The Impact of Increased Fib-4 Score in Patients with Type II Diabetes Mellitus on Covid-19 Disease Prognosis

FIB-4 Index Can Predict Mortality in Hospitalized Patients with COVID-19 Infection, Independent of CT Severity Score

BACKGROUND

The fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index is typically used in assessing liver fibrosis, and has shown potential in predicting the outcome in various diseases. This study aims to evaluate the predictive power of the FIB-4 index for mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to a reference hospital in Tehran, Iran.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 387 patients with COVID-19 without diabetes, were categorized into deceased and surviving groups. We compared anthropometric and demographic data, liver function tests, CT scores, and FIB-4 indices between the groups. Multivariate logistic regression assessed the independent association of FIB-4 with mortality.

RESULTS

Among the 387 patients, (all non-diabetics), 58 (15%) died, with a higher mortality rate observed in patients with a FIB-4 index≥2.6 (63.4%) compared to those with FIB-4<2.6 (29.7%). Deceased patients were considerably older and more likely to be hypertensive (P values<0.001). After adjustment of confounding factors, a FIB-4 index≥2.6 was found to be independently associated with increased mortality (OR: 13.511, 95% CI: 1.356-134.580, P=0.026).

CONCLUSION

The FIB-4 index, calculable by routine laboratory tests, may be a valuable prognostic factor for COVID-19 mortality. This easily obtainable marker could help identify high-risk patients early, potentially allowing for more rapid intervention and treatment prioritization.

Comparison of liver fibrosis scores and fatty liver on computed tomography as risk factors for severity of COVID-19

Background and Aim

Increased liver fibrosis scores (LFS), such as fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) or non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and fatty liver are known risk factors for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The purpose of this study was to identify the best scores, which predict the prognosis of COVID-19.

Methods

Participants comprised consecutive Japanese COVID-19 patients admitted to our hospital between February 14, 2020, and April 14, 2021. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relationships between LFS (FIB-4, NFS, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [APRI], BARD score, and hepatic steatosis index [HSI]) or fatty liver on computed tomography (CT), and severity of COVID-19.

Results

Of the 415 patients (mean age, 59 years), 177 patients (42.7%) needed oxygen therapy, 90 patients (21.7%) worsened to severe COVID-19, and 45 patients (10.8%) died during admission. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that increased FIB-4 and NFS were risk factors for death, severe COVID-19, and oxygen demand; that increased BARD was a risk factor for severe COVID-19 and oxygen demand; and that increased APRI and HSI were not risk factors for any status of COVID-19. Furthermore, increased NFS or BARD and fatty liver were independent risk factors for severe COVID-19 and oxygen demand.

Conclusions

This study showed that FIB-4 and NFS were the best liver fibrosis scores that predicted worse prognosis for COVID-19, and that increased NFS or BARD and fatty liver evident on CT represented independent risk factors for severe COVID-19 and oxygen demand.

Risk phenotypes of diabetes and association with COVID-19 severity and death: an update of a living systematic review and meta-analysis

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

To provide a systematic overview of the current body of evidence on high-risk phenotypes of diabetes associated with COVID-19 severity and death.

METHODS

This is the first update of our recently published living systematic review and meta-analysis. Observational studies investigating phenotypes in individuals with diabetes and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection with regard to COVID-19-related death and severity were included. The literature search was conducted from inception up to 14 February 2022 in PubMed, Epistemonikos, Web of Science and the COVID-19 Research Database and updated using PubMed alert to 1 December 2022. A random-effects meta-analysis was used to calculate summary relative risks (SRRs) with 95% CIs. The risk of bias was evaluated using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool and the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach.

RESULTS

A total of 169 articles (147 new studies) based on approximately 900,000 individuals were included. We conducted 177 meta-analyses (83 on COVID-19-related death and 94 on COVID-19 severity). Certainty of evidence was strengthened for associations between male sex, older age, blood glucose level at admission, chronic insulin use, chronic metformin use (inversely) and pre-existing comorbidities (CVD, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) and COVID-19-related death. New evidence with moderate to high certainty emerged for the association between obesity (SRR [95% CI] 1.18 [1.04, 1.34], n=21 studies), HbA1c (53-75 mmol/mol [7-9%]: 1.18 [1.06, 1.32], n=8), chronic glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist use (0.83 [0.71, 0.97], n=9), pre-existing heart failure (1.33 [1.21, 1.47], n=14), pre-existing liver disease (1.40 [1.17, 1.67], n=6), the Charlson index (per 1 unit increase: 1.33 [1.13, 1.57], n=2), high levels of C-reactive protein (per 5 mg/l increase: 1.07 [1.02, 1.12], n=10), aspartate aminotransferase level (per 5 U/l increase: 1.28 [1.06, 1.54], n=5), eGFR (per 10 ml/min per 1.73 m2 increase: 0.80 [0.71, 0.90], n=6), lactate dehydrogenase level (per 10 U/l increase: 1.03 [1.01, 1.04], n=7) and lymphocyte count (per 1×109/l increase: 0.59 [0.40, 0.86], n=6) and COVID-19-related death. Similar associations were observed between risk phenotypes of diabetes and severity of COVID-19, with some new evidence on existing COVID-19  vaccination status (0.32 [0.26, 0.38], n=3), pre-existing hypertension (1.23 [1.14, 1.33], n=49), neuropathy and cancer, and high IL-6 levels. A limitation of this study is that the included studies are observational in nature and residual or unmeasured confounding cannot be ruled out.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

Individuals with a more severe course of diabetes and pre-existing comorbidities had a poorer prognosis of COVID-19 than individuals with a milder course of the disease.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO registration no. CRD42020193692.

PREVIOUS VERSION

This is a living systematic review and meta-analysis. The previous version can be found at https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00125-021-05458-8 FUNDING: The German Diabetes Center (DDZ) is funded by the German Federal Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Culture and Science of the State North Rhine-Westphalia. This study was supported in part by a grant from the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research to the German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD).

Fib-4 score is able to predict intra-hospital mortality in 4 different SARS-COV2 waves

Increased values of the FIB-4 index appear to be associated with poor clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. This study aimed to develop and validate predictive mortality models, using data upon admission of hospitalized patients in four COVID-19 waves between March 2020 and January 2022. A single-center cohort study was performed on consecutive adult patients with Covid-19 admitted at the Fondazione Policlinico Gemelli IRCCS (Rome, Italy). Artificial intelligence and big data processing were used to retrieve data. Patients and clinical characteristics of patients with available FIB-4 data derived from the Gemelli Generator Real World Data (G2 RWD) were used to develop predictive mortality models during the four waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. A logistic regression model was applied to the training and test set (75%:25%). The model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A total of 4936 patients were included. Hypertension (38.4%), cancer (12.15%) and diabetes (16.3%) were the most common comorbidities. 23.9% of patients were admitted to ICU, and 12.6% had mechanical ventilation. During the study period, 762 patients (15.4%) died. We developed a multivariable logistic regression model on patient data from all waves, which showed that the FIB-4 score > 2.53 was associated with increased mortality risk (OR = 4.53, 95% CI 2.83-7.25; p ≤ 0.001). These data may be useful in the risk stratification at the admission of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.

Association of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease with COVID-19-Related Intensive Care Unit Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Objective: The association of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) with intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and the need for mechanical ventilation and disease severity in COVID-19 patients. Material and Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted on the databases: Cochrane, Embase, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and the Web of Science from January 2019 to June 2022. Studies evaluating MAFLD using laboratory methods, non-invasive imaging, or liver biopsy were included. The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (ID CRD42022313259), and PRISMA guidelines were followed. The NIH quality assessment tool was used for quality assessment. RevMan version 5.3 software was used for pooled analysis. A sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the result's stability. Results: A total of 37,974 patients from 17 studies were assessed for the association between MAFLD and ICU admission. A total of 3396 COVID-19 patients required ICU admission: 1236 (20.41%) in the MAFLD group and 2160 (6.77%) in the non-MAFLD group. The odds ratio was 1.86 for ICU admission, p = 0.007, and a (95% CI) of [1.18-2.91]. A total of 37,166 patients from 13 studies were included in the need for invasive mechanical ventilation analysis. A total of 1676 patients required mechanical ventilation: 805 in the MAFLD group (14.20% of all MAFLD patients) and 871 patients in the non-MAFLD group (2.76% of all non-MAFLD patients). The odds ratio was 2.05, p = 0.02, and a (95% CI) of [1.12-3.74]. A total of 5286 patients from 14 studies were included in the COVID-19 disease severity analysis. Severe COVID-19 was seen in 1623 patients, with 33.17% (901/2716) of MAFLD patients and 28.09% (722/2570) of non-MAFLD patients having severe disease. The odds ratio was 1.59 for disease severity, p = 0.010, and a (95% CI) of [1.12-2.26]. Conclusions: Our meta-analysis suggests that there are significantly increased odds of ICU admissions, a need for invasive mechanical ventilation, and disease severity in MAFLD patients who acquire COVID-19.

COVID-19 and Fatty Liver Disorders

In late 2019, the world was shaken by the COVID-19 pandemic. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection became one of the main causes of illness and hospitalization worldwide, especially in subjects with metabolic comorbidities such as obesity, diabetes, or liver disease. This scenario crosses with the metabolic liver disorders' "pandemic", caused by the exponential spreading of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, which is now the most prevalent cause of chronic liver disease (CLD). The aim of this review is to analyze the key factors of the relationship between COVID-19 and the spectrum of fatty liver disorders (FLD), in terms of molecular mechanisms and clinical presentation which can predict a more severe course of the infection. In addition, this review will face the change in management of FLD during pandemics, with a central role of telemedicine, and the role of other interventions in preventing and treating severe infection in these subjects.

Association of non-alcoholic fatty liver and metabolic-associated fatty liver with COVID-19 outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) are on the rise like any other liver disease, and tend to affect 25% of the United States population. The impact of NAFLD and MAFLD on patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unclear.

AIM

To identify the association of NAFLD and MAFLD with mortality, hospitalization, hospital length of stay, and supplemental oxygen utilization in COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

A systematic review of literature on Cochrane, Embase, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Web of Science databases was conducted from January 2019 to July 2022. Studies that evaluated NAFLD/MAFLD using laboratory methods, noninvasive imaging, or liver biopsy were included. The study protocol was registered in PROSPERO (ID CRD42022313259) and PRISMA guidelines were followed. The National Institutes of Health quality assessment tool was used to assess the quality of the studies. Pooled analysis was conducted using software Rev Man version 5.3. The stability of the results was assessed using sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-two studies with 43388 patients were included in the meta-analysis of whom 8538 (20%) patients were observed to have NAFLD. There were 42254 patients from 28 studies included in the mortality analysis. A total of 2008 patients died from COVID-19; 837 (10.52%) in the NAFLD group and 1171 (3.41%) in the non-NAFLD group. The odds ratio (OR) was 1.38 for mortality with a 95% confidence interval (95%CI) = 0.97-1.95 and P = 0.07. A total of 5043 patients from eight studies were included in the hospital length of stay analysis. There were 1318 patients in the NAFLD group and 3725 patients in the non-NAFLD group. A qualitative synthesis showed that the mean difference in hospital length of stay was about 2 d between the NAFLD and non-NAFLD groups with a 95%CI = 0.71-3.27 and P = 0.002. For hospitalization rates, the OR was 3.25 with a 95%CI of 1.73-6.10 and P = 0.0002. For supplemental oxygen utilization, the OR was 2.04 with a 95%CI of 1.17-3.53 and P = 0.01.

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis suggests that there are increased odds of hospitalization, longer hospital length of stay, and increased use of supplemental oxygen in NAFLD/MAFLD patients.

Interaction of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with advanced fibrosis in the death and intubation of patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019

Patients with pre-existing liver diseases are considered to have an increased risk of morbidity and mortality from any type of infection, including viruses. The aim of this work was to explore the implications of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) definitions in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and to study the interaction between advanced fibrosis (AF) and each of these diseases in the death and intubation of patients hospitalized with COVID-19. We performed a retrospective study with 359 patients hospitalized with confirmed COVID-19 infection in a tertiary referral hospital who were admitted between April and June 2020. A multivariate Cox model was performed regarding the interaction of AF with MAFLD and NAFLD in the mortality and intubation of patients with COVID-19. The death rate was statistically significantly higher in the MAFLD group compared to the control group (55% vs. 38.3%, p = 0.02). No significant difference was seen in the death rate between the NAFLD and control group. The MAFLD (44.09% vs. 20%, p = 0.001) and NAFLD (40.51% vs. 20%, p = 0.01) groups had statistically significantly higher intubation rates than the control group. A statistically significant interaction between NAFLD and AF was associated with an increase in mortality (p = 0.01), while a statistically significant interaction between MAFLD and AF was associated with an increased risk of mortality (p = 0.006) and intubation (p = 0.049). In the case of patients hospitalized with COVID-19, our results indicate that the death rate was higher in the MAFLD group but not the NAFLD group compared to that in the control group. The intubation rates were higher in the NAFLD and MAFLD groups compared to rates in the control group, suggesting that both could be associated with COVID-19 severity. In addition, we found interactions between AF with MAFLD and NAFLD.

Gut Microbiota, NAFLD and COVID-19: A Possible Interaction

COVID-19, which is caused by SARS-CoV-2, is a major public health concern around the world. The beta coronavirus family includes SARS-CoV2, which enters cells via the ACE2 receptor. Patients in Wuhan, China, who suffered from the first sickness had no symptoms concerning the digestive system. Only 2.6% developed diarrhea, and only 2% had chronic liver illness. As the situation becomes more complicated, more people are reporting gastric issues. The disorder is characterized by diarrhea, anorexia, nausea, vomiting, abdominal discomfort and gastrointestinal bleeding, with diarrhea being the most common symptom. Several theories have been proposed for the genesis of gastrointestinal issues. Virus-induced cytopathic effects via ACE2, immune-mediated inflammatory cytokine storm, gut–lung axis function and drug-related damage are among them, not only in cases of COVID-19, but also in gastrointestinal illnesses.

Liver Fibrosis Scores and Hospitalization, Mechanical Ventilation, Severity, and Death in Patients with COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis

Methods

We identified relevant cohort studies that assessed the relationship between liver fibrosis scores (e.g., FIB-4, NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI)) and associated prognosis outcomes by searching the PubMed, EMBASE, and medRxiv databases. The potential dose-response effect was performed using a stage robust error meta-regression.

Results

Sixteen studies with 8,736 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 were included. One-point score in FIB-4 increase was significantly associated with increased mechanical ventilation (RR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.37-3.65, P=0.001), severe COVID-19 (RR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.53-2.16, P < 0.001), and death (RR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.31-1.65, P < 0.001), rather than hospitalization (RR: 1.35, 95% CI: 0.72-2.56, P=0.35). Furthermore, there is a significant positive linear relationship between FIB-4 and severe COVID-19 (P _nonlinearity=0.12) and mortality (P _nonlinearity=0.18). Regarding other liver scores, one unit elevation in APRI increased the risk of death by 178% (RR: 2.78, 95% CI: 1.10-6.99, P=0.03). Higher NFS (≥-1.5) and Forns index were associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 and COVID-19-associated death.

Conclusion

Our dose-response meta-analysis suggests high liver fibrosis scores are associated with worse prognosis in patients with COVID-19. For patients with COVID-19 at admission, especially for those with coexisting chronic liver diseases, assessment of liver fibrosis scores might be useful for identifying high risk of developing severe COVID-19 cases and worse outcomes.

Liver Fibrosis Scores and Clinical Outcomes in Patients With COVID-19

Background and Aims

We investigated the association between liver fibrosis scores and clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

Methods

We performed a post-hoc analysis among patients with COVID-19 from the trial study Outcomes Related to COVID-19 treated with Hydroxychloroquine among Inpatients with symptomatic Disease (ORCHID) trial. The relationship between aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and discharge and death during the 28-days of hospitalization was investigated.

Results

During the 28 days after randomization, 237 (80.6%) patients were discharged while 31 (10.5%) died among the 294 patients with COVID-19. The prevalence for advanced fibrosis was estimated to be 34, 21.8, and 37.8% for FIB-4 (>2.67), APRI (>1), and NFS (>0.676), respectively. In multivariate analysis, FIB-4 >2.67 [28-days discharge: hazard ratio (HR): 0.62; 95% CI: 0.46-0.84; 28-days mortality: HR: 5.13; 95% CI: 2.18-12.07], APRI >1 (28-days discharge: HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.44-0.87; 28-days mortality: HR: 2.85, 95% CI: 1.35-6.03), and NFS >0.676 (28-days discharge: HR: 0.5; 95% CI: 0.35-0.69; 28-days mortality: HR: 4.17; 95% CI: 1.62-10.72) was found to significantly reduce the discharge rate and increase the risk of death. Additionally, FIB-4, APRI, and NFS were found to have good predictive ability and calibration performance for 28-day death (C-index: 0.74 for FIB-4, 0.657 for APRI, and 0.745 for NFS) and discharge (C-index: 0.649 for FIB-4, 0.605 for APRI, and 0.685 for NFS).

Conclusion

In hospitalized patients with COVID-19, FIB-4, APRI, and NFS may be good predictors for death and discharge within 28 days. The link between liver fibrosis and the natural history of COVID-19 should be further investigated.

Prevalence and Prognostic Importance of High Fibrosis-4 Index in COVID-19 Patients

INTRODUCTION

The fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) index was developed to predict advanced fibrosis in patients with liver disease. We aimed to evaluate the association of FIB-4 with risk factors for progression to critical illness in middle-aged patients hospitalized for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

METHOD

We included patients aged 35-65 years who were hospitalized following a positive RT-PCR SARS-Cov-2 test in a tertiary hospital. All data were obtained from the medical records of the patients during the first admission to the hospital. The FIB-4 index was calculated according to the equation (age (years) x AST (IU/L)/platelet count (10⁹/L)/√ALT (IU/L)). The FIB-4 index was divided into three categories according to the score categorisation: <1.3 = low risk, 1.3-2.67 = moderate risk, and >2.67 = high risk.

RESULTS

A total of 619 confirmed COVID-19 patients (mean age = 52 yrs.) were included in this study; 37 (6.0%) were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU), of which 44% were intubated and eight (1.3%) patients died during follow-up. The results of patients with high FIB-4 scores were compared with those with low FIB-4 scores. In patients with high FIB-4 scores, male gender, and advanced age, decreased neutrophil, lymphocyte, thrombocyte, and albumin counts, elevated AST, LDH, CK, ferritin, CRP, and D-dimer, and low GFR were the high-risk factors for critical illness. Additionally, the number of patients referred to ICU with high FIB-4 who died had higher scores than from those with low scores.

CONCLUSION

The FIB-4 index derived from baseline data obtained during hospitalisation can be used as a simple, inexpensive, and straightforward indicator to predict ICU requirement and/or death in middle-aged hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

Proinflammatory and Hepatic Features Related to Morbidity and Fatal Outcomes in COVID-19 Patients

OBJECTIVE

to screen putative associations between liver markers and proinflammatory-related features concerning infectious morbidity and fatal outcomes in COVID-19 patients.

METHODS

a total of 2094 COVID-19 positive patients from the COVID-DATA-SAFE-LIFES cohort (HM hospitals consortium) were classified according to median values of hepatic, inflammatory, and clinical indicators. Logistic regression models were fitted and ROC cures were generated to explain disease severity and mortality.

RESULTS

intensive care unit (ICU) assistance plus death outcomes were associated with liver dysfunction, hyperinflammation, respiratory insufficiency, and higher associated comorbidities. Four models including age, sex, neutrophils, D-dimer, oxygen saturation lower than 92%, C-reactive protein (CRP), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), FIB-4 and interactions with CRP, neutrophils, and CCI explained ICU plus death variance in more than 28%. The predictive values of ROC curves were: FIB-4 (0.7339), AST/ALT ratio (0.7107), CRP (0.7003), CCI index (0.6778), neutrophils (0.6772), and platelets (0.5618) concerning ICU plus death outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

the results of this research revealed that liver and proinflammatory features are important determinants of COVID-19 morbidity and fatal outcomes, which could improve the current understanding of the COVID-19 physiopathology as well as to facilitate the clinical management and therapy decision-making of this disease under a personalized medicine scope.