Progression-Free Survival as a Surrogate End Point for Overall Survival in First-Line Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: An Individual Patient-Level Analysis of Multiple Randomized Trials (SEAL)

Progression-free survival as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma

OBJECTIVES

The goal of the research was to assess the quantitative relationship between median progression-free survival (PFS) and median overall survival (OS) specifically among patients with relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) based on published randomized controlled trials (RCTs).

METHODS

Two bibliographic databases (PubMed and Embase, 1970-2017) were systematically searched for RCTs in RRMM that reported OS and PFS, followed by an updated search of studies published between 2010 and 2022 in 3 databases (Embase, MEDLINE, and EBM Reviews, 2010-2022). The association between median PFS and median OS was assessed using the nonparametric Spearman rank and parametric Pearson correlation coefficients. Subsequently, the quantitative relationship between PFS and OS was assessed using weighted least-squares regression adjusted for covariates including age, sex, and publication year. Study arms were weighted by the number of patients in each arm.

RESULTS

A total of 31 RCTs (56 treatment arms, 10,450 patients with RRMM) were included in the analysis. The average median PFS and median OS were 7.1 months (SD 5.5) and 28.1 months (SD 11.8), respectively. The Spearman and Pearson correlation coefficients between median PFS and median OS were 0.80 (P < 0.0001) and 0.79 (P < 0.0001), respectively. In individual treatment arms of RRMM trials, each 1-month increase in median PFS was associated with a 1.72-month (95% CI 1.26-2.17) increase in median OS.

CONCLUSION

Analysis of the relationship between PFS and OS incorporating more recent studies in RRMM further substantiates the use of PFS to predict OS in RRMM.

Prediction of 5-year overall survival of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma on the pola-R-CHP regimen based on 2-year event-free survival and progression-free survival

This study aimed to predict the 5-year overall survival (OS) benefit of pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP in the POLARIX trial based on the 2-year event-free survival (EFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) rates in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). We identified randomized controlled trials (RCT) published before 31 May 2023. The correlation between the logarithmic (log) hazard ratio (HR) for EFS (HREFS ) or PFS (HRPFS ) and the HR for OS (HROS ) was estimated at the trial-level. Correlation analysis was performed between 2-year PFS or EFS and 5-year OS rates at the treatment arm-level. Linear regression models were used to calculate the 5-year OS of pola-R-CHP and R-CHOP. In the included 20 RCTs, a linear correlation between HREFS (r = 0.765) or HRPFS (r = 0.534) and HROS was observed at the trial- level. Two-year EFS (r = 0.918) or 2-year PFS (r = 0.865) correlated linearly with 5-year OS. Linear regression analysis between 2-year EFS/PFS and 5-year OS gave estimated 5-year OS rates between pola-R-CHP and R-CHOP of 6.4% and 6.3%, respectively. Two-year EFS and PFS are feasible early endpoints in patients with DLBCL treated primarily with immunochemotherapy. The pola-R-CHP regimen is expected to improve 5-year OS.

Evaluation of progression-free survival as a surrogate end point in primary CNS lymphoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose: To evaluate progression-free survival (PFS) as early surrogate endpoints for overall survival (OS) in primary CNS lymphoma (PCNSL). Methods: PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Central Library were searched up to 7 June 2022. Trial-level analyses were performed by weighted linear regression of logarithmic hazard ratios for PFS and OS. Treatment arm-level analyses were performed between PFS rates and 3- or 5-year OS rates. Results: 1471 PCNSL patients in nine randomized control trials were included. PFS was associated with OS (r = 0.750; 95% CI: 0.228-0.937). Strong linear correlations existed between 1-, 2- and 3-year PFS and 3-year OS (r = 0.896-0.928), moderate or weak correlations existed between 3- to 6-month PFS and 3-year OS, 3-month to 5-year PFS and 5-year OS. Conclusion: Short-term PFS can validly substitute for long-term OS in PCNSL.

Association Between Intermediate End Points, Progression-free Survival, and Overall Survival in First-line Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Cancer

PURPOSE

Advanced/recurrent endometrial cancer is associated with poor long-term outcomes. Clinical studies of novel regimens are ongoing, but given that data on overall survival (OS) take a long time to mature, surrogate end points are often used to support clinical-research interpretation. The aim of this study was to explore the correlation between progression-free survival (PFS)/time to progression (TTP) and OS across multiple time points in the first-line treatment of advanced/recurrent endometrial cancer.

METHODS

This study comprised meta-analyses of Phase 2/3 randomized, controlled trials of first-line treatments in patients with advanced primary or first-recurrent endometrial cancer identified via systematic literature review. The strength of the surrogacy relationship was assessed by correlation analyses (estimated with Spearman and Pearson correlation coefficients) and weighted linear regression.

FINDINGS

Data from 15 studies were included. PFS and TTP (TTP was reported in one study only) were highly correlated with future OS at multiple time points (Spearman values, 0.83-0.90; Pearson values, 0.86-0.93), suggesting that a change in PFS/TTP would likely be correlated with a change in OS in the same direction. On weighted linear regression, a 10% increase in PFS/TTP probability was significantly associated with a 9.3% to 13.3% increase in the probability of future OS. The strong positive association between PFS/TTP and OS was supported by findings from sensitivity analyses based on identified sources of interstudy heterogeneity.

IMPLICATIONS

PFS/TTP is a good potential candidate for predicting long-term OS outcomes in trials of first-line treatment in patients with advanced/recurrent endometrial cancer. The findings from this report may help to inform health-authority and clinical decision makers that PFS/TTP improvements are likely to translate into subsequent OS improvements once data mature.

Polatuzumab vedotin in previously untreated DLBCL: an Asia subpopulation analysis from the phase 3 POLARIX trial

In the phase 3 POLARIX study in previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, polatuzumab vedotin combined with rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisone (Pola-R-CHP) significantly improved progression-free survival (PFS) compared with rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) with similar safety. Patients were randomized 1:1 to 6 cycles of Pola-R-CHP or R-CHOP plus 2 cycles of rituximab alone. For registration of POLARIX in China, consistency of PFS in an Asia subpopulation (defined as ≥50% of the risk reduction in PFS expected in the global population) was evaluated. Overall, 281 patients were analyzed: 160 patients from Asia in the intention-to-treat (ITT) population of the global study and 121 from an ITT China extension cohort. Of these, 141 were randomized to Pola-R-CHP and 140 to R-CHOP. At data cutoff (28 June 2021; median follow-up 24.2 months), PFS met the consistency definition with the global population, and was superior with Pola-R-CHP vs R-CHOP (hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40-1.03). Two-year PFS was 74.2% (95% CI, 65.7-82.7) and 66.5% (95% CI, 57.3-75.6) with Pola-R-CHP and R-CHOP, respectively. Safety was comparable between Pola-R-CHP and R-CHOP, including rates of grade 3 to 4 adverse events (AEs; 72.9% vs 66.2%, respectively), serious AEs (32.9% vs 32.4%), grade 5 AEs (1.4% vs 0.7%), AEs leading to study treatment discontinuation (5.0% vs 7.2%), and any-grade peripheral neuropathy (44.3% vs 50.4%). These findings demonstrate consistent efficacy and safety of Pola-R-CHP vs R-CHOP in the Asia and global populations in POLARIX. This trial was registered at https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/home as # NCT03274492.

KIAA1429-mediated m6A modification of CHST11 promotes progression of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma by regulating Hippo-YAP pathway

BACKGROUND

N⁶-methyladenosine (m6A) has been shown to participate in various essential biological processes by regulating the level of target genes. However, the function of m6A modification mediated by KIAA1429 [alias virus-like m6A methyltransferase-associated protein (VIRMA)] during the progression of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) remains undefined.

METHODS

The expression and clinical significance of KIAA1429 were verified by our clinical data. CRISPR/Cas9 mediated KIAA1429 deletion, and CRISPR/dCas9-VP64 for activating endogenous KIAA1429 was used to evaluate its biological function. RNA sequencing (RNA-seq), methylated RNA immunoprecipitation sequencing (MeRIP-seq), RNA immunoprecipitation (RIP) assays, luciferase activity assay, RNA stability experiments, and co-immunoprecipitation were performed to investigate the regulatory mechanism of KIAA1429 in DLBCL. Tumor xenograft models were established for in vivo experiments.

RESULTS

Dysregulated expression of m6A regulators was observed, and a novel predictive model based on m6A score was established in DLBCL. Additionally, elevated KIAA1429 expression was associated with poor prognosis of patients with DLBCL. Knockout of KIAA1429 repressed DLBCL cell proliferation, facilitated cell cycle arrest in the G2/M phase, induced apoptosis in vitro, and inhibited tumor growth in vivo. Furthermore, carbohydrate sulfotransferase 11 (CHST11) was identified as a downstream target of KIAA1429, which mediated m6A modification of CHST11 mRNA and then recruited YTHDF2 for reducing CHST11 stability and expression. Inhibition of CHST11 diminished MOB1B expression, resulting in inactivation of Hippo-YAP signaling, reprogramming the expression of Hippo target genes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results revealed a new mechanism by which the Hippo-YAP pathway in DLBCL is inactivated by KIAA1429/YTHDF2-coupled epitranscriptional repression of CHST11, highlighting the potential of KIAA1429 as a novel predictive biomarker and therapeutic target for DLBCL progression.

Identification on surrogating overall survival with progression-free survival of first-line immunochemotherapy in advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma-an exploration of surrogate endpoint

BACKGROUND

Overall survival (OS) is the gold standard to assess novel therapeutics to treat cancer. However, to identify early efficacy and speed up drug approval, trials have used progression-free survival (PFS) as a surrogate endpoint (SE). Herein, we aimed to examine if PFS could function as an OS surrogate in advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma (ESCC) treated with first-line immunochemotherapy.

METHODS

Two hundred ninety-two advanced ESCC patients treated using inhibitors of PD-1/PD-L1 + chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone were collected. In addition, six phase III randomized clinical trials were eligible for inclusion. Bayesian normal-induced-copula-estimation model in retrospective patient data and regression analysis in the published trial data were used to determine the PFS-OS correlation.

RESULTS

PFS correlated moderately with OS in the retrospective cohort (Kendall's Tau = 0.684, τ = 0.436). In trial-level, treatments effects for PFS correlated weakly with those for OS in intention-to-treat population (R² = 0.436, adj.R² = 0.249, P > 0.05) and in PD-L1-enriched population (R² = 0.072). In arm-level, median PFS also correlated weakly with median OS. Moreover, analysis of the retrospective cohort demonstrated that the annual death risk after progression in the continued immunotherapy group was considerably lower than that in the discontinued group.

CONCLUSION

In trials of anti-PD-1 agents to treat advanced ESCC, the current results provide only weak support for PFS as an OS surrogate; OS cannot be substituted completely by PFS in these cases. The results also suggest that qualified patients with advanced ESCC might benefit from continuous immunotherapy beyond progression to achieve a decreased risk of death.

Establishment and evaluation of a nomogram for predicting the survival outcomes of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma based on International Prognostic Index scores and clinical indicators

Background

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common aggressive lymphoma, treatment outcomes of patients vary greatly. The current International Prognostic Index (IPI) is not enough to distinguish patients with poor prognosis, and genetic testing is very expensive, so a inexpensive risk prediction tool should be developed for clinicians to quickly identify the poor prognosis of DLBCL patients.

Methods

DLBCL patients (n=420; 18-80 years old) who received a combination of cyclophosphamide, adriamycin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP) with or without rituximab (R-CHOP) at our hospital between 2008 and 2017 were included in the study. Potential predictors of survival were determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, and significant variables were used to construct predictive nomograms. The new prediction models were assessed using concordance indexes (C-indexes), calibration curves, and their clinical utility was assessed by decision curve analyses (DCAs).

Results

The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 70.62% and the 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 59.02%. The multivariate Cox analysis indicated that IPI, Ki-67, the lymphocyte/monocyte ratio, and first-line treatment with rituximab were significantly associated with survival. The C-index results indicated that a predictive model that included these variables had better discriminability for OS (0.73 vs. 0.67) and PFS (0.68 vs. 0.63) than the IPI-based model. The calibration plots showed good agreement with observations and nomogram predictions. The DCAs demonstrated the clinical value of the nomograms.

Conclusions

Our study identified prognostic factors in patients who were newly diagnosed with DLBCL to construct an individualized risk prediction model, combined IPI with common clinical indicators. Our model might be a valuable tool that could be used to predict the prognosis of DLBCL patients who receive standard first-line treatment regimens. It enables clinicians to quickly identify some patients with possible poor prognosis and choose more active treatment for patients, such as chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CART) Immunotherapy and other new drugs therapy, so as to prolong the PFS and OS of patients.

Quantitative evaluation of therapy options for relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A model-based meta-analysis

New therapies for relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (r/rDLBCL) have emerged in recent years, but there have been no comprehensive quantitative comparisons of the efficacy of these therapies. In this study, the efficacy characteristics of 11 types of treatment strategy and 63 treatment regimens were compared by model based meta-analysis. We found that compared with monotherapy, association therapy had significant benefits in terms of overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and objective response rate (ORR). However, whereas treatment regimens involving chemotherapy contributed to significant improvements in ORR and PFS, OS was not improved. In terms of treatment strategy, we identified chemotherapy in association with immunotherapy sequential autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT), the association of two different types of immunotherapies, chemotherapy sequential ASCT, chemotherapy in association with immunotherapy, and chemotherapy in association with two types of immunotherapies as showing better efficacy. With respect to specific treatment regimens, we found that the following had better efficacy: rituximab in association with inotuzumab ozogamicin; rituximab in association with carmustine, etoposide, cytarabine, and melphalan sequential ASCT (R-BEAM+ASCT); lenalidomide in association with rituximab, etoposide, cisplatin, cytarabine, and methylprednisolone; iodine-131 tositumomab in association with BEAM sequential ASCT; and chemotherapy sequential chimeric antigen receptor T-cell immunotherapy, with median OS of 48.2, 34.2, 27.8, 25.8, and 25 months, respectively. Moreover, with respect to association therapy, there was a strong correlation between the 6-month PFS and 2-year OS. The findings of this study provide the necessary quantitative information for clinical practice and clinical trial design for the treatment of r/rDLBCL.

Cost-effectiveness of combination therapy of polatuzumab vedotin plus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisolone for previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in Japan

AIM

The POLARIX trial showed that Pola + R-CHP (polatuzumab vedotin plus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisolone) prolongs progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) compared with R-CHOP (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisolone), the conventional standard of care, with a similar safety profile. However, Pola + R-CHP has not been evaluated from the viewpoint of health economics in Japan. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of Pola + R-CHP for previously untreated DLBCL from a Japanese public healthcare payer's perspective.

METHODS

A partitioned survival analysis model was constructed to estimate lifetime costs and effectiveness of Pola + R-CHP and R-CHOP in previously untreated DLBCL who had an International Prognostic Index score (IPI) score of ≥2. A parametric survival model was applied to data analyzed in the POLARIX trial to estimate the lifetime overall survival (OS) and PFS for each treatment. The parameters required for the model were based on the results of a literature search and expert opinion.

RESULTS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of Pola + R-CHP vs. R-CHOP was JPY2,710,238 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY), less than the ICER of JPY7.5 million per QALY that is considered to be cost-effective based on the threshold of the Japanese cost-effectiveness evaluation system. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the parameters influencing the results of the analysis were median PFS and the total cost per regimen of salvage chemotherapy, patient weight, and patient age. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that the probability of Pola + R-CHP having superior cost-effectiveness was 99.2% when the reference value was JPY7.5 million. The results of scenario analysis suggested that prolongation of PFS was an important factor in the evaluation of cost-effectiveness in previously untreated DLBCL with or without prolongation of OS.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that Pola + R-CHP is a cost-effective treatment for previously untreated DLBCL in Japan under the public health insurance system.

US cost-effectiveness analysis of polatuzumab vedotin in previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

AIMS

We evaluated the pharmacoeconomic value of polatuzumab vedotin plus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisone (Pola-R-CHP) in previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) versus rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A 3-state partitioned survival model was used to estimate life years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and cost impacts of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP. Analyses utilized mixture-cure survival modelling, assessed a lifetime horizon, discounted all outcomes at 3% per year, and examined both payer and societal perspectives. Progression-free survival, overall survival (OS), drug utilization, treatment duration, adverse reactions, and subsequent treatment inputs were based on data from the POLARIX study (NCT03274492). Costs included drug acquisition/administration, adverse reaction management, routine care, subsequent treatments, end-of-life care, and work productivity.

RESULTS

Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP were $70,719/QALY gained and $88,855/QALY gained from societal and payer perspectives, respectively. The $32,824 higher total cost of Pola-R-CHP versus R-CHOP was largely due to higher drug costs ($122,525 vs $27,694), with cost offsets including subsequent treatment (-$52,765), routine care (-$1,781), end-of-life care (-$383), and work productivity (-$8,418). Pola-R-CHP resulted in an increase of 0.47 LYs and 0.46 QALYs versus R-CHOP. Pola-R-CHP was cost-effective in 60.9% and 58.0% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY gained from societal and payer perspectives, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

There was uncertainty around the OS extrapolation in the model, and costs were derived from different sources. Recommended prophylactic medications were not included; prophylactic use of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor for all patients was assumed to be equal across treatment arms in POLARIX. Work productivity loss was estimated from a general population and was not specific to patients with DLBCL.

CONCLUSION

Pola-R-CHP was projected to be cost-effective versus R-CHOP in previously untreated DLBCL, suggesting that Pola-R-CHP represents good value relative to R-CHOP in this setting.

Development and validation of a [18F]FDG PET/CT-based radiomics nomogram to predict the prognostic risk of pretreatment diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients

Objective

In this study, based on PET/CT radiomics features, we developed and validated a nomogram to predict progression-free survival (PFS) for cases with diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with immunochemotherapy.

Methods

This study retrospectively recruited 129 cases with DLBCL. Among them, PET/CT scans were conducted and baseline images were collected for radiomics features along with their clinicopathological features. Radiomics features related to recurrence were screened for survival analysis using univariate Cox regression analysis with p < 0.05. Next, a weighted Radiomics-score (Rad-score) was generated and independent risk factors were obtained from univariate and multivariate Cox regressions to build the nomogram. Furthermore, the nomogram was tested for their ability to predict PFS using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Blood platelet, Rad-score, and gender were included in the nomogram as independent DLBCL risk factors for PFS. We found that the training cohort areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.79, 0.84, and 0.88, and validation cohort AUCs were 0.67, 0.83, and 0.72, respectively. Further, the DCA and calibration curves confirmed the predictive nomogram’s clinical relevance.

Conclusion

Using Rad-score, blood platelet, and gender of the DLBCL patients, a PET/CT radiomics-based nomogram was developed to guide cases’ recurrence risk assessment prior to treatment. The developed nomogram can help provide more appropriate treatment plans to the cases.

Key Points

• DLBCL cases can be classified into low- and high-risk groups using PET/CT radiomics based Rad-score.

• When combined with other clinical characteristics (gender and blood platelet count), Rad-score can be used to predict the outcome of the pretreatment of DLBCL cases with a certain degree of accuracy.

• A prognostic nomogram was established in this study in order to aid in assessing prognostic risk and providing more accurate treatment plans for DLBCL cases.

Comparing apples and oranges: The ZUMA-7, TRANSFORM and BELINDA trials

In December 2021, three phase III trials investigating Chimeric Antigen Receptor (CAR) T-cell for large B-cell lymphoma were published, only one of which showed no treatment effect on Event-Free Survival (EFS). All compared anti-CD19 CAR T-cell as second-line treatment with immunochemotherapy plus autologous stem cell transplant if an adequate response to chemotherapy was achieved. In this letter, we discuss the methodological reasons that partially explain the discrepant results observed between the ZUMA-7, TRANSFORM and BELINDA trials. A raw comparison shows that BELINDA simultaneously had the worst experimental arm and the best control arm among the three trials. This could be partially related to differences in the event definition and time of assessment. Stable Disease was considered an event as early as W9 in TRANSFORM, W12 in BELINDA and only W21 in ZUMA-7. Since tisa-cel had the longest manufacturing time, the time window may have been too short to assess its full potential compared with axi-cel and liso-cel. In comparison, a patient with stable disease in ZUMA-7 would not be considered an event until W21. On the other hand, a second salvage regimen was allowed before considering stable disease as an event only in the BELINDA control arm which could have delayed EFS. Many of these issues could be avoided if progression-free survival was preferred to EFS and if the time to manufacture CAR-T cells was shortened, as long delays can result in a higher tumor volume and more refractory diseases at the time of infusion.

Comparison of efficacy and safety of ripertamab (SCT400) versus rituximab (Mabthera® ) in combination with CHOP in patients with previously untreated CD20-positive diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A randomized, single-blind, phase III clinical trial

This study compared the efficacy, safety and immunogenicity of ripertamab (SCT400) and rituximab (Mabthera^® ) combined with CHOP as the first-line treatment for Chinese patients with CD20-positive diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL). This is a randomized, patient-blind, multicenter, active-control, non-inferiority study with parallel design. Patients were randomly (2:1) to receive ripertamab combined with CHOP (S-CHOP) or rituximab (Mabthera^® ) combined with CHOP (R-CHOP) for up to 6 cycles. The primary endpoint was the Independent Review Committee (IRC) assessed objective response rate (ORR) in full analysis set (FAS) and the per protocol set (PPS). A total of 364 patients (243 in the S-CHOP and 121 in the R-CHOP groups) were enrolled in this study. In FAS, IRC-assessed ORRs were 93.8% (95% confidence interval (CI) 90.0%, 96.5%) and 94.2% (95% CI: 88.4%, 97.6%) in the S-CHOP and R-CHOP groups (p = 0.9633), respectively. The ORR difference between the two groups -0.4% (95% CI: -5.5%, 4.8%) met the pre-specified non-inferiority margin of -12%. There were no significant differences between the S-CHOP and R-CHOP groups in 1-year progression-free survival rates (81.1% vs. 83.2%, p = 0.8283), 1 year event-free survival rates (56.2% vs. 58.1%, p = 0.8005), and 3-year overall survival rates (81.0% vs. 82.8%, p = 0.7183). The results in PPS were consistent with those in FAS. The rates of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) and ≥ grade 3 TEAEs were 97.9% and 99.2%, 85.2% and 86.0% in the S-CHOP and R-CHOP groups, respectively in safety set. The percentage of anti-drug antibodies positive patients in the S-CHOP group was numerically lower than the R-CHOP group (10.9% vs. 16.0%). This study demonstrated that S-CHOP was not inferior to R-CHOP in the first-line treatment of Chinese patients with CD20-positive DLBCL in efficacy, safety and immunogenecity. S-CHOP could be an alternative first-line standard treatment regimen for this patient population.

Frontline polatuzumab vedotin for diffuse large B‐cell lymphoma: A survey of clinician impressions

In the POLARIX trial, pola‐R‐CHP demonstrated improved progression‐free survival (PFS) compared to R‐CHOP in untreated intermediate‐ to high‐risk DLBCL. We surveyed practicing clinicians regarding their interpretation of POLARIX, including impressions of efficacy, safety, and cost. Of 174 respondents, most from academic centers (82%) in the United States (57%), 70% stated they would not replace R‐CHOP with pola‐R‐CHP due to insufficient PFS difference, lack of overall survival benefit, and excessive cost. Respondents not recommending pola‐R‐CHP expressed concerns about financial implications for both society and patients. We observed considerable heterogeneity in both study interpretation and plans for real‐world implementation of pola‐R‐CHP.

Improving eligibility criteria for first-line trials for patients with DLBCL using a US-based Delphi-method survey

Recent first-line randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) have shown negative results, which may be due in part to onerous eligibility criteria limiting enrollment of poor-risk patients who require immediate treatment. We conducted a Delphi-method survey with lymphoma experts in the United States to define recommendations for essential and potentially unnecessary enrollment criteria for modern first-line DLBCL RCTs aimed at increasing clinical diversity of ensuing study groups. We first tabulated enrollment criteria from 19 DLBCL RCTs spanning the rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) era to identify common eligibility criteria from prior DLBCL RCTs for inclusion in the Delphi-method survey. We tabulated 451 total eligibility criteria comprising 51 criterion categories across 19 first-line DLBCL RCTs in the R-CHOP era. We then surveyed lymphoma clinical trial experts representing 8 academic medical centers in the United States regarding essential and unnecessary eligibility criteria for modern DLBCL RCTs. Seventeen of 29 invited clinical investigators completed the round-1 questionnaire (response rate, of 58.6%), 15 of 17 round-1 participants (88.2%) completed the round-2 survey, and all round-1 participants reviewed finalized recommendations for eligibility criteria for modern first-line DLBCL RCTs. We defined consensus recommendations for 31 modernized eligibility criteria including threshold values for 10 quantitative eligibility criteria aimed at facilitating enrollment of a clinically diverse study population in first-line DLBCL RCTs designed to improve standard-of-care therapy.

STR Profiling Reveals Tumor Genome Instability in Primary Mediastinal B-Cell Lymphoma

Primary mediastinal B-cell lymphoma (PMBCL) is the only non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma variant responding to immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy, approximately in half of the cases; however, no molecular markers predicting a response to ICI therapy in PMBCL have been described so far. In this study, we assessed the incidence of the loss of heterozygosity (LOH), elevated microsatellite alteration at selected tetranucleotides (EMAST), and microsatellite instability (MSI) in the tumor genomes of 72 patients with PMBCL undergoing high-dose chemotherapy treatment at the National Research Center for Hematology (Moscow, Russia). Tumor DNA was isolated from biopsy samples taken at diagnosis. Control DNA was isolated from the blood of patients in complete remission or from buccal epithelium. STR-profiles for LOH and EMAST were assessed by PCR with COrDIS Plus multiplex kit (Gordiz Ltd., Moscow, Russia). LOH was detected in 37 of 72 patients (51.4%). EMAST was found in 40 patients (55.5%); 24 had a combination of EMAST with LOH. MSI-high was not found, while MSI-low was detected only in one patient. The association of certain genetic lesions with the clinical outcome in patients receiving treatment according to the standard clinical protocol R-Da-EPOCH-21 has been estimated (58 patients out of 72) and no associations with the worst overall or event-free survival were found.

End of induction positron emission tomography complete response (PET-CR) as a surrogate for progression-free survival in previously untreated follicular lymphoma

Progression-free survival (PFS) has been the regulatory primary end-point for recent phase III trials in first-line follicular lymphoma (FL), but requires prolonged follow-up. Complete response (CR) at 30 months after initiation of induction treatment was validated as surrogate end-point for PFS. Our objective was to further evaluate surrogacy of CR measured by [¹⁸ F] fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging at the end of induction (EoI). Individual patient data were analysed from 1505 patients from five randomized trials. Trial-level surrogacy examining the association between treatment effects on EoI-PET-CR and PFS was evaluated using linear regression ( R WLS 2 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{WLS}}^2 $$ ) and bivariate Copula ( R Copula 2 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{Copula}}^2 $$ ) models. Although EoI-PET-CR strongly predicted PFS at a prognostic level, the trial-level assessment did not show strong correlation ( R WLS 2 = 0.56 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{WLS}}^2=0.56 $$ , confidence interval [CI]: 0.20-0.88; R Copula 2 = 0.35 $$ {R}_{\mathrm{Copula}}^2=0.35 $$ , CI: 0.0-0.82). The high uncertainty in estimation was possibly due to the small number of trials and the population of patients with available PET data. Maintenance therapy affecting PFS beyond induction treatment, but not EoI-PET-CR end-point, may have distorted the association between treatment effects. However, there will probably be a number of additional trials approaching completion with available PET response data. Refined evaluation of PET-CR based surrogate end-points is still warranted.

Progression-free survival at 3 years is a reliable surrogate for 5-year overall survival for patients suffering from locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Despite 3‐year survival being used as a primary endpoint in some randomized controlled trials (RCTs), limited evidence supports the use of intermediate endpoints to evaluate the effect of new therapies in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC). This study aimed to systematically evaluate progression‐free survival at 3 years (3‐year PFS) and overall survival (OS) among patients with ESCC.

Methods

We identified 528 patients newly diagnosed with locally advanced ESCC who received definitive radiotherapy. OS was compared with an age‐ and sex‐matched general Chinese population using the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). Regression analysis was used to validate the correlation between PFS and OS using published data.

Results

The annual risk of progression decreased to 11.5% after 3 years. Patients who did not achieve 3‐year PFS had a median postprogression survival (PPS) of 7.3 months, with a 5‐year OS rate of 9.6% and a SMR of 15.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 12.9–17.5). Conversely, the SMR for patients who achieved 3‐year PFS was 0.9 (95% CI, 0.6–1.3). We observed a significant correlation between log hazard ratio (HR) (PFS) and log HR (OS) at the trial level (r = 0.89; 95% CI, 0.88–0.90). The strongest correlation was observed between 3‐year PFS and 5‐year OS in RCTs and retrospective studies.

Conclusions

Patients exhibiting progression within 3 years experienced poor survival, whereas patients achieving 3‐year PFS had excellent outcomes. Our study supports 3‐year PFS as a reliable primary endpoint for study design and risk stratification in locally advanced ESCC.

DLBCL 1L—What to Expect beyond R-CHOP?

Simple Summary

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common aggressive non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma. About two-thirds of patients are cured by the first-line (1L) standard of care (SOC), the R-CHOP (Rituximab, Cyclophosphamide, Doxorubicin, Vincristine and Prednisolone) immunochemotherapy protocol. The profound molecular heterogeneity of DLBCL is the underlying reason why many patients, despite improved next-line options, eventually succumb to the disease. Hence, enhancing the efficacy of 1L treatment is critical for improving long-term outcomes in DLBCL. A plethora of novel treatment options with potential in later lines is currently under evaluation in 1L settings. We summarize here the established and emerging strategies for newly diagnosed DLBCL and emphasize the need for individualized treatment decisions.

Abstract

The R-CHOP immunochemotherapy protocol has been the first-line (1L) standard of care (SOC) for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients for decades and is curative in approximately two-thirds of patients. Numerous randomized phase III trials, most of them in an “R-CHOP ± X” design, failed to further improve outcomes. This was mainly due to increased toxicity, the large proportion of patients not in need of more than R-CHOP, and the extensive molecular heterogeneity of the disease, raising the bar for “one-size-fits-all” concepts. Recently, an R-CHP regimen extended by the anti-CD79b antibody–drug conjugate (ADC) Polatuzumab Vedotin proved superior to R-CHOP in terms of progression-free survival (PFS) in the POLARIX phase III trial. Moreover, a number of targeted agents, especially the Bruton’s tyrosine kinase (BTK) inhibitor Ibrutinib, seem to have activity in certain patient subsets in 1L and are currently being tested in front-line regimens. Chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cells, achieving remarkable results in ≥3L scenarios, are being exploited in earlier lines of therapy, while T-cell-engaging bispecific antibodies emerge as conceptual competitors of CAR T-cells. Hence, we present here the findings and lessons learnt from phase III 1L trials and piloting phase II studies in relapsed/refractory (R/R) and 1L settings, and survey chemotherapy-free regimens with respect to their efficacy and future potential in 1L. Novel agents and their mode of action will be discussed in light of the molecular landscape of DLBCL and personalized 1L perspectives for the challenging patient population not cured by the SOC.

Polatuzumab Vedotin in Previously Untreated Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is typically treated with rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP). However, only 60% of patients are cured with R-CHOP. Polatuzumab vedotin is an antibody-drug conjugate targeting CD79b, which is ubiquitously expressed on the surface of malignant B cells.

METHODS

We conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled, international phase 3 trial to evaluate a modified regimen of R-CHOP (pola-R-CHP), in which vincristine was replaced with polatuzumab vedotin, as compared with standard R-CHOP, in patients with previously untreated intermediate-risk or high-risk DLBCL. Patients 18 to 80 years of age were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive six cycles of either pola-R-CHP or R-CHOP, plus two cycles of rituximab alone. The primary end point was investigator-assessed progression-free survival. Secondary end points included overall survival and safety.

RESULTS

Overall, 879 patients underwent randomization: 440 were assigned to the pola-R-CHP group and 439 to the R-CHOP group. After a median follow-up of 28.2 months, the percentage of patients surviving without progression was significantly higher in the pola-R-CHP group than in the R-CHOP group (76.7% [95% confidence interval (CI), 72.7 to 80.8] vs. 70.2% [95% CI, 65.8 to 74.6] at 2 years; stratified hazard ratio for progression, relapse, or death, 0.73 by Cox regression; 95% CI, 0.57 to 0.95; P = 0.02). Overall survival at 2 years did not differ significantly between the groups (88.7% [95% CI, 85.7 to 91.6] in the pola-R-CHP group and 88.6% [95% CI, 85.6 to 91.6] in the R-CHOP group; hazard ratio for death, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; P = 0.75). The safety profile was similar in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with previously untreated intermediate-risk or high-risk DLBCL, the risk of disease progression, relapse, or death was lower among those who received pola-R-CHP than among those who received R-CHOP. (Funded by F. Hoffmann-La Roche/Genentech; POLARIX ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03274492.).

Effectiveness and tolerability of radiotherapy for patients with indolent non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: a monocenter analysis

To analyze the effectiveness and toxicities of radiotherapy in indolent non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (iNHL) patients treated in our institution. Patients with iNHL treated with radiotherapy between 1999 and 2016 were included. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary endpoints were local control (LC), overall survival (OS) and toxicities. PFS, LC, and OS were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method. Log-rank test was used to investigate the differences between subgroups. Cox proportional hazard model was used for univariate continuous analysis. Seventy-five patients were identified in our institutional database between 1999 and 2016. Fifty-eight (77.3%) had stage I after Ann-Arbor and 17 patients (22.7%) had stage II. The median follow-up was 87 months (95% CI 72-102 months). Median single dose per fraction was 2.0 Gy (range 1.5-2 Gy) and median total dose was 30.6 Gy (range 16-45 Gy). Radiotherapy was performed in 2D (n = 10; 13.3%), 3D (n = 63; 84.0%) and VMAT (n = 2; 2.7%) techniques, respectively. The median PFS was 14.0 years (95% CI 8.3-19.7 years). The estimated PFS after 5 and 10 years were 73.0% and 65.5% in Kaplan-Meier analysis, respectively. The 5- and 10-year LC were 94.9% and 92.3%, respectively. The 5- and 10-year OS were 88.6% and 73.9%. In univariate analyses of PFS, younger patients (≤ 60 years old) had significantly superior PFS to those older than 60 years old (5-year PFS 81.9% vs. 65.1%, p = 0.021). Dose escalation > 36.0 Gy had no prognostic influence in term of PFS (p = 0.425). Extranodal involvement, stage and histology had no prognostic impact on PFS. Depending on the site of lymphomas, the most common acute side effects were: dermatitis CTCAE° I-II (8.0%), xerostomia CTC° I (8.0%), cataract CTC° I (12.0%) and dry eyes CTC° I-II (14.6%). No adverse event CTC° III was reported. Most acute side effects recovered at 3 to 6 months after radiotherapy except for CTC° I cataract and xerostomia. Local Radiotherapy was highly effective for treatment of early stage iNHL with no serious side effects in our cohort. The most acute CTCAE° I-II side effects recovered 3 to 6 months later. Technique advances seem to have further improved effectiveness and tolerability of radiotherapy.Trial registration: Local ethics committee of Ludwig-Maximilian-University (LMU) Munich approved this retrospective analysis on the May 7th, 2019 (Nr. 19-137).

Predictive Factors of Event-Free Survival at 24 Months in Patients with Peripheral T-cell Lymphoma: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

Event-free survival at 24 months (EFS24) is known to be a surrogate marker for overall survival (OS) for patients with peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL). We examined the role of EFS24 in PTCL compared to diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), and then assessed the clinical predictive factors of achieving EFS24.

Materials and Methods

Patients with newly diagnosed PTCL treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy were included. Subsequent OS was defined as the time elapsed from 24 months after diagnosis until death from any cause in those who achieved EFS24.

Results

Overall, 153 patients were evaluated, and 51 patients (33.3%) achieved EFS24. Patients who achieved EFS24 showed superior OS compared to patients who did not (p < 0.001). EFS24 could stratify the subsequent OS although it did not reach to that of the general population. After matching the PTCL group to the DLBCL group based on the international prognostic index, the subsequent OS in patients who achieved EFS24 was similar between the two groups (p=0.094). Advanced stage was a significant factor to predict the failing EFS24 by multivariable analysis (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Patients with PTCL who achieve EFS24 could have a favorable subsequent OS. Since advanced disease stage is a predictor of EFS24 failure, future efforts should focus on developing novel therapeutic strategies for PTCL patients presenting with advanced disease.

Comparison of best supportive care, CHOP, or R-CHOP for treatment of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in Malawi: a cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Cost-effectiveness data for cancer treatment are needed from sub-Saharan Africa, where diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is a common, curable cancer. In high-income countries, the standard of care for DLBCL is R-CHOP (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone) chemoimmunotherapy. Rituximab is often not available in sub-Saharan Africa due to perceived unaffordability, and treatment with CHOP (cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone) is common. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of treatment in Malawi, comparing best supportive care, CHOP, or R-CHOP in patients with DLBCL.

METHODS

For this cost-effectiveness analysis, we used published Malawi microcosting data, clinical data from a prospective cohort treated with CHOP, and clinical trial data evaluating R-CHOP. We used a decision-tree model to calculate costs per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted from the health system perspective for the treatment of patients with DLBCL with best supportive care, CHOP, or R-CHOP, running the model on a per-patient basis and a Malawi population-level basis. We used the WHO definitions of cost-effective (three times the GDP per capita of the country) and extremely cost-effective (equal to the GDP per capita of the country) as willingness-to-pay thresholds for Malawi.

FINDINGS

On a per-patient level, compared with best supportive care, CHOP was estimated to avert a mean 7·4 DALYs at an incremental cost of US$1384, for an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $189 per DALY averted, which is substantially lower than the willingness-to-pay threshold (extremely cost-effective). Compared with CHOP, R-CHOP was estimated to avert 2·8 DALYs at an incremental cost of $3324, resulting in an ICER of $1204 per DALY averted, which is slightly higher than the cost-effective willingness-to-pay threshold. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, CHOP remained cost-effective for DLBCL treatment in more than 99% of simulations, whereas R-CHOP was lower than the threshold in 46% of simulations.

INTERPRETATION

We estimated CHOP to be cost-effective for DLBCL treatment in Malawi, and that the addition of rituximab might be cost-effective. Despite upfront costs, DLBCL treatment is probably a prudent investment relative to other accepted health interventions in sub-Saharan Africa.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health.

Phase III Clinical Trials in First-Line Follicular Lymphoma: A Review of Their Design and Interpretation

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is one of the most common subtypes of non-Hodgkin lymphoma worldwide. Improved survival outcomes with rituximab-based therapy in clinical trials led to the establishment of rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as standard of care for first-line (1L) treatment of FL. In the GALLIUM trial, obinutuzumab-based immunochemotherapy demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS), prolonged time-to-next antilymphoma treatment (TTNT) and comparable overall survival (OS) compared with rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as 1L treatment for FL. Using GALLIUM as an example, this article aims to explain how improved outcomes in 1L treatment of FL have changed the landscape for the design and interpretation of future trials. As approved therapies for 1L FL already achieve good responses, it is becoming more difficult to design trials that demonstrate further treatment benefits with the currently accepted primary endpoints. New endpoints are needed to reflect the long remission times, low relapse rates, and impact of subsequent therapies in FL. PFS is used as a primary efficacy endpoint in registrational clinical trials for indolent malignancies like FL, where improvement in OS is not always observed due to the large number of patients and long study duration required to demonstrate a clear survival benefit. However, there are limitations to using PFS as the primary endpoint. Other potential endpoints, including TTNT, progression of disease within 2 years, response rate, and minimal residual disease status are explored.

Impact on survival through consolidation radiotherapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: a comprehensive meta-analysis

Rituximab has improved response rates and overall survival in B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Radiotherapy is an effective treatment modality for lymphomas, but there is uncertainty on its use as consolidation after chemo-immunotherapy mainly in advanced stages. We evaluated its efficacy with a comprehensive meta-analysis and a systematic search of Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane, and abstracts from ASCO, ASH, ESMO and ASTRO published from June 1966 and December 2018. We identified 11 trials that evaluated consolidation radiotherapy following chemotherapy in a randomized fashion in 4'584 patients. The primary endpoint of this meta-analysis was PFS. As three of the eleven trials were retracted, this data is based on 2414 patients. For the primary endpoint (PFS), we found a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.77 (0.51 to 1.17, pooled (tau2: 0.25; I2: 85%), and a HR of 0.80 (0.53 to 1.21, pooled (bivariate meta-analysis). For overall survival, the HR is 0.93 (0.61 to 1.40; pooled (tau2: 0.25; I2: 74%) and 0.86 (0.58 to 1.27) in a bivariate meta-analysis. The lack of benefit did not change over time (p-value: 0.95 (tau2: 0.32; I2: 88%), and was also absent for PFS when stratifying for chemotherapy, the use of Rituximab, age, the dose of radiotherapy, application to patients in complete remission and with bulky disease. None of the trials used a PET-guided approach. This meta-analysis revealed no survival benefit when consolidation radiotherapy is given to unselected DLBCL patients following chemotherapy. These results need to be considered in future trials in the PET-CT era.

Phase III Clinical Trials in First-Line Follicular Lymphoma: A Review of Their Design and Interpretation

Follicular lymphoma (FL) is one of the most common subtypes of non-Hodgkin lymphoma worldwide. Improved survival outcomes with rituximab-based therapy in clinical trials led to the establishment of rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as standard of care for first-line (1L) treatment of FL. In the GALLIUM trial, obinutuzumab-based immunochemotherapy demonstrated improved progression-free survival (PFS), prolonged time-to-next antilymphoma treatment (TTNT) and comparable overall survival (OS) compared with rituximab-based immunochemotherapy as 1L treatment for FL. Using GALLIUM as an example, this article aims to explain how improved outcomes in 1L treatment of FL have changed the landscape for the design and interpretation of future trials. As approved therapies for 1L FL already achieve good responses, it is becoming more difficult to design trials that demonstrate further treatment benefits with the currently accepted primary endpoints. New endpoints are needed to reflect the long remission times, low relapse rates, and impact of subsequent therapies in FL. PFS is used as a primary efficacy endpoint in registrational clinical trials for indolent malignancies like FL, where improvement in OS is not always observed due to the large number of patients and long study duration required to demonstrate a clear survival benefit. However, there are limitations to using PFS as the primary endpoint. Other potential endpoints, including TTNT, progression of disease within 2 years, response rate, and minimal residual disease status are explored.

Differences in treatment effect size between progression-free survival and overall survival in anti-PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors-based trials in advanced NSCLC: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

To investigate the differences in treatment effect sizes between progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) and its ligand (PD-L1) blockade-based treatments.

Methods

The differences in treatment effect sizes between PFS and OS were assessed by using a ratio of hazard ratio (rHR): the HR for PFS to that for OS. A random effects meta-analysis across trials was conducted to generate the combined rHR. We also evaluated the feasibility of adopting PFS as the surrogate of OS by using Spearman correlation coefficient (R) between logHR_PFS and logHR_OS.

Results

A total of 27 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with 15,590 patients were included. Treatment effect sizes were comparable, on average, for OS than for PFS (pooled rHR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.08). Subgroup analysis revealed that treatment effect sizes were greater for OS than for PFS for trials with immunotherapy as second or above line treatment (rHR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06 to 1.29), while the differences were greater for PFS than for OS for trials with immunotherapy as first-line setting (rHR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.99; P_interaction<0.01). The coefficient of determination was 40% and R was 0.63 between logHR_PFS and logHR_OS. Subgroup analysis showed that coefficient of determination and R were 62% and 0.79 in trials with immunotherapy as first-line setting, 22% and 0.47 in trials with immunotherapy as second or above line treatment, respectively.

Discussion

Treatment effect sizes between PFS and OS were roughly consistent in trials with different anti-PD-(L)1 inhibitor-based therapies. PFS could be a potential alternative endpoint for OS in trials with immunotherapy as first-line setting, but PFS should be cautiously interpreted without OS data for trials with immunotherapy as second or above line treatment.

Relapsed/Refractory International Prognostic Index (R/R-IPI): An international prognostic calculator for relapsed/refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Disease progression after frontline therapy for Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is a clinically significant event. Patients who experience early progression or have refractory disease have especially poor outcomes. Simple, clinically applicable prognostic tools are needed for selecting patients for consideration for novel therapies and prognostication in the relapsed/refractory (R/R) setting. Model building was performed in patients from the Surrogate endpoints in aggressive lymphoma (SEAL) consortium with disease progression after frontline immunochemotherapy. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) measured from date of progression. Validation was performed in the University of Iowa/Mayo Clinic SPORE Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) and Danish National Lymphoma Register (LYFO) cohorts. Model performance was assessed using time-dependent concordance indices (c-statistic) and calibration with metrics evaluated at 2 years from progression. Note, 1234 of 5112 patients treated with frontline immunochemotherapy in the SEAL consortium developed progressive disease. Time to progression on immunochemotherapy and age at progression were strongly associated with post-progression OS (both p < 0.001). A prognostic model was developed incorporating spline fit for both variables. The model had good concordance in the discovery (0.67) and validation sets (LYFO c = 0.64, MER c = 0.68) with generally good calibration. Time to progression on frontline therapy is strongly associated with post-progression OS in DLBCL. We developed and validated a simple to apply clinical prognostic tool in the R/R setting. The useful prediction of expected outcomes in R/R DLBCL and can inform treatment decisions such as considerations for CAR-T therapy as well as trial designs. The model is available in smartphone-based point of care applications.

Prognostic Impact of Baseline Immunologic Profile in Aggressive B-cell non-Hodgkin's Lymphomas

Host immune homeostasis as an independent prognostic indicator has been inadequately evaluated in aggressive non-Hodgkin's lymphomas (NHL). The present study addresses the prognostic significance in aggressive NHLs of the immunologic profile evaluated by pretreatment serum levels of immunoglobulins (Ig) and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR). In this series of 90 patients with aggressive lymphoma, the median level for IgG was 1,024mg/dl (range 436-2236), and for LMR was 2.2 (range 0.2-13.8). CR rate was higher with IgG levels ≥1,024mg/dL (91% vs 77% p=0.059). LMR ≤ 2.2 was associated with lower 1-year PFS (73% vs. 92%, p 0.016). Patients with good/very good R-IPI showed a reduced PFS if IgG or LMR was low, while patients with poor R-IPI did better if LMR or IgG levels were high. We combined both parameters with the R-IPI and produced a four-risk prognostic score showing one-year PFS of 95% (95% CI 68%-99%), 100% (95% CI 100%-100%), 73% (95% CI 52%-86%), and 59% (95% CI 31%-79%), in patients with zero, one, two and three risk factors, respectively. The results indicate for the first time the value of baseline serum Ig levels in the prognostic assessment of aggressive lymphoma.

International prognostic indices in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: a comparison of IPI, R-IPI, and NCCN-IPI

Great heterogeneity in survival exists for patients newly diagnosed with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Three scoring systems incorporating simple clinical parameters (age, lactate dehydrogenase, number/sites of involvement, stage, performance status) are widely used: the International Prognostic Index (IPI), revised IPI (R-IPI), and National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI (NCCN-IPI). We evaluated 2124 DLBCL patients treated from 1998 to 2009 with frontline rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP; or variant) across 7 multicenter randomized clinical trials to determine which scoring system best discriminates overall survival (OS). Median age was 63 years, and 56% of patients were male. Five-year OS estimates ranged from 54% to 88%, from 61% to 93%, and from 49% to 92% using the IPI, R-IPI, and NCCN-IPI, respectively. The NCCN-IPI had the greatest absolute difference in OS estimates between the highest- and lowest-risk groups and best discriminated OS (concordance index = 0.632 vs 0.626 [IPI] vs 0.590 [R-IPI]). For each given IPI risk category, NCCN-IPI risk categories were significantly associated with OS (P ≤ .01); the reverse was not true, and the IPI did not provide additional significant prognostic information within all NCCN-IPI risk categories. Collectively, the NCCN-IPI outperformed the IPI and R-IPI. Patients with low-risk NCCN-IPI had favorable survival outcomes with little room for further improvement. In the rituximab era, none of the clinical risk scores identified a patient subgroup with long-term survival clearly <50%. Integrating molecular features of the tumor and microenvironment into the NCCN-IPI or IPI might better characterize a high-risk group for which novel treatment approaches are most needed.

Assessment of the information theory approach to evaluating time-to-event surrogate and true endpoints in a meta-analytic setting

In many disease areas, commonly used long-term clinical endpoints are becoming increasingly difficult to implement due to long follow-up times and/or increased costs. Shorter-term surrogate endpoints are urgently needed to expedite drug development, the evaluation of which requires robust and reliable statistical methodology to drive meaningful clinical conclusions about the strength of relationship with the true long-term endpoint. This paper uses a simulation study to explore one such previously proposed method, based on information theory, for evaluation of time to event surrogate and long-term endpoints, including the first examination within a meta-analytic setting of multiple clinical trials with such endpoints. The performance of the information theory method is examined for various scenarios including different dependence structures, surrogate endpoints, censoring mechanisms, treatment effects, trial and sample sizes, and for surrogate and true endpoints with a natural time-ordering. Results allow us to conclude that, contrary to some findings in the literature, the approach provides estimates of surrogacy that may be substantially lower than the true relationship between surrogate and true endpoints, and rarely reach a level that would enable confidence in the strength of a given surrogate endpoint. As a result, care is needed in the assessment of time to event surrogate and true endpoints based only on this methodology.

Progression-free survival at 24 months and subsequent survival of patients with extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma: a China Lymphoma Collaborative Group (CLCG) study

Limited evidence supports the use of early endpoints to evaluate the success of initial treatment of extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma (ENKTCL) in the modern era. We aim to analyze progression-free survival at 24 months (PFS24) and subsequent overall survival (OS) in a large-scale multicenter cohort of patients. 1790 patients were included from the China Lymphoma Collaborative Group (CLCG) database. Subsequent OS was defined from the time of PFS24 or progression within 24 months to death. OS was compared with age- and sex-matched general Chinese population using expected survival and standardized mortality ratio (SMR). Patients who did not achieve PFS24 had a median OS of 5.3 months after progression, with 5-year OS rate of 19.2% and the SMR of 71.4 (95% CI, 62.9-81.1). In contrast, 74% patients achieved PFS24, and the SMR after achieving PFS24 was 1.77 (95% CI, 1.34-2.34). The observed OS rate after PFS24 versus expected OS rate at 5 years was 92.2% versus 94.3%. Similarly, superior outcomes following PFS24 were observed in early-stage patients (5-year OS rate, 92.9%). Patients achieving PFS24 had excellent outcome, whereas patients exhibiting earlier progression had a poor survival. These marked differences suggest that PFS24 may be used for study design and risk stratification in ENKTCL.

Association of progression-free or event-free survival with overall survival in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma after immunochemotherapy: a systematic review

To investigate progression-free survival (PFS) and event-free survival (EFS) as early efficacy endpoints in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), this systematic review included phase III randomized controlled trials (RCTs), phase II trials, and retrospective studies in newly diagnosed DLBCL receiving rituximab-containing chemotherapy through databases search up to 2019. Quality control was performed, where studies with high risk of bias were excluded. Prediction models were first established using the RCTs, and then externally validated in the phase II and retrospective populations. Trial-level surrogacy analysis was conducted by correlating the logarithmic (log) hazard ratio (HR) for PFS or EFS and log HR for OS. Correlation analysis at treatment arm-level was performed between 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year PFS or EFS rates and 5-year OS. The correlation was evaluated using the Pearson correlation coefficient r in weighted linear regression, with weight equal to patient size. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the consistency of predictive model by leaving one subgroup of trials out at a time. Twenty-six phase III RCTs, 4 phase II trials and 47 retrospective studies were included. In trial-level surrogacy, PFS (r, 0.772; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.471-0.913) or EFS (r, 0.838; 95% CI, 0.625-0.938) were associated with OS. For rituximab immunochemotherapy treatment arms in RCTs, there was a linear correlation between 1 and 5-year PFS (r, 0.813-0.873) or EFS (r, 0.853-0.931) and 5-year OS. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated reasonable overall consistency. The correlation between PFS and OS was externally validated using independent phase II, and retrospective data (r, 0.795-0.897). We recommend PFS and EFS as earlier efficacy endpoints in patients with DLBCL primarily treated with rituximab-containing immunochemotherapy.

Event-free survival at 12 months is a strong surrogate endpoint for stage 1 diffuse large B cell lymphoma: a report from Nation Wide Registry Thai Lymphoma Study Group

Event-free survival at 12 months (EFS12) is a surrogate endpoint for long-term outcomes in many histologic lymphoma subtypes. However, most reports have primarily investigated the implication of EFS12 in advanced-stage non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). There are limited data regarding the significance of EFS12 in early-stage NHL. Herein, we evaluated the prognostic significance of EFS12 in patients with stage 1 diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Out of 282 patients with stage 1 DLBCL who received intensive therapy, 227 (80.5%) achieved EFS12. The 4-year overall survival (OS) was 91.4% and 4.0% for patients who achieved and failed to achieve EFS12, respectively. Multivariable analyses demonstrated response to treatment and achievement of EFS12 as independent predictors for OS. In conclusion, our study demonstrated EFS12 as a powerful prognostic factor for stage 1 DLBCL. Further validation in more extensive prospective studies is warranted.

The interval between progression and therapy initiation is the key prognostic parameter in relapsing diffuse large B cell lymphoma: analysis from the Czech Lymphoma Study Group database (NIHIL)

Relapsing diffuse large B cell lymphomas (rDLBCL) represent a heterogeneous disease. This heterogeneity should be recognized and reflected, because it can deform the interpretation of clinical trial results. DLBCL patients with the first relapse and without CNS involvement were identified in the Czech Lymphoma Study Group (CLSG) database. Interval-to-therapy (ITT) was defined as the time between the first manifestation of rDLBCL and the start of any treatment. The overall survival (OS) of different ITT cohorts (< 7 vs. 7-21 vs. > 21 days) was compared. In total, 587 rDLBCLs (51.8% males) progressed with a median of 12.8 months (range 1.6 to 152.3) since the initial diagnosis (2000-2017). At the time of relapse, the median age was 67 years (range 22-95). First-line therapy was administered in 99.3% of the patients; CHOP and anti-CD20 were given to 69.2% and 84.7% of the patients, respectively. The salvage immune/chemotherapy was administered in 88.1% of the patients (39.2% platinum-based regimen). The median ITT was 20 days (range 1-851), but 23.2% of patients initiated therapy within 7 days. The 5-year OS was 17.4% (range 10-24.5%) vs. 20.5% (range 13.5-27.4%) vs. 42.2% (range 35.5-48.8%) for ITT < 7 vs. 7-21 vs. > 21 days (p < 0.001). ITT was associated with B symptoms (p 0.004), ECOG (p < 0.001), stage (p 0.002), bulky disease (p 0.005), elevated LDH (p < 0.001), and IPI (p < 0.001). The ITT mirrors the real clinical behavior of rDLBCL. There are patients (ITT < 7 days) with aggressive disease and a poor outcome. Conversely, there are rDLBCLs with ITT ≥ 21 days who survive for a long time.

Pre-Therapeutic Total Lesion Glycolysis on [18F]FDG-PET Enables Prognostication of 2-Year Progression-Free Survival in MALT Lymphoma Patients Treated with CD20-Antibody-Based Immunotherapy

PURPOSE

Standardized uptake values (SUV), total metabolic tumor volumes (TMTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) based on positron emission tomography with 2-deoxy-2-[¹⁸F]fluoro-D-glucose ([¹⁸F]FDG/positron emission tomography (PET) are established outcome predictors in FDG-avid lymphomas. We therefore investigated whether these biomarkers also have prognostic value in extranodal marginal zone B cell lymphoma of the mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue (MALT lymphoma), with a focus on patients treated with anti-CD20 antibody-based immunotherapy.

PROCEDURES

Pre-therapeutic [¹⁸F]FDG/PET scans of 61 treatment-naïve MALT lymphoma patients, including 35 scheduled for anti-CD20 antibody-based immunotherapy, were included in this retrospective study. SUVmean, SUVmax, TMTV, and TLG were measured and tested for 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) prognostication, using Cox regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine optimal cutoffs for prognostic [¹⁸F]FDG/PET parameters, and Kaplan-Meier estimates with log rank tests were performed.

RESULTS

After 2 years, progression had occurred in 12/61 patients (CD20-anitbody group 6/35). TLG emerged as the only significant prognostic factor for 2-year PFS in the multivariate analyses with forward selection, both in entire cohort (hazard ratio HR, 1.001; 95 % CI, 1.001-1.002; P < 0.0001) and in the CD20-antibody group (HR, 1.001; 95 % CI, 1.001-1.002; P = 0.001). However, in the entire population, where 8/26 patients with a TLG > 90 (30.8 %) vs. 4/35 patients with a TLG ≤ 90 (11.4 %) showed progression within the 2-year observation period, TLG-based separation of risk groups failed (HR, 0.35; 95 % CI, 0.10-1.15; P = 0.069); whereas in the CD20-antibody group, where 6/16 patients with a TLG > 90 (37.5 %) vs. 0/19 patients with a TLG ≤ 90 (0.0 %) showed progression, risk group separation was successful (HR, 0.010; 95 % CI, 0.0001-8.068; P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

TLG may improve early risk stratification of MALT lymphoma patients treated with CD20-antibody-based immunotherapy.

Minimal relapse risk and early normalization of survival for patients with Burkitt lymphoma treated with intensive immunochemotherapy: an international study of 264 real-world patients

Non-endemic Burkitt lymphoma (BL) is a rare germinal centre B-cell-derived malignancy with the genetic hallmark of MYC gene translocation and with rapid tumour growth as a distinct clinical feature. To investigate treatment outcomes, loss of lifetime and relapse risk in adult BL patients treated with intensive immunochemotherapy, retrospective clinic-based and population-based lymphoma registries from six countries were used to identify 264 real-world patients. The median age was 47 years and the majority had advanced-stage disease and elevated LDH. Treatment protocols were R-CODOX-M/IVAC (47%), R-hyper-CVAD (16%), DA-EPOCH-R (11%), R-BFM/GMALL (25%) and other (2%) leading to an overall response rate of 89%. The two-year overall survival and event-free survival were 84% and 80% respectively. For patients in complete remission/unconfirmed, the two-year relapse risk was 6% but diminished to 0·6% for patients reaching 12 months of post-remission event-free survival (pEFS12). The loss of lifetime for pEFS12 patients was 0·4 (95% CI: -0·7 to 2) months. In conclusion, real-world outcomes of adult BL are excellent following intensive immunochemotherapy. For pEFS12 patients, the relapse risk was low and life expectancy similar to that of a general population, which is important information for developing meaningful follow-up strategies with increased focus on survivorship and less focus on routine disease surveillance.

On estimating the time to statistical cure

BACKGROUND

The mortality risk among cancer patients measured from the time of diagnosis is often elevated in comparison to the general population. However, for some cancer types, the patient mortality risk will over time reach the same level as the general population mortality risk. The time point at which the mortality risk reaches the same level as the general population is called the cure point and is of great interest to patients, clinicians, and health care planners. In previous studies, estimation of the cure point has been handled in an ad hoc fashion, often without considerations about margins of clinical relevance.

METHODS

We review existing methods for estimating the cure point and discuss new clinically relevant measures for quantifying the mortality difference between cancer patients and the general population, which can be used for cure point estimation. The performance of the methods is assessed in a simulation study and the methods are illustrated on survival data from Danish colon cancer patients.

RESULTS

The simulations revealed that the bias of the estimated cure point depends on the measure chosen for quantifying the excess mortality, the chosen margin of clinical relevance, and the applied estimation procedure. These choices are interdependent as the choice of mortality measure depends both on the ability to define a margin of clinical relevance and the ability to accurately compute the mortality measure. The analysis of cancer survival data demonstrates the importance of considering the confidence interval of the estimated cure point, as these may be wide in some scenarios limiting the applicability of the estimated cure point.

CONCLUSIONS

Although cure points are appealing in a clinical context and has widespread applicability, estimation remains a difficult task. The estimation relies on a number of choices, each associated with pitfalls that the practitioner should be aware of.

Microsatellite instability and its associations with the clinicopathologic characteristics of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Microsatellite instability (MSI) has been investigated as a prognostic and predictive factor for chemotherapy in colorectal cancer and has recently been demonstrated to be predictive of the PD‐1/PD‐L1 checkpoint blockade response in various solid tumors. However, MSI status in diffuse large B‐cell lymphomas (DLBCLs) has not been thoroughly explored. This study investigated MSI status in DLBCLs and analyzed the associations between MSI and clinicopathologic characteristics and clinical outcomes. Ninety‐two cases of primary DLBCLs treated with R‐CHOP/CHOP chemotherapy between 2009 and 2017 were collected. MSI detection was performed by the Promega MSI Analysis System. The protein expression of MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, and PMS2 was detected by immunohistochemistry. The associations of MSI‐H and MSI‐L with progression‐free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by COX models and Kaplan–Meier curves. The correlations of complete response (CR) after R‐CHOP/CHOP chemotherapy with MSI‐H and MSI‐L were examined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, respectively. 3 of 92 cases (3.2%) were high MSI (MSI‐H), and 9 cases (9/92, 9.8%) exhibited low MSI (MSI‐L). One case with MSI‐H showed negative expression of MSH2 and MSH6. Univariate analysis indicated that MSI‐L was correlated with poor response to R‐CHOP/CHOP chemotherapy in DLBCLs (OR, 0.178; 95% CI, 0.041‐0.776; P = .022). Multivariate analysis showed that MSI‐L was an independent predictive factor for non‐CR to R‐CHOP/CHOP chemotherapy (OR, 0.144; 95% CI, 0.027‐0.761; P = .023). Kaplan‐Meier curves showed that there was a trend that MSI‐H patients had favorable PFS (P = .36) and OS (P = .48), which did not have statistical significance and MSI‐L was not significantly correlated with PFS (P = .24) and OS (P = .52).Our study indicated that there existed MSI‐H and MSI‐L in DLBCLs. MSI‐L could be an independent predictive factor for the chemotherapy response in DLBCLs.

A network meta-analysis of maintenance therapy in chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Background

Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is incurable through conventional chemoimmunotherapy regimens. Despite durable responses to front-line therapy and sustained remission rates in patients with CLL, a majority of patients eventually relapse in 5 years of initial treatment. The depth of the response may affect the length of response. Maintenance therapies were aimed to deep remissions and extend the period of disease quiescence. Lenalidomide, rituximab and ofatumumab had demonstrated some efficacy as a maintenance therapy compared to no intervention for CLL patients. The relative effect on disease control and safety between different maintenance therapies were unclear.

Methods

We performed a systematic literature review and network meta-analysis to evaluate relative effect on disease control and safety of current available maintenance therapies. We searched PubMed, Embase and Cochrane database up to March 6, 2019. Relevant reference of review article and conference abstract including European Hematology Association Annual Meeting (EHA 2018), American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting (ASH 2018) and American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting (ASCO 2018) were searched. Randomized controlled trials (RCT) involving current available maintenance therapy including “Lenalidomide”, “Rituximab”, “Ofatumumab”, “Ibrutinib”, “Idelalisib”, “Venetoclax”and “Obinutuzumab”were eligible. Outcomes of interest included progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS) and serious adverse events (SAE) in CLL patients received subsequent maintenance therapy. Two authors CHL and CL) independently assessed eligibility for all identified citations and extracted data from the original trial reports. The selected studies’ risk of bias was assessed following the guidelines of Cochrane Collaboration Handbook.

Results

In total, six phase III RCTs with total 1,615 CLL patients were identified. Maintenance therapy using lenalidomide, rituximab, and ofatumumab demonstrated a statistically significant effect in prolongation of progression-free survival (HR:0.37, 95% CI: 0.27–0.50 of lenalidomide; HR:0.50, 95% CI: 0.38–0.66 of rituximab; HR:0.52, 95% CI:0.41–0.66 of ofatumumab, separately) compared with no intervention; however, for overall survival, the effect of maintenance therapy showed no significant difference versus no intervention (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.70–1.14). Lenalidomide showed the best efficacy for PFS (HR: 0.37, 95% CI: 0.27–0.50, Probability of being best treatment: 96%).

Conclusions

Our network meta-analysis provided an integrated overview of relative efficacy and safety of different maintenance therapies in CLL. All maintenance therapies were effective in reducing the risk of disease progression versus no intervention. Based on current best evidence, maintenance therapy with lenalidomide is the most efficacious option.

Summary of the Third Annual Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network Myeloma Intergroup Workshop on Minimal Residual Disease and Immune Profiling

The third annual Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (BMT CTN) Myeloma Intergroup Workshop on Minimal Residual Disease and Immune Profiling was held on November 29, 2018, at the American Society of Hematology (ASH) annual meeting. This workshop featured the latest research focused on minimal residual disease (MRD) assessment and immune profiling (IP) in myeloma as well as discussion of the statistical and regulatory issues intrinsic to the development of MRD as a surrogate endpoint. In this report, we provide a summary of the workshop and focus on the integration of MRD and IP assessment into trial design and clinical practice.

Event free survival at 24 months is a strong surrogate prognostic endpoint of peripheral T cell lymphoma

Event free survival at 24 months (EFS24) has been described as a powerful predictor for outcome in several subtypes of B cell lymphoma. However, it was limitedly described in T cell lymphoma. We explored the implication of EFS24 as a predictor marker for peripheral T cell lymphoma (PTCL). We reviewed 293 systemic PTCL patients at 13 nationwide major university hospitals in Thailand from 2007 to 2014. The median event free survival (EFS) and overall survival (OS) of PTCL patients in our cohort was 16.3 and 27.7 months with corresponding 2-year EFS and 2-year OS of 45.8% and 51.9%, respectively. A total of 118 patients achieved EFS24 (no events during the first 24 mo). Patients who achieved EFS24 had better OS than patients who did not (2-y OS 92% vs 18.8%; HR, 0.1; P < .001). The standardized mortality ratio of patients achieving EFS24 was 18.7 (95% CI, 14.6-22.8). Multivariable analysis demonstrated performance status, histologic subtype, remission status, and EFS24 achievement as independent predictors for OS. Our study affirmed the value of EFS24 as a powerful prognostic factor for PTCL. Further validation in prospective study setting is warranted.

Rituximab in primary central nervous system lymphoma-A systematic review and meta-analysis

The CD-20 antibody rituximab is a standard component of treatment of non-Hodgkin B-cell lymphomas, including diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Primary DLBCL of the central nervous system, also called primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL), is a DLBCL confined to the central nervous system. There has been debate whether intravenous rituximab accumulates sufficiently in the central nervous system to exert an effect. In this systematic review, we assess the benefits and harms of rituximab in the treatment of immunocompetent patients with PCNSL. By searching MEDLINE, CENTRAL, and ClincialTrials.gov up to March 2019, we identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) investigating the effect of rituximab in patients with PCNSL. We extracted study characteristics and results, assessed risk of bias, performed trial-level random-effects meta-analyses, and graded the certainty of evidence. The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019121965). Main outcomes were overall survival (time to death), progression-free survival (time to progression or death), quality of life, grades 3 and 4 toxicity, and treatment-related mortality. We included two RCTs with a total of 343 participants. Overall survival was not statistically significantly improved (HR 0.76; 95% CI, 0.52-1.12; low certainty), with 187 fewer to 39 more deaths after 2 years in 1000 treated patients. Low certainty of evidence indicated that rituximab improved progression-free survival (HR 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45-0.95), which translated into 137 fewer progressions or deaths after 2 years in 1000 treated patients (231 to 18 fewer). None of the RCTs provided data on quality of life. We found no evidence that rituximab increased grades 3 and 4 toxicity or treatment-related mortality (RR 0.53; 95% CI, 0.20-1.37; low certainty). Overall, the available evidence suggests with low certainty that rituximab in combination with methotrexate-based chemotherapy may improve progression-free survival in immunocompetent patients with newly diagnosed PCNSL, the pooled effect estimates did not show evidence for improvement of overall survival.