Prognostic value of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease for predicting cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes mellitus with suspected coronary artery disease: a prospective cohort study

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and the risk of mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The systematic review aimed to assess the risks of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). EMBASE and MEDLINE were searched from inception to June 2022 for observational studies examining the relationship between MASLD and the risk of mortality among T2DM patients. Meta-analysis was conducted using random-effects models with hazard ratios (HRs) to quantify the risk of mortality. A total of 5877 articles were screened, and ultimately, 12 eligible studies encompassing 368 528 T2DM patients, with a median follow-up of 8.9 years (interquartile range, 4.7-14.5), were included. Our analysis revealed a significant association between MASLD and an increased risk of all-cause mortality in T2DM patients [HR 1.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-1.58; I 2  = 90%]. Meta-regression analyses did not show significant effects of mean age, mean BMI, and percentage of smokers, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia on the association between MASLD and the risk of all-cause mortality. However, we found that MASLD was not significantly associated with mortality related to cardiovascular diseases (HR 1.05; 95% CI, 0.82-1.35; I2  = 0%) or cancer (HR 1.21; 95% CI, 0.41-3.51; I 2  = 79%) among patients with T2DM. No publication bias was observed. This comprehensive meta-analysis provides substantial evidence supporting a significant association between MASLD and an increased risk of all-cause mortality among the T2DM population. These findings underscore the potential benefits of screening for MASLD in T2DM patients, aiding in the early identification of high-risk individuals and enabling risk modification strategies to improve survival.

Evaluation of the non-alcoholic fatty liver fibrosis score in predicting short-term outcomes and severe coronary artery disease in patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography

Introduction

The correlation between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and cardiovascular disease is well established.

Aim

The objective of this study was to assess the short-term associations of the non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) with various outcomes, including mortality, severe coronary artery disease, myocardial infarction, and the need for coronary angiography, among patients who underwent coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA).

Material and methods

In this study, we assessed 499 patients who underwent 640-slice CCTA and evaluated their liver fibrosis using the NFS. The NFS takes into account factors such as age, body mass index, impaired fasting glycemia or diabetes mellitus, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, platelets, and albumin. Our primary focus was myocardial infarction, the need for coronary angiography, and death. Additionally, we examined the association between NFS and severe coronary artery disease.

Results

Patients with a higher NFS had a greater number of coronary angiography procedures and higher Agatston score (p < 0.001), with NFS and Agatston score emerging as independent predictors of severe coronary artery disease and the primary endpoint. An NFS value above -0.92 could predict the primary endpoint with 61% sensitivity and 63% specificity, while an NFS value above -0.88 could predict severe coronary artery disease with 62% sensitivity and 65% specificity. To analyze primary endpoints, the Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, with NFS groups compared using the log-rank test. During the follow-up period, patients with higher NFS were exposed to primary outcomes at an earlier period (p = 0.009).

Conclusions

NFS is an effective predictor of major cardiovascular events such as death, myocardial infarction, severe coronary artery disease, and the need for coronary angiography. These findings underscore the importance of NFS as a valuable tool for risk assessment and early intervention in patients with suspected or confirmed coronary artery disease.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease biomarkers estimate cardiovascular risk based on coronary artery calcium score in type 2 diabetes: a cross-sectional study with two independent cohorts

BACKGROUND

Studies have demonstrated that coronary artery calcification on one hand and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) on the other hand are strongly associated with cardiovascular events. However, it remains unclear whether NAFLD biomarkers could help estimate cardiovascular risk in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). The primary objective of the present study was to investigate whether the biomarkers of NAFLD included in the FibroMax® panels are associated with the degree of coronary artery calcification in patients with T2D.

METHODS

A total of 157 and 460 patients with T2D were included from the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts, respectively. The coronary artery calcium score (CACS) was measured in both cohorts using computed tomography. FibroMax® panels (i.e., SteatoTest®, FibroTest®, NashTest®, and ActiTest®) were determined from blood samples as scores and stages in the DIACART cohort and as stages in the ACCoDiab cohort.

RESULTS

CACS significantly increased with the FibroTest® stages in both the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts (p-value for trend = 0.0009 and 0.0001, respectively). In DIACART, the FibroTest® score was positively correlated with CACS in univariate analysis (r = 0.293, p = 0.0002) and remained associated with CACS independently of the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model [β = 941 ± 425 (estimate ± standard error), p = 0.028]. In the ACCoDiab cohort, the FibroTest® F3-F4 stage was positively correlated with CACS in point-biserial analysis (rpbi = 0.104, p = 0.024) and remained associated with CACS after adjustment for the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model (β = 234 ± 97, p = 0.016). Finally, the prediction of CACS was improved by adding FibroTest® to the traditional cardiovascular risk factors included in the SCORE2-Diabetes model (goodness-of-fit of prediction models multiplied by 4.1 and 6.7 in the DIACART and ACCoDiab cohorts, respectively). In contrast, no significant relationship was found between FibroMax® panels other than FibroTest® and CACS in either cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

FibroTest® is independently and positively associated with the degree of coronary artery calcification in patients with T2D, suggesting that FibroTest® could be a relevant biomarker of coronary calcification and cardiovascular risk.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers NCT02431234 and NCT03920683.

Impacts of Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease on Acute Coronary Syndrome: Evidence and Controversies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are two clinically common disease entities that share numerous risk factors. This review aimed to discuss the impacts of NAFLD on ACS.

RECENT FINDINGS

In an era of improved control of traditional risk factors, the substantial burden of cardiometabolic abnormalities has caused widespread concern. NAFLD is considered the hepatic component of metabolic syndrome, which can exert an impact on human health beyond the liver. Accumulating studies have demonstrated that NAFLD is closely related to cardiovascular disease, especially coronary artery disease. Interestingly, although recent data have suggested an association between NAFLD and the incidence and outcomes of ACS, the results are not consistent. In this review, we comprehensively summarized evidence and controversies regarding whether NAFLD is a contributor to either the development of ACS or worse outcomes in patients with ACS. The potential pathophysiological and molecular mechanisms involved in the impacts of NAFLD on ACS were also elucidated.

Association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and atrial fibrillation and other clinical outcomes: a meta-analysis

The association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with cardiovascular and cerebrovascular outcomes, as well as their clinical impact, has yet to be established in the literature. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate the association between the NAFLD patients and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), stroke, cardiovascular mortality (CVM), and revascularization incidence. We performed a systematic literature search using PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Cochrane libraries for relevant articles from inception until August 2022. A total of 12 cohort studies with 18,055,072 patients (2,938,753 NAFLD vs 15,116,319 non-NAFLD) were included in our analysis. The mean age of the NAFLD patients group and the non-NAFLD group was comparable (55.68 vs 55.87). The most common comorbidities among the NAFLD patients group included hypertension (38% vs 24%) and diabetes mellitus (14% vs 8%). The mean follow-up duration was 6.26 years. The likelihood of AF (risk ratio (RR), 1.42 (95% CI 1.19, 1.68), p < 0.001), HF (RR, 1.43(95% CI 1.03, 2.00), p < 0.001), stroke (RR, 1.26(95% CI 1.16, 1.36), p < 0.001), revascularization (RR, 4.06(95% CI 1.44, 11.46), p = 0.01), and CVM (RR, 3.10(95% CI 1.43, 6.73), p < 0.001) was significantly higher in the NAFLD patients group compared to that of the non-NAFLD group. However, all-cause mortality was comparable between both the groups of patients (RR, 1.30 (95% CI 0.63, 2.67), p = 0.48). In conclusion, the patients with NAFLD are at increased risk of AF, HF, and CVM.

Erratum: Addendum and Corrigendum to "Subclinical cardiovascular disease and utility of coronary artery calcium score" [IJC Heart Vasculat. 37 (2021) 100909]

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcha.2021.100909.].

Cardiovascular Morbidity and Mortality Related to Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Whether non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a cardiovascular (CV) risk factor is debated. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the CV morbidity and mortality related to NAFLD in the general population, and to determine whether CV risk is comparable between lean and non-lean NAFLD phenotypes. We searched multiple databases, including PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library, for observational studies published through 2022 that reported the risk of CV events and mortality. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause mortality, CV mortality, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, atrial fibrillation (AF), and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) were assessed through random-effect meta-analysis. We identified 33 studies and a total study population of 10,592,851 individuals (mean age 53±8; male sex 50%; NAFLD 2, 9%). Mean follow-up was 10±6 years. Pooled ORs for all-cause and CV mortality were respectively 1.14 (95% CI, 0.78-1.67) and 1.13 (95% CI, 0.57-2.23), indicating no significant association between NAFLD and mortality. NAFLD was associated with increased risk of MI (OR 1.6; 95% CI, 1.5-1.7), stroke (OR: 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.1), atrial fibrillation (OR: 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.3), and MACCE (OR: 2.3; 95% CI, 1.3-4.2). Compared with non-lean NAFLD, lean NAFLD was associated with increased CV mortality (OR: 1.50; 95% CI, 1.1-2.0), but similar all-cause mortality and risk of MACCE. While NAFLD may not be a risk factor for total and CV mortality, it is associated with excess risk of non-fatal CV events. Lean and non-lean NAFLD phenotypes exhibit distinct prognostic profiles and should receive equitable clinical care.

Diagnosis of coronary artery disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus based on computed tomography and pericoronary adipose tissue radiomics: a retrospective cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are highly susceptible to cardiovascular disease, and coronary artery disease (CAD) is their leading cause of death. We aimed to assess whether computed tomography (CT) based imaging parameters and radiomic features of pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) can improve the diagnostic efficacy of whether patients with T2DM have developed CAD.

METHODS

We retrospectively recruited 229 patients with T2DM but no CAD history (146 were diagnosed with CAD at this visit and 83 were not). We collected clinical information and extracted imaging manifestations from CT images and 93 radiomic features of PCAT from all patients. All patients were randomly divided into training and test groups at a ratio of 7:3. Four models were constructed, encapsulating clinical factors (Model 1), clinical factors and imaging indices (Model 2), clinical factors and Radscore (Model 3), and all together (Model 4), to identify patients with CAD. Receiver operating characteristic curves and decision curve analysis were plotted to evaluate the model performance and pairwise model comparisons were performed via the DeLong test to demonstrate the additive value of different factors.

RESULTS

In the test set, the areas under the curve (AUCs) of Model 2 and Model 4 were 0.930 and 0.929, respectively, with higher recognition effectiveness compared to the other two models (each p < 0.001). Of these models, Model 2 had higher diagnostic efficacy for CAD than Model 1 (p < 0.001, 95% CI [0.129-0.350]). However, Model 4 did not improve the effectiveness of the identification of CAD compared to Model 2 (p = 0.776); similarly, the AUC did not significantly differ between Model 3 (AUC = 0.693) and Model 1 (AUC = 0.691, p = 0.382). Overall, Model 2 was rated better for the diagnosis of CAD in patients with T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive diagnostic model combining patient clinical risk factors with CT-based imaging parameters has superior efficacy in diagnosing the occurrence of CAD in patients with T2DM.

The association of fatty liver index and BARD score with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: a nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) commonly coexist. However, NAFLD's effect on mortality in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes awaits full elucidation. Therefore, we examined NAFLD-related all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a nationwide Asian population with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

We included patients who had undergone general health checkups between 2009 and 2012 using the National Health Insurance Service database linked to death-certificate data. Hepatic steatosis was defined as a fatty liver index (FLI) ≥ 60, and advanced hepatic fibrosis was determined using the BARD score.

FINDINGS

During the follow-up period of 8.1 years, 222,242 deaths occurred, with a mortality rate of 14.3/1000 person-years. An FLI ≥ 60 was significantly associated with increased risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality including cardiovascular disease (CVD)-, cancer-, and liver disease (FLI ≥ 60: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.02, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.03 for all-cause; 1.07, 1.04-1.10 for CVD; 1.12, 1.09-1.14 for cancer; and 2.63, 2.50-2.77 for liver disease). Those with an FLI ≥ 60 and fibrosis (BARD ≥ 2) exhibited increased risks of all-cause (HR, 95% CI 1.11, 1.10-1.12), CVD- (HR, 95% CI 1.11, 1.09-1.14), cancer- (HR, 95% CI 1.17, 1.15-1.19), and liver disease-related (HR, 95% CI 2.38, 2.29-2.49) mortality.

CONCLUSION

Hepatic steatosis and advanced fibrosis were significantly associated with risks of overall and cause-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes. Our results provide evidence that determining the presence of hepatic steatosis and/or fibrosis potentially plays a role in risk stratification of mortality outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of incident heart failure: a meta-analysis of observational studies

Background and aims:

Recent research has associated non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Previous studies that evaluated the association between NAFLD and risk of heart failure (HF) yielded inconsistent results, however. This meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the association between NAFLD and the risk of HF.

Methods:

We searched multiple electronic databases, including PubMed, Google Scholar, Embase and Web of Science for potential studies published from inception until 30 October 2021. Cohort studies reported multivariable-adjusted risks of incident HF in NAFLD patients comparing those without NAFLD were included.

Results:

Six cohort studies comprising 10,979,967 participants (women = 55.5%) were included in the study. The median prevalence of NAFLD in these studies was 22.2%. During a median follow-up duration of 7.0 years, 92,915 HF cases were detected. In the unadjusted model, patients with NAFLD had a greater risk of incident HF [random-effect hazard ratio (HR) = 1.47, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.25–1.75, I² = 99%], compared with those without NAFLD. After multivariable adjustment of confounding risk factors, NAFLD was still linked with a higher risk of HF incidence (random-effect HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.16–1.58, I² = 98%). The risk of HF was increased not only in patients with progressive NAFLD severity but also in those with simple steatosis. The absolute risk difference of HF in NAFLD patients compared with those without NAFLD was 11.0 (95% CI = 4.9–17.7) per 10,000 person-years after multivariable adjustment.

Conclusion:

This meta-analysis suggests that NAFLD may be associated with an increased risk of incident HF. Owing to the high heterogeneity of the published studies, however, further high-quality studies are still needed.

New Insights into Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Coronary Artery Disease: The Liver-Heart Axis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) represents the hepatic expression of the metabolic syndrome and is the most prevalent liver disease. NAFLD is associated with liver-related and extrahepatic morbi-mortality. Among extrahepatic complications, cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of mortality in patients with NAFLD. The most frequent clinical expression of CVD is the coronary artery disease (CAD). Epidemiological data support a link between CAD and NAFLD, underlain by pathogenic factors, such as the exacerbation of insulin resistance, genetic phenotype, oxidative stress, atherogenic dyslipidemia, pro-inflammatory mediators, and gut microbiota. A thorough assessment of cardiovascular risk and identification of all forms of CVD, especially CAD, are needed in all patients with NAFLD regardless of their metabolic status. Therefore, this narrative review aims to examine the available data on CAD seen in patients with NAFLD, to outline the main directions undertaken by the CVD risk assessment and the multiple putative underlying mechanisms implicated in the relationship between CAD and NAFLD, and to raise awareness about this underestimated association between two major, frequent and severe diseases.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of new-onset heart failure: an updated meta-analysis of about 11 million individuals

OBJECTIVE

Recent studies reported an association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and increased risk of new-onset heart failure (HF). However, the magnitude of the risk and whether this risk changes with severity of liver disease remains uncertain. We performed a meta-analysis of observational studies to quantify the magnitude of the association between NAFLD and risk of new-onset HF.

DESIGN

We systematically searched Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed from database inception to March 2022 to identify eligible observational studies, in which NAFLD was diagnosed by serum biomarkers/scores, International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes, imaging techniques or liver histology. The primary outcome was new-onset HF, as assessed mainly by ICD codes. Data from selected studies were extracted, and meta-analysis was performed using random-effects models to obtain summary hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

We identified 11 longitudinal cohort studies with aggregate data on 11 242 231 middle-aged individuals from different countries and 97 716 cases of incident HF over a median of 10 years. NAFLD was associated with a moderately higher risk of new-onset HF (pooled random-effects hazard ratio 1.50, 95% CI 1.34 to 1.67, p<0.0001; I 2=94.8%). This risk was independent of age, sex, ethnicity, adiposity measures, diabetes, hypertension and other common cardiovascular risk factors. Sensitivity analyses did not change these results. The funnel plot did not show any significant publication bias.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD is associated with a 1.5-fold higher long-term risk of new-onset HF, regardless of the presence of diabetes, hypertension and other common cardiovascular risk factors. However, the observational design of the studies does not allow for proving causality.

Prevalence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and its association with age in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

AIM

To determine the prevalence and clinical correlates of NAFLD in a large cohort of patients with T2DM.

METHODS

Four hundred thirty-seven participants with T2DM who consulted at Meijo Hospital from April 2019 to September 2020 and underwent computed tomography (CT) were assessed. The mean age was 74 ± 13 years, and 269 were men. Hepatic attenuation minus splenic attenuation (CT_L−S) less than 1 Hounsfield unit was considered fatty liver. NAFLD was defined as fatty liver in the absence of significant alcohol consumption and hepatitis virus infection. A multiple logistic regression was used to assess the independent factors associated with NAFLD.

RESULTS

NAFLD was identified in 25.2% of the participants. Young age (odds ratio [OR] = −0.945; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.922–0.969), higher hemoglobin levels (OR = 1.501, 95%CI: 1.278–1.764), lower high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol levels (OR = 0.971, 95%CI: 0.953–0.989), and the absence of dialysis (OR = 0.109, 95%CI: 0.014–0.856) were independent predictors of NAFLD.

CONCLUSION

NAFLD was detected with CT in 25.2% of the participants. NAFLD was associated with younger age, higher hemoglobin levels, lower HDL cholesterol levels, and an absence of dialysis.

Association between High Pericoronary Adipose Tissue Computed Tomography Attenuation and Impaired Flow-Mediated Dilation of the Brachial Artery

AIMS

Pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) attenuation on coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) is a noninvasive biomarker for pericoronary inflammation and is associated with cardiac mortality. We aimed to investigate the association between PCAT attenuation and endothelial dysfunction assessed using flow-mediated dilation (FMD).

METHODS

A total of 119 outpatients who underwent both coronary CTA and FMD measurements were examined. PCAT attenuation values were assessed at the proximal 40-mm segments of all three major coronary arteries on coronary CTA. Endothelial function was assessed using FMD. Patients were then classified into two groups: those with endothelial dysfunction (FMD ＜4%, n=44) and those without endothelial dysfunction (FMD ≥ 4%, n=75).

RESULTS

In all three coronary arteries, PCAT attenuation was significantly higher in patients with endothelial dysfunction than in those without endothelial dysfunction. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that PCAT attenuation in the right coronary artery (odds ratio [OR]=1.543; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.004-2.369,p=0.048) and left anterior descending artery (OR=1.525, 95% CI=1.004-2.369, p=0.049) was an independent predictor of endothelial dysfunction. Subgroup analysis of patients with adverse CTA findings (significant stenosis and/or high-risk plaque) and those with coronary artery calcium score ＞100 showed that high PCAT attenuation in all three coronary arteries was a significant predictor of endothelial dysfunction.

CONCLUSION

High PCAT attenuation was significantly associated with FMD-assessed endothelial dysfunction in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Our results suggest that endothelial dysfunction is one of the pathophysiological mechanisms linking pericoronary inflammation to cardiac mortality.

Association of Oxidized Low-Density Lipoprotein in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease with High-Risk Plaque on Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography: A Matched Case-Control Study

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a risk factor for the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), and oxidative stress has been proposed as a shared pathophysiological condition. This study examined whether oxidized low-density lipoprotein (LDL) is involved in the underlying mechanism that links coronary atherosclerosis and NAFLD. This study included 631 patients who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) for suspected coronary artery disease. NAFLD was defined on CT images as a liver-to-spleen attenuation ratio of <1.0. Serum-malondialdehyde-modified LDL (MDA-LDL) and coronary CTA findings were analyzed in a propensity-score-matched cohort of patients with NAFLD (n = 150) and those without NAFLD (n = 150). This study analyzed 300 patients (median age, 65 years; 64% men). Patients with NAFLD had higher MDA-LDL levels and a greater presence of CTA-verified high-risk plaques than those without NAFLD. In the multivariate linear regression analysis, MDA-LDL was independently associated with NAFLD (β = 11.337, p = 0.005) and high-risk plaques (β = 12.487, p = 0.007). Increased MDA-LDL may be a mediator between NAFLD and high-risk coronary plaque on coronary CTA. Increased oxidative stress in NAFLD, as assessed using MDA-LDL, may be involved in the development of CVDs.

High pericoronary adipose tissue attenuation on computed tomography angiography predicts cardiovascular events in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: post-hoc analysis from a prospective cohort study

Background

Pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) attenuation on coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) is a non-invasive biomarker for pericoronary inflammation. We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of PCAT attenuation in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).

Methods

We included 333 T2DM patients (mean age, 66 years; male patients, 211; mean body mass index, 25 kg/m²) who underwent clinically indicated coronary CTA and examined their CT findings, coronary artery calcium score, pericardial fat volume, stenosis (> 50% luminal narrowing), high-risk plaque features of low-attenuation plaque and/or positive remodelling and/or spotty calcification, and PCAT attenuation. We assessed PCAT attenuation in Hounsfield units (HU) of proximal 40-mm segments of the left anterior descending artery (LAD) and right coronary artery (RCA). Cardiovascular events were defined as cardiac death, hospitalisation for acute coronary syndrome, late coronary revascularisation, and hospitalisation for heart failure.

Results

During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, we observed 31 cardiovascular events. LAD-PCAT attenuation was significantly higher in patients with cardiovascular events than in those without (− 68.5 ± 6.5 HU vs − 70.8 ± 6.1 HU, p = 0.045), whereas RCA-PCAT attenuation was not (p = 0.089). High LAD-PCAT attenuation (> − 70.7 HU; median value) was significantly associated with cardiovascular events in a model that included adverse CTA findings, such as significant stenosis and/or high-risk plaque (hazard ratio; 2.69, 95% confidence interval; 1.17–0.20, p = 0.020). After adding LAD-PCAT attenuation to the adverse CTA findings, the C-statistic and global chi-square values increased significantly from 0.65 to 0.70 (p = 0.037) and 10.9–15.0 (p = 0.043), respectively.

Conclusions

In T2DM patients undergoing clinically indicated coronary CTA, high LAD-PCAT attenuation could significantly predict cardiovascular events. This suggests that assessing LAD-PCAT attenuation can help physicians identify high-risk T2DM patients.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12933-022-01478-9.

Machine Learning Approach to Classify Cardiovascular Disease in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the UK Biobank Cohort

Background Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent liver disease worldwide. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality among patients with NAFLD. The aim of our study was to develop a machine learning algorithm integrating clinical, lifestyle, and genetic risk factors to identify CVD in patients with NAFLD. Methods and Results We created a cohort of patients with NAFLD from the UK Biobank, diagnosed according to proton density fat fraction from magnetic resonance imaging data sets. A total of 400 patients with NAFLD with subclinical atherosclerosis or clinical CVD, defined by disease codes, constituted cases and 446 NAFLD cases with no CVD constituted controls. We evaluated 7 different supervised machine learning approaches on clinical, lifestyle, and genetic variables for identifying CVD in patients with NAFLD. The most significant clinical and lifestyle variables observed by the predictive modeling were age (59 years [54.00-63.00 years]), hypertension (145 mm Hg [134.0-156.0 mm Hg] and 85 mm Hg [79.00-93.00 mm Hg]), waist circumference (98 cm [95.00-105.00 cm]), and sedentary lifestyle, defined as time spent watching TV >4 h/d. In the genetic data, single-nucleotide polymorphisms in IL16 and ANKLE1 gene were most significant. Our proposed ensemble-based integrative machine learning model achieved an area under the curve of 0.849 using the random forest modeling for CVD prediction. Conclusions We propose a machine learning algorithm that identifies CVD in patients with NAFLD through integration of significant clinical, lifestyle, and genetic risk factors. These patients with NAFLD at higher risk of CVD should be flagged for screening and aggressive treatment of their cardiometabolic risk factors to prevent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

Risk of cardiovascular events in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS 

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a highly prevalent disease and has been repeatedly associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease. However, the extent of such association is unclear. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature to evaluate the risk of myocardial infarction (MI), ischaemic stroke (IS), atrial fibrillation (AF), and heart failure (HF) in NAFLD patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS 

According to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed and EMBASE, from inception to 6 March 2021, and included all studies reporting the incidence of MI, IS, AF, and HF in patients with and without NAFLD. Random-effect fmodels were used to estimate pooled odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), and 95% prediction intervals (PI); subgroup analyses, meta-regressions, and sensitivity analyses were additionally performed. Among 3254 records retrieved from literature, 20 studies were included. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease was associated with an increased risk of MI (OR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.39-1.99, 95% PI: 0.84-3.30), IS (OR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.29-1.55, 95% PI 1.03-1.93), AF (OR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.18-1.37, 95% PI: 1.07-1.52), and HF (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.43-1.84, 95% CI: 1.04-2.51). We identified significant subgroup differences according to geographical location, study design, NAFLD definition, and risk of bias; meta-regressions identified mean age, male sex, and study-level characteristics as potential moderators of the risk of MI and IS.

CONCLUSIONS 

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease was associated with increased risk of MI, IS, AF, and HF. Age, sex, and study characteristics may moderate the strength of this association. Further studies are required to evaluate specific cardiovascular prevention strategies in patients with NAFLD.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and risk of fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular events: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Studies have reported a significant association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and increased incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the magnitude of the risk and whether this risk changes with the severity of NAFLD remains uncertain. We performed a meta-analysis of observational studies to quantify the magnitude of the association between NAFLD and risk of incident CVD events.

METHODS

We systematically searched PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science from database inception to July 1, 2021, to identify eligible observational studies examining the risk of incident CVD events amongst adult (age ≥18 years) individuals with and without NAFLD and in which NAFLD was diagnosed by imaging, International Classification of Diseases codes, or liver biopsy. The primary outcomes were CVD death, non-fatal CVD events, or both. Data from selected studies were extracted, and meta-analysis was performed using random-effects models to obtain summary hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. The quality of the evidence was assessed with the Cochrane risk of bias tool. This study is registered on Open Science Framework, number osf.io/5z7gf.

FINDINGS

We identified 36 longitudinal studies with aggregate data on 5 802 226 middle-aged individuals (mean age 53 years [SD 7]) and 99 668 incident cases of fatal and non-fatal CVD events over a median follow-up of 6·5 years (IQR 5·0-10·2). NAFLD was associated with a moderately increased risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD events (pooled random-effects HR 1·45, 95% CI 1·31-1·61; I²=86·18%). This risk markedly increased across the severity of NAFLD, especially the stage of fibrosis (pooled random-effects HR 2·50, 95% CI 1·68-3·72; I²=73·84%). All risks were independent of age, sex, adiposity measures, diabetes, and other common cardiometabolic risk factors. Sensitivity analyses did not modify these results.

INTERPRETATION

NAFLD is associated with an increased long-term risk of fatal or non-fatal CVD events. CVD risk is further increased with more advanced liver disease, especially with higher fibrosis stage. These results provide evidence that NAFLD might be an independent risk factor for CVD morbidity and mortality.

FUNDING

None.

Prognostic impact of liver fibrosis and steatosis by transient elastography for cardiovascular and mortality outcomes in individuals with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and type 2 diabetes: the Rio de Janeiro Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM, which reflects fibrosis) and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP, which reflects steatosis), two parameters derived from hepatic transient elastography (TE), have scarcely been evaluated as predictors of cardiovascular complications and mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

METHODS

Four hundred type 2 diabetic patients with NAFLD had TE examination (by Fibroscan®) performed at baseline. Multivariate Cox analyses evaluated the associations between TE parameters and the occurrence of cardiovascular events (CVEs) and mortality. TE parameters were assessed as continuous variables and dichotomized at low/high values reflecting advanced liver fibrosis (LSM > 9.6 kPa) and severe steatosis (CAP > 296 or > 330 dB/m). Improvements in risk discrimination were assessed by C-statistic and by the relative Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) index.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.5 years, 85 patients died (40 from cardiovascular causes), and 69 had a CVE. As continuous variables, an increasing LSM was a risk marker for total CVEs (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.01-1.08) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.01-1.07); whereas an increasing CAP was a protective factor for both outcomes (HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.89-0.98; and HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.88-0.97; respectively). As dichotomized variables, a high LSM remained a risk marker of adverse outcomes (with HRs ranging from 2.5 to 3.0) and a high CAP was protective (with HRs from 0.3 to 0.5). The subgroup of individuals with low-LSM/high-CAP had the lowest risks while the opposite subgroup with high-LSM/low-CAP had the highest risks. Both LSM and CAP improved risk discrimination, with increases in C-statistics up to 0.037 and IDIs up to 52%.

CONCLUSIONS

Measured by hepatic TE, advanced liver fibrosis is a risk marker and severe steatosis is a protective factor for cardiovascular complications and mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes and NAFLD.

Association between higher pericoronary adipose tissue attenuation measured by coronary computed tomography angiography and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A matched case-control study

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a risk factor for cardiac mortality. Pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) attenuation, expressed by the fat attenuation index on coronary computed tomography angiography, reflects pericoronary inflammation. We aimed to investigate the association between PCAT attenuation and NAFLD.This is a single-center cohort study comprising of patients who underwent coronary computed tomography angiography for suspected stable coronary artery disease between January and December 2020. Patient characteristics and coronary computed tomography angiography findings were analyzed between patients with NAFLD (n = 78) and a propensity score-matched cohort of patients without NAFLD (n = 78). PCAT attenuation was assessed in Hounsfield units (HU) of proximal 40-mm segments of the left anterior descending artery (LAD) and right coronary artery.The mean PCAT attenuation in LAD and right coronary artery were significantly higher in patients with NAFLD than those without NAFLD. When patients were divided into 2 groups using the median LAD-PCAT attenuation of -72.5 HU, the high PCAT attenuation group had more males (82% vs 67%, P = .028) and NAFLD patients (63% vs 37%, P = .001) compared to the low PCAT attenuation group. No differences in age, body mass index, conventional cardiovascular risk factors, or the presence of high-risk plaque were observed between the 2 groups. In the multivariate logistic analysis, NAFLD was independently associated with high PCAT attenuation (odds ratio 2.912, 95% confidence interval 1.386 to 6.118, P = .005).NAFLD is associated with high PCAT attenuation on coronary computed tomography angiography. This finding suggests that pericoronary inflammation is involved in the increased cardiac mortality in NAFLD patients.

Diabetic Kidney Disease, Cardiovascular Disease and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A New Triumvirate?

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is a highly prevalent disease worldwide with a renowned relation to cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease. These diseases share a common pathophysiology including insulin resistance, oxidative stress, chronic inflammation, dysbiosis and genetic susceptibilities. Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease is especially prevalent and more severe in type 2 diabetes. Patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease should have liver fibrosis assessment in order to identify those at the highest risk of adverse outcomes so that appropriate management strategies can be implemented. Early diagnosis and treatment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease could ameliorate the burden of cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease.