Incidence of Heart Failure Observed in Emergency Departments, Ambulatory Clinics, and Hospitals

Cross-sectional study to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on healthcare services and clinical admissions using statistical analysis and discovering hotspots in three regions of the Greater Toronto Area

OBJECTIVES

The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted healthcare services, leading to the cancellation of non-urgent tests, screenings and procedures, a shift towards remote consultations, stalled childhood immunisations and clinic closures which had detrimental effects across the healthcare system. This study investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on clinical admissions and healthcare quality in the Peel, York and Toronto regions within the Greater Toronto Area (GTA).

DESIGN

In a cross-sectional study, the negative impact of the pandemic on various healthcare sectors, including preventive and primary care (PPC), the emergency department (ED), alternative level of care (ALC) and imaging, procedures and surgeries is investigated. Study questions include assessing impairments caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and discovering hotspots and critical subregions that require special attention to recover. The measuring technique involves comparing the number of cases during the COVID-19 pandemic with before that, and determining the difference in percentage. Statistical analyses (Mann-Whitney U test, analysis of variance, Dunn's test) is used to evaluate sector-specific changes and inter-relationships.

SETTING

This work uses primary data which were collected by the Black Creek Community Health Centre. The study population was from three regions of GTA, namely, the city of Toronto, York and Peel. For all health sectors, the sample size was large enough to have a statistical power of 0.95 to capture 1% variation in the number of cases during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with before that.

RESULTS

All sectors experienced a significant decline in patient volume during the pandemic. ALC admissions surged in some areas, while IPS patients faced delays. Surgery waitlists increased by an average of 9.75%, and completed IPS procedures decreased in several subregions.

CONCLUSIONS

The COVID-19 pandemic had a universally negative impact on healthcare sectors across various subregions. Identification of the hardest-hit subregions in each sector can assist health officials in crafting recovery policies.

Low- vs high-dose ARNI effects on clinical status, exercise performance and cardiac function in real-life HFrEF patients

Purpose

Only a few studies are available on dose-related effects of sacubitril/valsartan (angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibition (ARNI)) in real-life patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We sought to investigate clinical and functional effects in real-life HFrEF patients receiving ARNI at a different cumulative dose.

Methods

This was an observational study in consecutive outpatients admitted for HFrEF from October 2017 to June 2019. The PARADIGM criteria were needed for enrolment. ARNI was uptitrated according to blood pressure, drug tolerability, renal function and kaliemia. At least 10-month follow-up was required in each patient. Clinical assessment, Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) score, 6-min walk test and strain echocardiography were performed in each patient on a regular basis during the observational period. At the end of the study, patients were divided into two groups based on the median yearly dose of the ARNI medication.

Results

A total of 90 patients, 64 ± 11 years, 82% males, were enrolled. The cut-off dose was established in 75 mg BID, and the study population was divided into group A (≤ 75 mg), 52 patients (58%), and group B (> 75 mg), 38 patients (42%). The follow-up duration was 12 months (range 11–13). NYHA class, KCCQ score and 6MWT performance ameliorated in both groups, with a quicker time to benefit in group B. The proportion of patients walking > 350 m increased from 21 to 58% in group A (p < 0.001), and from 29 to 82% in group B (p < 0.001). A positive effect was also disclosed in the left ventricular remodelling, strain deformation and diastolic function.

Conclusion

One-year ARNI treatment was effective in our real-life HFrEF patient population, leading to clinical and functional improvement in both study groups, slightly greater and with a shorter time to benefit in group B.

Supplementary information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00228-021-03210-0.

Temporal trends in the burden of heart failure

Heart failure is a common healthcare problem associated with high morbidity and mortality. The burden of heart failure is changing; increases secondary to an ageing population may be offset by improved primary cardiovascular prevention and advances in heart failure therapies. In this review, we evaluate recent international trends in heart failure incidence, morbidity and mortality. Although the age-standardised incidence of heart failure has been decreasing since 2000, the incidence in those age groups <55 years is increasing with patients being diagnosed at younger ages. Despite improvements in therapies for heart failure, prognosis still remains poor with up to one-third of patients not surviving beyond 1 year following diagnosis and no improvements in mortality over the past 10 years. The case-mix of heart failure patients is changing with a greater proportion having non-ischaemic aetiology and preserved ejection fraction, and a higher prevalence of non-cardiovascular comorbidity and mortality.

Effects of Sacubitril/Valsartan in Patients with High Arrhythmic Risk and an ICD: A Longitudinal Study

PURPOSE

Patients affected by heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) receive clinical and functional beneficial effects from treatment with sacubitril/valsartan. However previous studies have shown that patients with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) could obtain even greater benefit, but only make up a only a small proportion of patients. In the current study we evaluated the effect of sacubitril/valsartan in patients with an ICD.

METHODS

Thirty-five outpatients with HFrEF (aged 60 ± 11 years, 28 were males), on optimal medical therapy were studied. All patients received an ICD at least 6 months before enrollment or were non-responders to ICD plus resynchronization (CRT-D). An open-label sacubitril/valsartan treatment was established at the maximum tolerated dose. Clinical assessment, 6-min walk test (6MWT) and echocardiography, were performed during follow-up at 90, 180, and 360 days. Quality of life score and perceived fatigue on exercise were assessed.

RESULTS

Clinical conditions dramatically improved in most patients, especially within the first 6 months of therapy (76 % were in NYHA-I and 24 % in NYHA-II at the end of study vs 71 % NYHA-II and 29 % NYHA III at enrollment, p < 0.001). Quality of life and exercise performance significantly improved according to N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) serum levels lowering. Walking distance at 6MWT increased from 274 ± 97 to 389 ± 53 m and walking speed from 0.74 ± 0.27 to 1.07 ± 0.15 m/s (p < 0.001), while oxygen saturation did not differ significantly (from 90 ± 1 % to 91 ± 2 %). More gradual was left ventricular reverse remodeling. Ejection fraction improved mildly (+ 5 points %, p < 0.001). Global longitudinal strain and diastolic function were also assessed over time.

CONCLUSION

Sacubitril/valsartan therapy for HFrEF may lead to significant clinical and functional improvements even in patients with ICD at greater arrhythmic risk. Clinical improvement is obtained within the first 6 months of treatment while reverse remodeling needs more time.

The Effect of Emergency Department Visits and Inflammatory Markers on One-Year Mortality in Patients with Heart Failure

The neurohumoral and inflammatory pathways proposed for the development and progression of heart failure (HF) remain up-to-date. We aimed to investigate the effect of emergency department (ED) visits and inflammatory markers on mortality in HF patients. Two-hundred patients with stable chronic HF followed by the cardiology clinic were included in this study. The patients were divided into two groups as patients who had visited the ED due to worsening HF symptoms within the last 6 months (ED visit Group) and who had not (No ED visit Group). The demographical properties, clinical characteristics, and laboratory values including inflammatory markers of the patients were recorded. During the follow-up period, 38 patients (19%) died. In HF patients with previous ED visits, the mortality risk was 2.091 times higher (relative risk, RR). It was identified that the HF patients who died during the follow-up had higher initial NLR (p = 0.004), IG% (p = 0.029), hs-CRP (p = 0.001), and NT-proBNP (p = 0.004) values. It was observed that the area under the curve (AUC) values, NLR (AUC: 0.705, p < 0.001), IG% (AUC: 0.652, p = 0.003), and hs-CRP (AUC: 0.732, p < 0.001) were very strong predictors of the 1-year mortality. According to the cut-off points, the mortality risk (RR) was 3.39 times higher in patients with NLR > 3.7 (95% CI 1.783-6.444), 2.39 times higher when IG% > 0.4 (95% CI 1.16-4.957), and 4,2 times higher when hs-CRP > 9.9 mg/dl (95% CI 2.16-8.16) (p < 0.05). The patients with chronic stable HF who visited the ED within the last six months and having increased NLR, IG%, and CRP levels among inflammatory markers were associated with a higher mortality risk at 1 year.

New-onset heart failure after acute coronary syndrome in patients without heart failure or left ventricular dysfunction

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Coronary heart disease is the leading cause of heart failure (HF). The aim of this study was to assess the risk of readmission for HF in patients with acute coronary syndrome without previous HF or left ventricular dysfunction.

METHODS

Prospective study of consecutive patients admitted for acute coronary syndrome in 2 institutions. Risk factors for HF were analyzed by competing risk regression, taking all-cause mortality as a competing event.

RESULTS

We included 5962 patients and 567 (9.5%) experienced at least 1 hospital readmission for acute HF. Median follow-up was 63 months and median time to HF readmission was 27.1 months. The cumulative incidence of HF was higher than mortality in the first 7 years after hospital discharge. A higher risk of HF readmission was associated with age, diabetes, previous coronary heart disease, GRACE score> 140, peripheral arterial disease, renal dysfunction, hypertension and atrial fibrillation; a lower risk was associated with optimal medical treatment. The incidence of HF in the first year of follow-up was 2.73% and no protective variables were found. A simple HF risk score predicted HF readmissions risk.

CONCLUSIONS

One out of 10 patients discharged after an acute coronary syndrome without previous HF or left ventricular dysfunction had new-onset HF and the risk was higher than the risk of mortality. A simple clinical score can estimate individual risk of HF readmission even in patients without previous HF or left ventricular dysfunction.

The Prevalence of Cognitive Impairment Among Adults With Incident Heart Failure: The "Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke" (REGARDS) Study

BACKGROUND

Cognitive impairment (CI) is estimated to be present in 25%-80% of heart failure (HF) patients, but its prevalence at diagnosis is unclear. To improve our understanding of cognition in HF, we determined the prevalence of CI among adults with incident HF in the REGARDS study.

METHODS AND RESULTS

REGARDS is a longitudinal cohort study of adults ≥45 years of age recruited in the years 2003-2007. Incident HF was expert adjudicated. Cognitive function was assessed with the Six-Item Screener. The prevalence of CI among those with incident HF was compared with the prevalence of CI among an age-, sex-, and race-matched cohort without HF. The 436 participants with incident HF had a mean age of 70.3 years (SD 8.9), 47% were female, and 39% were black. Old age, black race, female sex, less education, and anticoagulation use were associated with CI. The prevalence of CI among participants with incident HF (14.9% [95% CI 11.7%-18.6%]) was similar to the non-HF matched cohort (13.4% [11.6%-15.4%]; P < .43).

CONCLUSIONS

A total of 14.9% of the adults with incident HF had CI, suggesting that the majority of cognitive decline occurs after HF diagnosis. Increased awareness of CI among newly diagnosed patients and ways to mitigate it in the context of HF management are warranted.

Socioeconomic status and access to care and the incidence of a heart failure diagnosis in the inpatient and outpatient settings

PURPOSE

Despite well-documented associations of socioeconomic status with incident heart failure (HF) hospitalization, little information exists on the relationship of socioeconomic status with HF diagnosed in the outpatient (OP) setting.

METHODS

We used Poisson models to examine the association of area-level indicators of educational attainment, poverty, living situation, and density of primary care physicians with incident HF diagnosed in the inpatient (IP) and OP settings among a cohort of Medicare beneficiaries (n = 109,756; 2001-2013).

RESULTS

The age-standardized rate of HF incidence was 35.8 (95% confidence interval [CI], 35.1-36.5) and 13.9 (95% CI, 13.5-14.4) cases per 1000 person-years in IP and OP settings, respectively. The incidence rate differences (IRDs) per 1000 person-years in both settings suggested greater incidence of HF in high- compared to low-poverty areas (IP IRD = 4.47 [95% CI, 3.29-5.65], OP IRD = 1.41 [95% CI, 0.61-2.22]) and in low- compared to high-education areas (IP IRD = 3.73 [95% CI, 2.63-4.82], OP IRD = 1.72 [95% CI, 0.97-2.47]).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results highlight the role of area-level social determinants of health in the incidence of HF in both the IP and OP settings. These findings may have implications for HF prevention policies.