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Okorie IE, Afuecheta E, Nadarajah S, Bright A, Akpanta AC. A Poisson regression approach for assessing morbidity risk and determinants among under five children in Nigeria. Sci Rep 2024; 14:21580. [PMID: 39284886 PMCID: PMC11405843 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-72373-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Accepted: 09/06/2024] [Indexed: 09/22/2024] Open
Abstract
In this paper, we have provided more insights on the relationship between under five morbidity in Nigeria and some background characteristics using a Poisson regression model and the most recent 2018 NDHS data on Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI), diarrhoea and fever. Some of our results are that children 36-47 months old have the highest risk of ARI [OR = 1.45; CI (1.31,1.60)] while children less than 6 months old have the lowest risk of ARI [OR = 0.14; CI (0.11,0.17)]. The prevalence of diarrhoea is generally high among children under 48-59 months old but highest among children 6-11 months old [OR = 4.34; CI (3.69,5.09)]. Compared to children 48-59 months old, children in all other age categories except 24-34 months old have a high risk of fever [OR = 0.95; CI (0.73,1.24)]. ARI is more prevalent among female children [OR = 8.88; CI (8.02,9.82)] while diarrhoea [OR = 21.75; (19.10,24.76)] and fever [OR = 4.78; CI (4.31,5.32)] are more prevalent among male children. Children in urban areas are more likely to suffer ARI [OR = 9.49; CI (8.31,10.85)] while children in rural areas are more likely to suffer both diarrhoea [OR = 21.75; CI (19.10,24.76)] and fever [OR = 4.90; CI (4.26,5.63)]. Children in the South-South have the highest risk of ARI [OR = 4.03; CI (3.65,4.454)] while children in the North Central have the lowest risk of ARI [OR = 1.55; CI (1.38,1.74)] and highest risk of diarrhoea [OR = 3.34; CI (2.30,5.11)]. Children in the Northeast have the highest risk of fever [OR = 1.30; CI (1.14,1.48)]. In the Northcentral region, Kogi state has the highest prevalence of fever [OR = 2.27; CI (1.62,3.17)], while Benue state has the lowest [OR = 0.35; CI (0.20,0.60)]. Children in Abuja state face similar risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.84; CI (0.55,1.27)], with the risk of diarrhoea in Abuja being comparable to that in Plateau state [OR = 1.57; CI (0.92,2.70)]. Nasarawa state records the highest incidence of diarrhoea in the Northcentral [OR = 5.12; CI (3.03,8.65)], whereas Kogi state reports the lowest [OR = 0.29; CI (0.16,0.53)]. In the Northeast, Borno state has the highest rate of fever [OR = 3.28; CI (2.80,3.84)], and Bauchi state the lowest [OR = 0.38; CI (0.29,0.50)]. In Adamawa state, the risks of fever and diarrhoea are nearly equivalent [OR = 1.17; CI (0.97,1.41)], and the risk of fever there is similar to that in Taraba state [OR = 0.92; CI (0.75,1.12)]. Diarrhoea is most prevalent in Yobe state [OR = 3.17; CI (2.37,4.23)] and least prevalent in Borno state [OR = 0.26; CI (0.20,0.33)]. In the Northwest, the risk of fever is similarly high in Zamfara and Kebbi states [OR = 1.04; CI (0.93,1.17)], with Kastina state showing the lowest risk [OR = 0.39; CI (0.34,0.46)]. Children in Zamfara state experience notably different risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.07; CI (0.05,0.10)]. Kaduna state reports the highest incidence of diarrhoea [OR = 21.88; CI (15.54,30.82)], while Kano state has the lowest [OR = 2.50; CI (1.73,3.63)]. In the Southeast, Imo state leads in fever incidence [OR = 8.20; CI (5.61,11.98)], while Anambra state has the lowest [OR = 0.40; CI (0.21,0.78)]. In Abia state, the risk of fever is comparable to that in Enugu state [OR = 1.03; CI (0.63,1.71)], but the risks of fever and diarrhoea in Abia differ significantly [OR = 2.67; CI (1.75,4.06)]. Abia state also has the highest diarrhoea rate in the Southeast [OR = 2.67; CI (1.75,4.06)], with Ebonyi state having the lowest [OR = 0.05; CI (0.03,0.09)]. In the South-South region, Bayelsa and Edo states have similar risks of fever [OR = 1.28; CI (0.84,1.95)], with Akwa Ibom state reporting the highest fever rate [OR = 4.62; CI (3.27,6.52)] and Delta state the lowest [OR = 0.08; CI (0.02,0.25)]. Children in Bayelsa state face distinctly different risks of fever and diarrhoea [OR = 0.56; CI (0.34,0.95)]. Rivers state shows the highest incidence of diarrhoea in the South-South [OR = 10.50; CI (4.78,23.06)], while Akwa Ibom state has the lowest [OR = 0.30; CI (0.15,0.57)]. In the Southwest, Lagos and Osun states have similar risks of fever [OR = 1.00; CI (0.59,1.69)], with Ogun state experiencing the highest incidence [OR = 3.47; CI (2.28,5.28)] and Oyo state the lowest [OR = 0.18; CI (0.07,0.46)]. In Lagos state, the risks of fever and diarrhoea are comparable [OR = 0.96; CI (0.57,1.64)], and the risk of diarrhoea is similar to those in Ekiti, Ogun, and Ondo states. Oyo state has the highest diarrhoea rate in the Southwest [OR = 10.99; CI (3.81,31.67)], with Ogun state reporting the lowest [OR = 0.77; CI (0.42,1.42)]. Children of mothers with more than secondary education are significantly less likely to suffer ARI [OR = 0.35; CI (0.29,0.42)], whereas children of mothers without any education run a higher risk of diarrhoea [OR = 2.12; CI (1.89,2.38)] and fever [OR = 2.61; CI (2.34,2.91)]. Our analysis also indicated that household wealth quintile is a significant determinant of morbidity. The results in this paper could help the government and non-governmental agencies to focus and target intervention programs for ARI, diarrhoea and fever on the most vulnerable and risky under five groups and populations in Nigeria.
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Affiliation(s)
- Idika E Okorie
- Department of Mathematics, Khalifa University, P. O. Box 127788, Abu Dhabi, UAE
| | - Emmanuel Afuecheta
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia
| | - Saralees Nadarajah
- Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK.
| | - Adaoma Bright
- Birmingham City Council, 10 Woodcock Street, Birmingham, B7 4BL, UK
| | - Anthony C Akpanta
- Department of Statistics, Abia State University, Uturu, Abia State, Nigeria
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Bakchi J, Rasel RA, Shammi KF, Ferdous S, Sultana S, Rabeya MR. Effect of housing construction material on childhood acute respiratory infection: a hospital based case control study in Bangladesh. Sci Rep 2024; 14:8163. [PMID: 38589435 PMCID: PMC11001851 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-57820-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2023] [Accepted: 03/21/2024] [Indexed: 04/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Despite several studies conducted to investigate housing factors, the effects of housing construction materials on childhood ARI symptoms in Bangladesh remain unclear. Hence, the study aimed to measure such a correlation among children under the age of five. A hospital-based case-control study was conducted, involving 221 cases and 221 controls from January to April 2023. Bivariate and multivariate binary logistic regression was performed to measure the degree of correlation between housing construction materials and childhood ARI symptoms. Households composed of natural floor materials had 2.7 times (95% confidence interval 1.27-5.57) and households composed of natural roof materials had 1.8 times (95% confidence interval 1.01-3.11) higher adjusted odds of having under-five children with ARI symptoms than household composed of the finished floor and finished roof materials respectively. Households with natural wall type were found protective against ARI symptoms with adjusted indoor air pollution determinants. The study indicates that poor housing construction materials are associated with an increased risk of developing ARI symptoms among under-five children in Bangladesh. National policy regarding replacing poor housing materials with concrete, increasing livelihood opportunities, and behavioral strategies programs encouraging to choice of quality housing construction materials could eliminate a fraction of the ARI burden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jhantu Bakchi
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh.
| | - Rosul Ahmed Rasel
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh
| | - Khandokar Farmina Shammi
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh
| | - Sumaiya Ferdous
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh
| | - Shamima Sultana
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh
| | - Mst Rokshana Rabeya
- Department of Public Health Nutrition, School of Science, Primeasia University, Dhaka-1213, Bangladesh
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Tadese ZB, Hailu DT, Abebe AW, Kebede SD, Walle AD, Seifu BL, Nimani TD. Interpretable prediction of acute respiratory infection disease among under-five children in Ethiopia using ensemble machine learning and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP). Digit Health 2024; 10:20552076241272739. [PMID: 39114117 PMCID: PMC11304488 DOI: 10.1177/20552076241272739] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/21/2024] [Accepted: 07/13/2024] [Indexed: 08/10/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Although the prevalence of childhood illnesses has significantly decreased, acute respiratory infections continue to be the leading cause of death and disease among children in low- and middle-income countries. Seven percent of children under five experienced symptoms in the two weeks preceding the Ethiopian demographic and health survey. Hence, this study aimed to identify interpretable predicting factors of acute respiratory infection disease among under-five children in Ethiopia using machine learning analysis techniques. Methods Secondary data analysis was performed using 2016 Ethiopian demographic and health survey data. Data were extracted using STATA and imported into Jupyter Notebook for further analysis. The presence of acute respiratory infection in a child under the age of 5 was the outcome variable, categorized as yes and no. Five ensemble boosting machine learning algorithms such as adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), Gradient Boost, CatBoost, and light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM) were employed on a total sample of 10,641 children under the age of 5. The Shapley additive explanations technique was used to identify the important features and effects of each feature driving the prediction. Results The XGBoost model achieved an accuracy of 79.3%, an F1 score of 78.4%, a recall of 78.3%, a precision of 81.7%, and a receiver operating curve area under the curve of 86.1% after model optimization. Child age (month), history of diarrhea, number of living children, duration of breastfeeding, and mother's occupation were the top predicting factors of acute respiratory infection among children under the age of 5 in Ethiopia. Conclusion The XGBoost classifier was the best predictive model with improved performance, and predicting factors of acute respiratory infection were identified with the help of the Shapely additive explanation. The findings of this study can help policymakers and stakeholders understand the decision-making process for acute respiratory infection prevention among under-five children in Ethiopia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zinabu Bekele Tadese
- Department of Health Informatics, College of Medicine and Health Science, Samara University, Samara, Ethiopia
| | - Debela Tsegaye Hailu
- Department of Health Informatics, School of Public Health, Bule Hora University, Bule Hora, Ethiopia
| | - Aschale Wubete Abebe
- Department of Health Informatics, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Shimels Derso Kebede
- Department of Health Informatics, School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Agmasie Damtew Walle
- Department of Health Informatics, College of Health Science, Mettu University, Mettu, Ethiopia
| | - Beminate Lemma Seifu
- Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Science, Samara University, Samara, Ethiopia
| | - Teshome Demis Nimani
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health College of Medicine and Health Science, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
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Alam MZ, Islam MS. Is there any association between undesired children and health status of under-five children? Analysis of a nationally representative sample from Bangladesh. BMC Pediatr 2022; 22:445. [PMID: 35879700 PMCID: PMC9310505 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-022-03489-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/27/2020] [Accepted: 07/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Child health, especially childhood mortality, is one of the critical indicators of human development. No child mortality is desirable, but it is still high in Bangladesh. We aimed to assess the effect of the child's desired status on childhood morbidity and mortality in Bangladesh. METHODS We used the data from the nationally representative cross-sectional Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS) 2017-18 and restricted the analyses to children born in the past five years preceding the survey. We estimated the undesired status (excess in boy, girl, both, and parity) by subtracting an ideal number of children from the total live birth. We measured childhood mortality (perinatal, early neonatal, neonatal, post-neonatal, infant, child, and under-five mortality), morbidity (fever, diarrhea, cough, and acute respiratory infectious-ARI), nutritional problems (stunting, wasting, underweight, and low birth weight), and treatments (postnatal care, treatment for fever, diarrhea/cough, and vitamin A supplementation). Finally, we utilized the chi-square test and multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression analyses. RESULTS The prevalence of undesired children was 19.2%, 21.5%, 3.7%, and 25.4% for boys, girls, both boys and girls, and parity, respectively. Age, education, residence, division, and wealth index were significantly associated with undesired children. The prevalence of under-five mortality was 3.3% among desired children, almost double (5.4%) among undesired children. The likelihood of under-five mortality was [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 2.05, p ≤ 0.001] higher among undesired children. Despite lower under-five mortality among higher socioeconomic status, the relative contribution of undesired children to under-fiver mortality was substantial. The undesired girl children were associated with an increased likelihood of moderately wasting (aOR: 1.28, p = 0.072), severely underweight (aOR: 1.41, p = 0.066), and low birth weight (aOR: 1.50, p ≤ 0.05). Moreover, the undesired children were 19% (p ≤ 0.05) more likely to be infected with fever. The undesired children had lower treatment for diarrhea and fever/cough and were less likely to get vitamin A supplementation (aOR: 0.71, p ≤ 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The share of childhood morbidity, mortality, and malnutrition were higher among undesired children. Every child should be wanted, and no unwanted pregnancies are desirable; thereby, the government should reemphasize the proper use of family planning methods to reduce child mortality and malnutrition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md. Zakiul Alam
- Department of Population Sciences, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, 1000 Bangladesh
| | - Md. Syful Islam
- Department of Population Science, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Trishal, Mymensingh, 2220 Bangladesh
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Merera AM. Determinants of acute respiratory infection among under-five children in rural Ethiopia. BMC Infect Dis 2021; 21:1203. [PMID: 34847859 PMCID: PMC8631694 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-021-06864-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/13/2021] [Accepted: 11/12/2021] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In low- and middle-income nations, acute respiratory infection (ARI) is the primary cause of morbidity and mortality. According to some studies, Ethiopia has a higher prevalence of childhood acute respiratory infection, ranging from 16 to 33.5%. The goal of this study was to determine the risk factors for acute respiratory infection in children under the age of five in rural Ethiopia. METHODS A cross-sectional study involving 7911 children under the age of five from rural Ethiopia was carried out from January 18 to June 27, 2016. A two stage cluster sampling technique was used recruit study subjects and SPSS version 20 was used to extract and analyze data. A binary logistic regression model was used to identify factors associated with a childhood acute respiratory infection. The multivariable logistic regression analysis includes variables with a p-value less than 0.2 during the bivariate logistic regression analysis. Adjusted odds ratios were used as measures of effect with a 95% confidence interval (CI) and variables with a p-value less than 0.05 were considered as significantly associated with an acute respiratory infection. RESULTS The total ARI prevalence rate among 7911 under-five children from rural Ethiopia was 7.8%, according to the findings of the study. The highest prevalence of ARI was found in Oromia (12.8%), followed by Tigray (12.7%), with the lowest frequency found in Benishangul Gumuz (2.4%). A multivariable logistic regression model revealed that child from Poor household (AOR = 2.170, 95% CI: 1.631-2.887), mother's no education (AOR = 2.050,95% CI: 1.017-4.133), mother's Primary education (AOR = 2.387, 95% CI:1.176-4.845), child had not received vitamin A (AOR = 1.926, 95% CI:1.578-2.351), child had no diarrhea (AOR = 0.257, 95% CI: 0.210-0.314), mothers not working (AOR = 0.773, 95% CI:0.630-0.948), not stunted (AOR = 0.663, 95% CI: 0.552-0.796), and not improved water source (AOR = 1.715, 95% CI: 1.395-2.109). Similarly, among under-five children, the age of the child, the month of data collection, anemia status, and the province were all substantially linked to ARI. CONCLUSIONS Childhood ARI morbidity is a serious health challenge in rural Ethiopia, according to this study, with demographic, socioeconomic, nutritional, health, and environmental factors all having a role. As a result, regional governments, healthcare staff, and concerned groups should place a priority on reducing ARI, and attempts to solve the issue should take these variables into account.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanuel Mengistu Merera
- Department of Statistics, College of Natural and Computational Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Tepi, Ethiopia.
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Murarkar S, Gothankar J, Doke P, Dhumale G, Pore PD, Lalwani S, Quraishi S, Patil RS, Waghachavare V, Dhobale R, Rasote K, Palkar S, Malshe N, Deshmukh R. Prevalence of the Acute Respiratory Infections and Associated Factors in the Rural Areas and Urban Slum Areas of Western Maharashtra, India: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study. Front Public Health 2021; 9:723807. [PMID: 34765581 PMCID: PMC8576147 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.723807] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2021] [Accepted: 09/22/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Acute respiratory infections (ARIs) continue to be the most important cause of morbidity and mortality among under-five children. Some demographic and environmental factors are associated with ARIs among under-five children. This study was conducted with the objective to estimate the prevalence of ARIs among under-five children in the rural areas and densely populated urban slum areas in Maharashtra, India and to assess the association of the selected sociodemographic and household environmental factors with ARI. This study was conducted in 16 selected clusters from the rural areas and densely populated urban slum areas of the two districts in Maharashtra, India. Structured and validated proforma was used for collecting the data on the sociodemographic and household environmental risk factors. A total of 3,671 under-five children were surveyed. The prevalence of ARIs for the preceding month was 50.4%. It was higher among the children living in the rural areas (54.2%) compared to the children living in the urban areas (46.7%) (p = 0.01). The prevalence of ARIs was reported to be 51.4 and 49.4% in boys and girls, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, the researchers found that living in rural areas (p = 0.01) and parental smoking (p = 0.04) were significantly associated with the ARIs. An intervention such as reducing parental smoking habits at the household level may reduce ARIs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sujata Murarkar
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Jayashree Gothankar
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Prakash Doke
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Girish Dhumale
- Medical College Sangli, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Sangli, India
| | - Prasad D Pore
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Sanjay Lalwani
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Sanjay Quraishi
- Medical College Sangli, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Sangli, India
| | - Reshma S Patil
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India.,Department of Community Medicine, Symbiosis Medical College for Women, Symbiosis International University, Pune, India
| | - Vivek Waghachavare
- Medical College Sangli, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Sangli, India
| | - Randhir Dhobale
- Medical College Sangli, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Sangli, India
| | - Kirti Rasote
- Medical College Sangli, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Sangli, India
| | - Sonali Palkar
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
| | - Nandini Malshe
- Medical College Pune, Bharati Vidyapeeth (Deemed to be) University, Pune, India
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Al-Janabi Z, Woolley KE, Thomas GN, Bartington SE. A Cross-Sectional Analysis of the Association between Domestic Cooking Energy Source Type and Respiratory Infections among Children Aged under Five Years: Evidence from Demographic and Household Surveys in 37 Low-Middle Income Countries. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2021; 18:8516. [PMID: 34444264 PMCID: PMC8394069 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph18168516] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2021] [Revised: 08/06/2021] [Accepted: 08/08/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), household air pollution as a result of using solid biomass for cooking, lighting and heating (HAP) is associated with respiratory infections, accounting for approximately 4 million early deaths each year worldwide. The majority of deaths are among children under five years. This population-based cross-sectional study investigates the association between solid biomass usage and risk of acute respiratory infections (ARI) and acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI) in 37 LMICs within Africa, Americas, Southeast Asia, European, Eastern Mediterranean and Western Pacific regions. MATERIALS AND METHODS Using population-based data obtained from Demographic and Health surveys (2010-2018), domestic cooking energy sources were classified solid biomass (wood, charcoal/dung, agricultural crop) and cleaner energy sources (e.g., Liquid Petroleum Gas (LPG), electricity, biogas and natural gas). Composite measures of ARI (shortness of breath, cough) and ALRI (shortness of breath, cough and fever) were composed using maternally reported respiratory symptoms over the two-week period prior to the interview. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify the association between biomass fuel usage with ARI and ALRI, accounting for relevant individual, household and situational confounders, including stratification by context (urban/rural). RESULTS After adjustment, in the pooled analysis, children residing in solid biomass cooking households had an observed increased adjusted odds ratio of ARI (AOR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.09-1.25) and ALRI (AOR: 1.16; 95% CI 1.07-1.25) compared to cleaner energy sources. In stratified analyses, a comparable association was observed in urban areas (ARI: 1.16 [1.06-1.28]; ALRI: 1.14 [1.02-1.27]), but only significant for ARI among those living in rural areas (ARI: 1.14 [1.03-1.26]). CONCLUSION Switching domestic cooking energy sources from solid biomass to cleaner alternatives would achieve a respiratory health benefit in children under five years worldwide. High quality mixed-methods research is required to improve acceptability and sustained uptake of clean cooking energy source interventions in LMIC settings.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - G. Neil Thomas
- Institute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK; (Z.A.-J.); (K.E.W.); (S.E.B.)
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Geremew A, Gebremedhin S, Mulugeta Y, Yadeta TA. Place of food cooking is associated with acute respiratory infection among under-five children in Ethiopia: multilevel analysis of 2005-2016 Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey data. Trop Med Health 2020; 48:95. [PMID: 33292790 PMCID: PMC7702671 DOI: 10.1186/s41182-020-00283-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/13/2020] [Accepted: 11/04/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Globally, acute respiratory infections are among the leading causes of under-five child mortality, especially in lower-income countries; it is associated with indoor exposure to toxic pollutants from solid biomass fuel. In Ethiopia, 90% of the population utilizes solid biomass fuel; respiratory illness is a leading health problem. However, there is a paucity of nationally representative data on the association of household cooking place and respiratory infections. Besides, evidence on the variability in the infection based on the data collected at different times is limited. Therefore, this study is intended to assess the association of food cooking place with acute respiratory infections and the variability in households and surveys. Methods The current analysis is based on the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data collected in 2005, 2011, and 2016 and obtained via online registration. The association of food cooking place with acute respiratory infection was assessed using multilevel modeling after categorizing all factors into child level and survey level, controlling them in a full model. The analyses accounted for a complex survey design using a Stata command “svy.” Result A total of 30,895 under-five children were included in this study, of which 3677 (11.9%) children had an acute respiratory infection, with 12.7% in 2005, 11.9% in 2011, and 11.1% in 2016. The risk of having an infection in under-five children in households that cooked food outdoors was 44% lower (AOR = 0.56, 95% CI = 0.40, 0.75) compared to those households that cooked the food inside the house. There was a statistically significant difference among the children among surveys to have an acute respiratory infection. Conclusion The risk of having children with acute respiratory infection is lower in the households of cooking food outdoor compared to indoor. The infection difference in different surveys suggests progress in the practices in either food cooking places or the fuel types used that minimize food cooking places location or the fuel types used that minimizes the risk. But, the infection is still high; therefore, measures promoting indoor cooking in a well-ventilated environment with alternative energy sources should take place.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abraham Geremew
- Department of Environmental Health, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia.
| | - Selamawit Gebremedhin
- Department of Environmental Health, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
| | - Yohannes Mulugeta
- Department of Environmental Health, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
| | - Tesfaye Assebe Yadeta
- School of Nursing and Midwifery, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia
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Mulambya NL, Nanzaluka FH, Sinyangwe NN, Makasa M. Trends and factors associated with acute respiratory infection among under five children in Zambia: evidence from Zambia's demographic and health surveys (1996-2014). Pan Afr Med J 2020; 36:197. [PMID: 32952841 PMCID: PMC7467616 DOI: 10.11604/pamj.2020.36.197.18799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/10/2019] [Accepted: 04/09/2020] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction acute respiratory infection (ARI) is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality among children under the age of five years globally accounting for 16% of deaths. In Zambia, ARI accounts for 30-40% of children's outpatient attendance and 20-30% of hospital admissions. We assessed trends and factors associated with ARI among under-five children in Zambia from 1996 to 2014. Methods we analysed the Zambia demographic and health survey data for 1996, 2002, 2007 and 2014 of under five children and their mothers. We extracted data using a data extraction tool from the women's file. We analysed trends using chi square for trends. We conducted a complex survey multivariable logistic regression analysis, reported adjusted odds ratios (AOR) 95% confidence intervals (CI) and p-values. Results we included a total of 6,854 and 2,389 (8%) had symptoms consistent with ARI. A 2% upward trend was noted between the 1996 and 2002 surveys but a sharp decline of 10% occurred in 2007. The chi2 trend test was significant p < 0.001. Children whose mothers had secondary or higher education were less likely to have ARI (AOR 0.30 95% CI 0.15-0.58) compared to those with no education. Underweight children had 1.50 times increased odds of having ARI (AOR 1.50 95% CI 1.25 - 1.68) compared with children who were not. Use of biomass fuels such as charcoal (AOR 2.67 95% CI 2.09 - 3.42) and wood (2.79 95% CI 2.45 -3.19) were associated with high odds for ARI compared to electricity. Conclusion the prevalence of ARI has declined in Zambia from 1996 to 2014. Factors associated with occurrence of ARI included being a child under one year, underweight, use of biomass fuel such as charcoal and wood. Interventions to reduce the burden of ARI should be targeted at scaling up nutrition programs, as well as promoting use of cleaner fuels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nelia Langa Mulambya
- Zambia Field Epidemiology Training Program, Lusaka, Zambia.,School of Public Health, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.,Zambia National Public Health Institute, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Francis Hamaimbo Nanzaluka
- Zambia Field Epidemiology Training Program, Lusaka, Zambia.,School of Public Health, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia.,Ministry of Health, National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Program, Lusaka, Zambia
| | | | - Mpundu Makasa
- School of Public Health, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
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10
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Anteneh ZA, Hassen HY. Determinants of Acute Respiratory Infection Among Children in Ethiopia: A Multilevel Analysis from Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey. Int J Gen Med 2020; 13:17-26. [PMID: 32099446 PMCID: PMC6996624 DOI: 10.2147/ijgm.s233782] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2019] [Accepted: 12/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Acute respiratory infection (ARI) is one of the leading public health challenges among children in low- and middle-income countries. Child mortality due to ARI is disproportionately higher in African regions. In Ethiopia, an encouraging progress in the reduction of ARI was observed until 2010, however, since then the national prevalence is unchanged. There is limited information for the persistently higher prevalence of the infection. Therefore, the aim of this study was to determine regional variations and identify factors associated with the infection. Methods This study used data from the Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) conducted in 2016. The analysis used information from 10,006 children. A two-level logistic regression analysis was used to consider the cluster random effect. Results Out of 10,006 children included, 15.9%, 8.9%, and 8.8% reported cough, short rapid breaths, and chest complaint respectively two weeks before the survey, making the overall prevalence of ARI 8.8%. Children aged six to 11 years (adjusted odds ratio (AOR)=1.466, 95%CI: 1.143-1.881), and 12 to 23 (AOR=1.390, 95%CI: 1.109-1.742), small birth size (AOR=1.387, 95%CI), and animal dung as cooking fuel (AOR=1.904, 95%CI: 1.152-3.146) are significantly associated with higher odds of ARI in the final multilevel modeling. The AOR (95%CI) for ARI for differing levels of altitude were: 1000 to 2000, 1.805 (1.403-2.483); 2000 to 3000, 1.882 (1.427-2.483); above 3000, 2.24 (1.023-4.907). Conclusion ARI is still a significant public health problem in Ethiopia among children underfive, with a huge variation in the burden across the regional states. Age of children, birth size, household cooking fuel, and altitude above sea level were important variables. Therefore, regional governments, health-care workers and concerned organizations should give emphasis to minimize ARI and the consequences associated with the disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zelalem Alamrew Anteneh
- School of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia
| | - Hamid Yimam Hassen
- Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Mizan-Tepi University, Mizan-Tepi, Ethiopia
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11
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Associations between Indoor Air Pollution and Acute Respiratory Infections among Under-Five Children in Afghanistan: Do SES and Sex Matter? INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2019; 16:ijerph16162910. [PMID: 31416159 PMCID: PMC6720819 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16162910] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2019] [Revised: 08/11/2019] [Accepted: 08/12/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Background: Low-income families often depend on fuels such as wood, coal, and animal dung for cooking. Such solid fuels are highly polluting and are a primary source of indoor air pollutants (IAP). We examined the association between solid fuel use (SFU) and acute respiratory infection (ARI) among under-five children in Afghanistan and the extent to which this association varies by socioeconomic status (SES) and gender. Materials and Methods: This is a cross-sectional study based on de-identified data from Afghanistan’s first standard Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) conducted in 2015. The sample consists of ever-married mothers with under-five children in the household (n = 27,565). We used mixed-effect Poisson regression models with robust error variance accounting for clustering to examine the associations between SFU and ARI among under-five children after adjusting for potential confounders. We also investigated potential effect modification by SES and sex. Additional analyses were conducted using an augmented measure of the exposure to IAP accounting for both SFU and the location of cooking/kitchen (High Exposure, Moderate, and No Exposure). Results: Around 70.2% of households reported SFU, whereas the prevalence of ARI was 17.6%. The prevalence of ARI was higher in children living in households with SFU compared to children living in households with no SFU (adjusted prevalence ratio (aPR) = 1.10; 95% CI: (0.98, 1.23)). We did not observe any effect modification by SES or child sex. When using the augmented measure of exposure incorporating the kitchen’s location, children highly exposed to IAP had a higher prevalence of ARI compared to unexposed children (aPR = 1.17; 95% CI: (1.03, 1.32)). SES modified this association with the strongest associations observed among children from the middle wealth quintile. Conclusion: The findings have significant policy implications and suggest that ARI risk in children may be reduced by ensuring there are clean cookstoves as well as clean fuels and acting on the socio-environmental pathways.
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12
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Seidu AA, Dickson KS, Ahinkorah BO, Amu H, Darteh EKM, Kumi-Kyereme A. Prevalence and determinants of Acute Lower Respiratory Infections among children under-five years in sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from demographic and health surveys. SSM Popul Health 2019; 8:100443. [PMID: 31334326 PMCID: PMC6614699 DOI: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2019.100443] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2019] [Revised: 06/24/2019] [Accepted: 06/26/2019] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Acute Lower Respiratory Infections (ALRIs) account for 5.8 million deaths globally and 50% of these deaths occur in sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we examined the prevalence and determinants of ALRIs among children under-five years in 28 sub–Saharan African countries. We used data from the most recent (2011–2016) Demographic and Health Surveys of the 28 countries. Women aged 15–49 (N = 13,495) with children under-five years participated in the study. Data were extracted and analysed using STATA version 14.2. Bivariate and multivariate analyses were done to establish associations between the outcome and explanatory variables. The prevalence of ALRI for all the countries was 25.3%. Congo (39.8%), Gabon (38.1%), Lesotho (35.2%), and Tanzania (35.2%) were the countries with the highest prevalence of ALRIs. The results from the multivariate analyses showed that children aged 24–59 months (AOR = 1.15; 95% CI = 1.04–1.28), and children who received intestinal parasite in the 6 months preceding the survey (AOR = 1.11; 95% CI = 1.02–1.22) had higher odds of developing ALRIs. However, children whose mothers were employed (AOR = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.64–0.94) and those whose households used improved toilet facilities (AOR = 0.72; 95% CI = 0.64–0.97) had lower odds of contracting ALRIs. Our findings underscore the need for stakeholders in health in the various sub-Saharan African countries, especially those worst affected by ALRIs to implement programmes and develop policies at different levels aimed at reducing infections among children under-five years. Such strategies should specifically focus on improving the administration of medications for intestinal worms, health education to mothers with children under five on ALRIs and improving the sanitation situations of households through the provision of improved toilet facilities. We examined the prevalence and determinants of Acute Lower Respiratory Infections (ALRIs) among children under-five years in sub–Sahara Africa. ALRIs account for 5.8 million deaths globally. The prevalence of ALRI is 25.3% in sub-Sahara Africa. Children aged 24–59 months had higher odds of developing ALRIs. Employed mothers and improved toilet facility are protective factors against ALRIs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Abdul-Aziz Seidu
- Department of Population and Health, University of Cape Coast, Ghana
| | | | - Bright Opoku Ahinkorah
- The Australian Centre for Public and Population Health Research (ACPPHR), Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
| | - Hubert Amu
- Department of Population and Health, University of Cape Coast, Ghana.,Department of Population and Behavioural Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Health and Allied Sciences, Hohoe, Ghana
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13
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Do fuel type and place of cooking matter for acute respiratory infection among Afghan children? Evidence from the Afghanistan DHS 2015. J Biosoc Sci 2019; 52:140-153. [PMID: 31179959 DOI: 10.1017/s002193201900035x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
In Afghanistan, acute respiratory infection (ARI) is a leading cause of under-five mortality. Previous studies on the effects of cooking fuel on ARI have only looked at the types of cooking fuel, and not the effects of the location of the cooking place. The present study aimed to assess the effects of fuel type and place of cooking on the prevalence of ARI among under-five children in Afghanistan. Descriptive statistics and multilevel logistic regression analysis were performed for 31,063 children using data from the first round of the Afghanistan Demographic and Health Survey conducted in 2015. Overall, 13% of the children suffered from ARI symptoms in the 2 weeks before the survey, but this varied widely across the country. The multilevel analysis showed that, compared with households using clean cooking fuel in a separate building or outside, households using clean cooking fuel within the house and without a separate kitchen had a 32% lower risk [95% confidence interval (CI)=0.51-0.91] of having under-five children with ARI, and those using clean fuel in a separate kitchen in the house had a 17% lower risk (95% CI=0.67-1.03). On the other hand, households using polluting cooking fuel in the house without a kitchen had a 14% (95% CI=0.91-1.44) higher risk of having under-five children with ARI, and those using polluting cooking fuel in the house with a separate kitchen had a 5% (95% CI=0.85-1.30) higher risk, after adjusting for other covariates. The findings indicate that type of cooking fuel is not the only issue affecting ARI in children. Place of cooking (in a house with or without a separate kitchen versus outside) also affects the risk of ARI among under-five children. The study also found that mother's education and occupational status, community poverty and ethnicity are other important factors affecting the prevalence of ARI in under-five children in Afghanistan.
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14
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Agho KE, Akombi BJ, Ferdous AJ, Mbugua I, Kamara JK. Childhood undernutrition in three disadvantaged East African Districts: a multinomial analysis. BMC Pediatr 2019; 19:118. [PMID: 31014298 PMCID: PMC6477742 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-019-1482-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2018] [Accepted: 04/01/2019] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Undernutrition is an important public health indicator for monitoring nutritional status and survival. In spite of its importance, undernutrition is a significant problem health problem in many East African communities. The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with childhood undernutrition in three disadvantaged East African Districts. METHODS We examined data for 9270 children aged 0-59 months using cross-sectional survey from Gicumbi District in Rwanda, Kitgum District in Uganda and Kilindi District in Tanzania. We considered the level of undernutrition (stunting, wasting and underweight) as the outcome variables with four ordinal categories (severely undernourished, moderately undernourished, mildly undernourished, and nourished). Generalized linear latent and mixed models (GLLAMM) with the mlogit link and binomial family that adjusted for clustering and sampling weights were used to identify factors associated with undernutrition among children aged 0-59 months in three disadvantaged East African Districts. RESULTS After adjusting for potential confounding factors, the odds of a child being stunted were higher in Gicumbi District in Rwanda while the odds of a child being wasted and underweight were higher in Kitgum District in Uganda. Having diarrhoea two weeks prior to the survey was significantly associated with severe undernutrition. Wealth index (least poor household), increasing child's age, sex of the child (male) and unavailability of water all year were reported to be associated with moderate or severe stunting/wasting. Children of women who did not attend monthly child growth monitoring sessions and children who had Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI) symptoms were significantly associated with moderate or severe underweight. CONCLUSIONS Findings from our study indicated that having diarrhoea, having ARI, not having water availability all year and not attending monthly child growth monitoring sessions were associated with undernutrition among children aged 0-59 months. Interventions aimed at improving undernutrition in these disadvantaged communities should target all children especially those children from households with poor sanitation practices.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kingsley E. Agho
- School of Science and Health, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW 2751 Australia
| | - Blessing J. Akombi
- School of Science and Health, Western Sydney University, Locked Bag 1797, Penrith, NSW 2751 Australia
| | - Akhi J. Ferdous
- The International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Irene Mbugua
- World Vision International, Karen Road, Off Ngong Road, P.O. Box 133, Karen, Nairobi 00502 Kenya
| | - Joseph K. Kamara
- World Vision International, Southern Africa Regional Office, H100, Mbabane, Swaziland
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15
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Khan MSB, Lohano HD. Household air pollution from cooking fuel and respiratory health risks for children in Pakistan. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2018; 25:24778-24786. [PMID: 29926328 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-2513-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2018] [Accepted: 06/05/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
Around 2.7 billion people in the world cook with polluting fuels, such as wood, crop residue, animal dung, charcoal, coal, and kerosene. Household air pollution from cooking with polluting fuels is recognized as a major risk factor for the disease burden. In this study, we examine the effect of using polluting fuels for cooking on the respiratory health of children in Pakistan. This study uses cross-sectional data from Pakistan Demographic and Health Survey 2012-13, with the sample size of 11,040 children under 5 years of age. Using logistic regression model, we control for factors such as averting activities, child characteristics, household characteristics, mother characteristics, and the unobserved factors using fixed effects. The results show that children in households using polluting fuels are 1.5 times more likely to have symptoms of acute respiratory infection (ARI) than children in households using cleaner fuels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohammad Shayan Babar Khan
- Department of Economics, Institute of Business Administration, University Road, Karachi, 75270, Pakistan.
| | - Heman D Lohano
- Department of Economics, Institute of Business Administration, University Road, Karachi, 75270, Pakistan
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