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Park TH, Kim SK, Phi JH, Park CK, Kim YH, Paek SH, Lee CH, Park SH, Koh EJ. Survival and Malignant Transformation of Pineal Parenchymal Tumors: A 30-Year Retrospective Analysis in a Single-Institution. Brain Tumor Res Treat 2023; 11:254-265. [PMID: 37953449 PMCID: PMC10641322 DOI: 10.14791/btrt.2023.0033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 09/08/2023] [Accepted: 09/08/2023] [Indexed: 11/14/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study aims to elucidate clinical features, therapeutic strategies, and prognosis of pineal parenchymal tumors (PPT) by analyzing a 30-year dataset of a single institution. METHODS We reviewed data from 43 patients diagnosed with PPT at Seoul National University Hospital between 1990 and 2020. We performed survival analyses and assessed prognostic factors. RESULTS The cohort included 10 patients with pineocytoma (PC), 13 with pineal parenchymal tumor of intermediate differentiation (PPTID), and 20 with pineoblastoma (PB). Most patients presented with hydrocephalus at diagnosis. Most patients underwent an endoscopic third ventriculostomy and biopsy, with some undergoing additional resection after diagnosis confirmation. Radiotherapy was administered with a high prevalence of gamma knife radiosurgery for PC and PPTID, and craniospinal irradiation for PB. Chemotherapy was essential in the treatment of grade 3 PPTID and PB. The 5-year progression-free survival rates for PC, grade 2 PPTID, grade 3 PPTID, and PB were 100%, 83.3%, 0%, and 40%, respectively, and the 5-year overall survival rates were 100%, 100%, 40%, and 55%, respectively. High-grade tumor histology was associated with lower survival rates. Significant prognostic factors varied among tumor types, with World Health Organization (WHO) grade and leptomeningeal seeding (LMS) for PPTID, and the extent of resection and LMS for PB. Three patients experienced malignant transformations. CONCLUSION This study underscores the prognostic significance of WHO grades in PPT. It is necessary to provide specific treatment according to tumor grade. Grade 3 PPTID showed a poor prognosis. Potential LMS and malignant transformations necessitate aggressive multimodal treatment and close-interval screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tae-Hwan Park
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Seung-Ki Kim
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
- Division of Pediatric Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Children's Hospital, Seoul, Korea
- Neuroscience Research Institute, Seoul National University Medical Research Center, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ji Hoon Phi
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
- Division of Pediatric Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Children's Hospital, Seoul, Korea
- Neuroscience Research Institute, Seoul National University Medical Research Center, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chul-Kee Park
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Yong Hwy Kim
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sun Ha Paek
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chang-Hyun Lee
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sung-Hye Park
- Department of Pathology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Eun Jung Koh
- Department of Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
- Division of Pediatric Neurosurgery, Seoul National University Children's Hospital, Seoul, Korea
- Center of Hospital Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
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Pinto SN, Chiang J, Qaddoumi I, Livingston D, Bag A. Pediatric diencephalic tumors: a constellation of entities and management modalities. Front Oncol 2023; 13:1180267. [PMID: 37519792 PMCID: PMC10374860 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2023.1180267] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/05/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 08/01/2023] Open
Abstract
The diencephalon is a complex midline structure consisting of the hypothalamus, neurohypophysis, subthalamus, thalamus, epithalamus, and pineal body. Tumors arising from each of these diencephalic components differ significantly in terms of biology and prognosis. The aim of this comprehensive review is to describe the epidemiology, clinical symptoms, imaging, histology, and molecular markers in the context of the 2021 WHO classification of central nervous system neoplasms. We will also discuss the current management of each of these tumors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Soniya N. Pinto
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - Jason Chiang
- Department of Pathology, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - Ibrahim Qaddoumi
- Departments of Global Pediatric Medicine, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - David Livingston
- Department of Radiology, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis, TN, United States
| | - Asim Bag
- Department of Diagnostic Imaging, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, Memphis, TN, United States
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Nandoliya KR, Sadagopan NS, Thirunavu V, Houskamp EJ, Karras CL, Chaliparambil RK, Sriram N, Jamshidi P, Raleigh DR, Lukas RV, Magill ST. Post-Surgical Prognosis of Patients with Pineoblastoma: A Systematic Review and Individual Patient Data Analysis with Trends over Time. Cancers (Basel) 2023; 15:3374. [PMID: 37444483 DOI: 10.3390/cancers15133374] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2023] [Revised: 06/12/2023] [Accepted: 06/26/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023] Open
Abstract
Most of the literature on pineoblastoma consists of case reports and single-institution series. The goal of this systematic review and individual patient data (IPD) analysis was to summarize the existing literature, identify factors associated with overall survival (OS), and provide a contemporary update on prognosis for patients with pineoblastoma. Forty-four studies were identified with 298 patients having IPD. Kaplan-Meier analyses were used to report survival outcomes based on age, tumor metastases, extent of resection (EOR), adjuvant therapy, and publication year. Cox regression was performed to identify independent predictors of time to mortality. Multivariable recursive partitioning analysis was used to identify the most important subgroups associated with mortality. Patients were classified based on publication year before and after the last systematic review on this topic (pre-2012 and 2012 onwards) and compared using univariate and multivariable analyses. This study demonstrates that EOR less-than-gross total resection, metastatic presentation, adjuvant chemotherapy without radiation, and tumor presentation in children less than three years old are associated with poorer prognosis. Since 2012, the 5-year actuarial OS has improved from 32.8% to 56.1%, which remained significant even after accounting for EOR, age, and adjuvant therapy. Pineoblastoma remains a severe rare disease, but survival outcomes are improving.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khizar R Nandoliya
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Nishanth S Sadagopan
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Vineeth Thirunavu
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Ethan J Houskamp
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Constantine L Karras
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Rahul K Chaliparambil
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Nikhil Sriram
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Pouya Jamshidi
- Department of Pathology, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - David R Raleigh
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Department of Neurological Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
- Department of Pathology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA
| | - Rimas V Lukas
- Department of Neurology, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
| | - Stephen T Magill
- Department of Neurological Surgery, Malnati Brain Tumor Institute, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL 60611, USA
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4
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Chen B, Zhao Y, Chen C. Pineoblastoma: prognostic factors and survival outcomes in young children. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:367-369. [PMID: 36989486 PMCID: PMC10106190 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2022] [Indexed: 03/31/2023] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Boran Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China
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Kerezoudis P, Yolcu YU, Laack N, Ruff MW, Khatua S, Daniels DJ, Burns TC, Kizilbash S. Survival and Associated Predictors for Patients with Pineoblastoma or Pineal Parenchymal Tumor of Intermediate Differentiation Older than 3 years: Insights from the National Cancer Database. Neurooncol Adv 2022; 4:vdac057. [PMID: 35611271 PMCID: PMC9122790 DOI: 10.1093/noajnl/vdac057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Background The management of pineal parenchymal tumors remains controversial. Methods The 2004-2017 National Cancer Database was queried for cases (age >3 years) with histologically confirmed pineal parenchymal tumors of intermediate differentiation (PPTID, n = 90) or pineoblastoma (n = 106). Results Within the PPTID group, median age was 41 years; 49% were males. Five- and 10-year survival were 83% and 78%, respectively. Adjuvant radiation and chemotherapy were administered in 64% and 17% patients, respectively. The effect of radiation with or without chemotherapy (HR 1.15, P = .81, and HR 1.31, P = .72, respectively), and extent of resection (HR = 1.07, P = .93) was not significant. Within the pineoblastoma group, median age was 25 years; 51% were males. Five- and 10-year survival were 66% and 42%, respectively. Adjuvant radiation and chemotherapy were administered in 72% and 51%, respectively. In multivariable analysis, patients with pineoblastoma who received both radiation and chemotherapy (n = 39) had significantly lower hazard of death (HR 0.35, 95% CI 0.14-0.85, P = .02) compared to those who received radiation alone (n = 20) or no adjuvant treatment (n = 19). Finally, females in the pineoblastoma group were found to have a lower hazard of death compared to males (HR 0.24, 95% CI 0.10-0.58, P = .001); this comparison trended toward statistical significance in the PPTID subgroup (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.14-1.08, P = .07). Conclusions Survival rates were higher in patients with PPTID vs patients with pineoblastoma. Adjuvant chemoradiation was associated with improved survival in pineoblastoma and females had lower hazards of death. Further research should identify specific patient profiles and molecular subgroups more likely to benefit from multimodality therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yagiz Ugur Yolcu
- Department of Neurologic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Nadia Laack
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Michael W Ruff
- Department of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Soumen Khatua
- Department of Pediatric Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - David J Daniels
- Department of Neurologic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Terry C Burns
- Department of Neurologic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Sani Kizilbash
- Department of Medical Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
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6
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Chalif EJ, Murray RD, Mozaffari K, Chillakuru YR, Shim T, Monfared A, Sherman JH. Malignant Pineal Parenchymal Tumors in Adults: A National Cancer Database Analysis. Neurosurgery 2022; 90:807-815. [DOI: 10.1227/neu.0000000000001915] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/09/2021] [Accepted: 12/19/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
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Greppin K, Cioffi G, Waite KA, Ostrom QT, Landi D, Takaoka K, Kruchko C, Barnholtz-Sloan JS. Epidemiology of pineoblastoma in the United States, 2000-2017. Neurooncol Pract 2022; 9:149-157. [PMID: 35371520 PMCID: PMC8965073 DOI: 10.1093/nop/npac009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Pineoblastoma (PB) is a rare malignant brain tumor originating in the pineal gland. Here, we provide a comprehensive epidemiological analysis of PB in the United States from 2000 to 2017. Methods Data on 1133 patients with PB were acquired from the Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States, in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the National Cancer Institute, from 2000 to 2017. Age-adjusted incidence rates (AAIRs) per 100 000 and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were reported for age, sex, race, and ethnicity. Using the National Program of Cancer Registries survival database, median survival and hazard ratios (HRs) were evaluated for overall survival from 2001 to 2016. Results Incidence was highest in ages 0-4 years (AAIR: 0.049, 95% CI: 0.042-0.056), decreasing as age increased. Incidence was higher among patients who are Black compared to patients who are White (IRR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.48-1.98, P < .001), and was impacted by age at diagnosis, with Black-to-White incidence highest in children ages 5-9 years (IRR: 3.43, 95% CI: 2.36-4.94, P < .001). Overall survival was lower for males (HR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.07-1.79, P = .013). All age groups, excluding those over 40, had improved survival compared to ages 0-4 years. Those who received surgical intervention had better survival compared to those who did not receive surgical treatment. Conclusion PB incidence is highest among children and patients who are Black, and there may be a potential interaction between these factors. Survival is worse among males, young children, and elderly adults, and those who received no surgery. Comprehensive, population-based statistics provide critical information on PB characteristics that could be useful in impacting patient care and prognosis.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Kristin A Waite
- Trans Divisional Research Program (TDRP), Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics (DCEG), National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, Maryland, USA,Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States, Hinsdale, Illinois, USA
| | - Quinn T Ostrom
- Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States, Hinsdale, Illinois, USA,The Preston Robert Tisch Brain Tumor Center, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA,Department of Neurosurgery, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA,Duke Cancer Institute, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Daniel Landi
- The Preston Robert Tisch Brain Tumor Center, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina, USA
| | - Kailey Takaoka
- Hathaway Brown School, Science Research & Engineering Program, Shaker Heights, Ohio, USA
| | - Carol Kruchko
- Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States, Hinsdale, Illinois, USA
| | - Jill S Barnholtz-Sloan
- Corresponding Author: Jill S. Barnholtz-Sloan, PhD, National Cancer Institute, Shady Grove Campus, 9609 Medical Center Drive, Rockville, MD 20850, USA ()
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8
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Vuong HG, Ngo TNM, Dunn IF. Incidence, Prognostic Factors, and Survival Trend in Pineal Gland Tumors: A Population-Based Analysis. Front Oncol 2021; 11:780173. [PMID: 34869031 PMCID: PMC8639690 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2021.780173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 11/03/2021] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Pineal gland tumors are exceedingly rare and account for 0.4-1.0% of brain neoplasms. Their rarity has confounded a clear understanding of the prognostic factors and standards of care for these neoplasms. In this study, we aimed to investigate the incidence, prognostic indicators, and survival trend of tumors emanating from the pineal gland. Methods We accessed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, End Results (SEER) Program for pineal gland tumors from 1975-2016. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to investigate the impact of clinicopathological parameters on all-cause mortality. For survival trend analysis, we employed the Kaplan Meier curve and pairwise comparisons to examine the trend. Results We found 1,792 and 310,003 pineal gland and brain neoplasms during 1975-2016 resulting in an incidence of 0.6%. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, older age, male gender, non-germ cell tumor, and receipt of chemotherapy were significantly associated with poor survival (p < 0.001). The extent of resection and radiotherapy administration did not produce survival advantages. Our result also highlighted an increased survival of pineal gland tumors over the years. Conclusion Our study investigated the prognostic factors that influenced survival in patients with pineal gland tumors. Chemotherapy use adversely affected patient outcomes and should be considered carefully in specific circumstances to avoid its harmful effects. These findings provide important evidence to improve current standards of care for this rare group of tumors. The survival of pineal tumors has improved over time reflecting improvements in current practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huy Gia Vuong
- Department of Neurosurgery, Oklahoma University Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, United States.,Department of Pathology, Oklahoma University Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, United States
| | - Tam N M Ngo
- Faculty of Medicine, Pham Ngoc Thach University of Medicine, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
| | - Ian F Dunn
- Department of Neurosurgery, Oklahoma University Health Sciences Center, Oklahoma City, OK, United States
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Jin MC, Shi S, Wu A, Sandhu N, Xiang M, Soltys SG, Hiniker S, Li G, Pollom EL. Impact of proton radiotherapy on treatment timing in pediatric and adult patients with CNS tumors. Neurooncol Pract 2020; 7:626-635. [PMID: 33312677 PMCID: PMC7716142 DOI: 10.1093/nop/npaa034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Despite putative benefits associated with proton radiotherapy in the setting of CNS tumors, numerous barriers limit treatment accessibility. Given these challenges, we explored the association of proton use with variations in treatment timing. METHODS Pediatric and adult patients with histologically confirmed CNS tumors were identified from the National Cancer Database (2004-2015). Univariable and multivariable regression models were constructed to assess factors impacting radiation timing. Multivariable Cox regression was used to evaluate the effect of treatment delay on survival. RESULTS A total of 76 157 patients received photon or proton radiotherapy. Compared to photons, time to proton administration was longer in multiple pediatric (embryonal, ependymal, nonependymal glial, and other) and adult (ependymal, nonependymal glial, meningeal, other) tumor histologies. On adjusted analysis, proton radiotherapy was associated with longer delays in radiotherapy administration in pediatric embryonal tumors (+3.00 weeks, P = .024) and in all adult tumors (embryonal [+1.36 weeks, P = .018], ependymal [+3.15 weeks, P < .001], germ cell [+2.65 weeks, P = .024], glial [+2.15 weeks, P < .001], meningeal [+5.05 weeks, P < .001], and other [+3.06 weeks, P < .001]). In patients with high-risk tumors receiving protons, delays in adjuvant radiotherapy were independently associated with poorer survival (continuous [weeks], adjusted hazard ratio = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.02-1.16). CONCLUSIONS Proton radiotherapy is associated with later radiation initiation in pediatric and adult patients with CNS tumors. In patients with high-risk CNS malignancies receiving protons, delayed adjuvant radiotherapy is associated with poorer survival. Further studies are needed to understand this discrepancy to maximize the potential of proton radiotherapy for CNS malignancies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michael C Jin
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Siyu Shi
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Adela Wu
- Department of Neurosurgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Navjot Sandhu
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Michael Xiang
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Scott G Soltys
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Susan Hiniker
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
- Department of Neurosurgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Gordon Li
- Department of Neurosurgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California
| | - Erqi L Pollom
- Palo Alto Veterans Affairs Health Care System, Palo Alto, California
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Jing Y, Deng W, Zhang H, Jiang Y, Dong Z, Fan F, Sun P. Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram to Predict Cancer-Specific Survival in Adult Patients With Pineoblastoma. Front Oncol 2020; 10:1021. [PMID: 32793463 PMCID: PMC7393244 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.01021] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/04/2020] [Accepted: 05/22/2020] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Pineoblastoma (PB) is a rare neoplasm of the central nervous system. This analysis aimed to identify factors and establish a predictive model for the prognosis of adult patients with PB. Data for 213 adult patients with PB (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database) were randomly divided into primary and validation cohorts. A predictive model was established and optimized based on the Akaike Information Criterion and visualized by a nomogram. Its predictive performance (concordance index and receiver operating characteristic curve) and clinical utility (decision curve analyses) were evaluated. We internally and externally validated the model using calibration curves. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified age, year of diagnosis, therapy, tumor size, and tumor extension as independent predictors of PB. The model exhibited great discriminative ability (concordance index of the nomogram: 0.802; 95% confidence interval: 0.78-0.83; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: ranging from 0.7 to 0.8). Calibration plots (probability of survival) showed good consistency between the actual observation and the nomogram prediction in both cohorts, and the decision curve analyses demonstrated great clinical utility of the nomogram. The nomogram is a useful and practical tool for evaluating prognosis and determining appropriate therapy strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yajun Jing
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Wenshuai Deng
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Huawei Zhang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.,Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, United States
| | - Yunxia Jiang
- Department of Nursing, Medical College of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Zuoxiang Dong
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
| | - Fan Fan
- Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Mississippi Medical Center, Jackson, MS, United States
| | - Peng Sun
- Department of Neurosurgery, Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China
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