The burden of injury in Central, Eastern, and Western European sub-region: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study

Does the injury pattern drive the surgical treatment strategy in multiply injured patients with major fractures?

BACKGROUND

The timing of definitive surgery in multiple injured patients remains a topic of debate, and multiple concepts have been described. Although these included injury severity as a criterion to decide on the indications for surgery, none of them considered the influence of injury distributions. We analyzed whether injury distribution is associated with certain surgical strategies and related outcomes in a cohort of patients treated according to principles of early and safe fixation strategies.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, multiple injured patients were included if they were primarily admitted to a Level I trauma center, had an Injury Severity Score of ≥16 points, and required surgical intervention for major injuries and fractures. The primary outcome measure was treatment strategy. The treatment strategy was classified according to the timing of definitive surgery after injury: early total care (ETC, <24 hours), safe definitive surgery (SDS, <48 hours), and damage control (DC, >48 hours). Statistics included univariate and multivariate analyses of mortality and the association of injury distributions and surgical tactics.

RESULTS

Between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2022, 1,471 patients were included (mean ± SD age, 55.6 ± 20.4 years; mean Injury Severity Score, 23.1 ± 11.4). The group distribution was as follows: ETC, n = 85 (5.8%); SDS, n = 665 (45.2%); and DC, n = 721 (49.0%); mortality was 22.4% in ETC, 16.1% in SDS, and 39.7% in DC. Severe nonlethal abdominal injuries (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.4-3.5) and spinal injuries (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2) were associated with ETC, while multiple extremity injuries were associated with SDS (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2). Severe traumatic brain injury was associated with DC (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.4). When a correction for the severity of head, abdominal, spinal, and extremity injuries, as well as differences in the values of admission pathophysiologic parameters were undertaken, the mortality was 30% lower in the SDS group when compared with the DC group (OR, 0.3; 95% CI, 0.2-0.4).

CONCLUSION

Major spinal injuries and certain abdominal injuries, if identified as nonlethal, trigger definitive surgeries in the initial setting. In contrast, severe TBI was associated with delayed fracture care. Patients with major fractures and other injuries were treated by SDS (definitive care, <48 hours) when the pathophysiological response was adequate. The choice of a favorable surgical treatment appears to depend on injury patterns and physiological patient responses.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Therapeutic/Care Management; Level IV.

Epidemiology and demographic patterns of cardiovascular diseases and neoplasms deaths in Western Europe: a 1990-2019 analysis

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and neoplasms have been considered as public health concerns worldwide. This study aimed to estimate the epidemiological patterns of death burden on CVDs and neoplasms and its attributable risk factors in Western Europe from 1990 to 2019 to discuss the potential causes of the disparities.

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

We collected data on CVDs and neoplasms deaths in 24 Western European countries from the Global Burden of Disease Study. We analyzed patterns by age, sex, country, and associated risk factors. The results include percentages of total deaths, age-standardized death rates per 100,000 population, and uncertainty intervals (UIs). Time trends were assessed using annual percent change.

RESULTS

In 2019, CVDs and neoplasms accounted for 33.54% and 30.15% of Western Europe's total deaths, with age-standardized death rates of 128.05 (95% UI: 135.37, 113.02) and 137.51 (95% UI: 142.54, 128.01) per 100,000. Over 1990-2019, CVDs rates decreased by 54.97%, and neoplasms rates decreased by 19.54%. Top CVDs subtypes were ischemic heart disease and stroke; top cancers for neoplasms were lung and colorectal. Highest CVD death burdens were in Finland, Greece, Austria; neoplasm burdens in Monaco, San Marino, Andorra. The major risk factors were metabolic (CVDs) and behavioral (neoplasms). Gender differences revealed higher CVDs death burden in males, while neoplasms burden varied by risk factors and age groups.

CONCLUSION

In 2019, CVDs and neoplasms posed significant health risks in Western Europe, with variations in death burdens and risk factors across genders, age groups, and countries. Future interventions should target vulnerable groups to lessen the impact of CVDs and neoplasms in the region.

Characteristics and demography of low energy fall injuries in patients > 60 years of age: a population-based analysis over a decade with focus on undertriage

BACKGROUND

An increasing group of elderly patients is admitted after low energy falls. Several studies have shown that this patient group tends to be severely injured and is often undertriaged.

METHODS

Patients > 60 years with low energy fall (< 1 m) as mechanism of injury were identified from the Stavanger University Hospital trauma registry. The study period was between 01.01.11 and 31.12.20. Patient and injury variables as well as clinical outcome were described. Undertriage was defined as patients with a major trauma, i.e., Injury Severity Score (ISS) > 15, without trauma team activation. Statistical analysis was performed using the Chi-squared test for categorical variables and the Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables.

RESULTS

Over the 10-year study period, 388 patients > 60 years with low energy fall as mechanism of injury were identified. Median age was 78 years (IQR 68-86), and 53% were males. The location of major injury was head injury in 41% of the patients, lower extremities in 19%, and thoracic injuries in 10%. Thirty-day mortality was 13%. Fifty percent were discharged to home, 31% to nursing home, 9% in hospital mortality, and the remaining 10% were transferred to other hospitals or rehabilitation facilities. Ninety patients had major trauma, and the undertriage was 48% (95% confidence interval, 38 to 58%).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients aged > 60 years with low energy falls are dominated by head injuries, and the 30-day mortality is 13%. Patients with major trauma are undertriaged in half the cases mandating increased awareness of this patient group.

Association Between Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and In-hospital Mortality in Elderly Patients with Severe Trauma

Introduction

The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) is associated with the inflammatory response in various diseases. However, studies on the use of the PLR for the prognosis of elderly patients with severe trauma are lacking. In this study, we examined the relationship between the PLR and in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with severe trauma.

Methods

This retrospective observational study included elderly (≥65 years) patients who were admitted for severe trauma (as defined by an Injury Severity Score [ISS] ≥ 16) between January-December 2022. We conducted multivariate analysis to assess the association between the PLR and in-hospital mortality using logistic regression of relevant covariates. We also performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to examine the prognostic performance of the PLR for in-hospital mortality.

Results

Among the 222 patients included in the study, the in-hospital mortality rate was 19.4% (43). The PLR of non-survivors was lower than that of survivors (62.1 vs 124.5). The areas under the curve (AUC) of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score ≤12, ISS, hemoglobin level, and PLR for predicting in-hospital mortality were 0.730 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.667-0.787), 0.771 (95% CI 0.710-0.824), 0.657 (95% CI 0.591-0.719), and 0.730 (95% CI 0.667-0.788), respectively. The AUC of the PLR was not significantly different from that of GCS score ≤12 and ISS for predicting in-hospital mortality. Multivariate analysis showed that the PLR was independently associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio: 0.993; 95% CI 0.987-0.999).

Conclusion

Low platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio is independently associated with in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with severe trauma.

Which curve is better? A comparative analysis of trauma scoring systems in a South Asian country

Objectives

A diverse set of trauma scoring systems are used globally to predict outcomes and benchmark trauma systems. There is a significant potential benefit of using these scores in low and middle-income countries (LMICs); however, its standardized use based on type of injury is still limited. Our objective is to compare trauma scoring systems between neurotrauma and polytrauma patients to identify the better predictor of mortality in low-resource settings.

Methods

Data were extracted from a digital, multicenter trauma registry implemented in South Asia for a secondary analysis. Adult patients (≥18 years) presenting with a traumatic injury from December 2021 to December 2022 were included in this study. Injury Severity Score (ISS), Trauma and Injury Severity Score (TRISS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), Mechanism/GCS/Age/Pressure score and GCS/Age/Pressure score were calculated for each patient to predict in-hospital mortality. We used receiver operating characteristic curves to derive sensitivity, specificity and area under the curve (AUC) for each score, including Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS).

Results

The mean age of 2007 patients included in this study was 41.2±17.8 years, with 49.1% patients presenting with neurotrauma. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 17.2%. GCS and RTS proved to be the best predictors of in-hospital mortality for neurotrauma (AUC: 0.885 and 0.874, respectively), while TRISS and ISS were better predictors for polytrauma patients (AUC: 0.729 and 0.722, respectively).

Conclusion

Trauma scoring systems show differing predictability for in-hospital mortality depending on the type of trauma. Therefore, it is vital to take into account the region of body injury for provision of quality trauma care. Furthermore, context-specific and injury-specific use of these scores in LMICs can enable strengthening of their trauma systems.

Level of evidence

Level III.

Low bone mineral density, a neglected condition in North Africa and Middle East: estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study, 1990-2019

Due to the high prevalence of low bone mineral density in North Africa and Middle East region, estimating its attributable burden would help to a better understanding of this neglected condition for policymakers and health researchers. This study presented the number of attributable deaths has doubled from 1990 to 2019.

PURPOSE

This study provides the latest estimates of the burden of low bone mineral density (BMD) from 1990 to 2019 in North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region.

METHODS

The data were extracted from the global burden of disease (GBD) 2019 study to estimate epidemiological indices such as deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and summary exposure value (SEV). SEV is a measure of the exposure of the population to a risk factor that considers the amount of exposure by the level of risk.

RESULTS

Our findings showed that in 1990-2019, the number of deaths and DALYs attributable to low BMD had almost doubled in the region and caused 20,371 (95% uncertainty intervals: 14,848-24,374) deaths and 805,959 (630,238-959,581) DALYs in 2019. However, DALYs and death rates showed a decreasing trend after age standardization. Saudi Arabia had the highest, and Lebanon had the lowest age-standardized DALYs rates in 2019, with rates of 434.2 (329.6-534.3) and 90.3 (70.6-112.1) per 100,000, respectively. The highest burden attributable to low BMD was in the 90-94 and over 95 age groups. Also, there was a decreasing trend in age-standardized SEV to low BMD for both sexes.

CONCLUSION

Despite the decreasing trend of age-standardized burden indices, considerable amounts of deaths and DALYs were attributable to low BMD, especially in the elderly population, in the region in 2019. As the positive effects of proper interventions will be detectable in the long term, robust strategies and comprehensive stable policies are the ultimate solutions to achieving desired goals.

Epidemiology of Hip Fractures Due to Falls

Background and Objectives: The epidemiological pattern of the hip fracture burden attributable to falls in Central European countries is still insufficiently known. The aim of this study was to assess the regional and national trends of hip fractures due to falls in Central Europe from 1990 to 2019. Materials and Methods: Using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, this descriptive epidemiological study presents trends in incidence of and Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) from hip fractures due to falls in the region of Central Europe. All estimates (age- and sex-specific rates, and age-standardized rates) were expressed per 100,000. A joinpoint regression analysis was used to assess trends: the average annual percent change (AAPC) with a corresponding 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was calculated. Results: Among all new cases of hip fracture in the population as a whole in Central Europe in 2019, 3.9% in males and 7.0% in females were attributable to falls, while the share of hip fractures due to falls in the population aged 70 and over was 16.9% in males and 20.0% in females. About 400,000 new cases of hip fracture due to falls occurred in the Central European region in 2019 (220,000 among males and 160,000 among females), resulting in 55,000 YLDs (32,000 in females and 22,000 in males). About one-third of all new cases (59,326 in males and 72,790 in females) and YLDs (8585 in males, and 10,622 in females) of hip fractures due to falls were recorded in Poland. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence rates of hip fracture due to falls showed a decreasing tendency in females (AAPC = -1.1%), and an increasing tendency in males (AAPC = 0.1%). Both in males and females, YLDs rates of hip fracture due to falls in the Central European region decreased (AAPC = -1.6% and AAPC = -2.4%, respectively). Conclusions: Hip fracture due to falls represents an important health issue in the Central European region, although incidences and YLDs declined in the most recent decades. However, further efforts to reduce the burden of hip fractures attributed to falls are needed.

Inequalities in the burden of non-communicable diseases across European countries: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

BACKGROUND

Although overall health status in the last decades improved, health inequalities due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) persist between and within European countries. There is a lack of studies giving insights into health inequalities related to NCDs in the European Economic Area (EEA) countries. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to quantify health inequalities in age-standardized disability adjusted life years (DALY) rates for NCDs overall and 12 specific NCDs across 30 EEA countries between 1990 and 2019. Also, this study aimed to determine trends in health inequalities and to identify those NCDs where the inequalities were the highest.

METHODS

DALY rate ratios were calculated to determine and compare inequalities between the 30 EEA countries, by sex, and across time. Annual rate of change was used to determine the differences in DALY rate between 1990 and 2019 for males and females. The Gini Coefficient (GC) was used to measure the DALY rate inequalities across countries, and the Slope Index of Inequality (SII) to estimate the average absolute difference in DALY rate across countries.

RESULTS

Between 1990 and 2019, there was an overall declining trend in DALY rate, with larger declines among females compared to males. Among EEA countries, in 2019 the highest NCD DALY rate for both sexes were observed for Bulgaria. For the whole period, the highest DALY rate ratios were identified for digestive diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, substance use disorders, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), and chronic respiratory diseases - representing the highest inequality between countries. In 2019, the highest DALY rate ratio was found between Bulgaria and Iceland for males. GC and SII indicated that the highest inequalities were due to CVD for most of the study period - however, overall levels of inequality were low.

CONCLUSIONS

The inequality in level 1 NCDs DALYs rate is relatively low among all the countries. CVDs, digestive diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, substance use disorders, and chronic respiratory diseases are the NCDs that exhibit higher levels of inequality across countries in the EEA. This might be mitigated by applying tailored preventive measures and enabling healthcare access.

Tracking the Trauma Epidemic in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

BACKGROUND

Trauma remains an important cause of morbidity and mortality in South Africa, but attempts to track the epidemic are often based on mortality data, or derived from individual health facilities. This project is based on the routine collection of trauma data from all public health facilities in the province of KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), between 2012 and 2022.

METHODS

Hospital level data on trauma over the past ten years was drawn from the district health information system (DHIS). Data relating to assaults, gunshots and motor vehicle collisions (MVCs) were recorded in the emergency rooms, whilst data on admissions are recorded in the wards and intensive care units.

RESULTS

There were 1,263,847 emergency room visits for assaults, gunshots and MVCs over the ten-year period and trauma admissions ranged between four and five percent of the total number of hospital admissions annually. There was a dramatic decrease in trauma presentations and admissions over 2020/2021 as a result of the COVID lockdowns. Over the entire period, intentional injury was roughly twice as frequent as non-intentional injury. Intentional trauma had an almost equal ratio of blunt assault to penetrating assault. Gunshot-related assault increased dramatically over the 2021/2022 collecting period.

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of trauma in KZN remains high. The unique feature of this burden is the excessively high rate of intentional trauma in the form of both blunt and penetrating mechanisms. Developing injury-prevention strategies to reduce the burden of interpersonal violence is more difficult than for unintentional trauma.

Shock index, modified shock index, age shock index score, and reverse shock index multiplied by Glasgow Coma Scale predicting clinical outcomes in traumatic brain injury: Evidence from a 10-year analysis in a single center

OBJECTIVES

Early identification of traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients at a high risk of mortality is very important. This study aimed to compare the predictive accuracy of four scoring systems in TBI, including shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), age-adjusted shock index (ASI), and reverse shock index multiplied by the Glasgow Coma Scale (rSIG).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of a registry from the Taipei Tzu Chi trauma database. Totally, 1,791 patients with TBI were included. We investigated the accuracy of four major shock indices for TBI mortality. In the subgroup analysis, we also analyzed the effects of age, injury mechanism, underlying diseases, TBI severity, and injury severity.

RESULTS

The predictive accuracy of rSIG was significantly higher than those of SI, MSI, and ASI in all the patients [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), 0.710 vs. 0.495 vs. 0.527 vs. 0.598], especially in the moderate/severe TBI (AUROC, 0.625 vs. 0.450 vs. 0.476 vs. 0.529) and isolated head injury populations (AUROC 0.689 vs. 0.472 vs. 0.504 vs. 0.587). In the subgroup analysis, the prediction accuracy of mortality of rSIG was better in TBI with major trauma [Injury Severity Score (ISS) ≥ 16], motor vehicle collisions, fall injury, and healthy and cardiovascular disease population. rSIG also had a better prediction effect, as compared to SI, MSI, and ASI, both in the non-geriatric (age < 65 years) and geriatric (age ≥ 65 years).

CONCLUSION

rSIG had a better prediction accuracy for mortality in the overall TBI population than SI, MSI, and ASI. Although rSIG have better accuracy than other indices (ROC values indicate poor to moderate accuracy), the further clinical studies are necessary to validate our results.

Methodological considerations in injury burden of disease studies across Europe: a systematic literature review

Background

Calculating the disease burden due to injury is complex, as it requires many methodological choices. Until now, an overview of the methodological design choices that have been made in burden of disease (BoD) studies in injury populations is not available. The aim of this systematic literature review was to identify existing injury BoD studies undertaken across Europe and to comprehensively review the methodological design choices and assumption parameters that have been made to calculate years of life lost (YLL) and years lived with disability (YLD) in these studies.

Methods

We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE, Cochrane Central, Google Scholar, and Web of Science, and the grey literature supplemented by handsearching, for BoD studies. We included injury BoD studies that quantified the BoD expressed in YLL, YLD, and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) in countries within the European Region between early-1990 and mid-2021.

Results

We retrieved 2,914 results of which 48 performed an injury-specific BoD assessment. Single-country independent and Global Burden of Disease (GBD)-linked injury BoD studies were performed in 11 European countries. Approximately 79% of injury BoD studies reported the BoD by external cause-of-injury. Most independent studies used the incidence-based approach to calculate YLDs. About half of the injury disease burden studies applied disability weights (DWs) developed by the GBD study. Almost all independent injury studies have determined YLL using national life tables.

Conclusions

Considerable methodological variation across independent injury BoD assessments was observed; differences were mainly apparent in the design choices and assumption parameters towards injury YLD calculations, implementation of DWs, and the choice of life table for YLL calculations. Development and use of guidelines for performing and reporting of injury BoD studies is crucial to enhance transparency and comparability of injury BoD estimates across Europe and beyond.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13925-z.