The Burden of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in Germany: Incidence, Prevalence, and Healthcare Resource Utilization

The Impact of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Flares on Clinical and Economic Outcomes: The CHAMOMILE Claims Database Study in Germany

INTRODUCTION

CHAMOMILE (CHaracteristics and impact of flares on clinicAl and econoMic OutcoMes In patients with systemic Lupus Erythematosus [SLE]) examined how flares in the year of SLE diagnosis impact future disease activity and damage, productivity, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), and costs in patients with SLE in Germany.

METHODS

CHAMOMILE was a retrospective cohort study of adults with an SLE diagnosis in the German Sickness Fund Database from 1 July 2010 to 31 December 2013. Patients were classified according to their greatest flare severity during the baseline year (none, mild, or moderate/severe). The number and severity of flares were assessed annually over 5-8.5 follow-up years, along with SLE organ/system damage, treatments, work disability, and HCRU metrics.

RESULTS

Of 2088 patients (84.6% female; mean age [standard deviation] 51.4 [16.1] years; mean follow-up 6.8 [2.1] years), 34.3% (n = 716) were flare-free, 29.8% (n = 622) had mild flares, and 35.9% (n = 750) had moderate/severe flares at baseline. Baseline flare severity was related to future flares: rates during follow-up were higher in patients with moderate/severe baseline flares compared with those with mild or no baseline flares (89.6 vs 78.5 and 44.2 flares/100 patient years, respectively). Overall, 80.2% (n = 1675) of patients received glucocorticoids at least once during baseline and follow-up. Patients' HCRU was generally greatest in their baseline year. Costs were highest in patients with moderate/severe baseline flares.

CONCLUSION

Baseline flare severity provided insight into a patient's disease course and the clinical and economic burden of SLE over time, highlighting the ramifications of uncontrolled disease for patients with SLE.

[Current patient care of systematic lupus erythematosus in Rhineland-Palatinate and Saarland]

BACKGROUND

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a clinically heterogeneous autoimmune disease that is associated with great suffering for those affected, as well as high socioeconomic costs. Early diagnosis and adequate medical care are essential for a mild course of the disease. However, there is a lack of current figures and data on the care situation of patients in the area.

METHODOLOGY

A total of 1546 general practitioners, rheumatologists, neurologists, nephrologists and dermatologists in Rhineland-Palatinate and Saarland were interviewed by fax or mail using a questionnaire regarding epidemiology, symptoms, therapy and therapy success. In addition, there was the possibility of making suggestions for improvement.

RESULTS

Five out of six of the 635 reported SLE patients were female. The most common main symptoms were arthralgia, fatigue, myalgia, and skin changes. Of the patients, 68% received antimalarials (AMs), whereas 46% were treated with glucocorticoids (GCs) and 50% with an immunosuppressant (IS), mainly methotrexate. In terms of comorbidities, patients suffered mainly from cardiovascular disease, fibromyalgia syndrome and depression. Rheumatologists also frequently described anaemia, diabetes mellitus and osteoporosis.

DISCUSSION

Compared with guideline recommendations, the low rate of AMs in therapy was particularly striking in patients not treated by rheumatologists (35% on average compared with 81% for rheumatologists). Additionally, (sustained) high doses of GCs are not in line with literature recommendations. In the free text field, the main requests were for more rheumatologists in private practice and faster appointment scheduling, as well as better communication and networking. In addition, the desire for more training and education was frequently expressed..

The economic burden of systemic lupus erythematosus in United Arab Emirates

AIMS

Our study aims to provide an enhanced comprehension of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) burden in United Arab Emirates (UAE), over a five-year period from payer and societal perspective.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model was established to simulate the economic consequences of SLE among UAE population. It included four health states: i) the three phenotypes of SLE, representing mild, moderate, and severe states, and ii) death. Clinical parameters were retrieved from previous literature and validated using the Delphi panel-the most common clinical practice within the Emirati healthcare system. We calculated the disease management, transient events, and indirect costs by macro costing. One-way sensitivity analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

The estimated number of SLE patients in our study was 13,359. The number of SLE patients with mild, moderate, and severe phenotypes was 3,914, 8,109, and 1,336, respectively. Disease management costs, including treatment of each phenotype and disease follow-up, were AED 2 billion ($0.89 billion), whereas the costs of transient events (infections, flares, and consequences of SLE-related organ damage) were AED 1 billion ($0.44 billion). The productivity loss costs among adult-employed patients with SLE in the UAE were estimated at AED 7 billion ($3.1 billion). The total SLE cost over five years from payer and societal perspectives is estimated at AED 3 ($1.3 billion) and 10 billion ($4.4 billion), respectively. Additionally, the costs per patient per year from the payer and societal perspectives were AED 45,960 ($20,610) and AED 148,468 ($66,578), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrate that the burden of SLE in the UAE is enormous, mainly because of the costly complications and productivity loss. More awareness should be created to limit the progression of SLE and reduce the occurrence of flares, necessitating further economic evaluations of novel treatments that could help reduce the economic consequences of SLE in the UAE.

The economic burden of systemic lupus erythematosus in Mexico

AIMS

Our cost of illness study aimed to provide an estimate of the burden related to systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the Mexican context.

METHODS

Our model was used to simulate the resource utilization and economic consequences over a period of 5 years for patients with SLE in Mexico. The model simulated four health states-three phenotypes of SLE, including mild, moderate, and severe states, and death. Clinical parameters were retrieved from the literature. Resource utilization in our model represents the most common practice in the Mexican healthcare system. These include disease management, transient events (e.g. infections, flares, and complications due to SLE-related organ damage), and indirect costs. Direct non-medical costs were not considered. One-way sensitivity analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The number of targeted Mexican SLE patients was 57,754. The numbers of SLE patients diagnosed with mild, moderate, and severe phenotypes were 8,230, 44,291, and 5,233, respectively. Disease management costs, including the treatment of each phenotype and disease follow-up, were MXN 4 billion ($ 415 million); the costs of transient events (infections, flares, and consequences of SLE-related organ damage) were MXN 5 billion ($ 478 million). Productivity loss costs among adult employed Mexican patients with SLE were estimated at MXN 17 billion ($ 1.6 billion). The total SLE cost in Mexico over 5 years from the payer and societal perspectives is estimated at MXN 9 billion ($ 893 million) and 26 billion ($ 2.5 billion), respectively. Over 5 years, the costs per patient per year from the payer and societal perspectives were MXN 32,131($ 3,095) and MXN 91,661($ 8,830), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The findings pointed out the substantial economic burden associated with SLE, including the costs of disease progression and SLE transient events, such as flare-ups, infections, and organ damage, in addition to productivity loss due to work capacity impairment.

Real-World Burden of Immunosuppressant-Treated Lupus Nephritis: A German Claims Database Analysis

INTRODUCTION

This retrospective cohort study (GSK213737) aimed to characterize treatment patterns, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), and costs in patients with lupus nephritis (LN) initiating immunosuppressant therapy in clinical practice in Germany, to better understand the full picture of the real-world burden of LN.

METHODS

Adult patients with LN who initiated mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), intravenous cyclophosphamide (CYC), azathioprine (AZA), tacrolimus, cyclosporin A, or rituximab therapy in 2011-2017 (index therapy) were identified from the Betriebskrankenkassen German Sickness Fund database. Treatment patterns, including immunosuppressant discontinuations, and therapy switches, were assessed (maximum follow-up 4 years). Corticosteroid use, HCRU, and total economic costs were also evaluated. HCRU and costs were compared with matched controls (individuals without systemic lupus erythematosus [SLE]/LN matched by age, sex, and baseline Charlson Comorbidity Index).

RESULTS

Among 334 patients with LN, the median (interquartile range) duration of index immunosuppressant therapy use was 380.5 (126, 1064) days. Of those patients with 4 years complete enrollment, 70.8% had ≥ 1 discontinuation and 28.8% switched therapy. While most patients (71.2%) received only one immunosuppressant, gaps in treatment were common. After 1 year of follow-up, 41.6% of patients had a prednisone-equivalent corticosteroid dose of ≥ 7.5 mg/day. Patients with LN had greater HCRU use for most categories assessed and increased mean total costs per person-year versus controls (€15,115.99 versus €4,081.88 in the first year of follow-up).

CONCLUSIONS

This real-world analysis demonstrated the considerable burden of immunosuppressant-treated LN in Germany, with a high rate of discontinuations, frequent use of high-dose corticosteroids, and substantial HCRU/costs.

Systematic review to estimate the prevalence of inflammatory rheumatic diseases in Germany

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to update the prevalence estimates of inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRD) in Germany.

METHODS

A systematic literature search in PubMed and Web of Science (last search 08 November 2022) identified original articles (regional and nationwide surveys and claims data analyses for arthritides, connective tissue diseases, and vasculitides) on prevalences for the period 2014-2022. Data sources, collection period, case definition, and risk of bias are reported. Prevalences were estimated from available national data, with consideration of international data.

RESULTS

Screening by two authors yielded 263 hits, of which 18 claims data analyses and 2 surveys met the inclusion criteria. Prevalences ranged from 0.42 to 1.85% (rheumatoid arthritis), 0.32-0.5% (ankylosing spondylitis), 0.11-0.32% (psoriatic arthritis), 0.037-0.14% (systemic lupus erythematosus), 0.07-0.77% (Sjögren's disease/sicca syndrome), 0.14-0.15% (polymyalgia rheumatica, ≥ 40 years), 0.04-0.05% (giant cell arteritis, ≥ 50 years), and 0.015-0.026% (ANCA-associated vasculitis). The risk of bias was moderate in 13 and high in 7 studies. Based on the results, we estimate the prevalence of IRD in Germany to be 2.2-3.0%, which corresponds to approximately 1.5-2.1 million affected individuals. The prevalence of juvenile idiopathic arthritis was reported to be around 0.10% (0.07-0.10%) of 0-18-year-olds, corresponding to about 14,000 children and adolescents in Germany.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review shows an increase in the prevalence of IRD in Germany, which is almost exclusively based on claims data analyses. In the absence of multistage population studies, the available data are, overall, uncertain sources for prevalence estimates, with a moderate to high risk of bias.

[Systematic review to estimate the prevalence of inflammatory rheumatic diseases in Germany. German version]

OBJECTIVE

To update the estimated prevalence of inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRD) in Germany.

METHODS

A systematic literature search in PubMed and Web of Science (last search 8 November 2022) identified original articles (regional and nationwide surveys and routine data analyses for arthritides, connective tissue diseases, and vasculitides) on the prevalence for the period 2014-2022. Data sources, collection period, case definition, and risk of bias are reported. The prevalences were estimated from available national data, with consideration of international data.

RESULTS

Screening by 2 authors yielded 263 hits, of which 18 routine data analyses and 2 surveys met the inclusion criteria. Prevalence data ranged from 0.42% to 1.85% (rheumatoid arthritis), 0.32-0.5% (ankylosing spondylitis), 0.11-0.32% (psoriatic arthritis), 0.037-0.14% (systemic lupus erythematosus), 0.07-0.77% (Sjoegren's disease/sicca syndrome), 0.14-0.15% (polymyalgia rheumatica, ≥ 40 years), 0.04-0.05% (giant cell arteritis, ≥ 50 years), and 0.015-0.026% (ANCA-associated vasculitis). The risk of bias was moderate in 13 and high in 7 studies. Based on the results, we estimate the prevalence of IRD in Germany to be 2.2-3.0%, which corresponds to approximately 1.5-2.1 million affected individuals. Prevalence data of juvenile idiopathic arthritis was reported to be around 0.10% (0.07-0.10%) of patients 0-18 years old, corresponding to about 14,000 children and adolescents in Germany.

CONCLUSION

This systematic review shows an increase in the prevalence of IRD in Germany, which is almost exclusively based on routine data analyses. In the absence of multistage population studies, the available data are overall uncertain sources for prevalence estimates at moderate to high risk of bias.

Adverse Outcomes, Healthcare Resource Utilization, and Costs Associated with Systemic Corticosteroid use Among Adults with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the UK

INTRODUCTION

This analysis was conducted to assess the incidence of adverse clinical outcomes, healthcare resource use (HCRU), and the costs associated with systemic corticosteroid (SCS) use in adults with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the UK.

METHODS

We identified incident SLE cases using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD, Hospital Episode Statistics-linked healthcare, and Office for National Statistics mortality databases from January 1, 2005, to June 30, 2019. Adverse clinical outcomes, HCRU, and costs were captured for patients with and without prescribed SCS.

RESULTS

Of 715 patients, 301 (42%) had initiated SCS use (mean [standard deviation (SD)] 3.2 [6.0] mg/day) and 414 (58%) had no recorded SCS use post-SLE diagnosis. Cumulative incidence of any adverse clinical outcome over 10-year follow-up was 50% (SCS group) and 22% (non-SCS group), with osteoporosis diagnosis/fracture most frequently reported. SCS exposure in the past 90 days was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.41 (95% confidence interval 1.77-3.26) for any adverse clinical outcome, with increased hazard for osteoporosis diagnosis/fracture (5.26, 3.61-7.65) and myocardial infarction (4.52, 1.16-17.71). Compared to low-dose SCS (< 7.5 mg/day), patients on high-dose SCS (≥ 7.5 mg/day) had increased hazard for myocardial infarction (14.93, 2.71-82.31), heart failure (9.32, 2.45-35.43), osteoporosis diagnosis/fracture (5.14, 2.82-9.37), and type 2 diabetes (4.02 1.13-14.27). Each additional year of SCS use was associated with increased hazard for any adverse clinical outcome (1.15, 1.05-1.27). HCRU and costs were greater for SCS users than non-SCS users.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with SLE, there is a higher burden of adverse clinical outcomes and greater HCRU in SCS versus non-SCS users.

Healthcare Resource Use and Costs Associated with Organ Damage in Newly Diagnosed Adults with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the UK

INTRODUCTION

This analysis compared healthcare resource use (HCRU) and costs associated with incident organ damage in a cohort of adult patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

Incident SLE cases were identified (Clinical Practice Research Datalink [CPRD] and Hospital Episode Statistics-linked healthcare databases; January 1, 2005-June 30, 2019). Annual incidence of 13 organ damage domains was calculated from SLE diagnosis through follow-up. Annualized HCRU and costs were compared between organ damage and non-organ damage patient groups using generalized estimating equations.

RESULTS

A total of 936 patients met the inclusion criteria for SLE. Mean age was 48.0 (standard deviation [SD] 15.7) years and 88% were female. Over a median follow-up period of 4.3 (interquartile range [IQR] 1.9-7.0) years, 59% (315/533) had evidence of post-SLE diagnosis incident organ damage (≥ 1 type), which was greatest for musculoskeletal (146/819 [18%]), cardiovascular (149/842 [18%]), and skin (148/856 [17%]) domains. Patients with organ damage had greater resource use for all organ systems, excluding gonadal, versus those without it. Overall, mean (SD) annualized all-cause HCRU was greater in patients with organ damage versus those without it (inpatient, 1.0 versus 0.2; outpatient, 7.3 versus 3.5; accident and emergency, 0.5 versus 0.2 days; primary care contacts, 28.7 versus 16.5; prescription medications, 62.3 versus 22.9). Adjusted mean annualized all-cause costs were significantly greater in both post- and pre-organ damage index periods for patients with organ damage versus those without it (all P < 0.05, excluding gonadal). Overall organ damage was associated with significantly increased adjusted mean annualized per-patient cost (£4442 greater [P < 0.0001]) ranging between £2709 and £7150 greater depending on the organ damage type.

CONCLUSION

Organ damage was associated with higher HCRU and healthcare costs, before and after SLE diagnosis. More effective SLE management may slow disease progression, prevent organ damage onset, improve clinical outcomes, and reduce healthcare costs.

Clinical and economic characterization of mild, moderate, and severe systemic lupus erythematosus: Real-world observation across payer channels in the United States

BACKGROUND: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease affecting as many as 322,000 people in the United States. Because of heterogeneity in both disease course and clinical manifestations, it is critical to identify a prevalent SLE population that includes patients with moderate or severe disease. Additionally, differences in the clinical and economic burden of SLE may exist across payer channels, yet to date this has not been reported in any previous studies. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the clinical and economic burden of SLE across disease severity and payer channels. METHODS: This retrospective study included patients from Merative MarketScan Commercial, Medicare Supplemental, and Medicaid databases from 2013 to 2020 (Commercial/Medicare) or 2013 to 2019 (Medicaid), with at least 1 inpatient or at least 2 outpatient SLE claims and no invalid steroid claims. The index date was a random SLE claim with at least 12 months of disease history. Patients were continuously enrolled 1 year pre-index (baseline) and 1 year post-index and classified with mild, moderate, or severe disease using a published algorithm. Baseline demographics, clinical characteristics, flares, and utilization/costs were compared across disease severity. RESULTS: 22,385 Commercial, 2,035 Medicare, and 8,083 Medicaid patients had SLE. Most Medicaid patients (51.1%) had severe disease. Comorbidity scores increased with disease severity (P < 0.001). 30.7% of Commercial, 34.1% Medicare, and 51.3% Medicaid patients had opioids, which increased with disease severity (P < 0.001). All-cause costs ranged from 1.8- to 2.3-fold for moderate vs mild and 4.2- to 6.5-fold for severe vs mild. Outpatient medical costs accounted for the highest proportion of all-cause costs, except Medicaid patients with severe disease, for whom inpatient costs were highest. Mean (SD) SLE-related annual costs were $23,030 (43,304) vs $1,738 (4,427) in severe vs mild for Commercial, $12,264 (31,896) vs $2,024 (4,998) for Medicare, and $7,572 (27,719) vs $787 (3,797) for Medicaid (P < 0.001). For patients with severe disease in Medicaid, 16.5% and 60.1% had inpatient and emergency department (ED) visits, respectively, vs 10.3% and 26.5% Commercial vs 10.6% and 24.6% Medicare. Mean [SD] flares per year in the baseline period increased from 2.5 [1.7] in mild to 4.6 [1.9] in severe for Commercial, 3.2 [1.9] to 5.0 [2.1] for Medicare, and 2.0 [1.6] to 4.5 [2.0] for Medicaid. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with severe SLE experienced more comorbidities, flares, and utilization/costs. Outpatient costs were the largest driver of all-cause costs for Commercial and Medicare (and Medicaid for mild to moderate SLE). Medicaid beneficiaries had the highest rate of severe SLE, highest use of ED and inpatient services, and highest oral corticosteroid and opioid use but the lowest utilization of disease-modifying treatments. Results demonstrate an unmet need in SLE treatment, especially among patients with moderate to severe disease or Medicaid coverage. DISCLOSURES: This study was funded by AstraZeneca. Drs Wu and Bryant are current employees of AstraZeneca and may own stock and/or options. At the time of the study, Ms Perry and Mr Tkacz were employed by IBM Watson Health, which received funding from AstraZeneca to conduct this study.

Global epidemiology of systemic lupus erythematosus: a comprehensive systematic analysis and modelling study

OBJECTIVES

To quantify global, regional and country-specific estimates of epidemiology of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

Four databases were systematically searched, and a Bayesian hierarchical linear mixed model was constructed to estimate the global, regional, and country-specific incidence and prevalence of SLE.

RESULTS

112 studies met the inclusion criteria. The global SLE incidence and newly diagnosed population were estimated to be 5.14 (1.4 to 15.13) per 100 000 person-years and 0.40 million people annually, respectively. In women, the values were 8.82 (2.4 to 25.99) per 100 000 person-years and 0.34 million people annually, while in men, the estimates were 1.53 (0.41 to 4.46) per 100 000 person-years and 0.06 million people annually, respectively. Poland, the USA and Barbados had the highest estimates of SLE incidence. Regarding prevalence, the global SLE prevalence and affected population were estimated to be 43.7 (15.87 to 108.92) per 100 000 persons and 3.41 million people, respectively. In women, the values were 78.73 (28.61 to 196.33) per 100 000 persons and 3.04 million people, while in men the estimates were 9.26 (3.36 to 22.97) per 100 000 persons and 0.36 million people, respectively. The United Arab Emirates, Barbados and Brazil had the highest SLE prevalence. In addition to regional and sex differences, age and prevalence estimation method (period or point prevalence) differences could also lead to variations in epidemiological SLE findings.

CONCLUSIONS

Epidemiological data on SLE are lacking for 79.8% of countries worldwide. The epidemiology of SLE varies substantially between different sex and age groups and is distributed unequally among geographical regions; specifically, SLE occurs more frequently in high-income countries.

Annual Direct Cost and Cost-Drivers of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Multi-Center Cross-Sectional Study from CSTAR Registry

BACKGROUND

To estimate the annual direct costs and cost-drivers associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients in China.

METHODS

A multi-center, cross-sectional study was conducted based on the CSTAR registry. The information on demography and expenditures for outpatient and inpatient visits due to SLE were collected using online questionnaires. These patients' medical records were from the database of the Chinese Rheumatology Information System (CRIS). The average direct costs and 95% confidence interval were estimated using the bootstrap method with 1000 bootstrap samples by resampling with replacement. The cost-drivers were identified using multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 1778 SLE patients from 101 hospitals participated in our study, with 92.58% as females, a mean age of 33.8 years old, a median duration of SLE of 4.9 years, 63.8% in an active disease state, 77.3% with two organs or more damaged, and 8.3% using biologics as treatment. The average annual direct cost per patient was estimated at CNY 29,727, which approximates to 86% for direct medical costs. For moderate to severe disease activities, the use of biologics, hospitalization, treatment of moderate or high dose glucocorticoids, and peripheral vascular, cardiovascular, and/or renal system involvements were found to substantially increase the direct costs, while health insurance slightly decreased the direct costs of SLE.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provided reliable insight into financial pressures on individual SLE patients in China. The efforts focusing on preventing flare occurrences and limiting disease progression were recommended to further reduce the direct cost of SLE.

Autoimmune pre-disease

Approximately 5% of the world-wide population is affected by autoimmune diseases. Overall, autoimmune diseases are still difficult to treat, impose a high burden on patients, and have a significant economic impact. Like other complex diseases, e.g., cancer, autoimmune diseases develop over several years. Decisive steps in the development of autoimmune diseases are (i) the development of autoantigen-specific lymphocytes and (often) autoantibodies and (ii) potentially clinical disease manifestation at a later stage. However, not all healthy individuals with autoantibodies develop disease manifestations. Identifying autoantibody-positive healthy individuals and monitoring and inhibiting their switch to inflammatory autoimmune disease conditions are currently in their infancy. The switch from harmless to inflammatory autoantigen-specific T and B-cell and autoantibody responses seems to be the hallmark for the decisive factor in inflammatory autoimmune disease conditions. Accordingly, biomarkers allowing us to predict this progression would have a significant impact. Several factors, such as genetics and the environment, especially diet, smoking, exposure to pollutants, infections, stress, and shift work, might influence the progression from harmless to inflammatory autoimmune conditions. To inspire research directed at defining and ultimately targeting autoimmune predisease, here, we review published evidence underlying the progression from health to autoimmune predisease and ultimately to clinically manifest inflammatory autoimmune disease, addressing the following 3 questions: (i) what is the current status, (ii) what is missing, (iii) and what are the future perspectives for defining and modulating autoimmune predisease.

Risk prediction models for incident systemic lupus erythematosus among women in the Nurses' health study cohorts using genetics, family history, and lifestyle and environmental factors

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a severe multisystem autoimmune disease that predominantly affects women. Its etiology is complex and multifactorial, with several known genetic and environmental risk factors, but accurate risk prediction models are still lacking. We developed SLE risk prediction models, incorporating known genetic, lifestyle and environmental risk factors, and family history.

METHODS

We performed a nested case-control study within the Nurses' Health Study cohorts (NHS). NHS began in 1976 and enrolled 121,700 registered female nurses ages 30-55 from 11 U.S. states; NHSII began in 1989 and enrolled 116,430 registered female nurses ages 25-42 from 14 U.S. states. Participants were asked about lifestyle, reproductive and environmental exposures, as well as medical information, on biennial questionnaires. Incident SLE cases were self-reported and validated by medical record review (Updated 1997 American College of Rheumatology classification criteria). Those with banked blood samples for genotyping (∼25% of each cohort), were selected and matched by age (± 4 years) and race/ethnicity to women who had donated a blood sample but did not develop SLE. Lifestyle and reproductive variables, including smoking, alcohol use, body mass index, sleep, socioeconomic status, U.S. region, menarche age, oral contraceptive use, menopausal status/postmenopausal hormone use, and family history of SLE or rheumatoid arthritis (RA) were assessed through the questionnaire prior to SLE diagnosis questionnaire cycle (or matched index date). Genome-wide genotyping results were used to calculate a SLE weighted genetic risk score (wGRS) using 86 published single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and 10 classical HLA alleles associated with SLE. We compared four sequential multivariable logistic regression models of SLE risk prediction, each calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 1) SLE wGRS, 2) SLE/RA family history, 3) lifestyle, environmental and reproductive factors and 4) combining model 1-3 factors. Models were internally validated using a bootstrapped estimate of optimism of the AUC. We also examined similar sequential models to predict anti-dsDNA positive SLE risk.

RESULTS

We identified and matched 138 women who developed incident SLE to 1136 women who did not. Models 1-4 yielded AUCs 0.63 (95%CI 0.58-0.68), 0.64 (95%CI 0.59-0.68), 0.71(95% CI 0.66-0.75), and 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.81). Model 4 based on genetics, family history and eight lifestyle and environmental factors had best discrimination, with an optimism-corrected AUC 0.75. AUCs for similar models predicting anti-dsDNA positive SLE risk, were 0.60, 0.63, 0.81 and 0.82, with optimism corrected AUC of 0.79 for model 4.

CONCLUSION

A final model including SLE weighted genetic risk score, family history and eight lifestyle and environmental SLE risk factors accurately classified future SLE risk with optimism corrected AUC of 0.75. To our knowledge, this is the first SLE prediction model based on known risk factors. It might be feasibly employed in at-risk populations as genetic data are increasingly available and the risk factors easily assessed. The NHS cohorts include few non-White women and mean age at incident SLE was early 50s, calling for further research in younger and more diverse cohorts.

Economic Burden of Comorbidities in Patients with Psoriasis in the USA

INTRODUCTION

This study assessed the comorbidity burden, healthcare resource utilization (HCRU), and costs associated with patients with moderate to severe psoriasis (PsO) compared with a matched cohort of the general population without PsO in the USA.

METHODS

Comorbidity-related HCRU (incidence rate ratios [IRRs]) and direct medical cost burden (per patient per month [PPPM] 2020 USD) in patients with moderate to severe PsO in the USA, previously apremilast- and biologic-naive, but currently treated, versus the general population were assessed through a retrospective cohort study using IBM (now Merative) MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Claims data (1 January 2006 to 31 December 2019). Comorbidities included cardiovascular, mental health, pulmonary, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, hypertension, peripheral vascular, liver, obesity, and other autoimmune disorders.

RESULTS

There are increased all-cause HCRU and costs in patients with PsO compared with the general population. These differences (PsO-general population) in HCRU and costs (IRR visits; PPPM) are associated with specific comorbidities, including mental health (1.08; $372), chronic pulmonary disease (1.07; $135), diabetes (1.10; $159), hyperlipidemia (1.13; $203), hypertension (1.13; $305), liver disease (1.21; $360), and obesity (1.12; $145, all P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with PsO experience a higher economic burden of comorbidities than the general population despite using currently available systemic treatments for PsO.

Utility of the ACR-1997, SLICC-2012 and EULAR/ACR-2019 classification criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus: a single-centre retrospective study

Background and aims

Several different versions of classification criteria, including the American College of Rheumatology (ACR)-1997, Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC)-2012 and European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR)/ACR-2019 classification criteria, have been launched in the past decades. The current study aimed to investigate the performance of these three classification criteria for diagnosing patients with SLE in a Chinese cohort.

Methods

352 patients with SLE and 385 controls with other diseases who had the detection results of ANA were enrolled into the study. Various clinical parameters were estimated, such as demographics variables, clinical characteristics and other variables related to three criteria.

Results

The current study demonstrated great diagnostic ability of the three criteria; and the receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the diagnostic ability of three criteria: ACR-1997 (AUC=0.972), SLICC-2012 (AUC=0.986) and EULAR/ACR-2019 (AUC=0.983). Despite lower specificity of the SLICC-2012 and EULAR/ACR-2019 classification criteria, their sensitivity is significantly improved than ACR-1997. Of note, we also compared the median time interval between the appearance of the earliest item and fulfilment of the three sets of criteria, suggesting the SLICC-2012 and EULAR/ACR-2019 could achieve earlier diagnosis. Adjusting the thresholds of the EULAR/ACR-2019 criteria from 10 to 12, the specificity and accuracy significantly increased.

Conclusion

The SLICC-2012 and EULAR/ACR-2019 performed well in Chinese patients with SLE and showed better early diagnosis ability. In addition, by adjusting the classification threshold, the accuracy of the EULAR/ACR-2019 classification criteria was improved.

Conceptual framework for defining disease modification in systemic lupus erythematosus: a call for formal criteria

Disease modification has become a well-established concept in several therapeutic areas; however, no widely accepted definition of disease modification exists for SLE.

We reviewed established definitions of disease modification in other conditions and identified a meaningful effect on ‘disease manifestations’ (ie, signs, symptoms and patient-reported outcomes) and on ‘disease outcomes’ (eg, long-term remission or progression of damage) as the key principles of disease modification, indicating a positive effect on the natural course of the disease. Based on these findings and the treatment goals and outcome measures for SLE, including lupus nephritis, we suggest a definition of disease modification based on disease activity indices and organ damage outcomes, with the latter as a key anchor. A set of evaluation criteria is also suggested.

Establishing a definition of disease modification in SLE will clarify which treatments can be considered disease modifying, provide an opportunity to harmonise future clinical trial outcomes and enable comparison between therapies, all of which could ultimately help to improve patient outcomes. This publication seeks to catalyse further discussion and provide a framework to develop an accepted definition of disease modification in SLE.

Comparing longitudinal patient-reported outcome measures between Swedish patients with recent-onset systemic lupus erythematosus and early rheumatoid arthritis

The onset of rheumatic disease affects each patient differently and may impact quality of life with progression. We investigated the relationship between patient-reported outcome measure (PROM) scores and organ damage in patients with recent-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and those with early rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Patients with recent-onset SLE without prior organ damage from the Clinical Lupus Register in Northeastern Gothia and patients with early RA from the observational 2nd Timely Interventions in Early RA study, Sweden, were included. Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology damage index (SDI) was used to assess organ damage. PROM (visual analog scale [VAS]: pain, fatigue, well-being, Health Assessment Questionnaire, and EQ-5D-3L) scores were captured at months 0, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48, and 60 after diagnosis. Statistical tests included Pearson correlation coefficients and t-tests. Forty-one patients with recent-onset SLE and 522 with early RA were included. Numerical differences were seen in age and sex. PROMs were worse for patients with RA versus SLE but improved by month 6 following diagnosis, while SLE PROMs remained stable. The incidence of organ damage in SLE was 13.6 per 100 patient-years. SDI significantly correlated with EQ-5D-3L (− 0.48, P = 0.003), VAS fatigue (0.44, P = 0.009), and well-being (0.41, P = 0.01) at month 24. As illustrated, the complexity of disease burden in patients with SLE is clear and may result from disease-related multiorgan system effects and slower symptom resolution compared with RA. This underscores the need for improved multiprofessional interventions to manage all aspects of SLE.

Key Points • We observed an evident discrepancy in patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) between patients with recent-onset SLE and early RA. • Despite differences in PROMs between patients with recent-onset SLE and early RA, both groups had prominent self-reported disability during the study period. • PROM scores for patients with RA were generally worse than those with SLE but improved by month 6, whereas PROM scores for patients with SLE remained stable over time. • Our findings underline the need of new therapeutic options and interventions for SLE disease management, including pharmacologic and multiprofessional aspects.

Comorbidity and healthcare utilisation in persons with incident systemic lupus erythematosus followed for 3 years after diagnosis: analysis of a claims data cohort

Objective

To analyse comorbidity and healthcare utilisation in individuals with SLE.

Methods

A cohort of individuals with incident SLE diagnosis in 2016 were investigated using claims data from a German statutory health insurance fund. Concomitant diagnoses, medical prescriptions, hospitalisation and sick leave were analysed in the year prior to diagnosis and during a 3-year follow-up in comparison with age-matched and sex-matched controls (1) without autoimmune diseases and (2) with incident diabetes mellitus. Sensitivity analyses were performed excluding cases with additional autoimmune diagnoses and without prescription of antimalarials.

Results

Among 571 individuals with SLE, hypertension (48%), depression (30%), hyperlipidaemia (25%), osteoarthritis (25%) and osteoporosis (20%) were the most frequent comorbidities in 2016. Cerebrovascular disease was documented in 9.6%. The number of drugs (mean 9.6, ∆+6.2), hospitalisation (40%, ∆+27%) and days on sick leave (median 46 days, ∆+27 days) increased significantly in the first year with SLE diagnosis. Individuals with SLE were more frequently hospitalised and had more medications compared with both control groups (all p<0.001). The increase in comorbidity diagnoses was low in controls without autoimmune diseases, while controls with diabetes showed a more pronounced increase in cardiovascular risk factors, but less in osteoporosis and cerebrovascular disease. Sensitivity analyses showed comparable results.

Conclusion

Comorbidities are frequently detected at the time of diagnosis of SLE. High numbers of drug prescriptions and hospitalisation following SLE diagnosis reflect the comprehensive disease burden. The comparison with incident diabetes shows that differences with controls without autoimmune disease are overestimated by detection bias.