Colorectal cancer surgery in elderly patients 80 years and older: a comparison with younger age groups

Safety and feasibility of liver resection including major hepatectomy for geriatric patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether hepatectomy, which ranges in invasiveness from partial to major hepatectomy, is safe and feasible for older adult patients. Therefore, we compared its postoperative complications and long-term outcomes between younger and older adult patients.

METHODS

Patients who underwent hepatectomies for hepatocellular carcinoma (N = 883) were evaluated. Patients were divided into two groups: aged < 75 years (N = 593) and ≥ 75 years (N = 290). Short-term outcomes and prognoses were compared between the groups in the entire cohort. The same analyses were performed for the major hepatectomy cohort.

RESULTS

In the entire cohort, no significant differences were found in complications between patients aged < 75 and ≥ 75 years, and the multivariate analysis did not reveal age as a prognostic factor for postoperative complications. However, overall survival was significantly worse in older patients, although no significant differences were noted in time to recurrence or cancer-specific survival. In the multivariate analyses of time to recurrence, overall survival, and cancer-specific survival, although older age was an independent poor prognostic factor for overall survival, it was not a prognostic factor for time to recurrence and cancer-specific survival. In the major hepatectomy subgroup, short- and long-term outcomes, including time to recurrence, overall survival, and cancer-specific survival, did not differ significantly between the age groups. In the multivariate analysis, age was not a significant prognostic factor for complications, time to recurrence, overall survival, or cancer-specific survival.

CONCLUSION

Hepatectomy, including minor and major hepatectomy, may be safe and oncologically feasible options for selected older adult patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Competitive Risk Analysis of Prognosis in Older Adults with Sigmoid Colon Adenocarcinoma: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study is to employ a competing risk model based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to identify prognostic factors for elderly individuals with sigmoid colon adenocarcinoma (SCA) and compare them with the classic Cox proportional hazards model.

METHODS

We extracted data from elderly patients diagnosed with SCA registered in the SEER database between 2010 and 2015. Univariate analysis was conducted using cumulative incidence functions and Gray's test, while multivariate analysis was performed using both the Fine-Gray and Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Among the 10,712 eligible elderly patients diagnosed with SCA, 5595 individuals passed away: 2987 due to sigmoid colon adenocarcinoma and 2608 from other causes. The results of one-way Gray's test showed that age, race, marital status, AJCC stage, differentiation grade, tumor size, surgical status, liver metastasis status, lung metastasis status, brain metastasis status, radiotherapy status, and chemotherapy status all affected the prognosis of SCA (P < .05). Multivariate analysis showed that sex, age, race, marital status, and surgical status affected the prognosis of SCA (P < .05). Multifactorial Fine-Gray analysis revealed that key factors influencing the prognosis of SCA patients include age, race, marital status, AJCC stage, grade classification, surgical status, tumor size, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, and chemotherapy status (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

Data from the SEER database were used to more accurately estimate CIFs for sigmoid colon adenocarcinoma-specific mortality and prognostic factors using competing risk models.

More than 30 Years of POSSUM: Are Scoring Systems Still Relevant Today for Colorectal Surgery?

BACKGROUND

The Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM) weights the patient's individual health status and the extent of the surgical procedure to estimate the probability of postoperative complications and death of general surgery patients. The variations Portsmouth-POSSUM (P-POSSUM) and colorectal POSSUM (CR-POSSUM) were developed for estimating mortality in patients with low perioperative risk and for patients with colorectal carcinoma, respectively. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the significance of POSSUM, P-POSSUM, and CR-POSSUM in two independent colorectal cancer cohorts undergoing surgery, with an emphasis on laparoscopic procedures.

METHODS

For each patient, an individual physiological score (PS) and operative severity score (OS) was attributed to calculate the predicted morbidity and mortality, respectively. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the possible correlation between the subscores and the probability of postoperative complications and mortality.

RESULTS

The POSSUM equation significantly overpredicted postoperative morbidity, and all three scoring systems considerably overpredicted in-hospital mortality. However, the POSSUM score identified patients at risk of anastomotic leakage, sepsis, and the need for reoperation. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated a strong correlation between the subscores and the probability of postoperative complications and mortality, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that the three scoring systems are too imprecise for the estimation of perioperative complications and mortality of patients undergoing colorectal surgery in the present day. Since the subscores proved valid, a revision of the scoring systems could increase their reliability in the clinical setting.

A predictive model for early death in elderly colorectal cancer patients: a population-based study

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to determine what variables contribute to the early death of elderly colorectal cancer patients (ECRC) and to generate predictive nomograms for this population.

Methods

This retrospective cohort analysis included elderly individuals (≥75 years old) diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) from 2010-2015 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Result databases (SEER) databases. The external validation was conducted using a sample of the Chinese population obtained from the China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University. Logistic regression analyses were used to ascertain variables associated with early death and to develop nomograms. The nomograms were internally and externally validated with the help of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The SEER cohort consisted of 28,111 individuals, while the Chinese cohort contained 315 cases. Logistic regression analyses shown that race, marital status, tumor size, Grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, bone metastasis, surgery, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were independent prognostic factors for all-cause and cancer-specific early death in ECRC patients; The variable of sex was only related to an increased risk of all-cause early death, whereas the factor of insurance status was solely associated with an increased risk of cancer-specific early death. Subsequently, two nomograms were devised to estimate the likelihood of all-cause and cancer-specific early death among individuals with ECRC. The nomograms exhibited robust predictive accuracy for predicting early death of ECRC patients, as evidenced by both internal and external validation.

Conclusion

We developed two easy-to-use nomograms to predicting the likelihood of early death in ECRC patients, which would contribute significantly to the improvement of clinical decision-making and the formulation of personalized treatment approaches for this particular population.

The association of blood biomarkers with treatment response and adverse health outcomes in older patients with solid tumors: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Blood biomarkers are potentially useful prognostic markers and may support treatment decisions, but it is unknown if and which biomarkers are most useful in older patients with solid tumors. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the evidence on the association of blood biomarkers with treatment response and adverse health outcomes in older patients with solid tumors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A literature search was conducted in five databases in December 2022 to identify studies on blood biomarkers measured before treatment initiation, not tumor specific, and outcomes in patients with solid tumors aged ≥60 years. Studies on any type or line of oncologic treatment could be included. Titles and abstracts were screened by three authors. Data extraction and quality assessment, using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) checklist, were performed by two authors.

RESULTS

Sixty-three studies were included, with a median sample size of 138 patients (Interquartile range [IQR] 99-244) aged 76 years (IQR 72-78). Most studies were retrospective cohort studies (63%). The risk of bias was moderate in 52% and high in 43%. Less than one-third reported geriatric parameters. Eighty-six percent examined mortality outcomes, 37% therapeutic response, and 37% adverse events. In total, 77 unique markers were studied in patients with a large variety of tumor types and treatment modalities. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (20 studies), albumin (19), C-reactive protein (16), hemoglobin (14) and (modified) Glasgow Prognostic Score ((m)GPS) (12) were studied most often. The vast majority showed no significant association of these biomarkers with outcomes, except for associations between low albumin and adverse events and high (m)GPS with mortality.

DISCUSSION

Most studies did not find a significant association between blood biomarkers and clinical outcomes. The interpretation of current evidence on prognostic blood biomarkers is hampered by small sample sizes and inconsistent results across heterogeneous studies. The choice for blood biomarkers in the majority of included studies seemed driven by availability in clinical practice in retrospective cohort studies. Ageing biomarkers are rarely studied in older patients with solid tumors. Further research is needed in larger and more homogenous cohorts that combine clinical parameters and biomarkers before these can be used in clinical practice.

A retrospective study of colonoscopic surveillance in the elderly

BACKGROUND

Aotearoa New Zealand (AoNZ) guidelines suggest surveillance colonoscopy should be carefully considered after age 75. The authors noted a cluster of patients presenting in their 8th and 9th decade of life with a new colorectal cancer (CRC) having previously been declined surveillance colonoscopy.

METHODS

A 7-year retrospective analysis was performed of patients who underwent a colonoscopy aged between 71 and 75 years in the period between 2006 and 2012. Kaplan-Meier graphs were created with survival measured from the time of index colonoscopy. Log rank tests were used to determine any difference in survival distribution. Relative risk (RR) was calculated, and 95% confidence intervals (CI) reported.

RESULTS

A total of 623 patients met inclusion criteria; 461 (74%) had no indication for surveillance colonoscopy and 162 (26%) had an indication. Of the 162 patients with an indication, 91 (56.2%) underwent surveillance colonoscopies after the age of 75. Twenty-three (3.7%) patients were diagnosed with a new CRC. Eighteen (78.2%) patients diagnosed with a new CRC underwent surgery. The median survival overall was 12.9 years (95% CI 12.2-13.5). This did not differ between patients with (13.1, 95% CI 12.1-14.1) or without (12.6, 95% CI 11.2-14.0) an indication for surveillance.

CONCLUSION

This study found one quarter of patients who had a colonoscopy between the ages of 71-75 had an indication for surveillance colonoscopy. Most patients with a new CRC underwent surgery. This study suggests it may be appropriate to update the AoNZ guidelines and consider adopting a risk stratification tool to aid decision making.

The five-item modified frailty index predicts long-term outcomes in elderly patients undergoing colorectal cancer surgery

BACKGROUND

Frailty has been globally recognized as a predictor of adverse postoperative outcomes. Frailty assessment using the five-factor modified frailty index (5-mFI) has recently gained traction; however, long-term outcomes are unknown in colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. This study aimed to investigate whether the 5-mFI predicted long-term survival and cause of death on the basis of frailty severity in elderly patients who underwent CRC surgery and to determine the risk factors for mortality.

METHODS

A total of 299 patients underwent CRC surgery with curative intent between January 2013 and December 2017. Patients were divided into three groups by the 5-mFI score: group 1 (5-mFI: 0 or 1; n = 164): no frailty; group 2 (5-mFI: 2; n = 91): moderate frailty; and group 3 (5-mFI: ≥ 3; n = 44): severe frailty. Clinicopathological variables, namely comorbidities, 5-mFI, prognostic nutrition index, operative/postoperative data, and outcome, including cause of death, were compared between the three groups. To identify factors associated with death from CRC- and non-CRC-related causes, univariate and multivariate analyses using a Cox regression model were performed.

RESULTS

The immediate postoperative morbidity of patients with Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ III complications (9.1%) in group 3 was not significantly different from that in group 1 (9.1%) or group 2 (14.3%); however, the 30-day mortality rate (4.5%) in group 3 was significantly higher. Long-term disease-free survival was similar between frailty groups, suggesting that CRC surgery provides oncological benefit to patients irrespective of frailty. The 5-year survival rates in groups 1, 2, and 3 were 83.5%, 71.2%, and 47.9%, respectively, showing a significantly lower survival rate as frailty advanced. Sixty percent of the deaths in frail patients were due to respiratory failure and cardiovascular diseases. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that advanced age, higher 5-mFI score, and longer postoperative hospital stay were risk factors for mortality unrelated to CRC. Multivariate analysis also revealed that advanced tumor stage, carcinoembryonic antigen ≥ 5 ng/ml, undifferentiated tumor, and R1 resection were risk factors for CRC-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The 5-mFI score can predict postoperative short- and long-term outcomes and risk factors for mortality unrelated to CRC. Additionally, long-term survival was negatively associated with the 5-mFI score.

Elderly patients over 80 years undergoing colorectal cancer resection: Development and validation of a predictive nomogram for survival

BACKGROUND

Surgery remains the primary treatment for localized colorectal cancer (CRC). Improving surgical decision-making for elderly CRC patients necessitates an accurate predictive tool.

AIM

To build a nomogram to predict the overall survival of elderly patients over 80 years undergoing CRC resection.

METHODS

Two hundred and ninety-five elderly CRC patients over 80 years undergoing surgery at Singapore General Hospital between 2018 and 2021 were identified from the American College of Surgeons – National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database. Prognostic variables were selected using univariate Cox regression, and clinical feature selection was performed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. A nomogram for 1- and 3-year overall survival was constructed based on 60% of the study cohort and tested on the remaining 40%. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration plots. Risk groups were stratified using the total risk points derived from the nomogram and the optimal cut-off point. Survival curves were compared between the high- and low-risk groups.

RESULTS

Eight predictors: Age, Charlson comorbidity index, body mass index, serum albumin level, distant metastasis, emergency surgery, postoperative pneumonia, and postoperative myocardial infarction, were included in the nomogram. The AUC values for the 1-year survival were 0.843 and 0.826 for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The AUC values for the 3-year survival were 0.788 and 0.750 for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. C-index values of the training cohort (0.845) and validation cohort (0.793) suggested the excellent discriminative ability of the nomogram. Calibration curves demonstrated a good consistency between the predictions and actual observations of overall survival in both training and validation cohorts. A significant difference in overall survival was seen between elderly patients stratified into low- and high-risk groups (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

We constructed and validated a nomogram predicting 1- and 3-year survival probability in elderly patients over 80 years undergoing CRC resection, thereby facilitating holistic and informed decision-making among these patients.

Effects of preoperative bicarbonate and lactate levels on short-term outcomes and prognosis in elderly patients with colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of preoperative bicarbonate and lactate levels (LL) on the short-term outcomes and prognosis in elderly (≥ 65 years) patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

We collected the information of CRC patients from Jan 2011 to Jan 2020 in a single clinical center. According to the results of preoperative blood gas analysis, we divided patients into the higher/lower bicarbonate group and the higher/lower lactate group, and compared their baseline information, surgery-related information, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

RESULTS

A total of 1473 patients were included in this study. Comparing the clinical data of the higher/lower bicarbonate group and the higher/lower lactate group, the lower group were older (p < 0.01), had higher rates of coronary heart disease (CHD) (p = 0.025), a higher proportion of colon tumors (p < 0.01), larger tumor size (p < 0.01), higher rates of open surgery (p < 0.01), more intraoperative blood loss (p < 0.01), higher overall complications (p < 0.01) and 30-day deaths (p < 0.01). The higher LL patients had more male patients (p < 0.01), higher body mass index (BMI) (p < 0.01) and drinking rates (p = 0.049), higher rates of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) (p < 0.01) and lower rates of open surgery (p < 0.01). In multivariate analysis, age (p < 0.01), BMI (p = 0.036), T2DM (p = 0.023), and surgical methods (p < 0.01) were independent risk factors of overall complications. The independent risk factors for OS included age (p < 0.01), tumor site (p = 0.014), tumor stage (p < 0.01), tumor size (p = 0.036), LL (p < 0.01), and overall complications (p < 0.01). The independent risk factors of DFS included age (p = 0.012), tumor site (p = 0.019), tumor stage (p < 0.01), LL (p < 0.01), and overall complications (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative LL significantly affected postoperative OS and DFS of CRC patients, but bicarbonate might not affect the prognosis of CRC patients. Therefore, surgeons should actively focus on and adjust the LL of patients before surgery.

HNRNPA2B1-Mediated MicroRNA-92a Upregulation and Section Acts as a Promising Noninvasive Diagnostic Biomarker in Colorectal Cancer

MicroRNA-92a (miR-92a) may serve as a novel promising biomarker in multiple cancers, including colorectal cancer (CRC); however, the diagnostic accuracy and the underlying molecular mechanism of miR-92a in CRC is poorly understood. We first carried out meta-analysis and found that serum/plasma miR-92a yield better diagnostic efficacy when compared to stool samples and CRC tissues, and this finding was validated by our independent study through stool sample. Multiple bioinformatics assay indicated that miR-92a expression was positively correlated with heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoproteins A2/B1 (HNRNPA2B1) expression and closely related with the clinical characteristics of CRC. Experimental evidence showed that knockdown of HNRNPA2B1 could significantly decrease miR-92a expression and secretion in RKO cells. HNRNPA2B1 mediated miR-92a via m6A RNA modification. These findings indicate that HNRNPA2B1-m6A RNA modification-derived MicroRNA-92a upregulation and section from the local CRC acts a candidate noninvasive serum biomarker in colorectal cancer. Our study provides a novel insight into miR-92a mechanisms in relation to both expression and secretion for CRC diagnosis.