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Tang WZ, Mo ST, Xie YX, Wei TF, Chen GL, Teng YJ, Jia K. Predicting Overall Survival in Patients with Male Breast Cancer: Nomogram Development and External Validation Study. JMIR Cancer 2025; 11:e54625. [PMID: 40036657 PMCID: PMC11896567 DOI: 10.2196/54625] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/16/2023] [Revised: 12/12/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 03/06/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Male breast cancer (MBC) is an uncommon disease. Few studies have discussed the prognosis of MBC due to its rarity. Objective This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the overall survival of patients with MBC and externally validate it using cases from China. Methods Based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, male patients who were diagnosed with breast cancer between January 2010, and December 2015, were enrolled. These patients were randomly assigned to either a training set (n=1610) or a validation set (n=713) in a 7:3 ratio. Additionally, 22 MBC cases diagnosed at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University between January 2013 and June 2021 were used for external validation, with the follow-up endpoint being June 10, 2023. Cox regression analysis was performed to identify significant risk variables and construct a nomogram to predict the overall survival of patients with MBC. Information collected from the test set was applied to validate the model. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and a Kaplan-Meier survival curve were used to evaluate the accuracy and reliability of the model. Results A total of 2301 patients with MBC in the SEER database and 22 patients with MBC from the study hospital were included. The predictive model included 7 variables: age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.89, 95% CI 1.50-2.38), surgery (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.29-0.51), marital status (HR 0.75, 95% CI 0.63-0.89), tumor stage (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.05-1.29), clinical stage (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.15-1.74), chemotherapy (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.50-0.75), and HER2 status (HR 2.68, 95% CI 1.20-5.98). The C-index was 0.72, 0.747, and 0.981 in the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set, respectively. The nomogram showed accurate calibration, and the ROC curve confirmed the advantage of the model in clinical validity. The DCA analysis indicated that the model had good clinical applicability. Furthermore, the nomogram classification allowed for more accurate differentiation of risk subgroups, and patients with low-risk MBC demonstrated substantially improved survival outcomes compared with medium- and high-risk patients (P<.001). Conclusions A survival prognosis prediction nomogram with 7 variables for patients with MBC was constructed in this study. The model can predict the survival outcome of these patients and provide a scientific basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wen-Zhen Tang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Shu-Tian Mo
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Yuan-Xi Xie
- Department of Central Sterile Supply, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Tian-Fu Wei
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, No 6 Shuangyong Road, Nanning, 530021, China, +86 0771-12580-6
| | - Guo-Lian Chen
- Department of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Yan-Juan Teng
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, China
| | - Kui Jia
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, No 6 Shuangyong Road, Nanning, 530021, China, +86 0771-12580-6
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Lyu B, Zhao S, Wang H, Gong S, Wang B. HER2 expression and pathway status in male breast cancer patients: results of an integrated analysis among 6,150 patients. Sci Rep 2025; 15:3354. [PMID: 39870698 PMCID: PMC11772752 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-86556-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/07/2024] [Accepted: 01/13/2025] [Indexed: 01/29/2025] Open
Abstract
The role of human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2) in male breast cancer (MBC) is poorly defined. A comprehensive description of HER2 status was conducted. A total of 6,015 MBC patients from 45 studies and 135 MBC patients with sequencing data were identified. HER2 positive rates and hazard ratios (HR) for overall survival (OS) were combined using Metaprop. The prevalence of HER2 + MBC was 10.0% (95% CI: 8.0-13.0%). Subgroup analyses showed that 7% (95% CI: 2.0-14.0%) had HER2 + protein overexpression. 10% of MBC patients had HER2 + overexpression and/or gene amplification. Asian MBC patients had the highest HER2 + incidence of 17% (95% CI: 12.0-22.0%). The prevalence of HER2 positive MBC fluctuated widely from 2001 to 2015 and then stabilized at 10%. HER2 positivity was significantly correlated with worse OS than negative ones (HR = 1.92, 1.47-2.51). The proportion of HER2 + MBC was inconsistent with the results for the intrinsic HER2-enriched subtype. Altered genes in HER2 + MBC, such as ERBB2, AGO2, RECQL4, and CLTC, were not detected in HER2-MBC. Genomic analysis revealed differences between the patients with HER2 + MBC and those with HER2 + FBC. The percentage of HER2 + MBC was slightly lower than that of women. Multiple approaches may be needed to jointly assess HER2 status in MBC.
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Affiliation(s)
- Boqiang Lyu
- Department of Neurosurgery, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710014, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Shidi Zhao
- Department of Medical Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China
| | - Hui Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710014, Shaanxi Province, China
| | - Shouping Gong
- Department of Neurosurgery, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710014, Shaanxi Province, China
- Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China
| | - Biyuan Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710014, Shaanxi Province, China.
- The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an, 710014, Shaanxi Province, China.
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Pizzato M, Carioli G, Bertuccio P, Malvezzi M, Levi F, Boffetta P, Negri E, La Vecchia C. Trends in male breast cancer mortality: a global overview. Eur J Cancer Prev 2021; 30:472-479. [PMID: 33470692 DOI: 10.1097/cej.0000000000000651] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Recent trends in male breast cancer have been inadequately studied. We updated mortality trends in selected countries and regions worldwide using most recent available data and we predicted figures for 2020. METHODS We extracted official death certification data for male breast cancer and population estimates from the WHO and the Pan American Health Organization databases, from 2000 to 2017. We computed age-standardized (world population) death rates for selected countries and regions worldwide. We used joinpoint regression analysis to identify significant changes in trends and to predict death numbers and rates for 2020. RESULTS In 2015-2017, Central-Eastern Europe had a rate of 2.85/1 000 000, and Russia of 2.22, ranking among the highest. North-Western and Southern Europe, the European Union as a whole and the USA showed rates ranging between 1.5 and 2.0. Lower rates were observed in most Latin American countries, with values below 1.35/1 000 000, in Australia, 1.22, and Japan, 0.58. Between 2000-2004 and 2015-2017, age-adjusted death rates decreased between 10 and 40% in North-Western Europe, Russia, and the USA, and between 1.5 and 25% in the other areas under study, except Latin America (+0.8%). Except for Central-Eastern Europe, predicted rates for 2020 were favourable. CONCLUSION Advancements in management are likely the main drivers of the favourable trends in male breast cancer death rates over the last decades. Delayed diagnosis and limited access to effective care explain the higher mortality in some areas.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Greta Carioli
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health
| | - Paola Bertuccio
- Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences L. Sacco, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Fabio Levi
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Services Research, Centre for Primary Care and Public Health (Unisanté), University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Paolo Boffetta
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy
- Stony Brook Cancer Center, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA
| | - Eva Negri
- Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences L. Sacco, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy
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Wang J, Sun Y, Qu J, Zuo H, Zhao X, Liu L, Feng J, Wang J, Zhang G. Survival analysis for male ductal and lobular breast cancer patients with different stages. Future Oncol 2018; 15:167-180. [PMID: 30088776 DOI: 10.2217/fon-2018-0455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM We aimed to investigate risk factors and current treatment effects in male breast cancer patients. METHODS Kaplan-Meier plot, log-rank test, COX model, nomograms and propensity score matching were used. RESULTS Among stage I-III patients, surgery was associated with better prognosis. In subgroup analysis, performing surgery and no radiation or chemotherapy led to worse prognosis in research group. Among stage IV patients, chemotherapy correlated with better prognosis and radiation led to better breast cancer-specific survival. In addition, brain and liver metastasis correlated with worse prognosis; and lung correlated with worse breast cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSION For stage I-III patients, surgery and chemotherapy were recommended. And not applying radiation or chemotherapy could be carefully considered for ER(+) HER-2(-) patients. For stage IV patients, chemotherapy and radiation were commended.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jizhao Wang
- The Second Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Yuchen Sun
- The Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Jingkun Qu
- The Second Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Huang Zuo
- The Department of Operations Management, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Xixi Zhao
- The Department of Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an JiaoTong University, 157 West Fifth Street, Xi'an Shaanxi, 710004, PR China
| | - Lin Liu
- The Second Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Jinteng Feng
- The Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Jiansheng Wang
- The Second Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
| | - Guangjian Zhang
- The Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University, 277 West Yanta Road, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China
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Prognostic factors in male breast cancer: a population-based study. Breast Cancer Res Treat 2016; 156:539-548. [PMID: 27039306 DOI: 10.1007/s10549-016-3768-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 37] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2016] [Accepted: 03/25/2016] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
Abstract
Prognostic factors in male breast cancer (MaBC) are controversial. The objective of this study was to analyze patient characteristics and prognostic factors in MaBC over the last decade. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, we extracted MaBC patients diagnosed between 2003 and 2012. Patient characteristics were compared between tumor grades. We conducted univariate and multivariate analyses to determine the effects of each prognostic variable on overall survival (OS). The study included 2992 patients. The majority had ductal (85 %), ER-positive (95.1 %), and PR-positive (86 %) breast cancer; however, only 12.4 % had grade I tumors. Stage I and II disease represented 73 % of cases. There was a significant association between grade III/IV tumors with ductal histology, ER and PR negativity, advanced stage, receipt of mastectomy and radiotherapy, and breast cancer death (all P < 0.05). ER-positive patients had better OS (hazard ratio 0.69, P = 0.03); however, after 7.5 years, OS rates by ER status were similar. In multivariate analysis, older age, grade III/IV tumors, stage IV disease, no surgery, no radiotherapy, ER-negative tumors, and unmarried patients had significantly shorter OS (all P < 0.05). Over the past decade, MaBC has been diagnosed most frequently with early stages of disease and high rates of ER positivity; however, grade I is uncommon. ER positivity is associated with better prognosis, mainly during the first 5 years after diagnosis. Age at diagnosis, tumor grade, stage, surgery, radiotherapy, ER, and marital status have clear impact on OS in MaBC.
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Jamy O, Rafiq A, Laghari A, Chawla T. Male breast cancer: a 24 year experience of a tertiary care hospital in Pakistan. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2015; 16:1559-63. [PMID: 25743831 DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2015.16.4.1559] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Male breast cancer accounts for less than 1% of all cancers found in men. It usually presents at a later age and stage as compared to female breast cancer. Treatment strategies are extrapolated from the management of female breast cancer. Our study here looked at 18 patients diagnosed with and treated for male breast cancer at The Aga Khan University Hospital in Pakistan. We compared our findings with the existing data from Asian and Western countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS A retrospective study was conducted looking at patients with male breast cancer between January 1986 and December 2009. Patient and disease characteristics were analyzed and 5 year overall survival was calculated using Microsoft Excel and SPSS. RESULTS The average age at diagnosis was 52 years (38-67 years). Twelve (66.7%) patients had axillary lymphadenopathy. Stage II disease was the most common stage at presentation (9 patients, 50%). Infiltrating ductal carcinoma was seen in 16 patients (88.8%). Seven lesions were positive for both estrogen and progesterone receptors. Sixteen patients had surgery in the form of either modified radical mastectomy or radical mastectomy. Radiation was used in 7 patients in an adjuvant setting. The five year overall survival for stage I, II, III and IV disease was 100% vs 78% vs 50% vs 0%( p<0.05). Five year overall survival was 61%. None of the other prognostic factors were statistically significant. Median follow up was 15 months (3-202 months). CONCLUSIONS Male breast cancer may be on a slow rise but is still an uncommon disease. Tumor stage and lymph node status are important prognostic markers. Public awareness and screening may help in detecting the disease at an earlier stage. Prospective trials are needed to improve the management of this disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Omer Jamy
- Department of Internal Medicine, The University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, USA E-mail :
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Baghestani AR, Zayeri F, Akbari ME, Shojaee L, Khadembashi N, Shahmirzalou P. Fitting Cure Rate Model to Breast Cancer Data of Cancer Research Center. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2015; 16:7923-7. [DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2015.16.17.7923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
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Wan F, Chen X, Dong LF, Cheng YH, Long JP. A systemic analysis on pemetrexed in treating patients with breast cancer. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2015; 15:4567-70. [PMID: 24969886 DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2014.15.11.4567] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This systemic analysis was conducted to evaluate the efficacy and safety of pemetrexed based chemotherapy in treating patients with metastatic breast cancer as first or second line chemotherapy. METHODS Clinical studies evaluating the efficacy and safety of pemetrexed based regimens on response and safety for patients with breast cancer were identified using a predefined search strategy. Pooled response rate (RR) of treatment were calculated. RESULTS In first line pemetrexed based regimens, 10 clinical studies which including 513 patients with advanced breast cancer were considered eligible for inclusion. For second line pemetrexed based chemotherapy, 5 clinical studies which including 281 patients with advanced breast cancer were considered eligible. Systemic analysis suggested that, in all patients, pooled RR was 32.6% (167/513) in pemetrexed based first line regimens, and 13.9 % (39/281) in pemetrexed based second line regimens. Major adverse effects were neutropenia, leukopenia, fatigue, and anemia in pemetrexed based first line treatment; and lymphopenia, neutropenia, leukopenia, as well as anemia in second line chemotherapy. One treatment related death occurred with pemetrexed based second line treatment. CONCLUSION This systemic analysis suggests that pemetrexed based first line regimens are associated with a reasonable response rate and acceptable toxicity, however with low response rate for treating patients with metastatic breast cancer when is used in the second line.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fang Wan
- Department of Breast Surgery, Women's Hospital, School of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China E-mail :
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Serarslan A, Gursel B, Okumus NO, Meydan D, Sullu Y, Gonullu G. Male Breast Cancer: 20 Years Experience of a Tertiary Hospital from the Middle Black Sea Region of Turkey. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev 2015; 16:6673-6679. [PMID: 26434893 DOI: 10.7314/apjcp.2015.16.15.6673] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Male breast cancer is a rare neoplasm, and its treatments are based on those of female breast cancer. This study aimed to analyze 20 years of male breast cancer clinical characteristics and treatment results from the Middle Black Sea Region of Turkey. MATERIALS AND METHODS A retrospective analysis of 16 male breast cancer patients treated in our tertiary hospital between 1994 and 2014 was performed. Epidemiologic data, tumor characteristics, and treatments were recorded and compared with 466 female breast cancer ((premenopausal; n=230)+(postmenopausal n=236)) patients. The 5-year disease-free and overall survival rates were calculated. RESULTS Male breast cancer constituted 0.1% of all malignant neoplasms in both sexes, 0.2% of all malignant neoplasms in males, and 0.7% of all breast cancers. The mean patient age in this study was 59.8±9.5 (39-74) years. The mean time between first symptom and diagnosis was 32.4±5.3 (3-60) months. Histology revealed infiltrative ductal carcinoma in 81.3% of patients. The most common detected molecular subtype was luminal A, in 12 (75%) patients. Estrogen receptor rate (93.8%) in male breast cancer patients was significantly higher than that in female breast cancer (70.8% in all females, p=0.003; 68.2% in postmenopausal females, p=0.002) patients. Most of the tumors (56.3%) were grade 2. Tumor stage was T4 in 50% of males. The majority (56.3%) of the patients were stage III at diagnosis. Surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy and endocrine-therapy were applied to 62.5%, 62.5%, 81.2% and 73.3%, respectively. Loco-regional failure did not occur in any of the cases. All recurrences were metastastic. The 5-year disease-free and overall survival rates in male breast cancer patients were 58% and 68%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS Tumors found in male breast cancer patients were similar in size to tumors found in females, but they advanced to T4 stage more rapidly because of the lack of breast parenchymal tissues. The rate of estrogen receptor expression tended to be higher in male breast cancer patients than in female breast cancer patients. Metastasis is the most important problem in initially non-metastatic male breast cancer patients.
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MESH Headings
- Adult
- Aged
- Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols
- Breast Neoplasms, Male/chemistry
- Breast Neoplasms, Male/diagnosis
- Breast Neoplasms, Male/pathology
- Breast Neoplasms, Male/therapy
- Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/chemistry
- Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/diagnosis
- Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/secondary
- Carcinoma, Ductal, Breast/therapy
- Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
- Disease-Free Survival
- Female
- Humans
- Male
- Mastectomy
- Middle Aged
- Neoplasm Grading
- Neoplasm Staging
- Radiotherapy, Adjuvant
- Receptors, Estrogen/analysis
- Retrospective Studies
- Survival Rate
- Time Factors
- Tumor Burden
- Turkey
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Affiliation(s)
- Alparslan Serarslan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, Ondokuz Mayis University , Samsun, Turkey E-mail :
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