Multimorbidity and Complex Multimorbidity in India: Findings from the 2017-2018 Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI)

Modeling the spectrum and determinants of multimorbidity risk among older adults in India

BACKGROUND

India is passing through a parallel phase of demographic and epidemiological transition coupled with the shifting burden of multimorbidity. Unhealthy ageing and escalating morbidity burden have been identified as key drivers of this shifting multimorbidity risk among older adults in India. This study aims to assess the distribution of morbidities and multimorbidity, provide new estimates of multimorbidity risk by socio-economic and demographic factors and further evaluate the multimorbidity count risk conditioned on leading factors.

METHODS

This study used the nationally representative Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI), Wave - 1, 2017-18, data of individuals aged 45 years and above. First, we assessed the relative proportional share of morbidities and compositions of multimorbidity counts over age. Second, we applied the Random Forest (RF) model to estimate the age-specific risk of multimorbidity susceptibility associated with socio-economic and demographic factors over age. Finally, conditional plots were constructed to assess the distributional composition of the leading factors affecting multimorbidity counts.

RESULTS

The prevalence of multimorbidity was 43.20%. Eye disorders, followed by cardiovascular disease (CVDs), had the highest proportional share over age. Endocrine diseases, Gastrointestinal Conditions, and Infectious diseases showed a concordant decreasing proportional share in later age. The relative share of five or more multimorbidity counts increased significantly with age. The median expected risk of multimorbidity was significantly higher in females (66 years) than in males (71 years). The study also provides empirical evidence that individuals with higher levels of education, obesity, currently working, and poor childhood health were more prone to higher risk of multimorbidity at an early age. Furthermore, obesity was significantly associated with early multimorbidity onset and led to a pronounced escalation of complex multimorbidity progression, particularly in females.

CONCLUSIONS

Collective public health interventions are crucial to address early multimorbidity onset and burden disparities, to promote healthier ageing, and to address etiological factors.

Ageing, multimorbidity, and quality of life: a mediation analysis using longitudinal ageing study in India

Background

The ageing population in India is growing rapidly, but the decline in healthy life expectancy is more pronounced. This trend has been compounded and constituted by poor quality of life (QoL), with the salient underlying role of multimorbidity as the leading risk factor. This study primarily aimed to assess the intermediating role of multimorbidity as the risk factor for exogenous socioeconomic and demographic factors on QoL.

Methods

This study used data from 73,396 individuals aged 45 years and above from the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI), Wave - 1, 2017-18. Multimorbidity was defined as the simultaneous existence of two or more chronic conditions in an individual. The QoL score was constructed using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) by utilizing 21 factors under six domains (physical health, psychological health, social relationship, environmental satisfaction, life satisfaction and general health), with the composite QoL score ranging from 0 to 100. Further, the Structural equation model (SEM) was used to assess the role of multimorbidity as the intermediating risk factor for exogenous factors on QoL.

Results

Distributions of morbidities burden were skewed toward non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and sequentially escalated multimorbidity burden was observed among the oldest of old age groups. After the age of 75, there was a steep decline in the gradient of QoL score. The SEM results showed a substantial rise in multimorbidity burden leading to poor QoL with a magnitude of β = -2.39, p < 0.001. Age and sex of the respondents exhibited a significant negative impact on QoL, impacting it directly (β = -1.25; β = -1.19) as well as indirectly through multimorbidity (β = -0.11). In contrast, childhood health demonstrated a solely direct impact on QoL, with no significant indirect pathway through multimorbidity. This study further revealed that urban residence had a pronounced positive direct effect on QoL (β = 0.9, p < 0.001).

Conclusion

This study underscores the role of multimorbidity as a key mediator between socioeconomic and demographic factors on QoL among older adults in India. With the increasing prevalence of multimorbidity, policies should prioritize integrated geriatric healthcare services. Strengthening healthcare for early screening and affordable chronic disease management is essential.

Polypharmacy and self-medication among older adults in Indian urban communities-a cross-sectional study

Older adults are vulnerable to unsafe medication practices. This cross-sectional study estimated the prevalence and factors of polypharmacy and self-medication among 600 older adults from six Indian cities. The updated Screening Tool of Older Persons' Prescriptions and Screening Tool to Alert to Right Treatment criteria (version 3) were used. Knowledge, attitudes, and reported practices regarding self-medication were assessed. Descriptive statistics, binary logistic regression, and multivariable analysis were used. The prevalence of polypharmacy was 33.7% (95% CI 29.9-37.6%), with significant associations to multiple comorbidities [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.5 (95% CI 1.1-4.1)], recent transition of care [aOR 3.3 (95% CI 1.4-5.7)], and recent hospitalization [aOR 4.6 (95% CI 2-7.7)]. The proportions of prescriptions with potentially inappropriate medications and potential prescribing omissions were 28.8% (95% CI 25.2-32.6%) and 20.3% (95% CI 17.2-23.8%), respectively. The prevalence of self-medication was 19.7% (95% CI 16.6-23.1%), associated with factors, such as staying alone [aOR 4.5 (95% CI 2.4-6.6)], multiple comorbidities [aOR 3 (95% CI 1.4-6.7)], and recent hospitalization [aOR 4.8 (95% CI 1.5-8)]. Among those who self-medicated, 65.3% lacked knowledge of self-medication, 50% did not comprehend the risks, and 40.7% reported unsafe self-medication practices. The findings emphasize interventions' necessity for promoting safe medication use in older adults.

Sex and gender differentials in the prevalence of obesity and its association with multimorbidity among reproductive-aged individuals in India

Introduction

The increase in the prevalence of obesity has become a common public health issue worldwide, with low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) like India witnessing an equal rise. It makes a considerable contribution to chronic diseases as it is a major risk factor for other chronic illnesses. Multimorbidity, or the presence of two or more chronic illnesses, is becoming more common in LMICs, resulting in poor health outcomes. However, research on obesity and multimorbidity in younger populations in LMICs is scarce, with most studies focusing on older persons. The study analyzed sex differences in the prevalence of obesity among reproductive-aged persons and its association with multimorbidity, as well as investigated their health-seeking behaviors.

Methods

Data from the National Family Health Survey (NFHS-5) involving 751,831 females and 100,656 males were analyzed. Multimorbidity was defined by the presence of two or more chronic conditions out of the eight included chronic conditions. Multivariable logistic regression was applied to identify factors associated with obesity.

Result

The prevalence of obesity was 48.90% (95% CI: 48.60-49.20%) among males and 57.10% (95% CI: 57.00-57.22%) among females. Waist-to-Hip Ratio (WHR) revealed higher obesity rates in females with multiple chronic conditions (70.8%) compared to males (65.1%). Males with multimorbidity had a 47% higher likelihood of having obesity (AOR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.13-1.89, p < 0.003) compared to individuals without obesity.

Conclusion

The study highlights high obesity prevalence among reproductive-aged individuals in India, with females having higher obesity rates overall. However, males with multimorbidity exhibit a significantly greater likelihood of obesity than males without. These findings emphasize the need for gender-specific public health strategies addressing obesity and multimorbidity, including promoting healthier diets, increasing physical activity, and improving disease management for both women and men.

The impact of place on multimorbidity: A systematic scoping review

Multimorbidity, commonly defined as the co-existence of two or more long-term conditions, is a major global public health challenge with significant impacts for health and social care systems. There is a substantial body of work identifying different individual- and household-level determinants of multimorbidity, yet the role of place-based characteristics in affecting multimorbidity remains limited. This systematic scoping review identifies place-based risk factors for multimorbidity and further synthesises the potential pathways explaining these relationships using longitudinal evidence. By systematically searching seven major databases, such as Medline, Embase, and Web of Science, using relevant search terms (e.g., MeSH) relating to place-based risk factors and multimorbidity, 76 out of 7761 studies were included for evidence synthesis. We include studies exploring the relationship between place-based risk factors and multimorbidity among the general population older than 18 years old in the setting of community-dwelling, primary, and secondary care. We identified 12 types of place-based risk factors, with the impacts of area-level deprivation/SES, pollution, and urban/rurality on multimorbidity being most frequently considered and with the most consistent findings, with people living in more deprived/low SES, highly polluted, or more urbanised areas having increased risks of multimorbidity. Further, the impact of these place-based risk factors on multimorbidity varied according to the operationalisation of the multimorbidity measure. We also identified that the impacts of other types of place-based factors on multimorbidity remain underexplored, such as social cohesion and greenspace. Finally, using these longitudinal findings, we propose a conceptual framework linking place and multimorbidity. We suggest that future studies explore a wider range of place-level environmental exposures and use more precise measures, exploit electronic health records to implement more consistent and reproducible measurements of multimorbidity, moreover, make greater use of longitudinal study designs or analytical approaches better suited to identifying causal processes.

Characterizing Multimorbidity Prevalence and Adverse Outcomes in Ethnically and Culturally Diverse Sub-Populations in India: Gaps, Opportunities, and Future Directions

India is a large middle-income country and has surpassed China in overall population, comprising 20% of the global population (over 1.43 billion people). India is experiencing a major demographic shift in its aging population. Chronic diseases are common among older adults and can be persistent over the life course, lead to the onset of disability, and be costly. Among older adults in India, the existence of multiple comorbid chronic conditions (i.e., multimorbidity) is rapidly growing and represents a burgeoning public health burden. Prior research identified greater rates of multimorbidity (e.g., overweight/obesity diabetes, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, stroke, and malignancies) in minority populations in the United States (U.S.); however, limited studies have attempted to characterize multimorbidity among older adult sub-populations residing in India. To address this gap, we conducted a narrative review of studies on multimorbidity using the data from the Longitudinal Aging Study of India (LASI), the largest nationally representative longitudinal survey study of adults in India. Our definition of multimorbidity was the presence of more than two conditions in the same person. Our findings, based on 15 reviewed studies, aim to (1) characterize the definition and measurement of multimorbidity and to ascertain its prevalence in ethnically and culturally diverse sub-populations in India; (2) identify adverse outcomes associated with multimorbidity in the Indian adult population; and (3) identify gaps, opportunities, and future directions.

Predictors of Multimorbidity (Defined as Diabetes + Hypertension) Amongst Males Aged 15-54 in India: An Urban/Rural Split Analysis

Objectives: This study aimed to determine which sociodemographic and lifestyle factors may act as predictors of multimorbidity (defined as diabetes + hypertension) amongst men aged 15-54 within urban and rural areas of India. Methods: Data from the latest 2019-2021 India NFHS-5 survey were utilized. Presumed cases of multimorbidity were defined as men who had DM + HTN. A total of 22,411 men in urban areas and 66,768 rural men were analyzed using mixed-effect multi-level binary logistic regression models. Results: Various predictors were found to have a statistically significant association to multimorbidity. Urban areas: Age, region of residence, wealth, religion, occupation, and BMI. Rural areas: Age, education, region of residence, wealth, occupation, caste, BMI, alcohol consumption, media exposure, and tobacco consumption. Conclusion: Departing from the broad operational definitions often studied within literature, this study provided insight into one of the most prevalent specific multimorbidities across India. The urban/rural split analyses revealed substantial differences in high-risk characteristics across both areas, which have commonly been overlooked. These findings may better inform policymakers and assist in effectively reducing multimorbidity-related burden through area-specific preventative programs.

Impact of multimorbidity and complex multimorbidity on healthcare utilisation in older Australian adults aged 45 years or more: a large population-based cross-sectional data linkage study

OBJECTIVES

As life expectancy increases, older people are living longer with multimorbidity (MM, co-occurrence of ≥2 chronic health conditions) and complex multimorbidity (CMM, ≥3 chronic conditions affecting ≥3 different body systems). We assessed the impacts of MM and CMM on healthcare service use in Australia, as little was known about this.

DESIGN

Population-based cross-sectional data linkage study.

SETTING

New South Wales, Australia.

PARTICIPANTS

248 496 people aged ≥45 years who completed the Sax Institute's 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire.

PRIMARY OUTCOME

High average annual healthcare service use (≥2 hospital admissions, ≥11 general practice visits and ≥2 emergency department (ED) visits) during the 3-year baseline period (year before, year of and year after recruitment).

METHODS

Baseline questionnaire data were linked with hospital, Medicare claims and ED datasets. Poisson regression models were used to estimate adjusted and unadjusted prevalence ratios for high service use with 95% CIs. Using a count of chronic conditions (disease count) as an alternative morbidity metric was requested during peer review.

RESULTS

Prevalence of MM and CMM was 43.8% and 15.5%, respectively, and prevalence increased with age. Across three healthcare settings, MM was associated with a 2.02-fold to 2.26-fold, and CMM was associated with a 1.83-fold to 2.08-fold, increased risk of high service use. The association was higher in the youngest group (45-59 years) versus the oldest group (≥75 years), which was confirmed when disease count was used as the morbidity metric in sensitivity analysis.When comparing impact using three categories with no overlap (no MM/CMM, MM with no CMM, and CMM), CMM had greater impact than MM across all settings.

CONCLUSION

Increased healthcare service use among older adults with MM and CMM impacts on the demand for primary care and hospital services. Which of MM or CMM has greater impact on risk of high healthcare service use depends on the analytic method used. Ageing populations living longer with increasing burdens of MM and CMM will require increased Medicare funding and provision of integrated care across the healthcare system to meet their complex needs.

Epidemiology and impact of chronic disease multimorbidity in India: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

This is the first systematic review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of multimorbidity, its risk factors including socioeconomic factors, and the consequences of multimorbidity on health systems and broader society in India.

Methods

A systematic review of both published and grey literature from five databases (Medline, Embase, EBSCO, Scopus, and ProQuest) was conducted including original studies documenting prevalence or patient outcomes associated with multimorbidity among adults in India. We excluded studies that did not explicitly mention multimorbidity. Three independent reviewers did primary screening based on titles and abstracts followed by full-text review for potential eligibility. The risk of bias was independently assessed by two reviewers following the Appraisal Tool for Cross-Sectional Studies. We presented both qualitative and quantitative (through meta-analysis) summaries of the evidence. The protocol for this study was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021257281).

Results

The review identified 5442 articles out of which 35 articles were finally included in this study. Twenty-three studies were based on the primary data while 12 used secondary data. Eleven studies were conducted in hospital/primary care setting while 24 were community-based. The pooled prevalence of multimorbidity based on (n=19) studies included for meta-analysis was 20% (95% CI: 19% to 20%). The most frequent outcomes were increased healthcare utilization, reduced health-related quality of life, physical and mental functioning.

Conclusion

We identified a wide variance in the magnitude of multimorbidity across age groups and regions with most of the studies from eastern India. Nation-wide studies, studies on vulnerable populations and interventions are warranted.

Epidemiology of multimorbidity in Nepal: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Multimorbidity is rising in low-and middle-income countries such as Nepal, yet the research has not gained pace in this field. We aimed to systematically review the existing multimorbidity literature in Nepal and estimate the prevalence and map its risk factors and consequences.

Methods

We reviewed data collated from PubMed, Embase and CINAHL by including original studies that reported prevalence of multimorbidity in Nepal. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Appraisal Tool for Cross-sectional Studies. The summary of the review is presented both qualitatively as well as through meta-analysis to give pooled prevalence. We prospectively registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024499598).

Results

We identified 423 studies out of which seven were included in this review. All studies were conducted in a community setting except one which was hospital based. The prevalence reported across various studies ranged from 13.96% to 70.1%. The pooled prevalence of multimorbidity was observed to be 25.05% (95% CI: 16.99 to 34.09). The number of conditions used to assess multimorbidity ranged from four to nine. The major risk factors identified were increasing age, urban residence, and lower literacy rates.

Conclusion

A wide variance in the prevalence of multimorbidity was observed. Moreover, multimorbidity assessment tool/conditions considered for assessing multimorbidity were heterogeneous.

Exploring multimorbidity clusters in relation to healthcare use and its impact on self-rated health among older people in India

The conventional definition of multimorbidity may not address the complex treatment needs resulting from interactions between multiple conditions, impacting self-rated health (SRH). In India, there is limited research on healthcare use and SRH considering diverse disease combinations in individuals with multimorbidity. This study aims to identify multimorbidity clusters related to healthcare use and determine if it improves the self-rated health of individuals in different clusters. This study extracted information from cross-sectional data of the first wave of the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI), conducted in 2017-18. The study participants were 31,373 people aged ≥ 60 years. A total of nineteen chronic diseases were incorporated to identify the multimorbidity clusters using latent class analysis (LCA) in the study. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between identified clusters and healthcare use. A propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was utilised to further examine the health benefit (i.e., SRH) of using healthcare in each identified cluster. LCA analysis identified five different multimorbidity clusters: relatively healthy' (68.72%), 'metabolic disorder (16.26%), 'hypertension-gastrointestinal-musculoskeletal' (9.02%), 'hypertension-gastrointestinal' (4.07%), 'complex multimorbidity' (1.92%). Older people belonging to the complex multimorbidity [aOR:7.03, 95% CI: 3.54-13.96] and hypertension-gastrointestinal-musculoskeletal [aOR:3.27, 95% CI: 2.74-3.91] clusters were more likely to use healthcare. Using the nearest neighbor matching method, results from PSM analysis demonstrated that healthcare use was significantly associated with a decline in SRH across all multimorbidity clusters. Findings from this study highlight the importance of understanding multimorbidity clusters and their implications for healthcare utilization and patient well-being. Our findings support the creation of clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) focusing on a patient-centric approach to optimize multimorbidity management in older people. Additionally, finding suggest the urgency of inclusion of counseling and therapies for addressing well-being when treating patients with multimorbidity.

Prevalence and correlates of multimorbidity among patients attending AYUSH primary care settings in Delhi-National Capital Region, India

INTRODUCTION

India has a multifaceted healthcare system and recognizes complementary and alternative systems of medicine (AYUSH) that cater to the healthcare needs of people. Multimorbidity requires frequent visits to physicians and long-term use of medications, due to which people tend to prefer AYUSH systems as they provide holistic patient-centered treatment. Hence, we aimed to estimate the prevalence of multimorbidity and assess its correlates among patients attending AYUSH primary care clinics in Delhi.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted among 943 patients aged ≥ 18 years attending various AYUSH primary care clinics in Delhi from September 2021 to February 2022, employing a stratified random sampling technique. Descriptive statistics such as frequency and proportion were used to report the prevalence of multimorbidity (two or more chronic conditions in an individual out of the 33 conditions listed as per the Multimorbidity Assessment Questionnaire for Primary Care). A multivariable logistic regression assessed the association between various socio-demographic characteristics and multimorbidity, presented as an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

The prevalence of diabetes (14.7%) was found to be the highest (out of all included chronic conditions) among the patients attending various AYUSH primary care settings. The overall prevalence of multimorbidity was observed to be around 39.4%. We observed a higher likelihood of having multimorbidity among participants aged ≥ 70 years [AOR: 9.19 (95% CI: 3.75-22.54)], females [AOR: 1.57 (95% CI: 1.04-2.37)], and middle class [AOR: 2.23 (95% CI: 1.45-3.43)].

CONCLUSION

Multimorbidity was evidently prevalent across AYUSH primary care settings, which cannot be overlooked. The results suggest behavioral change communication may be aimed at older individuals, females, and the middle class.

Childhood health and educational disadvantage are associated with adult multimorbidity in the global south: findings from a cross-sectional analysis of nationally representative surveys in India and Brazil

INTRODUCTION

Multimorbidity has emerged as a major healthcare challenge in low/middle-income countries (LMICs) such as India and Brazil. Life course epidemiology suggests that adverse events in early life contribute to an individual's later health in adulthood. However, little is known about the influence of early life health and social factors on the development of multimorbidity in adulthood in LMICs. We aimed to explore the association of adult multimorbidity with childhood health and social disadvantages among two LMICs, India and Brazil.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary data analysis of older adults aged ≥50 years using nationally representative surveys from Longitudinal Ageing Study in India, 2017-2018 (n=51 481) and 'Estudo Longitudinal da Saude e Bem-Estar dos Idosos Brasileirous', 2015-2016 (n=8730). We estimated the prevalence of multimorbidity along with 95% CI as a measure of uncertainty for all weighted proportions. Log link in generalised linear model was used to assess the association between childhood health and disadvantages with multimorbidity, reported as adjusted prevalence ratio (APR).

RESULTS

The prevalence of multimorbidity was 25.53% and 55.24% in India and Brazil, respectively. Participants who perceived their childhood health as poor and missed school for a month or more due to illness had the highest level of multimorbidity across both countries. After adjusting for age and gender, a significant association between adult multimorbidity and poor self-rated childhood health (APR: (India: 1.38, 1.16 to 1.65) and (Brazil: 1.19, 1.09 to 1.30)); and missed school for a month due to illness (AOR: (India: 1.73, 1.49 to 2.01) and (Brazil: 1.16, 1.08 to 1.25)) was observed.

CONCLUSION

Early life health, educational and economic disadvantages are associated with adult multimorbidity and appear to contribute to the later course of life. A life course approach to the prevention of multimorbidity in adulthood in LMICs may be useful in health programmes and policies.

Non-communicable disease multimorbidity among tribal older adults in India: evidence from Study on Global AGEing and adult health, 2015

Introduction

Multimorbidity defined as the simultaneous presence of two or more chronic conditions in an individual is on the rise in low- and middle-income countries such as India. With India aiming to achieve universal health coverage, it is imperative to address the inequalities in accessing healthcare, especially among vulnerable groups such as tribal. Moreover, changing lifestyle has led to the emergence of multimorbidity among tribals in India. We aimed to estimate the prevalence and assess the correlates of multimorbidity among tribal older adults in India.

Methods

We employed nationally representative data from the World Health Organization's Study on Global AGEing and Adult Health conducted in 2015. We included 522 participants aged ≥50 years who reported their caste to be 'Scheduled Tribe' in the survey. A multivariable regression model assessed the association between multimorbidity and various attributes.

Results

Arthritis, cataract, and hypertension were the most common chronic conditions. The overall prevalence of multimorbidity was ~22.61%. We observed a higher likelihood of having multimorbidity among respondents aged ≥80 years [AOR: 4.08 (1.17-14.18)] than the younger age groups, and among the most affluent group [AOR: 2.64 (1.06-6.56)] than the most deprived class.

Conclusion

The prevalence of multimorbidity among tribal older adults is emerging which cannot be overlooked. Health and wellness centers may be a window of opportunity to provide egalitarian and quality preventive and curative services to achieve universal health coverage. Future studies should explore the outcomes of multimorbidity in terms of healthcare utilization, expenditure, and quality of life in this group.

Identification of status quo and association rules for chronic comorbidity among Chinese middle-aged and older adults rural residents

Background

Chronic comorbidity has become a major challenge in chronic disease prevention and control. This issue is particularly pronounced in rural areas of developing countries, where the prevalence of chronic disease comorbidity is high, especially among middle-aged and older adults populations. However, the health status of middle-aged and older adults individuals in rural areas of China has received inadequate attention. Therefore, it is crucial to investigate the correlation among chronic diseases to establish a reference basis for adjusting health policies aimed at promoting the prevention and management of chronic diseases among middle-aged and older adults individuals.

Methods

This study selected 2,262 middle-aged and older adults residents aged 50 years or older in Shangang Village, Jiangsu Province, China, as the study population. To analyze the chronic comorbidity of middle-aged and older adults residents with different characteristics, we used the χ² test with SPSS statistical software. Data analysis was conducted using the Apriori algorithm of Python software, set to mine the strong association rules of positive correlation between chronic disease comorbidities of middle-aged and older adults residents.

Results

The prevalence of chronic comorbidity was 56.6%. The chronic disease comorbidity group with the highest prevalence rate was the lumbar osteopenia + hypertension group. There were significant differences in the prevalence of chronic disease comorbidity among middle-aged and older adults residents in terms of gender, BMI, and chronic disease management. The Apriori algorithm was used to screen 15 association rules for the whole population, 11 for genders, and 15 for age groups. According to the order of support, the most common association rules of comorbidity of three chronic diseases were: {lumbar osteopenia} → {hypertension} (support: 29.22%, confidence: 58.44%), {dyslipidemia} → {hypertension} (support: 19.14%, confidence: 65.91%) and {fatty liver} → {hypertension} (support: 17.82%, confidence: 64.17%).

Conclusion

The prevalence of chronic comorbidity among middle-aged and older adults rural residents in China is relatively high. We identified many association rules among chronic diseases, dyslipidemia is mostly the antecedent, and hypertension is primarily the result. In particular, the majority of comorbidity aggregation patterns consisted of hypertension and dyslipidemia. By implementing scientifically-proven prevention and control strategies, the development of healthy aging can be promoted.

Gender and Socioeconomic Differences in the Prevalence and Patterns of Multimorbidity among Middle-Aged and Older Adults in China

BACKGROUND

Multimorbidity has become a global public health concern. Knowledge about the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity will provide essential information for public intervention and clinical management. This study aimed to examine gender and socioeconomic differences in the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity among a nationally representative sample of middle-aged and older Chinese individuals.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the 2018 wave of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Latent class analysis was conducted to discriminate among the multimorbidity patterns. Multinomial logit analysis was performed to explore gender and socioeconomic factors associated with various multimorbidity patterns.

RESULTS

A total of 19,559 respondents over 45 years old were included in the study. The findings showed that 56.73% of the respondents reported multimorbidity, with significantly higher proportions among women. Four patterns, namely "relatively healthy class", "respiratory class", "stomach-arthritis class" and "vascular class", were identified. The women were more likely to be in the stomach-arthritis class. Respondents with a higher SES, including higher education, urban residence, higher consumption, and medical insurance, had a higher probability of being in the vascular class. Conclusions: Significant gender and socioeconomic differences were observed in the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity. The examination of gender and socioeconomic differences for multimorbidity patterns has great implications for clinical practice and health policy. The results may provide insights to aid in the management of multimorbidity patients and improve health resource allocation.

The mediation path of physical multimorbidity on the vulnerability to health-related poverty of rural aging families in Ningxia, China: A cross-sectional survey

Background

Vulnerability to health-related poverty can predict the probability of families falling into poverty due to health risk impact. In this study, we measured the vulnerability to health-related poverty and examined the mediation path of physical multimorbidity on the vulnerability to health-related poverty of rural aging families in Ningxia, China.

Methods

This cross-sectional study was conducted in Ningxia, China, in February 2019. A multi-stage stratified cluster-randomized design was used to obtain a representative sample in each county. We included participants aged 60 years and older, who had lived there for more than 1 year. A total of 3,653 rural residents older than 60 years old were selected as the research subjects. The three-stage generalized least square method was used to calculate the expected vulnerability to poverty. We used mediating effect model to test the mediation path of poverty vulnerability related to the physical multimorbidity.

Results

Under different poverty line standards, i.e., $1.9/day as low vs. $3.1/day as the high poverty line, the proportion of families that could fall into poverty in the future was 5.3 and 53.7%, respectively. The prevalence of chronic diseases and physical multimorbidity among rural residents >60 years old was 64.62 and 21.24%, respectively. The results of mediating effect test showed that self-rated health status (indirect effect a × b = -0.0052), non-agricultural employment (a × b= -0.0046), household cattle production (a × b = 0.0004), housing type (a × b = -0.0008), gift expenses (a × b = 0.0006) and loan for illness (a × b = 0.0034) were the mediation paths of poverty vulnerability related to the physical multimorbidity.

Conclusions

Concerted efforts are needed to reduce poverty vulnerability related to the physical multimorbidity. The strategy of alleviating poverty should emphasis on promoting non-agricultural employment of vulnerable groups sustainability and developing rural economy, which are important paths to reduce family's vulnerability to health-related poverty.