Clinical impact of monocyte distribution width and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio for distinguishing COVID-19 and influenza from other upper respiratory tract infections: A pilot study

The association of cycle threshold value with clinical features in patients infected with Omicron variant

This study investigated the correlation between epidemiological and clinical characteristics of patients infected with omicron variants and the cycle threshold (Ct value) for RT-PCR detection. The study population consisted of 115 patients with Omicron infection and the most common symptoms included fever (43.5 %), cough (38.3 %) and sore throat (29.6 %). Laboratory abnormalities were mainly lymphopenia, elevated globulins and elevated blood glucose. Univariate analysis found that older age (P < 0.001) and unvaccinated (P = 0.003) were associated with low Ct values (high viral load). Multivariate analysis showed that an elevated monocyte count (OR: 3.556; 95 % CI: 1.330-9.503) was associated with low Ct values, whereas being vaccinated (OR: 0.209; 95 % CI: 0.051-0.854) and lower serum sodium (OR: 0.137; 95 % CI: 0.051-0.367) were negatively associated with low Ct values. Studies have shown that factors such as monocyte count, vaccination status and serum sodium correlate with Ct values, suggesting the potential of Ct values as a clinical predictor, which could also provide a valuable reference for clinical decision-making.

The Role of Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW) in the Prediction of Death in Adult Patients with Sepsis

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition; it is a major cause of hospital mortality worldwide and it constitutes a global health problem. This research investigates the use of MDW as a predictor for septic patients. This was a double-center prospective cohort study of adult septic patients. Septic patients were identified and were categorized into two categories: those who improved and those who died. Blood was drawn from the patients three times, on the first, third, and fifth day of their admission to the hospital. MDW was evaluated as a biomarker to predict patient outcome. In addition, existing inflammatory markers were recorded in all patients. The MDW was able to predict patient's outcome. The average MDW was found to be significantly higher in patients who died in all records. For example, an MDW value of 28.4 on the first day of admission to the hospital was shown to be the best cut-off value in determining fatal outcomes; receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis revealed an area under the curve value of 0.71 (95% Confidence Interval-CI: 0.57-0.84) with a sensitivity of 64.7% and a specificity of 88.2%. In conclusion, MDW, in addition to being a marker that can quickly detect sepsis more effectively than other biomarkers, which is proven by numerous studies, could also be used as an indicator to predict patient outcome. This work is an attempt in that direction.

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) and DECAF: two simple tools to determine the prognosis of severe COPD exacerbation

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) has been associated with inflammation and poor prognosis in various acute diseases. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations (ECOPD) are associated with mortality. The objective of this study was to evaluate the utility of the MDW as a predictor of ECOPD prognosis. This retrospective study included patient admissions for ECOPD. Demographic, clinical and biochemical information; intensive care unit (ICU) admissions; and mortality during admission were recorded. A total of 474 admissions were included. MDW was positively correlated with the DECAF score (r = 0.184, p < 0.001) and C-reactive protein (mg/dL) (r = 0.571, p < 0.001), and positively associated with C-RP (OR 1.115 95% CI 1.076-1.155, p < 0.001), death (OR 9.831 95% CI 2.981- 32.417, p < 0.001) and ICU admission (OR 11.204 95% CI 3.173-39.562, p < 0.001). High MDW values were independent risk factors for mortality (HR 3.647, CI 95% 1.313-10.136, p = 0.013), ICU admission (HR 2.550, CI 95% 1.131-5.753, p = 0.024), or either mortality or ICU admission (HR 3.084, CI 95% 1.624-5.858, p = 0.001). In ROC analysis, a combined MDW-DECAF score had better diagnostic power (AUC 0.777 95% IC 0.708-0.845, p < 0.001) than DECAF (p = 0.023), MDW (p = 0.026) or C-RP (p = 0.002) alone. MDW is associated with ECOPD severity and predicts mortality and ICU admission with a diagnostic accuracy similar to that of DECAF and C-RP. The MDW- DECAF score has better diagnostic accuracy than MDW or DECAF alone in identifying mortality or ICU admission.

Prolonged lymphopenia and prognoses among inpatients with different respiratory virus infections: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Lymphopenia is common in respiratory viral infection. However, no studies elucidated the impact of prolonged lymphopenia on worse outcome in the way of quantitative risk.

Methods

Adult patients with laboratory-confirmed respiratory virus infection (influenza, SARS-CoV-2, and other viruses) between January 1st, 2016, and February 1st, 2023 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Serial data of laboratory examination during hospitalization were acquired. The primary outcome was in-hospital all-cause death, and all information was obtained from the electronic medical records system. Legendre orthogonal polynomials (LOP), restricted cubic splines, and multivariable logistic regression were performed.

Results

Finally, 2388 inpatients were involved in this study, including 436 patients with influenza, 1397 with SARS-CoV-2, and 319 with other respiratory virus infections. After being adjusted for age, corticosteroids, chronic kidney disease, chronic respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, lymphopenia on admission and length of hospital stay, prolonged lymphopenia was significantly associated with death in influenza (OR 7.20, 95 % CI 2.27-22.77, p = 0. 0008 for lasting for 3-7 days; OR 17.80, 95 % CI 5.21-60.82, p < 0.0001 for lasting for more than 7 days) and SARS-CoV-2 (OR 3.07, 95 % CI 1.89-5.01, p < 0.0001 for lasting for 3-7 days; OR 6.28, 95 % CI 3.53-11.18, p < 0.0001 for lasting for more than 7 days), compared with a transient lymphopenia of 1-2 days, while no significant association was found in other respiratory viruses. Prolonged lymphopenia was also associated with multi-organ damage in influenza and SARS-CoV-2 infections.

Conclusions

Prolonged lymphopenia was significantly associated with worse clinical prognoses in influenza and SARS-CoV-2 infections, but not in other respiratory virus infections.

Lymphocyte and neutrophil count combined with intestinal bacteria abundance predict the severity of COVID-19

IMPORTANCE

The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients had a unique profile of gut bacteria. In this study, we characterized the intestinal bacteria in our COVID-19 cohorts and found that there was an increased incidence of severe cases in COVID-19 patients with decreased lymphocytes and increased neutrophils. Levels of lymphocytes and neutrophils and abundances of intestinal bacteria correlated with the severity of COVID-19.

Can Haematological Parameters Discriminate COVID-19 from Influenza?

Symptoms of COVID-19 are similar to the influenza virus, but because treatments and prognoses are different, it is important to accurately and rapidly differentiate these diseases. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the analysis of complete blood count (CBC), including cellular population (CPD) data of leukocytes and automated flow cytometry analysis, could discriminate these pathologies. In total, 350 patients with COVID-19 and 102 patients with influenza were included between September 2021 and April 2022 in the tertiary hospital of Suresnes (France). Platelets were lower in patients with influenza than in patients with COVID-19, whereas the CD16pos monocyte count and the ratio of the CD16pos monocytes/total monocyte count were higher. Significant differences were observed for 9/56 CPD of COVID-19 and flu patients. A logistic regression model with 17 parameters, including among them 11 CPD, the haemoglobin level, the haematocrit, the red cell distribution width, and B-lymphocyte and CD16pos monocyte levels, discriminates COVID-19 patients from flu patients. The sensitivity and efficiency of the model were 96.2 and 86.6%, respectively, with an area under the curve of 0.862. Classical parameters of CBC are very similar among the three infections, but CPD, CD16pos monocytes, and B-lymphocyte levels can discriminate patients with COVID-19.

Deciphering the role of monocyte and monocyte distribution width (MDW) in COVID-19: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis

The SARS-CoV-2 infection is characterized by both systemic and organ hyper-thromboinflammation, with a clinical course ranging from mild up-to critical systemic dysfunction and death. In patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) the monocyte/macrophage population is deeply involved as both trigger and target, assuming the value of useful diagnostic/prognostic marker of innate cellular immunity. Several studies correlated morphological and immunophenotypic alterations of circulating monocytes with clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients, concluding that monocyte distribution width (MDW) may retain clinical value in stratifying the risk of disease worsening. Through an electronic search in Medline and Scopus we performed an updated literature review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the association between increased MDW levels and illness severity in COVID-19 patients, deciphering role(s) and function(s) of monocytes in the harmful network underlining SARS-CoV-2 infection. We found that significantly elevated MDW values were frequently present in COVID-19 patients who developed unfavorable clinical outcomes, compounded by a significant association between monocyte anisocytosis and SARS-CoV-2 outcomes. These findings suggest that blood MDW index and its scatter plot could represent useful routine laboratory tools for early identification of patients at higher risk of unfavorable COVID-19 and for monitoring the progression of viral infection, clinical outcomes, and therapeutic efficacy throughout hospitalization. According to this evidence, therapeutic decisions in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection could benefit from monitoring MDW value, with administration of drugs limiting thrombo-inflammation due to monocyte hyper-activation in patients with severe/critical COVID-19 disease.

Association of Monocyte Distribution Width with the Need for Respiratory Support in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients

Background

The monocyte distribution width (MDW), a novel inflammatory biomarker reflecting morphological changes in response to inflammation, has been shown to be useful in identifying COVID-19 infection or predicting death. However, data on the association with predicting the need for respiratory support are still limited. The aim of this study was to determine the association of MDW with the need for respiratory support in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Patients and methods

This is a single-center retrospective cohort study. Consecutive hospitalized COVID-19 adult patients who presented at the outpatient department (OPD) or emergency department (ED) between May and August 2021 were enrolled. Respiratory support was defined as any one of the following: conventional oxygen therapy, high-flow oxygen nasal cannula, noninvasive, or invasive mechanical ventilation. The performance of MDW was measured using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AuROC) curve.

Results

Of the 250 enrolled patients, 122 (48.8%) patients received respiratory support. The mean MDW was significantly higher in the respiratory support group: 27.2 ± 4.6 vs 23.6 ± 4.1 (p < 0.001). The MDW ≥ 25 had the best AuROC characteristics of 0.70 (95% CI: 0.65-0.76).

Conclusions

The MDW is a potential biomarker that may aid in identifying individuals at risk of requiring oxygen support in COVID-19 and can be easily implemented in clinical practice.

How to cite this article

Daorattanachai K, Hirunrut C, Pirompanich P, Weschawalit S, Srivilaithon W. Association of Monocyte Distribution Width with the Need for Respiratory Support in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients. Indian J Crit Care Med 2023;27(5):352-357.

Utility of monocyte distribution width in the differential diagnosis between simple and complicated diverticulitis: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Colonic diverticulitis is a leading cause of abdominal pain. The monocyte distribution width (MDW) is a novel inflammatory biomarker with prognostic significance for coronavirus disease and pancreatitis; however, no study has assessed its correlation with the severity of colonic diverticulitis.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective cohort study included patients older than 18 years who presented to the emergency department between November 1, 2020, and May 31, 2021, and received a diagnosis of acute colonic diverticulitis after abdominal computed tomography. The characteristics and laboratory parameters of patients with simple versus complicated diverticulitis were compared. The significance of categorical data was assessed using the chi-square or Fisher's exact test. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for continuous variables. Multivariable regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of complicated colonic diverticulitis. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to test the efficacy of inflammatory biomarkers in distinguishing simple from complicated cases.

RESULTS

Of the 160 patients enrolled, 21 (13.125%) had complicated diverticulitis. Although right-sided was more prevalent than left-sided colonic diverticulitis (70% versus 30%), complicated diverticulitis was more common in those with left-sided colonic diverticulitis (61.905%, p = 0.001). Age, white blood cell (WBC) count, neutrophil count, C-reactive protein (CRP) level, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and MDW were significantly higher in the complicated diverticulitis group (p < 0.05). Logistic regression analysis indicated that the left-sided location and the MDW were significant and independent predictors of complicated diverticulitis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was as follows: MDW, 0.870 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.784-0.956); CRP, 0.800 (95% CI, 0.707-0.892); NLR, 0.724 (95% CI, 0.616-0.832); PLR, 0.662 (95% CI, 0.525-0.798); and WBC, 0.679 (95% CI, 0.563-0.795). When the MDW cutoff was 20.38, the sensitivity and specificity were maximized to 90.5% and 80.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A large MDW was a significant and independent predictor of complicated diverticulitis. The optimal cutoff value for MDW is 20.38 as it exhibits maximum sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing between simple and complicated diverticulitis The MDW may aid in planning antibiotic therapy for patients with colonic diverticulitis in the emergency department.

Retrospective study on the efficacy of monocyte distribution width (MDW) as a screening test for COVID-19

BACKGROUND

Pathogenic genetic testing for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can detect viruses with high sensitivity; however, there are several challenges. In the prevention, testing, and treatment of COVID-19, more effective, safer, and convenient methods are desired. We evaluated the possibility of monocyte distribution width (MDW) as an infection biomarker in COVID-19 testing.

METHODS

The efficacy of MDW as a screening test for COVID-19 was retrospectively assessed in 80 patients in the COVID-19 group and 232 patients in the non-COVID-19 group (141 patients with acute respiratory infection, 19 patients with nonrespiratory infection, one patient with a viral infection, 11 patients who had received treatment for COVID-19, one patient in contact with COVID-19 patients, and 59 patients with noninfectious disease).

RESULTS

The median MDW in 80 patients in the COVID-19 group was 23.3 (17.2-33.6), and the median MDW in 232 patients in the non-COVID-19 group was 19.0 (13.6-30.2) (P < 0.001). When the COVID-19 group was identified using the MDW cut-off value of 21.3 from the non-COVID-19 group, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.844, and the sensitivity and specificity were 81.3% and 78.2%, respectively. Comparison of MDW by severity between the COVID-19 group and patients with acute respiratory infection in the non-COVID-19 group showed that MDW was significantly higher in the COVID-19 group for all mild, moderate I, and moderate II disease.

CONCLUSIONS

MDW (cut-off value: 21.3) may be used as a screening test for COVID-19 in fever outpatients. Trial registration This study was conducted after being approved by the ethics committee of National Hospital Organization Omuta National Hospital (Approval No. 3-19). This study can be accessed via https://omuta.hosp.go.jp/files/000179721.pdf .

A novel scoring system combining Modified Early Warning Score with biomarkers of monocyte distribution width, white blood cell counts, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to improve early sepsis prediction in older adults

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to investigate whether combining scoring systems with monocyte distribution width (MDW) improves early sepsis detection in older adults in the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

In this prospective observational study, we enrolled older adults aged ≥60 years who presented with confirmed infectious diseases to the ED. Three scoring systems-namely quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment (qSOFA), Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), and National Early Warning Score (NEWS), and biomarkers including MDW, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP), were assessed in the ED. Logistic regression models were used to construct sepsis prediction models.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, we included 522 and 2088 patients with and without sepsis in our analysis from January 1, 2020, to September 30, 2021. NEWS ≥5 and MEWS ≥3 exhibited a moderate-to-high sensitivity and a low specificity for sepsis, whereas qSOFA score ≥2 demonstrated a low sensitivity and a high specificity. When combined with biomarkers, the NEWS-based, the MEWS-based, and the qSOFA-based models exhibited improved diagnostic accuracy for sepsis detection without CRP inclusion (c-statistics=0.842, 0.842, and 0.826, respectively). Of the three models, MEWS ≥3 with white blood cell (WBC) count ≥11 × 10⁹/L, NLR ≥8, and MDW ≥20 demonstrated the highest diagnostic accuracy in all age subgroups (c-statistics=0.886, 0.825, and 0.822 in patients aged 60-74, 75-89, and 90-109 years, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel scoring system combining MEWS with WBC, NLR, and MDW effectively detected sepsis in older adults.

Monocyte Distribution Width as a Diagnostic Marker for Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is an emerging biomarker for infection. It is available easily and quickly as part of the CBC count, which is performed routinely on hospital admission. The increasing availability and promising results of MDW as a biomarker in sepsis has prompted an expansion of its use to other infectious diseases.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the diagnostic performance of MDW across multiple infectious disease outcomes and care settings?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

A systematic review of the diagnostic performance of MDW across multiple infectious disease outcomes was conducted by searching PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science through February 4, 2022. Meta-analysis was performed for outcomes with three or more reports identified (sepsis and COVID-19). Diagnostic performance measures were calculated for individual studies with pooled estimates created by linear mixed-effects models.

RESULTS

We identified 29 studies meeting inclusion criteria. Most examined sepsis (19 studies) and COVID-19 (six studies). Pooled estimates of diagnostic performance for sepsis differed by reference standard (Second vs Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock criteria) and tube anticoagulant used and ranged from an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.74 to 0.94, with mean sensitivity of 0.69 to 0.79 and mean specificity of 0.57 to 0.86. For COVID-19, the pooled AUC of MDW was 0.76, mean sensitivity was 0.79, and mean specificity was 0.59.

INTERPRETATION

MDW exhibited good diagnostic performance for sepsis and COVID-19. Diagnostic thresholds for sepsis should be chosen with consideration of reference standard and tube type used.

TRIAL REGISTRY

Prospero; No.: CRD42020210074; URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/.

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) as a useful indicator for early screening of sepsis and discriminating false positive blood cultures

BACKGROUND

Severe sepsis and septic shock are the leading cause of in-hospital death. As sepsis progresses, expression and activity of endogenous mediators of inflammation change. Early detection of biomarkers can play a role in sepsis screening and in improvement of patient outcomes. Recent studies suggest that increase in monocyte volume may be helpful in early detection of sepsis. Therefore, we evaluated the utility of monocyte distribution width (MDW) for the early assessment of sepsis compared with the blood culture and other inflammatory biomarkers.

METHODS

Medical records of 1,404 patients (aged ≥19 years) who were admitted to the emergency department owing to clinically suspected infectious disease and requested blood cultures from Oct 2019 to Jan 2021 were reviewed. The patients were grouped based on Sepsis-3 criteria. They had undergone other laboratory tests to evaluate their clinical status. MDW was analyzed using DxH900 hematology analyzer (Beckman Coulter, Brea, California, USA). To determine the diagnostic performance of MDW, C-reactive protein (CRP), and procalcitonin (PCT) for sepsis, the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics curves and their sensitivity and specificity were measured.

RESULTS

Among 1,404 patients, 520 patients were designated the sepsis group based on Sepsis-3 criteria. In the sepsis group, MDW value was 24.1 (median, IQR 21.6-28.1); AUC values for MDW, CRP, and PCT were 0.67 (95% CI, 0.64-0.69), 0.66 (95% CI, 0.63-0.68), and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.72-0.77), respectively. For diagnosis of the sepsis, the cut-off value of MDW was 21.7 (sensitivity 74% and specificity 54%). Measured values of MDW were higher for the blood culture positive group than that of the blood culture contamination group (P<0.001, 95% CI, -5.9 to -3.0) or blood culture negative group (P<0.001, 95% CI = -5.8 to -4.2).

CONCLUSIONS

MDW is a new hematological parameter that is simultaneously calculated during complete blood cell counting by Beckman Coulter hematology analyzer. MDW is expected to serve as a useful indicator for early screening of sepsis in conjunction with CRP and PCT. MDW is especially useful for sepsis assessment in patients with a suspected infection. MDW can also assist in discriminating false positive blood cultures.

Monocyte distribution width as a pragmatic screen for SARS-CoV-2 or influenza infection

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is a novel marker of monocyte activation, which is known to occur in the immune response to viral pathogens. Our objective was to determine the performance of MDW and other leukocyte parameters as screening tests for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza infection. This was a prospective cohort analysis of adult patients who underwent complete blood count (CBC) and SARS-CoV-2 or influenza testing in an Emergency Department (ED) between January 2020 and July 2021. The primary outcome was SARS-CoV-2 or influenza infection. Secondary outcomes were measures of severity of illness including inpatient hospitalization, critical care admission, hospital lengths of stay and mortality. Descriptive statistics and test performance measures were evaluated for monocyte percentage, MDW, white blood cell (WBC) count, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR). 3,425 ED patient visits were included. SARS-CoV-2 testing was performed during 1,922 visits with a positivity rate of 5.4%; influenza testing was performed during 2,090 with a positivity rate of 2.3%. MDW was elevated in patients with SARS-Cov-2 (median 23.0U; IQR 20.5-25.1) or influenza (median 24.1U; IQR 22.0-26.9) infection, as compared to those without (18.9U; IQR 17.4-20.7 and 19.1U; 17.4-21, respectively, P < 0.001). Monocyte percentage, WBC and NLR values were within normal range in patients testing positive for either virus. MDW identified SARS-CoV-2 and influenza positive patients with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.86) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.77-0.88), respectively. At the accepted cut-off value of 20U for MDW, sensitivities were 83.7% (95% CI 76.5-90.8%) for SARS-CoV-2 and 89.6% (95% CI 80.9-98.2%) for influenza, compared to sensitivities below 45% for monocyte percentage, WBC and NLR. MDW negative predictive values were 98.6% (95% CI 98.0-99.3%) and 99.6% (95% CI 99.3-100.0%) respectively for SARS-CoV-2 and influenza. Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW), available as part of a routine complete blood count (CBC) with differential, may be a useful indicator of SARS-CoV-2 or influenza infection.

Recent advances in laboratory hematology reflected by a decade of CCLM publications

On the occasion of the 60th anniversary of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (CCLM) we present a review of recent developments in the discipline of laboratory hematology as these are reflected by papers published in CCLM in the period 2012–2022. Since data on CCLM publications from 1963 to 2012 are also available, we were able to make a comparison between the two periods. This interestingly revealed that the share of laboratory hematology papers has steadily increased and reached now 16% of all papers published in CCLM. It also became evident that blood coagulation and fibrinolysis, erythrocytes, platelets and instrument and method evaluation constituted the ‘hottest’ topics with regard to number of publications. Some traditional, characteristic CCLM categories like reference intervals, standardization and harmonization, were more stable and probably will remain so in the future. With the advent of important newer topics, like new coagulation assays and drugs and cell population data generated by hematology analyzers, laboratory hematology is anticipated to remain a significant discipline in CCLM publications.

Development and validation of a dynamic 48-hour in-hospital mortality risk stratification for COVID-19 in a UK teaching hospital: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To develop a disease stratification model for COVID-19 that updates according to changes in a patient's condition while in hospital to facilitate patient management and resource allocation.

DESIGN

In this retrospective cohort study, we adopted a landmarking approach to dynamic prediction of all-cause in-hospital mortality over the next 48 hours. We accounted for informative predictor missingness and selected predictors using penalised regression.

SETTING

All data used in this study were obtained from a single UK teaching hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

We developed the model using 473 consecutive patients with COVID-19 presenting to a UK hospital between 1 March 2020 and 12 September 2020; and temporally validated using data on 1119 patients presenting between 13 September 2020 and 17 March 2021.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome is all-cause in-hospital mortality within 48 hours of the prediction time. We accounted for the competing risks of discharge from hospital alive and transfer to a tertiary intensive care unit for extracorporeal membrane oxygenation.

RESULTS

Our final model includes age, Clinical Frailty Scale score, heart rate, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation/fractional inspired oxygen ratio, white cell count, presence of acidosis (pH <7.35) and interleukin-6. Internal validation achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.90 (95% CI 0.87 to 0.93) and temporal validation gave an AUROC of 0.86 (95% CI 0.83 to 0.88).

CONCLUSIONS

Our model incorporates both static risk factors (eg, age) and evolving clinical and laboratory data, to provide a dynamic risk prediction model that adapts to both sudden and gradual changes in an individual patient's clinical condition. On successful external validation, the model has the potential to be a powerful clinical risk assessment tool.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The study is registered as 'researchregistry5464' on the Research Registry (www.researchregistry.com).

Reliability of predictive models to support early decision making in the emergency department for patients with confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19: the Pescara Covid Hospital score

Background

The hospital management of patients diagnosed with COVID-19 can be hampered by heterogeneous characteristics at entry into the emergency department. We aimed to identify demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters associated with higher risks of hospitalisation, oxygen support, admission to intensive care and death, to build a risk score for clinical decision making at presentation to the emergency department.

Methods

We carried out a retrospective study using linked administrative data and laboratory parameters available in the initial phase of the pandemic at the emergency department of the regional reference hospital of Pescara, Abruzzo, Italy, March–June 2020. Logistic regression and Cox modelling were used to identify independent predictors for risk stratification. Validation was carried out collecting data from an extended timeframe covering other variants of concern, including Alpha (December 2020–January 2021) and Delta/Omicron (January–March 2022).

Results

Several clinical and laboratory parameters were significantly associated to the outcomes of interest, independently from age and gender. The strongest predictors were: for hospitalisation, monocyte distribution width ≥ 22 (4.09; 2.21–7.72) and diabetes (OR = 3.04; 1.09–9.84); for oxygen support: saturation < 95% (OR = 11.01; 3.75–41.14), lactate dehydrogenase≥237 U/L (OR = 5.93; 2.40–15.39) and lymphocytes< 1.2 × 10³/μL (OR = 4.49; 1.84–11.53); for intensive care, end stage renal disease (OR = 59.42; 2.43–2230.60), lactate dehydrogenase≥334 U/L (OR = 5.59; 2.46–13.84), D-dimer≥2.37 mg/L (OR = 5.18; 1.14–26.36), monocyte distribution width ≥ 25 (OR = 3.32; 1.39–8.50); for death, procalcitonin≥0.2 ng/mL (HR = 2.86; 1.95–4.19) and saturation < 96% (HR = 2.74; 1.76–4.28). Risk scores derived from predictive models using optimal thresholds achieved values of the area under the curve between 81 and 91%. Validation of the scoring algorithm for the evolving virus achieved accuracy between 65 and 84%.

Conclusions

A set of parameters that are normally available at emergency departments of any hospital can be used to stratify patients with COVID-19 at risk of severe conditions. The method shall be calibrated to support timely clinical decision during the first hours of admission with different variants of concern.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-022-08421-4.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Monocyte Distribution Width in Sepsis

Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is a blood monocyte morphological parameter that can be easily detected by an automated hemocyte analyzer and can provide clinicians with important information about cell volume variability in peripheral blood monocyte populations. The United States' Food and Drug Administration and Conformite Europeenne have both been cleared for their clinical application in the detection of sepsis and developing sepsis in adult patients in the emergency department (ED). Recently, MDW has been found to have an early diagnosis and predictive value for sepsis in neonates and COVID-19 patients. Here, we summarize the findings of the studies investigating the clinical application of MDW in sepsis. Under different stimuli, especially in infectious diseases, the activation of innate immunity is the host's first defense mechanism, and the change in monocyte volume is considered an early indicator reflecting the state of activation of innate immunity. Pivotal study data from a large multicenter patient cohort showed that abnormal MDW at presentation increases the odds of sepsis, considering the combination of MDW and White Blood Cell Count (WBC) as part of a standard sepsis assessment protocol for ED, which may increase the sensitivity and specificity of sepsis diagnosis. Meanwhile, MDW shares a diagnostic performance comparable to that of conventional biomarkers (C-reactive protein and procalcitonin) in sepsis. In addition, some evidence suggests that increased MDW, both in adults and neonates, may be associated with unfavorable short- and long-term outcomes, which indicates its prognostic value in sepsis. Taken together, MDW is a parameter of increased morphological variability of monocytes in response to infection, and numerous studies have shown that MDW could be used as a valuable diagnostic and prognostic index in patients with sepsis or suspected sepsis.

Monocyte anisocytosis increases during multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children with cardiovascular complications

BACKGROUND

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a life-threatening complication that can develop weeks to months after an initial SARS-CoV-2 infection. A complex, time-consuming laboratory evaluation is currently required to distinguish MIS-C from other illnesses. New assays are urgently needed early in the evaluation process to expedite MIS-C workup and initiate treatment when appropriate. This study aimed to measure the performance of a monocyte anisocytosis index, obtained on routine complete blood count (CBC), to rapidly identify subjects with MIS-C at risk for cardiac complications.

METHODS

We measured monocyte anisocytosis, quantified by monocyte distribution width (MDW), in blood samples collected from children who sought medical care in a single medical center from April 2020 to October 2020 (discovery cohort). After identifying an effective MDW threshold associated with MIS-C, we tested the utility of MDW as a tier 1 assay for MIS-C at multiple institutions from October 2020 to October 2021 (validation cohort). The main outcome was the early screening of MIS-C, with a focus on children with MIS-C who displayed cardiac complications. The screening accuracy of MDW was compared to tier 1 routine laboratory tests recommended for evaluating a child for MIS-C.

RESULTS

We enrolled 765 children and collected 846 blood samples for analysis. In the discovery cohort, monocyte anisocytosis, quantified as an MDW threshold of 24.0, had 100% sensitivity (95% CI 78-100%) and 80% specificity (95% CI 69-88%) for identifying MIS-C. In the validation cohort, an initial MDW greater than 24.0 maintained a 100% sensitivity (95% CI 80-100%) and monocyte anisocytosis displayed a diagnostic accuracy greater that other clinically available hematologic parameters. Monocyte anisocytosis decreased with disease resolution to values equivalent to those of healthy controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Monocyte anisocytosis detected by CBC early in the clinical workup improves the identification of children with MIS-C with cardiac complications, thereby creating opportunities for improving current practice guidelines.

Fever, Tachypnea, and Monocyte Distribution Width Predicts Length of Stay for Patients with COVID-19: A Pioneer Study

(1) Background: Our study investigated whether monocyte distribution width (MDW) could be used in emergency department (ED) settings as a predictor of prolonged length of stay (LOS) for patients with COVID-19. (2) Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted; patients presenting to the ED of an academic hospital with confirmed COVID-19 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to obtain the odds ratios (ORs) for predictors of an LOS of >14 days. A validation study for the association between MDW and cycle of threshold (Ct) value was performed. (3) Results: Fever > 38 °C (OR: 2.82, 95% CI, 1.13−7.02, p = 0.0259), tachypnea (OR: 4.76, 95% CI, 1.67−13.55, p = 0.0034), and MDW ≥ 21 (OR: 5.67, 95% CI, 1.19−27.10, p = 0.0269) were robust significant predictors of an LOS of >14 days. We developed a new scoring system in which patients were assigned 1 point for fever > 38 °C, 2 points for tachypnea > 20 breath/min, and 3 points for MDW ≥ 21. The optimal cutoff was a score of ≥2. MDW was negatively associated with Ct value (β: −0.32 per day, standard error = 0.12, p = 0.0099). (4) Conclusions: Elevated MDW was associated with a prolonged LOS.

The Usefulness of Peripheral Blood Cell Counts to Distinguish COVID-19 from Dengue during Acute Infection

COVID-19 and dengue disease are challenging to tell apart because they have similarities in clinical and laboratory features during the acute phase of infection, leading to misdiagnosis and delayed treatment. The present study evaluated peripheral blood cell count accuracy to distinguish COVID-19 non-critical patients from non-severe dengue cases between the second and eleventh day after symptom onset. A total of 288 patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 (n = 105) or dengue virus (n = 183) were included in this study. Neutrophil, platelet, and lymphocyte counts were used to calculate the neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet–lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and the neutrophil–lymphocyte*platelet ratio (NLPR). The logistic regression and ROC curves analysis revealed that neutrophil and platelet counts, NLR, LPR, and NLPR were higher in COVID-19 than dengue. The multivariate predictive model showed that the neutrophils, platelets, and NLPR were independently associated with COVID-19 with a good fit predictive value (p = 0.1041). The neutrophil (AUC = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.84–0.91), platelet (AUC = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.85–0.93) counts, and NLR (AUC = 0.88, 95% CI = 0.84–0.91) were able to discriminate COVID-19 from dengue with high sensitivity and specificity values (above 80%). Finally, based on predicted probabilities on combining neutrophils and platelets with NLR or NLPR, the adjusted AUC was 0.97 (95% CI = 0.94–0.98) to differentiate COVID-19 from dengue during the acute phase of infection with outstanding accuracy. These findings might suggest that the neutrophil, platelet counts, and NLR or NLPR provide a quick and cost-effective way to distinguish between dengue and COVID-19 in the context of co-epidemics in low-income tropical regions.

Monocyte distribution width as a novel sepsis indicator in COVID-19 patients

BACKGROUND

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) is a highly transmittable virus which causes the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is an in-vitro hematological parameter which describes the changes in monocyte size distribution and can indicate progression from localized infection to systemic infection. In this study we evaluated the correlation between the laboratory parameters and available clinical data in different quartiles of MDW to predict the progression and severity of COVID-19 infection.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of clinical data collected in the Emergency Department of Rashid Hospital Trauma Center-DHA from adult individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2 between January and June 2020. The patients (n = 2454) were assigned into quartiles based on their MDW value on admission. The four groups were analyzed to determine if MDW was an indicator to identify patients who are at increased risk for progression to sepsis.

RESULTS

Our data showed a significant positive correlation between MDW and various laboratory parameters associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The study also revealed that MDW ≥ 24.685 has a strong correlation with poor prognosis of COVID-19.

CONCLUSIONS

Monitoring of monocytes provides a window into the systemic inflammation caused by infection and can aid in evaluating the progression and severity of COVID-19 infection.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in COVID-19 compared with Influenza and respiratory syncytial virus infection

A high neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is considered an unfavorable prognostic factor in various diseases, including COVID-19. The prognostic value of NLR in other respiratory viral infections, such as Influenza, has not hitherto been extensively studied. We aimed to compare the prognostic value of NLR in COVID-19, Influenza and Respiratory Syncytial Virus infection (RSV). A retrospective cohort of COVID-19, Influenza and RSV patients admitted to the Tel Aviv Medical Center from January 2010 to October 2020 was analyzed. Laboratory, demographic, and clinical parameters were collected. Two way analyses of variance (ANOVA) was used to compare the association between NLR values and poor outcomes among the three groups. ROC curve analyses for each virus was applied to test the discrimination ability of NLR. 722 COVID-19, 2213 influenza and 482 RSV patients were included. Above the age of 50, NLR at admission was significantly lower among COVID-19 patients (P < 0.001). NLR was associated with poor clinical outcome only in the COVID-19 group. ROC curve analysis was performed; the area under curve of poor outcomes for COVID-19 was 0.68, compared with 0.57 and 0.58 for Influenza and RSV respectively. In the COVID-19 group, multivariate logistic regression identified a high NLR (defined as a value above 6.82) to be a prognostic factor for poor clinical outcome, after adjusting for age, sex and Charlson comorbidity score (odds ratio of 2.9, P < 0.001). NLR at admission is lower and has more prognostic value in COVID-19 patients, when compared to Influenza and RSV.

Periappendiceal fat-stranding models for discriminating between complicated and uncomplicated acute appendicitis: a diagnostic and validation study

BACKGROUND

Recent studies have reported promising outcomes of non-operative treatment for uncomplicated appendicitis; however, the preoperative prediction of complicated appendicitis is challenging. We developed models by incorporating fat stranding (FS), which is commonly observed in perforated appendicitis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We reviewed the data of 402 consecutive patients with confirmed acute appendicitis from our prospective registry. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to select clinical and radiographic factors predicting complicated acute appendicitis in our model 1 (involving backward elimination) and model 2 (involving stepwise selection). We compared c statistics among scoring systems developed by Bröker et al. (in J Surg Res 176(1):79-83. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2011.09.049 , 2012), Imaoka et al. (in World J Emerg Surg 11(1):1-5, 2016), Khan et al. (in Cureus. https://doi.org/1010.7759/cureus.4765 , 2019), Kim et al. (in Ann Coloproctol 31(5):192, 2015), Kang et al. (in Medicine 98(23): e15768, 2019), Atema et al. (in Br J Surg 102(8):979-990. https://doi.org/10.1002/bjs.9835 , 2015), Avanesov et al. (in Eur Radiol 28(9):3601-3610, 2018), and Kim et al. (in Abdom Radiol 46:1-12, 2020). Finally, we examined our models by performing the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) test.

RESULTS

Among enrolled patients, 64 (15.9%) had complicated acute appendicitis. We developed new 10-point scoring models by including the following variables: C-reactive protein, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and computed tomography features of FS, ascites, and appendicolith. A cutoff score of ≥ 6 exhibited a high sensitivity of 82.8% and a specificity of 82.8% for model 1 and 81.3% and 82.3% for model 2, respectively, with c statistics of 0.878 (model 1) and 0.879 (model 2). Compared with the model developed by Bröker et al. which included C-reactive protein and the abdominal pain duration (c statistic: 0.778), the models developed by Atema et al. (c statistic: 0.826, IDI: 5.92%, P = 0.0248), H.Y Kim et al. (c statistics: 0.838, IDI: 13.82%, P = 0.0248), and our two models (IDI: 18.29%, P < 0.0001) demonstrated a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSION

Our models and the scoring systems developed by Atema et al. and Kim et al. were validated to have a high diagnostic accuracy; moreover, our models included the lowest number of variables.

Monocyte Distribution Width, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Improves Early Prediction for Sepsis at the Emergency

(1) Background: Sepsis is a life-threatening condition, and most patients with sepsis first present to the emergency department (ED) where early identification of sepsis is challenging due to the unavailability of an effective diagnostic model. (2) Methods: In this retrospective study, patients aged ≥20 years who presented to the ED of an academic hospital with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) were included. The SIRS, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and quick SOFA (qSOFA) scores were obtained for all patients. Routine complete blood cell testing in conjugation with the examination of new inflammatory biomarkers, namely monocyte distribution width (MDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), was performed at the ED. Propensity score matching was performed between patients with and without sepsis. Logistic regression was used for constructing models for early sepsis prediction. (3) Results: We included 296 patients with sepsis and 1184 without sepsis. A SIRS score of >2, a SOFA score of >2, and a qSOFA score of >1 showed low sensitivity, moderate specificity, and limited diagnostic accuracy for predicting early sepsis infection (c-statistics of 0.660, 0.576, and 0.536, respectively). MDW > 20, PLR > 9, and PLR > 210 showed higher sensitivity and moderate specificity. When we combined these biomarkers and scoring systems, we observed a significant improvement in diagnostic performance (c-statistics of 0.796 for a SIRS score of >2, 0.761 for a SOFA score of >2, and 0.757 for a qSOFA score of >1); (4) Conclusions: The new biomarkers MDW, NLR, and PLR can be used for the early detection of sepsis in the current sepsis scoring systems.

Comparison of clinical and biochemical features of hospitalized COVID-19 and influenza pneumonia patients

Both severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 and influenza viruses cause similar clinical presentations. It is essential to assess severely ill patients presenting with a viral syndrome for diagnostic and prognostic purposes. We aimed to compare clinical and biochemical features between pneumonia patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) and H1N1. Sixty patients diagnosed with COVID‐19 pneumonia and 61 patients diagnosed with influenza pneumonia were hospitalized between October 2020–January 2021 and October 2017–December 2019, respectively. All the clinical data and laboratory results, chest computed tomography scans, intensive care unit admission, invasive mechanical ventilation, and outcomes were retrospectively evaluated. The median age was 65 (range 32–96) years for patients with a COVID‐19 diagnosis and 58 (range 18–83) years for patients with influenza (p = 0.002). The comorbidity index was significantly higher in patients with COVID‐19 (p = 0.010). Diabetes mellitus and hypertension were statistically significantly more common in patients with COVID‐19 (p = 0.019, p = 0.008, respectively). The distribution of severe disease and mortality was not significantly different among patients with COVID‐19 than influenza patients (p = 0.096, p = 0.049).). In comparison with inflammation markers; C‐reactive protein (CRP) levels were significantly higher in influenza patients than patients with COVID‐19 (p = 0.033). The presence of sputum was predictive for influenza (odds ratio [OR] 0.342 [95% confidence interval [CI], 2.1.130–0.899]). CRP and platelet were also predictive for COVID‐19 (OR 4.764 [95% CI, 1.003–1.012] and OR 0.991 [95% CI 0.984–0.998], respectively. We conclude that sputum symptoms by itself are much more detected in influenza patients. Besides that, lower CRP and higher PLT count would be discriminative for COVID‐19.

It is essential to distinguish two respiratory viral infections COVID‐19 and influenzae. We aimed to compare clinical and biochemical features between pneumonia patients with two diseases.While sputum symptoms by itself are much more detected in influenza patients, lower CRP and higher PLT count would be discriminative for COVID‐19.

Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW) as novel inflammatory marker with prognostic significance in COVID-19 patients

Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW), a new cytometric parameter correlating with cytomorphologic changes occurring upon massive monocyte activation, has recently emerged as promising early biomarker of sepsis. Similar to sepsis, monocyte/macrophage subsets are considered key mediators of the life-threatening hyper-inflammatory disorder characterizing severe COVID-19. In this study, we longitudinally analyzed MDW values in a cohort of 87 COVID-19 patients consecutively admitted to our hospital, showing significant correlations between MDW and common inflammatory markers, namely CRP (p < 0.001), fibrinogen (p < 0.001) and ferritin (p < 0.01). Moreover, high MDW values resulted to be prognostically associated with fatal outcome in COVID-19 patients (AUC = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.66-0.87, sensitivity 0.75, specificity 0.70, MDW threshold 26.4; RR = 4.91, 95% CI: 1.73-13.96; OR = 7.14, 95% CI: 2.06-24.71). This pilot study shows that MDW can be useful in the monitoring of COVID-19 patients, as this innovative hematologic biomarker is: (1) easy to obtain, (2) directly related to the activation state of a fundamental inflammatory cell subset (i.e. monocytes, pivotal in both cytokine storm and sepsis immunopathogenesis), (3) well correlated with clinical severity of COVID-19-associated inflammatory disorder, and, in turn, (4) endowed with relevant prognostic significance. Additional studies are needed to define further the clinical impact of MDW testing in the management of COVID-19 patients.

Pneumonia Caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 and Influenza Virus: A Multicenter Comparative Study

Background

Detailed differences in clinical information between severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pneumonia (CP), which is the main phenotype of SARS-CoV-2 disease, and influenza pneumonia (IP) are still unclear.

Methods

A prospective, multicenter cohort study was conducted by including patients with CP who were hospitalized between January and June 2020 and a retrospective cohort of patients with IP hospitalized from 2009 to 2020. We compared the clinical presentations and studied the prognostic factors of CP and IP.

Results

Compared with the IP group (n = 66), in the multivariate analysis, the CP group (n = 362) had a lower percentage of patients with underlying asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (P < .01), lower neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (P < .01), lower systolic blood pressure (P < .01), higher diastolic blood pressure (P < .01), lower aspartate aminotransferase level (P < .05), higher serum sodium level (P < .05), and more frequent multilobar infiltrates (P < .05). The diagnostic scoring system based on these findings showed excellent differentiation between CP and IP (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.889). Moreover, the prognostic predictors were different between CP and IP.

Conclusions

Comprehensive differences between CP and IP were revealed, highlighting the need for early differentiation between these 2 pneumonias in clinical settings.

Comparison of clinical features on admission between coronavirus disease 2019 and influenza a among children: a retrospective study in China

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) share similar symptoms with influenza A (IA), but it is more worthwhile to understand the disparities of the two infections regarding their clinical characteristics on admission.

METHODS

A total of 71 age-matched pediatric IA and COVID-19 patient pairs were formed and their clinical data on admission were compared.

RESULTS

Fever, cough, nasal congestion and nausea/vomiting were the most common symptoms on admission for both infections but occurred less often in COVID-19. The IA patients were more likely to have lower-than-normal levels of lymphocyte count and percentage and to have higher-than-normal levels of activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, serum C-reactive protein, and serum procalcitonin, while the COVID-19 patients had higher odds of having lower-than-normal levels of neutrophil count and percentage.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that influenza A is more symptomatic than COVID-19 for children and might be an overall more severe infection at the time of admission.