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Bumrungthai S, Ekalaksananan T, Kleebkaow P, Pongsawatkul K, Phatnithikul P, Jaikan J, Raumsuk P, Duangjit S, Chuenchai D, Pientong C. Mathematical Modelling of Cervical Precancerous Lesion Grade Risk Scores: Linear Regression Analysis of Cellular Protein Biomarkers and Human Papillomavirus E6/ E7 RNA Staining Patterns. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 13:1084. [PMID: 36980391 PMCID: PMC10047622 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13061084] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/23/2022] [Revised: 03/01/2023] [Accepted: 03/09/2023] [Indexed: 03/15/2023] Open
Abstract
The current practice of determining histologic grade with a single molecular biomarker can facilitate differential diagnosis but cannot predict the risk of lesion progression. Cancer is caused by complex mechanisms, and no single biomarker can both make accurate diagnoses and predict progression risk. Modelling using multiple biomarkers can be used to derive scores for risk prediction. Mathematical models (MMs) may be capable of making predictions from biomarker data. Therefore, this study aimed to develop MM-based scores for predicting the risk of precancerous cervical lesion progression and identifying precancerous lesions in patients in northern Thailand by evaluating the expression of multiple biomarkers. The MMs (Models 1-5) were developed in the test sample set based on patient age range (five categories) and biomarker levels (cortactin, p16INK4A, and Ki-67 by immunohistochemistry [IHC], and HPV E6/E7 ribonucleic acid (RNA) by in situ hybridization [ISH]). The risk scores for the prediction of cervical lesion progression ("risk biomolecules") ranged from 2.56-2.60 in the normal and low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) cases and from 3.54-3.62 in cases where precancerous lesions were predicted to progress. In Model 4, 23/86 (26.7%) normal and LSIL cases had biomolecule levels that suggested a risk of progression, while 5/86 (5.8%) cases were identified as precancerous lesions. Additionally, histologic grading with a single molecular biomarker did not identify 23 cases with risk, preventing close patient monitoring. These results suggest that biomarker level-based risk scores are useful for predicting the risk of cervical lesion progression and identifying precancerous lesion development. This multiple biomarker-based strategy may ultimately have utility for predicting cancer progression in other contexts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sureewan Bumrungthai
- Division of Biopharmacy, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Ubon Ratchathani University, Ubon Ratchathani 34190, Thailand;
- Division of Microbiology and Parasitology, School of Medical Sciences, University of Phayao, Phayao 56000, Thailand
- HPV & EBV and Carcinogenesis Research Group, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
| | - Tipaya Ekalaksananan
- HPV & EBV and Carcinogenesis Research Group, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
| | - Pilaiwan Kleebkaow
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
| | | | | | - Jirad Jaikan
- Department of Cytopathology, Phayao Hospital, Phayao 56000, Thailand
| | - Puntanee Raumsuk
- Department of Cytopathology, Phayao Hospital, Phayao 56000, Thailand
| | - Sureewan Duangjit
- Division of Pharmaceutical Chemistry and Technology, Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Ubon Ratchathani University, Ubon Ratchathani 34190, Thailand
| | - Datchani Chuenchai
- Division of Microbiology and Parasitology, School of Medical Sciences, University of Phayao, Phayao 56000, Thailand
| | - Chamsai Pientong
- HPV & EBV and Carcinogenesis Research Group, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
- Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
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Castle PE, Adcock R, Cuzick J, Wentzensen N, Torrez-Martinez NE, Torres SM, Stoler MH, Ronnett BM, Joste NE, Darragh TM, Gravitt PE, Schiffman M, Hunt WC, Kinney WK, Wheeler CM. Relationships of p16 Immunohistochemistry and Other Biomarkers With Diagnoses of Cervical Abnormalities: Implications for LAST Terminology. Arch Pathol Lab Med 2020; 144:725-734. [PMID: 31718233 PMCID: PMC8575174 DOI: 10.5858/arpa.2019-0241-oa] [Citation(s) in RCA: 36] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
CONTEXT.— Lower Anogenital Squamous Terminology (LAST) standardization recommended p16INK4a immunohistochemistry (p16 IHC) for biopsies diagnosed morphologically as cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) grade 2 (CIN2) to classify them as low-grade or high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs). OBJECTIVE.— To describe the relationships of p16 IHC and other biomarkers associated with cervical cancer risk with biopsy diagnoses. DESIGN.— A statewide, stratified sample of cervical biopsies diagnosed by community pathologists (CPs), including 1512 CIN2, underwent a consensus, expert pathologist panel (EP) review (without p16 IHC results), p16 IHC interpretation by a third pathology group, and human papillomavirus (HPV) genotyping, results of which were grouped hierarchically according to cancer risk. Antecedent cytologic interpretations were also available. RESULTS.— Biopsies were more likely to test p16 IHC positive with increasing severity of CP diagnoses, overall (Ptrend ≤ .001) and within each HPV risk group (Ptrend ≤ .001 except for low-risk HPV [Ptrend < .010]). All abnormal grades of CP-diagnosed biopsies were more likely to test p16 IHC positive with a higher HPV risk group (Ptrend < .001), and testing p16 IHC positive was associated with higher HPV risk group than testing p16 IHC negative for each grade of CP-diagnosed biopsies (P < .001). p16 IHC-positive, CP-diagnosed CIN2 biopsies were less likely than CP-diagnosed CIN3 biopsies to test HPV16 positive, have an antecedent HSIL+ cytology, or to be diagnosed as CIN3+ by the EP (P < .001 for all). p16 IHC-positive, CP-diagnosed CIN1 biopsies had lower HPV risk groups than p16 IHC-negative, CP-diagnosed CIN2 biopsies (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS.— p16 IHC-positive, CP-diagnosed CIN2 appears to be lower cancer risk than CP-diagnosed CIN3. LAST classification of "HSIL" diagnosis, which includes p16 IHC-positive CIN2, should annotate the morphologic diagnosis (CIN2 or CIN3) to inform all management decisions, which is especially important for young (<30 years) women diagnosed with CIN2 for whom surveillance rather than treatment is recommended.
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Affiliation(s)
- Philip E Castle
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Rachael Adcock
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Jack Cuzick
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Nicolas Wentzensen
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Norah E Torrez-Martinez
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Salina M Torres
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Mark H Stoler
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Brigitte M Ronnett
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Nancy E Joste
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Teresa M Darragh
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Patti E Gravitt
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Mark Schiffman
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - William C Hunt
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Walter K Kinney
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
| | - Cosette M Wheeler
- From Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York (Dr Castle); Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, United Kingdom (Ms Adcock and Dr Cuzick); Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, Maryland (Drs Wentzensen and Schiffman); the Department of Pathology, University of New Mexico Cancer Center, Albuquerque (Ms Torrez-Martinez, Dr Torres, Dr Joste, Dr Gravitt, Mr Hunt, and Dr Wheeler); the Department of Pathology, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville (Dr Stoler); the Department of Pathology, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland (Dr Ronnett); the Department of Pathology, University of California, San Francisco (Dr Darragh); and Sacramento, California (Dr Kinney)
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