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Rodrigues NCP, Andrade MKDN. Evaluation of post-COVID mortality risk in cases classified as severe acute respiratory syndrome in Brazil: a longitudinal study for medium and long term. Front Med (Lausanne) 2024; 11:1495428. [PMID: 39744527 PMCID: PMC11688282 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2024.1495428] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2024] [Accepted: 12/05/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2025] Open
Abstract
Background There are few studies in the literature evaluating post-COVID mortality in Brazil, along medium and long term, especially in those who presented severe clinical disease. Objective This study aims to investigate the factors associated with post-COVID mortality of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) cases from 2020 to 2023 in Brazil, along medium and long term. Methods Retrospective cohort study using notification data of SARS classified as COVID-19 from the Brazilian National Information System, "Sistema de Vigilância Epidemiológica (SIVEP)," during the period 2020 to 2023. Data included demographics, comorbidities, vaccination status, number of COVID-19 vaccine doses, city of residence, and survival outcomes. Classic Cox, Cox mixed effects, and Cox fragility models were used to assess medium and long-term risks of dying post-COVID. Results In the medium and long-term periods studied, 5,157 deaths were recorded out of 15,147 reported SARS/COVID-19 cases. Of these deaths, 91.5% (N = 4,720) occurred within the first year, while 8,5% (N = 437) after the first year. People without formal education, the older adult, had higher percentages of deaths in both periods. In the medium-term post-COVID period, the risk of death was reduced by 8% for those who had been vaccinated while in the long-term post-COVID period, the risk of death almost doubled for those who had been vaccinated. While in the medium term, there was a reduction in mortality risk for those who took two or three doses, in the long term the risk of death was greater for those who took one or two doses. Conclusion The protective effect of COVID-19 immunization was observed up to one year after the first symptoms. After one year, the effect was reversed, showing an increased risk of death for those vaccinated. These results highlight the need for further research to elucidate the factors that contribute to these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nádia Cristina Pinheiro Rodrigues
- Departamento de Epidemiologia e Métodos Quantitativos em Saúde/Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sérgio Arouca/Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Rio de Janeiro/Brasil and Departamento de Epidemiologia/Instituto de Medicina Social Hesio Cordeiro/Universidade do Estado do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
| | - Mônica Kramer de Noronha Andrade
- Programa Academico de Tuberculose/Faculdade de Medicina/Instituto de Doenças do Torax/Hospital Universitário Clementino Fraga Filho/ Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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Andronescu LR, Richard SA, Scher AI, Lindholm DA, Mende K, Ganesan A, Huprikar N, Lalani T, Smith A, Mody RM, Jones MU, Bazan SE, Colombo RE, Colombo CJ, Ewers E, Larson DT, Maves RC, Berjohn CM, Maldonado CJ, English C, Sanchez Edwards M, Rozman JS, Rusiecki J, Byrne C, Simons MP, Tribble D, Burgess TH, Pollett SD, Agan BK. SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with self-reported post-acute neuropsychological symptoms within six months of follow-up. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0297481. [PMID: 38626117 PMCID: PMC11020833 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2022] [Accepted: 01/02/2024] [Indexed: 04/18/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Chronic neuropsychological sequelae following SARS-CoV-2 infection, including depression, anxiety, fatigue, and general cognitive difficulties, are a major public health concern. Given the potential impact of long-term neuropsychological impairment, it is important to characterize the frequency and predictors of this post-infection phenotype. METHODS The Epidemiology, Immunology, and Clinical Characteristics of Emerging Infectious Diseases with Pandemic Potential (EPICC) study is a longitudinal study assessing the impact of SARS-CoV-2 infection in U.S. Military Healthcare System (MHS) beneficiaries, i.e. those eligible for care in the MHS including active duty servicemembers, dependents, and retirees. Four broad areas of neuropsychological symptoms were assessed cross-sectionally among subjects 1-6 months post-infection/enrollment, including: depression (Patient Health Questionnaire-9), anxiety (General Anxiety Disorder-7), fatigue (PROMIS® Fatigue 7a), and cognitive function (PROMIS® Cognitive Function 8a and PROMIS® Cognitive Function abilities 8a). Multivariable Poisson regression models compared participants with and without SARS-CoV-2 infection history on these measures, adjusting for sex, ethnicity, active-duty status, age, and months post-first positive or enrollment of questionnaire completion (MPFP/E); models for fatigue and cognitive function were also adjusted for depression and anxiety scores. RESULTS The study population included 2383 participants who completed all five instruments within six MPFP/E, of whom 687 (28.8%) had at least one positive SARS-CoV-2 test. Compared to those who had never tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, the positive group was more likely to meet instrument-based criteria for depression (15.4% vs 10.3%, p<0.001), fatigue (20.1% vs 8.0%, p<0.001), impaired cognitive function (15.7% vs 8.6%, p<0.001), and impaired cognitive function abilities (24.3% vs 16.3%, p<0.001). In multivariable models, SARS-CoV-2 positive participants, assessed at an average of 2.7 months after infection, had increased risk of moderate to severe depression (RR: 1.44, 95% CI 1.12-1.84), fatigue (RR: 2.07, 95% CI 1.62-2.65), impaired cognitive function (RR: 1.64, 95% CI 1.27-2.11), and impaired cognitive function abilities (RR: 1.41, 95% CI 1.15-1.71); MPFP/E was not significant. CONCLUSIONS Participants with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection were up to twice as likely to report cognitive impairment and fatigue as the group without prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. These findings underscore the continued importance of preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and while time since infection/enrollment was not significant through 6 months of follow-up, this highlights the need for additional research into the long-term impacts of COVID-19 to mitigate and reverse these neuropsychological outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Liana R. Andronescu
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Stephanie A. Richard
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Ann I. Scher
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - David A. Lindholm
- Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Brooke Army Medical Center, San Antonio, TX, United States of America
| | - Katrin Mende
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Brooke Army Medical Center, San Antonio, TX, United States of America
| | - Anuradha Ganesan
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Nikhil Huprikar
- Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Tahaniyat Lalani
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Naval Medical Center Portsmouth, Portsmouth, VA, United States of America
| | - Alfred Smith
- Naval Medical Center Portsmouth, Portsmouth, VA, United States of America
| | - Rupal M. Mody
- William Beaumont Army Medical Center, El Paso, TX, United States of America
| | - Milissa U. Jones
- Tripler Army Medical Center, Honolulu, HI, United States of America
| | - Samantha E. Bazan
- Carl R. Darnall Army Medical Center, Fort Hood, TX, United States of America
| | - Rhonda E. Colombo
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Madigan Army Medical Center, Tacoma, WA, United States of America
| | - Christopher J. Colombo
- Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Madigan Army Medical Center, Tacoma, WA, United States of America
| | - Evan Ewers
- Fort Belvoir Community Hospital, Fort Belvoir, VA, United States of America
| | - Derek T. Larson
- Fort Belvoir Community Hospital, Fort Belvoir, VA, United States of America
- Naval Medical Center San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States of America
| | - Ryan C. Maves
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Naval Medical Center San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States of America
| | - Catherine M. Berjohn
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Department of Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Naval Medical Center San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States of America
| | | | - Caroline English
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Margaret Sanchez Edwards
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Julia S. Rozman
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Jennifer Rusiecki
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Celia Byrne
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Mark P. Simons
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - David Tribble
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Timothy H. Burgess
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Simon D. Pollett
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
| | - Brian K. Agan
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, United States of America
- Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., Bethesda, MD, United States of America
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