and between PM2.5 and overall CVD or HF event risk - robust to all adjustments and multiple comparisons. Results were comparable by sex and race - though median age at CVD was 10 years younger for Black New Yorkers than White New Yorkers. Associations for NO2 were comparable for adults younger or older than 69 years, though PM2.5 associations were stronger among older adults.

DISCUSSION

Our results indicate immediate, robust effects of combustion-related pollution on CVD risk, by sub-diagnosis. Though acute impacts differed minimally by age, sex, or race, the much younger age-at-event for Black New Yorkers calls attention to cumulative social susceptibility.

Modelling variations of emergency attendances using data on community mobility, climate and air pollution

Air pollution is associated with morbidity and mortality worldwide. We investigated the impact of improved air quality during the economic lockdown during the SARS-Cov2 pandemic on emergency room (ER) admissions in Germany. Weekly aggregated clinical data from 33 hospitals were collected in 2019 and 2020. Hourly concentrations of nitrogen and sulfur dioxide (NO2, SO2), carbon and nitrogen monoxide (CO, NO), ozone (O3) and particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5) measured by ground stations and meteorological data (ERA5) were selected from a 30 km radius around the corresponding ED. Mobility was assessed using aggregated cell phone data. A linear stepwise multiple regression model was used to predict ER admissions. The average weekly emergency numbers vary from 200 to over 1600 cases (total n = 2,216,217). The mean maximum decrease in caseload was 5 standard deviations. With the enforcement of the shutdown in March, the mobility index dropped by almost 40%. Of all air pollutants, NO2 has the strongest correlation with ER visits when averaged across all departments. Using a linear stepwise multiple regression model, 63% of the variation in ER visits is explained by the mobility index, but still 6% of the variation is explained by air quality and climate change.

Associations between short-term exposure to fine particulate matter and acute myocardial infarction: A case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Previous studies evaluated the impact of particle matters (PM) on the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) based on local registries.

HYPOTHESIS

This study aimed to evaluate possible short term effect of air pollutants on occurrence of AMI based on a specific case report sheet that was designed for this purpose.

METHODS

AMI was documented among 982 patients who referred to the emergency departments in Tehran, Iran, between July 2017 to March 2019. For each patient, case period was defined as 24 hour period preceding the time of emergency admission and referent periods were defined as the corresponding time in 1, 2, and 3 weeks before the admission. The associations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2 .5 ) and particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤10 μm (PM10 ) with AMI were analyzed using conditional logistic regression in a case-crossover design.

RESULT

Increase in PM2.5 and PM10 was significantly associated with the occurrence of AMI with and without adjustment for the temperature and humidity. In the adjusted model each 10 μg/m3 increase of PM10 and PM2.5 in case periods was significantly associated with increase myocardial infarction events (95% CI = 1.041-1.099, OR = 1.069 and 95% CI = 1.073-1.196, and OR = 1.133, respectively). Subgroup analysis showed that increase in PM10 did not increase AMI events in diabetic subgroup, but in all other subgroups PM10 and PM2 .5 concentration showed positive associations with increased AMI events.

CONCLUSION

Acute exposure to ambient air pollution was associated with increased risk of AMI irrespective of temperature and humidity.

Short-term air pollution exposure and exacerbation events in mild to moderate COPD: a case-crossover study within the CanCOLD cohort

BACKGROUND

Infections are considered as leading causes of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Non-infectious risk factors such as short-term air pollution exposure may play a clinically important role. We sought to estimate the relationship between short-term air pollutant exposure and exacerbations in Canadian adults living with mild to moderate COPD.

METHODS

In this case-crossover study, exacerbations ('symptom based': ≥48 hours of dyspnoea/sputum volume/purulence; 'event based': 'symptom based' plus requiring antibiotics/corticosteroids or healthcare use) were collected prospectively from 449 participants with spirometry-confirmed COPD within the Canadian Cohort Obstructive Lung Disease. Daily nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), ground-level ozone (O3), composite of NO2 and O3 (Ox), mean temperature and relative humidity estimates were obtained from national databases. Time-stratified sampling of hazard and control periods on day '0' (day-of-event) and Lags ('-1' to '-6') were compared by fitting generalised estimating equation models. All data were dichotomised into 'warm' (May-October) and 'cool' (November-April) seasons. ORs and 95% CIs were estimated per IQR increase in pollutant concentrations.

RESULTS

Increased warm season ambient concentration of NO2 was associated with symptom-based exacerbations on Lag-3 (1.14 (1.01 to 1.29), per IQR), and increased cool season ambient PM2.5 was associated with symptom-based exacerbations on Lag-1 (1.11 (1.03 to 1.20), per IQR). There was a negative association between warm season ambient O3 and symptom-based events on Lag-3 (0.73 (0.52 to 1.00), per IQR).

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term ambient NO2 and PM2.5 exposure were associated with increased odds of exacerbations in Canadians with mild to moderate COPD, further heightening the awareness of non-infectious triggers of COPD exacerbations.

Emergency department visits respond nonlinearly to wildfire smoke

Air pollution negatively affects a range of health outcomes. Wildfire smoke is an increasingly important contributor to air pollution, yet wildfire smoke events are highly salient and could induce behavioral responses that alter health impacts. We combine geolocated data covering all emergency department (ED) visits to nonfederal hospitals in California from 2006 to 2017 with spatially resolved estimates of daily wildfire smoke PM[Formula: see text] concentrations and quantify how smoke events affect ED visits. Total ED visits respond nonlinearly to smoke concentrations. Relative to a day with no smoke, total visits increase by 1 to 1.5% in the week following low or moderate smoke days but decline by 6 to 9% following extreme smoke days. Reductions persist for at least a month. Declines at extreme levels are driven by diagnoses not thought to be acutely impacted by pollution, including accidental injuries and several nonurgent symptoms, and declines come disproportionately from less-insured populations. In contrast, health outcomes with the strongest physiological link to short-term air pollution increase dramatically in the week following an extreme smoke day: We estimate that ED visits for asthma, COPD, and cough all increase by 30 to 110%. Data from internet searches, vehicle traffic sensors, and park visits indicate behavioral changes on high smoke days consistent with declines in healthcare utilization. Because low and moderate smoke days vastly outweigh high smoke days, we estimate that smoke was responsible for an average of 3,010 (95% CI: 1,760-4,380) additional ED visits per year 2006 to 2017. Given the increasing intensity of wildfire smoke events, behavioral mediation is likely to play a growing role in determining total smoke impacts.

Effect of Air Pollution on Heart Failure: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Heart failure (HF) poses a significant global disease burden. The current evidence on the impact of air pollution on HF remains inconsistent.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to conduct a systematic review of the literature and meta-analysis to provide a more comprehensive and multiperspective assessment of the associations between short- and long-term air pollution exposure and HF from epidemiological evidences.

METHODS

Three databases were searched up to 31 August 2022 for studies investigating the association between air pollutants (PM 2.5 , PM 10 , NO 2 , SO 2 , CO, O 3 ) and HF hospitalization, incidence, or mortality. A random effects model was used to derive the risk estimations. Subgroup analysis was conducted by geographical location, age of participants, outcome, study design, covered area, the methods of exposure assessment, and the length of exposure window. Sensitivity analysis and adjustment for publication bias were performed to test the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Of 100 studies covering 20 countries worldwide, 81 were for short-term and 19 were for long-term exposure. Almost all air pollutants were adversely associated with the risk of HF in both short- and long-term exposure studies. For short-term exposures, we found the risk of HF increased by 1.8% [relative risk ( RR ) = 1.018 , 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.011, 1.025] and 1.6% (RR = 1.016 , 95% CI: 1.011, 1.020) per 10 - μ g / m 3 increment of PM 2.5 and PM 10 , respectively. HF was also significantly associated with NO 2 , SO 2 , and CO, but not O 3 . Positive associations were stronger when exposure was considered over the previous 2 d (lag 0-1) rather than on the day of exposure only (lag 0). For long-term exposures, there were significant associations between several air pollutants and HF with RR (95% CI) of 1.748 (1.112, 2.747) per 10 - μ g / m 3 increment in PM 2.5 , 1.212 (1.010, 1.454) per 10 - μ g / m 3 increment in PM 10 , and 1.204 (1.069, 1.356) per 10 -ppb increment in NO 2 , respectively. The adverse associations of most pollutants with HF were greater in low- and middle-income countries than in high-income countries. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of our results.

DISCUSSION

Available evidence highlighted adverse associations between air pollution and HF regardless of short- and long-term exposure. Air pollution is still a prevalent public health issue globally and sustained policies and actions are called for to reduce the burden of HF. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP11506.

Association of ambient carbon monoxide exposure with hospitalization risk for respiratory diseases: A time series study in Ganzhou, China

Background

Ambient carbon monoxide (CO) exposure is associated with increased mortality and hospitalization risk for total respiratory diseases. However, evidence on the risk of hospitalization for specific respiratory diseases from ambient CO exposure is limited.

Methods

Data on daily hospitalizations for respiratory diseases, air pollutants, and meteorological factors from January 2016 to December 2020 were collected in Ganzhou, China. A generalized additive model with the quasi-Poisson link and lag structures was used to estimate the associations between ambient CO concentration and hospitalizations of total respiratory diseases, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), upper respiratory tract infection (URTI), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI), and influenza-pneumonia. Possible confounding co-pollutants and effect modification by gender, age, and season were considered.

Results

A total of 72,430 hospitalized cases of respiratory diseases were recorded. Significant positive exposure-response relationships were observed between ambient CO exposure and hospitalization risk from respiratory diseases. For each 1 mg/m³ increase in CO concentration (lag0-2), hospitalizations for total respiratory diseases, asthma, COPD, LRTI, and influenza-pneumonia increased by 13.56 (95% CI: 6.76%, 20.79%), 17.74 (95% CI: 1.34%, 36.8%), 12.45 (95% CI: 2.91%, 22.87%), 41.25 (95% CI: 18.19%, 68.81%), and 13.5% (95% CI: 3.41%, 24.56%), respectively. In addition, the associations of ambient CO with hospitalizations for total respiratory diseases and influenza-pneumonia were stronger during the warm season, while women were more susceptible to ambient CO exposure-associated hospitalizations for asthma and LRTI (all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

In brief, significant positive exposure-response relationships were found between ambient CO exposure and hospitalization risk for total respiratory diseases, asthma, COPD, LRTI, and influenza-pneumonia. Effect modification by season and gender was found in ambient CO exposure-associated respiratory hospitalizations.

Association between short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and heart failure: An updated systematic review and meta-analysis of more than 7 million participants

Introduction

Exposure to air pollution has been linked to the mortality of heart failure. In this study, we sought to update the existing systematic review and meta-analysis, published in 2013, to further assess the association between air pollution and acute decompensated heart failure, including hospitalization and heart failure mortality.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and OVID databases were systematically searched till April 2022. We enrolled the studies regarding air pollution exposure and heart failure and extracted the original data to combine and obtain an overall risk estimate for each pollutant.

Results

We analyzed 51 studies and 7,555,442 patients. Our results indicated that heart failure hospitalization or death was associated with increases in carbon monoxide (3.46% per 1 part per million; 95% CI 1.0233-1.046, P < 0.001), sulfur dioxide (2.20% per 10 parts per billion; 95% CI 1.0106-1.0335, P < 0.001), nitrogen dioxide (2.07% per 10 parts per billion; 95% CI 1.0106-1.0335, P < 0.001), and ozone (0.95% per 10 parts per billion; 95% CI 1.0024-1.0166, P < 0.001) concentrations. Increases in particulate matter concentration were related to heart failure hospitalization or death (PM_2.5 1.29% per 10 μg/m³, 95% CI 1.0093-1.0165, P < 0.001; PM₁₀ 1.30% per 10 μg/m³, 95% CI 1.0102-1.0157, P < 0.001).

Conclusion

The increase in the concentration of all pollutants, including gases (carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, ozone) and particulate matter [(PM_2.5), (PM₁₀)], is positively correlated with hospitalization rates and mortality of heart failure.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/, identifier: CRD42021256241.

Short-term associations between ambient air pollution and emergency department visits for Alzheimer's disease and related dementias

Dementia is a seriously disabling illness with substantial economic and social burdens. Alzheimer's disease and its related dementias (AD/ADRD) constitute about two-thirds of dementias. AD/ADRD patients have a high prevalence of comorbid conditions that are known to be exacerbated by exposure to ambient air pollution. Existing studies mostly focused on the long-term association between air pollution and AD/ADRD morbidity, while very few have investigated short-term associations. This study aims to estimate short-term associations between AD/ADRD emergency department (ED) visits and three common air pollutants: fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and warm-season ozone.

Methods

For the period 2005 to 2015, we analyzed over 7.5 million AD/ADRD ED visits in five US states (California, Missouri, North Carolina, New Jersey, and New York) using a time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression. Daily estimated PM_2.5, NO_2, and warm-season ozone concentrations at 1 km spatial resolution were aggregated to the ZIP code level as exposure.

Results

The most consistent positive association was found for NO₂. Across five states, a 17.1 ppb increase in NO₂ concentration over a 4-day period was associated with a 0.61% (95% confidence interval = 0.27%, 0.95%) increase in AD/ADRD ED visits. For PM_2.5, a positive association with AD/ADRD ED visits was found only in New York (0.64%, 95% confidence interval = 0.26%, 1.01% per 6.3 µg/m³). Associations with warm-season ozone levels were null.

Conclusions

Our results suggest AD/ADRD patients are vulnerable to short-term health effects of ambient air pollution and strategies to lower exposure may reduce morbidity.

The influence of air pollution exposure on the short- and long-term health benefits associated with active mobility: A systematic review

Active mobility (AM), defined as walking and cycling for transportation, can improve health through increasing regular physical activity. However, these health improvements could be outweighed by harm from inhaling traffic-related air pollutants during AM participation. The interaction of AM and air pollutants on health is complex physiologically, manifesting as acute changes in health indicators that may lead to poor long-term health consequences. The aim of this study was to systematically review the current evidence of effect modification by air pollution (AP) on associations between AM and health indicators. Studies were included if they examined associations between AM and health indicators being modified by AP or, conversely, associations between AP and health indicators being modified by AM. Thirty-three studies met eligibility criteria. The main AP indicators studied were particulate matter, ultrafine particles, and nitrogen oxides. Most health indicators studied were grouped into cardiovascular and respiratory indicators. There is evidence of a reduction by AP, mainly ultrafine particles and PM_2.5, in the short-term health benefits of AM. Multiple studies suggest that long-term health benefits of AM are not negatively associated with levels of the single traffic-related pollutant NO₂. However, other studies reveal reduced long-term health benefits of AM in areas affected by high levels of pollutant mixtures. We recommend that future studies adopt consistent and rigorous study designs and include reporting of interaction testing, to advance understanding of the complex relationships between AM, AP, and health indicators.

: Short-term effects of exposure to particulate matter on hospital admissions for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

We investigated the effects of particulate matter (PM) factors on hospitalization rates for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We obtained data on pollutants-PM10, PM2.5-in Seoul, South Korea. We also investigated data for asthma and COPD exacerbation that required hospitalization from 2006 to 2016. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design and generalized additive models with log transformation to assess adjusted risk, and conditional logistic regression was performed to analyze these data. Our study showed that PM10 and PM2.5, on different best lag days, were associated with increased risks of COPD or asthma hospitalization. The odds ratios (ORs) for each per-unit increase in PM10 and PM2.5 were higher in patients with male asthma (PM10: OR, 1.012; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.008-1.016 and PM2.5: OR, 1.015; 95% CI, 1008-1.023), preschool asthma (PM10: OR, 1.015; 95% CI, 1.006-1.015 and PM2.5: OR, 1.015; 95% CI, 1.009-1.024), male COPD (PM10: OR, 1.012; 95% CI, 1.005-1.019 and PM2.5: OR, 1.013; 95% CI, 1.000-1.026), and senior COPD (PM10: OR, 1.016; 95% CI, 1.008-1.024 and PM2.5: OR, 1.022; 95% CI, 1.007-1.036). Increasing PM levels increased hospitalizations for asthma and COPD. Additionally, the consequences may be different according to age and sex, and PM2.5 may have a more significant effect on airway disease patients than PM10.

Indoor and outdoor air pollution and couple fecundability: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Air pollution is both a sensory blight and a threat to human health. Inhaled environmental pollutants can be naturally occurring or human-made, and include traffic-related air pollution (TRAP), ozone, particulate matter (PM) and volatile organic compounds, among other substances, including those from secondhand smoking. Studies of air pollution on reproductive and endocrine systems have reported associations of TRAP, secondhand smoke (SHS), organic solvents and biomass fueled-cooking with adverse birth outcomes. While some evidence suggests that air pollution contributes to infertility, the extant literature is mixed, and varying effects of pollutants have been reported.

OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE

Although some reviews have studied the association between common outdoor air pollutants and time to pregnancy (TTP), there are no comprehensive reviews that also include exposure to indoor inhaled pollutants, such as airborne occupational toxicants and SHS. The current systematic review summarizes the strength of evidence for associations of outdoor air pollution, SHS and indoor inhaled air pollution with couple fecundability and identifies gaps and limitations in the literature to inform policy decisions and future research.

SEARCH METHODS

We performed an electronic search of six databases for original research articles in English published since 1990 on TTP or fecundability and a number of chemicals in the context of air pollution, inhalation and aerosolization. Standardized forms for screening, data extraction and study quality were developed using DistillerSR software and completed in duplicate. We used the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale to assess risk of bias and devised additional quality metrics based on specific methodological features of both air pollution and fecundability studies.

OUTCOMES

The search returned 5200 articles, 4994 of which were excluded at the level of title and abstract screening. After full-text screening, 35 papers remained for data extraction and synthesis. An additional 3 papers were identified independently that fit criteria, and 5 papers involving multiple routes of exposure were removed, yielding 33 articles from 28 studies for analysis. There were 8 papers that examined outdoor air quality, while 6 papers examined SHS exposure and 19 papers examined indoor air quality. The results indicated an association between outdoor air pollution and reduced fecundability, including TRAP and specifically nitrogen oxides and PM with a diameter of ≤2.5 µm, as well as exposure to SHS and formaldehyde. However, exposure windows differed greatly between studies as did the method of exposure assessment. There was little evidence that exposure to volatile solvents is associated with reduced fecundability.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS

The evidence suggests that exposure to outdoor air pollutants, SHS and some occupational inhaled pollutants may reduce fecundability. Future studies of SHS should use indoor air monitors and biomarkers to improve exposure assessment. Air monitors that capture real-time exposure can provide valuable insight about the role of indoor air pollution and are helpful in assessing the short-term acute effects of pollutants on TTP.

Evaluating health outcome metrics and their connections to air pollution and vulnerability in Southern California's Coachella Valley

The ongoing desiccation of California's Salton Sea has led to increasing concerns about air quality and health for its surrounding communities, including the nearby Coachella Valley - a region already experiencing severe air quality and health disparities. Here we explore spatial air pollution and human health disparities in the Coachella Valley with particular attention to disparities arising across population characteristics including both socioeconomic and demographic vulnerabilities. We use two different measures of respiratory and cardiovascular health outcomes at the individual and census tract levels - one measure based on a randomly sampled telephone survey and the other measure based on emergency room visitation data - to investigate the degree to which these health outcomes are connected to air pollution and socioeconomic metrics. We further investigate biases and differences between the health outcome metrics themselves and suggest opportunities to address them in future analyses and survey efforts. We find that more vulnerable communities are associated with higher levels of fine particulates, but lower levels of ozone. While emergency visit rates show a significant positive correlation with both pollutants, no such association is found when using surveyed health outcome data. The ratio of emergency visits versus survey rates shows a positive relationship with socioeconomic and demographic vulnerability, indicating that vulnerable communities are less likely to self-report diagnoses despite higher rates of respiratory or cardiovascular hospitalization. Additionally, survey respondents tend to show less vulnerability relative to their surrounding census-based demographics. These findings suggest the need for greater attention to health issues specifically within disadvantaged communities in the Coachella Valley, building upon and working within existing community networks and local resources, to better address current and projected health needs. Our findings also highlight disparities in air pollution exposure, health outcomes, and population characteristics in the Coachella Valley, providing context for crucial pollution reduction efforts in the face of increasing environmental threats.

Issue 1 - "Update on adverse respiratory effects of outdoor air pollution" Part 2): Outdoor air pollution and respiratory diseases: Perspectives from Angola, Brazil, Canada, Iran, Mozambique and Portugal

OBJECTIVE

To analyse the GARD perspective on the health effects of outdoor air pollution, and to synthesise the Portuguese epidemiological contribution to knowledge on its respiratory impact.

RESULTS

Ambient air pollution has deleterious respiratory effects which are more apparent in larger, densely populated and industrialised countries, such as Canada, Iran, Brazil and Portugal, but it also affects people living in low-level exposure areas. While low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), are particularly affected, evidence based on epidemiological studies from LMICs is both limited and heterogeneous. While nationally, Portugal has a relatively low level of air pollution, many major cities face with substantial air pollution problems. Time series and cross-sectional epidemiological studies have suggested increased respiratory hospital admissions, and increased risk of respiratory diseases in people who live in urban areas and are exposed to even a relatively low level of air pollution.

CONCLUSIONS

Adverse respiratory effects due to air pollution, even at low levels, have been confirmed by epidemiological studies. However, evidence from LMICs is heterogeneous and relatively limited. Furthermore, longitudinal cohort studies designed to study and quantify the link between exposure to air pollutants and respiratory diseases are needed. Worldwide, an integrated approach must involve multi-level stakeholders including governments (in Portugal, the Portuguese Ministry of Health, which hosts GARD-Portugal), academia, health professionals, scientific societies, patient associations and the community at large. Such an approach not only will garner a robust commitment, establish strong advocacy and clear objectives, and raise greater awareness, it will also support a strategy with adequate measures to be implemented to achieve better air quality and reduce the burden of chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs).

PM2.5 Exposure and Asthma Development: The Key Role of Oxidative Stress

Oxidative stress is defined as the imbalance between reactive oxygen species (ROS) production and the endogenous antioxidant defense system, leading to cellular damage. Asthma is a common chronic inflammatory airway disease. The presence of asthma tends to increase the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS), and the antioxidant system in the lungs is insufficient to mitigate it. Therefore, asthma can lead to an exacerbation of airway hyperresponsiveness and airway inflammation. PM2.5 exposure increases ROS levels. Meanwhile, the accumulation of ROS will further enhance the oxidative stress response, resulting in DNA, protein, lipid, and other cellular and molecular damage, leading to respiratory diseases. An in-depth study on the relationship between oxidative stress and PM2.5-related asthma is helpful to understand the pathogenesis and progression of the disease and provides a new direction for the treatment of the disease. This paper reviews the research progress of oxidative stress in PM2.5-induced asthma as well as highlights the therapeutic potentials of antioxidant approaches in treatment of asthma.

Air Pollution Exposure as a Relevant Risk Factor for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations in Male and Female Patients

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a multifactorial lung inflammatory disease that affects 174 million people worldwide, with a recently reported increased incidence in female patients. Patients with COPD are especially vulnerable to the detrimental effects of environmental exposures, especially from air particulate and gaseous pollutants; exposure to air pollution severely influences COPD outcomes, resulting in acute exacerbations, hospitalisations, and death. Here, a literature review of the recent work addressing air pollution-induced acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) was conducted in order to determine whether sex was considered as a biological variable in these studies, and whether air pollution exposure affected patients with COPD in a sex-specific manner. It was found that, while the majority of studies enrolled both male and female patients, only a few reported results were disaggregated by sex. Most studies had a higher enrolment of male patients, only four compared AECOPD outcomes between sexes, and only one study identified sex differences in AECOPD, with females displaying higher rates. Overall, this analysis of the literature confirmed that air pollution exposure is a trigger for AECOPD hospitalisations and revealed a significant gap in the knowledge of sex-specific effects of air pollutants on COPD outcomes, highlighting the need for more studies to consider sex as a biological variable.

Review of Ground-Level Ozone Impact in Respiratory Health Deterioration for the Past Two Decades

Background: Ground-level ozone has been gaining notoriety with increasing evidence of its nefarious effects on health, especially respiratory diseases. Where do we stand on the solidity of this data and is there room for improvement? Objectives: Evaluate this evidence for incongruities or heterogeneity in this field of research. How is the exposure assessment conducted, where does Portugal stand in this field, and what can be improved? Health deterioration concerning asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are analysed. Methods: A review of 1735 studies was conducted through PubMed and Google Scholar engines for the past two decades. We identified 59 eligible studies and included an array of variables, including O3 measurements, number of air-quality monitoring stations used, relative risks, odds ratios, hazard ratios, number of hospital admissions, visits, or mortality, and size of population dataset used. Results: Approximately 83% of data in this review presents significant correlations of ozone with asthma, COPD, and ARDS. Studies that report negative or not significant associations mention a lack of data or topographic differences as the main issue with these divergent results. Studies consistently report summer as a period of particular concern. Portuguese data in this field is lacking. Conclusions: This research field is growing in interest and there is evidence that ozone plays a non-negligible role in health deterioration. The few Portuguese studies in this field seem aligned with the literature reviewed but more research is needed. Suggested improvements are more and better data through denser air-quality networks to accurately depict personal exposure to ozone. Homogenization of the exposure assessment concerning averaging times of ozone to daily maximum 8 h averages whenever possible. Risk increments based on 10 ppb instead of interquartile ranges. Lastly, contrary to some studies in this review, the topographic effect on concentrations and health deterioration should not be underestimated and seasonality should always be checked.

Individual exposure to ambient PM2.5 and hospital admissions for COPD in 110 hospitals: a case-crossover study in Guangzhou, China

Few studies have evaluated the short-term association between hospital admissions and individual exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM_2.5). Particularly, no studies focused on hospital admissions for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) at the individual level. We assessed the short-term effects of PM_2.5 on hospitalization admissions for COPD in Guangzhou, China, during 2014-2015, based on satellite-derived estimates of ambient PM_2.5 concentrations at a 1-km resolution near the residential address as individual-level exposure for each patient. Around 40,002 patients with COPD admitted to 110 hospitals were included in this study. A time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression models was applied to assess the effects of PM_2.5 based on a 1-km grid data of aerosol optical depth provided by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration on hospital admissions for COPD. Further, we performed stratified analyses by individual demographic characteristics and season of hospital admission. Around 10 μg/m³ increase in individual-level PM_2.5 was associated with an increase of 1.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.6%, 2.7%) in hospitalization for COPD at a lag of 0-5 days. The impact of PM_2.5 on hospitalization for COPD was greater significantly in males and patients admitted in summer. Our study strengthened the evidence for the adverse effect of PM_2.5 based on satellite-based individual-level exposure data.

The Impact of Short-Term Outdoor Air Pollution on Clinical Status and Prognosis of Hospitalized Patients with Coronary Artery Disease Treated with Percutaneous Coronary Intervention

Background: The aim of this study was to determine the influence of acute exposure to air pollutants on patients’ profile, short- and mid-term outcomes of hospitalized patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) treated with coronary angioplasty. Methods: Out of 19,582 patients of the TERCET Registry, 7521 patients living in the Upper Silesia and Zaglebie Metropolis were included. The study population was divided into two groups according to the diagnosis of chronic (CCS) or acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Data on 24-h average concentrations of particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <10 μm (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen monoxide (NO), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and ozone (O₃) were obtained from eight environmental monitoring stations. Results: No significant association between pollutants’ concentration with baseline characteristic and in-hospital outcomes was observed. In the ACS group at 30 days, exceeding the 3rd quartile of PM10 was associated with almost 2-fold increased risk of adverse events and more than 3-fold increased risk of death. Exceeding the 3rd quartile of SO₂ was connected with more than 8-fold increased risk of death at 30 days. In the CCS group, exceeding the 3rd quartile of SO₂ was linked to almost 2,5-fold increased risk of 12-month death. Conclusions: The acute increase in air pollutants’ concentrations affect short- and mid-term prognosis in patients with CAD.

Outdoor air pollution and the risk of asthma exacerbations in single lag0 and lag1 exposure patterns: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective: To synthesize evidence regarding the relationship between outdoor air pollution and risk of asthma exacerbations in single lag0 and lag1 exposure patterns.Methods: We performed a systematic literature search using PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials, China National Knowledge Internet, Chinese BioMedical, and Wanfang databases. Articles published until August 1, 2020 and the reference lists of the relevant articles were reviewed. Two authors independently evaluated the eligible articles and performed structured extraction of the relevant information. Pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of lag0 and lag1 exposure patterns were estimated using random-effect models.Results: Eighty-four studies met the eligibility criteria and provided sufficient information for meta-analysis. Outdoor air pollutants were associated with increased risk of asthma exacerbations in both single lag0 and lag1 exposure patterns [lag0: RR (95% CI) (pollutants), 1.057(1.011, 1.103) (air quality index, AQI), 1.007 (1.005, 1.010) (particulate matter of diameter ≤ 2.5 μm, PM_2.5), 1.009 (1.005, 1.012) (particulate matter of diameter, PM₁₀), 1.010 (1.006, 1.014) (NO₂), 1.030 (1.011, 1.048) (CO), 1.005 (1.002, 1.009) (O₃); lag1:1.064(1.022, 1.106) (AQI), 1.005 (1.002, 1.008) (PM_2.5), 1.007 (1.004, 1.011) (PM₁₀), 1.008 (1.004, 1.012) (NO₂), 1.025 (1.007, 1.042) (CO), 1.010 (1.006, 1.013) (O₃)], except SO₂ [lag0: RR (95% CI), 1.004 (1.000, 1.007); lag1: RR (95% CI), 1.003 (0.999, 1.006)]. Subgroup analyses revealed stronger effects in children and asthma exacerbations associated with other events (including symptoms, lung function changes, and medication use).Conclusion: Outdoor air pollution increases the asthma exacerbation risk in single lag0 and lag1 exposure patterns.Trial registration: PROSPERO, CRD42020204097. https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/.Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/02770903.2021.2008429 .

Acute Effects of Air Pollution on Ischemic Heart Disease Hospitalizations: A Population-Based Time-Series Study in Wuhan, China, 2017-2018

Evidence of the acute effects of air pollutants on ischemic heart disease (IHD) hospitalizations based on the entire population of a megacity in central China is lacking. All IHD hospitalization records from 2017 to 2018 were obtained from the Wuhan Information Center of Health and Family Planning. Daily air pollutant concentrations and meteorological data were synchronously collected from the Wuhan Environmental Protection Bureau. A time-series study using generalized additive models was conducted to systematically examine the associations between air pollutants and IHD hospitalizations. Stratified analyses by gender, age, season, hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia were performed. In total, 139,616 IHD hospitalizations were included. Short-term exposure to air pollutants was positively associated with IHD hospitalizations. The age group ≥76 was at higher exposure risk, and the associations appeared to be more evident in cold seasons. PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ appeared to have greater effects on males and those without hypertension or diabetes, whereas NO₂ and SO₂ had greater effects on females and those with hypertension or diabetes. The risk of IHD hospitalization due to air pollutants was greater in people without hyperlipidemia. Our study provides new evidence of the effects of air pollution on the increased incidence of IHD in central China.

Short-term effect of multi-pollutant air quality indexes and PM2.5 on cardiovascular hospitalization in Hamadan, Iran: a time-series analysis

Air pollutants are the most important environmental factors that contributed to cardiovascular disease (CVD). The present study aimed to investigate the number of hospitalization due to heart failure (HF) and myocardial infarction (MI) following the air pollutant exposure using a time-series regression analysis with a distributed lag model in Hamadan, Iran (2015-2019). A total of 2091 cases of CVD were registered. Based on the findings, the highest health effects on HF hospitalization were observed with air quality health index (AQHI) at lag 9 (RR = 1.043, 95% CI 0.991-1.098), and air quality index (AQI) at lags 2, 7, and 9 (RR = 1.001, 95% CI 0.998-1.002), for an increase in 1 unit of the indexes, and with PM_2.5 at lag 0 (RR = 1.001, 95% CI 0.996-1.004) for 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 levels. The highest health effects on MI hospitalization were calculated with AQHI at lag 10 (RR = 1.059, 95% CI 1.001-1.121) and AQI at lags 1 and 2 (RR = 1.001, 95% CI 0.998-1.002), for an increase in 1 unit of the indexes, and with PM_2.5 at lag 8 (RR = 1.002, 95% CI 0.997-1.005) for 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 levels. According to a seasonal classification, results showed that hospitalization in the warm season was higher than that of the cold season. Based on our knowledge, the current study is the first study that investigated the effect of air quality indexes on hospitalization due to HF and MI in Iran. Findings can provide basic information to plan preventive measures for reducing exposure chance and hospitalization rate in high-risk people.

Ambient air pollution and emergency department visits in Toronto, Canada

To investigate the acute impact of various air pollutants on various disease groups in the urban area of the city of Toronto, Canada. Statistical models were developed to estimate the relative risk of an emergency department visit associated with ambient air pollution concentration levels. These models were generated for 8 air pollutants (lagged from 0 to 14 days) and for 18 strata (based on sex, age group, and season). Twelve disease groups extracted from the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) were used as health classifications in the models. The qualitative results were collected in matrices composed of 18 rows (strata) and 15 columns (lags) for each air pollutant and the 12 health classifications. The matrix cells were assigned a value of 1 if the association was positively statistically significant; otherwise, they were assigned to a value of 0. The constructed matrices were totalized separately for each air pollutant. The resulting matrices show qualitative associations for grouped diseases, air pollutants, and their corresponding lagged concentrations and indicate the frequency of statistically significant positive associations. The results are presented in colour-gradient matrices with the number of associations for every combination of patient strata, pollutant, and lag in corresponding cells. The highest number of the associations was 8 (of 12 possible) obtained for the same day exposure to carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, and days with elevated air quality health index (AQHI) values. For carbon monoxide, the number of the associations decreases with the increasing lags. For this air pollutant, there were almost no associations after 8 days of lag. In the case of nitrogen dioxide, the associations persist even for longer lags. The numerical values obtained from the models are provided for every pollutant. The constructed matrices are a useful tool to analyze the impact of ambient air pollution concentrations on public health.

Short-Term Effects of Particulate Matter and Its Constituents on Emergency Room Visits for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study in an Urban Area

Background: PM_2.5 exposure is associated with pulmonary and airway inflammation, and the health impact might vary by PM_2.5 constitutes. This study evaluated the effects of increased short-term exposure to PM_2.5 constituents on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)-related emergency department (ED) visits and determined the susceptible groups. Methods: This retrospective observational study performed in a medical center from 2007 to 2010, and enrolled non-trauma patients aged >20 years who visited the emergency department (ED) and were diagnosed as COPD. Concentrations of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and the four PM_2.5 components, including organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), nitrate (NO₃⁻), and sulfate (SO₄²⁻), were collected by three PM supersites in Kaohsiung City. We used an alternative design of the Poisson time series regression models called a time-stratified and case-crossover design to analyze the data. Results: Per interquartile range (IQR) increment in PM_2.5 level on lag 2 were associated with increments of 6.6% (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.5–13.0%) in risk of COPD exacerbation. An IQR increase in elemental carbon (EC) was significantly associated with an increment of 3.0% (95% CI, 0.1–5.9%) in risk of COPD exacerbation on lag 0. Meanwhile, an IQR increase in sulfate, nitrate, and OC levels was not significantly associated with COPD. Patients were more sensitive to the harmful effects of EC on COPD during the warm season (interaction p = 0.019). The risk of COPD exacerbation after exposure to PM_2.5 was higher in individuals who are currently smoking, with malignancy, or during cold season, but the differences did not achieve statistical significance. Conclusion: PM_2.5 and EC may play an important role in COPD events in Kaohsiung, Taiwan. Patients were more susceptible to the adverse effects of EC on COPD on warm days.

Associations between ambient air pollution and medical care visits for atopic dermatitis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported numerous environmental factors for atopic dermatitis (AD), such as allergens and chemical stimulants. However, few studies have addressed the relationship between ambient air pollution and AD at a population level.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of air pollutants on medical care visits for AD and to identify susceptible populations.

METHODS

In this time-series study conducted on 513,870 medical care visits for AD from 2012 to 2015 identified by reviewing national health insurance claim data in Incheon, Republic of Korea. Treating daily number of medical care visits for AD as a dependent variable, generalized additive models with Poisson distributions were constructed, which included air pollutant levels, ambient temperature, relative humidity, day of the week, national holiday, and season. Risks were expressed as relative risks (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) per interquartile range increase of each air pollutant.

RESULTS

Higher levels of particulate matter of diameter ≤10 μm (PM₁₀) (RR, 1.009; 95% CI, 1.007-1.012), ozone (1.028; 1.023-1.033), and sulfur dioxide (1.033; 1.030-1.037) were significantly associated with increased risk of medical care visits for AD on same days. In all age and sex groups, ozone was associated with a significantly higher risk of medical care visits, with the greatest risk among 13- to 18-year-old males (RR, 1.127; 95% CI, 1.095-1.159).

CONCLUSION

This study suggests relationships of ambient PM₁₀, ozone, and sulfur dioxide levels with medical care visits for AD.

Associations between PM1 exposure and daily emergency department visits in 19 hospitals, Beijing

Although the adverse health effects caused by PM_2.5 (particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter <2.5 μm) and PM₁₀ (PM with an aerodynamic diameter <10 μm) have been examined in numeric studies, far less scientific evidence is available for PM with an aerodynamic diameter <1 μm (PM₁). We performed a time series analysis to elucidate the associations between PM₁ exposure and emergency department visits (EDVs) in 19 hospitals within Beijing. During the study period from January 2016 to December 2017, the average PM₁ (mean ± standard deviation) was determined to be 39 ± 39 μg/m³, which was approximately 36% lower than that of 61 ± 56 μg/m³ for PM_2.5. Results based on meta-analysis suggest that non-accidental and respiratory EDVs increased by 0.47% (95% confidence interval, CI: 0.35, 0.59%) and 0.59% (95%CI: 0.38, 0.8%) per 10 μg/m³ uptick in PM₁ exposure. By comparison, the magnitude downgraded to 0.27% (95%CI: 0.15, 0.39%) in non-accidental and 0.32% (95%CI: 0.18, 0.47%) in respiratory EDVs for PM_2.5 exposure, indicating that PMs of a smaller size may be a higher risk factor for EDVs. No significant differences in PM-associated EDV effects were noted between males and females, while stratified analysis by age and season illustrated that stronger effects were found for a warm season and young population. Our analysis reinforces the notion that PM₁ exhibited a higher risk for EDVs, suggesting more efforts may be required to mitigate PM₁ pollution.

Data resource profile: the allergic disease database of the Korean National Health Insurance Service

Researchers have been interested in probing how the environmental factors associated with allergic diseases affect the use of medical services. Considering this demand, we have constructed a database, named the Allergic Disease Database, based on the National Health Insurance Database (NHID). The NHID contains information on demographic and medical service utilization for approximately 99% of the Korean population. This study targeted 3 major allergic diseases, including allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, and asthma. For the target diseases, our database provides daily medical service information, including the number of daily visits from 2013 and 2017, categorized by patients’ characteristics such as address, sex, age, and duration of residence. We provide additional information, including yearly population, a number of patients, and averaged geocoding coordinates by eup, myeon, and dong district code (the smallest-scale administrative units in Korea). This information enables researchers to analyze how daily changes in the environmental factors of allergic diseases (e.g., particulate matter, sulfur dioxide, and ozone) in certain regions would influence patients’ behavioral patterns of medical service utilization. Moreover, researchers can analyze long-term trends in allergic diseases and the health effects caused by environmental factors such as daily climate and pollution data. The advantages of this database are easy access to data, additional levels of geographic detail, time-efficient data-refining and processing, and a de-identification process that minimizes the exposure of identifiable personal information. All datasets included in the Allergic Disease Database can be downloaded by accessing the National Health Insurance Service data sharing webpage (https://nhiss.nhis.or.kr).

The Effects of Air Pollution, Sea Exposure and Altitude on COVID-19 Hospitalization Rates in Italy

Early known cases of COVID-19 emerged in late 2019 in the city of Wuhan (China) and in a relatively short time, it has reached more than 200 countries up to July 2020. In Italy, from 21 February 2020, (first official Italian positive case of COVID-19) until 27 July 2020, 246,286 confirmed cases were observed of which over 68,150 (28%) needed hospitalization and 35,112 died. In recent scientific research, it has been shown that the severity of symptoms and mortality rates were different not only among the various countries of the world but also in different regions of the same country. This research investigates whether and by how much air environmental conditions (such as exposure to fine particulate matter-PM2.5, sea air masses and altitude) influences the risk of hospitalization due to COVID-19 in Italy, once the spreading of the virus and the percentage of the elderly in the population have been accounted for. A log-linear multiple regression model was estimated where the log of the ratio of hospitalized patients per inhabitant, since the beginning of the epidemic up to July 27, has been considered as a dependent variable. Among the independent variables, the ones that have been taken into account are the spreading of the virus, the rate of people over 50 years of age, the concentration of PM2.5, the rate of population living by the sea, the rate of green public space for each resident and the ratio of population living at a high altitude. The results showed an increase in the hospitalization rate in terms of the percentage of people over 50 and the average concentration of PM2.5. If average limits of PM2.5 concentration allowed by the current European regulations (25 µg/m3) were respected in all Italian provinces, that would have led to 7339 less hospitalizations for COVID-19 (-11%). On the contrary, near the coast there were lower hospitalized cases in the referred period. In the hypothetical case that no Italians lived near the sea, about 1363 (+2%) more hospitalizations would have been recorded in the analysis period in addition to the effect of a lower PM concentration. This paper wanted to investigate which are the areas with a higher risk of hospitalization in Italy, so as to help the Italian Government to strengthen Health System measures, predicting the most suffering areas and health care systems. According to the results, this is directly related to the severity of symptoms which decreased with the long-time exposure to the sea.

Harnessing the Four Horsemen of Climate Change: A Framework for Deep Resilience, Decarbonization, and Planetary Health in Ontario, Canada

Widespread implementation of nature-based solutions like green infrastructure, provides a multi-functional strategy to increase climate resilience, enhance ecological connectivity, create healthier communities, and support sustainable urban development. This paper presents a decision-support framework to facilitate adoption of green infrastructure within communities using the Climate Change Local Adaptation Action Model (CCLAAM) developed for this purpose. It also presents an ecosystems-based approach to bridging the gap between climate change mitigation and adaptation actions in Ontario, Canada. Green infrastructure could be a viable strategy to address multiple climate change impacts and support the implementation of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

An Optimal Stacked Ensemble Deep Learning Model for Predicting Time-Series Data Using a Genetic Algorithm—An Application for Aerosol Particle Number Concentrations

Time-series prediction is an important area that inspires numerous research disciplines for various applications, including air quality databases. Developing a robust and accurate model for time-series data becomes a challenging task, because it involves training different models and optimization. In this paper, we proposed and tested three machine learning techniques—recurrent neural networks (RNN), heuristic algorithm and ensemble learning—to develop a predictive model for estimating atmospheric particle number concentrations in the form of a time-series database. Here, the RNN included three variants—Long-Short Term Memory, Gated Recurrent Network, and Bi-directional Recurrent Neural Network—with various configurations. A Genetic Algorithm (GA) was then used to find the optimal time-lag in order to enhance the model’s performance. The optimized models were used to construct a stacked ensemble model as well as to perform the final prediction. The results demonstrated that the time-lag value can be optimized by using the heuristic algorithm; consequently, this improved the model prediction accuracy. Further improvement can be achieved by using ensemble learning that combines several models for better performance and more accurate predictions.

Associations between air pollution and outpatient visits for arrhythmia in Hangzhou, China

Background

Arrhythmia is a common cardiovascular event that is associated with increased cardiovascular health risks. Previous studies that have explored the association between air pollution and arrhythmia have obtained inconsistent results, and the association between the two in China is unclear.

Methods

We collected daily data on air pollutants and meteorological factors from 1st January 2014 to 31st December 2016, along with daily outpatient visits for arrhythmia in Hangzhou, China. We used a quasi-Poisson regression along with a distributed lag nonlinear model to study the association between air pollution and arrhythmia morbidity.

Results

The results of the single-pollutant model showed that each increase of 10 μg/m³ of Fine particulate matter (PM_2.5), Coarse particulate matter (PM₁₀), Sulphur dioxide (SO₂), Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), and Ozone (O₃) resulted in increases of 0.6% (− 0.9, 2.2%), 0.7% (− 0.4, 1.7%), 11.9% (4.5, 19.9%), 6.7% (3.6, 9.9%), and − 0.9% (− 2.9, 1.2%), respectively, in outpatient visits for arrhythmia; each increase of 1 mg/m³ increase of carbon monoxide (CO) resulted in increase of 11.3% (− 5.9, 31.6%) in arrhythmia. The short-term effects of air pollution on arrhythmia lasted 3 days, and the most harmful effects were observed on the same day that the pollution occurred. Results of the subgroup analyses showed that SO₂ and NO₂ affected both men and women, but differences between the sexes were not statistically significant. The effect of SO₂ on the middle-aged population was statistically significant. The effect of NO₂ was significant in both the young and middle-aged population, and no significant difference was found between them. Significant effects of air pollution on arrhythmia were only detected in the cold season. The results of the two-pollutants model and the single-pollutant model were similar.

Conclusions

SO₂ and NO₂ may induce arrhythmia, and the harmful effects are primarily observed in the cold season. There is no evidence of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, CO and O₃ increasing arrhythmia risk. Special attention should be given to sensitive populations during the high-risk period.

Short-term exposure to carbon monoxide and myocardial infarction: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous studies suggest an association between short-term exposure to carbon monoxide and myocardial infarction. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess current evidence on this association to support the update of the World Health Organization (WHO) Global Air Quality Guidelines.

METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials to update the evidence published in a previous systematic review up to 30th September 2018 for studies investigating the association between short-term exposure to ambient carbon monoxide (up to lag of seven days) and emergency department visits or hospital admissions and mortality due to myocardial infarction. Two reviewers assessed potentially eligible studies and performed data extraction independently. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to derive the pooled risk estimate per 1 mg/m³ increase in ambient carbon monoxide concentration. Risk of bias in individual studies was assessed using a domain-based assessment tool. The overall certainty of the body of evidence was evaluated using an adapted certainty of evidence assessment framework.

RESULTS

We evaluated 1,038 articles from the previous review and our updated literature search, of which, 26 satisfied our inclusion criteria. Overall, myocardial infarction was associated with exposure to ambient carbon monoxide concentration (risk ratio of 1.052, 95% confidence interval 1.017-1.089 per 1 mg/m³ increase). A third of studies were assessed to be at high risk of bias (RoB) due to inadequate adjustment for confounding. Using an adaptation of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework, the overall evidence was assessed to be of moderate certainty.

CONCLUSIONS

This review demonstrated that the pooled risk ratio for myocardial infarction was 1.052 (95% CI 1.017-1.089) per 1 mg/m³ increase in ambient carbon monoxide concentration. However, very few studies originated from low- and middle-income countries.

Association between air pollutants and outpatient and emergency hospital visits for childhood asthma in Shenyang city of China

Effects of air pollution on asthma vary in different study areas, and long-term time series research on the effects of air pollution on asthma outpatients and emergency hospital visits has not been conducted in Northeast China. We assessed the impact of air pollutants on the risk of asthma outpatients and emergency hospital visits in Shenyang, China. A distributed lag non-linear model with a Poisson regression was used to assess the short-term effects of air pollutants on asthma outpatient and emergency hospital visits between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2017. Confounding factors were adjusted using natural cubic splines. Ozone (O₃), carbon monoxide (CO), and suspended particulates < 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM₁₀) were positively associated with the number of asthma hospital visits. The largest cumulative effects of O₃, CO, and PM₁₀ on hospital visits were on lag day 2 (RR = 1.163, 95% CI 1.051-1.287) for 0-5-year-old childhood asthma, on lag day 3 (RR = 1.386, 95% CI 1.136-1.69) for asthma in winter, and on lag day 10 (RR = 1.148, 95% CI 0.942-1.399) for female asthma, respectively. The cumulative effect of air pollution represented by the air quality index (AQI) was largest on lag day 10 for 0-5-year-old childhood asthma with an increase of 28.6% (95% CI 6.5-55.4) hospital visits every IQR increment of the AQI. CO, O₃, and PM₁₀ were the main air pollutants in Shenyang city. Children with bronchitis asthma were more vulnerable to air pollution during the cold season.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of case-crossover and time-series studies of short term outdoor nitrogen dioxide exposure and ischemic heart disease morbidity

BACKGROUND

Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is a pervasive urban pollutant originating primarily from vehicle emissions. Ischemic heart disease (IHD) is associated with a considerable public health burden worldwide, but whether NO₂ exposure is causally related to IHD morbidity remains in question. Our objective was to determine whether short term exposure to outdoor NO₂ is causally associated with IHD-related morbidity based on a synthesis of findings from case-crossover and time-series studies.

METHODS

MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, Global Health and Toxline databases were searched using terms developed by a librarian. Screening, data extraction and risk of bias assessment were completed independently by two reviewers. Conflicts between reviewers were resolved through consensus and/or involvement of a third reviewer. Pooling of results across studies was conducted using random effects models, heterogeneity among included studies was assessed using Cochran's Q and I² measures, and sources of heterogeneity were evaluated using meta-regression. Sensitivity of pooled estimates to individual studies was examined using Leave One Out analysis and publication bias was evaluated using Funnel plots, Begg's and Egger's tests, and trim and fill.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight case-crossover studies and 48 time-series studies were included in our analysis. NO₂ was significantly associated with IHD morbidity (pooled odds ratio from case-crossover studies: 1.074 95% CI 1.052-1.097; pooled relative risk from time-series studies: 1.022 95% CI 1.016-1.029 per 10 ppb). Pooled estimates for case-crossover studies from Europe and North America were significantly lower than for studies conducted elsewhere. The high degree of heterogeneity among studies was only partially accounted for in meta-regression. There was evidence of publication bias, particularly for case-crossover studies. For both case-crossover and time-series studies, pooled estimates based on multi-pollutant models were smaller than those from single pollutant models, and those based on older populations were larger than those based on younger populations, but these differences were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

We concluded that there is a likely causal relationship between short term NO₂ exposure and IHD-related morbidity, but important uncertainties remain, particularly related to the contribution of co-pollutants or other concomitant exposures, and the lack of supporting evidence from toxicological and controlled human studies.

Age- and season-specific effects of ambient particles (PM1, PM2.5, and PM10) on daily emergency department visits among two Chinese metropolitan populations

BACKGROUND

Ambient PM_2.5 has been identified as the top leading cause of risk-attributable deaths worldwide, particularly in China. Evidence suggested that PM₁ contributed the most majority of PM_2.5 concentrations in Chinese cities. However, epidemiologic knowledge to date is of wide lack regarding PM₁-associated health effects.

METHODS

We collected daily records of all-cause emergency department visits (EDVs) and ground measurements of ambient air pollutants and meteorological factors in Guangzhou and Shenzhen, China, 2015-2016. Case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models were used to comparatively assess the short-term effects of ambient PM₁, PM_2.5, and PM₁₀ on EDVs. Stratified analyses by gender, age and season were performed to identify vulnerable groups and periods.

RESULTS

PM₁, PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ were all significantly associated with increased EDVs in both cities. Population risks for EDVs increased by 2.2% [95% confidence interval, 1.8 to 2.6] in Guangzhou and 1.7% [1.0 to 2.4] in Shenzhen, for a 10 μg/m³ rise in PM₁ at lag 0-1 days and lag 0-4 days, respectively. Relatively lower risks were found to be associated with PM_2.5 and PM₁₀. PM-EDVs associations exhibited no gender differences, but varied across age groups. Compared with adults and the elderly, children under 14 years-of-age suffered higher PM-induced risks. Results from both cities suggested greatly significant effect modification by season, with consistently stronger PM-EDVs associations during cold months.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study added comparative evidence for increased EDVs risks associated with short-term exposures to ambient PM₁, PM_2.5 and PM₁₀. Besides, PM-associated effects were significantly stronger among children and during cold months.

Au W, Zhao W, Xia ZL. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Short-Term Ambient Ozone Exposure and COPD Hospitalizations

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is the third leading cause of death globally and ozone exposure is a main cause of its disease burden. However, studies on COPD hospitalizations from short-term ambient level ozone exposure have not generated consensus results. To address the knowledge gap, comprehensive and systematic searches in several databases were conducted using specific keywords for publications up to February 14, 2020. Random-effect models were used to derive overall excess risk estimates between short-term ambient-level ozone exposure and COPD hospitalizations. The influence analyses were used to test the robustness of the results. Both meta-regression and subgroup analyses were used to explore the sources of heterogeneity and potential modifying factors. Based on the results from 26 eligible studies, the random-effect model analyses show that a 10 µg/m³ increase in maximum 8-h ozone concentration was associated with 0.84% (95% CI: 0.09%, 1.59%) higher COPD hospitalizations. The estimates were higher for warm season and multiple-day lag but lower for old populations. Results from subgroup analyses also indicate a multiple-day lag trend and bigger significant health effects during longer day intervals. Although characteristics of individual studies added modest heterogeneity to the overall estimates, the results remained robust during further analyses and exhibited no evidence of publication bias. Our systematic review and meta-analysis indicate that short-term ambient level ozone exposure was associated with increased risk of COPD hospitalizations. The significant association with multiple-day lag trend indicates that a multiple-day exposure metric should be considered for establishing ambient ozone quality and exposure standards for improvement of population health. Future investigations and meta-analysis studies should include clinical studies as well as more careful lag selection protocol.

Association between PM2.5 and risk of hospitalization for myocardial infarction: a systematic review and a meta-analysis

Background

It is generally assumed that there have been mixed results in the literature regarding the association between ambient particulate matter (PM) and myocardial infarction (MI). The aim of this meta-analysis was to explore the rate of short-term exposure PM with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm (PM_2.5) and examine its potential effect(s) on the risk of MI.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted on databases like PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase with components: “air pollution” and “myocardial infarction”. The summary relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were also calculated to assess the association between the PM_2.5 and MI.

Results

Twenty-six published studies were ultimately identified as eligible candidates for the meta-analysis of MI until Jun 1, 2018. The results illustrated that a 10-μg/m 3 increase in PM_2.5 was associated with the risk of MI (RR = 1.02; 95% CI 1.01–1.03; P ≤ 0.0001). The heterogeneity of the studies was assessed through a random-effects model with p < 0.0001 and the I² was 69.52%, indicating a moderate degree of heterogeneity. We also conducted subgroup analyses including study quality, study design, and study period. Accordingly, it was found that subgroups time series study design and high study period could substantially decrease heterogeneity (I² = 41.61, 41.78).

Conclusions

This meta-analysis indicated that exposure – response between PM_2.5 and MI. It is vital decision makers implement effective strategies to help improve air pollution, especially in developing countries or prevent exposure to PM_2.5 to protect human health.

Does the Hospital Admission of Patients with Respiratory Disease Increase in Izmir When the PM10 Level is High?

OBJECTIVES

Air pollution is caused by exhaust emissions from motor vehicles, fuel consumption for heating of residences, and especially emissions from industrial facilities around the world. The exposure to outdoor air pollution has been associated with acute and chronic health problems, from irritation to death. In this study, we aimed to determine whether air pollution increases the frequency of hospital admission and whether there is a difference between disease subgroups, age, and gender, in the 2-year period in Izmir province where - air pollution is increasing.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Collection of health data for the project compiled by the Ministry of Health, in cooperation with the Izmir Provincial Health Directory Information Processing Department, and information obtained on the age groups, gender, admission time, and diagnosis of illness [International Classification of Diseases (ICD)10 code] on the residents of Izmir in 2016/2017.

RESULTS

The daily numbers of patients with respiratory complaints and air pollution were found to be related. Both air pollution and the admission rate increase in the January-March period. In male patients, the risk of hospitalization increases for 1.14%. Males had a higher increase in the rate of diagnosis of chronic rhinitis (increase of 6.22%) than females who had an increase of 0.97%. It was observed that there was a 2.62% increase in the incidence of bronchiectasis, 2.53% in that of asthma, and 2.49% in that of dyspnea.

CONCLUSION

There was a significant increase in respiratory diseases during the days when the air pollution was high, and this was observed as the upper respiratory tract infection and acute bronchitis in the young group and chronic respiratory diseases in the elderly group upon hospital admissions. The reduction of air pollutants and inhalation of clean air are the most important aspects in providing a healthier and longer life.

Effects of ambient ozone concentrations with different averaging times on asthma exacerbations: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Mounting evidence suggests that short-term exposure to ozone increases the risk of asthma exacerbations. However, ozone exposures have been assessed using ambient ozone concentrations averaged over different time periods in different studies.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the risks for asthma exacerbations related to ambient ozone measured as 1-hour or 8-hour daily maximum and 24-hour average concentrations.

METHODS

Based on a literature search in PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science, we identified all time-series studies as of December 4th, 2018 and included 47 eligible studies in our analyses. Asthma exacerbation is defined as the risk for emergency room visits or hospital admissions. Pooled relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs) for a 10 μg/m3 increase in daily ozone concentration were estimated using random effect models. Subgroup analyses and sensitivity analyses were also performed to examine the risks for different seasons, regions and age groups and for the robustness of our main findings.

RESULTS

Significant and similar associations were found for O3-1 h max (RR,1.012; 95%CI, 1.005-1.019) and O3-8 h max (RR, 1.011; 95%CI, 1.007-1.014), while marginal effect was identified for O3-24 h average (RR, 1.005; 95%CI, 0.996-1.014). No significant publication bias but high heterogeneities were observed. During the warm season, ozone was significantly associated with asthma exacerbation. O3-1 h max had the highest RR of 1.014 (95%CI, 1.005-1.024), followed by O3-8 h max (RR, 1.012; 95%CI, 1.009-1.016), while marginal association was identified for O3-24 h avg (RR, 1.008; 95%CI, 0.998-1.017). During the cold season, null associations were identified for all the three averaging times. Variations were also observed in region and age.

CONCLUSION

Ozone exposure measured as 1-hour or 8-hour daily max were more consistently associated with asthma exacerbations than 24-hour average exposure during the warm season.

Air pollutants and outpatient visits for cardiovascular disease in a severe haze-fog city: Shijiazhuang, China

Background

Many studies have reported the impact of air pollution on cardiovascular disease (CVD), but few of these studies were conducted in severe haze-fog areas. The present study focuses on the impact of different air pollutant concentrations on daily CVD outpatient visits in a severe haze-fog city.

Methods

Data regarding daily air pollutants and outpatient visits for CVD in 2013 were collected, and the association between six pollutants and CVD outpatient visits was explored using the least squares mean (LSmeans) and logistic regression. Adjustments were made for days of the week, months, air temperature and relative humidity.

Results

The daily CVD outpatient visits for particulate matter (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5), sulphur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), carbon monoxide (CO), and ozone (O₃) in the 90th-quantile group were increased by 30.01, 29.42, 17.68, 14.98, 29.34%, and − 19.87%, respectively, compared to those in the <10th-quantile group. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the increase in daily CVD outpatient visits in PM₁₀ 300- and 500-μg/m³, PM_2.5 100- and 300-μg/m³ and CO 3-mg/m³ groups were 2.538 (1.070–6.020), 7.781 (1.681–36.024), 3.298 (1.559–6.976), 8.72 (1.523–49.934), and 5.808 (1.016–33.217), respectively, and their corresponding attributable risk percentages (AR%) were 60.6, 87.15, 69.68, 88.53 and 82.78%, respectively. The strongest associations for PM₁₀, PM_2.5 and CO were found only in lag 0 and lag 1. The ORs for the increase in CVD outpatient visits per increase in different units of the six pollutants were also analysed.

Conclusions

All five air pollutants except O₃ were positively associated with the increase in daily CVD outpatient visits in lag 0. The high concentrations of PM₁₀, PM_2.5 and CO heightened not only the percentage but also the risk of increased daily CVD outpatient visits. PM₁₀, PM_2.5 and CO may be the main factors of CVD outpatient visits.

The association of chronic air pollutants with coronary artery spasm, vasospastic angina, and endothelial dysfunction

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the effect of chronic exposure to air pollutants (APs) on coronary endothelial function and significant coronary artery spasm (CAS) as assessed by intracoronary acetylcholine (ACH) provocation test.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 6430 patients with typical or atypical chest pain who underwent intracoronary ACH provocation test were enrolled. We obtained data on APs from the Korean National Institute of Environmental Research (http://www.nier.go.kr/). APs are largely divided into two types: particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter of less than or equal to 10 µm in size (PM10) and gaseous pollutants such as nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and ozone. The primary endpoint is the incidence of significant CAS and its associated parameters during ACH provocation test.

RESULTS

The incidence of CAS was positively correlated with an exposure duration of PM10, whereas nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, carbon monoxide, and ozone were shown to be unrelated to CAS. During the ACH provocation test, as PM10 increased, the frequency of CAS was increased, and the incidence of transient ST-segment elevation was also increased. There was a trend toward higher incidence of spontaneous spasm as PM10 increased. The mean exposure level of PM10 was 51.3±25.4 µg/m. The CAS risk increased by 4% when the level of PM10 increased by 20 µg/m by an adjusted Cox regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

CAS incidence is closely related to exposure to PMs but not to gaseous pollutants. Particularly, higher exposure concentrations and longer exposure duration of PM10 increased the risk of CAS. These important findings provide a plausible mechanism that links air pollution to vasospastic angina and provide new insights into environmental factors.

Ambient carbon monoxide and increased risk of daily hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Dongguan, China

BACKGROUND

The toxicity of high-concentration carbon monoxide (CO) on human health has previously been documented. However, the epidemiological evidence on the association between acute exposure to ambient CO and respiratory diseases is relatively lacking and controversial.

OBJECTIVES

To examine the short-term association between ambient CO and hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Dongguan, China.

METHODS

The number of daily hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases, and air pollution and meteorological data were collected from January 2013 to August 2017. A generalized additive model with a quasi-Poisson link was used to estimate the association between ambient CO concentration and the total number of hospital outpatient visits for all respiratory diseases and those for asthma, bronchiectasis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pneumonia. We further analyzed the effect of ambient CO by gender and age.

RESULTS

Over the study period, a 24-h mean concentration of ambient CO of 0.88 mg/m³ (below the limit for CO in China) and a total of 89,484 hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases were recorded. Ambient CO was found to increase the risk for asthma, bronchiectasis, pneumonia and the total number of respiratory diseases. The per interquartile range (IQR) increase in ambient CO at lag₀₃ day corresponded to a 5.62% (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.24%, 8.05%), 8.86% (95% CI: 4.89%, 12.98%), 6.67% (95% CI: 0.87%, 12.81%) and 7.20% (95% CI: 2.35%, 12.29%) increased risk in outpatient visits for all respiratory diseases, asthma, bronchiectasis and pneumonia, respectively. Each association was partially weakened after adjusting for co-pollutants. The effect of ambient CO on respiratory diseases appeared to be greater for females and the elderly.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term exposure to ambient CO was associated with increased risk of outpatient visits for respiratory diseases. Our analysis may help to understand the health effects of low-levels of CO and provide evidence for the creation of air quality standards.

Impact of air pollution on hospital admissions with a focus on respiratory diseases: a time-series multi-city analysis

Together with the growing availability of data from electronic records from healthcare providers and healthcare systems, an assessment of associations between different environmental parameters (e.g., pollution levels and meteorological data) and hospitalizations, morbidity, and mortality has become possible. This study aimed to assess the association of air pollution and hospitalizations using a large database comprising almost all hospitalizations in Poland. This time-series analysis has been conducted in five cities in Poland (Warsaw, Białystok, Bielsko-Biała, Kraków, Gdańsk) over a period of almost 4 years (2014-2017, 1255 days), covering more than 20 million of hospitalizations. The hospitalizations have been extracted from the National Health Fund registries as daily summaries. Correlation analysis and distributed lag nonlinear models have been used to investigate for statistically relevant associations of air pollutants on hospitalizations, trying by various methods to minimize potential bias from atmospheric parameters, days of the week, bank holidays, etc. A statistically significant increase of respiratory disease hospitalizations has been detected after peaks of particulate matter concentrations (particularly PM_2.5, between 0.9 and 4.5% increase per 10 units of pollutant increase, and PM₁₀, between 0.9 and 3.5% per 10 units of pollutant increase), with a typical time lag between the pollutant peak and the event of 2 to 6 days. For other pollution parameters and other types of hospitalizations (e.g., cardiovascular events, eye and skin diseases, etc.), a weaker and ununiform correlations were recorded. Ambient air pollution exposure increases are associated with a short-term increase of hospitalizations due to respiratory tract diseases. The most prominent effect was recorded with the correlation of PM_2.5 and PM₁₀. There is only weak evidence indicating that such short-term associations exist between peaks of air pollution concentrations and increased hospitalizations for other (e.g., cardiovascular) diseases. The obtained information could be used to better predict hospitalization patterns and costs for the healthcare system and perhaps trigger additional vigilance on particulate matter pollution in the cities.

Indian annual ambient air quality standard is achievable by completely mitigating emissions from household sources

Exposures to ambient and household fine-particulate matter (PM2.5) together are among the largest single causes of premature mortality in India according to the Global Burden of Disease Studies (GBD). Several recent investigations have estimated that household emissions are the largest contributor to ambient PM2.5 exposure in the country. Using satellite-derived district-level PM2.5 exposure and an Eulerian photochemical dispersion model CAMx (Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions), we estimate the benefit in terms of population exposure of mitigating household sources--biomass for cooking, space- and water-heating, and kerosene for lighting. Complete mitigation of emissions from only these household sources would reduce India-wide, population-weighted average annual ambient PM2.5 exposure by 17.5, 11.9, and 1.3%, respectively. Using GBD methods, this translates into reductions in Indian premature mortality of 6.6, 5.5, and 0.6%. If PM2.5 emissions from all household sources are completely mitigated, 103 (of 597) additional districts (187 million people) would meet the Indian annual air-quality standard (40 μg m-3) compared with baseline (2015) when 246 districts (398 million people) met the standard. At 38 μg m-3, after complete mitigation of household sources, compared with 55.1 μg m-3 at baseline, the mean annual national population-based concentration would meet the standard, although highly polluted areas, such as Delhi, would remain out of attainment. Our results support expansion of programs designed to promote clean household fuels and rural electrification to achieve improved air quality at regional scales, which also has substantial additional health benefits from directly reducing household air pollution exposures.

Carbon monoxide and risk of outpatient visits due to cause-specific diseases: a time-series study in Yichang, China

BACKGROUND

Previous studies showed inconsistent results on risk of increased outpatient visits for cause-specific diseases associated with ambient carbon monoxide (CO).

METHODS

Daily data for CO exposure and outpatient visits for all-causes and five specific diseases in Yichang, China from 1st January 2016 to 31st December 2017 were collected. Generalised additive models with different lag structures were used to examine the short-term effects of ambient CO on outpatient visits. Potential effect modifications by age, sex and season were examined.

RESULTS

A total of 5,408,021 outpatient visits were recorded. We found positive and statistically significant associations between CO and outpatient visits for multiple outcomes and all the estimated risks increased with longer moving average lags. An increase of 1 mg/m³ of CO at lag06 (a moving average of lag0 to lag6), was associated with 24.67% (95%CI: 14.48, 34.85%), 21.79% (95%CI: 12.24, 31.35%), 39.30% (95%CI: 25.67, 52.92%), 25.83% (95%CI: 13.91, 37.74%) and 19.04% (95%CI: 8.39, 29.68%) increase in daily outpatient visits for all-cause, respiratory, cardiovascular, genitourinary and gastrointestinal diseases respectively. The associations for all disease categories except for genitourinary diseases were statistically significant and stronger in warm seasons than cool seasons.

CONCLUSION

Our analyses provide evidences that the CO increased the total and cause-specific outpatient visits and strengthen the rationale for further reduction of CO pollution levels in Yichang. Ambient CO exerted adverse effect on respiratory, cardiovascular, genitourinary, gastrointestinal and neuropsychiatric diseases especially in the warm seasons.

The association between 1,3-dichloropropene and asthma emergency department visits in California, USA from 2005 to 2011: a bidirectional-symmetric case crossover study

Objective: The ever-increasing rate of pesticide use in California farmlands is of great concern due to its potential toxicity on human health. In this study, the association between short term exposure to 1,3-dichloropropene (1,3-D) and asthma emergency department (ED) visits in central and southern California from 2005 to 2011 is investigated.Methods: 3878 ED visits were identified from 2005 to 2011 (1064 days). Conditional logistic regression models were used to obtain the odds ratio (OR) associated with 0.01 ppb increase in 1,3-D. Potential effect modification by sex, race/ethnicity (Non-Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic Black, or Hispanic), and age (2-5, 6-18, 19-40, 41-64 or ≥ 65) are investigated.Results: It was found that a 0.01 ppb increase in 1,3-D at the event day is associated with 13.5% [OR = 1.135, 95% CI: 1.123, 1.149] increase in the odds of having asthma ED visits in central and southern California during October to February of 2005 to 2011. Race had a positive association between 1,3-D and asthma ED visits among Non-Hispanic Black [OR= 1.095 95% CI: 1.035, 1.155] and Hispanic [OR= 1.121 95% CI: 1.064, 1.179]; while Non-Hispanic Whites had no association. Positive association for age was found between 1,3-D and asthma ED visits among patients 2 to 5 [OR= 1.065 95% CI: 1.020, 1.133], 6 to 18 [OR= 1.142 95% CI: 1.086, 1.196], and 19 to 40 [OR= 1.023 95% CI: 1.015, 1.073] years old.Conclusion: These findings suggest a 0.01 ppb increase in 1,3-D concentration increases the odds of having asthma ED visits.

The short-term effects of air pollutants on hospitalizations for respiratory disease in Hefei, China

Previous studies have shown that ambient air pollution is associated with respiratory morbidity. However, the effects of air pollutants on health have rarely been studied in China. Our study aimed to estimate the short-term effects of particulate air pollutants on hospitalizations for three types of respiratory disease: pneumonia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and asthma. We collected data on daily admissions for patients with each disease from the New Rural Cooperative Medical System (NRCMS) in Hefei, China. Daily records of air pollutants and meteorological data from January 2014 to March 2016 were also obtained. Distributed lag nonlinear models were employed in the analysis to evaluate the association between daily air pollutants and admissions. The highest effect of each pollutant on COPD hospital admission was observed with PM_2.5 at lag 12 (RR = 1.068, 95% CI 1.017 to 1.121) and PM₁₀ at lag 10 (RR = 1.031, 95% CI 1.002 to 1.060), for an increase of 10 μg/m³ in concentrations of the pollutants. The short-term effects of PM₁₀ on asthma hospital admissions peaked at lag 12 (RR = 1.057, 95% CI 1.010 to 1.107). According to our stratified analysis, we found that the effects on COPD admission were more pronounced in the warm season than in the cold season, and the elderly (≥ 65 years) and females were more vulnerable to air pollution.

Effect of PM2.5 on daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Lanzhou, China

The present study assessed the effect of short-term exposure to PM_2.5 of daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases. Electronic records of daily outpatient visits were collected from two large general hospitals in Lanzhou, China from 01 January 2007 to 31 December 2016. Daily air pollution data from the Lanzhou Environmental Monitoring Station and daily meteorological data from the Lanzhou Meteorological Bureau were collected in the same period. A distributed lag non-linear model, based on a gender and age groups, was applied to analyse the exposure-response relationship between the air pollutants, and the daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases. From 2007 to 2016, the PM_2.5 concentrations were associated with an increase in the daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases in Lanzhou. In addition, a lag effect was observed and this effect was the strongest on day 1. For every 10 μg/m³ increase in the PM_2.5 concentration, the daily outpatient visits for respiratory diseases increased by 0.53% (95% CI: 0.22%-0.84%). People aged 18 years or younger were most sensitive to PM_2.5, and the influence of PM_2.5 was more significant for females than for males. The cumulative effect of the PM_2.5 concentration for the number of outpatient visits was greater than its daily effect, and the cumulative effect peaked on day 12. From day 0 to day 14, every 10-μg/m³ increase in the PM_2.5 concentration had a statistically significant cumulative effect on the outpatient visits for respiratory diseases among individuals aged 18 years or younger (p < 0.05), reaching a maximum value on day 14 (PM_2.5: RR = 1.0213, 95% CI: 1.0128-1.0299).

Effects of exposure to fine particulate matter in elderly hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases in the South of the Brazilian Amazon

Exposure to air pollution is an important cause of hospital admissions due to respiratory diseases. Nevertheless, few studies use pollutant concentration data estimated by mathematical models. A time-series ecological study was developed, using data from hospitalizations due to respiratory diseases in people over 60 years of age, residents of Cuiabá, Brazil, during 2012, obtained from the Brazilian Ministry of Health. The independent variables were the concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) and carbon monoxide (CO) estimated by mathematical modeling, minimum temperature, and relative humidity (obtained from the Brazilian Meteorological Agency), and the number of forest fires. The generalized linear regression model of Poisson was used, with lags of 0 to 7 days. The coefficients obtained were transformed into relative risk of hospitalization, with respective 95% confidence intervals; alpha=5% was adopted. In that year, 591 hospitalizations were evaluated, with a daily average of 1.61 (SD=1.49), the PM_2.5 average concentration was 15.7 µg/m³, and the CO average concentration was 144.2 ppb. Significant associations between exposure to these contaminants and hospitalizations in lags 3 and 4 in 2012 were observed. There was a hospitalization risk increase of 31.8%, with an increase of 3.5 µg/m³ of PM_2.5 concentrations and an increase of 188 in the total number of hospitalizations, with an expense of more than ≈US$ 96,000 for the Brazilian Public Health System. This study provided information on the cost of air pollution to the health system and the feasibility of using a mathematical model to estimate environmental concentration of air pollutants.