Severe disability related to cerebral stroke: incidence and risk factors observed in a Japanese community, Hisayama

Long-term follow-up in japanese public office workers of the influence of blood pressure on ECG changes

BACKGROUND

The relationship between annual changes in blood pressure (BP) and the electrocardiogram (ECG) was studied to clarity what factors give early detection of complications and predict the outcome of therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The influence of BP on the ECG was assessed in 830 Japanese office workers. Those with hypertension (HT) more frequently developed left atrial and ventricular overload compared with normotensive subjects. In addition, those with borderline HT (systolic pressure 140-160 mmHg and/or diastolic pressure 90-95 mmHg) and even those with lower blood pressure (systolic pressure 130-140 mmHg and/or diastolic pressure 85-90 mmHg) developed left atrial and ventricular overload more frequently than normotensive subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

Based on these results, BP should be closely followed up when routine systolic and diastolic pressure levels exceed 130 mmHg and 85 mmHg, respectively, in persons in their 40 s to 50 s and the goal of antihypertensive therapy should be lower than reported previously.

Community study of dementia in the older Korean rural population

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to estimate the prevalence of all dementias, including Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) in a population of Korean elderly and to identify possible risk factors which correlated with specific types of dementia.

METHOD

A two-phase survey, based on a door-to-door survey, was conducted. Initially, the Korean version of the Psychogeriatric Assessment Scale (PAS-K) was administered to all 1037 participants aged 65 years and older. Three hundred and seventy people sampled from the case groups (n = 320) of PAS-K subscales and the non-case group (n = 50) entered the second phase for clinical evaluation. Dementia was defined using the DSM-III-R, NINCDS-ADRDA and NINDS-AIREN criteria.

RESULTS

Among 1037 elderly people aged 65-94 years who completed the interview, 74 cases of dementia were detected, giving an overall age-standardized prevalence (95% CI) of 6.8% (6.1-7.5) (male 6.3%[5.3-7.4]; female 7.1%[6.1-8.0]). The prevalence (95% CI) of AD was 4.2% (3.6-4.7) (male 2.4%[2.0-2.8]; female 5.3%[4.5-6.1]), and it increased with age. The prevalence (95% CI) of VaD was 2.4% (2.0-2.8) (male 3.5%[2.7-4.3]; female 1.6%[1.2-2.1]). Smoking for longer than 30 pack-years significantly increased the risk of VaD (OR = 11.5 [2.8-44,6]).

CONCLUSION

Long-term smoking, much more prevalent in men, may be closely related to higher risk of cerebrovascular disease that leads to vascular dementia.

Ten-year prognosis of stroke and risk factors for death in a Japanese community: the Hisayama study

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

There have been very few population-based cohort studies of long-term prognosis and risk factors for death after stroke. We examined the 10-year prognosis, causes, and risk factors of death after stroke in a Japanese cohort.

METHODS

During a 26-year follow-up of a cohort of 1621 subjects > or =40 years of age, 333 subjects developed first-ever stroke and were prospectively followed up for 10 years after onset. During these 10-year follow-up periods, 268 of the 333 stroke patients died. Of those, 239 (89.2%) underwent autopsy.

RESULTS

The risk of death was greatest in the first year after first-stroke onset in both sexes (men, 40.3%; women, 43.7%). Thereafter, the survival curves decreased gradually, and risk of death reached 80.7% for men and 80.2% for women by the end of the 10-year follow-up. The 30-day case fatality rate was substantially greater in patients with cerebral hemorrhage (63.3%) or subarachnoid hemorrhage (58.6%) than in patients with cerebral infarction (9.0%). The risk of dying after the first stroke was twice the risk for stroke-free subjects. The most common cause of death was the index stroke in the first year. Thereafter, the impact of the first stroke gradually decreased, while that of recurrent stroke increased. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, lower body mass index, and hemorrhagic stroke were significant risk factors for death after stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that the risk of death after first-ever stroke is high, in part because of the larger proportion of hemorrhagic stroke in Japanese relative to stroke victims in Western countries.

Development of ischemic stroke in normotensive and hypertensive diabetic patients with or without antihypertensive treatment: an 8-year followup study

Although the impact of hypertension as a risk factor for brain infarction in diabetes mellitus is evident, the beneficial effect of antihypertensive therapy has not been demonstrated. Therefore, we designed a prospective cohort study to elucidate the effects of antihypertensive therapy on the development of ischemic stroke in diabetic outpatients. Two hundred forty patients, 219 non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) and 21 insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM), without history of cerebrovascular accident were followed for 8 years, from January 1981 until December 1988, in our diabetic clinic. Forty-eight of 88 hypertensive patients had received antihypertensive drugs. Among 40 untreated hypertensive and 152 initially normotensive diabetics, 14 hypertensives and 11 normotensives required antihypertensive therapy during followup period. Twenty-three patients were dropped out because of the unidentified reasons. Cerebrovascular accident occurred in 24 patients (10%): 18 brain infarctions, 4 transient ischemic attack (TIA), 1 subarachnoidal hemorrhage, and 1 brain hemorrhage. The percent incidence of ischemic strokes in the hypertension-treated patients was 8.9% which was similar to the 8.1% of the normotensives. In contrast, ischemic strokes developed in 29% of the untreated hypertensives, being significantly more frequent than in the former two groups. Multivariate analysis showed that serum total cholesterol and male gender were independent significant precursors of brain infarction in diabetic patients. In conclusion, antihypertensive treatment decreased the incidence of ischemic stroke in diabetics. Serum total cholesterol turned to independent risk factors for ischemic stroke in diabetic patients.

Deriving clinical prediction rules from stroke outcome research

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Our purpose was to determine whether clinical prediction rules could be derived from current stroke outcome research.

SUMMARY OF REPORT

We reviewed 92 articles on stroke outcome research to determine their suitability for implementation as a clinical prediction rule. Methodological problems in many of these studies made implementation of their results as a clinical prediction rule difficult.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of stroke outcome research as clinical prediction rules would be facilitated by description of patient population demographics; precise definitions of predictor and outcome measures; stratification of patients by stroke mechanism; use of adequate patient sample sizes; and description of the mathematical methods used, including coding schemes, cutpoints, beta coefficients, constant terms, and a priori probabilities.

Causes of death in the elderly and their changing pattern in Hisayama, a Japanese community. Results from a long-term and autopsy-based study

The causes of death for the elderly were prospectively studied in Hisayama, Japan, a rural community. We compared 1,621 subjects, aged 40 years or over, recruited in 1961, and 2,053 subjects recruited in 1974. Each cohort was studied in a follow-up that lasted 10 years; they had autopsy rates of 82.1% and 86.1% during each 10-year period, respectively. The most common causes of death for those aged 70 years or over were cerebrovascular disease, malignant neoplasms, and pneumonia. Deaths due to cerebrovascular disease tended to decrease in the recent cohort, but the proportion of decline was more prominent in cases aged 40 to 69 years. There was a sex difference in the changing pattern of mortality from heart diseases including ischemic heart disease. Deaths by both heart diseases and ischemic heart disease increased in the more recent cohort of aged women, whereas they decreased in the aged men. Pneumonia was an important cause of death for the elderly in both cohorts. Deaths due to "senility" were rare, being only 1% of the deceased aged 70 or over. With prolonged lifespan, especially for women, the impact of atherosclerosis and its related disorders on the recent Japanese aged population appears to have increased.