Elevation of preoperative s-CEA concentration in stage IIA colorectal cancer can also be a high risk factor for stage II patients

The combined evaluation of preoperative serum CEA and postoperative tissue CEA as a prognostic factor in stages 0-IV colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The roles of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (sCEA) and postoperative tissue carcinoembryonic antigen (tCEA) have been extensively studied in isolation in colorectal cancer (CRC). However, the combined role of sCEA and tCEA remains inadequately described.

Methods

A total of 1,757 retrospective cases of stage 0-IV CRC from January 2006 to January 2016 in our institution were included. Clinicopathological features and follow-up data were collected. Stage 0 was combined with stage I. sCEA levels were classified as normal or high (>10 ng/mL), while tCEA levels were categorised into three grades (+, ++, and +++). This resulted in six combined groups (2 × 3). ANOVA and cross-tabulation were employed to analyse continuous and categorical data, respectively. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using Cox regression. All data were analysed using SPSS 27 and R 4.3.1.

Results

Some clinicopathologic features differed significantly among the combined CEA test groups (all p < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for sCEA, tCEA, and combined CEA exhibited significant differences in five-year OS with death as the input variable (all p < 0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) for combined CEA was the highest, indicating the value of this study. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that tumour location, T stage, differentiation, chemotherapy, TNM stage, tCEA, and combined CEA were significant in the univariate analysis; however, tCEA was not significant (p = 0.096) in the multivariate analysis among these seven variables. Five-year OS analysis revealed that sCEA, tCEA, and combined CEA were not significant in stages 0 & I-II (all p > 0.05) but were significant in stages III-IV (all p < 0.05), except for tCEA in stage IV (p = 0.24) as per K-M and univariate analysis. No significant difference was observed between sCEA and tCEA (p = 0.55, 0.095), whereas combined CEA demonstrated a significant difference (p < 0.001) in both univariate and multivariate analyses.

Conclusion

sCEA, tCEA, and combined CEA exhibit prognostic roles in stages III-IV of CRC, with only combined CEA serving as an independent factor in these stages.

Complete Obstruction, a Real Risk Factor: A Comprehensive Study on Obstruction in Stage IIA Colon Cancer With Propensity Score Matching Analysis

MICROABSTRACT

This study evaluates the prognostic significance of obstructions in stage IIA colon cancer, distinguishing between partial and complete obstructions. It employs a retrospective review of 1914 patients with propensity score matching to analyze oncologic outcomes. Findings reveal complete obstruction as a significant risk factor for poorer outcomes, emphasizing the necessity for further research to refine treatment strategies, particularly regarding the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy across obstruction types.

BACKGROUND

This study examined the prognostic impact of obstructions in stage IIA colon cancer. The analysis specifically differentiated partial and complete obstructions, analyzing their distinct influences of both on oncologic outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective review was conducted of stage IIA colon cancer cases with the presence of an obstruction. Patients were stratified by whether it was partial or complete based on the severity of obstruction. Propensity score matching was employed to control for confounders.

RESULTS

Among 1914 consecutive patients diagnosed with stage IIA colon cancer, 758 patients (597 patients with partial obstruction, 161 patients with complete obstruction) exhibited obstruction, while 1156 patients had no obstruction. The median follow-up period was 126 months. Complete obstruction was associated with poorer disease-free survival (Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.785, P < .001) and overall survival (HR = 1.853, P = .001). This trend persisted after propensity score matching, patients with complete obstruction showing a worsened disease-free survival (HR = 1.666, P = .028) and overall survival (HR = 1.732, P = .041). Adjuvant chemotherapy showed improved outcomes overall, but its efficacy varied across obstruction types.

CONCLUSION

Differentiating between complete and partial obstructions in stage IIA colon cancer is an important clinical distinction, as our findings suggest that complete obstruction is a significant risk factor for poorer oncologic outcomes. While adjuvant chemotherapy generally improves prognosis in stage IIA colon cancer, the correlation of obstruction type with its efficacy remains uncertain, necessitating further research to refine treatment strategies.

The effects of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk stage II colon cancer with mismatch repair-deficient: a retrospective study

BACKGROUND

For high-risk stageIImismatch repair deficient (dMMR) colon cancers, the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy remains debatable. The principal aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of high-risk factors and the effect of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy among dMMR stageIIcolon cancers.

METHODS

Patients with stage II dMMR colon cancers diagnosed between June 2011 and May 2018 were enrolled in the study. Clinicopathological characteristics, treatment, and follow-up data were retrospectively collected. The high-risk group was defined as having one of the following factors: pT4 disease, fewer than twelve lymph nodes harvested (< 12 LNs), poorly differentiated histology, perineural invasion (PNI), lymphatic vascular invasion (LVI), or elevated preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). The low-risk group did not have any risk factors above. Factors associated with disease-free survival (DFS) were included in univariate and multivariate Cox analyses.

RESULTS

We collected a total of 262 consecutive patients with stage II dMMR colon cancer. 179 patients (68.3%) have at least one high-risk factor. With a median follow-up of 50.1 months, the low-risk group was associated with a tended to have a better 3-year DFS than the high-risk group (96.4% vs 89.4%; P = 0.056). Both elevated preoperative CEA (HR 2.93; 95% CI 1.26-6.82; P = 0.013) and pT4 disease (HR 2.58; 95% CI 1.06-6.25; P = 0.037) were independent risk factors of recurrence. Then, the 3-year DFS was 92.6% for the surgery alone group and 88.1% for the adjuvant chemotherapy group (HR 1.64; 95% CI 0.67-4.02; P = 0.280). Furthermore, no survival benefit from oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was observed in the high-risk group and in the subgroups with pT4 disease or < 12 LNs.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggests that not all high-risk factors have a similar impact on stage II dMMR colon cancers. Elevated preoperative CEA and pT4 tumor stage are associated with increased recurrence risk. However, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy shows no survival benefits in stage II dMMR colon cancers, either with or without high-risk factors.

Clinical value of preoperative serum tumor markers CEA, CA19-9, CA125, and CA15-3 in surgically treated urachal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Urachal adenocarcinoma (UrAC) is a very rare malignancy with a poor prognosis. The role of preoperative serum tumor markers (STMs) in UrAC is unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the clinical value of elevated STMs including carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), cancer antigen 125 (CA125), and cancer antigen 15-3 (CA15-3) in surgically treated UrAC, and to evaluate their prognostic significance.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of consecutive patients with histopathologically confirmed UrAC who underwent surgical treatment at a single tertiary hospital. Blood levels of CEA, CA19-9, CA125, and CA15-3 were determined before surgery. The proportion of patients with elevated STMs was calculated, as well as the association between elevated STMs and clinicopathological characteristics, recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival.

RESULTS

Of the 50 patients included; CEA, CA 19-9, CA125, and CA15-3 were elevated in 40%, 25%, 26%, and 6% respectively. Elevated CEA was associated with higher pT-stage (odds ratio [OR] 3.3 [95% confidence interval 1.0-11.1], P = 0.003), higher Sheldon stage (OR 6.9 [95% CI 0.8-60.4], P = 0.01), male sex (OR 4.7 [95% CI 1.2-18.3], P = 0.01), and the presence of peritoneal metastases at the time of diagnosis (OR 3.5 [95% CI 0.9-14.2], P = 0.04). Elevated CA19-9 was associated with signet-cell component (OR 1.7 [95% CI 0.9-3.3], P = 0.03) and elevated CA125 was associated with peritoneal metastases at the time of diagnosis (OR 6.0 [95% CI 1.2-30.6], P = 0.04). Elevated STMs before surgery were not associated with recurrence-free survival and/or disease-specific survival.

CONCLUSION

A subset of patients with surgically treated UrAC has elevated STMs preoperatively. CEA was most frequently (40%) elevated and correlated with unfavorable tumor characteristics. However, STM levels did not correlate with prognostic outcomes.

Clinical implication of tissue carcinoembryonic antigen expression in association with serum carcinoembryonic antigen in colorectal cancer

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) expression in tumor tissues of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). The cohort included 7,412 patients with CRC from January 2010 to December 2015. Survival outcomes were assessed based on tissue CEA (t-CEA) patterns and intensities. Three-year (76.7% versus 81.3%) and 5-year (71.7% versus 77.6%, p < 0.001) disease-free survival (DFS) rates were significantly (p < 0.001) poorer in patients with a diffuse-cytoplasmic pattern than an apicoluminal pattern. Three-year (79% versus 86.6%) and 5-year (74.6% versus 84.7%) DFS rates were also significantly (p < 0.001) poorer in patients with high than low t-CEA intensity. Three-year (84.6% versus 88.4%) and 5-year (77.3% versus 82.6%) overall survival (OS) rates were significantly (p < 0.001) poorer in patients with diffuse-cytoplasmic than apicoluminal pattern of CEA expression, and both 3-year (86.7% versus 91.2%) and 5-year (80.1% versus 87.7%) OS rates were significantly (p < 0.001) poorer in patients with high than low t-CEA intensity. Multivariate analyses showed that high-intensity t-CEA was independently associated with DFS (p = 0.02; hazard ratio [HR] = 1.233) and OS (p = 0.032; HR = 1.228). Therefore, high-intensity t-CEA is a significant prognostic factor in CRC, independent of serum CEA (s-CEA), and can complement s-CEA in predicting survival outcomes after CRC resection.

Survival outcomes of stage I colorectal cancer: development and validation of the ACEPLY model using two prospective cohorts

BACKGROUND

Approximately 10% of stage I colorectal cancer (CRC) patients experience unfavorable clinical outcomes after surgery. However, little is known about the subset of stage I patients who are predisposed to high risk of recurrence or death. Previous evidence was limited by small sample sizes and lack of validation.

METHODS

We aimed to identify early indicators and develop a risk stratification model to inform prognosis of stage I patients by employing two large prospective cohorts. Prognostic factors for stage II tumors, including T stage, number of nodes examined, preoperative carcinoma embryonic antigen (CEA), lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion (PNI), and tumor grade were investigated in the discovery cohort, and significant findings were further validated in the other cohort. We adopted disease-free survival (DFS) as the primary outcome for maximum statistical power and recurrence rate and overall survival (OS) as secondary outcomes. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from Cox proportional hazard models, which were subsequently utilized to develop a multivariable model to predict DFS. Predictive performance was assessed in relation to discrimination, calibration and net benefit.

RESULTS

A total of 728 and 413 patients were included for discovery and validation. Overall, 6.7% and 4.1% of the patients developed recurrences during follow-up. We identified consistent significant effects of PNI and higher preoperative CEA on inferior DFS in both the discovery (PNI: HR = 4.26, 95% CI: 1.70-10.67, p = 0.002; CEA: HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.13-1.87, p = 0.003) and the validation analysis (PNI: HR = 3.31, 95% CI: 1.01-10.89, p = 0.049; CEA: HR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.10-2.28, p = 0.014). They were also significantly associated with recurrence rate. Age at diagnosis was a prominent determinant of OS. A prediction model on DFS using Age at diagnosis, CEA, PNI, and number of LYmph nodes examined (ACEPLY) showed significant discriminative performance (C-index: 0.69, 95% CI:0.60-0.77) in the external validation cohort. Decision curve analysis demonstrated added clinical benefit of applying the model for risk stratification.

CONCLUSIONS

PNI and preoperative CEA are useful indicators for inferior survival outcomes of stage I CRC. Identification of stage I patients at high risk of recurrence is feasible using the ACEPLY model, although the predictive performance is yet to be improved.

Preoperative Cancer Inflammation Prognostic Index as a Superior Predictor of Short- and Long-Term Outcomes in Patients with Stage I-III Colorectal Cancer after Curative Surgery

Inflammatory reactions play a crucial role in cancer progression and may contribute to systemic inflammation. In routine clinical practice, some inflammatory biomarkers can be utilized as valuable predictors for colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to determine the usefulness of a novel cancer-inflammation prognostic index (CIPI) marker derived from calculating carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) multiplied by the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) values established for non-metastatic CRCs. Between January 1995 and December 2018, 12,092 patients were diagnosed with stage I to III primary CRC and had radical resection—they were all included in this study for further investigation. There were 5996 (49.6%) patients in the low-CIPI group and 6096 (50.4%) patients in the high-CIPI group according to the cutoff value of 8. For long-term outcomes, the high-CIPI group had a significantly higher incidence of recurrence (30.6% vs. 16.0%, p < 0.001) and worse relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates (p < 0.001). High CIPI was an independent prognostic factor for RFS and OS in univariate and multivariate analyses. This research is the first to document the independent significance of CIPI as a prognostic factor for CRC. To ensure that it works, this CIPI needs to be tested on more CRC prediction models.

Adjuvant chemotherapy benefits on patients with elevated carcinoembryonic antigen in stage IIA colon cancer: a SEER-based analysis

OBJECTIVE

Indications for adjuvant chemotherapy in stage IIA (T3N0M0) colon cancer are still controversial. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels for cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IIA colon cancer. We aimed to examine the impact of adjuvant chemotherapy on OS in stage IIA colon cancer patients with elevated CEA levels.

METHODS

Patients with stage IIA colon cancer (N = 3477) diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the prognostic effect of CEA on CSS and OS.

RESULTS

Cox regression analysis demonstrated that CEA was an independent risk factor for CSS and OS in patients with stage IIA colon cancer (CSS: HR = 2.001, 95% CI 1.603-2.499, P < 0.001; OS: HR = 1.530, 95% CI 1.335-1.752, P < 0.001). In the subgroup with elevated CEA, patients received adjuvant chemotherapy had a better OS compared with those did not (χ2 = 10.585, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CEA was an independent risk factor for CSS and OS in patients with stage IIA colon cancer. Patients with stage IIA colon cancer with an elevated CEA level might benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

High postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen as an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer

Postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (post-CEA) has recently been reported to be a reliable prognostic factor for colon cancer. However, most clinicians decide whether or not to conduct adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for stage II colon cancer according to major guidelines, which do not include post-CEA in their high-risk criteria. The present study aimed to assess post-CEA in stage II colon cancer for which the significance of AC is unknown. The present study analyzed 199 consecutive patients with stage II colon cancer who underwent curative surgery between January 2007 and December 2016. The CEA value was considered high when it was ≥5.0 ng/ml. The prognostic value of high post-CEA values was assessed. Overall, 19 patients exhibited high post-CEA levels. Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis demonstrated that patients with high post-CEA levels had significantly worse relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) than those with normal post-CEA [RFS, 63.5 (high post-CEA) vs. 88.0% (normal post-CEA), P=0.003; OS, 76.5 (high post-CEA) vs. 96.8% (normal post-CEA), P<0.001]. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that high post-CEA remained a significant independent risk factor for worse RFS [hazard ratio (HR), 3.98; P=0.006]. The same was also demonstrated for patients without AC (HR, 5.43; P=0.008). To the best of our knowledge, the present study was the first to demonstrate that high post-CEA levels may be an indicator of high-risk stage II colon cancer, even for patients without AC. These results highlight the need for a multicenter prospective study.

Identification of Predictive Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in pT1 Stage Colorectal Cancer Patients: A Retrospective Analysis Based on the Population Database

Objective: The purpose of this study was to identify predictive factors for lymph node metastasis (LNM) in pT1 stage colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Methods: From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, 2,697 consecutive pT1 stage patients who underwent surgical resection were retrospectively reviewed. Predictive factors for LNM were identified by the univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to evaluate the relationships between LNM and overall survival (OS) as well as cancer specific survival (CSS) of pT1 stage CRC patients. Results: The prevalence of LNM in pT1 stage CRC patients was 15.2% (410/2,697). Patient age <60 years (OR:1.869, 95% CI: 1.505-2.321, p < 0.001), poorly differentiated or mucinous or signet ring cell adenocarcinoma (OR:2.075, 95% CI: 1.584-2.717, p < 0.001), elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (OR:1.343, 95% CI: 1.022-1.763, p = 0.033) and perineural invasion (PNI) (OR:6.212, 95% CI: 3.502-11.017, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with LNM in pT1 stage patients. The survival analysis demonstrated that pT1 stage patients with LNM had a worse OS (5-year OS: 82.2% vs 88.7%, p = 0.020) and CSS (5-year CSS: 74.9% vs 81.5%, p = 0.041) than those without lymph node metastasis. Lymph node metastasis was an independent predictor of poor OS (HR: 1.543, 95% CI: 1.156-2.060, p = 0.003) and CSS (HR: 1.614, 95% CI: 1.121-2.324, p = 0.010) for pT1 stage colorectal cancer patients. Conclusion: Age, differentiation type, CEA level and perineural invasion were independent predictive factors for LNM in pT1 stage CRC patients. These findings might provide further risk stratification for pT1 stage patients and help clinicians identify high-risk individuals.

Association of perioperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen level and recurrence in low-risk stage IIA colon cancer

Background

The purpose is to investigate prognosis according to serum CEA levels before and after surgery in patients with stage IIA colon cancer who do not show high-risk features.

Methods

Among the patients diagnosed with colon adenocarcinoma between April 2011 and December 2017, 462 patients were confirmed as low-risk stage IIA after surgery and enrolled. The ROC curve was used to determine cut-off values of pre- and postoperative CEA. Patients were classified into three groups using these new cut-off values.

Results

All recurrence occurred in 52 of 463 patients (11.2%). However, recurrence in group H was 15.9%, which was slightly higher than the other two groups (P = 0.04). Group L and M showed 10.5% and 12.8% overall survival, group H was higher at 21.0% (P = 0.005). Recurrence was the only risk factor in group H was significantly higher in group L (HR 2.008, 95% CI, 1.123–3.589, P = 0.019). Mortality was similar to recurrence (HR 1.975, 95% CI 1.091–3.523, P = 0.044).

Conclusion

Among patients with low-risk stage IIA colon cancer, recurrence and mortality rates were higher when perioperative serum CEA levels were above a certain level. Therefore, high CEA level should be considered a high-risk feature and adjuvant chemotherapy should be performed.

Enhancing Prediction Performance by Add-On Combining Circulating Tumor Cell Count, CD45neg EpCAMneg Cell Count on Colorectal Cancer, Advance, and Metastasis

Simple Summary

Information describing circulating tumor cells (CTCs) holds promise for clinical applications. However, conventional CTCs enumeration could ignore the CTCs more relevant to cancer metastasis. Thus, negative selection CTC enumeration was proposed, by which information on the numbers of CTCs and CD45^neg EpCAM^neg cells can be obtained. By combining this approach with the conventional biomarker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), this study aimed to explore whether any combination of these biomarkers could improve the predictive performance for colorectal cancer (CRC) or its status. Results revealed that a combination of the two cell populations showed improved performance (AUROC: 0.893) for CRC prediction over the use of only one population. Compared with CEA alone, the combination of the three biomarkers increased the performance (AUROC) for advanced CRC prediction from 0.643 to 0.727. Compared with that of CEA alone for metastatic CRC prediction, the AUROC was increased from 0.780 to 0.837 when the CTC count was included.

Abstract

Conventional circulating tumor cell (CTC) enumeration could ignore the CTCs more relevant to cancer metastasis. Thus, negative selection CTC enumeration was proposed, by which information on two cellular biomarkers (numbers of CTCs and CD45^neg EpCAM^neg cells) can be obtained. By combining this approach with the conventional biomarker carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), this study aimed to explore whether any combination of these biomarkers could improve the predictive performance for colorectal cancer (CRC) or its status. In this work, these two cell populations in healthy donors and CRC patients were quantified. Results revealed that enumeration of these two cell populations was able to discriminate healthy donors from CRC patients, even patients with non-advanced CRC. Moreover, the combination of the two cell populations showed improved performance (AUROC: 0.893) for CRC prediction over the use of only one population. Compared with CEA alone, the combination of the three biomarkers increased the performance (AUROC) for advanced CRC prediction from 0.643 to 0.727. Compared with that of CEA alone for metastatic CRC prediction, the AUROC was increased from 0.780 to 0.837 when the CTC count was included. Overall, this study demonstrated that the combination of these two cellular biomarkers with CEA improved the predictive performance for CRC and its status.

Controversial Issues Regarding Obligatory Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Stage IIIA Colon Cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate the survival outcomes of patients with stage IIIA colon cancer. In addition, risk factors that affect the oncologic outcome of stage IIIA colon cancer patients and the role of adjuvant chemotherapy were evaluated.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from 326 colon cancer patients with stage IIIA who underwent surgery between January 2000 and December 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. Patients diagnosed with hereditary cancer and those who received preoperative neoadjuvant therapy were excluded.

RESULTS

The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate in stage IIIA colon cancer patients who underwent curative resection was 93.9%. Of the patients with recurrence, the survival rate of those who underwent surgical resection was better than that of patients who received palliative chemotherapy or no treatment (12/13, 92.3% vs. 2/4, 50.0%), respectively; P = .052). Multivariate analysis showed that high serum carcinoembryonic antigen (s-CEA) was an independent and statistically significant prognostic factor for RFS, and ulcerative gross-type disease tended to be a poor prognostic factor. There was no difference in RFS in patients with elevated s-CEA or ulcerative gross-type disease according to receipt of adjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Patients with stage IIIA colon cancer had a relatively favorable survival outcome. Even in patients with relapsed disease, long-term survival could be a result if surgical resection is accomplished. High s-CEA concentration is a significant poor prognostic factor for recurrence, and ulcerative gross-type disease tends to be a poor prognostic factor. Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy may not provide a survival benefit for stage IIIA colon cancer, even in the presence of risk factors. Because of the rarity of this patient group and the low rate of recurrence, large-scale multicenter studies are needed to find and confirm the risk group that would receive a benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Development and validation of nomogram combining serum biomarker for predicting survival in patients with resected rectal cancer

Purpose: Nomogram is a widely used tool that precisely predicts individualized cancer prognoses. We aimed to develop and validate a reliable nomogram including serum tumor biomarkers to predict individual overall survival (OS) for patients with resected rectal cancer (RC) and compare the predictive value with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stages.

Patients and methods: We analyzed 520 patients who were diagnosed with non-metastatic rectal cancer as training cohort. External validation was performed in a cohort of 11851 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Independent prognostic factors were identified and integrated to build a nomogram using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. The nomogram was evaluated by Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots in both training and validation cohort.

Results: The calibration curves for probability of 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in both cohorts showed favorable accordance between the nomogram prediction and the actual observation. The C-indices of the nomograms to predict OS were 0.71 in training cohort and 0.69 in the SEER cohort, which were higher than that of the seventh edition American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system for predicting OS (training cohort, 0.71 vs. 0.58, respectively; P-value < 0.001; validation cohort, 0.69 vs. 0.57, respectively; P-value < 0.001).

Conclusion: We developed and validated a novel nomogram based on CEA and other factors for predicting OS in patients with resected RC, which could assist clinical decision making and improvement of prognosis prediction for individual RC patients after surgery.

Preoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen as a Poor Prognostic Factor in Stage I-III Colorectal Cancer After Curative-Intent Resection: A Propensity Score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND

Preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) has yet to be used as a prognostic or adjuvant chemotherapy factor for colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included all stage I-III CRC patients with different preoperative serum CEA levels (≤ 5, 5-10, and > 10 ng/ml) at a single center between 1995 and 2010. Propensity score matching was performed in a 1:1 ratio between the two elevated CEA groups (5-10 ng/ml and > 10 ng/ml) and in a 1:2 ratio between the elevated and non-elevated groups (≤ 5 ng/ml), with a caliper of 0.05.

RESULTS

After exclusion and matching, 3857 patients had preoperative CEA levels ≤ 5 ng/ml, 1121 patients had CEA levels between 5 and 10 ng/ml, and 1121 patients had CEA levels > 10 ng/ml. Elevated preoperative CEA showed an increased risk of overall survival (5-10 ng/ml: hazard ratio [HR] 1.376; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.523; both p < 0.001), cancer-specific survival (5-10 ng/ml: HR 1.404; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.712; both p < 0.001), and recurrence free interval (5-10 ng/ml: HR 1.190; > 10 ng/ml: HR 1.468; both p < 0.05). Patients with negative lymph node staging (LNs) and CEA > 10 ng/ml, as well as those with positive LNs and CEA ≤ 5 ng/ml, showed similar overall survival (5-year survival: 72% vs. 69%; p = 0.542) and recurrence free intervals (19.9 vs. 21.72 months; p = 0.662).

CONCLUSIONS

A preoperative CEA level can be an independent prognostic factor for stage I-III CRC after curative resection. Patients with negative LNs and preoperative CEA level > 10 ng/ml should be considered for intensive follow-up or adjuvant chemotherapy.

Association of Preoperative and Postoperative Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen and Colon Cancer Outcome

IMPORTANCE

Guidelines recommend measuring preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) in patients with colon cancer. Although persistently elevated CEA after surgery has been associated with increased risk for metastatic disease, prognostic significance of elevated preoperative CEA that normalized after resection is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate whether patients with elevated preoperative CEA that normalizes after colon cancer resection have a higher risk of recurrence than patients with normal preoperative CEA.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort analysis was conducted at a comprehensive cancer center. Consecutive patients with colon cancer who underwent curative resection for stage I to III colon adenocarcinoma at the center from January 2007 to December 2014 were identified.

EXPOSURES

Patients were grouped into 3 cohorts: normal preoperative CEA, elevated preoperative but normalized postoperative CEA, and elevated preoperative and postoperative CEA.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Three-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) and hazard function curves over time were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 1027 patients (461 [50.4%] male; median [IQR] age, 64 [53-75] years) were identified. Patients with normal preoperative CEA had 7.4% higher 3-year RFS (n = 715 [89.7%]) than the combined cohorts with elevated preoperative CEA (n = 312 [82.3%]) (P = .01) but had RFS similar to that of patients with normalized postoperative CEA (n = 142 [87.9%]) (P = .86). Patients with elevated postoperative CEA had 14.9% lower RFS (n = 57 [74.5%]) than the combined cohorts with normal postoperative CEA (n = 857 [89.4%]) (P = .001). The hazard function of recurrence for elevated postoperative CEA peaked earlier than for the other cohorts. Multivariate analyses confirmed that elevated postoperative CEA (hazard ratio [HR], 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1-3.5), but not normalized postoperative CEA (HR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.45-1.30), was independently associated with shorter RFS.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Elevated preoperative CEA that normalizes after resection is not an indicator of poor prognosis. Routine measurement of postoperative, rather than preoperative, CEA is warranted. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA are at increased risk for recurrence, especially within the first 12 months after surgery.

Relations of Changes in Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels before and after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and after Surgery to Histologic Response and Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The histologic response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) has been intimately related to outcomes in locally advanced rectal cancer. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels change after nCRT and after surgery as compared with before nCRT.

METHODS

The subjects were 149 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received nCRT between 2005 and 2013. The patients were divided into 4 groups according to the serum CEA levels: group 1, 55 patients with negative serum CEA levels before nCRT; group 2, 41 patients with positive serum CEA levels before nCRT that became negative after nCRT; group 3, 37 patients with positive serum CEA levels after nCRT that became negative after surgery; and group 4, 16 patients with positive serum CEA levels after nCRT as well as after surgery.

RESULTS

Pathological complete response, T downstaging, and tumor shrinkage were significantly higher in group 1 than in other groups. Disease-free survival was significantly poorer in group 4. The lack of a decrease in the serum CEA level in group 4 was most likely attributed to the persistence of micrometastases outside the resection field.

CONCLUSIONS

Changes in serum CEA levels measured before nCRT, after nCRT, and after surgery can be used to reliably predict the histologic response to nCRT and outcomes.

Elevated CEA is associated with worse survival in recurrent rectal cancer

This study investigated the prognostic impact of serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level in recurrent rectal cancer. We reviewed 745 patients who developed recurrence after curative treatment for rectal cancer between January 2000 and December 2012. Multivariate analyses for survival revealed that age > 60 years (p = 0.005), r-CEA ≥ 5 ng/ml (p < 0.001), disease free interval (DFI) < 12 months (p < 0.001), and palliative or conservative treatment (p < 0.001) were unfavorable factors.

Tumor location as a novel high risk parameter for stage II colorectal cancers

Current studies do not accurately evaluate the influence of tumor location on survival of colorectal cancer patients. This study aimed to explore whether tumor location could be identified as another high-risk factor in stage II colorectal cancer by using data identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. All colorectal cancer patients between 2004 and 2008 were grouped into three according to tumor location. Of 33,789 patients diagnosed with stage II colorectal cancer, 46.8% were right colon cancer, 37.5% were left colon cancer and 15.7% were rectal cancer. The 5-year cancer specific survivals were examined. Right colon cancer was associated with the female sex, older age (> 50), and having over 12 lymph nodes resected. Conversely, rectal cancer was associated with the male sex, patients younger than 50 years of age and insufficient lymph node resection. The characteristics of left colon cancer were between them and associated with Asian or Pacific Islander populations, T4 stage, and Grade II patients. The prognostic differences between three groups were significant and retained after stratification by T stage, histological grade, number of regional nodes dissected, age at diagnose, race and sex. Furthermore, the significant difference of location was retained as an independent high-risk parameter. Thus, stage II colorectal cancers of different locations have different clinic-pathological features and cancer-specific survivals, and tumor location should be recognized as another high-risk parameter in stage II colorectal cancer.

Incorporation of serum carcinoembryonic antigen levels into the prognostic grouping system of colon cancer

PURPOSE

This study aimed to clarify the significance of preoperative serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) on disease-free survival (DFS) in colon cancer and propose a new prognostic grouping system.

METHODS

A multiinstitutional retrospective cohort of 7296 colon cancer patients who underwent R0 surgery between 1997 and 2006 was analyzed. We stratified preoperative serum CEA values into three categories (C-stages): C0 (normal CEA), C1A (up to double the cutoff value), and C1B (more than double the cutoff value) and stratified each TNM stage by C-stage. Multivariate analyses using Cox regression models were used to analyze the significance of C-stage on 5-year DFS.

RESULTS

CEA level was an independent factor affecting DFS; the 5-year DFS of patients with C0 and C1, as well as those with C1A and C1B, differed significantly (C0 84.6%, C1 69.8%, C1A 72.7%, and C1B 66.4%, P < 0.0001). Additionally, the DFS of pStages IIC and C1B was significantly lower than of pStages IIIA and C0 (65.8 vs. 87.7%, respectively; hazard ratio 3.44, 95% confidence interval 1.97-5.88, P < 0.0001). Moreover, the 5-year DFS of pStages IIIA and C0 or C1A did not differ significantly from pStages I and C1A (87.7 vs. 87.7%, P = 0.90 and 86.4 vs. 87.7%, P = 0.78, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

pStage IIC and C1B disease should be considered candidates for intensive adjuvant chemotherapy. Conversely, pStages IIIA and C0 or C1A could be exempted from adjuvant chemotherapy. Incorporating C-stage into the current TNM staging system may facilitate decision making regarding the use of adjuvant chemotherapy in colon cancer patients.

Prognostic impact of carcinoembryonic antigen and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 in stage IV colorectal cancer patients after R0 resection

BACKGROUND

Although preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (pre-CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (pre-CA 19-9) are reportedly prognostic indicators for colorectal cancer (CRC), the prognostic roles of postoperative CEA (post-CEA) and CA 19-9 (post-CA 19-9) shortly after surgery have not been clarified in patients with curatively resected stage IV CRC. The aim of this study was to evaluate the predictive abilities of post-CEA and post-CA 19-9.

METHODS

A total of 129 consecutive patients who had stage IV CRC and underwent R0 resection were retrospectively analyzed. Pre-CEA and post-CEA and CA 19-9 levels were measured within 1 mo before and 3 mo after surgery, respectively. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Pre-CEA was elevated (≥5.0 ng/mL) in 73.6% of the patients and remained elevated after surgery in 32.7% of the patients. Elevated post-CA 19-9 (≥50 U/mL) was observed in 9.5% of the patients. Neither elevated pre-CEA nor elevated pre-CA 19-9 was significantly associated with RFS but both elevated post-CEA and elevated post-CA 19-9 were associated with markedly reduced RFS (P = 0.0002 and P = 0.0004, respectively). When considered in combination, post-CEA and post-CA 19-9 significantly stratified RFS and was an independent predictive factor for recurrence (P = 0.0035), as was lymphatic invasion (P = 0.0015). Post-CA 19-9 was the only evident independent predictive factor for overall survival (P = 0.0336).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with stage IV CRC who underwent curative resection, the combination of post-CEA and post-CA 19-9 at 3 mo after surgery was a potent prognostic indicator for recurrence.

Personalized treatment for patients with colorectal cancer: role of biomarkers

The systemic treatment of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) has traditionally been based on clinical and tumor histological criteria. Recently however, several prognostic and predictive biomarkers have been proposed for patients with newly diagnosed CRC, including the subgroup with stage II disease. Among the best validated prognostic biomarkers for CRC are CEA levels, MS instability status and certain gene signatures. Although no biomarker currently exists for identifying patients likely to benefit from chemotherapy, the mutational status of KRAS and NRAS is used to predict response to cetuximab and panitumumab. For upfront identification of patients at high risk of suffering from severe therapy-related toxicity, specific variants of dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase may be measured for predicting toxicity from fluoropyrimidines and uridine diphosphate glucuronosyltransferase*28 (UGT1A1*28) for predicting toxicity from irinotecan.

Laparoscopic versus open low anterior resection for rectal cancer: results from the national cancer data base

BACKGROUND

While the use of laparoscopy has increased among patients undergoing colorectal surgery, there is ongoing debate regarding the oncologic equivalence of laparoscopy compared to open low anterior resection (LAR) for rectal cancer.

METHODS

The 2010-2011 NCDB was queried for patients undergoing LAR for rectal cancer. Subjects were grouped by laparoscopic (LLAR) versus open (OLAR) technique. Baseline characteristics were compared. Subjects were propensity matched, and outcomes were compared between groups.

RESULTS

A total of 18,765 patients were identified (34.3% LLAR, 65.7% OLAR). After propensity matching, all baseline variables were highly similar except for carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level. Complete resection was more common in patients undergoing LLAR (91.6 vs. 88.9%, p < 0.001), and statistically significant benefits were observed for gross, microscopic, and circumferential (>1 mm) margins (all p < 0.001). There was no difference in median number of lymph nodes obtained (15 vs. 15). Patients undergoing LLAR had shorter lengths of stay (5 vs. 6 days, p < 0.001) without a corresponding increase in 30-day readmission rates (6 vs. 7%, p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Laparoscopic LAR appears to result in equivalent short-term oncologic outcomes compared to the traditional open approach as measured via surrogate endpoints in the NCDB. While these results support the increasing use of laparoscopy in rectal surgery, further data are necessary to assess long-term outcomes.