Development of a prediction rule for estimating postoperative pulmonary complications

Laparoscopic Gastric Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor (GIST) Resection in a 108-Year-Old Patient

Surgery for centenarians comes with unprecedented challenges and risks. The limited physical reserve and fragility of homeostatic control in this population reduces their ability to adapt to physiological changes encountered during open and laparoscopic surgery. This case report presents a 108-year-old female patient who underwent laparoscopic resection of a symptomatic gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST), without any adverse effects. The case highlights the importance of thorough preoperative risk assessment and planning, multidisciplinary input, and individualised patient care.

Nomogram as a novel predictive tool for postoperative pneumonia after endoscopic submucosal dissection for superficial esophageal carcinomas: a multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

Adverse events, such as postoperative pneumonia, can occur in some patients after esophageal endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). However, few studies have investigated it. As such, we aimed to develop a nomogram to evaluate the progression of postoperative pneumonia after esophageal ESD.

METHODS

Between January 2014 and November 2023, this multicenter retrospective study enrolled patients received esophageal ESD. Data from 492 patients who underwent esophageal ESD were collected for model development. Clinical features and procedure-related characteristics were analyzed. A novel nomogram was constructed based on the results of multivariable logistic regression analysis. Besides, data from 226 and 101 patients were collected for internal and external validation, respectively. Subsequently, the discrimination, calibration, and clinical practice ability of the nomogram were evaluated.

RESULTS

The incidence of postoperative pneumonia after esophageal ESD was 18.6%. Female (OR 1.770, P = 0.027), older age (OR 1.729, P = 0.044), low serum albumin level (OR 2.115, P = 0.003), long operative duration (OR 6.853, P < 0.001), muscular layer damage (OR 1.507, P = 0.136) and comorbid pulmonary disease (OR 1.206, P = 0.594) were found to be statistically or clinically significant factors to predict postoperative pneumonia after esophageal ESD, based on which a nomogram was developed. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.76 and 0.89 in the internal and external validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis exhibited favorable results both in the two validation cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first nomogram built, including sex, age, serum albumin level, operative duration, muscular layer damage, and comorbid pulmonary disease, to predict postoperative pneumonia after esophageal ESD.

Comprehensive Strategies for Preoperative Pulmonary Risk Evaluation and Management

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) significantly increase morbidity and mortality in surgical patients, particularly those with pulmonary conditions. PPC incidence varies widely, influenced by factors such as surgery type, patient age, smoking status, and comorbid conditions, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and congestive heart failure. While preoperative pulmonary function tests and chest radiographs are crucial for lung resection surgery, their use should be judiciously tailored to individual risk profiles. Effective risk stratification models, such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, Arozullah respiratory failure index, Gupta Calculators, and Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT) model, play a key role in predicting PPCs. Key strategies to diminish PPCs include preoperative optimization of respiratory conditions, smoking cessation, and respiratory rehabilitation. In patients with COPD and asthma, it is crucial to maintain optimal disease control through inhaled therapies, systemic corticosteroids, and tailored preoperative respiratory exercises. Anemia and hypoalbuminemia are significant predictors of PPCs and require meticulous management. The choice and duration of anesthesia also notably influence PPC risk, with regional anesthesia being preferable to general anesthesia when possible. Comprehensive preoperative evaluations and tailored interventions are essential for enhancing surgical outcomes and reducing PPC incidence. Additional studies involving domestic patients are necessary to refine national guidelines for managing those at risk of PPCs.

Integrating StEP-COMPAC definition and enhanced recovery after surgery status in a machine-learning-based model for postoperative pulmonary complications in laparoscopic hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) contribute to high mortality rates and impose significant financial burdens. In this study, a machine learning-based prediction model was developed to identify patients at high risk of developing PPCs following laparoscopic hepatectomy.

METHODS

Data were collected from 1022 adult patients who underwent laparoscopic hepatectomy at two centres between January 2015 and February 2021. The dataset was divided into a development set and a temporal external validation set based on the year of surgery. A total of 42 factors were extracted for pre-modelling, including the implementation status of Enhanced Recovery after Surgery (ERAS). Feature selection was performed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The model with the best performance was externally validated using temporal data.

RESULTS

The incidence of PPCs was 8.7%. Lambda.1se was selected as the optimal lambda for LASSO feature selection. For implementation of ERAS, serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels, malignant tumour presence, total bilirubin levels, and age-adjusted Charleston Comorbidities Index were the selected factors. Seven models were developed. Among them, logistic regression demonstrated the best performance, with an AUC of 0.745 in the internal validation set and 0.680 in the temporal external validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on the most recent definition, a machine learning model was employed to predict the risk of PPCs following laparoscopic hepatectomy. Logistic regression was identified as the best-performing model. ERAS implementation was associated with a reduction in the number of PPCs.

Sex dependence of postoperative pulmonary complications - A post hoc unmatched and matched analysis of LAS VEGAS

STUDY OBJECTIVE

Male sex has inconsistently been associated with the development of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). These studies were different in size, design, population and preoperative risk. We reanalysed the database of 'Local ASsessment of Ventilatory management during General Anaesthesia for Surgery study' (LAS VEGAS) to evaluate differences between females and males with respect to PPCs.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS

Post hoc unmatched and matched analysis of LAS VEGAS, an international observational study in patients undergoing intraoperative ventilation under general anaesthesia for surgery in 146 hospitals across 29 countries. The primary endpoint was a composite of PPCs in the first 5 postoperative days. Individual PPCs, hospital length of stay and mortality were secondary endpoints. Propensity score matching was used to create a similar cohort regarding type of surgery and epidemiological factors with a known association with development of PPCs.

MAIN RESULTS

The unmatched cohort consisted of 9697 patients; 5342 (55.1%) females and 4355 (44.9%) males. The matched cohort consisted of 6154 patients; 3077 (50.0%) females and 3077 (50.0%) males. The incidence in PPCs was neither significant between females and males in the unmatched cohort (10.0 vs 10.7%; odds ratio (OR) 0.93 [0.81-1.06]; P = 0.255), nor in the matched cohort (10.5 vs 10.0%; OR 1.05 [0.89-1.25]; P = 0.556). New invasive ventilation occurred less often in females in the unmatched cohort. Hospital length of stay and mortality were similar between females and males in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

In this conveniently-sized worldwide cohort of patients receiving intraoperative ventilation under general anaesthesia for surgery, the PPC incidence was not significantly different between sexes.

REGISTRATION

LAS VEGAS was registered at clinicaltrial.gov (study identifier NCT01601223).

Incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications and associated risk factors after major oncosurgeries: Prospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are defined heterogeneously and have major adverse effects in increasing morbidity. Oncosurgeries themselves are complex, are of long duration, and extensive handling of body tissues occurs in them, leading to various complications including PPCs. So, we conducted this prospective study intending to find the incidence and risk factors for PPCs in patients undergoing major oncosurgeries.

METHODS

This prospective observational study was conducted after obtaining institutional ethical approval in patients undergoing major oncosurgeries. The demographic, preoperative, and intraoperative details were noted, and patients were followed in the postoperative period for the occurrence of PPC till discharge. Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT) score was used to predict the occurrence of PPC. Data were analyzed using multivariable regression analysis for the risk factors, and the Chi-square trend was used to see the trend of PPC with the change in ARISCAT score.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of PPC in patients undergoing major oncosurgeries was 28.05%. The most common PPCs were respiratory insufficiency (19.2%) and atelectasis (17.6%). The highest incidence of PPC was found in thoracotomies (41.6%), followed by cytoreductive surgeries (40.6%). The risk factors for PPCs included body mass index (BMI) <18.5 or >25 kg/m2, smoking, use of nasogastric tube, age >60 years, and albumin <3.5 g/dL. Patients with low ARISCAT scores had a low incidence of PPC compared to those with high and intermediate ARISCAT scores.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of PPC in patients undergoing major oncosurgeries was 28.05% in our study. The independent risk factors for PPC in oncological surgeries were BMI <18.5 kg/m2 or >25 kg/m2, use of nasogastric tube, age <60 years, serum albumin <3.5 g/dL, and smoking.

Preoperative forced expiratory volume in one second and postoperative respiratory outcomes in nonpulmonary and noncardiac surgery: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although the usefulness of pulmonary function tests has been established for lung resection and coronary artery bypass surgeries, the association between preoperative pulmonary function test and postoperative respiratory complications in nonpulmonary and noncardiac surgery is inconclusive. The purpose of this study was to determine the association between preoperative forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) on pulmonary function test and the development of postoperative respiratory failure and/or death in patients undergoing major nonpulmonary and noncardiac surgery.

METHODS

Adult patients aged ≥ 18 years and who underwent nonpulmonary and noncardiac surgery with expected moderate to high risk of perioperative complications from June 2012 to March 2019 were included. The primary exposure was preoperative FEV1 measured by pulmonary function test within six months before surgery. The primary outcome was respiratory failure (i.e., invasive positive pressure ventilation for at least 24 h after surgery or reintubation) and/or death within 30 days after surgery. A logistic regression model was used to adjust for the respiratory failure risk index, which is a scoring system that predicts the probability of postoperative respiratory failure based on patient and surgical factors, and to examine the association between preoperative FEV1 and the development of postoperative respiratory failure and/or death.

RESULTS

Respiratory failure and/or death occurred within 30 days after surgery in 52 (0.9%) of 5562 participants. The incidence of respiratory failure and/or death in patients with FEV1 ≥ 80%, 70%- < 80%, 60%- < 70%, and < 60% was 0.9%, 0.6%, 1.7%, and 1.2%, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed no significant association between preoperative FEV1 and postoperative respiratory failure and/or death (adjusted odds ratio per 10% decrease in FEV1: 1.01, 95% confidence interval: 0.88-1.17, P = 0.838). Addition of FEV1 information to the respiratory failure risk index did not improve the prediction of respiratory failure and/or death [area under the receiver operating characteristics curve: 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.84) and 0.78 (95% confidence interval: 0.72-0.84), respectively; P = 0.84].

CONCLUSION

We found no association between preoperative FEV1 and postoperative respiratory failure and/or death in patients undergoing major nonpulmonary and noncardiac surgery.

Preoperative DLco and FEV1 are correlated with postoperative pulmonary complications in patients after esophagectomy

Limited information is available regarding the association between preoperative lung function and postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) in patients with esophageal cancer who undergo esophagectomy. This is a retrospective cohort study. Patients were classified into low and high lung function groups by the cutoff of the lowest fifth quintile of forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1) %predicted (%pred) and diffusing capacity of the carbon monoxide (DLco) %pred. The PPCs compromised of atelectasis requiring bronchoscopic intervention, pneumonia, and acute lung injury/acute respiratory distress syndrome. Modified multivariable-adjusted Poisson regression model using robust error variances and inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW) were used to assess the relative risk (RR) for the PPCs. A joint effect model considered FEV1%pred and DLco %pred together for the estimation of RR for the PPCs. Of 810 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent esophagectomy, 159 (19.6%) developed PPCs. The adjusted RR for PPCs in the low FEV1 group relative to high FEV1 group was 1.48 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.09-2.00) and 1.98 (95% CI = 1.46-2.68) in the low DLco group relative to the high DLco group. A joint effect model showed adjusted RR of PPCs was highest in patients with low DLco and low FEV1 followed by low DLco and high FEV1, high DLco and low FEV1, and high DLco and high FEV1 (Reference). Results were consistent with the IPTW. Reduced preoperative lung function (FEV1 and DLco) is associated with post-esophagectomy PPCs. The risk was further strengthened when both values decreased together.

Intraoperative Mechanical Power and Postoperative Pulmonary Complications in Noncardiothoracic Elective Surgery Patients: A 10-Year Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pulmonary complications is a major issue that affects outcomes of surgical patients. The hypothesis was that the intraoperative ventilation parameters are associated with occurrence of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted at the Lille University Hospital, France. The study included 33,701 adults undergoing noncardiac, nonthoracic elective surgery requiring general anesthesia with tracheal intubation between January 2010 and December 2019. Intraoperative ventilation parameters were compared between patients with and without one or more postoperative pulmonary complications (respiratory infection, respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, pneumothorax, bronchospasm, and aspiration pneumonitis) within 7 days of surgery.

RESULTS

Among 33,701 patients, 2,033 (6.0%) had one or more postoperative pulmonary complications. The lower tidal volume to predicted body weight ratio (odds ratio per -1 ml·kgPBW-1, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.14; P < 0.001), higher mechanical power (odds ratio per 4 J·min-1, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.26 to 1.49; P < 0.001), dynamic respiratory system compliance less than 30 ml·cm H2O (1.30; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.46; P < 0.001), oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry less than 96% (odds ratio, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.97 to 2.96; P < 0.001), and lower end-tidal carbon dioxide (odds ratio per -3 mmHg, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.13; P = 0.023) were independently associated with postoperative pulmonary complications. Patients with postoperative pulmonary complications were more likely to be admitted to the intensive care unit (odds ratio, 12.5; 95% CI, 6.6 to 10.1; P < 0.001), had longer hospital length of stay (subhazard ratio, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.40 to 0.45), and higher in-hospital (subhazard ratio, 6.0; 95% CI, 4.1 to 9.0; P < 0.001) and 1-yr mortality (subhazard ratio, 2.65; 95% CI, 2.33 to 3.02; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In the study's population, decreased rather than increased tidal volume, decreased compliance, increased mechanical power, and decreased end-tidal carbon dioxide were independently associated with postoperative pulmonary complications.

EDITOR’S PERSPECTIVE

Postoperative pulmonary complications in patients undergoing aortic surgery: A single-center retrospective study

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are among the most common complications after cardiovascular surgery. This study aimed to explore the real incidence of and risk factors for PPC in patients with acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) who underwent total aortic arch replacement combined with the frozen elephant trunk (TAR + FET). In total, 305 ATAAD patients undergoing TAR + FET from January 2021 to August 2022 in a single-center were divided into PPCs or non-PPCs group. The incidence of PPCs was calculated, risk factors of PPCs were analyzed, and postoperative outcomes were compared between these 2 groups. The incidence of any PPC was 29.2%. And the incidence of respiratory infection, respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, pneumothorax, acute respiratory distress syndrome, aspiration pneumonitis, pulmonary edema and bronchospasm was 23.0%, 12.5%, 10.5%, 1.0%, 0.7%, 1.0%, 0%, 0.7%, 0%, respectively. The logistic regression analysis revealed that the history of diabetes, history of renal dysfunction, preoperative SpO2 <90%, cardiopulmonary bypass duration, fresh frozen plasma volume and platelet concentrates volume were independent risk factors for PPCs. Among 2 groups, postoperative ventilation duration, postoperative length of stay in intensive care unit and hospital were (73.5 ± 79.0 vs 24.8 ± 35.2 hours; P < .001), (228.3 ± 151.2 vs 95.2 ± 72.0 hours; P < .001) and (17.9 ± 8.8 vs 11.5 ± 6.2 days; P < .001). There was no difference between 2 groups of in-hospital mortality rate. Additionally, other short-term outcomes were also significantly poorer in patients with PPCs. PPCs are common in ATAAD patients undergoing TAR + FET, and could be multifactorial. PPCs occurrence are associated with poor patient outcomes postoperatively and worth further investigation.

Assessing the effects of smoking status on outcomes of elective minimally invasive paraesophageal hernia repair

BACKGROUND

Patients are often advised on smoking cessation prior to elective surgical interventions, but the impact of active smoking on paraesophageal hernia repair (PEHR) outcomes is unclear. The objective of this cohort study was to evaluate the impact of active smoking on short-term outcomes following PEHR.

METHODS

Patients who underwent elective PEHR at an academic institution between 2011 and 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database from 2010 to 2021 was queried for PEHR. Patient demographics, comorbidities, and 30-day post-operative data were collected and maintained in an IRB-approved database. Cohorts were stratified by active smoking status. Primary outcomes included rates of death or serious morbidity (DSM) and radiographically identified recurrence. Bivariate and multivariable regressions were performed, and p value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

538 patients underwent elective PEHR in the single-institution cohort, of whom 5.8% (n = 31) were smokers. 77.7% (n = 394) were female, median age was 67 [IQR 59, 74] years, and median follow-up was 25.3 [IQR 3.2, 53.6] months. Rates of DSM (non-smoker 4.5% vs smoker 6.5%, p = 0.62) and hernia recurrence (33.3% vs 48.4%, p = 0.09) did not differ significantly. On multivariable analysis, smoking status was not associated with any outcome (p > 0.2). On NSQIP analysis, 38,284 PEHRs were identified, of whom 8.6% (n = 3584) were smokers. Increased DSM was observed among smokers (non-smoker 5.1%, smoker 6.2%, p = 0.004). Smoking status was independently associated with increased risk of DSM (OR 1.36, p < 0.001), respiratory complications (OR 1.94, p < 0.001), 30-day readmission (OR 1.21, p = 0.01), and discharge to higher level of care (OR 1.59, p = 0.01). No difference was seen in 30-day mortality or wound complications.

CONCLUSION

Smoking status confers a small increased risk of short-term morbidity following elective PEHR without increased risk of mortality or hernia recurrence. While smoking cessation should be encouraged for all active smokers, minimally invasive PEHR in symptomatic patients should not be delayed on account of patient smoking status.

Comparison of Tools for Postoperative Pulmonary Complications After Cardiac Surgery

OBJECTIVES

To review the efficacy of 2 score tools for identifying pulmonary complications after cardiac surgery.

DESIGN

A retrospective observational study.

SETTING

At the West China Hospital of Sichuan University General Hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery (N = 508).

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A total of 508 patients who underwent elective cardiac surgery between March 2021 and December 2021 were included in this observational study. Three independent physiotherapists used 2 different sets of score tools, as described by Kroenke et al. (Kroenke Score) and Reeve et al. (Melbourne Group Scale), to evaluate clinically defined pulmonary complications according to the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome definitions (including atelectasis, pneumonia, and respiratory failure) daily after surgery at midday. The incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) was 51.6% (262/508) with the Kroenke Score and 21.9% (111/508) with the Melbourne Group Scale. The clinically observed incidence of atelectasis was 51.4%, pneumonia was 20.9%, and respiratory failure at 6.5%. The receiver operator characteristics curve showed that the overall validity of the Kroenke Score was better than that of the Melbourne Group Scale in atelectasis (area under the curve [AUC], 91.5% v 71.3%). The Melbourne Group Scale performed better in pneumonia (AUC, 99.4% v 80.0%) and respiratory failure (AUC, 88.5% v 75.9%) than the Kroenke Score.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of PPCs after cardiac surgery was highly prevalent. Both the Kroenke Score and the Melbourne Group Scale are effective in identifying patients with PPCs. Kroenke Score can identify patients with mild pulmonary adverse events, whereas the Melbourne Group Scale is more dominant in identifying moderate-to-severe pulmonary complications.

Risk stratification for post-operative pulmonary complications following major cardiothoracic or abdominal surgery: Validation of the PPC Risk Prediction Score for physiotherapist's clinical decision-making

INTRODUCTION

Patients undergoing major cardiothoracic or abdominal surgery are at increased risk of developing post-operative pulmonary complications (PPC), but respiratory physiotherapy can prevent PPC. We have previously developed the PPC Risk Prediction Score to allocate physiotherapists' resources and stratify patients into three risk groups. In this study, we performed a temporal external validation of the PPC Risk Prediction Score. Such validation is rare and adds to the originality of this study.

METHODS

A cohort of 360 patients, admitted to undergo elective cardiothoracic or abdominal surgery, were included. Performance and clinical usefulness of the PPC Risk Prediction Score were estimated through discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness, and the score was updated.

RESULTS

The score showed c-statistics of 0.62. Related to clinical usefulness, a cut point at 8 gave a sensitivity of 0.49 and a specificity of 0.70, whereas a cut point at 12 gave a sensitivity of 0.13 and a specificity of 0.95. Two predictors included in the development sample score, thoraco-abdominal incision odds ratio (OR) 2.74 (1.12;6.71) and sternotomy OR 2.09 (1.18;3.72), were statistically significantly associated to PPC in the validation sample.

CONCLUSIONS

The score was not able to discriminate between patients with and without PPC; neither was the updated score, but the study identified clinically relevant risk factors for developing PPC.

[The perioperative role of high-flow cannula oxygen (HFNO)]

High-flow nasal cannula oxygen (HFNO) is commonly used during the perioperative period. Its numerous physiological benefits, satisfactory tolerance and ease of use have led to its widespread application in intensive care and post-anesthesia care units. HFNO is also used in the operating theater in multiple indications: as oxygen supplementation (associated with pressurization) prior to orotracheal intubation; in digestive and bronchial endoscopies, especially in patients at risk of hypoxemia; and in intraoperative surgery requiring spontaneous ventilation (ENT, thoracic surgery…). During the postoperative period, HFNO can be used in a curative strategy for respiratory failure or in a prophylactic strategy to prevent reintubation. In a curative approach, HFNO seems of interest following cardiac or thoracic surgery but has not been evaluated in respiratory failure subsequent to abdominal surgery, in which case noninvasive ventilation remains the gold standard. The risk of respiratory complications depends on type of surgery and on patient comorbidities. As prophylaxis, HFNO is currently preferred to conventional oxygen therapy after cardiac or thoracic surgery, especially in patients at high risk of respiratory complications. For the clinician, it is important to acknowledge the limits of HFNO and to closely monitor patients receiving HFNO, the objective being to avoid delays in intubation that could lead to increased mortality.

The impact of driving pressure on postoperative pulmonary complication in patients with different respiratory spirometry

Risk factors for postoperative pulmonary complication (PPC) have not been determined according to preoperative respiratory spirometry. Thus, we aimed to find contributors for PPC in patients with restrictive or normal spirometric pattern. We analyzed 654 patients (379 with normal and 275 with restrictive spirometric pattern). PPCs comprised respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, respiratory infection, and bronchospasm. We analyzed the association between perioperative factors and PPC using binary logistic regression. In particular, we conducted subgroup analysis on the patients stratified according to preoperative spirometry. Of 654 patients, 27/379 patients (7.1%) with normal spirometric pattern and 33/275 patients (12.0%) with restrictive spirometric pattern developed PPCs. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that high driving pressure was the only intraoperative modifiable factor increasing PPC risk (OR = 1.13 [1.02-1.25], p = 0.025). In the subgroup of patients with restrictive spirometric pattern, intraoperative driving pressure was significantly associated with PPC (OR = 1.21 [1.05-1.39], p = 0.009), whereas driving pressure was not associated with PPC in patients with normal spirometric pattern (OR = 1.04 [0.89-1.21], p = 0.639). In patients with restrictive spirometric pattern, greater intraoperative driving pressure is significantly associated with increased PPC risk. In contrast, intraoperative driving pressure is not associated with PPC in patients with normal spirometric pattern.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Effects of the breath stacking technique after upper abdominal surgery: a randomized clinical trial

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the effect of the association of the breath stacking (BS) technique associated with routine physiotherapy on pulmonary function, lung volumes, maximum respiratory pressures, vital signs, peripheral oxygenation, thoracoabdominal mobility, and pain in the surgical incision in patients submitted to upper abdominal surgery during the postoperative period, as well as to analyze BS safety.

METHODS

This was a randomized clinical trial involving 34 patients divided into a control group (CG; n = 16), who underwent conventional physiotherapy only, and the BS group (BSG; n = 18), who underwent conventional physiotherapy and BS. Both groups performed two daily sessions from postoperative day 2 until hospital discharge. The primary outcomes were FVC and Vt. The safety of BS was assessed by the incidence of gastrointestinal, hemodynamic, and respiratory repercussions.

RESULTS

Although FVC significantly increased at hospital discharge in both groups, the effect was greater on the BSG. Significant increases in FEV1, FEV1/FVC ratio, PEF, and FEF25-75% occurred only in the BSG. There were also significant increases in Ve and Vt in the BSG, but not when compared with the CG values at discharge. MIP and MEP significantly increased in both groups, with a greater effect on the BSG. There was a significant decrease in RR, as well as a significant increase in SpO2 only in the BSG. SpO2 acutely increased after BS; however, no changes were observed in the degree of dyspnea, vital signs, or signs of respiratory distress, and no gastrointestinal and hemodynamic repercussions were observed.

CONCLUSIONS

BS has proven to be safe and effective for recovering pulmonary function; improving lung volumes, maximum respiratory pressures, and peripheral oxygenation; and reducing respiratory work during the postoperative period after upper abdominal surgery.

Risk Stratification for Postoperative Pulmonary Complications following Major Cardiothoracic and Abdominal Surgery - development of the PPC Risk Prediction Score for Physiotherapists Clinical Decision-making

INTRODUCTION

Major cardiothoracic or abdominal surgery can lead to the development of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPC), associated with increased morbidity and prolonged length of hospital stay. Preventive chest physiotherapy is routinely provided, but optimization of treatment strategies is needed to improve patient outcome and resource utilization.

OBJECTIVE

To develop a preoperative risk prediction scorelr to assist clinical decision-making regarding physiotherapy interventions.

METHODS

A prospective observational single-center study included 339 of 577 eligible patients admitted for major elective cardiothoracic or abdominal surgery. Primary outcome measure was PPC amendable to chest physiotherapy.

RESULTS

A total of 113 patients (33.3%) developed a PPC. Logistic regression modeling identified four independent predictors of PPC presented with odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval. Reduced lung function (FEV₁ > 50% to <75% OR 2.4 (1.4; 4.3) and FEV₁ ≤ 50% OR 4.7 (1.4;16.0)), Recent unintended weight loss OR 4.5 (1.1; 18.7), Sternotomy OR 3.5 (2.0; 6.0) and Thoraco-abdominal incision OR 4.5 (2.1; 10.1). Based on assigned point values, a score dividing patients into three risk groups was developed. The score had moderate discrimination (c-statistic 0.70).

CONCLUSION

By following recommended guidelines (TRIPOD) a preoperative risk prediction score including four predictors of PPC was developed. External validation of the score is currently being investigated.

Pulmonary Function Tests for the Prediction of Postoperative Pulmonary Complications

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary function tests (PFTs) such as spirometry and blood gas analysis have been claimed to improve preoperative risk assessment. This systematic review summarizes the available scientific literature regarding the ability of PFTs to predict postoperative pulmonary complications (PPC) in non-thoracic surgery.

METHODS

We systematically searched MEDLINE, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library for pertinent original research articles (PROSPERO CRD42020215502), framed by the PIT-criteria (PIT, participants, index test, target conditions), respecting the PRISMA-DTA recommendations (DTA, diagnostic test accuracy).

RESULTS

46 original research studies were identified that used PFT-findings as index tests and PPC as target condition. QUADAS-2 quality assessment revealed a high risk of bias regarding patient selection, blinding, and outcome definitions. Qualitative synthesis of prospective studies revealed inconclusive study findings: 65% argue for and 35% against preoperative spirometry, and 43% argue for blood gas analysis. A (post-hoc) subgroup analysis in prospective studies with low-risk of selection bias identified a possible benefit in upper abdominal surgery (three studies with 959 participants argued for and one study with 60 participants against spirometry).

CONCLUSION

As the existing literature is inconclusive it is currently unknown if PFTs improve risk assessment before non-thoracic surgery. Spirometry should be considered in individuals with key indicators for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) scheduling for upper abdominal surgery.

A Scoring Tool That Identifies the Need for Positive-Pressure Ventilation and Determines the Effectiveness of Allocated Respiratory Therapy

BACKGROUND

Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) and the need for positive-pressure ventilation (PPV) are significant postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) that increase patients' lengths of stay, mortality, and costs. Current tools used to predict PPCs use nonmodifiable preoperative factors; thus, they cannot assess provided respiratory therapy effectiveness. The Respiratory Assessment and Allocation of Therapy (RAAT) tool was created to identify HAP and the need for PPV and assist in assigning respiratory therapies. This study aimed to assess the RAAT tool's reliability and validity and determine if allocated respiratory procedures based on scores prevented HAP and the need for PPV.

METHODS

Electronic medical record data for nonintubated surgical ICU subjects scored with the RAAT tool were pulled from July 1, 2015-January 31, 2016, using a consecutive sampling technique. Sensitivity, specificity, and jackknife analysis were generated based on total RAAT scores. A unit-weighted analysis and mean differences of consecutive RAAT scores were analyzed with RAAT total scores ≥ 10 and the need for PPV.

RESULTS

The first or second RAAT score of ≤ 5 (unlikely to receive PPV) and ≥ 10 (likely to receive PPV) provided a sensitivity of 0.833 and 0.783 and specificity of 0.761 and 0.804, respectively. Jackknifed sensitivity and specificity for identified cutoffs above were 0.800-0.917 and 0.775-0.739 for the first RAAT score and 0.667-0.889 and 0.815-0.79 for the second RAAT score. The initial RAAT scores of ≥ 10 predicted the need for PPV (P < .001) and was associated with higher in-hospital mortality (P < .001). Mean differences between consecutive RAAT scores revealed decreasing scores did not need PPV.

CONCLUSIONS

The RAAT scoring tool demonstrated an association with the need for PPV using modifiable factors and appears to provide a quantitative method of determining if allocated respiratory therapy is effective.

Do ARISCAT scores help to predict the incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications in elderly patients after upper abdominal surgery? An observational study at a single university hospital

Background

The incidence of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) is increasing in line with the rise in the number of surgical procedures performed on geriatric patients. In this study, we determined the incidence and risk factors of PPCs in elderly Thai patients who underwent upper abdominal procedures, and we investigated whether the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT) score helps to predict PPCs in Thais.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on upper abdominal surgical patients aged over 65 years who had been admitted to the surgical ward of Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Thailand, between January 2016 and December 2019. Data were collected on significant PPCs using the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome definitions. To identify risk factors, evaluations were made of the relationships between the PPCs and various preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative factors, including ARISCAT scores.

Results

In all, 1100 elderly postoperative patients were analyzed. Their mean age was 73.6 years, and 48.5% were male. Nearly half of their operations were laparoscopic cholecystectomies. The incidence of PPCs was 7.7%, with the most common being pleural effusion, atelectasis, and pneumonia. The factors associated with PPCs were preoperative oxygen saturation less than 96% (OR = 2.6, 1.2–5.5), albumin level below 3.5 g/dL (OR = 1.7, 1.0–2.8), duration of surgery exceeding 3 h (OR = 2.0, 1.0–4.2), and emergency surgery (OR = 2.8, 1.4–5.8). There was a relationship between ARISCAT score and PPC incidence, with a correlation coefficient of 0.226 (P < 0.001). The area under the curve was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.665–0.774; P < 0.001).

Conclusions

PPCs are common in elderly patients. They are associated with increased levels of postoperative morbidities and extended ICU and hospital stays. Using the ARISCAT score as an assessment tool facilitates the classification of Thai patients into PPC risk groups. The ARISCAT scoring system might be able to be similarly applied in other Southeast Asian countries.

Incidence, Patient-Related Risk Factors, and Outcomes of Postoperative Pneumonia after Cholecystectomy: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

Cholecystectomy is one of the most common surgical procedures performed worldwide. The objective of this large, population-based cohort study is to explore the risk factors of pneumonia after cholecystectomy in Taiwan.

Methods

From the Taiwanese National Health Insurance Research Database, we selected all patients who underwent cholecystectomy by using ICD-9-codes, from January 1, 1998, to December 31, 2016. The patients were separated into two groups based on the presence or absence of postoperative pneumonia. Basic information, comorbidities, and postoperative complications were evaluated using a t-test or chi-square test. There were 6056 patients in the pneumonia group and 24224 patients in the control group. These two groups were shown in a ratio of 1 : 4 and were matched by age and sex. The log-rank test was used to examine differences in postoperative mortality between patients with and without pneumonia. Preoperative risk factors were analyzed using logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for age and sex.

Results

The final dataset included 282184 cholecystectomy patients. Of these patients, 6056 (2.15%) had postoperative new-onset pneumonia. The patient-related risk factors for pneumonia after cholecystectomy in the order of relevance were chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, surgical type, hemodialysis, coronary artery disease, and liver cirrhosis. Compared to patients without postcholecystectomy pneumonia, those with postcholecystectomy pneumonia had higher rates of mortality (within first month, 1.72% vs. 2.28%, P < 0.005) and admission to intensive care unit (15.02% vs. 41.80%, P < 0.0001) and longer hospital stays (10.71 vs. 18.55 days, P < 0.0001).

Conclusion

Our results show that postcholecystectomy associated with pneumonia had higher rates of morbidity and mortality in this clinical population. Early identification and possible management of risk factors for pneumonia could improve outcomes of cholecystectomy and lower the risk for patient comorbidities after surgery.

The role of ultrasonographic lung aeration score in the prediction of postoperative pulmonary complications: an observational study

Background

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are important contributors to mortality and morbidity after surgery. The available predicting models are useful in preoperative risk assessment, but there is a need for validated tools for the early postoperative period as well. Lung ultrasound is becoming popular in intensive and perioperative care and there is a growing interest to evaluate its role in the detection of postoperative pulmonary pathologies.

Objectives

We aimed to identify characteristics with the potential of recognizing patients at risk by comparing the lung ultrasound scores (LUS) of patients with/without PPC in a 24-h postoperative timeframe.

Methods

Observational study at a university clinic. We recruited ASA 2–3 patients undergoing elective major abdominal surgery under general anaesthesia. LUS was assessed preoperatively, and also 1 and 24 h after surgery. Baseline and operative characteristics were also collected. A one-week follow up identified PPC+ and PPC- patients. Significantly differing LUS values underwent ROC analysis. A multi-variate logistic regression analysis with forward stepwise model building was performed to find independent predictors of PPCs.

Results

Out of the 77 recruited patients, 67 were included in the study. We evaluated 18 patients in the PPC+ and 49 in the PPC- group. Mean ages were 68.4 ± 10.2 and 66.4 ± 9.6 years, respectively (p = 0.4829). Patients conforming to ASA 3 class were significantly more represented in the PPC+ group (66.7 and 26.5%; p = 0.0026). LUS at baseline and in the postoperative hour were similar in both populations. The median LUS at 0 h was 1.5 (IQR 1–2) and 1 (IQR 0–2; p = 0.4625) in the PPC+ and PPC- groups, respectively. In the first postoperative hour, both groups had a marked increase, resulting in scores of 6.5 (IQR 3–9) and 5 (IQR 3–7; p = 0.1925). However, in the 24th hour, median LUS were significantly higher in the PPC+ group (6; IQR 6–10 vs 3; IQR 2–4; p < 0.0001) and it was an independent risk factor (OR = 2.6448 CI95% 1.5555–4.4971; p = 0.0003). ROC analysis identified the optimal cut-off at 5 points with high sensitivity (0.9444) and good specificity (0.7755).

Conclusion

Postoperative LUS at 24 h can identify patients at risk of or in an early phase of PPCs.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12871-021-01236-6.

The value of preoperative spirometry testing for predicting postoperative risk in upper abdominal and thoracic surgery assessed using big-data analysis

Background

Spirometry is used to evaluate postoperative outcomes in thoracic surgery. However, the clinical utility of spirometry for predicting postoperative complications has not been determined. We used big-data analysis to examine the relationship between pulmonary function tests and postoperative complications.

Methods

We retrospectively analysed clinical data from 31,827 patients who underwent spirometry within the 3 months prior to their surgery between January 2000 and December 2014 at a single tertiary referral hospital. The data were extracted in de-identified form via the automated clinical research information system. Surgical procedures included thoracic and upper abdominal surgery.

Results

Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that type of surgery, older age (>65 years), low albumin and smoking were associated with postoperative infections [95% confidence interval (CI) of the odds ratio (OR) 1.27–1.60 (>65 years); 1.52–1.96 (low albumin); 1.40–1.98 (current smoker)]. Notably, lower forced vital capacity (FVC) was an independent risk factor for postoperative infection, prolonged intensive care unit stay, and in-hospital death, regardless of airflow limitation [OR 95% CI: 1.31–1.69 (FVC 50–80%); 2.02–4.24 (FVC <50%)]. Lower forced expiratory volume in 1 sec (FEV₁) was also an independent risk factor for postoperative infection [OR 95% CI: 1.61–2.26 (FEV₁ 50–80%); 2.27–4.21 (FEV₁ <50%)]. Airflow limitation assessed by FEV₁ was negatively correlated with postoperative infection in multivariable analysis (OR 95% CI: 0.51–0.88).

Conclusions

Lower preoperative FVC could be used to predict postoperative infection and complications in thoracic and upper abdominal surgery regardless of airflow limitation.

Prediction of postoperative pulmonary complications using preoperative controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in patients with resectable non-small cell lung cancer

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) significantly impact surgical outcome. We investigated the predictive ability of controlling nutritional status (CONUT) for PPC after lung resection in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We retrospectively reviewed data of 922 patients with NSCLC who underwent complete resection from January 2016–December 2017. We analyzed the frequency and characteristics of PPCs and compared receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of various prognostic models to predict PPCs. A CONUT score higher than 1 was considered as a high CONUT score. Total incidence of PPCs was 8.6% (n = 79). The proportion of pneumonia was significantly larger in the high CONUT group (P < 0.05). The CONUT consistently had a higher area under curve (AUC) value (0.64) than other prognostic models (prognostic nutritional index (PNI): AUC = 0.61, Glasgow prognostic score (GPS): AUC = 0.57, and assessment of respiratory risk in surgical patients in Catalonia (ARISCAT): AUC = 0.54). Multivariate analysis identified underweight [Odds ratio (OR) = 4.57, P = 0.002] and high CONUT score (OR = 1.91, P = 0.009) as independent PPCs prognostic factors. One-year mortality rate for high CONUT score was significantly higher (hazard ratio = 7.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.78–35.59). Preoperative CONUT score is an independent predictor of PPCs and 1-year mortality in patients with resectable NSCLC.

Perioperative strategies for the reduction of postoperative pulmonary complications

Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs), estimated between 2.0% and 5.6% in the general surgical population and 20-70% for upper abdominal and thoracic surgeries, are a significant factor leading to poor patient outcomes. Efforts to decrease the incidence of PPCs such as bronchospasm, atelectasis, exacerbations of underlying chronic lung conditions, infections (bronchitis and pneumonia), prolonged mechanical ventilation, and respiratory failure, begins with a detailed preoperative risk evaluation. There are several available preoperative tests to estimate the risk of PPCs. However, the value of some of these studies to estimate PPCs remains controversial and is still debated. In this review, the preoperative risk assessment of PPCs is examined along with preoperative pulmonary tests to estimate risk, intraoperative, and procedure-associated risk factors for PPCs, and perioperative strategies to decrease PPCs. The importance of minimizing these events is reflected in the fact that nearly 25% of postoperative deaths occurring in the first week after surgery are associated with PPCs. This review provides important information to help clinical anesthesiologists to recognize potential risks for pulmonary complications and allows strategies to create an appropriate perioperative plan for patients.

Intraoperative Anesthetic Management of Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease to Decrease the Risk of Postoperative Pulmonary Complications after Abdominal Surgery

Patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exhibit airflow limitation and suboptimal lung function, and they are at high risk of developing postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs). We aimed to determine the factors that would decrease PPC risk in patients with COPD. We retrospectively analyzed 419 patients with COPD who were registered in our institutional PPC database and had undergone an abdominal surgery under general anesthesia. PPCs comprised respiratory failure, pleural effusion, atelectasis, respiratory infection, and bronchospasm; the presence or type of PPC was diagnosed by respiratory physicians and recorded in the database before this study. Binary logistic regression was used for statistical analysis. Of the 419 patients, 121 patients (28.8%) experienced 200 PPCs. Multivariable analysis showed three modifiable anesthetic factors that could decrease PPC risk: low tidal volume ventilation, restricted fluid infusion, and sugammadex-induced neuromuscular blockade reversal. We found that the 90-day mortality risk was significantly greater in patients with PPC than in those without PPC (5.8% vs. 1.3%; p = 0.016). Therefore, PPC risk in patients with COPD can be decreased if low tidal volume ventilation, restricted fluid infusion, and sugammadex-induced reversal during abdominal surgery are efficiently managed, as these factors result in decreased postoperative mortality.

Preoperative cardiac and respiratory investigations do not predict cardio-respiratory complications after pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

The process of undergoing a pancreatic resection places a patient under notable physiologic strain throughout the perioperative journey, with well recognized risks of postoperative cardiopulmonary complications. Preoperative preparations and screening often incorporate a barrage of testing, including electrocardiograms, transthoracic echocardiography, chest X-rays and spirometric evaluations. However, the current literature does not demonstrate whether these common tests provide any predictive correlation with postoperative cardiopulmonary complications. This retrospective study is structured to identify complications in post-pancreatic resection patients and assess for a predictive correlation with preoperative test results.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of all patients having undergone a pancreatic resection at a single tertiary centre, between 2014 and 2016. The inpatient medical records were reviewed for 30-day postoperative complications, including acute myocardial infarction, cardiac dysrhythmia, pulmonary embolism, pneumonia or pleural effusions. The results of routine preoperative diagnostic tests and complication rates were analysed.

RESULTS

A total of 244 patients, median age of 66 years (range 18-88 years) were included in the study. Of these, 11 patients experienced a cardiac complication and 16 patients experienced a respiratory complication. Among those who experienced cardiac events, only two patients had abnormalities in their preoperative electrocardiograms. Patients who sustained a cardiac or respiratory event did not have any evidence of abnormality in their preoperative transthoracic echocardiography or respiratory investigations, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Despite the recommendation that high-risk procedures such as pancreatic resections warrant thorough, routine, preoperative cardiac and respiratory investigation, a more functional preoperative assessment should be considered to stratify and predict postoperative outcomes.

Restrictive Spirometric Pattern and Postoperative Pulmonary Complications Following Non-cardiothoracic Surgery

Despite a substantial population of patients with a restrictive spirometric pattern, few studies have evaluated postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) after non-cardiothoracic surgery in these patients. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 681 adults with a normal or restrictive spirometric pattern who were referred for preoperative evaluation of PPC risk before non-cardiothoracic surgery between March 2014 and January 2015. Overall, 8.7% (59/681) of study participants developed a PPC following non-cardiothoracic surgery. The occurrence of PPCs in patients with a restrictive spirometric pattern was higher than that in those with normal spirometry (12.4% [35/282] vs. 6.0% [24/399], P = 0.003). The occurrence of PPCs increased across the categories of restrictive spirometric pattern severity (6.0% with a normal spirometric pattern vs. 6.5% with a mild restrictive spirometric pattern [60 ≤ forced vital capacity (FVC) < 80% predicted] vs. 21.2% with a moderate-to-severe restrictive spirometric pattern [FVC < 60% predicted], P for trend test < 0.001). The length of hospital stay (P for trend = 0.002) was longer, and all-cause mortality at 30 days (P for trend = 0.008) and 90 days (P for trend = 0.001) was higher across the restrictive spirometric pattern severity. In multivariable-adjusted analyses, a moderate-to-severe restrictive spirometric pattern was associated with a higher risk of PPCs compared with a normal spirometric pattern (adjusted odds ratio 2.64, 95% confidence interval 1.22–5.67). The incidence of PPCs in patients with a restrictive spirometric pattern was higher than that in those with a normal spirometric pattern, especially in patients with a moderate-to-severe restrictive spirometric pattern. Patients with a moderate-to-severe restrictive spirometric pattern should be regarded as high risk for developing PPCs following non-cardiothoracic surgery.

The development and validation of the Score for the Prediction of Postoperative Respiratory Complications (SPORC-2) to predict the requirement for early postoperative tracheal re-intubation: a hospital registry study

Postoperative pulmonary complications are associated with an increase in mortality, morbidity and healthcare utilisation. The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality recommends risk assessment for postoperative respiratory complications in patients undergoing surgery. In this hospital registry study of adult patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery between 2005 and 2017 at two independent healthcare networks, a prediction instrument for early postoperative tracheal re-intubation was developed and externally validated. This was based on the development of the Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications. For predictor selection, stepwise backward logistic regression and bootstrap resampling were applied. Development and validation cohorts were represented by 90,893 patients at Partners Healthcare and 67,046 patients at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, of whom 699 (0.8%) and 587 (0.9%) patients, respectively, had their tracheas re-intubated. In addition to five pre-operative predictors identified in the Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications, the final model included seven additional intra-operative predictors: early post-tracheal intubation desaturation; prolonged duration of surgery; high fraction of inspired oxygen; high vasopressor dose; blood transfusion; the absence of volatile anaesthetic use; and the absence of lung-protective ventilation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the new score was significantly greater than that of the original Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications (0.84 [95%CI 0.82-0.85] vs. 0.76 [95%CI 0.75-0.78], respectively; p < 0.001). This may allow clinicians to develop and implement strategies to decrease the risk of early postoperative tracheal re-intubation.

Review of risk assessment tools to predict morbidity and mortality in elderly surgical patients

BACKGROUND

Informed surgical consent requires accurate estimation of risks and benefits. Multiple risk assessment tools are available; however, most are not widely used or are specific to certain interventions. Assessing surgical risk is especially challenging in elderly patients because of their range of comorbidities, level of frailty, or severity of illness and a number of available surgical interventions.

DATA SOURCES

We searched MEDLINE from January 2014 to July 2017 for studies that used risk assessment tools in studies on elderly surgical patients. We then sought the original articles describing each assessment tool and subsequent validation studies.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified risk assessment tools that can improve surgical risk assessment in elderly surgical patients. The majority of the identified tools are not commonly used for pre-operative risk assessment. NSQIP-PMP, mFI and SURPAS are promising tools. Age is commonly used to predict risk, but frailty may be a more appropriate measure.

Preoperative Computed Tomography–Determined Sarcopenia and Postoperative Outcome After Surgery for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Background:

Sarcopenia, reduced skeletal muscle mass, is associated with frailty, injuries, and mortality. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the impact of computed tomography–determined sarcopenia on surgical complications and outcomes after resection of non-small cell lung cancer.

Methods:

For a total 272 non-small cell lung cancer patients that underwent surgery between 2011 and 2016, cross-sectional area of muscle at the third lumbar vertebra (L3) was retrospectively measured using preoperative chest computed tomography images. Sarcopenia was defined as an L3 muscle index of <55 cm2/m2 for men and of <39 cm2/m2 for women. Clinical characteristics, postoperative complications, disease-free survival, and overall survival of patients with or without sarcopenia were compared.

Results:

A total of 60.3% ( n = 164) were male, and mean patient age was 62.9 ± 9.6 years. The prevalence of sarcopenia was 22.4% for all study subjects, 32.9% for men, and 6.5% for women. No significant difference was observed between patients with or without sarcopenia in terms of intensive care unit or hospital stay ( p = 0.502 and p = 0.378, respectively), and the presence of sarcopenia was not associated with postoperative complications. Furthermore, no significant difference was observed between the 3-year disease-free survival rate (74.3% vs 66.7%, p = 0.639) or 3-year overall survival rate (83.9% vs 87.7%, p = 0.563) of patients with or without sarcopenia.

Conclusion:

Sarcopenia as determined by preoperative computed tomography does not appear to have a negative impact on surgical outcome or overall survival for resected non-small cell lung cancer patients.

Airflow limitation severity and post-operative pulmonary complications following extra-pulmonary surgery in COPD patients

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The association between airflow limitation severity and post-operative pulmonary complications (PPCs) among COPD patients undergoing extra-pulmonary surgery is unknown. We evaluated the association between forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV₁ ) and PPC in COPD patients undergoing extra-pulmonary surgery.

METHODS

Using prospective cohort of PPC evaluation for extra-pulmonary surgery, we identified 694 COPD patients who conducted PPC evaluation before extra-pulmonary surgery between March 2014 and January 2015 at a tertiary hospital, Seoul, Korea.

RESULTS

The overall incidence of PPC was 24.4%. The incidence of PPC in quintiles 1-5 of FEV₁ (% predicted) was 31.4, 25.8, 23.7, 21.6 and 19.7%, respectively (P for trend: 0.019). In fully adjusted multivariable models, the relative risks (RRs, 95% CI) for PPC comparing participants in quintiles 1-4 of FEV₁ (% predicted) with those in quintile 5 were 1.69 (1.03-2.79), 1.41 (0.83-2.37), 1.26 (0.75-2.11) and 1.30 (0.76-2.22), respectively (P for trend: 0.046). The association of severe airflow limitation with respiratory failure and post-operative exacerbations was stronger in participants who did not use bronchodilators compared with those who did.

CONCLUSION

We found a progressive and significant relationship between severity of airflow limitation and the incidence of PPC in COPD patients undergoing extra-pulmonary surgery. Furthermore, perioperative bronchodilator use was associated with a reduced risk of respiratory failure and post-operative exacerbations in patients with severe airflow limitation.

Preoperative FeNO as a screening indicator of pulmonary complications after abdominal surgery in patients over 60 years old

The incidence of pulmonary complications after abdominal surgery is higher than that of cardiac complications. The perioperative factors currently used to assess the risk of postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are imperfect. FeNO is a marker of respiratory system disease related to the airway inflammatory response and bronchial hyperresponsiveness; it may be a new indicator to screen PPCs. A total of 162 patients over 60 years old scheduled for major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia were chosen to measure their preoperative FeNO level. Statistical analyses including the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and general linear regression were used to analyze the relationships of FeNO with PPCs and other parameters. The medians and quartiles of preoperative FeNO were 14.33 (9.67-21.10) ppb; the geometric mean was 14.25 ppb. Preoperative FeNO correlated to age (P <  0.05), and the coefficient of association was 0.267. ROC curve analysis of FeNO and PPCs resulted in a high probability with an area under the curve of 0.747 (p = 0.001, 95% confidence interval =0.602-0.893). The cut-off level was 30.2 ppb, with 47.06% sensitivity and 93.10% specificity. The positive predictive value of the cut-off was 42.11% and negative predictive value was 93.70%. OR value was 10.83. The magnitude of FeNO in the PPCs group was larger than that in the non-PPCs groups 26.20 (11.55 - 39.20) versus 13.50 (9.55-20.00); p = 0.008). Preoperative FeNO levels may be used to screen the patients over 60 years old undergoing abdominal surgery with a lower probability to suffer PPCs whoes FeNO values less than 30.2 ppb.