Long-term prognostic value of longitudinal measurements of blood neurofilament levels

Current challenges in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: diagnosis, activity detection and treatment

Approximately 50% diagnosed with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) transition to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) within 20 years following disease onset. However, early diagnosis of SPMS and effective treatment remain important clinical challenges. The lack of established diagnostic criteria often leads to delays in identifying SPMS. Also, there are limited disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) available for progressive forms of MS, and these therapies require evidence of disease activity to be initiated. This review examines the challenges in diagnosing SPMS at an early stage and summarizes the current and potential use of biomarkers of disease progression in clinical practice. We also discuss the difficulties in initiating the DMTs indicated for active SPMS (aSPMS), particularly in patients already undergoing treatment with DMTs that suppress disease activity, which may mask the presence of inflammatory activity required for the therapy switch. The article also addresses the DMTs available for both active and non-active SPMS, along with the clinical trials that supported the approval of DMTs indicated for aSPMS or relapsing MS in Europe, which includes aSPMS. We also offer insights on when discontinuing these treatments may be appropriate.

Increased Disability Progression in rs10191329AA Carriers with Multiple Sclerosis Is Preceded by Neurofilament Light Chain Elevations

OBJECTIVE

We examined the impact of the rs10191329 genetic risk variant on neuroaxonal damage as measured by serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels, and disability progression in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS).

METHODS

In a cohort of pwMS (n = 740), 658 participants were prospectively monitored every 2 years for less than a decade while 82 of 740 pwMS were monitored retrospectively for up to 40 years. We investigated associations between rs10191329 variants and clinical outcome, including Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), disability accrual (defined by EDSS-increase of at least 1.5 for patients starting at EDSS 0, at least 1.0 EDSS-points for patients with an initial EDSS between 1 and 4.5 and at least 0.5 points for patients starting with an EDSS equal or greater than 5) and progression to secondary progressive MS (SPMS). Clinical outcomes were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses. Disability accumulation over time was depicted using a generalized mixed-effect model. Single-molecule array was used to assess sNfL levels.

RESULTS

Homozygous, heterozygous, and non-carriers of the rs10191329 risk variant displayed comparable sNfL levels indicating similar neuroaxonal damage at the time of diagnosis. Importantly, in homozygous carriers we found highest sNfL levels in follow-up visits preceding elevated disease progression later in the disease course, a steeper increase in overall disability measures and higher probability of SPMS development.

INTERPRETATION

These findings highlight how genetic variants may serve as new biomarkers for disease progression and can be used for personalized medicine and risk assessment in MS. ANN NEUROL 2025;97:596-605.

The role of Neurofilament light (NfL) and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) in MS and AQP4-NMOSD: Advancing clinical applications

Fluid biomarkers such as Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein (GFAP) and Neurofilament Light (NfL) play important roles in the diagnosis, monitoring, and evaluation of therapeutic responses in conditions such as Multiple Sclerosis (MS) and Aquaporin-4 Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder (AQP4-NMOSD). These biomarkers offer key insights into the underlying pathophysiological mechanisms of these diseases, enabling effective follow-up and personalized treatment approaches, which are essential for improving patient outcomes. Herein, we synthesize the structural attributes, functional roles, and clinical significance of GFAP and NfL in the context of MS and AQP4-NMOSD. We explore the critical implications of these biomarkers in disease manifestation and progression, emphasizing the necessity to develop standardized methodologies and multicentric studies to confirm their clinical applicability.

Measuring Disease Progression in Multiple Sclerosis Clinical Drug Trials and Impact on Future Patient Care

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic immune-mediated disease of the central nervous system characterised by inflammation, demyelination and neurodegeneration. Although several drugs are approved for MS, their efficacy in progressive disease is modest. Addressing disease progression as a treatment goal in MS is challenging due to several factors. These include a lack of complete understanding of the pathophysiological mechanisms driving MS and the absence of sensitive markers of disease progression in the short-term of clinical trials. MS usually begins at a young age and lasts for decades, whereas clinical research often spans only 1-3 years. Additionally, there is no unifying definition of disease progression. Several drugs are currently being investigated for progressive MS. In addition to new medications, the rise of new technologies and of adaptive trial designs is enabling larger and more integrated data collection. Remote assessments and decentralised clinical trials are becoming feasible. These will allow more efficient and large studies at a lower cost and with less burden on study participants. As new drugs are developed and research evolves, we anticipate a concurrent change in patient care at various levels in the foreseeable future. We conducted a narrative review to discuss the challenges of accurately measuring disease progression in contemporary MS drug trials, some new research trends and their implications for patient care.

CSF sphingolipids are correlated with neuroinflammatory cytokines and differentiate neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder from multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

There is a need for biomarkers of disease progression and therapeutic response in multiple sclerosis (MS). This study aimed to identify cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) lipids that differentiate MS from other neuroinflammatory conditions and correlate with Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores, gadolinium-enhancing lesions or inflammatory mediators.

METHODS

Lipids and inflammatory cytokines/chemokines were quantified with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry and multiplex ELISA, respectively, in CSF from people with untreated MS, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD), other inflammatory neurological diseases and non-inflammatory neurological diseases (NIND). Analytes were compared between groups using analysis of variance, and correlations were assessed with Pearson's analysis.

RESULTS

Twenty-five sphingolipids and four lysophosphatidylcholines were significantly higher in NMOSD compared with MS and NIND cases, whereas no lipids differed significantly between MS and NIND. A combination of three sphingolipids differentiated NMOSD from MS with the area under the curve of 0.92 in random forest models. Ninety-four lipids, including those that differentiated NMOSD from MS, were positively correlated with macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) and 37 lipids were positively correlated with CSF protein in two independent MS cohorts. EDSS was inversely correlated with cholesterol ester CE(16:0) in both MS cohorts. In contrast, MIF and soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 were positively associated with EDSS.

CONCLUSIONS

CSF sphingolipids are positively correlated with markers of neuroinflammation and differentiate NMOSD from MS. The inverse correlation between EDSS and CE(16:0) levels may reflect poor clearance of cholesterol released during myelin break-down and warrants further investigation as a biomarker of therapeutic response.

Cytomegalovirus immune responses are associated with lower serum NfL and disability accumulation risk at multiple sclerosis onset

BACKGROUND

Infection by cytomegalovirus (HCMV) and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) play a prognostic role in multiple sclerosis (MS).

OBJECTIVES

To explore whether humoral immune responses to HCMV and EBV at disease onset were associated with changes in serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) levels of inflammatory and neurodegeneration biomarkers.

METHODS

Ninety-eight MS patients with a median follow-up of 20 years were included in the study. The levels of a panel of nine biomarkers were measured in serum (N = 60) and CSF (N = 61) samples of patients at the time of the first demyelinating event.

RESULTS

Immune responses to HCMV inversely correlated with serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels (rho = -0.367; p = 0.039). sNfL levels were reduced in patients with high immune responses to HCMV (p = 0.006). Elevated sNfL levels were associated with higher risk of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) 3.0 (p = 0.016), 4.0 (p = 0.009) and 6.0 (p = 0.003), and with higher risk of developing secondary progressive MS (p = 0.003) and to receive treatment (p = 0.032). Serum soluble CD21 levels were increased in patients with high immune responses to EBV nuclear antigen 1 (p = 0.020).

CONCLUSIONS

High immune responses to HCMV are associated with limited disease progression and central nervous system (CNS) injury in MS patients. These findings reinforce the protective role of HCMV infection in MS.

Novel and Emerging Treatments to Target Pathophysiological Mechanisms in Various Phenotypes of Multiple Sclerosis

The objective is to comprehensively review novel pharmacotherapies used in multiple sclerosis (MS) and the possibilities they may carry for therapeutic improvement. Specifically, we discuss pathophysiological mechanisms worth targeting in MS, ranging from well known targets, such as autoinflammation and demyelination, to more novel and advanced targets, such as neuroaxonal damage and repair. To set the stage, a brief overview of clinical MS phenotypes is provided, followed by a comprehensive recapitulation of both clinical and paraclinical outcomes available to assess the effectiveness of treatments in achieving these targets. Finally, we discuss various promising novel and emerging treatments, including their respective hypothesized modes of action and currently available evidence from clinical trials. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: This comprehensive review discusses pathophysiological mechanisms worth targeting in multiple sclerosis. Various promising novel and emerging treatments, including their respective hypothesized modes of action and currently available evidence from clinical trials, are reviewed.

Guidance for use of neurofilament light chain as a cerebrospinal fluid and blood biomarker in multiple sclerosis management

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a long-awaited blood biomarker that can provide clinically useful information about prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in multiple sclerosis (MS). There is now substantial evidence for this biomarker to be used alongside magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical measures of disease progression as a decision-making tool for the management of patients with MS. Serum NfL (sNfL) has certain advantages over traditional measures of MS disease progression such as MRI because it is relatively noninvasive, inexpensive, and can be repeated frequently to monitor activity and treatment efficacy. sNfL levels can be monitored regularly in patients with MS to determine change from baseline and predict subclinical disease activity, relapse risk, and the development of gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) lesions. sNfL does not replace MRI, which provides information related to spatial localisation and lesion stage. Laboratory platforms are starting to be made available for clinical application of sNfL in several countries. Further work is needed to resolve issues around comparisons across testing platforms (absolute values) and normalisation (reference ranges) in order to guide interpretation of the results.

[Neurofilament light chain: a diagnostic potential for multiple sclerosis]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the influence of disease activity, the degree of patient disability and pathogenetic therapy on the concentration of neurofilament light chain (NFL) in the blood serum of patients with multiple sclerosis (MS).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

One hundred and fourteen patients (84 women and 30 men) with definite MS were examined. The concentration of NFL in the blood serum of patients with MS was determined by enzyme immunoassay. The level of NFL was analyzed depending on the characteristics of the course and activity of the demyelinating process, the severity of neurological disorders as well as disease modifying drugs (DMDs).

RESULTS

An NFL level equal to or greater than 4201 pg/ml was found to be associated with a higher risk of developing a clinical exacerbation in the next 4 months. In patients with progression of disability over the next 2 years, the initial concentration of NFL was significantly higher than in the group with a stable EDSS score. The NFL level (4943 pg/ml and higher), which may be a predictor of increased disability in the next two years, was established.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrates the possibility of using serum NFL levels as a diagnostic marker of possible exacerbation, as well as predicting disability in patients with MS.

Multiple sclerosis: time for early treatment with high-efficacy drugs

This review addresses current changes in the approach to treating patients with multiple sclerosis (MS). The widely practiced approach of utilizing agents with lower treatment efficacy (LETA) at onset with subsequent escalation has been challenged by new data suggesting that MS patients derive greater benefit when therapy is initiated with high-efficacy treatment agents (HETA). Several recent studies compared treatment efficacy and safety of early administration of HETA versus LETA. The results of randomized, double blind, phase III studies with LETA as a control arm and population-based larger and longer studies using propensity scoring, marginal structural modeling and weighted cumulative exposure analysis support the benefit of early treatment with HETA. Patients initiating their treatment with HETA, regardless of prognostic factors and MRI burden at baseline, showed significantly lower annualized relapse rate (ARR) and reduced disability progression in follow-up periods of up to 10-15 years. Moreover, the safety profile of recently approved HETA ameliorates concerns about off-target effects associated with a number of earlier high-efficacy drugs. Patient perception has also changed with an increasing preference for medication profiles that both improve symptoms and prevent disease progression. Accumulating data from randomized studies and the results of large population-based studies demonstrating short-term and longer-term patient benefits support the view that HETA should be more widely used. The adoption of early treatment with HETA capitalizes on a window of opportunity for anti-inflammatory drugs to maximally impact disease pathology and heralds a sea change in clinical practice toward pro-active management and away from a philosophy routed in generating clinical benefit as a consequence of treatment failure.

High serum neurofilament light chain levels correlate with brain atrophy and physical disability in multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) is a promising biomarker of neuroaxonal damage in persons with multiple sclerosis (pwMS). In cross-sectional studies, sNfL has been associated with disease activity and brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) changes; however, it is still unclear to what extent in particular high sNfL levels impact on subsequent disease evolution.

METHODS

sNfL was quantified by an ultrasensitive single molecule array (Simoa) in 199 pwMS (median age = 34.2 years, 64.3% female) and 49 controls. All pwMS underwent 3-T MRI to assess global and compartmental normalized brain volumes, T2-lesion load, and cortical mean thickness. Follow-up data and serum samples were available in 144 pwMS (median follow-up time = 3.8 years). Linear and binary logistic models were used to estimate the independent contribution of sNfL for changes in MRI and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Age-corrected sNfL z-scores from a normative database of healthy controls were used for sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

High sNfL levels at baseline were associated with atrophy measures of the whole brain (standardized beta coefficient βj = -0.352, p < 0.001), white matter (βj = -0.229, p = 0.007), thalamus (βj = -0.372, p = 0.004), and putamen (βj = -1.687, p = 0.012). pwMS with high levels of sNfL at baseline and follow-up had a greater risk of EDSS worsening (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Already single time point elevation of sNfL has a distinct effect on brain volume changes over a short-term period, and repeated high levels of sNfL indicate accumulating physical disability. Serial assessment of sNfL may provide added value in the clinical management of pwMS.

Serum Neurofilament Light Trajectories and Their Relation to Subclinical Radiological Disease Activity in Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis Patients in the APLIOS Trial

INTRODUCTION

Several studies have described prognostic value of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) at the group level in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) patients. Here, we aimed to explore the temporal association between sNfL and development of subclinical disease activity as assessed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at the group level and evaluate the potential of sNfL as a biomarker for capturing subclinical disease activity in individual RMS patients.

METHODS

In the 12-week APLIOS study, patients (N = 284) received subcutaneous ofatumumab 20 mg. Frequent sNfL sampling (14 time points over 12 weeks) and monthly MRI scans enabled key analyses including assessment of the group-level temporal relationship of sNfL levels with on-study subclinical development of gadolinium-enhancing (Gd +)T1 lesions. Prognostic value of baseline sNfL ("high" vs. "low") level for subsequent on-study clinical relapse or Gd + T1 activity was assessed. Individual patient-level development of on-study Gd + T1 lesions was compared across three predictors: baseline Gd + T1 lesion number, baseline sNfL ("high" vs. "low"), and time-matched sNfL.

RESULTS

In patients developing Gd + T1 lesions at week 4 (absent at baseline), sNfL levels increased during the month preceding the week-4 MRI scan and then gradually decreased back to baseline. High versus low baseline sNfL conferred increased risk of subsequent on-study clinical relapse or Gd + T1 activity (HR, 2.81; p < 0.0001) in the overall population and, notably, also in the patients without baseline Gd + T1 lesions (HR, 2.48; p = 0.0213). Individual patient trajectories revealed a marked difference in Gd + T1 lesions between patients with the ten highest vs. lowest baseline sNfL levels (119 vs. 19 lesions). Prognostic value of baseline or time-matched sNfL for on-study Gd + T1 lesions was comparable to that of the number of baseline MRI Gd + T1 lesions.

CONCLUSIONS

sNfL measurement may have utility in capturing and monitoring subclinical disease activity in RMS patients. sNfL assessments could complement regular MRI scans and may provide an alternative when MRI assessment is not feasible.

CLINICALTRIALS

GOV: NCT03560739.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides class I evidence that serum neurofilament light may be used as a biomarker for monitoring subclinical disease activity in relapsing multiple sclerosis patients, as shown by its elevation in the weeks preceding the development of new gadolinium-enhancing T1 lesion activity.

Prognostic significance of neurofilament light in Fingolimod therapy for Multiple Sclerosis: A systemic review and meta-analysis based on randomized control trials

OBJECTIVE

This research was conducted to assess Neurofilament light chain (NfL) as prognostic factor for Multiple Sclerosis and effect of Fingolimod on plasma levels of NfL.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A systemic search was conducted from electronic databases (PubMed/Medline, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar) from inception to 7th September 2022. All statistical analyses were conducted in Review Manager 5.4.1. Studies meeting inclusion criteria were selected. Only those studies that involved Multiple sclerosis patients in which plasma levels of NfL was provided and Fingolimod was used in the treatment group. Fixed-effect model was used to pool the studies to assess NfL as prognostic factor, which was reported in the Hazards ratio (HR) and their corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). Moreover, effect of Fingolimod on NfL levels was analysed qualitatively.

RESULTS

Five Randomized Controlled Trials were used in the study. Four studies were used in quantitative analysis which showed increased NfL was related to significant increase in cognitive disability worsening (HR= 1.66 [1.35, 2.05]; p< 0.00001; I2= 0%). The qualitative analysis method was employed to evaluate the factors correlating with increased NfL levels in Multiple Sclerosis patients. Five studies evaluated that there was significant decrease in NfL levels when Fingolimod was used as compared to placebo. 4 studies were included to correlated NfL levels with clinical and MRI parameters and association was found between increasing NfL levels and relapses, active/new T2 lesions and percentage of brain volume change.

CONCLUSION

The results of our meta-analysis and systematic review demonstrated statistically significant effect of NfL as a prognostic marker with its level being decreased significantly when Fingolimod was used for treating Multiple Sclerosis.

Association of NEDA-4 With No Long-term Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis and Comparison With NEDA-3: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Background and Objectives

No evidence of disease activity (NEDA)-4 has been suggested as a treatment target for disease-modifying therapy (DMT) in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). However, the ability of NEDA-4 to discriminate long-term outcomes in MS and how its performance compares with NEDA-3 remain uncertain. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to evaluate (1) the association between NEDA-4 and no long-term disability progression in MS and (2) the comparative performance of NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 in predicting no long-term disability progression.

Methods

English-language abstracts and manuscripts were systematically searched in MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane databases from January 2006 to November 2021 and reviewed independently by 2 investigators. We selected studies that assessed NEDA-4 at 1 or 2 years after DMT start and had at least 4 years of follow-up for determination of no confirmed disability progression. We conducted a meta-analysis using random-effects model to determine the pooled odds ratio (OR) for no disability progression with NEDA-4 vs EDA-4. For the comparative analysis, we selected studies that evaluated both NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 with at least 4 years of follow-up and examined the difference in the association of NEDA-3 and NEDA-4 with no disability progression.

Results

Five studies of 1,000 patients (3 interferon beta and 2 fingolimod) met inclusion criteria for both objectives. The median duration of follow-up was 6 years (interquartile range: 4–6 years). The prevalence of NEDA-4 ranged from 4.2% to 13.9% on interferon beta therapy and 24.9% to 25.1% on fingolimod therapy. The pooled OR for no long-term confirmed disability progression with NEDA-4 vs EDA-4 was 2.14 (95% confidence interval: 1.36–3.37; I² = 0). We did not observe any significant difference between NEDA-4 and NEDA-3 in the comparative analyses.

Discussion

In patients with RRMS, NEDA-4 at 1–2 years was associated with 2 times higher odds of no long-term disability progression, at 6 years compared with EDA-4, but offered no advantage over NEDA-3.

Using personalized prognosis in the treatment of relapsing multiple sclerosis: A practical guide

The clinical course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is highly variable among patients, thus creating important challenges for the neurologist to appropriately treat and monitor patient progress. Despite some patients having apparently similar symptom severity at MS disease onset, their prognoses may differ greatly. To this end, we believe that a proactive disposition on the part of the neurologist to identify prognostic “red flags” early in the disease course can lead to much better long-term outcomes for the patient in terms of reduced disability and improved quality of life. Here, we present a prognosis tool in the form of a checklist of clinical, imaging and biomarker parameters which, based on consensus in the literature and on our own clinical experiences, we have established to be associated with poorer or improved clinical outcomes. The neurologist is encouraged to use this tool to identify the presence or absence of specific variables in individual patients at disease onset and thereby implement sufficiently effective treatment strategies that appropriately address the likely prognosis for each patient.

Neurofilament light chain in blood as a diagnostic and predictive biomarker for multiple sclerosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Neurofilament light chain (NfL) in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is a biomarker of multiple sclerosis (MS). However, CSF sampling is invasive and has limited the clinical application. With the development of highly sensitive single-molecule assay, the accurate quantification of the very low NfL levels in blood become feasible. As evidence being accumulated, we performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic and predictive value of blood NfL in MS patients.

Methods

We performed literature search on PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Cochrane Library from inception to May 31, 2022. The blood NfL differences between MS vs. controls, MS vs. clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), progressive MS (PMS) vs. relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS), and MS in relapse vs. MS in remission were estimated by standard mean difference (SMD) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). Pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95%CI were calculated to predict time to reach Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score≥4.0 and to relapse.

Results

A total of 28 studies comprising 6545 MS patients and 2477 controls were eligible for meta-analysis of diagnosis value, and 5 studies with 4444 patients were synthesized in analysis of predictive value. Blood NfL levels were significantly higher in MS patients vs. age-matched controls (SMD = 0.64, 95%CI 0.44–0.85, P<0.001), vs. non-matched controls (SMD = 0.76, 95%CI 0.56–0.96, P<0.001) and vs. CIS patients (SMD = 0.30, 95%CI 0.18–0.42, P<0.001), in PMS vs. RRMS (SMD = 0.56, 95%CI 0.27–0.85, P<0.001), and in relapsed patients vs. remitted patients (SMD = 0.54, 95%CI 0.16–0.92, P = 0.005). Patients with high blood NfL levels had shorter time to reach EDSS score≥4.0 (HR = 2.36, 95%CI 1.32–4.21, P = 0.004) but similar time to relapse (HR = 1.32, 95%CI 0.90–1.93, P = 0.155) compared to those with low NfL levels.

Conclusion

As far as we know, this is the first meta-analysis evaluating the diagnosis and predictive value of blood NfL in MS. The present study indicates blood NfL may be a useful biomarker in diagnosing MS, distinguishing MS subtypes and predicting disease worsening in the future.

Neurofilament-light and contactin-1 association with long-term brain atrophy in natalizumab-treated relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Despite highly effective treatment strategies for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), long-term neurodegeneration and disease progression are often considerable. Accurate blood-based biomarkers that predict long-term neurodegeneration are lacking.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive value of serum neurofilament-light (sNfL) and serum contactin-1 (sCNTN1) for long-term magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived neurodegeneration in natalizumab-treated patients with RRMS.

METHODS

sNfL and sCNTN1 were measured in an observational cohort of natalizumab-treated patients with RRMS at baseline (first dose) and at 3 months, Year 1, Year 2, and last follow-up (median = 5.2 years) of treatment. Disability progression was quantified using "EDSS-plus" criteria. Neurodegeneration was measured by calculating annualized percentage brain, ventricular, and thalamic volume change (PBVC, VVC, and TVC, respectively). Linear regression analysis was performed to identify longitudinal predictors of neurodegeneration.

RESULTS

In total, 88 patients (age = 37 ± 9 years, 75% female) were included, of whom 48% progressed. Year 1 sNfL level (not baseline or 3 months) was associated with PBVC (standardized (std.) β = -0.26, p = 0.013), VVC (standardized β = 0.36, p < 0.001), and TVC (standardized β = -0.24, p = 0.02). For sCNTN1, only 3-month level was associated with VVC (standardized β = -0.31, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Year 1 (but not baseline) sNfL level was predictive for long-term brain atrophy in patients treated with natalizumab. sCNTN1 level did not show a clear predictive value.

Neurofilaments in neurologic disorders and beyond

Many neurologic diseases can initially present as a diagnostic challenge and even when a diagnosis is made, monitoring of disease activity, progression and response to therapy may be limited with existing clinical and paraclinical assessments. As such, the identification of disease specific biomarkers provides a promising avenue by which diseases can be effectively diagnosed, monitored and used as a prognostic indicator for long-term outcomes. Neurofilaments are an integral component of the neuronal cytoskeleton, where assessment of neurofilaments in the blood, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and diseased tissue has been shown to have value in providing diagnostic clarity, monitoring disease activity, tracking progression and treatment efficacy, as well as lending prognostic insight into long-term outcomes. As such, this review attempts to provide a glimpse into the structure and function of neurofilaments, their role in various neurologic and non-neurologic disorders, including uncommon conditions with recent knowledge of neurofilament-related pathology, as well as their applicability in future clinical practice.

Multidimensional overview of neurofilament light chain contribution to comprehensively understanding multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory neurodegenerative disease characterized by demyelination, progressive axonal loss, and varying clinical presentations. Axonal damage associated with the inflammatory process causes neurofilaments, the major neuron structural proteins, to be released into the extracellular space, reaching the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and the peripheral blood. Methodological advances in neurofilaments’ serological detection and imaging technology, along with many clinical and therapeutic studies in the last years, have deepened our understanding of MS immunopathogenesis. This review examines the use of light chain neurofilaments (NFLs) as peripheral MS biomarkers in light of the current clinical and therapeutic evidence, MS immunopathology, and technological advances in diagnostic tools. It aims to highlight NFL multidimensional value as a reliable MS biomarker with a diagnostic-prognostic profile while improving our comprehension of inflammatory neurodegenerative processes, mainly RRMS, the most frequent clinical presentation of MS.

Serum neurofilament light chain levels predict long-term disability progression in patients with progressive multiple sclerosis

ObjectiveThere is a lack of sensitive and specific biomarkers for use in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). The study aimed to assess the potential of serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels as biomarker of disability progression in patients with progressive MS.

METHODS

We performed a prospective observational cohort study in 51 patients with progressive MS who participated in a 2-year phase II single-centre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of interferon-beta. Mean (SD) follow-up duration was 13.9 (6.2) years. Levels of sNfL were measured using a single molecule array immunoassay at baseline, 1, 2 and 6 years. Univariable and multivariable analyses were carried out to evaluate associations between sNfL levels and disability progression at short term (2 years), medium term (6 years) and long term (at the time of the last follow-up).

RESULTS

A sNfL cut-off value of 10.2 pg/mL at baseline discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 75% sensitivity and 67% specificity (adjusted OR 7.8; 95% CI 1.8 to 46.4; p=0.01). Similar performance to discriminate between long-term progressors and non-progressors was observed using age/body mass index-adjusted sNfL Z-scores derived from a normative database of healthy controls. A cut-off increase of 5.1 pg/mL in sNfL levels between baseline and 6 years also discriminated between long-term progressors and non-progressors with a 71% sensitivity and 86% specificity (adjusted OR 49.4; 95% CI 4.4 to 2×103; p=0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

sNfL can be considered a prognostic biomarker of future long-term disability progression in patients with progressive MS. These data expand the little knowledge existing on the role of sNfL as long-term prognostic biomarker in patients with progressive MS.

Blood Neurofilament Light in Progressive Multiple Sclerosis: Post Hoc Analysis of 2 Randomized Controlled Trials

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential of plasma neurofilament light (pNfL) as a biomarker of disease progression and treatment response in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) with and without acute disease activity.

METHODS

Post hoc blinded analysis of pNfL levels in two placebo-controlled, phase 3 studies in secondary progressive MS (SPMS; EXPAND) and primary progressive MS (PPMS; INFORMS) using siponimod and fingolimod, respectively, as active compounds. pNfL levels were quantified using a single molecule array ("Homebrew" Simoa) immunoassay from stored EDTA plasma samples of all patients who consented for exploratory biomarker analysis in either study; pNfL levels were divided into high (≥30 pg/mL) and low (<30 pg/mL) at baseline (BL). We investigated the association of pNfL levels with disability progression, cognitive decline and brain atrophy, and their sensitivity to indicate treatment response vis-à-vis clinical measures.

RESULTS

We analyzed pNfL in 4185 samples from 1452 SPMS patients and 1172 samples from 378 PPMS patients. BL pNfL levels were higher in SPMS (geomean 32.1pg/mL) than in PPMS (22.0pg/mL; p<0.0001) patients. In both studies, higher BL pNfL levels were associated with older age, higher EDSS score, more Gd⁺ lesions, and higher T2 lesion load (all p<0.05). Independent of treatment, high versus low BL pNfL levels were associated with significantly higher risks of confirmed 3-month (SPMS [32%], HR [95%CI]: 1.32 [1.09;1.61]; PPMS [49%], 1.49 [1.05;2.12]) and 6-month disability progression (SPMS [26%], 1.26 [1.01;1.57]; PPMS [48%], 1.48 [1.01;2.17]), earlier wheelchair dependence (SPMS [50%], 1.50 [0.96;2.34]; PPMS [197%], 2.97 [1.44;6.10]), cognitive decline (SPMS [41%], 1.41 [1.09;1.84]) and higher rates of brain atrophy (mean change at month [M]24: SPMS, -0.92; PPMS, -1.39). BL pNfL levels were associated with future disability progression and the degree of brain atrophy regardless of presence or absence of acute disease activity (gadolinium-enhancing lesions or recent occurrence of relapses before BL). pNfL levels were lower in patients treated with siponimod or fingolimod versus placebo-treated patients and higher in those having experienced disability progression.

CONCLUSION

pNfL was associated with future clinical and radiological disability progression features at the group level. pNfL was reduced by treatment and may be a meaningful outcome measure in PMS studies.

Prognostic Value of Serum Neurofilament Light Chain for Disease Activity and Worsening in Patients With Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis: Results From the Phase 3 ASCLEPIOS I and II Trials

Objective

This study aims to confirm the prognostic value of baseline serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) for on-study disease activity and worsening in patients with relapsing MS (RMS).

Background

Previous post-hoc studies suggested that sNfL could be a prognostic biomarker in RMS. In the phase 3 ASCLEPIOS I/II trials in which ofatumumab demonstrated better efficacy outcomes than teriflunomide, treatment with ofatumumab also led to significantly reduced sNfL levels compared to teriflunomide treatment.

Design/Methods

In this study, we report protocol-planned analyses from the pooled ASCLEPIOS I/II trials (N=1882). Per protocol, patients were stratified by median baseline sNfL levels (9.3 pg/ml) into high (>median) and low (≤median) categories to prognosticate: annualized rate of new/enlarging T2 (neT2) lesions in year 1 and 2, annualized relapse rate, annual percentage change in whole brain (WB) and regional brain volume [thalamus, white matter (WM), cortical gray matter (cGM)], and disability outcomes. Similar analyses were performed for the recently diagnosed (within 3 years), treatment-naive patients (no prior disease-modifying therapy) subgroup.

Results

High versus low sNfL at baseline was prognostic of increased on-study T2 lesion formation at year 1 (relative increase: ofatumumab +158%; teriflunomide +69%, both p<0.001), which persisted in year 2 (+65%, p=0.124; +46%, p=0.003); of higher annual percentage change of WB volume (ofatumumab, −0.32% vs. −0.24%, p=0.044, and teriflunomide, −0.43% vs. −0.29%, p=0.002), thalamic volume (−0.56% vs. −0.31%, p=0.047 and −0.94% vs. −0.49%, p<0.001), and WM volume (−0.30% vs. −0.19%, p=0.083 and −0.38% vs. −0.18%, p=0.003) but not of cGM volume (−0.39% vs. −0.32%, p=0.337 and −0.49% vs. −0.46%, p=0.563). A single sNfL assessment at baseline was not prognostic for on-study relapses or disability worsening. Results were similar in the subgroup of recently diagnosed, treatment-naive patients.

Conclusion

This study confirms that baseline sNfL levels are prognostic of future on-study lesion formation and whole brain and regional atrophy in all RMS patients, including recently diagnosed, treatment-naive patients.

Iron Rims in Patients With Multiple Sclerosis as Neurodegenerative Marker? A 7-Tesla Magnetic Resonance Study

Introduction: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a demyelinating and neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system, characterized by inflammatory-driven demyelination. Symptoms in MS manifest as both physical and neuropsychological deficits. With time, inflammation is accompanied by neurodegeneration, indicated by brain volume loss on an MRI. Here, we combined clinical, imaging, and serum biomarkers in patients with iron rim lesions (IRLs), which lead to severe tissue destruction and thus contribute to the accumulation of clinical disability.

Objectives: Subcortical atrophy and ventricular enlargement using an automatic segmentation pipeline for 7 Tesla (T) MRI, serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels, and neuropsychological performance in patients with MS with IRLs and non-IRLs were assessed.

Methods: In total 29 patients with MS [15 women, 24 relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), and five secondary-progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS)] aged 38 (22–69) years with an Expanded Disability Status Score of 2 (0–8) and a disease duration of 11 (5–40) years underwent neurological and neuropsychological examinations. Volumes of lesions, subcortical structures, and lateral ventricles on 7-T MRI (SWI, FLAIR, and MP2RAGE, 3D Segmentation Software) and sNfL concentrations using the Simoa SR-X Analyzer in IRL and non-IRL patients were assessed.

Results: (1) Iron rim lesions patients had a higher FLAIR lesion count (p = 0.047). Patients with higher MP2Rage lesion volume exhibited more IRLs (p <0.014) and showed poorer performance in the information processing speed tested within 1 year using the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT) (p <0.047). (2) Within 3 years, patients showed atrophy of the thalamus (p = 0.021) and putamen (p = 0.043) and enlargement of the lateral ventricles (p = 0.012). At baseline and after 3 years, thalamic volumes were lower in IRLs than in non-IRL patients (p = 0.045). (3) At baseline, IRL patients had higher sNfL concentrations (p = 0.028). Higher sNfL concentrations were associated with poorer SDMT (p = 0.004), regardless of IRL presence. (4) IRL and non-IRL patients showed no significant difference in the neuropsychological performance within 1 year.

Conclusions: Compared with non-IRL patients, IRL patients had higher FLAIR lesion counts, smaller thalamic volumes, and higher sNfL concentrations. Our pilot study combines IRL and sNfL, two biomarkers considered indicative for neurodegenerative processes. Our preliminary data underscore the reported destructive nature of IRLs.

Neurofilament light chain as a biomarker for diagnosis of multiple sclerosis

The treatments for multiple sclerosis (MS) have improved over the past 25 years, but now the main question for physicians is deciding who should receive treatment, for how long, and when to switch to other options. These decisions are typically based on treatment tolerance and a reasonable expectation of long-term efficacy. A significant unmet need is the lack of accurate laboratory measurements for diagnosis, and monitoring of treatment response, including deterioration and disease progression. There are few validated biomarkers for MS, and in practice, physicians employ two biomarkers discovered fifty years ago for MS diagnosis, often in combination with MRI scans. These biomarkers are intrathecal IgG and oligoclonal bands in the CSF (cerebrospinal fluid). Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a relatively new biomarker for MS diagnosis and follow up. Neurofilaments are neuron-specific cytoskeleton proteins that can be measured in various body compartments. NfL is a new biomarker for MS that can be measured in serum samples, but this still needs further study to specify the laboratory cut-off values in clinical practice. In the present review we discuss the evidence for NfL as a reliable biomarker for the early detection and management of MS. Moreover, we highlight the correlation between MRI and NfL, and ask whether they can be combined.

Therapeutic Response and Possible Biomarkers in Acute Attacks of Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorders: A Prospective Observational Study

Objective

To explore the outcomes of NMOSD attacks and investigate serum biomarkers for prognosis and severity.

Method

Patients with NMOSD attacks were prospectively and observationally enrolled from January 2019 to December 2020 at four hospitals in Guangzhou, southern China. Data were collected at attack, discharge and 1/3/6 months after acute treatment. Serum cytokine/chemokine and neurofilament light chain (NfL) levels were examined at the onset stage.

Results

One hundred patients with NMOSD attacks were included. The treatment comprised intravenous methylprednisolone pulse therapy alone (IVMP, 71%), IVMP combined with apheresis (8%), IVMP combined with intravenous immunoglobulin (18%) and other therapies (3%). EDSS scores decreased significantly from a medium of 4 (interquartile range 3.0-5.5) at attack to 3.5 (3.0-4.5) at discharge, 3.5 (2.0-4.0) at the 1-month visit and 3.0 (2.0-4.0) at the 3-month visit (p<0.01 in all comparisons). The remission rate was 38.0% at discharge and 63.3% at the 1-month visit. Notably, relapse occurred in 12.2% of 74 patients by the 6-month follow-up. Higher levels of T helper cell 2 (Th2)-related cytokines, including interleukin (IL)-4, IL-10, IL-13, and IL-1 receptor antagonist, predicted remission at the 1-month visit (OR=9.33, p=0.04). Serum NfL levels correlated positively with onset EDSS scores in acute-phase NMOSD (p<0.001, R2 = 0.487).

Conclusions

Outcomes of NMOSD attacks were generally moderate. A high level of serum Th2-related cytokines predicted remission at the 1-month visit, and serum NfL may serve as a biomarker of disease severity at attack.

Clinical Trial Registration

https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04101058, identifier NCT04101058.

Plasma neurofilament light chain concentrations as a biomarker of clinical and radiologic outcomes in relapsing multiple sclerosis: Post hoc analysis of Phase 3 ozanimod trials

Background and purpose

We investigated plasma neurofilament light chain concentration (pNfL) as a biomarker for neuroaxonal damage and disease activity using data from Phase 3 trials of ozanimod in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS).

Methods

pNfL was measured before and after ozanimod 0.46 mg or 0.92 mg daily or interferon β‐1a 30 µg weekly in the randomized, double‐blind SUNBEAM and RADIANCE trials. In these post hoc analyses, we investigated relationships between pNfL (at baseline and median percentage change from baseline to Month 12 [SUNBEAM] or 24 [RADIANCE]) and clinical and magnetic resonance imaging outcomes.

Results

Median (Q1, Q3) baseline pNfL, available in 1244 of 1346 SUNBEAM participants, was 14.70 (10.16, 23.26) pg/ml and in 1109 of 1313 RADIANCE participants was 13.35 (9.42, 20.41) pg/ml. Baseline gadolinium‐enhancing (GdE) and T2 lesion counts increased and brain volume decreased with increasing baseline pNfL. Baseline pNfL was higher in those with versus without on‐treatment relapse. Median percentage reduction in pNfL at 12 months in SUNBEAM (n = 1238) and 24 months in RADIANCE (n = 1088) was greater for ozanimod (20%–27%) than interferon β‐1a (13%–16%; p < 0.01). Greater pNfL reduction was associated with fewer GdE lesions, fewer new/enlarging T2 lesions per scan, less loss of brain volume, lower annualized relapse rate (ARR), and no evidence of disease activity. The following models predicted ARR: 0.5111 + 0.0116 × ΔNfL at 12 months (SUNBEAM) and 0.4079 + 0.0088 × ΔNfL at 24 months (RADIANCE).

Conclusions

pNfL was associated with clinical and radiologic measures of disease and treatment effects in RMS, supporting its use as a biomarker.

Disease biomarkers in multiple sclerosis: current serum neurofilament light chain perspectives

The continuous neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative pathology in multiple sclerosis (MS) results in irreversible accumulation of physical and cognitive disability. Reliable early detection of MS disease processes can aid in the diagnosis, monitoring and treatment management of MS patients. Recent assay technological advancements now allow reliable quantification of serum-based neurofilament light chain (sNfL) levels, which provide temporal information regarding the degree of neuroaxonal damage. The relationship and predictive value of sNfL with clinical and cognitive outcomes, other paraclinical measures and treatment response is reviewed. sNfL measurement is an emerging, noninvasive and disease-responsive MS biomarker that is currently utilized in research and clinical trial settings. Understanding sNfL confounders and further assay standardization will allow clinical implementation of this biomarker.

The Evolution of Neurofilament Light Chain in Multiple Sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an autoimmune, inflammatory neurodegenerative disease of the central nervous system characterized by demyelination and axonal damage. Diagnosis and prognosis are mainly assessed through clinical examination and neuroimaging. However, more sensitive biomarkers are needed to measure disease activity and guide treatment decisions in MS. Prompt and individualized management can reduce inflammatory activity and delay disease progression. Neurofilament Light chain (NfL), a neuron-specific cytoskeletal protein that is released into the extracellular fluid following axonal injury, has been identified as a biomarker of disease activity in MS. Measurement of NfL levels can capture the extent of neuroaxonal damage, especially in early stages of the disease. A growing body of evidence has shown that NfL in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and serum can be used as reliable indicators of prognosis and treatment response. More recently, NfL has been shown to facilitate individualized treatment decisions for individuals with MS. In this review, we discuss the characteristics that make NfL a highly informative biomarker and depict the available technologies used for its measurement. We further discuss the growing role of serum and CSF NfL in MS research and clinical settings. Finally, we address some of the current topics of debate regarding the use of NfL in clinical practice and examine the possible directions that this biomarker may take in the future.

[Differential diagnostics of autoimmune inflammatory spinal cord diseases]

Myelitis is an acute or subacute inflammatory syndrome of the spinal cord. Myelopathy, often used as a synonym and presenting with similar symptoms in clinical practice, can be caused by numerous, not primarily inflammatory etiologies and might also show a progressive disease course. Within the last decade the spectrum of autoimmune myelitis was significantly broadened as was the spectrum of diagnostic methods. Apart from the characteristic example of multiple sclerosis with short-length myelitis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders with longitudinally extensive transverse myelitis, multiple rare but important differential diagnoses should also be considered. Magnetic resonance imaging and laboratory analyses of serum antibodies and cerebrospinal fluid are the most important diagnostic methods and are fundamental for rapid treatment decisions, subsequently with better prognosis. This article reviews representative diseases within the spectrum of autoimmune spinal cord diseases and their differential diagnoses.

Neuropathological and Biomarker Findings in Parkinson's Disease and Alzheimer's Disease: From Protein Aggregates to Synaptic Dysfunction

There is mounting evidence that Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Alzheimer’s disease (AD) share neuropathological hallmarks, while similar types of biomarkers are being applied to both. In this review we aimed to explore similarities and differences between PD and AD at both the neuropathology and the biomarker levels, specifically focusing on protein aggregates and synapse dysfunction. Thus, amyloid-β peptide (Aβ) and tau lesions of the Alzheimer-type are common in PD and α-synuclein Lewy-type aggregates are frequent findings in AD. Modern neuropathological techniques adding to routine immunohistochemistry might take further our knowledge of these diseases beyond protein aggregates and down to their presynaptic and postsynaptic terminals, with potential mechanistic and even future therapeutic implications. Translation of neuropathological discoveries to the clinic remains challenging. Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and positron emission tomography (PET) markers of Aβ and tau have been shown to be reliable for AD diagnosis. Conversely, CSF markers of α-synuclein have not been that consistent. In terms of PET markers, there is no PET probe available for α-synuclein yet, while the AD PET markers range from consistent evidence of their specificity (amyloid imaging) to greater uncertainty of their reliability due to off-target binding (tau imaging). CSF synaptic markers are attractive, still needing more evidence, which currently suggests those might be non-specific markers of disease progression. It can be summarized that there is neuropathological evidence that protein aggregates of AD and PD are present both at the soma and the synapse. Thus, a number of CSF and PET biomarkers beyond α-synuclein, tau and Aβ might capture these different faces of protein-related neurodegeneration. It remains to be seen what the longitudinal outcomes and the potential value as surrogate markers of these biomarkers are.

Neurofilament Light Chain as A Biomarker for Brain Metastases

Simple Summary

Early detection of brain metastases is warranted to allow timely intervention that can improve local control and survival time. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a neuron-specific protein released after neuronal decay, and we evaluated blood-borne NfL as a biomarker in 43 lung cancer patients with brain metastases and 25 without brain metastasis. NfL was elevated in patients with brain metastasis and serial measurements uncovered increasing NfL levels with a median of three months before a brain metastasis was found on a brain scan. Our findings imply that measuring chances of NfL in the blood could be a potential biomarker for early detection of brain metastases.

Abstract

Background: Brain metastases are feared complications in cancer. Treatment by neurosurgical resection and stereotactic radiosurgery are only available when metastatic lesions are limited and early detection is warranted. The neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a sensitive neuron-specific biomarker released following neuronal decay. We explored serum NfL as a biomarker of brain metastases. Methods: Serum was collected from 43 stage IV lung cancer patients with brain metastases and 25 stage I lung cancer patients. Serum was collected at time of cancer diagnosis and at time of brain metastasis diagnosis. In nine patients with brain metastases, additional samples were available between the two time points. NfL was quantified by Single Molecule Array (Simoa)™. Results: The median NfL level was significantly higher in patients with brain metastases than in patients without (35 versus 16 pg/mL, p = 0.001) and separated patients with an area under the curve of 0.77 (0.66–0.89). An increase in NfL could be measured median 3 months (range: 1–5) before the brain metastasis diagnosis. Further, a high level of NfL at time of brain metastasis diagnosis correlated with an inferior survival (hazard ratio: 2.10 (95% confidence interval: 1.11–3.98)). Conclusions: This study implies that NfL could be a potential biomarker of brain metastases.