Analysis of the yearly transition function in measles disease modeling

Globally, there were an estimated 9.8 million measles cases and 207 500 measles deaths in 2019. As the effort to eliminate measles around the world continues, modeling remains a valuable tool for public health decision-makers and program implementers. This study presents a novel approach to the use of a yearly transition function that formulates mathematically the vaccine schedules for different age groups while accounting for the effects of the age of vaccination, the timing of vaccination, and disease seasonality on the yearly number of measles cases in a country. The methodology presented adds to an existing modeling framework and expands its analysis, making its utilization more adjustable for the user and contributing to its conceptual clarity. This article also adjusts for the temporal interaction between vaccination and exposure to disease, applying adjustments to estimated yearly counts of cases and the number of vaccines administered that increase population immunity. These new model features provide the ability to forecast and compare the effects of different vaccination timing scenarios and seasonality of transmission on the expected disease incidence. Although the work presented is applied to the example of measles, it has potential relevance to modeling other vaccine-preventable diseases.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of the clinimetric properties of the core outcome measurement instruments for clinical effectiveness trials of nutritional and metabolic interventions in critical illness (CONCISE)

BACKGROUND

CONCISE is an internationally agreed minimum set of outcomes for use in nutritional and metabolic clinical research in critically ill adults. Clinicians and researchers need to be aware of the clinimetric properties of these instruments and understand any limitations to ensure valid and reliable research. This systematic review and meta-analysis were undertaken to evaluate the clinimetric properties of the measurement instruments identified in CONCISE.

METHODS

Four electronic databases were searched from inception to December 2022 (MEDLINE via Ovid, EMBASE via Ovid, CINAHL via Healthcare Databases Advanced Search, CENTRAL via Cochrane). Studies were included if they examined at least one clinimetric property of a CONCISE measurement instrument or recognised variation in adults ≥ 18 years with critical illness or recovering from critical illness in any language. The COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) checklist for systematic reviews of Patient-Reported Outcome Measures was used. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses were used in line with COSMIN guidance. The COSMIN checklist was used to evaluate the risk of bias and the quality of clinimetric properties. Overall certainty of the evidence was rated using a modified Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. Narrative synthesis was performed and where possible, meta-analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

A total of 4316 studies were screened. Forty-seven were included in the review, reporting data for 12308 participants. The Short Form-36 Questionnaire (Physical Component Score and Physical Functioning), sit-to-stand test, 6-m walk test and Barthel Index had the strongest clinimetric properties and certainty of evidence. The Short Physical Performance Battery, Katz Index and handgrip strength had less favourable results. There was limited data for Lawson Instrumental Activities of Daily Living and the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition criteria. The risk of bias ranged from inadequate to very good. The certainty of the evidence ranged from very low to high.

CONCLUSIONS

Variable evidence exists to support the clinimetric properties of the CONCISE measurement instruments. We suggest using this review alongside CONCISE to guide outcome selection for future trials of nutrition and metabolic interventions in critical illness.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (CRD42023438187). Registered 21/06/2023.

Adverse events among persons with TB using in-person vs. electronic directly observed therapy

BACKGROUND: We evaluated patient safety within a randomized crossover trial comparing electronic directly observed therapy (eDOT) to in-person DOT (ipDOT) in persons undergoing TB treatment in New York City, NY, USA.METHODS: Participant symptoms, symptom severity, and clinical management were documented. We assessed adverse event reports (AERs) by DOT method during the two-period crossover. Using Cox proportional-hazards mixed-effects models, we estimated the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of participants reporting an adverse event (AE) vs. not reporting an AE.RESULTS: Of 211 participants, 57 (27.0%) reported AEs during the two-period crossover; of these, 54.4% (31/57) were reported while using eDOT vs. 45.6% (26/57) while using ipDOT. Controlling for study group and period, the aHR for eDOT vs. ipDOT was 0.98 (95% CI 0.49-1.93). Although statistically not significant, the wide confidence intervals suggest that a significant association cannot be entirely ruled out. Gastrointestinal symptoms were most frequently reported (42.1%, 24/57). AER types and severity did not differ significantly by DOT method. Days from symptom onset to medical attention was similar across DOT methods (median: 1.0 day, IQR 0.0-2.0). No participants switched DOT methods due to AERs or monitoring concerns.CONCLUSION: Further evaluation to ascertain whether AERs differ when patients use eDOT vs. ipDOT is warranted.

Freshwater turtle admissions to a wildlife hospital in South-East Queensland, Australia over an eleven-year period, 2010-2021

INTRODUCTION

Freshwater turtles in South-East Queensland face a multitude of anthropogenic threats that threaten their survival. Research exploring the morbidity and mortality of animals presented to wildlife hospitals has been used globally to assess the health of species populations, investigate anthropogenic interference and provide valuable information to veterinary professionals about ailments common to a particular species.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Medical records of 1739 chelonian patients admitted to Currumbin Wildlife Hospital, Currumbin, Queensland, Australia between March 2010 and March 2021 were analysed to obtain data on species, diagnoses, outcome and temporal trends.

RESULTS

Six species of freshwater turtles were observed, with the Brisbane River turtle (Emydura macquarii signata) being the most common. While there was no significant trend in the number of cases over the study period, there was a decline in the number of Saw-shell turtles (Myuchelys latisternum) admitted each year. Admissions peaked in autumn and summer, likely coinciding with nesting and hatchling emergence. Trauma was the most common diagnosis, accounting for 83% of cases, and saw a decreasing incidence during the study period. In contrast, there was an increasing number of turtles presenting with disease within the same period. Overall, 67.4% of turtles were able to be released after a period of treatment, while 32.6% were euthanised or died due to their condition. Turtles presenting for trauma had the most favourable prognosis, and disease held the poorest prognosis.

CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

These results confirmed that there are significant anthropogenic threats to freshwater turtle populations in South-East Queensland.

Stroke-heart syndrome: sex-specific incidence, risk factors, and major adverse cardiovascular events in 486,515 patients with incident ischaemic stroke

Background

Newly diagnosed cardiovascular complications post-stroke, termed stroke-heart syndrome, are common and associate with worsened prognosis.

Purpose

To investigate the sex-specific incidence and 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events following stroke-heart syndrome, stratified by pre-existing risk factors (sex, age, obesity, hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and high LDL cholesterol).

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted using anonymised electronic medical records from 56 participating healthcare organizations. Patients with incident ischaemic stroke aged ≥18 years with 5-years of follow-up were included. Patients diagnosed with new-onset cardiovascular complications (heart failure, severe ventricular arrhythmia, atrial fibrillation, ischaemic heart disease, takotsubo syndrome) within 4-weeks of incident ischaemic stroke (exposure) were 1:1 propensity score-matched (age, sex, ethnicity, comorbidities, cardiovascular care) with ischaemic stroke patients without newly diagnosed cardiovascular complications (control). Cox proportional hazards regression models produced hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and Kaplan-Meier curves for 5-year risk of all-cause mortality, recurrent stroke, and acute myocardial infarction (AMI).

Results

Of 486,515 patients with ischaemic stroke, 18% (n=87,786) presented with stroke-heart syndrome (47% (n=41,088) female and 52% (n=45,891) male). Following propensity score matching, composite stroke-heart syndrome associated with significantly higher risk of 5-year mortality (HR 1.66 (95% CI 1.62,1.70), P<0.01), recurrent stroke (1.26 (1.24,1.28), P<0.01), and AMI (2.58 (2.50,2.67), P<0.01). These outcomes were similar for both males and females (Figure 1). The risk of mortality, recurrent stroke and AMI following stroke-heart syndrome was relatively higher for patients aged <75 compared to those >75. The risk of all adverse outcomes were relatively higher for females aged <75 compared to males aged <75. Pre-existing obesity associated with a lower risk of mortality for females and males, but a higher risk of recurrent stroke for females. Pre-existing hypertension associated with a lower risk of all outcomes, except recurrent stroke in males. Pre-existing diabetes associated with higher risks for mortality and AMI for both females and males. High LDL cholesterol associated with lower risk of mortality but a higher risk of recurrent stroke and AMI in males and females (Figure 1).

Conclusions

In this cohort study of patients with incident ischaemic stroke, stroke-heart syndrome occurred in 18% of patients. The overall incidence and subsequent 5-year major adverse cardiovascular events following stroke-heart syndrome were similar for females and males, but with important sex-specific differences when stratified by pre-existing risk factors, including age, obesity, and hypertension.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Core outcome measures for clinical effectiveness trials of nutritional and metabolic interventions in critical illness: an international modified Delphi consensus study evaluation (CONCISE)

Background

Clinical research on nutritional and metabolic interventions in critically ill patients is heterogenous regarding time points, outcomes and measurement instruments used, impeding intervention development and data syntheses, and ultimately worsening clinical outcomes. We aimed to identify and develop a set of core outcome domains and associated measurement instruments to include in all research in critically ill patients.

Methods

An updated systematic review informed a two-stage modified Delphi consensus process (domains followed by instruments). Measurement instruments for domains considered ‘essential’ were taken through the second stage of the Delphi and a subsequent consensus meeting.

Results

In total, 213 participants (41 patients/caregivers, 50 clinical researchers and 122 healthcare professionals) from 24 countries contributed. Consensus was reached on time points (30 and 90 days post-randomisation). Three domains were considered ‘essential’ at 30 days (survival, physical function and Infection) and five at 90 days (survival, physical function, activities of daily living, nutritional status and muscle/nerve function). Core ‘essential’ measurement instruments reached consensus for survival and activities of daily living, and ‘recommended’ measurement instruments for physical function, nutritional status and muscle/nerve function. No consensus was reached for a measurement instrument for Infection. Four further domains met criteria for ‘recommended,’ but not ‘essential,’ to measure at 30 days post-randomisation (organ dysfunction, muscle/nerve function, nutritional status and wound healing) and three at 90 days (frailty, body composition and organ dysfunction).

Conclusion

The CONCISE core outcome set is an internationally agreed minimum set of outcomes for use at 30 and 90 days post-randomisation, in nutritional and metabolic clinical research in critically ill adults.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13054-022-04113-x.

The impact and experience of cardiac cachexia in advanced heart failure patients and their caregivers

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Northern Ireland Chest Heart & Stroke

Background

Cardiac cachexia is a multifactorial wasting syndrome, which is characterised by unintentional weight loss, a reduction in skeletal muscle mass, and reduced quality of life. There is a paucity of qualitative research outlining the impact and experience of cardiac cachexia in advanced heart failure patients and their caregivers. Research in this area may promote a better understanding of the syndrome, enhance current treatment strategies, and highlight priorities for patient care.

Purpose

To qualitatively investigate the impact and experience of cardiac cachexia in advanced heart failure patients and their caregivers.

Methods

Semi-structured interviews were performed with advanced heart failure (NYHA functional class III-IV) patients meeting diagnostic criteria for cardiac cachexia (number (n) = 8) and their caregivers (n = 5). Interview questions followed a "laddered style approach", with a focus on determining the experience of cachexia for patients and carers, and its impact on their daily lives. Interviews were digitally recorded and transcribed verbatim. Average interview duration was 43 (15-64) minutes. Data were thematically analysed, using the 6-step approach of Braun & Clarke. Themes were developed and refined by several members of the research team to ensure rigor.

Results

Four key themes were developed from the data. 1) "Changed relationship with food and eating": patients with cachexia referred to eating as something they now ‘make’ themselves do without enjoyment, often just to placate their caregiver. Caregivers noted this change in habit and were concerned about inadequate nutritional intake due to the patient’s lack of interest in food. 2) "Not me in the mirror": patients struggled with their appearance and had a negative perception of themselves, linked to their weight loss. Caregivers were similarly aware of the physical changes in their loved ones and emotionally impacted. 3) "Lack of understanding regarding cachexia": despite the patient and caregivers’ concerns, they had a perception that healthcare professionals were just ‘fobbing you off’. Even though weight loss was noted and distressing to patients and caregivers, there was little clinical recognition of it, nor any advice or support from the clinical team regarding management. 4) "Uncertainty regarding the future": patients and caregivers recognised cachexia as a bad sign, and many expressed concerns about their future health and prognosis.

Conclusion

These novel qualitative findings highlight the severe impact of cardiac cachexia on the daily lives of patients and caregivers, and demonstrate their limited understanding of the syndrome. To improve care, professionals need to recognise and discuss cachexia with heart failure patients and caregivers, supporting them to cope with prognostic implications and develop more effective management strategies.

Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

Using personalised avatars as an adjunct to a weight loss management programme: A feasibility study

Background

Obesity is a global public health concern. Interventions rely predominantly on managing dietary intake and/or increasing physical activity but sustained adherence is often poor. A lack motivation, self-efficacy and poor adherence to behavioural regimens are recognized barriers to successful weight loss. Avatar-based interventions have been found to achieve better patient outcomes managing chronic conditions by promoting more active engagement. We aimed to evaluate if a personalized avatar, as an adjunct to a routine weight-loss programme, could increase motivation, sustain engagement and improve health outcomes.

Methods

A feasibility randomised design. Participants were recruited from a community-based, 12-week NHS weight improvement programme. Main outcome measure was weight loss. Quantitative data were subjected to descriptive statistical tests and comparison between intervention/control arms. Acceptability was assessed through interviews and analysed using framework approach.

Results

10 males (7-intervention; 3-routine); 33 females (23-intervention; 10-routine) were recruited. Initial mean weight was greater in intervention than routine arm (126.3 kg vs 122.9 kg); pattern of weight loss was similar across both arms in period T0-T1 but accelerated in period T1-T2 for intervention participants, suggesting that access to the personalized avatar may promote greater engagement with weight-loss initiatives in the short-to-medium term. Quality-of-life and self-efficacy measures demonstrated greater improvement in the intervention arm at both T1 (105.5 routine; 99.7 intervention) and T2 (100.1 routine; 81.2 intervention). N = 13 participants, n = 2 healthcare professionals were interviewed about their experience of using the avatar programme. Overall, participants found the intervention acceptable.

Conclusions

Avatar technology may successfully promote engagement and motivation in a weight-loss programmes, enabling participants to achieve greater weight-loss.

Key messages

The implementation of a personalised avatar as an adjunct to a weight management programme was both feasible and acceptable. Avatar technology may successfully promote engagement and motivation in weight loss programmes.

Prevalence and effect of cardiac cachexia in advanced heart failure patients living in northern ireland

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): Northern Ireland Chest Heart and Stroke

Background/Introduction: Cardiac cachexia (CC) is a multifactorial wasting syndrome, resulting in significant weight loss and reduction in muscle mass. This is reflected in a detrimental effect on the patients’ physical condition, quality of life and increases the patient’s risk of premature death. Nonetheless, cardiac cachexia remains frequently unrecognised in clinical practice and therefore understudied.

Purpose

To determine the prevalence and effect of cardiac cachexia in 200 patients with advanced heart failure (NYHA class III-IV) living in Northern Ireland.

Methods

A mixed methods cross sectional study of patients recruited from a regional heart failure centre. A total of 200 patients with NYHA class III-IV heart failure were consented, enrolled and detailed data collected from their records. Anthropometric measures were taken (i.e. measures of lean muscle mass and fat tissue) and each individual completed three validated questionnaires - EQ-5D-5L (quality of life), FACIT-Fatigue and FAACT (various wellbeing subscales).

Results

This population was predominately male (65.5%), with an average age of 74.4 years. Of the 200 NYHA class III-IV patients recruited, 30 were identified as cachectic (15%) Physically, cachectic patients were approximately 25 kg lighter than non-cachectic patients (p < 0.01) with an average BMI of 21.8 ± 4.4. The cachectic group showed significant reductions in mid-upper arm circumference (p < 0.01), skinfold thickness (p < 0.01) and upper arm fat area (p < 0.01), in comparison to the non-cachectic group. Measures of muscle mass were reduced, for example upper arm muscle circumference and area (p < 0.01), as well as grip strength (p < 0.01 for both right and left hands). Quality of life results from the EQ-5D-5L [see figure part b)] indicated an overall reduction for the cachectic group (p = 0.047). Of the EQ-5D-5L subscales, mobility and ‘usual activities’ were significantly reduced (p = 0.02 and p < 0.01 respectively), highlighting a significant change in the daily routine and ability of these patients. The FACIT-Fatigue questionnaire showed cachectic patients to be significantly more fatigued (p < 0.01) [see figure part a)], whilst the FAACT demonstrated reduced physical wellbeing (p = 0.02) and greater issues with diet and appetite (p < 0.01).

Conclusions

This is the first prevalence study of cardiac cachexia within Northern Ireland. The 15% prevalence rate shows that the syndrome is relatively common in the advanced heart failure population. Cardiac Cachexia has severe physical consequences, attributed to an individual’s weight loss in both fat and muscle tissue. Such changes may explain the subsequent decrease in mobility and the ability of these patients to conduct their ‘usual activities’. Increased fatigue, reduced physical wellbeing and issues with diet and appetite only intensify these dire physical effects. It is hoped that these results will highlight the impact of this syndrome and promote targeted interventions.

O28: M6A DEMETHYLASE FTO A POTENTIAL TARGET IN BRAIN METASTATIC BREAST CANCER

Introduction

Brain metastasis (BrM) occurs in 10-30% of patients with advanced breast cancer (BC). BrM is increasing in incidence and confers a poor prognosis. We aimed to investigate the contribution of global epi-transcriptomic alterations in N6-methyladenosine (m6A) RNA-methylation as a therapeutic target in brain metastatic breast cancer.

Method

In preliminary studies we have demonstrated m6A demethylase – FTO as the main contributor to the progression of ER+ breast cancer. Furthermore an association between FTO and reduced disease-free-survival (n=870, p=0.018) was observed. Here we conducted an epigenetic inhibitor screen using two therapeutic agents, ethyl-ester-meclofenamic acid (MA2) and FB23-2 on matched 2D cell line, 3D organoid cultures and patient-derived xenografts (PDX) explant models of brain metastasis.

Result

Upon integration of mapped global RNA methylation landscape with matched proteomic analysis, we observed genome-wide RNA hypo-methylation of key pluripotency genes, including SOX2 and KLF4, as key players underlying tumour progression to the brain.  Genetic and pharmacological inhibition of FTO in novel ex vivo models of BrM significantly reduced protein expression levels of KLF4 and SOX2. Moreover, pharmacological inhibition of FTO with MA2 and FB23-2, inhibited cell proliferation in endocrine-resistant BC and patient BrM cells. We translate our findings to the clinic by demonstrating the efficacy of anti-FTO therapies in several unique PDX and 3D organoid BrM models.

Conclusion

Our results reveal epi-transcriptional remodelling events as a key mechanism in BrM. This study establishes an early role for targeting RNA methylation in the management of disease progression and presents FTO as a potential therapeutic target in BrM.

Take-home message

This study establishes an early role for targeting RNA methylation in the management of disease progression and presents FTO as a potential therapeutic target in brain metastatic breast cancer.

O30: EVALUATION OF AXILLARY LYMPH NODE METASTATIC BURDEN BY PREOPERATIVE ULTRASOUND

Introduction

Sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) is the gold standard for determining axillary nodal status. There is growing interest in using preoperative axillary ultrasound (AUS) as a non-invasive means of assessing the axilla. However, AUS has limited sensitivity and is subject to operator dependency. This study aimed to quantify axillary nodal burden in preoperative AUS.

Method

This retrospective study used an institutional database of all primary invasive breast carcinomas from 2006–2019. Those with pathologically proven axillary metastatic disease were included. Patients were considered in two groups, low nodal burden/LNB(1-2LN) and high nodal burden/HNB(≥3LN) based on total positive lymph node count(SLNB+ALND). Preoperative AUS reports were assessed to determine those suspicious for axillary metastasis.

Result

Of the 347 patients (n=349 axillae), 77.9% had LNB and 22.1% had HNB. In patients with LNB, 228(83.8%) had a normal AUS versus 44(16.2%) suspicious AUS. In those with HNB 60(77.9%) had normal AUS findings versus 17(22.1%) suspicious findings. On multivariate analysis Nottingham Grade-3 was associated with suspicious AUS findings (p=0.02). However, receptor status, SLN macro-metastasis and extra-nodal extension were not associated with abnormal AUS.

Conclusion

As the surgical approach to the axilla becomes increasingly conservative, detection of axillary involvement by non-invasive means is an area of increasing research. In this cohort, AUS did not reliably identify patients with axillary metastasis. These results highlight the challenges in accurately assessing the axilla using preoperative AUS, which may result in axillary undertreatment if used as an alternative to surgical staging.

Take-home message

As the surgical approach to the axilla becomes increasingly conservative, detection of axillary involvement by non-invasive means is an area of increasing research. This study highlights the challenges in accurately assessing the axilla using preoperative AUS, which may result in axillary undertreatment if used as an alternative to surgical staging.

Psychosocial factors predict type 2 diabetes mastery

Background

Psychosocial aspects of chronic diseases such as Type 2 diabetes (T2D) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) are increasingly recognised as impacting effective self-management. Until now, little was known regarding the moderating effects of empowerment and depression on the relationship between diabetes-specific distress and mastery.

Purpose

To evaluate the potential mediating role of diabetes empowerment and depression on the relationship between diabetes-specific distress and mastery.

Methods

Sample comprised 131 participants diagnosed with T2D, mean [SD] age 62.3 [8.8]; 59.5% male. Mean time since diagnosis was 10.4 years. Assessments included: emotional distress (Problem Areas in Diabetes Scale; PAID); depression and anxiety (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale; HADS); mastery (Pearlin Mastery Scale); and empowerment (Diabetes Empowerment Scale – Short Form; DES-SF). Data were examined using SPSS: PROCESS a logistic regression-based path analytical framework for multiple mediator models.

Results

Regression coefficients for the model identified distress (b=−0.249, t(5,112)=−3.71, p<0.001), empowerment (b=0.280, t(5,112)=3.02, p<0.001) and depression (b=−0.980, t(5,112)=−5.73, p<0.001) were all statistically significant predictors of mastery. The PROCESS model assessed ΔR2 as a result of the interaction between distress and depression, which indicated a significant increase (ΔR2=0.08) in variance explained due to the inclusion of both moderators: F(2,112)=16.88, p<0.001, ΔR2=0.14. Also identified were interaction effect sizes: at low levels of empowerment, increasing depression led to increasing levels of distress predicting overall levels of mastery. This held true at moderate and high levels of empowerment; increasing levels of depression led to increasing distress predicting mastery.

Conclusions

These findings elucidate the impact of empowerment and depression on the association between distress and mastery in a diabetes cohort. The evidence suggests that the psychosocial interventions likely to have greatest impact on mastery are those that target key moderators such as empowerment and depression.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Using personalised avatars in a weight loss management programme: participants’ perspectives

Background

Obesity interventions rely predominantly on managing dietary intake and/or increasing physical activity but sustained adherence to behavioural regimens is often poor. Avatar technology is well established within the computer gaming industry and evidence suggests that virtual representations of self may impact real-world behaviour, acting as a catalyst for sustained weight loss behaviour modification. We explore patient's experiences of using an avatar as an adjunct to a weight management programme.

Methods

Exploratory, qualitative research design with a sub sample of participants to explore uncertainties and develop intervention optimisation and conduct of a future trial. Semi-structured interviews, with a purposive sub sample of obese and overweight patients a undergoing weight management programme (n = 12) from two settings in West Yorkshire, England (November-March 2020). Ethical approval was granted. Data were analysed using framework approach of verbatim transcripts.

Results

Three main themes emerged through data analysis (i) avatar appearance (ii) added benefits and (iii) areas of development. Visual perception of the personalised avatar could positively or negatively influence current and future realities. Patients generally found that using a personalised avatar provided added motivation to continue with the weight management programme and increased their confidence in their ability to work towards a healthy lifestyle to reduce weight loss. Several areas of development were identified for both the weight loss programme and the personalised avatar in relation to accessing psychological support and ways of developing and strengthening their own personal resilience.

Conclusions

The findings suggest that using personalised avatars could be a useful technique to increase engagement, motivation and adherence to weight loss management programmes among individuals who are obese or overweight.

Key messages

There appears to be some added motivational benefits to using personalised avatars. Virtual representations of self may impact real-world behaviour, acting as a catalyst for sustained weight loss behaviour.

[Legal considerations in the care of patients with "terminal dehydration" in Germany]

BACKGROUND

The legal framework for fluid management in the palliative care setting varies between continents and even between countries.

OBJECTIVES

What legal implications must be taken into account in Germany in dealing with "terminal" dehydration?

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Relevant publications in English and German have been identified. Notably, German recommendations and guidelines were reviewed, whereas national mindsets were contrasted with those of other countries like the United Kingdom and Canada.

RESULTS

Our legal considerations are in line with the recommendations of the German Federal Medical Association. Key components are "patient autonomy", "best possible symptom control" and a "steady therapeutic risk-benefit assessment". Dehydration should then continue to be regarded as a "symptom" that must be "controlled" as long as it can be improved by therapeutic means and as long as the patient is not opposed to this approach. However, if dehydration remains therapeutically refractory, it is justified either not to initiate clinically assisted hydration (CAH) or to stop the ongoing therapy. The "shared decision-making model" practiced in Canada is diametrically opposed to this approach, where paternalistic decision-making is possible, provided that patients or relatives appear to be ill-informed and unprepared to decide "correct" according to expert opinion.

CONCLUSIONS

A "non-refractory" state of dehydration at the end of life must not be left untreated under German law and must not be used as an option to hasten the death process if the development of dehydration does not correspond to the patient's will or if this will cannot be determined.

[Ethical implications in the therapeutic management of dehydrated patients at the end of life]

BACKGROUND

The ethical framework for fluid management in the palliative care setting can vary.

OBJECTIVES

What are the relevant ethical implications related to dehydration during end-of-life care and what are the special requirements we need to consider as far as "terminal dehydration" is concerned?

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was conducted to identify relevant articles published in English and German.

RESULTS

Our inferences represent an attitude rather than an evidence-based position-a fact that is due to the underlying normative and ethical references which are hardly amenable to statistical evaluation. As far as ethical considerations are concerned, evidence is lacking to support clear decision-making and, thus, does not justify moving away from established concepts of clinically assisted hydration (CAH) at the end of life as long as measures can be effectually implemented.

CONCLUSIONS

Dehydration must not be considered a measure to hasten death. Hence, dehydration in the palliative care setting must be regarded a "symptom" that should be "controlled" if it can be corrected by therapeutic means and if the patient's will does not contradict that approach. However, if CAH is futile, it is justified to refuse or stop it.

P2262Intensity and cost of health care at the end of life among patients with heart failure

Background

Health care utilization increase towards the end of life. There is little known about the intensity of care, including use of in-hospital services, critical care units, and invasive procedures at the end of life in heart failure (HF).

Aims

To determine the type and intensity of health care services offered at the end of life to patients with HF, and to establish the determinants of and costs associated with death in the hospital versus at home.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults (≥18 years) who died between April 1, 2004 and March 31, 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We included decedents with a diagnosis of HF in the 2 years preceding their death and a hospitalization for HF in their last year of life. We obtained demographic, clinical, healthcare utilization, and healthcare cost data from population-based administrative databases, using unique encrypted identifiers to link records. We calculated direct costs from the perspective of the Ministry of Health in our publicly-funded healthcare system. We used descriptive statistics and a 2-level multivariable logistic regression model) with patients (1st level) nested in regions (2nd level) to assess for predictors of death in the hospital versus at home.

Results

We identified 396,024 adults with HF who died between April 1, 2004 and March 31, 2017. Mean (standard deviation [SD]) age at death was 81.8 (10.7) years, and 48.5% were men. During the last 6 months of life, patients commonly experienced hospitalizations (78.1%), care from >10 different physicians (62.2%); intensive care unit (ICU) admissions (26.4%); mechanical ventilation (18.1%); hemodialysis (6.2%); and cardiac catheterization (3.7%). In the last 6 months of life, patients spent a mean (SD) of 17.4 (23.0) days in the hospital; 2.5 (8.3) days in an ICU; and 1.6 (7.9) days on a ventilator. While the proportion of deaths at home increased from 32.6% in 2004–2005 to 38% in 2016–2017, a majority of patients (53.4%) died in hospital during the study period. Factors independently associated with in-hospital death included age (OR 0.53 [95% CI 0.51–0.55] for age >85 years vs <60 years), sex (OR 0.88 [95% CI 0.87–0.89] for female vs male), and socioeconomic status (OR 0.87 [95% CI 0.85–0.89] for highest vs lowest income quintile). Palliative care services in the last 6 months of life was associated with higher odds of in-hospital death (OR 1.73 [95% CI 1.70–1.76]). Death in hospital was associated with higher mean [SD] healthcare costs in the terminal 6 months of life than death out of hospital ($52,349 [55,649] vs $35,943 [31,907]).

Conclusion

In this large cohort study in Ontario, Canada, patients with HF commonly received in-hospital, intensive, and invasive care in the last 6 months of life, and a majority of patients died in hospital. Death in hospital was associated with higher costs of care in the terminal 6 months than death outside hospital.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario, Canadian Institutes of Health Research

P3519Sex-based disparities in end of life care among patients with heart failure

Background

There are sex-based disparities in care and outcomes among patients with heart failure (HF), but the association between sex and health care services received at the end-of-life health is unknown.

Purpose

To assess for sex-based differences in location of death and the type and intensity of health care services received at the end of life among patients with HF.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults (≥18 years) who died between April 1, 2004 and March 31, 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We included decedents who had a diagnosis of HF and a hospitalization for HF in the year preceding their death. We obtained demographic, clinical, health care utilization, and healthcare system cost data from population-based administrative databases, using unique encrypted identifiers to link records. We used descriptive statistics and a 2-level multivariable logistic regression model with patients (1st level) nested in regions (2nd level) to assess whether sex was independently associated with death in hospital.

Results

We identified 396,024 adults (51.5% women) who died of HF between April 1, 2004 and March 31, 2017. Mean (SD) age at death was 81.8 (10.7) years and a majority of deaths (53.4%) occurred in the hospital. During the last 6 months of life, a significantly lower proportion of women than men experienced emergency department visits (81.7% vs 86.5%; p<0.001); hospitalizations (75.6% vs 80.8%; p<0.001); intensive care unit (ICU) admissions (22.8% vs 30.1%; p<0.001); mechanical ventilation (15.5% vs 20.8%; p<0.001); cardiac catheterization (2.8% vs 4.6%; p<0.001); coronary revascularization (1.5% vs 2.6%; p<0.001); hemodialysis (4.8% vs 7.7%; p<0.001); or care from 10 or more different physicians (57.6% vs 67.1%; p<0.001). In the last 6 months of life, women spent fewer days than men in the hospital (mean 16.4 vs 18.3; mean difference [MD] 1.9 [95% confidence interval 1.7–2.0]; p<0.001), in an ICU (mean 2.1 vs 3.0; MD 0.9 [95% CI 0.8–0.9]; p<0.001), and on a ventilator (mean 1.4 vs 1.9; MD 0.5 [95% CI 0.5–0.5]; p<0.001). These differences persisted and remained significant in the last month of life. There was no difference in the proportion of women vs men receiving palliative care services (45.1% vs 45.0%; p=0.53) in the last 6 months of life. After adjusting for age, socioeconomic status, comorbidities, place of residence, and year of death, women had lower odds of dying in a hospital than men (adjusted odds ratio 0.88 [95% CI 0.87–0.89]).

Conclusion

In this large cohort study in Ontario, Canada, women with HF received disproportionately lower in-hospital and invasive care services than men in their last 6 months of life and were more likely than men to die at home.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Canadian Institutes of Health Research

Persistent C-peptide is associated with reduced hypoglycaemia but not HbA1c in adults with longstanding Type 1 diabetes: evidence for lack of intensive treatment in UK clinical practice?

AIMS

Most people with Type 1 diabetes have low levels of persistent endogenous insulin production. The Diabetes Control and Complications Trial showed that close to diagnosis preserved endogenous insulin was associated with lower HbA_1c , hypoglycaemia and complication rates, when intensively treated. We aimed to assess the clinical impact of persistent C-peptide on rate of hypoglycaemia and HbA_1c in those with long duration (> 5 years) Type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional case-control study of 221 people (median age 24 years) with Type 1 diabetes. We confirmed ongoing endogenous insulin secretion by measuring C-peptide after a mixed-meal tolerance test. We compared self-reported hypoglycaemia (n = 160), HbA_1c , insulin dose and microvascular complications (n = 140) in those with preserved and low C-peptide.

RESULTS

Stimulated median (IQR) C-peptide was 114 (43, 273) pmol/l and < 3 (< 3, < 3) pmol/l in those with preserved and low C-peptide respectively. Participants with preserved C-peptide had lower reported monthly rates of hypoglycaemia, with 21% fewer symptomatic episodes, 5.9 vs. 7.5 [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.79, P = 0.001], and 65% fewer asymptomatic episodes, 1.0 vs. 2.9 (IRR 0.35, P < 0.001). Those with preserved C-peptide had a lower insulin dose (0.68 vs. 0.81 units/kg, P = 0.01) but similar HbA_1c (preserved 69 vs. low 67 mmol/mol, P = 0.06).

CONCLUSIONS

Adults with Type 1 diabetes and preserved endogenous insulin production receiving usual care in the UK have lower daily insulin doses and fewer self-reported hypoglycaemic episodes, but no difference in HbA_1c . This is consistent with non-intensive treatment in previous studies, and suggests a need to consider therapy intensification to gain full benefit of preserved endogenous insulin.

Abstract P4-12-02: Age-related distress in 3352 breast cancer patients

Purpose: Age-related biopsychosocial distress in breast cancer patients has been poorly studied and understood. The breast cancer experience may be different based on chronological age, which may be a surrogate marker of biologic, psychological, social, and functional age. This study reports patient-reported biopsychosocial problem-related distress in breast cancer patients.

Methods: All new patients seen at the City of Hope breast cancer clinic undergo a validated comprehensive biopsychosocial screening prior to their first visit with a medical/surgical oncologist. This touchscreen driven technology queries patients on their physical symptoms, psychosocial concerns, informational and resource needs, interests in clinical trials, and other breast cancer specific concerns. This IRB approved study was conducted in 3,352 patients evaluated from 2009 to 2017. Screening occurred immediately prior to meeting with the physician so that the information could be integrated into the clinical encounter.

Results: The age-related groups included 268 Adolescent and young adult (AYA) patients ages 18-39, 2,244 middle aged adults 40-64 years, and 840 older adults ages 65+ years. Regardless of age, four of the top seven highly distressing problems were the same: worry about the future, side effects of treatment, sleep and fatigue. AYA patients and middle aged adults, but not older adults, identified finances and being anxious or fearful among their top five causes of distress. Middle aged adults and older adults, but not AYA patients, identified physical pain among their top seven causes of distress. Interestingly, both AYA and older adults, but not middle aged adults, identified getting information about complementary and alternative practices as a top source of distress. Although a serious problem across all age categories, thoughts of ending one's life and seriously considering taking one's life were the least common problems identified.

Conclusions: In this series with 3,352 patients, biopsychosocial concerns raised with a diagnosis of breast cancer were similar regardless of age. However, patients under the age of 65 may worry more about finances and patients over the age of 40 may worry more about physical symptoms such as pain. Both AYA patients and older adults cited distress learning about complementary and alternative practices, suggesting a need for providers to address this, especially in these patient populations. Thoughts of ending one's own life were uncommon, which is relevant in a state with the End of Life Option Act.

Citation Format: Hill A, Obenchain R, Clark K, Loscalzo M, Mortimer J. Age-related distress in 3352 breast cancer patients [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-12-02.

Abstract P5-04-12: Withdrawn

This abstract was withdrawn by the authors.

Citation Format: Charmsaz S, Doherty B, Cocchiglia S, Bolger J, Vareslija D, McCartan D, Hill A, Young L. Withdrawn [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P5-04-12.

Critical care usage after major gastrointestinal and liver surgery: a prospective, multicentre observational study

BACKGROUND

Patient selection for critical care admission must balance patient safety with optimal resource allocation. This study aimed to determine the relationship between critical care admission, and postoperative mortality after abdominal surgery.

METHODS

This prespecified secondary analysis of a multicentre, prospective, observational study included consecutive patients enrolled in the DISCOVER study from UK and Republic of Ireland undergoing major gastrointestinal and liver surgery between October and December 2014. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was used to explore associations between critical care admission (planned and unplanned) and mortality, and inter-centre variation in critical care admission after emergency laparotomy.

RESULTS

Of 4529 patients included, 37.8% (n=1713) underwent planned critical care admissions from theatre. Some 3.1% (n=86/2816) admitted to ward-level care subsequently underwent unplanned critical care admission. Overall 30-day mortality was 2.9% (n=133/4519), and the risk-adjusted association between 30-day mortality and critical care admission was higher in unplanned [odds ratio (OR): 8.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.51-19.97) than planned admissions (OR: 2.32, 95% CI: 1.43-3.85). Some 26.7% of patients (n=1210/4529) underwent emergency laparotomies. After adjustment, 49.3% (95% CI: 46.8-51.9%, P<0.001) were predicted to have planned critical care admissions, with 7% (n=10/145) of centres outside the 95% CI.

CONCLUSIONS

After risk adjustment, no 30-day survival benefit was identified for either planned or unplanned postoperative admissions to critical care within this cohort. This likely represents appropriate admission of the highest-risk patients. Planned admissions in selected, intermediate-risk patients may present a strategy to mitigate the risk of unplanned admission. Substantial inter-centre variation exists in planned critical care admissions after emergency laparotomies.