Cardiovascular Risk Factors Associated With Venous Thromboembolism

Venous thromboembolism risk is lower in patients with atopic dermatitis than other immune-mediated inflammatory diseases: A retrospective, observational, comparative cohort study using US claims data

BACKGROUND

Certain immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) may increase patients' risk for venous thromboembolisms (VTEs), yet how atopic dermatitis (AD) influences VTE risk remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

Describe VTE incidence in patients with AD compared with other IMIDs and unaffected, AD-matched controls.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational, comparative cohort study used Optum Clinformatics United States claims data (2010-2019) of adults with AD, rheumatoid arthritis (RA), Crohn's disease (CD), ulcerative colitis (UC), psoriasis (PsO), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), or ankylosing spondylitis (AS). Unaffected control patients were matched 1:1 with patients with AD.

RESULTS

Of 2,061,222 patients with IMIDs, 1,098,633 had AD. Patients with AD had a higher VTE incidence (95% CI) than did unaffected, AD-matched controls (0.73 [0.72-0.74] versus 0.59 [0.58-0.60] cases/100 person-years). When controlling for baseline VTE risk factors, however, AD was not associated with increased VTE risk (HR 0.96 [0.90-1.02]). VTE risk was lower in patients with AD versus RA, UC, CD, AS, or PsA; VTE risk was similar to patients with PsO.

LIMITATIONS

Disease activity and severity were not accounted for.

CONCLUSION

AD did not increase VTE risk when accounting for underlying risk factors. AD was associated with lower VTE risk compared with several rheumatologic and gastrointestinal IMIDs.

Long-term incidence, risk factors and complications for venous thromboembolism in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

AIM

To compare frequency, incidence rates (IR), risk factors and outcomes of a first venous thromboembolic event (VTE) between patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and controls.

METHODS

Using state-wide longitudinal hospital data from Western Australia (WA), we recorded venous thrombosis (VT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with SLE (n = 1854, median age 40, 86% female) and matched hospitalised controls (n = 12,107, median age 40 years, females 88.6%) in the period 1985-2015. Results presented are medians, frequency, IR per 1000 person years (PY) and odds, rate, or adjusted hazard ratios (OR/RR/a-HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Patients with SLE had significantly higher odds (12.8 vs 3.3%; OR 4.26, CI 3.60-5.05) and IR for a first VTE (10.09 vs 1.52; RR 6.64; CI 5.56-7.79). Over the three study decades, the IR for PE declined in patients with SLE from 7.74 to 3.75/1000 PY (p < .01) with no changes observed for VT or in controls. VTE recurred more frequently in patients with SLE (24.1% vs 10.2 %) (p < .01). Antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) (a-HR 4.24, CI 2.50-7.19), serositis (a-HR 2.70, CI 1.86-3.91), lupus nephritis (a-HR 1.75 CI 1.25-2.33) and thrombocytopenia (a-HR 1.65 (1.10-2.49) were the strongest disease risk factors for VTE only in patients with SLE, while arterial hypertension, smoking and obesity were independent VTE risk factors for both groups. VTE was not associated with an increased risk for arterial events, but PE increased the risk for pulmonary hypertension (PH) in both patients with SLE (a-HR 6.47, CI 3.73-11.23) and controls (a-HR 9.09, CI 3.50-23.63). VTE increased the risk of death in both patients with SLE (a-HR 2.02, CI 1.50-2.70) and controls (a-HR 6.63, CI 5.21-8.42) after 10 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

VTE affected 12.8% of patients with SLE at six times the VTE rate in controls with aPL as the strongest, but not the only risk factor in SLE. The risk of PH was increased in both groups following PE, but VTE did not associate with an increased risk of arterial events.

The Obesity Mortality Paradox in Patients with Pulmonary Embolism: Insights from a Tertiary Care Center

Background: While obesity is associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE), there is some data to suggest that higher BMI is also associated with decreased all-cause mortality in patients with a pulmonary embolism (PE). Methods: Using PE Response Team (PERT) activation data from a large tertiary hospital between 27 October 2020 and 28 August 2023, we constructed a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to assess the association between obesity as a dichotomous variable (defined as BMI ≥ 30 vs. BMI 18.5-29.9), BMI as a continuous variable, and 30-day PE-related mortality. Results: A total of 248 patients were included in this analysis (150 with obesity and 98 who were in the normal/overweight category). Obesity was associated with a lower risk of 30-day PE-related mortality (adjusted HR 0.29, p = 0.036, 95% CI 0.09-0.92). A higher BMI was paradoxically associated with a lower risk of PE-related mortality (HR = 0.91 per 1 kg/m2 increase, p = 0.049, 95% CI 0.83-0.999). Conclusions: In our contemporary cohort of patients with a PERT activation, obesity was associated with a lower risk of PE-related mortality.

Ultrasound elastography predicts anticoagulation in lower extremity deep vein thrombosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate predictors of anticoagulation efficacy in deep venous thrombosis (DVT) by ultrasound elastography (UE).

METHODS

The basic clinical, laboratory and ultrasound treatment data of fifty-eight patients with DVT were collected and analyzed. Then the results of ultrasound after 3-month anticoagulation treatment were compared among different groups. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors that affected anticoagulation efficacy. The predictive efficacy of each independent risk factor was accessed by drawing operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

According to the regression analysis, the elastic modulus (OR = 0.631, P = 0.001) and strain rate ratio (OR = 0.332, P = 0.006) were identified as independent risk factors for the effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy in patients with DVT. According to the ROC curves, elastic modulus and strain rate ratio could predict effective anticoagulation therapy for DVT, and the optimal threshold values were 22.10 kPa and 1.80 respectively. The corresponding AUC values were 0.879 and 0.854, with a sensitivity of 71.4% and 59.5%, a specificity of 93.7%, and a Youden index of 65.1% and 62.7%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The elastic modulus (≤22.10 kPa) or strain rate ratio (≤1.80) of the thrombus were independent predictors for the effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy.

Correlation Between Blood Cadmium Levels and Platelet Characteristics, As Well As Their Impact on Susceptibility to Coronary Heart Disease: Findings from NHANES 2005-2018 Data

Investigating the correlation between blood cadmium levels, platelet characteristics, and susceptibility to coronary heart disease (CHD). Utilized NHANES 2005-2018 data with covariates such as age, sex, race, marital status, and socio-economic status. Blood cadmium served as the independent variable, while platelet count (PC) and mean platelet volume (MPV) were dependent variables. The average age of the participants was 68.77 ± 11.03 years, and 67.4% of them were male. The mean values for WBC, MPV, PC, and blood cadmium were 7.53 ± 3.36 × 103 cells/µL, 11.33 ± 0.27fL, 57.61 ± 5.34 × 103 cells/µL, and 2.58 ± 0.61 µg/L, respectively. Adjusting for other variables revealed increased MPV and PC with rising blood cadmium levels in cardiac patients, indicating a higher risk of CHD in those with elevated blood cadmium. The average age of the participants was 68.77 ± 11.03 years, and 67.4% of them were male. The mean values for WBC, MPV, PC, and blood cadmium were 7.53 ± 3.36 × 103 cells/µL, 11.33 ± 0.27fL, 57.61 ± 5.34 × 103 cells/µL, and 2.58 ± 0.61 µg/L, respectively. Adjusting for other variables revealed increased MPV and PC with rising blood cadmium levels in cardiac patients, indicating a higher risk of CHD in those with elevated blood cadmium. This study enhances understanding of how cadmium impacts platelet characteristics, contributing to increased CHD risk, providing insights for primary prevention strategies.

A Nomogram for Predicting the Risk of Deep Vein Thrombosis in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke During the COVID-19

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is an important complication of stroke. As coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) enters the stage of persistent and long-term management, the clinical management of DVT in stroke patients may require adjustment. The present study evaluated whether there was an increased risk of DVT in stroke patients during the COVID-19 period. Furthermore, we analyzed the possible risk factors and developed an easy-to-use nomogram to predict DVT in stroke patients during the long-term management of COVID-19. A total of 7087 stroke patients during the COVID-19 period and 14,174 patients with age, sex, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores matched before the period from four centers were included. The incidence of DVT in stroke patients during the COVID-19 period (20.5%) was significantly higher than that before this period (15.9%, P < .001). Age, body mass index, smoking, D-dimer, physical activity level, NIHSS score, and intermittent pneumatic compression were significant predictors of DVT during the COVID-19 period (P < .05). A nomogram was constructed; internal and external validations showed high accuracy, and decision curve analysis showed excellent clinical applicability. This nomogram could evaluate the risk of DVT after stroke and assist in its early prevention during the long-term management of COVID-19.

Risk of Venous Thromboembolism With Tofacitinib Versus Tumor Necrosis Factor Inhibitors in Cardiovascular Risk-Enriched Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients

OBJECTIVE

The ORAL Surveillance trial found a dose-dependent increase in venous thromboembolism (VTE) and pulmonary embolism (PE) events with tofacitinib versus tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi). We aimed to assess VTE incidence over time and explore risk factors of VTE, including disease activity, in ORAL Surveillance.

METHODS

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) aged 50 years or older with at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor received tofacitinib 5 or 10 mg twice daily (BID) or TNFi. Post hoc, cumulative probabilities and incidence rates (patients with first events/100 patient-years) by 6-month intervals were estimated for adjudicated VTE, deep vein thrombosis, and PE. Cox regression models identified risk factors. Clinical Disease Activity Index leading up to the event was explored in patients with VTE.

RESULTS

Cumulative probabilities for VTE and PE were higher with tofacitinib 10 mg BID, but not 5 mg BID, versus TNFi. Incidence rates were consistent across 6-month intervals within treatments. Across treatments, risk factors for VTE included prior VTE, body mass index greater than or equal to 35 kg/m2, older age, and history of chronic lung disease. At the time of the event, most patients with VTE had active disease as defined by Clinical Disease Activity Index.

CONCLUSION

Incidences of VTE and PE were higher with tofacitinib (10 > 5 mg BID) versus TNFi and were generally consistent over time. Across treatments, VTE risk factors were aligned with previous studies in the general RA population. These data highlight the importance of assessing VTE risk factors, including age, body mass index, and VTE history, when considering initiation of tofacitinib or TNFi in patients with active RA.

Trends of Pulmonary Embolism-Related Sudden Cardiac Death in the United States, 1999-2019

OBJECTIVES

Up-to-date population-based data on pulmonary embolism (PE)-related sudden cardiac death (SCD) mortality trends in the United States (US) are scant. We assess the current trends in PE-related SCD mortality in US over the past two decades and determine differences by sex, race, ethnicity, age, and census region.

METHODS

We extracted PE-related SCD mortality rates from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database from 1999 to 2019, in patients aged ≥ 15 years old. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) were assessed using the Joinpoint regression modeling and expressed as estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) with relative 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

Between 1999 and 2019, the AAMR from acute PE-related SCD mortality in the US linearly increased [AAPC: +2.4% (95% CI: 2.2 to 2.6), p < 0.001)]. The AAMR increase was more pronounced in men [AAPC: +2.8% (95% CI: 2.6 to 2.9), p < 0.001], Whites [AAPC: +2.7% (95% CI: 2.3 to 3.1), p < 0.001], Latinx/Hispanic patients [AAPC:+2.0% (95% CI: 1.2 to 2.8), p < 0.001], subjects younger than 65 years [AAPC: +2.4% (95% CI: 2.1 to 2.6), p < 0.001] and in residents of rural areas [AAPC: +3.6% (95% CI: 3.3 to 3.9), p < 0.001]. Moreover, higher percentages of PE-related SCD and the relative absolute number of deaths were observed in the South compared with other geographical regions.

CONCLUSIONS

PE-related SCD mortality in the US has increased over the last two decades. Stratification by race, ethnicity, urbanization, and census region demonstrates ethnoracial and regional disparities that require further investigation and remedy.

Association between changed self-rated health and the risk of venous thromboembolism in Malmö Preventive Program: a cohort study

Poor self-rated health (SRH) is associated with incident arterial cardiovascular disease in both sexes. Studies on the association between SRH and incident venous thromboembolism (VTE) show divergent results in women and no association in men. This study focuses on the association between change in SRH and incident VTE in a cohort of 11,558 men and 6682 women who underwent a baseline examination and assessment of SRH between 1974 and 1992 and a re-examination in 2002-2006. To investigate if changes in SRH over time affect the risk of incident VTE in men and women. During a follow-up time from the re-examination of more than 16 years, there was a lower risk for incident VTE among women if SRH changed from poor at baseline to very good/excellent (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.28; 0.74) at the re-examination. Stable good SRH (good to very good/excellent at the re-examination, HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.42; 0.89), or change from good SRH at baseline into poor/fair at the re-examination (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.51; 0.90) were all significantly associated with a reduced risk for VTE. All comparisons were done with the group with stable poor SRH. This pattern was not found among men. Regardless of a decreased or increased SRH during life, having an SRH of very good/excellent at any time point seems to be associated with a decreased risk of VTE among women.

No Influence of Asundexian on Cardiac Repolarization

Inhibition of activated factor XI reduces thrombogenesis while maintaining physiological hemostasis, with the expectation of reduced bleeding risk compared with standard of care in the clinical setting. Asundexian (BAY 2433334), an activated factor XI inhibitor, is in clinical development for the prevention of thromboembolic events. The effect of asundexian and its plasma metabolite M10 on cardiac repolarization and potential interactions with the hNav1.5 sodium, hCav1.2 calcium, and human ether-à-go-go-related gene (hERG) potassium channels was investigated in vitro. Additionally, asundexian effects on cardiac parameters and electrocardiogram were examined in telemetered beagle dogs. A randomized, placebo-controlled, 4-way crossover, thorough QT study in healthy adults evaluated the influence of 50 and 150 mg of asundexian on the corrected QT interval, including 400 mg of moxifloxacin as positive control. Across all studies, asundexian and M10 were not associated with any effects on cardiac repolarization. The largest in vitro effects of asundexian (approximately 20% inhibition) were seen for hCav1.2 and hERG. Throughout the thorough QT study, the upper limits of the one-sided 95% confidence interval of placebo-corrected mean changes from baseline in Fridericia corrected QT for 50 and 150 mg of asundexian were below Δ = 10 milliseconds. Asundexian demonstrated favorable safety and tolerability profiles.

The risk for venous thromboembolism and cardiometabolic disorders in offspring from thrombosis-prone pedigrees

BACKGROUND

Most family studies on venous thromboembolism (VTE) have focused on first-degree relatives.

OBJECTIVES

We took a pedigree-based approach and examined the risk of VTE and cardiometabolic disorders in offspring from extended pedigrees according to the densities of VTE in pedigrees.

METHODS

From the Swedish population, we identified a total of 482 185 pedigrees containing a mean of 14.2 parents, aunts/uncles, grandparents, and cousins of a core full sibship that we termed the pedigree offspring (n = 751 060). We then derived 8 empirical classes of these pedigrees based on the density of cases of VTE. The risk was determined in offspring for VTE and cardiometabolic disorders as a function of VTE density in their pedigrees. Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons was performed.

RESULTS

VTE was unevenly distributed in the population; the Gini coefficient was 0.59. Higher VTE density in pedigrees was associated in the offspring with a higher risk of different VTE manifestations (deep venous thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, pregnancy-related VTE, unusual thrombosis, and superficial thrombophlebitis), thrombophilia, and lower age of first VTE event. Moreover, VTE density in pedigrees was significantly associated in the offspring with obesity, diabetes, gout, varicose veins, and arterial embolism and thrombosis (excluding brain and heart). No significant associations were observed for retinal vein occlusion, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, atrial fibrillation, heart failure, primary pulmonary hypertension, cerebral hemorrhage, aortic aneurysm, peripheral artery disease, and overall mortality.

CONCLUSION

Offspring of pedigrees with a high density of VTE are disadvantaged regarding VTE manifestations and certain cardiometabolic disorders.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

The significance of metabolic disease in degenerative cervical myelopathy: a systematic review

Introduction

Degenerative cervical myelopathy (DCM) is a form of chronic spinal cord injury, with a natural history of potential for progression over time. Whilst driven by mechanical stress on the spinal cord from degenerative and congenital pathology, the neurological phenotype of DCM is likely to be modified by multiple systemic factors. The role of metabolic factors is therefore of interest, particularly given that ischaemia is considered a key pathological mechanism of spinal cord injury. The objective was therefore to synthesise current evidence on the effect of metabolism on DCM susceptibility, severity, and surgical outcomes.

Methods

A systematic review in MEDLINE and Embase was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. Full-text papers in English, with a focus on DCM and metabolism, including diabetes, cardiovascular disease, anaemia, and lipid profile, were eligible for inclusion. Risk of methodological bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) critical assessment tools. Quality assessments were performed using the GRADE assessment tool. Patient demographics, metabolic factors and the relationships between metabolism and spinal cord disease, spinal column disease and post-operative outcomes were assessed.

Results

In total, 8,523 papers were identified, of which 57 met criteria for inclusion in the final analysis. A total of 91% (52/57) of included papers assessed the effects of diabetes in relation to DCM, of which 85% (44/52) reported an association with poor surgical outcomes; 42% of papers (24/57) discussed the association between cardiovascular health and DCM, of which 88% (21/24) reported a significant association. Overall, DCM patients with diabetes or cardiovascular disease experienced greater perioperative morbidity and poorer neurological recovery. They were also more likely to have comorbidities such as obesity and hyperlipidaemia.

Conclusion

Metabolic factors appear to be associated with surgical outcomes in DCM. However, evidence for a more specific role in DCM susceptibility and severity is uncertain. The pathophysiology and natural history of DCM are critical research priorities; the role of metabolism is therefore a key area for future research focus.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier: CRD42021268814.

Randomized controlled trials of interventions for acute iliofemoral deep venous thrombosis

Venous thromboembolism (VTE), notably deep venous thrombosis (DVT), represents a significant cardiovascular disease with high morbidity from post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS). Recent advancements in early thrombus removal technologies have prompted randomized controlled trials (RCT) to assess their efficacy and safety, particularly for iliofemoral DVT (IF-DVT), which carries the greatest risk of developing PTS. This narrative review summarizes these trials and introduces upcoming innovations to evaluate acute intervention for IF-DVT. Specific technologies discussed include catheter-directed thrombolysis, pharmacomechanical catheter-directed thrombolysis, ultrasound-accelerated catheter-directed thrombolysis, and non-lytic mechanical thrombectomy. This review underscores the importance of patient selection, with those presenting with extensive, symptomatic IF-DVT likely to benefit most.

Hormones and thrombosis: the dark side of the moon

BACKGROUND

The main drawback of oral contraceptives (OC) and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) is an increased risk of venous and, to a lesser extent, arterial thrombosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This narrative, case-based review describes the effect of available estrogens and progestogens on the hemostatic system and their potential impact on the risk of thrombosis. Clinical cases are used to illustrate different options for prescribing OC and HRT in the real-word. The aim is to offer discussion topics that could be helpful to guide the choice of different hormonal treatments over a woman's lifetime and in the presence of risk factors.

RESULTS

We describe physio-pathological changes occurring during the administration of hormonal therapies. Furthermore, we analyze the risk of venous and arterial thrombosis associated with different products, routes of administration and additional risk factors. New hormonal preparations, such as estradiol combined with dienogest, as well as non-oral hormonal therapies, are suggested to decrease thrombotic risk significantly.

DISCUSSION

The availability of many products and different routes of administration allow most women to safely use contraception, as well as HRT. We encourage careful counselling instead of inflexible or fearful behavior, as expanding options and choices will allow women to make the best decisions for their health.

Anticoagulant therapy in orthopedic surgery - a review on anticoagulant agents, risk factors, monitoring, and current challenges

Orthopedic surgeries are associated with high-risk of thromboembolism which occurs in 40% to 60% of orthopedic patients in the absence of thromboprophylaxis. Conventionally heparin anticoagulants were used for thromboprophylaxis and currently direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are widely used due to their minimal complexity. Anticoagulant use carries bleeding risk and requires optimal laboratory monitoring through conventional thrombin-based assays, anti-Xa assay, anti-IIa assay and contemporary ecarin chromogenic assay (ECA) and rotational thromboelastometry. Monitoring requires multiple hospital visits and hence, the development of point-of-care assays is gaining momentum. Also, a thorough risk assessment model (RAM) is necessary for successful anticoagulant therapy since it enables personalized approach for better thromboprophylaxis outcomes. Despite welcoming changes, lack of guideline consensus, population-based thromboprophylaxis, deficiencies in risk stratification and non-adherence are still a concern. Stronger clinical and process support system with uniform guidelines approaches and patient-specific RAM can aid in the successful implementation of anticoagulant therapy.

Risk factors for venous thromboembolism in patients with pneumonia in the pre-COVID-19 era: a meta-analysis and systematic review

Background

Elevated risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia has been recognized, while the risk factors associated with VTE in patients with non-COVID-19 pneumonia remain to be defined. This study aimed to conduct a meta-analysis and systematic review following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines to identify potential risk factors for VTE in patients with pneumonia from the pre-COVID-19 era.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library were searched. Two reviewers performed screening, full-text review, and extraction. Risk factors and odds ratio (OR) were estimated.

Results

Of 595 articles identified, six studies were included. Pooled analysis suggested that age ≥60 years [OR =2.75, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.55-2.97, P<0.001], mechanical ventilation (MV) (OR =9.48, 95% CI: 8.24-10.91, P<0.001), hypertension (OR =1.41, 95% CI: 1.09-1.83, P=0.010), diabetes (OR =1.49, 95% CI: 1.36-1.64, P<0.001), heart failure (OR =3.15, 95% CI: 1.05-9.41, P=0.040) and cancer (OR =2.86, 95% CI: 2.07-3.95, P<0.001) were associated with higher risk for deep vein thrombosis in patients with pneumonia. While age ≥60 years (OR =2.46, 95% CI: 2.21-2.73, P<0.001), bacterial pneumonia (OR =3.80, 95% CI: 1.65-8.73, P=0.002), hyperlipidemia (OR =1.55, 95% CI: 1.00-2.41, P=0.049), heart failure (OR =2.70, 95% CI: 2.05-3.56, P<0.001), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR =4.73, 95% CI: 3.11-7.17, P<0.001) and cancer (OR =2.90, 95% CI: 2.39-3.53, P<0.001) were risk factors for pulmonary embolism in patients with pneumonia.

Conclusions

Patients with non-COVID-19 pneumonia, particularly those with advanced age, MV, cardiovascular comorbidities or cancer, warrant individualized management during hospitalization. Our findings could contribute to refining risk prediction models and further risk stratification for VTE in patients with pneumonia in clinical practice.

Coagulation parameters correlate to venous thromboembolism occurrence during the perioperative period in patients with spinal fractures

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is one of the leading causes of mortality in hospitalized patients. However, whether the coagulation-related parameters of the hospitalized patients could be used to predict the occurrence of VTE in patients with spinal injury surgery remained unclear.

METHOD

The patients with spinal fractures who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were enrolled to be analyzed using a retrospective analysis approach. The association of risk factors of enrolled patients and operations to VTE occurrence were analyzed. The activated partial thromboplastin time, prothrombin time, thrombin time, D-dimer (D-D), fibrinogen (FIB) and fibrinogen degradation products (FDP) were detected. ROC and HR analysis were applied to evaluate the correlation of coagulation-related parameters and other parameters to VTE occurrence.

RESULT

The indicators of D-D, FIB and FDP were significantly elevated in VTE patients compared to non-VTE patients. The multivariate analysis of OR showed that six risk factors, including age ≥ 60, spinal cord injury, postoperative bedtime over 5 days, plasma D-dimer ≥ 0.54 mg/L, plasma fibrinogen ≥ 3.75 g/L and plasma FDP ≥ 5.19 mg/L, were positively correlated to VTE.

CONCLUSION

The six risk factors, including D-D, FIB, FDP, age ≥ 60, spinal cord injury, and postoperative bedtime over 5 days, could be used to predict the occurrence of VTE.

Obesity, thrombosis, venous disease, lymphatic disease, and lipedema: An obesity medicine association (OMA) clinical practice statement (CPS) 2023

Background

This Obesity Medicine Association (OMA) Clinical Practice Statement (CPS) is intended to provide clinicians with an overview on obesity, thrombosis, venous disease, lymphatic disease, and lipedema.

Methods

The scientific support for this CPS is based upon published citations, clinical perspectives of OMA authors, and peer review by the Obesity Medicine Association leadership.

Results

Topics in this CPS include obesity, thrombosis, venous disease, lymphatic disease, and lipedema. Obesity increases the risk of thrombosis and cardiovascular disease via fat mass and adiposopathic mechanisms. Treatment of thrombosis or thrombotic risk includes healthful nutrition, physical activity, and the requisite knowledge of how body weight affects anti-thrombotic medications. In addition to obesity-related thrombotic considerations of acute coronary syndrome and ischemic non-hemorrhagic stroke, this Clinical Practice Statement briefly reviews the diagnosis and management of clinically relevant presentations of deep vein thromboses, pulmonary embolism, chronic venous stasis, varicose veins, superficial thrombophlebitis, lipodermatosclerosis, corona phlebectatica, chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, iliofemoral venous obstruction, pelvic venous disorder, post-thrombotic syndrome, as well as lymphedema and lipedema - which should be included in the differential diagnosis of other edematous or enlargement disorders of the lower extremities.

Conclusions

This Obesity Medicine Association (OMA) Clinical Practice Statement (CPS) on obesity, thrombosis, and venous/lymphatic disease is one of a series of OMA CPSs designed to assist clinicians in the care of patients with the disease of obesity.

In-Hospital Venous Thromboembolism and Pulmonary Embolism After Major Urologic Cancer Surgery

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to test for temporal trends of in-hospital venous thromboembolism (VTE) and pulmonary embolism (PE) after major urologic cancer surgery (MUCS).

METHODS

In the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) database (2010-2019), this study identified non-metastatic radical cystectomy (RC), radical prostatectomy (RP), radical nephrectomy (RN), and partial nephrectomy (PN) patients. Temporal trends of VTE and PE and multivariable logistic regression analyses (MLR) addressing VTE or PE, and mortality with VTE or PE were performed.

RESULTS

Of 196,915 patients, 1180 (1.0%) exhibited VTE and 583 (0.3%) exhibited PE. The VTE rates increased from 0.6 to 0.7% (estimated annual percentage change [EAPC] + 4.0%; p = 0.01). Conversely, the PE rates decreased from 0.4 to 0.2% (EAPC - 4.5%; p = 0.01). No difference was observed in mortality with VTE (EAPC - 2.1%; p = 0.7) or with PE (EAPC - 1.2%; p = 0.8). In MLR relative to RP, RC (odds ratio [OR] 5.1), RN (OR 4.5), and PN (OR 3.6) were associated with higher VTE risk (all p < 0.001). Similarly in MLR relative to RP, RC (OR 4.6), RN (OR 3.3), and PN (OR 3.9) were associated with higher PE risk (all p < 0.001). In MLR, the risk of mortality was higher when VTE or PE was present in RC (VTE: OR 3.7, PE: OR  4.8; both p < 0.001) and RN (VTE: OR 5.2, PE: OR  8.3; both p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

RC, RN, and PN predisposes to a higher VTE and PE rates than RP. Moreover, among RC and RN patients with either VTE or PE, mortality is substantially higher than among their VTE or PE-free counterparts.

NLRP3-Induced NETosis: A Potential Therapeutic Target for Ischemic Thrombotic Diseases?

Ischemic thrombotic disease, characterized by the formation of obstructive blood clots within arteries or veins, is a condition associated with life-threatening events, such as stroke, myocardial infarction, deep vein thrombosis, and pulmonary embolism. The conventional therapeutic strategy relies on treatments with anticoagulants that unfortunately pose an inherent risk of bleeding complications. These anticoagulants primarily target clotting factors, often overlooking upstream events, including the release of neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs). Neutrophils are integral components of the innate immune system, traditionally known for their role in combating pathogens through NET formation. Emerging evidence has now revealed that NETs contribute to a prothrombotic milieu by promoting platelet activation, increasing thrombin generation, and providing a scaffold for clot formation. Additionally, NET components enhance clot stability and resistance to fibrinolysis. Clinical and preclinical studies have underscored the mechanistic involvement of NETs in the pathogenesis of thrombotic complications, since the clots obtained from patients and experimental models consistently exhibit the presence of NETs. Given these insights, the inhibition of NETs or NET formation is emerging as a promising therapeutic approach for ischemic thrombotic diseases. Recent investigations also implicate a role for the nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain (NOD)-like receptor family pyrin domain-containing 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome as a mediator of NETosis and thrombosis, suggesting that NLRP3 inhibition may also hold potential for mitigating thrombotic events. Therefore, future preclinical and clinical studies aimed at identifying and validating NLRP3 inhibition as a novel therapeutic intervention for thrombotic disorders are imperative.

A phenome-wide approach to identify causal risk factors for deep vein thrombosis

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is the formation of a blood clot in a deep vein. DVT can lead to a venous thromboembolism (VTE), the combined term for DVT and pulmonary embolism, a leading cause of death and disability worldwide. Despite the prevalence and associated morbidity of DVT, the underlying causes are not well understood. Our aim was to leverage publicly available genetic summary association statistics to identify causal risk factors for DVT. We conducted a Mendelian randomization phenome-wide association study (MR-PheWAS) using genetic summary association statistics for 973 exposures and DVT (6,767 cases and 330,392 controls in UK Biobank). There was evidence for a causal effect of 57 exposures on DVT risk, including previously reported risk factors (e.g. body mass index-BMI and height) and novel risk factors (e.g. hyperthyroidism and varicose veins). As the majority of identified risk factors were adiposity-related, we explored the molecular link with DVT by undertaking a two-sample MR mediation analysis of BMI-associated circulating proteins on DVT risk. Our results indicate that circulating neurogenic locus notch homolog protein 1 (NOTCH1), inhibin beta C chain (INHBC) and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1) influence DVT risk, with PAI-1 mediating the BMI-DVT relationship. Using a phenome-wide approach, we provide putative causal evidence that hyperthyroidism, varicose veins and BMI enhance the risk of DVT. Furthermore, the circulating protein PAI-1 has a causal role in DVT aetiology and is involved in mediating the BMI-DVT relationship.

TIME-DEPENDENT CHANGES IN PROINFLAMMATORY MEDIATORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH TRAUMA-RELATED VENOUS THROMBOEMBOLISM

ABSTRACT

Background: Tissue trauma and hemorrhage result in pronounced activation of the innate immune system. Given known crosstalk between inflammation and coagulation, soluble inflammatory mediators could be associated with venous thromboembolisms (VTEs) after major trauma. Objectives : This study aimed to identify plasma inflammatory mediators that are independent predictors of VTE risk in trauma patients. Methods: We performed a secondary analysis of the Pragmatic Randomized Optimal Platelets and Plasma Ratios (PROPPR) study. Plasma levels of 27 cytokines/chemokines were measured by Bio-Plex at admission and 2, 4, 6, 12, 24, 48, and 72 h later. Patients who died from exsanguination or within 24 h were excluded. Mann-Whitney tests were performed to assess no-VTE and VTE groups at each time point. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine the adjusted effects of inflammatory mediators on VTE risk. Results: Eighty-six of the 575 patients (15%) included developed VTE. Interleukin (IL)-1ra, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, eotaxin, granulocyte colony-stimulating factor, interferon-γ-inducible protein, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 (MCP-1), and chemokine ligand 5 (regulated on activation, normal T cell expressed and secreted) were all significantly increased among VTE patients. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that IL-6, IL-8, interferon-γ-inducible protein, and MCP-1 were independently associated with VTE. Cox proportional hazards modeling identified IL-6, IL-8, and MCP-1 as independent predictors of accelerated VTE development. We identified significant correlations between inflammation and markers of coagulation and endothelial activation. Conclusion: Sustained systemic inflammation is a key driver of VTE risk after major trauma. Therapeutics targeting innate immune activation should be considered for development of future multimodal strategies to augment current VTE prophylaxis.

Association between diabetes and venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) plays a vital role in the development of cardiovascular disease. However, its association with venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains unclear, for the published study results are conflicting. We performed a meta-analysis of published cohort studies and case-control studies to assess the role of DM in the formation and prognosis of VTE.

METHODS

PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched for articles from the database's establishment until September 15, 2022. Of the 15,754 publications retrieved, 50 studies were identified that met the selection criteria. The New castle-Ottawa Scale was used to evaluate the quality of the literature. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using fixed- or random-effect models.

RESULTS

We combined OR using a random-effects or fixed-effects model: patients with DM had an increased risk of VTE (OR 1.27, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-1.41), which still showed a partial association in studies adjusted by confounding factors (OR 1.20, 95% CI: 1.07-1.35). DM was not significantly associated with VTE when analyzed in studies adjusted by body mass index (OR 1.04, 95% CI: 0.94-1.15). VTE patients with DM had a higher risk of short-term and long-term mortality than those without DM (OR 1.58 [95% CI: 1.26-1.99] for long-term mortality and OR 1.20 [95% CI: 1.19-1.21] for short-term mortality).

CONCLUSION

There was no significant association between DM and VTE risk, and body mass index may be a significant confounding factor between DM and VTE risk. However, DM can still lead to an increased risk of long-term and short-term mortality in patients with VTE.

Outcomes from a prospectively implemented protocol using apixaban after robot-assisted radical cystectomy

OBJECTIVES

To compare the safety and efficacy of oral apixaban with that of injectable enoxaparin after robot-assisted radical cystectomy (RARC) for venous thromboembolism (VTE) thromboprophylaxis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of prospectively collected data for all RARC patients treated at our tertiary care centre between 2018 and 2022. The study included two groups: patients who were subject to a prospectively implemented protocol from October 2021 to the present, comprising a 21-day postoperative course of apixaban 2.5 mg twice daily after discharge, and patients treated prior to October 2021 who received enoxaparin 40 mg daily. Baseline demographics and clinical characteristics, such as VTE (defined as deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism), were analysed. The primary outcome was incidence of symptomatic VTE confirmed with definitive imaging within 90 days of RARC. Secondary outcomes included major bleeding, complications, readmission, and mortality within 30 days postoperatively. Descriptive statistics included baseline patient characteristics, operative information and complications. Differences in baseline characteristics and postoperative data were compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine associations between variables and the primary outcome.

RESULTS

A total of 124 patients received apixaban and 250 patients received enoxaparin prophylaxis. Ten patients (2.7%) experienced a VTE within 90 days postoperatively (two [1.6%] apixaban group vs eight [3.2%] enoxaparin group; P = 0.5). After patient stratification into European Association of Urology risk groups, no statistically significant difference in VTE rates was seen between groups in the apixaban (2.7% high- + intermediate-risk group vs 1.1% low-risk group; P = 0.5) and enoxaparin cohorts (4.3% high- + intermediate-risk group vs 2.5% low-risk group; P = 0.5). On multivariate logistic regression, no variables were associated with the development of the primary outcome.

CONCLUSION

Prophylaxis with apixaban and enoxaparin showed no statistically significant differences in VTE rates among RARC patients. Apixaban appears to be safe and effective for VTE prophylaxis after RARC.

Causal Associations Between Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Venous Thromboembolism

OBJECTIVE

 The aim of the study is to assess the causal effects of cardiovascular risk factors on venous thromboembolism (VTE) and its subtypes including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE).

METHODS

 A summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed by extracting data from public and large-scale genome-wide association studies for cardiovascular risk factors (hypertension, systolic blood pressure [SBP], diastolic blood pressure [DBP], total cholesterol, triglycerides, high-density lipoprotein [HDL], low-density lipoprotein [LDL], type 2 diabetes, fasting glucose, body mass index [BMI], smoking, alcohol, and physical activity), VTE, DVT, and PE to identify genetic instruments.

RESULTS

 BMI (per standard deviation [SD] increase; odds ratio [OR]: 1.39; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.25-1.54; p = 8.02 × 10-10) could increase the VTE risk, whereas SBP (per SD increase; OR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.98-0.99; p = 0.0005) could decrease the VTE risk. For DVT, BMI (per SD increase; OR: 1.48; 95% CI: 1.28-1.72; p = 1.53 × 10-7) could increase the risk, whereas physical activity (per SD increase; OR: 0.05; 95% CI: 0.01-0.33; p = 0.0020) could decrease the risk. For PE, BMI (per SD increase; OR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.12-1.49; p = 0.0005) could increase the risk, whereas SBP (per SD increase; OR: 0.99; 95% CI: 0.98-1.00; p = 0.0032) could decrease the risk. Suggestive evidence between smoking and higher risks of VTE and DVT was also observed.

CONCLUSION

 Our study supports that BMI is a causal risk factor for VTE, DVT, and PE. SBP is a protective factor for VTE and PE. Physical activity is a protective factor for DVT. However, the effects of other cardiovascular risk factors are not identified.

Predictors of Recurrent Venous Thromboembolism or Arterial Thrombotic Events during and after Anticoagulation for a First Venous Thromboembolism

After first episodes of venous thromboembolism (VTE), patients are at increased risk of recurrent VTE and arterial thrombotic events (ATE) compared with the general population, two disorders that are influenced by anticoagulation. However, risk factors of these conditions occurring during and after anticoagulation are little described. Using cause-specific hazard regression models, we aimed to determine risk factors of the composite outcome recurrent VTE/ATE, and separately recurrent VTE or ATE, during and after anticoagulation in patients with first episodes of VTE from a prospective cohort. Hazard ratios (HRs) are given with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 2,011 patients treated for at least 3 months were included. A total of 647 patients had recurrent VTE/ATE (incidence: 4.69% per patient-years) during overall follow-up (median: 92 months). Of these events, 173 occurred during anticoagulation (incidence: 3.67% per patient-years). Among patients free of events at the end of anticoagulation, 801 had a post-anticoagulation follow-up ≥3 months; and 95 had recurrent VTE/ATE (incidence: 1.27% per patient-years). After adjustment for confounders, cancer-associated VTE (HR: 2.64, 95% CI: 1.70-4.11) and unprovoked VTE (HR: 1.95, 95% CI: 1.35-2.81) were the identified risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE during anticoagulation (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE). Risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE after anticoagulation included 50 to 65 years of age (vs. < 50, HR: 1.99, 95% CI: 1.04-3.81), older than 65 years (vs. < 50, HR: 5.28, 95% CI: 3.03-9.21), and unprovoked VTE (vs. transient risk factor-related VTE, HR: 2.06, 95% CI: 1.27-3.34). Cancer-associated VTE and unprovoked VTE are the main risk factors of recurrent VTE/ATE during anticoagulation, while older age and unprovoked VTE mainly predict the risk of these events after anticoagulation.

The directed acyclic graph helped identify confounders in the association between coronary heart disease and pesticide exposure among greenhouse vegetable farmers

To explore the causal pathways associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) and pesticide exposure using a directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis and to investigate the potential benefits of DAG by comparing it with logistic regression. This cross-sectional study enrolled 1368 participants from April 2015 to May 2017. Trained research investigators interviewed farmers using a self-administered questionnaire. Logistic regression and DAG models were used to identify the associations between CHD and chronic pesticide exposure. A total of 150 (11.0%) of the 1368 participants are characterized as having CHD. High pesticide exposure (odds ratio = 2.852, 95% confidence intervals: 1.951-4.171) is associated with CHD when compare with low pesticide exposure by both DAG and logistic analyses. After adjusting for the additional potential influence of factors identified by the DAG analysis, there is no significant association, such as the results in logistic regression: ethnicity, education level, settlement time, and mixed pesticide status. Specifically, age, meal frequency, and consumption of fresh fruit, according to the DAG analysis, are independent factors for CHD. High pesticide exposure is a risk factor for CHD as indicated by both DAG and logistic regression analyses. DAG can be a preferable improvement over traditional regression methods to identify sources of bias and causal inference in observational studies, especially for complex research questions.

Prepregnancy overweight and obesity and long-term risk of venous thromboembolism in women

Overweight and obesity rates have increased in recent decades, particularly among the younger population. The long-term consequences of obesity with respect to early venous thromboembolism (VTE) in women have not been established. The aim was to investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) in early pregnancy as a proxy for non-pregnant weight and long-term post-pregnancy risk of VTE in women. This registry-based prospective cohort study analysed data from the Swedish Medical Birth Registry, linked to the National Patient and the National Cause of Death Registries for information on post-pregnancy long-term risk of VTE. Cox proportional hazards model were used to determine the association between BMI at baseline and VTE events during follow-up starting 1 year after baseline. The mean age at registration was 27.5 (standard deviation, 4.9) years. During a median follow-up duration of 12 years (interquartile range, 6-21 years) starting 1 year after the first antenatal visit, 1765 and 2549 women had a deep vein thrombosis and/or pulmonary embolism. The risk of VTE linearly increased with increasing BMI. Compared to women with 20 ≤ BMI < 22.5 kg/m2, women with high normal weight, i.e. with a BMI of 22.5-25.0 kg/m2, had an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 1.30 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.19-1.41), whereas those with a BMI of 30-35 kg/m2 and ≥ 35 kg/m2 (severe obesity) had an adjusted HR of 2.35 (95% CI 2.04-2.70) and 3.47 (95% CI 2.82-4.25, respectively. Using BMI in early pregnancy as a proxy for pre-pregnancy or non-pregnant BMI in young women, we found a significantly increased risk of post-pregnancy long-term risk of VTE even in those with high normal BMI, compared with lean women, whereas those with severe obesity had a markedly high risk.

Plasma levels of coagulation factors VIII and IX and risk of venous thromboembolism: Systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

The associations of plasma factor VIII (FVIII) and factor IX (FIX) levels with risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) are not well defined. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of these associations.

METHODS

Random effects inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled odds ratios for comparisons across equal quartiles of the distributions and 90 % thresholds (higher versus lower), and for testing linear trends.

RESULTS

Among 15 studies (5327 cases) the pooled odds ratio of VTE for the fourth versus first quarter was 3.92 (95 % confidence interval 1.61, 5.29) for FVIII level; and among 7 studies (3498 cases) 1.57 (1.32, 1.87) for FIX level. Comparing factor levels above, versus below, the 90th percentile, the estimated pooled odds ratios were 3.00 (2.10, 4.30) for FVIII; 1.77 (1.22, 2.56) for FIX; and 4.56 (2.73, 7.63) for both FVIII and FIX considered jointly.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm increases in risk of VTE across population distributions of FVIII and FIX levels. Levels above the 90th percentile have almost twice the risk for FIX level compared to levels below; three-fold risk for FVIII level; and almost five-fold risk for both FVIII and FIX levels elevated.

The Caprini Risk Score for Early Prediction of Mortality in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

The Caprini Risk Score (CRS) is a validated predictive instrument for venous thrombosis. Previous investigators have shown that a high CRS is associated with a higher risk of mortality from thrombotic diseases.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to assess the association between the CRS and prognosis of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

Secondary analysis of data from a retrospective cohort study was conducted. Patients were classified into 3 CRS-based categories (CRS ≤ 2, CRS = 3-4, and CRS ≥ 5, indicating low, medium, and high, respectively). Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models were used to assess the prognosis of patients with ACS. All-cause mortality and cardiac mortality were the end points.

RESULTS

Two hundred fifty-four patients (12.8%) died during follow-up. Multivariate Cox regression models identified CRS as an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality among patients with ACS (CRS = 3-4 vs CRS ≤ 2, hazard ratio: 3.268, 95% confidence interval: 1.396-7.647, P = .006; CRS ≥ 5 vs CRS ≤ 2, hazard ratio: 4.099, 95% confidence interval: 1.708-9.841, P = .002). Pearson correlation analysis showed a positive correlation between CRS and fibrinogen level ( r = 0.486, R2 = 0.765, P < .001) as well as D-dimer level ( r = 0.480, R2 = 0.465, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

The CRS is a useful prognostic assessment instrument for patients with ACS, and the risk stratification of patients with ACS can be achieved based on their CRS at admission.

The Causality between Diabetes and Venous Thromboembolism: A Bidirectional Two-Sample Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

 Diabetes was considered as a risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but conflicting findings have been reported from observational studies. This study aimed at investigating the causal associations of type 1 and type 2 diabetes with VTE, including deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE).

METHODS

 We designed a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis by using summary-level data from large genome-wide association studies performed in European individuals. Inverse variance weighting with multiplicative random effect method was used to obtain the primary causal estimates, and weighted median, weighted mode, and MR egger regression were replenished as sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

 We found no significant causal effects of type 1 diabetes on VTE (odds ratio [OR]: 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.96-1.00, p = 0.043), DVT (OR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.95-1.00, p = 0.102), and PE (OR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.96-1.01, p = 0.160). Similarly, no significant associations of type 2 diabetes with VTE (OR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.91-1.03, p = 0.291), DVT (OR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.89-1.03, p = 0.255), and PE (OR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.90-1.04, p = 0.358) were also observed. Results from multivariable MR analysis were consistent with the findings in univariable analysis. In the other direction, the results showed no significant causal effects of VTE on type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSION

 This MR analysis demonstrated no significant causal associations of type 1 and type 2 diabetes with VTE in both directions, in conflict with previous observational studies reporting positive association, which provided clues for understanding the underlying pathogenesis of diabetes and VTE.

Comparative outcomes associated with rivaroxaban versus warfarin use in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation or acute venous thromboembolism managed in the United States: a systematic review of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Advancing age is a risk factor for developing non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) or acute venous thromboembolism (VTE). We assessed the comparative effectiveness, safety, costs, and healthcare utilization associated with rivaroxaban versus warfarin in patients of advanced age managed in the United States (US).

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of Medline and Embase through April 2023 to identify real-world evidence (RWE) studies of older adults (at least 65+ years of age) with either NVAF or VTE who received either rivaroxaban or warfarin in the US and reported an outcome of stroke or systemic embolism (SSE), ischemic stroke (IS), recurrent VTE, major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage, costs, or healthcare resource utilization. We classified each outcome of interest per study as "positive" (lower risk), "negative" (higher risk), or "neutral" based upon the summary effect size of rivaroxaban versus warfarin.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine RWE studies met inclusion criteria, mostly (83%) in NVAF populations. For SSE with rivaroxaban versus warfarin, 68.8% of studies showed positive effects and 31.2% showed neutral outcome. For major bleeding, 57.7% showed neutral effects, 38.5% showed negative effects, and 3.8% of studies showed positive effects with rivaroxaban versus warfarin. Of the two studies reporting cost data, both were positive, showing lower costs for SSE for rivaroxaban versus warfarin and neutral cost for major bleeding costs.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review supports findings from subgroup analyses of randomized controlled trials that, compared with warfarin, rivaroxaban is associated with generally neutral or positive effects on thrombosis and a mixed picture on bleeding outcomes in older adults with either NVAF or VTE treated in the United States.

Identification of two tofacitinib subpopulations with different relative risk versus TNF inhibitors: an analysis of the open label, randomised controlled study ORAL Surveillance

OBJECTIVES

Based on primary results from ORAL Surveillance, an event-driven clinical trial of risk-enriched patients, identify subpopulations with different relative risk (ie, 'high-risk' and 'low-risk') with tofacitinib versus tumour necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi).

METHODS

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis aged ≥50 years with ≥1 additional cardiovascular risk factor received tofacitinib 5 or 10 mg two times a day or TNFi. Prior analyses had identified age and smoking as risk factors of particular interest across safety outcomes. Hazard ratios (HRs) and incidence rates were evaluated by age and smoking individually and in combination. Results were validated across tofacitinib development programmes.

RESULTS

'Age ≥65 years or ever smoker' defined a group ('high-risk') with increased risk of malignancies (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer), major adverse cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, venous thromboembolism and all-cause death with tofacitinib (combined doses) versus TNFi (HRs 1.41-5.19). In patients 'aged <65 years and never smokers' ('low-risk'), there was no detectable risk increase with tofacitinib versus TNFi (HRs ≈1.0) up to 6 years of follow-up, and absolute risk remained low and was corroborated across tofacitinib rheumatoid arthritis, psoriatic arthritis and ulcerative colitis programmes with up to 10 years of observation.

CONCLUSIONS

This posthoc analysis of ORAL Surveillance identified two tofacitinib subpopulations with different relative risk versus TNFi. High risk was confined to patients defined by distinct risk factors age ≥65 years or smoking, and these differentiating risk factors accounted for the excess risk observed with tofacitinib versus TNFi. These findings can guide individualised benefit/risk assessment and clinical decision-making on treatment with tofacitinib.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS

NCT02092467, NCT01262118, NCT01484561, NCT00147498, NCT00413660, NCT00550446, NCT00603512, NCT00687193, NCT01164579, NCT00976599, NCT01059864, NCT01359150, NCT02147587, NCT00960440, NCT00847613, NCT00814307, NCT00856544, NCT00853385, NCT01039688, NCT02281552, NCT02187055, NCT02831855, NCT00413699, NCT00661661, NCT00787202, NCT01465763, NCT01458951, NCT01458574, NCT01470612, NCT01877668, NCT01882439, NCT01976364.

Using machine learning and big data for the prediction of venous thromboembolic events after spine surgery: A single-center retrospective analysis of multiple models on a cohort of 6869 patients

Objective

Venous thromboembolic event (VTE) after spine surgery is a rare but potentially devastating complication. With the advent of machine learning, an opportunity exists for more accurate prediction of such events to aid in prevention and treatment.

Methods

Seven models were screened using 108 database variables and 62 preoperative variables. These models included deep neural network (DNN), DNN with synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), logistic regression, ridge regression, lasso regression, simple linear regression, and gradient boosting classifier. Relevant metrics were compared between each model. The top four models were selected based on area under the receiver operator curve; these models included DNN with SMOTE, linear regression, lasso regression, and ridge regression. Separate random sampling of each model was performed 1000 additional independent times using a randomly generated training/testing distribution. Variable weights and magnitudes were analyzed after sampling.

Results

Using all patient-related variables, DNN using SMOTE was the top-performing model in predicting postoperative VTE after spinal surgery (area under the curve [AUC] =0.904), followed by lasso regression (AUC = 0.894), ridge regression (AUC = 0.873), and linear regression (AUC = 0.864). When analyzing a subset of only preoperative variables, the top-performing models were lasso regression (AUC = 0.865) and DNN with SMOTE (AUC = 0.864), both of which outperform any currently published models. Main model contributions relied heavily on variables associated with history of thromboembolic events, length of surgical/anesthetic time, and use of postoperative chemoprophylaxis.

Conclusions

The current study provides promise toward machine learning methods geared toward predicting postoperative complications after spine surgery. Further study is needed in order to best quantify and model real-world risk for such events.

Pulmonary embolism and deep venous thrombosis after COVID-19: long-term risk in a population-based cohort study

Background

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) (pulmonary embolism (PE) or deep venous thrombosis (DVT)) is common during acute COVID-19. Long-term excess risk has not yet been established.

Objective

To study long-term VTE risk after COVID-19.

Methods

Swedish citizens aged 18-84 years, hospitalized and/or testing positive for COVID-19 between January 1, 2020, and September 11, 2021 (exposed), stratified by initial hospitalization, were compared to matched (1:5) non-exposed population-derived subjects without COVID-19. Outcomes were incident VTE, PE or DVT recorded within 60, 60-<180, and ≥180 days. Cox regression was used for evaluation and a model adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities and socioeconomic markers developed to control for confounders.

Results

Among exposed patients, 48,861 were hospitalized for COVID-19 (mean age 60.6 years) and 894,121 were without hospitalization (mean age 41.4 years). Among patients hospitalized for COVID-19, fully adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) during 60-<180 days were 6.05 (95% confidence interval (CI) 4.80─7.62) for PE and 3.97 (CI 2.96─5.33) for DVT, compared to non-exposed with corresponding estimates among COVID-19 without hospitalization 1.17 (CI 1.01─1.35) and 0.99 (CI 0.86─1.15), based on 475 and 2,311 VTE events, respectively. Long-term (≥180 days) HRs in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 were 2.01 (CI 1.51─2.68) for PE and 1.46 (CI 1.05─2.01) for DVT while non-hospitalized had similar risk to non-exposed, based on 467 and 2,030 VTE events, respectively.

Conclusions

Patients hospitalized for COVID-19 retained an elevated excess risk of VTE, mainly PE, after 180 days, while long-term risk of VTE in individuals with COVID-19 without hospitalization was similar to the non-exposed.

Ten-Year Multicenter Retrospective Study Utilizing Machine Learning Algorithms to Identify Patients at High Risk of Venous Thromboembolism After Radical Gastrectomy

Purpose

This study aims to construct a machine learning model that can recognize preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative high-risk indicators and predict the onset of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients.

Patients and Methods

A total of 1239 patients diagnosed with gastric cancer were enrolled in this retrospective study, among whom 107 patients developed VTE after surgery. We collected 42 characteristic variables of gastric cancer patients from the database of Wuxi People's Hospital and Wuxi Second People's Hospital between 2010 and 2020, including patients' demographic characteristics, chronic medical history, laboratory test characteristics, surgical information, and patients' postoperative conditions. Four machine learning algorithms, namely, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN), were employed to develop predictive models. We also utilized Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) for model interpretation and evaluated the models using k-fold cross-validation, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, decision curve analysis (DCA), and external validation metrics.

Results

The XGBoost algorithm demonstrated superior performance compared to the other three prediction models. The area under the curve (AUC) value for XGBoost was 0.989 in the training set and 0.912 in the validation set, indicating high prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the AUC value of the external validation set was 0.85, signifying good extrapolation of the XGBoost prediction model. The results of SHAP analysis revealed that several factors, including higher body mass index (BMI), history of adjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy, T-stage of the tumor, lymph node metastasis, central venous catheter use, high intraoperative bleeding, and long operative time, were significantly associated with postoperative VTE.

Conclusion

The machine learning algorithm XGBoost derived from this study enables the development of a predictive model for postoperative VTE in patients after radical gastrectomy, thereby assisting clinicians in making informed clinical decisions.

Blood pressure and risk of venous thromboembolism: a cohort analysis of 5.5 million UK adults and Mendelian randomization studies

AIMS

Evidence for the effect of elevated blood pressure (BP) on the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) has been conflicting. We sought to assess the association between systolic BP and the risk of VTE.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Three complementary studies comprising an observational cohort analysis, a one-sample and two-sample Mendelian randomization were conducted using data from 5 588 280 patients registered in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) dataset and 432 173 UK Biobank participants with valid genetic data. Summary statistics of International Network on Venous Thrombosis genome-wide association meta-analysis was used for two-sample Mendelian randomization. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of VTE event, identified from hospital discharge reports, death registers, and/or primary care records. In the CPRD cohort, 104 017(1.9%) patients had a first diagnosis of VTE during the 9.6-year follow-up. Each 20 mmHg increase in systolic BP was associated with a 7% lower risk of VTE [hazard ratio: 0.93, 95% confidence interval (CI): (0.92-0.94)]. Statistically significant interactions were found for sex and body mass index, but not for age and subtype of VTE (pulmonary embolism and deep venous thrombosis). Mendelian randomization studies provided strong evidence for the association between systolic BP and VTE, both in the one-sample [odds ratio (OR): 0.69, (95% CI: 0.57-0.83)] and two-sample analyses [OR: 0.80, 95% CI: (0.70-0.92)].

CONCLUSION

We found an increased risk of VTE with lower BP, and this association was independently confirmed in two Mendelian randomization analyses. The benefits of BP reduction are likely to outweigh the harms in most patient groups, but in people with predisposing factors for VTE, further BP reduction should be made cautiously.

Epidemiology and prevention of venous thromboembolism

Venous thromboembolism, that consists of the interrelated conditions deep-vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism, is an under-appreciated vascular disease. In Western regions, approximately 1 in 12 individuals will be diagnosed with venous thromboembolism in their lifetime. Rates of venous thromboembolism are lower in Asia, but data from other regions are sparse. Numerous risk factors for venous thromboembolism have been identified, which can be classified as acute or subacute triggers (provoking factors that increase the risk of venous thromboembolism) and basal or acquired risk factors (which can be modifiable or static). Approximately 20% of individuals who have a venous thromboembolism event die within 1 year (although often from the provoking condition), and complications are common among survivors. Fortunately, opportunities exist for primordial prevention (prevention of the development of underlying risk factors), primary prevention (management of risk factors among individuals at high risk of the condition) and secondary prevention (prevention of recurrent events) of venous thromboembolism. In this Review, we describe the epidemiology of venous thromboembolism, including the incidence, risk factors, outcomes and opportunities for prevention. Meaningful health disparities exist in both the incidence and outcomes of venous thromboembolism. We also discuss these disparities as well as opportunities to reduce them.

Sex-Specific Risk Factors for Deep Venous Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism in a Population-Based Historical Cohort Study of Middle-Aged and Older Individuals

Background Whether sex-specific differences exist for risk factors for pulmonary embolism (PE) and deep venous thrombosis (DVT), with the exception of pregnancy and estrogen therapy, has been sparsely studied. We aimed to study whether sex-specific differences of risk factors exist for noncancer-related DVT and PE in middle-aged and older individuals without cardiovascular history or previous diagnosis in a population-based historical (retrospective) cohort. Methods and Results Potential venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk factors were registered at baseline in 15 807 women and 9996 men aged 44 to 74 years, who participated in the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (1991-1996). We excluded subjects with a previous history of VTE, cancer, a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease, or a diagnosis of cancer-associated VTE during follow-up. Patients were followed up from baseline until the first event of PE or DVT, death, or December 31, 2018. During the follow-up period, 365 (2.3%) women and 168 (1.7%) men were affected by first DVT, and 309 (2.0%) women and 154 (1.5%) men were affected by first PE. In the multivariable Cox regression models, the anthropometric obesity markers of weight, body mass index, waist and hip circumference, fat percentage, and muscle weight were in a dose-dependent way associated with DVT and PE among women but not men. In an analysis that included patients with cardiovascular disease and cancer-related VTE, the results were similar for women. For men, several obesity measures became significantly associated with PE or DVT but were weaker than in women, especially for DVT. Conclusions Anthropometric obesity measures are more important risk factors for both DVT and PE among women than men, especially for individuals without cardiovascular history or previous diagnosis or cancer-related VTE.

Association of telomere length and mitochondrial DNA copy number, two biomarkers of biological aging, with the risk of venous thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the third most common cardiovascular disease and occurs in all age groups, albeit the risk increases considerably with age. Previous research indicates mitochondrial dysfunction and telomere shortening in cardiovascular aging. However, in the context of VTE this has not been investigated in detail.

AIM

We aimed to explore biomarkers reflecting biological aging (i.e. human mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNA) and telomere length) and their association with VTE.

METHODS

mtDNA and telomere length were measured in a case-control study of 116 patients with a history of VTE and 128 age- and sex-matched healthy individuals from isolated blood using a qPCR-based assay kit. Cases had at least one unprovoked VTE event and were enrolled no earlier than 3 months after the last VTE event.

RESULTS

The mtDNA copy number was significantly lower in VTE cases compared to controls (median [IQR]: 663 per diploid cells [78.75-2204.5] vs. 2832 per diploid cells [724-4350]; p < 0.001). After adjustment for age, sex, BMI, and smoking, mtDNA copy number was independently associated with VTE risk (odds ratio per increase in 400 mtDNA per diploid cell: 0.889, 95%CI 0.834-0.947). mtDNA copy numbers were significantly different between women and men (2375 [455-3737] women vs. 893 [152-3154] men; p < 0.001). The analysis of telomere length showed no significant difference between patients and healthy controls.

CONCLUSION

Lower mtDNA levels were found in patients with VTE compared to controls, indicating an association of biological aging with risk of VTE.

Genome-wide meta-analysis identifies 93 risk loci and enables risk prediction equivalent to monogenic forms of venous thromboembolism

We report a genome-wide association study of venous thromboembolism (VTE) incorporating 81,190 cases and 1,419,671 controls sampled from six cohorts. We identify 93 risk loci, of which 62 are previously unreported. Many of the identified risk loci are at genes encoding proteins with functions converging on the coagulation cascade or platelet function. A VTE polygenic risk score (PRS) enabled effective identification of both high- and low-risk individuals. Individuals within the top 0.1% of PRS distribution had a VTE risk similar to homozygous or compound heterozygous carriers of the variants G20210A (c.*97 G > A) in F2 and p.R534Q in F5. We also document that F2 and F5 mutation carriers in the bottom 10% of the PRS distribution had a risk similar to that of the general population. We further show that PRS improved individual risk prediction beyond that of genetic and clinical risk factors. We investigated the extent to which venous and arterial thrombosis share clinical risk factors using Mendelian randomization, finding that some risk factors for arterial thrombosis were directionally concordant with VTE risk (for example, body mass index and smoking) whereas others were discordant (for example, systolic blood pressure and triglyceride levels).

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

A Comprehensive Review of Risk Factors for Venous Thromboembolism: From Epidemiology to Pathophysiology

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the third most common cause of death worldwide. The incidence of VTE varies according to different countries, ranging from 1-2 per 1000 person-years in Western Countries, while it is lower in Eastern Countries (<1 per 1000 person-years). Many risk factors have been identified in patients developing VTE, but the relative contribution of each risk factor to thrombotic risk, as well as pathogenetic mechanisms, have not been fully described. Herewith, we provide a comprehensive review of the most common risk factors for VTE, including male sex, diabetes, obesity, smoking, Factor V Leiden, Prothrombin G20210A Gene Mutation, Plasminogen Activator Inhibitor-1, oral contraceptives and hormonal replacement, long-haul flight, residual venous thrombosis, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, trauma and fractures, pregnancy, immobilization, antiphospholipid syndrome, surgery and cancer. Regarding the latter, the incidence of VTE seems highest in pancreatic, liver and non-small cells lung cancer (>70 per 1000 person-years) and lowest in breast, melanoma and prostate cancer (<20 per 1000 person-years). In this comprehensive review, we summarized the prevalence of different risk factors for VTE and the potential molecular mechanisms/pathogenetic mediators leading to VTE.

Plasma protein and venous thromboembolism: prospective cohort and mendelian randomisation analyses

We conducted cohort and Mendelian randomisation (MR) analyses to examine the associations of circulating proteins with risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) to provide evidence basis for disease prevention and drug development. Cohort analysis was performed in 11 803 participants without baseline VTE. Cox regression was used to estimate the associations between 257 proteins and VTE risk. A machine-learning model was constructed to compare the importance of identified proteins and traditional risk factors. Genetic association data on VTE were obtained from a genome-wide meta-analysis (26 066 cases and 624 053 controls) and FinnGen (14 454 cases and 294 700 controls). The cohort analysis, including 353 incident VTE cases diagnosed during a 6.6-year follow-up, identified 21 proteins associated with VTE risk after false discovery rate correction. The machine-learning model indicated that body mass index and von Willebrand factor (vWF) made the same as well as most of the contributions to the overall model prediction. MR analysis found that genetically predicted levels of vWF, SERPINE1 (plasminogen activator inhibitor 1, known as PAI-1), EPHB4 (ephrin type-B receptor 4), TYRO3 (tyrosine-protein kinase receptor TYRO3), TNFRSF11A (tumour necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11A), and BOC (brother of CDO) were causally associated with VTE risk.

Effects of Tablet Formulation, Food, or Gastric pH on the Bioavailability of Asundexian

Absolute bioavailability (F) and the impact of gastric pH, tablet formulation, and food on the pharmacokinetics and safety of asundexian, an oral factor XIa inhibitor, was assessed in healthy White men aged 18-45 years in 4 studies. For F, fasted participants received 50 μg of [¹³ C₇ ,¹⁵ N]-labeled asundexian intravenously 2 hours after 25 mg of asundexian orally. Tablet formulation (50-mg immediate release [IR], and different amorphous solid dispersion [ASD] IR 25-mg and 50-mg ASD IR tablets) and food effects were explored in 2 studies. Formulation was compared using 50-mg IR versus 25-mg ASD IR and 25-mg ASD IR versus 50-mg ASD IR (fasted); food effect using 25-mg ASD IR and 50-mg ASD IR. Gastric pH modulation was assessed using omeprazole or antacid coadministration with asundexian in the fasted state. Pharmacokinetic parameters included area under the concentration-time curve (AUC; and AUC/dose [D]) and maximum observed concentration (C_max and C_max /D) data were evaluable for 59 participants. F was 103.9%. Relative bioavailability with 25-mg ASD IR and 50-mg ASD IR tablets, respectively, was marginally affected by formulation (AUC/D ratios, 94.3% and 95.1%; C_max /D ratios, 95.5% and 88.7%), food (AUC[/D] ratios, 91.1% and 96.9%; C_max [/D] ratios: 78.3% and 95.1%), and gastric pH (omeprazole, no effect; antacid, AUC ratio, 89.9% and C_max ratio, 83.7%). No serious adverse events or deaths occurred; most adverse events were mild or moderate. In summary, oral asundexian was well tolerated and demonstrated complete bioavailability irrespective of tablet formulation, food, or gastric pH.

Mechanical Thrombectomy for Acute and Subacute Blocked Arteries and Veins in the Lower Limbs: A Health Technology Assessment

Background

A blockage to the blood vessels in the lower extremities may cause pain and discomfort. If left unmanaged, it may lead to amputation or chronic disability, such as in the form of post-thrombotic syndrome. We conducted a health technology assessment of mechanical thrombectomy (MT) devices, which are proposed to remove a blood clot, which may form in the arteries or veins of the lower legs. This evaluation considered blockages in the veins and arteries separately, and included an evaluation of effectiveness, safety, cost-effectiveness, the budget impact of publicly funding MT for lower limb blockages, patient preferences and values, and clinical and health system stakeholders' perspectives.

Method

We performed a systematic literature search of the clinical evidence. We assessed the risk of bias of each included study using the Cochrane tool for randomized controlled trials or the risk of bias among non-randomized studies (RoBANS) tool for nonrandomized studies, and the quality of the body of evidence according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) Working Group criteria. We performed a systematic economic literature search. We did not conduct a primary economic evaluation since the clinical evidence is highly uncertain. We also analyzed the budget impact of publicly funding MT treatment for inpatients with arterial acute limb ischemia and acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in the lower limb in Ontario. To contextualize the potential value of MT, we spoke with people with acute DVT. To understand the barriers and facilitators of accessing MT, we surveyed clinical and health system stakeholders to gain their perspectives.

Results

We included 40 studies (3 randomized controlled trials and 37 observational studies) in the clinical evidence review. For patients who experience arterial acute limb ischemia, compared with catheter-directed thrombolysis (CDT) alone, MT has greater technical success and patency and reduced hospital length of stay, but the evidence for these outcomes is uncertain (GRADE: Very low). Mechanical thrombectomy may reduce the volume of thrombolytic medication required and CDT infusion time (a determinant for intensive care unit [ICU] need) in patients experiencing acute DVT, but it is uncertain if this is to a meaningful degree (GRADE: Moderate to Very low). It may also reduce the proportion of people who experience post-thrombotic syndrome and overall hospital length of stay, but it is uncertain (GRADE: Very low).We estimated that publicly funding MT for people with arterial acute limb ischemia in Ontario would lead to an annual cost savings of $0.17 million in year 1 to $0.14 million in year 5, for a total savings of $0.83 million over 5 years. This cost savings was mainly attributed to reduced ICU stays among people who received MT, but the results had considerable uncertainty. For the population with acute DVT, publicly funding MT would lead to an additional cost of $0.77 million in year 1 to $1.44 million in year 5, for a total additional cost of $5.5 million over 5 years.The people with acute DVT with whom we spoke reported that MT was generally seen as a positive option, and those who had undergone the procedure reported positively on its value as a treatment to quickly remove a clot. Accessing treatment for DVT could be a barrier, especially in more remote areas of Ontario.Clinicians using the technology advised that facilitators to accessing the technology included perceived improvements in patient outcomes, resourcing requirements, addressing unmet needs, and avoidance of ICU stay. The main barrier identified was cost. Clinicians who were not using the technology advised that barriers were low case-use volume, along with costs for the equipment and for health human resources.

Conclusions

Mechanical thrombectomy may have greater technical success and patency and reduce hospital length of stay for patients experiencing an arterial acute limb ischemia and, for patients with an acute DVT, it may reduce CDT volume and infusion time, the proportion of people who experience post-thrombotic syndrome, and hospital length of stay. Mechanical thrombectomy may reduce the associated ICU costs, but it has higher equipment costs compared with usual care. Publicly funding MT in Ontario for populations with arterial acute limb ischemia may not lead to a substantial budget increase to the province. Publicly funding MT for acute DVT would lead to an additional cost of $5.5 million over 5 years. For people with acute DVT, MT was seen as a potential positive treatment option to remove the clot quickly. Overall, the majority of clinical stakeholders we engaged with (including both those with and without experience with MT) were supportive of the use of the technology.

Establishment and verification a nomogram for predicting portal vein thrombosis presence among admitted cirrhotic patients

Background

Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is an increasingly recognized complication of cirrhosis and possibly associated with mortality. This study aims to evaluate provoking factors for PVT, then establish a concise and efficient nomogram for predicting PVT presence among admitted cirrhotic patients.

Materials and methods

All cirrhotic patients admitted in Hunan Provincial People's Hospital between January 2010 and September 2020 were retrospectively reviewed, the clinical and laboratory data were collected. Multivariate logistic regression analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression method were used for screening the independent predictors and constructing the nomogram. The calibration curve was plotted to evaluate the consistent degree between observed outcomes and predicted probabilities. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was used to assess the discriminant performance. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was carried out to evaluate the benefits of nomogram.

Results

A total of 4,479 patients with cirrhosis were enrolled and 281 patients were identified with PVT. Smoking history, splenomegaly, esophagogastric varices, surgical history, red blood cell transfusion, and D-dimer were independent risk factors for PVT in cirrhosis. A nomogram was established with a good discrimination capacity and predictive efficiency with an the area under the curve (AUC) of 0.704 (95% CI: 0.664-0.745) in the training set and 0.685 (95% CI: 0.615-0.754) in the validation set. DCA suggested the net benefit of nomogram had a superior risk threshold probability.

Conclusion

A concise and efficient nomogram was established with good performance, which may aid clinical decision making and guide best treatment measures.