Predictors of mortality among TB-HIV co-infected children attending anti-retroviral therapy clinics of selected public hospitals in southern, Ethiopia: retrospective cohort study

Incidence of mortality and its predictors among HIV-infected children receiving antiretroviral therapy in Amhara region: a multicenter retrospective follow-up study

BACKGROUND

Evidence shows that earlier access to Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) helps to increase the survival of children by delaying the progression to advanced stages of HIV-related diseases. However, the effect of testing and treatment strategies on mortality among children receiving ART has remained a limited study in Ethiopia. This study aimed to assess the incidence of mortality and its predictors among HIV-infected children receiving ART in Amhara Region Specialized Hospitals, after the test and treat strategy.

METHODS

A multicenter facility-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted on 475 HIV-infected children receiving ART at Amhara Region Comprehensive Specialized Hospitals from June 10, 2014, to February 28, 2022. A simple random sampling technique was used to select the study participants. Data were collected using national antiretroviral intake and follow-up forms via the KoBo Toolbox. Data analysis was done using STATA version 17. Descriptive analyses were summarized using the Kaplan-Meier curve, and a log-rank test was used to estimate and compare. Both bivariable and multivariable Weibull regression model were fitted to identify predictors of mortality. Finally, an adjusted hazard ratio with 95% CI was computed, and variables having a p-value < 0.05 were considered as statistically significant predictors of mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 461 (97.1%) records included in the final analysis [42], 9.11% of the individuals died within the follow-up period. In this study, the overall mortality rate was found to be 2.53 per 100 child-year observations (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.87, 3.43). HIV-infected children presenting with opportunistic infections (OIs) other than tuberculosis infection (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR): 3.81, 95% CI: 1.66, 8.72), tuberculosis (AHR: 7.14, 95% CI: 2.86, 17.79), wasting (AHR: 2.83, 95% CI: 1.44, 5.56), and advanced disease staging (AHR: 4.02, 95% CI: 1.84, 8.78) were at higher risk of mortality.

CONCLUSION

In this study, the mortality rate was high after the test-and-treat strategy. HIV-infected children presenting with OIs, advanced disease staging, and wasting were at higher risk of mortality. Therefore, to increase the survival rate for HIV-positive children, clinicians should place a strong emphasis on early screening, controlling OIs, and optimizing nutritional supplements.

Incidence Rate, Survival Rate, and Predictors for Virological Failure Among Adult TB/HIV Coinfected Clients

Background: Tuberculosis increases human immunodeficiency virus replication and accelerates human immunodeficiency virus progression in both tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus coinfected patients. The objective of this study was to determine the incidence rate, survival rate, and predictors for virological failure among adult tuberculosis/human immunodeficiency virus coinfected clients. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at the University of Gondar Compressive Specialized Hospital from March 2017 to 2022. Secondary data sources were extracted based on inclusion criteria for adult tuberculosis/human immunodeficiency virus coinfected patients. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for adult tuberculosis/human immunodeficiency virus coinfected patients data. Result: The overall incidence rate of virological failure was 9.23 per 1000 person-months observations. Out of 148 coinfected patients, about 24.3% had virological failure. More than half of the patients, 52.7% and 54.1% in this study had a CD4 cell count ≥ 200/mm3 and a weight < 50 kg, respectively. Gender (hazard ratio = 1.3291, 95% CI: 1.1878-1.4873), bedridden functional status (hazard ratio = 4.7174; 95% CI: 1.2263-14.1470), WHO clinical Stage IV (hazard ratio = 1.1122, 95% CI: 1.2072-5.9693), patients with opportunistic infections (hazard ratio = 1.2849, 95% CI: 1.4289-3.8504), cotrimoxazole preventive therapy users (hazard ratio = 0.2039, 95% CI: 0.0496-0.8386), patients disclosure status (hazard ratio = 0.1609, 95% CI: 0.0279-0.9286), baseline viral load count < 1000 (hazard ratio = 0.0819, 95% CI: 0.3619-0.8447), and CD4 cell count ≥ 200 (hazard ratio = 0.2728, 95% CI: 0.0749-0.9924) were significant predictors at 5% level of confidence for time to virological failure. Conclusion: The incidence and survival rate of virological failure were high. The current study revealed that male coinfected patients, bedridden functional status, WHO clinical Stage IV, and opportunistic infections other than tuberculosis were associated with a higher time to virological failure while patients disclosed the disease to a family member, cotrimoxazole preventive therapy users, baseline viral load < 1000 copies/mL, and CD4 cell count ≥ 200/mm3 had significantly lower time to virological failure. Therefore, public health organizations should be given special attention based on these important predictors to improve their health and prolong the lives of coinfected patients.

Tuberculosis treatment outcome of TB/HIV co-infected patients at Adare Hospital, Hawassa City Administration, Sidama Region

BACKGROUND

There is lack of evidence on the TB treatment outcomes of TB/HIV co-infected patients who received anti-TB treatment in Sidama region. In this study, we aimed to assess the treatment outcome of TB/HIV co-infected patients receiving care at Adare Hospital in Hawasa City, Sidama Region.

METHODS

A cross sectional study based on retrospective data among TB/HIV co-infected cases was conducted at Adare Hospital. The unit TB registry and antiretroviral therapy (ART) registry were reviewed for the period between September 1, 2016 and August 31, 2022 to measure TB treatment outcomes. Target population for this study was all TB/HIV co-infected cases aged 15 years or more treated at Adare Hospital in the Hawassa City Administration. The data sources for this study were the unit TB register at the TB clinics, patient charts, and the ART register of the facility. Data were entered and analysed using the statistical package SPSS version 26. A summary descriptive analysis was calculated. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify associations between variables.

RESULTS

During the study period, 298 TB/HIV co-infected cases were treated for TB in the Hospital. Thirty three (11.1%), of the cases had an unfavourable TB treatment outcome. The risk of an unfavourable treatment outcome was over three times higher among re-treated TB cases than among the new TB cases (AOR = 3.3, 95% CI (1.4, 7.9)). The risk of death was higher among stage-IV HIV cases (AOR = 8.1, 95% CI (2.3, 28.9)), and among participants who used non-communicable diseases medications during the cohort period (AOR = 7.3, 95% CI (1.6, 33.6).

CONCLUSION

TB treatment success rate among TB/HIV co-infected cases in the current study was comparable to many other reports. There are factors that contributed for unsuccessful TB treatment outcome. Cautious follow-up of cases and managing these factors could help in improving the TB treatment outcome.

Burden of mortality and its predictors among TB-HIV co-infected patients in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and tuberculosis (TB) are still the two major deadly pandemics globally, causes 167,000 deaths in 2022. The two lethal combinations pose a substantial challenge to public health, especially in areas with high burden of both diseases such as Sub-Saharan Africa including Ethiopia. However, there is no study that showed national figure on mortality of TB/HIV co-infected patients. Hence, this review intended to provide pooled mortality rate and its predictors among patients co- infected with twin pandemics.

METHODS

Using reputable electronic data bases, primary studies were searched from January 25 to February 5, 2024. The review included papers published in English language conducted between 2004 and 2024. Heterogeneity between included studies was evaluated using Cochrane Q-test and the I2 statistics. Sub-group analysis was done to mitigate significant heterogeneity. Sensitivity analysis was also done to evaluate the effect of single studies on pooled estimated result.

RESULTS

In this systematic review and meta-analysis a total of 5,210 study participants were included from 15 primary studies. The review disclosed that the pooled proportion and incidence of mortality were 18.73% (95% CI: 15.92-20.83) and 4.94 (95% CI: 2.98-6.89) respectively. Being bedridden and ambulatory functional status, poor ART adherence, CD4 count below the threshold (<200 cells/mm3), advanced WHO clinical staging, not provision of cotrimoxazole and isoniazid preventing therapy, anemia and extra pulmonary TB were significant predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

The analyzed data of this systematic review and meta-analysis depicted that the national pooled proportion and incidence of mortality among TB-HIV co-infected patients were considered to be still high. The authors strongly recommended scale up and continuous provision of cotrimoxazole and isoniazid preventive therapy. In addition, early identification and treatment of anemia will greatly halt the high burden of mortality. Generally, to reduce mortality and improve survival, a collaborative effort is mandatory to emphasize close follow up of patients with identified predictors.

Factors associated with time to death among HIV/TB co-infected patients on ART in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia: A retrospective study

Background

Tuberculosis is one of the leading causes of death, especially for people living with HIV. However, little is known about the time to death of HIV/TB co-infected patients and associated factors in the study area. This study focused on identifying factors associated with time to death among HIV/TB co-infected patients under antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia.

Methods

From January 2008 to January 2023, a hospital-based retrospective study was conducted on 434 HIV/TB co-infected patients attending the ART clinic at Dilchora Referral Hospital in Dire Dawa, Ethiopia. The medical records were reviewed using a structured data extraction tool. Data were entered with Epi Info version 7 and analyzed with Stata version 17. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used along with log-rank tests to estimate and compare survival times. Bi-variable and multivariable Cox regression were performed to identify factors associated with time to mortality in HIV/TB co-infected patients. The adjusted hazard ratio with its 95 % confidence interval was used to estimate the strength of the association and a P-value of 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The study included 434 HIV/TB co-infected patients. The overall median survival time was 144 months (95 % CI: [132, 156]). One hundred thirty-four (30.88 %) deaths were observed during follow-up, resulting in an all-cause mortality rate of 5.1 (95 % CI: [4.29, 6.02]) per 1000 person-months of study follow-up. The independent determinants of mortality were underweight BMI (AHR: 4.52; 95 % CI: [1.30, 15.67]), poor ART adherence (AHR: 1.60; 95 % CI: [1.03, 2.50]), advanced WHO clinical stage (AHR: 1.69; 95 % CI: [1.1, 2.62]), bedridden functional status (AHR: 1.63; 95 % CI: [1.04, 2.57]), initial ART regimen (AHR: 2.68; 95 % CI: [1.74, 4.12]), and smoking status (AHR: 1.48; 95 % CI: [1.01, 2.16]).

Conclusion

The mortality rate of HIV/TB co-infected patients in this study was very high. While implementing target improvements in the National Tuberculosis and HIV Program, healthcare providers and policymakers should give higher priority to these risk factors identified in the present study.

Opportunistic Infections in HIV-Infected Children on Treatment in Southern Morocco: A 12-Years Retrospective Follow-up Study

BACKGROUND

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection in children is a significant public health concern, increasing the risk of infant mortality. Immunodeficiency caused by HIV favors the development of opportunistic infections (OIs), which are responsible for over 90% of HIV-related deaths. This study seeks to determine the primary OIs in children with HIV followed at the Hassan II Regional Hospital Center in Sous Massa, during the period from 2012 to 2023.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study is the first in Morocco to investigate OIs among HIV-infected children. It analyzed 76 complete medical records, using a data collection form designed based on existing literature.

RESULTS

This study revealed that 37% of participants were suffering from OIs, mainly diarrhea (11%), tuberculosis (9%) and pneumonia (7%).There was a significant correlation between OIs and HIV clinical stage (P=0.001), age (P=0.007), and anemia (P=0.001). Despite progress in management, the presence of OIs remains a risk factor for infant morbidity and mortality.

CONCLUSION

The study highlights the importance of early detection, prevention, and adherence to treatment in reducing this burden. Management of anemia is essential.

Incidence density mortality rate among HIV-positive children on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) continues to be the major cause of childhood deaths, particularly in the sub-Saharan African region. In Ethiopia, though several primary studies have been conducted on the incidence of HIV-related child mortality, the pooled incidence density mortality rate among HIV-positive children is unknown. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled incidence density mortality rate among HIV-positive children and identify its associated factors in Ethiopia.

METHODS

We browsed PubMed, HINARI, Science Direct, Google Scholar, African Journals Online, and cross-references using different search terms to identify articles. Quality appraisal was done using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Meta-package was used to estimate the pooled incidence of mortality and hazard ratio (HR) of predictors. Heterogeneity was tested using the I-square statistics. Publication bias was tested using a funnel plot visual inspection and Egger's test. Data was presented using forest plots and tables. The random effect model was used to compute the pooled estimate.

RESULTS

The overall pooled incidence density mortality rate among HIV-positive children was 2.52 (95% CI: 1.82, 3.47) per 100 child years. Advanced HIV disease (hazard ratio (HR): 3.45, 95% CI (Confidence Interval): 2.64, 4.51), tuberculosis co-infection (HR: 3.19, 95% CI: 2.08, 4.88), stunting (3.22, 95% CI: 2.46, 4.22), underweight (HR: 2.71, 95% CI: 1.72, 4.26), wasting (HR: 4.14, 95% CI: 2.27, 7.58), didn't receive Isoniazid preventive therapy (HR: 3.33, 95% CI: 2.22, 4.99), anemia (HR: 3.03, 95% CI: 2.52, 3.64), fair or poor antiretroviral therapy adherence (HR: 4.14, 95% CI: 3.28, 5.28) and didn't receive cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (HR: 3.82, 95% CI: 2.49, 5.86) were factors associated with a higher hazard of HIV related child mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall pooled incidence density mortality rate among HIV-positive children was high in Ethiopia as compared to the national strategy target. Therefore, counseling on antiretroviral therapy adherence should be strengthened. Regular monitoring of hemoglobin levels and assessment of nutritional status should be done for all children living with HIV. Moreover, healthcare professionals should follow the national HIV treatment guidelines and provide cotrimoxazole preventive therapy and Isoniazid preventive therapy up on the guidelines for children living with HIV.

REGISTRATION

Registered in PROSPERO with ID: CRD42023486902.

Tuberculosis-associated mortality and risk factors for HIV-infected population in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Despite the effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy in reducing mortality from opportunistic infections among people living with HIV (PLHIV), tuberculosis (TB) continues to be a significant cause of death, accounting for over one-third of all deaths in this population. In Ethiopia, there is a lack of comprehensive and aggregated data on the national level for TB-associated mortality during co-infection with HIV. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate TB-associated mortality and identify risk factors for PLHIV in Ethiopia.

Methods

We conducted an extensive systematic review of the literature using the Preferred Reporting of Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. More than seven international electronic databases were used to extract 1,196 published articles from Scopus, PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science, HINARY, Google Scholar, African Journal Online, and manual searching. The pooled mortality proportion of active TB was estimated using a weighted inverse variance random-effects meta-regression using STATA version-17. The heterogeneity of the articles was evaluated using Cochran's Q test and I 2 statistic test. Subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, and Egger's regression were conducted to investigate publication bias. This systematic review is registered in Prospero with specific No. CRD42024509131.

Results

Overall, 22 individual studies were included in the final meta-analysis reports. During the review, a total of 9,856 cases of TB and HIV co-infection were screened and 1,296 deaths were reported. In the final meta-analysis, the pooled TB-associated mortality for PLHIV in Ethiopia was found to be 16.2% (95% CI: 13.0-19.2, I 2 = 92.9%, p = 0.001). The subgroup analysis revealed that the Amhara region had a higher proportion of TB-associated mortality, which was reported to be 21.1% (95% CI: 18.1-28.0, I 2 = 84.4%, p = 0.001), compared to studies conducted in Harari and Addis Ababa regions, which had the proportions of 10% (95% CI: 6-13.1%, I 2 = 83.38%, p = 0.001) and 8% (95% CI: 1.1-15, I 2 = 87.6%, p = 0.001), respectively. During the random-effects meta-regression, factors associated with co-infection of mortality in TB and HIV were identified, including WHO clinical stages III & IV (OR = 3.01, 95% CI: 1.9-4.7), missed co-trimoxazole preventive therapy (CPT) (OR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.05-3.4), and missed isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) (OR = 1.8, 95% CI: 1.46-2.3).

Conclusion

In Ethiopia, the mortality rate among individuals co-infected with TB/HIV is notably high, with nearly one-fifth (16%) of individuals succumbing during co-infection; this rate is considered to be higher compared to other African countries. Risk factors for death during co-infection were identified; the included studies examined advanced WHO clinical stages IV and III, hemoglobin levels (≤10 mg/dL), missed isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT), and missed cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (CPT) as predictors. To reduce premature deaths, healthcare providers must prioritize active TB screening, ensure timely diagnosis, and provide nutritional counseling in each consecutive visit.

Systematic review registration

Trial registration number in Prospero =CRD42024509131 https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=509131.

Mortality of children and adolescents co-infected with tuberculosis and HIV: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Children and adolescents with HIV infection are well known to face a heightened risk of tuberculosis. However, the exact mortality rates and temporal trends of those with HIV-tuberculosis (TB) co-infection remain unclear. We aimed to identify the overall mortality and temporal trends within this population.

METHODS

PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase were employed to search for publications reporting on the mortality rates of children and adolescents with HIV-TB co-infection from inception to March 2, 2024. The outcome is the mortality rate for children and adolescents with HIV-TB co-infection during the follow-up period. In addition, we evaluate the temporal trends of mortality.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, the pooled mortality was 16% [95% confidence interval (CI) 13-20]. Single infection of either HIV or TB exhibit lower mortality rates (6% and 4%, respectively). We observed elevated mortality risks among individuals aged less than 12 months, those with extrapulmonary TB, poor adherence to ART, and severe immunosuppression. In addition, we observed a decreasing trend in mortality before 2008 and an increasing trend after 2008, although the trends were not statistically significant ( P  = 0.08 and 0.2 respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Children and adolescents with HIV-TB co-infection bear a significant burden of mortality. Timely screening, effective treatment, and a comprehensive follow-up system contribute to reducing the mortality burden in this population.

Incidence of lost to follow up among HIV-positive children on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

At the end of 2022, globally, only 46% of children (aged 0-14 years) on ART had suppressed viral loads. Viral load suppression is crucial to reduce HIV-related deaths. To suppress the viral load at the expected level, children must be retained in ART treatment. Nevertheless, lost to follow-up from ART treatment continues to be a global challenge, particularly, in developing countries. Previously, primary studies were conducted in Ethiopia to assess the incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART treatment. However, variations have been seen among the studies. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART and identify its associated factors in Ethiopia.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, HINARI, Science Direct, Google Scholar, and African Journals Online to obtain articles published up to November 20, 2023. Critical appraisal was done using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Heterogeneity was identified using I-square statistics. Funnel plot and Egger's tests were used to identify publication bias. Data was presented using forest plots and tables. Random and fixed-effect models were used to compute the pooled estimate.

RESULTS

Twenty-four studies were included in the final analysis. The pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART was 2.79 (95% CI: 1.99, 3.91) per 100-child-year observations. Advanced HIV disease (HR: 2.20, 95% CI: 1.71, 2.73), having opportunistic infection (HR: 2.59, 95% CI: 1.39; 4.78), fair or poor ART treatment adherence (HR: 2.92, 95% CI: 1.31; 6.54) and children aged between 1-5 years (HR: 2.1,95% CI: 1.44; 2.95) were factors associated with lost to follow up among HIV positive children on ART.

CONCLUSIONS

The overall pooled incidence of lost to follow-up among HIV-positive children on ART is low in Ethiopia. Therefore, counseling on ART drug adherence should be strengthened. Moreover, emphasis has to be given to children with advanced HIV stage and opportunistic infection to reduce the rate of lost to follow up among HIV-positive children on ART.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registered in PROSPERO with ID: CRD42024501071.

Mortality and its predictors among human immunodeficiency virus-infected children younger than 15 years receiving antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Despite antiretroviral treatment (ART), the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) continues to pose a considerable health burden in resource-poor countries. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the pooled incidence density of mortality and identify potential predictors among HIV-infected children receiving ART, from studies conducted in various parts of Ethiopia.

METHODS

A comprehensive database search was made in Excerpta Medica, PubMed, Web of Science, African Journals Online, Google Scholar, and Scopus. We reported results following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis 2020. Excel Spreadsheet and STATA Version 14 software were used for data abstraction and meta-analysis, respectively. Statistical heterogeneity among studies was assessed using I2 statistics. Meta-regression and subgroup analysis were performed to further explore the sources of statistical heterogeneity. Moreover, publication bias and a leave-out-one sensitivity analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Twenty-two articles involving 8,731 participants met inclusion criteria and were included. The pooled incidence density of mortality was 3.08 (95% confidence interval (CI), 2.52 to 3.64) per 100 child years. Predictors of mortality were living in rural areas (hazard ratio (HR), 2.18 [95% CI, 1.20 to 3.98]), poor adherence to ART (HR, 2.85 [ 95% CI, 1.39 to 5.88]), failure to initiate co-trimoxazole preventive therapy (HR, 2.16 [95% CI, 1.52 to 3.07]), anemia (HR, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.51 to 3.45]), opportunistic infections (HR, 1.52 [ 95% CI, 1.15 to 2.00]), underweight (HR, 1.74 [95% CI, 1.26 to 2.41]), wasting (HR, 2.54 [95% CI, 1.56 to 4.16]), stunting (HR, 2.02 [95% CI, 1.63 to 2.51]), World Health Organization classified HIV clinical stages III and IV (HR, 1.71 [95% CI, 1.42 to 2.05]), and Nevirapine-based regimens (HR, 3.91 [95% CI, 3.09 to 4.95]).

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that the overall mortality rate among HIV-infected children after ART initiation was high. Therefore, high-level commitment and involvement of responsible caregivers, healthcare providers, social workers, and program managers are of paramount importance to identify these risk factors and thus enhance the survival of HIV-infected children receiving ART.

Incidence rate of mortality and its predictors among tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus coinfected patients on antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Tuberculosis (TB) is the leading cause of death among HIV-infected adults and children globally. Therefore, this study was aimed at determining the pooled mortality rate and its predictors among TB/HIV-coinfected patients in Ethiopia.

Methods

Extensive database searching was done via PubMed, EMBASE, SCOPUS, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, and Google from the time of idea conception on March 1, 2023, to the last search via Google on March 31, 2023. A meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model to determine the pooled mortality rate and its predictors among TB/HIV-coinfected patients. Heterogeneity was handled using subgroup analysis, meta-regression, and sensitivity analysis.

Results

Out of 2,100 records, 18 articles were included, with 26,291 total patients. The pooled incidence rate of mortality among TB/HIV patients was 12.49 (95% CI: 9.24-15.74) per 100 person-years observation (PYO); I2 = 96.9%. The mortality rate among children and adults was 5.10 per 100 PYO (95% CI: 2.15-8.01; I2 = 84.6%) and 15.78 per 100 PYO (95% CI: 10.84-20.73; I2 = 97.7%), respectively. Age ≥ 45 (pooled hazard ratios (PHR) 2.58, 95% CI: 2.00- 3.31), unemployed (PHR 2.17, 95% CI: 1.37-3.46), not HIV-disclosed (PHR = 2.79, 95% CI: 1.65-4.70), bedridden (PHR 5.89, 95% CI: 3.43-10.12), OI (PHR 3.5, 95% CI: 2.16-5.66), WHO stage IV (PHR 3.16, 95% CI: 2.18-4.58), BMI < 18.5 (PHR 4.11, 95% CI: 2.28-7.40), anemia (PHR 4.43, 95% CI: 2.73-7.18), EPTB 5.78, 95% CI: 2.61-12.78 significantly affected the mortality. The effect of TB on mortality was 1.95 times higher (PHR 1.95, 95% CI: 1.19-3.20; I2 = 0) than in TB-free individuals.

Conclusions

The mortality rate among TB/HIV-coinfected patients in Ethiopia was higher compared with many African countries. Many clinical factors were identified as significant risk factors for mortality. Therefore, TB/HIV program managers and clinicians need to design an intervention early.

Active tuberculosis incidence among treatment failure experienced patients in North Wollow Zone: A multicenter historical cohort

Background

In Ethiopia, tuberculosis (TB) is a significant cause of death among individuals living with HIV, especially in resource-limited areas and those who have experienced treatment failure. However, there is the paucity of data regarding TB among treatment failures experienced people living with HIV. This study aimed to estimate the rate and identify predictors of tuberculosis among patients who received second-line treatment in North Wollo, Northeast Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective follow-up study was conducted on 474 HIV-infected patients who experienced treatment failure. The study period ranged from January 2015 to September 30, 2021. The incidence of TB was assessed using a Cox proportional hazard regression model, after ensuring that all assumptions were met. Factors associated with active TB were determined by analyzing adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals.

Results

In a study of 474 HIV-positive patients on second-line antiretroviral treatment, we found an incidence rate of 3.6% with 17 new cases of TB observed over 4412.4 persons per year (PPY). The overall incidence density rate was estimated to be 0.39 cases per 100 PPY (95% CI: 0.239-0.618). Regarding the occurrence of active TB in second-line patients, WHO clinical treatment stage (T3 and T4), missed isoniazid preventive therapy had a significantly higher risk (AHR: 13.225, 95% CI: 2.894-60.434, p = 0.001), while being married was associated with a lower risk (AHR: 0.203, 95% CI: 0.045-0.907, p = 0.001).

Conclusion

A high incidence of active TB was observed shortly after initiating second-line antiretroviral treatment. Factors such as being in the WHO clinical treatment stage (T3 and T4) and marital status were determinants for active TB. To improve overall survival rates, it is vital to enhance early TB screening and implement effective isoniazid preventive therapy.