Serum Lactate Level Predicts Short-Term and Long-Term Mortality of HBV-ACLF Patients: A Prospective Study

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the ‘Kyoto Consensus’—steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the “APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)” was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia–Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the ‘Golden Therapeutic Window’, the ‘transplant window’, and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The ‘Kyoto APASL Consensus’ presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): the 'Kyoto Consensus'-steps from Asia

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a condition associated with high mortality in the absence of liver transplantation. There have been various definitions proposed worldwide. The first consensus report of the working party of the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) set in 2004 on ACLF was published in 2009, and the "APASL ACLF Research Consortium (AARC)" was formed in 2012. The AARC database has prospectively collected nearly 10,500 cases of ACLF from various countries in the Asia-Pacific region. This database has been instrumental in developing the AARC score and grade of ACLF, the concept of the 'Golden Therapeutic Window', the 'transplant window', and plasmapheresis as a treatment modality. Also, the data has been key to identifying pediatric ACLF. The European Association for the Study of Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL CLIF) and the North American Association for the Study of the End Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) from the West added the concepts of organ failure and infection as precipitants for the development of ACLF and CLIF-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and NACSELD scores for prognostication. The Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) added COSSH-ACLF criteria to manage hepatitis b virus-ACLF with and without cirrhosis. The literature supports these definitions to be equally effective in their respective cohorts in identifying patients with high mortality. To overcome the differences and to develop a global consensus, APASL took the initiative and invited the global stakeholders, including opinion leaders from Asia, EASL and AASLD, and other researchers in the field of ACLF to identify the key issues and develop an evidence-based consensus document. The consensus document was presented in a hybrid format at the APASL annual meeting in Kyoto in March 2024. The 'Kyoto APASL Consensus' presented below carries the final recommendations along with the relevant background information and areas requiring future studies.

Association between lactate/albumin ratio and prognosis in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy

BACKGROUND

The primary objective was to examine the association between the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) and the prognosis of patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT).

METHODS

Utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v2.0) database, we categorized 703 adult AKI patients undergoing CRRT into survival and non-survival groups based on 28-day mortality. Patients were further grouped by LAR tertiles: low (< 0.692), moderate (0.692-1.641), and high (> 1.641). Restricted cubic splines (RCS), Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW), and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed.

RESULTS

In our study, the patients had a mortality rate of 50.07% within 28 days and 62.87% within 360 days. RCS analysis revealed a non-linear correlation between LAR and the risk of mortality at both 28 and 360 days. Cox regression analysis, which was adjusted for nine variables identified by LASSO, confirmed that a high LAR (>1.641) served as an independent predictor of mortality at these specific time points (p < 0.05) in AKI patients who were receiving CRRT. These findings remained consistent even after IPTW adjustment, thereby ensuring a reliable and robust outcome. Kaplan-Meier survival curves exhibited a gradual decline in cumulative survival rates at both 28 and 360 days as the LAR values increased (log-rank test, χ2 = 48.630, p < 0.001; χ2 = 33.530, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A high LAR (>1.641) was found to be an autonomous predictor of mortality at both 28 and 360 days in critically ill patients with AKI undergoing CRRT.

Three Artificial Liver Models of Treatment of Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Background

This study aimed to investigate clinical efficacy, safety and short-term prognosis of plasma exchange (PE), plasma perfusion combining PE (PP+PE), dual-plasma molecular adsorption system combining PE (DPMAS+PE) in treating acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).

Methods

Two hundred and fourteen ACLF patients admitted to our hospital were included and divided into PE (n = 72), PP+PE (n = 75), DPMAS+PE group (n = 67). Laboratory indexes and MELD scores were collected, and clinical efficacy was compared. Patients' adverse reactions during and 24-h after treatment were collected, and safety was compared. Survival status of patients was followed-up within 90 days, and prognosis was analyzed.

Results

PE, PP+PE and DPMAS+PE significantly reduce TBiL, DBiL, ALT, AST, SA, PT, INR, PCT and CRP levels, and increase PA and PTA levels, compared with pre-treatments (P < 0.05). WBC and SCR levels in DPMAS+PE group decreased significantly post-treatment (P < 0.05). Na+ and Cl- levels in PE and PP+PE group decreased significantly post-treatment (P < 0.05). Total adverse reaction incidence in PE, PP+PE, DPMAS+PE group were 38.89%, 22.70%, 17.90%, respectively, with significant differences among three groups (P < 0.05). Ninety-day mortality rates of patients in PE, PP+PE, DPMAS+PE group were 41.67%, 34.67%, 20.90%, respectively, with significant differences among three groups (P < 0.05).

Conclusion

PE, PP+PE and DPMAS+PE three artificial liver treatment modes can effectively improve liver, kidney and coagulation function of ACLF patients. DPMAS+PE demonstrated better ability to remove endotoxin and inflammatory mediators, showed advantages in reducing ACLF patient mortality within 90 days, and had the least impact on electrolyte post-treatment. Therefore, DPMAS+PE can be used as a better choice for clinical treatment.

Hypermethylation of the glutathione peroxidase 4 promoter predicts poor prognosis in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a syn-drome with a high short-term mortality rate, and its prognosis is critical in clinical management. This study aimed to investigate the clinical significance of glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4) in the occurrence and development of HBV-ACLF and its prognostic value for 90-day mortality.

METHODS

The expression levels of GPX4, oxidative stress-related molecules and inflammatory cytokines in serum or peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) of 289 participants were determined by RT-qPCR or ELISA, and the methylation level of GPX4 promoter in PBMCs was determined by MethyLight.

RESULTS

The expression levels of GPX4 in the PBMCs and serum of HBV-ACLF patients were lower than those in non-HBV-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (non-HBV ACLF) patients, patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and healthy control (HC) individuals, while the methylation level of the GPX4 promoter was greater. In HBV-ACLF patients, the methylation level of the GPX4 promoter is correlated with oxidative stress, inflammation-related molecules, and some clinicopathological indicators. The methylation level of the GPX4 promoter was identified as an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients and yielded a larger area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) than the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in predicting 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

The GPX4 promoter methylation level has promising potential as a predictor of 90-day mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Understanding lactate in the development of Hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) is a hepatotropic virus that can establish a persistent and chronic infection in humans. Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection is associated with an increased risk of hepatic decompensation, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Lactate level, as the end product of glycolysis, plays a substantial role in metabolism beyond energy production. Emerging studies indicate that lactate is linked to patient mortality rates, and HBV increases overall glucose consumption and lactate production in hepatocytes. Excessive lactate plays a role in regulating the tumor microenvironment (TME), immune cell function, autophagy, and epigenetic reprogramming. The purpose of this review is to gather and summarize the existing knowledge of the lactate's functions in the dysregulation of the immune system, which can play a crucial role in the development of HBV-related HCC. Therefore, it is reasonable to hypothesize that lactate with intriguing functions can be considered an immunomodulatory metabolite in immunotherapy.

Histomolecular characterisation of hepatitis B virus induced liver cancer

Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated liver cancer is the third most prevalent cancer-related cause of death worldwide. Different studies have been done on the histomolecular analysis of HBV induced-liver cancer including epigenetics which are dynamic molecular mechanisms to control gene expression without altering the host deoxyribonucleic acid, genomics characterise the integration of the viral genome with host genome, proteomics characterise how gene modifies and results overexpression of proteins, glycoproteomics discover different glyco-biomarker candidates and show glycosylation in malignant hepatocytes, metabolomics characterise how HBV impairs a variety of metabolic functions during hepatocyte immortalisation, exosomes characterise immortalised liver cells in terms of their differentiation and proliferation, and autophagy plays a role in the development of hepatocarcinogenesis linked to HBV infection.

Progress on clinical prognosis assessment in liver failure

Liver failure is a group of clinical syndromes with a mortality rate of >50%. The accurate evaluation of severity in patients with liver failure has been a meaningful and hot topic in clinical research and an important guide for liver transplantation. Numerous prognosis studies have emerged in recent years with high accuracy and adequate validity. Nonetheless, different models utilize distinct parameters and have unequal efficiencies, leading to a specific value and unique application situations for each model. This review focused on the progress in recent prognostic studies including the model for end-stage liver disease, sequential organ failure assessment and its derivative models, the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure, the Tongji prognostic predictor model, and other emerging prognostic models and predictors. This review aims to assist clinicians understand the framework of recent models and choose the appropriate model and treatment.

Scoring models and test indexes for diagnosis and prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a common type of liver failure, which can occur in the context of chronic hepatitis B or cirrhosis compensatory period or decompensated period. HBV-ACLF progresses rapidly, is often complicated with multiple organ failure syndrome involving the liver, brain, heart, kidney, etc., and is associated with an extremely high short-term mortality rate. The American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) defines HBV-ACLF as a potentially reversible disease, and early diagnosis and standardized treatment will affect its prognosis. In recent years, the clinical application of some new scoring models and biomarkers has effectively improved the diagnosis and prognosis of HBV-ACLF. This article reviews some scoring models and test indexes recently used in the clinical treatment and explores their value in the diagnosis and prognosis of HBV-ACLF.

Prealbumin as a Predictor of Short-Term Prognosis in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

Purpose

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a serious medical condition with a high short-term mortality rate, making accurate prognostic assessment essential for informed clinical decision-making. In this study, we aimed to develop a simple and effective prognostic model for predicting short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF.

Patients and Methods

To achieve our objective, we enrolled both a cross-sectional cohort (n = 291) and a retrospective cohort (n = 185) in this study. We collected laboratory and clinical data from these cohorts and performed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify independent predictors of short-term mortality. Subsequently, we developed a novel prognostic score for HBV-ACLF, which was validated and assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine its performance.

Results

Our analysis revealed that the admission prealbumin (PAB) level was a robust independent predictor of 30-day mortality, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.760. Moreover, we developed the HIAPP score, a prognostic-score model based on PAB. The HIAPP score was significantly lower in survivors compared to non-survivors (-2.80±0.21 vs 0.97±0.41, P < 0.001). The HIAPP score's AUROC value was 0.899, which was found to be superior to the MELD score (AUROC = 0.795) and the CLIF-C ACLF score (AUC =0.781) and comparable to the COSSH-ACLF II score (AUC =0.825) for predicting 30-day mortality. These findings were also validated in a separate cohort, further supporting the utility of the HIAPP score as a prognostic tool for HBV-ACLF patients.

Conclusion

Our study identifies the admission PAB level as a simple and valuable predictive index for 30-day mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Furthermore, the HIAPP score, which incorporates PAB, PLT, INR, HE, and age, is an easy-to-use and pragmatic prognostic score in predicting short-term mortality.

Establishment of MELD-lactate clearance scoring system in predicting death risk of critically ill cirrhotic patients

Background

To develop a scoring system related to the lactate clearance (ΔLA) to predict the mortality risk (MELD-ΔLA) for critically ill cirrhotic patients.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 881 critically ill cirrhotic patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database were included eventually. The outcomes of our study were defined as ICU death, 28-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality. Predictors were identified by multivariate Cox analysis to develop the predictive scoring system. The C-index and area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) were used to identify the predicting performance of the MELD-ΔLA, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child–Pugh, chronic liver failure consortium acute-on-chronic liver failure (CLIF-C ACLF), chronic liver failure consortium-acute decompensation (CLIF-C AD) and MELD-Na scoring systems. Additionally, subgroup analysis was also performed based on whether critically ill cirrhotic patients underwent liver transplantation.

Results

Creatinine, bilirubin, international normalized ratio (INR), lactate first, ΔLA and vasopressors were closely associated with ICU death of liver critically ill cirrhotic patients. The C-index of the MELD-ΔLA in ICU death was 0.768 (95% CI 0.736–0.799) and the AUC for the MELD-ΔLA scoring system in predicting 28-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality were 0.774 (95% CI 0.743–0.804), 0.765 (95% CI 0.735–0.796), and 0.757 (95% CI 0.726–0.788), suggested that MELD-ΔLA scoring system has a good predictive value than SOFA, CLIF-SOFA, MELD, Child–Pugh, CLIF-C ACLF, CLIF-C AD) and MELD-Na scoring systems. Additionally, the study also confirmed the good predictive value of MELD-ΔLA scoring system for critically ill cirrhotic patients regardless of undergoing liver transplantation.

Conclusion

The developed MELD-ΔLA score is a simple scoring system in predicting the risk of ICU death, 28-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality for critically ill cirrhotic patients, which may have a good predictive performance.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02351-5.

[Clinical Value of Cystatin C-Based Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate in Assessing Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure Treated with Artificial Liver Support System]

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the predictive value of using cystatin c-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR-CysC) in assessing the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients treated with artificial liver support system (ALSS).

METHODS

A total of 364 HBV-ACLF inpatients treated with ALSS at our hospital were enrolled retrospectively in the study. The patients were divided into the survival group ( n=269) and non-survival group ( n=95) according to mortality within 28 d, and their clinical information and laboratory data were analyzed for assessing short-term prognostic values.

RESULTS

Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified eGFR-CysC as one of the independent risk factors associated with mortality within 28 days in HBV-ACLF patients (the hazard ratio=0.987; 95% confidence interval, 0.979-0.996, P=0.003). In addition, baseline eGFR-CysC was negatively correlated with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score ( r=-0.439, P<0.001), MELD plus sodium (MELD-Na) score ( r=-0.481, P<0.001) and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium ACLF (CLIF-C ACLF) score ( r=-0.340, P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed area under the curve ( AUC) of eGFR-CysC were 0.639, 0.697, 0.716, 0.749 and the best cut-off value were 70.620, 67.525, 61.725, 64.685 mL/(min·1.73 m 2), respectively, for baseline value and the first, second, and third treatment with ALSS.

CONCLUSION

eGFR-CysC could be used to assist clinical assessment of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients treated with ALSS, and has better clinical application value for dynamic monitoring.