Comparison of platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), and child-pugh (CP) score for predicting of survival in advanced hcc patients receiving radiotherapy (RT)

A Single Centre Experience with Pre-Operative Markers in the Prediction of Outcomes after Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The C-reactive protein to albumin ratio, albumin-bilirubin index and platelet-albumin-bilirubin index have emerged as prognostic scores in hepatocellular carcinoma, although their clinical utility remains unclear, with ongoing investigation in multiple patient populations. This study aims to report survival outcomes and evaluate these indices in a cohort of patients undergoing liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in a tertiary Australian centre.

METHODS

This retrospective study reviewed data from the Department of Surgery at Austin Health and electronic health records (Cerner corporation). The impact of pre, intra and post-operative parameters on post-operative complications, overall and recurrence free survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

163 liver resections were performed in 157 patients between 2007 and 2020. Post-operative complications occurred in 58 patients (35.6%), with pre-operative albumin < 36.5 g/L (3.41(1.41-8.29),p = 0.007) and open liver resection (3.93(1.38-11.21),p = 0.011) demonstrating independent predictive significance. 1,3 and 5-year overall survival was 91.0%, 76.7% and 66.9% respectively, with a median survival time of 92.7 months (81.3-103.9). Hepatocellular carcinoma recurred in 95 patients (58.3%) with a median time to recurrence of 27.8 months (15.6-39.9). 1,3 and 5 year recurrence-free survival rates were 94.0%, 73.7% and 55.1% respectively. Pre-operative C-reactive protein-albumin ratio > 0.034 was significantly associated with reduced overall (4.39(1.19-16.16),p = 0.026) and recurrence-free (2.53(1.21-5.30),p = 0.014) survival.

CONCLUSION

C-reactive protein-albumin ratio > 0.034 is a strong predictor of poor prognosis following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. In addition, pre-operative hypoalbuminemia was associated with post-operative complications, and future studies are required to assess the potential benefits of albumin replacement in reducing post-surgical morbidity.

Identification of reversed portal flow on 4DCT and of factors contributing to reversed portal flow in patients with liver cirrhosis and portosystemic shunt before interventional radiology procedures

AIM

Patients with liver cirrhosis and portosystemic shunt occasionally develop reversed portal flow in the portal venous system. The factors contributing to reversed portal flow in these patients remain unclear. The aim of this study was to identify factors contributing to reversed portal flow in patients with portosystemic shunts based on four-dimensional computed tomography (4DCT), which visualized flow dynamics in the portal venous system.

METHODS

Data from 34 consecutive patients with portosystemic shunts who had undergone 4DCT before interventional radiology procedures were retrospectively investigated in this study. Uni- and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors contributing to reversed portal flow.

RESULTS

Flow dynamics could be visualized on 4DCT in 32 of the 34 patients. Fifteen patients had forward portal flow; 17 had reversed portal flow. The main portal, splenic, and superior mesenteric veins displayed reversed portal flow in five, 12, and five vessels, respectively. Portosystemic shunt originating from splenic and superior mesenteric veins, worse albumin-bilirubin score, and small main portal vein diameter were significant factors contributing to reversed portal flow in both univariate (p = 0.049, p = 0.027, and p = 0.002) and multivariate (odds ratio [OR] 6.345, p = 0.012; OR 4.279, p = 0.039; and OR 5.516, p = 0.019) analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

The reversed portal flow was visualized on 4DCT. Portosystemic shunt originating distant to the liver, worse albumin-bilirubin score, and small diameter of the main portal vein were factors contributing to reversed flow in the portal venous system.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

Machine learning-based normal tissue complication probability model for predicting albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade increase in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to develop a normal tissue complication probability model using a machine learning approach (ML-based NTCP) to predict the risk of radiation-induced liver disease in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study population included 201 HCC patients treated with radiotherapy. The patients' medical records were retrospectively reviewed to obtain the clinical and radiotherapy data. Toxicity was defined by albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade increase. The normal liver dose-volume histogram was reduced to mean liver dose (MLD) based on the fraction size-adjusted equivalent uniform dose (2 Gy/fraction and α/β = 2). Three types of ML-based classification models were used, a penalized logistic regression (PLR), random forest (RF), and gradient-boosted tree (GBT) model. Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Internal validation was performed by 5-fold cross validation and external validation was done in 44 new patients.

RESULTS

Liver toxicity occurred in 87 patients (43.1%). The best individual model was the GBT model using baseline liver function, liver volume, and MLD as inputs and the best overall model was an ensemble of the PLR and GBT models. An AUROC of 0.82 with a standard deviation of 0.06 was achieved for the internal validation. An AUROC of 0.78 with a standard deviation of 0.03 was achieved for the external validation. The behaviors of the best GBT model were also in good agreement with the domain knowledge on NTCP.

CONCLUSION

We propose the methodology to develop an ML-based NTCP model to estimate the risk of ALBI grade increase.

Study the response of Qurevo (ombitasvir, paritaprevir, and ritonavir) in end-stage renal disease patients with hepatitis C virus

Background

Out of the 185 million people infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) worldwide according to the World Health Organization (WHO), Egypt had the highest prevalence of HCV reaching 13% of its population with an estimated number of 12 million people. The prevalence of HCV infection among hemodialysis (HD) patients ranged from 6 to 60%. HD patients have an increased overall mortality risk if they have chronic HCV when compared to those without HCV infection. Treatment of HCV with the new direct-acting antiviral agent (DAA) therapy Qurevo “ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir” with ribavirin in ESRD was approved in many countries compared to traditional HCV treatment that faced restrictions in the setting of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Aim of the study

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of Qurevo/ribavirin regimen in HCV-infected HD patients.

Patients and methods

A prospective cohort study evaluated the outcome of 12-week ombitasvir (NS5A inhibitor)/paritaprevir (NS3/4A protease inhibitor)/ritonavir with ribavirin combination therapy for 50 HCV-infected HD patients, over a period of 15 months from December 2016 to February 2018. The primary endpoint was sustained virologic response 12 weeks after therapy (SVR12) and after 24 weeks of therapy (SVR24).

Results

The SVR12 rate was 96% (48/50); 2 patients (4%) were non-responders to treatment at SVR12, and another 2 (4%) were relapsers after SVR12. As regards the adverse events, the most frequent were fatigue/asthenia in 44 patients (88%) and worsening anemia (Hb dropped to < 10 g/dl) in 42 patients (84%). GIT upset occurred in 10 patients (20%), sleep disorders in 8 patients (16%), decreased appetite in 8 patients (16%), respiratory distress in 6 patients (12%), headache and dizziness in 6 patients (12%), and muscle spasms in 4 patients (8%). Itching (pruritus) occurred in 3 patients (6%). Death occurred in 4 patients (8%) after SVR24 most probably not due to DAA but may be due to myocardial infarction, pulmonary edema, severe hypotension on hemodialysis sessions, and shock due to blood loss in retroperitoneal hematoma following peritoneal dialysis not related to DAA therapy. Hepatic decompensation, hypersensitivity (angioedema), teratogenicity, and drug interactions did not occur in any patient (0%). Other events occurred in 11 patients (22%). They were parenchymal liver changes in ultrasound at the end of therapy after being normal before therapy (in 3 patients), thrombocytopenia, increased alkaline phosphatase, hiccough, deterioration of hypertension, urinary tract infection, lower limb cellulitis, vaginal bleeding, and chest infection (in 1 patient each). SVR12 was achieved in 100% of patients who had to stop or modify the ribavirin dose; this means that ribavirin absence did not affect the SVR in these patients.

Conclusion

Our results confirm the efficacy of Qurevo “ombitasvir/paritaprevir/ritonavir” with ribavirin combination therapy in ESRD patients (on regular hemodialysis) with HCV infection with anemia as the most frequent adverse event.

Prognostic Value of Platelet-Albumin-Bilirubin Grade in Child-Pugh A and B Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Meta-Analysis

Background

Numerous studies showed that preoperative platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade was closely related to the prognostic outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the conclusions were inconsistent. Therefore, we implemented the study to comprehensively evaluate the association between PALBI grade and prognosis in patients with HCC.

Methods

Relevant articles were collected from the specified databases until February 10, 2022. We included all studies exploring the relationship between PALBI grade and prognosis in HCC patients. We used the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) to calculate the comprehensive analysis. All data analyses were performed using STATA 12.0.

Results

Thirteen retrospective articles containing 15534 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled results displayed that the high PALBI grade was obviously correlated with poor overall survival (OS) (HR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.46-2.02) and disease-free survival/relapse-free survival (DFS/RFS) (HR:1.31; 95% CI: 1.11–1.54). Subgroup analyses further confirmed the reliability of the comprehensive results.

Conclusions

PALBI may be a valid prognostic indicator in HCC patients. More investigations were needed to test our findings.

The Albumin-bilirubin Score Detects Changes in the Liver Function during Treatment for Budd-Chiari Syndrome: A Retrospective Observational Study

Objective Mapping the long-term prognosis of Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) is difficult, as the prognosis is associated with changes in the liver function. The present study evaluated the time course changes in the liver function in a treatment group with percutaneous old balloon angioplasty (POBA) and a non-treatment group using the albumin-bilirubin score (ALBI) and Child-Pugh score during long-term follow-up. Methods In this retrospective study, 13 consecutive patients diagnosed with BCS at our hospital between 2007 and 2020 were categorized into a treatment group (n=8), which received POBA, and a non-treatment group (n=5). Differences in the liver function in the ALBI and Child-Pugh scores between the initial visit and one- and three-year follow-up were calculated and statistically evaluated. We investigated the changes in the liver function during the long-term follow-up, including events such as re-stenosis and re-treatment. Results While the Child-Pugh scores in the treatment group did not differ significantly between the initial visit and 1- or 3-year follow-up, the ALBI scores in this group improved significantly between the initial visit and the 1- or 3-year follow-up visit (p=0.0078 and 0.0156, respectively). The liver function according to the ALBI score in the treatment group showed gradual improvement from the initial value but gradual worsening in the non-treatment group. The ALBI scores also revealed that the liver function varies according to re-stenosis and re-POBA in BCS patients. Conclusion Unlike the Child-Pugh score, the ALBI score was able to capture changes in the liver function of BCS patients during the long-term course of BCS.

Prognostic significance of systemic immune-inflammation index and platelet-albumin-bilirubin grade in patients with pancreatic cancer undergoing radical surgery

BACKGROUND

Systemic inflammatory markers are associated with patient survival in pancreatic cancer (PC). The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in PC patients who underwent radical surgery. Platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade is a composite evaluation index based on liver function. Patients with pancreatic head cancer are prone to obstructive jaundice, which leads to abnormal liver function. Based on this, we also explored the prognostic value of PALBI grade in PC patients.

METHODS

Patients with pathologically confirmed PC who had undergone radical surgery (with negative surgical margin) for the first time at the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University from January 2013 to December 2019 and followed up by December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Peripheral blood cell count is easily affected by infection or hematological diseases, which affects the results, so it is excluded. Clinical data and laboratory examination indexes were collected. The SII and PALBI grade were calculated. The cutoff values were determined using the Youden index. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the prognostic value of the SII and PALBI grade through univariate and multivariate survival analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 214 patients [median age, 60.29 years; 128 (59.8%) men] met the inclusion criteria. There were 140 patients (65.4%) with pancreatic head cancer according to the tumor location. They were divided into high and low SII or PALBI groups by cutoff values of 705 and -5.6, respectively. According to the multivariate analysis, SII (P<0.001) was an independent factor negatively associated with overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). In patients with pancreatic head cancer, PALBI grade was associated with shorter OS (P=0.031). The combination of high SII and high PALBI grade had stronger predictive value for poor prognosis (log-rank test, P<0.001), which the OS was 11.3 months less than the combination of low two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

SII was a promising prognostic biomarker in PC. And PALBI grade also showed predictive value for patients with pancreatic head cancer. Therefore, it can help predict the treatment outcomes in these patients.

Leveraging Blood-Based Diagnostics to Predict Tumor Biology and Extend the Application and Personalization of Radiotherapy in Liver Cancers

While the incidence of primary liver cancers has been increasing worldwide over the last few decades, the mortality has remained consistently high. Most patients present with underlying liver disease and have limited treatment options. In recent years, radiotherapy has emerged as a promising approach for some patients; however, the risk of radiation induced liver disease (RILD) remains a limiting factor for some patients. Thus, the discovery and validation of biomarkers to measure treatment response and toxicity is critical to make progress in personalizing radiotherapy for liver cancers. While tissue biomarkers are optimal, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is typically diagnosed radiographically, making tumor tissue not readily available. Alternatively, blood-based diagnostics may be a more practical option as blood draws are minimally invasive, widely availability and may be performed serially during treatment. Possible blood-based diagnostics include indocyanine green test, plasma or serum levels of HGF or cytokines, circulating blood cells and genomic biomarkers. The albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) score incorporates albumin and bilirubin to subdivide patients with well-compensated underlying liver dysfunction (Child–Pugh score A) into two distinct groups. This review provides an overview of the current knowledge on circulating biomarkers and blood-based scores in patients with malignant liver disease undergoing radiotherapy and outlines potential future directions.

External Validation of Six Liver Functional Reserve Models to predict Posthepatectomy Liver Failure after Major Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Objective: To validate and compare the predictive ability of albumin-bilirubin model (ALBI) with other 5 liver functional reserve models (APRI, FIB4, MELD, PALBI, King's score) for posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent major hepatectomy. Methods: Data of patients undergoing major hepatectomy for HCC from 4 hospitals between January 01, 2008 and December 31, 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. PHLF was evaluated according to the definition of the 50-50 criteria. Performances of six liver functional reserve models were determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plot and decision curve analysis. Results: A total of 745 patients with 103 (13.8%) experienced PHLF were finally included in this study. Among six liver functional reserve models, ALBI showed the highest AUC (0.64, 95% CI: 0.58-0.69) for PHLF. All models showed good calibration and greater net benefit than treating all patients at a limit range of threshold probabilities, but the ALBI demonstrated net benefit across the largest range of threshold probabilities. Subgroup analysis also showed ALBI had good predictive performance in cirrhotic (AUC=0.63) or non-cirrhotic (AUC=0.62) patients. Conclusion: Among the six models, the ALBI model shows more accurate predictive ability for PHLF in HCC patients undergoing major hepatectomy, regardless of having cirrhosis or not.

Effect of surgical margin on postoperative prognosis in patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma: A propensity score matching analysis

Objective: The effect of surgical margin (SM) on the postoperative prognosis of patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of SM on the postoperative prognosis of patients with solitary HCC by using propensity score matching (PSM).

Methods: Patients with solitary HCC who underwent liver resection were divided into a wide margin group (1.0 cm or more, group W) and a narrow margin group (< 1.0 cm, group N). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) associated with the SM status and the factors influencing postoperative prognosis were evaluated.

Results: Before PSM, the indicators were not balanced between the two groups. PFS and OS were significantly lower in group N than group W. The factors affecting postoperative prognosis were international normalized ratio (INR), AST, capsule integrity, microvascular invasion, tumour embolus and tumour size. After PSM, data of both groups were balanced and comparable, and no significant differences in OS or PFS between the two groups. The INR in the above affecting factors was excluded.

Conclusion: For solitary HCC patients with negative SMs, SM size does not affect prognosis. INR, AST, capsule integrity, microvascular invasion, tumour embolus and tumour size are independent factors influencing the postoperative prognosis of solitary HCC patients.

High preoperative albumin-bilirubin score predicts poor survival in patients with newly diagnosed high-grade gliomas

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic value of the preoperative Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score in high-grade glioma (HGG) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 194 HGG patients was conducted. ROC analysis was used to determine the optimal cut-off value of ALBI score. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify prognostic factors associated with progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). The resulting prognostic models were externally validated by a demographic-matched cohort of 130 HGG patients.

RESULTS

Optimal cutoff value of ALBI score was -2.941. In training set, ALBI was correlated with age (P = 0.001), tumor location (P = 0.012) and adjuvant therapy (P = 0.016). Both PFS (8.27 vs. 18.40 months, P<0.001) and OS (13.93 vs. 27.57 months, P<0.001) were significantly worse in the ALBI-high group. Strikingly, patients in ALBI-low group had 56% decrease in the risk of tumor progression and 57% decrease in the risk of death relative to high ALBI. Multivariate analysis further identified ALBI score as an independent predictor for both PFS (HR=0.47, 95% CI 0.34, 0.66) and OS (HR=0.45, 95% CI 0.32, 0.63). The ALBI score remained independent prognostic value in the validation set for both PFS (P = 0.01) and OS (P = 0.007). Patients with low ALBI score had better PFS and OS in all subgroups by tumor grade and treatment modalities.

CONCLUSIONS

The preoperative ALBI score is a noninvasive and valuable prognostic marker for HGG patients.

Albumin-bilirubin index and platelet-albumin-bilirubin index contribute to identifying survival benefit candidates in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and Child-Pugh grade A undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolization with sorafenib treatment

Background

Combined therapy of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) with sorafenib is used for a large number of patients with intermediate-stage or advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its implementation is limited by the evaluation of pre-treatment liver function reserve. This study aimed to validate the performance of the albumin-bilirubin index (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI) in predicting survival benefits in patients with HCC and Child-Pugh grade A receiving TACE combined with sorafenib treatment.

Methods

From 2004 to 2018, 418 patients with intermediate/advanced-stage HCC and Child-Pugh grade A receiving TACE combined with sorafenib treatment were retrospectively enrolled. The predictive performance of ALBI and PALBI was explored by survival analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis.

Results

The median overall survival (mOS) was 24 and 12 months in patients with ALBI grade 1 and grade 2, respectively. The mOS of patients with PALBI grade 1, grade 2, and grade 3 was 23, 16, and 7 months, respectively. The multivariate analysis showed that ALBI grade 2 [hazard ratio (HR) =1.39, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11–1.74] and PALBI grade 3 (HR =3.72, 95% CI: 2.26–6.06) were associated with unfavorable prognosis. The ROC analysis revealed that ALBI and PALBI scores had better prediction performance compared with the Child-Pugh score. Subgroup analysis confirmed that by using ALBI or PALBI, patients could be stratified into subgroups with different liver function reserves and distinctive prognosis, regardless of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, combination modality, or α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels.

Conclusions

Both ALBI and PALBI could predict prognosis in patients with HCC and Child-Pugh grade A receiving TACE and sorafenib. Patients with ALBI or PALBI grade 1 harbored a more favorable survival outcome compared with those with ALBI or PALBI grade 2–3, and hence should be recommended as the best candidates for TACE combined with sorafenib treatment.

Role of platelet-albumin-bilirubin score in predicting re-bleeding after band ligation for acute variceal hemorrhage

Platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) score was proposed by Roayaie et al with modification of previously studied albumin-bilirubin score to include platelet as an indicator of portal hypertension in 2015. Predictive value of this score was recently tested by Elshaarawy et al for re-bleeding in patients presenting with acute variceal hemorrhage. We did a similar study at our center (n = 170) to look at incidence of re-bleeding after band ligation defined as drop in 2 units of hemoglobin and witnessed melena or hematemesis within 2 wk of the procedure. We calculated PALBI scores for all patients based on lab values prior to the procedure. Of 25.3% had re-bleeding episodes, area under receiver operating characteristic curve for PALBI as predictor of re-bleeding was 0.601 (95% confidence interval: 0.502-0.699). PALBI score showed moderate accuracy at predicting re-bleeding in our population.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and albumin bilirubin grade in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a frequent cause of cancer related death globally. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and albumin bilirubin (ALBI) grade are emerging prognostic indicators in HCC.

AIM

To study published literature of NLR and ALBI over the last five years, and to validate NLR and ALBI locally in our centre as indicators of HCC survival.

METHODS

A systematic review of the published literature on PubMed of NLR and ALBI in HCC over the last five years. The search followed the guidelines of the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Additionally, we also investigated HCC cases between December 2013 and December 2018 in our centre.

RESULTS

There were 54 studies describing the relation between HCC and NLR and 95 studies describing the relation between HCC and ALBI grade over the last five years. Our local cohort of patients showed NLR to have a significant negative relationship to survival (P = 0.011). There was also significant inverse relationship between the size of the largest HCC nodule and survival (P = 0.009). Median survival with alpha fetoprotein (AFP) < 10 KU/L was 20 mo and with AFP > 10 KU/L was 5 mo. We found that AFP was inversely related to survival, this relationship was not statically significant (P = 0.132). Mean survival for ALBI grade 1 was 37.7 mo, ALBI grade 2 was 13.4 months and ALBI grade 3 was 4.5 mo. ALBI grades performed better than Child Turcotte Pugh score in detecting death from HCC.

CONCLUSION

NLR and ALBI grade in HCC predict survival better than the conventional alpha fetoprotein. ALBI grade performs better than Child Turcotte Pugh score. These markers are done as part of routine clinical care and in cases of normal alpha fetoprotein, these markers could give a better understanding of the patient disease progression. NLR and ALBI grade could have a role in modified easier to learn staging and prognostic systems for HCC.

Non-invasive tests for the prediction of primary hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignancies in the world and it is one of the main complications of cirrhosis and portal hypertension. Even in the presence of a well-established follow-up protocol for cirrhotic patients, to date poor data are available on predictive markers for primary HCC occurrence in the setting of compensated advanced chronic liver disease patients (cACLD). The gold standard method to evaluate the prognosis of patients with cACLD, beyond liver fibrosis assessed with histology, is the measurement of the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). An HVPG ≥10 mmHg has been related to an increased risk of HCC in cACLD patients. However, these methods are burdened by additional costs and risks for patients and are mostly available only in referral centers. In the last decade increasing research has focused on the evaluation of several, simple, non-invasive tests (NITs) as predictors of HCC development. We reviewed the currently available literature on biochemical and ultrasound-based scores developed for the non-invasive evaluation of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension in predicting primary HCC. We found that the most reliable methods to assess HCC risk were the liver stiffness measurement, the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index score and the fibrosis-4 index. Other promising NITs need further investigations and validation for different liver disease aetiologies.

Hepatocellular carcinoma, novel therapies on the horizon

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver cancer and is associated with high mortality rate. Incidence remains high due to the persistent prevalence of viral hepatitis, alcoholic cirrhosis, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NFLD). Despite screening efforts, the majority of patients present with advanced disease, add to the high risk of recurrence after curative surgery. Conventional chemotherapy did not alter the nature history of advanced and metastatic HCC. The discovery of multiple tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) led to the approval of sorafenib as first efficacious therapy. A new era in the treatment paradigm of HCC is evolving. Since the advent of sorafenib as an active treatment option for patients presenting with advanced or metastatic disease, several agents have been examined. This was linked with many failures, and success stories to celebrate. Herein, we describe the historical progress and current advances of systemic therapies post-sorafenib. Lenvatinib, regorafenib, cabozantinib, ramucirumab, pembrolizumab, and nivolumab, are all presently added and available therapeutic options in the advanced setting. The evaluation of novel treatment combinations including anti-angiogenic, TKIs plus checkpoint inhibitors, add to dual checkpoint inhibitors is evolving rapidly starting with the advent of the combination of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. Combining local and systemic therapies is being actively investigated, as an option for locally advanced disease conventionally treated with locoregional approaches. The horizon remains promising and continues to evolve for HCC a disease long considered with unmet needs.

A Novel Pre-treatment Model Predicting Risk of Developing Refractoriness to Transarterial Chemoembolization in Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background and aim: Refractoriness to transarterial chemoembolization is common during the therapeutic process of hepatocellular carcinoma, which is an intractable issue and may compromise the prognosis. We aim to establish a pre-treatment model to identify patients with high risks of refractoriness.

Methods: From 2010 to 2016, 824 treatment-naive patients who had initially underwent at least two sessions of transarterial chemoembolization in Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University were retrospectively enrolled. These patients were randomly allocated into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The pre-treatment scoring model was established based on the clinical and radiological variables using logistic regression and nomogram. The discrimination and calibration of the model were also evaluated.

Results: Logistic regression identified vascularization pattern, ALBI grade, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, serum γ-glutamyl transpeptidase level and major tumor size as the key parameters related to refractoriness. The p-TACE model was established using these variables (risk score range: 0-19.5). Patients were divided into six risk subgroups based on their scores (<4, ≥4, ≥7, ≥10, ≥13, ≥16). The discriminative ability, as determined by the area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.784 (95% confidence interval: 0.741-0.827) in the training cohort and 0.743 (95% confidence interval: 0.696-0.789) in the validation cohort. Moreover, satisfactory calibration was confirmed by Hosmer-Lemeshow test with P values of 0.767 and 0.913 in the training cohort and validation cohort.

Conclusions: This study presents a pre-treatment model to identify patients with high risks of refractoriness after transarterial chemoembolization and shed light on clinical decision making.

ALBI versus child-pugh in predicting outcome of patients with HCC: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive tumor type which results in poor prognosis. ALBI and Child-Pugh score have been widely applied for predicting prognosis in patients with liver diseases. We conducted a systematic review to compare the prognostic ability of ALBI versus Child-Pugh in HCC patients.

AREAS COVERED

PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library were explored. The data were extracted from every study. Studies investigating HCC patients and comparing the predicting ability between ALBI and Child-Pugh were analyzed.

EXPERT OPINION

This systematic review revealed that ALBI showed better discriminative ability than Child-Pugh for predicting the prognosis in HCC patients. However, the predictive abilities of two scores should be improved. Except for the most common used serum biomarker AFP for diagnosis and surveillance of HCC, recent studies have also explored all aspects of HCC through genome-wide sequencing, exome sequencing, RNA sequencing and genome-wide methylation analysis which provide essential clues for genotyping of HCC. Further studies should explore biomarkers by advanced techniques to validate new prognostic tools for early diagnosis and prognosis of HCC. Moreover, multicenter prospective studies should be carried out to compare the prognostic values of predictive indicators in HCC population in the future.

Albumin-bilirubin and platelet-albumin-bilirubin grades for hepatitis B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma in Child-Pugh A patients treated with radical surgery: A retrospective observational study

Child-Pugh (CP) grade A patients with early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are candidates for curative surgery, while some patients still have a poor outcome. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic values of 2 new evaluation models for liver function, named albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grades, in CP grade A patients with HCC.In this retrospective cohort study, we reviewed 134 cases of CP grade A patients with hepatitis B-associated HCC who underwent radical surgery. ALBI and PALBI grades were calculated based on preoperative serologic examinations. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were estimated by Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression. The prognostic performances of the models were estimated by using the concordance index (C-index).During a median follow-up time of 27 months, 27.6% (37/134) of patients died and 26.1% (35/134) experienced recurrence. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that ALBI and PALBI grades were significantly associated with OS and RFS. Multivariate analyses further revealed that both ALBI and PALBI grades were independent predictors for survival. Furthermore, the prognostic values of the combination of tumor size with ALBI (C-index = 0.754, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.675-0.849) or with PALBI (C-index = 0.762, 95% CI: 0.664-0.844) may be comparable with both Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer and Cancer of Liver Italian Program staging systems.The ALBI and PALBI grades, in particular the combination with tumor size, are effective models for discriminating survival in CP grade A patients with HCC.

Prognostic impact of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) combined with radiofrequency ablation in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: Comparison with TACE alone using decision-tree analysis after propensity score matching

AIMS

The prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is still poor. We aimed to evaluate the impact of TACE combined with radiofrequency ablation (TACE+RFA) on the prognosis of HCC patients using decision-tree analysis after propensity score matching.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study. We enrolled 420 patients with HCC treated with TACE alone (n = 311) or TACE+RFA (n = 109) between 1998 and 2016 (median age, 72 years; male / female, 272/148; Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage A / B, 215/205). The prognosis of patients who underwent TACE+RFA was compared to patients who underwent TACE alone after propensity score matching. Decision-tree analysis was used to investigate the profile for prognosis of the patients.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, there was no significant difference in age, sex, BCLC stage, or albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score between both groups. The survival rate of the TACE+RFA group was significantly higher than the TACE alone group (median survival time [MST] 57.9 months vs. 33.1 months, P < 0.001). In a stratification analysis according to BCLC stage, the overall survival rate of the TACE+RFA group was significantly higher than the TACE alone group in BCLC stage A and B (MST 57.9 and 50.7 months vs. 39.8 and 24.5 months [P = 0.007 and 0.001], respectively). Decision-tree analysis showed that TACE+RFA was the third distinguishable factor for survival in patients with α-fetoprotein level >7 ng/mL and ALBI <-2.08.

CONCLUSION

Decision-tree analysis after propensity score matching showed that TACE+RFA could prolong the survival of HCC patients compared to TACE alone.

Intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a summary review

It is well known that intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) encompasses the widest class of patients with this disease. The main characteristic of this special sub-group of patients is that it is extensively heterogenous. This substantial heterogeneity is due to the wide range of liver functions of such patients and variable tumor numbers and sizes. Real world clinical data show huge support for transarterial chemo-embolization (TACE) as a therapeutic modality for intermediate stage HCC, applied in 50%-60% of those class of patients. There are special considerations in various international guidelines regarding treatment allocation in intermediate stage HCC. There is an epidemiological difference in HCC in eastern and western cohorts, and various guidelines have been proposed. In patients with HCC, it has frequently been reported that there is poor correlation between the clinical benefit and real gain in patient condition and the conventional way of tumor response assessment after locoregional treatments. This is due to the evaluation criteria in addition to the scoring systems used for treatment allocation in those patients. It became clear that intermediate stage HCC patients receiving TACE need a proper prognostic score that offers valid clinical prediction and supports proper decision-making. Also, it is the proper time to study more treatment options beyond TACE, such as multimodal regimens for this class of patients. In this review, we tried to provide a summary of the challenges and future directions in managing patients with intermediate stage HCC.

Ultrasound-guided percutaneous microwave ablation versus surgical resection for recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: intermediate-term results

OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study were to compare the clinical outcomes between ultrasound-guided percutaneous microwave ablation (US-PMWA) and surgical resection (SR) in patients with recurrent intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and to identify the prognostic factors associated with the two treatment methods.

METHODS

This retrospective study was institutional review board approved. A total of 121 patients (102 men and 19 women) with 136 ICCs after hepatectomy from April 2011 to January 2017 were reviewed. Fifty-six patients underwent US-PMWA and 65 patients underwent SR. Survival, recurrence and liver function were compared between the two groups. Effect of changes in key parameters [i.e., overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS)] was statistically analyzed with the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed on clinicopathological variables to identify factors affecting long-term outcome.

RESULTS

The OS and RFS after MWA were comparable to that of SR (p = .405, and p = .589, respectively). Estimated 5-year OS rates were 23.7% after MWA and 21.8% after SR; for RFS, estimated 3-year RFS rates were 33.1% after MWA and 30.6% after SR. Major complication rates in SR group were higher than that in MWA (p < .001) (SR, 13.8% vs. MWA, 5.3%). Multivariate analysis showed tumor number (p = .012), ALBI grade (p = .007), and metastasis (p = .016), may become OS rate predictors.

CONCLUSIONS

US-PMWA had comparable oncologic outcomes with SR and could be a safe and effective treatment for recurrent ICC after hepatectomy.

Prognostic value of pretreatment albumin to bilirubin ratio in patients with hepatocellular cancer: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Hepatic function is closely associated with prognosis in patients with hepatocellular cancer (HCC). In this study, a meta-analysis of the published studies was performed to assess the prognostic value of ALBI grade in HCC patients.

METHODS

Databases, including PubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were retrieved up to August 2018. The primary outcome was OS and secondary outcome was DFS, the prognostic impact of which was assessed by using hazard ratio (HRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The enrolled studies were analyzed by using STATA version 12.0 software.

RESULTS

A total of 22,911 patients with HCC in 32 studies were included. Our results demonstrated that high pretreatment ALBI is associated with poor OS (HR = 1.719, 95%CI: 1.666-1.771, P = .000, univariate results; HR = 1.602, 95%CI: 1.470-1.735, P = .000, multivariate results) and poor DFS (HR = 1.411, 95%CI: 1.262-1.561, P = .000, univariate results; HR = 1.264, 95%CI: 1.042-1.485, P = .000, multivariate results). Meanwhile, when the analysis was stratified into subgroups, such as treatment methods, sample size, geographic area, and ALBI grade, the significant correlation in ALBI and poor long-term survival was not altered.

CONCLUSION

High pretreatment ALBI is closely associated with poor prognosis in HCC, and High ALBI should be treated as an ideal predictor during hepatocellular therapy.