Glycemic status and risks of thromboembolism and major bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation

The Application of Machine Learning in Warfarin Dose Precision for Diabetic Patients Treated with Statins: A Comparative Study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the impact of statin therapy on warfarin dose requirements in diabetic patients and to assess the performance of various machine learning algorithms in predicting optimal warfarin dosing.

METHODS

The datasets available for total participants of 628 (216 diabetics and 412 non-diabetic patients) were analyzed. We categorized the patients according to height, weight, gender, race, and age, plasma international normalized ratio (INR) on reported therapeutic dose of warfarin, target INR, warfarin dose, statin therapy, and indications for warfarin. Various models were tested on data of patients from the International Warfarin Pharmacogenetics Consortium (IWPC). Data preprocessing involves structuring and handling missing values. Six predictive models, including least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), k-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector regression (SVR), linear regression (LR), decision tree, and random forest (RF), were employed in predicting optimal warfarin dosage. The best dose for each patient will be predicted using one of the six regression models.

RESULTS

This comparative study showed that the mean (and the standard deviation) of warfarin dose for diabetic and non-diabetic patients were 38.73 (15.37) and 34.50 (18.27) mg per week, respectively. Furthermore, the impact of various statin they use is considered and patient undergoing atorvastatin and rosuvastatin therapy against the necessity of high dose warfarin if the diabetic patients use lovastatin and fluvastatin.

CONCLUSION

Diabetic patients under statin therapy, considering the specific statin used, require different warfarin dose. Through the application of advanced machine learning, models as dosing predictors may attenuate the adverse effects of warfarin.

Investigating the impact of glycated hemoglobin levels on stroke severity in patients with acute ischemic stroke

Stroke is a sudden neurological decline caused by cerebrovascular diseases or impaired blood circulation. Research investigating the connection between glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels and stroke severity is limited. This study examined the connection between HbA1c levels and stroke severity in patients with acute ischemic stroke. A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of the medical records of 1103 patients with acute ischemic stroke from January 2020 to January 2024 was conducted. Patients were divided into seven groups on the basis of their HbA1c levels. Stroke severity within these groups was assessed via the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), with the aim of identifying correlations between stroke severity and glycemic status. This study examined the impact of various HbA1c levels on a range of demographic and clinical characteristics in stroke patients. The patients were grouped into seven categories on the basis of their HbA1c levels, and characteristics such as age; body mass index (BMI); LDL, HDL, and creatinine levels; and NIHSS scores at hospital admission were compared across these groups. Significant differences were observed in age, LDL levels (F = 3.999, P < 0.001), and creatinine levels (F = 1.303, P = 0.253) among the HbA1c categories. However, there were no significant differences in BMI, HDL levels, or length of hospital stay. A positive correlation was found between HbA1c levels and NIHSS scores, indicating that higher HbA1c levels are associated with greater stroke severity. This study revealed that the risk of severe stroke increases significantly when HbA1c levels exceed 6.5%. In contrast, maintaining HbA1c levels below 6.5% is linked to a reduced risk of severe stroke and lower mortality. Additionally, older adults are at greater risk and tend to experience more severe strokes.

Role of HbA1c in Mortality Among Patients With a Medical History of Ischemic Stroke and Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review

Elevated HbA1c, a marker of poor glycemic control, is associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes and mortality. HbA1c influences outcomes through distinct mechanisms of vascular dysfunction and atherosclerosis in ischemic stroke, during atrial remodeling and thrombus formation in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). Optimal HbA1c thresholds are generally below optimal levels, with levels above this being linked to higher mortality in both populations. At extremes of glycemic control in ischemic stroke, patients face recurrence and poor recovery, while PAF patients experience amplified thromboembolic risks. In patients with both conditions, poor HbA1c control synergistically raises mortality. This systematic review explores how HbA1c levels directly contribute to mortality in patients with ischemic stroke and PAF, aiming to establish a causal link between elevated HbA1c and increased mortality risk. This review includes a comprehensive analysis of four cross-sectional studies, five randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and 17 cohort studies, providing a diverse range of evidence on the topic. The inclusion of these study designs offers a well-rounded understanding of the impact and outcomes observed in the research. Mortality metrics include short-term mortality, such as 30-day or 90-day, and long-term mortality over one, three, or five years. Specific metrics, like cardiovascular mortality, focus on deaths from stroke; some studies link mortality to functional decline post-stroke, where complications from immobility or recurrent vascular events contribute to outcomes. Secondary outcomes include survival metrics, functional recovery metrics, and complications. Studies use narrative synthesis due to its ability to accommodate heterogeneity in study designs, populations, and outcome measures, enabling a nuanced interpretation of complex, context-dependent data. HbA1c levels' impact on stroke outcomes, considering age, gender, and severity, is also examined. Confounding factors, functional recovery, and complications are also considered. A narrative synthesis was chosen. The study emphasizes the importance of strict glycemic control in patients with ischemic stroke or PAF, especially those with elevated HbA1c levels. It supports clinical guidelines for individualized HbA1c targets, with most stroke patients having a target of <7%. Clinicians should prioritize close monitoring and tailor treatment plans to avoid extreme HbA1c levels, which could inform more personalized and effective treatment strategies. Tight control of HbA1c levels entails individualized targets based on patient characteristics, with an emphasis on personalized treatment strategies that may include lifestyle modifications, oral hypoglycemics, or insulin therapy to optimize glycemic control.

Cardiovascular and venous thromboembolism risks in cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors compared to non-users- a multi-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors (ICIs) have revolutionized cancer therapy. This study examines the cardiovascular risks of ICIs compared to non-ICI therapies.

METHODS

Utilizing the Chang Gung Research Database (CGRD) of Taiwan, this retrospective study analyzed 188,225 cancer patients, with 1,737 undergoing ICI treatment from January 1, 2008, to June 30, 2021. Through 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM), we compared specific outcomes between patients treated with ICIs and those who were not. The analysis also accounted for the competing risk of mortality in assessing the results after PSM. The observation period spanned from this index date to whichever came first: the date of the specific outcomes, the last follow-up recorded, or the end date of the study on June 30, 2022.

RESULTS

The study found no significant increase in the risk of cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalization, deep vein thrombosis, or pulmonary embolism in patients treated with ICIs as compared to those receiving non-ICI therapy. Interestingly, ICI treatment was linked to a lower risk of non-fatal stroke (0.27% per year vs. 0.46% per year; subdistribution hazard ratio = 0.59; 95% confidence interval = 0.35-0.98; P = 0.0430). Furthermore, subgroup analysis revealed that the ICI group had a decreased risk of cardiac death in patients with cancers other than head and neck cancer, and a reduced risk of stroke among diabetic patients.

CONCLUSIONS

ICIs do not significantly elevate the risk of cardiovascular events in cancer patients and may lower the stroke risk, underscoring the need for additional prospective studies to clarify these findings.

Is pre-diabetes a predictor of events in patients with atrial fibrillation?

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) increases the probability of presenting atrial fibrillation (AF) and it is a predictor of its ischemic stroke. There is limited information of the association between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and ischemic, embolic or bleeding events in patients with pre-DM and AF.

METHODS

To investigate whether the presence of pre-DM in patients with AF predicts ischemic or bleeding events, myocardial infarction or mortality, we performed a retrospective study with a final cohort of 2993 non-diabetic patients with AF and data of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). We divided the cohort in two groups: those with normal glucose (n = 1351) and those with pre-diabetes (n = 1642). Incidence rates were calculated as the number of events per 100 person-years and were then compared between groups. Competitive hazard regression analysis for non-fatal events(death as the competing event) and conventional Cox regression for mortality were performed.

RESULTS

There was not difference between groups for incidence rates of the different events per 100 person-years. Even considering HbA1c as continuous variable, the unadjusted analysis showed no relation between levels of HbA1c and more risk of events. This association remained not significant after adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASc score, HAS-BLED score and anticoagulation therapy.

CONCLUSION

In this study of 2993 non-diabetic patients with new-onset AF, we have not found an association between HbA1c and worse prognosis when it is in the range of pre-diabetes.

Impact of glycated hemoglobin on 2-year clinical outcomes in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation: sub-analysis of ANAFIE Registry, a large observational study

BACKGROUND

This ANAFIE Registry sub-analysis investigated 2-year outcomes and oral anticoagulant (OAC) use stratified by glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels among Japanese patients aged ≥ 75 years with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) with and without clinical diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

The ANAFIE Registry was a large-scale multicenter, observational study conducted in Japan; this sub-analysis included patients with baseline HbA1c data at baseline. The main endpoints evaluated (stroke/systemic embolic events [SEE], major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, cardiovascular death, all-cause death, and net clinical outcome [a composite of stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and all-cause death]) were stratified by HbA1c levels (< 6.0%; 6.0% to < 7.0%; 7.0% to < 8.0%; and ≥ 8.0%).

RESULTS

Of 17,526 patients with baseline HbA1c values, 8725 (49.8%) patients had HbA1c < 6.0%, 6700 (38.2%) had 6.0% to < 7.0%, 1548 (8.8%) had 7.0% to < 8.0%, and 553 (3.2%) had ≥ 8.0%. Compared with other subgroups, patients with HbA1c ≥ 8.0% were more likely to have lower renal function, higher CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, higher prevalence of non-paroxysmal AF, and lower direct OAC (DOAC) administration, but higher warfarin administration. The HbA1c ≥ 8.0% subgroup had higher event rates for all-cause death (log-rank P = 0.003) and net clinical outcome (log-rank P = 0.007). Similar trends were observed for stroke/SEE. In multivariate analysis, risk of all-cause death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.46 [95% confidence interval 1.11-1.93]) and net clinical outcome (aHR 1.33 [1.05-1.68]) were significantly higher in the HbA1c ≥ 8.0% subgroup. No significant differences were observed in risks of major bleeding or other outcomes in this and other subgroups. No interaction was observed between HbA1c and OACs. Use/non-use of antidiabetic drugs was not associated with risk reduction; event risks did not differ with/without injectable antidiabetic drugs.

CONCLUSIONS

Among elderly Japanese patients with NVAF, only HbA1c ≥ 8.0% was associated with increased all-cause death and net clinical outcome risks; risks of the events did not increase in other HbA1c subgroups. Relative event risks between patients treated with DOACs and warfarin were not modified by HbA1c level.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

UMIN000024006; date of registration: September 12, 2016.

Discharge status validation of the Chang Gung Research database in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

The Chang Gung Research Database (CGRD) is the largest multi-institutional electronic medical records database in Taiwan and has been widely used to establish evidence studies. However, the accuracy of CGRD has rarely been validated. This study aims to validate the discharge status, especially with a focus on mortality, of admission data under CGRD.

METHODS

We constructed an observational study using CGRD linked with TDR to validate the discharge status. The CGRD and TDR data were obtained from the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital system and the Health and Welfare Data Science Center, respectively. The accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and underestimated mortality rate (UEM) were employed as indicators for validation. Year, sex, age, and the primary cause for admission (PCA) were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 1,972,044 admission records under CGRD were analyzed. The overall accuracy for mortality coding on discharge status was higher than 97% within one week after discharge. The accuracy increased by year and was more than 98% after 2010. A similar result was observed in UEM; the UEM within one week was lower than 10% after 2010. These indicators varied by age group and PCA-elderly patients had relatively lower accuracy and higher UEM (approximately 11%). The presence of UEM within one week was better but varied by disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Considering the data accuracy and UEM discharge status, prioritizing the use of inpatient data after 2010 under CGRD for mortality outcome follow-up studies is recommended.

Impact of mental disorders on the risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus: a nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether mental disorders are an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with diabetes. We aimed to investigate whether patients with diabetes who have mental disorders have an increased risk for AF.

METHODS

Using the Korea National Health Insurance Service database, we enrolled 2,512,690 patients diagnosed with diabetes without AF between 2009 and 2012. We assessed five mental disorders: depression, insomnia, anxiety, bipolar disorder, and schizophrenia. Newly diagnosed AF was identified during the follow-up period, and multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Among the 2,512,690 patients (mean age 57.2 ± 12.3 years; 60.1% men), 828,929 (33.0%) had mental disorders. Among the five mental disorders, anxiety (68.1%) was the most common, followed by insomnia (40.0%). During a median follow-up duration of 7.1 years, new-onset AF was diagnosed in 79,525 patients (4.66 per 1,000 person-years). Patients with diabetes who had mental disorders showed a higher risk for AF (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-1.21; p-value < 0.001). Depression, insomnia, and anxiety were significantly associated with higher risk for AF (adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.15 [1.12-1.17], 1.15 [1.13-1.18], and 1.19 [1.67-1.21], respectively; all p-values < 0.001), whereas bipolar disorder and schizophrenia were not.

CONCLUSIONS

Mental disorders, especially depression, insomnia, and anxiety, were associated with an increased risk for AF in patients with diabetes. Greater awareness with a prompt diagnosis of AF should be considered for patients with both DM and mental disorders.

Benzodiazepines in Patients with Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

In patients with heart failure (HF), anxiety or insomnia is prevalent and associated with poor clinical outcomes. Benzodiazepines (BZDs) are one of the most commonly prescribed medications for anxiety or insomnia in Taiwan. Evidence regarding the effects of BZDs on patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is inconclusive.

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether BZDs can mitigate the adverse effects of anxiety or insomnia on the prognosis of patients with HFrEF.

METHODS

Patients with HFrEF were identified from the Chang Gung Research Database between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2018. Those who received BZD prescriptions were defined as the BZD group; patients in the BZD group were then paired with those who had never been prescribed BZDs after matching for age, sex, and baseline left ventricular ejection fraction, defined as the no-BZD group. Propensity score matching was used to balance baseline characteristics. Cox proportional hazards model and the Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard model were used to examine the association between BZD prescription and the risks of adverse cardiovascular outcomes.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, there were 1,941 patients in both BZD and no-BZD groups. The composite of cardiovascular (CV) death or HF hospitalization (HFH) occurred in 64.4% and 54.4% of the patients in the BZD and no-BZD groups, respectively [hazard ratio (HR): 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.32-1.56], which was mainly driven by HFH (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.39-1.67).

CONCLUSIONS

In the patients with HFrEF, those who received BZD were at a higher overall risk of CV death and HFH.

The complex interplay between diabetes mellitus and atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

: A growing body of evidence suggests that diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) and contributes to suboptimal arrhythmia control and poor prognosis in patients with AF. The high prevalence of AF among patients with DM is primarily attributed to common risk factors, shared pathophysiological mechanisms, and associated atrial remodeling and autonomic dysfunction.

AREAS COVERED

: This comprehensive review covers the current data on the role of DM in the development and prognosis of AF. In addition, we review the impact of anti-DM medications on AF prevention and the role of anticoagulation in patients with coexisting DM and AF.

EXPERT OPINION

: DM is independently associated with new-onset AF, and the coexistence of these two conditions contributes to poor outcomes, from reduced quality of life to increased risks of thromboembolic events, heart failure, and mortality. Despite this strong link, the current evidence is insufficient to recommend routine screening for AF in patients with DM. Although some observations exist on preventing AF with anti-DM medications, randomized controlled trials are warranted to explore the proposed benefits of novel anti-DM medicines in reducing the risk of incident AF.

Relation of Hemoglobin A1C Levels to Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Mortality in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus and Atrial Fibrillation

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased risk of complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). This study aimed to assess the incidence and risks of ischemic stroke and mortality according to baseline HbA1c levels in patients with DM and AF. We conducted a cohort study using Clalit Health Services electronic medical records. The study population included all Clalit Health Services members aged ≥25 years, with the first diagnosis of AF between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016, who had a diagnosis of DM. The risk of stroke and all-cause death were compared according to HbA1c levels at the time of AF diagnosis: <7.0%, between 7% and 9%, and ≥9%. A total of 44,451 patients with DM and AF were identified. The median age was 75 years (interquartile 65 to 83), and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow-up of 38 months, higher levels of HbA1c were associated with an increased risk of stroke with a dose-dependent response when compared with patients with HbA1c <7% (Adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] =1.30 [95% confidence interval 1.10 to 2.05] for levels between 7% and 9% and 1.60 (95% confidence interval 1.25 to 2.03) for HbA1c >9%, even after adjusting for CHA₂DS₂-Vasc risk factors and use of oral anticoagulants. The risk for overall mortality was significantly higher in the HBA1C >9% group (aHR = 1.17 [1.07 to 1.28]). In conclusion, in this cohort of patients with AF and DM, HbA1c levels were associated with the risk of stroke in a dose-dependent manner even after accounting for other recognized risk factors for stroke.

Lifestyle Modification and Atrial Fibrillation: Critical Care for Successful Ablation

Management of atrial fibrillation (AF) requires a comprehensive approach due to the limited success of medical or procedural approaches in isolation. Multiple modifiable risk factors contribute to the development and progression of the underlying substrate, with a heightened risk of progression evident with inadequate risk factor management. With increased mortality, stroke, heart failure and healthcare utilisation linked to AF, international guidelines now strongly support risk factor modification as a critical pillar of AF care due to evidence demonstrating the efficacy of this approach. Effective lifestyle management is key to arrest and reverse the progression of AF, in addition to increasing the likelihood of freedom from arrhythmia following catheter ablation.

Diabetes-Related Complications and Mortality in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Different Oral Anticoagulants : A Nationwide Analysis

BACKGROUND

Evidence about the association between types of oral anticoagulants and hazards of diabetes complications is limited in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM).

OBJECTIVE

To compare the hazards of diabetes complications and mortality between patients with AF and DM receiving non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and those receiving warfarin.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Nationwide data obtained from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database.

PATIENTS

Patients with AF and DM receiving NOACs or warfarin between 2012 and 2017 in Taiwan were enrolled. Treatment groups were determined by patients' first initiation of oral anticoagulants.

MEASUREMENTS

Hazards of diabetes complications (macrovascular complications, microvascular complications, and glycemic emergency) and mortality in the NOAC and warfarin users were investigated with a target trial design. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Propensity score methods with stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting were applied to balance potential confounders between treatment groups.

RESULTS

In total, 19 909 NOAC users and 10 300 warfarin users were included. Patients receiving NOACs had significantly lower hazards of developing macrovascular complications (HR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.78 to 0.91]; P < 0.001), microvascular complications (HR, 0.79 [CI, 0.73 to 0.85]; P < 0.001), glycemic emergency (HR, 0.91 [CI, 0.83 to 0.99]; P = 0.043), and mortality (HR, 0.78 [CI, 0.75 to 0.82]; P < 0.001) than those receiving warfarin. Analyses with propensity score matching showed similar results. Several sensitivity analyses further supported the robustness of our findings.

LIMITATION

The claims-based data did not allow for detailed data on patients' lifestyles and laboratory examinations to be obtained.

CONCLUSION

Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants were associated with lower hazards of diabetes complications and mortality than warfarin in patients with AF and DM.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Hualien Tzu Chi Hospital.

Glycemic control and atrial fibrillation: an intricate relationship, yet under investigation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) constitute two major closely inter-related chronic cardiovascular disorders whose concurrent prevalence rates are steadily increasing. Although, the pathogenic mechanisms behind the AF and DM comorbidity are still vague, it is now clear that DM precipitates AF occurrence. DM also affects the clinical course of established AF; it is associated with significant increase in the incidence of stroke, AF recurrence, and cardiovascular mortality. The impact of DM on AF management and prognosis has been adequately investigated. However, evidence on the relative impact of glycemic control using glycated hemoglobin levels is scarce. This review assesses up-to-date literature on the association between DM and AF. It also highlights the usefulness of glycated hemoglobin measurement for the prediction of AF and AF-related adverse events. Additionally, this review evaluates current anti-hyperglycemic treatment in the context of AF, and discusses AF-related decision-making in comorbid DM. Finally, it quotes significant remaining questions and sets some future strategies with the potential to effectively deal with this prevalent comorbidity.

Association of Diabetes Duration and Glycemic Control With Stroke Rate in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Diabetes: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

There are limited data on the association of diabetes duration and glycemic control with stroke risk in atrial fibrillation (AF). Our objective was to study the association of diabetes duration and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with the rate of stroke in people with diabetes and newly diagnosed AF.

Methods and Results

This was a population‐based cohort study using linked administrative data sets. We studied 37 209 individuals aged ≥66 years diagnosed with AF in Ontario between April 2009 and March 2019, who had diabetes diagnosed 1 to 16 years beforehand. The primary outcome was hospitalization for stroke at 1 year. Cause‐specific hazard regression was used to model the association of diabetes duration and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with the rate of stroke. Restricted cubic spline analyses showed increasing hazard ratios (HR) for stroke with longer diabetes duration that plateaued after 10 years and increasing HRs for stroke with HbA1c levels >7%. Relative to patients with <5 years diabetes duration, stroke rates were significantly higher for patients with ≥10 years duration (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.16–1.82; P=0.001), while diabetes duration 5 to <10 years was not significantly different. Relative to glycated hemoglobin 6% to <7%, values ≥8% were associated with higher stroke rates (HR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.12–1.84; P=0.004), while other HbA1c categories were not significantly different.

Conclusions

Longer diabetes duration and higher glycated hemoglobin were associated with significantly higher stroke rates in patients with AF and diabetes. Models for stroke risk prediction and preventive care in AF may be improved by considering patients’ diabetes characteristics.

Medical therapies for prevention of cardiovascular and renal events in patients with atrial fibrillation and diabetes mellitus

Atrial fibrillation (AF), type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are three global epidemics with significant effects on morbidity and mortality. Diabetes is a risk factor for AF, and a risk factor for thromboembolism, comorbidity, and mortality when AF is present. The pathophysiology of diabetes-related AF and interrelationships with cardiovascular events and renal events is not fully understood but is in part related to structural, electrical, electromechanical, and autonomic remodelling. The current practice guidelines offer limited recommendations on the management of patients with AF (or risk of AF) and diabetes with its own heterogeneity for the prevention of cardiovascular and renal events. This document discusses possible clinical approaches for these patients. In the last decade, there have been major improvements for the prevention of stroke in AF patients with direct oral anticoagulants, which are preferable to vitamin K antagonists for stroke prevention in DM. Because of the increased risk rate for several cardiovascular adverse events in diabetic patients, a similar relative risk reduction generally translates into greater absolute risk reduction in the diabetic population. Recent trials with non-insulin diabetes drugs using glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors showed a significant reduction for the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 DM. Sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors also showed a large reduction in hospitalization for heart failure and renal events, which need to be more completely evaluated in patients with AF. Mechanisms, risks, and optimal management of AF patients with DM who have or are under risk of developing heart failure or CKD are also discussed in this document. The benefits of medical therapies for these patients still need to be put into perspective, and gaps in evidence on some of these issues are likely to be addressed in future years.

Increased hemoglobin A1c level associates with low left atrial appendage flow velocity in patients of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

High hemoglobin A1c (HbAlc) level is associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk and thromboembolic events [1]. The study sought to explored the association between HbAlc and left atrial appendage flow velocity (LAAV) among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF) patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 249 consecutive non-valvular AF patients who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) were divided into two subgroups according to the median of LAAV level (<45 cm/s, ≥45 cm/s). Blood samples and other baseline clinical data of all patients were collected and analyzed. The low LAAV group included 126 patients and the high LAAV group included 123 patients. Patients in the low LAAV group were older and had a higher percentage of persistent AF, chronic heart failure, and higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (P < 0.05). HbAlc level in the low LAAV group was significantly higher than the high LAAV group [6.1 (5.7-6.5)% vs 5.9 (5.6-6.2)%, P = 0.010]. The low LAAV group had larger left atrial diameter (LAD), left atrial area (LAA), higher left atrial pressure (LAP), and lower left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (P < 0.05). Spearman rank correlation analysis showed that the HbAlc level was negatively correlated with LAAV (r = -0.211, P = 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that female gender (OR = 2.233, 95% CI 1.110-4.492, P = 0.024), persistent AF (OR = 6.610, 95% CI 3.109-14.052, P < 0.001), and HbAlc (OR = 1.903, 95% CI 1.092-3.317, P = 0.023) were independent factors that associated with low LAAV in AF patients.

CONCLUSION

Increased HbAlc level is associated with decreased LAAV and may reflect a low contractile function of the left atrial appendage.

Early anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation-related acute ischaemic stroke: efficacy and safety profile

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the effects of early anticoagulation on functional outcome, recurrent ischaemic events and haemorrhagic complications in Atrial Fibrillation (AF)-related acute ischaemic strokes (AIS).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated patients hospitalised in a Stroke Unit due to AF-related AIS. Patients were divided according to anticoagulation initiation timing (0-4 days, 5-14 days, no anticoagulation by the 14th day). We assessed the following outcomes at 3 months: favourable functional outcome [modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score 0-2 or equal to pre-stroke], recurrent ischaemic events and haemorrhagic complications after anticoagulation initiation.

RESULTS

We included 395 patients. Anticoagulation was initiated at days 0-4 in 33.9% of patients, days 5-14 in 25.3% and not initiated by the day 14 in 40.8%. Factors associated with earlier anticoagulation included lower previous mRS, valvular AF and lower stroke severity. Favourable functional outcome occurred in 40.2% of patients, with lower odds in those anticoagulated at 5-14 versus 0-4 days (OR: 0.47, 95% CI: 0.23-0.94), independently of age, previous mRS and stroke severity. Recurrent ischaemic events occurred in 8.3% of patients, with higher odds in non-anticoagulated patients by the 14th day, compared to the remainder groups (OR: 3.26, 95% CI: 1.29-8.22 vs. 0-4 days and OR: 8.16, 95% CI: 1.76-37.9 vs. 5-14 days). In patients who started anticoagulation (n = 288), haemorrhagic complications occurred in 10.8%, being more frequent in those who started at 0-4 days vs. > 14 days. However, it did not abolish the 0-4-day initiation's benefit on functional outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Early anticoagulation was associated with lower ischaemic recurrence and better functional outcome at 3 months. Additional studies are needed to better clarify its haemorrhagic risk.

Comparative effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin-K antagonist oral anticoagulants and warfarin in older adults with atrial fibrillation and diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate comparative effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin-K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) versus warfarin in Medicare beneficiaries with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and comorbid diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using 2014-2016 5% national Medicare data was undertaken. NVAF patients with DM aged ≥65 years having at least one prescription for NOACs or warfarin between July 2014 and December 2015 were included in the study. Propensity score matching was used to balance demographic and baseline clinical characteristics of patients in two treatment groups. Cardiovascular outcomes including stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and myocardial infarction (MI) were evaluated to measure effectiveness. Assessment of safety outcomes included intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), major gastrointestinal bleeding (MGB), bleeding from other sites (OB) and all-cause mortality. Stratified Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for the outcomes in the matched cohort.

RESULTS

The matched sample consisted of 4582 patients (2291 pairs). Compared to warfarin, NOACs had a significantly lower risk of stroke/SE (hazard ratio (HR): 0.373, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.247-0.564, p < .001) and all-cause mortality (HR: 0.783, CI: 0.656-0.873, p = .007). NOACs were found to significantly reduce the risk of ICH (HR: 0.500, CI: 0.300-0.834, p = .008) and OB (HR: 0.608, CI: 0.424-0.870, p = .007), but no difference was observed in the risk of MGB (HR: 0.862, CI: 0.640-1.160, p = .326) between NOACs and warfarin. The composite outcome demonstrated superior overall effectiveness and safety of NOAC therapy compared to warfarin therapy (HR: 0.685, CI: 0.587-0.801, p < .001).

CONCLUSION

Oral anticoagulation therapy with NOACs was found to be more effective than warfarin therapy among older adults with NVAF and comorbid DM.

Prognostic significance of diabetes mellitus in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

There are limited data on the association of diabetes mellitus (DM) and levels of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) with outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included patients who were recently hospitalized with a primary or secondary diagnosis of AF from December 2015 through June 2018. Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox-regression adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) were calculated for the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and for the secondary outcomes of cardiovascular (CV) mortality and the composite outcome of CV death or hospitalization. Competing-risk regression analyses were performed to calculate the cumulative risk of stroke, major bleeding, AF- or HF-hospitalizations adjusted for the competing risk of all-cause death. Spline curve models were fitted to investigate associations of HbA1c values and mortality among patients with AF and DM.

Results

In total 1109 AF patients were included, of whom 373 (33.6%) had DM. During a median follow-up of 2.6 years, 414 (37.3%) patients died. The presence of DM was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (aHR = 1.40 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.11–1.75), CV mortality (aHR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.07–1.81), sudden cardiac death (aHR = 1.73, 95% CI 1.19–2.52), stroke (aHR = 1.87, 95% CI 1.01–3.45) and the composite outcome of hospitalization or CV death (aHR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.06–1.53). In AF patients with comorbid DM, the spline curves showed a positive linear association between HbA1c levels and outcomes, with values 7.6–8.2% being independent predictors of increased all-cause mortality, and values < 6.2% predicting significantly decreased all-cause and CV mortality.

Conclusions

The presence of DM on top of AF was associated with substantially increased risk for all-cause or CV mortality, sudden cardiac death and excess morbidity. HbA1c levels lower than 6.2% were independently related to better survival rates suggesting that optimal DM control could be associated with better clinical outcomes in AF patients with DM.

Cardiovascular risks and bleeding with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant versus warfarin in patients with type 2 diabetes: a tapered matching cohort study

BACKGROUND

We compared the risk of bleeding and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events between non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant (NOAC) and warfarin in people with type 2 diabetes (T2DM).

METHODS

862 Incident NOAC users and 626 incident warfarin users with T2DM were identified from within 40 UK general practice (1/4/2017-30/9/2018). Outcomes included incident hospitalisation for bleeding, CVD and re-hospitalisation for CVD within 12 months since first anticoagulant prescription, identified from linked hospitalisation data. A tapered matching method was applied to form comparison cohorts: coarsened exact matching restricted the comparison to areas of sufficient overlap in missingness and characteristics: (i) demographic characteristics; (ii) clinical measurements; (iii) prior bleeding and CVD history; (iv) prescriptions with bleeding; (v) anti-hypertensive treatment(s); (vi) anti-diabetes treatment(s). Entropy balancing sequentially balanced NOAC and warfarin users on their distribution of (i-vi). Weighted logistic regression modelling estimated outcome odds ratios (ORs), using entropy balancing weights from steps i-vi.

RESULTS

The 12-month ORs of bleeding with NOAC (n = 582) vs matched/balanced warfarin (n = 486) were 1.93 (95% confidence interval 0.97-3.84), 2.14 (1.03-4.44), 2.31 (1.10-4.85), 2.42 (1.14-5.14), 2.41 (1.12-5.18), and 2.51 (1.17-5.38) through steps i-vi. ORs for CVD re-hospitalisation was increased with NOAC treatment through steps i-vi: 2.21 (1.04-4.68), 2.13 (1.01-4.52), 2.47 (1.08-5.62), 2.46 (1.02-5.94), 2.51 (1.01-6.20), and 2.66 (1.02-6.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Incident NOAC use among T2DM is associated with increased risk of bleeding hospitalisation and CVD re-hospitalisation compared with incident warfarin use. For T2DM, caution is required in prescribing NOACs as first anticoagulant treatment. Further large-scale replication studies in external datasets are warranted.