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Tham EKJ, Tan DJH, Danpanichkul P, Ng CH, Syn N, Koh B, Lim RYZ, Wijarnpreecha K, Teng MLP, Nah BKY, Sim BKL, Cheng X, Zhang Z, Mitra K, Nakamura T, Takahashi H, Loomba R, Zheng M, Muthiah M, Huang DQ. The Global Burden of Cirrhosis and Other Chronic Liver Diseases in 2021. Liver Int 2025; 45:e70001. [PMID: 39927433 PMCID: PMC11808647 DOI: 10.1111/liv.70001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2024] [Revised: 12/11/2024] [Accepted: 01/03/2025] [Indexed: 02/11/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases has changed in recent years due to shifts in the contributing aetiologies. We estimated the burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, including etiological and regional differences, across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2021. APPROACH AND RESULTS We analysed temporal trends in the burden of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases utilising data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. We estimated annual frequencies and age-standardised rates (ASRs) of incident cases, deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) by sex, country, World Health Organisation region and its contributing aetiologies. In 2021, there were an estimated 58 417 006 incident cases, 1 425 142 deaths and 46 417 777 DALYs related to cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases. From 2010 to 2021, there was a rise in age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) (APC: +0.35%) but age-standardised death rates (ASDRs) (APC: -1.74%) and age-standardised disability-adjusted life-years (ASDALYs) (APC: -1.85%) declined. Cirrhosis related to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) contributed to 48 310 981 incident cases in 2021 and was largely responsible for the overall increase in ASIRs from 2010 to 2021. Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases related to MASH were the only aetiology with a rise in ASIR (APC: +0.86%). Age-standardised deaths related to all aetiologies of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases declined during the study period. Age-standardised deaths and DALYs related to MASH increased in the Americas, unlike all other world regions where they declined or remained stable. CONCLUSIONS Age-adjusted deaths related to cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases are declining. However, the age-adjusted incidence of cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases is increasing, driven by increases in the incidence of MASH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ethan Kai Jun Tham
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Darren Jun Hao Tan
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Pojsakorn Danpanichkul
- Department of Internal MedicineTexas Tech University Health Sciences CenterLubbockTexasUSA
| | - Cheng Han Ng
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of MedicineNational University HospitalSingaporeSingapore
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of MedicineKurume University School of MedicineKurumeJapan
| | - Nicholas Syn
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Benjamin Koh
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Ryan Yan Zhe Lim
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Karn Wijarnpreecha
- Department of Internal MedicineBassett Medical CenterCooperstownNew YorkUSA
| | - Magaret Li Peng Teng
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of MedicineAlexandra HospitalSingaporeSingapore
| | - Benjamin Kai Yi Nah
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of MedicineNational University HospitalSingaporeSingapore
| | - Benedix Kuan Loo Sim
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of MedicineNational University HospitalSingaporeSingapore
| | - Xianda Cheng
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Zixuan Zhang
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Kartik Mitra
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
| | - Toru Nakamura
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of MedicineKurume University School of MedicineKurumeJapan
- Liver Cancer Research DivisionKurume University Research Center for Innovative, Cancer TherapyKurumeJapan
| | - Hirokazu Takahashi
- Division of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Faculty of MedicineSaga UniversitySagaJapan
| | - Rohit Loomba
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine and Division of Epidemiology, Department of Family and Preventive MedicineUniversity of CaliforniaSan DiegoCaliforniaUSA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, MASLD Research CenterUniversity of California at San DiegoLa JollaCaliforniaUSA
| | - Ming‐Hua Zheng
- Department of Hepatology, MAFLD Research CenterThe First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical UniversityWenzhouChina
- Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment for the Development of Chronic Liver Disease in Zhejiang ProvinceZhejiangWenzhouChina
| | - Mark Muthiah
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of MedicineNational University HospitalSingaporeSingapore
- National University Centre for Organ TransplantationNational University Health SystemSingaporeSingapore
| | - Daniel Q. Huang
- Yong Loo Lin School of MedicineNational University of SingaporeSingaporeSingapore
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of MedicineNational University HospitalSingaporeSingapore
- National University Centre for Organ TransplantationNational University Health SystemSingaporeSingapore
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Cai G, Szalai EÁ, Martinekova P, Li X, Qian X, Veres DS, Péterfi Z, Biswakarma J, Nagy R, Mikó A, Ábrahám S, Erőss B, Hegyi P, Szentesi A. Concomitant virus infection increases mortality and worsens outcome of acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Pancreatology 2025; 25:20-28. [PMID: 39690099 DOI: 10.1016/j.pan.2024.12.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2024] [Revised: 11/22/2024] [Accepted: 12/05/2024] [Indexed: 12/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a major health threat, with a high mortality rate in severe forms. Though alcohol and bile-induced factors are the most common causes, increasing evidence suggests that viral infections such as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) may also trigger AP development. Our study aims to explore this association in greater detail. METHODS After the PROSPERO registration, we systematically searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, China Science and Technology Journal Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform in February 2023. We included studies with the following PECO framework: Population: AP patients, Exposure/Comparison: with/without virus infection, Outcome: mortality, severity, and complications of AP. Pooled odds ratios (OR) were calculated with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS Altogether, 29 cohorts with 2,295,172 patients were identified for the meta-analysis and 858 cases for the qualitative synthesis. Patients with concurrent SARS-CoV-2 infection and AP exhibited heightened odds of in-hospital mortality (OR: 3.15, CI: 2.08-4.76), and necrosis (OR: 1.83, CI: 1.13-2.97). Mild AP was less prevalent in the SARS-CoV-2 group (OR: 0.37, CI: 0.14-0.97) compared to moderately severe and severe AP together. Contrarily, no evidence was found that concomitant HIV infection elevated in-hospital mortality (OR: 1.12, CI: 0.92-1.37) or sepsis occurrence (OR:1.21, CI: 0.41-3.59). CONCLUSION Patients co-diagnosed with AP and SARS-CoV-2 infection require heightened attention due to an increased risk of mortality and complications. No evidence was found that HIV infection elevated the risk of a more severe outcome.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gefu Cai
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Eszter Ágnes Szalai
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Department of Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | | | - Ximeng Li
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Xinyi Qian
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Department of Prosthodontics, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Dániel Sándor Veres
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Department of Biophysics and Radiation Biology, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Zoltán Péterfi
- Department of Infectology, First Department of Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
| | | | - Rita Nagy
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary; Heim Pál National Pediatric Institute, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Alexandra Mikó
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary; Department of Medical Genetics, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary
| | - Szabolcs Ábrahám
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Department of Surgery, Albert Szent-Györgyi Medical School, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary
| | - Bálint Erőss
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary; Institute of Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary
| | - Péter Hegyi
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary; Institute of Pancreatic Diseases, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Translational Pancreatology Research Group, Interdisciplinary Centre of Excellence for Research Development and Innovation, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary
| | - Andrea Szentesi
- Centre for Translational Medicine, Semmelweis University, Budapest, Hungary; Institute for Translational Medicine, Medical School, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary.
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3
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Genowska A, Zarębska-Michaluk D, Parczewski M, Strukcinskiene B, Rzymski P, Flisiak R. Impact of the COVID-19 and War Migration on HIV/AIDS Epidemiology in Poland. J Clin Med 2024; 13:4106. [PMID: 39064146 PMCID: PMC11278201 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13144106] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2024] [Revised: 07/08/2024] [Accepted: 07/11/2024] [Indexed: 07/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Objectives: This study analyzed trends in HIV/AIDS in Poland over the time period of 2009-2021 and the potential impact of COVID-19 and the migration of war refugees from Ukraine. Methods: Long-term trends were assessed by joinpoint regression using data from Polish HIV/AIDS registries. The HIV/AIDS burden was also compared before and during the pandemic and refugee migration. Results: In 2009-2021, the upward tendency in the rate of new HIV infections until 2017 and decrease after 2017 was accompanied by a downward trend in new HIV/AIDS diagnoses and mortality. From the pandemic's beginning until March 2022, rates of new HIV/AIDS diagnoses dramatically decreased to later increase to pre-pandemic levels, which partially coincided with the wave of migration of refugees from Ukraine. Conclusions: Long-term analysis of HIV/AIDS in Poland showed a downward trend in new HIV/AIDS diagnoses and related mortality in 2009-2021. While the pandemic has reduced the number of detected HIV/AIDS cases, a subsequent increase in new HIV diagnoses in 2022 may be related to lifting the COVID-19 restrictions and war refugees' migration. These observations have implications for the WHO European Region, seeking to end AIDS as a public health problem by 2030.
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Affiliation(s)
- Agnieszka Genowska
- Department of Public Health, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-295 Bialystok, Poland
| | - Dorota Zarębska-Michaluk
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Allergology, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-317 Kielce, Poland;
| | - Miłosz Parczewski
- Department of Infectious, Tropical Diseases and Immune Deficiency, Pomeranian Medical University in Szczecin, 71-455 Szczecin, Poland;
| | | | - Piotr Rzymski
- Department of Environmental Medicine, Poznań University of Medical Sciences, 60-806 Poznań, Poland;
| | - Robert Flisiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-540 Bialystok, Poland;
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Rzymski P, Zarębska-Michaluk D, Genowska A, Tyszko P, Strukcinskiene B, Flisiak R. Trends of Hepatitis A Virus Infection in Poland: Assessing the Potential Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and War in Ukraine. Viruses 2024; 16:469. [PMID: 38543833 PMCID: PMC10975752 DOI: 10.3390/v16030469] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Revised: 03/12/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 05/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis A virus (HAV) is the most common cause of acute viral hepatitis, which is preventable by vaccination. This study analyzed trends of HAV infections in Poland according to socio-demographic features in the years 2009-2022 and assessed the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2023) and the migration of war refugees from Ukraine (since February 2022). In 2009-2022, 7115 new cases of HAV infection were diagnosed in Poland, especially among men (66.4%) and in urban areas (77.4%). Infections among men were most common at the age of 25-34 (median rate 0.43 per 105) and in women aged 15-24 (median rate 0.39 per 105). Analysis of the 14-year frequency of HAV infections exhibited three trends, regardless of gender, age, and residence. The infections revealed a downward trend in 2009-2014, increased significantly in 2014-2018, and decreased again after 2018. A particularly rapid increase in HAV infections occurred between March 2017 and February 2018 (median rate 0.79 per 105). The high level of new infections persisted until the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, at which point it dropped significantly but did not reach the level recorded before March 2017. During the Omicron SARS-CoV-2 dominance period, the median rate of HAV infections was 0.053 per 105, with a four-fold increase being observed from February 2022 (when the migration of war refugees from Ukraine began) to August 2022. The presented results can serve as a reference point for further observations in Central Europe. The HAV epidemiological situation is unlikely to escalate in Poland but requires further monitoring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Piotr Rzymski
- Department of Environmental Medicine, Poznań University of Medical Sciences, 60-806 Poznań, Poland
| | - Dorota Zarębska-Michaluk
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Allergology, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-317 Kielce, Poland;
| | - Agnieszka Genowska
- Department of Public Health, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-295 Bialystok, Poland;
| | - Piotr Tyszko
- Department of Social Medicine and Public Health, Medical University of Warsaw, 02-091 Warsaw, Poland;
- Institute of Rural Health, 20-090 Lublin, Poland
| | | | - Robert Flisiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Bialystok, 15-540 Bialystok, Poland
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5
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Păcurar D, Dinulescu A, Jugulete G, Păsărică AS, Dijmărescu I. Hepatitis B in Pediatric Population: Observational Retrospective Study in Romania. Life (Basel) 2024; 14:348. [PMID: 38541675 PMCID: PMC10970939 DOI: 10.3390/life14030348] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2024] [Revised: 02/21/2024] [Accepted: 03/05/2024] [Indexed: 09/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a frequent cause of chronic hepatitis worldwide, with an estimated 5.6 million children under 5 years being infected. In Romania, there are no available epidemiology reports on large cohorts in children. We aimed to assess the profile of pediatric chronic HBV infection in southern Romania. We conducted an observational retrospective study on 506 HBV-infected children. Based on alaninaminotransferase (ALT), HBV serology and viremia, we identified four states of the disease. We correlated age, gender, household HBV infection, coinfection with other viruses and laboratory parameters. Most patients were in a positive HBV envelope antigen (HBeAg) immune-active state (65.4%). Age at diagnosis was significantly lower for those with household infection (p < 0.05). ALT values were not significantly different between positive or negative HBeAg patients in the immune-active state (p = 0.780). ALT values were higher in patients with hepatitis D virus (HDV)-associated infection (p < 0.001). Children with a household HBV infection had a high viraemia more frequently when compared to those with no infected relative (79.3% vs. 67.4%) (p < 0.001), but the ALT values were not significantly different (p = 0.21). Most of the patients are in an immune-active state (high ALT, high viremia). The percentages of HBV- and HDV-associated infections are high, but lower than the reported prevalence in Romania in the general population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniela Păcurar
- Department of Pediatrics, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (D.P.); (I.D.)
- Department of Pediatrics, “Grigore Alexandrescu” Emergency Children’s Hospital, 011743 Bucharest, Romania;
| | - Alexandru Dinulescu
- Department of Pediatrics, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (D.P.); (I.D.)
- Department of Pediatrics, “Grigore Alexandrescu” Emergency Children’s Hospital, 011743 Bucharest, Romania;
| | - Gheorghiță Jugulete
- Department of Infectious Diseases 3, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania;
- National Institute for Infectious Diseases “Prof. Dr. Matei Balș”, 021105 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Alexandru-Sorin Păsărică
- Department of Pediatrics, “Grigore Alexandrescu” Emergency Children’s Hospital, 011743 Bucharest, Romania;
| | - Irina Dijmărescu
- Department of Pediatrics, “Carol Davila” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 020021 Bucharest, Romania; (D.P.); (I.D.)
- Department of Pediatrics, “Grigore Alexandrescu” Emergency Children’s Hospital, 011743 Bucharest, Romania;
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Kasianchuk N, Dobrowolska K, Harkava S, Bretcan A, Zarębska-Michaluk D, Jaroszewicz J, Flisiak R, Rzymski P. Gene-Editing and RNA Interference in Treating Hepatitis B: A Review. Viruses 2023; 15:2395. [PMID: 38140636 PMCID: PMC10747710 DOI: 10.3390/v15122395] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/28/2023] [Revised: 12/04/2023] [Accepted: 12/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023] Open
Abstract
The hepatitis B virus (HBV) continues to cause substantial health and economic burdens, and its target of elimination may not be reached in 2030 without further efforts in diagnostics, non-pharmaceutical prevention measures, vaccination, and treatment. Current therapeutic options in chronic HBV, based on interferons and/or nucleos(t)ide analogs, suppress the virus replication but do not eliminate the pathogen and suffer from several constraints. This paper reviews the progress on biotechnological approaches in functional and definitive HBV treatments, including gene-editing tools, i.e., zinc-finger proteins, transcription activator-like effector nucleases, and CRISPR/Cas9, as well as therapeutics based on RNA interference. The advantages and challenges of these approaches are also discussed. Although the safety and efficacy of gene-editing tools in HBV therapies are yet to be demonstrated, they show promise for the revitalization of a much-needed advance in the field and offer viral eradication. Particular hopes are related to CRISPR/Cas9; however, therapeutics employing this system are yet to enter the clinical testing phases. In contrast, a number of candidates based on RNA interference, intending to confer a functional cure, have already been introduced to human studies. However, larger and longer trials are required to assess their efficacy and safety. Considering that prevention is always superior to treatment, it is essential to pursue global efforts in HBV vaccination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nadiia Kasianchuk
- Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań, 61-614 Poznań, Poland
| | | | - Sofiia Harkava
- Junior Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Regional Branch in Dnipro, 49000 Dnipro, Ukraine;
| | - Andreea Bretcan
- National College “Ienăchiță Văcărescu”, 130016 Târgoviște, Romania;
| | - Dorota Zarębska-Michaluk
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Allergology, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-317 Kielce, Poland;
| | - Jerzy Jaroszewicz
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Silesia in Katowice, 41-902 Bytom, Poland;
| | - Robert Flisiak
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, Medical University of Białystok, 15-540 Białystok, Poland;
| | - Piotr Rzymski
- Department of Environmental Medicine, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, 60-806 Poznań, Poland
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