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Seabra IL, Pedroso AO, Rodrigues TB, Ferreira GRON, da Silva Ferreira AL, Arcêncio RA, Gomes D, da Silva RAR, Botelho EP. Temporal trend and spatial analysis of the HIV epidemic in young men who have sex with men in the second largest Brazilian Amazonian province. BMC Infect Dis 2022; 22:190. [PMID: 35209850 PMCID: PMC8867691 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-022-07177-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/03/2021] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Background After 40 years of its starting, the HIV epidemic in Brazilian Amazon region remains on an increasing trend. The young men who have sex with men (MSM) have been the most impacted by the HIV in the last decade. However, much more than attributing the risk behavior to HIV uniquely to the individual, behaviors are shaped by social determinants of health (SDH). Despite the problem, there is a scarcity of studies evaluating the impact of SDH on HIV among young MSM and none of them were done in the Northern of Brazil. Therefore, the main goal of this study was to analyse the HIV epidemic among Brazilian Amazonian young MSM using temporal trends and spatial analysis. Methods We conducted an ecological study using reported cases of HIV/AIDS in young MSM living in Pará, the second larger Brazilian Amazonian province, between 2007 and 2018. Data were obtained from the Information System for Notifiable Diseases. For the temporal analysis, we employed a Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess Forecasting model (STLF), which is a hybrid time-series forecast model, that combines the Autoregressive-Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) forecasting model with the Seasonal-Trend by Loess (STL) decomposition method. For the spatial analysis, Moran’s spatial autocorrelation, spatial scan, and spatial regression techniques were used. Results A total of 2192 notifications were included in the study. Greater variabilities in HIV/AIDS population-level diagnosis rates were found in the festive months. The HIV/AIDS population-level diagnosis rates exhibited an upward trend from 2013 and this trend is forecasted to continue until 2022. Belém, the capital of Pará, presented the highest spatial risk for HIV/AIDS and was the only city to present spatiotemporal risk from 2014 to 2018. The geographic variation of the HIV epidemic was associated with the number of men with formal jobs, the average salary of men, and the percentage of people over 18 years old with elementary education. Conclusion The upward trend of HIV/AIDS population-level diagnosis rate forecasted until 2022 and the variability of the epidemic promoted by the SDH brings an alert and subsidies to health authorities to implement more efficient and focalized public policies against HIV among young MSM in Pará.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iaron Leal Seabra
- Universidade Federal do Pará, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Rua Augusto Correia, 01 - Setor saúde, GuamáBelém, 66075-110, Pará, Brasil
| | - Andrey Oeiras Pedroso
- Universidade Federal do Pará, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Rua Augusto Correia, 01 - Setor saúde, GuamáBelém, 66075-110, Pará, Brasil
| | - Taymara Barbosa Rodrigues
- Universidade Federal do Pará, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Rua Augusto Correia, 01 - Setor saúde, GuamáBelém, 66075-110, Pará, Brasil
| | | | - Ana Lucia da Silva Ferreira
- Departamento de Vigilância Epidemiológica, Secretaria de Saúde Pública do Pará, Av. Doutor Freitas, 235 Sacramenta, 66123-050, Belém, Pará, Brasil
| | - Ricardo Alexandre Arcêncio
- Maternal-Infant and Public Health Nursing Departament, University of São Paulo, College of Nursing at Ribeirão Preto, Avenida Dos Bandeirantes, 3900 - Campus Universitário, Monte Alegre, 14040-902, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brasil
| | - Dulce Gomes
- Departamento de Matemática, Colégio Luís António Verney, Universidade de Évora, Rua Romão Ramalho,, 597000-671, Évora, Portugal
| | - Richardson Augusto Rosendo da Silva
- Departamento de Enfermagem, Centro de Ciências da Saúde,, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Rua General Cordeiro de Faria, S/N. Petrópolis, 59012-570, Natal, Rio Grande do Norte, Brasil
| | - Eliã Pinheiro Botelho
- Universidade Federal do Pará, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Rua Augusto Correia, 01 - Setor saúde, GuamáBelém, 66075-110, Pará, Brasil.
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Du M, Yuan J, Jing W, Liu M, Liu J. The Effect of International Travel Arrivals on the New HIV Infections in 15-49 Years Aged Group Among 109 Countries or Territories From 2000 to 2018. Front Public Health 2022; 10:833551. [PMID: 35252102 PMCID: PMC8888525 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.833551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2021] [Accepted: 01/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The prevalent international travel may have an impact on new HIV infections, but related studies were lacking. We aimed to explore the association between international travel arrivals and new HIV infections in 15-49 years aged group from 2000 to 2018, to make tailored implications for HIV prevention. METHODS We obtained the data of new HIV infections from the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS and international travel arrivals from the World Bank. Correlation analysis was used to explore the relation briefly. Log-linear models were built to analyze the association between international travel arrivals and new HIV infections. RESULTS International travel arrivals were positively correlated with new HIV infections (correlation coefficients: 0.916, p < 0.001). After controlling population density, the median age of the total population (years), socio-demographic index (SDI), travel-related mandatory HIV testing, HIV-related restrictions, and antiretroviral therapy coverage, there were 6.61% (95% CI: 5.73, 7.50; p < 0.001) percentage changes in new HIV infections of 15-49 years aged group associated with a 1 million increase in international travel arrivals. CONCLUSIONS Higher international travel arrivals were correlated with new HIV infections in 15-49 years aged group. Therefore, multipronged structural and effective strategies and management should be implemented and strengthened.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Min Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Jue Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China
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Sun, sea and sex: a review of the sex tourism literature. TROPICAL DISEASES TRAVEL MEDICINE AND VACCINES 2020; 6:24. [PMID: 33292661 PMCID: PMC7691961 DOI: 10.1186/s40794-020-00124-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2020] [Accepted: 11/16/2020] [Indexed: 01/24/2023]
Abstract
Background Sex tourism is defined as travel planned specifically for the purpose of sex, generally to a country where prostitution is legal. While much of the literature on sex tourism relates to the commercial sex worker industry, sex tourism also finds expression in non-transactional sexual encounters. This narrative review explores current concepts related to travel and sex, with a focus on trans-national sex tourism. Methods The PubMed database was accessed to source relevant literature, using combinations of pertinent search terms. Only articles published in the English language were selected. Reference lists of published articles were also examined for relevant articles. Results With regard to preferred destinations, South/Central America and the Caribbean were more likely to receive tourists looking for casual sex. Longer duration of travel, travelling alone or with friends, alcohol or drug use, being younger and being single were factors associated with higher levels of casual sex overseas. The majority of literature retrieved on sex workers focused on risk behaviours, sexually transmitted infections (STI), mobility of sex workers and how these factors affected their lives. Sex tourists require better access to effective methods of preventing HIV, such as pre-exposure prophylaxis, and better education on HIV prevention. Drugs and alcohol play a major role as risk factors for and cofactors in casual sexual behaviour while abroad. Conclusions Travellers need to be informed of the increased risks of STI before travel. They should be aware of the local prevalence of STIs and the risks associated with their sexual practices when they travel, including engaging with commercial sex workers, having unprotected sexual intercourse and becoming victims of sexual violence.
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Cunningham S, DeAngelo G, Smith B. Fracking and risky sexual activity. JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS 2020; 72:102322. [PMID: 32485654 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2020.102322] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/03/2019] [Revised: 03/31/2020] [Accepted: 04/01/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
This paper examines the impact of the U.S. fracking boom on local STI transmission rates and prostitution activity as measured by online prostitution review counts. We first document significant and robust positive effects on gonorrhea rates in fracking counties at the national level. But we find no evidence that fracking increases prostitution when using our national data, suggesting sex work may not be the principal mechanism linking fracking to gonorrhea growth. To explore mechanisms, we then focus on remote, high-fracking production areas that experienced large increases in sex ratios due to male in-migration. For this restricted sample we find enhanced gonorrhea transmission effects and moderate evidence of extensive margin effects on prostitution markets. This study highlights public health concerns relating to economic shocks and occupational conditions that alter the local demographic composition.
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Sex Tourism, Condomless Anal Intercourse, and HIV Risk Among Men Who Have Sex With Men. J Assoc Nurses AIDS Care 2020; 30:405-414. [PMID: 31241505 DOI: 10.1097/jnc.0000000000000018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
Sex tourism affects the sexual health of tourists and locals with whom they interact. However, a few studies have examined whether sex tourism is a risk factor for the acquisition of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections among men who have sex with men, and no such studies have been conducted in Western Europe. Almost 28% of our respondents reported engaging in sex tourism in their lifetime. Sex tourism was associated with an elevated risk of engagement in condomless receptive anal intercourse, use of alcohol/drugs during sex, participation in group sex, and an elevated risk of diagnosis with any type of sexually transmitted infection over the previous year, specifically gonorrhea and chlamydia. Research with men who have sex with men who engage in sex tourism should explore high-risk sexual behavior during sex tourism and also the feasibility and acceptability of the use of episodic pre-exposure prophylaxis for short periods of participation in elevated risk behaviors by tourists and local sex partners.
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Huang W, Wu D, Pan SW, Li K, Ong JJ, Fu H, Liu C, Mao J, Tucker JD, Tang W. Driving force of condomless sex after online intervention among Chinese men who have sex with men. BMC Public Health 2019; 19:978. [PMID: 31331300 PMCID: PMC6647144 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-7307-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2018] [Accepted: 07/11/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Condom use remains consistently low among Chinese men who have sex with men (MSM). This study aims to identify factors associated with condom use after online video intervention. METHODS This is a secondary data analysis of data collected from an online non-inferiority trial comparing the effectiveness of two condom use promotion video interventions among Chinese MSM. Participants from the two groups were combined since the effectiveness of two video interventions were shown to be non-inferior. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were used to identify factors associated with condomless sex after the intervention during the follow-up interval. RESULTS Overall, 1173 participants were recruited at baseline and 791 (67.4%) completed the three-month follow-up survey. 57.3% (453/791) of the participants reported condomless sex after intervention in the three-month follow-up interval. MSM who have had sex under the influence of alcohol in the last 3 months (Odds Ratio(OR) = 1.90; 95% CI: 1.22, 2.97; Adjusted OR(AOR) = 1.79; 95% CI: 1.13, 2.83) and ever have had sex tourism (OR = 2.75; 95% CI: 1.34, 5.63; AOR = 2.40; 95% CI: 1.15, 5.07) at baseline were more likely to have condomless sex after intervention in the three-month follow-up period. MSM who had a higher level of community engagement in sexual health (OR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0.35, 0.82; AOR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.32, 0.75 with substantial engagement) and who viewed additional condom promotion videos during the follow-up period by themselves (OR = 0.67; 95% CI = 0.50, 0.89; AOR = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.50, 0.91). were less likely to have condomless sex during the follow-up period. CONCLUSION The intervention appeared to be effective among MSM who reported viewing additional condom promotion videos by themselves and more community engagement after the intervention. In MSM who reported risky sexual behaviors at baseline, the intervention appeared less effective. Tailored intervention videos that target particular subgroups, active in-person community engagement, and optimized intervention frequency should be considered in future sexual health interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wenting Huang
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
| | - Dan Wu
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
| | - Stephen W. Pan
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou, China
| | - Katherine Li
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, USA
| | - Jason J. Ong
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Hongyun Fu
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
| | - Chuncheng Liu
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Sociology, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla USA
| | - Jessica Mao
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Internal Medicine, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, USA
| | - Joseph D. Tucker
- SESH (Social Entrepreneurship to Spur Health) Team, Guangzhou, China
- University of North Carolina Project-China, Guangzhou, China
- Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Disease, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, USA
| | - Weiming Tang
- Dermatology Hospital of Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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Shimizu K, Nishiura H, Imamura A. Investigation of the Proportion of Diagnosed People Living with HIV/AIDS among Foreign Residents in Japan. J Clin Med 2019; 8:jcm8060804. [PMID: 31195745 PMCID: PMC6616594 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8060804] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2019] [Revised: 05/29/2019] [Accepted: 06/03/2019] [Indexed: 01/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Foreign residents represent an increasing proportion of newly diagnosed human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) cases in Japan, though scant research has addressed this. This study aimed to estimate the diagnosed proportion of people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) among foreign residents in Japan, covering 1990–2017 and stratifying by geographic region of the country of origin. A balance equation model was employed to statistically estimate the diagnosed proportion as a single parameter. This used published estimates of HIV incidence and prevalence, population size, visit duration, travel volume, as well as surveillance data on HIV/AIDS in Japan. The proportion varied widely by region: People from Western Europe, East Asia and the Pacific, Australia and New Zealand, and North America were underdiagnosed, while those from sub-Saharan Africa, South and South-East Asia, and Latin America were more frequently diagnosed. Overall, the diagnosed proportion of PLWHA among foreign residents in Japan has increased, but the latest estimate in 2017 was as low as 55.3%; lower than the estimate among Japanese on the order of 80% and far below the quoted goal of 90%. This finding indicates a critical need to investigate the underlying mechanisms, including disparate access to HIV testing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kazuki Shimizu
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Kita-ku, Sapporo-shi, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan.
- CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama 332-0012, Japan.
| | - Hiroshi Nishiura
- Graduate School of Medicine, Hokkaido University, Kita 15 Jo Nishi 7 Chome, Kita-ku, Sapporo-shi, Hokkaido 060-8638, Japan.
- CREST, Japan Science and Technology Agency, Honcho 4-1-8, Kawaguchi, Saitama 332-0012, Japan.
| | - Akifumi Imamura
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo Metropolitan Cancer and Infectious Diseases Center Komagome Hospital, 3-18-22 Honkomagome, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8677, Japan.
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