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Yashin AI, Wu D, Arbeev K, Bagley O, Akushevich I, Duan M, Yashkin A, Ukraintseva S. Interplay between stress-related genes may influence Alzheimer's disease development: The results of genetic interaction analyses of human data. Mech Ageing Dev 2021; 196:111477. [PMID: 33798591 PMCID: PMC8173104 DOI: 10.1016/j.mad.2021.111477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2020] [Revised: 03/22/2021] [Accepted: 03/23/2021] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Emerging evidence from experimental and clinical research suggests that stress-related genes may play key roles in AD development. The fact that genome-wide association studies were not able to detect a contribution of such genes to AD indicates the possibility that these genes may influence AD non-linearly, through interactions of their products. In this paper, we selected two stress-related genes (GCN2/EIF2AK4 and APP) based on recent findings from experimental studies which suggest that the interplay between these genes might influence AD in humans. To test this hypothesis, we evaluated the effects of interactions between SNPs in these two genes on AD occurrence, using the Health and Retirement Study data on white indidividuals. We found several interacting SNP-pairs whose associations with AD remained statistically significant after correction for multiple testing. These findings emphasize the importance of nonlinear mechanisms of polygenic AD regulation that cannot be detected in traditional association studies. To estimate collective effects of multiple interacting SNP-pairs on AD, we constructed a new composite index, called Interaction Polygenic Risk Score, and showed that its association with AD is highly statistically significant. These results open a new avenue in the analyses of mechanisms of complex multigenic AD regulation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Deqing Wu
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Duke University SSRI, USA
| | | | - Olivia Bagley
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Duke University SSRI, USA
| | - Igor Akushevich
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Duke University SSRI, USA
| | - Matt Duan
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Duke University SSRI, USA
| | - Arseniy Yashkin
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Duke University SSRI, USA
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Yashin AI, Wu D, Arbeev K, Yashkin AP, Akushevich I, Bagley O, Duan M, Ukraintseva S. Roles of interacting stress-related genes in lifespan regulation: insights for translating experimental findings to humans. J Transl Genet Genom 2021; 5:357-379. [PMID: 34825130 PMCID: PMC8612394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
AIM Experimental studies provided numerous evidence that caloric/dietary restriction may improve health and increase the lifespan of laboratory animals, and that the interplay among molecules that sense cellular stress signals and those regulating cell survival can play a crucial role in cell response to nutritional stressors. However, it is unclear whether the interplay among corresponding genes also plays a role in human health and lifespan. METHODS Literature about roles of cellular stressors have been reviewed, such as amino acid deprivation, and the integrated stress response (ISR) pathway in health and aging. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in two candidate genes (GCN2/EIF2AK4 and CHOP/DDIT3) that are closely involved in the cellular stress response to amino acid starvation, have been selected using information from experimental studies. Associations of these SNPs and their interactions with human survival in the Health and Retirement Study data have been estimated. The impact of collective associations of multiple interacting SNP pairs on survival has been evaluated, using a recently developed composite index: the SNP-specific Interaction Polygenic Risk Score (SIPRS). RESULTS Significant interactions have been found between SNPs from GCN2/EIF2AK4 and CHOP/DDI3T genes that were associated with survival 85+ compared to survival between ages 75 and 85 in the total sample (males and females combined) and in females only. This may reflect sex differences in genetic regulation of the human lifespan. Highly statistically significant associations of SIPRS [constructed for the rs16970024 (GCN2/EIF2AK4) and rs697221 (CHOP/DDIT3)] with survival in both sexes also been found in this study. CONCLUSION Identifying associations of the genetic interactions with human survival is an important step in translating the knowledge from experimental to human aging research. Significant associations of multiple SNPxSNP interactions in ISR genes with survival to the oldest old age that have been found in this study, can help uncover mechanisms of multifactorial regulation of human lifespan and its heterogeneity.
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Wagner P. Vitality heterogeneity in the Strehler-Mildvan theory of mortality. Math Biosci 2018; 300:27-35. [PMID: 29571812 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2018.02.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/31/2017] [Revised: 01/31/2018] [Accepted: 02/05/2018] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
In this paper the Strehler-Mildvan theory of mortality and aging is generalised to cover heterogeneity effects in the population. The theory is based on the concept of environmental shocks that cause death of an individual when exceeding its vitality. Heterogeneity is introduced via the value of the vitality of an individual at birth. The main result of the paper is an expression for the observed mortality rate of the heterogeneous population. This mortality rate grows according to Gompertz's Law at midlife-ages, then its growth declines, levelling off at high ages. This behaviour is qualitatively consistent with real mortality rates, which is illustrated for period data of Japanese females in the years 1947, 1967, 1987 and 2007. Finally, the duality between a continuous SM-version and the ρ - γ - Gompertz model is discussed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Wagner
- Institut für Mathematik, Universität Rostock, Ulmenstr. 69, Haus 3, Rostock 18057, Germany.
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Yashin AI, Arbeev KG, Wu D, Arbeeva L, Kulminski A, Kulminskaya I, Akushevich I, Ukraintseva SV. How Genes Modulate Patterns of Aging-Related Changes on the Way to 100: Biodemographic Models and Methods in Genetic Analyses of Longitudinal Data. N Am Actuar J 2016; 20:201-232. [PMID: 27773987 PMCID: PMC5070546 DOI: 10.1080/10920277.2016.1178588] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE To clarify mechanisms of genetic regulation of human aging and longevity traits, a number of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of these traits have been performed. However, the results of these analyses did not meet expectations of the researchers. Most detected genetic associations have not reached a genome-wide level of statistical significance, and suffered from the lack of replication in the studies of independent populations. The reasons for slow progress in this research area include low efficiency of statistical methods used in data analyses, genetic heterogeneity of aging and longevity related traits, possibility of pleiotropic (e.g., age dependent) effects of genetic variants on such traits, underestimation of the effects of (i) mortality selection in genetically heterogeneous cohorts, (ii) external factors and differences in genetic backgrounds of individuals in the populations under study, the weakness of conceptual biological framework that does not fully account for above mentioned factors. One more limitation of conducted studies is that they did not fully realize the potential of longitudinal data that allow for evaluating how genetic influences on life span are mediated by physiological variables and other biomarkers during the life course. The objective of this paper is to address these issues. DATA AND METHODS We performed GWAS of human life span using different subsets of data from the original Framingham Heart Study cohort corresponding to different quality control (QC) procedures and used one subset of selected genetic variants for further analyses. We used simulation study to show that approach to combining data improves the quality of GWAS. We used FHS longitudinal data to compare average age trajectories of physiological variables in carriers and non-carriers of selected genetic variants. We used stochastic process model of human mortality and aging to investigate genetic influence on hidden biomarkers of aging and on dynamic interaction between aging and longevity. We investigated properties of genes related to selected variants and their roles in signaling and metabolic pathways. RESULTS We showed that the use of different QC procedures results in different sets of genetic variants associated with life span. We selected 24 genetic variants negatively associated with life span. We showed that the joint analyses of genetic data at the time of bio-specimen collection and follow up data substantially improved significance of associations of selected 24 SNPs with life span. We also showed that aging related changes in physiological variables and in hidden biomarkers of aging differ for the groups of carriers and non-carriers of selected variants. CONCLUSIONS . The results of these analyses demonstrated benefits of using biodemographic models and methods in genetic association studies of these traits. Our findings showed that the absence of a large number of genetic variants with deleterious effects may make substantial contribution to exceptional longevity. These effects are dynamically mediated by a number of physiological variables and hidden biomarkers of aging. The results of these research demonstrated benefits of using integrative statistical models of mortality risks in genetic studies of human aging and longevity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anatoliy I. Yashin
- Professor, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A102E, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-668-2713; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Konstantin G. Arbeev
- Sr. Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A102F, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-668-2707; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Deqing Wu
- Sr. Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A104, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-684-6126; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Liubov Arbeeva
- Statistician, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A102G, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-613-0715; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Alexander Kulminski
- Sr. Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A106, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-684-4962; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Irina Kulminskaya
- Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A102D, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-681-8232; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Igor Akushevich
- Sr. Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A107, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-668-2715; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
| | - Svetlana V. Ukraintseva
- Sr. Research Scientist, Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A105, Durham, NC 27705, USA. Tel.: (+1) 919-668-2712; Fax: (+1) 919-684-3861
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Biswal S, Sharma D, Kumar K, Nag TC, Barhwal K, Hota SK, Kumar B. Global hypoxia induced impairment in learning and spatial memory is associated with precocious hippocampal aging. Neurobiol Learn Mem 2016; 133:157-170. [PMID: 27246251 DOI: 10.1016/j.nlm.2016.05.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2016] [Revised: 05/09/2016] [Accepted: 05/27/2016] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
Both chronological aging and chronic hypoxia stress have been reported to cause degeneration of hippocampal CA3 neurons and spatial memory impairment through independent pathways. However, the possible occurrence of precocious biological aging on exposure to single episode of global hypoxia resulting in impairment of learning and memory remains to be established. The present study thus aimed at bridging this gap in existing literature on hypoxia induced biological aging. Male Sprague Dawley rats were exposed to simulated hypobaric hypoxia (25,000ft) for different durations and were compared with aged rats. Behavioral studies in Morris Water Maze showed decline in learning abilities of both chronologically aged as well as hypoxic rats as evident from increased latency and pathlength to reach target platform. These behavioral changes in rats exposed to global hypoxia were associated with deposition of lipofuscin and ultrastructural changes in the mitochondria of hippocampal neurons that serve as hallmarks of aging. A single episode of chronic hypobaric hypoxia exposure also resulted in the up-regulation of pro-aging protein, S100A9 and down regulation of Tau, SNAP25, APOE and Sod2 in the hippocampus similar to that in aged rats indicating hypoxia induced accelerated aging. The present study therefore provides evidence for role of biological aging of hippocampal neurons in hypoxia induced impairment of learning and memory.
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Affiliation(s)
- Suryanarayan Biswal
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India
| | - Deepti Sharma
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India
| | - Kushal Kumar
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India
| | - Tapas Chandra Nag
- Department of Anatomy, All India Institute of Medical Science, New Delhi, India
| | - Kalpana Barhwal
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India
| | - Sunil Kumar Hota
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India.
| | - Bhuvnesh Kumar
- Defence Institute of High Altitude Research, C/o 56 APO, Leh-Ladakh, Jammu & Kashmir 901205, India
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Yashin AI, Arbeev KG, Arbeeva LS, Wu D, Akushevich I, Kovtun M, Yashkin A, Kulminski A, Culminskaya I, Stallard E, Li M, Ukraintseva SV. How the effects of aging and stresses of life are integrated in mortality rates: insights for genetic studies of human health and longevity. Biogerontology 2015; 17:89-107. [PMID: 26280653 DOI: 10.1007/s10522-015-9594-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2015] [Accepted: 07/25/2015] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
Increasing proportions of elderly individuals in developed countries combined with substantial increases in related medical expenditures make the improvement of the health of the elderly a high priority today. If the process of aging by individuals is a major cause of age related health declines then postponing aging could be an efficient strategy for improving the health of the elderly. Implementing this strategy requires a better understanding of genetic and non-genetic connections among aging, health, and longevity. We review progress and problems in research areas whose development may contribute to analyses of such connections. These include genetic studies of human aging and longevity, the heterogeneity of populations with respect to their susceptibility to disease and death, forces that shape age patterns of human mortality, secular trends in mortality decline, and integrative mortality modeling using longitudinal data. The dynamic involvement of genetic factors in (i) morbidity/mortality risks, (ii) responses to stresses of life, (iii) multi-morbidities of many elderly individuals, (iv) trade-offs for diseases, (v) genetic heterogeneity, and (vi) other relevant aging-related health declines, underscores the need for a comprehensive, integrated approach to analyze the genetic connections for all of the above aspects of aging-related changes. The dynamic relationships among aging, health, and longevity traits would be better understood if one linked several research fields within one conceptual framework that allowed for efficient analyses of available longitudinal data using the wealth of available knowledge about aging, health, and longevity already accumulated in the research field.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anatoliy I Yashin
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. .,The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A102E, Durham, NC, 27705, USA.
| | - Konstantin G Arbeev
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Liubov S Arbeeva
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Deqing Wu
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Igor Akushevich
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Mikhail Kovtun
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Arseniy Yashkin
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Alexander Kulminski
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Irina Culminskaya
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Eric Stallard
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Miaozhu Li
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | - Svetlana V Ukraintseva
- The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.,The Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University, 2024 W. Main Street, Room A105, Durham, NC, 27705, USA
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Belsky DW, Caspi A, Houts R, Cohen HJ, Corcoran DL, Danese A, Harrington H, Israel S, Levine ME, Schaefer JD, Sugden K, Williams B, Yashin AI, Poulton R, Moffitt TE. Quantification of biological aging in young adults. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2015; 112:E4104-10. [PMID: 26150497 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1506264112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 499] [Impact Index Per Article: 55.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Antiaging therapies show promise in model organism research. Translation to humans is needed to address the challenges of an aging global population. Interventions to slow human aging will need to be applied to still-young individuals. However, most human aging research examines older adults, many with chronic disease. As a result, little is known about aging in young humans. We studied aging in 954 young humans, the Dunedin Study birth cohort, tracking multiple biomarkers across three time points spanning their third and fourth decades of life. We developed and validated two methods by which aging can be measured in young adults, one cross-sectional and one longitudinal. Our longitudinal measure allows quantification of the pace of coordinated physiological deterioration across multiple organ systems (e.g., pulmonary, periodontal, cardiovascular, renal, hepatic, and immune function). We applied these methods to assess biological aging in young humans who had not yet developed age-related diseases. Young individuals of the same chronological age varied in their "biological aging" (declining integrity of multiple organ systems). Already, before midlife, individuals who were aging more rapidly were less physically able, showed cognitive decline and brain aging, self-reported worse health, and looked older. Measured biological aging in young adults can be used to identify causes of aging and evaluate rejuvenation therapies.
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Yashin AI, Wu D, Arbeeva LS, Arbeev KG, Kulminski AM, Akushevich I, Kovtun M, Culminskaya I, Stallard E, Li M, Ukraintseva SV. Genetics of aging, health, and survival: dynamic regulation of human longevity related traits. Front Genet 2015; 6:122. [PMID: 25918517 PMCID: PMC4394697 DOI: 10.3389/fgene.2015.00122] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2014] [Accepted: 03/16/2015] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: The roles of genetic factors in human longevity would be better understood if one can use more efficient methods in genetic analyses and investigate pleiotropic effects of genetic variants on aging and health related traits. Data and methods: We used EMMAX software with modified correction for population stratification to perform genome wide association studies (GWAS) of female lifespan from the original FHS cohort. The male data from the original FHS cohort and male and female data combined from the offspring FHS cohort were used to confirm findings. We evaluated pleiotropic effects of selected genetic variants as well as gene-smoking interactions on health and aging related traits. Then we reviewed current knowledge on functional properties of genes related to detected variants. Results: The eight SNPs with genome-wide significant variants were negatively associated with lifespan in both males and females. After additional QC, two of these variants were selected for further analyses of their associations with major diseases (cancer and CHD) and physiological aging changes. Gene-smoking interactions contributed to these effects. Genes closest to detected variants appear to be involved in similar biological processes and health disorders, as those found in other studies of aging and longevity e.g., in cancer and neurodegeneration. Conclusions: The impact of genes on longevity may involve trade-off-like effects on different health traits. Genes that influence lifespan represent various molecular functions but may be involved in similar biological processes and health disorders, which could contribute to genetic heterogeneity of longevity and the lack of replication in genetic association studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anatoliy I Yashin
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Deqing Wu
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Liubov S Arbeeva
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Konstantin G Arbeev
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Alexander M Kulminski
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Igor Akushevich
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Mikhail Kovtun
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA ; Integrative Genomic Analysis Shared Resource, Duke Center for Genomic and Computational Biology, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Irina Culminskaya
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Eric Stallard
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Miaozhu Li
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
| | - Svetlana V Ukraintseva
- Biodemography of Aging Research Unit, Center for Population Health and Aging, Social Science Research Institute, Duke University Durham, NC, USA
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Arbeev KG, Akushevich I, Kulminski AM, Ukraintseva SV, Yashin AI. Biodemographic Analyses of Longitudinal Data on Aging, Health, and Longevity: Recent Advances and Future Perspectives. Adv Geriatr 2015; 2014:957073. [PMID: 25590047 PMCID: PMC4290867 DOI: 10.1155/2014/957073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Biodemography became one of the most innovative and fastest growing areas in demography. This progress is fueled by the growing variability and amount of relevant data available for analyses as well as by methodological developments allowing for addressing new research questions using new approaches that can better utilize the potential of these data. In this review paper, we summarize recent methodological advances in biodemography and their diverse practical applications. Three major topics are covered: (1) computational approaches to reconstruction of age patterns of incidence of geriatric diseases and other characteristics such as recovery rates at the population level using Medicare claims data; (2) methodological advances in genetic and genomic biodemography and applications to research on genetic determinants of longevity and health; and (3) biodemographic models for joint analyses of time-to-event data and longitudinal measurements of biomarkers collected in longitudinal studies on aging. We discuss how such data and methodology can be used in a comprehensive prediction model for joint analyses of incomplete datasets that take into account the wide spectrum of factors affecting health and mortality transitions including genetic factors and hidden mechanisms of aging-related changes in physiological variables in their dynamic connection with health and survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Konstantin G Arbeev
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main Street, P.O. Box 90420, Durham, NC 27705, USA
| | - Igor Akushevich
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main Street, P.O. Box 90420, Durham, NC 27705, USA
| | - Alexander M Kulminski
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main Street, P.O. Box 90420, Durham, NC 27705, USA
| | - Svetlana V Ukraintseva
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main Street, P.O. Box 90420, Durham, NC 27705, USA
| | - Anatoliy I Yashin
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Erwin Mill Building, 2024 W. Main Street, P.O. Box 90420, Durham, NC 27705, USA
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Arbeev KG, Akushevich I, Kulminski AM, Ukraintseva SV, Yashin AI. Joint Analyses of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data in Research on Aging: Implications for Predicting Health and Survival. Front Public Health 2014; 2:228. [PMID: 25414844 PMCID: PMC4222133 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2014.00228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2014] [Accepted: 10/24/2014] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Longitudinal data on aging, health, and longevity provide a wealth of information to investigate different aspects of the processes of aging and development of diseases leading to death. Statistical methods aimed at analyses of time-to-event data jointly with longitudinal measurements became known as the "joint models" (JM). An important point to consider in analyses of such data in the context of studies on aging, health, and longevity is how to incorporate knowledge and theories about mechanisms and regularities of aging-related changes that accumulate in the research field into respective analytic approaches. In the absence of specific observations of longitudinal dynamics of relevant biomarkers manifesting such mechanisms and regularities, traditional approaches have a rather limited utility to estimate respective parameters that can be meaningfully interpreted from the biological point of view. A conceptual analytic framework for these purposes, the stochastic process model of aging (SPM), has been recently developed in the biodemographic literature. It incorporates available knowledge about mechanisms of aging-related changes, which may be hidden in the individual longitudinal trajectories of physiological variables and this allows for analyzing their indirect impact on risks of diseases and death. Despite, essentially, serving similar purposes, JM and SPM developed in parallel in different disciplines with very limited cross-referencing. Although there were several publications separately reviewing these two approaches, there were no publications presenting both these approaches in some detail. Here, we overview both approaches jointly and provide some new modifications of SPM. We discuss the use of stochastic processes to capture biological variation and heterogeneity in longitudinal patterns and important and promising (but still largely underused) applications of JM and SPM to predictions of individual and population mortality and health-related outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Igor Akushevich
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
| | | | | | - Anatoliy I. Yashin
- Center for Population Health and Aging, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
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Abstract
While ageing is commonly associated with exponential increase in mortality with age, mortality rates paradoxically decelerate late in life resulting in distinct mortality plateaus. Late-life mortality plateaus have been discovered in a broad variety of taxa, including humans, but their origin is hotly debated. One hypothesis argues that deceleration occurs because the individual probability of death stops increasing at very old ages, predicting the evolution of earlier onset of mortality plateaus under increased rate of extrinsic mortality. By contrast, heterogeneity theory suggests that mortality deceleration arises from individual differences in intrinsic lifelong robustness and predicts that variation in robustness between populations will result in differences in mortality deceleration. We used experimental evolution to directly test these predictions by independently manipulating extrinsic mortality rate (high or low) and mortality source (random death or condition-dependent) to create replicate populations of nematodes, Caenorhabditis remanei that differ in the strength of selection in late-life and in the level of lifelong robustness. Late-life mortality deceleration evolved in response to differences in mortality source when mortality rate was held constant, while there was no consistent response to differences in mortality rate. These results provide direct experimental support for the heterogeneity theory of late-life mortality deceleration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hwei-yen Chen
- Ageing Research Group, Department of Animal Ecology, Evolutionary Biology Centre, Uppsala University, , Uppsala, Norbyvägen 18D 75236, Sweden
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Abstract
Deviations from the Gompertz law of exponential mortality increases in late-middle and early-old age are commonly neglected in overall mortality analyses. In this study, we examined mortality increase patterns between ages 40 and 85 in 16 low-mortality countries and demonstrated sex differences in these patterns, which also changed across period and cohort. These results suggest that the interaction between aging and death is more complicated than what is usually assumed from the Gompertz law and also challenge existing biodemographic hypotheses about the origin and mechanisms of sex differences in mortality. We propose a two-mortality model that explains these patterns as the change in the composition of intrinsic and extrinsic death rates with age. We show that the age pattern of overall mortality and the population heterogeneity therein are possibly generated by multiple dynamics specified by a two-mortality model instead of a uniform process throughout most adult ages.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ting Li
- Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China, No. 59 Zhongguancun Street, Haidian District, Beijing, 100872, China,
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13
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Abstract
Life expectancy has always been associated to several determinants, such as environmental and genetic factors. Studies have related human lifespan as being 25-32 % due to genetic polymorphisms between individuals associated to longevity and aging. Nonetheless, no single gene will convey a phenotype like longevity. Aging is a process that occurs from changes in various levels of the cell, from genes to functions. Longevity is the ability to cope and repair the damage that results from these changes. It has been described as the result of an optimal performance of immune system and as an overexpression of anti-inflammatory sequence variants of immune/inflammatory genes.Longevity gene candidates can be separated into the following categories: inflammatory and immune-related, stress response elements, mediators of glucose and lipid metabolism, DNA repair components and cellular proliferation, and DNA haplogroups.Studies have related lifespan with Common Single-Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs); polygenic effects can explain an important part of how genetics influence it. In this chapter we describe how to sequence Class I HLA allele polymorphism, as well as SNP sequencing, two methodologies most frequently used in polymorphism detection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gilberto Vargas-Alarcón
- Department of Molecular Biology, Instituto Nacional de Cardiologia Ignacio Chavez, Mexico City, Mexico
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